Speaker 1: Two one Your Life.
Speaker 2: Welcome in to last call here on this Saturday at
Wager Talk. I'm the prop Queen Aria Epstein, filling in
all summer long for my best friend Kelly in Vegas,
who was just like for rating us in the chat
that we were running late. I had this weird glare
going into the prop queen sign. I couldn't figure it out,
and trial and error I figured it out. I had
to move my lights around. I don't know what the
hell happened. But Happy Saturday, everybody, let's get this thing going.
We've got Yannie the Greek coming on the show. I'm
super pumped about that. I know that we also are
gonna have best Bets from Dan and I think, and
that's of course the premier lacrosse League. But I think
we also are going to have Brian Power on the show.
That was a last minute add He's jumping in to
save the day because I guess it's a busy weekend,
like everyone's out doing stuff. But I guess because it's
officially summer and fourth of July's next week, we're gonna
have a show. I think next week too. I'm gonna
ask Kelly about that, but huge Day Baseball UFC and
isn't like Jake Paul fighting tonight too. That's so random.
Glad to see the chat up and running. Make sure,
of course that you guys all right in the chat
because Yanni the Greek's about to join the show and
he'll answer all of your questions. I've got some Major
League baseball as well that I'll give out at the
end of the show. And like I said, our producer
Dan is going to give out the sharp lacrosse plays
of the day. I was up to like one two
in the morning watching this Atlas Archers game last night
because we had the under. Dan writs in the chat yesterday.
Oh so man MLB network yesterday. Yeah, m'll be tonight hits.
Dan writs in the chat yesterday after like I don't know,
about ten minutes into the game that he's like, yeah,
we lost the under. So I said, great, I'm going
to bed. Screw this. I go to bed, I wake up.
We end up hitting the under, but I ended up
staying awake because I turned on the finale of nineteen
twenty three and I don't know of anyone's watch nineteen
twenty three, but I forgot and didn't realize that it
was a two hour season finale. So I turned it
on and realized, Oh crap, I'm about to be up
to you in the morning watching this anyway. Oh, Karmine's here.
What's up, Carmine, Let's get to our shark, the Vegas runner, Janni,
the Greek from Las Vegas. Let's get the sharp side.
Take you behind the counter, Johnny, big day to day
in UFC and baseball, it's speaking to you.
Speaker 3: Huge, huge day, especially, like you said, in combat sports.
Not only is UFC three seventeen tonight, which is the
final piece of International Fight Week, it was a huge
week here, forty UFC ton of events throughout the week.
Yesterday the big fan x bo that it was gigantic.
I mean it gets bigger and bigger every single year.
I spent the day there yesterday was just amazing. And
that you know, all goes off tonight with UFC three seventeen.
There's also a cage worry is going on, you know,
smaller promotion over there in England. But I have two
bets there I had already fired on.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 3: There's also, like you said, the Jake Paull fight tonight
against Chavez Junior, and yeah, a.
Speaker 1: Lot of baseball, a lot of baseball as well.
Speaker 2: So somebody like you, who is so sharp with UFC,
then you get all these new like recreational fights, like
a Jake Paul, who's an influencer in fighting, how do
you approach those?
Speaker 3: Honestly, I think I may have bet maybe two Jake
Paul fights this entire time. One was betting him on
him against Tyson, just because of the narrative. I mean,
the narrative was, you know, Tyson's going to be his
toughest challenge to date, and nothing could be further from
the truth. Anyone that had seen Mike Tyson over the
last couple of years realizes he's, you know, sixty plus
years old. And they just kept showing the same eight
second video clip of him hitting the speed back, and
everybody was saying, look how fast he is, Look how
hard he's hitting. Still you know he could still do it.
It's the you know, the the reincarnation of Mike Tyson.
You just can't bring back bothered time, and you got
to ask yourself why to keep showing the same eight
second clip and there's not longer clips of him training,
So you know, it seemed obvious that Jake Paul was
the side there, and I think I bet him in
another fight as well, But those usually, Ariel, they're mostly,
like you said, more for entertainment, more for the recreational
betters to throw some small money down. It's not a
fight that you know, really attracts any real sharp action.
No serious betters are really getting involved because it's really
just one sided. I mean, he gets to hand pick
his opponents more or less. This is another name that
really isn't a challenge for him other than having the
name Caesar Chavez. You know, he's done nothing in combat
sports over the last what decade, So it's just another
name for him to put on his resume, to say
he beat up an ex world champion, an ex professional athlete,
someone with a big name like Schapez Junior. And that's
all it is. But it's, you know again, it's more
entertainment than anything else. I don't think there's any value
on the dog here. I think it's Jake Paul or
pass as long as he's the promotion and he controls
everything and they're hand picking these opponents. It's just one
sided action. Jake Paul are passed. I mean I'm sure
there's betters out there that are trying to sprinkle a
little something on the dog, hoping to see him lose.
But like I said, until the level of competition improves,
he's just going to keep, you know, chalking in wins.
Speaker 1: So there's not really advantage of let's.
Speaker 2: Get to the UFC then, where I know you probably
have some action. But there's been a lot of drama
in the UFC in the last few weeks with John
Jones especially and his retirement. How much does that affect
your handicap of the UFC with all these distractions.
Speaker 3: It's no big deal. I mean, that's all noise. It's
all noise, that's all it is. I mean, it doesn't
affect individual fights. It's more about the drama, and it's
great for content. It's great for uh, you know, the
MMA influencers to cover and talk about. But it really
doesn't affect fight by fight bet by bet at least
for me, it doesn't. I mean, I wish I would
have seen that fight Aspinall versus John Jones. It's a
fight we all wanted to see. But you know, John
Jones is smart, not a fight he wants to take.
It's the biggest risk out there for him. He doesn't
need Aspinall for his legacy. People are going to forget
all about this within a couple of months, and he's
still gonna go down as the best mixed martial artists
of all time. So from a business standpoint, he's doing
the right thing. If he has enough money, there's no
reason to risk his legacy against Aspinall, who I think
would have beat him. I actually made Aspnau at least
the minus one fifty favorite over John Jones, So I
actually so one time in my life that I would
have faded John Jones. I never bet against him, but
against Tom Aspinall at one fifty or better, I'd be
on the Tom aspect.
Speaker 1: I'll sign.
Speaker 3: But as far as tonight's UFC goes, the negative is
that you have some chalky favorites in the main event,
in the co main event. And what happens is that
betters try to get creative when this happens, like they
want to bet Ilio Taporia tonight. You could tell they're
just chomping at the bits to bet to Pouria over
ola Vera. The problem that they're happening is, how are
we going to bet to Poria and not have to
lay minus four hundred. It was minus when we taped
UFC on the line earlier this week he was minus
five hundred, so the line has come down a little bit,
but it's still really high, and it forces betters to
have to try to get creative to try to determine
how he's going to win when he's gonna win, and
when you get to that having to do it that way,
it just makes it harder than it needs to be.
