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Speaker 1: Your love.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to last called Sunday. It's the BRep Queen Area

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Epstein and I am taking you through the next hour

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making sure that you have all of the sharp edges

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of the day. Let me also change my microphone. Okay,

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now we're good. I'm really excited that We've got Yanni

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coming on today and I'm going to find out all

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of the sharp sides that we need to know about.

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And John Murray from over at the Westgate the super Book.

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He's going to tell us where the books are what

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they need. You all know that my group chat dies

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for those needs every day, so we definitely need those needs.

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And then of course at the end of the show,

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Carla and Bianco going to join us and give us

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his best bets going into this week's seventh Late on

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a Sunday, we currently have the London game where it

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is raining and gross and the game is just as gross.

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LA's up twenty one, not being the Jags missed the

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field gold at least put some points on the board.

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You know, Kelly and I were talking about this on

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my prop Queen pot on Friday. She said, I don't

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know what world we feel confident laying three with the

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on the road in London. But I also don't want

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to bet the Jacks like it just it seems so fishy.

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Sometimes the Lions, we have to believe them. When the

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book's given you three on the Jags, who are used

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to playing in London, you had to think, like, okay,

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something's up here. This number should be one and a half.

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Even if the Jags were like dogs at plus one

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and a half in London, fine, but get catching three

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for a Jags team that's been playing so well in

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a Rams team that lost Puka Nakula this week they're

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stud wide receiver. You had to think, Okay, the books

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are telling us the Rams are the way better team

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this week, and it's clearly showing. So anyone who had

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Rams mind is three going into today. Congratulations. This one sucks.

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London games suck. If there's any football games have been great,

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some of these London games are just atrocious and you

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wake up excited in the morning, but nothing to be

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had there. I've got some props, We've got some other

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line moves that are kind of sketch. We've got some

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really ugly sides today that I know based on watching

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bet on It here at wager talk that Yanni the

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Greek is going to be on some ugly sides, but

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that's what we like. We like ugly sides. We like

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to sweat it out, we like to be sadistic, we

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love to hate ourselves watching games, because guess what, if

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you're unhappy the first half, you probably might be happy

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the second half. So let's bring them on. Yanni the

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Greek coming online from Las Vegas. We're gonna talk Major

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League Baseball. We've got the Alcs tonight. We've also got

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some NFL Week seven to talk about. Yanni, How are

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you today?

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Speaker 1: Never better?

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Speaker 3: Never better? If you're not betting? Yeah, I've thrown it

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back a little, fellow nostalgic.

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Speaker 4: I've just been.

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Speaker 3: It's taken me back to twenty twenty. If we just

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keep winning. I don't mean the tut but if you're

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not betting my college football on NFL, you just don't

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like money. We're just crushing it. Nine weeks of college

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football won eight of those. Yesterday hit a five percent.

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I think it went like eight and two on my

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four percent. We've just been on absolute fire in college

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football and NFL since the regular season started. So I'm

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not going to waste any time. I sent out to

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subscribers only two first half team totals that are three

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percent plays. Let me give them to you real fast,

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right now, so I don't forget them. It's Minnesota. Minnesota

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first half team total under ten and a half. That

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was a three percent play. And then I gave Cleveland

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under first half team total under ten, also three percent play.

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But we like Cleveland for the game. Scares me a

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little bit. We're on Cleveland money line at minus one

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forty good to minus one fifty, but there's a lot

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of public money on Cleveland as well. We need that

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game to go off at minus three. If we don't

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see that game go off at minus three, we're gonna

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be worried on the Cleveland side. But my money's already in.

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I got Cleveland on the money line, but we bet

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them under in the first half. But as you could see,

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that total's just been steamed from forty and a half.

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The look ahead the openers like forty now if you're

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looking at thirty four and a half. So obviously a lot,

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a lot, a lot of under money from the sharps.

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So we got team total under as well. Send out

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a couple of full game team totals. But those were

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bigger bets. But take me wherever you want to go.

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I got so much information.

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Speaker 2: You talked about that under and you're talking about the

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Browns Dolphins game. They're supposed to be heavy wins, they're

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supposed to be rain. It's not just that game. I

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saw a bad weather impacting the Saints and Bears game,

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the Miami Cleveland game, a chance for bad weather in

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you facing with Carolina and the Jets Tennessee and the

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Jet Well Jaguar games started ready. So any of these

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bad weather games that the totals are probably dropping, Like

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I saw in the Saints Bears game, that total is

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dropping at this point. Is it still worth unders or

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are there numbers now that we've missed the boat.

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Speaker 3: On That's the best question. That's the best question, because

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here's why this relates to everything with sports betting, every market,

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every sport missing nowhere the weather is going to be

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atrocious doesn't help you after the book's adjusted for it

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and the market has responded unless you get out ahead

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of that, meaning you anticipated it. You saw forty, you

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saw it go down the thirty nine, You're like, okay,

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that confirms it and then you get down at thirty eight.

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Let's say that's a great bet, But now that they've

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dropped it down the thirty four and a half, that

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weather's already been factored into the betting line. So knowing

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it's bad weather helps you zero. It's like if they

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adjust the line for an injured player, knowing that player's

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injured is zero means absolutely nothing. That's the problem that

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now the narrative is low scoring, but the market's already responded,

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it's already reacted to that, So now you're not getting

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any value for that bad weather. If anything, you need

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to sit back, wait for the book to adjust, wait

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for the betters to overreact, because that's what recreational betters do.

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And then once the book is forced to adjust more

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than they should, come back the other way and look

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for a reason to bet over. You shouldn't be looking

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for reasons to bet under when the line's already moved

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four or five six points away from you. You haven't

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gotten ahead of the market. So what are you trying

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to do? Now you're buying at the worst possible time.

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You don't want to do that again. This game could

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end three to nothing. Areil and it would still be

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a terrible bet because you had all those numbers to

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get down on. Why would you wait until the absolute

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worst time. That's not a good habit. So for me,

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when a line moves that significantly, I look to go opposite,

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or I pass and say I missed it, like I'll

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wait for a better bet to come along that line too.

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Speaker 2: For Saints and Bears already went from Bears minus five

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and a half to minus four and a half. I

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know this was a game that you guys talked about

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on bet on It earlier this week. A lot of

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us like the Saints. We liked them at plus five

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and a half. How about four and a half?

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Speaker 3: Now, Yeah, I don't think that's a big I mean,

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I get it now with the two point conversion, five

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matters more than it did ten years ago. I get

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all of that. What I simply do is if it's

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not a key number, a huge key number three seven,

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and I still like that side, I simply just lower

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my risk limit my bet. So instead of a four

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percent play, I make it a three percent player a

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two percent play, because now I don't have as much

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value to play such a good bet. Your bet size

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should be in relation to your edge. So if my

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edge is smaller, I have to bet less. If my

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edge is greater, that means I should be betting more.

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Like that's a practice you have to like get yourself

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into doing over and over and over again. Again, that's

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after you become more seasoned and you're able to quantify value. Otherwise,

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just flat bet the same. You know, everything real small

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in relation to bank role. Otherwise you should be doing

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that bet sizing in relation to your edge. And again

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five and a half plus five and a half gave

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me a better bet than plus four and a half.

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So I'm gonna have more money down at five and

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a half than I would at four and a half.

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I still like the Saint side. I would I would

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still bet it, but it wouldn't be a four percent

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like I sent out to my subscribers. We actually got

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six on the Saints. When I see that a line's

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gonna move that much, I'm willing to buy the half point,

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even if it cost me a penny two pennies more

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than I should be paying, because maybe I should be

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paying one sixteen, one seventeen, I'm paying one twenty, but

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knowing it's going to move a whole point after that

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that would have cost me twenty cents. So I'll do

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that with my subscribers and make sure they lock in

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a good number. And we got a good number with

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with you know, the Saints at plus six, what's gonna

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happen is gonna happen. But I'm comfortable with it. And

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at four and a half, I'd still place a bet.

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Speaker 2: We like the Saints now the big game narrative wise,

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you've got my breable going back into Tennessee after he

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got fired by the tight ends with the Ptriots who

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are now laying seven, key number in Tennessee. And I remember,

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I'm bat on it. You were like, narrative, who cares

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because this number now is hitting seven.

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Speaker 3: I'm on Tennessee. I got seven and a half on Tennessee.

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I would take seven on Tennessee. Let me see what

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it is right now.

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Speaker 2: So we're feeding the narrative.

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Speaker 3: Six and a half. It's six and a half. If

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you could buy it up that Wow, it's six and

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a half. Now we placed another great bet if it

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gets to if you could get it up to seven,

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I would take it up to seven as long as

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you're not paying more than one twenty five it's worth

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doing if you agree with me. Here's the thing with Tennessee.

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They've played the toughest schedule, arguably the toughest schedule in

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all of NFL. Like again, actually it's the number one

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toughest schedule, and what they have ahead, it's not going

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to get easier for them. The rest of the year

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is the fourth toughest schedule. So this is a team

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that's not going to win a lot of football games.

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But the spread becomes the great equaliser and they don't

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have to win a lot of football games when they're

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catching a lot of points. They just have to outperform

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the betting market. And it's so skewed against them right now.

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The bias is so against them. I was comfortable I'm

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getting the best of it at seven and a half.

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The market agrees with me. It's now six and a half,

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so we placed a great bet. I still think it's

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too high. I don't think that that line is warranted

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for this New England team that's now their third straight

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road game. It's a tough spot for them, you know,

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playing a team that's not in their division. I just

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don't think it was a good spot for New England.

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I think Tennessee again. The narrative is that you know

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they're the worst team in the NFL. I could agree

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with that data wise, but that that is also a

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reflection of their strength of schedule. We talked about in

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college football Texas Tech. What did we see yesterday, Miami?

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What did we see yesterday? Last week with Oklahoma against Texas?

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What did we see? Strength of schedule matters. There's a

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reason some teams are six and oh they haven't played

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anyone yet. So for me, I like Tennessee here. I

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think the only thing they could do is improve off

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of recent performances. Give me the touchdown. I'm all over it.

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Speaker 2: Strength of schedule matters. Spots and schedules matter. The Chargers.

