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Speaker 1: I find myself in a very peculiar position. I'm kind

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of in defending Jerome Powell, which I never thought I

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would do in my life, you know, carry for the

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life of me. I don't understand what the administration, who

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I support, is thinking when they say they want to

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fire Powell and cut interest rates to one percent.

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Speaker 2: You are listening to Carrie Let's's Financial Survival Network, where

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you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else

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to thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial

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Survival Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork

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dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial

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Survival Network now more than ever.

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Speaker 3: And welcome. You are listening to and watching the Financial

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Survival Network. I'm your host. Carrie Let's Michael Pento is

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on vacation, although as long as Michael has a phone,

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he's never really on vacation. In fact, he manages hundreds

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of millions of dollars, not with computers but with his iPhone.

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If you could believe it, that's how easy he's got

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the job down to.

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Speaker 1: Right Michael, Yeah, I'm in a beautiful Belmore New Jersey

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in the upstairs apartment of a close friend, and I

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forgot we were doing these interview But I'm here, here

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my athletic freaky shirt on, and I'm ready to go.

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Speaker 3: So you no, you know what Woody Allen said, ninety

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percent of life has showing up, right.

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Speaker 1: Well, I'm going to show up at the pick a

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ball courts in maybe about a half an hour, so

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let's see what happens.

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Speaker 3: All right. I'll say a prayer for you, because everybody

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that I know, except for one or two people, has

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sustained fairly significant injuries from a very low impact, low

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effort sport with jarring lateral movements, studden stops running backwards

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like I don't know how you do it?

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Speaker 1: Oh hey yeah, I'm so Just to digress for a second,

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I had preci gift significant concussion from doing a Frankenstein

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walk backwards and soup pine on my head, and then

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I popped a calf muscle and now I'm nursing a

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broken tendon in my foot as well as of displaced bones. Well,

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pick a bowl is very safe. I suggest everybody do it.

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Speaker 4: Just put a hell out.

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Speaker 3: I think it's about as safe as the bright Line train,

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you know. Just talking a little Florida biz. I wrote

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an article about this, The bright Line is unsafe at

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any speed. We thought there were only one hundred twenty

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six deaths bright Line related since twenty seventeen, but the

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Miami Herald just came out with an expose. It's actually

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one hundred and eighty six deaths. So they've been covering

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it up. But I'm not so much worried about the

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carnage on the tracks in Florida. I'm worried about the

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carnage and the tracks coming out of Wall and Broad Street, right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and the echoes building at the at the Federal Reserve.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So what's what's going on here with the Federal Reserve.

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It seems like they got some pretty luxurious digs there.

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Central banking is good business, isn't it.

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Speaker 1: I find myself in a very peculiar position. I'm kind

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of in defending Jerome Powell, which I never thought I

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would do in my in my life, you know, Kerry,

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For the life of me, I don't understand what the administration,

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who I support, is thinking when they say they want

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to fire Powell and cut interest rates to one percent.

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Now the curve the funds rate is for four and

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a quarter to four and a half, so it's just

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swing up. We're talking about one percent, which is an

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over you know, a three hundred and twenty five basis

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point rate cut immediately.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess.

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Speaker 1: I guess inflation that has wiped out the middle class

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isn't good enough when you have sixty percent of Americans

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that have a networth of one thousand dollars or less.

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Speaker 4: Sixty big zero? What are we doing here?

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Speaker 1: But do we want to make home prices go up

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even faster and make them ever expensive? I don't understand it.

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So on what premise would you cut interest rates? Let's

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see the unemployment rate is is? I think it's four

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point one or four point two percent is historically very

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very very low. The stock market is that an all

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time record high valuation. Home price to income ratios are

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an all time high. Credits reds are extremely tight, Financial

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conditions are extremely loose. We're not in a recession. GDP

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growth for this quarter is supposed to be about a

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little bit over two percent, and inflation is inflation carry

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has been above the Fed's asinine two percent target for

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fifty months. Right now, If I just told you, what

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if you just heard that, if you came from Mars

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and said, you know, I understand the federal reserves shorter

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is to maintain you know, a level prices, you know,

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stable prices. And I just told you all those things

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and you and I also said that the Fed has

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missed its target to the north, it's two percent target

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to the north for fifty months, and that target is

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moving further away.

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Speaker 4: In other words, the.

