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Speaker 1: Welcome in to the opening line report.

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Speaker 2: Kelly Stewart Here on this Monday morning, Teddy Covers joining

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us as always as we go through the NFL slate,

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tell you when you need to bet them, tell you

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if you need to wait. Of course we're gonna get

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some of those emergency betting alerts. Teddy, you've been rocking

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and rolling on end Zone Live. I've really enjoyed watching you.

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Guys had some really great live bets yesterday, but ultimately

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it was just a chalk eating weasel at least.

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Speaker 3: Of a morning. Yeah, and guys, if you haven't seen

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the en Zone Live yet, check it out or we're

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doing it every Sunday or right here on wager Talk TV.

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We go live for the early games, so it's about

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three and a half hours and there's always a group

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of us, so there's lots of you know, we flick

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each other in the year, we make fun of each other.

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It's a and yet we provide a lot of good

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commentary on what's going on in the sports betting world

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as things are going live. So if you ever watched it,

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I encourage you check it out. Every Sunday right here

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on wager Talk TV, we talk about chalk eating weasels. Well,

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favorites of mine seven or higher. Yesterday, what we have?

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Houston beat Arizona by twenty you know, Philly beat in

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Vegas thirty one nothing. Jacksonville beat the Jets forty eight twenty,

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Chicago beat Cleveland thirty one to three. San fran with

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the late field goal against Tennessee to win by exactly thirteen

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minus twelve and a half. In that game, there were

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thirteen's out there, so the only points spread loss for

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that chock eating weasels was Seattle minus thirteen. In the

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Philip Rivers Bowl eighteen sixteen final dogs outright, I had

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the Saints, they beat the Panthers. The Commanders beat the

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g Men, the Chargers beat the Chiefs. We'll talk a

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lot about that today. Obviously, in the Broncos upset the Packers.

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But you know, three of the four dogs that won

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outright were dogs of you know, field goal or less.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and they were kind of if you will, public dogs.

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Speaker 2: Right, there are a couple of dogs I was surprised

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to see get that money from the betting public. We'll

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get into some of these here in just a minute.

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Teddy covers Monday Night Football is well about nine hours away.

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Do you have anything up right now on wager talk

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dot com that our audiences know about the Miami Dolphins

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are taking on the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 3: So I have a free pick video up on my

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page over at wagertalk dot com WT dot buzz, backslash TC.

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Just go to wagertalk dot com or just go to

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the free picks page and you can see my take

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on the total for tonight's game between the Dolphins and

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the Steelers. Just tweeted out just a few minutes ago

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at video recorded over the weekend, So you can check

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that out right now for free on my home page

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WT dot buzz, backslash TC. As of this moment, I

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have not posted anything for Monday night. It's been a

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little bit of a hectic morning. We get done with

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the show, we'll post what we're gonna post for today.

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So I apologize for not having everything up right and

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early this morning, But some mornings are like that, and

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I'd rather take my time and do it right than

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Russ and post something, you know, just to have it

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up there. So yeah, absolutely, we're.

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Speaker 2: Looking for quality, not quantity here on Opening line Report, Teddy,

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I bet against both these teams yesterday, and one worked

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out well for me and the other not so much.

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But the reason why is because I was taking a

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page out of our good friend Marco d'angelo's book, A

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little bit of a Sandwich game. Now, maybe that Lions

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Rams game mint a little bit more to the Rams

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than I thought it did. But Seattle just slept walk

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versus Indianapolis. It was mind boggling. How many field goals

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did they kick? Six field goals? Was it to win

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that football game? Just a snoozefest? Philip Rivers Almost cash

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is an eight dollars underdog breakdown Thursday night football for me.

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Speaker 3: Let's start by opening the show with an emergency betting

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alert right from the get go looking aheadline. Here Seattle

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minus won forty six and a half. My powering number

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Seattle minus one and a half. The markets opened with

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the Rams. The favorites minus one slash one and a

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half forty four forty four have total last night. What

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are we seeing this morning? The money's already coming for

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the Seattle game. Look at line has Seahawks favored. The

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Rams left yesterday's game with questions, big questions in terms

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of their health of their receivers, most notably Devonte Adams

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who heard his hamstring and Adams an impact player for

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that team. He's already had two other instances this season

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where he's been limited by hamstring injury. So that is

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a significant concern for LA for this ballgame. But what

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we've seen again the injury report not good for the

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Rams right now. What we've seen the one one and

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a half of the Rams last night is now you know,

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I'm seeing there's still some one and a half, so

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out there the leading indicator Polk's already get pick up

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for this ball game for Seattle. I'm anticipating Seahawks' money

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based on the injury report for the LA Rams. So

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if you'll like Seattle, bet them sooner rather than later.

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There's some urgency to this. The markets are already moving.

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That said, there's things select about the Rams. Be back

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to back weeks of five hundred plus yards of offense

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the LA Rams. They had six trips to the red

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zone yesterday, scored four touchdowns, and they faced some adversity yesterday,

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which is a good thing four teams when they overcome it.

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At this age of the season, I like teams that

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have proven that they can overcome adversity. The Rams trailed

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the biggest depth sit in two months when they felt

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ten points behind Detroit and then pretty much dominated the

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rest of the game. Nose tackle Kobe Turner. When we're

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firing all songs, when we're firing out all cylinders, man,

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you put your foot in the gas. Everybody behind. They

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did clinch a playoff spot with the win over Detroit.

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Yesterday's the seventh time in nine seasons under Sean McVay

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that they've been a playoff team. But the Rams with

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the DeVante out of and of course Puka left the

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game yesterday as well. He returned, but we'll see if

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there's a lingering issues there. There could be. And Seattle

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played a bad game yesterday. It was a bad spot.

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It was a flat spot. They were going again. Forty

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four year old quarterback the asseve Lion got pushed around.

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I'll give Indies defensive credit. They came to play and

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Seattle was a little bit flat. They only had fifty

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rushing yards in the in the ballgame. The offense didn't

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reach the end zone. You talked about Jason Myers kicking

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the franchise record six field goals. Myers a weapon row.

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You know, he leads the NFL with one hundred and

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fifty four points. He's twenty four of his last twenty

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five field goals, the only miss a sixty one yarder

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during that span. Seattle's going to take money. They've already

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taken a little bit of money. I expect they're going

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to take more.

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Speaker 2: I'm back here waiting in the wings, trying to see

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if I can find some teaser opportunities with the Seahawks,

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and I'm looking at a couple other ones. We'll get

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into them here in just a minute. Teddy, here's the

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next one down on your list, and this is a

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I don't know what to make of this Packers team.

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Yesterday I put him in my super contest entries. I

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bet him early and then I ended up teasing the Broncos.

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Broncos another game. They just figure out a way to

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win at home. The Bears thought this was an ultimate

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flat spot against the Browns yesterday, was watching the game

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with Grandma. She said, I can't believe you took the

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Browns with seven and a half in your contest, I said, Grandma,

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they played Packers and then Packers. This is a total

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sandwich spot. Yet only one of these teams lost, the

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other one absolutely dominated. Kind of talk to me about

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this divisional rivalry, two teams that are jockeying for first

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place here in the NFC North.

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Speaker 3: Sure look headline here green Bay minus three total forty

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five and a half. My powering number after the game

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and after the path you were going to talk a

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lot about injuries, because there were impact injuries yesterday. After

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the Packers' injuries in that ballgame yesterday, my powering number

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came Chicago minus one. So at the four point move

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off the lookheadline of Packers minus three, the markets opened

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green Bay. There were minus one and a half minus

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twos last night, and that's basically what we're seeing today,

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mostly minus one and a half out there for the Packers.

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There are us minus twos total sitting forty six and

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a half, so an uptick from what we saw on

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the look headline for green Bay. They were up twenty

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three to fourteen in Denver. They forced a Broncos punt

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and we're in position to really take control of that game.

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And then what happened Jordan love iron t on the

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next play. They gave up a touchdown on each of

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the next three drives and the offense couldn't move the

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ball at all down the stretch. Fifty five total yards

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for Green Bay on their last six drives combined. We

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talked about the injuries, and you're gonna hear a lot

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about Michael Parson'll talk about him in a minute. Christian

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Watson matters for this offense. Yes, Golden green Bay has

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wide receiver depth, but Watson's their big play weapon. He's

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the guy who stretches the field. They miss him when

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he's out. He was in the hospital last night in Milwaukee.

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Was I'm sorry he was in the hospital last night

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in Denver. They did fly home with the Packers. We'll

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have to see how healthy he's gonna be. And then

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obviously Michaeh Parsons, who's been, you know, an impact player

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from the first day they got him. Looks like he

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tore his ACL in a non contact injury. And boy,

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what was the difference yesterday? Denver four or four in

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the red zone? Green Bay one of four in the

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red zone. Now they fall behind the Bears. So they're

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looking up at Chicago in the standings and they're laying

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points at Soldier Field. Matt Lafleur after the game, talking

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about what they're what they have to do. I told

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the guys quote, nobody's gonna feel sorry for us. Everyone's

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gonna have to elevate their play. And that's the truth.

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It's a team right now that you know, that was

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a That was a bad loss yesterday, and it was

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a costly loss for Green Bay. As for Chicago, I

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mean their defense controlled the flow. We why it's done

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all year. We talk all about Caleb Williams. The true

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talk about Chicago is their league leading thirty takeaways this season,

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three more yesterday, the health of Cleveland, the nine first downs.

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You know, this defense is changing games just about every week.

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You know, sheuldre got the three interceptions with sack five times,

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and oh by the way, they stopp the run to

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the tune of Judkins in twelve rushes for twenty one yards.

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You know, Sanders after the game, I like the quotes

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from the opposing team about the team they just faced.

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Sanders quote, that had a great defensive scheme. I enjoyed

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playing that. It was definitely a challenge. I look forward

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to learning from that. Bears defense is making noise right now.

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Packers defense got gashed a little bit yesterday.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about defenses getting gashed, because Dan

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Alexander really wants to hear about his team getting absolutely worked.