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They're in a good spot. Colts not so much. Except

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I feel like everybody I know, all the Sharps, all

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my friends, people in group chats, people in the chats

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on these live streams, people are loving the Chargers this week. Yanni.

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It just makes sense scheduling wise. How much are you

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buying into LA?

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Speaker 1: It does?

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Speaker 3: But I have a future on LA. I'm as biased

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on the Chargers as you could get. I need them

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to go season win total over.

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Speaker 2: I want them divisions.

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Speaker 3: I'd love to see them represent the AFC in the

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Super Bowl. My pockets would be fat. I'd really like

240
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to see that happen. Here's the problem. Right now, You're

241
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getting in front of this Colts team that's playing lights out, Like,

242
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are they going to regress towards the mean? Probably because

243
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I don't think that Daniel Jones is the number one

244
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quarterback in the league, meaning right now, his passing success

245
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rate is number one, better than Goff, better than Stafford,

246
00:12:13,919 --> 00:12:17,559
better than my Homes, better than Love, better than Donald

247
00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:22,559
you get it. I don't think that's sustainable. Okay, if

248
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this was a baseball season, I would bet everything I

249
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have that he's going to regress. And an NFL season, unfortunately,

250
00:12:29,519 --> 00:12:33,840
it's not long enough for that regression or progression to

251
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always happen, but I still expect it to. I have

252
00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:40,279
to see glimpses of it first before I step out

253
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in front of this freight train called that the Indianapolis Colls,

254
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remember coming into the seasons today. Yeah, I'm not betting

255
00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:49,799
the Chargers. No, no, no, no no. My money will not

256
00:12:49,919 --> 00:12:52,440
be on the Chargers. I don't think I'm going to

257
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be fading them. I don't think I'll be on the

258
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dog unless I tease them. I think Indianapolis, he's up

259
00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:03,399
to eight eight and a half is a great bet.

260
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High total isn't ideal, but being able to get go

261
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through three, six and seven with these two teams based

262
00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:14,039
on the power rating, I think it's a no brainer.

263
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Plus ev side. Now you got to find another side

264
00:13:16,799 --> 00:13:18,879
to it, but I absolutely give you one.

265
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Speaker 2: We haven't talked about this big game yet. Probably one

266
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of the best games in the early slate Eagles Vikings.

267
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The Vikings went to one and a half at one point.

268
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This week they're back up to two and a half.

269
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I've been thinking about teasing them at plus two and

270
00:13:31,799 --> 00:13:34,360
a half the Vikings. How much do you believe in

271
00:13:34,399 --> 00:13:36,759
the Vikings at home as home jogs against these Eagles

272
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that are going to be scratching and dying for a

273
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win after losing and getting embarrassed in primetime to the Giant.

274
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Speaker 3: I don't like that the betting syndicates are owned Philadelphia.

275
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I mean, I like that for if you if you

276
00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:54,759
like Philadelphia, but that worries me as far as using

277
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the Minnesota side. I did see confirmed sharp action on

278
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Philadelphia that you like you touched on is in dire

279
00:14:02,519 --> 00:14:05,080
need of a win. You know, they're coming off losing

280
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back to back weeks as favorites of seven and four,

281
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so we've seen that adjustment here. Obviously there's an adjustment.

282
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They're one and a half two point favorites in this

283
00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:20,120
game and seeing the public money, it's on the Eagles.

284
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What what's weird is that the look ahead was two

285
00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,919
and a half, so they didn't adjust off that loss

286
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:27,960
like it was a half point adjustment.

287
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Speaker 2: Nothing when it went to one and a half, but

288
00:14:30,039 --> 00:14:31,960
I mean not off. Yeah, it was one and a

289
00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:33,519
half at one point, but it bounced back to two

290
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and a half.

291
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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's when they got involved. That that's when you

292
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sold short money, come in and bet the Eagles. I

293
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think you got to use Minnesota in a teaser because

294
00:14:42,559 --> 00:14:44,879
it sets up that number. Like I always say, when

295
00:14:44,879 --> 00:14:47,840
it comes to teasers, try not to handicap the game.

296
00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,960
Your opinion shouldn't matter. The only thing that should matter

297
00:14:51,039 --> 00:14:54,879
is you're using the teaser for those numbers, and that's it.

298
00:14:54,879 --> 00:14:57,759
It's not advantageous any other way. You're better off laying

299
00:14:57,799 --> 00:15:00,399
one ten and betting the point spread. Long term, you're

300
00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,440
gonna either win more money or lose less doing it

301
00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:04,960
that way, I promise you T.

302
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Speaker 2: Is not advantation total in this game.

303
00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:12,120
Speaker 3: In that the Eagles games, you gotta go over. I

304
00:15:12,159 --> 00:15:13,720
think you got to go over. I think it's a

305
00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,120
it's a low total for these two teams. I think

306
00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:20,080
it's based more on a recency bias. I don't love

307
00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,879
it because you know, we've already seen the adjustment off

308
00:15:22,919 --> 00:15:25,000
the opener of forty two and a half. Now you're

309
00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:26,679
looking at forty three and a half and forty four.

310
00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,440
I agree though with the market. I think it's overpassed.

311
00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:31,519
I think you will get some points in Minnesota.

312
00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,120
Speaker 2: A total that's dropped is Panthers Jets, so I go

313
00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:36,120
forty four and a half to forty two and a half.

314
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,639
This sign also flipped against the Jets from minus one

315
00:15:38,639 --> 00:15:40,519
and a half to plus one and a half. What

316
00:15:40,559 --> 00:15:43,679
do you see whether it's sader or total in Jets Panthers.

317
00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:45,840
Speaker 3: Let me see if I saw any sharp money that

318
00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:49,960
oh a one sided public money on beyonder they're betting

319
00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:55,240
this game under heavily. Like obviously sharp money's steamed it

320
00:15:55,279 --> 00:15:58,679
at the opener, but since then the narrative has been

321
00:15:59,399 --> 00:16:02,159
no scoring, low scoring and you've been seeing a lot

322
00:16:02,279 --> 00:16:05,080
of under money. As far as the side goes, I

323
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:08,279
don't love it, Like I don't want to waste the

324
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:12,080
viewers' time. Their opinion's probably stronger than mine because it's

325
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,080
not a game that I'm going to be betting Gum

326
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:19,039
the head. I'd probably be on Carolina. What business do

327
00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:22,440
they have being road favorites? Carolina road favorites? So for me,

328
00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:24,840
like the red flag goes up, like there has to

329
00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:26,919
be a reason for that because they didn't open that way,

330
00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:30,039
so someone likes them. There's a reason that they're now

331
00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:33,279
the road favorite. I wouldn't fade that. I don't have

332
00:16:33,399 --> 00:16:37,080
any conviction to fade that move. So for me, it

333
00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:38,960
would be followed the move or pass.

334
00:16:39,639 --> 00:16:42,559
Speaker 2: I thought it was interesting that the Dallas Cowboys, who

335
00:16:42,559 --> 00:16:45,799
are home this week against the Washington Commanders, that the

336
00:16:45,879 --> 00:16:48,879
line went from Dallas plus two and a half to

337
00:16:49,039 --> 00:16:52,159
now flipping their minus one and a half and their

338
00:16:52,159 --> 00:16:56,279
cornerback Trayvon Diggs did something that caused a concussion in

339
00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,399
his house this week and it's going to be out.

340
00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,440
This is the worst past football. There's still bottom ten

341
00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:04,400
against the run. They're without their Pro Bowl corner yeat.

342
00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:06,680
The line moved in the Cowboys favor and I liked

343
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:08,480
the Cowboys this week at plus two and a half

344
00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:11,119
plus one and a half with when I thought Trayvon

345
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:14,160
Diggs was going to play. How come this line moved

346
00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:16,039
in favor of Dallas with so much going wrong?

347
00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,000
Speaker 3: Wise, guys are all over the Cowboys. They steamed them.

348
00:17:19,599 --> 00:17:22,279
This is another NFL game where you had the public

349
00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,880
and the sharps on the same side the Dallas Cowboys,

350
00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:28,839
you know, anything less than a field goal, and I

351
00:17:28,839 --> 00:17:32,079
think it's more a fade of Washington than a real

352
00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:34,440
bet on Dallas. You know, I don't think there's a

353
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:36,640
lot of confidence on the Cowboys other than you know,

354
00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:40,680
they're playing at home. And remember these two teams, Dallas

355
00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:43,200
has owned the series, you know they I know Washington

356
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:46,119
won the last game, but in the series, I'm pretty

357
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,599
sure Dallas has owned them. Yeah, They've won seven of

358
00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:52,119
the last ten, like six of the last day. So

359
00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:53,960
I think it has to do with a lot of

360
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:57,079
the history at Washington's covered once dating back to twenty

361
00:17:57,119 --> 00:18:01,599
twenty one against them, So history Dallas is just own them.

362
00:18:01,759 --> 00:18:03,440
And like I said, I'm seeing a lot of sharp

363
00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,559
money on the Dallas side, but also public money. I

364
00:18:06,559 --> 00:18:10,160
think Washington though, sets up as a teaser. Again, it

365
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,480
doesn't have to do with the handicap. It has to

366
00:18:12,519 --> 00:18:15,000
do with being able to go through three, six and seven,

367
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:18,079
and in that game in particular, you have the perfect

368
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,839
total forty forty and a half. If you're not expecting

369
00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,240
to have a lot of points, score, each point's worth more, right,

370
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:26,839
that's what you want to be teasing, So for me,

371
00:18:27,079 --> 00:18:30,799
regardless of handicap, Like, there's some good teasers on the board.

372
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,400
Denver Broncos are on the board, Indianapolis is on the board,

373
00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:37,519
Miami is probably going to be on the board. Like,

374
00:18:37,559 --> 00:18:41,599
there's a lot of plus EV teaser spots today. Don't

375
00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:44,599
pass those up, even if it's against your handicap. It

376
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:47,799
becomes irrelevant you're just placing a plus EV bet. It

377
00:18:47,839 --> 00:18:50,000
would be like walking up to the roulette wheel and

378
00:18:50,039 --> 00:18:51,880
all of a sudden they're giving fifty to one to

379
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,319
pick a number. Dude, you don't care about what number.