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Speaker 1: Inflation rate is moving further away from the target two.

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What do you think the conversation would be. It wouldn't

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be when are you going to cut rates? It shouldn't

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certainly shouldn't be when you're going to lower rates to

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one percent. It's gonna be when you're going to raise

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interest rates.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Well, and really historically, going back, you know, as

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far back as you can go, really, the rates are

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not out of line. They're kind of normalized. Now, if

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we need zero percent interest to keep this economy going,

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then we've got a real problem here, don't we.

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Speaker 4: No, we not.

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Speaker 1: If we have a real problem. We have a tremendous

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credit bubble.

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Speaker 5: We have an an unbelievable equity bubble two hundred Well,

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the total market cap of equities is now two hundred

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and twelve percent.

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Speaker 1: Of GDP, so it's more than double the size of

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the entire US economy. Now, the normal relationship there's around

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ninety to one hundred percent. That's just normal. So that

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means stock prices could drop fifty percent and still be

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above valuation historical valuations. That's how that's how crazy. And

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then you also have you know, the cape ratio, which

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is that I think it's at almost twenty seven or

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thirty seven, I forgot where it was anyway, it's astronomically high.

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It's historically speaking, prices, deals ratio is three. Risk premiums

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are negative in the risk premium the inverse of the

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pe ratio, right, Sure, get your earnings yield, and the

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earnings yield is less than what you can earn in

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a T bill. This is all highly unusual record low

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dividend yields. So the stock market's in an epic bubble.

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Home prices are the most expensive they've ever been in history,

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even relate in relation to incomes. And we have a

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massive credit bubble when there's like, you know, trillions of

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dollars of things like private credit, which hardly ever existed before,

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I mean, in the previous decades. Now there's a whole

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cottage industry of businesses that can't get loans from a

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bank or float corporate paper, so they get loans from

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you know, the shadow banking system. Yeah, that's a huge

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problem these that's a huge when we have when not

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the not if, when we have a recession, because the

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the the business cycle hasn't been repealed.

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Speaker 4: When we have the next versus.

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Speaker 1: When we have the next credit crisis or recession, this

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is when reality is going to hit. So it's not if,

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it's when I have a timing model that lets me

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know when to get out.

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Speaker 4: I'm been, I've been you.

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Speaker 1: Know in a you know, I have a long short strategy,

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so mostly long, sometimes short. The past few years mostly

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went out long, but holding our nose because we know

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that if you're gonna be one of those people, one

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of those automatic buy and hold dollar course to averaging

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funding their four to one k in as target date fund,

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and you're gonna be down thirty five percent in a

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few weeks time, not a few weeks from now, but

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in a few weeks, a truncated period of time, when

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the when the poop hits the bed, we're gonna be

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down thirty percent in a very quick period of time.

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And then you're gonna panic and call your administrator for

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your four to one K plant and say move my

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plan into cash. And that's what market goes down fifty

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to sixty seventy percent.

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Speaker 3: But haven't people been programmed to not behave that way?

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Speaker 1: They have been inculcated through the decades to just buy

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and hold. But Carrie uh, stock ownership among Americans has

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never been higher, and the stocked ownership is concentrated mostly

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in people who.

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Speaker 4: Are my age or older.

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Speaker 1: So you went around in their fifties, like fifties, early sixties,

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or in their retirement ages. Not not not in the

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twenty year old, not in the mean stock people. It's

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our age, yes, approaching retirement or in retirement, Kerry. When

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they're down thirty five percent in their portfolio, I don't

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know the exact number, but it's probably around. That's my

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guest to mint. They're gonna exist because they cannot see.

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Then it becomes what you just said, it's a it's

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an existential crisis. I am not going to be their

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wife is going to tell them from probably being a

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little sexist here, But if you're a man, your wife's

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going to tell you, Hey, I'm not canceling my trip

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to Europe and I'm not selling my my lake house.

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Speaker 4: You can sell.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna sell, and you're gonna sell now and will

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wait for it to settle down. That is going to happen,

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and that is gonna be synergistic. It's going to be

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a death spiral in my opinion. It's just it's just

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a matter of mean reversion. If you believe in nature,

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heats vacuums, this is a mean Listen, this is one

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or two things are gonna happen mathematically certain, Either stought

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preceres are gonna crash. So the ratio that you know

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they're not the enumerator matches the denominator, or they're going

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to stay where they are for a decade not could

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not do anything until the denominator catches up. Now, the

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latter scenario never happens in history. It just never has

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happened before. Bubbles burst. They don't just stay bubblicious for

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a decade.

