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Speaker 1: Welcome into a wager Talks Last Call College Football Week two.

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As you guys can tell, I'm not in my traditional office,

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but you guys are gonna bear with me through any

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technical difficulties because I am here for you. You know

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who else is gonna be here for you, Yanni the Greek.

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He is going to give you guys all of that steam.

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We're gonna talk some UFC as well, So if you

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guys have a question regarding today's college football slate, drop

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it in the chat. UFC, drop it in the chat.

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Art to Caesar from the Westgate super Book unfortunately is

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not going to be joining us. They're pretty busy there

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if you guys can imagine at the Westgate super Book.

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But he did send me his list, so we're gonna

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go over that as well. And then Shawnalberis from wager

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Talk dot Com. It's gonna be batt and clean up

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for me. He's gonna take all of your college football questions.

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We're gonna hit all the top games, and of course

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I've got some questions for him because he and I

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agree on a few games on his list. Let's get

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right into it. We're gonna bring in Yanni the Greek.

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I call him VR. You guys can catch him every

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single Wednesday with me on bat On It if you

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guys missed it. But there is a college football edition

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of bet on It, there is an NFL edition to

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bet on It, and we have a mega show. Sorry

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Sean Dan is not here. On Saturdays, we got Louis

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from the Kelly and Murray Show running the behind the

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scenes VR. Welcome in, Happy Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Busy busy morning, Kel like all college football. I knew

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it coming into Saturday morning, we were going to get

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the extra game, stop, some of the derivatives, first quarter,

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first half bets coming in, and a lot a lot

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of college football, got some UFC, even some Major League Baseball,

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and of course NFL kicking off the Morrow. So it's

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a busy, busy twenty four hours. Not from Better for

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sports betters.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, I'm gonna give you guys arts list first that

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he texted me this morning. That way we can kind

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of compare it to VR. Make sure you guys have

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your Odds Logic screen Openoddslogic dot Com backslash Kelly in

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Vegas that is going to give you a seven day

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free trial if you guys aren't professional betters, don't feel

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like you need a real time odds screen. We also

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still have the free odds screen up wt dot Buzz

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backslash Odds there on wager talk dot com. Just know

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that it does have a slight delay VR one pulling

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up arts text message. I have a little panic this morning.

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I had my odds logic screen open and it was

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going berserk, and I thought, why the hell is Yukon

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going up to seven in some spots? I thought, I

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asked Louis, our producer. I said, oh my god, if

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somebody hurt for Yukon. What happened in the last couple

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of hours. It was five and a half this morning.

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So while read off the list from Art, I want

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you to kind of look into that for me and

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see what the heck is going on. Art and Caesar

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said they are gonna need Clemson to cover, They're gonna

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need South Florida to cover, They're gonna need Rice to cover,

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and they're gonna need Michigan to cover. But interesting enough,

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the public is all over Michigan. They're also all over Syracuse,

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Michigan State, and Illinois. They took four sharp bets in

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c State minus three Colorado minus twenty three and a half.

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Ohio plus three and a half against John Murray's West

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Virginia Mountaineers is a very interesting one. And then Hawaii

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minus six and a half VR. Did you find anything

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out for me on the Yukon game? Was that just

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all steam?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and a comeback? It was a comeback on the

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UH sign because remember it opened eight and a half nine,

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So when it went down through that key number of seven,

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and then you saw the minus six and a half

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betters come in on the Yukon side exactly like you

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touched on with. Aren't saying Hawaii because we actually bet

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Sam Houston at plus ten. And then I saw another

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group betted at plus eight and a half because they

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moved from ten straight to eight and a half. I

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saw another group betted at eight and a half. When

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it got down to six and a half. The same

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group that took the plus ten laid the six and

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a half with Hawaii for even a little bit more money.

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So they have Hawaii minus six and a half and

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Sam Houston plus ten in that game. So once it

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moves that significantly, I'm not surprised to see a little

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two way action, and I think that's exactly what we're

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seeing in Hawaii, as I mean in Connecticut as well.

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Speaker 1: Oh okay, wow, that's not necessarily great for me, but

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I did just retweet the show, So shout out to

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almost a thousand of you guys watching live. We've only

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been on here for about four minutes. That is awesome

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that you guys are here, especially those on the West

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Coast like VR and Sean Bright and early out there.

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I know VR has been up since five am, so

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that's a completely different thing. The comment section is going fast.

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Make sure you guys give us those likes. We are

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thirty eight subscribers away on YouTube from two hundred and

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sixteen thousand, so please make sure you're subscribed as well.

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Speaker 3: VR.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get back into sport college football here Iowa,

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Iowa State. We've got some questions in the comment They

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want to know who's gonna win the game, and then

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there was another question in regard to the total.

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Speaker 2: I Alwa was again perfect because I gave out a

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four percent two subscribers, and my suscribers won't care today

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because I gave them a glimpse for this week of

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what it looks like in my life. I gave them

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everything I'm moving not in the package, but for the subscribers,

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so they're seeing the volume in Iowa. Iowa State was

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one of those games we did bet over. We went

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over forty two and a half. I gave it as

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a four percent four subscribers, so that's one percent of

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bank roll. We didn't bet the side, but I know

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there was something on the side, so let me look

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real fast.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we saw it go from three into three and

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a half. This morning, VR, I have Iowa plus three

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in pocket. I thought about sprinkling a little bit on

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that money line. As you know, Kirk Ferrence has covered

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six and one sixth straight there in aims. It seems

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like the visitor does well in that rivalry. But three

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and a half kind of made my stomach turn. Like

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I mentioned, I opened that Odds Logic screen, I thought,

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what the hell happened in the last hour that I

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started getting ready for the show.

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Speaker 2: Just reading the market. That worries me a little bit

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on the dog, only because looking in the back end

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right now, I'm seeing that the recreational counts and there's

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a lot more money on the dog. When I see

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that come off, that key number of three going to

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three and a half and the like they were willing

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to take plus three, now they're giving them three and

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a half. That always worries me. Again, I don't have

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a position on that game, but just reading the market

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gun the head Iowa state minus three would be my side.

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I'm cheering you in from the sidelines because I don't

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have a dog in that fight, but I have the

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over so I want to see some points and I

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hope i AWA gets there for you at plus marg number.

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It was three all week. You got three and a

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half at least, so you got a good number there,

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and I'm still seeing at my Sharper shops there's still three,

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Like Pennies got three still, So okay.

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Speaker 1: Very good point. And that's something you guys can do

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on the Odds Logic screen. I was actually explaining to

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our producer Louis, who just got an Odds Logic account

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the other day. I said, hey, look, you can hit

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that gear button in the upper left hand corner and

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you can turn on and off the books that you use.

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The other day, this book named Paradise Wager came up

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and I'm like, what the hell is this? Turns out

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I let Brett use my Odds Logic account. He screwed

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up all of my books, so I had to go

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back and reorganize because obviously the shops that he bets

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at are going to be different than the ones that

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I bet at.

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Speaker 2: And I gotta say this, I got to interrupt. Paradise

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Wager is one of the sharpest books to use. Now really, yeah,

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get like they're there. If the markets off, I would

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trust Paradise. I know who's behind that, very very very

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very sharp people are behind that that book. Okay, yeah,

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you want to pay attention to their line moves. I

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keep them up and have an account with it just

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for that purpose. It's kind of like my uh my,

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my private little sharp book. A lot of betters don't

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know just how sharp they are, but I kind of

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use them like the pinnacle fade, the pinnacle shade.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there you go. That's a good that's a good. Uh,

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that's a good way to look at it. There's a

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couple other books that I use better, or is one

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that Johnny Detroit told me it was also very sharp,

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so was on there. So Paradise Wager is now on

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my Odds Logic screen. All right, let's kind of get

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into the just got here is Kelly bashing the SEC

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Yet not yet, you just wait and see. We will

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get to that. Here in a minute, is Kelly on

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tilt from the k State game. Mac got someone to know.

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Just just a tiny bit, just a tiny bit. Look,

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here's the here's the reality. There are some funny memes

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going around this morning about the k State football team,

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and I had a good laugh. I sent one to

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our athletic director. He laughed, I think we're gonna be okay.

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Let's see. Marco gave out if you guys miss bet

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on it K State as his best bet on the

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College Football Show, and my job hit the floor, and

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literally you could pick my job at the floor, he said. Kelly.

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K State was in a quintessential letdown spot last week.

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They come home from Ireland tail between their legs. You

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should have known that they were gonna come out flat,

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he goes. I expect a big bounce back this week,

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so hopefully that is the case.

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Speaker 3: VR.

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Speaker 1: Let's get into some of these other games that you like,

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and then we will touch on some UFC because you

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have some UFC kicking or kicking off that's starting here

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in about an hour there on the West coast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here's some of that that the college football

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that the stuff that came in this morning. I always

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liked that late Saturday college morning because you get stuff

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like this. You get stuff like ball State, ball State

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versus Alburn team total over six and a half plus

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one ten. So that's ball State over six and a

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half team total plus one ten. Also tennessall State three

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thirty seven plus twenty one and a half in the

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first half. Another first half bet Houston Rice total over

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nineteen and a half, so that's Houston Rice over nineteen

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and a half. And then one that just came in

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right before I got on board was Texas A and

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M three forty Texas A and M minus seven first

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quarter all the way up to minus one thirty to

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get minus seven in the first quarter. And a final

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first quarter bet SMU three thirty four SMU first quarter

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minus one thirty money line two first halfs that came in.

