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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host,

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Corey Evans. This week's show is titled by the Injury

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Dip and it's either a yes or no.

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Speaker 2: It's cutting dry.

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Speaker 1: I have five players who either from last season, early,

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mid or late or during the off season underwent surgery,

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had some sort of big injury that now their cost

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is appreciated a bit, or it's at a discount compared

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to where it should be, or whether ceiling has been

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in the past.

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Speaker 2: So with that in mind, we'll get right to it.

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Speaker 1: Quick side note, if you want a one to one roster call,

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hit me up, send me a DM on any social

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media platform that I'm on, dinastyu pod, or even an

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email Todynasty podt gmail dot com for one on one

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discussions about your team or teams thirty dollars thirty minutes

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or fifty dollars.

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Speaker 2: For one hour. Hit me up if interested.

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Speaker 1: The first player should we buy The Injury Dip its

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Melik Neighbors.

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Speaker 2: It has not been sunshine and rainbows.

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Speaker 1: It has been a very discouraging series of developments for

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his outlook in twenty twenty six. Neighbors is twenty two

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point nine years old. We cannot forget tour both his

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acl and meniscus. In week four of twenty twenty five,

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he underwent a second cleanup procedure earliest offseason, which was

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recent news, and that's where there's now more red flags

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than might have met the eye. There is an uncertain

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timeline to return, and week one sounds quote a little

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ambitious per Adam Schefter, and Schefter's about as plugged in

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as it gets. So we're at a crossroads with Elik

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Neighbors and Dynasty because if you're a good tender, you

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rely on the services. If you're rebuilding or somewhere between,

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then you can wait it out a bit. And even

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if he's not back for week one, he's a puplish candidate,

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whatever it may be. Then whenever Melak Neighbors is returned

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to old former near at one hundred, you'll reap the rewards.

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Let's look gough at the stats situation. Twenty twenty four.

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Neighbors burst onto the scene as a rookie with a

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one oh nine twelve oh four seven receiving effort one

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hundred and seventy targets as the PPR wide out six.

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It was an immediate superstar campaign, and that's what we

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assume Neighbors would be a cornerstone building block in dynasty formats.

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Jump ahead to a sophomore season in twenty twenty five.

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Neighbors eighteen two seventy one, two touchdowns, thirty five targets

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in only four games played. Because of the aforementioned twenty

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cl meniscus tear, the Giants didn't do a ton in

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terms of adding receiving weapons outside of Isaiah Likely as

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a free agent and Malachi Fields, it's still Neighbors as

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the alpha in the wide rehiever room. The issue or

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dilemma is when will emliite Neighbors return. Will it be

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early to mid point of twenty twenty six, will he

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miss no time? That is the unknown and that is

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the reason why he is either the buy the injury

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dip or not. I am looking to do so. But again,

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what it takes to acquire Neighbors is a first round

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pick we'll assume across the board and start up value.

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Speaker 2: So that is the opportunity cost.

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Speaker 1: Are you willing to take that gamble of spending a

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premium or do you want to wait and see if

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Neighbors ends up on the pump, and then you could

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buy the injury dip because right now it's too early

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in the offseason still where training camp preseasons around the corner.

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We know that Malik will not be rushed back. I

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am buying talent now. I will say that the reports

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that I've read, some people say his leg, his knee

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could be cooked in terms of this is a very

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devastating multi ligament tear, that he might never be the

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same explosive self, and that is terrifying to hear. And

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I'm not medical experts on that side of the industry,

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so I can't attest to it. But I will say

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that as long as neighbors return to twenty twenty six,

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then I think he's worth the upside and calculator risk here.

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Up next is Bucky Irving. He's twenty three point eight

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years old. Is he worth buying the injury dip? The

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short answer for me is no. I think there's more

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uncertainties than assurances with Bucky's outlook. Irving is recovering from

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offseason shoulder surgery. Head coach Todd Bowles said that Bucky

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should be back in the summer or fall, which is

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a very vague timeline summer basically now fall closer to

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week one. That is certainly raising an eyebrow and brings

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some more into suspicions about when Bucky mayby not return.

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It is suggested that Irving should be ready and back

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for training camp, but at this point that seems like

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a big if based on the summer or fall quote

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from the Buccaneers head coach. There's even the rumors of

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retirement due to the mental health part of dealing with

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injuries last season that surface, which is a factor. I

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don't really think that we consider that often. This is yes,

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of course, being paid millions of pen millions of dollars.

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This is their profession, this is their job right and

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we take it for granted that we're playing this game

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in fants football. But the player, human opponent is that

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they're dealing with these big injuries and it.

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Speaker 2: Takes a toll mentally. Think about us in everyday jobs.

