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Speaker 1: Elite eight. We've got some NBA, We've got Major League

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Baseball underway, NHL playoffs right around the corner. Who knows,

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maybe VR even has some like elusive tennis play for us.

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We're gonna bring him in first, followed by Adam Trigger

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from Full Court Press and Total Basis. You guys have

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one job, and that is to get in the comments section,

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ask questions. As soon as the questions die, I'm getting

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out of here. It is Saturday, it is eighty degrees outside,

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and we've got seven hours until tip off. VR, welcome in.

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Looks beautiful there in Las Vegas. I know it was

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beautiful when I was there last week. Shout out to you.

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I wish I would have listened to you on Iowa

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and Nebraska's my best bet on Thursday. That was rough

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Iowa State last night. You think you were on Tennessee.

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It's just been one of those March madnesses that have

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not been great for me. But I do want to

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talk about this Elite eight and kind of you get

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some of your thoughts on a couple of these matchups.

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We've got two today and two tomorrow, but there will

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be no show tomorrow, so I want to get into

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those Now, have you seen anything since those lines populated

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overnight on the Odds logic screen come across your screen?

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Speaker 2: No, I mean nothing legit like nothing, no significant moves

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to speak of. Really, like you saw a little half

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point movement like Illinois opened six and a half goes

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to seven. Little move like that, but no like significant

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move except for a total. The only move that I

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could say this is a syndicate position is the under

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in Iowa and Illinois.

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Speaker 3: They're they're steaming that one under.

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Speaker 2: That's a legit position, and it's opposite the public, which

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is betting both of today's games over no surprise, they're

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betting Arizona over. I mean, they've been bett in Arizona

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over every game and it's turned out well for them.

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But they're also betting this Iowa Illinois over as well,

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and that one's getting sharp money on the under, unlike

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the Purdue Arizona where I haven't seen any sharp money

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on the over. But the lines being pushed up by

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the public money pushing in. It's like one sided over

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money and the books aren't wasting any time moving that

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Arizona total upwards. After what we've seen with them putting

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up all those points, so again no surprise there, and

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the same with the sides Perdue Arizona.

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Speaker 3: Not much movement.

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Speaker 2: I mean it's either six or five and a half. Again,

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you could look at it and say some sharp money

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was taken at plus six on Purdue, but they laid

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the four at the opener on Arizona. And it goes

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to show you just how tight these lines truly are.

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Just look at yesterday's games. I mean, Alabama was ten,

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they lose by thirteen. The Duke game was six, they

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win by five. Like, lines are really really tight, So

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it's no surprise to see sharp better on opposite sides

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at different numbers. You're not really seeing opposite at the

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same numbers, but you are seeing a difference of opinion

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once the line moves, and again you know that that's

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what should happen. I'm coming off of split myself real quickly.

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I had two games that warranted a five percent was

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Tennessee and Alabama. I thought both weren't getting enough points,

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so I made Alabama the five. I made Tennessee a four,

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and then threw a one percent money line on Tennessee.

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So it turned out well, ended up splitting, But yeah,

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it was a split today.

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Speaker 3: I don't have really nothing strong yet in these games.

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I have a lean. I like tomorrow's games a lot

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more real.

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Speaker 2: Quickly, we'll look at those since you asked about them.

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As far as the Duke game, the only thing I've

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seen is under. When the line first opened, it opened

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one thirty four and a half got steamed under. But

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since then you're starting to see the overcome back. And

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again most of the first moves are off power ratings,

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and then the matchup starts getting a handicapped and opinions

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start to change. And you kind of saw this with

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the Duke. It opened five, went to four and a half,

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then right back to five. As soon as you know

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a little more handicap, it was done. Michigan Tennessee, this

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one moved as well. Money came in as soon as

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it opened on the Tennessee side. Again, they look good

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coming off of their w but once it dropped right

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back with Michigan, and that's why they're sitting at seven

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and a half. So you're getting favorite money in that game. Tomorrow,

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I expect that the public to be on Michigan. I

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think they'll they'll tease Michigan the money line parlay Michigan.

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Speaker 3: I think they're gonna be on Connecticut.

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Speaker 2: They don't believe in Duke, so I do think if

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you like Duke, you'll probably be able to get four

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and a half.

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Speaker 3: So it should get back to four and a half there.

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Speaker 2: If you like Connecticut, probably want to grab the five

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five and a half's are out there now as well.

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Speaker 3: That's for tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: But again today they're betting both over at least the

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betting public wise, guys are on the under in Illinois

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and Iowa. And yeah, it's still early. Most of the

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money will be bet over the next couple hours and

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that's where we'll see if these lines move. Kind Of

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like I talked about yesterday, the money wasn't coming in

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until day of the game. They're not betting like three

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four days in advance. When you're talking about the lines

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are up for five or six days. They're not locking

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it up five days in advance. And that's why you

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saw that flood of money push some of those lines yesterday.

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It'll do the same today. But again, the public's head

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me on the overs and they are betting Arizona and

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they are betting Illinois, so they like the favorite and

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overs today.

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Speaker 1: All right, I want to kind of talk a couple

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of things today. You have the steam room right after

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this and you'll go for everything with your clients. It

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is for subscribers only today, so if you are a

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premium subscriber of VRS, that is where you're going to

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get the most knowledge. It is great, But I do

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want to kind of give our last call guys a

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little bit of a preview. One of the things that

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I love that you did on bet on It this

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year was you talked power rating. So the last eight

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teams remaining, I kind of want to hear what you

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have to say from a power ratings perspective. Give me

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a preview of kind of what guys are gonna one

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on the team. Just give me your top three right now?

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Who are your top three power rated teams?

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Speaker 3: Duke is still number one. Nothing has changed.

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Speaker 2: Hell, nothing has changed for Duke as far as the

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number one team. Again, their strength of schedule is the

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only negative, but they're thirty and two record offsets that again,

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you can only play who's in front of you, and

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that's what Duke did. Behind them is Arizona, No doubt.

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They are the one team I'm afraid of the team

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I fear most that could give Duke the most problems

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is Arizona. So hopefully Purdue knocks them out because I'll

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tell you what Perdue is a future that I'm have

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a ticket on that I like. They're that team that's

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being overlooked, but they're that team that's left right now

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that's more balanced than anyone else. I'll tell you that

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they're about top ten to fifteen off, top ten to

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fifteen defense, and they had like the sixth or seventh

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toughest strength of schedule as well. They're just not a

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sexy team. That's why they continue to be overlooked. I

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have them neck and neck with Michigan, and they're right

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there now that the Houston's out, I know Michigan's looked good,

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and a lot are moving Michigan up because I can

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tell by the line. Michigan's power ratings have been adjusted

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more than any other team over the last ten days

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just based on what the line was versus Alabama and

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what the line is against Tennessee.

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Speaker 3: Is it warranted? I'm not too sure.

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Speaker 2: Like I said, I put Purdue right there neck and

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neck with them, followed by Illinois. I was going to

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test Illinois because most of the don't think I was legit.

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Speaker 3: But I'll tell you what I had.

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Speaker 2: I was the twenty fourth best team in the country

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coming into this tournament.

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Speaker 3: So even though the AP.

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Speaker 2: Didn't have them ranked, I did have them in my

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top twenty four, top twenty five. So it's gonna be

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a tough game against Illinois. If Illinois beats Iowa, then

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they're they're five. They're dangerous after that. But I have it,

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Duke Arizona. I'm gonna have to give Purdue. I know

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people are gonna tell me I'm crazy, but I'm gonna

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have to give Purdue the nod right now over Michigan.

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Put them neck to neck Michigan, and then I'll put

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Illinois behind that.

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Speaker 3: So those are the five right there, viare.

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Speaker 1: Let's take a couple of questions from the chat. Craig

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wants to know, do you feel the Arizona plus two

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fifty to win the whole thing is worth the wager? Now?

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I know you want them to get knocked out for

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your wager, but I would like to do a little

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handicapping and a little basic math here, because John Murray

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and I got an argument two years ago when He's like,

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we're just gonna roll the money line over on Yukon, right,

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we win the whole thing last year, it would not

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have worked with me with Florida either. There was more

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money to have bet the future bet so plus two

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point fifty. So Arizona has to beat Tennessee. Then they

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would have to beat Michigan or essentially the winner of

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the Michigan Tennessee game Tennessee.

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Speaker 3: Game, they play the winner of Michigan Tennessee and.

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Speaker 1: Then So that's my point. By the time you roll

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it over, even though they might, there'll be a small

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favorite probably in Michigan, right minus one, minus one.

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Speaker 2: And a half maybe, yeah, exactly right there, right there,

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that's kind of what I'm thinking.

