Speaker 1: The planet. This is Wager Talk today. I am your host,
Andy Lang. It is Thursday, rolling into a jam pack
July fourth weekend. Baseball is in full swing. We got
a lot of action. Fireworks are coming right around the corner.
Some of them are tonight, some of them are tomorrow,
some of them are Saturday. So we got plenty of
days of betting, we got plenty days of partying and fireworks.
Let's set the tone for a profitable weekend. You guys
know what to do. Hit that like button. We got
Johnny coming up with the steam report. Dave Mason is
going to join us. He might have an extra bounce
in his step, as Dan pointed out, we'll talk to
him about that. We'll play beat Dave Mason. Steve Meryl's
gonna join us talk Yankees and Blue Jays, Yankees getting
the breaks beat off of him. Nick Parson's gonna join
us to talk little CFL. And there's another party involved
with CFL. So we got a good show here, guys.
Let's get right into it. We did not have a
winner in the in the game last night. Dan, if
you got the horn, Sadly, when you have a two
to one game, nobody is in the comings he wants
to predict a two to one Major League Baseball score.
That's just so boring and not fun.
Speaker 2: So yeah, not ideal, ideal, but it's making up for
the fact that we had a dozen people win the
other day. So again, Andy, we got to remind people,
if you haven't already, make sure you drop your username
on that day's episode.
Speaker 3: We're pursing through. I have the list of all the winners,
so we.
Speaker 2: Have Brooke getting the swag, and if you want to
be able to get your free three day Flex pass,
you have to reach out to us and all the
people who are trying to say, oh, well I predicted
the right score.
Speaker 3: My comment got deleted. No it didn't any No, it didn't.
Speaker 1: Like one person predicted. One person said the correct score
and then admitted he put it in after the game.
So I shout out to that. So all right, let's
get started. Let's bring in Giohnny, let's talk and see
if we got any Steam report going into the weekend. Johnny,
Happy Thursday, Happy fourth, How are you, sir?
Speaker 4: My man?
Speaker 5: Early action, Early action, real quickly, just because there's a
nine flock twelve Eastern game going off. Sharp Money on
Minnesota Minnesota early and the under under eight and a
half up to minus one thirty and then under eight again,
So I would say the under is even stronger than
the side, but they're on the dog and the under
in that early game. Otherwise it's all Major League Baseball
and of course Wimbledon. I just sent out another four
percent to my subscribers, another nice dog for my guys.
So so far only two four percents released in.
Speaker 4: Wimbledon.
Speaker 5: I sent gab one out yesterday here for free, and
just sent out another one. But I do got baseball
for you, so I just look at the stuff coming in.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the guy you, the guy you mentioned you were
saying Midfield's okay. So his name is one of the
best names to say in all of tennis, Johnny, because
you actually scream his second syllable and it's pronounced fees,
so everyone calls him mom Fee. So it's always great
when we get a bet.
Speaker 3: On Mole Fees.
Speaker 1: He's a fan favorite for sure. So all right, let's
get into Steve report. What we got in MLB? What
are we looking at?
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 5: They are betting the Yankees nine oh five Yankees minus
one twenty five nine four or nine one four sorry, Washington,
Washington plus one thirty five. They also blasted Houston a
few times, although we up to minus one eighty.
Speaker 4: That's why they're very heavily favored right now.
Speaker 5: I think last time I saw Houston, they're up about
minus one ninety.
Speaker 4: At some spots.
Speaker 5: So don't be surprised if you see some take back there,
because it just moves so significantly, and you'll see that
a lot. When a line moves so much in one direction,
you'll see some TakeBack. Don't really let that scare you
too much. Nine to seventeen Cleveland plus one thirty nine
oh three Giants at even money and then up to
minus one ten. I gave you Minnesota and the under
and one more total for you Kansas City and Seattle
over seven up the minus one thirty and then over
seven and a half as well. So Yankees, Washington, Cleveland, Houston, Giants,
and Minnesota and over in casey under in Minnesota. Still early,
but that was a lot of the overnights in some
of the early stuff so far.
Speaker 1: Sure, we got a three day weekend, so we've been
keeping tabs on some of the winning percentages of some
of these teams Blue Jays, even though you know there's
seventy three, there's still only at fifty five percent, Detroit
still holding on at sixty two percent, wins, Houston Astros
riding at eight and two streak they just crossed over
sixty percent, sixty point five percent, Chicago Cubs fifty nine
point three percent, and as you as you predicted here,
Dodgers holding strong at sixty three percent. Are we still
looking at Tigers and potentially the Astros as a little
bit of I don't know, consolidation, a little bit of
buyback pull back on on these teams. If we're using
some stock market terms.
Speaker 5: On Detroit, all but a short like that's the one
that sticks out the most because you're looking at about
a five percent difference between what my guy has for
their projection and where they sit now at sixty two percent.
So I definitely think Detroit would be one of those
teams that I would be looking to find spots to
fade them. Everyone else, like you said, is pretty much
right around where is expected. Houston should drop, Houston should
win that he has them winning that division but only
winning about ninety games, so he has them at about
fifty six percent so that's another team that's playing.