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Speaker 1: And now they have to play a commander's team.

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Speaker 2: Hey, I know that it wasn't you know, some prolific

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offense that they had to play yesterday.

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Speaker 1: But boy did the Washington Commanders kind of come out

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of nowhere.

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Speaker 3: They played the Giants, but they played well. Look at

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line here. Philadelphia five and a half forty five. My

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powering number has eagles minus seven over Washington. The markets

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opened six. There were forty fives and forty four and

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a halfs last night. And what are we seeing right

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now at the Othogic Live odd screen six forty five,

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forty four and a half the pavilion numbers. There are

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a couple of five and a half's out there for Philadelphia.

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The pavilion number is six. Again, my powering number says

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it should be seven. Philly pretty dominant yesterday. Twenty seven

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to seven first downs, they had forty minutes of possession.

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They went ten to thirteen on third downs. They didn't

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turn the ball over, excuse me, excuse me, and they

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allowed only seventy five total yards, their first shutout in

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seven years. You know, they scored more than twenty one

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points on offense for the first time in six games.

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Saquon Barkley quote, I feel like we got caught up

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in stuff that doesn't matter the buildings. That matters is

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winning football. And you know, Philly has had more than

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their share of off field distractions this season. As for Washington,

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they had a putt return touchdown yesterday. They snapped an

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eight game skid. Marcus Mariota. You know, we talked about

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it when Daniels came back. I'm like, Mariota has been fine.

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Quarterback has n't been their problem. They only had ten completions,

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but he averaged more than eleven yards per pass. The

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tempt debo making plays, McLaurin, making plays. Washington's offense looked

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like it's supposed to look this year. You know, the

237
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quotes after the game, Mariota, there's nothing like a winning

238
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locker room. It's hard to go two months without winning

239
00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:13,200
a football game. You know, you snapped an eight game skid.

240
00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:17,200
Their celebration in the NFL. McLaurin quote, it feels amazing

241
00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:19,039
to win a football game. It's been a long season.

242
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You come out here, you get a win, you really

243
00:12:20,799 --> 00:12:26,720
appreciate that feeling. So yeah, Washington, the effort was there yesterday,

244
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the production was there yesterday. But obviously some of that

245
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has to do with the fact they faced an opponent

246
00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:34,240
that's a lot weaker than the Philadelphia Eagles.

247
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Speaker 2: You just mentioned the Browns and what a pitiful performance

248
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Excuse me it was by Shader Sanders. Three interceptions was

249
00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:45,000
the demise of his team.

250
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Speaker 1: Now Buffalo, who was well, just.

251
00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:51,759
Speaker 2: Another great second half performance by them over their divisional rival.

252
00:12:51,799 --> 00:12:54,200
The Patriots now head to Cleveland as a double did

253
00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:55,440
your favorite.

254
00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:58,039
Speaker 3: Sure look aheadline? Here was Bill's minus eight and a

255
00:12:58,080 --> 00:13:01,440
half last minus nine, little forty one and a half. Course,

256
00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:03,919
the bet look at the lines of betable lines on

257
00:13:04,039 --> 00:13:05,679
this game from last week, so we can see how

258
00:13:05,799 --> 00:13:08,759
much one week affected the points spread. My powering number

259
00:13:08,799 --> 00:13:10,879
after yesterday's game, and again the powering numbers are just

260
00:13:10,879 --> 00:13:13,440
team eight TEMB. Home field does not factor in situation.

261
00:13:13,879 --> 00:13:15,799
You do worry about situation a little bit here for

262
00:13:15,879 --> 00:13:19,039
Buffalo coming off a pretty big Cup Ride win yesterday,

263
00:13:19,559 --> 00:13:22,919
my powering number has the Bill's nine. The markets open

264
00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:26,879
ten and forty two and a half last night, and

265
00:13:28,399 --> 00:13:32,080
let's do it right now for the total emergency betting

266
00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:36,879
alert wise, if you like the window right now, there's

267
00:13:36,919 --> 00:13:38,840
a forty three out there, there are forty two and

268
00:13:38,919 --> 00:13:42,120
a half's out there. The market's going to forty two

269
00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:43,879
and forty two a key number when it comes to

270
00:13:43,919 --> 00:13:45,840
total market could go lower than that depending on the

271
00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:49,279
weather forecast in Cleveland this weekend. Bottom line, if you

272
00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:52,679
like Bills Browns under, there's urgency and numbers. Again, you

273
00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:54,399
can find a forty three right now in a forty

274
00:13:54,399 --> 00:13:56,440
two and a half. I'm not convinced those are gonna

275
00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:59,159
be there twenty four hours from now. So urgency for

276
00:13:59,279 --> 00:14:04,519
Bills Browns to the under. Buffalo allowed two hundred and

277
00:14:04,519 --> 00:14:07,720
forty six rushing yards yesterday. They allowed two fifty plus

278
00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:11,480
yards treviaon Henderson touchdowns. You worry about this defense. They

279
00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:14,679
gave up seven point five yards per play, gained only

280
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:18,840
five point two, and won the game. Reached ten wins

281
00:14:18,879 --> 00:14:22,240
for the seventh consecutive season. You know, Josh Allen quote,

282
00:14:22,279 --> 00:14:23,679
no matter what the score is, if it's in the

283
00:14:23,679 --> 00:14:25,720
third quarter, in the fourth quarter, whatever it is, we

284
00:14:25,759 --> 00:14:27,440
got a chance and we got the ball. We feel

285
00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:29,879
like we like our chances, and that's what you have

286
00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:33,360
when you have a franchise QB like Josh Allen behind center.

287
00:14:34,799 --> 00:14:37,919
Three times this year, Buffalo's come back from double digit deficits.

288
00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,840
You know, they beat Baltimore in the opener, they beat Cincinnati,

289
00:14:41,039 --> 00:14:43,200
and they did it again yesterday against New England. So

290
00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:47,080
it's a Bills team that's showing and proving to us

291
00:14:47,519 --> 00:14:50,879
they can withstand adversity. I do worry about that run defense,

292
00:14:50,919 --> 00:14:53,399
but Cleveland's not exactly run the football particularly well. I

293
00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:55,639
talked about how the Brown struggled yesterday in terms of

294
00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:57,720
three picks for scheduers who was sacked five times. They

295
00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,600
couldn't run the ball and there was no way to

296
00:15:00,679 --> 00:15:02,519
rally from behind in that game. There wasn't much fight.

297
00:15:02,559 --> 00:15:06,080
The temperature kickoff was eight degrees. Cleveland now one and

298
00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:09,600
six straight up their last seven, and of those six losses,

299
00:15:09,879 --> 00:15:12,080
only one of them has come by less than a

300
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:16,720
touchdown during that span. Kevin Stefanski talking about his rookie

301
00:15:16,799 --> 00:15:21,320
QB quote, he's a young player that's making progress, and

302
00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:23,519
then we talked about that all week. I see it

303
00:15:23,519 --> 00:15:25,919
in games, I can see him practice. They're gonna be

304
00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,799
ups and downs for young players, particularly the quarterback position,

305
00:15:29,039 --> 00:15:31,320
to all learn from it and will be better next week.

306
00:15:31,759 --> 00:15:34,919
That to me is a perfect quote that's true about Chador.

307
00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:37,080
There's gonna be ups and downs. He is a rookie

308
00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:39,879
who you know is gonna come in and there'll be

309
00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:43,399
games like yesterday. Doesn't mean every game will be like yesterday,

310
00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,480
but certainly yesterday was not pretty. If you had Cleveland

311
00:15:46,559 --> 00:15:49,559
plus the points, this game.

312
00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:53,679
Speaker 1: Is not gonna be pretty. Teddy, the Jets are headed

313
00:15:53,759 --> 00:15:54,879
to New Orleans.

314
00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:58,240
Speaker 2: But I will say this, is it crazy to say

315
00:15:58,279 --> 00:15:58,919
that there is.

316
00:15:58,879 --> 00:16:01,960
Speaker 1: A resurgence in the New Orleans Saints team? Tyler show

317
00:16:02,159 --> 00:16:05,000
playing clean football if you will.

318
00:16:05,279 --> 00:16:06,960
Speaker 2: They have nothing to play for, but it seems like

319
00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:08,320
they're having a really good time.

320
00:16:08,919 --> 00:16:12,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, they made me money yesterday. So I don't know

321
00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,799
if there's gonna be a long term resurgence, But the

322
00:16:14,799 --> 00:16:16,759
Saints were one of those that I just couldn't talk

323
00:16:16,799 --> 00:16:18,519
myself out of yesterday. And when they were down ten,

324
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:22,720
I wasn't thrilled with the wager, but obviously they came

325
00:16:22,759 --> 00:16:24,879
back and made all the plays down the stretch. Tyler

326
00:16:24,919 --> 00:16:27,000
shucks permiting to be and again, when you were a

327
00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,440
twenty six year old quarterback who played five years at

328
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:35,120
three different colleges. You have more experience and more systems,

329
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,200
and you have maybe more potential as a rookie than

330
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:42,559
some of these qbs. Look headline here. There were threes

331
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,120
for the Saints and three and a halfs thirty nine

332
00:16:45,159 --> 00:16:46,840
and a half for the total. My powering number for

333
00:16:46,879 --> 00:16:49,279
the game came four and a half. The markets opened

334
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:52,320
four and forty and a half last night. The four

335
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,799
and a half have mostly been taken out. There's still

336
00:16:55,799 --> 00:16:58,120
a handful out there if you want the under bet

337
00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,279
it now for the ailing number. As we speak, there

338
00:17:01,279 --> 00:17:03,039
are some four and a half's out there as well,

339
00:17:03,159 --> 00:17:05,279
but I don't know. There's a huge sense of urgency

340
00:17:05,559 --> 00:17:08,319
in that regard. And the Jets have been rough all right,

341
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,680
you know. There are yards per play seven point four

342
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:15,240
to four point two. Yesterday in Jacksonville, Steve Wilkes, who