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Speaker 1: But you roll those two money lines over again, I

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don't have a parlay calculator in front of me, but

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it's going to be right around that plus two to

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fifty mark. They would be an underdog too, Duke in

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the National Championship game, albeit a small one. It makes

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more sense from a handicapping perspective, correct from a mathematical

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perspective as well, to roll those three money lines.

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Speaker 3: Over because they're not that high yet.

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Speaker 2: Where where Arizona sits right now, you're better off rolling

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it over betting them today on the money line, hoping

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that they play Michigan because that's where you'll get a

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better price, because against Tennessee they'll be, you know, heavily

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face a favor and then again there'll be a slight

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underdog if it's Duke, if it's you know, Connecticut or

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someone else, there'll be a favorite, but they won't be

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a huge favorite. And again, unless it's like Connecticut gets

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in there, they won't be a big favorite because even

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against Tennessee right.

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Speaker 3: Now, a true line, I only make.

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Speaker 2: Arizona about a three point favorite over Tennessee three three

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and a half max. So I would definitely do it

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that way, and I think it's a decent bet. Again,

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I keep it real. When the tournament started, I thought

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there was value on Duke at the price, and I

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thought there was value on Purdue at the price. But

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over the last two weeks, I definitely think that Arizona

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is the most dangerous team to my futures, and at

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plus two fifty, I would roll that over. I don't

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think it's a bad bet. Yeah, I like them as

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a future. Again, I just I don't. I don't like

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the plus two to fifty now because of what I have,

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But if you don't have anything, that's the way to

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do it.

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Speaker 3: I would just roll Arizona over.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I've got some splash contests that are still alive,

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and I'm projecting it to be Duke Arizona in the final,

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so that I have a team left over. We'll see

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how that works out for me. There, vr you have

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anything else you want to share with us before we

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get you out.

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Speaker 3: Here real real quick. It's gonna go off.

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Speaker 2: At the at about at nine am twelve Eastern. I

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have a play over at sports Memo. I said, I'm

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only putting gold over there. Kel and I think I'm

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seven to ozho to one my last dight. I think

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I'm like ten oh to one the last eleven bets.

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I'm trying to win my seventh in a row today.

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It's a ufl. It goes off at the top of

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the hour. I sort in multiple accounts. Makes sense to me.

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The line's still avaiuable. I said, I gotta go try

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to make it seven and roun. I'm gonna put that

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over at Sports Memo instead of at wagers. So subcrivers

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already got it, but that's avaluable at sports Memo only

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seven dollars. Again, that goes off at twelve Eastern. My

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Elit eight package will be up within the next sixty

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minutes once I confirm that side in total that looking

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at tomorrow, I should have a five percent as well.

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In college basketball in the Elite eight for Sunday, UFC

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card is up. Multiple four percents are in there, more

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plays will be added, and the steam room is at

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one pm Eastern. Join us and let's do some damage.

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Good luck today, kel, Good luck to everyone.

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Speaker 1: Thanks VR, I could really use it. I kind of

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knew that Iowa State result before it even happened last

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night after seeing that you were on Tennessee. Shout out

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to you. Shout out to everybody that gets to join

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you in the steam room today. Thanks for hanging out

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with us. Oh, by the way, VR has a new X.

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I retweeted it. It's Yanni the Greek underscore. You guys

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can see it right there on the screen, so make

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sure you guys head over there to give him a follow.

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He puts a ton of great information on X as well.

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Thank you, VR. We're going to bring in one of

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the guys from Full Court Press. I found out this

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morning that Robino was like still on vacation or something,

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which I did not know, but we got Adam Trigger.

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He's also doing total basis, So if you guys have

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any baseball questions, we will take them at the bottom

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of the hour. Next fifteen minutes or so is completely

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dedicated to the Elite eight.

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Speaker 3: Trigg.

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Speaker 1: I just want to start with today's games right off

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the top. Iowa Illinois situationally situational like perspective. Is Illinois

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off that insane second half versus Houston. I mean, they

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just smothered Houston offensively. That was a hard fought, nice

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win by Brad Underwood in the li N Iowa though,

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it's just they feel like they're having a good time, right.

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I had Nebraska, I just one and a half, They're

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up ten, We're cruising. Next thing I know, halftime, there's

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Nebraska four players on the court. I'm screaming at Fred Hoiberg,

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going what are you doing? I think they were down

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one or two at the time, and I knew at

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that moment in time that I had a losing wager

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on my hand. But I say all of that to

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say that Iowa is really just one of those teams.

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I think they're having fun, think they're playing with house money.

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They didn't expect to be here, and those kind of

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teams can be a little scary in the tournament, especially

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this late.

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Speaker 4: I would agree with that. I think I was having

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a great time. I mean, I think you could make

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a case that they've played three of their best games

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of the season in succession in this tournament. I mean,

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if you if you go back to you know, even

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like the beginning of February, they did not have a

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great month to close out the regular season and they

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you know, they kind of just bowed out of the

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of the Big Ten tournament. So I don't think it's

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a stretch to say that they are playing far and

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away their best basketball. And I'll tell you what, they're

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having a lot more fun than they did when they

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played Illinois earlier this season and the entire team had

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the flu. So go back to that game, and you know,

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it wasn't a you had a seventy five to sixty

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nine game in Carver, Hawkeye, but I'm pretty sure at

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that point it was like a team wide flu that

301
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I was battling for like a couple of weeks. I'm

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going off of memory in terms of like who was in,

303
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who was out. But if you go back to that

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time period, that Illinois game was a part of three

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consecutive losses for Iowa, and I know the Michigan, the

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Minnesota game prior to the Illinois game, they certainly had

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guys out, so I think they were still coming off

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of the flu. And they actually lost to Minnesota, Iowa

309
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Purdue in succession right there. So again like, yeah, I

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think things are going better right now for Iowa than

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they were. You know when these two teams met earlier

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this year.

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Speaker 1: Here's my thing, and I understand that now with nil

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00:15:30,559 --> 00:15:34,519
and the transfer portal, that teams no longer own each other, right,

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Like I want to say, oh my gosh, Illinois has

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just owned Iowa over the past three seasons against the spread, right,

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Iowa just cannot seem to get But it's a completely

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different team. It's now a completely different coach there with

319
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Ben McCollums. So kind of just have to throw those

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types of stats. But this year that was a bad game.

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Knowing that there was some flu involved makes that one

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make a little bit more sense. And someone who follows

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basketball as deeply as you do. Knew that. I didn't

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00:16:04,679 --> 00:16:06,519
know that. I go on Ken Palm. It doesn't say

325
00:16:06,559 --> 00:16:08,679
anybody had the flu It gives you the final results

326
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and the stats of the game and how it played out.

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So give me kind of your synopsis on what you

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think this Big ten matchup in the Elite eight and

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how it's going to go down.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so as far as the matchup is concerned, Like listen,

331
00:16:22,399 --> 00:16:25,440
no one owns Ben McCollum at this point. If anything,

332
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,000
he owns you. I don't know that there's a guy

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00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:33,559
in college basketball right now making better adjustments, better game plans. Kelly.

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The Florida game, I think he held them to sixty possessions.

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00:16:36,279 --> 00:16:38,480
I mean, to be able to do that on a

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00:16:38,519 --> 00:16:41,360
short turnaround. Remember that was round of thirty two. So

337
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:43,399
they're in the same These teams are in the same

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boat that they were last weekend with the forty eight

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00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:50,039
hour prep and to hold Florida to like sixty possessions

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and win that game it probably I mean, I don't

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think anyone was not impressed with Iowa, But I just

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don't think it was as big of a fluke as

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like maybe people think because the game plan completely worked. Yes,

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they were able to execute and get a good look

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00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,559
off at the end, but still I think I would

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deserve more credit for that than they're getting. The interesting

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00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:13,039
thing here for me kel is Bennett Sturtz, one of

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the probably the most impactful players in college basketball to

349
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their team is only is only six for twenty eight

350
00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:25,039
from three in the NCAA tournament, and it's like, you know,

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imagine he's shot the ball better to this point. So again,

352
00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:31,920
I really do like the Iowa side here. I think

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they're getting too many points.

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Speaker 1: All right, I would agree with you. You don't want

355
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,319
my opinion on college basketball right now. It's been rough.

356
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I did Mad Dog Sports Radio this morning and I

357
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just absolutely the guy I'm before me was like, I

358
00:17:45,759 --> 00:17:48,400
love the blue bloods. I'm a Texas salam and I'm like,

359
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of course the elite want the elite to keep eliting,

360
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and I don't. I want these IOWA type teams. They

361
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,759
are the Cinderella this year. I want the have nots

362
00:17:57,799 --> 00:17:59,920
for a really long time to finally be some half.