I always tell betters that, like, the more levels you
have to add to it, the harder it is to
actually place a good bet, because again, if there's value
on Taporio, you should betting Tapooria. You shouldn't have to
figure out to Pouria inside the distance to Pouria by
knockout to Pouria in the second round. Like that's trying
to play psychic and anytime you do that, you're just
not betting from any position to strength. Personally, Tapuria should
win this fight minus four hundreds usually do, but I
just don't think there's any value there. It's the first
time he's fighting in this weight class. It's a huge
step up in competition for him. For sure, any value's
got to be on Olavera or pass. Again, I haven't
released Olavera subscribers. I'll probably sprinkle a little something on
Olavera depending on how the night goes. I just don't
see any value in betting to Pouria at all. Again,
if you want to get creative and bet him inside
the distance, it's probably how he's gonna win this fight.
But I just don't think there's any value in it
as far as line value goes. I just think you're
just trying to predict the outcome of the fight and
not caring what the line is. Because again, to conclude
there's value into Poria, you got to draw the conclusion
that he wins this fight close to nine out of
ten times. And there's just no plan in the world
that Olivera should lose to him nine out of ten times.
It's not like it's a forty year old Olivera. The
last two losses for Olivera are like Makachev, you know
what I mean. Like, it's not like he's lost to
the best guys since twenty seventeen. I think the guy's
got two losses on his record, So you're not gonna
get rich fading Olavera, especially as a dog. But again,
all the Taporia fans out there, go out there, bet them,
He's probably gonna win for you real quickly. In the
Komin event. Another favorite that everybody thinks the same is
automatic in Alexander Paintojia. He just keeps winning, keeps winning,
cleaning out the flyweight division, beating the likes of you know,
Brandon Moreno Raval He's beating them all at flyweight, and
everybody just thinks it's automatic. But slow down, he's now
what thirty five, thirty six years old at flyweight, that's rare. Usually,
you know, it's hard for them to cut weight as
they get older and older, and to cut down the
one twenty five is not easy for Pantosia. And you know,
just historically in the UFC, how many guys really do
go on nine to ten fight win streaks. It's just
the tougher the competition gets, the harder it is to win.
Just too many ways to lose. In MMA, I think
there's a lot of value on Kai Cara France in
the Koman event. I think he's as live as a
dog as you're going to get. At close to two
to one He's definitely going to fight for your money.
He's a tough takedown and that's the problem I think
Pantosa is going to have. If Pantosia cannot take him down,
if Pantosa is not able to implement his grampling, able
to take his back, able to create those kind of
scrambles and problems for Cara France, Cara France is going
to piece him up on the feet. I mean he
lands almost double the significance strikes per minute. He's definitely
has more power. So I like the Cara France side.
I think there's a lot of value at close to
two to one dog, I think it's closer to sixty forty.
Maybe Pantosia should be maybe a one minus one fifty favorite,
but where he sits now about minus two to fifty,
I think that's just way too high. So there's a
pick for you that actually released through subscribers Kai Cara
France Comane Event plus two hundred. I think that's the
right side.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and we have some questions. In the chat, Jack
Falk said, uh to Puria money line, ta Poria, most
strikes boosted to plus one hundred feels like a trap.
Anyone have thoughts.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, listen, the thing is, it's tough that again,
Taporia has zero losses, you know what I mean, Like,
you don't get rich fading to Pouria, but you're now
in uncharted territory. He's moving up to a new waight class,
he's moving up in weight, He's fighting a guy that
definitely has more experience than him. Taporia is not going
to throw anything at Olivera that Olivera hasn't seen already.
It's not like this is the first guy with power
Olivera has had to face. In fact, prior to the
last five plus years, Olivera was just a grampler. His
jiu jitsu is what won him all his fights. So
if anything, it was guys that were strikers. Guy with
power were supposed to be his kryptonite anyway, and yet
he managed to overcome that. So again, I obviously a
minus four hundre on paper is gonna look like the
right side. So it's hard to argue, uh not to
bet Eliot to Puria. But like I said, I think
they're charging you too high a premium to back him,
and it's expected listen to guys, what he's onon like
eight to zero in the UFC five straight performance bonuses.
He just comes off knocking out Alexander Bokanovski and Max
Holloway and back to back fights. Like again, when you're
doing that, the sportsbook's not gonna allow much risk on you.
So what they're gonna do is they're gonna charge betters
to back you. And that's what they're doing here. They're
they're they're inviting the Charles money because they don't want
a ton of risk on Toporio.
Speaker 1: Why because the Poria's.
Speaker 3: Costs them over and over and over and over again,
and it seems to be another one sided fight. As
far as traps, again, I don't think they're trapping you
as far as the line goes. It's just uh gonna
charge you to back to Poria because that's who everybody
is betting. So I do like the Taporia side as
far as win in the fight, but I don't think
it's a good bet. Like if if I'm never going
to bet again and I'm only going to place one
bet and this is the fight I have to bet,
I'm gonna bet to Poria. Obviously I think he should
win this fight, But if I'm going to bet again, tomorrow,
next week, next month, next year, and the objective is
to place good bets. I just don't think Taporia is
a good bet. I think he should be maybe a
minus two to twenty where he wins this fight maybe
two out of three times, maybe seventy percent at a time.
But when you're getting up to that eighty ninety percent
probability in MMA, it has to be extremely one signed.
You got to remember. Bottom line is this just look
at the competitive line, comparative lines. You're looking at it
at a number right now where Charles Olavera is a
bigger underdog against Tupuria than he was against Islam Makachev.
Do you understand that he's a bigger dog against Ilio
Taporia than against Islam Makachev. Who Makachev is, you know,
arguably number one pound for pound fighter on the planet.
He's the goat now and he was a smaller dog.
Come on, it just doesn't make sense. So again, I
know people are gonna say I was wrong when Supportio
goes out there and wins. They're gonna say, well, I
cashed my bet. But I just don't think it's a
good bet at all. I think the value signed is
Olavera or pass Olavera or pass Yeah, I.
Speaker 2: Know, we've got a huge Major League Baseball card. And
then the chat is waiting for you to talk some MLB.
Johnathan asked, any sharp coming in for MLB?
Speaker 3: Yeah, a little early. But here's what I can tell
you right now. Yesterday, yesterday, multiple betting groups bet two
teams to win series, to win this three game series, Okay,
before the series starts, they're always betting a couple of
these teams to win the series. They bet too. Yesterday,
they bet Atlanta minus one sixty to win their series
over Philadelphia, and they bet Kansas City plus one seventy
five to win their series as well. Both of those teams.
Both of those teams lost Game one of the series yesterday.
