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Speaker 1: NHL picks for Monday, November seventeenth, and we are live

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here on wager Talk TV. It's puck time Andrew and

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Carmine with you guys to break down a handful of games,

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play of the day, Same Game Parlay, all kinds of

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good stuff, and guys, because it is just the two

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of us, we will take some questions from the chat

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as well. Could be just hockey questions, could be betting

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related questions. We want to chat with you guys today.

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So good morning to all of you guys in here,

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live with us. Hope you all had a great weekend

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and harm Let's make some money here tonight on a

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Monday night. Here, handful of games, a couple of decent

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matchups to say, and you know we're always happy on

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slates like this on a Monday night to get more

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than a few games.

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Speaker 2: That's what we have here tonight.

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Speaker 1: We got some early start games, West Coast Game, A

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lot of good stuff going on here today, KRM.

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Speaker 2: So look forward to.

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Speaker 1: Your same your pod play and my Same Game Parla. Hey,

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these segments are going well for us right now. We're

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cashing tickets, you're building the bank roll and showing people

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how it's done, so let's keep it going calm and

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then let's start this week off on a great note.

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Speaker 2: Man, how are you?

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Speaker 3: I'm good Man, quiet a week and had passed in

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NHL yesterday. I just didn't like the car. The only

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one I slightly leaned to, and I was talking about

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it on end Zone Live if anyone was watching, was

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the Detroit Red Wings. I thought, coming off the loss

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of the Sabers in which they blew that lead going

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into New York, I just felt like it's the one

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of the most unlikeliest things. You lose at home against

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a bad team, and then you go on the road

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and you beat a semi good team in the Rangers,

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who struggle sometimes to score goals at home, and they

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get it done. They win like two to one, and

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Andrew the brawl at the end of the game was

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the best. So I think quick a little upset that

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one of the players from Detroit puts the puck into

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the empty net right after the flood and he comes

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off the bench, Come on, man, like, it's what difference

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does it make?

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Speaker 1: You?

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Speaker 3: Know what I mean? It was a long game at

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Ottawa where you know, the slap shot into the empty

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net it's listen, you don't want to get scored on,

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and uh, you don't want to get scored on with

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an empty net. Have the lead, have the lead, you

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don't have to worry about it.

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Speaker 2: But uh, it wasn't even close though.

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Speaker 1: Man, it wasn't even like the buzzer went that you

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could have done like three mississippis and then the guy

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shot the puck in the net.

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Speaker 3: It wasn't you know what people are People are getting

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soft nowadays, Andrew with this stuff. I understand the competitiveness,

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but this is one time it didn't deserve it, but

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you got a ten minutes because it happened after and

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I think that comes with it might actually come with

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a suspension because I believe that if you got a

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ten minute mis conduct when there is no time left

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on the clock at the end of a game, that

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they assessed you a one game suspension. So we'll see

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if that actually happens or not. Because there was two players,

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one from each team that ended up with a ten

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minutes mist conduct. But that said, the only places I

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had yesterday were in the NFL three and one in

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the NFL, including five percent outright Winter with the Dog

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the Denver Broncos. When I saw that that spread, and

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I just I just said, I am on the Broncos.

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There's no way the chefs or the chiefs as some

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people call them, are going in there unless they have

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the officiating crew, their own officiating crew with them. They

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got the job done. Three and one. NFL makes profit

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once again for my clients, So I'm pretty happy about that.

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And then Circa A five and oh weekend in Circa. Oh,

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let's go about that. Yeah, five and oh weekend with Circa.

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So I'm pretty happy about that one. And we move on.

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But as good as that was, dude, you were eight

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and oh yesterday, eight and o all sports week Sunday.

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What the hell? Man? What what was in those corn flakes?

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Speaker 1: Seven and oh yesterday eight and o Going back to

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Saturday nights at HL play with Vegas. Yeah, five and

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oh in the Gray Cup. CFL guys, don't sleep on

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the CFL. I keep telling you, guys, if you don't

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want to watch it, I'm not gonna make.

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Speaker 2: You watch it.

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Speaker 1: But it is a profitable league to bet on. And

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that was really exciting. So five and oh in the

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Gray Cup. Look, it's it's not really something where you

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want to go that high volume with a big game

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like that. But I didn't have any four or five

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percent plays, carm. I'd kind of spread it around first half,

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full game, two percent, three percent, and I had a

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player prop as well, So gotta love that a little

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bit of sprinkles. And I had the Red Wings yesterday,

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had the Red Wings, and I had the first period

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over in the Vegas game.

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Speaker 2: So gotta love that.

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Speaker 1: But you know what the shitty part is, carm, and

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we always talk about both things before we get into

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today's games, is that I loved two plays on Saturday night,

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Vegas team total and Montreal team total. Now you know

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I don't do big plays ever. On the Canadians, you

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know what their final XG was, six point six y

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three XG.

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Speaker 2: They finished with two.

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Speaker 1: Goals, man, and I had them as my five percent

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play and my other play easy dominant victory Vegas four

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to one.

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Speaker 2: They get the job done. That's how life goes.

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Speaker 1: So if you ask the people that only bought the

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one play, they'd be like, oh, man, Andrews screwed me

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this weekend. If you ask everybody else, it was an

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eight and one weekend, so it was ever a time

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for us to preach at you know, ten day package

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or three day package or seven day package, whatever it is,

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like Carl eight and one Saturday Sunday and the one

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loss was a five percent play. If that doesn't define

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how this works, man, it's tough.

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Speaker 2: It's tough, I know, and this is.

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Speaker 3: This is one of the reasons why I do the

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Bankrolled Bankroll Builder. The bankroll challenge for the NHL season

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is to show that your chips aren't always supposed to

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go all in. To use a poker term, if you

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see someone with like a five percent play five percent play,

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I put more stock in a guy who has like,

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let's say, who goes three and oh with like three

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four percent plays because he's picking up twelve percent of

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a bank roll. If I have to lose five percent

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and then win three four percent plays and you're following

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proper bank roll management, you've made money. So you know,

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I grew up in a time and well before you

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and Brian Leonard's in the chat and he remembers these

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times where the Internet wasn't around, and it was the

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I have a five hundred star, it can't lose, and

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people are like, oh my god, you just just fooled

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by this stuff, and then when it loses, they call

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you and they're like, listen, man, I'm going to give

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you half off my like thousand star play because it lost,

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or you know, we want to get you back on board.

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It's just back then it was it was shell games. Listen.

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You have to you have to. If you're in this

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for pure entertainment, then you know what, play your same

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game parlays, do what you want to do with your

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bank roll. But if you're in it to make money

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long term, then you have to have bankroll management. And

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this is why wager talk talks about two three, four percent,

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five percent, and that is of your bank role. Everyone's

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unit size is different as far as what their bankroll

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is and what they'll end up putting on a play is.

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So you know, you know, with that said that, that's

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the one point I want to make on it. I

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always reflect back to one day. I think it was

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last year, the year before I went six in oh

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in the Premier League EPL Saturday morning soccer all four

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percent plays. I won twenty four percent and I lost

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a five percent play, so I made nineteen percent on

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the day and some guy on Twitter just ripped me say,

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and I'm a stooge, and this and that. Well he

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called me a bunch of names I've heard before. You

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know what I mean. Me and my buddies, we call

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ourselves everything but six and one nineteen units gain and

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it's just and your and your prayer years come of

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the earth. But with that said, one more thing I

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want to address Andrew before we get into this first game.