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Also Florida International plus twenty six and Can't plus thirty,

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so we got Florida International plus twenty six, Can't plus thirty.

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Both of those first half bets and some of the

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other sides I'll give you Texas A and M we

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bet them for a full game at minus thirty and

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a half and again bet them today. Like I said,

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in the first quarter at minus seven. Oregon State, we

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laid the two and a half after fading them last week.

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I told you about Sam Houston and Hawaii. You know

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min New Mexico State, live dog, barking dog from bet

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on It, a few other things. Oh, first quarter under

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twelve and a half, Virginia, NC State under What else

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do I have for you? There's just so much there.

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There's so much stuff, so much stuff. I could just

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keep going. Oh, some of the bigger favorites Colorado minus

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twenty three and a half, Cincinnati minus twenty one and

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a half, and Troy the big dogs Troy plus thirty

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one and a half and Oklahoma State plus twenty eight

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and a half. So Troy plus thirty one and a

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half Oklahoma State plus twenty eight and a half. Those

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are two of the bigger dogs that they took. Now,

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the one sided bets that I'm seeing from the public,

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the most heavily one sided Texas, none bigger than Texas.

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They are laying the thirty six is thirty sevens. Whatever

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they could get, they're laying in Texas, they're Illinois annoy

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minus three. Also short money on Illinois on the money line,

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but the public's betting them at minus three. Oregon, Oregon

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getting one sided action there, Penn State getting one sided

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action there, Clemson one sided action. So those big favorites

241
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are getting a lot of the money. Indiana, Texas, Texas,

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a and m Oregon, Penn State, Clemson, like those minus

243
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thirties are all getting one sided public money. The one

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dog that sticks out that they're liking is Michigan, Michigan, Michigan,

245
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Michigan getting a lot of Michigan, a lot of Michigan

246
00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:39,440
money line bets, so that one sticks out. And as

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far as totals go, biggest totals bet money, why so

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far under Michigan, Oklahoma they just keep betting that one under,

249
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and then Oklahoma State and Oregon they keep betting that

250
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one over, no surprise. So the biggest one sided under

251
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is Michigan, Oklahoma. Biggest one sided overs Oklahoma State and Oregon.

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At some of the college football action for today, A

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lot of.

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Speaker 1: That is the steam that kind of gives you a

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look behind the counter there in the steam room with ace,

256
00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:12,240
you guys, is going to be on tomorrow right after

257
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last call. So those of you asking where Ariel is

258
00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:17,080
in the chat, she will be here for every single

259
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NFL Sunday except for next week, where I'm going to

260
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be filling in for two weeks from now. I'm going

261
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to be filling in for her on the twenty first

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so that she can go visit her little brother. But

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right here bet the steam room with Ace. Right there

264
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we go. You guys can see him Sunday noon. V

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are kind of let people know what they can get

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from you here in the steam room every single Sunday.

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Right Subscribers only if you are a at least thirty

268
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day subscriber, correct.

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Speaker 2: Yep, yep, And you're going to want to join us

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this Sunday to see exactly what we're going to be

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doing each and every week in the NFL. So if

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you're jumping on board, jump on board for a month

273
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or longer. We're doing really well right now. Again, you

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can see the numbers. They don't lie. We're crushing it

275
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over to Land week. We're crushing in college football number

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one right now we started to to and zero in

277
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the NFL. I've getten such good information. I'm so confident

278
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about the next couple months and in the steam room

279
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what we're gonna do to Mars. We're gonna go two

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hours leading up to the kickoff of the one pm

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Eastern games. Leading into those two hours, I'm gonna go

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through every single NFL game, give you any bets that

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we're on side in total, let you know opinion if

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I don't have a premium play on it, let you

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know what I see as far as the back end

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and the market. Let you all know the player props

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for each of the games as they're coming in. We're

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gonna betting live, and more importantly, fifteen minutes before kickoff,

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we will put together those special teasers that we fired

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00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,879
last year and did really well with Again. Can't release

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those subscribes because some weeks there's just so many of them.

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But if you're in that steam room, we're gonna get

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a ton of information. I'm there for two hours answering

294
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your questions and more importantly, accountable for the picks I release.

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I have a lot of volume Saturday, so we're gonna

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We're gonna settle a lot today and see how we're

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doing them.

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Speaker 1: All that's great. He's also gonna go over some of

299
00:14:03,799 --> 00:14:06,559
those teasers live on Last Call with Arionell and of

300
00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:09,879
course Monday before the doubleheader kicks off, Joe Madden's going

301
00:14:09,919 --> 00:14:12,440
to be here on wager Talk Last Call. We're trying

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00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:14,879
to make this much more of a up to kickoff

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type show, and that's what we're doing here on Saturday morning.

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We're gonna take you guys up to kick off. Steve

305
00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,240
Merrill just texts me, so we're gonna bring Sean Alvarez

306
00:14:21,279 --> 00:14:23,279
here in a few after we touch on some MLB

307
00:14:23,799 --> 00:14:26,320
and UFC for you guys, I know this is a

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00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:29,399
college football show, but you're asking for it in the comments.

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Does do me ever and hit that like button, and

310
00:14:31,399 --> 00:14:34,440
of course don't forget to subscribe so we can hit

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00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:38,639
that two hundred and sixteen thousand subscriber mark today VR

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00:14:38,759 --> 00:14:40,679
kind of let's get a look behind the counter there.

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UFC Paris correct.

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00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:44,960
Speaker 2: Yep, yep, you have see Paris actually going off in

315
00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,600
forty five minutes. It's something the main event right away.

316
00:14:47,879 --> 00:14:50,759
A lot of sharp money on Kyle Bohio that that

317
00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:52,799
market opened it up like a pick a minus one

318
00:14:52,879 --> 00:14:56,039
ten either way. Since then, the sharps have lined up

319
00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:58,840
on the Ohio side, I lean that way, but I'm

320
00:14:58,879 --> 00:15:01,279
afraid because it's in France, and what I like is

321
00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:04,200
the over anything minus two hundred or better. This fight

322
00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:06,559
definitely goes to the scorecards two out of three times.

323
00:15:06,759 --> 00:15:09,639
Neither has the striking to finish the other one on

324
00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,440
the feet, and then they're both so good on the

325
00:15:12,519 --> 00:15:14,960
mat defensively, I don't think one can finish the other.

326
00:15:15,279 --> 00:15:18,399
Two durable guys go over four and a half again

327
00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:22,639
good to minus two hundred. Also, a lot of betters

328
00:15:22,639 --> 00:15:25,200
are on Gustavson now he's now the favorite. A good

329
00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:27,720
way to bet that one is by decision. I got

330
00:15:27,759 --> 00:15:30,840
plus two thirty on gust of Sin to win that

331
00:15:30,879 --> 00:15:34,879
fight by decision. I got Patterson at plus two thirty

332
00:15:35,279 --> 00:15:38,000
to win by decision as well, and then in the

333
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:42,600
ladies Sam Hughes also to win by decision at minus

334
00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:45,320
one twenty. So there's three props for you. Gustav Sen

335
00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:48,320
plus two thirty to win by decision, Patterson plus two

336
00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:52,120
thirty to win by decision, Hughes minus one twenty to

337
00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:55,120
win that by decision, and then the over four and

338
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,000
a half in the main event. There's four UFC bets

339
00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,679
for you right there, with some dogs split. We make

340
00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:01,679
some money, all.

341
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:04,320
Speaker 1: Right, you love it. The guys in the questions are

342
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,320
all asking for MLB, so I'm gonna concede. Yes, this

343
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,039
is a football show, but I'll let you rattle off

344
00:16:10,159 --> 00:16:12,759
some MLB for the MLB Dorks today.

345
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:15,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, we've been doing good with the MLB. Can't overlook

346
00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,559
that market. Again. Money don't care where it comes from,

347
00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:20,159
as long as it keeps coming. Now, the series bets

348
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:23,639
we put in yesterday before first pitch five series bets

349
00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:28,039
Cincinnati plus one twenty, Milwaukee minus one forty, Baltimore plus

350
00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:33,840
one eighty, Houston plus one ten, San Francisco plus one thirty. Milwaukee, Baltimore,

351
00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:37,080
San Francisco all won Game one, so they have to

352
00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:38,840
win one of the next two games for us to

353
00:16:38,879 --> 00:16:43,720
cash those tickets. Cincinnati and Houston lost game one, so

354
00:16:43,879 --> 00:16:46,799
both of those teams have to win today and tomorrow

355
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:48,919
for us to cash those tickets. Just keep that in

356
00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:52,039
mind today. Some of the moves I got five signs

357
00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:55,159
for you nine to fifty five Pittsburgh plus one thirty five,

358
00:16:55,519 --> 00:16:58,440
nine to sixty nine, Minnesota minus one fifteen, nine to

359
00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:02,759
seventy three Athletics plus one nine seventy seven Attult plus

360
00:17:02,759 --> 00:17:06,119
one twenty and nine to eighty Arizona plus one ten.