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Speaker 1: If you're sick, if you're just not feeling like going

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to work, there is the part of it. I don't

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want to do this, And I wonder if that's where

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Bucky was at based on the rumors, or if he's

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also now dealing with this offseason shoulder surgery and facing

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up pill bad again. Of course, that was not confirmed,

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but there was plenty of information available online suggesting that

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Bucky was gonna step us out in football. And that's

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why I'm so nervous about buying the injury dip. The

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opposite side of that is what Bucky did is a

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rookie in twenty twenty four, the PPR RB thirteen and

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seventeen eighth is played, But then we'll look at twenty

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twenty five, PPRRB thirty four and ten years played.

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Speaker 2: With those foot and.

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Speaker 1: Shoulder injuries, his yards per carry rookie to sophomore year

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dipped from five point four to three point four yards

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rushing eleven twenty two to five eighty eight slice it

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in half essentially, and then receptions from forty seven to thirty.

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Speaker 2: So there was major aggression.

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Speaker 1: Granted it was attributed to the durability a lack thereof

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of the injuries, both foot and shoulder. So where are

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we at with Bucky year three? I am willing to

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buy the injury dip, but it's nowhere near an RB

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one or high end RB two cost. I'm buying more

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at the RB thirty four finish for twenty twenty five,

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so late first, whether that's twenty six to twenty seven

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draft capital or a running back, wide receiver, tight end

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in that value range. I am not spending an early

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to mid first or top tier player to trade for Bucky.

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Speaker 2: That is not in the cards for me based on

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his durability.

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Speaker 1: That has been a struggle, let alone those previous retirement

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rumors that he's had to deal with on the mental

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side of recovery as a pro. So far we all

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know went healthy, went active. Bucky is an RB one

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RB two fringe player for us in the fantasy game.

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That being said, we can't even project his role without

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factoring in Kenneth Gainwell and what game Well did for

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Pittsburgh was remarkable and it was a thorn in the

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side of Jalen Warren last season. The same will apply,

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you think in theory to Bucky Irving. So yes, I

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am buying the injury dip on Buckie, but it's not

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at what his rookie price tag was. It has to

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be at the sophomore level with the assumption that he's

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going to miss time ued injury, suffer some sort of setback,

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and or lose work it's kind of game one on

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some capacity UPNECKX is Quinn Shawn Judkins twenty two point

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six years old. He had surgery from a fractured fibula

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and broken ankle in week sixteen to twenty twenty five.

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It was one of those you look at it's gruesome,

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it's nasty. Fortunately though Judkins so far Eleana Camp looks

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good sprit because former so as a rookie in twenty

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twenty five a two thirty eight twenty seven seven rushing

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effort three point six yards per rush, not all that

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effective per touch, but the volume was king and then

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twenty six for one to seventy one is a receiver

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that was thirty six targets. As the PPRRB twenty six

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in fifteen is played, we have a new scheme with

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that coach Todd Makin, who in years pass with Baltimore

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for example, is a huge proponent of running the football.

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Juckkins has limited competition, primarily Dylan Sampson, who is an

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opposite skill set Juckkins more early down grinder, Sampson more

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satellite and quick lightning approach as a passing outlet. So

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they compliment each other well in terms of buy the

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injury dip. I think we're run out of time for

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Judkins in terms of a discount, because everything I've seen

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online looks favorable.

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Speaker 2: He looks like his old self.

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Speaker 1: However, the Browns are a mess in terms of depth

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chart and what the quarterback groom looks like.

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Speaker 2: So there is.

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Speaker 1: Still the gamescript theory of Juckkins is going to be

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first second down, loose snaps because of negative gamescript of Samson,

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things of that nature. So sure, if you can buy

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at the PPRRB twenty six finish as a rookie or

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in other words, in RB two, that by all means

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I will do so if someone in your league does

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not want to take him out of that cost. However,

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if someone in your league is valuing Jukins is an

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RB one, then I'm out because at that point you're

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buying a ceiling, not even floor, because the odds that

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Quinchewan finishes a top ten to twelve running back, depending

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if you're in a ten or twelve team league to

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reflect an RB one seems a bit far fetched, not

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out of the question, especially if the volume is there touchdowns, increase, efficency,

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et cetera. But I'm more in the camp of junkins

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as an RB two or a high end RB three

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who is a plug and play flex supposed to a

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set of forget at RB one, but you still have

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that narrative of Hey, fracture, fibula, broken ankle, It's a

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devastating injury. He might not be his explosive burst self

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that we saw as a rookie. And match your window

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to buy top a quick breakway back with two more

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buy the injury dep players or if you should, should not?

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Speaker 2: If you buy or sell, don't forget.

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Speaker 1: Best way support me is a one man show in

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this competitive fantasy football space is by joining my Patreon.

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I have three two levels at five twelve twenty five

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dollars per month. Main perks are a bonus episode per week,

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as well as unlimited twenty four to seven direct message

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access to me for any questions you might have. You

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can join by going to patreon dot com searching the

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Dynasty Dude, or scroll down in your show notes you'll

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see you joined Patreon via link or even in my

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social media bios. All the information is there. A few

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clicks and you'll become a member pretty easily. Thanks for consideration.