380
00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:57,240
You don't know the number, like the handicap becomes irrelevant,

381
00:18:57,519 --> 00:18:59,039
but you know you're getting fifty to one, then they

382
00:18:59,079 --> 00:19:00,839
should be giving you about already eight the one, So

383
00:19:00,839 --> 00:19:03,400
you're gonna bet it's a plus e V bet. Same

384
00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:06,599
thing with teasers. Don't worry about the teams. Does the number?

385
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:08,839
Let you place a good bet? Bet it. There's a

386
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:09,720
lot to day to do.

387
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:13,279
Speaker 2: That with primetime in the NFL. This week, we've got

388
00:19:13,279 --> 00:19:15,279
two Monday nights, We've got the Sunday night. What do

389
00:19:15,279 --> 00:19:16,160
you see cool?

390
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:20,960
Speaker 3: I like Detroit actually gave Detroit on on bet on

391
00:19:21,079 --> 00:19:24,640
it like them is. I'm on an island with eight

392
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:26,640
billion other people, and it looks like it's starting to

393
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,480
sink lower and lower. You know, the line's climbing, and

394
00:19:29,519 --> 00:19:33,240
it's been nothing but Detroit money. Obviously, that worries me.

395
00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:36,240
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay just announced that there's a good chance that

396
00:19:36,519 --> 00:19:40,240
Amika Abuka could play, which is a big, big deal,

397
00:19:40,279 --> 00:19:42,400
and Mike Evans is going to play for Tampa as well.

398
00:19:42,799 --> 00:19:45,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a five and one Tampa team. Man.

399
00:19:45,799 --> 00:19:49,440
And catching this many points against Detroit, I get it.

400
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:52,079
Detroit's look good lately. I have been number one power

401
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:56,759
rated in the NFL. But now looking at it and

402
00:19:56,759 --> 00:19:58,559
it may get the if it gets the seven by

403
00:19:58,599 --> 00:20:01,720
tomorrow like that, that's it's just a lot to be given. Tennis,

404
00:20:01,799 --> 00:20:05,640
Like what is Tampa done wrong. They've come in covering

405
00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:10,000
back to back game scoring thirty plus, like the only

406
00:20:10,079 --> 00:20:13,640
loss they have is by one score to the Eagles,

407
00:20:14,279 --> 00:20:16,960
like they they haven't. They've played great. And now you

408
00:20:17,039 --> 00:20:19,880
have a Detroit team coming off of a bad loss

409
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:24,039
on primetime against k C like given so many points.

410
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:24,680
Speaker 1: I like.

411
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,119
Speaker 3: I like Detroit, but I don't like what I'm seeing

412
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:31,000
from the market. The second game, I like Houston again.

413
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:38,039
I thought Seattle a little phony for me, Like, I'm

414
00:20:38,079 --> 00:20:44,559
not sold on Seattle again. They just I wouldn't lay

415
00:20:44,599 --> 00:20:46,920
the points it's up over a field goal. I haven't

416
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:48,920
bet the game. I don't love the game. The all

417
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:50,920
three prime time games, I'll tell you right now, I

418
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:54,880
haven't bet any of those yet. I haven't really gotten involved.

419
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,480
Hopefully something changes between now and then. I usually do,

420
00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,480
because you know the public money will affect it lies

421
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,720
and hopefully they move and give us some value. But like,

422
00:21:02,759 --> 00:21:05,400
they didn't jump out like I love these three prime

423
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:06,200
time games we have?

424
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,720
Speaker 2: How about Major League Baseball? Before I let you go ALCS.

425
00:21:09,279 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 3: Tonight, here's the problem. I need Seattle. I have Seattle

426
00:21:13,519 --> 00:21:17,240
for forty units. Screwed you in the al Then one

427
00:21:17,319 --> 00:21:20,160
hundred units to win the World Series. I hedged in

428
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,799
Game one, in Game two, and when they won when

429
00:21:22,799 --> 00:21:25,640
they were up to nothing. That only happened fifteen times

430
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:29,400
in Major League Baseball playoffs. Fourteen times that team that

431
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,799
went up to nothing on the road won the series.

432
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:33,400
So when they were up to nothing, I got I

433
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:37,319
was comfortable. They lost Game three, Okay, they lost Game four.

434
00:21:37,799 --> 00:21:40,279
I'm forced to hedge again now in game five like

435
00:21:40,319 --> 00:21:44,240
I did. So now I've lost three hedges against them.

436
00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:47,480
I need them to win tonight so I don't have

437
00:21:47,599 --> 00:21:49,680
to do this again. I don't want to find myself

438
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:53,279
in the position I didn't handle it well. So I

439
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:55,839
really need Seattle to get it done tonight. And I

440
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:59,519
like the matchup I do. I don't want to see

441
00:21:59,519 --> 00:22:03,799
a game Evan. I like Seattle. I lean under as well,

442
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,200
Like this is backs to the wall. You know you're

443
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:09,559
gonna get everything out of Toronto like they I don't

444
00:22:09,559 --> 00:22:12,000
think they're gonna leave pictures in there for long. This

445
00:22:12,079 --> 00:22:14,400
is your whole seasons on the line. You'll deal with

446
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:16,559
game seven when you get there. You can't look at

447
00:22:16,599 --> 00:22:18,799
what I'm saving for Game seven. So I think with

448
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:23,119
Toronto's gonna throw everything at Seattle. I think you gotta

449
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,119
bet the game under And like I said, my money's

450
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,240
gonna be on Seattle. I need Seattle. I won't be

451
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,880
betting Seattle, but I'll be cheering in Seattle for sure.

452
00:22:31,799 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 2: Johny the Greek, thank you as always for coming on

453
00:22:34,079 --> 00:22:36,480
as you do every day here on last call on Sundays.

454
00:22:36,519 --> 00:22:38,200
Appreciate you. What are you promoting today?

455
00:22:38,559 --> 00:22:41,319
Speaker 3: I got my package off NFL package. I don't I'm

456
00:22:41,319 --> 00:22:44,839
not pushing a five star. Our four stars have been crushing, crushing, crushing.

457
00:22:45,079 --> 00:22:48,920
Last week we hit two NFL five percent plays. Get

458
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:51,720
today's card. There's I like what I have in there already.

459
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,480
Still got some more work to do for some later games.

460
00:22:55,079 --> 00:22:57,839
Just keep grinding bet size correctly and you're gonna just

461
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,599
keep making money with me in college football and NFL,

462
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:04,039
NBA and college basketball next. So get on board, head

463
00:23:04,039 --> 00:23:06,440
on over to wagetalk dot com. You still got some time.

464
00:23:06,519 --> 00:23:07,279
Thanks for having me here.

465
00:23:07,279 --> 00:23:11,200
Speaker 2: Real good luck today, Thanks Yannie, good luck today. Coming

466
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,240
on now, we are going to be joined by my

467
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:17,839
great friend mister John Murray coming over from the Westgate

468
00:23:18,039 --> 00:23:20,319
the super Book in Las Vegas.

469
00:23:20,599 --> 00:23:21,039
Speaker 3: JM.

470
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,759
Speaker 2: We know that we need the needs today from over

471
00:23:23,799 --> 00:23:28,680
there in Vegas. We're a little frozen. Oh, stream Yards

472
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:32,000
not liking us today. I hope that we there we.

473
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 1: Go hepe you hear me?

474
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:41,799
Speaker 2: I can't hear you. Oh no, Are we gonna have

475
00:23:41,839 --> 00:23:43,200
to do sign language?

476
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:47,000
Speaker 1: All right? Kid?

477
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:47,880
Speaker 2: There you are?

478
00:23:49,279 --> 00:23:52,079
Speaker 1: Okay? Yeah, we've had some bad connection this morning. Can

479
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:52,480
you hear me?

480
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,680
Speaker 2: Yeah? You have a storm or something in Vegas?

481
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 1: We did, actually not today, but we did yesterday a

482
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:01,119
little bit. I don't know why. I don't know. The

483
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,160
connection this morning has been a little faulty. But you

484
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:04,960
got me right now.

485
00:24:05,079 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 2: Let me take advantage of you guys today.

486
00:24:08,519 --> 00:24:11,039
Speaker 1: I hope not. I mean you wouldn't want to do that, right,

487
00:24:11,079 --> 00:24:12,839
I mean, don't you want to hear what we're rooting

488
00:24:12,839 --> 00:24:14,400
for so you can root for the same teams?

489
00:24:14,799 --> 00:24:17,559
Speaker 2: Absolutely? I would love to be on the ugliest sides

490
00:24:17,559 --> 00:24:19,720
of the day with you like we are every week.

491
00:24:19,799 --> 00:24:21,640
Kelly told me last night. She called me. She said,

492
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,359
I'm gonna need Jm's needs today.

493
00:24:24,839 --> 00:24:27,680
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, well she has because she has no

494
00:24:27,799 --> 00:24:30,480
access to me directly, so of course, yeah, you got it.

495
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 2: No, she relies on me. I think this is her

496
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:36,400
test of her friendship every week to see if I'm

497
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,519
gonna provide for her the winners, and I think this

498
00:24:39,599 --> 00:24:42,640
all stems on you, So our friendship is in your hands.

499
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 1: John, that's a lot of pressure. I don't know if

500
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:47,519
they're going to be winners, but I can tell you

501
00:24:47,599 --> 00:24:48,519
what we're rooting for.

502
00:24:48,759 --> 00:24:51,759
Speaker 2: We're rooting for you, right Chat, go for it.

503
00:24:51,839 --> 00:24:56,440
Speaker 1: We definitely, we definitely need the Raiders. Raiders uh off

504
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,319
of a win last week. Now they're at Kansas City

505
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,440
this morning. They're plus twelve and a half at the

506
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:04,359
super book six to one on the money line. I'm

507
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,640
sure Kansas City is going to be super popular Survivor play.

508
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:11,319
In fact, twenty four people in our Survivor contest at

509
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:15,039
the Westgate are left. Twenty of them used the Chiefs.