361
00:17:06,319 --> 00:17:11,559
So we had college football, UFC, Major League Baseball. You

362
00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:13,880
gotta make some when the dust settles. Let's just hope

363
00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:15,799
we all turn a profit. Whether you follow or fate,

364
00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:17,279
I just hope we all make a little bit of

365
00:17:17,279 --> 00:17:19,759
money today so we can go in the Sunday's NFL

366
00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:21,799
ready to do some more damage then week.

367
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 1: That is the plan. I need some of the dogs

368
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:27,400
to be barking today. VR, good luck on your underdogs

369
00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:30,680
in Mexico State. I joined you on them as well. Again, guys,

370
00:17:30,759 --> 00:17:32,920
if you missed the college football edition to bet on it, it

371
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:35,400
is up right now in the waiter Talk YouTube channel,

372
00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:38,920
the NFL show, Marco's Got a Deli segment, Ralph's Got

373
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,440
a TNA segment. We put the whole thing together in

374
00:17:41,559 --> 00:17:42,839
one big mega show.

375
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:43,480
Speaker 3: VR.

376
00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:46,000
Speaker 1: I will tune in tomorrow to see you with Ariel Epstein,

377
00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,720
same time, same place, right here on the wager Talk

378
00:17:48,839 --> 00:17:53,240
YouTube channel. Again, guys. At Greek Underscore Gambler. If you

379
00:17:53,279 --> 00:17:55,119
guys are looking to follow VR, he puts out a

380
00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:59,359
ton of great content. We're gonna move right along. Move

381
00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,319
me into the spot I don't know why I'm trying

382
00:18:01,319 --> 00:18:03,599
to play producer here because I ain't any good at it,

383
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:05,880
So I'm gonna let Louie do it on the back end. See,

384
00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:08,400
this is why I need him on Saturday mornings, because

385
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:12,039
I'm trying too hard. I'm reading the comments section, and yes, Thomas,

386
00:18:12,079 --> 00:18:14,680
we do need a rebound on the dog parlay, My

387
00:18:14,799 --> 00:18:20,319
dog parlay. Michael is Kentucky, you kN and Kansas. So

388
00:18:20,559 --> 00:18:22,720
let's see. We've had some good numbers on a couple

389
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:24,920
of those, and a couple move the other way. We'll

390
00:18:25,279 --> 00:18:29,359
keep our fingers crossed that if the dogs are barking you,

391
00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,759
miss Dan, don't worry. Dan is here every single day.

392
00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:35,319
Louie is not chopped liver. He's doing a great job

393
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:38,680
there in the background. Sewn Alvaz is laughing off screen,

394
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:42,599
so let's bring him in to the show. Hey, Sean,

395
00:18:42,759 --> 00:18:46,000
good morning, happy Saturday, early out there on the West Coast.

396
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:48,680
I'm sure you're having a great time here behind the scenes.

397
00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:53,160
Speaker 3: No, I'm always always good to laugh with you and Johnny.

398
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:54,960
And you know I take a little offense. I was

399
00:18:55,039 --> 00:18:57,319
up at at five in the morning as well with Johnnie,

400
00:18:57,559 --> 00:19:00,799
so gotta get up gotta get up early on the

401
00:19:00,799 --> 00:19:01,400
West Coast.

402
00:19:01,759 --> 00:19:04,200
Speaker 1: See, and that's what everybody argues if you are a

403
00:19:04,319 --> 00:19:06,279
night out. I'm gonna say this right now. That's why

404
00:19:06,319 --> 00:19:08,920
I love the East Coast. I love it. I don't

405
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:10,640
mind staying up late to watch football. I went to

406
00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:12,920
bed last couple of nights at one am, and I

407
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,400
slept until eight am. You can't do that on the

408
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,160
West Coast. I used to have to be at the

409
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,920
sports book at five am some mornings, and it was awful.

410
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:24,680
If you're not a morning person like Sean and and VR,

411
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:26,440
the East Coast is where it's at.

412
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 3: I'm telling you, yeah, And I'm the exact opposite, like

413
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:31,640
you said, I'm more of a morning person. I want

414
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,640
to go to bed. You know. If I'm going to

415
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,000
bed past ten pm, it's a it's a late night.

416
00:19:36,079 --> 00:19:38,640
Nothing good happens in Vegas past ten pm.

417
00:19:39,039 --> 00:19:40,799
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna put this on the screen because

418
00:19:40,799 --> 00:19:43,079
this happened to me last night, Matt Hudson said. Florida

419
00:19:43,079 --> 00:19:45,319
first half USF quarterback is suspended for the first half.

420
00:19:45,319 --> 00:19:47,680
I'm sitting there playing a little it's a little card

421
00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:49,599
game at the bar that my dad goes to it's

422
00:19:49,599 --> 00:19:51,240
called show me the money. So I'm over there. I'm like,

423
00:19:51,279 --> 00:19:53,319
I need a six of hearts and then I'm gonna win.

424
00:19:53,319 --> 00:19:54,920
And of course I got the six of hearts and

425
00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:56,319
so did he at the same time, and we had

426
00:19:56,319 --> 00:19:58,920
to split a forty two dollars pot. Not exactly my

427
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,240
favorite thing, but I got this text. Joey ch sent

428
00:20:01,319 --> 00:20:03,039
it to me, and I said, son of a bitch,

429
00:20:03,039 --> 00:20:05,480
but good thing I got Florida. Mine is seventeen. It

430
00:20:05,519 --> 00:20:07,079
was my best bet on bet on it. You guys

431
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:10,359
are welcome, and immediately the comment section is like you

432
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:16,559
got dooped. So unfortunately, Mac Hudson, that is not real information.

433
00:20:16,599 --> 00:20:19,359
That is fake news and it was not very much

434
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,599
fun for me. But John, let's talk about that game.

435
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:23,559
I think this is an interesting one because Art to

436
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,720
Caesar sent me the list. Let me reread the list

437
00:20:26,759 --> 00:20:30,000
just in case you missed it, and also our audience

438
00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:31,799
members that are joining late, because I do think some

439
00:20:31,839 --> 00:20:34,720
of this information can be pertinent. He said they were

440
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,839
gonna need Clemson to cover, South Florida, to cover, Rice

441
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,880
to cover, and Michigan to cover. Yet Michigan is also

442
00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:44,519
public along with Syracuse. Michigan State in Illinois, and I thought,

443
00:20:44,559 --> 00:20:47,480
you know, I feel like USF is the dog with fleas.

444
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,119
Last Thursday night, we all sat there opening week of

445
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,079
college football. Yeah, I know there's week zero, but you

446
00:20:53,079 --> 00:20:56,119
get the idea. Everybody is glued to the TV and

447
00:20:56,160 --> 00:21:00,319
what do we watch. We watch u SF throttle Boise State,

448
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:02,960
the team that everybody thought was going to get into

449
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:07,039
the College football Playoff almost automatic, get that bid. I

450
00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:09,160
think USF is getting a little too much love here.

451
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:12,960
I know Florida played l I you last weekend and

452
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,559
they rested most of their players in the second half.

453
00:21:15,599 --> 00:21:17,799
They have fresh legs, and this is a USF team.

454
00:21:17,799 --> 00:21:20,359
I was telling sammyp yesterday on bet Sweats. I went

455
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,079
and watched in twenty twenty two with my dad in

456
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:26,440
USF kept it within a touchdown up until late. I mean,

457
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,880
Florida Gators fans were losing their mind. That was Billy

458
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:32,319
Napier's first season. I think he's gonna want to make

459
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:33,440
a big impression here.

460
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I'm on the same page with you.

461
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,599
I did get a little bit excited when I saw

462
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:46,319
your you quote tweet the Biden Brown missing the first half.

463
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,079
I was a little bit excited about that I did

464
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:51,240
do a little bit of side research. I wasn't playing

465
00:21:51,279 --> 00:21:53,640
cards with my dad, so had a little bit of

466
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:58,680
time there, and unfortunately it proved to be a false narrative.

467
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,799
But you know, looking at USF game against Boise State,

468
00:22:02,079 --> 00:22:04,240
I thought they got a little bit lucky with the

469
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,160
way Boise State played, especially in the red zone, kind

470
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:11,200
of getting not getting, but kind of giving away turnovers.

471
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:15,960
It wasn't necessarily that USF the Bulls were forcing turnovers.

472
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,440
I thought Boise State played a sloppy game. It proved

473
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:24,079
to be that Genti was obviously a big miss. The

474
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,960
running backs really didn't carry the torch that he had

475
00:22:27,039 --> 00:22:30,599
last year. So I'm not as impressed with that win

476
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,599
against Boise State. And I really think that this Florida

477
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,319
defense is going to cause fits for that Bulls offense.

478
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:38,920
So I'm on the same page with you. I think

479
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:41,079
the Bulls are getting a little bit too much love here,

480
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,400
and I would be laying the points, and I do

481
00:22:43,559 --> 00:22:46,839
like actually laying the points early. Florida get out ahead early.

482
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,720
Let's you know, USF might come in.

483
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:51,880
Speaker 1: A lot bit the first half minus ten kind of thing.

484
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, first half minus ten. Let them get out early.