Speaker 4: Above what they should. While you look at Seattle, Seattle
should play a little bit better. So it's going to
be interesting to see.
Speaker 5: How that UH division plays out because Seattle's playing a
little bit below oh expectations, where Houston's over outperforming expectations.
Speaker 4: So it'll be interesting to see how those play out.
Speaker 5: They got a seven game lead right now, so nothing
really for them to sweat going into the second half.
You mentioned the Cubbies again, they're a team that's sitting
right where they should be. The only threat to then
coming up from behind should actually be Saint Louis. My
guy has Saint Louis actually fit finishing above Milwaukee by
about a game and a half, almost two games, So
again not not. Most teams are gonna do what is
expected of them over the long term. And now we're
looking at what they got eighty six eighty seven games
already played. What's that like four five NFL seasons almost,
so that that's a lot of that compared to most
other sports. And real quickly, finally, the Dodgers, believe it
or not, the Dodgers are only about a half a
percent to one percent above market expectations and based on
run scored runs allowed. That's really where they he comes
up with his projections and where a team should be
compared to where they are. It's all about, you know,
run scored verse runs allowed. And like I said, the
Dodgers should be the best team in baseball as far
as winning percentage goes when it's all said and done.
And I would bet right now that they are the
only team that wins one hundred games. I would lay
right now, honestly, I would lay MINEUS two hundred that
no other team wins one hundred games. If anyone does,
it's going to be the Dodgers, and they may do
it by one or two games at the most.
Speaker 4: I don't think anyone else wins more than ninety five.
Speaker 1: Yeah. On the flip side, couple teams that are on
some losing streaks, get your thoughts on if you think
they have any value. The Mets, I mean, they're forty
nine and thirty eight the season, but they're three and
seven in their last ten. Giants, they're forty six and
forty one on the season, but they're three and seven
in their last ten. I guess the other one would
be the Royals. I mean they're forty and four forty seven,
they're on a two to eight slide. Here are you
finding any value with these teams? Maybe they regress back
up the.
Speaker 5: First two doing exactly as they should as far as
win percentage goes.
Speaker 4: So it's more like, I think, just short.
Speaker 5: Term, you have a little recency bias there, But when
you zoom out a little bit, they're pretty much exactly
where they should be. Looking at Kansas City, Kansas City's
at about forty six percent. Yeah, they're they're even playing
a little bit below. Kansas City is the one team
that that is expected to play a little bit better.
So I would say out of all three of those,
the more underbounded team would be the Royals. Expected them
to play a little bit better than their playing.
Speaker 1: Yeah. The very first comment that we got is from Adam.
He's interesting in hearing y'all's thoughts on the new law
getting passed how it's gonna affect sports gambling in the US.
So here's the thing. I have very big knee jerk
reactions to this. This hurts me a ton, Jeohnny, because
I'm in Indiana, and as you know, I do a
lot of my betting on DraftKings, fandel bet MGM, and
all those. So if you're in if you're in a
state like this, you just get your documents at the
end of the year. You don't even you don't have
to do it now. They also file that, so there's
there's no getting around it, like you're you're paying taxes
on this. I know what my initial knee jerk reaction is,
but I also want to take a deep breath. Let's
look at it a little bit more. Let's I'm gonna
consult with my financial guy and see how this truly
affects so Adam. Yeah, my initial response was, oh my gosh,
this is horrible. This is terrible for me. I'm gonna
look into a little bit more before I have a
very definite opinion. It's way too easy to overreact to
the you know, to the shock of news like this.
So we could talk about this more a little bit later,
probably next week. But Johnny, just real quick, any initial
thoughts right off the bat.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it's terrible because this is really gonna
It's gonna affect everybody, even even losing betters at the
end of the day, but for the winning betters, the
bigger betters and the ones that even have to use
on screen outs like the books that are going to
be more or less letting the government know where you stand.
That that's going to create some problems and issues, especially
now with the write offs that the change and what
you could write off because a lot of I mean
that I pay for subscriptions, I pay for line services,
I pay for information like all that now has to
be factored into your bottom line. That's gonna hurt l
profit or betters. This isn't a positive. There's in no
way that this is a positive for sports betters. Whether
you're a winning sports better or losing sports better, this
is not a positive. They are attacking sports betting because
it's wide open and it's easy to do. That's the
bottom line. It's one of those fringe type things where
only ten years ago they were telling us, don't gamble,
you know, you're the devil if you gamble, don't bet spot,
don't bet on the NFL, don't bet college. I mean,
that's all they were preaching to me when I was
growing up. Now, all of a sudden, not only are
they encouraging me to put in same game parlays, but
now they want their taxes on top of it, Like
it just tells you how quickly things change, Like it
has nothing to do with morals or values, and has
everything to do with money. Like they were trying to
tell us they wanted to save us from, you know,
going down that road of gambling, and don't become a
degenerate gambler and don't become a compulsive gambler. And that's
what they were at least trying to tell us. What
when I was growing up, don't gamble, don't gamble, just
kind of like just say no with drugs, kind of
just say.