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We're gonna do Kay's Carolina and Boston. We're gonna do

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the La Kings Washington. We're gonna do Utah and Anaheim.

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Same game, Parlay and a pod. Jimmy Burke, I think

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he said Italy karm Really yeah, Italy lost yesterday to Norway.

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It was a meaningless game. The only way itly we're

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gonna automatically qull of five for the World Cup was

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to win nine to mil yesterday. They were never going

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to score nine goals. I don't think they've scored nine

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goals in all of the group stages combined. So this

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is the way Italy gets into it. Because all my

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Italian friends keep asking me, how does Italy get into

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the World Cup. Next year in March, Italy will be

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playing one of these four teams Wales, Northern Ireland, Sweden

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and Romania at home one game playoff. If they win

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that game, they will then play one of these four

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teams to get into the World Cup Scotland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Albania,

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North Macedonia, Iceland, Bosnia Kosovo. If Italy can't win two

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games the semi final and final against these teams, they

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don't deserve to be in the World Cup. That's just

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the way it is. And with that said, we're back

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to puck time. Yes, whatever your name is, Ak dirty

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mother something. I don't know what he's saying there. Mover myers,

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dirt mover, Ak dirt mover whatever. Okay, anyways, Andrew Carolina

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Carolina Hurricanes one eighty seven, the Boston Bruins plus one

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fifty seven total. Sits here at six. How are we

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breaking this one down? It is the Canes and the Bruins.

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I keep waiting for that Bruins regression that hasn't come yet.

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Speaker 1: Oh Man, oh man, oh man, car Man. Of course

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they take down my Montreal Canadians. I'll tell you what though,

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this is one of those games. Car I am not

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someone that typically looks towards overs in Hurricane games. I'm

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not the most excited to run to the window when

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it comes to Hurricane game overs. I'm more so looking

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towards defensive hockey when it comes to them, and they,

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of course, they are coming.

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Speaker 2: Off back to back overs.

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Speaker 1: In fact, I think it's been for their last six

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games have gone over the toe. But we know this

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team is a defensive team when they are playing like

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their true selves. But I see exactly you know how

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says it best. Everyone's been taking down the Montreal Canadians

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these days. Which organization, Karm, can you think of that's

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had the most one eighty like since last Monday?

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Speaker 2: It was like they're.

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Speaker 1: Number one, number one in the league, number one in

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the conference, and then all of a sudden they lose

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three straight. So maybe I'm not that impressed by the

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Bruins beating them. But this is a spot I think

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where the Carolina Hurricanes are going to be very locked

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in and if you want to look towards like defensive

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metrics and if we want to use some of the

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kind of the expected goals analytics and stuff like that

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that we like to look towards here, Karm, this is

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a Boston Bruins team that's given up a ton of chances.

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And I think that when you look at more importantly

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their goaltending. When I go through some of the goaltending

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numbers right now, goals saved above expected, Jeremy Swayman ranks

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fifth in the entire league in that category. Now, you

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need to have really quality goal scoring chances in order

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to be able to get goals on this Bruins team

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right now. And unfortunately for the Monshreal Canadians and Saturday

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Night carm it was too much perimeter like one thing

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about that game, and you know me, I watched most

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of that game that I could. They had too many

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shots from the outside. And what am I trying to

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say here is that Carolina doesn't do that. Carolina can

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score from the inside, from the outskide in the blue paint,

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They'll hit you anyway. So I think that I like

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the over once again here, I think I would play

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the team total over. But I think more importantly this

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is one of those spots here where you can find

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some spots to look towards player props on the Carolina Hurricanes.

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This is I think if you like that team total,

240
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you can get it at minus one fifteen. But I

241
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think when you look at some of these player props,

242
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that's where I'd go. If you're talking about a guy

243
00:12:55,200 --> 00:12:58,039
like Jackson Blake, you know he's a good parlay guy.

244
00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:00,360
He didn't end up making the cut for me on

245
00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:03,720
my same game parlay, but Jackson Blake over on his

246
00:13:03,879 --> 00:13:07,000
you can get him two plus minus one eighty five

247
00:13:07,159 --> 00:13:10,879
or three plus at plus one sixty. I like Shane

248
00:13:10,919 --> 00:13:13,679
gosssbear minus won twenty five over one and a half

249
00:13:13,799 --> 00:13:16,799
shots on goal that's a pretty good one, and Andre

250
00:13:16,879 --> 00:13:19,799
Sveetchnikov over two and a half shots on goal minus

251
00:13:19,799 --> 00:13:21,600
won twenty five kr. A lot of people might not

252
00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:24,799
realize this, but when it comes to shots on goal,

253
00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:30,720
this Boston Bruins team right now, they are ranking where

254
00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:34,399
are they They are coming in at twenty ninth in

255
00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,960
the league and shots on goal loud. So I think

256
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we're gonna see some goals in this one from both teams.

257
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But I do like Carolina, but I think this is

258
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a time where you look towards some shots on goal props,

259
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some player props. Carolina off that loss against Edmonton, I

260
00:13:48,399 --> 00:13:50,840
think we'll see a very motivated team here in this one.

261
00:13:50,919 --> 00:13:51,799
Speaker 2: So Karm.

262
00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,679
Speaker 1: You know, I've been burned the hard way this season,

263
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and I've kind of been venting to the live shot

264
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about this where it's like, Okay, Andrew, you can't be

265
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going against hot teams too much. I've done a pretty

266
00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:04,879
good job about picking a spot when the bad teams

267
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are going to do well. You should have seen this

268
00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:09,000
guy on Twitter. He was tweeting at me all day long.

269
00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,159
When I tweeted out my free play of the day

270
00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:13,879
Saturday was Vegas, They're like, dude, Vegas lost five in

271
00:14:13,919 --> 00:14:15,879
a row, how are they going to win? So I

272
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don't necessarily want to go against the Boston Bruins, but

273
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I do think this is a game that can give

274
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up some goals.

275
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Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I don't disagree with you, Andrew. And it's

276
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funny because while you were talking, because I did like

277
00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:32,039
the Bruins team told I wanted to look it up

278
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:36,559
at DraftKings, and in our chat, Jimmy Burke actually put

279
00:14:36,559 --> 00:14:39,679
in the just as I saw the price. He put

280
00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:41,559
it into the chat as well too, that it's at

281
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one thirty five. You know, you would think, you know

282
00:14:45,639 --> 00:14:49,080
with the Bruins, and you look, you look at at

283
00:14:49,159 --> 00:14:53,039
least through twenty games of the season, we're twenty five

284
00:14:53,039 --> 00:14:55,440
percent of the season, pretty much done for the Bruins.

285
00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,320
And in the NHL, you start looking for some trends

286
00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:03,919
that that are positive, like they're ev picks when you

287
00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:07,279
factor in the juice that are making money for you,

288
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and the Bruins team total is one of them. The

289
00:15:09,919 --> 00:15:12,799
Bruins this year, in twenty games, have gone over their

290
00:15:12,799 --> 00:15:15,559
team total in fifteen of them. They're fifteen and five

291
00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:18,919
to their team total. At home, they've gone over the

292
00:15:19,039 --> 00:15:23,120
number over their team total in nine of eleven games,

293
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nine in two at home. So and I'm always an

294
00:15:27,879 --> 00:15:31,960
advocate of if you're going to play it and it loses,

295
00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,960
play it again, and if you lose again, you're off

296
00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:39,919
of it. Don't give up just because it didn't hit

297
00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:45,000
the one time you played it. Profitable profitable trends are

298
00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,279
just that profitable. But at some point you get priced

299
00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:50,639
out big wise, one th five is the right price here.

