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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Auction Brief. There's a joy in these

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<v Speaker 1>games or not, taking you on a journey through fantasy football,

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<v Speaker 1>the law, and life. We saw your It depends on

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<v Speaker 1>how much you want. And now you're legal analyst and

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<v Speaker 1>auction draft expert here to help you dominate your fantasy drafts.

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<v Speaker 1>Your host, Drew Davenport, there are full hearts. Hey, everybody,

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<v Speaker 1>welcome in to the Auction Brief. As the lady said,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm your host, Drew Davenport, and thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining me for another episode of the Auction Brief.

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<v Speaker 1>As the calendar turns to August in just a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of days, guess what. As I'm recording this right now,

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<v Speaker 1>all thirty two NFL teams are in training camp. Folks,

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<v Speaker 1>allow yourselves a moment of celebration. We made it. Football

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<v Speaker 1>is officially back. We have the Hall of Fame game

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<v Speaker 1>coming up next week. A week from today, there'll be

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<v Speaker 1>real football on your television screen. That's incredible, So celebrate

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<v Speaker 1>that for a second. Take a deep breath because we've

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<v Speaker 1>got four weeks left to push through to the finish.

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<v Speaker 1>There's only actually three weeks left of the Auction Brief,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'll be ripping off par sheets over there at

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<v Speaker 1>the Patreon, I'll be putting out content there. I'll be

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<v Speaker 1>continuing to push forward to help you with your auction drafts.

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<v Speaker 1>But folks, time is running short, so we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>get down to business quickly. Today. I want to go

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<v Speaker 1>through my usual plugs, and then I want to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about an actual auction that just happened with a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of experts. It's hard to argue that this is one

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<v Speaker 1>of the most helpful things that we can possibly do

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<v Speaker 1>on this show because it involves real people playing out

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<v Speaker 1>a draft with intelligent drafters, people who know values cold

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<v Speaker 1>and generally know what they're doing in a draft room,

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<v Speaker 1>even if they aren't auction specialists. This is an episode

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<v Speaker 1>that is just absolute gold. In my opinion. You can't

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<v Speaker 1>get much better than this, because it's going to give

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<v Speaker 1>you a really nice baseline. Because, as you'll see when

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<v Speaker 1>I go through all of the things that happened in

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<v Speaker 1>this draft, there weren't many wacky things that happened, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's a great thing for our conversation because

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<v Speaker 1>those wacky outliers that happen in some rooms that isn't

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily helping you to kind of figure out what you're

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<v Speaker 1>supposed to be doing instead. The sort of linear way

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<v Speaker 1>that this auction played out on Saturday is actually a

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<v Speaker 1>great baseline for you because it's kind of right up

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<v Speaker 1>the middle, and it's where you should start with your

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<v Speaker 1>preparation and thinking about values for some of these players.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm excited about this. Today we're going to take

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<v Speaker 1>a chronological walk through the Kings Classic auction, and I've

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<v Speaker 1>got four themes that I isolated from the auction that

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<v Speaker 1>I think you can lay over everything that happened, and folks,

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<v Speaker 1>we are going to walk through it, and I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to do my best to get you out of here

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<v Speaker 1>in the allotted time. But as people have said, they'd

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<v Speaker 1>rather hear the content if it takes longer, and if

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<v Speaker 1>it takes an hour, it takes an hour. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think that we can rip through it here in about

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<v Speaker 1>forty five minutes. I think that you need to remember

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<v Speaker 1>that you can't possibly get all of this information in

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<v Speaker 1>your head through one listening of the show. And I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not here to make some sort of silly plan to

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<v Speaker 1>increase my downloads, because once you download the show once,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't get a second download for listening to it again.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm not telling you that you have to listen twice,

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<v Speaker 1>but I don't think it can hurt because a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of this stuff is going to be difficult to take

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<v Speaker 1>in because we're going to move so quick. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>not because I'm trying to get done in forty five minutes.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just that how often can you say what a

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<v Speaker 1>player's price is before you move on? And it's hard

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<v Speaker 1>for you guys to listen to that and internalize it

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<v Speaker 1>when I'm moving on to another point already. So I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think it's a bad idea. If you listen to

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<v Speaker 1>this show twice, it might be one of the only

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<v Speaker 1>ones of the summer that you really need to have

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<v Speaker 1>a couple run throughs at it. So we'll talk about

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<v Speaker 1>those themes in just a minute. Let me get the

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<v Speaker 1>preliminary stuff out of the way. First of all, I

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<v Speaker 1>have to say right off the top, the Salary Cap

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<v Speaker 1>Summit is in just four days. We start Sunday night

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<v Speaker 1>at seven pm, We go Monday night at seven pm,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we go Tuesday night at seven pm. Sunday

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<v Speaker 1>and Monday are the live auctions with my live commentary

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<v Speaker 1>on my YouTube channel. You'll be able to find all

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<v Speaker 1>that information on my Twitter account and I'll be advertising

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<v Speaker 1>that like crazy. But you can find my YouTube channel

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<v Speaker 1>easily enough by searching the auction brief and putting in

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<v Speaker 1>my name. But that's Sunday and Monday, live auctions with

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<v Speaker 1>live commentary for two to two and a half hours.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to be running my FWM and then Tuesday

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<v Speaker 1>night we've got Doug Orth, Dave Richard, Jim Coventry, Matt Cruise,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm missing somebody important. It'll come to me later.

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<v Speaker 1>But we have a great lineup of auction drafters who

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<v Speaker 1>know with oh, Scott Pianowski. How can I forget Scott?

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<v Speaker 1>We just had him on the show a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>days ago. But all of those folks are going to

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<v Speaker 1>come in and we're going to talk about auctions, everything

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<v Speaker 1>from strategies to what they think this year, how they're

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<v Speaker 1>approaching auctions, how can we make auctions bigger, how can

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<v Speaker 1>we make them better? Everything that has to do with auctions.

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<v Speaker 1>It's going to be a two hour auction panel, So folks,

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<v Speaker 1>do not miss the salary cap summit. All right, let's

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<v Speaker 1>do a quick run through of the other stuff. Don't forget.

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<v Speaker 1>You can find me on Twitter at Drew Davenport FF.

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<v Speaker 1>You can find me at the Fantasy Football Lawyer on

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<v Speaker 1>the Patreon network. Just four bucks a month, and if

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<v Speaker 1>you want to be in the salary Cap drafts, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of the spots already taken, but you can still

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<v Speaker 1>get in there. You have to be a member of

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<v Speaker 1>the Patreon Just go in there. It's just four bucks

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<v Speaker 1>and then you can put your interest on the post

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<v Speaker 1>about the Salary Cap Summit leagues and hopefully you can

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<v Speaker 1>get it there on one of those nights Sunday or Monday.

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<v Speaker 1>And it is a league that will play out for

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<v Speaker 1>the full season. You're not just doing a draft, you're

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<v Speaker 1>doing a full league there. So a lot of the

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<v Speaker 1>guys who did it last year threw in some money,

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<v Speaker 1>donated to charity, had some fun. So I think that

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<v Speaker 1>the same thing can happen this time around. So last

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<v Speaker 1>but not least, don't forget them with FJA fantasy draft

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<v Speaker 1>boards again this summer. It's ten percent off your order

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<v Speaker 1>if you use my code auction brief. They're the best

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<v Speaker 1>draft boards in the business. Get over there, order your boards. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>We're getting into August here and you need to get

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<v Speaker 1>those boards ordered so they get here. They are the

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<v Speaker 1>best boards in the business. Use my code auction brief

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<v Speaker 1>for ten percent off. All right, that's going to do

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<v Speaker 1>it for the preliminary stuff today, Let's get into this

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<v Speaker 1>auction from Saturday and let's see what we can learn

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<v Speaker 1>auction talk. So with anything that I do, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of setup work here that we got to

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<v Speaker 1>get through. It's not this fun stuff, but it's really

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<v Speaker 1>important to understanding what happened in the draft. And I

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<v Speaker 1>know that going through mock drafts sometimes can be a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit tiresome, but I think this is completely different

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<v Speaker 1>than a snake draft or even a mock auction. This

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<v Speaker 1>is real, live ammunition, and that's why it's so valuable.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm not here to just be like, hey, check

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<v Speaker 1>out my team. But I have to do this from

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<v Speaker 1>the perspective of myself because I can't get anyone else's head,

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<v Speaker 1>and I have to talk about my team, to tell

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<v Speaker 1>you how I did things and how I played it,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that's really valuable stuff. And I've been

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<v Speaker 1>told in the past that people like hearing what I've

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<v Speaker 1>done in an auction and so, and you know how

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<v Speaker 1>I think about stuff, and that's why the salary Cap

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<v Speaker 1>Summit was so successful last year. So that's what we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to do here. You're going to go inside my

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<v Speaker 1>mind as I walk through this draft, and we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to do it in chronological order. But let's get some

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<v Speaker 1>setup work done here. I want to tell you about

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<v Speaker 1>who the players were, what the scoring and roster requirements are,

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<v Speaker 1>what my approach was, and what my par sheets looked like.

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<v Speaker 1>And then I'm going to tell you four themes that

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<v Speaker 1>came out of this thing. And then you can be

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about those themes as we go through, because I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not really going to spend much time on them. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just going to tell you, hey, here's the general themes,

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<v Speaker 1>and then you'll see them develop as we walk through

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<v Speaker 1>the draft. All right, So let's get a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of this setup work done and move into the meat

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<v Speaker 1>of the auction. All right, Just generally, don't forget this

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<v Speaker 1>is an expert league. We have a two hundred dollars cap.

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<v Speaker 1>We go really deep in our starting lineups. The players

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<v Speaker 1>in the room are JJ Zacharieson, Jeff Ratcliffe, Doug Orth,

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<v Speaker 1>Scott Pianowski, Colby Conway, Matt Harmon, Jim Coventry, Marcus Grant,

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<v Speaker 1>and Michael Florio shared a team. Andy Barns, Patrick Dhugherty,

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<v Speaker 1>Hutchinson Brown, Brad Evans and Brian Drake and Jamison Hutchinson

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<v Speaker 1>did three quarters of the auction for Drake when he

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<v Speaker 1>went on the air. So, folks, that's an incredible lineup.

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<v Speaker 1>It's tough. We don't need to belabor the point. These

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<v Speaker 1>guys know what they're doing. And like I said to

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<v Speaker 1>Scott on Tuesday on discussions with Drew, not all these

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<v Speaker 1>guys do auctions very often. Some of them this is

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<v Speaker 1>their only auction every year. But they really know fantasy football,

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<v Speaker 1>so that helps to make up for whatever skill they

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<v Speaker 1>lack in auctions. They're just really good at fantasy football,

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<v Speaker 1>so they know values really well and they're rarely going

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<v Speaker 1>to get out of line. It's going to be a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty solid group regardless. And we'll hear a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more about that and a little bit but don't forget

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<v Speaker 1>how deep we go here. We start three wide receivers

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<v Speaker 1>and we have to have three flexes with two running backs.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a one QB league. But when you go three

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<v Speaker 1>flexes deep, as Pianowski pointed out on Tuesday. Just the

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<v Speaker 1>starting receivers themselves is forty two, and then when you

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<v Speaker 1>figure you're starting some flexes, you're going fifty to sixty

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<v Speaker 1>wide receivers deep every week. So this is a real

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<v Speaker 1>exercise in how we approach a different form. And something

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<v Speaker 1>that people talk about all the time that you just

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<v Speaker 1>have to remember is that when you have this deep

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<v Speaker 1>of a format, things change drastically. And one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things that changes is that the top prices tend to

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<v Speaker 1>be a little bit lower than normal. And while that

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<v Speaker 1>sounds counterintuitive, it's actually quite logical because the top prices

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<v Speaker 1>come down as people get nervous about filling out the

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<v Speaker 1>back of the roster for those flex spots. That's what

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<v Speaker 1>we saw in this room, and it's what I've seen

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<v Speaker 1>historically when I've been in drafts with a smart people

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<v Speaker 1>and b deep rosters. The top prices get shaved off

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit, and that's what happened here. I think

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<v Speaker 1>I probably underestimated that just to touch I know this

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<v Speaker 1>in my head, but I should have thought about it

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<v Speaker 1>just a little bit more. I was in on Jumior

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<v Speaker 1>Gibbs and Bjohn Robinson in the mid fifties and was

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<v Speaker 1>mixing it up there and ultimately backed off. But if

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<v Speaker 1>I had thought about it a little bit harder, I

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't even have been at that point, because I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's pretty normal that the top prices come down a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit in such a deep league. So now we

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<v Speaker 1>know what the league is all about. Let me tell

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<v Speaker 1>you a little bit about my par sheet and my approach,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm going to give you what my team is,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we can walk through how we got there

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<v Speaker 1>with the themes that were present in the room. Typically,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm only going to make two par sheets when I

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<v Speaker 1>go into a draft. I know people like to do more,

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<v Speaker 1>and sometimes I will do more, and this is one

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<v Speaker 1>of those situations where I decided to do that. And

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<v Speaker 1>the reason for that was that I really felt like

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<v Speaker 1>there might be an opportunity to get a top level quarterback.

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<v Speaker 1>We've had this conversation before. I'm not going to go

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<v Speaker 1>over it again. I think in a room where people

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<v Speaker 1>play quarterback chicken, you can sometimes find really good quarterbacks

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<v Speaker 1>for cheap. I did in this draft. However, I also

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<v Speaker 1>was thinking about Josh Allen when I made up my

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<v Speaker 1>first par sheet, so I allotted twenty one dollars for

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<v Speaker 1>Josh Allen on my first par sheet. And it's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of funny that I didn't actually bid twenty one when

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<v Speaker 1>I had the chance to for Allan. But i'll tell

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<v Speaker 1>you why in a little bit. So I made a

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<v Speaker 1>QB PAR sheet that was twenty one dollars to try

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<v Speaker 1>to get Josh Allen. I made another PAR sheet that

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<v Speaker 1>was in case brock Bowers went too cheap. And when

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<v Speaker 1>I say too cheap, I meant if I can get

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<v Speaker 1>the guy below thirty five, preferably thirty one, thirty two,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe even thirty, I was going to run with it. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't think that was going to happen in this room.

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<v Speaker 1>It didn't, but I wanted to be prepared, so that's

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<v Speaker 1>why I had three par sheets instead of the normal two.

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<v Speaker 1>My last PAR sheet was a cheap quarterback par sheet

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<v Speaker 1>and that's the one I ended up using. And I

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<v Speaker 1>got to say, this is kind of funny. I just

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<v Speaker 1>got a kick out of this. This is really just anecdotal,

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<v Speaker 1>but I thought it was pretty funny. I've been doing

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of par sheets in the last couple of

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<v Speaker 1>years and it started to become pretty instinctual. So I'm

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<v Speaker 1>sitting in my hotel room, as is the tradition, about

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<v Speaker 1>three or four o'clock in the morning on Friday night

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<v Speaker 1>when I have to be at the King's Classic at ten,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm doing my par sheets. And I'm not putting

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<v Speaker 1>that off because I think I'm too good and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not ignoring my own advice to prepare. But I've been

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about my par sheets for weeks, so I've already

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<v Speaker 1>got the ideas in my head. And here's the funny part.