510
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:17,680
If the Raiders somehow win today, that contest could get

511
00:25:17,759 --> 00:25:21,400
very interesting in week seven. We need the Raiders. We

512
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:25,480
need the Titans. The other four people in the other

513
00:25:25,519 --> 00:25:28,200
four people that didn't use the Chiefs use the Patriots.

514
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,559
We need the Titans. Plus the points. They're down to

515
00:25:30,559 --> 00:25:32,839
plus six and a half and it looks like in

516
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:37,559
the afternoon the big one is gonna be Arizona. That

517
00:25:37,559 --> 00:25:41,039
should be fun. Arizona is at home against Green Bay,

518
00:25:41,279 --> 00:25:43,079
so three just.

519
00:25:44,839 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 2: So much fun.

520
00:25:46,079 --> 00:25:48,440
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it sounds like fun. Huhzach.

521
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 2: Here's the thing. I was thinking of jumping in on

522
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:55,920
Tennessee because everybody is loving this Patriots narrative of Mike

523
00:25:56,000 --> 00:26:02,039
Rabel's return to Tennessee fired up let's kill. But Tennessee

524
00:26:02,039 --> 00:26:04,519
also justspired their head coach, and we're not talking about

525
00:26:04,559 --> 00:26:07,400
that kind of narrative of fighting for your team after

526
00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:11,160
firing a head coach. The Patriots really worth seven.

527
00:26:12,279 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're down to six and a half, so obviously

528
00:26:14,799 --> 00:26:17,440
it looks like some sharper players did take the points,

529
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:20,440
did take the seven points with us at least that

530
00:26:20,759 --> 00:26:23,039
you know, that's interesting because that's probably I mean, I

531
00:26:23,079 --> 00:26:26,400
think it is the It is the most lopsided Ticke

532
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:30,160
account of the day is New England, so and the

533
00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:32,559
line has gone from seven to six and a half

534
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,759
despite it being the most lopsided Ticke account of the day.

535
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:39,000
So usually that can be a good indicator. Tough to

536
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:41,640
bet on the Titans. Yeah, I was watching that. We

537
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:44,680
needed them last last Sunday. They were in they were

538
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:48,000
here in Las Vegas. They got crushed by the Raiders.

539
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:51,279
And I remember saying to your friend Kelly and Vegas,

540
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,480
how the heck did this my friend? You're yeah, your friend,

541
00:26:54,519 --> 00:26:56,799
You're a good friend. How the heck did they beat

542
00:26:56,839 --> 00:27:00,240
the Cardinals the week before down twenty one to three?

543
00:27:01,039 --> 00:27:04,240
But they did somehow. But the Titans are They're a

544
00:27:04,279 --> 00:27:06,440
tough team to root for you.

545
00:27:07,039 --> 00:27:08,599
Speaker 2: In one of my pick them contests. Now I might

546
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,000
have to take the Titans. Starting to feel a little

547
00:27:11,319 --> 00:27:13,119
I'm starting to feel a little Tennessee.

548
00:27:13,759 --> 00:27:15,640
Speaker 1: Do you want me to give you some plays? We've

549
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,799
seen sharp action on Ariel I can do that too.

550
00:27:19,039 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd love that.

551
00:27:20,319 --> 00:27:25,640
Speaker 1: I would say for sure Philadelphia. So Philadelphia minus one

552
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:26,480
and a half.

553
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,160
Speaker 2: Is that late week sharp action because people were guying

554
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,559
in on Minnesota early this week and then the line

555
00:27:31,599 --> 00:27:32,480
moved back to Philly.

556
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:36,720
Speaker 1: That came in pretty late. Actually, I would say Philly.

557
00:27:37,039 --> 00:27:40,240
At the end of the week, they played get ready

558
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:42,240
for this one. You'll love this because they do it

559
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,599
every week and they lose every single time. The New

560
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:47,839
York Jets. The Jets plus one and a half. The

561
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:49,599
Jets are at home against Carolina, but it's.

562
00:27:49,519 --> 00:27:51,559
Speaker 2: Also from minus one and a half earlier this week.

563
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:54,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, that that should be a great game. Two really

564
00:27:54,880 --> 00:28:00,000
fun teams there, Panthers and Jets. They definitely took the Jets,

565
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:02,759
and then in the afternoon one that did flip as well,

566
00:28:02,759 --> 00:28:05,920
the big one probably in the afternoon Dallas. Dallas went

567
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,880
from a small underdog now they're a small favorite at

568
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:10,640
home against the Commanders. There are one and a half

569
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,799
point favorites. I'd say those three are the sides. And

570
00:28:13,839 --> 00:28:17,720
then Monday night it's actually a pretty good doubleheader. On

571
00:28:17,839 --> 00:28:22,119
Monday Night, they did take Detroit minus five and a

572
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:26,359
half and we moved to Detroit minus six. Tampa Bay's

573
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:30,160
got a lot of injuries on their offense. Although I

574
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,599
feel like with Baker Mayfield it doesn't even matter, Like

575
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,000
I feel like they could just pull some guys out

576
00:28:35,039 --> 00:28:37,440
of the stands and Mayfield to make it work. The

577
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,839
guy is awesome. But they did take Lions minus five

578
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:44,480
and a half in that one. Not honestly, not much

579
00:28:44,519 --> 00:28:51,599
on the Sunday night game either, Really not much there.

580
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,359
I mean, we've moved a little bit with the market.

581
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:54,359
It's come down a little bit.

582
00:28:54,279 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 2: Where it's no one knows what's really going on in

583
00:28:59,279 --> 00:29:02,039
San fran that they've lost some of their key defensive Stars.

584
00:29:02,079 --> 00:29:05,200
It's another game of Mac John's Ricky Person.

585
00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 1: You know, San Francisco, San Francisco. I feel like this

586
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:11,759
has been the theme the last few years with them

587
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:15,480
so many guys out. Now Fred Warner is out, He's

588
00:29:15,519 --> 00:29:18,400
the he's the leader of their defense. The money has

589
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,240
definitely come in on Atlanta, but I wouldn't really call

590
00:29:21,279 --> 00:29:22,960
it sharp money. At least here at the West Gate.

591
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:25,440
We're mostly just moving with the market. Not a lot

592
00:29:25,519 --> 00:29:30,039
to report, certainly, for sure, the most lightly bet Sunday

593
00:29:30,079 --> 00:29:32,680
Night game of the year so far, without question. Part

594
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:34,359
of that, I think is because it's going up against

595
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:39,000
ALCS Game six, which is tonight in Toronto. That looks

596
00:29:39,119 --> 00:29:41,680
we have a lot more We've got a lot more

597
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:46,920
betting action on that game for now. Yeah, for for now,

598
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:48,799
we've got we took a lot of money on the

599
00:29:48,839 --> 00:29:51,920
over in that game. We will be rooting for the

600
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:52,559
Blue Jays.

601
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,799
Speaker 2: Unfortunately for Yanni Under tonight.

602
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: We need the Blue Jays. We would like to see

603
00:29:57,960 --> 00:29:58,559
it stay under.

604
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:03,319
Speaker 2: Okay under and ALC. Yes, totals in the NFL, By

605
00:30:03,319 --> 00:30:06,200
the way, Jessica and the chat asking what about the totals,

606
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:07,039
you guys need.

607
00:30:07,759 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 1: Totals we need. It's a good question. I have to

608
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:10,400
look at it.

609
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 2: Thurston just wrote back to the needs list of Raiders

610
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:16,200
Titans in Arizona and said, this is an exciting Sunday.

611
00:30:16,759 --> 00:30:18,839
Speaker 1: Chris Thurston. These are the same teams we root for

612
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:22,640
every week. I mean, it's like those three and the

613
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:25,200
Cleveland Browns are like, we don't really this week the

614
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:26,920
Browns game is a little bit differ because they're playing

615
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:30,680
another just horrible team. But these are the these are

616
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:32,559
the teams we root for every week. It looks like, well,

617
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:37,640
we're gonna want the Giants Bronco game to stay under

618
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:39,799
the total. Right now, it's at forty and a half.

619
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:42,480
We don't want that one to go over the total.

620
00:30:43,119 --> 00:30:45,160
Let me see if I can give you your your

621
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,119
listener there one more of those huh. Let me see.

622
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:52,240
Totals are tough. Good question. It's good to have your

623
00:30:52,279 --> 00:30:54,480
your viewers keep me on my toes like that. Man.

624
00:30:54,559 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 2: We love that.

625
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:58,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then you know what, we'll need the Green

626
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,799
Bay Arizona game. We'd like to say that stay under

627
00:31:00,839 --> 00:31:03,519
as well. We'd like to see that stay under forty

628
00:31:03,519 --> 00:31:04,039
four and a half.

629
00:31:04,119 --> 00:31:06,359
Speaker 2: I feel like you guys always need Arizona Cardinals games

630
00:31:06,359 --> 00:31:06,960
to stay under.

631
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, it does seem like we've said that before. Huh

632
00:31:10,839 --> 00:31:14,519
with that, Yeah, that afternoon's a little rough. Uh, you

633
00:31:14,559 --> 00:31:14,839
know what.

634
00:31:15,559 --> 00:31:19,079
Speaker 5: Colts Chargers is one of the more interesting games of

635
00:31:19,079 --> 00:31:21,839
the day where we saw sharp money early in the

636
00:31:21,839 --> 00:31:25,799
week on the on the Colts and the number got

637
00:31:25,839 --> 00:31:28,039
down to like a pick them, and then late money

638
00:31:28,079 --> 00:31:30,920
came in on the Chargers, and right now the Chargers are.

639
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:32,759
Speaker 1: Actually a two and a half point favorite in that game.

640
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 2: Oh you guys moved to two and a half. It's

641
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:36,359
been a one and a half all week. And I

642
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:39,880
love the Chargers. Kelly likes the Chargers, Chris likes the Chargers.

643
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:41,480
People who I had on my show this week like

644
00:31:41,519 --> 00:31:44,519
the Chargers. Yani like everyone likes the Chargers. And I'm like,

645
00:31:44,599 --> 00:31:47,200
now everyone likes the Chargers, So do we stay away

646
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:47,880
from the Chargers?

