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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is time for total bases.

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It is Tuesday. That means it's five dollars Tuesday at

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wager Talk, every handicapper will have a five dollars play up.

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At some point I will have one. I don't know

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what it's gonna be yet. If I play baseball, it'll

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be this, or I'll get a football play out. We'll

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get something up for five bucks. We always do. Brian Leonard,

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welcome in. Anything up for sale for five dollars on

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Tuesday so far.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I put up a play last night. It's on

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today's college football. We're on an eleven and three run

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in college football, and you can get that normally twenty

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five dollars to four percent playabiit twenty five dollars, and

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you only get it be able to get it today

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for five. I do want to point out as since

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Brandon obviously isn't with us, that all of our baseball

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plays from now through the playoffs, unless it's a five

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percent play, will be up for nine dollars. And since

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we try to be as full as possible on this show.

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I had a five percent in hockey yesterday one of

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those games, and the team was down one nothing late.

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I had Ottawa and at the end of the game,

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everybody pulls goalies the whole thing. They lose four to one,

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but I went three to one overall, including an easy

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winner on the over in the baseball game that we

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talked about yesterday, the Toronto game. A lot of scoring

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in that Seattle Toronto game, and I thought the line

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move was a bad one when it was originally out there,

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and it was six runs scored in the first two innings.

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So overall we both basically broke even. But I hate

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to lose the five percent plays, and so I just

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want to let everybody know I'm apologize for that and

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we'll go and go away again today in hockey two

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and one overall yesterday, And then want to know in baseball.

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Speaker 1: I had one play yesterday. It was a five percenter.

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It was the Atlanta Falcons. It won, and I watched

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it with all Bills fans, So I went. I went

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to a Bill's watch party at the casino with Action

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on the Falcons. So that's so that's always fun, and

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you know that that's always a good time. And and

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you know, we got I would have been content with

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a Bill a close Bill's win, but hey, you know

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what I got out of there. Falcons won the game

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probably should have been easy. I was never really that concerned.

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I gotta say, actually, they'll take that back when that

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the touchdown before the half got called off, which was

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like a crazy hail Mary play that they ruled him

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out at like the one, and then the Bills came

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out of the locker room and scored. I could feel

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the energy in the building because again where I'm in

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Central New York, it's all Bills fans, and I'm just like,

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I am going to be sweating this plus four. I

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know how this goes. I've seen this story before and

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I know how this goes, and I was ready for it.

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But Bill's just kept turning the ball over. Falcons ended

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up getting it done, so we didn't even need the

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plus four. A great result, and I had a great

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weeget in football, two five winners. I went three to

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zero overall. I hit four NFL plays in a row,

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So yeah, it's going going well on that side for me.

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College football still negative a little bit, but football season

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has been decent to this point. But it's still baseball season.

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Brian Leonard. We still have Major League baseball playoffs tonight,

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it's just one game. It's Game two Dodgers Brewers, so

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let's get into it. My first thought here when I

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saw the lines come out, I didn't really agree with

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the Brewers being an underdog in this game. I understand

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why they're an underdog in this game. I get it,

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But after watching Roberts at the end of that game

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and Sasaki having to come out and then trying and

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sort of get into trouble, I don't know if the

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Dodgers get away with another close win at this point

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in this playoffs. Dave Roberts is gonna bite them at

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some point. This bullpen's gonna bite them at some point. Point.

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Could it be here? What do you think they bit

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him yesterday?

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Speaker 2: I mean, he brings trining in and I turned to

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the wife. I go all over there, he's here he

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is again, and sure enough he walks a guy and

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then he should have hit the batter with the bases loaded.

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The battery instinctively moved his leg out of the way

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and says, why didn't you lat it hit him? I said,

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to your entire life, when you're a baseball player, you're

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trying to avoid getting hit and after the game, he said,

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I made a mistake. I should have leed it hit

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him and that would have tied the game, and then

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they still had the bases loaded with the two out.

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But that's the way it is. You can't you can't

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change your instincts. I mean, he's going his entire life

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without trying to get hit, and now all of a

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sudden it happens. But yeah, to bring Trina in there.