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<v Speaker 1>After I do my quarterback and tight end heavy par sheets,

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<v Speaker 1>I go, Okay, here's what I think I want to

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<v Speaker 1>do if that other stuff doesn't work out. And I

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<v Speaker 1>went down and I took my first pass at the

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<v Speaker 1>bar sheet. And Folks, in all the years I've been

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<v Speaker 1>doing par sheets, I have never once taken a first

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<v Speaker 1>pass at a par sheet and been dead on two

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<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars. And that's what happened. I've been drinking all night.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sitting in my hotel room, tired of sack, just

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<v Speaker 1>partying all night, three thirty in the morning, and I

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<v Speaker 1>just ripped a two hundred dollars par sheet on the

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<v Speaker 1>first guess and I didn't touch it. I didn't touch

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<v Speaker 1>it because I liked it that much and I was

267
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<v Speaker 1>that tuned in and I said to myself, I think

268
00:13:44.440 --> 00:13:46.440
<v Speaker 1>it's just time to go to bed, and so it

269
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<v Speaker 1>was pretty funny. I enjoyed it a lot, and this

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<v Speaker 1>par sheet ended up being pretty darn good. And you'll

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00:13:53.039 --> 00:13:55.919
<v Speaker 1>see that I wavered from it with i'mon Ross Saint Brown.

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<v Speaker 1>But otherwise this was a pretty strong par sheet and

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<v Speaker 1>it was pretty accurate. Despite feeling that maybe I didn't

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00:14:02.840 --> 00:14:05.279
<v Speaker 1>really do what I wanted to do at times, it

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<v Speaker 1>was pretty accurate. And part of that is something that

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<v Speaker 1>I preach about all the time, is that you have

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<v Speaker 1>to go back and look at what actually happened. And

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<v Speaker 1>I had this conversation at dinner, because we go to

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<v Speaker 1>dinner right after this all ends, and it's a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of guys that were in the room. JJ Winner was

281
00:14:20.320 --> 00:14:23.080
<v Speaker 1>watching the draft, Jamison was in the draft, Pianowski's in

282
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<v Speaker 1>the draft, Drake is in the draft. All these guys

283
00:14:26.240 --> 00:14:29.840
<v Speaker 1>are having their impressions, and those impressions are really important

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00:14:29.879 --> 00:14:33.759
<v Speaker 1>to what actually happened, because sometimes you think something happened

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00:14:33.960 --> 00:14:36.519
<v Speaker 1>and it didn't actually go down that way. So it's

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00:14:36.679 --> 00:14:39.159
<v Speaker 1>really important to have these post mortems about what you did,

287
00:14:39.679 --> 00:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>all right. So that's the setup and my par sheet

288
00:14:42.679 --> 00:14:45.759
<v Speaker 1>for the cheap quarterback that I that I put down

289
00:14:46.120 --> 00:14:48.480
<v Speaker 1>that was perfect. The first time I went through was

290
00:14:48.519 --> 00:14:53.200
<v Speaker 1>the following quarterback three bucks, running back one forty four,

291
00:14:53.759 --> 00:14:56.720
<v Speaker 1>running back two twenty eight. And you'll notice that's a

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00:14:56.720 --> 00:14:59.200
<v Speaker 1>little bit different than my normal build. I normally dump

293
00:14:59.200 --> 00:15:01.480
<v Speaker 1>out of RB two, but I think the value is

294
00:15:01.519 --> 00:15:03.559
<v Speaker 1>there in the mid tiers at running back, where we

295
00:15:03.919 --> 00:15:06.720
<v Speaker 1>usually call it the dead zone. I think that that's

296
00:15:06.720 --> 00:15:08.759
<v Speaker 1>now switched to a wide receiver dead zone. We'll talk

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00:15:08.799 --> 00:15:11.200
<v Speaker 1>about that in a minute. So RB two twenty eight,

298
00:15:12.120 --> 00:15:15.919
<v Speaker 1>wide receiver one thirty two, wide receiver two twenty six,

299
00:15:16.360 --> 00:15:22.559
<v Speaker 1>wide receiver three eighteen, tight end five flexes eleven, nine

300
00:15:22.679 --> 00:15:27.120
<v Speaker 1>and eight, and then my bench six, four, three and

301
00:15:27.159 --> 00:15:30.120
<v Speaker 1>then one one one. So I'm putting almost no money

302
00:15:30.120 --> 00:15:33.200
<v Speaker 1>into my bench. And that's something that has changed a

303
00:15:33.200 --> 00:15:36.120
<v Speaker 1>little bit for me over the years, not only in

304
00:15:36.159 --> 00:15:38.799
<v Speaker 1>deep leagues like the King's Classic, but in most leagues.

305
00:15:38.879 --> 00:15:41.120
<v Speaker 1>In most of my pars sheet builds. You're going to

306
00:15:41.200 --> 00:15:44.159
<v Speaker 1>notice this year that I do not care about your bench,

307
00:15:44.279 --> 00:15:47.240
<v Speaker 1>and I've cared less and less about that over the years.

308
00:15:47.679 --> 00:15:50.200
<v Speaker 1>That's something that I'm shifting away from and if I

309
00:15:50.240 --> 00:15:52.399
<v Speaker 1>can save money on my starters and feel good, Okay,

310
00:15:52.480 --> 00:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>that's fine. Let's get some depth. But for the most part,

311
00:15:55.080 --> 00:15:57.480
<v Speaker 1>I just don't care. I want to be aggressive on

312
00:15:57.519 --> 00:15:59.519
<v Speaker 1>the waiver wire early and I want to be able

313
00:15:59.519 --> 00:16:01.960
<v Speaker 1>to cut people. All right. So that's it right there,

314
00:16:02.000 --> 00:16:05.200
<v Speaker 1>as far as the setup with my parshiet, Let's talk

315
00:16:05.240 --> 00:16:08.399
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about what were the themes that I

316
00:16:08.480 --> 00:16:12.559
<v Speaker 1>pulled from the draft. And then after I finished talking

317
00:16:12.639 --> 00:16:14.279
<v Speaker 1>about them, you're going to think, well, we didn't discuss

318
00:16:14.320 --> 00:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>that very much. And that's exactly right, because I want

319
00:16:16.519 --> 00:16:18.480
<v Speaker 1>you to just take those themes and I want you

320
00:16:18.519 --> 00:16:22.159
<v Speaker 1>to think about them as we roll through the draft chronologically.

321
00:16:22.840 --> 00:16:25.679
<v Speaker 1>All right, Let's talk about four themes I pulled from

322
00:16:25.720 --> 00:16:36.600
<v Speaker 1>the King's Classic auction on Saturday. The first theme is

323
00:16:36.639 --> 00:16:39.200
<v Speaker 1>one that we beat to death on Tuesday with Scott Pianowski.

324
00:16:39.200 --> 00:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>But I have to say it again, this was a

325
00:16:41.159 --> 00:16:45.080
<v Speaker 1>tight conservative room. And so what we have to decide

326
00:16:45.440 --> 00:16:48.159
<v Speaker 1>when this is happening in the room is how are

327
00:16:48.200 --> 00:16:52.919
<v Speaker 1>we preceding the rest of the auction Because you find

328
00:16:52.960 --> 00:16:55.600
<v Speaker 1>out really early on that this is a tight conservative group,

329
00:16:56.039 --> 00:16:59.159
<v Speaker 1>and what are you going to do when you notice

330
00:16:59.200 --> 00:17:01.559
<v Speaker 1>that that's what's going on in the draft room. This

331
00:17:01.639 --> 00:17:04.240
<v Speaker 1>is really important stuff. How do I approach a tight

332
00:17:04.279 --> 00:17:08.200
<v Speaker 1>conservative room? And my idea was that I was going

333
00:17:08.240 --> 00:17:10.680
<v Speaker 1>to strike early and not have any regrets about going

334
00:17:10.720 --> 00:17:13.559
<v Speaker 1>for top level players, because, as I said at the

335
00:17:13.599 --> 00:17:16.440
<v Speaker 1>beginning of the summer, it's all about the high level

336
00:17:16.480 --> 00:17:20.079
<v Speaker 1>producers that are going to win you fantasy titles, and

337
00:17:20.160 --> 00:17:22.880
<v Speaker 1>getting a bunch of eight dollar guys isn't necessarily going

338
00:17:22.920 --> 00:17:25.200
<v Speaker 1>to do it for you. You have to have difference makers.

339
00:17:25.599 --> 00:17:27.640
<v Speaker 1>So in a tight conservative room, I think we need

340
00:17:27.640 --> 00:17:31.079
<v Speaker 1>to be ready to strike. So the theme of this

341
00:17:31.200 --> 00:17:33.960
<v Speaker 1>draft was it was a tight conservative group that really

342
00:17:34.039 --> 00:17:37.480
<v Speaker 1>knew their values. The second theme I pulled out of

343
00:17:37.480 --> 00:17:42.160
<v Speaker 1>it was that I think that in a typical online auction,

344
00:17:42.759 --> 00:17:46.799
<v Speaker 1>you're getting a countdown clock at ten to nine, eight seven,

345
00:17:47.160 --> 00:17:50.119
<v Speaker 1>so people know when they have to bid. But as

346
00:17:50.160 --> 00:17:53.160
<v Speaker 1>we're doing a live auction in the King's Classic with

347
00:17:53.839 --> 00:17:58.279
<v Speaker 1>a professional auctioneer, it changed his things, okay, and it

348
00:17:58.400 --> 00:18:02.200
<v Speaker 1>changed that draft. Now Matt Cruzy, friend of the show,

349
00:18:02.240 --> 00:18:03.920
<v Speaker 1>He's going to be on the Salary Cap summit on

350
00:18:04.000 --> 00:18:07.240
<v Speaker 1>Monday night or excuse me night, Tuesday night. The fourth

351
00:18:07.559 --> 00:18:09.559
<v Speaker 1>and we're going to talk about this a little bit

352
00:18:09.599 --> 00:18:12.519
<v Speaker 1>with him, but him and I have had the conversation before.

353
00:18:12.680 --> 00:18:14.960
<v Speaker 1>He knows where I stand on this stuff, and so

354
00:18:15.039 --> 00:18:18.279
<v Speaker 1>this opinion won't be a surprise to him. But I

355
00:18:18.279 --> 00:18:20.799
<v Speaker 1>think there was a lack of poker against each other.

356
00:18:21.119 --> 00:18:24.279
<v Speaker 1>I think there was a lack of headbutting against each

357
00:18:24.279 --> 00:18:27.519
<v Speaker 1>other in the draft, and I think I can attribute

358
00:18:27.559 --> 00:18:32.279
<v Speaker 1>that to the time everyone had to think about their bids.

359
00:18:32.799 --> 00:18:35.240
<v Speaker 1>One of the benefits that I've always said that we

360
00:18:35.319 --> 00:18:38.599
<v Speaker 1>have as people who are more prepared, who have a parshet,

361
00:18:38.759 --> 00:18:42.720
<v Speaker 1>and who study more the craft of auction drafting, I

362
00:18:42.720 --> 00:18:45.599
<v Speaker 1>think one of our benefits is that we can force

363
00:18:45.640 --> 00:18:48.799
<v Speaker 1>people into mistakes by using the pace of the auction

364
00:18:49.000 --> 00:18:52.039
<v Speaker 1>to do it. And that pace, a lot of times

365
00:18:52.279 --> 00:18:55.960
<v Speaker 1>involves that countdown, the going once, the going twice, The

366
00:18:55.960 --> 00:18:59.079
<v Speaker 1>beeping of the clock in front of you online gives

367
00:18:59.079 --> 00:19:02.240
<v Speaker 1>you that pressure, builds that anxiety and forces you to

368
00:19:02.279 --> 00:19:05.720
<v Speaker 1>make decisions. I think what ended up happening with the

369
00:19:05.759 --> 00:19:08.759
<v Speaker 1>live auctioneer was that there was a lot of time

370
00:19:08.799 --> 00:19:12.720
<v Speaker 1>to think after people were out. He gave everyone time

371
00:19:12.759 --> 00:19:15.319
<v Speaker 1>to bid, and that's okay, that's a style we all

372
00:19:15.359 --> 00:19:19.519
<v Speaker 1>have to adjust to and we all have the same auctioneer.

373
00:19:19.559 --> 00:19:22.000
<v Speaker 1>It's not like that's something that's unique to me. But

374
00:19:22.079 --> 00:19:24.400
<v Speaker 1>I believe it nerved a little bit of my skill

375
00:19:25.319 --> 00:19:29.200
<v Speaker 1>and ability to manipulate the auction room because everyone had

376
00:19:29.240 --> 00:19:32.599
<v Speaker 1>a lot of time to think, and I believe that

377
00:19:32.640 --> 00:19:36.240
<v Speaker 1>contributed to the stability and the pricing as well. We

378
00:19:36.400 --> 00:19:38.759
<v Speaker 1>just didn't see a lot of wacky stuff. And again,

379
00:19:38.839 --> 00:19:41.480
<v Speaker 1>it's smart guys, and if you give them time to think,

380
00:19:41.720 --> 00:19:44.519
<v Speaker 1>they're not going to do wacky things. If you pressure them,

381
00:19:44.640 --> 00:19:47.720
<v Speaker 1>they might, they might make mistakes. So I think that

382
00:19:47.839 --> 00:19:49.480
<v Speaker 1>was a theme of the draft too, and I think

383
00:19:49.680 --> 00:19:53.680
<v Speaker 1>overall the stable pricing was a result of it. The

384
00:19:53.720 --> 00:19:57.240
<v Speaker 1>third theme I noticed was that despite the fact that

385
00:19:57.240 --> 00:20:01.240
<v Speaker 1>we've spent the whole summer talking about how personnel is

386
00:20:01.359 --> 00:20:04.119
<v Speaker 1>changing in the NFL and how wide receiver twos are

387
00:20:04.240 --> 00:20:09.319
<v Speaker 1>less valuable than ever before, the prices did not reflect

388
00:20:09.319 --> 00:20:11.960
<v Speaker 1>that in this auction. And I'm going to tell you

389
00:20:12.039 --> 00:20:14.799
<v Speaker 1>I don't think the prices are reflecting that in general

390
00:20:15.160 --> 00:20:17.799
<v Speaker 1>in the MOX that we're doing either. So I think

391
00:20:17.839 --> 00:20:20.079
<v Speaker 1>one of the big things I'm going to be hammering

392
00:20:20.200 --> 00:20:22.920
<v Speaker 1>in my drafts and in my draft plan coming up

393
00:20:23.000 --> 00:20:27.319
<v Speaker 1>for football guys that I'm writing soon is that running

394
00:20:27.319 --> 00:20:30.880
<v Speaker 1>backs showed greater fantasy utility last year than they ever

395
00:20:30.960 --> 00:20:37.039
<v Speaker 1>have and wide receiver twos tanked yet dot dot dot

396
00:20:37.400 --> 00:20:41.440
<v Speaker 1>prices didn't reflect that, and they aren't reflecting that. And

397
00:20:41.519 --> 00:20:44.640
<v Speaker 1>there's our edge. I believe there is our edge. Look,

398
00:20:44.680 --> 00:20:47.880
<v Speaker 1>I just did a quick glance at last year. But

399
00:20:47.960 --> 00:20:50.319
<v Speaker 1>the wide receiver twenty four last year averaged twelve and

400
00:20:50.359 --> 00:20:54.000
<v Speaker 1>a half PPR points per game. The running back twenty

401
00:20:54.000 --> 00:20:58.200
<v Speaker 1>four average twelve point two PPR points per game. Point

402
00:20:58.279 --> 00:21:01.880
<v Speaker 1>three difference. And when you consider that middle tier of

403
00:21:01.920 --> 00:21:04.240
<v Speaker 1>wide receivers that we're going to talk about was going

404
00:21:04.279 --> 00:21:07.680
<v Speaker 1>for twenty two, twenty five, twenty eight, thirty two, and

405
00:21:07.720 --> 00:21:11.359
<v Speaker 1>you could get a similar running back for twelve or

406
00:21:11.440 --> 00:21:16.799
<v Speaker 1>fourteen or sixteen or nine. Folks, folks, what are we doing?