485
00:22:55,039 --> 00:22:57,559
I think USF may be you know, punched in the

486
00:22:57,559 --> 00:22:59,960
mouth a little bit by the talent that the Florida

487
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,200
Gators have on the rosters. So don't let them get

488
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,960
any you know, late garbage points touchdowns late in the game.

489
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,240
We've all we've all seen that, we see that in

490
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,440
NFL with the you know, the witching hours. So don't

491
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:16,000
get those late garbage points headed your way and and

492
00:23:16,039 --> 00:23:18,480
maybe cash the minus ten first half.

493
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,759
Speaker 1: All right, here's a game that I am on. One

494
00:23:21,839 --> 00:23:24,119
dog tellmas Lynch says, I like it is Kansas plus

495
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,440
six over Miszoo. I got the six and a half

496
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:30,079
in pocket. And then I was on my computer Sean

497
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,559
this morning and I was watching a show and I

498
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,599
normally don't but I was like getting ready. It was

499
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:36,400
on in the background and I look over and it

500
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:40,319
says Kansas, Kansas, Kansas, and I was like, shit, is

501
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:45,200
this the dog with fleas. I know I shouldn't overreact

502
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:49,480
and I shouldn't overthink because I bet this early, like

503
00:23:49,519 --> 00:23:52,400
I bet this Tuesday, and I gave it out as

504
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:56,119
my barking dog on bet on it. Talk to me

505
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,960
about Kansas, Missoo. I know that you have an opinion

506
00:23:59,000 --> 00:23:59,839
on one of the sides.

507
00:24:00,559 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, uh, it's always nice when somebody like

508
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,799
Kelly bets on Kansas. It's you know, giving us a

509
00:24:05,799 --> 00:24:08,759
little bit of a window into you know, unbiased picks

510
00:24:08,799 --> 00:24:12,240
obviously with the Kansas State fandom. But I'm kind of

511
00:24:12,279 --> 00:24:14,559
on the on the same page with you with this.

512
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:18,039
I really like this Kansas offense led by Jalen Daniels,

513
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,599
who had a really good uh first week against Presno State,

514
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:25,000
going eighteen for twenty, you know, a small amount of

515
00:24:25,079 --> 00:24:28,039
yards with one to seventy six, but still had three touchdowns,

516
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:32,079
no interceptions. I believe it was two pass deflections, which

517
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:35,160
I always like, you know, keeping it out of the

518
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,279
defensive hands kind of thing. And he's also good with

519
00:24:38,319 --> 00:24:41,359
his legs. He's a dual threat type of type of runner.

520
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:43,559
And then on top of that, we've all we've all

521
00:24:43,599 --> 00:24:46,480
seen it, whether it be the NFL or college, when

522
00:24:46,559 --> 00:24:48,960
when you have a one wide receiver that the quarterback

523
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,200
falls in love with, they tend to stare him down

524
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,680
the defense and kind of lock onto that watch the

525
00:24:53,759 --> 00:24:56,680
quarterback's eyes. And we saw Jalen Daniels move the ball

526
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,680
around over the over the first two weeks with Cam

527
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,240
Pick catching six passes for seventy seven yards and two

528
00:25:03,279 --> 00:25:07,079
touchdowns against President State. But then Emmanuel Henderson caught six

529
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,039
passes for one hundred and thirty yards and two touchdowns

530
00:25:10,039 --> 00:25:14,279
against Wagner, So he's obviously not staring down defenders. But

531
00:25:14,319 --> 00:25:15,720
the one thing that kind of gets me a little

532
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:19,640
bit scared about the side is the Missouri offense and

533
00:25:19,799 --> 00:25:24,599
the quarterback over there. Bo Probola probably butchered that name,

534
00:25:24,759 --> 00:25:26,480
but he's also a little bit of a dual threat

535
00:25:26,799 --> 00:25:31,480
type of quarterback that can, you know, make hurt defenses

536
00:25:31,519 --> 00:25:34,000
if they get kind of locked into man demand have

537
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,799
their back turned around to the quarterback. So I'm actually

538
00:25:36,799 --> 00:25:39,079
going to stay away from the side. I really like

539
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:42,039
the Kansas team total over twenty one and a half,

540
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:44,640
I think that's a little bit low. I really like

541
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,079
the quarterback at Kansas, Jalen Daniels, and I think even

542
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,519
if we get late in the game with Missouri up

543
00:25:50,559 --> 00:25:52,640
by two scores, you know we're going to see Jayalen

544
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:55,039
Daniels kind of slinging the ball around. And I think

545
00:25:55,279 --> 00:25:57,559
you know, talked about it in previous games or in

546
00:25:57,599 --> 00:26:00,000
the previous matchup, but we can get a garbage type

547
00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:02,440
touchdown to get us over this twenty one and a half.

548
00:26:02,599 --> 00:26:04,599
So I'm gonna stay away from the side. I do

549
00:26:04,759 --> 00:26:07,279
like the barking dog. If I was going to play aside,

550
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,559
it would be Kansas here. But I'm gonna lay on

551
00:26:09,599 --> 00:26:13,119
the team total over twenty one and a half with Kansas.

552
00:26:13,599 --> 00:26:16,359
Speaker 1: All right, Sean, really quickly. I know that you've been

553
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,000
on wager Talk a long time. You've really been our

554
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:21,000
pony guy, if you will. I know you've done a

555
00:26:21,039 --> 00:26:23,359
lot of stuff with me and Marco in regards to

556
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,400
the Breeders Cup and of course Kentucky Derby, Belmont Preetness

557
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,119
and stuff. But I think we need to introduce you

558
00:26:28,319 --> 00:26:31,599
to our audience a little bit more at College Football Handicapper.

559
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,519
You are just on the blitz this last week there

560
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,680
with Brian Power. Can you let everybody know what special

561
00:26:37,759 --> 00:26:40,000
you have up at wager talk dot com right now?

562
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:45,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, so you can get my entire college football all

563
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:49,160
the way through the bowl game and weeks for four

564
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:52,119
hundred and ninety nine dollars, no coupon needed, and you're

565
00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:54,799
gonna get all of my horse racing selections. What I

566
00:26:54,839 --> 00:26:57,960
do with wager Talk with my horse racing is I

567
00:26:58,039 --> 00:27:02,319
give you full card selections. I give you wagers along

568
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,240
the lines of exact as, pick threes, pick fives, and

569
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:09,319
win plays more of the suggested wagers. There's so much

570
00:27:09,519 --> 00:27:12,640
in horse racing as far as the board goes on

571
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,640
what you can bet. Exact as trifect is trying to

572
00:27:15,799 --> 00:27:18,480
scoop the pool with the pick six. So I give

573
00:27:18,519 --> 00:27:21,920
you my opinions on every race within the cards kind

574
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:25,559
of let you know your opinions matter a little bit

575
00:27:25,559 --> 00:27:28,920
as well. Keep my suggested wagers a little bit lower

576
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,680
so you can add your opinions into the wagers. And

577
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,759
if you just take my top pick selections, I've got

578
00:27:34,799 --> 00:27:38,920
an eighteen percent top selection winners dating back to February

579
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,079
twenty eighth. I know that sounds low in the sports

580
00:27:42,079 --> 00:27:45,519
betting world, but that's a thirteen percent ROI so making

581
00:27:45,559 --> 00:27:48,880
money on those when you're not when you're getting plus

582
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,039
odds on a lot of the horses that I'm putting

583
00:27:51,039 --> 00:27:54,960
on my top pick selections. So those full card selections,

584
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:59,160
I'm generally doing two tracks per week Friday through Sunday.

585
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:02,880
It's always going to include Southern California racing. Born and

586
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:06,000
raised in San Diego, so It's kind of where I've

587
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:08,880
always cut my teeth. I used to own horses on

588
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,839
the Southern California circuit, so I feel like I've got

589
00:28:11,839 --> 00:28:13,880
a little bit of a pulse on the jockeys and

590
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,799
the trainers, and then it's always going to include, you know,

591
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:21,319
another track across the country that has big stakes type races.

592
00:28:21,519 --> 00:28:24,960
So I'm gonna pivot with Churchill Downs next week. They've

593
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:28,000
got the Claiming Cup races coming up Big Stakes weekend.

594
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,880
I'm also gonna have Keenland, which has Breeders Cup winning

595
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:34,000
your in races, and then it's also gonna include Breeders

596
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:37,480
Cup on both days, So get that. Get my college

597
00:28:37,519 --> 00:28:40,480
football picks. I started off the season five and zero

598
00:28:40,839 --> 00:28:44,240
up fifteen units, so get that. Let's keep up the momentum,

599
00:28:44,319 --> 00:28:46,200
and then you get my horse racing picks for free.

600
00:28:48,119 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 1: I love that there's a lot of new members in

601
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:53,279
the comment section. Shout out to you guys for hanging

602
00:28:53,279 --> 00:28:56,200
out with here at wager Talk. This is last call

603
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,359
if you are new here where we take you guys

604
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:02,720
up until kickoff Saturday Sundays and now Thursdays if there

605
00:29:02,759 --> 00:29:06,039
is a Friday slative games, and of course Mondays so

606
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:09,039
it is going to be action packed football season here

607
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:11,200
over at wager talk dot com. Sean, one of the

608
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,799
games on your list I think is really interesting that

609
00:29:14,039 --> 00:29:17,400
was not on my radar is Houston Rice.