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Speaker 3: Wow, all right, So uh ah, so you got to

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think what should you be doing now because this appears,

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from what you're saying here, Michael, to be inevitable.

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Speaker 4: Well, you better.

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Speaker 1: First of all, if you're you're in one of those

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buy and hold dollar cost averaging rubrics, you've got to

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get the hell out of there as fast as possible.

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Speaker 4: You got to put yourself in.

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Speaker 1: An active money managuer. It doesn't have to be me.

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I mean, I'm I mean, let me speak altruistically. Find

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somebody else besides me. I have plenty of money, and

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I have plenty of money under management. I don't care.

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Speaker 4: But find yourself a robust a robust.

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Speaker 1: Model that is in the purview of a very honest

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and experienced money manager.

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Speaker 4: Does not have to be me.

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Speaker 1: But do it for your own retirement sake.

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Speaker 3: You need to do it all right, sir.

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Speaker 4: You've worked your.

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Speaker 1: Entire life to get where you are. Realize where you are.

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Realize the triumvirate of bubbles that we have, unprecedented in history,

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all three of them. Yeah, and be a historian. See

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what has happened, not only in the United States but

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around the world. What happens to asset prices when they

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get this this elevated and the inculcation the mindset is overwhelming.

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Where you know, you have to now convince people that

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there is such thing is a business cycle. You have

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to convince people that the Fed and the Treasury and

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the administration can't always bail you out. And you know,

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in the past, Carrie, what is it. What does the

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Treasury and particularly the FED have done. They've always solved

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the problem every hiccup in the stock market or a

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steed speed Buk economy. They just lower interest rates and

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print money. Carry Do it again, do it one more time,

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and see what happens to inflation if they actually start cutting,

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if they ever stop, If they started cutting interest rates

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now to desert QE helicopters money, I think it would

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be an absolute disaster. It already is a disaster for

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this country. When you have when you have over sixty

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percent of the population with really no or negative net worth,

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you can't have a viable nation. So try try now

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pursuing a policy that bails out Street and screws Main Street.

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Speaker 3: See what happens. It ain't gonna be pretty, is it? No?

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So gold, silver, It appears certainly for silver we're on

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the verge of a major breakout and things are not

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looking good for those silver shorts, are they.

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Speaker 1: No. Now, I've I've I have, so I took a

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nice position in platinum several months ago, bit.

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Speaker 4: More gold for a very long time too.

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Speaker 1: So my proxy for the the bit so the precious

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metal is proxies that I use are gold and platinum,

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but silver too is you I'm not going to argue

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against silver, but you should. You have to get your

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your hands on some of this. And there's a there's

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a bull market happening in platinum. You know, for decades

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and decades on end, platinum was more expensive than gold.

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Speaker 4: It's a it's.

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Speaker 1: A rarer, more more rare metal, it's a more precious metal.

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It has some industrial components to it as well, and

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that flip that has flipped. So I would not only

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own gold, I would definitely own some platinum here because

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there's only one thing that's going to happen. There's only

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one thing that I could be assured to occur, and

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that stackflation like we've never before imagined. We're going to

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have another recession. Business cycle hasn't been repealed. We're going

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to have a credit crisis. The playbook is going to

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be deployed because it's worked all that every time in

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the past. What's the Pavlovian response from the Fed and

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Treasury borrow print spend or it was automatic stabilizers that

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kick in are going to send a deficit not to

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you know, the deficit was two hundred billion in prior

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to the global financial crisis. Then it went to you know,

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the trillion trillion now it's now it's two trillion. In

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the party times man, in the good times with full

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employment and record a stock market, it's two trillion. So

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when the automatic stabilizers kick in, the unemployment benefits kick in,

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this deficit is going to go between from from two

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to four to six trillion per ADAM.

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Speaker 4: So that means when four.

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Speaker 1: To six trillion, where's six trillion dollar annual deficit, and

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and that means the money is going to go directly

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to the people. It's not gonna be like it wasn't

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the global financial crisis where you just bail out Wall

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Street by taking the banks got their assets bailed out

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from the Fed. Now this is going to go right

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into the hands of the pockets of the people through

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these through the unemployment insurance that they're gonna get right

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and through the subsidies that they're gonna get from from

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the Fed, and the helicopter money coming from the Treasury.