Speaker 4: No with betting.
Speaker 5: Dude, that has completely done a three sixty or eighty,
whatever you want to say. And now with the attitudes changing,
everybody's going for a cash grap So can you blame
the government for grat doing theirs? I mean, look, the
sports books are doing it to us, right. You look
at all the online books, all on screen books. They're
charging minus one twelves, minus one fifteens, minus one eighteens
are still betting into those bad numbers. Now it's just
the government's turn to get in there and take some money.
So this is bad, this is negative. Not to go along,
but this is bad. I do my ninety percent of
my stuff is done off screen and offshore and through
you know, so more or less the fringes of legality,
let's say with bookies. But all that income does have
to be reported one way or another. So this is
not good, man, This is not good at all.
Speaker 1: So this is interesting, Jamain said, there's too much money involved.
The government needs a piece of everything. That's not how
I looked at it at all. The way I looked
at it was these domestic books have since I started
with these domestic books, they have been trying to figure
out a way to run out the winning betters. They
tried it with limiting, and they got in trouble for it.
They tried it with banning people. They got in big.
Speaker 3: Trouble for it.
Speaker 1: In Illinois, they put a twenty five cent tax per
bet on it, and it's still not preventing that top half.
So they figured out the best way possible. The best
way possible is to make the margins unwinnable. How do
you do that? Limit how much money you can write off.
I didn't see this as a government thing at all.
I saw this as a sports with going Oh, we
figured out the best way to eliminate the way better
and that is and that is how because I mean, Johnny,
I was talking with Dan about this. Poor I don't
know how I can overcome this. How can you overcome
a ten percent right off on the losses? It blows
the margins out of the water. You can't clean that.
Speaker 4: It's like I said, I was expecting.
Speaker 5: We talked about this fifteen years ago, that the legal
Everybody was so excited about it becoming legal, and I
thought the negative of it was. Now the influx of
recreational betters means they don't need any short betters anymore.
All they have to do is move that uh you know,
minus one ten to minus one twenty and that would
wipe out every wise guy on the planet, kind of
like they did with blackjack, where they went from three
to two to six to five. What most recreational gamblers
didn't realize was that move from moving a blackjack table
from paying out three to two on blackjack, changing it
to six to five means I can no longer.
Speaker 4: Beat that game. That's all they did.
Speaker 5: They just stopped someone like myself, who's an advantage blackjack player,
from being.
Speaker 4: Able to walk up and beat that game. Those tables
are still filled.
Speaker 5: You walking to the casino on a Saturday night, those
six to five blackjack tables are totally filled, every single
one of them. They just don't want someone like me
sitting at that table. And I think you're right, man,
that's a great point. And it seems like now they
want to do it with sports too, how to eliminate
any risk at all, And that's obviously the best way,
by making it where it's not profitable anymore.
Speaker 1: They don't want me, you know who they want, and
God love them, but remember my friend who won eight
dollars and ten cents on his same game parlay. That's
what they want. Me and him were sitting in the
same room. They don't want me. They don't want me
as as as as a they want they want my buddy.
And so that my initial thought was, no, this is
all from the sports books, because the government, they're not
they're not making they're not making much money off of this.
This is But but what the sportsbooks do is they go,
how can we how can we slim our margins a
little bit? How can we get rid of that sliver
of people that profit off of us. Let's blow their
margins out of the water. So I will look into
it a little bit more. My family is full of accountants,
so I'll look into the.
Speaker 5: That's that's going to kill the scalpers, those those groups
that are scalping because scalpers.
Speaker 4: Have to use books, legal books.
Speaker 5: Like yes, you've got to use one side that's legal
to make sure you get paid. So those groups that
are scalping, they're really gonna have to like make some
decisions like is this profitable anymore now that they're hitting
those margins that.
Speaker 1: I'm doing it right now, Geohnny, I'm going through my
books and my numbers, and I'm going is this profitable
for me anymore? If I if I can't, if I
can't write off one hundred percent of the losses and
I have to pay taxes one hundred percent of the winnings.
I am going through the numbers and it doesn't look
good right now as of this point. So listen, Johnny,
We're going to talk about this more because I don't
think that there's a lot of shows out there that
are going to be able to die in depth into
this and give you guys the exact numbers. We'll keep
firing away as far as information goes, and we'll let
you know. But those are our initial thoughts. Hopefully my
initial thought is wrong. We'll see, but I say too, yeah, yeah,
real quick, What do you have about for clients? Johnny?
Speaker 5: All right, baseball package will be up again, like by
the end of I always wait for the Canadians to
fire that Major League Baseball. We're coming off a losing
date was ter. I think we only had two or
three plays, but we got reverse sweat, so need a
nice bounce back. These holiday weekends have always been good.
