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Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to tea time. This isn't quite the field

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that we saw last week at the Open Championship, but

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we are going to break this down. The three M

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Open is here. We're going to TPC twin cities. We're

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gonna break down the course. We're gonna talk about some

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total strokes gained, the top ten in this field. We'll

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talk about some favorite favorites, We'll talk about players that

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can trip you up, and of course we'll give out

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a long shot and some draft kings darlings. Welcome everyone,

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Thanks for joining us. I am your host, Andy Lang,

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being joined as always by my fellow golf betting expert

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Nick Borman. Nick Matthew Fitzpatrick has been fantastic for our

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one and dones and that's where we're gonna start this week.

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Suspects are pretty limited this week. I think you and

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I kind of came down to two of them, so

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I will just take Maverick McNeely as my one and

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done this week. He's number three and total strokes gained

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over the last three months in this field, and you know,

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based on the quality of this field, you know he's

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got really good course history here third last year, and

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you know in fact this he's been twenty third and

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twenty second last week. So I'm going with Maverick McNeely

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as my one and done. I think I know you

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were going with, but who did you pick?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? McNeely was a surefire shoe and I looked at

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him too, definitely wanted him. But I'll go with the

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hottest hand right now, which has got her up. Hopefully

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it continues. I took Fitzpatrick last week after he played

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role at the Scottish. Hopefully I can got hers just

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fizzle out on us this week. But yeah, clearly playing

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very well winner at the Scottish third last weekend at

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the Open, which really screwed my Open pool. I didn't

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I had Fitzpatrick over him. A long story, but anyway,

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got her up he is. He's hitting the ball. Grade

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as driver list of this course is something that if

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you look back at the history, there's no reason not

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to put Dirk take driver out of the bag and

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smash from every single hole in. This guy excels with

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his driver. He smashes it. So if he can roll

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the rock, which he's been doing the last couple of

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week and his drives, nothing else in between really matters

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all that much. So I think got O had another

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good week. And in this field, anything's in the top ten,

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honestly would pretty surprising.

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Speaker 1: Listen, this is a this is Chris got her Up

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who mostly because of some of these struggles of these

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bigger named guys bory Kawa, and can't all of a

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sudden if he rips off a few more good finishes,

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he's absolutely and ryder Cup contention. So you asked me,

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right now, do I want got up in Morikawa? It's

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not even a debate, it's it's got her up. That

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was my favorite bet last week was Hoveland over Mari Kawa.

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This is just moriy Kawa. It's struggling mightily. So yeah,

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McNeely got her up with the two obvious ones. This week,

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we're gonna start with the total strokes gained chart this week,

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and then we're gonna break down this course because honestly,

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this course not too exciting. So let's go to this

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chart and talk to total strokes gain. A lot of

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names that we don't normally talk about, so that's good.

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Nick does a great job. This chart is last three

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six months, twelve months of total strokes gained, and yeah,

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look at some of these names. What's your big takeaways?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, well the big takeaway has always got to change

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my color formatting. After coming up a major championship with

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everybody great in the game playing, So this is your

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top ten over the last twelve months the players have

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been playing the most consistent of the last twelve months,

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Sam Burns leads that categories. You can see here Pendrith

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right there McNeely, who Andy's big on obviously with his

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has one and nine. You can see the numbers aren't

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that hot, as only four players averaging more than a

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stroke on average over the rest of the field in

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that span, and then it drops off pretty significantly from there.

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The shorter term, though, is where you see some splashes

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of more brilliance. We mentioned god her up he's the

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second in the last three months. Sam Burns still actually leads.

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Even in the last three months. He didn't have a

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great necessarily link swing there with the last two teraments,

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but he's been playing pretty well prior to that, so

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deserving of that spot. But the way I look at this, Andy,

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is you look at some of these these low Yeah,

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the odds makers have to make somebody favorite, right, But

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Sam Burns eighteen to one for a guy that hasn't

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won in multiple years versus you know, a guy like

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because the bottom the lists that you get, like you

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know Actapatia or even Ricky Fowler who's coming to live

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who's actually won in the last couple of years, got

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her up twenty five to one compared to eighteen to one,

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So I looked for her value in that regard. Yeah,

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these are the biggest names in the field. Yeah, they

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have the best twelve month windows of strokes gain, but

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had those odds have these guys won, Are they deserving

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of that price? I don't think so. A couple of

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names that I wanted to mention on here that like

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what happened to Sun Jim. I mean, this guy used

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to be the workhorse of the PGA tour and one

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thing you could get out of this guy was consistency.

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But man has fallen off a cliff and you can

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see that here in the numbers and where it's fallen

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from the twelve months down to the last three months.

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So even though he's on this list, he is the

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clear avoid for me. Alex Norn's one that if you're

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paying attention, he missed like basically the entire first four months,

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five minutes or four and a half months of this season.

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So that's why his numbers are down. But he's been

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really okay ever since he came back. You know there's

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name that's not on this list that is another one

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is like, what happened to him? What happened to Gala?