343
00:17:15,319 --> 00:17:18,400
was a big back over the summer. One of my

344
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,440
big notes is Steve Wilkes's DC question mark Excel makes

345
00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:23,599
point question mark because Wilkes had, like each of his

346
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:26,119
last five jobs has ended after one year. He's ended

347
00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:29,240
being fired, and I'm like, that's the tired retread and

348
00:17:29,319 --> 00:17:32,200
this defense. Two weeks ago, they gave up touchdowns to

349
00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:34,559
their first three drives. This last week, they gave up

350
00:17:34,599 --> 00:17:38,160
touchdowns in their first three drives. And when you give

351
00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,400
it up opponent scoring touchdowns your first three times in

352
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,480
the game, and you're starting an undrafted rookie QB and

353
00:17:43,559 --> 00:17:46,359
Brady Cook, you ain't gonna win. You know. They allow

354
00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,799
their most points since they lost to New England in

355
00:17:48,839 --> 00:17:53,119
twenty twenty one, fifty four to thirteen. You know, and

356
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,920
the injury list for the Jets on defense is a

357
00:17:56,039 --> 00:17:59,079
mile long. They started I think three or four rookies yesterday,

358
00:17:59,319 --> 00:18:04,039
you know, and andraft to rookie QB at It's it's

359
00:18:04,079 --> 00:18:05,640
not going to be a pretty ending of the season

360
00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:07,359
for the Jets, and it hasn't been a pretty ending

361
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:11,440
in recent weeks. And you know, it's they've been playing

362
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:15,000
like a true bottom feeder of late. As for the Saints,

363
00:18:15,039 --> 00:18:17,400
I mean, Tyler Shuck's making me money, man. You know,

364
00:18:19,279 --> 00:18:22,160
they're three and three in shuck six starts. You know,

365
00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:25,319
Kellen Moore, his steadiness is really special. He made some

366
00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:29,400
big time plays deefas event Chase Young every week I

367
00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:31,319
can see he's getting more comfortable. He just started to

368
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,079
look like that guy. Whatever he's doing, we got to

369
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:38,319
get him to keep doing it. You know, eight point

370
00:18:38,319 --> 00:18:40,039
five years for past time. Yesterday he was a leading

371
00:18:40,079 --> 00:18:43,200
rusher as well, no turnovers, a twenty seven to fifteen

372
00:18:43,279 --> 00:18:46,880
first down edge. The Saints are playing a little bit

373
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:48,759
better than their record would indicate. The question is, now

374
00:18:48,759 --> 00:18:53,400
they've beaten the visional rival, they do it again, back

375
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:54,960
to back wins for New Orleans. Is that the type

376
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,160
of team you want to lay a price with in

377
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,039
week number three? Yeah?

378
00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,079
Speaker 2: I don't know, Teddy, I'm not sure I'm ready to

379
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,000
lay the points with New Orleans. But I want no

380
00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:06,920
part of this Jets team, another team that I thought

381
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:08,799
I wanted know part of. And then I saw a

382
00:19:08,799 --> 00:19:11,759
tweet last night and I bet the Vikings laid and hey,

383
00:19:12,279 --> 00:19:14,200
they get eliminated from the postseason, and all of a

384
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:17,240
sudden they want to win back to back football games.

385
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:19,720
What do you think about this Giants team that just

386
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:23,519
got blown out yesterday now laying points on the road

387
00:19:23,559 --> 00:19:25,160
here with the Vikings.

388
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:29,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, so look ahead, line here Minnesota minus one and

389
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:34,200
a half forty three. My powering number comes Vikings minus two.

390
00:19:34,319 --> 00:19:36,200
The markets last night where there were two and a

391
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,480
halfs and forty four and a halfs out there, and

392
00:19:38,559 --> 00:19:41,160
today we're seeing threes as well as the two and

393
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,680
a half's out there. There are still plenty of two

394
00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:48,319
and a halfs. And given what Minnesota did in Dallas

395
00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,400
on national TV, I understand, look at line is only

396
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:52,960
one and a half. I understand my powering number is

397
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:56,519
only two. I would not be shocked at all if

398
00:19:56,519 --> 00:19:58,640
the two and a halfs get bought up to three. Here,

399
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,880
Leading Indicator books already a three. A Vegas books already

400
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,680
a three. Let's do one more emergency betting alert before

401
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:12,039
we're all said and thought. Now, you know the giants

402
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:15,599
last win came before they allowed thirty three points in

403
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,200
the fourth quarter at Denver. They're oh to eight straight

404
00:20:18,279 --> 00:20:20,279
up and their last eight ball games four and four

405
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,480
against the spread during that span. The point spread's always

406
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,599
a great equalizers. But yes, they give them a punt

407
00:20:24,599 --> 00:20:27,480
return touchdown. You know they moved up to the number

408
00:20:27,519 --> 00:20:30,039
one spot for the draft next spring. A team has

409
00:20:30,079 --> 00:20:33,200
already fired their coach, which means the interim coach. You

410
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,200
know how much the Giants want to win these games

411
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:39,680
as an organization, the players do as an organization. It

412
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,440
does not be whove them to win games down the stretch.

413
00:20:41,519 --> 00:20:46,279
Really doesn't Jackson Dart again win a concussion protocol yesterday.

414
00:20:46,839 --> 00:20:48,200
You know, it's only been back two weeks since his

415
00:20:48,279 --> 00:20:52,599
last time in concussion protocol. His quote, I've never gone

416
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,359
this long without a win in my career. I know

417
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:56,960
that isn't going to be the case for the future

418
00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,519
and things are gonna eventually turn around. I definitely have

419
00:20:59,559 --> 00:21:02,039
that in my mind. Obviously. The team who want to

420
00:21:02,039 --> 00:21:07,640
get that switched immediately maybe Minnesota again. You talked about

421
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:11,559
they were eliminated before kickoff after winning fourteen games last

422
00:21:11,599 --> 00:21:13,880
year and then won back to back games that were

423
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:16,200
the much better team in Dallas last night, And really,

424
00:21:16,319 --> 00:21:18,680
I mean that was a Brian Flores game. Flores Flummox

425
00:21:19,279 --> 00:21:21,759
Dak Prescott in the red zone, and it was a

426
00:21:21,839 --> 00:21:26,200
JJ McCarthy game. McCarthy, it's only his eighth NFL game,

427
00:21:26,799 --> 00:21:30,519
all right. Quote. I think they just experience getting too

428
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:32,359
my eighth game and just feeling more and more comfortable

429
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:35,680
pocket seeing the defenses of just another piece of the puzzle.

430
00:21:35,839 --> 00:21:38,480
He had two hundred and fifty passing yards. He wasn't sacked.

431
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,559
He averaged ten point four yards per pass attempt. You know,

432
00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:44,039
Jalen Naylor, It's just a thing to keep building on

433
00:21:44,079 --> 00:21:45,599
the rest of the way and leading in the next year,

434
00:21:45,799 --> 00:21:48,319
leading in the next year. We just have a one

435
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:53,400
game mindset no matter what our record. Is not surprised

436
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,599
that we've seen some vikings money already. I wouldn't be

437
00:21:56,599 --> 00:22:00,079
surprised if we see a little bit more given the

438
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,960
different trajectories of these two teams in recent weeks.

439
00:22:04,519 --> 00:22:07,519
Speaker 2: Teddy, I have a funny friend gambling group chat, and

440
00:22:07,559 --> 00:22:09,000
the first text I woke up to this morning was

441
00:22:09,039 --> 00:22:10,920
to aero Epstein ask her if she was gonna go

442
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,640
to this game, and it said, Ariel, are you gonna

443
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:14,559
go watch your.

444
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 1: Ravens play my Patriots?

445
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,400
Speaker 2: And I left, I said, wait, are the Ravens still

446
00:22:19,279 --> 00:22:20,799
on the outside looking into the playoffs?

447
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 3: Like?

448
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 1: What are we looking at here for this team?

449
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 2: Talk to me about the Patriots off that divisional loss,

450
00:22:26,599 --> 00:22:27,680
Baltimore off.

451
00:22:27,519 --> 00:22:28,400
Speaker 1: That divisional win.

452
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 2: And if you think that Baltimore Ravens have a chance

453
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:34,559
here to salvage their season.

454
00:22:34,599 --> 00:22:36,559
Speaker 3: Of course the most they definitely have a chance to

455
00:22:36,559 --> 00:22:39,680
salvage their season. They're very much live in the NFC

456
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,720
North are the AFC North, I should say, you know

457
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,119
they're gonna get another chance with Pittsburgh to make the

458
00:22:46,279 --> 00:22:47,799
I'm just pulling off the standing. So I got them

459
00:22:47,839 --> 00:22:49,559
right here. I whish I probably should have had before

460
00:22:49,559 --> 00:22:50,559
I went on the show, But you know how that

461
00:22:50,599 --> 00:22:53,160
stuff is. Yeah, I mean Pittsburgh seven and six and

462
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,599
they played a night Baltimore seven and seven, So we're

463
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:58,559
not talking about a huge difference between the two teams.

464
00:22:59,039 --> 00:23:02,240
And even if Pittsburgh wins tonight, the Ravens will have

465
00:23:02,279 --> 00:23:06,680
a chance against the Steelers they still meet. But again,

466
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,519
look headline here, Baltimore minus one and a half forty

467
00:23:09,559 --> 00:23:12,759
seven and a half. My powering number Baltimore minus one,

468
00:23:12,839 --> 00:23:15,960
which surprised me. Last night we saw Ravens two and

469
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,319
a half and forty eight and a half as a

470
00:23:18,319 --> 00:23:21,920
prevailing number on the Odds Logic Live odd screen, and

471
00:23:22,039 --> 00:23:24,599
today that's basically what we're seeing, two and a halfs

472
00:23:24,599 --> 00:23:28,480
and threes out there for the Ravens. This will be

473
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:32,519
the Sunday night game this next week, and it's a

474
00:23:32,559 --> 00:23:35,200
split market right now. I don't know that we're going

475
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,799
to see threes. I'm not gonna emergency betting alert it

476
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:41,960
right here. But if you'll like New England, you can

477
00:23:42,039 --> 00:23:45,400
find a plus three right now. I don't think you're

478
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,680
going to see three and a halfs for this ball game,

479
00:23:47,759 --> 00:23:53,000
so it wouldn't hurt you. They're out there, and sometimes

480
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,000
I feel like I should emergency beting alert because if

481
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:56,759
you like New England, you can find threes right now,

482
00:23:56,799 --> 00:23:58,559
and I don't. I don't know where this is going.