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I don't know what he's got, naked pictures of the

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coach or something. I don't understand what it is. But

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the starter goes eight innings, walks zero batteris, gives up

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one hit, and the Dodgers still could have maybe lost

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that game. You do have to have some concerns. Peralta

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last time did not pitch well, so I would expect

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a nice bounce back from him. Yamamoto has been great

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all season long. But we're looking at the Dodgers right

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now about the one twenty five range total is seven

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to the over minus twenty five or so. There is

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some seven and a half's out there in the same

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number about him on this twenty five or so, so

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we're looking at seven out a quarter. According to Steve

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essick and it should be another really good game here.

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You I do have to point out when you take

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a look at this Dodgers lineup, Sean O'tani is really

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struggling right now, and even the best to show you know,

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we've seen other players struggle. It's not a good time

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to do it. In the playoffs. We see Kershall do

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it all the time. And it's somehow got it, at

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least in my opinion, a bad reputation because of it.

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But it happens. And I said, that is so is

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Otani started pitching, that his hitting would suffer, and it

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sure has. He's still a hell of a player, the

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best player overall player in baseball, but he's not hitting.

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And yesterday they made a move where they walked Otani

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to get to bets. And I saw an article the

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other day and I'm terrible about remembering names who posted stuff,

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but bets in his life, his entire career, he's got

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like a five to eighty three batting average. When somebody

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walks before him and they do it intentionally and they

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were able to get out of it, and I thought, well,

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that's a good sign there, and it's sure enough he

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kept him in the ball game. But when your best

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player isn't hitting and you've got a bullpen that other

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than you know, the clo the normal closer yesterday who

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didn't pitch well, and that's Sasaki. They've struggled a little

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bit in that regard. So it's hard to lay that

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number on the road. But you know, we've got another

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great picture in Milwaukee's a guy and we said it

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yesterday and we made a good big point about this.

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If Smith is catching, it really slows down the Milwaukee

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run a game. They had one steal yesterday. If Smith

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in plus we don't get anybody on base, you get

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a one hitting one in zero walks, it's gonna be

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tough for Walker's score. And they're going against a really

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good picture in Yamamoto today. The part factor is showing

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home run percent five percent over normal, double and triple

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eight percent less, singles nine percent less, and runs eight

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percent less. So we should get probably a lower scoring

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game here. When we're taking a look at the starters

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in this one on the stack cast, we've got Yamamoto's

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just been terrific. Comes in with a two point four

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nine ERA two point seven to three expected, zero point

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nine to nine whip he does in the walk rate

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thirty eighth percentile. That's the worst thing that he does,

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just those six pitches. But basically a foresmer about league average,

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a little bit more better than the league average, and

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he's been very good all season long, so it's it's

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tough to find any problems with him. And then when

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you get to Freddy Pralty, he's also been great. But

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he's already up one hundred and seventy six point two

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innings last year, one hundred and seventy three point two

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prior year one sixty five point two, so his innings

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he's thrown a lot of innings over the last three years,

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comes in with a two point seven O three point

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four to seven expected one point eight whip. He also

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has problems with his walk rate only the thirtieth percentile,

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barrel rate thirty second, round ball twenty fifth, So it

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could possibly be a situation where the Dodgers get a

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bloop and a blast and then maybe all they need

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in this game. I think the line is about where

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I wouldn't make it without looking into any props or anything.

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This early in the morning, it's probably going to be

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a pass for me, and maybe we get some value

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on Milwaukee. When we go back to LA, they'll be

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bigger underdogs, and as Milwaukee's shown all year long, they

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can went on the road as well as they can

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at home. So that's probably what I'll do. I'll probably

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at this point sit something, sit this one out, and

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look for a bigger number once Milwaukee gets on the road,

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and especially if they're down two to nothing, you would

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think that the Dodgers, the casual fans that don't normally

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bet baseball, will play the Dodgers and maybe we'll get

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some better numbers there. But today, unfortunately, I don't have

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much to add.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and let me just like Rephraate, I don't disagree

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with where the game is priced. I make the Brewers

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personally a very slight favorite here, but I don't disagree

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with the fact that the books had the Dodgers and

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yamamode a slight favorite. I think that number is fully

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where I expected it to be. And still I still

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go back to our conversation yesterday, I still think the

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Dodgers are the best team that's left in the in

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the of the four teams in the playoffs. Now, I

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expect this series to be somewhat competitive. I'd be a

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little bit surprised if the Dodgers just come in and

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wipe the Brewers out in four games. I think that

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the Milwaukee's gonna win at some point. The reason I

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make the Brewers a slight favorite here is I am

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putting a little bit more. I think I'm putting a

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little bit more stock into a couple of things than

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the books are. First, the fact that they are at home.