People are off, people are betting, you know what I mean,
The games are on. It's usually a good couple of
days that you could find some inefficiencies because of that
influx of recreational betters. So baseball is where it's at
over the next couple of days. But don't overlook Wembledon again, subscribers,
you got that four percent. How quickly the line moved
on mon Phills. I think he went the favorite within
an hour, down like minus one ten from plus one
thirty five, So this one's a plus one forty five,
but one fifty. I sent out, I don't think he's
going to be a dog for too long. Don't wait
on those Wembledon picks again. The lines moved quickly. Head
on over to wagestalk dot com. I'll put out a
free premium as well on my page today. So busy
a couple of days ahead, all.
Speaker 1: Right, have a great weekend, be safe, enjoy yourself. Good luck, Johnny,
and we'll talk to you Monday.
Speaker 4: Thank you, sir, Thank you brother.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: But first off, I love doing the show. We can
talk about things like this. We can talk about things
that a lot of other people won't be able to
talk about. So I love having guests like Gioannny on
and we're able to talk about this. So appreciate you guys.
Hit the like button. Let's you know what real quick.
This is going to be the last day. I think
to get seven days of picks for sixty nine dollars,
so less than ten dollars a day. It's July fourth.
I think I'll ask the office that we can extend
it to July one. I think we probably can. So
you can ride with one expert, you can use it
as a flex access. You get any and every sport
that's available. Wimbledon is up MLB, even the hot dog
eating contest is up. Some of the lines of those
have gone down, but everything's included. You can pick one handicapper,
then move to a different one each day. You can
ride one handicapper for a couple of days. You can
use the same handicapper. You have the power to choose
which handicapper you want. So you wanna ride with one,
wanna ride with seven? Over the course of seven days.
It's all yours, guys, seven days for only sixty nine dollars,
less than ten dollars a day, as celebration for July fourth.
We do this every year. One of our most popular promos.
All right, Dan, let's go all around the world. Here,
give a couple free plays here. We got one in
the w NBA, and we have one in MLB. We
get a really good player prop from Jeff Michaels here.
So we'll start with. Let's see let's go to WNBA first,
We'll go to the Sparks at the Liberty. Let's take
a look at the Sparks over seventy nine and half
in their team total. I'm looking at a three game
sample size, and the Sparks offensive rating is balloon to
one oh five point eight the last three games easily
gone over this total, and the Liberty defense has fallen
off a Cliff's second worst defensive rated team the last
three games. So short term, you're getting a Sparks team
that has struggled this season, but their offense looks to
be in a good groove. Liberty really good defensive team
first part of the year, but not so much recently.
So let's take a look at the Sparks over seventy
nine and a half and then Astros at Rockies. I
love this prop from Jeff Michaels Cam Smith over two
point five hits runs on RBI. Smith is hitting a
sluggings point six two to two versus lefties, thirty two
hits in his last twenty three games and his last
six games. This is incredible. Eleven hits, five runs and
eight RBIs, so he's got a red hot bat. He's
facing Freeland who's got a seven point one to one
er and a two point oh two whip at home.
So those are your free plays, and you get more
free plays over at the wager Time Live Odds page
as well as the free picks page. Pure winning a
few more of those. All right, let's bring in Steve Merrill.
We're gonna talk Yankees and the Blue Jays. Happy for Steve.
What does Steve Merrill do for Fourth of July?
Speaker 6: I take every flag I can find in the neighborhood.
I steal them for one day and I just make
a giant flag parade. I didn't wear the bathing suit
I've got. You know, it's funny. I've got two stars
and stripes and bathing suits. I will be wearing them
to the gym tomorrow. I'll probably be wearing them tonight
as well. And I usually flash the camera, so I apologize.
I should have done that from July third.
Speaker 3: What's that?
Speaker 6: Yeah, two of them, because one day I picked up
the second ones kind of like a faded one, you know,
so it looks a little different. In about five years ago,
I was like, what the hell do I need two
identical bathing suits for Hey Memorial Day? I wore one,
worked out, it was all sweaty, put the other one
off and went home. I was like, this is why
you need two stars and stripes bathing suits and about
seven different flags at hands reach. And by the way,
if they don't extend the July fourth special into July fourth,
and I don't know what's going on. It was my
understanding Michigan's or Detroitians, whatever the term is running the
office and not Canadians. So let's get that fixed.
Speaker 7: My Man.
Speaker 6: Canada Day special ended on July first. Yes, yes, the
Canadians on the board there too, ready to.
Speaker 1: Say, yeah, I know you're thinking Andrew McGinnis that he's
the only one.
Speaker 6: Yeah, he's the only one.
Speaker 3: From parts unknown.
Speaker 1: So he does that's great, we kid, all right, Steve,
Let's talk Yankees and the Blue Jays, holy cow or
the Yankees getting getting rocked, blue Jays looking for the sweep.
Schmidt for Yankees, Bastard for the Blue Jays, Yankees minus
one thirty and Gianni told us money's coming in on
the Yankees. I'm guessing that's because people are going, well,
they're not going to be swept. What's your take on
this game today?
Speaker 6: So I saw this status early. I don't do much
with grass turf stats really in any sport any day
that you know. Back in the eighties and nineties, people
like that stuff with football and even baseball, but there's
hardly any turf fields left, and I believe the Sky
Home is one of them, if not the only one.