483
00:24:00,039 --> 00:24:02,759
Ltimore still has a lot of betting market support. You know,

484
00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:05,200
they only ran forty plays the whole game on offense yesterday,

485
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:07,640
sven point ninety yards per play. They would er for

486
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:09,759
one in the red zone. It feels to me like

487
00:24:09,799 --> 00:24:11,920
this offense is still a little bit broken. Lamar only

488
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,440
had two carries, and then again, when Derek Henry and

489
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:17,160
Keith Mitchell are running nineteen times for one hundred and

490
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,680
sixty six yards in the ground, you don't need Lamar

491
00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:21,480
Jackson to run the football. You can have a broken

492
00:24:21,519 --> 00:24:23,839
offense you can run the football that effectively. And they

493
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:25,880
just big play after a big play from the running

494
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:29,279
game yesterday. And of course the divisional revenge felt meaningful,

495
00:24:29,759 --> 00:24:32,759
especially when you lost that first meeting at home, you know,

496
00:24:32,799 --> 00:24:35,519
and then it's relatively short turnaround like we saw again

497
00:24:35,599 --> 00:24:38,519
Cincy yesterday. You know, defensive back of Lloyd Gilman who

498
00:24:38,519 --> 00:24:41,640
had it was part of that pick six that you

499
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:45,480
really turned the game completely. In Baltimore's favorite yesterday quote,

500
00:24:45,559 --> 00:24:47,079
I think we were pissed off we lost in the

501
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,000
first time. I'm not gonna lie. It was good to

502
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:50,720
get out there and put that on tape, let everyone

503
00:24:50,759 --> 00:24:53,400
know they were ready to roll. Since that one in

504
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,920
five start raven six and two straight up four and

505
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,839
four ats the great equalizer the points spread. Five of

506
00:24:59,839 --> 00:25:04,359
the six wins have come against teams with losing records.

507
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:06,960
For the Patriots, I mean, Drake May wasn't good enough yesterday.

508
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:08,519
You know, they're up twenty one and nothing, and they

509
00:25:08,559 --> 00:25:10,799
kind of took their foot off the gas pedal May

510
00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:14,680
fourteen to twenty three, one p fifty five no touchdowns

511
00:25:14,799 --> 00:25:17,200
one or see. Actually it was sacked three times. You know,

512
00:25:17,319 --> 00:25:20,440
when you have the two big play touchdowns. The second

513
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,759
big play touchdown from Trayvon Henderson might have hurt them

514
00:25:22,759 --> 00:25:24,079
as much to help them, because they put the tire

515
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,559
defense back on the field and that Josh Allen was

516
00:25:26,559 --> 00:25:28,400
able to pick them apart. You know, they needed a

517
00:25:28,519 --> 00:25:30,480
kind of a one They didn't need a one play drive,

518
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,480
they needed an extended drive. In that situation, you can't

519
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:35,960
turn look at a big play touchdown and go oh,

520
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:37,839
that was a wrong that was a wrong thing. But

521
00:25:38,519 --> 00:25:40,799
in that instance, it didn't help the Patriots like it

522
00:25:40,799 --> 00:25:43,279
should have. That Big said the offense got shut down

523
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:45,720
after halftime, Drake may quote, we just have to be

524
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:47,640
better when we're up. I don't feel like we relaxed.

525
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:52,240
We just didn't make enough plays. The betting market disrespect

526
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:55,400
for New England was very much on display yesterday. All

527
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,160
the money came for Buffalo late and this too is

528
00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:02,119
showing us betting markets respect for a New England Patriots

529
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:06,720
team that there's still question marks about, even though they're

530
00:26:06,759 --> 00:26:08,559
still on top of the AFC East.

531
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,839
Speaker 1: Are a team that is just sliding reeling.

532
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:15,559
Speaker 2: If you will here in South Florida, that would be

533
00:26:15,559 --> 00:26:19,079
the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Man, it has been a rough

534
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:23,000
go for this team Panthers. As we just mentioned, Teddy,

535
00:26:23,519 --> 00:26:25,319
I was on the Saints yesterday, but I didn't have

536
00:26:25,319 --> 00:26:26,880
as much guts as you did, so I put them

537
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:27,559
in a teaser.

538
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 1: I will gladly take that as well.

539
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:32,799
Speaker 2: Carolina was kind of my pick at four to one

540
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:38,000
to win this South Division. Talk about Tampa Bay's recent slide, Carolina,

541
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:39,480
do they get back on track here?

542
00:26:39,839 --> 00:26:41,519
Speaker 3: Sure? And of course the Bucks and Panthers will meet

543
00:26:41,519 --> 00:26:43,759
twice in the final three weeks of the regular season.

544
00:26:44,279 --> 00:26:46,599
This meeting won't decide anything. Is likely to be the

545
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,960
second of the two meetings. Who's going to decide who's

546
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:52,240
going to win this division? That being said, there's certainly

547
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:54,240
urgency when you have two teams tied at the top

548
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,480
of the division, there's three weeks left and you're having

549
00:26:56,519 --> 00:26:59,880
your first matchup of the year between them. Look headline

550
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,200
Tampa two and a half forty four and a half.

551
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,720
My powering number Tampa only minus one. The markets opened

552
00:27:05,759 --> 00:27:08,240
two and a half forty five and a half last night.

553
00:27:08,559 --> 00:27:10,440
We're seeing lots of threes out there. In fact, we're

554
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:14,559
seeing almost all threes out there right now. For of

555
00:27:14,599 --> 00:27:20,839
the Tampa Bay Bucks, despite all their struggles again oh

556
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,039
one in five straight up oh and six against the

557
00:27:23,039 --> 00:27:25,920
spread since the beginning of November. The only win came

558
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:29,079
by three against Arizona, and they couldn't hold a lead

559
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:30,839
in that game. I had them that week and I

560
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:32,880
remember that. I was like, what are they doing out there?

561
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,759
And they haven't done any better since they hung on

562
00:27:35,799 --> 00:27:37,559
for the W But it wasn't pretty. So oh and

563
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,440
six ats slide. Can't get off the field on third

564
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:42,799
and twenty eight or fourth and fourteen to win the game?

565
00:27:43,319 --> 00:27:45,599
Baker Mayfield not blaming the defense for not being able

566
00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,119
to get off the field on third and twenty eight

567
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,079
and fourth and fourteen. Quote, this one's gonna haunt me.

568
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:52,599
It falls on my shoulder. It's not the defense's fault,

569
00:27:52,599 --> 00:27:56,559
it's my fault. First time all year, Bakers had the

570
00:27:56,559 --> 00:27:59,519
full compliment of receivers available. And this team is loaded

571
00:27:59,559 --> 00:28:02,480
with weapons right now. You know, whether it's Mike Evans

572
00:28:02,559 --> 00:28:04,920
or Jayalen McMillan both coming back to the lineup. I

573
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:09,240
mean there's you know, no shortage. You know, Bucky Irving's

574
00:28:09,759 --> 00:28:13,400
healthy and Bucah's has been one of the Rookie of

575
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,000
the Year candidates. I mean their weapons all over the

576
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,359
field right now for Tampa that there weren't a month ago.

577
00:28:21,279 --> 00:28:23,200
Tod Bowles ripped into the team after the game. We'll

578
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,079
see how they respond. Quote, you don't make excuses. You

579
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:29,440
got a bleeping care enough what the bleep hurts. It's

580
00:28:29,519 --> 00:28:31,880
kind of bleeping means something to you. It's more than

581
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:34,559
a job, it's your bleeping livelihood. How well do you

582
00:28:34,599 --> 00:28:36,200
know your job? How well can you do your job?

583
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,759
You can't sugarcoat that bleep. Yeah, Todd Bowles was not amused.

584
00:28:40,799 --> 00:28:44,079
We'll see how Tampa responds to that. They could respond positively,

585
00:28:45,319 --> 00:28:48,279
maybe not so much. As for Caroline. Again, I bet

586
00:28:48,279 --> 00:28:50,279
against them yesterday. This is not a Panthers team I

587
00:28:50,319 --> 00:28:52,200
trust when you look at the power rating, my car

588
00:28:52,279 --> 00:28:55,240
rading numbers are going to playoff contenders. Carolina. I believe

589
00:28:55,279 --> 00:28:58,319
they're at the very bottom of teams that are, you know,

590
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:02,680
intention to winning division title Donell and Hubbard, you know,

591
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,119
twenty four to seventy eight, barely three yards per carry.

592
00:29:05,119 --> 00:29:07,359
And when they can't run, they can't win. And that

593
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:09,960
was the essence of my Saints bed yesterday. Bryce Young

594
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,960
made plays. They converted seven third downs, They converted some

595
00:29:13,279 --> 00:29:16,799
low percentage throws there. But receivers are making plays. And

596
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:18,559
yet at the end of the game he's finished with

597
00:29:18,559 --> 00:29:21,240
one hundred and sixty three passing yards. You know, Bryce

598
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,000
Young quote, it was just a lack of execution where

599
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:25,960
a team that prides ourselves in the finish and we

600
00:29:26,039 --> 00:29:28,200
just didn't get that done today. It's not gonna feel

601
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,240
good for twenty four hours. We have a locker room

602
00:29:30,319 --> 00:29:33,920
full of guys who want to do better. This one

603
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:38,000
could come down to who's hungrier. And the Bucks have

604
00:29:38,039 --> 00:29:41,960
won five straight division titles. The Panthers are a hungry team.