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I give him a little bit more of a bump

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for that. Second. I don't think the books can quantify

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Dave Roberts potentially screwing up a game, But I think

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he's gonna screw up a game at some point. And

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I think the last two, I mean the last two,

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they were right there to be screwed up, if you will,

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right the game against the Phillies going into extras yesterday's game,

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I mean, Bryce ranging obviously you're not you don't try

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to get hit by a ball and you're it's it's

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all like, you can't even you can't even think quick

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enough to be like, let this hit me. It's just

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it's just a reflex. But I mean that ball misses

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him by inches and then he swings out a pitch

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out of the zone in the end of game like

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that that could have easily and the ball hit by

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Chario was a hard hit to drive the run in

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could have easily been a Burrs win last night. So

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I do think you're gonna see at least one or

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two more games in this series that are close games

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like that. And I'll go back to what I said yesterday.

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Pat Murphy I think is a great manager. I really

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think that he is. Like I, I did not know

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that this was going to be the case when Counsel

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went to the Cubs Murphy takes over the team. I

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had no idea that like he like what his managerial

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ability was gonna be. He's been great, and so I've

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said at all playoffs, I really like to handicap the

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manager what they're gonna do, how they might manage a game,

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how I think that's gonna put their team in either

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a position to win or to lose. And I just

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for the most part, have liked the way Murphy manages

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his team more than Roberts, who we've talked about for years,

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is a little bit lost on the in game side.

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I don't think Dave Roberts I'm not gonna give I'm

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not gonna come in like TV and say he's just trash.

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I don't think he's a bad, bad, bad manager, but

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I think what he does well is is not x's

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and o's in game or push the right buttons in game.

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And that's where, like last night, perfect example, I'm not

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bringing Roki Sasaki into that game why he's had issues

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with his confidence during his time in LA. I don't

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mind bringing him in out of the bullpen in a

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tie game at home with a two to one lead

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and being like, okay, give us some, give us some,

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let's see how it goes, right Like, that was the

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situation he came in against the Phillies game for it

241
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was tie. He's throwing, no question the move to the

242
00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:06,519
bullpen has helped Sasaki. He's throwing harder. But on what

243
00:13:06,639 --> 00:13:09,720
planet did he just become your closer? Right? Like, like,

244
00:13:10,759 --> 00:13:13,840
what have you seen in terms of his mental makeup

245
00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:17,559
during his time in LA that suggests that that is

246
00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:20,600
your best option with a lead on the road. That

247
00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,399
was where I was just like I didn't like that

248
00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,360
move at all, and it basically did backfire, like they

249
00:13:26,399 --> 00:13:28,480
got away with it, but it like you said it

250
00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,399
pretty much backflayed. He couldn't get the same They then

251
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had to use trying and so I see a pretty

252
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big edge late in this game for the Brewers if

253
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they are tied or in the lead. And that's where

254
00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,519
it goes back to like my handicap of making the

255
00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:47,240
Brewers a slight favorite. I don't think Paralta and Yamamoto

256
00:13:47,279 --> 00:13:51,360
are that different from a like how I would price them.