So for the Sharps to win either of these bets,
they got to win the next two games. Lanta's got
to win today in tomorrow, Kansas City's got to win
today in the marrow. Just throwing that out there, not
saying what's going to happen, just letting you know. Multiple
groups bet the exact same series. They bet Atlanta to
beat the Phillies and they bet Kansas City as well
in their series. So those are two series bets to
keep your eye out for today. Here's what they bet
so far. Again, it's a little early eight am out
here on the East West coast. Forgive me three signs
for you nine to sixty three, Minnesota plus one twenty five,
nine to sixty eight, Texas down the plus one fifteen,
nine to seventy seven, the Cubs at plus one oh five,
so slight dogs Minnesota Texas and the Cubs three small dogs,
two unders for you nine to seventy three San Francisco
and the White Sox under eight and a half and
under eight. So after going under eight and a half
to one thirty, they went under eight as well, up
the minus one fifteen, so strong move on the under.
And then also Seattle Texas nine to sixty seven, under
eight up to minus one point thirty. Didn't go under
seven and a half, just went under eight there, unlike
the White Sox game where they went under in an
eight and a half and under the eight as well.
So under White Sox under Texas and then Minnesota Texas
and the Cubs. Just a couple of early Major League
Baseball plays for you guys. Again, make sure you follow
those lines a lot of manipulation going on early, especially
now as we await football and all the attention is
on Major League Baseball day in and day out. We
have a little distraction today with MMA, and there'll be NASCAR,
Mixtan or golf here there that kind of stuff, but
mostly it's baseball day in and day out.
Speaker 2: We've also got WNBA action throughout the SUMMARYANNI anything in the.
Speaker 3: W let me look, because WNBA has been money and
we've been crushing especially. That's all I should be given
out at wager talk. I don't think we've been low
like the WNBA has just been money. I think we
only got The only way I could play this one
is I'd go under if I had to bet at
Washington Dallas. I've seen a couple short bets on the
under in the Washington Dallas game. That one sixty five
sixty four and a half. That's the only thing that
sticks out in uh w n b A the only
thing and that I see a little bit on the under.
And I did see some Washington at minus two and
a half, but I think that's three now everywhere. So
a little Washington and under h W NBA, I'm gonna throw.
Speaker 2: You one more curveball. Has anyone attacked Wimbledon yet?
Speaker 4: Nothing yet in Wimbledon. I wish, I wish those are
goal It's a tennis Monday. Nicer golf is where the
money is at. Anytime you see tennis, golf.
Speaker 2: Soccer, especially in these early rounds.
Speaker 3: Of American country, you just unload anytime you see that,
like a Peruvian second level freaking soccer matchup, because the
only reason anyone's betting that is because they got good information.
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure logic is gonna be helping us out
with that, so we could see how these lines move.
But I think Wimbledon starts in the next few days.
Speaker 3: I have to say leading off for this week. Next week,
I mean yeah, I think Monday.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Monday morning five am is the first matches, So
Djokovic actually plays Monday at at five am minus seven thousand.
Of course, Center Billy. That's the thing it's gonna I
was curious if there was any kind of futures that
anyone ever comes in on, but I'm sure that'll be
last minute.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's mostly, it's mostly it's not winning the Wimbledon.
It'll be first round bets, first round in the tennis
second round maybe, but as the tournament progresses, less and
less and less all the action on those tournaments, just
like in GOMP, always pre tournament and always happening in
like the first two rounds, and then as it goes on,
it's like less and less and less and less, which
makes sense because it's less matchups that they have to
put out a line now on the less probability that
there's going to be an inefficient line. But when they
got to throw out you know, matchups, there's a higher
likelihood that they're going to make some mistakes. So that's
the problem. As you get less and less matchups in tournaments.
What are you provoting today, y Annie, Oh, there's the
UFC cards over at wager talk dot com. Already got
four or five bets in there and still going to
be handicapping a cart. Like I said, I was over
at UFC Expo yesterday. It's awesome. You get so much
great information talking to so many people that are over there,
you know, trainers, fighters, analysts covering the sport, getting everybody's opinion,
finding out some information who's not one hundred percent healthy,
that kind of stuff that they don't put out there
on social media. It's always good to be in those
at those events at network. So I got a great
package up at wager talk dot com. Make sure you
head on over. There's a five percent in there. You
know how I've done on those five percent. I'm coming
off of losing five percent last week. Tell you when
I win, tell you when I lose. I'm about seventy
percent on those in twenty twenty five, number one in
profit on five percent, So I'm very selective with those,
but I absolutely love this five percent. In fact, yesterday
I was having dinner at red I swear to God
on my life, on my life, we're at Red Rock,
we have dinner. I brought a little bit of money,
not a lot of money, in case I played blackjack.
You know twenty five dollars table spreading, you know twenty
five to two fifty, So you need about one hundred
units with you for twenty five dollars taming about twenty
five hundred bucks. I might have had like thirty five
hundred with me, close to four dimes, but dinner costs
like a nickel leach, so I had less than four
dimes on me. So I'm like, I don't know. I
was late. I didn't want to play blackjack, but I
remember in my UFC five percent and I said, let
me see what the line is here at Red Rock.
Speaker 1: I swear to you.
Speaker 3: I looked at the line. It was shorter than anywhere else.
And all the cash that I had in my girl's wallet,
which was like little, like I said, lover three dimes,
I bet at three thousand all on that fighter. So
I felt that good about this five percent tonight that
I any cash in my pocket last night after dinner,
I just dumped it at the window and said I
already bet them, but I just I just felt that
confident after leaving that expo. So hopefully we have a
good night tonight in the UFC because I got a
lot of money on this five percent.
Speaker 2: Everyone go follow up with Yanni, because you know them.
When he's that confident, it's a good sign. Yanni. The
Greek things is always for hopping on today, good luck later,
Thank you. Coming up now, we've got some more UFC
action and we're going to bring on our own from
Wager Talk Kyle Anthony to talk about UFC tonight. What's
going on, Kyle.
Speaker 5: I'm ready, man, I'm ready.
Speaker 1: Giohnny's excited.
Speaker 5: I'm excited too, but he's he's definitely more excited I
think than I am. But I got five percent plays,
I got all kinds of things going on to title fight.
Speaker 1: It's a great night to uh to be a UFC
better tonight.
Speaker 2: What are you willing to give us today? Show us
some action? All right?
Speaker 5: So the first one here we're gonna go over is
the main event of the evening, and that's gonna be
Iliots Aporia between Charles Olivera. Now you've got that line.
I think it's sitting around minus four twenty somewhere around there,
and you've got Charles at plus three twenty roughly about.
Speaker 1: And this is a spot here we.
Speaker 5: Got Charles Lavera. You know, he's a known name, obviously,
a legend, UFC Hall of Famer, most submissions in UFC history,
former champion. I mean a lot of accolades that this
guy does have here. And you know, we always talk
about styles. Obviously we're gonna dive into that too. You know,
styles make fights, but so does timing of those fights.
You know, if this fight took place maybe two years ago,
it's going to be totally different. Obviously, supporter is in
a different weight class, but things are different. Now You've
got a guy in Olivera who's thirty five years old,
who is a there's a seven year age gap between
these two.