300
00:15:50,639 --> 00:15:53,679
If this goes to one forty five, I would not

301
00:15:53,759 --> 00:15:56,799
play it. That ten cents makes all the difference when

302
00:15:56,840 --> 00:16:02,039
you're recalculating profit. Something to look at as far as that,

303
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,960
but I think the Bruins give them a tough time

304
00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,240
at a home tonight. I get it. Carolina is a

305
00:16:08,279 --> 00:16:10,679
very good team, but Ruins of what won nine of

306
00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:15,080
their last ten games, I believe, And you know, we've

307
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,559
had teams go in there. Colorado went in there and

308
00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:19,919
they beat Colorado two to one. And Colorado's playing some

309
00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,559
lights out hockey as well too, So I think the

310
00:16:22,559 --> 00:16:25,440
Bruins are going to give them a tough time tonight

311
00:16:26,039 --> 00:16:28,639
and could very well win this game. Outright, it wouldn't

312
00:16:28,639 --> 00:16:31,519
surprise me. I didn't look it up, but I'm pretty

313
00:16:31,559 --> 00:16:35,440
sure if I have a quick look right now. It's

314
00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:37,840
been a condensed schedule for Carolina, and a lot of

315
00:16:37,879 --> 00:16:40,320
the teams are going to be in this similar position.

316
00:16:40,399 --> 00:16:43,679
But if I look at Carolina, this is, yeah, their

317
00:16:43,759 --> 00:16:46,039
third game in four nights, because they played the fourteenth,

318
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:49,320
fifteenth off the sixteenth, and they're playing on now on

319
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,519
the seventeenth, and two of their games went to OT

320
00:16:51,679 --> 00:16:57,559
against Vancouver and the Edmonton Oilers. So again, something to

321
00:16:58,080 --> 00:16:59,799
factor in. There's been a few teams that have gone

322
00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:03,080
into OT like four or five straight straight times. I

323
00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,599
think you yeah, I know, you can say it's only

324
00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,640
five minutes, but you still have to factor that in.

325
00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:10,839
It still makes for a longer night for these teams.

326
00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:13,960
So give me the team total, Andrew. That's my official

327
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,480
play as far as the show goes.

328
00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:18,799
Speaker 1: Well, if you like the team total for the Bruins,

329
00:17:18,839 --> 00:17:21,160
let's just get some overs in general, let's get some

330
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,920
goals overall, Le's get an exciting game at the garden.

331
00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:28,279
Ko Chetkov too, Karm. He he has not lost a

332
00:17:28,319 --> 00:17:32,039
game yet this season. He's expected to go for the Hurricanes,

333
00:17:32,079 --> 00:17:35,599
and this one team that can probably you know, get

334
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,920
some goals past them and kind of ruin that streak.

335
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,440
It probably is the Boston Bruins right now. Who would

336
00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:44,039
have thought that they would be the number one team

337
00:17:44,079 --> 00:17:47,039
in the Atlantic Division right now. I definitely would not

338
00:17:47,079 --> 00:17:50,440
have seen that coming, that's for sure. And yeah, ice

339
00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:55,400
X points out here that McAvoy is out, and you know.

340
00:17:56,839 --> 00:17:58,519
Speaker 2: That that injury that KRM.

341
00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:01,000
Speaker 1: Usually if a player takes a put to somewhere in

342
00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:02,680
the body or even to the face, like they can

343
00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:06,359
come back the next day. Well, McAvoy like he took

344
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,400
a he took a puck like right to like you

345
00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:11,920
you literally saw his teeth like in the slow mode

346
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:15,640
you could see like multiple teeth just like spitting out

347
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:17,440
of his mouth and like, I don't know if it's

348
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:21,200
his jaw or what's going on here. But the updated

349
00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:25,720
injuries for this Bruins team Middle Stat, McAvoy, Arbitston. Those

350
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,799
are three key ones and lind home as well, so

351
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,319
we'll see. But they're playing so well at home right now,

352
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,200
it's hard to argue. So maybe the McAvoy one helped

353
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:37,000
my over six and a half. We'll see offense for

354
00:18:37,079 --> 00:18:37,839
both teams.

355
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:42,400
Speaker 3: Don't you know what today is, Andrew? It's pasta Monday.

356
00:18:42,799 --> 00:18:47,000
It's pasta Monday. Okay, pasta Monday, So let's go pasta

357
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:52,000
pasta hat trick that that gets my team total over

358
00:18:52,079 --> 00:18:54,440
and it gets you on your way. It's pasta Monday.

359
00:18:55,279 --> 00:18:58,119
So I don't know what I'm gonna have tonight. Maybe

360
00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:03,079
some lasagna, some Joki, some Rigotoni al four. No, we'll

361
00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:06,400
decide a little later on which pasta bianco will be

362
00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:09,640
having for dinner tonight. But let's talk. Speaking of dinner,

363
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:12,839
let's talk about the Eli Kings and the Washington Capitals,

364
00:19:12,839 --> 00:19:14,880
because the Kings have been paying for some dinners for me,

365
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,920
man Andrew. I like the way they're playing on the road.

366
00:19:18,039 --> 00:19:20,559
They're starting to put things together, but they're a dog

367
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:25,599
here because Washington's starting to play well. Also, minus one

368
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:29,640
twenty six on the Caps Kings plus one oh six.

369
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:31,839
The total sits here at five and a half. Andrew,

370
00:19:33,319 --> 00:19:33,960
where are you going?

371
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:38,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we got a guy fresh off a contract signing,

372
00:19:38,799 --> 00:19:42,720
Adrian kempe Off signing I think for ten sheets, eight years,

373
00:19:42,759 --> 00:19:45,920
so big contract for him. That's gonna be a really

374
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:47,160
interesting contract.

375
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:48,319
Speaker 2: To see how that one works out.

376
00:19:48,799 --> 00:19:50,759
Speaker 1: It's either going to be a steal or it's going

377
00:19:50,839 --> 00:19:55,119
to be like, hey, maybe some of these inflated numbers

378
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:56,680
aren't going to stick for the next eight years.

379
00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:57,680
Speaker 2: We'll have to find out here.

380
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:02,400
Speaker 1: But confirmed for the Washington Capitols here at Karm Charlie

381
00:20:02,519 --> 00:20:06,240
Lindgren three point five to nine goals against average, eight

382
00:20:06,519 --> 00:20:10,359
seven to eight save percentage and he is won three

383
00:20:10,519 --> 00:20:14,559
and one this season, So kind of interesting here seeing

384
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,359
that one. As far as of course the Kings are concerned.