605
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:44,079
If they're not a question, they're good enough.

606
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna find out that's the good news when

607
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:50,400
these two get to play each other. Teddy covers really

608
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,279
quickly shout out to over almost twenty one hundred of

609
00:29:53,279 --> 00:29:55,759
you guys right now watching us live, either on social

610
00:29:55,799 --> 00:29:58,599
media or the wager Talk YouTube channel. Special shout out

611
00:29:58,799 --> 00:30:03,640
to those Wager Times insiders here in the comment section, Teddy,

612
00:30:03,799 --> 00:30:06,400
how's your NFL season been going over the past couple

613
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:06,720
of weeks.

614
00:30:06,759 --> 00:30:09,240
Speaker 1: I know that you were a little displeased there, but.

615
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 2: Now it seems like you're pretty chipper, which kind of

616
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:14,039
tells me you've been cashing some nice tickets.

617
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,119
Speaker 3: Yeah. I was bored than displeased. I was freaking pissed

618
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:20,000
because you know, well, look, I worked the NFL hard,

619
00:30:20,119 --> 00:30:22,720
all right, I do. I watch every you know, I'm

620
00:30:22,839 --> 00:30:25,480
watching all every Sunday, I'm reading every quote. I'm going

621
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:28,200
through every injury report. This is for I'm supposed to

622
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,480
beat and when I'm not beating it, I get frustrated.

623
00:30:30,519 --> 00:30:33,640
And Yeah, So the last couple weeks been real good.

624
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,759
Six and one with the last over the last two

625
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:40,400
weekends in the NFL. We're making money right now, and

626
00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:42,480
there's a really good deal if you guys want to

627
00:30:42,519 --> 00:30:46,640
still take advantage promo code super Bowl one eight nine

628
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,640
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629
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,640
for another hour or two, but it's promo code super

630
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:56,599
Bowl one eight nine at checkout. We'll get to the

631
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,240
end the rest of my NFL season, right through the

632
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,640
Super Bowl for one hundred and eighty nine bucks. And

633
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:04,880
there's no nonsense, there's no bs, there's no bait and switch.

634
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,839
Every play, every day, every prop, every side, every total,

635
00:31:09,319 --> 00:31:12,519
right through the you know, Super Bowl, the Super Bowl sixty.

636
00:31:13,599 --> 00:31:15,960
Check out my home PAGWT Dot buzz Backs last TC,

637
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:19,079
click on the NFL season Pass and then use that

638
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639
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:23,440
board for the rest of the year.

640
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 2: All right, Teddy, I got to cash my Chiefs three

641
00:31:27,559 --> 00:31:30,400
to one. No playoffs Chiefs under love knop wins. But

642
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,000
I didn't want it to do like this.

643
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:33,279
Speaker 1: I didn't want.

644
00:31:33,079 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes hurt acl tear for the star quarterback there

645
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:39,039
of the Kansas City Chiefs.

646
00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:41,200
Speaker 1: Now they're on the road here.

647
00:31:41,519 --> 00:31:43,519
Speaker 2: I believe it's Gardner Minshew that will be getting the

648
00:31:43,559 --> 00:31:47,519
nod as the starter at the Tennessee Titans.

649
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna se a pretty big difference between the

650
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:51,799
look head line and the actual line for this ball game.

651
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:55,720
Look aheadline here CAC minus ten and a half total

652
00:31:56,000 --> 00:32:01,240
forty one. My powering number with Gardner and I again

653
00:32:01,319 --> 00:32:04,359
we talked about how to adjust. You have to adjust

654
00:32:04,359 --> 00:32:07,160
for Gardner Minshew versus Patrick Mahomes, and you have to

655
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:08,920
adjust for a Kansas City team that's played in the

656
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:12,759
last five Super Bowls now being eliminated from the playoffs.

657
00:32:13,359 --> 00:32:16,279
I adjusted seven and a half points. My powering number

658
00:32:16,359 --> 00:32:19,359
came Kansas City two and a half. The markets opened

659
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,200
threes last three and a half, thirty seven and a

660
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:23,279
half last night again to look at here was forty

661
00:32:23,319 --> 00:32:26,240
one four Chiefs Titans. And what are we seeing? We're

662
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:29,440
seeing threes mostly in three and a half. Maybe they

663
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,240
split line three three and a half. I'm not seeing

664
00:32:32,319 --> 00:32:34,480
the urgency to bet to take the plus three and

665
00:32:34,519 --> 00:32:36,359
a half or the bet of minus threes right now.

666
00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:39,000
Total thirty seven and a half for this one. And

667
00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:42,400
Minshew's a pretty big drop off from Patrick Mahomes. By

668
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:44,680
pretty big, I mean as big as the biggest drop

669
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:47,160
off between a quarterback starty qv in a backup in

670
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:52,599
the league. And of course Mahomes the torn ACL. He's

671
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,680
gonna have surgery. He will be out until next till

672
00:32:56,000 --> 00:33:00,279
but potentially into next season. Mahomes quote, don't know why

673
00:33:00,279 --> 00:33:03,160
this had to happen. Not gonna lie. It hurts. All

674
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:04,839
we can do now is trust in God and attack

675
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,640
every single day, over and over again. Kansas City no

676
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:11,319
running game yesterday. Running backs nineteen to thirty nineteen carries

677
00:33:11,359 --> 00:33:14,640
thirty four yards along of seven. That being said, they're

678
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,079
facing Tennessee. Tennessee's the worst team in the league. Still.

679
00:33:17,519 --> 00:33:19,519
The defense. I talked about that about like a month

680
00:33:19,519 --> 00:33:22,200
ago or two. I thought the defense had potential. No,

681
00:33:23,559 --> 00:33:26,599
you know, cam Ward had no picks, no sacks, no quit.

682
00:33:26,799 --> 00:33:29,079
They had two fourth quarter scoring drives after falling behind

683
00:33:29,079 --> 00:33:31,920
by three touchdowns. Tennessee's been okay coming through the back

684
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,440
door this year. But the defense has been struggling. The

685
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:36,400
first they go up twenty nine of the Browns here,

686
00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:38,720
they didn't force a forty nine Ers punt. You know,

687
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,640
interim head coach Mike McCoy, you got to be able

688
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,680
to get off the field. You converted a high rate

689
00:33:43,759 --> 00:33:46,240
that percentage, it's tough. That's when you give up all

690
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,000
the points. So you got to be able to get

691
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,640
off the field on third downs. They haven't been able

692
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:52,359
to do that. No. By the way, I think their

693
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:56,240
top three safeties all left with injuries yesterday did not return.

694
00:33:56,319 --> 00:33:59,880
Tennessee's defensive was certain is likely to continue moving forward.

695
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:04,960
Speaker 2: Not good news for either one of those teams. Teddy,

696
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:09,639
let's talk about well, the good news was for the Chargers, right,

697
00:34:09,679 --> 00:34:11,800
they took a step forward in the AFC West.

698
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 1: The Cowboys, WHOA.

699
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:16,880
Speaker 2: I was not expecting the Vikings doing outright, But like

700
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,000
I said, I saw some line move there late and

701
00:34:19,039 --> 00:34:22,320
I thought, oh, I better jump on board with the Vikings.

702
00:34:22,639 --> 00:34:26,360
This Cowboys seemed looked improved there for a few weeks.

703
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:29,760
Last night, though, they got absolutely gashed by a quarterback

704
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:32,000
that well, let's say, is mediocre best.

705
00:34:32,119 --> 00:34:33,880
Speaker 1: What's justin Herbert going to do to this team.

706
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:37,159
Speaker 3: Now, well, I don't know how much Justin Herbert can

707
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,480
do right now, give me I mean Herbert hand injury,

708
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:43,559
he says, banged up as a quarterback gets. And every

709
00:34:43,559 --> 00:34:46,440
week you read the quotes from all around the Chargers

710
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,119
talking about how tough this guy is and how much

711
00:34:48,119 --> 00:34:52,360
they respect him for being tough. Look aheadline here, Cowboys

712
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:55,000
minus two and a half, forty eight and a half

713
00:34:55,079 --> 00:34:57,079
my powering number, and you have to adjust for Dallas

714
00:34:57,079 --> 00:34:59,159
after that loss yesterday, the back to back losses for

715
00:34:59,199 --> 00:35:03,880
the Cowboys, Chargers minus one. With my party number the markets,

716
00:35:04,039 --> 00:35:06,400
they're one and a half for Dallas and forty nine

717
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:09,119
at the open. Yes, and the look at and that's

718
00:35:09,159 --> 00:35:10,719
kind of what I'm seeing today. One and a half

719
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:14,800
forty nine and a half for the Cowboys as favorites

720
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,440
over the Chargers. The Chargers six to one straight up,

721
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,000
five and two against spread their last seven games. They

722
00:35:21,159 --> 00:35:23,800
just beat both Super Bowl teams from last year. Over

723
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:26,039
the last two weeks, they swept Kansas City, knocking out

724
00:35:26,039 --> 00:35:28,480
of the playoffs, knocked off Philly in overtime the previous week.

725
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:32,000
You know, Harbaugh quote, this is a ball team starting

726
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,079
to think this is my favorite ball team I've ever

727
00:35:34,199 --> 00:35:36,360
been on. I've been on a lot of teams, none

728
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:38,480
better than this team. It's a ball team, a real

729
00:35:38,519 --> 00:35:42,840
ball team. Love these guys. You know Derwin James talking

730
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,239
about the importance of beating Kansas City quote, we know

731
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,039
what that team has done the last eight nine years.