Speaker 1: You've got Daporia who is now you.
Speaker 5: Know, really in his prime, entering his prime, and you
know this is a spot also where he's coming off
just you know, knocking out legends. You know, he's knocked
out Alexander Bolkanovsky, knocked out Max Holloway, and these are
elite level guys, you know, also future Hall of famers
as well, former champions, all those things. And the thing
that I didn't like about Charles Alivera is the fact
that you know, his most recent fight that he had
against Michael Chandler, and this is a fight where you know,
Ali Vera should really put a stamp on this guy
and really get the finish dominate, and it wasn't really
that at all, you know this, and there was a
finals actually at and you know, Michael Chandler at this
point is more of like a like a gym trainer
than he is like a fighter at this point, and
he's exciting, he wants to do explosive things, but he
doesn't really fight to any type of game plan. Even
with that, you know, you had Charles Alavera outlanded him
eighty eight to eighty four, still very close on significant strikes.
What he really needed with the takedowns, he needed five takedowns.
He needed fifteen minutes of control time. And that's not
going to work against someone like Daporia. You know, to Poria,
yes he's coming up in weight, but I don't really
put too much into that. You know, obviously that's going
to be very hard to quantify what that's going to
mean to him here. But he's an elite level fighter
and he's had time to kind of gain weight at
that point. But this is the spot where you know,
you even had Charles where he was, you know, getting
rocked in the fifth round. There was the point where
Charles almost got finished in the fifth round against Michael Chandler. Terrible,
terrible look. And I think one of the biggest things
here is the liability for Charles is really good to
be his chin and the style at which he fights,
and that's I think a terrible recipe for him in
this fight here where Charles has a very suspection even
when he wins fights. He's rock wobbled, knocked down, has
to fight to adversity, and he's been hit pretty clean,
and that's a very big issue. But also the fact
that style he fights. He's a shoot the box guy.
He's a guy who's gonna come forward, who's gonna be aggressive,
who's gonna throw a lot of combinations at you. He
doesn't really care if he's taken down because he has
elite level jiu jitsu, So there are all those things
that he has, But it's the issue being he's fighting Taporia,
who also likes to come forward, who also wants to
throw heavy, And that's really where I.
Speaker 1: Think the car crash kind of happens here.
Speaker 5: I don't see Taporia diving at legs looking for takedowns.
I don't really see Olivera finding a ton of success
getting takedowns because Taporia is a very very well rounded guy.
I don't believe it's going to be some kind of
oh he can lay on him and keep top control.
So I think that's really where Taporia finds success. They're
going to march forward, both of them. They're both going
to be throwing big shots. I don't see that, you know, really,
the really good striking defense at all from ali Vera.
Speaker 1: He's very lackluster.
Speaker 5: Striking defense can be in the pocket and Taporia doesn't
need like a barrage of shots in order to get
to finish. He could just move forward land one clean
one and we've seen Charles drop. I think that's where
this goes here. I think the knockout is coming. He's
the better striker, better foot work, you know, bigger combinations,
works the body really well to open up the head shots,
and that's what I'm going with this here. I think
to Pouria gets the knockout inside the first three rounds,
that's sitting around minus one point fifteen. I think it's
a pretty strong number here when you're looking at really
the probability of this.
Speaker 1: I don't think this goes to the score of cards.
Speaker 5: I don't see to Pouria submitting ali Vera here, and
I think he stays clear of any kind of grappling
as much as he can, and I think he wants
another spectacular knockout here for his legacy, So to pour
it inside the first rounds by knockout feels like a
very good spot.
Speaker 2: Then you're also looking at Cara Franz going up against Pantosia.
What do you like?
Speaker 5: So in that one here you've got Pantosia, he is
minus two sixty five. On the comeback, here you've got
kay Kara Frantz, He's around plus two hundred. And this
is the spot here where to pour I'm sorry. Pantosia
has been a guy that I'd been backing. You know,
he has seven straight victories, four straight title fights, as
will be a four straight title fight, and.
Speaker 6: We've been back in it.
Speaker 5: We've been playing him, We've been method of victory, you know,
we've been finding ways to really just make money on him.
And now I'm jumping off the train here. You know,
I think I get it to PORI I'm sorry, keep
sainting to Poria. Pantosia has solid wrestling. He's gonna crash
the pocket, he's gonna move forward, he's gonna you know,
wing shots, and that's really worked out well for him
where he's been able to find those opportunities and get
those takedowns. But this is another issue here where you've
got a thirty five year old flyweight, and we definitely
know that skills decline, especially at these lower weight classes.
It's hard to cut the weight and that's a big thing.
Even that's really why we saw is the marketshev recently
move up where you know he's a champion, but there's
a point where you're just you're not helping yourself, You're
not being a size bully. At that point, you're you know,
you know, hurting your cardo, You're hurting your durability. You know,
there's a lot of things that you're hurting if you're
really cramming yourself down. And that's I still think at
thirty five, it just becomes more difficult. It's just how
it works. And you also look at it that you know,
Pantosia is a guy that has had some suspect Cardio.
You know, there's been moments where he's really pushed through
and credit to him, he's pushed through tough spots. He's
been able to get the takedowns. He's been able to
work through some of those things. But really, where I
think this fight is going to be one or loss
for Pantosia is going to be if he can get
those takedowns. And I think kay Kara Franz has a
fantastic stylistic advantage here where he's got great defensive wrestling,
good takedown defense. He's got an eighty eight percent takedown defense, right.
I think he can scrawl and brawl here. I think
that he is able to keep this fight standing when
he can. The other part is that he's got great scramble,
so even when he's taken down, he's been able to
get back to his feet.
Speaker 1: He's been able to create the space and get back
to his striking.
Speaker 5: And even some of the wrestlers that he has faced
he has really done very well against as in the
takedown defense part of it. I mean, Askar asker Off
is a solid wrestler, was two for fourteen on takedowns,
Amirl Bosi was one for nine on takedowns, and even Morando.
Speaker 1: Was zero for three.
Speaker 5: So I think that there are opportunities here where Kai
Kra Franz can keep this fight standing. And when Pantosa
does get tired, I think he's not going to find
the success on the takedowns, which is going to allow
this fight to play out on the feet, and Pantosa
on the feet as much as he is, you know,
and as you know, fantastic as a fighter as he is,
you know, as the fight goes on, he can get
very sloppy, he can start winging shots. He'll just desperately
dive and crash the pocket if he does not get
those takedowns. Kai Karra Franz has better striking, you know,
the harder hitter between these two, better accuracy, and I
think the openings are going to be there because we've
seen Pantosia can be very hittable.
Speaker 1: So I think at this number here, I think this
is wide.
Speaker 5: I think Pantosha is a deserving favorite, but I think
this is definitely two. Why we were talking about, you know,
nearing three to one, So I like Kai Karra Franz
here plus two hundred, I think he becomes a new champion.