385
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,720
Darcy Kemper's having a great year seven three and three,

386
00:20:20,039 --> 00:20:22,759
two point four to four gaa, nine to zero three

387
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:27,480
save percentage. So looking at how this Capital's team is playing,

388
00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:30,279
I completely get it, Karm. This team has definitely been

389
00:20:30,279 --> 00:20:33,200
playing so much better hockey. We look at some of

390
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:37,160
their games, but they're still giving up goals. And that's

391
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,920
what kind of worries me here six against the Panthers,

392
00:20:40,559 --> 00:20:42,480
a couple against the Devils there in that one, even

393
00:20:42,519 --> 00:20:46,000
though I went to a shootout, defensively, I kind of

394
00:20:46,039 --> 00:20:48,839
worry about this team. And I know it sounds crazy

395
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:50,759
because it's not that they're giving up a ton of goals,

396
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:55,000
but this is kind of a Kings team that I think,

397
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,839
in this spot is going to be able to show up.

398
00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,759
They had a one nothing, boring game again the Senators,

399
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,359
But Karen, if we go to our trusty websites and

400
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,519
look at the expected goals in some of those games,

401
00:21:05,759 --> 00:21:08,799
the Kings were much more exciting than that one nothing

402
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:12,839
score line dictates how often in the NHL these days

403
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:15,960
are we seeing a one nothing hockey game. It's not

404
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:19,000
really happening that much here. And when we look at

405
00:21:19,039 --> 00:21:21,359
some of the just diving in at some of the

406
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:26,000
data here for the goaltending information for Lindgren, it's not great.

407
00:21:26,519 --> 00:21:30,559
His rebound control isn't great, the amount of shots he's

408
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:33,880
facing compared to kind of one of those new stats

409
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:37,000
I've been looking at shot percentage that he covers up

410
00:21:37,519 --> 00:21:39,759
and this is one of the worst rebound guys in

411
00:21:39,759 --> 00:21:42,160
the Eastern Conference. Gives up a ton of rebounds, and

412
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,039
I feel like a team like the Kings are going

413
00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:47,039
to take advantage of it. The only thing we can

414
00:21:47,079 --> 00:21:49,920
really ask ourselves KRM, how do we feel about the

415
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,359
travel situation? And we have a comment here from Jimmy

416
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,200
saying Kings one to five last six at the Capitols.

417
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,240
I am a guy that definitely does take that stuff

418
00:21:59,279 --> 00:22:03,400
into consideration. But I'm going to fade Charlie Lingren. I'm

419
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:05,839
going to fade Lingering here. I mean, if it's right now,

420
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:09,880
this Capital's team is a different team when Logan Thompson

421
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,119
is in between the pipes, and if it's not Logan Thompson,

422
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,599
I don't want anything to do with the Washington Capitals.

423
00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:17,359
Speaker 2: So looking at this.

424
00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:20,119
Speaker 1: King's team, the only thing I could really think about,

425
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,160
is this a flat spot for the Kings after they've

426
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:24,920
had a pretty good road trip so far.

427
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,119
Speaker 2: Is this a spot that it could be flat?

428
00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 1: We'll have to find out, but I think we see

429
00:22:30,039 --> 00:22:33,920
goals maybe a first period overcarm coming off. Kind of

430
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:37,039
a boring game for the Kings, but probably deserve to

431
00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:40,920
have more action in this Capital's team as well, coming

432
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,440
off some frustrating outings, maybe a first period over one

433
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:45,119
and a half, something like that. But I do look

434
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:46,680
to I do lean towards the King's side.

435
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:51,359
Speaker 3: I do, yeah, same year, I'm Willie Andrew. You look

436
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:56,200
at economy of the Elie King's home in a way,

437
00:22:56,759 --> 00:23:00,240
and road is where they're picking up all their points.

438
00:23:00,279 --> 00:23:05,440
They've played thirteen games on the road and only once

439
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:10,400
have they lost in regulation. Three OT losses, nine wins,

440
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,640
and they've beaten some very good teams. So does that

441
00:23:14,759 --> 00:23:21,599
mean that they go into Washington and win tonight. It doesn't,

442
00:23:22,079 --> 00:23:26,960
but they have that pedigree that they're showing we can

443
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,480
win on the road. We can play a defensive game,

444
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:31,920
we can score goals if we need to score goals

445
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:35,880
to win them. And I mean, like Washington's playing a

446
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,400
little bit better. You got to give them that battling back.

447
00:23:39,519 --> 00:23:42,599
And you know, the game with New Jersey goes overtime,

448
00:23:42,599 --> 00:23:44,880
they lose it in a shootout, which oddly enough, I'm

449
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:48,440
gonna get to that shootout in a second. But you

450
00:23:48,519 --> 00:23:50,960
still have to start winning games before I want to

451
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,160
put more money on you or you know, I mean,

452
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:56,880
it's just or else is just throwing good money after bad.

453
00:23:57,519 --> 00:24:00,000
So with that said, I'm going to take the plus

454
00:24:00,039 --> 00:24:02,200
money here. I'll take the Kings at plus one oh

455
00:24:02,279 --> 00:24:06,480
six and and see where we are at the end

456
00:24:06,519 --> 00:24:08,480
of the night with that one. But you look at

457
00:24:09,279 --> 00:24:11,880
the talk about OT games. I had three plays on

458
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:16,519
Saturday for clients. All three games went to a shootout, Andrew,

459
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:20,160
all three games go to a shootout. I win two

460
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:22,519
out of three, but it just goes to show you

461
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:29,680
that's your night is basically hinging on a skills competition.

462
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,160
I could have gone three and oh, I could have

463
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:37,039
very gone well, gone oh to three. I lucked out

464
00:24:37,079 --> 00:24:40,640
on the one one of the two possible results that

465
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,079
made me money. Obviously two and one makes you money,

466
00:24:43,079 --> 00:24:46,000
in three no makes you money, but it's just you

467
00:24:46,079 --> 00:24:48,319
hate to see it. And Washington was the only game

468
00:24:49,319 --> 00:24:53,720
that I lost in the shootouts. So with that said,

469
00:24:54,519 --> 00:24:56,559
I'm not a big fan of the shootouts, Andrew, but

470
00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:01,200
you can't keep playing OT until the guys collapse on

471
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:04,599
the ice. I did see Brian Leonard in the chats,

472
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:06,519
so I do want to mention before we get into

473
00:25:06,519 --> 00:25:09,119
our third game. Brian has a five percent play up

474
00:25:11,079 --> 00:25:13,559
over at wager Talk in the NHL tonight, so you

475
00:25:13,559 --> 00:25:17,079
can get that on his page at wt dot buzz

476
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:21,000
backslash b L. I don't know what it is, but

477
00:25:21,039 --> 00:25:23,039
I wish him the best of luck unless he's up

478
00:25:23,039 --> 00:25:27,079
against the only play I have listed tonight, Andrew, then

479
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:31,440
I'll fake wish him luck. So with that said, let's

480
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:35,319
get to another team showing a little bit of regression

481
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:37,400
of late, and I thought it was going to come

482
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:41,400
sooner rather than later. The Anaheim Ducks now three in

483
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:45,720
a row that they've lost Utah minus one seventeen. They

484
00:25:45,759 --> 00:25:48,960
are actual, they are the favorites because this game is

485
00:25:49,319 --> 00:25:53,160
in Anaheim, Anaheim minus one three total sits here six

486
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:54,359
and a half. How you playing that?

487
00:25:55,759 --> 00:26:00,559
Speaker 2: I love it, Brian says, here's a fake Thank you, Brian.