257
00:13:51,559 --> 00:13:54,519
I understand Parolta maybe struggled a little bit against the Cubs,

258
00:13:54,879 --> 00:13:58,200
still had fifteen strikeouts to nine and two thirds. His

259
00:13:58,519 --> 00:14:03,080
overall season was very similar. I mean, the guy had

260
00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:06,360
a one oh eight ear two seven zero whip. Both

261
00:14:06,399 --> 00:14:08,840
of these pitchers pitched roughly the same amount of innings

262
00:14:08,919 --> 00:14:12,159
during the regular season. Yamamoto's number is slightly better, but

263
00:14:13,039 --> 00:14:15,759
I think I trust Peralta as the innings get up

264
00:14:15,799 --> 00:14:18,720
there a little more than Yamamoto. You know, last year

265
00:14:18,799 --> 00:14:22,480
Yamamoto at the big league level ninety innings during the

266
00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:24,799
regular season, then he pitched in the playoffs. I still

267
00:14:24,799 --> 00:14:27,279
think it's far more grueling to pitch here than in Japan.

268
00:14:27,799 --> 00:14:30,360
So it's like, you know, we saw the cracks a

269
00:14:30,399 --> 00:14:34,200
little bit for Yamamoto against the Phillies. I'm not gonna

270
00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:37,440
count on him pitching. I'm handicapping this game thinking he's

271
00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:40,279
gonna throw a good game because he's that good, right,

272
00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:43,120
Like I'm not. I can't count on the Brewers getting

273
00:14:43,159 --> 00:14:45,440
to him, but I think it's reasonable to say that

274
00:14:45,519 --> 00:14:47,879
Paralta might be able to match him. And then if

275
00:14:47,879 --> 00:14:52,240
you get to those late innings, Brewers at home, I

276
00:14:52,279 --> 00:14:53,799
would give them a little bit of an edge being

277
00:14:53,799 --> 00:14:55,600
at home. Like if this game, Brian, I'll throw this

278
00:14:55,679 --> 00:14:58,720
back to you just to get your opinion on the

279
00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:00,799
way I'm looking at this. If this game is in

280
00:15:00,879 --> 00:15:04,200
the seventh inning or later and it's tied, would you

281
00:15:04,279 --> 00:15:06,840
rather have the Dodgers or would you rather have the Brewers?

282
00:15:06,879 --> 00:15:07,519
Like plus one to.

283
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,960
Speaker 2: Ten, I would agree, I would take I would like

284
00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:14,840
the Brewers, especially being at home in that situation. Yeah,

285
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:17,320
this which is why I don't have a plan in

286
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:21,240
the game. It's where I met it, and I don't.

287
00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:24,960
I don't force things and we're up already with fifteen

288
00:15:25,519 --> 00:15:28,960
units in the Baseball Playoffs, so I'm not going to

289
00:15:29,039 --> 00:15:33,480
force anything. And that's something my clients know. I'm not

290
00:15:33,519 --> 00:15:35,559
a guy that you know on Monday night football. I

291
00:15:35,559 --> 00:15:37,679
don't put out money night football plays unless I see

292
00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:39,600
some value in it. It's just the way I am.

293
00:15:40,159 --> 00:15:45,879
We're going to grind and we're the whole key, well

294
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not the whole key, but one of the major keys

295
00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:51,360
when you're sports betting is having the ability to say

296
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the line is right and I don't have a play,

297
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And if your handicapper is giving you plays on every

298
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game that's on TV, he's not trying to benefit you.

299
00:16:02,399 --> 00:16:05,840
And it's been a long time thing for me where

300
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I'm don't make as much money as the other guys do,

301
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:13,039
and it's because I'm not going to force anything. And

302
00:16:14,039 --> 00:16:16,440
every company the sales picks has those kind of guys

303
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,360
out there. If you want that action, don't choose me.

304
00:16:20,679 --> 00:16:23,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you can pretty much like the fact

305
00:16:23,919 --> 00:16:27,799
that we that our thing is baseball just pretty much

306
00:16:27,799 --> 00:16:30,080
says that at this you know, at this point, like

307
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:33,240
that it's just not as popular as the other sports.

308
00:16:33,279 --> 00:16:35,840
But we could go back in yesterday's conversation, it is.

309
00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:39,080
I truly believe if you're if you're betting baseball, especially

310
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,000
if you can incorporate some of the smaller markets, that

311
00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,519
that's where you're gonna win. And I think same thing

312
00:16:44,519 --> 00:16:46,320
with college basketball. I think if you can really get

313
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,320
into the smaller leagues, you've got an edge. And I

314
00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:53,559
think you got you hockey handicappers. From everything I've heard,

315
00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:56,080
and I know nothing about hockey, is it is probably

316
00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:59,120
one of the more it's probably would you, Brian Lenard,

317
00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:01,159
I'm gonna ask you a hockey question on a baseball show.