Speaker 2: Call Anthony. Everyone in the chat absolutely loving this. They
said that you give out great info and that they
love your giveaways and you always help them cash tickets.
What are you promoting today?
Speaker 5: So today I have a five percent play up right now,
and we're roughly about over the last like fourteen fifteen months,
about seventy percent win rate, but this particular angle at
eighty three percent. Feeling great about it, love the spot.
Even as the week's gone on, I have felt even
better about it. I have four plays up right now.
Probably gonna add one or two before we get to
the start of the card, but locked in for it.
And I think my my discount is KO fifteen off.
I believe KYO fifteen off. You get fifteen dollars off
my five percent play for tonight. Ready to cash Definitely,
pay per views have been really good to us, even
though we've had some rocky moments this year. Definitely, the
pay per view has been really good to us. So
ready to cash it in again and let's get it done.
Speaker 2: That's what we've got, dan, He tells you right there,
you are fifteen fifteen dollars off five percent path WT
Dot Buzz slash ka. That is Kyle Anthony giving us
the UFC winners. Thank you so much, good luck tonight.
Thanks coming up now, if you have Major League Baseball
questions for today, write it in the chat because we
are about to address all of them. We are also
going to talk some soccer. We've got two different soccer
tournaments going on today, so let's bring on. For the
first time that I've been filling in on last call.
It is mister Bryan Power. Welcome to the show.
Speaker 1: Thank you for having Mary A pleasure to be here.
Absolutely a lot going on today.
Speaker 2: I get to talk to you. I feel like everyone
I know knows you, and we like never really talk.
Speaker 1: Oh wow, I guess this will be a banner line
on your Wikipedia page. I guess, finally getting to talk
to me. But yeah, I know it's crazy. We do
have a lot of Buck Colin friends. And yeah, this
is the first time you and I have ever been
on here together. So hopefully I make account and don't
screw it up. But like I said, but.
Speaker 5: You will not.
Speaker 2: And you know I love Major League Baseball. I love
Major League Baseball, but I need soccer winners. Because I
know what's going on, I don't really follow it. I
actually get very confused because there are now two huge
tournaments going on because you've got the Gold Cup, you
have the FIFA Club World Cup, and then you have
the Conka kaf Gold Cup. Let's start with FIFA because
I know that there is a match that you're looking
at today.
Speaker 3: What is it?
Speaker 1: Yeah, talked about this on the Power five earlier today.
People could check that out elsewhere here on the wage
shock YouTube channel. I like Chelsea against Benfica.
Speaker 6: Here.
Speaker 1: Chelsea, I think is a team that can make a
run and possibly even win this whole competition. This is
one of only two all European matchups in the round
of sixteen. Obviously the big story in the FIFA Club
World Cup for those who have been picking that, you know,
all four Brazilian sides progressed to the round of sixteen,
we of course have an all brazil matchup in the
first game today. I know Benfica beat Bayern Munich to
win group see, but Bayern rotated the starting eleven for
that match. They just didn't want to deal with the heat.
It was very, very hot obviously, that heat wave that
hit the Midwest and the East this week. Byron just
didn't want to deal with that. They were already in
the round of sixteen. Benfica were not impressive at all
their first two match against Auckland City, who had no
business being in this tournament, and then Boca Juniors getting
Chelsea at plus money to win. Here on the three
way line, I think it's just a really great value.
They've won eleven of their last fifteen matches against Portuguese opposition,
twenty three goals scored. If you want to get real
frisky here and not just bet Chelsea. I would go
Pedro Nato to score or have an assist at plus
one seventy. But I think you know the sounder bet
would be Chelsea on the three way line just to win.
Speaker 2: I have any kind of props that I can get
aod who I love you always just tuning into shows. Yes,
if you think Enter Miami's going.
Speaker 1: To get waxed, probably yeah, that there's not a lot
of value though unfortunately that that's the one match of
the weekend in the FIFA club workup that I just
I don't see a lot of value. I think you
have to get creative. I don't even have the odds here.
I mean that's something you'd have to bet PSG win
to nil PSG halftime full time something like that. I mean,
if if you think they're going to get wax you
might as well go for something like that. Obviously, way
they're priced, the odds makers are telling you what you think.
Inter Miami obviously they have MESSI so they get a
lot of attraction. But they were the weakest winner of
the weakest group uh in the in the group stage here.
Speaker 2: Justin Reynolds, I'd rather go to church than bet soccer.
Speaker 1: Hey, listen very much.
Speaker 2: Someone's young. You can't yut someone's young. That's not nice.
I'd rather go to church and I'm not even I
don't even I'm not even Christian. But I'd rather go
to church than eat peanut butter. And I'm sure that
would piss a lot of you off. So you know what,
that's my apparently like biggest flaw any ice Big Three,
pigs Cube.
Speaker 1: No, not the ice Cube. No, I'm not look the
Big Three for ice Cube. It's very simple. America's most
wanted death certificate and the Predator. That's the only big
three I recognize for ice cube. Okay, after that, I
kind of went to lethal injection, was okay, but it
went down.
Speaker 2: Okay, let's go to the Golf Cup. Mexico Saudi Arabia.
What you got?
Speaker 1: I would go under two and a half year, a
little juicy. I know that that's not gonna, you know,
make the people in the comment section go crazy. But
here's the deal. After the three to two win over
the Dominican Republic to begin the tournament, Mexico has not
conceded in either of its last two matches, and then
Saudi Arabia's no secret but they're gonna try to do
They're gonna try to frustrate Mexico, but they're a good
defensive side. You go back to even before this competition
got underway, they've conceded only four goals their last eight
matches overall, and all three of their matches here in
the Gold Cup in the group stage stayed under two
and a half. I would like that trend to continue tonight.
That is on FS one.
Speaker 2: I know that I know that you don't. Yes Sean,
I'll give you a k prop at the end of
the show. I know that you probably don't have a
play in this because the USA does suck. However, they
are playing Coast three CT seven pm Sunday. What do
you have to say about Team USA?
Speaker 1: So here's the deal with the Gold Cup quarter finals.
I think all four of them, from a side perspective,
are priced dead on the US. Look, they obviously did
not have a lot fan fear coming to this tournament.
They are one of two teams that took max points
in the group stage. Now, they took on Haiti, Trinidad
Tobago and Saudi Arabia, so it wasn't exactly a difficult group.
If you're sitting around on a Sunday and you really
want to bet the American side again, kind of like
I talked about that PSG in or Miami. I guess
you would get creative. It's plus money USA halftime full time.
That means they have to be winning in a half
and obviously win the match, or USA win to nil,
also plus money. I think the time to fade the
Americans would be if they take on Canada as expected
in the Semis, but Costa Rica They've got some key absences, injuries, suspension,
So I don't think the US loses tomorrow night. Bottom line.