488
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:01,119
Good luck.

489
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:05,039
Speaker 1: Keep kicking ass man, keep kicking ass. Look, this one's

490
00:26:05,079 --> 00:26:09,680
interesting because it kind of worries me. This Ducks team

491
00:26:09,759 --> 00:26:12,240
was gonna see regression. We didn't know how long it's

492
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:14,599
gonna last for. But it's kind of like sometimes when

493
00:26:14,599 --> 00:26:17,200
you when you when you fall, you fall hard, karm

494
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:21,240
And when I look at this particular matchup, this is

495
00:26:21,319 --> 00:26:23,200
kind of like a Ducks team that I think is

496
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,920
is going to struggle in this matchup, and a lot

497
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:29,839
of the reason being is because of how well rested

498
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,160
we have this Utah Mammoth team. When you look at

499
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:37,519
both teams, even in this situation, you've got probably both

500
00:26:37,559 --> 00:26:40,240
teams that are you know, one team is coming off

501
00:26:40,559 --> 00:26:43,400
a game that was on Friday, and one team's coming

502
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,200
off a game that was on Saturday. But they didn't

503
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,720
have much action in that game against the Wild. The

504
00:26:49,839 --> 00:26:54,359
Ducks were shut out, they were suffocated. They didn't give

505
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,319
up anything they weren't or they didn't get anything going. Offensively,

506
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,039
they couldn't do much. And so now we're starting to

507
00:27:01,079 --> 00:27:04,200
see some of the offensive regression. And we've been waiting

508
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,000
to see if their offense would regress, but also to

509
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:10,000
see if these defensive metrics would finally start pouring in

510
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,279
on them. Now, carn when you look at the number here,

511
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:15,680
when I look at the money line price on this game,

512
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:18,119
look at where the Ducks are in the standings, look

513
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:20,279
at what they've done this season, and we kind of

514
00:27:20,319 --> 00:27:23,279
ask ourselves, Okay, why is this close to a pick

515
00:27:23,319 --> 00:27:26,599
them If the game is taking place in Anaheim and

516
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:28,480
it tells me all I have to know. And for

517
00:27:28,559 --> 00:27:32,640
a team like the Mammoth, I love them coming off rest.

518
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,119
I love this team being well rested. It's not often

519
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:39,559
in this condensed schedule of the NHL these days where

520
00:27:39,559 --> 00:27:41,480
we're going to see a team that hasn't played in

521
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:44,079
a handful of days like this. Typically a team will

522
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,599
play on Saturday, or they'll play on Sunday. So having

523
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,599
not played since Friday night, in a game in which

524
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:54,880
they were up to one after the first period and

525
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,680
they end up losing that one three to two in overtime,

526
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,440
They've had a couple of days now to sit to Stu,

527
00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:03,440
to be upset about it and to be motivated to

528
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,119
get back on track. And I'll tell you this Mammoth

529
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,160
team overall hasn't really had a ton of success lately.

530
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,720
I've talked about it quite a bit. In their last

531
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:17,079
six games, the only two teams that they've beat, well,

532
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:20,359
I guess only two games they've won. We're both against

533
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,640
the Buffalo Sabers. They need to start beating other teams.

534
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,680
They need to start putting goals up on other teams

535
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:30,039
besides the Buffalo Sabers. Here Karm and I think this

536
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,000
is a good spot for them to do, so I

537
00:28:32,079 --> 00:28:35,240
do lean towards the Mammoth in this one.

538
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:36,039
Speaker 2: And I'll tell you what.

539
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:40,480
Speaker 1: When we talk about goaltenders, like you can ride a

540
00:28:40,519 --> 00:28:43,319
hot goaltender all you want, but when it comes down

541
00:28:43,359 --> 00:28:47,759
to it, expected goals against and goals saved above expected,

542
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,279
Lucas Dustell is one of the best in the league.

543
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:56,279
Speaker 2: For the Anaheim Ducks.

544
00:28:56,519 --> 00:28:59,839
Speaker 1: He ranks number one and expected goals against at forty

545
00:28:59,839 --> 00:29:01,000
eight eight point eighty eight.

546
00:29:01,799 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 2: He has saved this Ducks team time and time again. Karm.

547
00:29:05,519 --> 00:29:09,000
Speaker 1: If this team keeps playing so poorly defensively, they're going

548
00:29:09,079 --> 00:29:12,920
to give up chances. So my question back to you

549
00:29:13,079 --> 00:29:16,519
is this am I reading too much into the rest

550
00:29:16,559 --> 00:29:20,079
for the Mammoth? And if not, when you look at

551
00:29:20,119 --> 00:29:22,799
rest these days in the NHL, Karm, how does that

552
00:29:22,839 --> 00:29:27,000
affect how you feel about a team? Because sometimes I

553
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,160
like to say that lack of rest leads towards overs,

554
00:29:30,799 --> 00:29:34,160
So I guess the other way around would lead towards

555
00:29:34,279 --> 00:29:38,240
unders if they're well rested, and that would be the

556
00:29:38,279 --> 00:29:40,400
Mammoth being well rested here in this one. But what

557
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,519
do you think about the totals here? And just really quick,

558
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:46,039
Jimmy says, I don't lay juice with bad teams. Andrew

559
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:50,119
Jimmy ask yourselves. Are the books stupid? Are they dumb?

560
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,359
Why are they minus one fifteen? Then if they're so bad,

561
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,160
the books are not stupid. And I've learned to respect

562
00:29:57,359 --> 00:30:00,000
opening numbers and respect what the books have to say

563
00:30:00,039 --> 00:30:03,920
a car because anytime we say what the hell are

564
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:07,799
the books thinking with this number? Typically the books usually

565
00:30:07,839 --> 00:30:09,319
have a number right. But what do you think about

566
00:30:09,319 --> 00:30:11,079
the rest here? So they haven't played since Friday.

567
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:16,279
Speaker 3: I'm not worried about the rest at all. I don't

568
00:30:16,319 --> 00:30:18,359
think it's one of those rest and rust kind of

569
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:22,000
kind of things. I think the rest takes on a

570
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:26,480
little more important mid season or when that grind starts

571
00:30:26,519 --> 00:30:30,200
from from the you know sixty, from the sixty game

572
00:30:30,279 --> 00:30:34,480
mark and on. It's what I'm interested to see, and

573
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:35,799
I'm going to watch this game, but I'm not gonna

574
00:30:35,799 --> 00:30:37,440
have a plate on it. I'm just going to tell

575
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:40,400
you what my lean here is. My lean is the

576
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,799
under I want to see all the Ducks play tonight

577
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,440
because this is really you look at the Ducks from

578
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,079
the last few years and nothing has been expected of

579
00:30:50,119 --> 00:30:55,200
this team and they get rid of Zegris, they bring

580
00:30:55,279 --> 00:30:58,039
in obviously, they bring in Joel Quinnvilla as a coach.

581
00:30:58,079 --> 00:30:59,759
He's had a fantastic job for them. They go off

582
00:30:59,799 --> 00:31:03,400
to phenomenal start, winning a bunch of games and playing

583
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:06,640
some very exciting hockey with a lot of speed. This

584
00:31:06,799 --> 00:31:09,720
is probably now with a three game losing streak, the

585
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:13,160
first adversity that this team has faced on the season.

