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<v Speaker 1>Oh, the voices of reason, a voice in the dark, heard.

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<v Speaker 2>Daily exactly the things that need to be said.

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<v Speaker 3>Fifty five KRC the Talk Station.

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<v Speaker 1>It's eight oh six here at fifty five kr C

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<v Speaker 1>the Talk Station. Very happy Monday to you. Always money

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<v Speaker 1>Monday with Brian James, all the financials uh, Brian James

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<v Speaker 1>during the program every Monday to talk markets and talk

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<v Speaker 1>volatility and talk about four oh one k is. Welcome back,

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<v Speaker 1>Brian James. It's always a pleasure to having you on

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<v Speaker 1>the program. His microphones off, see if yes it is there?

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<v Speaker 1>Yes it was off. There you go.

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<v Speaker 3>I sure, yeah, and I was.

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<v Speaker 4>I was ready to roll, all ready to get our

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<v Speaker 4>Monday kicked off and I'm talking to myself. Apologies for

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<v Speaker 4>us some technical inaptitude here. Yes, another Monday, another discussion

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<v Speaker 4>of volatility and craziness and audio problems.

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<v Speaker 1>Coming off a week of vacation, I feel as though

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not firing on all cylinders. I like vacation. It's

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<v Speaker 1>like you need a vacation at your vacation, so you know. Anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>struggling to scoch myself this morning, but Mike's are on.

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<v Speaker 1>It's time to talk money matters. Let's talk about stock

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<v Speaker 1>market volatility. I no market genius, am I, Brian. That's

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<v Speaker 1>why I have someone managing my you know, my certified

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<v Speaker 1>financial planner managing my affairs. I don't want to have

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<v Speaker 1>to pay attention to it, but I have some general

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<v Speaker 1>understandings and things like that. But I get the impression

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<v Speaker 1>that the volatility in the market, and it has been

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<v Speaker 1>kind of up and down with all these talks about tariffs.

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<v Speaker 1>I just I just get the impression no one really

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<v Speaker 1>knows what they're gonna do these tariffs and how we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be dealing with it, or what is going to

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<v Speaker 1>emerge as a consequence of them. Will they stay around?

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<v Speaker 1>Will Donald Trump pull the plug on them? Is he

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<v Speaker 1>going to negotiate better deals with different countries? Is China

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<v Speaker 1>going to hold out? I mean, it's just seems to

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<v Speaker 1>me a whole lot of question mark swirling around it,

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<v Speaker 1>and that uncertainty of its in and of itself brings

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<v Speaker 1>around volatility. I suppose, doesn't it?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it does.

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<v Speaker 4>And I'm looking at what happened last week. My first

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<v Speaker 4>comment was going to be it was relatively quiet week,

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<v Speaker 4>but then I realized, no, it wasn't.

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<v Speaker 3>Hasn't been quiet week.

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<v Speaker 4>All year long, it's been nothing but chaos because we're

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<v Speaker 4>simply finding our way. You know, a quiet week simply

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<v Speaker 4>means the market bounced up and down violently, but then

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<v Speaker 4>kind of ended where it started, so there was no

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<v Speaker 4>you know, kind of week over week impacts. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 4>we have reached the stage. We know we're in chaos

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<v Speaker 4>right now. We know there's a there's change coming, and

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<v Speaker 4>we're we're under We're under a lot of it right now.

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<v Speaker 3>The market absolutely hates that.

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<v Speaker 4>It's not that, you know, we're gonna go over the

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<v Speaker 4>cliff and hit the bottom and it's going to be

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<v Speaker 4>the end and we're all gonna, you know, live in

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<v Speaker 4>caves and buy ammunition and grow corn for the rest

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<v Speaker 4>of our lives. It's that's not that's not where we are.

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<v Speaker 4>But the market is behaving the way it is because

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<v Speaker 4>it simply can't see. We're flailing around in the fog.

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<v Speaker 4>The market absolutely hates when it can't predict what's coming.

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<v Speaker 4>So therefore, what the market always wants to know. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>there are a number of earnings reports, for example, coming

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<v Speaker 4>this week from big companies like Verizon, AT and T,

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<v Speaker 4>P and G and some of the big names we

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<v Speaker 4>are going to be listening. What we're gonna focus on

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<v Speaker 4>this week is what are those companies saying in terms

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<v Speaker 4>of visibility. Doesn't really matter what they did in the

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<v Speaker 4>last quarter. We't care about that anymore. That's that's that's

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<v Speaker 4>over and done with. What are they What position are

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<v Speaker 4>they going to take over the next several months with

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<v Speaker 4>regards to tariffs? So, for example, if Procter and Gamble

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<v Speaker 4>manufacture stuff overseas and wants to move it from country

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<v Speaker 4>to country, what's the tariff going to be on the

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<v Speaker 4>day that that package of stuff arrives in whatever country

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<v Speaker 4>it's it's destined for. And we don't know that right

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<v Speaker 4>now because that literally changes that you as you just said,

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<v Speaker 4>that changes almost day to day anymore. The market absolutely

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<v Speaker 4>hates that because it cannot calculate what a successful transaction

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<v Speaker 4>should result in terms of profit. Therefore, we have these

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<v Speaker 4>violence wings back and forth for this wort.

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<v Speaker 1>The planning is, I mean, the markets, if there's if

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<v Speaker 1>you can count on something happening, even if like taxes

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<v Speaker 1>are going to increase, you know it's going to happen,

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<v Speaker 1>it's gonna be x. They can factor that in and

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<v Speaker 1>deal with it because there's some certainty into what's coming

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<v Speaker 1>in the future. It may not be as good. Financial

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<v Speaker 1>projections may not be as good, but at least they

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<v Speaker 1>can have some you know, sound ground upon which to

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<v Speaker 1>make these predictions and sort of plan their future. And

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<v Speaker 1>right now we're kind of like a ship without a rudder,

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<v Speaker 1>it seems.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, pretty much.