And The reason I say that because I'm looking right
now at some extended stats here. MLB dot com has
some great breakdowns. The Yankees this year are forty eight
and thirty five on grass. They're zero to three on
turf Andy, so literally those are their only three turf
games of the season. I guess has not gone well
so far. I don't read anything into that. I mean,
I don't think they give up what was it, twenty
eight runs in three games because of artificial turf. We
had a free play last night. I put a free
play up every day. I do have an additional free
play to night on my page right now at waiter
talk dot com for Thursday. But the free play last
night on Wednesday was the over eight and a half
between the Yankees and Blue Jays, and you could have
picked either team to get over that total because it
was eleven nine final. They've gone nine, seventeen and twenty
the last three games. Bullpens are depleted because of it.
Both offenses in good current form, no pun intended. My man,
let's not overthink this, but I like the over again tonight.
I'll stay away from the side. I would expect maybe
the Yankees bounce, but I think the over eight and
a half is very tempting once again with two red
hot offenses and depleted bullpens and a bigger picture about
these two teams. The Blue Jays emotional win last night
because they have now tied the Yankees for first place
in the American League East. They're both forty eight and
thirty eight. But if you look at run differential, we
talk a lot about the expected one loss record, which
is just plus minus runs on the season. Yankees are
plus one hundred and three runs. The Blue Jays are
plus six and they have the same record, So long term,
the Yankees are the better teams. I wouldn't disagree with
playing New York tonight, but I definitely like the over
eight and a half once again.
Speaker 1: Okay, Steve Merril is going with the.
Speaker 7: Man that happens to me last week.
Speaker 1: This time, this is the game of the day. It's
the game of the day. Put in the comment section
right after the show. It's got to be in the
comment section below right after the show's over. Who wins
between the Yankees and the Blue Jays and what is
the final score? See Steve, this should be a fun one.
We picked the twins and the Marlin just the final
score was two to one. Nobody, nobody wants to scored
that low. But Yankee's Blue Jays you like the over
These games have been high scoring, so you got to
give us your pick. Tell us who you think wins,
what's the final score? And Steve, if you get it right,
then you get to pick someone in the comment section
that gets free swags. What does Steve Merrill say on this?
Speaker 6: I got the winner right last week. I think it
was that Mets Braves game, but it wasn't high scoring
like I thought. It was four to nothing, so that
was a tough one. By the way, we reclipped these
obviously the solo video, so many of you are watching
this as a solo standalone video right now.
Speaker 8: And I have.
Speaker 6: Promoed this promo in the video last week, and I
went back and checked the comments that night and there
are like seventy score predictions in my video, so I'll
count that as well if you're watching it on the
Ultimate method here. I didn't even think about that, and
luckily it was a four nothing final handy because nobody
had that because I didn't see it like a day later.
Speaker 2: But yeah, why would I not want to spend my
whole weekend scrolling through seventy comics.
Speaker 3: Steve's video as well. Yeah, at nine am Pacific time,
in the middle of a show like that. It's his
fault for sure.
Speaker 6: He's married now he's got extra free time, no more
wedding planning, so there's no excuse why Dan can't do it.
But yeah, look, either my video or on the Wager
Talk today replay, make your prediction. The obvious one is
five four Yankees because they're favorite. It's eight and a
half to the over. I don't go obvious, so let's
bump it a little bit. I'll say six five since
it's only a slight lean Yankees, but I like the over.
Speaker 3: I'll go six five.
Speaker 6: New York Yankees get.
Speaker 3: Their first turf win.
Speaker 6: They're made and win on turf. This seasons useless stead
at all, basement.
Speaker 1: Wasn't it just the last three games that they played
on turf Lake It wasn't even.
Speaker 3: Like they're one. So it has to be because I
looked it up.
Speaker 6: They play on astro turf of the SkyDome, so that's
like the only field I could think of Canadians, it's
an odd one, so all right, don't do that on
July fourth, play fakes.
Speaker 1: So posted the comments section below. If you pick the
correct score in the winner, you get some wager talk
swag Steambare, I'll tell everyone what you have up for
July fourth.
Speaker 6: Yeah, and he real quick. I want to give shut
you know, last week he mentioned the gym and not
wearing shoes. I thought of you.
Speaker 3: Saturday.
Speaker 6: A high school kid was zumping our travel baseball game
and he's limping. He dropped a fifteen pound plate on
his foot Friday night last week, the day after we
did the show, and did not have shoes on.
Speaker 3: Unbelievable.
Speaker 1: See, yeah, a shoe isn't going to one hundred percent
protect you, but it's gonna at least.
Speaker 6: It was only fifteen pounds, and it was fifteen they
probably would have made a difference, right, So, I mean,
and he was okay, luckily, But it was a day
after we talked about it. But we talked about going
to the gym, right. I was gonna say my life
tip I'll start trying to give life tips is joy
to gym, meet people, get in shape. I've made so
many friends over the years. And an older guy, retired
guy who takes classes Spin Classes still seventies, I mean
rocks it. He's been reading this book the last couple months.
I keep talking to him about baseball. It's the Top
one hundred baseball Players. He finished it and he gave
it to me today and I'm gonna knock that out.