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So he the Gala. Yeah, he's ninety to one. I

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was actually looking for himcause I knew he's playing the field, like, oh,

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he's gonna be in this top ten. He's like down

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in the thirties. I'm like, where what happened to this guy?

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So this is a surprising list. I don't up at

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the top of the Green Andy. You see the likelihood

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that a big event is going to be won by

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somebody on this list sixty six percent of the time.

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Obviously Scotty last week was another winner. It's something like

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four percent of the time on these other events. So yeah,

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I put it up here. It's a good place to start.

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These are your favorites for the tournament. But I am

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not certainly going to put a lot of money into

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anybody here on this list. And shout out to Adam Scott,

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first time ever playing in this event eighty fifth or

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something in the fatt gup. You're heading into these last

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two weeks, so let's go ahead him. Hopefully he does well.

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But I don't you know, there's the three at the bottom.

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On the three, I would look at those are the

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guys playing more consistent as of late, better odds than

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you're gonna get on some of the true true favorites

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this week, and Jordan saying, I feel like we talk

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about every single week. I only put him on there

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just so he could say his name over and over again.

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So that's my take on the outside this week.

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Speaker 1: You got to mention him. I mean, look at those

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numbers the last three months. I mean, when you're talking

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about current form, it's it's him over a lot of

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these guys. A couple numbers here for you, Nick Figala

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last three months minus zero point four to six T

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to Green minus zero point five to two putting Oh,

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I mean yeah, and when you look at Yeah, when

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you look at Sung JM, it's not it's it's all

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his irons minus zero point eight five total strokes gain

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last three months with his irons.

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Speaker 2: His irons, just golf man.

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Speaker 1: I yeah, yeah, when these guys get get on a funk,

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it sneaks up on them and it is really really

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tough for these guys to break out of it. So yeah,

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and interesting stuff with the total strokes gained here. So

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I just wanted to let everyone know. We've got a

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special running at wager Talk. This for the whole site,

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this is for myself, this is for Nick. You can

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get all of August for just two hundred and ninety

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nine dollars and we're gonna throw in the rest of

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July for free. So you lock in August and the

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free plays start rolling the day you lock it in

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in July, so don't wait. Soon as you jump on this,

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the more value and the more days you're gonna get.

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Every day that you hold off as day plays you're

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just not getting for free. So get in now. We're

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gonna build some momentum going into this very very busy fall.

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But one of the best specials. We run all of

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August for just two hundred and ninety nine dollars and

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we're gonna throw in the rest of July for free,

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so lock that in. That's on the deal's page over

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at wager talk dot com. You can get all the

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golf plays MLS plays. You can get all my plays

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in UFC, in golf, even in cricket, some of these

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sports that we've been rolling in, so those are the

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that's the big special that we're running sight wide, and

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it's only gonna be up for limited time, so make

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sure you take advantage of that. All right, let's talk

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about this TBC Twin Cities. I'm gonna start with the

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weather because it looks like it's just not gonna be

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that bad and up there, normally the wind is I

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mean most years the wind is fifteen at least, you know,

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twenty twenty five miles an hour, and even then, these

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guys don't have a problem putting up low scores. And

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then the weather looks very calm. Add to that, there's

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been moisture up there. It may rain on Wednesday, which

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is just a recipe for low scores. So I think

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you're gonna get soft greens. I think you're gonna get

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good fair ways and not much wind. So this is

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just laying out for a complete birdy fest. There are

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water hazards on this course. There's some good holes with

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dog legs. The notable holes with the water around at

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the par fours five and thirteen, so guys are really

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gonna have to ray way risk versus reward. But again,

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in years past the wind made it pretty hard. So

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the greens medium size, there's not much to them, Nick,

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So I think Tita green is important. But again, when

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you get to these birdie fests, again, who's got the

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hot putter? I think most guys are gonna be able

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to hit fairways in green, So who's gonna get it

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closest to the pin? And then who's gonna walk away

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with good putts? So I want nothing to do with

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guys that are not putting well, I'm looking at guys

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that are rolling the flat stick really really hot. I

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just don't think there's too much to this course, and

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without any wind, this has just got minus twenty written

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all over it. What's your take on this course?

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Speaker 2: Honestly, there's not a lot on the course that I'll add.

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I'll go a different angle and talk more about the

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field real quickly, because I think it's worth noting that

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these two next two weeks it's all about positioning and

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the players that are not in the top seventy right

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now getting to that way. So I'm not buying me

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in suggesting just blindly bet anybody that's not in the

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top seventy because they need to do well. They could

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have done all season. But it is interesting angle to

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look at the guys that are ranked seventieth through I

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mean even sixtieth to be honest, because it's still new points.