610
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 3: Now.

611
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:19,319
Speaker 1: I know you guys might not want me to talk

612
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:24,240
about Houston at Rice because there's not There's maybe more

613
00:29:24,279 --> 00:29:25,920
attractive games on the board, and we'll get to those

614
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:27,440
here in a minute. But I want to know your

615
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,079
method to your madness here, Kelly, you brush your hair today,

616
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,920
and actually, in fact, I did not brush my hair today.

617
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,240
That's why it looks like this, Like I sware. These

618
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:36,839
are the kind of comments like it. I love it.

619
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:39,400
I love it, but I did do my makeup. You

620
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,279
guys are welcome. I am at my dad's house. We

621
00:29:41,319 --> 00:29:43,319
had too much fun last night doing a little bit

622
00:29:43,359 --> 00:29:45,400
of gambling, and then we got some yardwork to do

623
00:29:45,559 --> 00:29:48,559
before college football kicks off. Jokes on you guys, I'm

624
00:29:48,559 --> 00:29:52,440
not doing it. Sean Alvarez, breakdown Houston at Rice for me,

625
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:55,400
because this is a game that you know, they Rice

626
00:29:55,519 --> 00:29:59,160
just one outright in and an interesting scenario. And here's

627
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,359
a Houston team in the Big twelve that has just

628
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,599
not fared well. They're kind of going through these growing

629
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:07,720
pains moving to a bigger conference. Talk to me about

630
00:30:07,799 --> 00:30:09,559
this one and why it's on your radar.

631
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, there's definitely more attractive games on the

632
00:30:14,279 --> 00:30:17,359
full slay of college football that we have today. But

633
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:19,920
like Gianni said in the previous segment, you know, money

634
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,680
spends the same way as far as winning bets. So

635
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,920
I really like this Rice side at plus fourteen. We

636
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:27,799
look at the total, the total is only thirty nine

637
00:30:27,799 --> 00:30:30,759
and a half. Yet Rice is getting two touchdowns on

638
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,480
the line, and like you mentioned that just coming off

639
00:30:33,599 --> 00:30:37,000
beating Louisiana Lafayette fourteen to twelve as a ten point

640
00:30:37,079 --> 00:30:40,200
underdog last week. And this is a Rice team that

641
00:30:40,559 --> 00:30:43,799
is implementing a new offense this year, running the triple auction.

642
00:30:44,319 --> 00:30:47,200
And with the triple auctions, there's a couple of things

643
00:30:48,079 --> 00:30:50,640
that really kind of stick out to me. Is first

644
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,079
and foremost we've seen it on you know, more of

645
00:30:53,119 --> 00:30:56,359
the you know Army or Navy type games where the

646
00:30:56,359 --> 00:30:59,240
total stays low because the clock just keeps running as

647
00:30:59,279 --> 00:31:02,799
they keep running the football. And that's what Luisa or

648
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,759
not Louisian Lafayette, that's what Rice is gonna do. They

649
00:31:05,839 --> 00:31:07,640
ran for two hundred and six yards on the ground.

650
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:11,039
Last week, Chase Jenkins only threw the ball nine times

651
00:31:11,279 --> 00:31:13,480
for forty five yards, and one of those was about

652
00:31:13,519 --> 00:31:15,559
a twenty yard chunk play where it seemed like he

653
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,519
just threw it up in the air and the receiver

654
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,119
just you know, happened to come down underneath it. So

655
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,599
this is a Rice football team that is really not

656
00:31:22,759 --> 00:31:25,680
gonna throw the ball even when they're behind the sticks.

657
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:29,880
They're running the triple option, and you know, that's not

658
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:33,519
only a physically taxing offense to cover, it's also a

659
00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:37,279
mentally taxing offense to try and defend for Houston. So

660
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,759
I really like the plus fourteen. And then the other

661
00:31:40,799 --> 00:31:44,880
thing about that is, you know, if you look at

662
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:48,319
the possession last week, Rice had the ball for thirty

663
00:31:48,359 --> 00:31:50,519
six and a half minutes. I think that's gonna be

664
00:31:50,599 --> 00:31:53,039
very similar to what we see this week in the

665
00:31:53,079 --> 00:31:56,519
Houston offense. Isn't the type of offense that you know

666
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:58,839
is gonna chuck the ball all over the place. They're

667
00:31:58,839 --> 00:32:01,240
gonna run the football as well. So, like I had

668
00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,279
mentioned early, we see a very low total, yet we

669
00:32:04,279 --> 00:32:07,440
see Rice getting fourteen points. So I'm gonna take that

670
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,839
take the points with Rice in this matchup.

671
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 1: All right, let's see Steve Merril's we were waiting in

672
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:15,839
the wings. We'll get to him here in a few minutes.

673
00:32:15,839 --> 00:32:17,759
He just popped on. If you guys have a question

674
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:22,720
for Sean, drop it in the chat and we'll get

675
00:32:22,759 --> 00:32:27,519
you guys some questions answered here Sean. Look, bottom line,

676
00:32:27,559 --> 00:32:29,880
this game's kicking off here soon, So I'm gonna go

677
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,160
ahead and sek you. I know it's on your premium card,

678
00:32:32,359 --> 00:32:34,359
and you know we got to break the rules here

679
00:32:34,359 --> 00:32:37,160
on last call because it is what it is. I

680
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:40,799
asked VR about this. I am on Yukon plus six

681
00:32:40,839 --> 00:32:42,799
and a half. I did my job. I saw five

682
00:32:42,839 --> 00:32:44,960
and a half on the Odds logic screen, and then

683
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:46,799
I woke up this morning and there was a seven

684
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:48,759
and then there was a seven and a half at

685
00:32:48,759 --> 00:32:51,920
hard Rock and I was panicked. Before we logged on,

686
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:54,000
I was asking Louis. I said, Louis, can you look?

687
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:56,079
Can you ask around? Is there an injury? What did

688
00:32:56,079 --> 00:32:58,519
I miss? Talk to me about this line move and

689
00:32:58,559 --> 00:33:00,880
talk to me about who you like in the Yukon

690
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:01,640
Syracuse side.

691
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:01,839
Speaker 3: Again.

692
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 1: I know it's a premium selection, but we're going to

693
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:04,480
break the rules.

694
00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, So I was actually really impressed with the way

695
00:33:07,759 --> 00:33:12,000
Steve Angelly, the quarterback for Syracuse, played last week against Tennessee.

696
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,680
The Tennessee defense is much more stout and has a

697
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:20,279
lot more talent than this Yukon defense is gonna, you know,

698
00:33:20,319 --> 00:33:23,200
put in front of Steve Angelly this week, so I

699
00:33:23,279 --> 00:33:25,799
kind of liked that. I didn't like the way that

700
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:29,440
Yukon defended the run last week. They gave up one

701
00:33:29,519 --> 00:33:31,519
hundred and twenty eight yards on the ground to a

702
00:33:31,559 --> 00:33:35,440
Central Connecticut team, and Syracuse can absolutely pound the ball

703
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:39,400
on offense with a better offensive line, and again they're

704
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:42,400
going to face off against a much less talented team

705
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,720
in Yukon. So I'm not as impressed with the way

706
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:49,000
that Yukon played last week. I liked that Steven Jelly

707
00:33:49,119 --> 00:33:51,839
kind of you know, jumped up being you know, transferred

708
00:33:51,839 --> 00:33:55,519
from Notre Dame last last in the summer from last season,

709
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:59,119
and we saw him throw the ball forty times against Tennessee.

710
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,240
But they were down in the game, they were trying

711
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,160
to get back in the game edge their way in.

712
00:34:03,519 --> 00:34:05,400
So I think that Syracuse is going to do a

713
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:08,679
lot better job on the ground after averaging just two

714
00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:12,960
point three yards per carry again against the stout Tennessee team.

715
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:16,320
I think Syracuse focuses on running the ball a little

716
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,880
bit more, hopefully not playing from behind as much. I

717
00:34:20,039 --> 00:34:23,039
laid the seven early in the Earlier in the week,

718
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:24,639
I would have liked the six and a half, but

719
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:28,519
unfortunately it moved after I put it out. But I

720
00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:30,960
expect a big game from Steve Angelly, and I think

721
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:32,960
that we're going to see a little bit of a

722
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:36,679
regression from yukon playing a more talented team than Central

723
00:34:36,679 --> 00:34:37,800
Connecticut last week.

724
00:34:38,079 --> 00:34:40,840
Speaker 1: All Right, me and Sean head to ahead, going right

725
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:44,239
here at noon eastern, right out of the gate. Okay,

726
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:47,280
let's see if there's any more questions in the chat.

727
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,760
Sean also does some baseball handicapping. I know you guys

728
00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:51,880
were asking some baseball questions earlier. Jean, do you have

729
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:53,719
anything up today? A wager talk for baseball?

730
00:34:54,559 --> 00:34:56,679
Speaker 3: I don't yet. I was doing a lot of prep

731
00:34:56,679 --> 00:35:00,480
work for this show, so I who will be the

732
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,320
next thing I do as soon as we get off

733
00:35:03,119 --> 00:35:05,199
diving into that slate and getting something up. But I

734
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:05,960
definitely will.