647
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 1: Lake sharp money on the Chargers here. I know a

648
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:53,799
lot of questions about their offensive line. You know, they

649
00:31:53,839 --> 00:31:56,680
got both of their tackles out. It's a lot to

650
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,480
overcome for them. But I will say here, at least

651
00:31:59,519 --> 00:32:01,680
we did see sharp money on La.

652
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,559
Speaker 2: The Saints we haven't really talked too much about, and

653
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:08,759
you guys moved that line also from five and a

654
00:32:08,759 --> 00:32:09,640
half to four and a half.

655
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,160
Speaker 1: I was staying away from that one because, yeah, we

656
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,039
did see some sharp money on New Orleans, but it

657
00:32:14,079 --> 00:32:16,400
was early in the week and the numbers are long gone.

658
00:32:16,759 --> 00:32:18,880
You know. They were taking like plus six plus five

659
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:21,000
and a half. We're down to four. I think I

660
00:32:21,039 --> 00:32:22,880
even saw some three and a half out there, if

661
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,960
I remember that correctly. The numbers that they bet New

662
00:32:26,079 --> 00:32:29,720
Orleans at are gone, but yes they when New Orleans

663
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:31,559
was a six point dog, for sure, that was a

664
00:32:31,599 --> 00:32:32,119
sharp play.

665
00:32:33,079 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 2: What do you want to say to Budzilla nineteen asking

666
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:38,240
me for the eightieth thousandth time if I'm related to

667
00:32:38,279 --> 00:32:39,440
Jeffrey Epstein.

668
00:32:40,839 --> 00:32:44,519
Speaker 1: Well, that's pretty rude, Budzilla, I mean, how could you?

669
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,000
Why does he Why does he keep asking you that?

670
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:50,000
Speaker 2: That's a very rude People always ask me this question

671
00:32:50,119 --> 00:32:52,359
is if I'm the only other person, me and Jeffrey

672
00:32:52,359 --> 00:32:55,640
Epstein are the only two Epstein's in the world.

673
00:32:56,079 --> 00:32:57,759
Speaker 1: Isn't that a fairly common last name?

674
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,839
Speaker 2: I think no one compares me to him.

675
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: I'd rather be compared to just.

676
00:33:03,119 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 2: Part of the GMS breaking up two curses in baseball?

677
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:07,640
Why can't we talk about that guy?

678
00:33:08,359 --> 00:33:10,839
Speaker 1: THEO is a better look than Jeffrey. I would I

679
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:13,759
would rather, Yeah, I'd rather be compared to THEO. That's

680
00:33:13,799 --> 00:33:16,279
what your people. That's what your people in the chat

681
00:33:16,359 --> 00:33:18,319
are asking. Why don't they ask about like a pick

682
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:19,839
or something, and they're asking about.

683
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,359
Speaker 2: Why are we here to talk about my life? If

684
00:33:22,359 --> 00:33:24,000
you guys want to talk about my life, I could

685
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,160
tell you how miserable I am that the Ravens suck.

686
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:29,880
And then I'm subjected to going to Thanksgiving in Baltimore

687
00:33:30,039 --> 00:33:32,519
because I told Grandma I would see her for Thanksgiving,

688
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:33,920
so I'd go to the Ravens game.

689
00:33:35,599 --> 00:33:35,799
Speaker 4: Game.

690
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 1: Don't give up on the Ravens. I think that. I

691
00:33:38,519 --> 00:33:40,839
think the Steelers losing to the Bengals on Thursday night

692
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:43,200
really opens the door for the Ravens. You know, they're

693
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:46,119
they're They're right back if they win next week and

694
00:33:46,119 --> 00:33:49,039
they get relatively healthy, I mean, don't be right back.

695
00:33:49,079 --> 00:33:50,599
In the AFC North Mix.

696
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,480
Speaker 2: Division doesn't look very strong. The Steelers look.

697
00:33:55,519 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 1: They do look terrible, and they and they lost the game.

698
00:33:59,319 --> 00:34:01,960
I think we'll be back. I think they host Chicago

699
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,079
next Sunday a week from today, and don't give.

700
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:05,799
Speaker 2: Up at Miami.

701
00:34:06,559 --> 00:34:09,559
Speaker 1: Don't give up. But come on, Budzilla, you're better than that. Man.

702
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:11,440
You're you're bet you're better than that question.

703
00:34:11,519 --> 00:34:14,639
Speaker 2: Man, Thank you, thank you. Someone asking about the Broncos

704
00:34:14,639 --> 00:34:15,400
and Giants game.

705
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's so good two way action. In that game,

706
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:22,480
they took Denver minus seven. Early in the week, we

707
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,159
were at Denver min sorry, we were at Giants plus

708
00:34:25,199 --> 00:34:27,920
seven even we saw some money come in there, But

709
00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:31,639
today the numbers really pushed up. Denver's in a lot

710
00:34:31,639 --> 00:34:34,679
of moneyline parlays too. So I do think we'll need

711
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,679
the Giants in the afternoon, but not as much as

712
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,679
we'll need Arizona. It's not that big of a need.

713
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:42,800
But we will be written for the Giants, all right.

714
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,079
Speaker 2: And I guess now I through for the freaking Blue Jays.

715
00:34:45,119 --> 00:34:47,480
So that stinks. I really wanted it to be the

716
00:34:47,519 --> 00:34:48,760
Seattle Mariners.

717
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:52,519
Speaker 1: Well we we we do. We do fine on Seattle. Actually,

718
00:34:52,599 --> 00:34:54,559
we just do better on the Blue Jays.

719
00:34:54,599 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 2: The Blue Jays are like the Dodgers being back in

720
00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:57,760
the World Series.

721
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 1: Now we we do okay on that. Our guys did

722
00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:03,519
a pretty good job this year of We're a small

723
00:35:03,599 --> 00:35:06,320
loser to them, but I can live with that. You know,

724
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,480
anytime you can be a small.

725
00:35:08,119 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 6: Loser to the Dodgers, to the Lakers, to the Golden Knights,

726
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:15,599
when you're booking out here in Nevada, that's actually a

727
00:35:15,639 --> 00:35:19,840
win because I know I've heard that some other operators

728
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:23,559
around the city are don't do as well on the Dodgers.

729
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 1: They don't do well.

730
00:35:25,159 --> 00:35:27,599
Speaker 2: Well, that's good that you guys are in good position, then, Jenner,

731
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:30,360
you always always put us in good position when you

732
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,599
come here on the show Last Call Sunday. Thank you

733
00:35:32,599 --> 00:35:35,320
as always for those needs. We wait all morning for them,

734
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:36,400
So you made our day.

735
00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:40,039
Speaker 1: Of course, Kelly can always text me, you know, I

736
00:35:40,039 --> 00:35:42,719
mean I have she has my number, okay, whatever I mean.

737
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:44,840
Speaker 2: You just told her that you were like that was

738
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:45,360
my friend.

739
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,280
Speaker 1: Well yeah, sure, Well you guys are very close.

740
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:50,840
Speaker 2: I'm going to spend a whole week with her in

741
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:56,960
Aruba when so I leave two weeks from this past Friday,

742
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,639
So I leave on Halloween for a week with my family.

743
00:36:00,119 --> 00:36:03,280
Then the second week she's meeting me. So about three

744
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:06,199
weeks from now, yikes, and I'm going to be doing

745
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:07,960
Last Call Sunday and she'll be.

746
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:13,320
Speaker 1: There and I'll be on that show yeah, Wow, Okay.

747
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:16,239
Speaker 2: Tune in. It's like the second week of November. It's

748
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:16,760
gonna be great.

749
00:36:17,199 --> 00:36:18,760
Speaker 1: And looking forward to that. I can't wait.

750
00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:23,360
Speaker 2: She'll she'll just chime in. Oh yeah, she wants the background.

751
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:23,920
Speaker 6: John.

752
00:36:24,559 --> 00:36:27,320
Speaker 1: She's a chimer in her, isn't she? You know what

753
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:30,280
she like? She's an habitual line stepper. That's what I

754
00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:30,960
would call Kelly.

755
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:34,920
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, but yet she gets met. Our biggest fights

756
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:37,800
are at the West Gate when we go into the elevator,

757
00:36:38,159 --> 00:36:40,159
because I don't let people come out of the elevator.

758
00:36:40,199 --> 00:36:42,079
It's a New York thing. You just get right into

759
00:36:42,119 --> 00:36:46,559
the elevator before people come out of the elevator. Yeah,

760
00:36:46,639 --> 00:36:48,639
like the subway too. You just get on. There's no

761
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:50,199
waiting for people to get off. You just get on.

762
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:51,800
Speaker 1: You're supposed to let people off.

763
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,880
Speaker 2: First the elevator doors closed, and now you miss the elevator,

764
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:56,679
and now you've got to wait again. You gotta get

765
00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:57,039
rid on.

766
00:36:57,679 --> 00:36:59,760
Speaker 1: I don't know that that seems you see, you can

767
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:01,639
probab to get away with that because you're a female.

768
00:37:01,679 --> 00:37:03,480
If I did that, everyone be like, look at this guy,

769
00:37:03,559 --> 00:37:04,119
What a jerk.

770
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're very established there and you probably have your

771
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:07,679
own private elevator.

772
00:37:08,079 --> 00:37:09,559
Speaker 1: Oh I wish I did? I wish?

773
00:37:09,599 --> 00:37:13,519
Speaker 2: I did you No elevators there? Nah?

774
00:37:13,639 --> 00:37:17,079
Speaker 1: Rarely I I have gone upstairs for meetings before, Okay,

775
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:20,119
but rarely to your point, yes, very rarely.

776
00:37:20,519 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 2: Well, everyone should check out the West Gate. The Super

777
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:25,559
Book is one of the best places to watch games,

778
00:37:25,679 --> 00:37:28,719
especially on football Sundays. Just not with Kelly during the

779
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:29,159
Super Bowl.

780
00:37:29,199 --> 00:37:29,280
Speaker 3: Up.

781
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:32,159
Speaker 2: You're on the other side, John Murray, have a great Sunday.

782
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:32,960
Was see you next week?

783
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:33,800
Speaker 1: Take care.