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So we're going to have inflation, not the way they

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measure it. Stop at nine, it's going to go to nineteen. Yeah,

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and that's you know, if you that's what you have

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to be prepared for, because if you're saying to yourself,

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you know, I think I'm gonna I think I'm going

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to retire, and five percent on a thirty year treasury

285
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bond sounds pretty pretty good because the first is only three.

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Speaker 4: You know, that's wonderful.

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Speaker 1: Uh, tell me how you feel about earning five percent

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when inflation is nineteen.

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Speaker 3: So that's a that's an existential problem in and of itself, right.

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Speaker 1: Garry inflation core inflation rose to two point nine percent

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year over year, Co wrote, I mean, then the morons

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that speak on mainstream financial media when the when the

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inflation report came out, they're.

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Speaker 4: Like better than expected because.

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Speaker 1: The month over month was a little bit better the core.

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But here the core rate of inflation increased. At the

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end of the form reading was two point seven or

298
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two point six, it jumped to two point nine core

299
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inflation year over year. That's that is that is a

300
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disastrous conversation to have him. Inflation on the core level

301
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is spiking, and I want to have a scenario where

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I'm firing the central bank so I can put a

303
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,480
what I would call it an obsequious sicko fan, a

304
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puppet of the president, to put rates at one percent.

305
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Speaker 3: Yeah, what could possibly get wrong here?

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Speaker 1: What happened to that stuff? What would happened to the

307
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housing market? Let me hear here's the scenario. The scenario

308
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scenario is this some so April April two thousand or

309
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May twenty twenty six comes, Powell is shoved out the door,

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an obsequious sick ephan, a puppet of the president, comes in.

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He cuts rates to one percent. And what what happens

312
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when the long end of the bond market interest rates

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go ballistic? I mean, if that can control the overnight

314
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interbank lending rate, and the money markets will will trade

315
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in sympathy with that. But let's say, unless they assent

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to buy every single treasury bond issued, like the Bank

317
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of Japan does, we're gonna have a huge problem with

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the interest rates. And if they do buy everything, we're

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gonna have a bigger problem with inflation.

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Speaker 3: M h yeah, it sounds like we got problems on

321
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the way here. Huh.

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Speaker 4: Well, I mean, listen, what.

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Speaker 1: When you when you abrogate free markets, when you say,

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you know, the free market doesn't have to function. We

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could just nineteen eighty seven, just print some money, Greenspan says,

326
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we'll just print some money. We have, we have a tool,

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we have a technology. We don't need to Why would

328
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we Why would we make money peg to something like gold?

329
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Speaker 4: Why would we do that?

330
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Speaker 1: Well, because mine supply of gold is limited, and you

331
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have something real and tangible that's backing your currency. But

332
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then they came up with the idea we could just

333
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we could just live in faeryland. We could just back

334
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our currency with nothing. We'll back it with the taxing

335
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authority of the US Treasury and the American military complex.

336
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Speaker 4: That's what will.

337
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Speaker 1: Yeah, and then the dollars, you know, crashes. You know,

338
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go look at what the dollar has done since nineteen thirteen.

339
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It's purchasing power. And then those people have the nerve

340
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to tell you that they're they're they're they're in charge

341
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of protecting the purchasing power of the of the currency.

342
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That's a comedy routine, Kerry, it's a joke.

343
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Speaker 3: Yeah, that is a comedy routine. And you know it's

344
00:19:19,039 --> 00:19:23,160
that old uh, that old saying. Will Rogers said, every

345
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:26,559
time Congress makes a joke, it becomes a law, and

346
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every time they make a law, it's a joke.

347
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Speaker 1: Right Gary, Let me just I have I had this

348
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written down. I want to make sure when I talk

349
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about credit bubbles, total non financial US debt as a

350
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percentage of GDP is higher today than at the start

351
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of the global financial crisis and the start of the

352
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Nasdaq crash in two thousand. So current ratio is two

353
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:55,000
one hundred and fifty seven percent of GDP total non

354
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financial debt. In two thousand and seven, before the stocks

355
00:19:59,039 --> 00:20:00,799
lost fifty percent of their value, the S and B,

356
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:05,279
it was two hundred and thirty four percent. And in

357
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two thousand that great recession where the NASDAK lost eight

358
00:20:08,039 --> 00:20:10,559
percent of its value, it was one hundred and eighty

359
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,960
nine percent. And the current ratio is two hundred and

360
00:20:13,039 --> 00:20:18,480
fifty seven percent. That's your credit bubble. That's your credit bubble.