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<v Speaker 4>And that is there's so much history between when we

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<v Speaker 4>can say, okay, we know that P ANDNG, Google, Apple, whatever,

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<v Speaker 4>sold x number of units, and they normally have this

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<v Speaker 4>kind of a profit profit margin when they do those

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<v Speaker 4>kinds of things, So therefore the stocks should move like

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<v Speaker 4>this and we can kind of anticipate and that's what

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<v Speaker 4>analysts basically get paid to do. But right now that

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<v Speaker 4>profit margin is in question because because of all the

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<v Speaker 4>tariffs and all those kinds of things, what is the

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<v Speaker 4>dream going to be? And so what we're seeing is

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<v Speaker 4>it's an interesting divergence. I'm looking at a chart right

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<v Speaker 4>now just where everything is so prior to this week,

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<v Speaker 4>even the European, Far East and Asian stocks, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>which is basically the S and P five hundred of

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<v Speaker 4>the rest of the world. Last week they were down

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<v Speaker 4>about three four percent for the year, as we're sitting

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<v Speaker 4>here right now, Brian Thomas.

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<v Speaker 3>They're up about seven percent for the year.

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<v Speaker 4>Now, compare that with the Nasdaq, which still sits down

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<v Speaker 4>about sixteen percent, the S and P five hundreds down

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<v Speaker 4>ten and even the DALLA is down eight percent. So

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<v Speaker 4>the point of all that is there is volatility, but

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<v Speaker 4>that also means there's upside to it. The companies that

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<v Speaker 4>are doing the best are the ones that potentially have

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<v Speaker 4>an opportunity here. And we've talked about this before, but

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<v Speaker 4>there are probably some funds, hopefully some funds in your

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<v Speaker 4>portfolio that you haven't been paying attention to in years.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm speaking of the international stocks in the emerging markets,

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<v Speaker 4>which is which are more like the Brazil, India, China,

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<v Speaker 4>those kinds of things. We haven't talked about those countries

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<v Speaker 4>in a long long time, but they're all lining up

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<v Speaker 4>looking at this opportunity, watching the United States choose to

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<v Speaker 4>fight with its customers, and they're looking for opportunities to

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<v Speaker 4>create new markets where for those countries there wasn't one before.

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<v Speaker 4>And so that's why the market is sensing that, hey,

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<v Speaker 4>these companies that maybe weren't as big as players as

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<v Speaker 4>they were in the past may now have a great opportunity.

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<v Speaker 4>That's why they're up seven percent. So if you have

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<v Speaker 4>a properly diversified portfolio, you really shouldn't be getting killed.

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<v Speaker 4>If you're down fifteen to twenty percent, then my guess

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<v Speaker 4>has been you've been chasing technology for the last fifteen

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<v Speaker 4>years and it's coming around to bite you in the

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<v Speaker 4>rear end.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, there's I mean, there's opportunity built in a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of this, and I mean, depending on where you look.

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<v Speaker 1>If you read the Wall Street Journal, we're all going

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<v Speaker 1>to die because tariff suck. And that's just the general

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<v Speaker 1>impression that they have. But there's been a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>sort of bright spots in this that major companies, multi

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollar companies are planning on building here and moving

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<v Speaker 1>production here. Like for example, there's a terrible situation going

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<v Speaker 1>if you haven't read about it, between China and Taiwan,

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<v Speaker 1>and it looks like, you know, China's going to invade

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<v Speaker 1>any moment, at least it's always seen that way for

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<v Speaker 1>the past couple of years. But all the major ship

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<v Speaker 1>production is being done in Taiwan. Sounds to me like

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<v Speaker 1>going to start bringing chip production here to the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>So ultimately we can benefit by this. It's not going

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<v Speaker 1>to be immediate. We're gonna have to wait for it

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<v Speaker 1>because you just don't create a chip factory overnight. But

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<v Speaker 1>if we ultimately, you know, have some domestics apply for

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<v Speaker 1>some things that we haven't had for a long time,

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<v Speaker 1>isn't that ultimately good for us over the long term.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And that is the hope. And some of that

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<v Speaker 3>was rolling forward.

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<v Speaker 4>There are two chip factories southeast of Columbus that are

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<v Speaker 4>that are under construction. Unfortunately that hit there recently, that

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<v Speaker 4>hit the news hit not too long ago. That Intel,

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<v Speaker 4>who was behind that, is coming on some hard times,

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<v Speaker 4>partially because of the technology that they provide. Uh that

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<v Speaker 4>another chip company a m D has maybe has some

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<v Speaker 4>better ideas in that space. And that news hit at

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<v Speaker 4>an unfortunate time a couple of maybe a year year

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<v Speaker 4>and a half ago where that started to come to light.

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<v Speaker 4>And so those two plants are sometimes in question. I

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<v Speaker 4>cannot imagine they're going to walk away from them in mothballum,

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<v Speaker 4>but they're not as moving forward with as much gusto

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<v Speaker 4>as they originally were. But that all came from the

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<v Speaker 4>original idea. It originally started with national security. We can't

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<v Speaker 4>keep buying chips from overseas, uh, not knowing exactly what

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<v Speaker 4>our what our enemies speaking specifically of China are putting

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<v Speaker 4>into those chips fluids that they have, and if they

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<v Speaker 4>managed to take over Taiwan, like you were just hinting, well,

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<v Speaker 4>that's where most of the chips come from anyway, from

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<v Speaker 4>Taiwan's semiconductor although some of the plants are here in

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<v Speaker 4>the United States as well. But yes, that is definitely

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<v Speaker 4>one of the goals. It's not going to happen overnight.