784
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:37,199
Speaker 2: Our last guest of the day is coming on giving

785
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:39,199
us his best bets of the day. You could catch

786
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:42,320
him here on all wager talk platforms. He talks NFL,

787
00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:45,360
he's got soccer, he's got hockey. He does it all

788
00:37:45,559 --> 00:37:48,519
and he's going to probably be watching his Toronto Blue

789
00:37:48,559 --> 00:37:50,840
Jays tonight as they tried to tie up the series

790
00:37:51,039 --> 00:37:53,800
and send this to a Game seven against the Seattle Mariners.

791
00:37:54,039 --> 00:37:56,039
Let's bring on Carmine Bianca.

792
00:37:56,199 --> 00:37:58,840
Speaker 4: What's upcarm Hey a reel?

793
00:37:58,880 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 1: How are you are you?

794
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:02,559
Speaker 2: Is this the first Sunday in a long time that

795
00:38:02,599 --> 00:38:04,880
you are more excited for a baseball game than a

796
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:05,639
football game.

797
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:10,440
Speaker 4: I'll be honest with you, I'm excited more about football really,

798
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:15,920
you know, the Blue Jay Yeah, you would think so.

799
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:19,239
I don't know if it ends today or not. It's

800
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:24,280
been a great ride, nonetheless, and U and I have

801
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:28,000
to give you props for putting up with me, because

802
00:38:28,639 --> 00:38:32,440
you know, I like to play not the troll, but

803
00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:34,000
to give it to you every once in a while

804
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:37,800
about the Yankees. And listen, the Jay's beating the Yankees

805
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:40,440
means nothing unless you beat Seattle and then you beat

806
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,239
whoever it is in the World Series. No one raises

807
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:45,360
a banner that says we beat the Yankees.

808
00:38:46,639 --> 00:38:50,039
Speaker 2: That's true. I mean they might, honestly, they might. For

809
00:38:50,119 --> 00:38:50,719
the next game.

810
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:53,199
Speaker 4: Well, Toronto is such a they have the Leafs who

811
00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:56,039
haven't won anything since nineteen sixty seven, so they're itching

812
00:38:56,119 --> 00:38:59,400
for a winner here somehow in Toronto. But I'm hoping

813
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:01,239
for a good game. I would love to see a

814
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:02,000
game seven.

815
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:02,960
Speaker 3: Uh.

816
00:39:03,519 --> 00:39:06,800
Speaker 4: Toronto's going absolutely nuts for the Blue Jays. So we'll

817
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:10,280
see what happens tonight with this game. But I'll keep

818
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:12,599
one eye on it. Most of my actions on the

819
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:16,519
early early stuff today even in circa. So I'm loving

820
00:39:16,599 --> 00:39:19,159
what's happening with the Rams game. And I already have

821
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:23,039
Cincinnati in the the Bengals in the bank as far

822
00:39:23,079 --> 00:39:24,320
as one of my circa picks.

823
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 2: So so heatn't know who else do we have today?

824
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:30,360
Speaker 4: So the last three and I'm on a very good

825
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,039
circa run as well. Too. Is the Browns. I like

826
00:39:33,079 --> 00:39:33,840
the Browns today.

827
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:36,280
Speaker 2: Oh that's so fun. That's going to be a really

828
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:41,159
fun one. Oh Yeahs against Miami that's a blast.

829
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:46,039
Speaker 4: So which brings me to this. So Gianni talked about

830
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:49,599
the books adjust and you look at the numbers adjust,

831
00:39:49,679 --> 00:39:51,360
and you know, when I was looking at props today,

832
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:52,840
I was, you know, one of the first ones. And

833
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:55,320
even during the week I was looking at the Dolphins

834
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:57,559
are so terrible against the rush. I think they allow

835
00:39:57,639 --> 00:39:59,639
like one hundred and sixty eight and a half yards

836
00:40:00,079 --> 00:40:03,840
per game. And Judkins was at like in the seventies,

837
00:40:04,039 --> 00:40:07,519
the mid seventies, he's at ninety four and a half. Now.

838
00:40:07,519 --> 00:40:10,000
Speaker 2: It was eighty four and a half this like early

839
00:40:10,079 --> 00:40:11,840
this week. And I don't mean earlier the season, like

840
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,199
you're talking earlier this season. He started in the seventies.

841
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:16,719
He was at eighty four and a half on like

842
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:19,280
Tuesday or Wednesday when it first came out. And now

843
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:21,320
it's up to ninety and a half for his rushing yards.

844
00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:24,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's it's absolutely insane, to the point where

845
00:40:25,079 --> 00:40:26,679
you have to look at the under now like you.

846
00:40:27,119 --> 00:40:29,519
I get it if the weather is bad and I

847
00:40:29,599 --> 00:40:32,920
posted in the slack there, someone one of the news

848
00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:35,719
reporters had put what it looks like and the storm

849
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,519
moving over at around noon and should hit around game time.

850
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:43,599
But even then it doesn't. It doesn't mean it's just

851
00:40:43,599 --> 00:40:47,199
going to be a strictly a ninety percent run game

852
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:51,599
for the Cleveland Browns. So ninety four and a half.

853
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:55,280
If it gets any higher priors to game time, I'm

854
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,320
just going to hit the under and look at it

855
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:00,960
that I'm getting probably fifteen to twenty yards more than

856
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:04,719
I should because everyone is overreacting to that number. Well,

857
00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:06,800
as far as the Browns go, I can't out on

858
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:13,519
anything Miami related. I don't know what pitchers uh McDaniel

859
00:41:13,599 --> 00:41:17,239
has on the Miami ownership, but he's one in five

860
00:41:17,639 --> 00:41:20,559
and his record against Okay, the Browns are not a

861
00:41:20,599 --> 00:41:23,320
five hundred team, but his record against five hundred teams

862
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:27,719
is miserable. Like they could be oh and six. They

863
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:30,840
beat the Jets, who are oh and six. That's that's

864
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:35,079
their only win of the season. I'll take the Browns

865
00:41:35,119 --> 00:41:37,519
with a rookie quarterback. I'll take Browns with their running

866
00:41:37,519 --> 00:41:41,679
game and and hopefully give me another circle win. The

867
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:45,840
other ones the Titans. Uh, and I'm happy that Johnny

868
00:41:46,679 --> 00:41:49,480
likes the Titans as well too. And then I'm finishing

869
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,199
it off with the Eagles. So I'll nobody one o'clock.

870
00:41:52,199 --> 00:41:54,679
How my circle ones turned out.

871
00:41:55,039 --> 00:42:00,280
Speaker 2: That Eagles vikings game has fluctuated between two and a

872
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,840
half one and a half. John Murray just came on

873
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:06,679
and said they took early action on Minnesota but late

874
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:10,360
action now on Philly. What led you to liking the

875
00:42:10,639 --> 00:42:12,280
minus two and a half of Philly unless you grab

876
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:12,920
one and a half.

877
00:42:14,199 --> 00:42:16,719
Speaker 4: I got one and a half for one and a

878
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,480
half for me. But it's just it's similar to I

879
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:22,280
still think and Dan Alexander and I, who is a

880
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:25,679
huge Eagles fan, and I talked him off. Oh my god,

881
00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:28,079
he's gonna take Minnesota in the circle. I talked to him.

882
00:42:28,599 --> 00:42:30,280
He says I talked him off of it. I didn't

883
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,000
tell him not to take it, but he told me

884
00:42:32,079 --> 00:42:34,320
later that he didn't take it because of my take

885
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:36,639
on the Eagles and I just I just think that

886
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:40,440
the Eagles will be fine. I get it, two straight

887
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:43,000
losses teams go through that. The Bills are kind of

888
00:42:43,039 --> 00:42:44,800
going through that, although I think the Eagles are much

889
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:48,679
better team than the Bills are at the moment. And

890
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:51,760
you know Minnesota with those with those two games in

891
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:55,280
Dublin and then in England coming back, they've had a

892
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:57,760
bye week, but they're like two four and one I

893
00:42:57,760 --> 00:42:59,760
think their last seven off of bye week. So it's

894
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:02,920
not ultra impressive like some teams are kind of coming

895
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:04,960
off of BUYE and I just I just think the

896
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:08,320
Eagles can get it done if they can establish that

897
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:13,119
run game. And you know, Jalen Hurts. I'll joke around

898
00:43:13,159 --> 00:43:15,559
with Dan about Jalen Hurts just being a running back

899
00:43:16,639 --> 00:43:17,679
under center, but.

900
00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 2: Holding onto the ball for too long and his wide

901
00:43:20,519 --> 00:43:24,000
receivers aren't getting any separation. There's seems to be a

902
00:43:24,199 --> 00:43:28,480
massive issue going on between Jalen Hurts and his receivers.

903
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:30,960
Speaker 4: Yeah don't. I don't know what's going on with aj Brown,

904
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:34,119
you know. I mean like that that team needs to

905
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:37,360
This is one of those games in which a win,

906
00:43:39,639 --> 00:43:41,519
I don't want to say turns the season around, because

907
00:43:41,519 --> 00:43:44,880
they're four and two, I believe or the record, but

908
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:49,039
in essence gets some kick started again. Sometimes you need

909
00:43:49,119 --> 00:43:56,840
that game. And against Carson Wentz, who's going today. McCarthy

910
00:43:56,880 --> 00:44:00,440
isn't even backing up from what I've heard, so he said,

911
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:01,039
it's kind of a.

912
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 2: Revenge game against Carson wentz former team, the Eagles.

913
00:44:05,639 --> 00:44:09,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, no, it's Eagles. It's Eagles for me. Hopefully they

914
00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:11,920
get it done. And we're we're five and zero in

915
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,199
circa in a good shot at the quarter and uh

916
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:18,239
and we're will be top one hundred as far as

917
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:21,119
we're hitting over sixty percent in circa. So let's just

918
00:44:21,199 --> 00:44:23,239
keep trying to keep that one going.

919
00:44:23,679 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 3: Number one.

920
00:44:26,199 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 4: Nothing in the after the night game, so nobody wanted

921
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:32,760
to talk about the night game. I like the Niners.