Speaker 2: Okay, so least I'll keep us like dangling on the
thread until they lose. Anyone have MLB? Because if you don't,
then I'm just going to ask my own questions. But
Brian Power, do you have anything that you really like
in Major League Baseball?
Speaker 1: There are a lot of interesting division matchups on the board, Aerial,
I think from a price perspective, I know a lot
of people. I was very pleased to hear what Gianni
had to say in terms of what the sharps were
betting earlier in the program. I know a lot of people.
In our comments section, seem to be gravitating towards the Tigers.
I would them since last Yes, yeah, but so like
I was, I looked at as soon as the Twins
won for to one last time, I thought that price
was a little short. It was interesting last night. I
talked about it on The Power five. Twins obviously win
four to one. The Tigers took early money, but it's
come back, like Johnny said, and I agree with that
action on the Twins, believe it or not. Today, I
know it's going to be so tempting people that the
thought process is going to be, Oh, the Tigers can't
lose too straight to the Twins. Oh, Bailey, Ober, Look,
anything could happen. Okay, this is major League Baseball. And
I saw somebody in a comment section also point out
Bailey over has good numbers in his career against the Tigers,
three quality starts last year against them, and I know
he's had an issue with the home run ball this
entire matchup. Aerial hinges on Bailey over keeping the ball
in the park because it's been a problem for me.
It was a disaster in the last start against Seattle.
But if he can keep the ball in the park,
I think the Twins absolutely could steal another one. This
is a Twins team that had been underperforming for a while.
The Tigers have been overperforming all year. I know it's
been too long since I've blown the vines of the
comments section with my wacky power ratings and things that
just make the people go crazy. But I only have
the Tigers power rated seventh or eighth in all of
baseball despite their one loss record. I kind of think
there's value fading the Tigers for a while now.
Speaker 2: So I'm sorry, continue, go ahead, No, that's it. Oh well,
actually I was going to get something else, but Matt
Hudson asked any thoughts on the cub to revenge that?
Speaker 1: So wow. I was surprised the Astros scored as many
runs as they did last night. Obviously, they were coming
off a series against the Phillies where there were just
six runs total scored in three games. They scored seven
themselves early that two big innings. I would lean towards
the Cubs or the Cubs team total over in this game.
I typically, I don't know what your thoughts are, but
when a pitcher is making his return off the IL,
it is either fight or passed and you've got Lance
mccullor starting for Houston here. Lance mccullors is someone we
were betting on. If you've been following along with me,
we bet mccallors a few times because he had that
obviously disaster start and there was all that stuff making
the news, but he really settled out and started pitching well.
But now he's coming off the il. The Cubs are
the second highest scoring road team in all of Baseball,
trely only Milwaukee of all teams. That is quite this
shocker there when I look at this, But on the
Power five, I said, maybe just take the game over
if you're not as confident the Cubs getting there. But
if the game gets over, the Cubs are probably going
to go over their team total is my thing.
Speaker 2: Well, that helps answer the question for Mike Scott if
there's an over you like, But I guess, is there
a full game over that you like?
Speaker 1: A full game over that I like? Not actually not
particularly a full game I.
Speaker 2: Agree with Nick nyc Yankee game over nine.
Speaker 1: Look, I have a reputation of jumping in front of
a train and the but I'm not get in front
of this Yankees understreak right now, fifteen straight I mean,
look at the total, it's nine and a half. Mark
Zeno and I on the Morning Wager always joke how
the Yankees are this feast or famine lineup, you know,
whether they score a ton of runs or don't score
anything all it's it's been mostly faminab like, I just
cannot trust their offense. Nine and a half I meant nine.
I don't know. Maybe I would have put a little
bit on it, but I don't. I don't want to
bet a Yankees game right now to go over nine
and a half. Colorado know, I actually think they complete opposite.
If you want to talk about over, I would if
you can stomach it. I know, betting your hard earned
money on Antonia and on a game involving Antonio sends
a te let us stay under doesn't seem very fun.
It's like a great way to spend an afternoon. But
the Rockies don't score a lot of runs Ariel, as
you know, and Milwaukee. I mentioned they're the highest scoring
road team in all of baseball. Well, it's games an
American family field in Milwaukee, where they score two fewer
runs per game than they do on the road. I
would actually look at the under in that game, if
you're looking to play it.
Speaker 2: How would you play the raise O's game after the
Rays got absolutely whooped after having a lead, blew it
lose like by like twenty two to eight I think
the final score was. And actually it was kind of funny.
Someone said that was in honor of Wanderfronco's girlfriend. But
I but anyway, how would you play the bounce back
for if any if they're bounce back for the Rays.
Speaker 1: Okay, so you look at this and you say, all right,
they put up there. They gave up twenty two rounsers
to be a bough pack. Our best bet on the
morning wager yesterday is that I was the Orioles at
plus one ten and so that looked really smart in
retrospect after that result came in, I thought the Rays
were pretty much at the peak of their market going
into yesterday's game. The Rays are a very interesting team.
I've talked about this now for the last several weeks
on all the shows Aeriel that this is a team that,
you know, obviously they began the concept of the opener
a couple of years ago. They've you know, due to
their you know, inability to spend a lot of money.
They sort of piecemeal rotations together year to year. I
believe they have gotten the most starts out of their
normal five guys of any team in baseball this year,
and they're doing well. And it's interesting because I don't
like four of the five guys in this rotation. Other
than Rasmussen, I don't like Lttel, who's going to I
don't I don't like Baz, I don't like Bradley and
who else a Pepio who went yesterday? So I'm actually
not in a rush to bet Tampa. You know, Baltimore
is a team. Was probably the biggest disappointment of the
first half of the season, But there may be some
value in not taking that was a It was a
stay away game for me. I know people hate when
I'm saying I'm staying away, but the fact of the
matter is, I'm not betting that game today.
Speaker 2: Hey, sometimes the best bets in the world are the
ones that you stay away from. Brian Power, what are
you promoting today?
Speaker 1: Yeah, so it's been great if you've been following along here.
Not gonna sugarcoat that number one last thirty days over
all number two, and I'll tell you what I'm about
a bad looking guy right there. The lady who cut
the lady who took the picture even combed my hair
for me. That was nice, but but I'm sure Kelly
in Vegas was very happy that day. Anyway, We're up
sixty eight point ninety five units since May twenty fourth.
That's pretty good, I think, in my opinion. So we
obviously ended the NBA season on a tremendous run twelve
and one. We ended, of course, culminating with that five
percent went on Oklahoma City, but that's in the past.
The NBA is obviously now over Major League Baseball. We
had a four percent best bet with the Pirates last night.
I took the one and a half. I jumped on
that early and got it in a pre decent price
area at minus one twenty one. Turns out we didn't
even need the one and a half. They won nine
to one. It really felt good to get one over
on David Peterson finally and Mitch Keller a very deserved
win there. So that was good for today. Guys, got
a hurry if you're watching this live. I have an
early soccer play and early MLB paid two for one
twenty nine dollars. But as you see right there on
your screen, you should probably talk about what's on the screen,
right Aeriel. Rest of the year Power package, one price,
all plays. I've talked about how good the first half
of the year has been. Well the second half. You
can get on every you can get every play, every sport.