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<v Speaker 4>And when we've got interest rates bouncing around, inflation and

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<v Speaker 4>tariffs and all that kind of stuff, companies are going

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<v Speaker 4>to be hesitant to make such a massive, massive investment

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<v Speaker 4>to bring one of these huge plants online in the

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<v Speaker 4>United States. If they were turned the first shovel full

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<v Speaker 4>of dirt over today, it would probably be three years

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<v Speaker 4>before they could start producing something with any kind of regularity.

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<v Speaker 4>So we need some clarity here.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, definitely need some clarity, and it doesn't look like

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be coming any times. H We demand

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<v Speaker 1>instant answers and instant gratification even in the markets, and

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<v Speaker 1>quite awful, we don't get that. We're going to find

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<v Speaker 1>out if we should be looking at our four oh

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<v Speaker 1>one cas Is this a good buying opportunity notwithstandard of volatility?

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<v Speaker 1>And we'll talk about the FED and which direction the

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<v Speaker 1>rates are going to go more with Brian James after

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<v Speaker 1>a quick word here for Affordable Imaging Services, got my

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<v Speaker 1>CT scan a couple weeks ago. Well that's actually diden

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<v Speaker 1>more than a couple weeks. But you know, everything went great.

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<v Speaker 1>The CT scan and Affordable Imaging Services was great. My

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<v Speaker 1>doctor read it and interpreted it, and while my lift

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<v Speaker 1>notes did grow a little bit, not so much that

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<v Speaker 1>I need to get treatment. So overall the results were good.

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<v Speaker 1>But my point is with Affordable Imaging Services, I paid

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<v Speaker 1>a mere fraction for that CT scan, which could have

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<v Speaker 1>set me back five grand. At a hospital you get

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<v Speaker 1>a CT scan without a contrast for four hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>fifty bucks at Affordable Imaging Services six hundred with a contrast.

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<v Speaker 1>Every image at Affordable Imaging Services comes with at board

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<v Speaker 1>certified radiologists report, which again my doctor had no problem with.

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<v Speaker 1>Just nice echo cardiogram. Sure, wait around a month maybe

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<v Speaker 1>more to get in the hospital echo cardiogram department. How

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<v Speaker 1>about not get you right in and affordable imaging services

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<v Speaker 1>where without an enhancement, so only going to set you

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<v Speaker 1>back five hundred dollars eight hundred bucks. With an enhancement. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>they can act quickly and get you right in CT scans.

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<v Speaker 1>MRIs alter sounds just save yourself a heapload of money.

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<v Speaker 1>Exercise your choice when it comes to your medical care,

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<v Speaker 1>you have it five one three seven, five three eight

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and five one three seven, five three eight thousand.

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<v Speaker 1>To learn more about affordable imaging services check them out

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<v Speaker 1>online Affordable Medimaging dot com.

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<v Speaker 3>Fifty five KRC four.

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<v Speaker 1>Eight nineteen I fifty about KRC DE Talk Station Money

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<v Speaker 1>Monday with Brian James, Thanks to all with financial loaning

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<v Speaker 1>them out for a few segments here every Monday and

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<v Speaker 1>pivoting over. We talked about market volatility. I understand why

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<v Speaker 1>it's there, but obviously market volatility impacts our four to

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<v Speaker 1>oh one K. And something I never do is check

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<v Speaker 1>where my four oh one K is at least you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with the exception of my twice annual visits with my

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<v Speaker 1>financial planner. I mean, I lived through the COVID nineteen downturn.

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<v Speaker 1>I saw at one point how much I lost and

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<v Speaker 1>lo and behold, if you wait around long enough, it

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<v Speaker 1>all comes back and then you end up having more,

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<v Speaker 1>which is exactly what happened with me. So I like

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<v Speaker 1>to avoid the headache and the heartburn and everything might

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<v Speaker 1>go along with it, because you know, until you sell,

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<v Speaker 1>you haven't really made or lost, right Brian, So should

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<v Speaker 1>we be looking at our four o one k balances?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Well, hopefully you're looking at it and seeing that

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<v Speaker 4>it's not as bad as you thought it was going

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<v Speaker 4>to be. And the reason I say that is because

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<v Speaker 4>hopefully this isn't the first time you've looked at it.

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<v Speaker 3>So if you're doing things the.

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<v Speaker 4>Right way, and you have looked at what your ultimate

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<v Speaker 4>goals are and you understand some market history, then hopefully

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<v Speaker 4>that decision resulted in a diversified portfolio that owns just

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<v Speaker 4>a little bit of everything. Yeah, every four to oh

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<v Speaker 4>and k out there has enough where you can build

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<v Speaker 4>a set it and forget it type of a portfolio

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<v Speaker 4>and do just what Brian Thomas is doing, which is

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<v Speaker 4>look at it a couple times a year. It's not

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<v Speaker 4>money that you're gonna need tomorrow. If that is the case,

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<v Speaker 4>then you already screwed up before four oh one k

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<v Speaker 4>is your only source of wealth.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a problem.

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<v Speaker 4>That means you have no cash, you got no oil

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<v Speaker 4>in the engine, and that kind of thing. This should

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<v Speaker 4>be the money that's out there for at least five, ten,

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<v Speaker 4>even fifteen years to help you fight off inflation. And

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<v Speaker 4>if you look at any chart, any chart of the

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<v Speaker 4>stock market over the last thirty years, then you will

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<v Speaker 4>notice it goes one direction. That direction is up. However,

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<v Speaker 4>we have our little head fakes every now and then.

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<v Speaker 4>I remember when I first started in this industry was

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<v Speaker 4>nineteen ninety seven, and the Russian ruble collapsed in ninety eight,

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<v Speaker 4>and then we had something called long Term Capital's a

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<v Speaker 4>hedge fund that collapsed. I remember thinking, in my youthful stupidity,

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<v Speaker 4>oh my gosh, this time it's different. I'm special, I'm

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<v Speaker 4>scared now, so now this one counts and the end

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<v Speaker 4>it doesn't matter. It's just a reshuffling of the deck

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<v Speaker 4>and different leaders will take the move to the forefront.