407
00:21:17.160 --> 00:21:19.160
<v Speaker 1>What are we doing? We're making it harder than it

408
00:21:19.200 --> 00:21:23.000
<v Speaker 1>needs to be. I love chasing receivers too. I did

409
00:21:23.039 --> 00:21:26.240
<v Speaker 1>it in this draft too. I'm not jumping on anybody's head.

410
00:21:26.400 --> 00:21:29.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm here to say we're missing the plot. We are

411
00:21:29.920 --> 00:21:33.000
<v Speaker 1>missing the plot, all right. And the number four thing is,

412
00:21:33.519 --> 00:21:36.519
<v Speaker 1>once again, I believe we had a stubborn quarterback room,

413
00:21:36.920 --> 00:21:40.240
<v Speaker 1>and this opened up some value as well. I don't

414
00:21:40.319 --> 00:21:42.559
<v Speaker 1>think that's going to happen in a lot of home leagues,

415
00:21:43.400 --> 00:21:47.359
<v Speaker 1>but I do think in sharp rooms it's going to happen.

416
00:21:47.400 --> 00:21:49.079
<v Speaker 1>And if you're in one of those rooms, you need

417
00:21:49.119 --> 00:21:52.319
<v Speaker 1>to remember that there is some opportunity there at quarterback.

418
00:21:52.920 --> 00:21:57.079
<v Speaker 1>Other than Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, I don't believe

419
00:21:57.079 --> 00:22:00.000
<v Speaker 1>a quarterback went for over seven dollars in the entire time.

420
00:22:01.680 --> 00:22:04.119
<v Speaker 1>No quarterback went for more than seven dollars except for

421
00:22:04.240 --> 00:22:08.319
<v Speaker 1>Jackson and Allen. So there is an opportunity there. Okay,

422
00:22:08.359 --> 00:22:10.920
<v Speaker 1>those are the themes. Now that we've got that out

423
00:22:10.920 --> 00:22:13.680
<v Speaker 1>of the way, we've got a nice solid half hour

424
00:22:13.759 --> 00:22:16.920
<v Speaker 1>here to walk through this auction and see what happened

425
00:22:16.920 --> 00:22:20.039
<v Speaker 1>and see how the results turned out the way that

426
00:22:20.079 --> 00:22:30.200
<v Speaker 1>they did. Okay, So I think it's beneficial at this

427
00:22:30.359 --> 00:22:33.799
<v Speaker 1>point to reverse engineer this thing by saying what my

428
00:22:33.880 --> 00:22:36.839
<v Speaker 1>team is so that you can see how I build it,

429
00:22:37.440 --> 00:22:39.119
<v Speaker 1>if that makes any sense, because I don't think it

430
00:22:39.119 --> 00:22:40.680
<v Speaker 1>does any good for me to start talking here and

431
00:22:40.720 --> 00:22:43.279
<v Speaker 1>you have no idea what I ended up doing. So

432
00:22:43.359 --> 00:22:47.400
<v Speaker 1>my team is as follows, Drake May my only quarterback.

433
00:22:47.440 --> 00:22:53.279
<v Speaker 1>I paid six dollars, Sakwon Barkley forty dollars, Jalen Warren sixteen,

434
00:22:54.039 --> 00:22:59.759
<v Speaker 1>Kyle manungai nine, JK. Dobbins seven, Tank Bigsby five. Yes,

435
00:22:59.799 --> 00:23:02.480
<v Speaker 1>I cuff sa Kwon Barkley. You want to fight about it?

436
00:23:03.079 --> 00:23:05.759
<v Speaker 1>Braylen Allen for a dollar, Emmanuel Wilson for a dollar.

437
00:23:06.480 --> 00:23:09.720
<v Speaker 1>At wide receiver, I have a'man Ross Brown for forty nine,

438
00:23:10.319 --> 00:23:14.720
<v Speaker 1>Jalen Waddell for twenty nine, Michael Pittman for twelve, Wandale

439
00:23:14.759 --> 00:23:18.960
<v Speaker 1>Robinson for eleven, Romeo Dobbs for five, and Dontavian Wicks

440
00:23:19.000 --> 00:23:22.000
<v Speaker 1>for two. And then my tight ends are a pile

441
00:23:22.079 --> 00:23:25.359
<v Speaker 1>of garbage. I got garbage pile one for three dollars

442
00:23:25.440 --> 00:23:30.480
<v Speaker 1>and garbage Pile two for two dollars. Sorry, I'm a

443
00:23:30.519 --> 00:23:33.079
<v Speaker 1>little slap happy. I got Dalton Schultz for three bucks

444
00:23:33.119 --> 00:23:35.559
<v Speaker 1>in Kobe Parkinson for two easily the worst part of

445
00:23:35.559 --> 00:23:39.039
<v Speaker 1>my roster. And I'm not happy about my last couple

446
00:23:39.240 --> 00:23:42.799
<v Speaker 1>wide receivers, but I love my quarterback. Let me just

447
00:23:42.839 --> 00:23:45.240
<v Speaker 1>say this. My top four receivers and top four running

448
00:23:45.279 --> 00:23:48.759
<v Speaker 1>backs I'm very happy about, and I'm happy about Drake May.

449
00:23:49.039 --> 00:23:50.640
<v Speaker 1>The rest of it's a little bit of a question mark,

450
00:23:50.680 --> 00:23:54.279
<v Speaker 1>but everybody has that, so we'll talk about those prices

451
00:23:54.279 --> 00:23:56.480
<v Speaker 1>again as we go through. But I wanted to put

452
00:23:56.480 --> 00:23:58.440
<v Speaker 1>that out there so you know exactly what we're working

453
00:23:58.480 --> 00:24:01.759
<v Speaker 1>with and how we got there so early in the draft.

454
00:24:01.880 --> 00:24:05.720
<v Speaker 1>What was my approach? Well, I drew the number four

455
00:24:06.279 --> 00:24:09.240
<v Speaker 1>nomination spot. And if you want a little bit more

456
00:24:09.319 --> 00:24:12.680
<v Speaker 1>in depth about my early nomination, head over to the

457
00:24:12.680 --> 00:24:15.920
<v Speaker 1>Patreon network because I just dropped a nine minute video

458
00:24:16.519 --> 00:24:20.440
<v Speaker 1>about the conversation around Saquon Barkley as my nomination with

459
00:24:20.480 --> 00:24:24.200
<v Speaker 1>the fourth overall pick. But let me break it down

460
00:24:24.319 --> 00:24:26.400
<v Speaker 1>a little bit quicker here because you can get nine

461
00:24:26.400 --> 00:24:29.720
<v Speaker 1>minutes over there about that. But I had the fourth pick,

462
00:24:29.759 --> 00:24:32.640
<v Speaker 1>and I've been thinking for weeks what am I going

463
00:24:32.759 --> 00:24:35.359
<v Speaker 1>to do with that fourth nomination? I shouldn't call it

464
00:24:35.400 --> 00:24:39.160
<v Speaker 1>a pick fourth nomination, and I decided that I wanted

465
00:24:39.200 --> 00:24:43.119
<v Speaker 1>to do Sequon Barkley with that fourth nomination and why

466
00:24:43.759 --> 00:24:48.240
<v Speaker 1>because I felt like he was being disrespected a little

467
00:24:48.240 --> 00:24:52.079
<v Speaker 1>bit and would be somebody that people might not be

468
00:24:52.279 --> 00:24:55.359
<v Speaker 1>as interested in as they were in previous years. So

469
00:24:55.400 --> 00:24:57.680
<v Speaker 1>I was really hoping to get Barkley thirty six to

470
00:24:57.759 --> 00:25:00.920
<v Speaker 1>thirty nine dollars. I ended up getting him for forty

471
00:25:01.079 --> 00:25:04.680
<v Speaker 1>I did nominate him with the fourth pick, got him

472
00:25:04.680 --> 00:25:07.519
<v Speaker 1>for forty bucks, and I was pretty happy about at

473
00:25:07.519 --> 00:25:10.200
<v Speaker 1>the time. Now, as I said in my Patreon video,

474
00:25:10.759 --> 00:25:12.759
<v Speaker 1>it turned out to be a little bit irritating, and

475
00:25:12.799 --> 00:25:15.279
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it was the greatest nomination. And the

476
00:25:15.359 --> 00:25:17.839
<v Speaker 1>reason for that is because I think I probably should

477
00:25:17.880 --> 00:25:21.119
<v Speaker 1>have pivoted off of Barkley once I realized what was

478
00:25:21.160 --> 00:25:26.000
<v Speaker 1>happening early in the draft, because the conservative players in

479
00:25:26.039 --> 00:25:30.079
<v Speaker 1>the room, the conservative managers, did not give out a

480
00:25:30.119 --> 00:25:33.680
<v Speaker 1>sitting down bonus. Now, folks, this is going to happen

481
00:25:33.680 --> 00:25:36.720
<v Speaker 1>in just about every one of your drafts. But as

482
00:25:36.759 --> 00:25:39.200
<v Speaker 1>I've said before, it's not going to happen in every draft,

483
00:25:39.680 --> 00:25:41.839
<v Speaker 1>and in the sharper rooms, they're going to be watching

484
00:25:41.880 --> 00:25:43.720
<v Speaker 1>out for it. And I don't believe there was a

485
00:25:43.720 --> 00:25:47.880
<v Speaker 1>sitting down bonus here. We had. The number one player

486
00:25:47.920 --> 00:25:51.200
<v Speaker 1>that was nominated was Kyron Williams. He went for twenty five,

487
00:25:51.920 --> 00:25:55.440
<v Speaker 1>and then it was Junior Gibbs for fifty eight, Christian

488
00:25:55.480 --> 00:25:58.200
<v Speaker 1>Watson for twenty one, and then I called out Barkley

489
00:25:58.200 --> 00:26:01.160
<v Speaker 1>and got him for forty. So I don't believe there

490
00:26:01.240 --> 00:26:03.920
<v Speaker 1>was a sitting down bonus. Happening here, although I could

491
00:26:04.000 --> 00:26:08.160
<v Speaker 1>argue that Barkley was maybe a couple dollars off, But again,

492
00:26:08.240 --> 00:26:12.119
<v Speaker 1>when it comes back to talking about the top level players,

493
00:26:12.599 --> 00:26:14.839
<v Speaker 1>you're never really going to get much of a discount

494
00:26:14.920 --> 00:26:18.200
<v Speaker 1>on the top level players. I got lucky getting Brown

495
00:26:18.279 --> 00:26:20.799
<v Speaker 1>last year for thirty six bucks. He went for thirty

496
00:26:20.839 --> 00:26:22.720
<v Speaker 1>eight this year. He was another guy that I thought

497
00:26:22.759 --> 00:26:25.240
<v Speaker 1>about going with, but I thought that was getting a

498
00:26:25.279 --> 00:26:27.400
<v Speaker 1>little bit too cute, and I thought that he would

499
00:26:27.400 --> 00:26:29.200
<v Speaker 1>be a little bit more expensive than I wanted him

500
00:26:29.240 --> 00:26:31.720
<v Speaker 1>to be because people are generally off sa quon. I'm

501
00:26:31.759 --> 00:26:34.559
<v Speaker 1>pretty excited about Chase Brown, so that's why I did

502
00:26:34.680 --> 00:26:36.680
<v Speaker 1>what I did. But again, head over to the Patreon

503
00:26:36.680 --> 00:26:39.799
<v Speaker 1>and check out that conversation. I think it's a fun one.

504
00:26:39.880 --> 00:26:42.440
<v Speaker 1>I think that I made a bit of a mistake

505
00:26:42.680 --> 00:26:45.200
<v Speaker 1>early in this draft because I was counting on a

506
00:26:45.240 --> 00:26:48.240
<v Speaker 1>sitting down bonus and I didn't get one, and so

507
00:26:48.359 --> 00:26:51.160
<v Speaker 1>I probably could have played it a little more conservative early.

508
00:26:51.920 --> 00:26:54.640
<v Speaker 1>But I believe, just like at a poker table, when

509
00:26:54.720 --> 00:26:57.920
<v Speaker 1>things are conservative, you need to be aggressive. And so

510
00:26:58.039 --> 00:27:00.880
<v Speaker 1>my thought all along was that I was going to

511
00:27:00.920 --> 00:27:02.799
<v Speaker 1>strike early and that I was not going to have

512
00:27:02.839 --> 00:27:07.039
<v Speaker 1>regrets about buying a couple of really elite players. And

513
00:27:07.079 --> 00:27:09.640
<v Speaker 1>that's what I did with Saquon Barkley and A'man Ross

514
00:27:09.640 --> 00:27:12.839
<v Speaker 1>Saint Brown. And here's the funny thing, I didn't even

515
00:27:12.839 --> 00:27:14.759
<v Speaker 1>realize it happened this quickly. And this is why you

516
00:27:14.839 --> 00:27:17.240
<v Speaker 1>have to go back and look at this stuff. I

517
00:27:17.279 --> 00:27:19.640
<v Speaker 1>got Saquon with a fourth pick and I got A'man

518
00:27:19.720 --> 00:27:22.960
<v Speaker 1>Ross Saint Brown with the thirteenth pick. All right, so

519
00:27:23.079 --> 00:27:25.880
<v Speaker 1>the thirteenth nomination, I already had two players for eighty

520
00:27:25.960 --> 00:27:29.440
<v Speaker 1>nine bucks. It affected my draft greatly, and I'm going

521
00:27:29.480 --> 00:27:32.480
<v Speaker 1>to tell you exactly what happened with Aman Ross Saint Brown.

