Speaker 1: This is Dan Caplis and welcome to today's online podcast
Speaker 1: edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
Speaker 1: give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
Speaker 1: and to subscribe, download and listen to the show every
Speaker 1: single day on your favorite podcast platform. So much is
Speaker 1: going on in the world. So great to be back.
Speaker 1: Glad you are. Hope you had a tremendous weekend. But
Speaker 1: you talk about developments in this presidential race that I mean,
Speaker 1: it's going to be over in a blink of an eye, right,
Speaker 1: and Ballas I think start dropping somewhere in the next
Speaker 1: week or so, and then obviously in Pennsylvania in a
Speaker 1: couple of weeks. But you look it over the weekend
Speaker 1: and it really crystallized with the polling, and there wasn't
Speaker 1: much over the weekend, but that was part of the point, right,
Speaker 1: It just crystallized that there was no DNC bounce for Harris.
Speaker 1: She has plant towed and every reason to believe at
Speaker 1: this point that there's nowhere to go but down. And
Speaker 1: if the election was held today, President Trump likes Lee
Speaker 1: likely wins, so that of course starts to focus us
Speaker 1: on what they're calling a debate. It won't be it'll
Speaker 1: be a series of Kamala Harris short speeches protected by
Speaker 1: ABC staffers of hers posing as moderators. That'll happen a
Speaker 1: week from today. But that doesn't mean President Trump can't
Speaker 1: gain or lose a lot there. I think it all
Speaker 1: depends on what he does. So I want to get
Speaker 1: real specific about what you want to see him do
Speaker 1: a week from tonight. But I think it's very clear that,
Speaker 1: as I've said all along, it's his to lose on
Speaker 1: this trajectory, he will win. And what does he need
Speaker 1: to do next Tuesday? Because that is her last best
Speaker 1: hope because if it goes well for him next Tuesday,
Speaker 1: there's not going to be a second debate. If it
Speaker 1: goes well for her next Tuesday, there's not going to
Speaker 1: be a second debate, right because whoever comes out of this,
Speaker 1: the winner, isn't going to agree to a second one.
Speaker 1: They'll come up with some excuse. And that's the way.
Speaker 1: It's going to be eight five five for zero five
Speaker 1: A two five five the number. As part of that,
Speaker 1: we're having some fun with the Bagdad Bobs of Colorado,
Speaker 1: Jared Poulis, Mike Johnston, the media hacks who just do
Speaker 1: whatever the Democratic Party wants them to do. And the
Speaker 1: way they're don't use the term gas lighting, that's just
Speaker 1: another word for lyning, Just say line the way, they're
Speaker 1: just lying to the people of this state and the
Speaker 1: country about the reality of the harm being done through
Speaker 1: open borders because they know it hurts Kamala Harris and
Speaker 1: by the way, it hurts them. So we have some
Speaker 1: fun weekends sound Polis has become the Mikey of the
Speaker 1: Kamala Harris campaign. Remember Mikey from those commercials, Oh, Mikey,
Speaker 1: you'll eat it. He'll eat anything you know, police will
Speaker 1: tell any lie for the campaign. He's a designated liar.
Speaker 1: So when they need really big lies told, or let
Speaker 1: me be a little more precise, when they need people
Speaker 1: to go on national TV and try to claim things
Speaker 1: that nobody else can claim with the straight face none
Speaker 1: of the other surrogates, they call in Polis. And we'll
Speaker 1: have a good example of that over the weekend with
Speaker 1: ABC when they're just asking, wait a second, yeah, here's
Speaker 1: Kamala Harris condemning the wall, condemning the wall, condemning the wall,
Speaker 1: and there in all the ads now and so they
Speaker 1: bring in Polish to explain that one, because you know
Speaker 1: that Harris won't right and she will not be made
Speaker 1: to in that event that's coming up on Tuesday, the tenth.
Speaker 1: Jack in Beautiful Sheyanne Wyoming. You're on the Dan Kaplis Show.
Speaker 1: Welcome all, Hi Danny.
Speaker 2: I'm hearing an awful lot. And Harris is pitching to
Speaker 2: the unions. And the notion they had seemed to think
Speaker 2: they have is that the Democrats own the union workers. Well,
Speaker 2: let me tell you that's totally untrue, and it's not
Speaker 2: any more true than that the Democrats own the black Boat.
Speaker 2: It's just absolutely not true. In nineteen sixty nine, I
Speaker 2: belonged to two of the most prestigious construction unions in
Speaker 2: the country. In sixty nine, I was in local Union
Speaker 2: fifteen out of New York City, Manhattan Operating Engineers, and
Speaker 2: the business agents came out and they told us, not
Speaker 2: only were we going to contribute to Richard Nixon's campaign,
Speaker 2: twenty of us were going to go to Washington in
Speaker 2: March on his behalf. And that is in sixty nine,
Speaker 2: and that was going Republican and right. And the other
Speaker 2: union I belonged to later, which is probably the most
Speaker 2: skilled union in the country is Pipeliners Local seven ninety eight, Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Speaker 2: They're the ones that build a big, high pressure cross
Speaker 2: country pipeline. And if you think anybody out of that
Speaker 2: group is going to vote for a Democrat, you got
Speaker 2: to be kidding yourself. Kamala Harris doesn't know our history.