And he highly recommends the one before it, which I'm
gonna read as well. So I'm not big on book clubs,
but I'll give some reviews here of the next few weeks.
With the big Thinggures, I'm gonna make my middle school
sun reads some because it's hard to get him to
read and he likes baseball. So five to eight pages
on each player, so it's like one player a day.
Speaker 7: Man.
Speaker 6: You know, it's very sable. But Mike CONTI thank you.
I want to give Mike a shout out, and once again,
it just shows get healthy, join a gym. It's the
best tip I can give people for a life hack.
As far as what I've got Thursday night at wager
talk dot com, I do have a baseball best bet
or only loss this week is by half a run.
We've won all other best bets in every free play,
including that free play last night. So check out the
bonus free play. Check out the best bet and check
out that seven days for sixty nine dude special offer
at wager talk dot com and get to my page
quicker wt dot slash sm.
Speaker 1: Thank you, Steve. Can't wait to talk to you again
next week. Have a great weekend. Enjoy your swimsuits, I
should say, I hope everyone else enjoys your swimsuits. So
Steve Merrill, everyone, we're gonna get going. We're gonna talk
to Dave Mason. We're gonna play beat Dave Mason. We're
gonna get his thoughts on this new tax thing. So
welcome Dave me from bet online dot eg Dave, is
it true that you have a little bit of extra
balance in your step based on the tax situation or
does it affect you as much? Or are you what's
your reaction to this?
Speaker 8: It's mind boggling, man. It's it's, you know, I think
it's just an example of legislators, you know, creating stuff
they don't create and build and stuff they obviously don't understand,
you know, And you see that a lot of Washington.
I don't want to go anti anti government, all right, whatever,
but it's it's, you know, it's did they consult you know,
sportsbook operators, educated betters, people like yourself, whomever you know,
or was it just a bunch of you know, fifty
sixty seventy year old guys in Washington who never placed
a bet before, and women and just yeah, yeah, ninety
percent sounds good, not even knowing the math, not even
working out the math. Okay, cool. They collect all that
revenue or whatever you want to call it, and twoer
people bet, and the casinos doesn't make as much money
and they can't pay as much tax as et cetera.
I mean, you make one dollar and lose two dollars,
so it's it's nonsense.
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know.
Speaker 8: I don't pay much attention to politics except in the
betting stratosphere. But I can't see that part going through.
Speaker 7: I just can't.
Speaker 4: It's so freaking dumb.
Speaker 8: Makes zero sense.
Speaker 4: How is that going to work? How is that going
to work?
Speaker 7: It just makes zero sense at all.
Speaker 1: See this is interesting because it's I think it's becoming
more and more obvious that I have a different take
on this. My take was is I live in Indiana,
so I've had domestic books for years and years and
years and they've always been trying to get rid of
the successful better. I took this bill as they finally
figured out a legal way to get this to get
the small percentage of winning betters out of there, and
it's to make their margins impossible to.
Speaker 8: Be man, I hear you, But.
Speaker 4: I hear you.
Speaker 8: If it was just that, you know, if it was
just okay, winning betters, we're gonna double your tax rate
or whatever.
Speaker 7: I get that.
Speaker 8: But this is penalizing break even and and losing better.
You know, That's that's the thing.
Speaker 3: I I I agree with you.
Speaker 8: One. If whatever the proposal was was just going after
sharp betters and winners, I get that. But this is
going after break even and and losers. I mean who
That's not sustainable for any type of better and not
at all.
Speaker 3: It's a shame.
Speaker 4: It's the shame.
Speaker 3: And people think I'm I'm I'd be happy about it,
but I'm not.
Speaker 8: It's because it's horrible for the betters and and you know,
more competition makes us better. We've upped our game over
the last few years. More betters are, more people are
betting than ever before. Have we lost players, Absolutely, we
have lost players. We've also gained players too, because there's
more people betting. There's people that might have gotten into
betting that didn't get into betting and got educated and
be like, you know what that online has good MLB
DME lines. I want to bet bet there now. So
there's there's you know, competition is good as long as
your product's.
Speaker 7: Good and you have deep pockets.
Speaker 8: So people are on Twitter like you must be trying
to I think it sucks to tell you the truth.
Speaker 7: I really do.
Speaker 8: That's my honest opinion, And that's just my opinion. I'm
not speaking for anybody in the company. That's one guy
who's sitting his mid management cubicle every day. People think
I'm the owner here and all this other bs, but
I'm not even frigging close.
Speaker 9: So that's just my opinion.
Speaker 3: There's no way sit in a cubicle. Oh well, I
gotta go.
Speaker 7: Can somebody the hot things at the water cooler?
Speaker 3: I gotta go to hit on her?
Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's let's let's let's let's turn positive here.
Let's play beat Dave Mason here. What are some plays
that we could beat Dave Mason with this weekend?
Speaker 10: What?
Speaker 3: What do you have some liability on not a liability. Shoot,
you know, it's that time of year, dude, it's.