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<v Speaker 4>Shortly after that, we had the huge technology boom. All

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<v Speaker 4>of it became a catalyst. Whenever there's some kind of

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<v Speaker 4>panic in the market, somebody takes advantage of the opportunity

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<v Speaker 4>to drive things further. As we hinted out in the

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<v Speaker 4>earlier segment, right now it appears to be the international

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<v Speaker 4>stocks are going to take the lead for a while.

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<v Speaker 4>So far, that's been the case. If you don't own any,

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<v Speaker 4>it's not helping you, and you will feel targeted by

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<v Speaker 4>the market.

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<v Speaker 3>Market doesn't care about you.

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<v Speaker 4>It only cares about what it can see forward, and

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<v Speaker 4>right now that's not very much.

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<v Speaker 3>So make sure that.

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<v Speaker 4>Your portfolio is at least spread out across these different

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<v Speaker 4>things so that as things have been flow, you'll benefit

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<v Speaker 4>from it, but you don't take it on the chin

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<v Speaker 4>if something completely falls apart.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and there's you know, conservative investing, and then there's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, riskier investing. You know, obviously with risk you're investing.

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<v Speaker 1>The idea of getting a bigger return is always there.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, every time I meet with financial plan, there's

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<v Speaker 1>always that one fund like twenty five percent return. You're like,

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<v Speaker 1>damn it, I wish I had put more in there

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<v Speaker 1>in that one, because look this one over here only

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<v Speaker 1>got me four percent return. How often should we be

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<v Speaker 1>adjusting the different funds that we're in or is that

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<v Speaker 1>something that we shouldn't be doing? Very often? Does depend

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<v Speaker 1>on where we are in our life close to retirement.

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<v Speaker 1>What's the story on that?

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<v Speaker 3>Right? Yeah, great question.

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<v Speaker 4>So how often if I shouldn't be in there every

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<v Speaker 4>day goof around with it, well, then should I never

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<v Speaker 4>look at it?

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<v Speaker 3>Now?

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<v Speaker 4>The answer the answer to that is I'd say maybe

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<v Speaker 4>maybe once a year to really get under the hood

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<v Speaker 4>and make sure that you have what you need. Generally speaking,

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<v Speaker 4>once properly diverse byed, a four to h one K

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<v Speaker 4>will usually pretty much stay in balance.

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<v Speaker 3>By the way, four oh one K four oh three B.

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<v Speaker 4>You might have a sep ira whatever, which we're referring

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<v Speaker 4>to your employer retirement plan that you were probably putting

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<v Speaker 4>money into every week, every two weeks, every month, or

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<v Speaker 4>however often you get paid. That inflow, that constant inflow

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00:14:17.159 --> 00:14:19.720
<v Speaker 4>of cash tends to keep it in balance. If you

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<v Speaker 4>balanced it once, you know, a year ago, and you

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<v Speaker 4>put a bunch of money in, left it alone, it's

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<v Speaker 4>probably still reasonably in bounced. I'm not talking about the

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<v Speaker 4>you know, the dollar amount. The dollar amount could actually

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<v Speaker 4>be down of course because of where the market is.

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<v Speaker 4>But I'm talking about the different sizes of the various

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<v Speaker 4>positions you hold in that retirement plan. That constant inflow

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<v Speaker 4>from payroll tends to keep the whole thing in balance,

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<v Speaker 4>because if something's taking a beating, then it meaning it's

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<v Speaker 4>down more than everything else in the portfolio. Well, you've

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<v Speaker 4>just bought more shares of it because you have put

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<v Speaker 4>the same fixed dollar amount in every pay period as

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<v Speaker 4>you've been doing for years. So that tends to again

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<v Speaker 4>keep it in bounce. So it shouldn't be too far

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<v Speaker 4>out of whack now. On the other hand, if you

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<v Speaker 4>notice that it is way out of balance, I would

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<v Speaker 4>really be looking under the hood for how did that happen?

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<v Speaker 4>And it's not so much about what do I have

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<v Speaker 4>to fix right now. It's more about, Okay, let's the

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<v Speaker 4>next time we go through a crazy cycle like this,

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<v Speaker 4>and granted we're in the middle of this one, but

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<v Speaker 4>the next time it comes around, how should I make

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<v Speaker 4>some changes now so that I don't hit that roller

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<v Speaker 4>coaster later. And it's not about never losing. That's one

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<v Speaker 4>of the guarantees that want to give everybody, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>as a financial planner with something I guarantee my clients Occasionally,

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<v Speaker 4>you're gonna lose money.

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<v Speaker 3>We're gonna lose your money. It's the reality of it.

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<v Speaker 4>My job is to help you navigate through that and

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<v Speaker 4>not avoid it, because there's no such thing. So be

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<v Speaker 4>prepared for that. Learn your history, and then understand the

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<v Speaker 4>levers you need to pull inside your flour one k

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<v Speaker 4>to make sure it doesn't sink your ship.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, well, let's pause. We'll bring Brian James back

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<v Speaker 1>for one more. We'll talk about FED rates and whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not this represents a buying opportunity right now. I

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<v Speaker 1>also want to address the subject matter of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>having money in bonds was always like the conservative, really

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<v Speaker 1>safe place to keep your money, not as high an

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<v Speaker 1>interest return as that in stocks. But you know, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>wondering where we are relative to the bond market considering

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<v Speaker 1>the volatility and all the craziness going on in the world. Pause,

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<v Speaker 1>one more segment with Brian James. It's a twenty five

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<v Speaker 1>at fifty five krs the talk station. You know, whether

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<v Speaker 1>they're buying an a home refinanciing your existing Morgin mortgage.