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But let's just say seventieth through one hundredth because those guys,

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this is it is there a season, they got two

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weeks to try to play their way in. Again. It

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doesn't mean it's a surefire thing, but there's possibly some

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good value plays there for people that are just trying

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to make a cut right and then from there just

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get in the top twenty, give themselves one hundred points

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whatever it is that they can get on the FedEx

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Cup numbers to try to keep their hopes alive. So

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that's one ag I always look at and we U should

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talk about this time of year. The other thing I'll

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mention is, although I'm not going to hit on the course,

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I'll hit on the history of the turn a little

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bit because you mentioned you know, what is it that's

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going to really do well here? Well, we have six

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years that this course has hosted this tournament. The winner

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has ranked first in strokes, gained TEA green for the

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week for three out of the six years. Makes sense,

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you gotta flush the ball. Last year Johnny Vegas ranked seventh,

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so not far off the two years that the winner

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was outside of the top fifteen. In Thompson, he ranked

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seventeenth in twenty twenty, so again not far on the list,

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and Champ ranked twenty sixth in twenty twenty one. Those

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are the furthest back. Well, both of those players ranked

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first in putting, so I guess it's really not that

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00:11:13,279 --> 00:11:15,440
surprising a recipe. Oh, you gotta hit the ball well

238
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and you gotta make putts, but history here has shown

239
00:11:18,879 --> 00:11:21,600
you can even though it's a shootout. The winning scores

240
00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:24,279
have gone from anywhere on average from seventeen to twenty

241
00:11:24,279 --> 00:11:26,679
one under. There there's one denominally where the highest score

242
00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:29,039
was fifteen under in one year where somebody got the

243
00:11:29,039 --> 00:11:31,399
twenty four under, but mostly it's seventeen to twenty one

244
00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:34,480
in that range. Usually need a good putter to get there,

245
00:11:34,519 --> 00:11:37,080
but this term has proven that if you can just

246
00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:38,799
stripe the ball better than anybody else this week, you

247
00:11:38,799 --> 00:11:41,480
don't have to make every single thing and you can win,

248
00:11:41,559 --> 00:11:44,159
or certainly be in contention so worth noting that you

249
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got to get the guys that are playing good Tea

250
00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,799
agree that we always talk about this putting. Can you

251
00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:50,519
know you can have ebbs and flows week to week,

252
00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:54,679
but hitting the ball flush usually takes multiple tournaments to

253
00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,679
either start to trend up or to turn down. As

254
00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:58,240
we talked about in the stretch game chart with some

255
00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,799
guys that've been playing or but I just wanted to

256
00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:02,519
throw that out there. Those are the data points that

257
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have proven the winners here so far on the first

258
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six and then the only other question I have for you, Andy,

259
00:12:08,399 --> 00:12:10,039
and because kind of how I'm looking at there's you know,

260
00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:12,399
there's a handful of players. I didn't know the exact count,

261
00:12:12,399 --> 00:12:13,919
maybe it's ten or twelve. I feel like, just by

262
00:12:13,919 --> 00:12:17,759
a quick glance that played last week and most likely

263
00:12:17,799 --> 00:12:20,759
the last two weeks, is that for me, it's a

264
00:12:20,879 --> 00:12:23,039
it's a it's a long trip, especially if your contention

265
00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:25,639
on Sunday this past week. I don't know that I'm

266
00:12:25,639 --> 00:12:27,960
gonna be betting on those type of players coming over

267
00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,039
and trying to get teed up this week. I think

268
00:12:30,039 --> 00:12:31,759
it's just a lot to ask for to turn around.

269
00:12:32,399 --> 00:12:33,919
Got it up? I already mentioned the one and done.

270
00:12:33,919 --> 00:12:36,080
That's a different animal versus just betting on a week

271
00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:38,039
to week basis. But I don't know what your thoughts

272
00:12:38,039 --> 00:12:40,000
are on guys that played last week or the last

273
00:12:40,039 --> 00:12:41,639
two weeks that's going into this week.

274
00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, the travel could be a concern. I would be

275
00:12:45,919 --> 00:12:48,679
a little bit more worried if the course was at

276
00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:53,080
all difficult, Like, of course, if the course, you know

277
00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,759
it was it was like, oh, you know the brutal

278
00:12:55,879 --> 00:13:00,519
rough or you know strong wins, or you know something

279
00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,120
that really pushes these guys, I would be worried about.

280
00:13:03,159 --> 00:13:05,960
This is put out in the fairway, put it in

281
00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:09,960
the green, putt it. I think these guys can make

282
00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:13,759
it through four rounds at Tennessee, Yes, I do, so

283
00:13:14,519 --> 00:13:17,919
it's a fair point. Yeah, the travels has been a

284
00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,799
concern at times, but it would just need to be

285
00:13:20,799 --> 00:13:23,200
a much difficult course for.

286
00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:24,399
Speaker 2: Me on that one.

287
00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:28,120
Speaker 1: Let's do the eighteenth roll rating because I love this

288
00:13:28,279 --> 00:13:31,399
eighteenth hole, Nick, and I'm not a fan of par

289
00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:35,240
five's being the last hole. I like this one. I

290
00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:37,720
think it's gonna measure about five hundred ninety six yards.