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Be right back after that shortbreak, let's discuss Tucker Kraft

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by the injury DIP. I think that he fits the

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bill really well, twenty five point six years old towards

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ACL meek nine at twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 2: Head coach of the Packers, Matt Lafleur is.

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Speaker 1: Hopeful that crafting ready for training camp, but it's not

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a guarantee, and that's the opportunity to strike, especially with

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so many moving pieces in this Packer's offense has been

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the recent news of the Josh Jacobs arrest. We'll make

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that independent of Crafts valuation. We'll look more so at

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the pass catchers with Watson read Golden no more Wis.

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He's now in Philadelphia, so it's a competitive space. Even

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Musgrave at tight end compete with Craft. But make no

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mistake that Tucker Craft was ascending from his rookie sophomore

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to even thirty year pro last year before our eyes.

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As a rookie in twenty twenty three, he was a

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PPR tight end twenty nine. As a sophomore in twenty

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twenty four, the PPR tight end ten, so a tight

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end one and fantasy, and he was on pace to

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match or surpass that finish in year three of twenty

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twenty five, but he was a PPR tight end twenty

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four in a mere eighteenth play because of the torny

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ACL week nine, so the receiving loss per season. To

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showcase what Craft can do, Tidy Jordan Love and Lafour

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was thirty one three fifty five two scores year one,

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fifty seven oh seven seven scores year two and thirty

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two forty nine six scorers year three with target to

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forty seventy of forty four. Craft is a do it

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all tight end, could play in line, stretch it out wide,

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be a mismatched the slot. His field stretching ability and

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yard at their contact skills are up there with among

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the best of all tight ends in football. So sure

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by the injury dip if you can, if you're not

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going to break the bank on a tight end, that

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being brock Boers at this point, Colson Lovelin, Tyler Warren,

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these new fresh names that have blossomed into elite commodities,

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then arguably Tuknercraft is one of the next best, and

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he has age on his side. Sure, the Tonya cl

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is not a deal, but most reports have been promising

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they'd be back by training camp at worst pushing closer

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to the fall, and if you can use that as

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an advantage and flip, for example, an older tight end

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like George Kitto for Tucker Craft, that makes a lot

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of sense to buy back those years and have more

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long term shelf life to work with. And last, but

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not least, do we buy the injury dip of Sam Laporta.

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Speaker 2: For me, it's an easys.

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Speaker 1: He's possibly the easiests in this episode twenty five point

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four years old. It's easy to forget that Laporta missed

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the final eight weeks of twenty twenty five due to

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a back injury that did require surgery. It sounds like,

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according to head coach Dan Campbell, that Laporta is being

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eased back in and it won't be a full go

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right away. Makes sense, right, bring him back slowly, make

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sure he's up to full health. There's a new OC

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in town for Detroit. It is formerly of the Arizona Cardinals,

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Drew Petsing, who does like to utilized tight ends.

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Speaker 2: Case of point Trey McBride.

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Speaker 1: Laporta three years of sample size in terms of data,

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he was the PPR tight end one overall as a

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rookie in twenty twenty three, the PPR tight end eight

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in twenty twenty four, So at top eight tight end

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back to back years year three and only nine games

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played the PPR tighten twenty seven. It was injury related,

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So why are we discounting or ignoring Sambalporter even compared

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to tucker Craft. For that matter, Laporta was right up

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there with at the time Kyle Pitts in terms of

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being viewed as the Titan one in Dynasty. Back in

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twenty twenty three or twenty twenty four. The receiving locks

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per year or production support that eighty six eighty nine

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and ten touchdowns, sixty seven twenty six and seven touchdowns,

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and then forty forty nine and three touchdowns target totals

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are one, twenty eighty three and forty nine. Straight up,

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I probably would pay less and be okay with rostering

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sample Port over paying more in rostering tucker Craft. So

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at least you have two options from this episode of

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buying the injury dip at tight end. Now, Laporta does

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have more target competition, if you will, with Amiras Saint

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Brown of Isaac Tesla Jamison Williams. Of course, sdhmir Gibbs.

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We'll see what Isaba Checko does in terms of protected volume.

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So the Porter is not guaranteed one hundred and twenty

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targets as he did year one as a pro again,

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but anywhere from eighty targets two hundred and twenty comfortably

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puts him in position to perform as a top five

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to twelve tight end fantasy. And if you can pay

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a discount of price right now because of that alien

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back injury that required surgery and the Porta being some

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of an afterthought as a borderline league tight end dynasty,

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then by all means do so.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for listening.

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Speaker 1: Hope you all enjoyed my buy the Injury dip episode.

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Of course, all players at a cost are worth acquiring,

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but in a general sense, I view Neighbors as a buye.

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Bucky Irvings not as interested, Quinshaw Junkins not as interested

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unless it's at an RB two price tag, Tucker Craft

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as a buy, and Samuel Porta as a buy. Thanks again,

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until next time, This is the Dynastaur checking out. Hope

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you enjoyed the week and I'll talk to you soon.

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Speaker 2: See you, man,