522
00:27:33.079 --> 00:27:35.880
<v Speaker 1>I told myself before I went into this draft that

523
00:27:36.039 --> 00:27:38.559
<v Speaker 1>I was not going to let people get away with

524
00:27:38.880 --> 00:27:43.559
<v Speaker 1>early deals on elite players. Now, the Kyron Williams nomination

525
00:27:43.680 --> 00:27:45.960
<v Speaker 1>bothered me a little bit because I wanted to keep going,

526
00:27:45.960 --> 00:27:47.839
<v Speaker 1>and when he went for twenty five, I was a

527
00:27:47.880 --> 00:27:50.359
<v Speaker 1>little frustrated by that. But I wanted to stick with

528
00:27:50.400 --> 00:27:53.440
<v Speaker 1>my plan early to go for more elite players. And

529
00:27:53.480 --> 00:27:55.799
<v Speaker 1>I felt like, even if that was a deal for Kyron,

530
00:27:56.119 --> 00:27:58.640
<v Speaker 1>it was going to affect my draft and I didn't

531
00:27:58.680 --> 00:28:00.519
<v Speaker 1>want it to do it that. I didn't want to

532
00:28:00.559 --> 00:28:03.000
<v Speaker 1>do that that quickly. I didn't want to lock myself

533
00:28:03.039 --> 00:28:05.400
<v Speaker 1>in that quickly, and it was a good thing I didn't,

534
00:28:05.839 --> 00:28:08.119
<v Speaker 1>because if I had stuck him in my RB two spot,

535
00:28:08.119 --> 00:28:11.640
<v Speaker 1>I would have felt good initially being three dollars ahead

536
00:28:11.680 --> 00:28:14.000
<v Speaker 1>of my twenty eight dollars estimation, but it would have

537
00:28:14.039 --> 00:28:17.599
<v Speaker 1>gone poorly when I got Saint Brown. So anyway back

538
00:28:17.599 --> 00:28:20.119
<v Speaker 1>to the point, which is that I had two players

539
00:28:20.160 --> 00:28:22.839
<v Speaker 1>in the first round for eighty nine bucks. But remember

540
00:28:22.880 --> 00:28:25.200
<v Speaker 1>I told you on the recent walkthrough that in those

541
00:28:25.240 --> 00:28:27.359
<v Speaker 1>first two rounds, I wanted two guys, and that's what

542
00:28:27.440 --> 00:28:30.759
<v Speaker 1>I did. I was very happy about that. Okay, that's

543
00:28:30.759 --> 00:28:34.039
<v Speaker 1>a plan that I executed well, and I felt fairly

544
00:28:34.119 --> 00:28:38.119
<v Speaker 1>good about it until some other things happened that made

545
00:28:38.160 --> 00:28:41.079
<v Speaker 1>me just a little bit irritated that I didn't have

546
00:28:41.200 --> 00:28:43.720
<v Speaker 1>just a little bit more patience. But I feel like

547
00:28:43.759 --> 00:28:48.440
<v Speaker 1>sometimes the patience thing can backfire, especially when we're trying

548
00:28:48.440 --> 00:28:51.200
<v Speaker 1>to grab those first and second round picks. So what

549
00:28:51.240 --> 00:28:54.400
<v Speaker 1>happens with Saint Brown is the bidding starts slowing down

550
00:28:54.400 --> 00:28:57.759
<v Speaker 1>in the mid forties, and I'm thinking to myself, Drew,

551
00:28:57.920 --> 00:29:00.279
<v Speaker 1>you are not going to forgive yourself if one of

552
00:29:00.279 --> 00:29:03.039
<v Speaker 1>your favorite first round players ends up going for less

553
00:29:03.079 --> 00:29:06.640
<v Speaker 1>than fifty dollars because I talked about this a couple

554
00:29:06.720 --> 00:29:08.799
<v Speaker 1>weeks ago when I said, guys that I thought I

555
00:29:08.839 --> 00:29:11.640
<v Speaker 1>would have more of that are going too expensive. Amon

556
00:29:11.720 --> 00:29:14.279
<v Speaker 1>Ra was one of those that I listed because I

557
00:29:14.279 --> 00:29:15.400
<v Speaker 1>said I thought I'd be able to get him for

558
00:29:15.480 --> 00:29:17.920
<v Speaker 1>less than fifty bucks, and yet every time I turn around,

559
00:29:17.960 --> 00:29:20.480
<v Speaker 1>he's going for fifty or more. So I said, in

560
00:29:20.519 --> 00:29:23.240
<v Speaker 1>this draft, I really think that it's going to be

561
00:29:23.920 --> 00:29:26.279
<v Speaker 1>hard for me to sit here and stare at aman

562
00:29:26.359 --> 00:29:28.640
<v Speaker 1>Raj Saint Brown in the mid to upper forties and

563
00:29:28.720 --> 00:29:31.920
<v Speaker 1>tell myself, gosh, I missed that opportunity when you see

564
00:29:31.960 --> 00:29:35.960
<v Speaker 1>players going for more later. So the way that it

565
00:29:36.000 --> 00:29:39.839
<v Speaker 1>happens is the extra bit of thinking time that I

566
00:29:39.880 --> 00:29:42.440
<v Speaker 1>talked about in the earlier theme when I talked about

567
00:29:42.480 --> 00:29:45.920
<v Speaker 1>the auctioneer and how people were able to think. It

568
00:29:46.000 --> 00:29:50.799
<v Speaker 1>actually aided me here. It helped me here. And it

569
00:29:50.799 --> 00:29:52.920
<v Speaker 1>can be argued that it didn't help me because I

570
00:29:52.960 --> 00:29:55.799
<v Speaker 1>never would have been forty nine if it had been quicker.

571
00:29:56.279 --> 00:29:59.079
<v Speaker 1>But I like how it turned out because a lot

572
00:29:59.119 --> 00:30:01.640
<v Speaker 1>of times in this league, I don't get an elite

573
00:30:01.759 --> 00:30:04.400
<v Speaker 1>player like that for that much of a price. I

574
00:30:04.400 --> 00:30:06.960
<v Speaker 1>got Pooka for thirty nine last year, so a'm and

575
00:30:07.039 --> 00:30:09.000
<v Speaker 1>rah for forty nine is a little bit out of

576
00:30:09.000 --> 00:30:11.200
<v Speaker 1>my comfort zone. I was proud of myself for that.

577
00:30:11.200 --> 00:30:13.359
<v Speaker 1>That's not normally something I do, and you got to

578
00:30:13.400 --> 00:30:16.039
<v Speaker 1>check yourself on stuff like that. So what ends up

579
00:30:16.039 --> 00:30:19.240
<v Speaker 1>happening is it stalls out in the mid forties. I'm

580
00:30:19.279 --> 00:30:21.720
<v Speaker 1>not in on the bidding and at forty eight dollars,

581
00:30:21.759 --> 00:30:25.759
<v Speaker 1>harm and holds the player and he says, anybody, anybody, anybody,

582
00:30:25.799 --> 00:30:28.519
<v Speaker 1>And then I jumped in right into the wire at

583
00:30:28.519 --> 00:30:30.559
<v Speaker 1>the last second and he said forty nine. Because I

584
00:30:30.599 --> 00:30:33.039
<v Speaker 1>said to myself, I'm not going to stare at I'm

585
00:30:33.079 --> 00:30:34.960
<v Speaker 1>on rass Saint Brown for the next three hours for

586
00:30:34.960 --> 00:30:38.440
<v Speaker 1>forty eight bucks and be pissed. Okay, you never regret

587
00:30:38.519 --> 00:30:41.279
<v Speaker 1>spending that extra dollar or two for a good player,

588
00:30:41.640 --> 00:30:43.200
<v Speaker 1>And that all went through my head and I just

589
00:30:43.240 --> 00:30:47.119
<v Speaker 1>said forty nine. It was a bit impulsive. But one

590
00:30:47.119 --> 00:30:49.359
<v Speaker 1>of the things you have to remember is I don't

591
00:30:49.359 --> 00:30:52.480
<v Speaker 1>care so much about the price because it's about market price.

592
00:30:52.799 --> 00:30:55.200
<v Speaker 1>I care about having the player there. I'm not trying

593
00:30:55.240 --> 00:30:57.680
<v Speaker 1>to get a deal on i'm on Rassain Brown. I'm

594
00:30:57.680 --> 00:30:59.519
<v Speaker 1>just saying he's less than fifty bucks, I gotta go

595
00:30:59.599 --> 00:31:02.319
<v Speaker 1>for it. There's nobody that's more money in the bank

596
00:31:02.839 --> 00:31:05.119
<v Speaker 1>with one hundred and fifteen catches and ten touchdowns the

597
00:31:05.200 --> 00:31:08.039
<v Speaker 1>last three years than this guy. So for forty nine bucks,

598
00:31:08.279 --> 00:31:11.759
<v Speaker 1>I was happy with it. Here's the cascade effect that

599
00:31:11.799 --> 00:31:14.759
<v Speaker 1>it had on my roster. Because I had gotten Barkley

600
00:31:14.799 --> 00:31:17.279
<v Speaker 1>for forty and as I said, my par sheet had

601
00:31:17.359 --> 00:31:19.720
<v Speaker 1>him for forty four. I was feeling great that I

602
00:31:19.799 --> 00:31:22.200
<v Speaker 1>was plus four on my par sheet and then I

603
00:31:22.240 --> 00:31:24.599
<v Speaker 1>blew that out of the water with Saint Brown for

604
00:31:24.599 --> 00:31:27.440
<v Speaker 1>forty nine because I had allotted thirty two for my

605
00:31:27.480 --> 00:31:30.480
<v Speaker 1>wide receiver. One. You can call this a mistake. I'm

606
00:31:30.480 --> 00:31:33.319
<v Speaker 1>not sure that it is. That would be overly critical

607
00:31:33.359 --> 00:31:37.319
<v Speaker 1>of myself, but I lose seventeen dollars to my par sheet. There.

608
00:31:37.359 --> 00:31:40.000
<v Speaker 1>That's a massive swing, and I think one that I

609
00:31:40.079 --> 00:31:43.359
<v Speaker 1>probably should not have taken. So it was a bit impulsive.

610
00:31:43.640 --> 00:31:46.000
<v Speaker 1>But I also wasn't mad about it because I told

611
00:31:46.079 --> 00:31:48.440
<v Speaker 1>myself I was going to be aggressive and strike early.

612
00:31:49.160 --> 00:31:51.480
<v Speaker 1>But I went from plus four to minus thirteen on

613
00:31:51.559 --> 00:31:54.240
<v Speaker 1>my par sheet. Here's what I love about the par sheet.

614
00:31:54.480 --> 00:31:57.759
<v Speaker 1>Now I've got to adjust. Can I take money off

615
00:31:57.799 --> 00:32:00.680
<v Speaker 1>of my ride receiver two. Well not really. I'm at

616
00:32:00.680 --> 00:32:02.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty six bucks and I'm at eighteen for my wide

617
00:32:02.920 --> 00:32:05.480
<v Speaker 1>receiver three. I think what I'm gonna have to do

618
00:32:05.559 --> 00:32:07.519
<v Speaker 1>is shave a bunch of money off of RB two,

619
00:32:07.720 --> 00:32:10.119
<v Speaker 1>which of course is something I'm very comfortable with and

620
00:32:10.119 --> 00:32:12.519
<v Speaker 1>it's something that i do all the time. So we're

621
00:32:12.519 --> 00:32:15.279
<v Speaker 1>gonna get there in a minute with how that happened.

622
00:32:16.480 --> 00:32:19.200
<v Speaker 1>But the beginning of the draft really proceeds, as it

623
00:32:19.240 --> 00:32:22.440
<v Speaker 1>does in most drafts, in a really linear fashion. And

624
00:32:22.519 --> 00:32:25.359
<v Speaker 1>don't forget something that I say all the time is

625
00:32:25.400 --> 00:32:27.680
<v Speaker 1>that people want to nominate the top guys, and even

626
00:32:27.720 --> 00:32:30.480
<v Speaker 1>if it isn't like straight down the list like BOOKA

627
00:32:30.720 --> 00:32:34.440
<v Speaker 1>Chase Jaysen, they want to nominate the top guys. In

628
00:32:34.480 --> 00:32:38.599
<v Speaker 1>the first two rounds twenty eight nominations, only two players

629
00:32:38.599 --> 00:32:42.079
<v Speaker 1>were nominated that were outside the top twenty four running

630
00:32:42.079 --> 00:32:44.839
<v Speaker 1>back or wide receiver or top twelve tight end. That

631
00:32:45.039 --> 00:32:49.960
<v Speaker 1>was Christian Watson and DeVante Adams. So twenty six of

632
00:32:50.000 --> 00:32:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the first twenty eight players are essentially elite players. This

633
00:32:55.000 --> 00:32:57.279
<v Speaker 1>is something that I've been hammering on this summer more

634
00:32:57.599 --> 00:33:00.279
<v Speaker 1>but I want you to remember this. People will nominate

635
00:33:00.319 --> 00:33:02.319
<v Speaker 1>the top guys. So it's important for you just to

636
00:33:02.359 --> 00:33:05.960
<v Speaker 1>nominate your top guys that you want. So things really

637
00:33:06.039 --> 00:33:09.640
<v Speaker 1>unfold in a pretty linear fashion as prices are really

638
00:33:10.079 --> 00:33:14.720
<v Speaker 1>slotting in quite nicely, players like Christian McCaffrey forty six,

639
00:33:15.119 --> 00:33:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Kenneth Walker forty, Jonathan Taylor forty two, Ashton Gent forty three.

640
00:33:20.920 --> 00:33:22.799
<v Speaker 1>And I think that I have a little bit of

641
00:33:22.839 --> 00:33:25.960
<v Speaker 1>comfort there in the fact that I like Barkley for

642
00:33:25.960 --> 00:33:28.680
<v Speaker 1>forty when you're talking about Taylor for forty two, Walker

643
00:33:28.720 --> 00:33:32.400
<v Speaker 1>for forty, Gent for forty three. I think what got

644
00:33:32.480 --> 00:33:34.359
<v Speaker 1>me a little bit irritated was that there was a

645
00:33:34.400 --> 00:33:37.359
<v Speaker 1>little pocket in there where Devon h Chan went for

646
00:33:37.440 --> 00:33:40.440
<v Speaker 1>thirty four and where she Rice went for twenty seven.

647
00:33:40.640 --> 00:33:43.359
<v Speaker 1>And I got frustrated because I thought, Okay, this is

648
00:33:43.480 --> 00:33:45.759
<v Speaker 1>just too cheap, and I'm the one who was pushing

649
00:33:45.799 --> 00:33:48.200
<v Speaker 1>those numbers up to where they were, and I was

650
00:33:48.240 --> 00:33:51.559
<v Speaker 1>frustrated that other people weren't doing that. And I'm not

651
00:33:51.599 --> 00:33:53.519
<v Speaker 1>the only person that was bidding, but I was just

652
00:33:53.839 --> 00:33:56.160
<v Speaker 1>sitting over there just shaking my head, kind of stewing,

653
00:33:56.759 --> 00:33:59.279
<v Speaker 1>like this is too cheap, and I don't know what

654
00:33:59.319 --> 00:34:04.200
<v Speaker 1>we're doing. I thought it was an inflection point. And

655
00:34:04.240 --> 00:34:06.839
<v Speaker 1>I was texting with JJ Winner during the draft a

656
00:34:06.839 --> 00:34:08.960
<v Speaker 1>couple times just to say, gosh, did you see that

657
00:34:09.079 --> 00:34:10.360
<v Speaker 1>or did you see this? Or I got to do

658
00:34:10.400 --> 00:34:13.920
<v Speaker 1>this or that. It wasn't like anything nefarious or anything.

659
00:34:13.960 --> 00:34:15.760
<v Speaker 1>We were just talking about like some trends in the draft,

660
00:34:15.800 --> 00:34:18.960
<v Speaker 1>and I'm like, gosh, what's up with Achan and Rice there?

661
00:34:19.480 --> 00:34:21.440
<v Speaker 1>And I thought it was an inflection point. I thought

662
00:34:21.519 --> 00:34:22.920
<v Speaker 1>that all of a sudden, we were about to see

663
00:34:22.920 --> 00:34:25.960
<v Speaker 1>some cheaper deals and here's a weird one. Here's a

664
00:34:25.960 --> 00:34:28.559
<v Speaker 1>weird curve ball for you. It turned out to be

665
00:34:28.760 --> 00:34:32.199
<v Speaker 1>a false inflection point because it really was just two

666
00:34:32.199 --> 00:34:34.840
<v Speaker 1>guys back to back that people are nervous about a

667
00:34:35.000 --> 00:34:37.880
<v Speaker 1>Chan and Rice. They're nervous about him for different reasons,

668
00:34:37.880 --> 00:34:40.559
<v Speaker 1>but they're nervous about him because price is shot back

669
00:34:40.639 --> 00:34:43.880
<v Speaker 1>up right after those two guys. That's something to remember.