We had great college football seas last year, great college
basketball season last year. I talked about the NBA as well.
To finish, it'll be, it'll be there, it'll be back
before you know it. Season starts in October. So if
you want to get everything for the rest of the year,
we've got you covered for one low price, WT Dot
Buzz Slash VP.
Speaker 2: Brian Poward, thank you as always for hopping on. I
know it was the last minute edition, but we appreciate
you and I love the energy you brought this Saturday morning.
Good luck today.
Speaker 1: Awesome you too, Aerl. Great to meet you.
Speaker 2: You guys know that I always like to listen to
the chat. If you watch the prop Queen Pod every day,
if the chat asks for a guest, I bring on
the guest. This is what the chat wants. It's really
what Sean Michael wants. Let's bring him on our producer,
the man who runs the show, the man who makes
us all look good, mister dan In.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm pretty sure Sean and I, like I got
married the other week, right, but I'm pretty sure Sean
and I might be married. Like Sean is my chat
work wife, you know what I mean?
Speaker 2: Pod when he like he was going at Kelly like hello.
Speaker 6: We need more Dan, Yeah, well, hey, I'm here. I'm
usually the one that's running the show, so I am
always here for all of you. You know you're gonna
I'm always in the comments, chopping it up with you.
Hopefully we can get them some winners here, some of
the crossaction. I got my water Dog's you know shirt on.
Speaker 2: My Atlas sweatshirt yesterday.
Speaker 1: Sickest here.
Speaker 2: Yeah. I literally could have slept in that thing. I
want to put it back on, but I got a
little makeup on it, so now I have to wash
it and I'm really sad. It was so freaking comfortable.
Speaker 6: Yeah, hey, you know it's it's literally the sickest gear.
I'm not just saying it because you know I don't agree,
but but literally just I get compliments all the time,
like nobody knows what it is. They're like, what the
hell is the water dogs? But they're like, that's a
sick ass crew neck.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Sea, it looks pretty sick. So I loved it,
and I loved it even more because we had the
under last night. I actually saw that from twenty three
and a half to twenty four and a half, and
I took you under again on the Atlas under that
like the last two periods ends up? Or what is it?
It's four?
Speaker 6: So it's four quarters?
Speaker 2: Isn't it? Women's college lacrossees periods or is that right?
Speaker 6: Yeah, it's well they all call them periods, I guess,
but it's quarters, you know what I mean? And I'm
sure college women's lacrosse is just too to halves. It
always confuses me, like like can we just make all
of them?
Speaker 2: This always has different rules, and I've covered a lot
of college lacrosse, so like Premiere Lacrosse, the rules are
very with like the two pointers. Yeah yeah, college lacrosse
is what I covered in North Carolina a ton. But
let's get to what's going on today in Premiere Lacrosse.
Speaker 6: Well, first, Ariel Russell Deck wants to know your thoughts
on the Mets, so so we'll start there because we
said we said we give the chat what they want. Right,
there was like three people who were like, hey, give
us lacrosse place. There's been a shift ton more comments about.
Speaker 2: Take I'll give out too. But I like the Mets today.
What is it that the current line? And I haven't
even promoted odds Logic. You can go to odds logic
dot com slash propeen.
Speaker 6: It's been on the screen all show long too. Yeah,
it's been on the screen, like all show long. We
have shown your Odds Logic. This is what it looks like.
We all use it. We're not even just being like,
oh my god, it's a great product. This is what
we use to see our line moves. It tells you know,
like money, ticket count, all this stuff, and.
Speaker 2: You'll see that. Well, this one says that the Mets
open minus one fifty and now it's dropped a bit.
But I've seen a little bit differently throughout the the Fandal. Yeah,
like Fandal says minus one forty two, now open minus
one fifty. I still like the Mets today. I don't
trust the lefty Bailey Falter who's on the mound for Pittsburgh.
The Pirates also scored the second least runs per game.
I had the Pirates yesterday. I gave it out on
the prop Queen pot I said it was the fishy
line of the day. It was a horrible spot for
the Mets, coming off of splitting the series with Atlanta
winning the last two. Had to throw two back to
back games with a ton of bullpen arms. Especially the
day before. It was on Thursday. They had to throw
like seven innings of relievers because Grippin Canning went down
with his achilles. So I loved the Pirates yesterday. Do
I think the Mets bounced back today? Probably especially against
Bailey Falter, who stinks, and also the Pirates can't score runs.
That's the way that I would play that Mets game.
And I guess I might as well just give out
my strikeout prop while we're still talking major League Baseball.
Speaker 6: Yet give it to the folks.
Speaker 2: So I saw someone in the chat talk about Casey Mice.
I actually like the under on his strikeout prop. He's
gone under in three or four and Minnesota has one
of the lowest strikeout rates in baseball today this year
forty three unders and twenty one overs. If you're alrighty
facing the Twins. Casey Mize, I know he's at home,
but he had three against Minnesota already this year, three
against Kansas City, four against Kansas City. Then he had
five on the road in Tampa. So the numbers just
tell you that Casey Mice and plus money has better
value to the under. But there's a plus money play.
I saw Randy Vasquez the Padres rity at plus one
sixteen to the over against Cincinnati three and a half
is way too low. Against the Reds, they averaged just
over five strikeouts a game. Eight of the last ten
righties to face the Reds went over three and a
half strikeouts. Vasquez has faced four different teams with high
k rates. He had at least five and three of
those get five against Colorado, five against La five against Miami,
and then only one on the road in Sacramento. So
I would dig the over and plus money for Randy
Vasquez today over three and a half. That's my favorite
strikeout prop value play of the day. And I'm gonna
give my long list of strikeout props. I'm gonna write
the prop queen dot com newsletter after the show, so
you can go subscribe. Be a premium or basic subscriber
and you can get my long list. Because Dan, we
know how this works. Whatever sport it is, you always
have a long list and you cut it down the
because I'm not gonna bet the long list, and then
you end up losing what you actually bet and you
win everything you left off your actual card. So I've decided,
why wouldn't I just create the prop queen dot com newsletter.
It is a long list of every prop that I
like of the day, and you guys get to choose
which of my long list you want to bet.
Speaker 6: Yeah, it does feel like the bets that I've liked
that I've passed on, I think I'm about one hundred
percent on them, right Those are always those are always
the one that hits. And also Aeriel for what it's
worth with that, with that you know right up that
you do with the prop queen dot com, you know
it also allows people to get a glimpse into like
here's how I handicap props, because that's one of the
big things that I love with what we do with
wager talk stuff is Yes, we'll sit here and we'll
give you picks. You can tail them, you can fade them,
you can do whatever you want with them, right, But
the more valuable side of this is finding a way
to handicap for yourself that works for yourself and partnering
with people who who you trust. I think that's one
of the biggest things, partnering with guys like Brian Power,
like Andy Lang. When when you buy these packages too,
you're not just getting the picks, because that's that's the.