363
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,160
And I said, if you want blue bloods, just go

364
00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:05,079
watch the women's tournament. That was my mic drop because

365
00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:09,400
just lay thirty with Yukon or UCLA or Notre Dame

366
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or whatever the other schools are that are left. That's

367
00:18:13,839 --> 00:18:15,880
who the blue bloods are. Tennessee, on the other hand,

368
00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,960
not a blue blood in women's tournament anymore. They mispast

369
00:18:19,039 --> 00:18:20,799
some of it a lot. That being said, let's go

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to the later game today, Trigg Purdue, This Perdue team.

371
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:27,599
I don't know what to make of this Purdue team.

372
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:32,319
They were really gritty, really really gritty there. Now they face,

373
00:18:33,039 --> 00:18:36,559
excuse me, Arizona five and a half point underdogs here.

374
00:18:37,319 --> 00:18:41,680
I keep waiting for Matt Painter to Matt Painter in March.

375
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,680
I know that sounds very lazy, and it's not meant

376
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to be a lazy take, but I say that because

377
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,759
that's what we've seen recently. But the fact is, that's

378
00:18:51,759 --> 00:18:54,880
all we've seen from Arizona forever. Since the last time

379
00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,839
Arizona won a national championship, they've been an early exit

380
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:01,920
team here in the tournament. But I think that this

381
00:19:02,039 --> 00:19:04,039
is an Arizona team that has a real shot here

382
00:19:04,039 --> 00:19:05,319
to win the national championship.

383
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:10,279
Speaker 4: Oh, without a doubt. I mean that this is you know,

384
00:19:10,319 --> 00:19:12,680
I know Jeannie was talking about power rankings and stuff.

385
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:14,880
If you were to power rate the teams, I mean,

386
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you've got to like Arizona to be in there, you know,

387
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:19,960
at the end. But the thing is Kelly and what

388
00:19:20,039 --> 00:19:22,799
I've really sort of noticed, you know, and started to

389
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,359
lean into over the course of this tournament. We just

390
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,519
talked about Iowa, Florida. You can look at you know,

391
00:19:28,559 --> 00:19:30,920
there's just a yukon last night. It's a great example.

392
00:19:31,599 --> 00:19:34,480
Is like matchups I think matter a lot more than

393
00:19:34,519 --> 00:19:36,720
the power rating right now, now, you know, Now you

394
00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,680
look at that Michigan Alabama game from yesterday. I didn't

395
00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,960
think it was the worst matchup for Alabama, and they

396
00:19:42,039 --> 00:19:45,319
kind of showed why in the early going, but Michigan

397
00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,240
was able to wear them down. I think that's kind

398
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,440
of what you're looking at potentially here, because I don't

399
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,200
think this is a bad matchup for Purdue necessarily either.

400
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,000
You know, the last two rounds Kelly Perdue had to

401
00:19:56,039 --> 00:19:59,519
go up against teams that were far more athletic Texas

402
00:19:59,519 --> 00:20:02,400
and Miami, and they were also if we're just talking

403
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,079
about this from a betting standpoint, they were laying four

404
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,640
possessions against teams that were just more athletic than they

405
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:10,319
were and they probably should have paid for it in

406
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,960
that game against Texas. Very fortunate to get out of

407
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:18,279
that game with a win here, though, like Arizona is is,

408
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:21,319
I don't think they have quite the athleticism as a Texas.

409
00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,920
You know, they're big. They're certainly gonna play like you know,

410
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:28,039
for example, they're not gonna give much up on the glass.

411
00:20:28,079 --> 00:20:30,839
You know, Purdue is not gonna get second chance point

412
00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:34,400
after second chance point in this one. But from like

413
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,480
a defensive standpoint, it's not the worst matchup for Purdue.

414
00:20:38,039 --> 00:20:40,880
They're just gonna plant everyone in the paint. They may

415
00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:44,240
dare Arizona to shoot threes. That might not be the

416
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,559
best idea because Arizona is, you know, relatively accurate from

417
00:20:48,599 --> 00:20:50,519
three in terms of the percentage they shoot, but they

418
00:20:50,519 --> 00:20:52,400
don't take a lot of them. So I think that's

419
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,519
a little bit deceiving. People are gonna look and say, well,

420
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,720
Arizona's a good three point shooting team, yeah, because they

421
00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:00,240
don't take many, and when they do take them, they're

422
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:04,880
typically high percentage. Looks perdue though, you know, may force

423
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:07,319
them into more threes than they're comfortable comfortable taking. And

424
00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,119
if they don't, and if they force the issue at

425
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,079
the rim, they might be able to get some stops,

426
00:21:11,079 --> 00:21:13,599
so I don't dislike that matchup for Purdue. On the

427
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:18,599
other end, listen Perdue from an offensive standpoint, and I've

428
00:21:18,599 --> 00:21:21,880
criticized this team plenty. You know, I've criticized Braden Smith

429
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:24,559
for the turnovers and kind of regressing a little bit.

430
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:28,240
There's still tenth nationally in field goal percentage and twelfth

431
00:21:28,319 --> 00:21:31,279
nationally from three. You know, you get Fletcher Lawyer going

432
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:34,559
and he bombs four or five in pretty quickly. Suddenly

433
00:21:34,599 --> 00:21:36,720
I think, you know, Purdue might be a tough out here.

434
00:21:36,799 --> 00:21:42,000
So I understand the love for Arizona long term, especially

435
00:21:42,039 --> 00:21:44,720
if they can get through this one. But this isn't

436
00:21:44,759 --> 00:21:47,680
the worst matchup for the Wildcats. And you know, I

437
00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:50,480
think Gianni said something about maybe you know, some sharp

438
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:54,680
money to the under here. Probably not the worst look

439
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:59,200
with Arizona maybe taking more threes than they want and

440
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:02,000
having a hard time getting near the rim. Certainly a

441
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:06,039
harder time, Kelly than the first three meetings where teams

442
00:22:06,079 --> 00:22:08,240
were just putting Arizona at the free throw line. The

443
00:22:08,279 --> 00:22:10,960
first three opponents in this tournament that Arizona face could

444
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,559
not defend them at all. I think they've lived at

445
00:22:13,559 --> 00:22:17,200
the line pretty much the entire tournament so far. That's

446
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,400
not going to happen against Purdue doesn't foul like that.

447
00:22:19,559 --> 00:22:20,640
So maybe an under.

448
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:24,279
Speaker 1: Here under interesting. I know you do have a five

449
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:29,039
percent up at wager talk right now for the Elite eight.

450
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:31,200
Do you have any hangover on Sports Memoir? I know

451
00:22:31,319 --> 00:22:33,000
VR said he was going to head over there seven

452
00:22:33,039 --> 00:22:38,640
dollars sports Memo, Marketplace Baseball play. Don't care what he

453
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:39,200
got going on.

454
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll have at least so I've got two client

455
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:45,039
baseball plays locked in right now. At least one of

456
00:22:45,079 --> 00:22:49,000
them will go over to Sports Memo. If someone asked

457
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,319
the right question, I may give one out on the show.

458
00:22:51,759 --> 00:22:54,799
I see some folks asking in the chat, but I'm

459
00:22:54,839 --> 00:22:56,640
not gonna get I'm gonna see what kind of games

460
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,000
they want to talk about. Maybe it'll come up, maybe

461
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,480
it doesn't. You know, I did throw the uh you know,

462
00:23:02,559 --> 00:23:05,079
I throw the I threw the duke zip up on

463
00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:08,640
really really to troll our pal Joey G's more than anything,

464
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,240
because I you know, I can't and I guess I'll

465
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,000
say a couple of words on that game real quick,

466
00:23:13,079 --> 00:23:16,319
like I you know, I was on Yukon last night

467
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:21,359
after kind of just trashing them for weeks coming into

468
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:24,160
this tournament, and I think that illustrates my point perfectly

469
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:28,400
where this tournament is just it matchups matter so much.

470
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:30,839
Where it was like, you know, but coming into the

471
00:23:31,079 --> 00:23:34,440
into the NCAA NCAA tournament, before we had a bracket, Kelly,

472
00:23:34,759 --> 00:23:37,279
I didn't like this Yukon team at all. I think

473
00:23:37,319 --> 00:23:39,839
I I think I even said Sienna would hang with them,

474
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:42,519
and you know what, they probably would have after seeing

475
00:23:42,559 --> 00:23:46,839
that first first round performance against Duke. But Yukon got

476
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:49,720
you know, got pasted Furman, got a banged up u

477
00:23:49,799 --> 00:23:51,839
c l A team without Tyler Bilodeo, and then got

478
00:23:51,839 --> 00:23:55,240
the dream matchup last night against Michigan State. That was

479
00:23:55,279 --> 00:23:58,119
just a great matchup for Yukon. And you know what,

480
00:23:58,279 --> 00:24:01,799
even with that great matchup, they still needed big time

481
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:05,480
clutch free throws from Alex Caravan and Terris Reid, who's

482
00:24:05,519 --> 00:24:07,680
not a good free throw shooter, to not blow an

483
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,880
eighteen point lead. If Caraban doesn't hit the front end

484
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:14,000
of that one and one, they probably lose. They probably lose.