922
00:44:33,159 --> 00:44:37,079
I like the Niners in this spot. I think it's yeah,

923
00:44:37,199 --> 00:44:39,639
bounce opportunity. Atlanta coming off a big win against the

924
00:44:39,639 --> 00:44:43,320
Buffalo Bills. The Bills, despite getting in those rushing yards

925
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:45,320
and I think James Cook had like seventy eight, the

926
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:49,559
Bills should have run the ball more because that Atlanta

927
00:44:49,599 --> 00:44:52,559
pass rush just kept getting to Josh allen forced them

928
00:44:52,559 --> 00:44:55,519
into two. I n T's sacked them four times. That's

929
00:44:55,519 --> 00:44:57,880
not your typical Josh Allen game. He was under fire

930
00:44:57,960 --> 00:44:58,559
the whole game.

931
00:44:59,480 --> 00:44:59,639
Speaker 1: Right.

932
00:44:59,840 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 4: The should have run the ball down Atlanti's throats and

933
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:06,440
they could have. I think that's something that San Frank

934
00:45:06,519 --> 00:45:09,079
can do. I also think that it's something that Mac

935
00:45:09,159 --> 00:45:11,079
Jones can do, is he can scramble, he can run

936
00:45:11,119 --> 00:45:14,239
for yards. They get George Kittle back, so that's got

937
00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:16,960
to be a positive for him. So I do like

938
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:20,119
San fran of the game, but I'm not gonna say

939
00:45:20,159 --> 00:45:22,519
I love it. But I really liked the Kyle Pits

940
00:45:22,599 --> 00:45:27,679
Everyone's fantasy football flop, Kyle Pits. Every year I draft

941
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:30,239
Kyle Pitts, and every year I'm disappointed. I think he

942
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:31,519
only had what four.

943
00:45:31,679 --> 00:45:34,400
Speaker 2: TVs tell you. Every time I bat cups, it feels

944
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:36,559
like a loser or that it's gonna come down to

945
00:45:36,599 --> 00:45:36,960
the wire.

946
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:41,800
Speaker 4: But his reception or sorry, his receiving yards are thirty

947
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:45,559
six and a half as of this morning, and he's

948
00:45:45,599 --> 00:45:47,559
gone over that in four of the last five games,

949
00:45:47,639 --> 00:45:49,280
or four of the five games this season. The only

950
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:52,239
one he didn't was against the Bills, and it's just

951
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:55,719
because they didn't need him. He had his fewest targets,

952
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:59,440
his feuse receptions, I think three receptions on four targets

953
00:45:59,679 --> 00:46:01,960
for like eighteen yards, but he's had thirty seven or

954
00:46:02,000 --> 00:46:04,639
more in every other game. So maybe this is the

955
00:46:04,639 --> 00:46:09,119
brand new Kyle Pitts senior and we see him get

956
00:46:09,159 --> 00:46:14,679
some yards today against this San fran defense is missing,

957
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:20,719
as John Murray mentioned, is missing his name, Warner, Fred Warner.

958
00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:23,079
Speaker 2: Freed Warner. Yeah, the leader of that defense in San

959
00:46:23,119 --> 00:46:26,480
Francisco is gone for the season. It's so unfortunate because

960
00:46:26,519 --> 00:46:28,360
the forty nine ers have all the talent in the

961
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:30,679
world on paper, but this injury bug back to back

962
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:34,039
years is just absolutely wild. And a game on Monday

963
00:46:34,119 --> 00:46:37,599
night Carmine that has an injury bug impacting the team

964
00:46:37,679 --> 00:46:40,920
and a few suspensions potentially Detroit Lions Tampa Bay Buccaneers

965
00:46:41,199 --> 00:46:43,760
finding out today that a Miko Luka could be playing

966
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:46,599
tomorrow like Evan should play tomorrow for Tampa. So the

967
00:46:46,639 --> 00:46:51,000
receivers are somewhat back potentially in Tampa. Yet the line's

968
00:46:51,039 --> 00:46:53,119
been moving in favor of Detroit, and a lot of

969
00:46:53,119 --> 00:46:55,280
people are like in Detroit minus five and a half,

970
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:57,280
John Murray said, now they're moving the lines to six

971
00:46:57,320 --> 00:47:00,760
and a half on Detroit Stampa really being a six

972
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:01,960
and a half point up.

973
00:47:04,199 --> 00:47:07,599
Speaker 4: Probably not the way they're playing. Biger Mayfields having a

974
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:12,000
fantastic season, But it's the Lions at all. When when

975
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:15,440
you and at home, when you expect them to to win,

976
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:19,159
they lay a dog like they did against I think

977
00:47:19,199 --> 00:47:22,679
it was casey. When you expect them to lose like

978
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:28,000
I thought they would against the Ravens, they play well.

979
00:47:28,119 --> 00:47:31,119
So I don't know. I just Detroit team's tough to

980
00:47:31,119 --> 00:47:32,920
figure out. But they have a coach who has like

981
00:47:33,079 --> 00:47:36,320
iron for lack of a for lack of a better word,

982
00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:39,159
I'm sorry, he's got like balls of stone, as Johnny

983
00:47:39,199 --> 00:47:43,280
Detroit would say. He will gamble, and you want a

984
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:47,360
coach like that. Sometimes he's not riverboat run, but he

985
00:47:47,679 --> 00:47:51,159
is a guy that when he does gamble, his team

986
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,079
loves it, and when they it just he just finds

987
00:47:54,119 --> 00:47:58,000
a way of winning. You know, I thought a few

988
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:01,840
weeks ago that Detroit was they weren't favorites to win

989
00:48:02,599 --> 00:48:05,000
after losing to green Bay. Green Bay were the favorites

990
00:48:05,039 --> 00:48:08,239
to win that division. I said, it's Detroit's division to lose.

991
00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,679
I still feel that way, So give me Detroit. But

992
00:48:12,000 --> 00:48:13,400
I think that's going to turn out to be a

993
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,440
game in which people are likely going to look at

994
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:18,880
either tease the next week or not, because they're gonna

995
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,119
they're gonna like at six and a half. They might

996
00:48:21,159 --> 00:48:23,800
not like to spread, but in a six point teaser,

997
00:48:24,079 --> 00:48:26,400
if they figured Detroit's gonna win, they're they're gonna look

998
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:29,000
to tease that. It might be the second part of

999
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:31,360
a teaser, because you might have people coming in with

1000
00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:35,360
like Denver at home today. You might have people coming

1001
00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:38,480
in on the Green Bay Packers and teasing them down

1002
00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:41,800
to a near pick them against Arizona.

1003
00:48:41,960 --> 00:48:43,159
Speaker 2: Anything else do you like today?

1004
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:46,159
Speaker 4: That's pretty much it?

1005
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:46,880
Speaker 2: You know.

1006
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:49,360
Speaker 4: I thought about the Jets Panthers game, and because of

1007
00:48:49,360 --> 00:48:51,639
the weather, but everyone seems to be betting the under.

1008
00:48:51,639 --> 00:48:54,880
But I also thought about Donnell his rushing yards under

1009
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:58,320
sixty five and a half. The Jets did very well

1010
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,880
in stopping the Broncos last week. The Broncos I think

1011
00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:05,679
had seventy eight yards of rushing overall at home. That

1012
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:08,719
hardly ever happens. Maybe the Jets are turning the page

1013
00:49:09,519 --> 00:49:11,639
and they're about to get their first win. I hope not,

1014
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:13,519
because I have some friends who are Jets fans, and

1015
00:49:13,519 --> 00:49:14,480
I just love.

1016
00:49:14,599 --> 00:49:18,639
Speaker 2: To friends don't let friends bet Jets.

1017
00:49:18,079 --> 00:49:23,000
Speaker 4: Yes, they don't. So it's that it's that meme that

1018
00:49:23,079 --> 00:49:25,440
I or it's that video reel that I see on

1019
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:30,000
Instagram all the time of President Trump talking about with

1020
00:49:30,079 --> 00:49:32,480
the it's the Jets, and he's talking but we're gonna

1021
00:49:32,519 --> 00:49:34,840
do so much winning, and he's talking about in July

1022
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:37,000
that you're gonna be tired of our winning. And then

1023
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:42,320
in September it's like these guys are these guys don't

1024
00:49:42,320 --> 00:49:43,159
know what they're doing.

1025
00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:45,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, they are so bad, but Karma and you are

1026
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:47,559
definitely not bad. You are great, and you are so

1027
00:49:47,639 --> 00:49:49,480
helpful each week that you come on on last call.

1028
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:50,480
What are you promoting today?

1029
00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 4: Five percent play up in the NFL last week we

1030
00:49:54,920 --> 00:50:00,519
had the Seattle Seahawks as an easy winner on that

1031
00:50:00,559 --> 00:50:03,159
one and a couple other plays as well too. So

1032
00:50:03,199 --> 00:50:05,199
you can pick up the three pack. I've included them

1033
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:08,920
all together in one package as an NFL All Access package.

1034
00:50:09,199 --> 00:50:12,440
You can get that over at wager Talk Hockey. I

1035
00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:15,159
haven't decided on a card yet. Went three at three,

1036
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:17,599
three and one last night in NHL, so we'll see

1037
00:50:17,599 --> 00:50:21,440
if we can pick up a winner later today, and

1038
00:50:21,519 --> 00:50:25,039
that's pretty much it until next week Champions League. I'm

1039
00:50:25,039 --> 00:50:28,639
looking forward to some really good soccer games next week.

1040
00:50:28,679 --> 00:50:31,400
If you like to bet some afternoon action on Tuesdays

1041
00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:34,760
and Wednesdays, you can find that. And of course coming

1042
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:38,400
up in about one hour's time, Andy Lang with end

1043
00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:42,480
Zone Live. If you have not watched this show, you've

1044
00:50:42,519 --> 00:50:45,800
got to watch it. Just a bunch of us, pretty

1045
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:49,480
much as if there's four of you, or five of you,

1046
00:50:49,559 --> 00:50:51,639
or six of you in a bar giving each other

1047
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:55,360
a hard time sweating games. We give all prop bets

1048
00:50:55,599 --> 00:50:59,320
and game bets before we go, before the game starts,

1049
00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:02,079
so you can come along as well too. And I'm

1050
00:51:02,079 --> 00:51:05,599
gonna have a anytime touchdown same game party that I

1051
00:51:05,639 --> 00:51:09,159
will have up before then. I'm still working on Ariol,

1052
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:11,159
but those are the ones there. If you hit one,

1053
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:16,199
it's like, okay, Ruba, I'm coming yeah. So let me

1054
00:51:16,280 --> 00:51:18,079
know if you see the Blue Jays in Aruba in

1055
00:51:18,159 --> 00:51:20,880
like a couple of days time, because if they lose today,

1056
00:51:20,880 --> 00:51:22,920
that's where they're going. Is it a Ruba or kane Kun?