732
00:35:47,039 --> 00:35:48,760
Coming to Arrowhead and getting a win, it means a

733
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:50,519
lot for our team because we're five to zero in

734
00:35:50,559 --> 00:35:55,440
our division. This not a division game. We worried about

735
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:58,239
a letdown potentially, but I mean the Cowboys. You can't

736
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:01,039
give up thirty four to Minnesota and get Saxon McCarthy

737
00:36:01,039 --> 00:36:03,320
and expected to be a playoff team. You know, Brian

738
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:05,480
Flores is stimy Dak in the red zone. Two of

739
00:36:05,519 --> 00:36:07,760
five in the red zone for Dallas, they have to

740
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,440
win their last three and hope Philly goes oh to

741
00:36:10,480 --> 00:36:14,159
three to make the playoffs. So they're still alive. They're

742
00:36:14,159 --> 00:36:17,400
saying there's still a chance, but last night's loss effectively

743
00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:21,199
into their season. Dak Prescott definitely surprised, especially the get

744
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:23,280
rolling like we did for those few weeks and watch

745
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,599
the confidence just skyrocket, stopping team scoring a will coming

746
00:36:26,599 --> 00:36:28,800
back from twenty one points down. A lot of good

747
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,320
wins there that to be in this position just reminds

748
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:36,800
you every play matters. It's a hard game. Dallas now

749
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,920
sitting six seven and one, a sub five hundred team.

750
00:36:40,079 --> 00:36:42,440
As we approach week fifteen.

751
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:45,159
Speaker 2: Teddy, talk to me about some of these teams where

752
00:36:45,159 --> 00:36:48,639
they're maybe headed into opposite directions but still have an

753
00:36:48,679 --> 00:36:50,599
outside shot to make the playoffs.

754
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,599
Speaker 1: What are we looking at this far into the season.

755
00:36:54,039 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 2: I want to kind of sift through the narratives and

756
00:36:56,960 --> 00:37:00,840
some of the bs. I know power ratings reigned supreme,

757
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,960
but at the end of the day, have certain teams quit.

758
00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:08,280
Let's get into this Bengals Dolphins team. The Bengals just

759
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:11,239
absolutely worked, right, they rushed back Joe Burrow.

760
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:13,760
Speaker 1: It seemed to be a good thing, right.

761
00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:18,280
Speaker 2: They went on Thanksgiving, they almost beat the Bills. Then

762
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,039
yesterday Ravens get the revenge. Kind of talk to me

763
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:24,119
about I don't know, maybe the mental wellbeing of some

764
00:37:24,199 --> 00:37:26,360
of these teams, Like, are you know that I see

765
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,159
the comments, Oh the Jets quit, Oh, this team quit, Well,

766
00:37:29,199 --> 00:37:31,199
the Saints didn't quit. What are we thinking about the

767
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,000
Bills here at the Dolphins or excuse me, the Bengals

768
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:35,239
here at the dolphinsxcuse me.

769
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 3: Bengals Dolphins is not mixed up for me?

770
00:37:40,079 --> 00:37:44,039
Speaker 2: Well, I'm going off Dan Alexander's slide. I apologize that

771
00:37:44,079 --> 00:37:46,199
to not have this up. Cardinals, Falcons, We're gonna go

772
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:49,400
up next. This is actually a better segue because neither

773
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:52,840
of these teams have anything to play for Teddy, Yeah,

774
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:56,599
somehow we're stuck with them here in week sixteen.

775
00:37:57,360 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, look at line here, Arizona minus one, one a

776
00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:02,719
hand a half total forty five. My powering number has

777
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:06,880
Atlanta minus two. The market's open Atlanta minus one and

778
00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:10,760
a half forty six last night, and we've seen nothing

779
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,559
but Falcons money two and a half the prevailing number.

780
00:38:13,559 --> 00:38:16,159
This morning, we've all seen nothing but over money forty

781
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,440
seven and a half the prevailing total. So we're seeing

782
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:24,679
Falcons money and over money. I wouldn't argue if you

783
00:38:24,679 --> 00:38:26,519
wanted to bet Atlanta now. I don't know that we're

784
00:38:26,519 --> 00:38:28,480
gonna see a whole lot of Arizona money. I mean,

785
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:30,920
I'll give I continue to give credit to the Cardinals

786
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,519
because they could mean a fight. They're down thirty to

787
00:38:33,559 --> 00:38:36,239
seven and they kept fighting yesterday. You know, the next

788
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:37,920
thing you know they're a missed two point version away

789
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:40,239
from covering. I give credit to Dakobe were Satid, I

790
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:43,360
give credit to Jonathan Gannon, but they've now lost six straight.

791
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:46,039
Their last win they had to beat the Cowboys in

792
00:38:46,079 --> 00:38:48,440
that one game. But remember this team started two and oh.

793
00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:52,159
They're one and eleven since that two and oh start,

794
00:38:52,519 --> 00:38:54,159
and they were down ten to nothing before the first

795
00:38:54,159 --> 00:38:56,599
offensive snap. You know, give up a big play, touchdown, fumble,

796
00:38:56,639 --> 00:39:00,760
the kick return. You know, Jonathan and quote, we got

797
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,639
beat by a good football team. We didn't play well enough.

798
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:08,760
We're going and go back to work. Yeah, okay. Atlanta

799
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,800
has been favored six times this year. They lost five

800
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:13,119
of them outright. The only win came by a touchdown

801
00:39:13,159 --> 00:39:15,880
her home against Washington Cousins. A great night on Thursday

802
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:19,239
night football. No picks, only sacked once, eight point five

803
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:23,119
yards were pass tempt You know his quote, pro football

804
00:39:23,159 --> 00:39:25,440
tests you. It keeps me on my knees in prayer.

805
00:39:25,559 --> 00:39:27,800
It's been a difficult two years since tearing my achilles.

806
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,000
All I know is to trust and to keep going

807
00:39:30,199 --> 00:39:32,000
and walk by faith, not by sight, and that can

808
00:39:32,039 --> 00:39:35,679
be hard. Sometimes nights like tonight you get a boost.

809
00:39:36,159 --> 00:39:38,800
I see if Drake London is involved here, Drake lunnon,

810
00:39:39,039 --> 00:39:42,199
I mean this offense with Pitts and Robinson and London

811
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:45,639
should be pretty close, not unstoppable, but should be better

812
00:39:45,679 --> 00:39:48,880
than it's been. London has been hurt. The offense has

813
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:52,079
been hit or miss. It hit last week in Tampa,

814
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:55,000
especially in the fourth quarter. Don't know that necessarily carries

815
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,360
over to Arizona, long way from home for a losing

816
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:00,000
team at the tail end of a disappointing season.

817
00:40:01,079 --> 00:40:03,159
Speaker 1: Yay, Teddy, we get a good game here.

818
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:07,559
Speaker 2: That is the Jacksonville Jaguars are headed to Denver, and

819
00:40:08,039 --> 00:40:11,880
as I mentioned to start the show, seems like Denver cannot.

820
00:40:11,519 --> 00:40:16,599
Speaker 1: Lose at mile High. JAG's been playing red hot as well.

821
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,000
Speaker 2: Kind of let me know what your thoughts are on

822
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,599
this matchup. I don't know what to make of the Broncos.

823
00:40:22,679 --> 00:40:25,840
Let's just be real. This is a team that I

824
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,280
have kind of said has been fraudulent, but the defense

825
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:31,000
is not bo Nicks. I feel like if he makes

826
00:40:31,039 --> 00:40:34,960
no mistakes, this team thrives. If he turns the ball over,

827
00:40:35,079 --> 00:40:36,440
it gets risky late.

828
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:39,559
Speaker 3: So he asked me Denver and New England. I'll take Denver.

829
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:41,079
You know what I mean of which of the two

830
00:40:41,119 --> 00:40:44,440
teams is real real err, I will definitely take Denver.

831
00:40:45,079 --> 00:40:47,119
I don't think it's close in that regard, at least

832
00:40:47,119 --> 00:40:50,000
in my opinion. From powering standpoint, I don't have the

833
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:52,679
two teams way up apart from each other. But from

834
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,440
if it's a playoff game between Denver and New England,

835
00:40:55,440 --> 00:41:00,000
I'll trust the Broncos more plan and simple, and that's all.

836
00:41:00,199 --> 00:41:02,119
I'll trust Sean Payton to coach a team in a

837
00:41:02,159 --> 00:41:04,800
big game way before I'll trust Mike Rabel in that

838
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:07,960
regard to Rabel, one of the more overrated head coaches

839
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:10,719
in this better's opinion. Look headline here, there were two

840
00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:13,119
and a half and threes for Denver total forty three.

841
00:41:13,519 --> 00:41:16,800
My powering number came Broncos three. The markets opened three

842
00:41:16,920 --> 00:41:19,760
and forty six last night. What are we see in today?

843
00:41:20,159 --> 00:41:22,320
Three and forty six? There are some forty five and

844
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:25,760
a half's out there, so not much movement on this

845
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:29,079
one long way from home from Jacksonville, not Jacksonville conditions

846
00:41:29,079 --> 00:41:32,880
necessarily traveling at Denver, but since blowing that twenty nine

847
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:36,239
to ten fourth quarter lead in Houston, the Jags five

848
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:40,000
and oh straight up five and ats. They've won four

849
00:41:40,039 --> 00:41:44,599
of those, five by seventeen points or more. Dominant football.

850
00:41:45,119 --> 00:41:48,119
Trevor Lawrence yesterday five touchdown passes, the best pass rating

851
00:41:48,119 --> 00:41:50,719
of his career. They still couldn't run Trevor Lunsr. Leading

852
00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:53,519
rusher two. But when you're winning the yards per play

853
00:41:53,519 --> 00:41:55,760
battle seven point four to four point two, you did

854
00:41:55,760 --> 00:42:00,239
something right, you know. Travis at ten quote, I don't

855
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:03,079
think I've ever seen trev Trevor Lawrence like this, and

856
00:42:03,119 --> 00:42:06,760
we won a national championship together. He's on fire. You've

857
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:08,840
seen it. The growth that I've seen from him is

858
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:13,599
just believable, unbelievable. Lawrence is quote definitely, this is as

859
00:42:13,639 --> 00:42:16,719
confident as I felt, just a feeling in our locker

860
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:18,880
room and our team and our offense. It's been fun.