318
00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:04,400
Do you think hockey is the most beatable of the

319
00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:06,559
pro sports markets.

320
00:17:06,599 --> 00:17:12,200
Speaker 2: Definitely, because most people don't like playing favorite or don't

321
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:17,839
like playing underdogs. And yesterday and a lot of them

322
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,519
take a look at shots on goal. Yesterday there was

323
00:17:20,559 --> 00:17:24,680
what twelve games, ten games, twelve games the team that

324
00:17:24,759 --> 00:17:28,240
won the game had less shots on goal in all

325
00:17:28,279 --> 00:17:32,839
but one game. It means nothing shots Chicago, I think

326
00:17:32,839 --> 00:17:36,079
it was out shot. Like forty Toronto's game. They had

327
00:17:36,079 --> 00:17:38,319
forty to fourteen on shots on goal than they lost.

328
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:42,160
When the team takes the lead, they take the air

329
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:45,039
out of the ball. Basically, it's not a hockey fit

330
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,720
not you know, it doesn't relate to hockey. But they

331
00:17:47,799 --> 00:17:49,960
come back and they tip it and they go back

332
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:53,359
about the defense, and so you have to handicap it.

333
00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,519
Totally differently. It's like in baseball, if a team gets

334
00:17:55,559 --> 00:17:58,599
more hits than the opposition, it doesn't win unless the

335
00:17:58,599 --> 00:18:01,640
opposition hits more home runs, new dudes. So yeah, every

336
00:18:01,799 --> 00:18:05,880
every sport is different, and uh it's different ways to handicap.

337
00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:09,319
And I love playing underdogs. Yesterday unfortunately didn't have any

338
00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:13,400
underdogs anywhere, but we won. But uh yeah, it's a

339
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,200
situation for myself where I like playing the dogs. And

340
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:18,720
in hockey, if you go to a hockey game, if

341
00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:20,559
you've ever seen a hockey game before, it can have

342
00:18:20,599 --> 00:18:24,680
a beautiful setup. They're passing the puck and they got

343
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:26,400
the guy set up and he's just ready to crank

344
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:29,240
on that thing and he he barely touches the pucket

345
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,880
and then it slides a little bit. It's very hard.

346
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,720
It's much more timing in hockey. It's sort of like

347
00:18:35,759 --> 00:18:37,880
baseball was swinging the bat. You know, you got to

348
00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:39,480
have great timing and you gotta have the great angle.

349
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,519
Speaker 1: A little promo for your hockey picks. Again, this is

350
00:18:43,559 --> 00:18:46,839
this is just me pulling the like you know, all

351
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,680
the sharp people I know that bet various sports, and

352
00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:54,599
and from what I've gathered, it is it is the league,

353
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,559
the pro league, the pro league, right, I'm talking about

354
00:18:57,559 --> 00:19:01,640
major pro sports baseball, football, football, hockey. It is the

355
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:04,960
pro league that the sharp guys seem to attack. I

356
00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:07,599
don't because I don't know anything about hockey. I couldn't

357
00:19:07,599 --> 00:19:10,359
tell you the first thing about the sport. But that's

358
00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,680
why I bet minor league baseball. Brian, you gotta get

359
00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:14,680
your edge somewhere, and everyone's edge is a little different.

360
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:17,640
So check Brian out for the hockey. I'm gonna go

361
00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:21,079
to the comments for a second, see what people are

362
00:19:21,079 --> 00:19:25,599
talking about and pertains to this game. Here. Yeah, Blake's smell,

363
00:19:25,799 --> 00:19:29,480
but blake smell was awesome yesterday, Listen. I don't. I

364
00:19:29,559 --> 00:19:33,559
don't mind. We could talk about like second guessing all

365
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:37,799
day and stuff. Listen. I probably would have let him

366
00:19:37,839 --> 00:19:39,880
go out there for the ninth just because it's like

367
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,759
he had such a good game going. But he was

368
00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,039
right at that sort of one oh three pitch mark