485
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,720
At the end of that game. With Michigan State getting

486
00:24:16,759 --> 00:24:18,640
the ball least and it was as good of a

487
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:22,359
matchup as Yukon could have asked for Duke. I know

488
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,720
they've kind well. I was gonna say, like, Duke's gotten

489
00:24:24,759 --> 00:24:27,720
heat in this tournament. Obviously, they didn't come to play

490
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,720
against Sienna, and they almost had a disastrous start, you know,

491
00:24:30,799 --> 00:24:34,079
disastrous exit. But they didn't didn't come into play in

492
00:24:34,079 --> 00:24:36,079
the first didn't come to play in the first half.

493
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:38,839
Kelly against TCU came to play in the second half,

494
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:43,079
ran them out. Couldn't match Saint John's physicality last night

495
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,079
for long stretches, but when they did, they sort of

496
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:47,839
got got it done. Didn't get over the hump for

497
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:49,920
the spread, but they won the game, and they won

498
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:52,920
it by multiple possessions. I kind of think Duke destroys

499
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:56,240
Yukon here. My number doesn't agree with that. My number

500
00:24:56,279 --> 00:24:57,920
shows a little bit of value on Yukon. But I'm

501
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,640
gonna hope that people maybe bet Yukon and take those

502
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:03,480
points over the next twenty four hours because I think

503
00:25:03,519 --> 00:25:06,440
I might punch back there if if at the right price.

504
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say this, I think Duke is vulnerable.

505
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:14,400
I think if we learned anything from any of these games,

506
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,119
I've watched all three duke games. It's the most duke

507
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:21,440
basketball I've watched all season long. Here's the reality. I

508
00:25:21,519 --> 00:25:25,880
know VR has the number one, Ken Palm has Michigan

509
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:29,880
number one, Arizona two, Duke three, Illinois four. Right, everybody's

510
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,480
gonna have their different set of power ratings. I'm gonna

511
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:36,559
say this much. The chat was talking about futures bets,

512
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:39,839
and of course my page expired, all right, right now,

513
00:25:40,759 --> 00:25:43,640
Arizona plus two to twenty five, Michigan plus two eighty five,

514
00:25:43,759 --> 00:25:48,519
Duke three to one. Next up is Illinois plus six

515
00:25:48,599 --> 00:25:51,079
seventy five. So just something to keep in mind that

516
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,680
everybody else's double digits. But just something to keep in

517
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:57,359
mind there, Arizona, Michigan, Duke. I mean, it's basically a

518
00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,440
three horse race. It looks like they're But as far

519
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,039
as Duke goes, you mentioned that Ciena game. I took

520
00:26:03,079 --> 00:26:05,440
Cenna in our Calcutta. We just needed to cover spread.

521
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,880
If they would have won outright, Holy sh that had

522
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,000
been great. They did not, obviously, but man, they looked

523
00:26:12,079 --> 00:26:14,440
really good. And I think the way to get to

524
00:26:14,519 --> 00:26:16,720
Duke is to play that low scoring game.

525
00:26:16,839 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 4: Right.

526
00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:19,319
Speaker 1: They lose to North Carolina in the regular season in

527
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,319
a game in the high sixties. They almost lose to

528
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,720
CNA in a game in the high sixties last night.

529
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:26,720
Saint John's was a little bit of an anomaly there

530
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,200
because the game was played in the low eighties. But

531
00:26:29,319 --> 00:26:32,720
if Connecticut wants to win this game, I absolutely think

532
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,559
it's going to be played in the high sixties. Dan Hurley,

533
00:26:35,599 --> 00:26:39,400
we know, great ats coach. They cannot beat themselves. They've

534
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,319
got to stop with the turnovers and they have to

535
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,680
make their free throws. That is the only way they're

536
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,440
going to beat Duke outright, in my opinion. But again

537
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,039
I've been getting my ass kicks, so don't mind my

538
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:50,359
opinion on this one.

539
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,039
Speaker 4: You're not wrong though, You're not wrong about that. I

540
00:26:54,039 --> 00:26:57,359
mean Duke's if you can make them uncomfortable, you can

541
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,680
make Boozer uncomfortable. It's what Sianna did, It's WHATCU did

542
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,720
for a half. And then Saint John's is as intense

543
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,880
physically on the defensive end as anyone. Then you can

544
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:08,880
beat them. But I guess my whole thing with Yukon

545
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:12,559
is they're gonna kind of you know, they'll deny transition.

546
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,160
But like Duke doesn't mind running some half court offense,

547
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,599
and I do think if you can, if Duken sort

548
00:27:17,599 --> 00:27:20,480
of get in a half court game, that they'll eventually

549
00:27:21,279 --> 00:27:23,599
run enough all you know, their offense will work. That's

550
00:27:23,599 --> 00:27:25,400
the nice thing about Duke and why I almost think

551
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,440
at three to one, you know, against those other teams,

552
00:27:28,519 --> 00:27:30,559
like I kind of think, if I had to pick

553
00:27:30,599 --> 00:27:33,440
one of those three teams, I picked Duke to win

554
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:36,440
it all, just because I think over over forty minutes,

555
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,359
their offense is gonna work against just about anyone. But

556
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,599
they do have to toughen up cal because if they

557
00:27:42,799 --> 00:27:44,960
that that is the thing with them. They've kind of

558
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:46,480
got punched in the mouth and got away with it

559
00:27:46,519 --> 00:27:48,279
a couple of times. I don't know if Michigan punches

560
00:27:48,279 --> 00:27:49,440
them in the mouth, I don't know if they get

561
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,440
away with it. So it'll be interesting to see.

562
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,599
Speaker 1: Now, that will be interesting to see. Let's talk about

563
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,960
Rick Barnes. The comment section was kind of rouse me

564
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,440
a little bit and fair enough. You know, we talk

565
00:27:59,519 --> 00:28:02,799
about is March. We talked about early in March. Rick

566
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:06,039
Barnes got a nice win last night over Iowa State.

567
00:28:06,079 --> 00:28:09,240
They absolutely dominated the glass and it was kind of

568
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:13,839
crazy because that's what I thought TJ's game plan was

569
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,240
gonna be I know, you're not bigger than Tennessee, but

570
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,160
it was like I would say, just was like letting

571
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,839
them get rebounds. It was like I joked about them

572
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,519
channeling their inner Angel Reese and I just meant like,

573
00:28:24,599 --> 00:28:26,720
get your own knee bounds, like what are you doing?

574
00:28:27,799 --> 00:28:30,079
It was awful. Yes, no one is correct. That's the

575
00:28:30,079 --> 00:28:32,920
opposite of Kelly right now. It has been a basically

576
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:34,839
I joked on Mad Dog Radio that I must have

577
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:38,200
sold my soul inadvertently to the gambling gods on Thursday

578
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:43,200
to catch that BCU ticket, because it's been really, really

579
00:28:43,319 --> 00:28:45,559
ugly ever since I get to the Westgate super Book

580
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:49,160
Friday morning. Santa Clara sets the tone for the day

581
00:28:49,839 --> 00:28:51,400
and good thing. There was a lot of Margarita's at

582
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,759
the Windpool because I needed them, and I had a

583
00:28:53,839 --> 00:28:57,000
nice blackjack run, but it sure didn't make up for

584
00:28:57,119 --> 00:29:00,799
the atrocities on the hardwood trick. Let's talk about Rick

585
00:29:00,839 --> 00:29:04,519
Barnes here in March and this very large Tennessee team

586
00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:06,640
that he has. Do you think that they have a

587
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:11,279
shot here against this Michigan team that, albeit Alabama looked

588
00:29:11,279 --> 00:29:13,759
great in that first half I didn't watch much of

589
00:29:13,799 --> 00:29:15,559
the second half. I had on the split screen, but

590
00:29:15,599 --> 00:29:19,559
I was focusing on the Iowa State game. They just

591
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,240
stifled Alabama in the second half, and that's the way

592
00:29:22,279 --> 00:29:25,880
to beat Alabama. That's not the way to beat Tennessee.

593
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 3: Though.

594
00:29:26,599 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 1: Tennessee is not trying to run and gun with you.

595
00:29:29,359 --> 00:29:32,880
They're gonna beat you in the paint. They're gonna beat you.

596
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:35,000
They had four dunks against Iowa. Was staying I'm like,

597
00:29:36,519 --> 00:29:39,200
how do you have these wide open dunks? Like I

598
00:29:39,319 --> 00:29:42,559
was just absolutely floored at multiple times last night.