291
00:13:37,759 --> 00:13:39,360
A lot of it depends on where the pin is

292
00:13:39,799 --> 00:13:42,519
but water is on the right, and I mean like

293
00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:46,320
right on the fairway, So any shot that drifts right

294
00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:50,799
is gonna be wet the the fairway, and the rough

295
00:13:50,919 --> 00:13:52,440
on the left side is going to get a lot

296
00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:54,679
of action because putting it in the water on this

297
00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:57,679
hole is inexcusable. So the players are gonna be playing

298
00:13:57,720 --> 00:14:00,519
it safe. But this whole dog legs to the so

299
00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,919
much that the approach, you're almost coming in sideways to

300
00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:06,799
the green, like the green is like long as opposed to,

301
00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:10,759
you know, vertically. So you got a bunker on the left,

302
00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:15,799
you got water short, you got rough long, and you

303
00:14:15,799 --> 00:14:17,559
gotta be careful with that rough in the back because

304
00:14:17,639 --> 00:14:20,279
you're chipping towards the water. I think this is a

305
00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,360
really good finishing hole. Nick with the hazards and some

306
00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:26,080
of this, it can be easy or it can be

307
00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,759
really difficult. So I think all of the I think

308
00:14:28,759 --> 00:14:31,320
the rough on the left, the water on the right,

309
00:14:31,559 --> 00:14:33,720
the angle of the green, the bunker, the rough, the

310
00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:35,480
water all around the green, I think this makes this

311
00:14:35,679 --> 00:14:38,000
a really fun hole. I get this a six point eight,

312
00:14:38,919 --> 00:14:42,159
really surprised that this is a really high ranking hole.

313
00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,320
But I think for the caliber of this course, fantastic

314
00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:47,200
finishing hole, so I'm a fan of this one. I

315
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:50,399
hope we get guys tied going into this last hole

316
00:14:50,399 --> 00:14:53,080
because this is a hole that could definitely yield birdies

317
00:14:53,159 --> 00:14:57,279
and bogies. So all right, let's talk about a favorite favorite. Nick,

318
00:14:57,320 --> 00:14:59,799
this is a guy. I mean, listen, all these guys

319
00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:02,840
are kind of, you know, higher price, so you're right,

320
00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:05,399
you're getting some really good value here. So who's your

321
00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,960
favorite favorite that we should be looking at?

322
00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:11,919
Speaker 2: Well? I asked the question about avoiding open players because

323
00:15:12,399 --> 00:15:14,039
I'm kind of tending to do that as far as

324
00:15:14,279 --> 00:15:16,480
looking at value on these outright markets this week. So

325
00:15:16,799 --> 00:15:18,200
it's kind of hard to do that here in the

326
00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:20,360
favorite Favorite because most of the top ten are guys

327
00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:23,320
that they played the last couple of weeks. But Jake

328
00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:26,000
Napp is one name that he's up there in the

329
00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:29,480
favorite range, and he did not play at the Open Championship.

330
00:15:29,519 --> 00:15:31,159
He did play though two weeks prior to that, he

331
00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,559
finished respectable tie for twenty second at the Scottish Open.

332
00:15:34,759 --> 00:15:37,840
Followed I followed a tie for twenty first at the

333
00:15:37,879 --> 00:15:40,799
John Deer Classic and a tie for fourth at the

334
00:15:40,879 --> 00:15:43,120
Rocket Classic, so obviously in good form and then now

335
00:15:43,159 --> 00:15:45,519
you give him that week off, which is always good

336
00:15:45,519 --> 00:15:47,840
for these guys. So I like that that combination there.

337
00:15:48,279 --> 00:15:50,279
I think a skill set plays very well here. The

338
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:52,279
guy can obviously hit it a country mile on the

339
00:15:52,279 --> 00:15:55,960
longest guys on tour, and I think that plays very

340
00:15:56,039 --> 00:15:58,159
very well here. And he can get very hot with

341
00:15:58,159 --> 00:16:00,519
the putter. He tends to show up, you know, best

342
00:16:00,519 --> 00:16:03,279
in these shootout type events in twenty starts this season,

343
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:05,720
and his putting has been respectful. He he's only lost

344
00:16:05,759 --> 00:16:09,000
strokes putting five times in twenty starts. He ranks eight

345
00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,799
in this field and strokes game putting this season. So again,

346
00:16:12,879 --> 00:16:14,799
just another guy that you can hit it far. I

347
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:18,000
don't think when you're getting getting into these short irons

348
00:16:18,039 --> 00:16:20,840
and wedges, there's not a lot of separation in this

349
00:16:20,919 --> 00:16:22,799
type of field for you know, who's the best and

350
00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:24,840
who's the worst. So I think it's hit it part

351
00:16:24,919 --> 00:16:27,720
than everybody else. Have two or three clubs, let less

352
00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:29,879
in your hand in the next guy and then just

353
00:16:29,879 --> 00:16:32,600
put up. So I think that that is perfect for

354
00:16:32,679 --> 00:16:34,320
j because he's not like a great iron player by

355
00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:35,639
any means. But I don't think he's going to be

356
00:16:35,919 --> 00:16:39,279
asked to hit a bunch of six five four irons

357
00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:42,559
this week either, So I like Knapp to do well

358
00:16:42,559 --> 00:16:44,440
this week. I think foury to one is a fair price.