361
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Speaker 4: Man.

362
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Speaker 3: So there's no way out of this.

363
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Speaker 1: There isn't any easy way out of it. I mean,

364
00:20:26,039 --> 00:20:28,119
they're gonna try to hyperinflate their way out of it.

365
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,839
But since we haven't adjustable rate mortgage as a as

366
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A as our you know, everybody said, hey, Janet Yellen,

367
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,920
why don't you know when interest rates were like aero

368
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,119
point three on the ten year note, why don't you

369
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:43,079
like float some thirty year dead out there and finance

370
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it or maybe even issue a fifty year bond. I

371
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,799
guess the wasn't any appetite for that, But at least

372
00:20:47,799 --> 00:20:50,960
they should have really loaded up on that lawn kerry.

373
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,599
If they're gonna, if they're gonna, if Wall Street's gonna

374
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supply you with a ten year note that's yielding a

375
00:20:56,279 --> 00:20:59,319
third of one percent, wouldn't you want to lock in

376
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,839
those that that's a pretty good rate, right right, Well,

377
00:21:02,839 --> 00:21:03,799
guess what they said, Now.

378
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,319
Speaker 6: We're just gonna do T bills. We're gonna do T

379
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,440
bills and chill. Well that's now you have to roll

380
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:13,720
over those tea bills every single year. Yeah, and that's

381
00:21:13,759 --> 00:21:14,279
what you have.

382
00:21:14,519 --> 00:21:17,559
Speaker 1: So if if if you really want to know the

383
00:21:17,599 --> 00:21:22,359
truth as to why President Trump wants that interest rate

384
00:21:22,519 --> 00:21:25,720
artificially suppressed even further lower, is because it would really

385
00:21:25,759 --> 00:21:30,519
bring down the interest on the debt. Yeah, with no

386
00:21:30,519 --> 00:21:35,400
no negative ramifications with housing or real estate or or

387
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:37,039
or the equity market.

388
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:45,359
Speaker 3: So it's that simple huh yeah. So it's it's all

389
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,640
about rates, it's.

390
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Speaker 1: All about interest on the debt, which is over a

391
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:50,359
trillion dollars already.

392
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:51,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, gotcha.

393
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Speaker 4: Do you see how? You see how well doge work?

394
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:54,400
Speaker 3: Right?

395
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,680
Speaker 1: The Doge roared into town and they really slashed the

396
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,559
government slashed everything down. I mean, we're all we're good now, right.

397
00:22:01,599 --> 00:22:03,960
I think they decided to cut one hundred and sixty

398
00:22:04,039 --> 00:22:05,160
billion dollars.

399
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, for I was still cutting in theory.

400
00:22:08,599 --> 00:22:10,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know what they cut.

401
00:22:10,279 --> 00:22:12,880
Speaker 1: Well, those have been run out of town faster than

402
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:15,119
the shave has been run out of town. And they

403
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,200
should be cutting a trillion dollars per We need to

404
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,119
cut a trillion dollars per andum to get to that

405
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:23,039
magical Scott Besson you know, three percent. But guess what,

406
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,839
we decided to cut one hundred and sixty billion. So

407
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,119
we're a little bit short, just about eight hundred and

408
00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:29,119
forty billion a year.

409
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 3: Just a little, just a little all right? So what

410
00:22:34,079 --> 00:22:35,680
about bitcoin here?