1057
00:51:24,039 --> 00:51:26,960
Speaker 2: Well, the players they go to kN Kun. Ariel goes

1058
00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:30,360
to a Ruba. Yes, sometimes the players are in Aruba

1059
00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:32,599
though it's a great place to be. I'll be watching

1060
00:51:32,599 --> 00:51:35,400
football there in a couple of weeks from now. Cannot wait.

1061
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,559
Carman Bianco, you're the best. Follow him at Carmen Bianco

1062
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:41,519
wt obviously it Stansburg wager Talk, and check him out

1063
00:51:41,559 --> 00:51:43,880
on all of our wager talk platforms. Good luck today, Karen.

1064
00:51:43,920 --> 00:51:45,400
We'll see you next week.

1065
00:51:45,360 --> 00:51:46,199
Speaker 4: You as well. Thank you.

1066
00:51:47,400 --> 00:51:50,000
Speaker 2: I've got some props for today's slate. I'm going to

1067
00:51:50,079 --> 00:51:51,880
give you a few, and the rest are posted to

1068
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,480
the prop Queen dot COM's newsletter. You can subscribe to that.

1069
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:58,280
I give out my entire long list, so I don't

1070
00:51:58,280 --> 00:52:01,440
bet all of them because that would be insane. And

1071
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:04,360
I give out my long list, and what happens is

1072
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:06,199
sometimes I choose from my long list, and I choose

1073
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:08,000
the losers, and then the others are winners. So you

1074
00:52:08,039 --> 00:52:11,159
guys should check out the long list because the long

1075
00:52:11,199 --> 00:52:13,440
list is where you can find Okay, like this is

1076
00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:15,880
good information. I tell you where there's all the prop

1077
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:19,800
edges and over at propstot cash. I love those guys.

1078
00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:23,480
Propstot cash is a great spot for finding prop edges

1079
00:52:23,519 --> 00:52:25,599
in the market. You can find out how many of

1080
00:52:25,599 --> 00:52:29,320
each position has gone over their proper under their prop

1081
00:52:29,480 --> 00:52:32,519
against certain teams. So, for example, on propstot cash, and

1082
00:52:32,559 --> 00:52:34,719
you could sign up with promo codeprop Queen, you get

1083
00:52:34,760 --> 00:52:37,880
fifty percent off the first month. You could see that.

1084
00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:42,440
Let's say Gino Smith's today, so I like his over

1085
00:52:42,519 --> 00:52:45,400
ten and a half rushing yards and you would see

1086
00:52:45,519 --> 00:52:47,920
that five of the six quarterbacks to face the Chiefs

1087
00:52:47,920 --> 00:52:50,719
this year have gone over their rushing yards prop. That's

1088
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:53,719
what propstot cash gives you. And Gino Smith, so we

1089
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:56,960
had at least twenty rushing yards in both games when

1090
00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:59,599
facing a team that's bottom ten against mobile quarterbacks or

1091
00:52:59,599 --> 00:53:02,159
bottom tie against the run, those were the Chargers and

1092
00:53:02,199 --> 00:53:04,239
the Bears, he had at least twenty rushing yards. So

1093
00:53:04,280 --> 00:53:06,440
this is just ten and a half. Last time that

1094
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:08,719
he played an Arrowhead in twenty twenty two, Geno Smiths

1095
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:11,679
ran for sixteen. The Chiefs allow the third most rushing

1096
00:53:11,760 --> 00:53:15,679
yards per game to quarterbacks thirty one yards game. The

1097
00:53:15,719 --> 00:53:18,199
Chiefs are also top ten and blitz rate. So if

1098
00:53:18,199 --> 00:53:20,840
you're gonna get pressure up front, Gino Smith's gonna have

1099
00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:23,599
to make something happen with his legs. And they're double

1100
00:53:23,639 --> 00:53:28,519
digit dogs. So if the if the pocket's closing, Gino

1101
00:53:28,559 --> 00:53:30,840
Smith is gonna have to scramble, I'm gonna go over

1102
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:32,199
ten and a half rushing yards. You could get this

1103
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:37,119
in one first down. Alvin Kamara, I gave out earlier

1104
00:53:37,159 --> 00:53:39,599
this week. It's moving against me a little, which scares me.

1105
00:53:39,679 --> 00:53:41,400
Forty three and a half now was forty five and

1106
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:44,320
a half when I bet it on Wednesday. The Saints

1107
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:46,440
are getting the Bears, and the line already moved from

1108
00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:47,960
plus five and a half to plus four and a

1109
00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:51,000
half in favor of New Orleans. The Bears are the

1110
00:53:51,039 --> 00:53:54,320
second worst run dye in football. They're allowing one hundred

1111
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:57,320
and twenty six rushing yards of games running backs. Kamara

1112
00:53:57,400 --> 00:54:00,239
is a Pro Bowl back. He's gonna have to run

1113
00:54:00,320 --> 00:54:03,199
the football to dictate time of possession, and if the

1114
00:54:03,199 --> 00:54:06,280
Saints can maintain time of possession, then there's a good

1115
00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:09,480
chance they cover and win this game. Outright. The closest

1116
00:54:09,599 --> 00:54:11,639
that Kamara had to a bad rundy this year, he

1117
00:54:11,679 --> 00:54:13,960
faced the Bills and he ran for seventy. But this

1118
00:54:14,039 --> 00:54:16,960
is the worst rundy Chicago, the worst rundy he's seen

1119
00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:19,519
all year. So I'm gonna go with the over. On

1120
00:54:19,599 --> 00:54:26,519
rushing yards for Alvin Kamara today, Quinton Johnson over twenty

1121
00:54:26,519 --> 00:54:28,440
two and a half yards for longest reception. He's gone

1122
00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:30,960
over it in four or five games this year. According

1123
00:54:30,960 --> 00:54:33,840
to propstock Cash. He's averaging thirty six yards per longest

1124
00:54:33,840 --> 00:54:36,119
caps this season and the Colts have allowed the fourth

1125
00:54:36,119 --> 00:54:38,360
most receiving yards per game to wide receivers. So I

1126
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:40,840
do like that one as well. And a tight end

1127
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:42,880
prop you could look at Mason Taylor has a really

1128
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:44,960
good matchup. It's a high number at thirty nine and

1129
00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:47,519
a half. He's only faced two teams bottom ten and

1130
00:54:47,599 --> 00:54:50,440
receiving yards allowed to tight ends. The first game was

1131
00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:52,320
against the Steelers and that was the first game of

1132
00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:56,239
the year he only had twenty receiving yards. However, down

1133
00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:58,239
the line of the season, he had sixty five receiving

1134
00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:01,719
yards against Miami. So the Panthers have allowed the most.

1135
00:55:01,760 --> 00:55:04,519
They are the worst defense in the league against tight

1136
00:55:04,599 --> 00:55:07,719
ends this season, allowing seventy four receiving yards game. A

1137
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:11,000
tight end has gone over their receiving yards prop in

1138
00:55:11,079 --> 00:55:13,599
four of the six games against the Panthers this year.

1139
00:55:14,199 --> 00:55:18,960
So those are some of my favorite props for Tonight's

1140
00:55:19,119 --> 00:55:22,000
or for today's games. Again the prop queen dot Com.

1141
00:55:22,039 --> 00:55:24,239
You can go subscribe and you can see the entire

1142
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:26,599
long list of all of the props. I like for

1143
00:55:26,639 --> 00:55:29,639
the one in the four o'clock Eastern Times slates who

1144
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,199
will win this Sunday night football game involving the Falcons

1145
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:33,880
and the Niners. I don't really have a feel for

1146
00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:36,519
that game. Carmine just gave out the Niners at minus

1147
00:55:36,559 --> 00:55:38,599
one and a half, said he likes the number they've

1148
00:55:38,639 --> 00:55:43,039
been getting through injuries all season. Nobody had any say

1149
00:55:43,079 --> 00:55:45,599
honestly when it came to that game though, Between Yannie,

1150
00:55:45,760 --> 00:55:50,159
between John Murray, I'll tell you guys, the needs again

1151
00:55:50,199 --> 00:55:55,519
from John Murray, Raiders Titans, Arizona, he said, New England

1152
00:55:55,559 --> 00:55:58,599
is the most lopsided take account of the day. They

1153
00:55:58,639 --> 00:56:02,000
also need the Giants, Goes under the Green Bay, Arizona

1154
00:56:02,159 --> 00:56:05,400
under the Blue Jays, and the under in the Alcs.

1155
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:07,480
So those are the needs if you like to be

1156
00:56:07,519 --> 00:56:10,199
on the same side as the sports book over in Vegas,

1157
00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:13,159
the super book at the West Gate, those are the

1158
00:56:13,159 --> 00:56:16,440
sides that they'll be rooting for today. I'm gonna be

1159
00:56:16,519 --> 00:56:19,039
rooting for my props. I'm gonna be rooting for all

1160
00:56:19,119 --> 00:56:24,159
of you guys, and I mean, I guess I'll be

1161
00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:26,920
rooting for the Seattle Mariners, even though, like I do

1162
00:56:27,039 --> 00:56:28,800
want John Murray and the Blue Jays to win, but

1163
00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:31,880
I really want the Mariners to go to the World Series,

1164
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:34,360
like really, really badly. I would love a Mariner's Dodgers

1165
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:37,039
World Series. Good luck to all your beats today. We

1166
00:56:37,039 --> 00:56:38,960
will see you next week here on last called Sunday.

1167
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:41,840
Thanks as always for tuning in and we uh again.

1168
00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:46,840
Best of blocks, all of you