359
00:16:44,519 --> 00:16:46,960
He didn't play last week. Top ten four to one

360
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:49,360
and Top twenty at two to one, I think are

361
00:16:49,399 --> 00:16:51,759
all pretty good. So I'm gonna go chick there.

362
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,120
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to players that can trip you up.

363
00:16:55,559 --> 00:16:57,519
This was a tough one to narrow it down because

364
00:16:57,559 --> 00:16:59,200
there's just not a lot of players that you would

365
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,840
one hundred percent completely trust. So I'm gonna pick some

366
00:17:02,879 --> 00:17:05,359
players that I think people might be wanting to play,

367
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,680
and I'm just gonna say, now, I wouldn't play that guy.

368
00:17:08,039 --> 00:17:11,400
We'll start with Tony Fow. There's a nick. You can

369
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,880
put this guy in the category of what happened yeah strong, yeah, strong?

370
00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:17,920
Course history here three yeah, three straight top ten, but

371
00:17:18,039 --> 00:17:21,920
his recent form is terrible, finished outside the top thirty

372
00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:25,920
four straight starts, has one top ten all season. Driver

373
00:17:26,079 --> 00:17:28,240
has been off. He's losing minus zero point three to

374
00:17:28,279 --> 00:17:31,519
two strokes off the tee. Putting's been terrible. It's always

375
00:17:31,519 --> 00:17:35,200
been his achilles heel. Course history is great, but the

376
00:17:35,279 --> 00:17:37,759
game is not sharp right now. And if you guys

377
00:17:37,799 --> 00:17:41,279
know me, I am much more concerned about current form

378
00:17:41,519 --> 00:17:44,599
than I am course history. So Tony Fow tops list

379
00:17:44,599 --> 00:17:47,480
of players that can trip you up. Davis Thompson, I

380
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,960
don't get being priced like a top eight player this week.

381
00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:54,200
He ranks outside the top thirty in total strokes gained

382
00:17:54,319 --> 00:17:58,319
in this field over the last thirty days. Best finished

383
00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:01,240
all year is just a single tenth place finish. Putter's

384
00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:04,240
been bad, losing minus zero point two to two strokes

385
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,440
over the last three weeks. Issue on a course where

386
00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,279
I believe that a hot putter is required to even

387
00:18:09,319 --> 00:18:12,440
get get to the weekend. So I think the price

388
00:18:12,519 --> 00:18:15,599
is saying, yeah, he's got upside, but he hasn't really

389
00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:18,119
shown it, so he's not gonna make any of my lineups.

390
00:18:18,599 --> 00:18:21,720
And then Wyndham Clark, this guy just pops up here

391
00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:25,079
and there. Fourth place finish at the Open Championship, but

392
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,759
this just feels like a big lettown spot. That was

393
00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:30,480
his best finish of the year. Now he's at a

394
00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:34,599
week field, what's his motivation. He's outside the top twenty

395
00:18:34,599 --> 00:18:37,279
five and total strokes gaining this field, priced like a

396
00:18:37,319 --> 00:18:41,160
top five contender, It just doesn't really add up. Consistency

397
00:18:41,279 --> 00:18:44,720
is not Wyndham Clark's strong point, so price doesn't match

398
00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:47,880
the profile. Easy, easy fade for me. I'll be happy

399
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:49,920
to get a head to head matchup against Wyndam Clark

400
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:52,240
with any guys, Like, give me a gotterr up over

401
00:18:52,279 --> 00:18:56,759
Wyndham Clark, give me Maverick O'Neill, Maverick McNeely over Wyndham Clark.

402
00:18:56,759 --> 00:18:58,839
I would love to get those head to head matchups

403
00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:02,319
all day long. Tony Now, Davis Thompson, and Wyndham Clark.

404
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:05,680
Three players that can trip you up. All right, let's

405
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,640
go to a worthy long shot in a field full

406
00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:11,640
of long shots. Nick, give us the one that's most

407
00:19:11,759 --> 00:19:12,920
most worthy of a sprinkle.

408
00:19:13,599 --> 00:19:15,680
Speaker 2: I just wanted to hit on your your players that

409
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:19,160
could trip you up. It's like the list is players

410
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:22,440
that have been featured in Full Swing, like an episode

411
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:24,039
of Full Swing, Like Tony fen Now had like an

412
00:19:24,039 --> 00:19:26,920
episode Dedicades, to see the Gala had an episode Dedicades.

413
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:29,440
I mean even Wyndam Clark had had one with its

414
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,160
like mental Coach or whatever. Now at least he's kind

415
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:33,480
of splashed back up. But it's like, if you're featured

416
00:19:33,519 --> 00:19:35,680
on Full Swing, your career is going backwards.

417
00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:38,519
Speaker 1: These are not going well.