599
00:29:44,759 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, listen like Tennessee. The interesting thing about this matchup

600
00:29:49,039 --> 00:29:52,000
is they're not. I don't think they're at a size

601
00:29:52,319 --> 00:29:57,200
slash physicality disadvantage against Michigan, which most teams are. I mean,

602
00:29:57,759 --> 00:30:01,839
Iowa State really struggled with tennis Sees, just size more

603
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:03,599
so than I thought they would. I did like Tennessee

604
00:30:03,599 --> 00:30:06,240
in that game. I didn't play it on full court press.

605
00:30:06,279 --> 00:30:08,759
Earlier in the week. I said, if you like Tennessee

606
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:10,640
to take the four and a half, I didn't think

607
00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:13,480
Josh Jefferson was going to play. He didn't. It proved

608
00:30:13,519 --> 00:30:17,079
to be an issue. But I will again, this is

609
00:30:17,119 --> 00:30:20,519
another thing like Tennessee was not a team I was

610
00:30:20,599 --> 00:30:23,920
very high on for long stretches in the season. Was

611
00:30:24,279 --> 00:30:26,720
very vocal about that on my show with Rob Bino

612
00:30:26,759 --> 00:30:29,720
in Full Court Press. And suddenly they're hearing the Elite eight.

613
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:33,279
And why is that, Kelly? Because this tournament oftentimes is

614
00:30:33,279 --> 00:30:36,640
more about matchups than it is about who the necessarily

615
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,039
the best team is. It's almost why I kind of

616
00:30:39,079 --> 00:30:41,559
think Duke and Michigan end up playing in the National

617
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:45,559
Championship game because they're the most sort of matchup proof teams.

618
00:30:45,599 --> 00:30:47,960
In my opinion, I feel like they have an answer

619
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,799
to just about everything, and that's why it almost feels

620
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:56,000
safest pitting those two teams against each other. But of

621
00:30:56,039 --> 00:30:59,920
course Tennessee has a chance here because of their size,

622
00:31:00,359 --> 00:31:03,599
and if you know, obviously, I don't think you can

623
00:31:03,599 --> 00:31:05,359
say that they're gonna get beat on the glass at

624
00:31:05,359 --> 00:31:08,279
this point, after the generational performance that they turned in

625
00:31:08,359 --> 00:31:12,640
last night rebounding the basketball. But the same thing with Tennessee.

626
00:31:13,079 --> 00:31:15,920
The issue for me with them, even with them playing better,

627
00:31:16,359 --> 00:31:20,200
is that after gilepsy and after a men, you know,

628
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:23,160
they don't have as much shot making as you would like,

629
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,640
and maybe not enough to beat a team like Michigan,

630
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,880
who we saw in a little bit of a challenging

631
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:32,440
matchup yesterday with Alabama in the first tap, and yet

632
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:35,480
Michigan still found a way over the course of twenty

633
00:31:35,519 --> 00:31:40,000
minutes to completely blow that game open and win. So see,

634
00:31:40,079 --> 00:31:42,440
like Nolan in the in the chat, he goes he's

635
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:45,359
shit on Yukon leading up to the tourney. Yeah, because

636
00:31:45,519 --> 00:31:48,880
here's the thing. I was just kind of profiling the

637
00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:53,960
team in general. But Yukon has drawn just insanely favorable

638
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:57,079
matchup after favorable matchup, So that's like what you have

639
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:58,920
to I think this is a really interesting point in

640
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,839
terms of handicapping the games. So Kelly, I'm just gonna

641
00:32:01,839 --> 00:32:06,839
make this point to you. Okay, I show number value

642
00:32:06,839 --> 00:32:10,200
on all four underdogs, all four underdocks. My number shows

643
00:32:10,279 --> 00:32:15,400
value on Perdue, Iowa, Yukon, Tennessee, but my handicap does

644
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:18,880
not line up with all four underdocks. So you almost

645
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,599
have to ask yourself. And this is why betting the

646
00:32:20,599 --> 00:32:23,480
Elite eight is challenging. You've got a number, you have

647
00:32:23,559 --> 00:32:26,480
the matchup, and then you have to ask yourself, do

648
00:32:26,559 --> 00:32:29,279
I want to is it good enough to pay said

649
00:32:29,519 --> 00:32:30,359
tax right here?

650
00:32:30,799 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 3: Or not.

651
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 4: And then in all of this is factoring in kind

652
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,440
of what he's saying, Well, yeah, you didn't like Yukon, No,

653
00:32:37,519 --> 00:32:40,599
I didn't really like Yukon as an overvalued Biggie's favorite.

654
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:43,599
Or against Saint John's a team that I think they'd

655
00:32:43,599 --> 00:32:46,599
match up poorly with. But the way it's worked out,

656
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:48,680
Yukon's only had to play three of the teams in

657
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:52,039
this tournament and they've been decent matchups. So does that

658
00:32:52,079 --> 00:32:55,160
come to a head tomorrow against Duke I kind of

659
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,359
think it does. Do I want to lay five and

660
00:32:57,359 --> 00:32:59,839
a half? I don't know because my number shows value

661
00:32:59,839 --> 00:33:03,200
on Welcome to trying about the elite e that is

662
00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:03,960
literally hoppen.

663
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:06,279
Speaker 1: I was just getting ready to say, like VR said

664
00:33:06,279 --> 00:33:09,480
to start the show, there's very very few short people

665
00:33:09,519 --> 00:33:12,039
are rushing to the window right now to get in

666
00:33:12,119 --> 00:33:15,440
vets because there's not a ton of value there. There's

667
00:33:15,559 --> 00:33:21,039
an argument situationally, there's an argument mathematically, but there's a

668
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:24,400
very small window of value in between those two. And

669
00:33:24,799 --> 00:33:27,680
I agree with you. That's why I love these swash contests, Adam,

670
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,960
because like I'm over here going all right, Canton, I'm debating,

671
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,319
so I get through last night, I'm in. I have

672
00:33:33,359 --> 00:33:36,279
two left. I get through last night, I'm gonna ask

673
00:33:36,359 --> 00:33:38,680
who you think I should use. So I did Field

674
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,279
of eight. Your buddy's over there. They had a ten

675
00:33:41,319 --> 00:33:44,680
thousand dollars guaranteed for ten bucks, and I was like,

676
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:46,960
you know what, there was only three hundred people in it.

677
00:33:47,039 --> 00:33:49,279
They weren't anywhere close to even filling. It didn't end

678
00:33:49,359 --> 00:33:52,759
up filling, so there was I think a thousand dollars overlay.

679
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:54,279
But I was like, all right, let me get in

680
00:33:54,319 --> 00:33:57,799
while I can. So I get in, I buy one

681
00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:01,119
entry for ten bucks, and I'm like, all right, just

682
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:02,720
for fun, I'm gonna be out the first day, I

683
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:08,000
take Iowa, Illinois Advance, I take Duke Michigan. Yesterday, I

684
00:34:08,039 --> 00:34:11,039
think I've gotta take for the Elite eight Arizona, Yukon.

685
00:34:11,519 --> 00:34:14,679
I've already taken the other two. But then that leaves

686
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:20,480
me with not a lot for day nine. That's the problem, right,

687
00:34:21,039 --> 00:34:24,519
I want to save Arizona for the National Championship. If

688
00:34:24,559 --> 00:34:26,960
that means I've got to either take I've gotta take

689
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,800
Tennessee and Yukon. That's my only option. I gotta have

690
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:34,079
two outright underdog winners. So I can save Arizona for

691
00:34:34,159 --> 00:34:37,400
the national championship. And that's where those things get a

692
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:43,760
little spicy in mine. I have taken Louisville, Utah State, Nebraska,

693
00:34:44,159 --> 00:34:48,079
Saint John's for Duke Duke. I did Michigan, Illinois for

694
00:34:48,119 --> 00:34:53,199
the Elite eight, which will leave me with Arizona Yukon

695
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:56,159
for the final four. So I need Yukon two beat

696
00:34:56,239 --> 00:35:00,840
Duke and then I can use Arizona for national championship.

697
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:04,320
Oh it's racking my brain. But again, I got plenty

698
00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:06,280
of action because that's two hundred and fify thousand dollars yarantee,

699
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,079
not on a twenty five dollars entry. I'm in. I

700
00:35:08,119 --> 00:35:08,880
bought ten of them.

701
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:14,000
Speaker 4: But you get the idea, I'm still alive in I

702
00:35:14,039 --> 00:35:16,440
think with a couple of my high school buddies in

703
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:20,239
the UH or Cianna buddy, sorry wow, in the in

704
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:23,320
the in the vs. In one, and the thing is

705
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:27,519
like you realize, UH survivors really challenged, Like Basketball survivor,

706
00:35:27,599 --> 00:35:31,679
NCAA tournament survivor is so difficult. Like we're at this

707
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:33,880
point where it's like you get to this, if you

708
00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,599
get this far, you think, oh, I'm still in it.