Speaker 7: It's slow now. I mean that was on Vacasi and
I just came back and it's.
Speaker 1: Like Wimbledon outrights.
Speaker 3: Any look, I didn't need.
Speaker 9: To look at Wimbledon to tell you the truth. I
mean under on Joey Chestnut hot dogs.
Speaker 1: Tar oh. We talked about that yesterday. We legit talked
about that. How I'm on the under. So that's how
we go.
Speaker 3: I'm on the under on the under.
Speaker 7: Uh me seventy one and a half even was got
bet by Sharps.
Speaker 8: I didn't get that number, but I got about minus
one ten now minus one fifty.
Speaker 7: And uh, you know the last two times he did
he didn't participate last.
Speaker 8: Year, then the year before I think he did sixty
two sixty three dogs, and then the year before that
sixty two or sixty three and a half or something.
Speaker 7: I forget, so so, uh yeah, I like them two.
Speaker 4: But he's coming back though, you know, he.
Speaker 9: Was ostracized with our fears that maybe he's coming back
with blood in his eyes.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 1: Listen, I pay attention to the weather. If it's super hot,
it's really hard for these guys to eat a ton
of hot dogs, and he's a minus thirteen hundred favorite.
He's probably not gonna have to eat nearly that many
to win, so you know he'll be he'll yeah, yes,
you know, it's that time of year when how can
we beat Dave Mason? It's on a hot dog eating contest.
Probably not gonna be like that in the fall, So
I can't wait.
Speaker 8: You know, the break was nice, but as now as
they get back and just getting getting back on the screen,
I'm like, oh, yeah, what what's going on here?
Speaker 9: So uh yeah, a few weeks get the pre season
going on.
Speaker 1: We're all, yeah, all right, Dave, So what are we
looking at baseball? Anything interesting today that the Sharps are on?
Speaker 4: I got Casey plus.
Speaker 9: Raise minus one thirty two, but angels on the other
side of plus one thirty five in Cleveland plus one
thirty five or better?
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 1: Uh, did you get beat on anything last week? You
were on vacation. Normally when we play beat Dave Maason,
we talked about what you what you beat us on.
Was there anything that that you were you were real
good on.
Speaker 7: The last couple of weeks personally, or that were the
house the house. Okay, I don't know, dude. I mean
I was on vacation and I freaking logged off for
the first time ever and nothing, nothing like a couple
of little work chats on my phone. But I didn't
pause on a different time zone.
Speaker 3: I wasn't packed as the first pay.
Speaker 8: Per view UFC that I haven't watched in probably since
the freaking nineties or nineties or early two thousand so.
Speaker 4: But yesterday, yesterday we got beat up on the Who.
Speaker 7: We get beat up on Giants Feed it's.
Speaker 9: Up really bad.
Speaker 7: But the Yankees we wont good there. But baseball stopped yesterday?
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, what do you like in these days?
Speaker 7: What am I like? And did Joey chests not under man?
Speaker 9: Everyone the wrong guy?
Speaker 1: Okay?
Speaker 3: All right, all right? Where what?
Speaker 4: So?
Speaker 9: What is?
Speaker 7: What are?
Speaker 1: Where do you go on vacation? Where's Dave going vacation?
Speaker 7: I go everywhere, man, But I like I like traveling, dude.
Speaker 8: I I went over to.
Speaker 4: Marrakesh, Morocco.
Speaker 7: Food.
Speaker 8: I had some shwarma's man swarma, you know, but some
were better than others. I went to the Sahara Desert,
did the camel thing and and glanding and that that
was side by side going into the Sahara Dunes, which
is just a once in a lifetime experience. It was
just absolutely incredible, and there's massive dunes and and that
the best form I had was just some little dirt
town in the middle of freaking nowhere that our guide
took us to and it was delicious.
Speaker 9: But then I went over to Greece, Greece, which is
like my favorite freaking place and my favorite food, and
that was that was awesome. So yeah, it's a great
two week trip. So you know, totally different time zoned
or slowed season. I mean, you know, I took advantage
of it and really didn't paid.
Speaker 1: That always the way, Like the best war was at
this little tiny place. I tell people all the time
that the best Chinese place in your city probably isn't
in a very good area of town.
Speaker 3: Absolutely probably probably probably the best.
Speaker 1: So all right, Dave, tell her where where we can
find you at and brag a little bit bet online.
Speaker 3: But again, I've been.
Speaker 1: A personal customer well before since I've known you. I
swear by you love the website, so tell everyone about it.
Speaker 7: Yeah, I appreciate that.
Speaker 4: At Dave Mason bol on Twitter.
Speaker 9: Again I'm not the owner and manage a cuble kind.
Speaker 8: Of guy in the common man.
Speaker 7: What else?
Speaker 8: Oh, baseball, baseball, that's the main thing right now. We
have awesome dimelines and they'll be dimelines. They're kind of
an endangered animal in this.
Speaker 9: Industry these days.
Speaker 8: A lot of newer books don't want anything to do
with them, but we're still dealing them. So come on
over to bet online dot ag.
Speaker 1: Love it, Love it, Dave Mason. Glad to have you back.