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<v Speaker 1>You have the best possible person when you're working with

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<v Speaker 1>Suzette Low's Camp across Country Mortgage. She can and will

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<v Speaker 1>help you, and she's quick about getting back. You'll give

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<v Speaker 1>your contact information moment, but personal service. You can't get

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<v Speaker 1>better service. My daughter experienced this, and I love mentioning

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<v Speaker 1>that because she was working with a bank and they

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<v Speaker 1>were slow and they weren't responsive, and I said, here,

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<v Speaker 1>call this number, and within two days they had financing

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<v Speaker 1>for their home. And she loved working with Susette. She sais,

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<v Speaker 1>Oh my god, she was so helpful and so nice.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm like, exactly right. That's why I'm so pleased to

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<v Speaker 1>speak with her, and that's why I'm recommending her to you,

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<v Speaker 1>my daughter, my precious daughter. So I'm recommendator to my daughter.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, you can safely give sus A Low's Camp

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<v Speaker 1>a call and they have a special thing, and I

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<v Speaker 1>really appreciate mentioning this that they've got it. Cross country

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<v Speaker 1>mortgage Line of Duty death Beneditt but benefit for first

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<v Speaker 1>responders one time benefit covers your outstanding mortgage balance up

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<v Speaker 1>to five hundred and twenty five thousand dollars should you

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<v Speaker 1>follow the line of duty and cause. Suzette can give

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<v Speaker 1>you all the details on that and every other program

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<v Speaker 1>that's out there for reverse mortgage options, fixed second mortgage,

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00:17:12.759 --> 00:17:16.400
<v Speaker 1>cash out options, lines of credit, one stop shopping, best

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<v Speaker 1>customer service in the business, and every state in the Union,

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<v Speaker 1>plus my friends in Puerto Rico. You can contact her

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<v Speaker 1>because she's licensed being with Cross Country Mortgage in all

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<v Speaker 1>those states five one three three one three fifty one

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<v Speaker 1>seventy six five one three three one three fifty one

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<v Speaker 1>seventy six. Email or she'll get right back with you

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<v Speaker 1>any way you get in touch with her. Suzette dot

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<v Speaker 1>Low's Camp los Ekamp Suzette dot Low's Camp at CCM.

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<v Speaker 3>Dot com fifty five KRC this.

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<v Speaker 1>General one on the time. Got a ready to move

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<v Speaker 1>out by noon if you got any maybe partly cloudy

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<v Speaker 1>day to day with a highest seventy three down to

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<v Speaker 1>forty eight, to night with some clouds. Partly cloudy date

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<v Speaker 1>tomorrow with the highest seventy one, a few clouds over

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<v Speaker 1>night down to fifty and seventy eight the high on

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<v Speaker 1>Wednesday along with partly clotti skies are.

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<v Speaker 3>Now sixty nine.

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<v Speaker 1>Time for traffic.

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<v Speaker 3>From the UCL Traffic Center right. You see health.

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<v Speaker 2>You'll find comprehensive care that's so personal it makes your

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00:18:08.680 --> 00:18:12.880
<v Speaker 2>best tomorrow possible. That's boundless care from better outcomes. Expect

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00:18:12.880 --> 00:18:15.440
<v Speaker 2>more and you see help dot com. Cruz continue to

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<v Speaker 2>work for the wreck inbound seventy four above Montana tramping

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<v Speaker 2>slows a bit to get buy. They're on the right

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<v Speaker 2>southbound seventy five. Frank glides through Lachland northbound seventy five.

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<v Speaker 2>Much improved out of aero banger into town. Just a

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<v Speaker 2>couple of extra minutes needed. Chuck Ingram on fifty five

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<v Speaker 2>care see the talk station.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a thirty fifty five pair CD talk station. Very

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<v Speaker 1>Happy Monday to you one more with Brian James doing

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<v Speaker 1>that money Monday thing. In terms of buying opportunity, I

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<v Speaker 1>would think, you know, if you're investing for the long term,

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<v Speaker 1>it's always a buying opportunity where the market's up or

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<v Speaker 1>down as long as you get your money invested. So

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<v Speaker 1>what's the story now with this volatility? And I guess

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<v Speaker 1>leading us to a conversation about which direction the Fed

422
00:18:58.400 --> 00:19:00.079
<v Speaker 1>is going to go with rate? And then my question

423
00:19:00.160 --> 00:19:03.640
<v Speaker 1>about bonds always the safest investment, but is that always

424
00:19:03.640 --> 00:19:05.559
<v Speaker 1>going to be the case. We got all these international

425
00:19:05.599 --> 00:19:07.960
<v Speaker 1>trade disputes going on in China owns a lot of

426
00:19:08.000 --> 00:19:09.839
<v Speaker 1>our debt in the form of bonds, and what if

427
00:19:09.839 --> 00:19:11.440
<v Speaker 1>they quit, you know, buying them.

428
00:19:13.039 --> 00:19:15.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there are lots of concerns out there, and we

429
00:19:15.480 --> 00:19:17.240
<v Speaker 4>are kind of shuffling the decks in terms of what

430
00:19:17.279 --> 00:19:20.200
<v Speaker 4>we what we view as risky versus not. But to

431
00:19:20.240 --> 00:19:23.000
<v Speaker 4>address your first question, yeah, I'm not a believer at all,

432
00:19:23.119 --> 00:19:26.519
<v Speaker 4>Brian in market timing. And so when we say is

433
00:19:26.559 --> 00:19:28.200
<v Speaker 4>this a buying opportunity? Should I put some of my

434
00:19:28.240 --> 00:19:30.559
<v Speaker 4>cash to work? My first question to that person is

435
00:19:30.559 --> 00:19:32.400
<v Speaker 4>going to be, well, what has your cash been doing?

436
00:19:32.559 --> 00:19:34.599
<v Speaker 4>Have you been sitting on a pile of cash waiting

437
00:19:34.640 --> 00:19:35.559
<v Speaker 4>for for this?