709
00:35:36,639 --> 00:35:38,760
In the Elite eight, you you almost need to run

710
00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:40,599
the table from here on out to win it, Like

711
00:35:40,679 --> 00:35:43,840
you pretty much need seven, seven or eight outcomes for

712
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:47,519
this point to go your way to win survivor. So

713
00:35:47,599 --> 00:35:49,480
like we're we're in the same boat where it's like

714
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,800
I think we're gonna need Iowa like so, and that's

715
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:56,000
the other thing where I kind of like we're talking

716
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:58,679
about and it's like, well, if if we need Iowa

717
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:01,199
to win or we're a limit needed, well we should

718
00:36:01,199 --> 00:36:04,000
just use them because we still have them available. Right.

719
00:36:04,079 --> 00:36:06,000
So it's like you wouldn't want to create a scenario

720
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:10,280
where you need two events. If something's gonna happen that's

721
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:13,400
gonna knock you out. It's almost like just use that

722
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:15,880
and then don't put yourself in a you know, in

723
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:17,880
a position, because otherwise the only way you're gonna cash

724
00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:21,000
Kelly is if no one wins. That's what someone is

725
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:21,679
probably gonna be.

726
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:27,480
Speaker 1: That's the hardest part, right is I'm hoping I think

727
00:36:27,519 --> 00:36:29,239
in this one, I'm thinking what I have to do

728
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:33,400
is hope that nobody like that people already used Illinois

729
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:36,239
or Michigan, because I guarantee people are gonna use Duke

730
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:41,320
and you kind of upsets or Purdue upsets, right, because

731
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,320
I'm saving the other two. And then it's basically everybody's

732
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,320
at like a stalemate because they have nobody left. And

733
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:48,320
then we split the two hundred and two thousand. I

734
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:51,239
think that's the only I think that's probably what I'm

735
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,599
going to be actually rooting for. Uh in the ten

736
00:36:54,639 --> 00:36:56,519
thousand dollars one that the field of sixty eight guys

737
00:36:56,559 --> 00:36:59,840
set up, there's only seventy seven of us left, I think.

738
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:04,559
And it doesn't power rate you based on like it

739
00:37:04,599 --> 00:37:07,199
tells you everybody's availability, right, and what people have left

740
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,239
and what you think they're going to pick and so forth.

741
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:12,559
One hundred and eighty one got eliminated last night with

742
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:16,840
Iowa State, ninety nine more with Michigan State. But a

743
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:18,480
lot of people were trying to take shots at Alabama

744
00:37:18,519 --> 00:37:20,880
and Saint John's and I didn't want to do that

745
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,320
because the name of the game is survive in advance

746
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:26,039
whoever can go the longest. But if you don't have

747
00:37:26,159 --> 00:37:29,840
teams left available, guess what happens?

748
00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:32,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, Well, can I ask you a question? Can I

749
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:34,280
ask you a question? So we can make this like

750
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,639
kind of like more of it, like an actionable, like,

751
00:37:36,679 --> 00:37:39,119
I guess close it out with something actionable. If you

752
00:37:39,199 --> 00:37:41,800
are in like a pool that let's say you just

753
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:44,719
referenced one that only has like seventy seven left, do

754
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,199
you think it's possible that that ends with no one

755
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:50,639
having the champ left where you could be chopping in

756
00:37:50,679 --> 00:37:56,800
a few ways. I think that's what happened last year

757
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:58,559
if I remember correctly, there was a child no the

758
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:01,280
winners last year, because I know Aaron Kidd won it,

759
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:05,119
CT won at least like a couple of them. They

760
00:38:05,159 --> 00:38:11,840
all they all had Florida. Okay, they all had Florida.

761
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:13,840
Speaker 1: Right, So I mapped mine out to have Florida to

762
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,880
win the whole thing. But I was out of teams

763
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,960
in the Elite eight and had to use Florida. Does

764
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:21,679
that make sense? Like?

765
00:38:22,079 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 3: Yes?

766
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:26,880
Speaker 1: Like, and then you're hoping that everybody else loses too, chop.

767
00:38:27,039 --> 00:38:29,840
I mean you've got to map it out. Yeah. Uh,

768
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:31,400
he said, there's a huge two.

769
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 4: Yeah. But but last year's was very chalky with with the

770
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,079
final four eight.

771
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,320
Speaker 1: Dollars on a twenty five dollars entries not so.

772
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:42,880
Speaker 4: Bad, No, No, for sure, I think that might have

773
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,960
been one hundred dollars Entry that he chaoon but still

774
00:38:46,039 --> 00:38:48,840
but still like if you but this year, there's like

775
00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:52,440
last year, like everyone's sort of path panned out. Last

776
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:56,519
year Duke was in the final four Houston, Florida. I mean,

777
00:38:56,559 --> 00:38:59,079
if you get like let's say you get in I

778
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,119
won the Final four, or or you get like you know,

779
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:05,039
then I guess, like I theoretically, I think it's a

780
00:39:05,039 --> 00:39:06,159
good conversation.

781
00:39:06,079 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 1: Entries and they mapped it out really well.

782
00:39:10,159 --> 00:39:12,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's a good conversation though, because like

783
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,039
people may just be like, like we're like, well, we

784
00:39:15,079 --> 00:39:17,400
got to use Iowa because we won't have a champ

785
00:39:17,519 --> 00:39:21,400
But it's like if we don't, we can still get

786
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:23,280
to the final. We just wouldn't have a team. But

787
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,159
I guess the way I'm looking at it is just

788
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:28,559
is someone gonna have it probably right, Well, that's.

789
00:39:28,679 --> 00:39:30,719
Speaker 1: That's why I have to take in the field of

790
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,159
sixty eight one for ten dollars. Who cares. I'm gonna

791
00:39:33,159 --> 00:39:35,480
take both underdogs because I want to take a shot

792
00:39:35,519 --> 00:39:37,559
at it to be one of the only people left

793
00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:41,519
right now. If Purdue beats Arizona, I'll still have Purdue left.

794
00:39:41,559 --> 00:39:44,760
They're not going to in my opinion, I think Arizona

795
00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:47,000
is the best team. But because I've already used Duke

796
00:39:47,039 --> 00:39:51,239
in Michigan yesterday and I went to Illinois the day before,

797
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:54,199
I kind of screwed myself a little bit there. It

798
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,519
is what it is, But we'll see kind of how

799
00:39:56,559 --> 00:39:58,559
that one ends up playing out. I just need one

800
00:39:58,559 --> 00:40:01,719
of those other teams. I need both of those other teams, upset.

801
00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:03,599
Let's be wrong, and this one I have Michigan and

802
00:40:03,639 --> 00:40:08,079
Illinois at least that time. This the the one that

803
00:40:08,159 --> 00:40:11,559
I put on trick. I was smarter about it because

804
00:40:11,599 --> 00:40:15,280
I had mapped it out right throughout the whole tournament,

805
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:18,079
with the field of sixty eight being double picks every day.

806
00:40:18,679 --> 00:40:21,800
I didn't map it out correctly. Yeah, it's you know,

807
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,480
double picks every day I had, so I had not

808
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,159
the I screwed up on the first day because again

809
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,599
it was ten minutes before tip I saw they had

810
00:40:29,599 --> 00:40:32,159
this huge overlay. Again, they ended up still having a

811
00:40:32,199 --> 00:40:36,320
thousand dollars overlay, and I put in Iowa Illinois really quickly,

812
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:38,679
and I screwed myself because now they play each other.

813
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:39,519
Does that make sense?

814
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:40,199
Speaker 3: Yeah?

815
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:43,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, like it was the right result to have Iowa

816
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:46,599
and Illinois beating those other two teams. But I should

817
00:40:46,599 --> 00:40:50,400
have picked from opposite sides of the bracket.

818
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:54,320
Speaker 4: Pretty much need an MIT degree to figure that college

819
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:56,400
troop survivor out. That's what I've realized.

820
00:40:58,079 --> 00:40:59,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's talk a little bit of baseball.

821
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,760
Nine minutes left of not even nine minutes left, I'm

822
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,280
gonna take a talk a little baseball trig. You have

823
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:08,199
two baseball plays up for sale today on wager Talk.

824
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:10,320
You will have one up on sports Memo.

825
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:13,159
Speaker 4: What else? So actually, no, the base the baseball is

826
00:41:13,199 --> 00:41:15,119
gonna go on Sports Memo today. I I've got a

827
00:41:15,119 --> 00:41:17,400
five percent college hoop play in one of the four

828
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:21,719
games that's up on the on wager Talk. I will

829
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,079
put any baseball that I don't give out in the

830
00:41:25,079 --> 00:41:28,559
next twenty minutes here on sports Memo for seven dollars.

831
00:41:28,599 --> 00:41:29,599
So that's what we'll do today.