418
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:44,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, the worthy long shot not that much longer of

419
00:19:44,319 --> 00:19:47,519
odds than my favorite with Jake nat But Jacob Bridgeman

420
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,359
seventy five or one I think is a great value

421
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,799
this week. And I say this a lot when we're

422
00:19:52,839 --> 00:19:54,640
looking at these type of events and these type events,

423
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:56,759
I mean, you know, usually weaker fields kind of like

424
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:59,799
you know, if anybody could almost win. You're looking for

425
00:19:59,839 --> 00:20:03,839
guy guys with see it like high ceilings, right, you

426
00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:07,319
joke Andy, when you're trying to pick like your DraftKings

427
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,680
darlings for examples, You're not gonna get guys that are saying, oh,

428
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,880
ten straight top twenty finishes, That's not the case. But

429
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:16,759
you're gonna get situations where oh he did splash here,

430
00:20:16,799 --> 00:20:18,640
he did splash here. Yeah, d a couple of misscuts,

431
00:20:19,279 --> 00:20:22,920
tough course, strong field, whatever. But Bridgeman has some very

432
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:27,960
high finishes this this year that I think is worth noting,

433
00:20:28,079 --> 00:20:30,880
and definitely at seventy five to one and plus six

434
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:32,920
fifty for a top ten, definitely worth playing. He's got

435
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:35,559
a tie for fifth at the John Deear, tie for

436
00:20:35,599 --> 00:20:38,279
fourth at the Truest, which was a signature event. Tough,

437
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,400
tough course, tough field tie for tenth of the Zurich

438
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,079
and I know that's a partner's event, but still solo

439
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:47,799
third at the Valas Bar, runner up at the Cognizant Classics.

440
00:20:47,799 --> 00:20:50,279
So I mean, we're talking about four top five finishes

441
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,359
this season, and you don't usually see that from guys

442
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,039
that are, you know, priced at this range. So his

443
00:20:56,119 --> 00:21:00,000
best asset is his putting. He ranks seventh and stroke

444
00:21:00,079 --> 00:21:02,559
skame cutting this season. I'm not just talking about the

445
00:21:02,759 --> 00:21:06,240
in this field. I'm talking about overall. Obviously that's very

446
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,160
important to making Bertie, which one we're assume you're going

447
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:09,839
to even make a lot of this this week. He

448
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,519
ranks twenty third on tour this year in Bertie average,

449
00:21:12,559 --> 00:21:14,559
So both good signs of somebody that can go low.

450
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:18,839
And like Nat Bridgeman two did not play last week,

451
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:21,480
which snapped a run of six straight starts, so I

452
00:21:21,519 --> 00:21:24,039
really do think having the week off will benefit him.

453
00:21:24,039 --> 00:21:28,000
But he can splash. He can roll the Rock seventy

454
00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:30,079
five to one. Yeah, I'll take a chance on that,

455
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,119
and to top ten plus six fifty again or five

456
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:35,880
top five finishes. I didn't put up the top five numbers,

457
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,240
but he's probably close to eleven or twelve to one

458
00:21:38,759 --> 00:21:40,640
for a top five if you really feel risky. But

459
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:42,240
I think Bridgmand's going to make some rests week.

460
00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:48,960
Speaker 1: All right, Jacob Bridgman, And yeah, you mentioned DraftKings Darlings. No,

461
00:21:49,039 --> 00:21:50,920
we're not going to get very many stats of guys

462
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:52,599
from the multiple top twenty.

463
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:56,039
Speaker 2: Played three times this year, right.

464
00:21:57,039 --> 00:22:02,799
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, the words corn fairy may pop up, so okay,

465
00:22:02,839 --> 00:22:05,920
so this is gonna blow your mind. Nick I finished

466
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:10,400
eleventh out of two hundred people last week, and I

467
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:14,000
did not have Scottie Scheffler in my lineup. That's how

468
00:22:14,039 --> 00:22:16,319
good all the That's how good all the other picks.

469
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,000
I think I was the only person in the top

470
00:22:18,039 --> 00:22:21,079
twenty in that tournament that did not have Scotti Scheffler.

471
00:22:21,519 --> 00:22:23,839
So it was a It was a great, great week

472
00:22:24,279 --> 00:22:29,599
of DFS. Matthew Fitzpatrick came through big clearly. All six

473
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,640
guys we got through. So all right, let's dig deep

474
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:37,160
here on Draft Kings Darlings. We're gonna start with our guy,

475
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:41,480
Hayden Springer at seven thousand. I think this might be

476
00:22:41,559 --> 00:22:45,400
my favorite Draft King Darlings. Seven straight made cuts. He's

477
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,000
gaining strokes off the tee and with the putter two

478
00:22:48,039 --> 00:22:50,400
areas that I think set up well for the course.

479
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:53,359
Deals only played this course one time, that was last

480
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,599
year he made the cut, so current form good enough

481
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,599
to make the cut. I've watched him make the cut

482
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,960
at this course last year, so looks like a strong

483
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,359
bet at seven thousand to put in your DFS lineups.

484
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,920
Bo Hostler, who pops up in this category every once

485
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,880
in a while, seventy one hundred trending in the right ways.