861
00:42:19,159 --> 00:42:21,119
We just got to continue to build on that and

862
00:42:21,199 --> 00:42:24,920
not get complacent. There's still a lot more ahead for

863
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:30,480
us that my friends bet unquote and Jacksonville has been

864
00:42:30,639 --> 00:42:34,320
and may still continue to be something of an undervalid commodity.

865
00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:36,840
I've been a Jaggs believer over the course of the

866
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:40,199
last month or two. As for Denver, I mean bo

867
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,760
Nix's making plays down the stretch again four or four

868
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:45,800
in the red zone for Denver, only one to four

869
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:47,519
for green Bay. Defense did the job and they a

870
00:42:47,519 --> 00:42:50,639
had to, you know, Patrick certain quote. We got a

871
00:42:50,679 --> 00:42:52,760
lot of fight the Packers. They got a great team

872
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:53,920
on both sides of the ball. We knew it was

873
00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:56,480
gonna be easy. We kept corritorating that throughout the whole

874
00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:58,400
ball game. Just finished, finish, finish, and we'll get the

875
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:00,840
job done. In order for us to read great, we've

876
00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:03,760
got to find a way to win those games. Eleven

877
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:06,400
game winning streak. Nine of those eleven wins have come

878
00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:10,679
by a single score. This team finding ways to steal

879
00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:14,039
all the close games and gaining confidence in doing so

880
00:43:14,199 --> 00:43:16,679
is quote Sean Payton, when you get comfortable operating in

881
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:19,360
those games, you don't think anything of it. Thanks story

882
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:20,440
like Buffalo in that regard.

883
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:24,840
Speaker 1: All right, let's keep it rolling here.

884
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:30,639
Speaker 2: The Steelers play Monday night football versus Miami tonight. But

885
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:34,159
they have a pretty big game on DAK here with

886
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:37,960
the Detroit Lions. Talk to me about Detroit Teddy. Coming

887
00:43:38,039 --> 00:43:41,119
off that loss to the Rams, I got of thought,

888
00:43:41,159 --> 00:43:43,639
maybe they had a shot late to get the cover

889
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:44,920
for us with no avail.

890
00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, they had a shot. They were in control of

891
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,599
that game in the first half. Second half got away

892
00:43:51,599 --> 00:43:55,239
from them pretty badly. In concerning ways. Look headline here,

893
00:43:55,519 --> 00:43:58,719
Detroit minus six, last minus six and a half, A

894
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:00,639
split line there, forty nine and a half for the

895
00:44:00,639 --> 00:44:03,199
prevailing total. My powering number comes Lions only five and

896
00:44:03,199 --> 00:44:05,599
a half. The markets opened six and a half last

897
00:44:05,679 --> 00:44:09,079
seven forty nine and a half last night, and that's

898
00:44:09,079 --> 00:44:11,159
what we're seeing today before the Steelers play on Monday

899
00:44:11,199 --> 00:44:13,840
Night Football. Obviously, if Pittsburgh looks good tonight, this line

900
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:16,239
likely to go down, no argument with the concept. If

901
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:18,880
you're like the Steelers tonight parably, then with the Steelers

902
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:21,159
next week. If you want to bet against Pittsburgh tonight,

903
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:24,039
probably them with the Lions for next week. That's certainly

904
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:28,400
a positive expectation strategy. As for the Lions, that was

905
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:30,559
a really costly loss. You know now that the number

906
00:44:30,599 --> 00:44:32,480
eight seed in the NFC only seven teams get in

907
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:35,400
the number seventeens the Packers. The Packers swept the Lions

908
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,880
in two meetings. Detroit ain't winning that tiebreaker. The last

909
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,920
ten games, Lions are five and five straight up, and

910
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,159
they've alter ned to wins the losses every week the

911
00:44:44,199 --> 00:44:46,519
longest winning streak has been one game during that span,

912
00:44:46,760 --> 00:44:49,760
longest losing streak one game the offense. I'm thirty four

913
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:52,480
in the Rams, No shame there, but the defense has

914
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:55,239
now allowed thirty plus in each of the last three weeks.

915
00:44:55,519 --> 00:44:59,000
Jared Goff, We're resilient, We really are. I expect us

916
00:44:59,039 --> 00:45:01,599
to bounce back from this. We've still plenty of stuff

917
00:45:01,599 --> 00:45:03,519
in front of us. We got a great group that

918
00:45:03,559 --> 00:45:07,840
can win a championship. Yere Dan Campbell quote. Nikupa had

919
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,199
a huge day. We couldn't slow him down. Stafford played

920
00:45:10,199 --> 00:45:12,159
a really high level, which you knew we did. We

921
00:45:12,159 --> 00:45:14,960
couldn't disrupt him and more importantly, stop the run. We

922
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:17,480
weren't able to do that. I was like Dan Campbell's

923
00:45:17,519 --> 00:45:23,000
quotes because he's honest. Most coaches aren't. But that being said,

924
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:27,880
I worry about the Lions moving forward. Lions off a loss,

925
00:45:28,559 --> 00:45:30,079
best ats record in football.

926
00:45:31,199 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 2: They are and you know what, Teddy, I do also

927
00:45:33,519 --> 00:45:36,280
love coaches that tell the truth. Do you keep track

928
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:38,000
of who tells the truth and who doesn't Because we

929
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:40,639
all know Andy Reid loves to lie, we all know

930
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:42,199
Dan Campbell have to tell the truth. But there's a

931
00:45:42,199 --> 00:45:44,480
lot of guys that you kind of have to sit

932
00:45:44,559 --> 00:45:47,159
through some of the bs to figure out if they're

933
00:45:47,159 --> 00:45:47,880
bsing you.

934
00:45:48,519 --> 00:45:51,280
Speaker 3: So Mike Tomlin is truthful in the regular season and

935
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:53,679
in the preseason. All he does is live, not lie.

936
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,920
But he changes his mind about his player rotations. Don't

937
00:45:56,920 --> 00:46:00,599
trust Tomlin, quotes in August, but I trust him in September. Cool,

938
00:46:00,679 --> 00:46:01,159
this one.

939
00:46:01,079 --> 00:46:06,079
Speaker 2: Mental note for next preseason. All right, A interesting shift

940
00:46:06,119 --> 00:46:10,159
here for the Houston Texans started off ice cold. Davis

941
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:11,880
Mills got them on a nice hot streak.

942
00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:12,239
Speaker 1: CJ.

943
00:46:12,400 --> 00:46:16,000
Speaker 2: Stroud keeping it going. Now they've got the easiest team

944
00:46:16,039 --> 00:46:18,159
on the board to beat. All they've got to do

945
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:21,400
is beat the Las Vegas Raiders here on Sunday, at

946
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:22,639
least for my Survivor pool.

947
00:46:22,679 --> 00:46:26,480
Speaker 3: Please, Yeah, look aat line here, Texans minus twelve and

948
00:46:26,519 --> 00:46:28,840
a half, thirty seven and a half. My powering number,

949
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:33,559
Texans minus thirteen. The market's open fourteen and thirty seven,

950
00:46:33,599 --> 00:46:35,880
and we haven't seen any takers on the Raiders at

951
00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:40,760
plus fourteen fourteen and a half already popping up for

952
00:46:41,079 --> 00:46:43,039
a Houston And I don't know if that's their points

953
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:45,960
spread range, you know what I mean? The Raiders is

954
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,159
second time this year, they've been shut out exactly thirty

955
00:46:48,199 --> 00:46:50,440
one to nothing. Second time this year they shout out

956
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:52,079
thirty one to nothing and not gained one hundred yards

957
00:46:52,119 --> 00:46:55,239
of offense. Kenny Pickett was fifteen of twenty five for

958
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:58,239
sixty four yards, no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked

959
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:02,039
four times, so that's a net of twenty nine passing

960
00:47:02,119 --> 00:47:05,679
yards on twenty nine dropbacks and seventy five total yards

961
00:47:05,679 --> 00:47:10,280
for the game. Pete Carroll quote, the only good thing

962
00:47:10,280 --> 00:47:13,920
that happened we didn't have anyone hurt today. You know,

963
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:19,199
that's looking for silver Linons. Coach Carroll quote, This is

964
00:47:19,199 --> 00:47:21,320
a result against the world champs last year, who maybe

965
00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:23,280
weren't playing quite like that for a month here or whatever,

966
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:25,360
but they look like it today. It looked like a

967
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:29,119
great team today. Who they played Houston. Six game winning

968
00:47:29,119 --> 00:47:31,480
streak five and one ATS. That's our longest winning streak

969
00:47:31,519 --> 00:47:34,760
since twenty eighteen started zero and three. Now they're one

970
00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:36,719
game behind the Jags. They have a ten win team

971
00:47:37,119 --> 00:47:39,320
and they're in the wild card position. If the season

972
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:43,360
ended today. Nico Collins with a huge game, fast start

973
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:46,039
the ten to nothing before Arizona even had their first snap.

974
00:47:46,559 --> 00:47:49,159
You know, CJ. Stroud quote. We started off a little rough,

975
00:47:49,519 --> 00:47:51,440
of course, but you want to be playing your best

976
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:54,159
ball in December going in January. Since we're doing that,

977
00:47:54,599 --> 00:47:57,559
it's really good. Every We could just keep progressing. I

978
00:47:57,559 --> 00:47:59,880
think that's all we can do right now. Tmiko, Ryan,

979
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:01,440
If you go out and handle business each week, you're

980
00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:04,119
just putting yourself in a better spot, not really focused

981
00:48:04,159 --> 00:48:06,440
on what anyone else in the AFC is doing. Focus

982
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:08,800
in the Texans. Focus on stepping your game up and

983
00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:12,559
playing better. I can't lay fourteen. I'm not taking the Raiders,

984
00:48:12,559 --> 00:48:14,119
but this is not a spot. I'm gonna lay fourteen

985
00:48:14,159 --> 00:48:14,679
with Houston.

986
00:48:16,199 --> 00:48:18,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's fair. I am going to use them in Survivor.