438
00:19:35.960 --> 00:19:37.920
<v Speaker 3>You know? If so, then yeah, absolutely put it to work.

439
00:19:37.920 --> 00:19:39.799
<v Speaker 4>But I'd have told you that in December two before

440
00:19:39.839 --> 00:19:41.880
<v Speaker 4>we kind of hit the skits, because again, I don't

441
00:19:41.920 --> 00:19:43.559
<v Speaker 4>believe in market timing at all. You can be right

442
00:19:43.640 --> 00:19:45.599
<v Speaker 4>nine times in a row and be wrong the tenth time.

443
00:19:45.720 --> 00:19:48.079
<v Speaker 4>You go right back to the beginning. So what I

444
00:19:48.119 --> 00:19:50.519
<v Speaker 4>will throw out there, Brian, though, is this can be

445
00:19:50.960 --> 00:19:53.640
<v Speaker 4>just to kind of think a little differently about this

446
00:19:53.920 --> 00:19:56.680
<v Speaker 4>a buying opportunity, yes, but also for some people in

447
00:19:56.920 --> 00:20:00.079
<v Speaker 4>the right situation, it could be a conversion opportunity. And

448
00:20:00.079 --> 00:20:01.519
<v Speaker 4>what I'm getting at there is if you have a

449
00:20:01.599 --> 00:20:03.880
<v Speaker 4>huge pile of money on your pre tax side, your

450
00:20:03.880 --> 00:20:06.279
<v Speaker 4>four oh one K, your iras, the traditional side of

451
00:20:06.319 --> 00:20:08.519
<v Speaker 4>things that has never been taxed before, but is going

452
00:20:08.599 --> 00:20:10.119
<v Speaker 4>to get the daylights kicked out of it by the

453
00:20:10.119 --> 00:20:12.640
<v Speaker 4>time you reach age seventy three to seventy five, depending

454
00:20:12.640 --> 00:20:15.240
<v Speaker 4>on how old you are now. Then this, while the

455
00:20:15.240 --> 00:20:17.440
<v Speaker 4>market is down, can be a great time to go

456
00:20:17.480 --> 00:20:20.480
<v Speaker 4>ahead and take some of that cash and pay taxes

457
00:20:20.480 --> 00:20:24.880
<v Speaker 4>with it, convert your traditional IRA to ROTH, and from

458
00:20:24.880 --> 00:20:26.960
<v Speaker 4>then on, as we recover, from then on, those gains

459
00:20:27.000 --> 00:20:28.839
<v Speaker 4>are going to be tax free. You're going to reduce

460
00:20:28.839 --> 00:20:31.680
<v Speaker 4>your require minimum distributions, You're going to reduce the tax

461
00:20:31.720 --> 00:20:33.920
<v Speaker 4>hit down the road. So on one hand, yeah, when

462
00:20:33.960 --> 00:20:35.839
<v Speaker 4>the market's down, is it a buying opportunity. Yeah, that's

463
00:20:35.839 --> 00:20:37.839
<v Speaker 4>pretty much always the case, because eventually it turns around

464
00:20:37.839 --> 00:20:38.400
<v Speaker 4>goes back up.

465
00:20:38.559 --> 00:20:39.799
<v Speaker 3>But I think what people need to be.

466
00:20:39.759 --> 00:20:43.240
<v Speaker 4>Looking at more is not only you know, for buying opportunities,

467
00:20:43.279 --> 00:20:46.359
<v Speaker 4>but can I rearrange my tax situation? How what's in

468
00:20:46.400 --> 00:20:49.440
<v Speaker 4>this opportunity for me to kind of benefit and again

469
00:20:49.519 --> 00:20:51.480
<v Speaker 4>never pay taxes again. There's a lot of moving parts

470
00:20:51.519 --> 00:20:53.880
<v Speaker 4>to that, but I think that's something that this generation

471
00:20:53.960 --> 00:20:55.839
<v Speaker 4>of retirees ought to start to learn more about.

472
00:20:56.440 --> 00:20:59.119
<v Speaker 1>Is there any limitation to converting to roth? I mean

473
00:20:59.160 --> 00:21:02.559
<v Speaker 1>like financial citations or earnings or anything like that, or

474
00:21:02.599 --> 00:21:04.240
<v Speaker 1>is just something that anybody can do.

475
00:21:05.240 --> 00:21:06.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's the great thing about it.

476
00:21:06.680 --> 00:21:09.519
<v Speaker 4>So what we tend to think about raw of iras

477
00:21:09.519 --> 00:21:12.480
<v Speaker 4>as being somewhat limited because I can only make so

478
00:21:12.599 --> 00:21:15.400
<v Speaker 4>much money to contribute. However, that is not the case

479
00:21:15.440 --> 00:21:19.039
<v Speaker 4>when it comes to converting. A conversion is not a contribution.

480
00:21:19.480 --> 00:21:22.559
<v Speaker 4>Conversion means I'm taking money that is already inside of

481
00:21:22.599 --> 00:21:25.720
<v Speaker 4>an IRA and I'm converting it from the pre tax

482
00:21:25.720 --> 00:21:27.839
<v Speaker 4>side to the raw side. There is no income limit.

483
00:21:28.039 --> 00:21:29.640
<v Speaker 4>The only thing you got to deal with is what

484
00:21:30.200 --> 00:21:32.480
<v Speaker 4>are the taxes that you'll pay. You have to take

485
00:21:32.519 --> 00:21:35.519
<v Speaker 4>that conversion amount added to your other sources income.

486
00:21:35.720 --> 00:21:37.119
<v Speaker 3>You also want to be careful.

487
00:21:37.200 --> 00:21:38.960
<v Speaker 4>You know, if you're close to Medicare age, then it

488
00:21:39.000 --> 00:21:42.599
<v Speaker 4>could factor into driving your Medicare premiums a little higher.