411
00:22:37,599 --> 00:22:41,680
Speaker 1: Well here, well, you you know you opened the Pandora's

412
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:45,240
box here when you talk about Hey, bitcoin, I actually

413
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:50,240
liked as as a concept. I hated the I hate

414
00:22:50,279 --> 00:22:53,279
I didn't buy any of it unfortunately, so I've been

415
00:22:53,319 --> 00:22:56,640
wrong about the direction of this thing. But the concept

416
00:22:56,640 --> 00:23:00,240
of the bitcoin originally, or cryptocurrencies in general, was, Hey,

417
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:06,000
we have a decentralized currency that nobody knows who you are,

418
00:23:06,039 --> 00:23:09,799
and it's outside the purview of government, and it protects

419
00:23:10,079 --> 00:23:14,880
and it protects you against a falling US dollar. So

420
00:23:15,039 --> 00:23:17,920
fast forward in a few years, and of course the

421
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,920
pimps and the hookers on Wall Street would they say, oh,

422
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,359
we fall in love what bitcoin? We can make some

423
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,039
money on this, on this horrified barcode, which is what

424
00:23:28,079 --> 00:23:31,039
it is. It's just, you know, all bitcoin is your

425
00:23:31,039 --> 00:23:33,680
private key is a bunch of letters and numbers. Okay,

426
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:37,119
it's a it's a password that's worth one hundred and

427
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,400
seventeen thousand dollars. But okay, let's just let's just talk

428
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:44,640
about this for a second. So it goes, it goes

429
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,759
from basically nothing to one hundred and seventeen thousand dollars

430
00:23:47,799 --> 00:23:51,240
per unit. But it got there because it's been bastardized

431
00:23:51,279 --> 00:23:54,640
by Wall Street. They've co opted and corrupted it. So

432
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,920
now your your decentralized coin that you think you own

433
00:23:58,079 --> 00:24:01,759
is completely centralized. It can be taken away from you

434
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:05,160
capriciously by the government because they actually know exactly who

435
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:05,519
you are.

436
00:24:05,799 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, you know.

437
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 1: It's Wall Street has know your customer rules and anti

438
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:16,119
money laundering rules. You own an asset that's pimped by

439
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:20,400
Wall Street. They know exactly who owns every single one

440
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:22,799
of these bitcoins, so they can take it from you.

441
00:24:22,839 --> 00:24:26,000
So it's no longer it's decentralized. And then to pour

442
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,680
icing on the cake is or gasoline on the fire,

443
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,400
I guess would be a better analogy. They say it's

444
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,759
it's an alternative a dollar, but now they want to

445
00:24:33,799 --> 00:24:38,880
link it to the US dollar into treasuries by stable coins. Right,

446
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:41,519
so the whole concept of this thing has been has

447
00:24:41,559 --> 00:24:46,400
been obliterated, and they did this so they can pump

448
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,240
up the stop the bitcoin price to one hundred and

449
00:24:49,319 --> 00:24:52,920
seventeen thousand dollars in unit. Now, two more things I

450
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:54,799
want to tell you about this. Number one, it is

451
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:59,400
hot gold. There's an unlimited number of cryptocurrencies that can

452
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:04,559
be created. I do like the blockchain technology, Yeah, extremely useful,

453
00:25:04,799 --> 00:25:07,799
But to think that the blockchain technology is the same

454
00:25:07,839 --> 00:25:16,079
thing as a coin that relates gold is ridiculous. Yeah,

455
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,559
so there's twenty one million bitcoins, but there's an unlimited

456
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,920
number of other currencies that could serve the same purpose.

457
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:25,200
So it's just a Commodityes are commodity and there are

458
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,759
limitlessons in supply, unlike platinum and unlike gold.

459
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is true. I totally agree with you there.

460
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:35,599
But I think there's something else going on with bitcoin

461
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,759
that we're not going to know. I think there's a

462
00:25:37,799 --> 00:25:42,319
bitcoin short squeeze coming because you've got a huge synthetic

463
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:47,319
derivatives to market there, and you've only got seven percent

464
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:51,119
of all the bitcoin ever created that actually free trade,

465
00:25:51,519 --> 00:25:56,119
which will be substantially less because you've got ETFs. This week,

466
00:25:56,799 --> 00:26:01,079
two point two billion more went into bitcoin. Eat where

467
00:26:01,079 --> 00:26:03,799
are they getting all these bitcoin from this when they

468
00:26:03,839 --> 00:26:04,799
stopped making it?

469
00:26:05,039 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, completely wrong on the price, missed the entire thing.

470
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,680
This thing much higher. But when you get an unfriendly

471
00:26:12,759 --> 00:26:16,799
administration in place, and you will, and an unfriendly sec

472
00:26:17,079 --> 00:26:19,759
and you will in the future, this thing will crash

473
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:22,559
because its intrinsic value is maybe closer to one thousand

474
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:27,200
dollars rather than one hundred and seventeen thousand. So just beware.