735
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:08,559
Speaker 1: Rob says he's coming over and needs a cash some

736
00:35:08,639 --> 00:35:11,119
tickets to help his headache. Good luck Rob. Hopefully we

737
00:35:11,119 --> 00:35:14,679
start getting some of those tickets cash. All right, here's

738
00:35:14,679 --> 00:35:17,079
a game that I'm on, Sean. I am on the

739
00:35:17,199 --> 00:35:20,559
Kentucky Wildscats. Another weird line move, right, So when all

740
00:35:20,599 --> 00:35:22,679
the way down we saw some seven and a half's

741
00:35:22,679 --> 00:35:24,960
popping up. Now it's back up to nine and a half,

742
00:35:25,199 --> 00:35:27,559
so we're seeing some two way action. As VR likes

743
00:35:27,599 --> 00:35:30,760
to talk, I like Kentucky here at home. I made

744
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:34,079
a pretty compelling case on wager Talk today to say, hey, listen,

745
00:35:34,199 --> 00:35:37,119
I don't trust gate Lane Kippen early in the season

746
00:35:37,559 --> 00:35:40,000
one in four straight up zero to five against the

747
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:44,199
spread and his sec openers. Yes, everybody's gonna make a

748
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,519
big deal that Kentucky won the game last year in

749
00:35:47,599 --> 00:35:51,000
Oxford and revenge is on their minds, but we all

750
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:54,320
know as handicappers those things are not quantifiable. So Sean,

751
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,639
I want to get your opinion here. One of my

752
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:59,320
good friends I tweeted this morning Todd at Todd Furman.

753
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:01,559
He said, who is the dog of seven points or

754
00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:03,679
more that wins out today? And I said Kentucky. And

755
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:05,559
I'm getting a lot of hate on social media.

756
00:36:07,039 --> 00:36:09,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, Unfortunately, it looks like, this is a game that

757
00:36:09,519 --> 00:36:11,480
we're going to go head to head on as well.

758
00:36:12,159 --> 00:36:14,960
I really liked what Austin Simmons did the quarterback at

759
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:17,880
All Miss. Again, he can sling the ball all over

760
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:19,840
the field, but he's also a dual threat with his

761
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:24,000
legs and you know, like I mentioned earlier, I always

762
00:36:24,039 --> 00:36:26,239
liked when quarterbacks have a little bit of a dual threat,

763
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:29,400
but they're not necessarily going to get you know, QB runs.

764
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,239
But you know, we look at the way that defenses play,

765
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,800
especially in college, you see a lot of man to man,

766
00:36:35,199 --> 00:36:38,599
especially late in the chains on long third downs. If

767
00:36:38,599 --> 00:36:41,079
they turn their back to Austin Simmons, he's going to

768
00:36:41,159 --> 00:36:43,679
take off and pick up twenty to thirty yards before

769
00:36:43,679 --> 00:36:46,840
they ever turn around. So I really like what he's doing.

770
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,079
I like the offense at Ole Miss. What I'm not

771
00:36:49,159 --> 00:36:53,559
sold about is the seventh year quarterback Zach Calzada at Kentucky.

772
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,480
He played a week Toledo team last week and was

773
00:36:57,519 --> 00:37:00,679
only able to manage ten for twenty three eighty seven

774
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:05,119
yards three point seven yards per on average. I'm just

775
00:37:05,159 --> 00:37:08,000
not sold on Zach Calzada. I think he sees a

776
00:37:08,039 --> 00:37:10,119
tougher Old Miss team and I think it could be

777
00:37:10,119 --> 00:37:13,480
a long day for him in the Kentucky Wildcats. I

778
00:37:13,559 --> 00:37:17,519
definitely am against you on them winning outright, and I

779
00:37:17,559 --> 00:37:20,159
would lay. Last time I saw it was a minus ten.

780
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:22,559
I believe on old Miss I would lay that as well.

781
00:37:22,559 --> 00:37:25,519
It didn't make my card, but if I'm betting that game,

782
00:37:25,559 --> 00:37:28,519
I'm sticking to the old Miss side. So unfortunately, we're

783
00:37:28,519 --> 00:37:30,559
going head to head on at least two games right now.

784
00:37:31,039 --> 00:37:33,360
Speaker 1: All right, guys, that's not a good way to start

785
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:35,920
a Sean's debut here. On last call, put that back

786
00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:38,239
in there, Louis, I wanted to do the promo for

787
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:40,199
Sean one more time before I kicked him out of here.

788
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:43,440
College Football and Horse Racing four ninety nine. Right now,

789
00:37:43,519 --> 00:37:49,599
Wagertalk dot Com, Sean WT dot Buzz backslash SA is

790
00:37:49,639 --> 00:37:52,280
your short link, so you guys can see him over there.

791
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:54,800
Sean's gonna hang out. He'll answer some of your guys'

792
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:59,079
questions here on the YouTube channel and or kick and

793
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:02,400
or twitch and or x we're broadcasting all over the place.

794
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:05,119
We've got almost four thousand people watching live, So thank

795
00:38:05,159 --> 00:38:07,079
you Sean for coming on today. And if you guys

796
00:38:07,079 --> 00:38:09,800
missed his episode of the Blitz. You guys can check

797
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:13,639
that out there on the wager Talk YouTube channel. And

798
00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:16,639
we've got about we're gonna call it twenty minutes until

799
00:38:16,679 --> 00:38:18,400
kickoff a little bit longer than that, but we're not

800
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,159
gonna go quite up until because I got a couple

801
00:38:20,199 --> 00:38:21,320
more bets I want to put in. I want to

802
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:24,519
put in some of those plays from Art this Caesar

803
00:38:24,599 --> 00:38:27,440
as well as VR that they agreed on. But we're

804
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:31,079
gonna bring Steve Merrill. He's gonna take us home here. Hey, Steve,

805
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:34,199
good morning. Appreciate you just jumping and saying, Hey, if

806
00:38:34,199 --> 00:38:36,400
you need a third person for last call without Art,

807
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,000
I will do it. So I'm gonna go into this

808
00:38:39,119 --> 00:38:42,440
question first only because it's kicking off here soon and

809
00:38:42,599 --> 00:38:45,719
you live in Virginia. So talk to me about UVA

810
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,599
n C State. Chris Thurston Textan this morning he was

811
00:38:48,639 --> 00:38:50,760
happy he got n C State minus two and a

812
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:53,519
half Art and Caesar told us that was a sharp side.

813
00:38:53,559 --> 00:38:56,280
Talk to me about this football game. I know it's

814
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,239
not super riveting, guys, but we can only talk about

815
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:01,760
Michigan oaklhol home of so many damn times.

816
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:03,800
Speaker 4: That's right, And by the way, thank you for the

817
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,960
shirt Kelly's shirtsy, Look, that's great. Steve Maryland's cover of

818
00:39:07,039 --> 00:39:09,280
the w we put the swish on the wrong side.

819
00:39:10,039 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 1: I didn't put the swish. Nike put the swish on

820
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:12,679
the rock.

821
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,239
Speaker 4: Look at that, and I think we're representing Nike more

822
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:17,679
than Wager Talk here. But it's a nice shirt. Nonetheless,

823
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:21,000
I'm okay with it if we got it on the sleeve. Ye,

824
00:39:21,119 --> 00:39:22,760
trying to figure out how to use this what I

825
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:24,039
was doing the.

826
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:25,960
Speaker 1: Show.

827
00:39:26,079 --> 00:39:28,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, you usuld be flex Tuesday with sheer Pan and

828
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:32,159
the pres. And that got that got canceled. What a surprise. Hey,

829
00:39:32,159 --> 00:39:34,840
Speaking of which, the pres will be flexing all Sunday tomorrow.

830
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:37,079
He did ask me to do the debut. I'm not

831
00:39:37,119 --> 00:39:39,320
gonna be in the office during the afternoon. That's not

832
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:42,000
why I'm not doing the first ever live red Zone

833
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:45,880
end Zone knockoff whatever we're calling it. But it's probably

834
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:47,760
for the best. They can get all out of hands

835
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:48,119
in market.

836
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,719
Speaker 1: It's gonna be called end Zone Live. Look, here's what happened.