486
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,839
He's made the cut in seven straight tournaments and putting

487
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,440
so putting tee to green and off the tee much

488
00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:21,160
much better the last two months compared to the start

489
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,519
of the season. Maybe it's the different courses they play.

490
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,359
Maybe he's just got a lot more confidence. But recent

491
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:30,000
history is really really good. Course history is not that great,

492
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,079
but you're gonna have to p here, have to take

493
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,440
some risks in this category. So seventy one hundred really

494
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:38,440
really good blend of safety and upside for DFS. And

495
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,599
then our guy Kevin Roy, who's been good to us,

496
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,400
one of the most consistent performers as a Draftking Darling

497
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,240
made the cut nine of his last ten starts, gaining

498
00:23:46,279 --> 00:23:50,440
strokes in every major category. Off the tee approach around

499
00:23:50,519 --> 00:23:54,640
the green putting last three months, so kind of hard

500
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,480
to find a guy price like this. That's plus strokes

501
00:23:57,519 --> 00:24:00,279
gained in all the categories, so and he does have

502
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:02,640
upside as well. I think there's a chance that this

503
00:24:02,839 --> 00:24:06,039
guy like this could crack the top twenty. So Hayden Springer, Bohostler,

504
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,279
Kevin Roy, those are your draft kings, darlings, And as always,

505
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:12,240
free digital download is up at my profile page wt

506
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,240
dot buzz slash al That's where all golf picks for

507
00:24:15,319 --> 00:24:17,799
the week can be found. That's where all UFC picks

508
00:24:17,839 --> 00:24:20,039
can be found. That's where you can grab that special

509
00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:22,200
of Get August and get all of July for free.

510
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:23,880
But that this is a free digital download. You can

511
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,319
see my full dfs light up as well as write

512
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,519
ups on players that can trip you up, course history

513
00:24:28,839 --> 00:24:31,240
and more. Before we go, nick I wanted to get

514
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:37,279
your thoughts here. Scotty Scheffler to me is becoming one

515
00:24:37,319 --> 00:24:41,680
of the more intriguing like superstars in all of sports

516
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:44,799
just because of how ho hummy is. This outlook is

517
00:24:44,839 --> 00:24:47,920
completely different from everyone else, and so I was watching

518
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,359
a nash I like Colin Cowhart a lot I try

519
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,559
and catch a show whenever I can, and he tried

520
00:24:53,559 --> 00:24:55,680
to do a segment about Scotty Shuffler. And what's so

521
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:59,200
funny is the national media doesn't know how to talk

522
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:01,799
about him immediately. They just try to compare him to

523
00:25:01,799 --> 00:25:06,279
Tiger Woods, because Tiger Woods is interesting. I find Scotty

524
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:11,440
Scheffler weirdly intriguing just because he's so different like this

525
00:25:11,519 --> 00:25:16,799
guy is. He's openly said, I will just quit golf

526
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,240
if that becomes what I'm known at. This is the

527
00:25:19,319 --> 00:25:23,079
number one player on the planet, and everyone believes him,

528
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:24,799
all the other golfers. No hit, Yeah, he'll do that.

529
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,240
What's your take on Scotty Scheffler? Because he just ho

530
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,039
hums his way around the majors, laughing and yucking it

531
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:34,839
up with his caddie and then just gets done and

532
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,440
you never hear from again. And Jordan Speith had that quote.

533
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:41,319
He's like, no, Scotty doesn't do the corporate thing. He practices.

534
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,079
He plays and then he goes and hangs out with

535
00:25:43,079 --> 00:25:47,240
his family. And I find him weirdly intriguing. I'm fascinated

536
00:25:47,279 --> 00:25:49,000
by him. What's your take on Scotty Shuffler.

537
00:25:49,519 --> 00:25:52,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, it seems like and almost any sport one of

538
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:54,680
the you know, the best players in the sport are

539
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,519
going to have that attitude or kakus you know behind him,

540
00:25:57,519 --> 00:26:00,400
which he does not have. Yeah, he's a rare breed

541
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,599
to say I'm gonna go to golf for us work

542
00:26:02,599 --> 00:26:04,279
a little bit and I'm just gonna go home. Yeah,

543
00:26:04,279 --> 00:26:05,599
we're gonna go to the far now, I'm just gonna

544
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,599
go home. I'm gonna go hang. I mean maybe that's

545
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:11,480
changed with you know, his son obviously and maybe three

546
00:26:11,559 --> 00:26:14,920
years ago. But yeah, you think about Tiger like that,

547
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:16,759
and who knows what he was doing after golf, I mean,

548
00:26:16,799 --> 00:26:20,960
which blonde was it? Right? So, but totally different outlooking,

549
00:26:21,039 --> 00:26:23,519
and it's kind of weird to think. I mean when

550
00:26:23,519 --> 00:26:25,400
you talk about sports, to talk about champions, to talk

551
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,480
about Michael Jordan's or Kobe Bryants, you your Tiger Woods,

552
00:26:28,839 --> 00:26:33,400
the drives that these guys had to win, and the

553
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:37,519
emotion in the I guess what they showed during the games,

554
00:26:37,559 --> 00:26:40,920
after the games, before the games, like much different than

555
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,640
sky Shop. I'm in that interview. I'm sure everybody saw

556
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:45,440
that this week. You know, if I'm just like, I

557
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,200
don't know, it doesn't really do it for me anymore.