987
00:48:18,800 --> 00:48:20,840
Speaker 2: Hopefully some of you guys are still alive in your

988
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:24,480
Survivor pools as well. Okay, Teddy, Now we can talk

989
00:48:24,519 --> 00:48:29,480
about the Bengals versus Miami off this Monday night football game.

990
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:35,360
Speaker 3: Sure, look aadline here was pick them total fifty and

991
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:38,079
a half. My poorty number has a Dolphins minus two.

992
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:40,800
The markets are showing US one and a half some

993
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:43,480
fifties out there right now. It's not a mature market. Obviously.

994
00:48:43,559 --> 00:48:47,239
Miami placed tonight on Monday Night Football. Same story with Pittsburgh.

995
00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:50,159
If you like the Dolphins, you can parley this week's

996
00:48:50,159 --> 00:48:53,280
Monday Night Football with Miami for next week you'll beginning

997
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:55,360
the number best of the best of the number, or

998
00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:57,119
you can parley it the other way. You know, you

999
00:48:57,199 --> 00:49:00,960
bet the Pittsburgh tonight with Cincinnati four next week. If

1000
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:03,239
you're right about what happens tonight, you'll be getting the

1001
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:05,960
best of the number. Bengals were pretty rough yesterday, and

1002
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,280
they've been pretty only started two and oher you know,

1003
00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:10,719
since then they're two and ten. Although five and seven

1004
00:49:10,719 --> 00:49:13,199
against the spread, they covered their numbers yards for play,

1005
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:15,639
they were out gained seven point nine to four point two.

1006
00:49:16,039 --> 00:49:18,960
Burrow threw a pair of picks, including a pick six

1007
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:24,079
zero to one in the red zone. Zach Taylor. It

1008
00:49:24,079 --> 00:49:27,519
starts on our offense getting shut out. Never saw that coming.

1009
00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:30,079
There's a huge amount of accountability. I have to take

1010
00:49:30,159 --> 00:49:32,440
time I have to take with that. It's frustrating to

1011
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:37,679
score zero points. That's unacceptable. Joe Burrow quote. This is

1012
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:39,920
one of the worst games I've ever played. When your

1013
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:41,639
quarterback plays like that, your team's not gonna have a

1014
00:49:41,719 --> 00:49:44,840
chance to win. Burrow four picks in his last five

1015
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:48,920
quarters since the in theory should give better effort this

1016
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:52,920
week after not giving max effort in Baltimore yesterday. If

1017
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:57,320
they don't, that's another notch against Zach Taylor. But theory

1018
00:49:57,360 --> 00:49:59,199
is supposed to be a bounced back spot for the Bengals.

1019
00:49:59,239 --> 00:50:01,920
Whether they're good enough to do anything about it's another

1020
00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:02,719
question entirely.

1021
00:50:03,119 --> 00:50:04,719
Speaker 2: All right, I'm not sure he's the only grandpa on

1022
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,400
the NFL, but that was a funny narrative yesterday about

1023
00:50:07,440 --> 00:50:08,159
Philip Rivers.

1024
00:50:08,159 --> 00:50:09,119
Speaker 1: I even had to google it.

1025
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,280
Speaker 2: I am not much younger than Philip, but I was

1026
00:50:12,320 --> 00:50:15,800
shocked to hear the grandparent thing. Either way, Hey, he

1027
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:19,079
handled business for what he was able to do running

1028
00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:22,840
this Colts offense. While nothing was prolific, they had real

1029
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:25,239
opportunities to win that game as a double digit underdog.

1030
00:50:25,519 --> 00:50:29,519
Now the Niners going on Monday Night Football as just

1031
00:50:29,599 --> 00:50:30,960
less than a touchdown favorite.

1032
00:50:31,599 --> 00:50:35,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, look aheadline here san Fran minus six, last six

1033
00:50:35,039 --> 00:50:38,119
and a half total of forty six. My powering number

1034
00:50:38,119 --> 00:50:41,440
comes san Fran four and a half. The markets opened

1035
00:50:41,559 --> 00:50:43,559
five and a half forty six and a half last night.

1036
00:50:43,599 --> 00:50:46,000
That's exactly what we're looking at this morning. Haven't seen

1037
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:49,000
any movement on this one. And Kelly, I love you,

1038
00:50:49,119 --> 00:50:51,719
but shut up with the philip Rivers narrative. Dude, philip

1039
00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:55,280
Rivers sucked yesterday. Grandpa went eighteen to twenty seven for

1040
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:58,159
one hundred and twenty yards, one touchdown, one pick, four

1041
00:50:58,159 --> 00:51:00,599
point four yards for a pass at ten, nothing but

1042
00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:04,519
quick release, dinky donkey. He only took one sack. The

1043
00:51:04,559 --> 00:51:07,400
team had three point seven yards per play. You don't

1044
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:09,599
win games in the NFL with three point seven yards

1045
00:51:09,599 --> 00:51:12,719
per play, you know. And Jonathan Taylor ran the football effectively.

1046
00:51:13,239 --> 00:51:15,920
You know, defense played great. But now what have they

1047
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:18,280
lost four straight five out a six, two, three and

1048
00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:21,039
one ats during that span? They're at a playoff position

1049
00:51:21,119 --> 00:51:24,239
in the AFC. Philip Rivers, Now, hey, they got Felm

1050
00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:25,760
on a bet. You watch at the end of the game.

1051
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,239
He can't throw the ball thirty yards downfield, let alone

1052
00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:30,840
throwing a hail Mary at the end. His quote, It

1053
00:51:30,880 --> 00:51:33,159
was exciting, Shoot, it was exciting to take a thirteen

1054
00:51:33,199 --> 00:51:35,920
to three lead. But first off, a play that we

1055
00:51:36,000 --> 00:51:37,519
kind of had all week in the red zone in

1056
00:51:37,559 --> 00:51:39,519
the area on the down and distance on that hash

1057
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:42,119
we practicing these ext same spot this week. So when

1058
00:51:42,159 --> 00:51:44,599
things go like that, they fire you up. Obviously you're

1059
00:51:44,599 --> 00:51:46,239
throw in the fact that it's been eighteen hundred as

1060
00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:48,920
and throwing a touchdown or interception for that matter. So yeah,

1061
00:51:49,079 --> 00:51:52,239
those boxes were checked. Philip Rivers is happy the team lost.

1062
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:55,960
They're falling apart forty nine ers, aren't. They didn't punt yesterday.

1063
00:51:56,159 --> 00:51:58,000
They scored on the first five sessions of the game.

1064
00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:00,920
You know, I mean easy as the schedule can be

1065
00:52:01,079 --> 00:52:03,880
for San France, non divisional wins. The Saints, the Falcons,

1066
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:07,920
the Giants, the Panthers, the Browns, Tennessee, the Arizona twice,

1067
00:52:09,079 --> 00:52:10,679
but four and oh straight up and against the spread

1068
00:52:10,679 --> 00:52:13,320
their last four playing their best football down the stretch.

1069
00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:16,760
Converted nine to fifteen third downs yesterday. Christian McCaffrey quote,

1070
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:19,760
Brock was awesome today. A drake job, commanding the huddle,

1071
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:21,880
made some plays with his feet, He threw the ball

1072
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:24,639
down field. Guys made plays. Brock was Brock. When you

1073
00:52:24,639 --> 00:52:28,000
don't punt, you're doing something right. Pretty big difference between

1074
00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:30,519
these two teams, Although I will give Indy credit. They

1075
00:52:30,639 --> 00:52:33,239
fought tooth and nail yesterday, but a lot of that

1076
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:34,079
was Seattle having a.

1077
00:52:34,079 --> 00:52:36,400
Speaker 1: Flat spot, Teddy, you were cracking me up.

1078
00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:38,320
Speaker 2: I'm really glad that you guys can't see me when

1079
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:40,639
I'm off screen because I was howling.

1080
00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:41,800
Speaker 1: That was hilarious.

1081
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:45,559
Speaker 2: Very good points as always by mister Covers.

1082
00:52:45,599 --> 00:52:48,119
Speaker 1: Teddy. We got about ninety seconds.

1083
00:52:48,159 --> 00:52:50,440
Speaker 2: We're gonna let you get out of here so we

1084
00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:52,920
can head over to wager Talk today, Andy Laying, Dan,

1085
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:55,760
Alexander anything you would like to leave our audience with.

1086
00:52:56,280 --> 00:53:00,440
Speaker 3: Sure, Again, I really appreciate all of the common all

1087
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:02,960
the likes, all the follows. Thank you guys for being

1088
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:05,960
so supportive of the show. Legitimately, it gives me energy,

1089
00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:07,559
it makes it makes me excited to do it every

1090
00:53:07,559 --> 00:53:09,920
Monday morning. Most importantly, it makes me excited to prep

1091
00:53:09,960 --> 00:53:12,719
every Sunday night when I'm guessed. So thank you for

1092
00:53:12,760 --> 00:53:16,199
the likes the comments that follows. The promo code super

1093
00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:18,280
Bowl one eight nine is going to get you the

1094
00:53:18,280 --> 00:53:20,280
rest of the NFL season for one hundred and eighty

1095
00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:22,920
nine bucks. That's every play, every day, including the proper

1096
00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:25,280
port all the way through the Super Bowl. No nonsense.

1097
00:53:26,039 --> 00:53:28,599
Just click on NFL season on my homepage at wagertalk

1098
00:53:28,639 --> 00:53:31,719
dot com and use promo code super Bowl one eight

1099
00:53:31,800 --> 00:53:34,599
nine to take advantage that offer. Thanks for watching, guys,

1100
00:53:34,719 --> 00:53:37,079
enjoy the games this week, best of luck with your bets.

1101
00:53:37,280 --> 00:53:39,400
We'll do it again next Monday right here in another

1102
00:53:39,559 --> 00:53:42,199
edition of the Way You're Talking NFL Opening Line Report,

1103
00:53:42,199 --> 00:53:44,559
and of course can tuning on Sunday with end Zone

1104
00:53:44,599 --> 00:53:46,840
Live that too. That's a good place to spend your

1105
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:47,960
Sunday afternoon. Really is