837
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,880
So we we get President off wager Talk. Today. President

838
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:55,400
is doing all the press things as one of the

839
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:57,360
owners of wager Talking. He goes skiing too much, and

840
00:39:57,360 --> 00:39:59,639
he's playing poker too much. He's got kids, and he's

841
00:39:59,639 --> 00:40:01,920
got all of these other things. And I said, pres

842
00:40:02,039 --> 00:40:03,920
you have paid your dues. You've done wager Talk Today

843
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,400
for so long. You and Teddy, why don't we find

844
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:08,679
out something else for football season. So he's actually doing

845
00:40:08,679 --> 00:40:11,480
the best betting show ever with Joe Vernieri and Art

846
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:15,639
to Caesar out Mondays or Tuesdays, because again it's the press,

847
00:40:15,639 --> 00:40:18,280
so it's a little flexible. They're on the wager Talk

848
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,000
YouTube channel and they go through their entire college football

849
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,760
and NFL slate and then we said, on Sundays, I

850
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:25,320
think this will be great for you. This is Johnny

851
00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:27,800
Detroit's idea. We're just gonna tell him to turn on

852
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:30,440
the camera and then they watch the football games. The

853
00:40:30,519 --> 00:40:33,440
kids are all doing and present is really entertaining and

854
00:40:34,039 --> 00:40:36,440
frankly kind of crazy. So I think we're gonna get

855
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,119
some really great reactions out of there. Steve and I

856
00:40:39,199 --> 00:40:41,320
did promise that I would join from time to time,

857
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:45,039
particularly if you know, I'll pop on if I'm sweating

858
00:40:45,039 --> 00:40:48,360
a Survivor pick or something late on Sundays. That's the

859
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,039
beauty of the show. We're gonna let people pop in

860
00:40:50,119 --> 00:40:53,320
and off depending on when they're available. Right, it's a

861
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:56,559
whole It's a three hour show for the first slate

862
00:40:56,559 --> 00:40:59,280
of games from one to four Eastern, so you're gonna

863
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,519
see all sorts of people on that one. But good

864
00:41:01,559 --> 00:41:02,679
plug by Steve Merril.

865
00:41:03,199 --> 00:41:05,559
Speaker 4: Yeah you hedged. You hedge the craziness a little bit

866
00:41:05,599 --> 00:41:08,039
because Andy lang is in the co pilot seat. So

867
00:41:09,039 --> 00:41:11,000
that's your hedge. I know you liked the hedge.

868
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,159
Speaker 1: It's called balance. Look at us, all right, guys, if

869
00:41:15,199 --> 00:41:18,000
you have a question for Steve Okay, Thomas Lynch, Baylor

870
00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:23,800
SMU kicking off here in eighteen minutes or so. Steve, Look,

871
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:26,199
I had a bunch of buddies. They liked Baylor. Last week.

872
00:41:26,239 --> 00:41:28,360
We ended up putting Baylor in a couple of our

873
00:41:28,519 --> 00:41:31,599
Westgate College Football contest, and I said, you know, the

874
00:41:31,639 --> 00:41:35,000
whole world loves Baylor, and this line's not moving. I

875
00:41:35,039 --> 00:41:36,440
didn't think it was gonna be that bad, but that

876
00:41:36,599 --> 00:41:39,320
was not a good result. Auburn dominated both sides of

877
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,079
the ball pretty much for four quarters. There. Now here's

878
00:41:42,119 --> 00:41:45,400
an SMU team that I think it has been really

879
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,360
impressive over the past few season with Rhett Lashley, and

880
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:50,320
I think he's done a really good job there in

881
00:41:50,559 --> 00:41:54,239
I guess it's Fort Worth, Dallas Fort Worth area. But

882
00:41:54,519 --> 00:41:57,079
here's my question. Is this a good by low spot

883
00:41:57,119 --> 00:41:59,760
on the Baylor Bears for today or have we just

884
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:01,639
got to the point where there's just a lot of

885
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:03,840
hype focus on this team. I know a lot of

886
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:05,639
people bet they're over to seven and a half wins,

887
00:42:05,639 --> 00:42:08,159
and a lot of people thought Phil Steele even thought

888
00:42:08,159 --> 00:42:09,199
they could win the Big twelve.

889
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:12,599
Speaker 4: So it's interesting he asked me about two noon kickoffs

890
00:42:12,599 --> 00:42:14,519
here and they're both minus three. N C State over

891
00:42:14,599 --> 00:42:17,320
Virginia and SMU over Baylor, both the three point favorites.

892
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:19,440
We know that's such a key number. And I run

893
00:42:19,480 --> 00:42:22,199
ten thousand game simulation for every FBS game on the

894
00:42:22,199 --> 00:42:25,039
board each week, and guess what. My simulation in both

895
00:42:25,079 --> 00:42:28,239
games had the favorite winning by exactly five point seven points,

896
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:31,119
five point seven exact. So I do think there's some

897
00:42:31,199 --> 00:42:35,320
line value with both Virginia and with SMU in these

898
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:39,199
early kickoffs. Both NC State and Virginia easy wins last week.

899
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:41,280
I usually like the momentum to remain for the home

900
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:44,119
team in that situation, and then in this case, the

901
00:42:44,159 --> 00:42:47,880
Baylor SMU game. We've got obviously SMU as a slight

902
00:42:47,920 --> 00:42:50,480
favorite coming off the dominant win against East Texas A

903
00:42:50,519 --> 00:42:52,880
and M, not Texas A and M East Texas A

904
00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:55,840
and M, while Baylor lost to Auburn. I liked Baylor

905
00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:58,079
last Friday night. That was really the only best bet

906
00:42:58,119 --> 00:42:59,440
I got wrong in Week one. I had a lot

907
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,639
of close love losses, half point losses, big favorites. It

908
00:43:02,639 --> 00:43:04,760
gave up zero and six points but didn't cover. But

909
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,000
the one I got wrong I felt was Baylor, And

910
00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:09,199
that's always a red flag for me when a team

911
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:11,760
underperforms what I thought was in a good spot. So

912
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:13,000
I think there could be a little bit of a

913
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:15,679
regression by Baylor this week as well. I like SMU

914
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:18,599
at minus three or less. Also like NC State minus

915
00:43:18,599 --> 00:43:20,599
three or less. Those both going about twenty minutes.

916
00:43:21,039 --> 00:43:24,559
Speaker 1: All right, Steve, we've got about seventeen minutes to kick off.

917
00:43:24,639 --> 00:43:26,559
One of the things I didn't have loaded because I

918
00:43:26,599 --> 00:43:28,760
wasn't planning any coming to the show as any special

919
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:31,559
that you had going on right now over on the

920
00:43:31,599 --> 00:43:34,000
wager Talk YouTube channel, you can check out your fade

921
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:34,800
the public video.

922
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 3: What else do you have.

923
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:36,480
Speaker 1: Going on over there?

924
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,039
Speaker 4: Yeah, did the Fad the Public video late last night

925
00:43:39,079 --> 00:43:41,360
on Friday, So Chris Allen's going to get it posted

926
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,960
this afternoon. We'll probably get it up each Saturday afternoon.

927
00:43:44,519 --> 00:43:47,159
The college football Top twenty five video goes up either

928
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:50,440
Thursday night Friday afternoons each week as well, and last

929
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,880
week we had three head to head Top ten matchups

930
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:55,559
Top ten matchups three of them. This week there's only

931
00:43:55,599 --> 00:43:59,239
one Top twenty five matchup on the whole card, Michigan Oklahoma.

932
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:01,760
So it's basically a solo video. I threw in that

933
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:04,119
Duke Illinois game which starts early here in a few minutes,

934
00:44:04,199 --> 00:44:06,360
is a little bit of a Top forty bonus, but

935
00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:09,159
the Faith the Public Kelly is a big one. Five

936
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:12,119
sides and then a bonus dog Lean, So six plays

937
00:44:12,119 --> 00:44:14,719
in that Fade the Public video. It'll be up this afternoon.

938
00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:16,559
When you click the bell, when you subscribe here to

939
00:44:16,599 --> 00:44:19,199
Wait to Talk TV, you get an instant alert and

940
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:22,000
you never miss out on the free play videos. And

941
00:44:22,039 --> 00:44:23,800
if you want to touch on some of those real quick,

942
00:44:24,159 --> 00:44:26,280
or if you want to touch on the survivors, I

943
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:28,679
will say this a little teaser alert. The most public

944
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,119
play this week is perhaps the most likely survivor pick

945
00:44:32,199 --> 00:44:33,559
as well, for what it's worth.

946
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:37,360
Speaker 1: Oh, I know, and guess who has every single one

947
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,199
of the plays as Denver Broncos. I did to Philly

948
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,440
the other night, and I just you go unloaded on

949
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:45,440
the Denver Broncos. And if a rookie quarterback is going

950
00:44:45,519 --> 00:44:48,039
to beat me in Week one on the road, Steve in.

951
00:44:48,079 --> 00:44:52,280
Speaker 2: Altitude, so be so being steam Merril, what do you

952
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:52,840
want from me.

953
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:53,280
Speaker 1: At this point?

954
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:55,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, Kelly, I think you mentioned this stat because I've

955
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:57,440
seen it too. Bnix was eight and oh last year

956
00:44:57,480 --> 00:44:59,679
as a favorite right straight up and against the spread,

957
00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,679
and all eight of those wins were by double digits

958
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,840
last year, So you know, it does seem too obvious.

959
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:07,159
But that was actually one of the few games in

960
00:45:07,199 --> 00:45:09,000
which I did not disagree with the public this week.

961
00:45:09,039 --> 00:45:11,039
You know, we don't just blindly fade the public. We

962
00:45:11,199 --> 00:45:13,199
use it as a filter. I want nothing to do

963
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:16,679
with Tennessee rookie quarterback cam Ward. They probably not even

964
00:45:16,679 --> 00:45:18,159
the best player in the draft, but he was the

965
00:45:18,159 --> 00:45:22,079
best quarterback, so he goes number one overall. Very difficult spot.

966
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:24,000
You know, our friend Mark Lawrence does a great job.