369
00:19:45,079 --> 00:19:50,160
where I understand, especially after after the Dodgers got the

370
00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,839
second run. When I coach, I coached a fifteen, sixteen,

371
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,759
seventeen year old baseball at a high level for years,

372
00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:02,559
and I always sort of lean to giving my reliever

373
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:06,400
a clean inning. I didn't like making a mess for

374
00:20:06,519 --> 00:20:10,039
my relief. If I knew that I was probably gonna

375
00:20:10,079 --> 00:20:12,440
go to the pen, I typically wanted to do it

376
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:13,880
at the beginning of the inning. So I'm not going

377
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:16,759
to criticize Roberts for going to the bullpen in that spot.

378
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,599
It's easy to say I don't Tokyo Brandon like is

379
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:24,240
very like on like, how do you take starting pitchers out?

380
00:20:24,279 --> 00:20:26,359
How could you do it? The reason you do it

381
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:28,359
and the reason I have no problem with his decision

382
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:31,440
to take Snell out there is if you know you're

383
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,240
gonna do it, and if he puts a guy or

384
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,200
two on and you know you're going to the pen anyway,

385
00:20:35,759 --> 00:20:38,319
Like I get like wanting to give the guy a

386
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:40,240
clean inning. I get wanting to give a guy like

387
00:20:40,319 --> 00:20:43,319
Roki Sasaki a clean inning because that's not a guy

388
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,519
I'm bringing into a mess. But at the same time,

389
00:20:46,599 --> 00:20:49,599
like I just disagreed with using Sasaki as a closer.

390
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,920
I think he's a nice bullpen piece. He's throwing harder,

391
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:56,680
but I'm still putting a more seasoned closer like a

392
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,960
trine In or something into that spot, even though I've

393
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:04,359
rather have Sasaki throwing the ball right now, over tried,

394
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:07,000
and I just think that there's a different Uh, you know,

395
00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:10,240
there's just a it's it's very spot now if it's

396
00:21:10,279 --> 00:21:12,319
if that's a zero zero game in the ninth inning,

397
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,400
we'll throw Sasaki in there all day. That's a little

398
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:18,279
bit different. But putting him in with like, okay, now

399
00:21:18,319 --> 00:21:20,119
you have to go and win this game and hold on.

400
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,359
I didn't like that at all, And it just ties

401
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:27,319
back into today. I think Roberts will present He's going

402
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:29,319
to be presented with a decision at some point in

403
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,920
this series where it backfires on him, And I think

404
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:37,839
that speaks to the overall sort of Dodgers. They've got

405
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,359
a bunch of good arms, but who do you really

406
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,799
want in like the big time leverage spot in that

407
00:21:42,839 --> 00:21:44,839
bullpen right now? Right Like.

408
00:21:46,839 --> 00:21:49,759
Speaker 2: I had no problem with him bringing Sazaki and I

409
00:21:49,759 --> 00:21:52,039
thought he proved himself before that he just didn't have

410
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,960
it and it's gonna happen. People still have it sometimes.

411
00:21:55,039 --> 00:21:58,319
The best in the business, Uh struggles sometimes. And I

412
00:21:58,319 --> 00:22:02,240
talked about Otoni, so yeah, it's it's I don't faullot

413
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:04,440
him for bringis to Zakiam. I fauled him for bringing

414
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,240
in trying, and I wouldn't have even had Trnon on

415
00:22:07,319 --> 00:22:09,799
the two roster if you asked me.

416
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,599
Speaker 1: T Fox says, Milwaukee's a good team. Take the plus

417
00:22:13,599 --> 00:22:17,440
money again, Yeah, listen. I think the Brewers probably have

418
00:22:18,039 --> 00:22:20,920
as many different ways to win a game, Like if

419
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:22,759
you look at the four teams that are left, like

420
00:22:23,559 --> 00:22:25,599
I look at the Brewers and say, Okay, this team

421
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,480
can do it a lot of different ways. That that's

422
00:22:27,519 --> 00:22:30,400
the one thing I really like about this Brewers team,

423
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,759
Like relative to the four teams that are still in it, Mariners,