670
00:34:45.039 --> 00:34:47.480
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes the inflection point looks like it's coming and it

671
00:34:47.480 --> 00:34:50.400
<v Speaker 1>ain't quite there yet. And that's what happened on Saturday.

672
00:34:50.440 --> 00:34:52.440
<v Speaker 1>I thought that was an interesting curve ball I wanted

673
00:34:52.440 --> 00:34:55.360
<v Speaker 1>to point out. So the price for Saint Brown ends

674
00:34:55.440 --> 00:34:59.239
<v Speaker 1>up being forty nine Jackson Smith and Jigba goes for fifty,

675
00:34:59.400 --> 00:35:03.079
<v Speaker 1>Puka go for fifty, Lamb goes for forty three. This

676
00:35:03.159 --> 00:35:06.800
<v Speaker 1>all happens early in the third round, and it's pretty

677
00:35:06.800 --> 00:35:10.000
<v Speaker 1>interesting because the market was set. The market's just straight

678
00:35:10.079 --> 00:35:12.760
<v Speaker 1>up ben set at that point, and Saint Brown was

679
00:35:12.880 --> 00:35:15.400
<v Speaker 1>just going to be a dollar cheaper than elite guys

680
00:35:15.400 --> 00:35:17.360
<v Speaker 1>like Jaysen and Puka. And I'm not saying Saint Brown

681
00:35:17.440 --> 00:35:21.119
<v Speaker 1>isn't elite, but the fifty dollars price getting just over

682
00:35:21.159 --> 00:35:24.679
<v Speaker 1>Saint Brown I thought was super interesting as well. And

683
00:35:24.719 --> 00:35:28.039
<v Speaker 1>the early conservative pricing then starts to have an effect

684
00:35:28.159 --> 00:35:30.320
<v Speaker 1>on the room as we get deeper into the draft.

685
00:35:30.840 --> 00:35:34.000
<v Speaker 1>We get to the end of the second round, and

686
00:35:34.079 --> 00:35:36.519
<v Speaker 1>remember what I talked about, We're still bidding on elite

687
00:35:36.559 --> 00:35:39.960
<v Speaker 1>players here, and the prices went up because there was

688
00:35:40.159 --> 00:35:43.960
<v Speaker 1>early conservative bidding. And that's what's going to happen. That's

689
00:35:44.039 --> 00:35:47.760
<v Speaker 1>the that's the cardinal rule of auctions that if things

690
00:35:47.840 --> 00:35:51.800
<v Speaker 1>are tight early, they're going to loosen up. Davante Smith

691
00:35:51.840 --> 00:35:54.519
<v Speaker 1>at two point one to three and a Mecca Igbuca

692
00:35:54.639 --> 00:35:58.079
<v Speaker 1>at two point one four, meaning the last two nominations

693
00:35:58.119 --> 00:36:01.960
<v Speaker 1>of the second round. DeVante Smith went for thirty four

694
00:36:02.000 --> 00:36:04.559
<v Speaker 1>bucks and a Mecca Agbuca went for thirty five bucks.

695
00:36:04.840 --> 00:36:08.039
<v Speaker 1>Those are high prices, folks. If they're nominated at a

696
00:36:08.039 --> 00:36:10.519
<v Speaker 1>different time, those prices are going to be much lower.

697
00:36:10.719 --> 00:36:12.719
<v Speaker 1>Zay Flowers went for thirty one at the end of

698
00:36:12.719 --> 00:36:17.880
<v Speaker 1>the first round. So remember that when there's early conservative pricing,

699
00:36:18.480 --> 00:36:20.280
<v Speaker 1>you're going to see a spike and you need to

700
00:36:20.320 --> 00:36:22.239
<v Speaker 1>get in there. And that's part of what I was doing,

701
00:36:22.320 --> 00:36:25.400
<v Speaker 1>was trying to get in and get my make my

702
00:36:25.599 --> 00:36:29.039
<v Speaker 1>strikes before things got out of hand. And I would

703
00:36:29.119 --> 00:36:32.199
<v Speaker 1>argue that thirty four for DeVante Smith and thirty five

704
00:36:32.239 --> 00:36:35.760
<v Speaker 1>for Agbuca are too high, and thirty one for Flowers.

705
00:36:36.079 --> 00:36:39.039
<v Speaker 1>Those are all guys that should be three to five

706
00:36:39.119 --> 00:36:41.960
<v Speaker 1>to seven dollars even cheaper than that. And I'm not

707
00:36:41.960 --> 00:36:45.920
<v Speaker 1>saying they're horrible prices, but they're they're part of the inflation.

708
00:36:46.480 --> 00:36:50.880
<v Speaker 1>When it came to Scarce quote unquote elite borderline wide

709
00:36:50.880 --> 00:36:54.440
<v Speaker 1>receiver one wide receiver two prices now. Right about this

710
00:36:54.519 --> 00:36:58.320
<v Speaker 1>time too, we saw an interesting quarterback play from Colby Conway.

711
00:36:58.679 --> 00:37:02.239
<v Speaker 1>He nominates Josh Allen, and instead of nominating Josh Allen

712
00:37:02.280 --> 00:37:04.760
<v Speaker 1>for twelve or thirteen to fourteen bucks, he nominates him

713
00:37:04.800 --> 00:37:08.360
<v Speaker 1>for twenty bucks, and it's what Pianowski says as the

714
00:37:08.400 --> 00:37:11.239
<v Speaker 1>price line bit. He nominated him for a mouth that

715
00:37:11.280 --> 00:37:13.920
<v Speaker 1>he thought that he was fine paying. And I think

716
00:37:13.920 --> 00:37:17.159
<v Speaker 1>there's a psychological aspect here too that I love with

717
00:37:17.280 --> 00:37:21.400
<v Speaker 1>the play, which is to say the word twenty automatically

718
00:37:21.519 --> 00:37:25.199
<v Speaker 1>gets people like eh, because if he says twelve and

719
00:37:25.239 --> 00:37:27.880
<v Speaker 1>people go fourteen, fifteen, sixteen, and they take their time and

720
00:37:27.920 --> 00:37:29.920
<v Speaker 1>they get up to nineteen, maybe they don't feel bad

721
00:37:29.960 --> 00:37:32.360
<v Speaker 1>about saying twenty or twenty one. But if you just

722
00:37:32.480 --> 00:37:34.280
<v Speaker 1>rip off twenty right away and people are just like,

723
00:37:34.320 --> 00:37:36.599
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying twenty one, folks, it worked on me.

724
00:37:37.199 --> 00:37:39.159
<v Speaker 1>I had a part sheet where twenty one dollars was

725
00:37:39.159 --> 00:37:41.719
<v Speaker 1>the exact amount I was going to pay for a quarterback.

726
00:37:41.920 --> 00:37:44.199
<v Speaker 1>If his name was Josh Allen, I could have bid

727
00:37:44.280 --> 00:37:46.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty one and been right on my par sheet, But

728
00:37:46.840 --> 00:37:48.920
<v Speaker 1>at that point in time, I didn't feel like that's

729
00:37:48.960 --> 00:37:53.239
<v Speaker 1>what I wanted to do, because Allen was nominated with

730
00:37:53.360 --> 00:37:56.119
<v Speaker 1>pick three point h one, and at that point I

731
00:37:56.159 --> 00:37:59.360
<v Speaker 1>had already decided I couldn't afford a top level quarterback

732
00:37:59.519 --> 00:38:01.960
<v Speaker 1>because at overpaid for Brown and I'm sitting there minus

733
00:38:01.960 --> 00:38:04.039
<v Speaker 1>thirteen on my bar sheet, I just couldn't do it.

734
00:38:04.840 --> 00:38:08.440
<v Speaker 1>So it's a nice play by Colby. I have to pivot.

735
00:38:08.559 --> 00:38:11.320
<v Speaker 1>I can't do much about it now. At this point

736
00:38:11.320 --> 00:38:14.280
<v Speaker 1>in time, too, we saw an interesting run from three

737
00:38:14.320 --> 00:38:17.320
<v Speaker 1>point eight to three point one to three where DeAndre

738
00:38:17.440 --> 00:38:20.719
<v Speaker 1>Swift went for twenty five, Judkins went for twenty seven,

739
00:38:20.760 --> 00:38:23.800
<v Speaker 1>Baseial toot And went for twenty and Travian Henderson went

740
00:38:23.800 --> 00:38:27.480
<v Speaker 1>for twenty two. Now, I'm not saying I hate those prices,

741
00:38:27.880 --> 00:38:31.480
<v Speaker 1>but those feel like a little bit of inflated prices

742
00:38:31.679 --> 00:38:34.239
<v Speaker 1>for that point in the draft because of the fact

743
00:38:34.239 --> 00:38:37.679
<v Speaker 1>that they're all mid to upper level RB twos, and

744
00:38:37.800 --> 00:38:42.360
<v Speaker 1>everyone is interested in those guys at the RB two level,

745
00:38:42.800 --> 00:38:45.639
<v Speaker 1>even though there's plenty of players who are cheaper who

746
00:38:45.679 --> 00:38:49.760
<v Speaker 1>represent RB two value just as well. So I thought

747
00:38:49.760 --> 00:38:51.760
<v Speaker 1>that was an interesting run there. I just feel like

748
00:38:51.840 --> 00:38:54.199
<v Speaker 1>all of those guys are inflated just a little bit.

749
00:38:54.800 --> 00:38:58.599
<v Speaker 1>Swift at twenty five, he's probably twenty two, right, Judkins

750
00:38:58.599 --> 00:39:01.599
<v Speaker 1>at twenty seven, he's probably at twenty four dollars player too.

751
00:39:01.760 --> 00:39:04.519
<v Speaker 1>At twenty he should be seventeen eighteen bucks. Now, I

752
00:39:04.599 --> 00:39:06.880
<v Speaker 1>understand people are excited and we're seeing Tooton go up

753
00:39:06.880 --> 00:39:10.760
<v Speaker 1>and up Traviann Henderson twenty two. When you consider Ramandro

754
00:39:10.840 --> 00:39:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Stevenson went for eighteen, I think that's three to four

755
00:39:13.360 --> 00:39:17.679
<v Speaker 1>bucks too expensive. But again, we're seeing in general increase

756
00:39:17.920 --> 00:39:20.880
<v Speaker 1>and pricing here. And when I said earlier that we've

757
00:39:20.920 --> 00:39:24.119
<v Speaker 1>got some wide receivers that are going in that range,

758
00:39:24.440 --> 00:39:26.880
<v Speaker 1>we have these obvious running back twos that are going

759
00:39:26.920 --> 00:39:29.000
<v Speaker 1>in the same range. But then there's a lot of

760
00:39:29.079 --> 00:39:31.440
<v Speaker 1>running back twos where it just fell off a cliff

761
00:39:31.480 --> 00:39:33.840
<v Speaker 1>a little bit later, and I knew I needed to

762
00:39:33.880 --> 00:39:36.119
<v Speaker 1>get one of those guys. So I went after Jalen

763
00:39:36.159 --> 00:39:38.400
<v Speaker 1>Warren because I felt like a guy who can get

764
00:39:38.400 --> 00:39:41.119
<v Speaker 1>me forty or fifty catches would make a nice RB two.

765
00:39:41.199 --> 00:39:43.239
<v Speaker 1>I believe in Jalen Warren, and I believe that he's

766
00:39:43.280 --> 00:39:45.719
<v Speaker 1>going to get plenty of touches, even though Rico Dawdle's there.

767
00:39:46.559 --> 00:39:48.920
<v Speaker 1>So sixteen bucks gets me back in the par sheet.

768
00:39:48.920 --> 00:39:51.239
<v Speaker 1>I gained twelve bucks there, and now I'm back in

769
00:39:51.280 --> 00:39:54.280
<v Speaker 1>the game. It was around this time that I saw

770
00:39:54.320 --> 00:39:57.800
<v Speaker 1>that I could have pivoted to a different wide receiver one,

771
00:39:58.760 --> 00:40:01.719
<v Speaker 1>but obviously I I had already made my bed, but

772
00:40:01.800 --> 00:40:05.000
<v Speaker 1>for just for informational purposes. Right at the beginning of

773
00:40:05.079 --> 00:40:08.079
<v Speaker 1>round four, the four oh one, two and oh three

774
00:40:08.559 --> 00:40:12.320
<v Speaker 1>where Nico Collins, Justin Jefferson, and Drake London they went

775
00:40:12.320 --> 00:40:16.079
<v Speaker 1>for thirty five, forty four, and thirty nine, respectively. So

776
00:40:16.119 --> 00:40:18.280
<v Speaker 1>if you want to bail out of that wide receiver one,

777
00:40:18.559 --> 00:40:21.480
<v Speaker 1>which is what I originally had planned to do, you

778
00:40:21.519 --> 00:40:23.840
<v Speaker 1>can get a guy for the upper thirties low forties

779
00:40:24.199 --> 00:40:26.000
<v Speaker 1>that makes a lot of sense as a wide receiver one.

780
00:40:26.039 --> 00:40:28.920
<v Speaker 1>He just won't be that elite wide receiver one. You

781
00:40:29.000 --> 00:40:32.039
<v Speaker 1>could argue that Justin Jefferson obviously is one, but I

782
00:40:32.079 --> 00:40:35.519
<v Speaker 1>think we all know that he's got quarterback problems. Drake

783
00:40:35.599 --> 00:40:38.320
<v Speaker 1>London at thirty nine looks like a really nice price,

784
00:40:39.159 --> 00:40:41.719
<v Speaker 1>And if I had not had Saint Brown, I would

785
00:40:41.760 --> 00:40:44.639
<v Speaker 1>have been in on Nico or London at that point.

786
00:40:44.960 --> 00:40:48.719
<v Speaker 1>So I'm back in it here because as round four opens,

787
00:40:48.719 --> 00:40:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm minus thirteen on my bar sheet still and I

788
00:40:51.519 --> 00:40:55.119
<v Speaker 1>got to do something here. So Jalen Warren was my nomination,

789
00:40:55.280 --> 00:40:57.280
<v Speaker 1>and I knew that he wasn't going to be very popular.

790
00:40:58.639 --> 00:41:00.719
<v Speaker 1>Luckily I was correct on what I shouldn't say. I

791
00:41:00.760 --> 00:41:03.519
<v Speaker 1>knew I was hoping he would not be very popular,

792
00:41:03.559 --> 00:41:06.199
<v Speaker 1>and he wasn't sixteen bucks felt like a great buy

793
00:41:06.320 --> 00:41:10.039
<v Speaker 1>for an RB two, and then right after this, Roma

794
00:41:10.119 --> 00:41:13.199
<v Speaker 1>Dunze goes for twenty bucks, and I'm looking at the

795
00:41:13.239 --> 00:41:16.599
<v Speaker 1>wide receivers and I'm thinking, boy, oh boy, it is

796
00:41:16.599 --> 00:41:19.519
<v Speaker 1>getting a little bit thin. And I think I texted

797
00:41:19.599 --> 00:41:21.800
<v Speaker 1>JJ at this point and said, boy oh, I need

798
00:41:21.800 --> 00:41:25.400
<v Speaker 1>a guy. I need a guy right now. But it's thin,

799
00:41:25.639 --> 00:41:28.000
<v Speaker 1>and it's starting to get to the point where some

800
00:41:28.039 --> 00:41:30.840
<v Speaker 1>of these guys are are going to be the last

801
00:41:31.119 --> 00:41:35.280
<v Speaker 1>types of the wide receiver two area that I'm looking at.