586
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:18,599
So we get it losing one, we get it losing two. Three,

587
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,079
you start to worry that if you lose, if you

588
00:31:21,119 --> 00:31:25,000
lose a fourth, you're into a full fledged losing streak.

589
00:31:25,319 --> 00:31:27,680
Three I'm never worried about it's the fourth game, so

590
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:31,720
I just want to see how they respond tonight. And

591
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,039
responding doesn't mean they need to go out there and

592
00:31:34,119 --> 00:31:36,839
win a game five to four or five to three.

593
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:39,839
Responding means they need to put in a good defensive effort,

594
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:43,640
score enough goals to win the game, and put on

595
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:47,039
a good performance. But as you mentioned with dol style,

596
00:31:47,599 --> 00:31:50,720
and I like Vamelka as well too as the goalies,

597
00:31:51,359 --> 00:31:54,279
I think this is one of those close games that

598
00:31:55,240 --> 00:32:00,599
maybe finishes three to two, maybe four to two under

599
00:32:00,599 --> 00:32:03,680
the total. So that's where I'm leaning here at six

600
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:05,880
and a half, taking the six and a half, leaning

601
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:09,359
a little bit of Viig and taking the under in

602
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:10,119
this one.

603
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 1: I like it, I do, And I think that that

604
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,000
kind of goes with what I was saying. With teams

605
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,400
that are fatigued, I usually like looking towards the over,

606
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,200
but well rested, I like to look towards the under.

607
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,759
It's a sharp spot here, and the Ducks are going

608
00:32:23,839 --> 00:32:25,640
to be dialed in. They're going to want to play well,

609
00:32:25,759 --> 00:32:28,839
play smart, play well at home. And I think that

610
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:31,880
a lot of people can misunderstand that this Manmoth team

611
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:34,880
is going to be so desperate that they're they're maybe

612
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:38,079
going to be more calculated. I'd say, like all jokes

613
00:32:38,119 --> 00:32:40,799
aside about the Buffalo Sabers karm, this team needs to

614
00:32:40,839 --> 00:32:43,799
beat other teams besides the Buffalo Sabers. This team is

615
00:32:43,799 --> 00:32:45,359
going to come out hungry, but they're going to come

616
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,680
out calculated, I think, which which leads us towards the under.

617
00:32:48,759 --> 00:32:51,519
So hopefully we can catch a ticket on this one.

618
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:56,440
How about three two utah? Three two utah is fine

619
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,559
with me? That works well if it's okay with you.

620
00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:01,759
Three two utah. It's a late night game. I don't

621
00:33:01,759 --> 00:33:04,000
know about you though. With the late night games, it's

622
00:33:04,039 --> 00:33:06,680
like when you're watching an under in the late night game,

623
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:09,160
it's so much harder to watch, Like I almost prefer

624
00:33:09,359 --> 00:33:10,920
not to watch it if I have the under in

625
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:12,960
the late night game. If I have an over, I

626
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:14,920
can stay up for it. But if I have the under,

627
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,160
it's like I'll check my phone. I don't need to

628
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:17,920
watch the under.

629
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:21,039
Speaker 3: I'm an old guy, man. I might be to sleep

630
00:33:21,079 --> 00:33:24,480
early time. That's only because I set my alarm super early.

631
00:33:24,519 --> 00:33:26,519
This morning, I had a seven point thirty in the

632
00:33:26,559 --> 00:33:31,160
morning appointment to get my winter tires on. I was

633
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:33,880
the first first appointment of the day. I parked right

634
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:39,319
in front of the service door at Honda and enjoyed

635
00:33:39,319 --> 00:33:44,880
my sausage and egg McMuffin combo from McDonald's and waited

636
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:47,640
for them to open up. So I am. I'm a

637
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:52,839
little tired and frazzled. So we shall see. But you know,

638
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,920
with that said, if it makes you happy, three to

639
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:59,039
two for Utah, sure that's good enough for me. Give

640
00:33:59,119 --> 00:34:03,599
me the under this one. Now, with that said, Andrew,

641
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:07,160
should we go to would you like to go first

642
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:08,840
with the same game parlay? You want me to lead

643
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:09,840
off with a pod.

644
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 2: You go ahead, You go ahead, carm and yeah, feel

645
00:34:14,039 --> 00:34:14,880
free to mention what you.

646
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 1: Have up at wager talk too, because I think it's

647
00:34:17,519 --> 00:34:19,480
a decent slate and I know that you know me

648
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:22,039
and you don't have a ton tonight, but worth having

649
00:34:22,039 --> 00:34:22,400
a play on.

650
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:28,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, no plays right now. In as far as World

651
00:34:28,119 --> 00:34:31,239
Cup qualifying, there's some games of interest today, but the

652
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:36,079
lines aren't edible. Books are very tight with their lines,

653
00:34:36,119 --> 00:34:39,440
so I'm not gonna put out plays that that we're

654
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:43,239
not getting the best of it. With that said, one

655
00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:46,000
play up tonight, it's the four percent NHL best bet

656
00:34:46,599 --> 00:34:50,920
you can get that over at wager talk. We're on

657
00:34:51,039 --> 00:34:53,519
a little, nice little run. We're moving forward that ten

658
00:34:53,639 --> 00:34:56,480
days for ninety nine dollars. It is still a great deal.

659
00:34:56,599 --> 00:34:58,840
I'm not sure when that expires, but it's still on

660
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:02,639
the page. So grab back his. NFL's rocking. NNHL is

661
00:35:02,679 --> 00:35:06,559
going to be busy, and soccer obviously returns as well too.

662
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,199
My pod play, I am going to go to the

663
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:13,719
over in a game in which I would never think

664
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,440
about taking this team, but I've been looking at their

665
00:35:16,519 --> 00:35:22,920
numbers and the Vancouver Canucks play the Florida Panthers. Night

666
00:35:23,039 --> 00:35:25,639
is second of a back to back for the Vancouver Canucks.

667
00:35:26,159 --> 00:35:28,400
The total sits here at six. It's going to be

668
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:34,360
Petera in goal for Vancouver tonight because it was lanking

669
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:38,199
in the other night. Demko is obviously still injured. Should

670
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:42,880
be Brebrowski for Florida. But here's a weird stat, or

671
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:46,840
a relevant stat. Vancouver has the second best over under

672
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:50,360
a record, behind only the Leafs, who are sixteen and

673
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,119
three to the over this season in nineteen games. Vancouver

674
00:35:53,199 --> 00:35:58,639
is thirteen four and two to the over. Even more interesting,

675
00:35:59,039 --> 00:36:02,920
the last nine games for Vancouver have all gone over

676
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,239
the total. So let's see if we can get a

677
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:07,960
tenth out of them with their goalie that they called

678
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,920
up from the AHL, who has not been having a

679
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:15,119
good time of it in the AHL either, so it's

680
00:36:15,159 --> 00:36:17,800
not like he's bringing great form with him to Vancouver.

681
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,079
Might be one of those games where we see a

682
00:36:20,119 --> 00:36:22,800
bunch of goals. I'm hoping we do. And that's going

683
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:29,960
to be your pod play today, James Andrew.

684
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 2: That are Oh sorry I thought I was.