Glad you had a great vacation. Go check them out
on X for the Know, to Twitter, and if you
haven't joined bet online dot ag, it's a must have
to your portfolio. They have tons of options. If you're
a big UFC better and MMA better like myself. They're
the first to come out with these lines, so take
advantage of that, and thank you Dave for joining us.
David a cubicle, Dan.
Speaker 3: Dave, I'm taking the under. I'm taking the under.
Speaker 1: Oh he's in a cubicle and he just went to
Morocco in Greece. Okay, all right, okay, we believe the
common man. He referred to the common man right before
we left.
Speaker 2: All right, Well, says a Philly guy, Dave is insanely
down to earth.
Speaker 3: So I do I do, I do fully, fully endorse
the common man.
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'll take I'll take the under on minutes
spent in the cubicle, the cubicle.
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring on dick parts before we get
out of here again. Guys, no show tomorrow. Enjoy your
fourth uh. Be responsible, be safe, be safe with the fireworks,
be safe with your bank rolls. Nick, how are you today, sir?
Speaker 4: Yep?
Speaker 3: Doing great?
Speaker 10: Yeah, huge party tomorrow for sure. And yeah doing great
over at Sports may Mom as well.
Speaker 1: Nice.
Speaker 3: Nice.
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk a little CFL here. We're gonna talk
about the Stampeders and the Blue Bombers. Tell us about
everything that's going on with this game.
Speaker 10: Right, So, staying in the CFL. The last two weeks
I've had, I've took him the underdog, took in the Elks,
and then the last like two minutes, they've come up
short each time. I'm sticking with an underdog this week.
Really like this one, Andy for a couple of different reasons. Guys,
I'm seven and five overall with my CFL picks. I'm
actually leading Sports Memo right now over the last thirty
days in all sports. But yeah, this game, it sees Winnipeg,
who's three and oh, heading to Calgary, who's two and one.
The Stampeders had a bye week last week, so they've
had a full week off to prepare for this one.
Their quarterback is a veteran Vernon Adams junior. He struggled
a bit over the first three games. He's yet to
throw a touchdown pass, so he's going to be feeling
the pressure here for sure. In Calgary. Winnipeg doing really
great three and oh straight up and against the spread,
but they have a bye week next week. There's a
possibility they could get looking past Calgary here. But some
really interesting facts about this game here Andy that I
think you're gonna like here. This is the first time
ever for Calgary that it will be playing in Calgary
during the Calgary Stampede. And I'm not sure if anyone
knows what that is. I'm Canadian, and everybody in Canada
knows the Calgary Stampede. It's a huge cowboy party. It's
out of control. They have these all these huge races
and different things. I mean, even the old Calgary Flames
Stadium was called the Saddle Dome. It was shaped like
a saddle. They have a new stadium now, but yeah,
it's the biggest on Earth, and so they're gonna have
a huge home crowd there at halftime. Brett Michaels from
Poison is playing.
Speaker 4: The team.
Speaker 10: Presidents actually have a separate twenty five thousand dollars bet
going between each other. Whoever loses has to contribute to
the charity to the other team there. But yeah, I
had the Blue Jays on Canada Day at home again
the Yankees, and this has the same sort of feeling
here for me. They're just there's going to be an
overwhelming crowd here for Calgary. I think it sets up
really well. So I'm going to suggest to grab the points.
Speaker 8: I love it.
Speaker 1: I love it, and we got big things going on
at Sports Memo.
Speaker 10: Tell us about those, right, So I might be touching
a little bit on the same thing because lots of
times between way you talking Sports Memo, they have similar
sort of deals. But yeah, guys, I mean it's fourth
of July tomorrow and they have a special going on
over there right now, just for forty nine dollars a
three day all access pass or flex pass, and so
that's discounted by seventeen seventy six, and that means you
can get experts picks and premium plays for just over
ten dollars daily. And we also have five dollars Wednesdays
andy throughout the summer. So yesterday that was a success.
There you guys, all of the Kapras will be releasing
one five dollars pick on Wednesdays and they usually reserve
their four and five percent picks for those days for
people to take advantage. And then finally we have fifty
off Fridays, so that's tomorrow, same thing as the Wednesdays.
Every tapper releases one fifty off picked and so it's
another way to take advantage and save at the same time.
Speaker 1: Love it, love it, have fun. That sounds so cool.
The Calgary stay of Pede. That's got to be a
bucket list thing. I gotta come up and see that.
That sounds like a blast. I had no idea, had
no idea about it. So good luck to you, Nick,
appreciate it, have a great weekend, take advantage of all
those specials. Over at sports Memo, Nick Parsons joins us
every Thursday gives out some CFL information in someplace so
take advantage of that. All right, that's going to do
it for us. We will be back Monday again. We
are off tomorrow. If you want to put in the
comments section right after the show, put in there the
winner of the Twins or the Twins, the Yankees in
the Blue Jays, what's the final score? You get it
right and you will get some free wager talk swag.
Be safe, be responsible, but have fun this and good
luck on your bets. We'll see you Monday. Take care