802
00:41:35.400 --> 00:41:39.880
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about guys with explosive alpha potential that are

803
00:41:39.920 --> 00:41:43.280
<v Speaker 1>still going in the twenty mid to upper twenties. So

804
00:41:43.320 --> 00:41:46.039
<v Speaker 1>when Jalen Waddle came up, I never expected to have

805
00:41:46.159 --> 00:41:49.039
<v Speaker 1>Jalen Waddle, but he ends up going to twenty nine

806
00:41:49.159 --> 00:41:52.360
<v Speaker 1>for me, and I had said twenty six on my

807
00:41:52.440 --> 00:41:54.679
<v Speaker 1>par sheet, So I lose another three dollars. Now I'm

808
00:41:54.760 --> 00:41:58.480
<v Speaker 1>down four dollars still, but I had to act because

809
00:41:58.480 --> 00:42:01.480
<v Speaker 1>it was getting thin. And boy boy, I'm happy that

810
00:42:01.519 --> 00:42:05.199
<v Speaker 1>I was actually right here in making this call, because

811
00:42:05.199 --> 00:42:09.280
<v Speaker 1>initially when this happened, I was not that excited about

812
00:42:09.280 --> 00:42:12.119
<v Speaker 1>the price for Waddle. It suddenly became a lot better

813
00:42:12.199 --> 00:42:17.159
<v Speaker 1>as we moved on. Inflation hits because at this point

814
00:42:17.239 --> 00:42:20.119
<v Speaker 1>we see Parker Washington get nominated and he goes for

815
00:42:20.199 --> 00:42:22.880
<v Speaker 1>sixteen dollars. I feel like that's a pretty big number.

816
00:42:23.559 --> 00:42:27.199
<v Speaker 1>I have not seen the Jacksonville receivers as expensive as

817
00:42:27.199 --> 00:42:29.920
<v Speaker 1>I saw them in this room. I believe Brian Thomas

818
00:42:30.000 --> 00:42:34.760
<v Speaker 1>went for eighteen, Jacoby for thirteen, and Parker Washington for sixteen.

819
00:42:35.199 --> 00:42:37.159
<v Speaker 1>I feel like all of those numbers are higher than

820
00:42:37.199 --> 00:42:39.760
<v Speaker 1>I've been seeing. I was a little bit surprised by that,

821
00:42:40.239 --> 00:42:43.760
<v Speaker 1>but then again, people in the business are high on

822
00:42:43.800 --> 00:42:48.119
<v Speaker 1>the Jacksonville offense, as they should be. The inflation continues here.

823
00:42:48.199 --> 00:42:50.719
<v Speaker 1>Ted Roha McMillan goes for twenty six. That's not a

824
00:42:50.760 --> 00:42:52.960
<v Speaker 1>bad price. It's a few bucks more than I want.

825
00:42:53.480 --> 00:42:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Jamison Williams goes for twenty one. But here's the murderer's row.

826
00:42:58.639 --> 00:43:02.320
<v Speaker 1>Terry McLaurin goes for two. T Higgins goes for thirty six,

827
00:43:02.360 --> 00:43:04.679
<v Speaker 1>and Mike Evans goes for thirty thirty two. There's a

828
00:43:04.679 --> 00:43:07.760
<v Speaker 1>little bit of a question there. But then McKay lemon

829
00:43:07.840 --> 00:43:11.559
<v Speaker 1>goes for sixteen. Folks, Parker Washington and mackay Lemon are

830
00:43:11.599 --> 00:43:14.960
<v Speaker 1>not sixteen dollars players and McLaurin, Higgins and Evans they're

831
00:43:15.000 --> 00:43:18.360
<v Speaker 1>great players, and I am not arguing with somebody paying

832
00:43:18.400 --> 00:43:22.559
<v Speaker 1>that price, okay, because at that moment that's what you

833
00:43:22.679 --> 00:43:26.480
<v Speaker 1>have to do. But here's further evidence if you ever

834
00:43:26.559 --> 00:43:30.679
<v Speaker 1>needed it, that tears are so incredibly important. And that's

835
00:43:30.719 --> 00:43:33.679
<v Speaker 1>why I felt an urgency to act for Wattle and

836
00:43:33.760 --> 00:43:36.679
<v Speaker 1>Boyle Boy. Did I feel good when McLaurin, Higgins and

837
00:43:36.719 --> 00:43:38.519
<v Speaker 1>Evans all went in the thirties and I had Wattle

838
00:43:38.559 --> 00:43:41.159
<v Speaker 1>for twenty nine So that felt great. That felt like

839
00:43:41.239 --> 00:43:43.480
<v Speaker 1>one of the best moments for me in this auction.

840
00:43:44.519 --> 00:43:46.480
<v Speaker 1>And I want to point out something here because I

841
00:43:46.519 --> 00:43:50.800
<v Speaker 1>think it's important when you pay a higher price for

842
00:43:50.880 --> 00:43:53.360
<v Speaker 1>a player, a lot of times people will say, well,

843
00:43:53.360 --> 00:43:55.599
<v Speaker 1>that's where I value him, or that's what I think

844
00:43:55.639 --> 00:43:57.920
<v Speaker 1>he's going to go for. But I want to make

845
00:43:57.920 --> 00:44:00.480
<v Speaker 1>an analogy to ADP here, which I don't do very often,

846
00:44:00.519 --> 00:44:03.119
<v Speaker 1>but I think it's important because a lot of us

847
00:44:03.360 --> 00:44:05.679
<v Speaker 1>see things through the lens of ADP because that's just

848
00:44:05.719 --> 00:44:09.679
<v Speaker 1>how we've been indoctrinated with fantasy football information over the years,

849
00:44:09.880 --> 00:44:12.360
<v Speaker 1>and I think it makes the point a little bit

850
00:44:12.480 --> 00:44:16.760
<v Speaker 1>more simple to understand. If you say, well, I paid

851
00:44:16.800 --> 00:44:19.159
<v Speaker 1>sixteen dollars for Mackay Lemon because that's what he's worth,

852
00:44:19.239 --> 00:44:22.559
<v Speaker 1>or Parker Washington because that's what he's worth. That may

853
00:44:22.719 --> 00:44:25.639
<v Speaker 1>very well turn out to be true, but at the

854
00:44:25.760 --> 00:44:29.800
<v Speaker 1>time you paid that money for that player, was that

855
00:44:29.840 --> 00:44:33.280
<v Speaker 1>player worth it? And I would submit to you that no,

856
00:44:33.480 --> 00:44:36.679
<v Speaker 1>the players are not worth sixteen dollars at that point.

857
00:44:36.920 --> 00:44:39.840
<v Speaker 1>So I'm not saying it's a terrible price if they

858
00:44:39.880 --> 00:44:44.519
<v Speaker 1>turn out, of course, to produce for that, but that's

859
00:44:44.559 --> 00:44:46.880
<v Speaker 1>not what we're doing here in the moment when we're

860
00:44:46.920 --> 00:44:51.920
<v Speaker 1>playing the game. The sixteen dollars prices there are incorrect.

861
00:44:52.719 --> 00:44:56.039
<v Speaker 1>And let me make this analogy now with adp. If

862
00:44:56.079 --> 00:45:00.519
<v Speaker 1>you believe that after the season is over base and

863
00:45:00.559 --> 00:45:02.559
<v Speaker 1>will be seen as a second round pick next year,

864
00:45:03.840 --> 00:45:07.480
<v Speaker 1>but he's a fifth rounder right now, does that mean

865
00:45:07.519 --> 00:45:10.199
<v Speaker 1>you should draft him in the second round? Well, of

866
00:45:10.199 --> 00:45:12.039
<v Speaker 1>course not. You should draft him in the fifth round

867
00:45:12.119 --> 00:45:14.480
<v Speaker 1>or maybe the fourth to make sure that you get him.

868
00:45:14.760 --> 00:45:17.199
<v Speaker 1>But drafting him in the second makes no sense, right

869
00:45:17.239 --> 00:45:20.760
<v Speaker 1>because that's not his value. And we would never walk

870
00:45:20.840 --> 00:45:23.519
<v Speaker 1>into a Snake draft and say, hey, look I got

871
00:45:23.519 --> 00:45:25.719
<v Speaker 1>Tooton in the second round and brag about it right.

872
00:45:26.599 --> 00:45:29.599
<v Speaker 1>But if you say, hey, I got Makaya Lemon for sixteen,

873
00:45:29.639 --> 00:45:31.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm excited about it. And again, I'm not jumping I

874
00:45:32.000 --> 00:45:34.199
<v Speaker 1>don't even know who got lemon. I'm not jumping down,

875
00:45:34.519 --> 00:45:37.480
<v Speaker 1>up and down on this person for Lemon for sixteen.

876
00:45:37.519 --> 00:45:40.719
<v Speaker 1>I just tried to illustrate a point here, okay, because

877
00:45:41.239 --> 00:45:44.320
<v Speaker 1>at the time you paid that, the player wasn't worth that.

878
00:45:45.320 --> 00:45:48.199
<v Speaker 1>So just because the player turns out to be worth

879
00:45:48.199 --> 00:45:51.360
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't mean it was the correct game theory play

880
00:45:51.440 --> 00:45:54.159
<v Speaker 1>in the moment. If we're in an auction room when

881
00:45:54.159 --> 00:45:57.679
<v Speaker 1>we're trying to beat the game, I don't believe paying

882
00:45:57.719 --> 00:46:02.280
<v Speaker 1>the price at that point is correct as far as

883
00:46:02.320 --> 00:46:06.400
<v Speaker 1>the price itself. Now, this may sound confusing, but I'm

884
00:46:06.400 --> 00:46:08.639
<v Speaker 1>not telling you not to make the play, okay, because

885
00:46:08.679 --> 00:46:11.599
<v Speaker 1>you need the player, right, So don't worry about beating

886
00:46:11.599 --> 00:46:13.360
<v Speaker 1>the game if you need the player. And that's part

887
00:46:13.360 --> 00:46:15.440
<v Speaker 1>of what happened here. So I'm cool with that. I'm

888
00:46:15.519 --> 00:46:18.360
<v Speaker 1>cool with the plays they made, but I want to

889
00:46:18.360 --> 00:46:22.360
<v Speaker 1>point out that saying to yourself, hey, I think he's

890
00:46:22.400 --> 00:46:26.280
<v Speaker 1>going to produce like that, that's not the point here.

891
00:46:26.440 --> 00:46:28.159
<v Speaker 1>What we're trying to do is get the player at

892
00:46:28.159 --> 00:46:30.239
<v Speaker 1>the right price so that we can go on and

893
00:46:30.280 --> 00:46:34.079
<v Speaker 1>buy other players that are worth the price at that moment,

894
00:46:34.360 --> 00:46:37.320
<v Speaker 1>and therefore our team takes off. If we end up

895
00:46:37.320 --> 00:46:40.480
<v Speaker 1>with Lemon at eight and he's a sixteen dollars player,

896
00:46:40.920 --> 00:46:43.440
<v Speaker 1>that's how we profit, that's how our roster gets better.

897
00:46:43.920 --> 00:46:46.760
<v Speaker 1>But paying sixteen for Lemon and then having to use

898
00:46:46.840 --> 00:46:50.280
<v Speaker 1>him as a wide receiver three because you couldn't afford

899
00:46:50.320 --> 00:46:52.639
<v Speaker 1>one means that he has to produce, and if he

900
00:46:52.719 --> 00:46:55.239
<v Speaker 1>doesn't hit, then that's when you're in trouble. So I'm

901
00:46:55.320 --> 00:46:57.960
<v Speaker 1>not saying again that these are bad plays, but just

902
00:46:58.039 --> 00:47:02.880
<v Speaker 1>don't forget that general concept. Now. In the end of

903
00:47:02.920 --> 00:47:06.199
<v Speaker 1>the fourth early fifth round, we saw some interesting prices here.

904
00:47:07.119 --> 00:47:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Rico Dada went for ten bucks, Josh Jacobs went for

905
00:47:09.960 --> 00:47:13.159
<v Speaker 1>twenty five, and Javonte Williams went for twenty one. I

906
00:47:13.199 --> 00:47:16.119
<v Speaker 1>think all three of those prices are too cheap. I

907
00:47:16.199 --> 00:47:18.320
<v Speaker 1>hated passing on all of them, but let me just

908
00:47:18.360 --> 00:47:21.119
<v Speaker 1>remind you that's really important. That's something we've talked about.

909
00:47:21.280 --> 00:47:23.440
<v Speaker 1>You have to pass on some of them. At that point,

910
00:47:23.480 --> 00:47:27.480
<v Speaker 1>I already had Jalen Warren, Jalen Waddle, Almana Rossa Brown,

911
00:47:27.480 --> 00:47:29.719
<v Speaker 1>and Saquon Barkle. That's one hundred and thirty four bucks.

912
00:47:30.360 --> 00:47:33.400
<v Speaker 1>There's nothing I could do. I can't pay twenty six

913
00:47:33.519 --> 00:47:35.559
<v Speaker 1>dollars for Josh Jacobs when I only have sixty six

914
00:47:35.599 --> 00:47:38.599
<v Speaker 1>dollars left, and now on they have four players. I

915
00:47:38.639 --> 00:47:41.440
<v Speaker 1>still need twelve players and I got sixty six bucks.

916
00:47:41.679 --> 00:47:43.320
<v Speaker 1>So I knew what I was doing as far as

917
00:47:43.360 --> 00:47:45.760
<v Speaker 1>my flex is, and I was okay. But I couldn't

918
00:47:45.760 --> 00:47:48.159
<v Speaker 1>pay twenty six for Jacobs. I was irritated by that.

919
00:47:48.320 --> 00:47:50.440
<v Speaker 1>I couldn't pay twenty two by for Javonte. I was

920
00:47:50.440 --> 00:47:53.400
<v Speaker 1>irritated by that. I couldn't pay eleven for Rico. That

921
00:47:53.400 --> 00:47:58.199
<v Speaker 1>bugged me, but hey, that's how it goes. Right around

922
00:47:58.239 --> 00:48:01.400
<v Speaker 1>this time is when I saw an interesting price on

923
00:48:01.480 --> 00:48:04.039
<v Speaker 1>Tyler Warren at twenty two bucks in the middle of

924
00:48:04.039 --> 00:48:07.400
<v Speaker 1>the fifth Colston Lovelin had gone for nineteen bucks in

925
00:48:07.440 --> 00:48:09.480
<v Speaker 1>the second round, so I thought that was interesting. I

926
00:48:09.480 --> 00:48:11.599
<v Speaker 1>don't have a huge strong takeaway, but I thought that

927
00:48:11.639 --> 00:48:14.360
<v Speaker 1>you might like to hear that. And then it was

928
00:48:14.360 --> 00:48:16.440
<v Speaker 1>around the end of the fifth round when I ended

929
00:48:16.519 --> 00:48:18.599
<v Speaker 1>up with Drake May, and I ended up with him

930
00:48:18.599 --> 00:48:21.440
<v Speaker 1>for six bucks next to Jalen Warren. I think the

931
00:48:21.480 --> 00:48:23.920
<v Speaker 1>price for May has to be one of my favorite

932
00:48:23.920 --> 00:48:28.320
<v Speaker 1>plays of the draft. And I think it's important to

933
00:48:28.440 --> 00:48:32.280
<v Speaker 1>note that when you nominate quarterbacks, that's going to be

934
00:48:32.519 --> 00:48:35.239
<v Speaker 1>a large part of the game with one quarterback leagues

935
00:48:35.519 --> 00:48:40.480
<v Speaker 1>don't forget that that when you nominate them. Matters and

936
00:48:40.639 --> 00:48:44.599
<v Speaker 1>Drake and Jamison's team, they nominated Party early, and you

937
00:48:44.639 --> 00:48:46.480
<v Speaker 1>want Perdy to be a two or three dollars guy,

938
00:48:46.599 --> 00:48:48.840
<v Speaker 1>or even a one dollar guy late, but he ends

939
00:48:48.920 --> 00:48:52.039
<v Speaker 1>up going for five because it was too early in

940
00:48:52.079 --> 00:48:55.559
<v Speaker 1>the draft. So think about that when you're talking about

941
00:48:55.559 --> 00:48:58.440
<v Speaker 1>your quarterbacks. I end up getting may Like I said,

942
00:48:58.440 --> 00:49:01.519
<v Speaker 1>in the fifth round. Money's running low at this point,

943
00:49:01.519 --> 00:49:04.519
<v Speaker 1>and people don't want to spend a quarterback because, as

944
00:49:04.800 --> 00:49:08.199
<v Speaker 1>Scott Pianowski put it on Tuesday, they don't feel pressured.