685
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 1: I don't know if you can hear me talking there,

686
00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:36,639
but you got to love those teams that just keep

687
00:36:36,679 --> 00:36:39,320
on going over the total. That's what we're getting right

688
00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:43,199
now with this team. And I'll tell you what I

689
00:36:43,239 --> 00:36:44,880
think this Canucks team.

690
00:36:45,199 --> 00:36:47,360
Speaker 2: They're better off when they're an underteam.

691
00:36:47,599 --> 00:36:51,039
Speaker 1: But they're getting into these track meets right now, which

692
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:53,559
may or may not be a good thing for them, Karen,

693
00:36:53,599 --> 00:36:55,119
but it's a good thing for our bank rolls if

694
00:36:55,159 --> 00:36:56,320
we're betting on overs.

695
00:36:56,480 --> 00:36:58,679
Speaker 2: So we'll take it. We will take it.

696
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 1: Im Gonna keep you on screen with me if that's

697
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,719
all right for the same game parlay here. Look, this

698
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,239
is one of those ones I first of all, don't

699
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:12,719
have the graphic yet for today. Excuse me. Not as fancy,

700
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,320
not as crazy today here, guys, but this is a

701
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,559
really good prop parlay. And this is one of those

702
00:37:17,599 --> 00:37:19,599
ones here where you're kind of really looking at number

703
00:37:19,599 --> 00:37:23,639
one head to head data. Ryce Levkovski has done very

704
00:37:23,639 --> 00:37:27,480
well in his past in his career against the Columbus

705
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:31,079
Blue Jackets. This month, Sean Kadien's team has lost a

706
00:37:31,079 --> 00:37:33,559
handful in a row now, three straight losses. For the

707
00:37:33,599 --> 00:37:35,320
Canadians to get to play a Blue Jackets team that

708
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,760
does give up a ton of goals, weak around the

709
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:39,599
power play, so they should be able to take advantage

710
00:37:39,639 --> 00:37:42,840
of it. And speaking of the power play, this is

711
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:45,960
one that kind of pays off if you're following the

712
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:47,880
Beat reporters and the Beat writers, and of course I

713
00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:51,119
am with the Canadians. Zachary bold Duke has been added

714
00:37:51,159 --> 00:37:53,320
back to the number one power play unit, and Ivon

715
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,840
Demidov has gone back down to the power play too,

716
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:01,159
and bold Duke with the Kirby doc in is now

717
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:05,480
upgraded to the second line, so he's already carm big

718
00:38:05,519 --> 00:38:08,079
plus money to get a point, but I don't think

719
00:38:08,119 --> 00:38:09,840
he should be because he's now playing on the second

720
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:13,519
line with Kappanan and with the meat off, So that's

721
00:38:13,559 --> 00:38:15,960
more of a research play because I don't think that

722
00:38:16,679 --> 00:38:19,360
bull Duke in the future is probably going to be

723
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:24,400
plus one for moving forward. So those two guys. Connor

724
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,000
McDavid over two and a half shots on goal against

725
00:38:27,039 --> 00:38:30,199
the Buffalo Sabers Number one. McDavid has a great history

726
00:38:30,199 --> 00:38:33,199
against the Buffalo Sabers, but also this Sabers team gives

727
00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:35,280
up some of the most shots on goal in the league.

728
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:39,079
Speaker 2: And then Zach Hyman is back. Zach Kymon is back.

729
00:38:39,599 --> 00:38:42,199
Speaker 1: He played on Saturday in their win against the Hurricanes

730
00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:45,719
Carm and he comes back from injury and immediately they

731
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:48,880
put him on the top line, right next to Connor McDavid.

732
00:38:49,199 --> 00:38:52,400
This is four picks guys for plus eight thirty one.

733
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:56,679
Four picks plus eight thirty one McDavid shots, Hymen points,

734
00:38:56,960 --> 00:39:01,719
Slewkowski points and bull Duke points plus eight thirty one.

735
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:05,119
Let's cash this ticket, guys. I really like this one.

736
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:07,119
I like this one. I love this price at plus

737
00:39:07,159 --> 00:39:09,480
eight thirty and that's good one. So guys, let me

738
00:39:09,559 --> 00:39:12,400
know in the comment section if you're tailing, and hopefully

739
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:13,880
we can start the week off on a good note.

740
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:17,400
I believe we've hit a couple of these and two

741
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,519
of them have come on Monday. Two of them have

742
00:39:19,559 --> 00:39:21,400
come on Monday, So let's start the week off on

743
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:24,239
a really good note. And uh, I like it, Carm

744
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:28,760
just Monday, Yeah, come on, I like it. And also

745
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:31,159
the bul Duke one, he can get some points five

746
00:39:31,199 --> 00:39:33,119
on five, but I love the fact that he was

747
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,000
just moved to the power play the first unit in

748
00:39:36,039 --> 00:39:38,880
this game, so it's kind of interesting to look towards

749
00:39:39,519 --> 00:39:44,159
perhaps zero for seventeen with their last seven power plays.

750
00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:48,639
He got hurt again broken leg. I feel so bad

751
00:39:48,679 --> 00:39:49,159
for this guy.

752
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:49,400
Speaker 2: Man.

753
00:39:49,559 --> 00:39:53,280
Speaker 1: Three straight years, he's got hurt three straight years. He

754
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,800
and guess what this is the thing is that coaches

755
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:59,039
want to see all their players block shots. Right, he

756
00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:01,559
fractured his foot blocking a shot.

757
00:40:03,679 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 3: I don't know. Back in my day, Andrew, you wrapped

758
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:08,159
it up with some duct tape and you got right

759
00:40:08,199 --> 00:40:11,800
back out there and you played hockey. So now it's

760
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:15,599
like I stubbed my toe and I'm on the disabled

761
00:40:15,599 --> 00:40:20,800
list for forty eight hours. So times have times have changed?

762
00:40:21,599 --> 00:40:26,320
And but yeah, Brian Leonards, hopefully he's still in the chat.

763
00:40:27,079 --> 00:40:30,480
We'll give him another fake good luck. I'll have to

764
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:32,320
find out what his play is so I can give

765
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:35,280
him a truly good luck. But with that, with that said,

766
00:40:36,119 --> 00:40:38,840
give him some love. He did a great job hosting

767
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,360
for me that one day and filling in on a

768
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:43,960
couple other days as a guest. And you'll see him

769
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:50,320
tomorrow on Puck Time, him and Don Julio Buster. There'll

770
00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:54,840
be the guests on tomorrow's show. The Press returns on Thursday.

771
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:58,440
Andrew and I solos on Wednesdays. Any questions you guys

772
00:40:58,559 --> 00:41:03,400
might have going right now in the NHL, just let

773
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:06,400
us know. Andrew if you see any we will put

774
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:11,559
them up again. As far as some great promos, guys,

775
00:41:11,599 --> 00:41:14,400
this is a really good week, I'm telling you. In

776
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:18,320
the NHL some games Andrew I actually call it called

777
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:20,880
Prez yesterday and I'm like, Okay, I've got your five

778
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:24,559
percent play for you for Wednesday. Because he'll bounce some

779
00:41:24,679 --> 00:41:26,599
ideas off of me, I just give him the play

780
00:41:26,599 --> 00:41:28,199
and I'm like, Okay, this is what you gotta make

781
00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:31,159
your your play. If he's watching this show right now,

782
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:34,960
he'll probably deny it. But I gave him a play

783
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:37,719
for Wednesday. We'll see if he does it or not.