475
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:31,599
I mean, it's just not something at this especially now,

476
00:26:32,559 --> 00:26:35,079
at this price level I'm interested in getting involved with,

477
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,039
but hey been wrong with both.

478
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:44,599
Speaker 3: Interesting was that I was at the Bitcoin conference and

479
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:50,160
it's amazing guy I know who told me to buy

480
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:54,640
bitcoin at five, who's never sold one bitcoin, he is

481
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,400
buying it at a dollar. And let's not forget Michael

482
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:02,480
that if you invested ten cents in coin in twenty ten,

483
00:27:02,759 --> 00:27:05,359
it'd be worth one hundred and eighteen hundred nineteen thousand

484
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:08,400
dollars as we're speaking. What he told me is that

485
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:12,839
over half the contributions going to the Republican Party are

486
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,799
coming from crypto bros. So that's I think, of course,

487
00:27:16,799 --> 00:27:19,000
say are now, Gary.

488
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,279
Speaker 1: You're exactly right, but you know three years from now,

489
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:27,000
I don't know. Yeah, play with it now. The volatility

490
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:33,079
attributes to this product are just astronomically off the charts.

491
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,359
So it's just not something i'd like to That's why

492
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:36,720
I prefer platinum to silver.

493
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 4: I don't like that high data. Yeah, Like, can you

494
00:27:40,519 --> 00:27:43,079
make money in bitcoin? Yeahp hundred percent? Can you still

495
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,079
make money? Probably? Did I miss everything? Yes?

496
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 1: I did, But beware because you when you have something

497
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:56,640
that's supposed to have its value derived from having a decentralized,

498
00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:03,559
anonymous immutable transaction, and you're to get the value is

499
00:28:03,599 --> 00:28:05,400
now derived from government.

500
00:28:08,559 --> 00:28:10,039
Speaker 4: I'm the only person I've ever heard.

501
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:11,519
Speaker 1: Talk about I mean, maybe I just don't have it

502
00:28:11,559 --> 00:28:13,880
in my ears out there, but who have you ever

503
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,920
heard anybody else say how absolutely absurd?

504
00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:17,359
Speaker 4: This is?

505
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:22,400
Speaker 3: Oh completely but but bus that doesn't mean you can't

506
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,319
make money on it, right undred percent?

507
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,400
Speaker 4: No, I maya kopa here.

508
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:30,039
Speaker 1: I'm the last person to ask about the future to

509
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,799
make a bitcoin price, can do you know? For me

510
00:28:32,839 --> 00:28:37,160
to do that, it'd be it'd be completely inappropriate because

511
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:41,599
I've been so wrong on the picture is interesting though,

512
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:47,000
but but but caveat emptor here though, They will be

513
00:28:47,079 --> 00:28:50,920
hell to pay. And it's coming, and it's one day

514
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:55,200
because because what bitcoin really is now has become it's

515
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,960
just a derivative of the stock market. So it's a

516
00:28:58,039 --> 00:29:04,359
it's a it's a higher a derivative on equity. And

517
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:09,680
if liquidity ever drives up again, not if when it happens, yeah,

518
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:13,400
when it's gonna it's it's gonna be a disaster for

519
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:14,559
the entire space.

520
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,519
Speaker 3: All right, Well, I think we'll let it go there.

521
00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:20,240
We got other things to talk about next time. After

522
00:29:20,279 --> 00:29:25,319
you've done traveling things about the worst cycle, what's happening

523
00:29:25,359 --> 00:29:28,759
there in Europe, the euro, the dollar, all that good stuff.

524
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:34,440
But you'll find Michael's work excellent work. Sign up pentoport

525
00:29:34,559 --> 00:29:38,000
dot com links in the show notes, and if you

526
00:29:38,079 --> 00:29:41,039
got a question for Michael myself, shoot me an email

527
00:29:41,359 --> 00:29:45,240
k l Atcarrie LUTs dot com. Michael, we'll talk to

528
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,599
you in a month or two. Be well. Always a pleasure, Carrie,

529
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:48,839
Thank you, thanks.

530
00:29:48,599 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 2: For listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network. Your solution

531
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:57,039
to today's trying times. For the latest, go to Financial

532
00:29:57,119 --> 00:30:02,119
Survival Network dot com. Financial service level Network now more

533
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:02,720
than ever,