Speaker 2: Who's betting what and what works for your style. And
I did that exactly bet on It. When I got
into the media gambling space. I watched bet on It
every freaking time.
Speaker 6: It was on what would you Would you rather have
just one fish? Or would you rather be taught how
to fish? Right? It'sactly, It's biblical, Ariel. That's that's what
I'm saying.
Speaker 2: That's what I do with you with Premiere lacrosse. D Yeah,
Kelly and I when you came to us last year
and you said, yeah, we're like doing this Formia cross day,
Kelly's got to get involved, Ariel, you should get involved.
You're like lacrosse. And then Dan started teaching us how
to handicap lacrosse.
Speaker 6: We absolutely love it, exactly. It's that that's that's literally
what's all about? That warms my heart, Ariel. So let's
let's vote. Let's teach some of the over forty two
hundred people who.
Speaker 2: Are watching yesterday.
Speaker 6: Yeah, well that that was brutaltimen. We've gone over, we've
gone under, and we haven't hit him. So I think
intimate is the only thing that we do with edtimates,
those sweet ass danishes that are named Entry. I think
that that'll that'll be our new thing moving forward. But
let's get some dubs here, Sean. Just to let you know,
offshores do have PLL so you know, I'm not gonna
give any free advertisements out though, but if you look
around you can find them if you want them. They
also are on all the regulated books, but ye have Florida,
it's a little bit tough to get down on them.
So what I do with my lacrosse plays, the ones
that I really love, I usually give all my stuff
out on Twitter at Newbie Talks, but the ones that
I really love, I load in with my man Andy Lang.
He has a whole team of handicappers, so I'm their
lacrosse handicapper. So I'm gonna give you both of the
premium plays that I gave to clients over at wt
dot buzz slash a l because I know people probably
aren't buying Andy's packages solely for lacrosse picks. You get
everything you need. But the two that I loaded today
and one that I told Andy I would classify as
a five percent play for me, I really like this.
The California Redwoods taken on the Philadelphia wood Dogs were
taking the goal and a half with the California Redwoods.
Reason being, Philadelphia looks gassed. They got a bye week.
Their bye week was Week one, so they had a
little bit of extra rust heading into the year and
they don't have another break the rest of the season.
There's an All Star Game next weekend, so any of
the guys who don't get selected to that will get
a little bit of a rest. But this team just
looks absolutely gassed, as evidenced by Ariel Epstein's atlass whipping
deep piss out of them last week. And honestly, people love,
you know, trends, people love streaks. How about a streak
that's five and oh straight up and against the spread,
and that streak is the fact that Philadelphia has never
beaten and they've never even covered against the California Redwoods.
And now you're telling me that their favorites coming off
of a loss doesn't make sense to me. Head coach
of Philadelphia is a legendary coach in college lacrosse, but
since he's come to the PLL, being a favorite hasn't
worked out for him. The guy's name is Bill Tierney.
After last week's debacle, he's now one and seven against
the number as a favorite. I don't see that changeing today.
Give me the California Redwoods plus the goal and a half.
I love this play, and the games are in San
Diego this weekend, so I'm gonna be boots on ground.
After we're done here, I'm driving on down to San Diego.
I'm I'm fighting through the traffic just so that I
can sweat these plays out live. So if things start
going awry, and this one's on ESPN, so you might
even be able to see me on ESPN, because if
things start going awry Philadelphia goes up like three or
four goals, I might streak onto the field to try
and to try.
Speaker 2: And you know these places they can hear you.
Speaker 6: Yeah, no, they will definitely hear me. I will be heard.
That is for sure.
Speaker 2: I don't understand.
Speaker 6: Yeah, no, I will be the one sweating profusely during
that game. And then in the secondary matchup of the day,
this one a late night special for you. It's the
Boston Cannons and the Carolina Chaos. Sweet ass names. By
the way, we're looking to go under the one and
a half total two point goals. This is on the
Green book, this is on the Blue Book, this is
on Caesars. You can find it wherever you want to
find it. I just think this is a really good
value because the total in this game is twenty one
and a half. If you're wondering what are totals like,
that's typically a low total for PLL games, and reason
being because Blaze reared and one of the best goalies
in the league former MVP. He had an awful start
last week, which I think he's going to have a
little bit of a bounce back one here. So that
twenty one and a half total tells you there's not
many scores expected in this game. So that probably means
there's not many two point goals that are going to
be scored. And if you look at these two teams
so far this year, throughout four weeks. You've only seen
six total two pointers go between these two, four for
the Cannons, two for the Chaos. So it's not teams
who typically shoot them with regularity. And this matchup itself
typically just doesn't call for two point goals. They've met
five times. In those five meetings, they've averaged under one
two point goals scored. It's point eight if you're wondering,
you like it for the math nerds, So stats back
it up. I think the spot backs it up. I
think Blaze reared and bounces back. So take the under
one and a half total two point goals this evening,
Boston Cannons versus the Carolina Chaos. That's two premium plays
for you, Ariel, and I'm proud. Not only did we
not lose viewers talking PLL, we gain another two hundred.
So the forty four hundred live hit that like button
hit subscribe, check out Aeriel.
Speaker 1: We appreciate it.
Speaker 6: Everyone want to win.
Speaker 2: They just want to win. That's it produces winners.
Speaker 6: Yeah, that's hopefully we get two of them. And again
that one on ESPN check it out.
Speaker 1: If the.
Speaker 6: California Redwoods go down, you may see a streaker across
the field, and then you'll.
Speaker 2: Know everyone has to tune in. I forgot to add
the links to my tweets. I need to get the
links from.
Speaker 6: I got you, I got you on the list.
Speaker 2: We have to add the links in so that people
know where to watch, because can watch it on ESPN
ESPN Plus and you can watch Dan go streaking on
the field.
Speaker 6: Hey, only if the Redwoods go down. Only if the
Redwoods go down. So that this is solely solely on
the home team. It's up to them do they want
it to happen or not.
Speaker 2: I love it Dan as always, thanks for being the
best handicapper in La Crosse, the best producer here over
at wager Talk. We love you and we will see
you next week. That's for Dan. I'm Ariel Epstein, the
prop Queen. Thanks for tuning into last call. I think
we're back next week for Fourth of July weekend anyway,
because fourth of July is Friday, so we still got
action on Saturday. Sean, would you say help out Dan
and Ariel. It's not hard to give a thumbs up
for them to give us their opinions. Oh, I think
that's good thumbs up. Yay. Everyone liked the Show, subscribe
to Wager Talk Last Call. Subscribe to prop Queen Sports
as well, because uh yeah that would be very helpful.
Good that's all you're about today. We'll see you guys soon.