489
00:21:42.599 --> 00:21:44.400
<v Speaker 4>But a married couple can get up to two hundred

490
00:21:44.400 --> 00:21:47.160
<v Speaker 4>and ten thousand dollars of income before that's an issue.

491
00:21:47.359 --> 00:21:50.240
<v Speaker 4>Single person one hundred thousand dollars. But if you've got

492
00:21:50.240 --> 00:21:52.640
<v Speaker 4>the ability to do that, it can't even be worth

493
00:21:52.680 --> 00:21:54.759
<v Speaker 4>taking that hit. When you look at the fifteen to

494
00:21:54.759 --> 00:21:56.599
<v Speaker 4>twenty year impact of a decision, like this.

495
00:21:57.160 --> 00:21:59.079
<v Speaker 1>All right now, pivoting over before we part company to

496
00:21:59.160 --> 00:22:03.680
<v Speaker 1>day Brian James fed interest rates, which were you sensing

497
00:22:03.920 --> 00:22:05.519
<v Speaker 1>the direction are going to go? They're going to remains

498
00:22:05.599 --> 00:22:07.759
<v Speaker 1>the same, go up, go down. Where are we on that?

499
00:22:08.599 --> 00:22:11.240
<v Speaker 4>So yeah, as of right now, so fed FET Chair

500
00:22:11.240 --> 00:22:13.200
<v Speaker 4>Powell talked last week and said the Federal Reserve is

501
00:22:13.240 --> 00:22:14.880
<v Speaker 4>going to stand down in any rate moves for the

502
00:22:14.880 --> 00:22:18.240
<v Speaker 4>time being again waiting for greater, greater clarity was the

503
00:22:18.599 --> 00:22:20.519
<v Speaker 4>quote that he used. So we've been talking about that

504
00:22:20.599 --> 00:22:22.680
<v Speaker 4>all morning. He's got the same problem that we do.

505
00:22:22.799 --> 00:22:24.559
<v Speaker 4>We simply can't see that far into the future.

506
00:22:25.799 --> 00:22:27.960
<v Speaker 1>Well, are there any reports coming out and that might

507
00:22:28.079 --> 00:22:30.279
<v Speaker 1>shed some light on which direction they're going to go,

508
00:22:30.319 --> 00:22:31.759
<v Speaker 1>because I think a lot of people are looking for

509
00:22:31.799 --> 00:22:35.759
<v Speaker 1>a little relief in terms of like home mortgage interest rates.

510
00:22:36.680 --> 00:22:38.440
<v Speaker 4>Right so that that's where we would want to see it.

511
00:22:38.440 --> 00:22:42.400
<v Speaker 4>But unfortunately consumers are still spending. We really haven't, you know,

512
00:22:42.440 --> 00:22:44.440
<v Speaker 4>we're still in the same mode that we were before.

513
00:22:44.880 --> 00:22:47.759
<v Speaker 4>And so right now the Chair Powell is not seeing

514
00:22:47.799 --> 00:22:52.119
<v Speaker 4>a reason to put another cut in place because because

515
00:22:52.119 --> 00:22:54.200
<v Speaker 4>of the clarity, he can't see in the future any

516
00:22:54.240 --> 00:22:58.119
<v Speaker 4>further than we can. And the idea that I believe

517
00:22:58.200 --> 00:23:00.519
<v Speaker 4>underlying all this is his concern that in is going

518
00:23:00.559 --> 00:23:03.079
<v Speaker 4>to come back quickly if we drop interest rates because

519
00:23:03.119 --> 00:23:05.960
<v Speaker 4>we simply seem to have that that that ability still

520
00:23:06.359 --> 00:23:08.680
<v Speaker 4>to run the economy a little faster than it should

521
00:23:08.720 --> 00:23:11.400
<v Speaker 4>be whenever there's an opportunity such as lower interest rates,

522
00:23:11.440 --> 00:23:14.119
<v Speaker 4>and he does not want inflation to come roaring back.

523
00:23:14.559 --> 00:23:17.319
<v Speaker 3>Uh. You know, despite what the President says, President doesn't

524
00:23:17.359 --> 00:23:18.039
<v Speaker 3>like him a whole lot.

525
00:23:18.039 --> 00:23:19.599
<v Speaker 4>But it's not going to be very easy for for

526
00:23:19.599 --> 00:23:22.839
<v Speaker 4>Trump to do anything directly with Powell. But at this

527
00:23:22.960 --> 00:23:25.359
<v Speaker 4>point we're kind of in a holding pattern unfortunately.

528
00:23:25.480 --> 00:23:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Well, and going back to our initial conversation about tariffs

529
00:23:28.440 --> 00:23:31.960
<v Speaker 1>that they may very well have an inflationary impact just

530
00:23:32.039 --> 00:23:34.519
<v Speaker 1>in and of themselves, regardless of you know, simple laws

531
00:23:34.519 --> 00:23:36.079
<v Speaker 1>of supply and demand. If you're going to tear if

532
00:23:36.160 --> 00:23:38.680
<v Speaker 1>something it's going to go up in price, yeah, that

533
00:23:38.799 --> 00:23:41.519
<v Speaker 1>that's you know, we're simply layering more cost onto something.

534
00:23:41.799 --> 00:23:44.000
<v Speaker 1>And you know we we can't view this. We're going

535
00:23:44.079 --> 00:23:46.480
<v Speaker 1>to make these other countries pay these terarffs. Well, that's

536
00:23:46.519 --> 00:23:47.440
<v Speaker 1>just not how it works.

537
00:23:47.480 --> 00:23:50.599
<v Speaker 4>That's like saying, you know, a landlord is or a

538
00:23:50.680 --> 00:23:53.759
<v Speaker 4>landlord is simply going to eat the increase in property taxes.

539
00:23:53.799 --> 00:23:54.160
<v Speaker 3>No they're not.