967
00:45:24,039 --> 00:45:25,960
I was looking through the annual this summer. Tennessee had

968
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:28,480
a very interesting stat Last year they were one of

969
00:45:28,519 --> 00:45:31,119
the top one of the bottom three scoring defenses most

970
00:45:31,159 --> 00:45:33,559
points allowed, but they were one of the top three

971
00:45:33,599 --> 00:45:36,400
and fewest yards allowed, and that hadn't happened since like

972
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:39,679
nineteen sixty or something. So you know, maybe there's some

973
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:41,920
upside with that defense this year. But I think, as

974
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:43,719
you said, it's a very difficult spot on the road

975
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,360
in Week one for a young quarterback. Here's the thing.

976
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:49,079
You don't play Tennessee and the survivor. What I recommend

977
00:45:49,119 --> 00:45:52,079
doing is just staying away from these top one or

978
00:45:52,119 --> 00:45:54,199
two games. Hope you catch lightning and that maybe one

979
00:45:54,199 --> 00:45:56,199
of them gets knocked off. We had a chance with

980
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,960
that with Dallas. I like Dallas on Thursday night, and

981
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:01,199
Philly at minus eight obviously was a big survivor, and

982
00:46:01,280 --> 00:46:03,039
had that happen, you could have loaded up with more

983
00:46:03,079 --> 00:46:06,920
picks for survivors.

984
00:46:07,159 --> 00:46:09,199
Speaker 1: Phil I had Dallas plus eight and a half in pocket.

985
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:11,360
I said, if Philly loses this game, I got a nice,

986
00:46:11,639 --> 00:46:14,159
you know, sizeable middle here. I also tease the crap

987
00:46:14,159 --> 00:46:16,119
out of Philly. Of course I did, even after Teddy

988
00:46:16,159 --> 00:46:18,920
told me not to. I did and I said, here's

989
00:46:19,199 --> 00:46:23,639
here's the real reality with this game. If they lose,

990
00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:27,320
I will just rebuy. Those were cheap survivor entries. The

991
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:29,880
West Gate at five k is not a cheap survivor

992
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:32,480
entry in Vegas right now. To be able to have

993
00:46:32,559 --> 00:46:35,320
the opportunity to rebind, there was I believe twenty eight

994
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:39,519
people that used the Eagles in that contest. Just a

995
00:46:39,519 --> 00:46:41,679
little over one hundred people signed up for the Westgates,

996
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:42,639
so wow, that's just good.

997
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:44,719
Speaker 4: So twenty eight percent would have been out and most

998
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:46,559
of them would have had trouble reupping as well. At

999
00:46:46,599 --> 00:46:47,760
least half of them probably aren't.

1000
00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:51,119
Speaker 1: Listen, there are very few people who are going to

1001
00:46:51,159 --> 00:46:53,440
re up for five grand after just getting punched in

1002
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:54,840
the mouth like that Open Night.

1003
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,199
Speaker 4: Yeah, but that's what you want. Though you didn't get

1004
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:00,000
hurt by but it would have been a huge boost,

1005
00:47:00,239 --> 00:47:02,599
right you will had a twenty eight percent of vantage

1006
00:47:02,639 --> 00:47:05,920
boom instantly doing nothing and Dallan boy was and by

1007
00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:08,519
the way, Kelly, the best in game betting opportunity we've

1008
00:47:08,559 --> 00:47:10,679
ever seen in our lifetime. We could maybe take advantage

1009
00:47:10,679 --> 00:47:13,000
of it again, would have been the in game under

1010
00:47:13,039 --> 00:47:16,159
after that lightning break, the forty five minute break. Now,

1011
00:47:16,159 --> 00:47:18,599
I will say it worked because it was so high score,

1012
00:47:18,599 --> 00:47:20,360
and you know, all they focused on was defense. Had

1013
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,679
it been a lower scoring game, maybe it's different. But

1014
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:24,599
if we ever get an opportunity in college or pro

1015
00:47:24,639 --> 00:47:27,159
football again where we have a shootout and we get

1016
00:47:27,159 --> 00:47:30,320
a one hour delay like that, slam the under, it

1017
00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:33,159
makes so much sense. The adjustments were made, and it

1018
00:47:33,199 --> 00:47:35,760
was night and day. Nine touchdowns and field goals in

1019
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,719
a fumble and then five punts after the break. I mean,

1020
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:40,400
it couldn't be more any more extreme than that.

1021
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:43,159
Speaker 1: It was absolutely extreme. Hey, you know what else is extreme?

1022
00:47:43,159 --> 00:47:45,000
We have over four thousand people watching live.

1023
00:47:45,280 --> 00:47:46,039
Speaker 4: Man, that's extreme.

1024
00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:46,920
Speaker 1: I love it.

1025
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 4: I'm so your favorite eighties rock group.

1026
00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:49,280
Speaker 2: Extreme.

1027
00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:51,199
Speaker 1: We are so close to two hundred and sixteen thousand

1028
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,440
subscribers here on the Wager Talking YouTube channel. Please give

1029
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:57,440
us the thumbs up. Hit that bell, like Steve Merrill

1030
00:47:57,519 --> 00:47:59,239
likes to say, so you never miss anything else. See

1031
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:01,960
maryl I'm gonna give you the floor. You got ninety seconds.

1032
00:48:02,599 --> 00:48:04,920
Anything else you'd like to talk about here on the

1033
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:05,679
show before.

1034
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,679
Speaker 4: We get out of here, I'm gonna do the old

1035
00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:09,920
like you know, flavor Flavor Chuck d when it was

1036
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:14,039
like love pain, We're gonna do smash bell? How much

1037
00:48:14,119 --> 00:48:16,920
was Wayger talk favorite of tattoo my knuckles and take

1038
00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:20,559
a lot not a knuckle tattoo. Smash the bell. We

1039
00:48:20,599 --> 00:48:23,159
don't just hit the bell, we smash it. But yes, seriously,

1040
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,239
the fad the public video will be up soon. I

1041
00:48:25,320 --> 00:48:26,840
got a lot of free play videos. I did that

1042
00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:28,760
Kentucky Old Miss game. I won't tell you if I

1043
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:32,119
agreed or disagree with you. I agreed with one of you,

1044
00:48:32,039 --> 00:48:33,960
you would im r on opposite sides. I agreed with

1045
00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:36,039
one of you in that one, but some line move

1046
00:48:36,119 --> 00:48:37,760
on that around that key number of ten. Check out

1047
00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:40,920
the Old Miss Kentucky video. Also your late night special

1048
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:45,039
Sam Houston, Hawaii, the eleven fifty nine Eastern don't dare

1049
00:48:45,119 --> 00:48:48,039
say Sunday Morning college Football. That game is up here

1050
00:48:48,079 --> 00:48:51,039
as well. Also got some baseball up there today. It's

1051
00:48:51,079 --> 00:48:54,679
a huge card. Five college football best bets, two baseball

1052
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:56,800
best bets, and of course we will have some NFL.

1053
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:58,400
I'll give you a free baseball playing the Way Out.

1054
00:48:58,440 --> 00:49:01,119
It just posted this a minute or two ago. Brewers

1055
00:49:01,159 --> 00:49:05,079
minus a dollar thirty five over the Pirates Woodriff over killer.

1056
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:07,199
I think we get the much better team, the better

1057
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:10,039
pitcher at a fairly cheap price. Here take a look

1058
00:49:10,039 --> 00:49:11,840
at the Brewers minus one thirty five, so we can

1059
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:13,679
say we covered some baseball today as well.

1060
00:49:14,559 --> 00:49:17,639
Speaker 1: They go baseball nerds. You guys got it just from

1061
00:49:17,679 --> 00:49:20,519
Steve Merril. VR gave you guys some baseball. Sean told

1062
00:49:20,519 --> 00:49:22,360
you to head back over to wager talking with post

1063
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:25,559
a free play on the diamond for you. I know,

1064
00:49:26,079 --> 00:49:28,400
I know money all spends the same, but I'd rather

1065
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:33,280
bet rush and table tennis Thana. It is so frustrating

1066
00:49:33,559 --> 00:49:36,000
that being said. Thank you to Steve Merrill, thank you

1067
00:49:36,039 --> 00:49:39,199
to Sean Alvas, thank you to VR for everybody hanging

1068
00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:41,280
out here. And thank you to our hungover producer Louis

1069
00:49:41,519 --> 00:49:44,000
who is gonna just kill me. It's week two and

1070
00:49:44,039 --> 00:49:47,159
he's already ready to kill me this Saturday morning. He'll

1071
00:49:47,159 --> 00:49:52,400
be back tomorrow. Ariel Epstein here talking NFL, and of

1072
00:49:52,559 --> 00:49:55,679
course Monday before kickoff, Joe Madden is going to take

1073
00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:59,920
you guys up. Until then, we got a nice Viking

1074
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:03,440
Bears game speak going to fade the public. This one's

1075
00:50:03,480 --> 00:50:05,440
gonna be real fun. Let's see if we can fade

1076
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:10,039
some narrative. Steve Merrill at Steve Merril two Ours one L.

1077
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:12,719
Steve is the best. Thank you for coming in super

1078
00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:14,639
last minute. Thank you to all of you guys there

1079
00:50:14,639 --> 00:50:16,920
at home. Good luck this week and let's cash the

1080
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:17,440
tickets