945
00:49:08.599 --> 00:49:12.159
<v Speaker 1>They don't feel stressed about the quarterback position, so they

946
00:49:12.159 --> 00:49:14.239
<v Speaker 1>can let a guy like that go and feel okay

947
00:49:14.280 --> 00:49:17.719
<v Speaker 1>because they want to spend money elsewhere. The prices were

948
00:49:18.440 --> 00:49:21.960
<v Speaker 1>Party for five, Lamar Jackson for sixteen in the middle

949
00:49:22.000 --> 00:49:26.239
<v Speaker 1>of the fourth, Murray for four, Dart for three, Daniels

950
00:49:26.239 --> 00:49:30.679
<v Speaker 1>for seven, Burrow for seven, Kayleb Williams for four. All Right,

951
00:49:30.760 --> 00:49:33.400
<v Speaker 1>these are all prices that you're going to see in

952
00:49:33.440 --> 00:49:35.400
<v Speaker 1>a sharp room. So that's probably not going to happen

953
00:49:35.480 --> 00:49:37.519
<v Speaker 1>in your home auctions. But you need to be looking

954
00:49:37.559 --> 00:49:41.360
<v Speaker 1>out for your quarterback value at the top and if

955
00:49:41.360 --> 00:49:43.079
<v Speaker 1>it's not there, take a look. Just take a look

956
00:49:43.119 --> 00:49:45.480
<v Speaker 1>at Josh Allen, take a look at Lamar Jackson, take

957
00:49:45.480 --> 00:49:48.079
<v Speaker 1>a look at Drake Maye and see what you can get.

958
00:49:48.519 --> 00:49:50.599
<v Speaker 1>And if you can't get him, fine, just blow it off.

959
00:49:50.800 --> 00:49:53.000
<v Speaker 1>Just blow it off, and don't forget that if you

960
00:49:53.039 --> 00:49:54.960
<v Speaker 1>nominate him too early, I think that's going to be

961
00:49:55.039 --> 00:49:57.239
<v Speaker 1>a disadvantage. You really need to wait till the fifth, sixth,

962
00:49:57.239 --> 00:50:01.000
<v Speaker 1>seventh round. Like we talked about on the five Stages

963
00:50:01.039 --> 00:50:05.079
<v Speaker 1>of an Auction episode last week, a couple interesting things

964
00:50:05.079 --> 00:50:09.840
<v Speaker 1>to end this out because we're almost done. Ramandre Stevenson

965
00:50:09.960 --> 00:50:12.440
<v Speaker 1>went for eighteen bucks at the eight point oh one

966
00:50:12.920 --> 00:50:15.760
<v Speaker 1>and Kenny Gainwell went for fourteen bucks at the nine

967
00:50:15.800 --> 00:50:21.960
<v Speaker 1>point oh four. This doesn't always happen in typical home leagues,

968
00:50:22.599 --> 00:50:26.159
<v Speaker 1>but we got to the ten point oh seven with

969
00:50:26.239 --> 00:50:29.599
<v Speaker 1>Jacoby Myers at thirteen and we never saw a player

970
00:50:29.639 --> 00:50:31.400
<v Speaker 1>go for more than ten dollars. The rest of the

971
00:50:32.039 --> 00:50:36.360
<v Speaker 1>draft six rounds went off without a player going for

972
00:50:36.400 --> 00:50:40.159
<v Speaker 1>more than thirteen bucks. So that's really interesting to note.

973
00:50:41.079 --> 00:50:43.800
<v Speaker 1>That's what's gonna happen in deeper leagues. Okay, so if

974
00:50:43.800 --> 00:50:46.119
<v Speaker 1>you're in a fourteen team or you're in those deep

975
00:50:46.199 --> 00:50:49.159
<v Speaker 1>roster leagues, that's what's gonna happen. Rounds nine to ten

976
00:50:49.239 --> 00:50:51.079
<v Speaker 1>are gonna be a lot of low priced guys, and

977
00:50:51.119 --> 00:50:53.360
<v Speaker 1>then after that it's never gonna get above ten bucks.

978
00:50:53.760 --> 00:50:56.440
<v Speaker 1>The reason I point out Ramondre Stevenson and Gainwell at

979
00:50:56.440 --> 00:50:59.639
<v Speaker 1>eighteen and fourteen is they were clearly the last two

980
00:50:59.719 --> 00:51:01.639
<v Speaker 1>running backs on the board that stuck out like a

981
00:51:01.679 --> 00:51:04.360
<v Speaker 1>sore thumb. I remember I talked about that, the sticking

982
00:51:04.360 --> 00:51:06.519
<v Speaker 1>out like a sore thumb. A lot of guys are

983
00:51:06.519 --> 00:51:08.840
<v Speaker 1>going for six seven bucks right in this range, and

984
00:51:08.840 --> 00:51:11.679
<v Speaker 1>then where Mandre goes for eighteen and gain Well for fourteen.

985
00:51:12.360 --> 00:51:15.519
<v Speaker 1>I don't believe that Gainwell's a fourteen dollars player, nor

986
00:51:15.599 --> 00:51:18.440
<v Speaker 1>is Remandre an eighteen dollars player, although that might be

987
00:51:18.679 --> 00:51:22.239
<v Speaker 1>reasonable value. I believe that they went there because of

988
00:51:22.280 --> 00:51:25.239
<v Speaker 1>inflation and when they were nominated. So how did I

989
00:51:25.280 --> 00:51:27.480
<v Speaker 1>finish out my roster? Okay, so at this point we're

990
00:51:27.519 --> 00:51:30.960
<v Speaker 1>sitting there with May Barkley, weren't Saint Brown and waddle.

991
00:51:31.880 --> 00:51:33.559
<v Speaker 1>And at this point I started to get a little

992
00:51:33.559 --> 00:51:35.599
<v Speaker 1>bit nervous about my tight end, and as you can see,

993
00:51:35.639 --> 00:51:37.760
<v Speaker 1>I didn't finish it well, and I decided I just

994
00:51:37.760 --> 00:51:40.199
<v Speaker 1>didn't care. You know, Schultz had like seven hundred yards

995
00:51:40.239 --> 00:51:42.400
<v Speaker 1>last year. I'm totally fine with him for three bucks.

996
00:51:42.800 --> 00:51:45.159
<v Speaker 1>He sucks, but I'm totally fine with him there. But

997
00:51:45.320 --> 00:51:48.719
<v Speaker 1>uh So, at this point I text JJ Winner and

998
00:51:48.760 --> 00:51:51.119
<v Speaker 1>I said, hey, I really got to pounce on some

999
00:51:51.199 --> 00:51:54.039
<v Speaker 1>flexes now. And I thought that the prices were going

1000
00:51:54.079 --> 00:51:55.599
<v Speaker 1>to come down, and I had to wait a little

1001
00:51:55.639 --> 00:51:59.000
<v Speaker 1>bit longer than I wanted to, but I do believe

1002
00:51:59.000 --> 00:52:01.840
<v Speaker 1>I finished the way that I wanted to. And here's

1003
00:52:01.880 --> 00:52:04.039
<v Speaker 1>where I talk about all the time about your planning

1004
00:52:04.079 --> 00:52:06.920
<v Speaker 1>ahead of time. I knew that at the end of

1005
00:52:06.960 --> 00:52:10.639
<v Speaker 1>the draft my plan needed to be better than it

1006
00:52:10.760 --> 00:52:13.719
<v Speaker 1>was in the last couple of years, because last year

1007
00:52:13.800 --> 00:52:16.599
<v Speaker 1>I ended up spending on some guys that really just

1008
00:52:16.719 --> 00:52:21.480
<v Speaker 1>were sort of wild spends for not much money. And

1009
00:52:21.519 --> 00:52:24.039
<v Speaker 1>I know that sounds funny, but it's like taking a

1010
00:52:24.199 --> 00:52:26.840
<v Speaker 1>chance on this idiot for four bucks. That's really not

1011
00:52:27.480 --> 00:52:29.880
<v Speaker 1>the way you should spend your money. And I wanted

1012
00:52:29.880 --> 00:52:32.840
<v Speaker 1>to spend a little bit more on those flexes and

1013
00:52:32.880 --> 00:52:35.599
<v Speaker 1>not care so much about my bench because spreading that

1014
00:52:35.719 --> 00:52:39.039
<v Speaker 1>money out led to me getting players that had such

1015
00:52:39.079 --> 00:52:41.920
<v Speaker 1>a lower hit rate that I wanted that I thought

1016
00:52:41.920 --> 00:52:43.960
<v Speaker 1>that back on my roster the last couple of years

1017
00:52:44.039 --> 00:52:47.800
<v Speaker 1>was complete nonsense. Now I'm not saying that some of

1018
00:52:47.800 --> 00:52:50.639
<v Speaker 1>these guys that I got don't mark it to suck,

1019
00:52:50.679 --> 00:52:54.199
<v Speaker 1>because they are and that's why I got them. But

1020
00:52:55.159 --> 00:52:57.760
<v Speaker 1>my plan was I wanted to spend a little bit

1021
00:52:57.840 --> 00:53:02.519
<v Speaker 1>more on the flexes and on rounding out my actual

1022
00:53:02.599 --> 00:53:05.280
<v Speaker 1>starting lineup and not worry about the rest. And I

1023
00:53:05.360 --> 00:53:07.400
<v Speaker 1>did that really well. In fact, I hit my par

1024
00:53:07.480 --> 00:53:10.800
<v Speaker 1>sheet numbers pretty strongly the rest of the way. Like

1025
00:53:10.840 --> 00:53:13.679
<v Speaker 1>I said, I was still behind when I got those

1026
00:53:13.840 --> 00:53:16.760
<v Speaker 1>main five guys on my roster, so I needed to

1027
00:53:16.800 --> 00:53:20.159
<v Speaker 1>cut a little bit. At wide receiver three, Michael Pittman

1028
00:53:20.199 --> 00:53:21.920
<v Speaker 1>fell in my lap at the eight point oh eight

1029
00:53:21.960 --> 00:53:25.840
<v Speaker 1>for twelve bucks. Quinton Johnston went for fifteen bucks right after.

1030
00:53:26.719 --> 00:53:28.320
<v Speaker 1>And I tell you what, I didn't like a lot

1031
00:53:28.320 --> 00:53:30.079
<v Speaker 1>of the mid prices here. As we got into the

1032
00:53:30.079 --> 00:53:33.199
<v Speaker 1>wide receiver three and four territory, people got a little

1033
00:53:33.199 --> 00:53:37.119
<v Speaker 1>bit nervous about the depth there. Jordan Addison goes for fourteen,

1034
00:53:37.800 --> 00:53:41.280
<v Speaker 1>Marvin Harrison goes for twenty, DK Metcalf goes for fifteen.

1035
00:53:41.599 --> 00:53:43.039
<v Speaker 1>If you listen to my show, you know what I

1036
00:53:43.039 --> 00:53:47.719
<v Speaker 1>think about that. Matthew Golden eleven, Casey Concepcione eleven, Josh

1037
00:53:47.760 --> 00:53:51.760
<v Speaker 1>Downs sixteen. I'm just gonna tell you, Pittman for twelve.

1038
00:53:52.199 --> 00:53:54.920
<v Speaker 1>I like better than every one of those guys. Now,

1039
00:53:54.960 --> 00:53:56.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying I'm gonna be right. I just do

1040
00:53:56.719 --> 00:53:58.920
<v Speaker 1>I like him better. I think he's a really talented

1041
00:53:58.920 --> 00:54:01.639
<v Speaker 1>receiver that doesn't get enough respect. Have we got guys

1042
00:54:01.679 --> 00:54:04.719
<v Speaker 1>like Casey Concepsion going for one dollar less than Pittman.

1043
00:54:05.079 --> 00:54:07.280
<v Speaker 1>I just think that's a little bit bizarre, and you

1044
00:54:07.320 --> 00:54:09.280
<v Speaker 1>can't give me any argument about the offense or the

1045
00:54:09.320 --> 00:54:11.760
<v Speaker 1>quarterback there. In fact, I think Pittman's got a better

1046
00:54:11.800 --> 00:54:14.599
<v Speaker 1>offense and a better quarterback. So I'm not really sure

1047
00:54:14.599 --> 00:54:17.760
<v Speaker 1>what's going on there. And then I needed some running

1048
00:54:17.760 --> 00:54:19.920
<v Speaker 1>back depth, so I ended up with JK. Dobbins for

1049
00:54:19.960 --> 00:54:23.400
<v Speaker 1>seven bucks and boil boy. If you feel comfortable with JK.

1050
00:54:23.559 --> 00:54:26.320
<v Speaker 1>Dobbins as your RB three, then you are telling yourself

1051
00:54:26.320 --> 00:54:29.159
<v Speaker 1>a lie. And I said I gotta get an RB

1052
00:54:29.280 --> 00:54:32.039
<v Speaker 1>four who touches the ball because at some point I'm

1053
00:54:32.039 --> 00:54:35.320
<v Speaker 1>going to miss Dobbins. I didn't end up getting Joanah Coleman,

1054
00:54:35.360 --> 00:54:37.920
<v Speaker 1>which I wanted to do, because I didn't have the money.

1055
00:54:38.519 --> 00:54:40.679
<v Speaker 1>But I ended up getting Kyle Mnung Guy for nine

1056
00:54:41.360 --> 00:54:43.840
<v Speaker 1>at the eleven point oh four, and he was the

1057
00:54:43.920 --> 00:54:46.119
<v Speaker 1>last player to approach ten bucks before the end of

1058
00:54:46.159 --> 00:54:49.280
<v Speaker 1>the draft. I like the price, don't get me wrong.