540
00:23:54.160 --> 00:23:56.519
<v Speaker 4>They're going to increase the rents on their renters. It

541
00:23:56.519 --> 00:23:58.799
<v Speaker 4>all gets passed down to the consumer. That's the difference

542
00:23:58.839 --> 00:24:01.400
<v Speaker 4>between a consumer and a produce. Consumer is at the

543
00:24:01.400 --> 00:24:03.240
<v Speaker 4>bottom of the pile and has to eat whatever the

544
00:24:03.319 --> 00:24:06.160
<v Speaker 4>changes are. Ultimately, now those companies can be hurt one

545
00:24:06.160 --> 00:24:08.799
<v Speaker 4>way or another because they, you know, maybe consumers look

546
00:24:08.839 --> 00:24:10.960
<v Speaker 4>the other way, look for different opportunities. And that goes

547
00:24:11.000 --> 00:24:14.640
<v Speaker 4>back to what we were saying before about international stocks outperforming.

548
00:24:14.680 --> 00:24:17.119
<v Speaker 4>There are countries out there who aren't going through this

549
00:24:17.599 --> 00:24:19.880
<v Speaker 4>and have the capability to produce some of the goods

550
00:24:19.920 --> 00:24:22.920
<v Speaker 4>and services that in the United States are current for

551
00:24:23.079 --> 00:24:25.480
<v Speaker 4>United States consumers are currently going to be affected by

552
00:24:25.519 --> 00:24:28.559
<v Speaker 4>the tariffs. So those companies have a great opportunity in

553
00:24:28.559 --> 00:24:30.279
<v Speaker 4>front of them because they don't have those hurdles.

554
00:24:30.839 --> 00:24:34.079
<v Speaker 1>Fair enough, Brian James always enjoy our conversations. Very important

555
00:24:34.119 --> 00:24:39.720
<v Speaker 1>and interesting information and I think solid advice as always

556
00:24:39.799 --> 00:24:42.079
<v Speaker 1>like to point that out. Get yourself a financial planner

557
00:24:42.119 --> 00:24:45.279
<v Speaker 1>and take the weight off your own shoulders. Brian James,

558
00:24:45.440 --> 00:24:47.119
<v Speaker 1>We'll look forward to next Monday in an audition of

559
00:24:47.119 --> 00:24:49.920
<v Speaker 1>money Monday have a great week, my friend. All right,

560
00:24:49.960 --> 00:24:51.400
<v Speaker 1>have a good week. We'll talk to you Monday, right

561
00:24:51.440 --> 00:24:53.119
<v Speaker 1>eight thirty six, right now, if you have carecy the

562
00:24:53.240 --> 00:24:57.599
<v Speaker 1>talk stations stick around. A deep look at China's internal challenges.

563
00:24:58.079 --> 00:25:01.440
<v Speaker 1>My next guest, Breitbart's Francis Smart. Tell she's the international editor.

564
00:25:01.519 --> 00:25:04.079
<v Speaker 1>She'll be on next. After I mentioned you know, well,

565
00:25:04.160 --> 00:25:06.559
<v Speaker 1>real estate agents and the best real estate agents in town.

566
00:25:06.559 --> 00:25:08.759
<v Speaker 1>You're not going to find a better team. Peter Shabrie

567
00:25:08.759 --> 00:25:10.720
<v Speaker 1>Group of Kelor Williams seven Hills is some of the

568
00:25:10.720 --> 00:25:13.680
<v Speaker 1>finest agents around and offering programs that nobody else is

569
00:25:13.720 --> 00:25:17.079
<v Speaker 1>offering and the only agents I would ever trust to

570
00:25:17.119 --> 00:25:19.799
<v Speaker 1>buy or sell a home guaranteed.

571
00:25:19.920 --> 00:25:20.440
<v Speaker 3>How about this.

572
00:25:21.359 --> 00:25:24.079
<v Speaker 1>You sit down with Peter Shubrie, You agree on a

573
00:25:24.079 --> 00:25:27.319
<v Speaker 1>price in a timeline with Peter's team at the outset,

574
00:25:27.599 --> 00:25:30.160
<v Speaker 1>and if they don't sell your home at that price,

575
00:25:30.279 --> 00:25:32.920
<v Speaker 1>and by that time, Peter will buy it if they

576
00:25:33.039 --> 00:25:38.440
<v Speaker 1>agreed upon price. So you clear expectations, simple, easy to understand.

577
00:25:38.559 --> 00:25:40.640
<v Speaker 1>You know when the end is coming, and you know

578
00:25:40.680 --> 00:25:43.039
<v Speaker 1>I'm telling you Peter shab and there group will probably

579
00:25:43.039 --> 00:25:45.160
<v Speaker 1>sell your house for a lot more money. Uh, and

580
00:25:45.200 --> 00:25:47.799
<v Speaker 1>on a shorter timeline. But at least you know you've

581
00:25:47.839 --> 00:25:51.119
<v Speaker 1>got a finite time and an agreed upon price. Peter

582
00:25:51.160 --> 00:25:53.039
<v Speaker 1>will buy it if it's not sold by that time.

583
00:25:53.279 --> 00:25:54.880
<v Speaker 1>Just one of the many programs that they offer and

584
00:25:54.920 --> 00:25:56.640
<v Speaker 1>nobody else is doing. Get in touch with them. It's

585
00:25:56.640 --> 00:25:59.440
<v Speaker 1>easy to do. Five one three seven zero eight three thousand.

586
00:26:00.119 --> 00:26:03.039
<v Speaker 1>Three seven zero eight three thousand, go directly to the website.

587
00:26:03.359 --> 00:26:06.279
<v Speaker 1>Just drop the five one three seven zero eight three

588
00:26:06.279 --> 00:26:07.680
<v Speaker 1>thousand dot com.

589
00:26:07.759 --> 00:26:11.039
<v Speaker 3>This is fifty five KRC, an iHeartRadio station.