558
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,519
It's golf. I don't know what's not fulfilling? You know what?

559
00:26:50,839 --> 00:26:53,200
What am I really doing with my life is kind

560
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:56,039
of it's bizarre, to say the least. I don't know

561
00:26:56,039 --> 00:26:58,759
if that's like reverse psychology, right, Maybe there's a part

562
00:26:58,759 --> 00:27:00,240
of me that's like, you know what, I know what

563
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,400
he's doing. He's going the other way, So everybody else

564
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:04,400
is gonna be like, oh, Scotty doesn't care anymore. We're

565
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,200
gonna win, be no problem. I justly can't get a

566
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:11,880
take on him. There's a smidge of concern that I hope,

567
00:27:12,839 --> 00:27:15,319
uh he doesn't like that doesn't then just start to

568
00:27:15,319 --> 00:27:18,640
reflect in his his skills obviously, and and it goes

569
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:20,759
backward because you know, like a tiger always wanted to drive,

570
00:27:20,799 --> 00:27:22,480
to do the best and just wanted to continue to go, go,

571
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,319
go and win, win, win. Scotty wants to win, I suppose,

572
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:27,759
but that that little comment, that little bit of like,

573
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:29,960
do I really care? Is this really gonna do it?

574
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,200
Am I? Is this really gonna be what I'm remembered for?

575
00:27:32,319 --> 00:27:35,359
I guess it doesn't seem to be something that's with him,

576
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,039
So I hope for our sake and for his sake

577
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,599
that by goof and me listen, you can not like Scotty,

578
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:42,359
not like fact the new winds all the time. But

579
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,400
I like to watch greatness, right, and he's great, so

580
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,000
I respect everything he's doing on the course, and I

581
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,000
hope that attitude doesn't like you know.

582
00:27:50,759 --> 00:27:57,039
Speaker 1: He I mean, we we've now listen to the Tiger Woods outcome.

583
00:27:57,279 --> 00:27:59,839
You know, I don't think anybody really saw coming. But no,

584
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:02,160
there's a chance Scottie Sheffler plays for a few more

585
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,599
years and then we just never hear from him again.

586
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:07,759
Andrew Luck, Andrew Luck, like you're one of the great

587
00:28:07,759 --> 00:28:12,200
time quitting or there's a chancey he's the best player

588
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,599
on the plane it for ten more years if he

589
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,559
does find it feeling So I find it fascinating and

590
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,720
it has to just drive other professional golfers bonkers to

591
00:28:21,759 --> 00:28:23,920
be like, I work so hard on my game and

592
00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:27,559
this guy just comes out and is ripping off majors

593
00:28:27,599 --> 00:28:30,480
and wins like it's nothing and kind of openly doesn't

594
00:28:30,599 --> 00:28:32,880
really care about being known as a golfer. It's it's

595
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,960
got to be absolutely infuriating. But I find him really

596
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,319
really interesting. I know, I know, the casual national media doesn't.

597
00:28:39,319 --> 00:28:42,519
But when he walks around and just not a care

598
00:28:42,559 --> 00:28:45,640
in the world on the golf course, it's really really interesting.

599
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:47,799
Speaker 2: Thinking for a study for future years, that's for sure.

600
00:28:48,519 --> 00:28:52,480
Speaker 1: It really is, man, it really really is so very

601
00:28:52,559 --> 00:28:55,000
very fascinating. All right, that's gonna do it to us.

602
00:28:55,319 --> 00:28:57,160
Do it for tea time. Thank you so much, guys,

603
00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:58,960
and make sure you hit the like button. Leave us

604
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,440
comment in the comments sectually give us a name for

605
00:29:01,519 --> 00:29:04,519
this week that you like this fascinating tournament, so give

606
00:29:04,599 --> 00:29:06,559
us a name. See if we can get a long

607
00:29:06,599 --> 00:29:10,359
shot outright winner in the comments section below. And I

608
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,119
believe we're almost fifty people away from two hundred and

609
00:29:13,119 --> 00:29:16,039
ten thousand subscribers, so join the wager Talk family. You

610
00:29:16,039 --> 00:29:18,799
get notified when all of our videos are released, and

611
00:29:18,839 --> 00:29:20,920
you might as well subscribe now if you haven't. We

612
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:24,240
got football season right around the corner, so make sure

613
00:29:24,279 --> 00:29:26,359
you catch up on all these previews. We've got NFL

614
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:29,880
season win totals. College football previews are right around the corner,

615
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:31,960
so great time to join the wager Talk family and

616
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,519
subscribe to the channel. Thanks for joining us, Good lucking

617
00:29:34,559 --> 00:29:35,759
on your place and take care