424
00:22:33,799 --> 00:22:36,839
Blue Jays, Dodgers, Brewers, I think the Brewers can win

425
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:40,119
a multitude of different ways, and I love that when

426
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,079
it comes to like just even go back to the

427
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,000
ninth inning right, like they could not hit Blake Snell yesterday,

428
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,839
Like what like tip the cap. Blake Snell is a

429
00:22:48,839 --> 00:22:51,519
great pitcher. He's an ace when he's on, he could

430
00:22:51,559 --> 00:22:54,319
be he's just straight up nasty. Think he gave up

431
00:22:54,319 --> 00:22:56,799
what one or one hit over eight innings like it

432
00:22:56,839 --> 00:22:59,920
was tremendous. I don't fault the Brewers for that at all.

433
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,279
You ran into one of the best pitchers in the

434
00:23:02,319 --> 00:23:05,680
game who had his best stuff. Tip the cat, No,

435
00:23:05,759 --> 00:23:11,279
problem with that. Still ninth inning, they weren't deterred. Every

436
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,720
person had a really good at that even the outs,

437
00:23:13,759 --> 00:23:18,599
even the Churio out was allowed productive out. Yelich having

438
00:23:18,599 --> 00:23:20,839
a good at back to continue the game, Contreras having

439
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,440
a good at back to continue the game. Listen, Teran

440
00:23:23,599 --> 00:23:26,559
swung at a tough pitch like it's tough. He was

441
00:23:26,599 --> 00:23:28,799
still ahead in that count at one point in time,

442
00:23:28,839 --> 00:23:31,559
I think, or you know, he still battled up there

443
00:23:31,599 --> 00:23:33,680
a little bit. So that's the type of thing that

444
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,119
makes me think, like, yeah, you're gonna give me plus money.

445
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,240
With this team at home, backs against the wall, they

446
00:23:39,279 --> 00:23:42,160
can win a couple of different ways. Steve Duke says,

447
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,200
I'm taking bruise, no reason to hurry. Imagine everyone will

448
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:48,440
get Yamamoto. I believe in the Brewers and their lineup. Yeah,

449
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:50,200
I think when you make the statement I believe in

450
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,160
the Brewers and their lineup, that's what you're believing in

451
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:56,000
is the fact that they've got different ways they can

452
00:23:56,039 --> 00:23:59,480
do it. They'll scrap out a hit, they'll move a

453
00:23:59,559 --> 00:24:02,640
runner round, they'll knock them in. I Brian has any

454
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,039
has any of these four teams done that better than

455
00:24:05,079 --> 00:24:05,880
the Brewers this season.

456
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,279
Speaker 2: No, you're the most complete team when it comes to that.

457
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:12,759
And if I find out that Smith caught yesterday, if

458
00:24:12,799 --> 00:24:14,839
I find out that they dh them, the line is

459
00:24:14,839 --> 00:24:17,359
the same as it is right now. I don't blame

460
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:20,039
a single person for taking Milwaukee because that's a big

461
00:24:20,079 --> 00:24:23,119
part of their game. And when you go up against

462
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,519
you know, unfortunately just about everybody in the playoffs, you's

463
00:24:26,519 --> 00:24:28,599
got a really good catcher that throws out. I was

464
00:24:29,079 --> 00:24:32,680
the big Dumpers great at that. So that's that's the problem.

465
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:34,559
When you get this far into the playoffs, you're gonna

466
00:24:34,559 --> 00:24:37,319
get teams that they're able to do that. So we'll

467
00:24:37,319 --> 00:24:39,680
see what happens if is Smith dhs. I have no

468
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:41,000
problem at all playing in Milwaukee.

469
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,599
Speaker 1: Rick Reynolds says what separates the Brewers from everyone else

470
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,839
is how many different ways they can beat you. Elite,

471
00:24:46,839 --> 00:24:50,160
different defense, evelite athleticism, they can hit for power or

472
00:24:50,319 --> 00:24:54,279
play small ball, and they don't strike out. I think

473
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:58,480
we've I think we could honestly substitute some of our

474
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,400
guests for the third panelist. A lot of times, there's

475
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:05,559
a lot of smart there's a lot of smart comments

476
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,160
in the chat on a on a daily basis. It's

477
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,880
been that way all season. We very much appreciate all

478
00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:14,319
the interaction you guys have given us, and that I

479
00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,519
couldn't have said it better than Rick Reynolds right there,

480
00:25:16,519 --> 00:25:20,039
like that is exactly how I view the Brewers as well.