784
00:41:38,159 --> 00:41:41,360
And tomorrow I am going to give you guys, or

785
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:44,039
I'm going to talk about a team, much like I

786
00:41:44,039 --> 00:41:47,719
did with Pittsburgh, that has a schedule coming up that

787
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:52,280
I think is going to send him into a downward spiral.

788
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:55,639
Penguins lose four to five in that one. Brian Leonards

789
00:41:55,639 --> 00:41:58,239
somehow came up with the only winner in those five

790
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:02,599
games with the Pittsburgh Penguins. He's getting mentioned more times

791
00:42:02,599 --> 00:42:10,519
on this show than the games themselves, But any questions.

792
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:10,880
Speaker 2: Not much here.

793
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,840
Speaker 1: Today people are talking about the goaltending for the Golden Knights,

794
00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:18,719
talking about how Carter Hart can't play till December. First, Yeah,

795
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:22,840
Aiden Hill on the injured. What's the other goalies name out?

796
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,079
I can't remember his name. It's something like Blom what's

797
00:42:26,079 --> 00:42:26,440
his name?

798
00:42:26,519 --> 00:42:26,800
Speaker 2: Krm?

799
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 1: The hold on. I'll try and get it. I'll try

800
00:42:30,519 --> 00:42:33,880
and get it. Linn Blom lin Baum. Yeah, he's not

801
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:37,960
been great either, eight eight nine save percentage yesterday, but

802
00:42:38,039 --> 00:42:40,800
he's not making the big stays whatsoever. Vegas is in

803
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,199
trouble a little bit as far as their defense is concerned.

804
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:46,000
But I will say this, if you look at the

805
00:42:46,039 --> 00:42:50,679
Golden Knights and their schedule that they've faced a little

806
00:42:50,679 --> 00:42:54,079
bit recently, they haven't been playing the easiest teams by

807
00:42:54,079 --> 00:42:56,760
any means. Like they played the Lightning, they played the Panthers.

808
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,039
The Panthers are still a good team here, guys. They

809
00:42:59,079 --> 00:43:02,440
played the Avalanche and you know they're they're still playing

810
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:05,960
a pretty good schedule. So we'll see what ends up happening.

811
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:09,480
Because this night's team has the Blackhawks, they have the Sharks,

812
00:43:09,519 --> 00:43:11,519
they have the Flyers, they have the Jackets, they have

813
00:43:11,599 --> 00:43:14,679
some teams coming up. So Caen, we talk about forecasting,

814
00:43:15,519 --> 00:43:18,199
maybe it could be a forecast for some wins coming

815
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:22,079
up for the Vegas Golden Nights moving forward. So not

816
00:43:22,199 --> 00:43:24,239
much else man here in the in the live chat,

817
00:43:24,519 --> 00:43:26,840
I'll just say this, guys, one best bet for me

818
00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:29,079
in the NHL. We'll see if I add more. One

819
00:43:29,119 --> 00:43:32,039
best bet for me. It's an eight n O all

820
00:43:32,079 --> 00:43:35,840
sports run. We are on a six and one NHL run,

821
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:37,239
so we'll try and keep things going.

822
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:37,440
Speaker 2: Man.

823
00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:40,000
Speaker 1: That's what's what it is. It's the ebbs and flows,

824
00:43:40,039 --> 00:43:43,559
the ups and downs. We're trusting the process, and I'm

825
00:43:43,559 --> 00:43:44,480
feeling pretty good.

826
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:45,119
Speaker 2: Here today, guys.

827
00:43:45,159 --> 00:43:47,280
Speaker 1: And for those of you guys that are with me

828
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:50,599
long term, if you are not someone that is going

829
00:43:50,679 --> 00:43:52,880
to say, oh, he lost his five percent on Saturday,

830
00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:56,440
so he had a bad weekend. That was the only

831
00:43:56,519 --> 00:43:59,440
loss of the weekend. Eight and one across all sports

832
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:04,360
on this weekend. So also we got a twenty one

833
00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:07,400
and eight NFL prop run. I got one best bet

834
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:09,199
player prop for tonight in the NFL.

835
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 2: SOKRM. That's about it.

836
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 1: We still have time for the ten days for less

837
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:16,199
than ten dollars deals. If anybody interested in that, you

838
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:17,760
want to get on board with Carmine, you want to

839
00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:20,239
get on board with myself. Ten days, that's the way

840
00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:21,760
to do to do it, I don't want you guys

841
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:24,559
buying my singular plays. Get on for ten days and

842
00:44:24,559 --> 00:44:25,239
and that's.

843
00:44:25,119 --> 00:44:25,599
Speaker 2: The way to go.

844
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,400
Speaker 1: So that way you're not just banking on one bet.

845
00:44:29,599 --> 00:44:31,519
You know how people get karm just the one bet.

846
00:44:31,559 --> 00:44:38,039
Speaker 3: It's dang yeah, no, yeah, one day. You can't if

847
00:44:38,079 --> 00:44:40,800
you made all your judgments based on one day. It's

848
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:44,280
a a marathon, not a sprint. But at least ten

849
00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:48,400
days gives you a good a good sample size of

850
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:51,159
games because someone over ten days is probably gonna put

851
00:44:51,159 --> 00:44:56,679
out aboute twenty plays, twenty twenty five plays, and that's

852
00:44:56,719 --> 00:44:59,760
at two and a half three, you know, plays a day.

853
00:44:59,840 --> 00:45:02,800
So it is a good sample size across different sports,

854
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,039
and then you can sort of go from there. But

855
00:45:05,519 --> 00:45:09,880
with that said, the only thing I have remaining, like

856
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:11,480
I said, the only the one playing the NHL. I

857
00:45:11,519 --> 00:45:13,719
did mention to you guys last week, and some of

858
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:16,480
you already took advantage of it. It's on my page,

859
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:21,360
but I believe it expires at midnight tomorrow. I'll check

860
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:24,480
with Melissa in our office. She's solo today, so if

861
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:28,840
you're sending her emails, understand that there's a bit of

862
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:32,639
a delay. She is swamped with work, but have the

863
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:36,400
Cup to Cup Special NHL right through to the Stanley

864
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,239
Cup finals and then as soon as that's over, it

865
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:41,800
is the World Cup and I'm looking forward to that.

866
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:47,800
Going to travel through some locations in the US. If

867
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:50,800
I'm hitting your area, I will let you know, and

868
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:54,519
of course some games here in Toronto as well too,

869
00:45:54,559 --> 00:45:56,880
so looking forward to it. You can get all of

870
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:59,960
those as part of one package over at wager Talk

871
00:46:00,079 --> 00:46:04,599
on my page. That's it, guys, for myself Andrew mckinnis.

872
00:46:04,639 --> 00:46:06,960
This is Puck Time. We will be back tomorrow eleven am.

873
00:46:07,039 --> 00:46:12,519
Don Buster Brian Leonard and our fearless producer Dan Alexander,

874
00:46:12,559 --> 00:46:19,400
who is out celebrating his Philadelphia Eagles victory from against

875
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:22,920
the Detroit Lions where they got a suspect pass interference call.

876
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:24,599
But we'll talk about that another day.

877
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:29,239
Speaker 1: All right, guys, thanks for watching. We'll see you guys

878
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:30,800
next time right here on Puck Time.