832
00:41:31,039 --> 00:41:36,639
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, guys, any baseball questions, Adam, what do

833
00:41:36,639 --> 00:41:38,440
you think of the Guardians team total? Do you do

834
00:41:38,519 --> 00:41:41,239
a lot of team totals? What talk about total? Basis

835
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:43,079
what you guys are going over. I know we kind

836
00:41:43,079 --> 00:41:45,480
of tweaked your guys' format a little bit this year.

837
00:41:45,519 --> 00:41:46,639
I know a lot of the guys want to hear

838
00:41:46,639 --> 00:41:49,159
about the big games early. You guys want to take

839
00:41:49,159 --> 00:41:51,119
audience questions, you can have some of those under the

840
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:53,840
Radar games. I know you're gonna be doing a segment

841
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:57,039
on wager Talk called under the Radar as well, but

842
00:41:57,119 --> 00:41:59,719
talk to me about, uh, what else you can expect

843
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,039
on those on that show as well as your standalone

844
00:42:02,079 --> 00:42:04,639
video for wager Talking's YouTube channel.

845
00:42:06,039 --> 00:42:08,840
Speaker 4: Yeah. Like, so we really didn't shorten the show. People

846
00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:11,239
were like, oh, that the show is shorter. It's just

847
00:42:11,599 --> 00:42:13,519
we're trying to fit it into the forty five minute

848
00:42:13,559 --> 00:42:17,199
window for the overall programming schedule of wager Talk. But

849
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,440
we're going to accompany it with each doing fifteen minutes

850
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,800
on our own each day. So really, last year you

851
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:26,360
got an hour from the three of us. This year

852
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:28,639
you're getting forty five minutes of us together and then

853
00:42:28,679 --> 00:42:31,519
basically forty five minutes of us on our own, and

854
00:42:31,599 --> 00:42:33,039
all of that can be found on the wager talk

855
00:42:33,079 --> 00:42:35,559
YouTube channel. Now, in the other I'm going to do

856
00:42:35,559 --> 00:42:37,320
a segment called under the Radar. I did my first

857
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:39,599
one yesterday. I'm gonna have another one up today where

858
00:42:39,639 --> 00:42:43,199
I'm going to focus on guys that I've watched a

859
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:46,480
ton of at TRIPAA that are now in the big leagues.

860
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,719
So yesterday we talked about Mike Burrows. He was the

861
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:53,800
pitcher for the Astros. Gave out a strikeout prop over

862
00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:56,079
and it hit. So again, I'm gonna be looking at

863
00:42:56,119 --> 00:42:59,599
stuff like that now for me, the things that I

864
00:42:59,639 --> 00:43:05,840
bet MLB sides, Triple A sides, Korean Baseball sides. But

865
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:09,679
I gotta be honest, Kelly, like I am getting more

866
00:43:09,679 --> 00:43:13,519
interested in the prop markets, I just am not confident

867
00:43:13,599 --> 00:43:16,039
enough to like start firing those out as client plays yet.

868
00:43:16,039 --> 00:43:18,239
Plus they move a little bit, so I'm gonna kind

869
00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:20,559
of use that segment to test some stuff out. Like

870
00:43:20,599 --> 00:43:22,840
I said, yesterday, we had to strike out play win,

871
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:26,239
and you know, I'll probably put something over there today.

872
00:43:26,519 --> 00:43:29,400
As far as the question about the Guardians, I don't

873
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,920
really do team totals that often, but they do come

874
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:35,400
up on the Total Basis show Tokyo. Brandon is probably

875
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:38,119
the best guy to ask for specifically for team totals,

876
00:43:38,679 --> 00:43:41,280
but I'll just I'll talk about the Guardians in general.

877
00:43:41,679 --> 00:43:43,719
This isn't They're a big fade for me this year.

878
00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:47,159
Yesterday on Total Basis, my best bet was the Mariners

879
00:43:47,159 --> 00:43:49,239
on the money line. It was a little juwe stuff

880
00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:51,639
in minus one sixty five, but it won. It was

881
00:43:51,679 --> 00:43:53,840
part of the three team parlay that we hit yesterday

882
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:56,760
on the show. And you know the reason that I

883
00:43:56,840 --> 00:44:01,599
disliked this Guardians team is because Past and Jose Ramirez,

884
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:04,639
I just don't see where all the offense is coming from.

885
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:06,880
The second thing, if you want to talk about trip La,

886
00:44:07,480 --> 00:44:10,039
I don't think they have much in the pipeline, so

887
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:12,719
I don't know where the reinforcements are coming. And then

888
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:15,039
this is a team the last couple of years that

889
00:44:15,159 --> 00:44:18,400
is heavily relied on pitching and bullpen and this is

890
00:44:18,599 --> 00:44:21,639
this certainly is not the bullpen of two years ago,

891
00:44:22,039 --> 00:44:23,840
and it's I don't even think it's the bullpen of

892
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:28,280
last year. So I'm pretty anti Guardians at the moment.

893
00:44:28,519 --> 00:44:29,760
I don't know if you're going to get a ton

894
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:32,400
of value in the matchup tonight. Like I said yesterday,

895
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:36,360
you still had to lay minus one sixty five on

896
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,519
the Mariners. But what I will say is this, I

897
00:44:38,559 --> 00:44:40,719
think the Mariners are the best team in the American League,

898
00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:43,599
so I would only be looking to back them here.

899
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:46,280
So it would be Mariners are past, and listen, Brian

900
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:51,480
Wus He's way up there in terms of quality of

901
00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:54,519
starting pitching, which the Mariners have a ton of. So yeah,

902
00:44:54,559 --> 00:44:56,880
if you wanted to go Guardians under, I couldn't really

903
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,480
talk you off, but I think my stronger lead there

904
00:44:59,519 --> 00:45:00,840
would just be the Mariners to win.

905
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:05,119
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk another big game over here, and

906
00:45:05,199 --> 00:45:08,199
I just lost it because I didn't start it. Any

907
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:10,840
thoughts on Braves at Kansas City.

908
00:45:12,599 --> 00:45:16,360
Speaker 4: Well, I'll say, like again I talk about trying to

909
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:21,159
like you know, figure out props and rate the players correctly,

910
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:26,039
I would definitely look toward Bobby wit anything today. He

911
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:28,920
sort of seems to be like the what I would

912
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:33,639
consider the highest rated hitter of any player that's playing

913
00:45:33,679 --> 00:45:38,119
today in any matchup. So again, don't like, I'm not

914
00:45:38,159 --> 00:45:40,800
I'm not gonna like give out something specific there, but

915
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,679
I do I do like his matchup. Let's put it

916
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:47,039
that way in this game. But I'll say this the Royals, Like,

917
00:45:47,199 --> 00:45:50,320
if we're talking about the these two teams in general,

918
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:55,519
I'm pretty anti Royals this year as well. I know

919
00:45:55,639 --> 00:45:58,079
Sean is fired up about this because he's just counting

920
00:45:58,119 --> 00:46:00,880
the wins in the chat for the Tigers, as I say, like,

921
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:04,039
you know, I dislike all these other Al Central teams,

922
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:07,840
but the Royals, like, this is a team that's pretty

923
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:11,519
hyped up this year, Kelly. And what I see is,

924
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:15,960
you know, not a great starting pitching staff and then

925
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:17,679
a bunch of guys that just played in the World

926
00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:21,679
Baseball Classic, which is uh, I don't think is the

927
00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:25,079
best omen coming into the season. We've already seen like

928
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:28,079
Paul Skeins get blown up. You know, some of the

929
00:46:28,119 --> 00:46:31,239
other guys that played in the WBC. Aaron Judge had

930
00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:34,679
four strikeouts on the opening day of the season. And

931
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:37,360
the Royals, like, I think their entire team was there.

932
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:41,159
I don't think anyone had more players playing the WBC

933
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:44,159
this year than Kansas City. So I'm not going to

934
00:46:44,159 --> 00:46:46,280
totally come out here and sell the Royals like the

935
00:46:46,639 --> 00:46:48,880
way I just did the Guardians, because there is talent

936
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,320
there and the guy just talked about Bobby Witz as

937
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:56,039
good as it gets. But early on, I'm definitely willing

938
00:46:56,079 --> 00:46:58,559
to fade this team. And I think the Braves, because

939
00:46:58,559 --> 00:47:00,320
they've been hit with the injury Bugg a little bit,

940
00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:03,880
might be a tad underrated coming into the season. So

941
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:07,239
minus won forty five if I could scan over to

942
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:10,159
sort of like my number for this game, because I

943
00:47:10,159 --> 00:47:13,199
didn't play this one yet, and I doubt I don't

944
00:47:13,199 --> 00:47:15,559
think I probably will, like I think, I think minus

945
00:47:15,599 --> 00:47:18,360
won forty five was a little steep for me, but

946
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:23,719
I really don't want the Royals, so again in this game,

947
00:47:24,039 --> 00:47:25,559
I think i'll you know what, I will just throw

948
00:47:25,599 --> 00:47:27,119
out Bobby Wit. I think he has a really good

949
00:47:27,119 --> 00:47:30,239
game today. You want to go hits over hits, runs

950
00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:35,119
RBIs total bases. I think something Bobby Wit correlated, especially

951
00:47:35,119 --> 00:47:37,719
because listen, when you're bet hitting props, if you can

952
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:41,320
find a road team hitter, you know you're getting your

953
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:43,400
full complement of at bats. I don't really like to

954
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:45,559
bet hitters that are on the home team if I

955
00:47:45,559 --> 00:47:48,639
can avoid it, because I do think you lose, you know,

956
00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:50,679
losing that at bat in the bottom of the ninth inning.