1059
00:54:49.360 --> 00:54:51.039
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's a bad price for a guy

1060
00:54:51.079 --> 00:54:52.400
<v Speaker 1>that's going to touch the ball as much as he

1061
00:54:52.440 --> 00:54:55.400
<v Speaker 1>does and who does have a goal line roll. But

1062
00:54:56.320 --> 00:54:59.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm not a Kyle Manung Guy guy at all. But

1063
00:54:59.400 --> 00:55:01.519
<v Speaker 1>that's where being player or agnostic comes in. I said,

1064
00:55:01.599 --> 00:55:05.000
<v Speaker 1>I've gotta slam some flexes. So then I end up

1065
00:55:05.000 --> 00:55:08.079
<v Speaker 1>getting Wandale Robinson for eleven bucks as well, and then

1066
00:55:08.159 --> 00:55:11.320
<v Speaker 1>Romeo Dobbs for five. So that's really the end of

1067
00:55:11.360 --> 00:55:14.119
<v Speaker 1>the conversation because I don't want to talk about the

1068
00:55:14.119 --> 00:55:16.440
<v Speaker 1>back of the roster guys. They're just complete nonsense, dark

1069
00:55:16.559 --> 00:55:18.960
<v Speaker 1>throws that I don't care about. They're going to be

1070
00:55:19.000 --> 00:55:22.880
<v Speaker 1>cut quickly. If Wix looks like he's not getting enough targets,

1071
00:55:23.239 --> 00:55:26.800
<v Speaker 1>he's done. You know, it's easy. But I do like that.

1072
00:55:26.960 --> 00:55:29.800
<v Speaker 1>Dobbins at for seven bucks and ben on Guy for nine,

1073
00:55:30.280 --> 00:55:32.280
<v Speaker 1>they're going to combine for four to four hundred and

1074
00:55:32.280 --> 00:55:34.840
<v Speaker 1>fifty touches, and if I can put them in my

1075
00:55:34.960 --> 00:55:38.480
<v Speaker 1>flex spots, that is exactly what we're trying to do

1076
00:55:38.639 --> 00:55:41.280
<v Speaker 1>in this league. Now. I don't know about Romeo Dobbs.

1077
00:55:41.280 --> 00:55:43.800
<v Speaker 1>I haven't heard great things as the Patriots of open camp,

1078
00:55:43.840 --> 00:55:46.000
<v Speaker 1>but you know, he's learning a new offense and I

1079
00:55:46.000 --> 00:55:49.119
<v Speaker 1>think he's a solid NFL receiver. We'll see, But Wandale

1080
00:55:49.199 --> 00:55:51.800
<v Speaker 1>Robinson for eleven makes me feel a little bit more

1081
00:55:52.000 --> 00:55:56.239
<v Speaker 1>safe as well. So my finish ends up being a

1082
00:55:56.320 --> 00:56:00.360
<v Speaker 1>somewhat low cost amalgamation of guys who were going to

1083
00:56:00.440 --> 00:56:03.960
<v Speaker 1>touch the ball, but I like their cost because all

1084
00:56:03.960 --> 00:56:06.840
<v Speaker 1>of them were for twelve dollars or less, but all

1085
00:56:06.880 --> 00:56:11.320
<v Speaker 1>have the potential to be fantasy producers. So in the end,

1086
00:56:11.400 --> 00:56:15.079
<v Speaker 1>I end up nailing most of my flex prices because

1087
00:56:15.119 --> 00:56:17.079
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to spend eleven, nine and eight, and I

1088
00:56:17.159 --> 00:56:20.360
<v Speaker 1>ended up spending eleven, nine and seven. And then I

1089
00:56:20.400 --> 00:56:22.599
<v Speaker 1>wanted to spend ten bucks in my first two bench spots,

1090
00:56:22.639 --> 00:56:24.559
<v Speaker 1>and I spent ten bucks on my first two bench spots.

1091
00:56:24.880 --> 00:56:27.199
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to hit those marks. I don't always do it,

1092
00:56:27.519 --> 00:56:30.360
<v Speaker 1>but I love how I finished the draft. I'm not

1093
00:56:30.400 --> 00:56:32.440
<v Speaker 1>here to tell you that this is a championship roster.

1094
00:56:32.800 --> 00:56:34.679
<v Speaker 1>I think there are things I could have done differently,

1095
00:56:35.000 --> 00:56:37.480
<v Speaker 1>and I certainly could have sat there, not paid for

1096
00:56:37.519 --> 00:56:40.559
<v Speaker 1>Aman Ross Saint Brown and instead paid twenty seven dollars

1097
00:56:40.559 --> 00:56:43.840
<v Speaker 1>for Rice Gotten. Jacob says my RB two and gotten

1098
00:56:43.880 --> 00:56:47.159
<v Speaker 1>a much better wide receiver three and four. But I

1099
00:56:47.280 --> 00:56:50.079
<v Speaker 1>love the star power of having Barkley and Saint Brown

1100
00:56:50.119 --> 00:56:53.280
<v Speaker 1>and Waddle and then sneaking Drake mayin there for six bucks.

1101
00:56:53.480 --> 00:56:55.800
<v Speaker 1>So it's not like I don't have star power. I've

1102
00:56:55.840 --> 00:57:01.559
<v Speaker 1>got arguably four star fantasy players. Drake May was a

1103
00:57:01.599 --> 00:57:04.719
<v Speaker 1>top three guy last year. Saquon Barklay's been RB one

1104
00:57:04.719 --> 00:57:08.559
<v Speaker 1>at the position in his career, Saint Brown, top five lock,

1105
00:57:09.000 --> 00:57:11.440
<v Speaker 1>Jalen Waddle, he knows how to produce as a top

1106
00:57:11.480 --> 00:57:13.760
<v Speaker 1>five player. I've got four guys that can be top

1107
00:57:13.760 --> 00:57:15.559
<v Speaker 1>five of their position. I'm not saying they're going to be.

1108
00:57:15.639 --> 00:57:17.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm just saying they can be. So it's not like

1109
00:57:17.760 --> 00:57:20.159
<v Speaker 1>I don't have top end potential. But then I've got

1110
00:57:20.159 --> 00:57:22.800
<v Speaker 1>some nice four. Jayleen Moore in forty to fifty catches.

1111
00:57:23.039 --> 00:57:26.559
<v Speaker 1>Michael Pittman, I believe he can reach seventy catches. I

1112
00:57:26.559 --> 00:57:30.159
<v Speaker 1>believe Wandell Robinson can reach seventy or eighty catches working

1113
00:57:30.199 --> 00:57:33.519
<v Speaker 1>with dayboll So, I like how I finished it out.

1114
00:57:33.760 --> 00:57:36.239
<v Speaker 1>But I'm going to be totally honest with you. As

1115
00:57:36.280 --> 00:57:39.960
<v Speaker 1>I said to Scott Pianowski, nothing in this draft ever

1116
00:57:40.000 --> 00:57:43.239
<v Speaker 1>made me feel super comfortable. But I think that's okay,

1117
00:57:43.440 --> 00:57:45.920
<v Speaker 1>because I think that's the whole point here, right, that

1118
00:57:46.039 --> 00:57:48.039
<v Speaker 1>we're not always going to be comfortable, but we have

1119
00:57:48.119 --> 00:57:51.039
<v Speaker 1>to continue to soldier through with what we're seeing in

1120
00:57:51.079 --> 00:57:53.920
<v Speaker 1>front of us. And I can't always make the right moves,

1121
00:57:54.199 --> 00:57:56.280
<v Speaker 1>but I can certainly go back and look and see

1122
00:57:56.400 --> 00:57:59.159
<v Speaker 1>why it wasn't the right move. I felt like I

1123
00:57:59.440 --> 00:58:02.079
<v Speaker 1>played it pretty well. It's a tough room, and it

1124
00:58:02.119 --> 00:58:05.199
<v Speaker 1>was a tough draft, but hey, coming out of the draft,

1125
00:58:05.199 --> 00:58:07.320
<v Speaker 1>I feel pretty darn good, and I feel like I'm

1126
00:58:07.360 --> 00:58:10.039
<v Speaker 1>going to be starting a nice roster week one. We'll

1127
00:58:10.079 --> 00:58:12.079
<v Speaker 1>see how things go there. As far as luck and

1128
00:58:12.119 --> 00:58:15.280
<v Speaker 1>as far as some of my calls on the back end, well,

1129
00:58:15.320 --> 00:58:17.880
<v Speaker 1>don't forget the themes here before I let you go.

1130
00:58:18.199 --> 00:58:20.599
<v Speaker 1>There's a tight conservative room. How do we attack it.

1131
00:58:21.679 --> 00:58:24.119
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of time for people to think that

1132
00:58:24.199 --> 00:58:27.159
<v Speaker 1>leads to stability and pricing, So make sure that you're

1133
00:58:27.199 --> 00:58:30.199
<v Speaker 1>paying attention to your tiers. It becomes ever more important

1134
00:58:30.239 --> 00:58:33.199
<v Speaker 1>to watch your tiers before they dry up. Don't forget

1135
00:58:33.199 --> 00:58:38.159
<v Speaker 1>that running backs are cheaper in that mid RB two

1136
00:58:38.440 --> 00:58:41.880
<v Speaker 1>RB three range. They're cheaper than the wide receiver twos

1137
00:58:41.880 --> 00:58:44.800
<v Speaker 1>and threes, and so you're buying fantasy points cheaper when

1138
00:58:44.840 --> 00:58:47.519
<v Speaker 1>you're going for those mid level running backs. And then

1139
00:58:47.559 --> 00:58:50.960
<v Speaker 1>also don't forget about stubborn quarterback rooms that if you

1140
00:58:51.000 --> 00:58:53.039
<v Speaker 1>want to try to land one of those top guys

1141
00:58:53.280 --> 00:58:55.119
<v Speaker 1>for a cheaper price, you need to make sure and

1142
00:58:55.159 --> 00:58:58.079
<v Speaker 1>get them out there fourth, fifth, sixth round, maybe seventh round.

1143
00:58:58.320 --> 00:59:00.880
<v Speaker 1>Make sure you get them out there, not too early,

1144
00:59:00.920 --> 00:59:03.000
<v Speaker 1>but not too late. Take a look at him, and

1145
00:59:03.039 --> 00:59:04.960
<v Speaker 1>if it doesn't work, it doesn't work, then you wait

1146
00:59:05.239 --> 00:59:08.239
<v Speaker 1>and wait and wait and wait and pay three bucks

1147
00:59:08.239 --> 00:59:11.840
<v Speaker 1>for two guys. Okay, I hope that you enjoyed my

1148
00:59:11.960 --> 00:59:14.320
<v Speaker 1>walkthrough of The King's Classic. I feel like I didn't

1149
00:59:14.400 --> 00:59:16.679
<v Speaker 1>hit anything, while I feel like at the same time,

1150
00:59:16.719 --> 00:59:19.840
<v Speaker 1>I just took a shotgun and blasted information in your

1151
00:59:19.880 --> 00:59:22.400
<v Speaker 1>ear for an hour. I know It's probably a lot

1152
00:59:22.440 --> 00:59:25.559
<v Speaker 1>to take in, but I think it's worth going back

1153
00:59:25.559 --> 00:59:28.000
<v Speaker 1>and listening to it again if it felt like a lot.

1154
00:59:28.880 --> 00:59:32.599
<v Speaker 1>I believe that this kind of information is absolute gold,

1155
00:59:32.679 --> 00:59:35.159
<v Speaker 1>taking you into the mind of somebody in a tough

1156
00:59:35.199 --> 00:59:38.199
<v Speaker 1>auction room and how they pivoted, how they approached it,

1157
00:59:38.400 --> 00:59:41.320
<v Speaker 1>whether the approach worked, and what exactly happened in the room.

1158
00:59:41.719 --> 00:59:43.239
<v Speaker 1>So I hope you enjoyed it, and that's going to

1159
00:59:43.320 --> 00:59:46.360
<v Speaker 1>do it for the auction talk today. Let's get you

1160
00:59:46.599 --> 00:59:57.280
<v Speaker 1>out of here, all right. The episode's gone on long enough,

1161
00:59:57.280 --> 00:59:59.599
<v Speaker 1>so let me do a quick rundown of things that

1162
00:59:59.639 --> 01:00:01.760
<v Speaker 1>you need to I'll be remembering this salary cap sum

1163
01:00:02.159 --> 01:00:05.239
<v Speaker 1>is coming up Sunday, Monday and Tuesday at seven Eastern time,

1164
01:00:05.800 --> 01:00:09.239
<v Speaker 1>two live auctions followed by an auction panel with some

1165
01:00:09.239 --> 01:00:12.320
<v Speaker 1>of the best auction minds in the business on Tuesday evening.

1166
01:00:13.199 --> 01:00:16.159
<v Speaker 1>Also use my code Auction brief over at FJAY Fantasy

1167
01:00:16.199 --> 01:00:19.199
<v Speaker 1>Sports to get your draft boards and get ten percent

1168
01:00:19.239 --> 01:00:21.440
<v Speaker 1>off your boards. They're the best in the business. Find

1169
01:00:21.440 --> 01:00:24.119
<v Speaker 1>me on Twitter at Drew Davenport FF and don't forget

1170
01:00:24.119 --> 01:00:27.679
<v Speaker 1>the Patreon network four bucks a month for the best

1171
01:00:27.719 --> 01:00:30.320
<v Speaker 1>auction content in the business. And you can go over

1172
01:00:30.360 --> 01:00:34.039
<v Speaker 1>there and find more about my opening nomination of sa

1173
01:00:34.159 --> 01:00:37.079
<v Speaker 1>Kuon Barklay and my criticism of what I did and

1174
01:00:37.119 --> 01:00:39.320
<v Speaker 1>how maybe I could have played it differently. So go

1175
01:00:39.360 --> 01:00:41.760
<v Speaker 1>over there and check that out as well. Thank you

1176
01:00:41.840 --> 01:00:44.000
<v Speaker 1>so much everybody for being here. The next time I

1177
01:00:44.000 --> 01:00:46.920
<v Speaker 1>talk to you, it's going to be August. Keep your

1178
01:00:46.960 --> 01:00:50.679
<v Speaker 1>fingers crossed for health and happiness and all NFL locker

1179
01:00:50.760 --> 01:00:53.679
<v Speaker 1>rooms as we head into training camp. Love you all

1180
01:00:53.679 --> 01:00:56.480
<v Speaker 1>for being here. Thank you so much for anybody who

1181
01:00:56.559 --> 01:00:58.679
<v Speaker 1>came up to me at the expo and talk to

1182
01:00:58.760 --> 01:01:01.760
<v Speaker 1>me and told me they like my work and said

1183
01:01:01.760 --> 01:01:05.360
<v Speaker 1>that they love my show or my legal stuff or

1184
01:01:05.360 --> 01:01:08.119
<v Speaker 1>whatever the case may be. Thank you to anybody who

1185
01:01:08.159 --> 01:01:10.559
<v Speaker 1>came up to me at the expo. I hope that

1186
01:01:10.800 --> 01:01:12.920
<v Speaker 1>we had a fun conversation and there was a lot

1187
01:01:12.960 --> 01:01:15.119
<v Speaker 1>of you, so I really enjoyed that, and I really

1188
01:01:15.159 --> 01:01:17.760
<v Speaker 1>enjoyed my time off this weekend. It's time for a

1189
01:01:17.800 --> 01:01:21.039
<v Speaker 1>four week sprint to the finish. Don't go anywhere. Thank

1190
01:01:21.079 --> 01:01:23.360
<v Speaker 1>you for joining me for another episode of The Auction Brief,

1191
01:01:23.760 --> 01:01:27.880
<v Speaker 1>And we're officially adjourned, and I am out. The Auction

1192
01:01:28.000 --> 01:01:33.239
<v Speaker 1>Brief is adjourned. That'll do it for this week's episode,

1193
01:01:33.480 --> 01:01:35.519
<v Speaker 1>See you next time. On the auction Brief,