481
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,279
And that's why I think if you could, if you

482
00:25:22,319 --> 00:25:25,920
can weather the storm of Yamamoto, which I think Peralta

483
00:25:26,079 --> 00:25:28,000
is one of the few guys that I would be

484
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:33,119
okay with weathering the storm with. I think you'll have

485
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,000
an edge in the later innings of this game that

486
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:41,319
is greater than like Brewers plus one ten. So that's

487
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,000
kind of how I'm That's kind of how I'm looking

488
00:25:43,039 --> 00:25:45,480
at this. I'm not sure. I haven't bet it yet.

489
00:25:45,759 --> 00:25:47,240
I'm not sure if I'll get to the window with

490
00:25:47,279 --> 00:25:49,400
this one. As as you said, it's it's really tough

491
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,359
to bet postseason baseball every day one or two games.

492
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:56,359
The books are really not they're not making mistakes. But

493
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,119
the nice part about playoff baseball is you have so

494
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,279
much more money in the market that sometimes sometimes the

495
00:26:02,319 --> 00:26:05,039
books have no choice, right, they have to price it

496
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:08,640
in a manner that's going to generate the handle that

497
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:12,079
they want to generate. And so I'm kind of with you, Brian.

498
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,200
I may wait to lineups here. I don't know. I

499
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:18,039
may bite earlier. I haven't decided yet. If you see

500
00:26:18,039 --> 00:26:20,119
a base I'll tell you what. If you're watching this show,

501
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,759
if you see a baseball playoff for me today, price

502
00:26:23,839 --> 00:26:27,920
for five dollars on five dollars Tuesday, it's probably the Brewers.

503
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:32,200
I can't imagine I would bet anything else. I will

504
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,920
be sort of thinking about that over the next couple hours.

505
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:38,000
But it's Brewers are passed for me. I think pretty

506
00:26:38,039 --> 00:26:40,160
confident in saying it's Brewers or passed for me in

507
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:40,960
this spot.

508
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just want to touch it. It's not a

509
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:47,599
baseball situation. But brand is not here today, and it

510
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:51,880
had nothing to do with his comments about Canada's over

511
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:55,960
there in Japan. But I will say Blue Jay's lose.

512
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,920
Hockey team loses, and a lot of people in Canada

513
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:03,599
for the Buffalo Bills because that's the closest team to Canada.

514
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,960
Our friends up and up north are not in a

515
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:12,039
happy mood today, so we'll see how We'll see how

516
00:27:12,039 --> 00:27:13,680
it goes. But no, it has nothing to do with.

517
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:17,079
Speaker 1: Brandon now TV. Yeah. Someone asked the chat where he is,

518
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:20,960
he's got he had commitments we knew about today and tomorrow,

519
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:24,400
so we will have TV back on Thursday, which I

520
00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:27,759
believe is when we'll be back to talking two games

521
00:27:27,799 --> 00:27:30,480
a day quick show today because there was only one

522
00:27:30,519 --> 00:27:33,440
game quick show tomorrow because there's only one game, but

523
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:36,160
Brianon Leonard and I will be here to break it

524
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:39,079
down with you. It is five dollars Tuesday at wager Talk,

525
00:27:39,319 --> 00:27:42,759
so go check out all of the handicappers pages. From

526
00:27:42,799 --> 00:27:45,759
a value standpoint, especially during football season when people are

527
00:27:45,799 --> 00:27:48,960
putting football players up for five bucks. That our only

528
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,240
price for five dollars on Tuesday and then end up

529
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,880
going back to full price. Definitely something to take advantage of.

530
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:57,920
So check that out on the site and we will

531
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,880
be back tomorrow nine am to talk Mariners Blue Jays

532
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:06,519
game three. Until then, have a great day everyone, good luck,

533
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:08,200
and we'll see you guys in the morning.