957
00:47:51,559 --> 00:47:54,199
It matters. In my opinion, it could mean the difference

958
00:47:54,199 --> 00:47:56,679
between a fit that bat or not getting that fit

959
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:58,960
that bat. So the fact that wits on the road

960
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:01,199
and he rates out as highly as he does today,

961
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:03,159
I think Bobby whitprops are a good look.

962
00:48:03,719 --> 00:48:07,400
Speaker 1: All right, Bobby witprops. It's not how I wanted to

963
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:11,000
spend my last last call before football season. But that

964
00:48:11,119 --> 00:48:13,519
is where we're gonna end it. Shout out to almost

965
00:48:13,519 --> 00:48:15,440
two thousand of you guys watching live. I know we

966
00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:17,559
don't have games tipping off for over six hours.

967
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:19,239
Speaker 4: How much time do we have? Can I give? Can

968
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:21,199
I give a client play out? Quick? I got one,

969
00:48:21,480 --> 00:48:23,440
I can close it out with. I want them to

970
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:26,800
get something. I actually bet so fine.

971
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:29,119
Speaker 1: I was gonna let you promote that you're gonna start

972
00:48:29,159 --> 00:48:32,159
doing Total Bases on Saturday. So before you give out

973
00:48:32,199 --> 00:48:34,880
your client play let everybody know what your plan is

974
00:48:35,079 --> 00:48:38,760
or Saturdays going forward, because this is my last one

975
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:40,000
until August.

976
00:48:41,159 --> 00:48:43,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, so Saturday is going forward. It's gonna be a

977
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:47,639
more baseball specific show. Pretty much Total Bases two point

978
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:50,800
zero I suppose in this time slot. Sure, next week

979
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:52,840
we'll still you know, maybe we'll comment on the final four,

980
00:48:53,519 --> 00:48:55,920
but you know, Total Basis is pretty much going to

981
00:48:56,039 --> 00:48:58,880
sit in this spot going forward on Saturday, and then

982
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:00,800
of course you can catch my off Tokyo Brand and

983
00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:04,199
Brian Leonard on a daily basis nine am Eastern on

984
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:06,599
the Wager Talk YouTube channel. I have a five percent

985
00:49:06,639 --> 00:49:09,079
playing college basketball tonight. If that's what you're interested in.

986
00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:11,840
That's up over on my page. And you know these

987
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:13,920
games are hard to handicap right now, but I'm having

988
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:16,239
a really good week in college hoops, so I'm kind

989
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:18,280
of just like leaning into that as we hit the

990
00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:20,800
home stretch of the season, going for my fourth win

991
00:49:22,119 --> 00:49:24,960
in a row. Bayou's joking, he says Triggs, begging to

992
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:27,519
give out a client play. It's only because I've got

993
00:49:27,519 --> 00:49:29,360
another one to you know, I've got one to spare

994
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:33,079
here today, So I will. I will have a play

995
00:49:33,199 --> 00:49:35,599
up on sports memo that's a baseball play, but I'm

996
00:49:35,599 --> 00:49:37,320
gonna give you the one that goes first. So I

997
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:40,119
played the Rais minus one, zero four. It's a two

998
00:49:40,119 --> 00:49:42,920
pm Eastern game, one of the first baseball games off

999
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:44,679
the board. And Kelly, I know you want to get

1000
00:49:44,679 --> 00:49:48,320
out of here, so I'll keep it quick. The Cardinals

1001
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,840
are going to be bad this year. Now, I don't

1002
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,400
think they're quite as bad as maybe they're being made

1003
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:58,039
out to be by some people. But the reality is

1004
00:49:58,360 --> 00:50:01,079
they probably have a bottom five team in terms of

1005
00:50:01,119 --> 00:50:06,119
like talent, and it could get ugly for them. Now.

1006
00:50:06,199 --> 00:50:08,920
They came out Opening Day, they rattled off an eight

1007
00:50:09,079 --> 00:50:11,880
run inning to come back and beat the Rays win

1008
00:50:12,039 --> 00:50:15,039
nine to seven. And these two teams didn't play yesterday,

1009
00:50:15,079 --> 00:50:17,239
so now the Rays have kind of had a two

1010
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:20,480
days to sit there think about that. It was a

1011
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:24,039
pretty bad result for them in my opinion, and you've

1012
00:50:24,079 --> 00:50:27,559
got two young pitchers, Boyle McGreevy. It's a relatively even

1013
00:50:27,599 --> 00:50:31,519
game on paper. But the thing about the Rays, shout

1014
00:50:31,519 --> 00:50:34,239
out to my guy Sean and the chat, you know,

1015
00:50:34,559 --> 00:50:38,559
props to his organization, because that organization does as good

1016
00:50:38,559 --> 00:50:40,960
a job as anyone at making you look at a

1017
00:50:41,039 --> 00:50:44,159
roster on paper and being like, now, this team isn't

1018
00:50:44,159 --> 00:50:49,119
that good when really like they always find this collection

1019
00:50:49,199 --> 00:50:52,800
of players that wins in the margins, probably as good

1020
00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:55,360
as anyone in Major League Baseball. And so once again

1021
00:50:56,039 --> 00:50:57,679
I think people are a little bit down on the

1022
00:50:57,760 --> 00:51:01,199
Rays when they maybe necessarily shouldn't be. So you come

1023
00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:03,840
off the nine to seven loss an opening day, I

1024
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:05,760
just don't think the race start zero to two against

1025
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:09,079
this team. Pitching matchups relatively even, I would give the

1026
00:51:09,159 --> 00:51:12,199
raising edge in the bullpen and they're only minus one

1027
00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:14,280
oh four. But I just think the fact that they're

1028
00:51:14,320 --> 00:51:16,079
going to you know, they were right there to blow

1029
00:51:16,119 --> 00:51:18,440
I mean, they were up seven to one, somehow lost

1030
00:51:18,519 --> 00:51:20,280
nine to seven. I just don't think they're going to

1031
00:51:20,360 --> 00:51:23,079
let that happen today, and the cards might actually be bad.

1032
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:25,239
So let's go raise minus one oh four. That's a

1033
00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:28,199
three percent play for me at wager Talk this afternoon.

1034
00:51:29,480 --> 00:51:33,280
Speaker 1: Okay, if you guys are still awake after that breakdown, No,

1035
00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:36,079
I'm just joking. I'd see the comments section giving me

1036
00:51:36,119 --> 00:51:39,000
a lot of grief. No, guys, it's just what out

1037
00:51:39,079 --> 00:51:42,039
side relief. Kelly's got some time off between now and August.

1038
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:45,679
I love baseball season, love it, love it, love it. Trig,

1039
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:49,079
thank you so much for hanging out solo today while

1040
00:51:49,159 --> 00:51:52,920
Rob Veno finishes up his Vegas trip at adam trigger

1041
00:51:53,039 --> 00:51:55,159
WT on socials. Make sure you guys give him a

1042
00:51:55,159 --> 00:51:58,239
follow again. Under the radar going to be every single day,

1043
00:51:58,280 --> 00:52:01,440
Trig promised me on the wager Talking YouTube channel. Total

1044
00:52:01,480 --> 00:52:06,760
basis five days a week at ten am Eastern Saturdays

1045
00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:09,519
eleven am Eastern. So make sure you guys tune right

1046
00:52:09,559 --> 00:52:12,639
in here on the wager Talk YouTube channel. If you

1047
00:52:12,639 --> 00:52:15,599
guys haven't already, please give us a thumbs up, give

1048
00:52:15,679 --> 00:52:18,559
us a little like if you will, and don't forget

1049
00:52:18,599 --> 00:52:21,039
to hit that subscribe button so you never miss another

1050
00:52:21,079 --> 00:52:25,000
moment of wager Talk TV. On that note, I'm out.

1051
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:28,280
I'll be back in July with some NFL and college

1052
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:31,280
football season win totals. See you guys then,