Speaker 1: Hey appreciate the call on that check. And I think
Speaker 1: so much has changed, right And the dynamics of this election,
Speaker 1: I think are so different than any other presidential election
Speaker 1: we've had because in the end, and this is my
Speaker 1: starting point today, Biden was deposed and Harris was installed.
Speaker 1: Wait a second, unless Trump blows this, he's going to
Speaker 1: win because America is not going to elect to San
Speaker 1: Francisco radical. It's that simple. Just aren't. And that includes
Speaker 1: that extends to Jack's point about Union members just not
Speaker 1: going to elect to San Francis. Heck, but Biden barely
Speaker 1: won forty four thousand votes spread across six dates by
Speaker 1: pretending to be a moderate, you know, lunch pail Joe,
Speaker 1: all of that barely want by pulling off that con
Speaker 1: Kamala Harris, No, it's just not gonna happen unless Trump
Speaker 1: blows it. And I don't think he's going to blow it.
Speaker 1: I think his campaign seems really dialed in now. I
Speaker 1: think we've seen a lot of a Trump lately. Of course,
Speaker 1: the big test, right is the debate, and put debate
Speaker 1: in quotes. But that's why we're talking about it so much.
Speaker 1: But I think what Jack was maybe talking about. And
Speaker 1: by the way, another key point right when we're talking
Speaker 1: about any block of voters, that Trump is trying to
Speaker 1: peel off a union in this example, he doesn't have
Speaker 1: to get them all, He doesn't have to get him all.
Speaker 1: He just has to get enough to win. He just
Speaker 1: has to cut into the typical democratic margin, Democratic party
Speaker 1: margin enough to win. And I think he's certainly doing that. Now,
Speaker 1: how can you overcome if you are Donald Trump, no
Speaker 1: matter how good you are, how do you overcome something
Speaker 1: is incredibly effective, as Kamala Harris talking like this in
Speaker 1: front of that black union audience in Detroit, I don't
Speaker 1: know how you overcome this.
Speaker 2: You better thank a union member.
Speaker 3: One the five day work week.
Speaker 4: You better thank a union member for sick leave.
Speaker 2: You better thank a union member for paid leave.
Speaker 1: You better thank a union member for vacation time. And
Speaker 1: that's why I started the show saying, hey, listen, just
Speaker 1: run that on a loop. You could run that on
Speaker 1: a loop and every swing state. I know, we've said
Speaker 1: that about a lot of stuff. Harris has said. You
Speaker 1: could run that on a loop and every swing state
Speaker 1: between now an election day and pretty much guarantee victory. Right,
Speaker 1: Because if there's one thing that vast majority of us
Speaker 1: don't like, crossholl party lines, it is a phony. And
Speaker 1: we sure as heck don't like somebody who talks down
Speaker 1: to us. And you talk about a combo pack right there.
Speaker 1: I mean, that is as phony as it gets. And
Speaker 1: in case there were any doubts about that, she said
Speaker 1: this too, let's.
Speaker 5: Just get through the next sixty four days.
Speaker 1: Wow wow. But hey, just a few hours later, same message.
Speaker 1: Thank unions every day.
Speaker 3: For the five day work week, for the weekend, pro
Speaker 3: paid leave, if you've got it, so got work to
Speaker 3: do that?
Speaker 1: Well, why did she sound so different? Sellless? People know it.
Speaker 1: And it's one big reason Donald Trump won before got
Speaker 1: a lot of votes from people who maybe didn't like
Speaker 1: him that much, because he's authententic, he's real. You know
Speaker 1: what you're getting, and you look at the combo peck here,
Speaker 1: Ryan not only is she as phony as can be,
Speaker 1: and there's obviously something off with her, there's some kind
Speaker 1: of impairment of function. But people have so little time
Speaker 1: to get to know her, right, We've never had this before.
Speaker 1: We've never had the democratically elected nominee deposed in a
Speaker 1: back room deal and then the successor installed. And while
Speaker 1: people knew her as vice president formed impressions largely negative,
Speaker 1: they didn't really get to know her. So now you
Speaker 1: got this combo of having to get to know her
Speaker 1: very quickly, and then she's obviously doing phony stuff like that.
Speaker 1: That does not bode well for her.
Speaker 6: It's counterintuitive for her too, in the way she's running
Speaker 6: this campaign is that she does not want voters to
Speaker 6: get to know her, not the real her anyway, So
Speaker 6: she's trying to play possum. She's doing a shadow boxing
Speaker 6: campaign with as little media access as possible, and they're
Speaker 6: banking on the I hate Trump vote outweigh those that
Speaker 6: can tolerate Trump or will support them. I don't think
Speaker 6: that's a winning strategy, Dan, because I don't think that
Speaker 6: that animus is strong enough. If somebody's alone in the
Speaker 6: voting booth, or they got their envelope, and they don't
Speaker 6: really know who Kamala Harris is. Aren't they going to
Speaker 6: go with the devil they know over the devil they
Speaker 6: don't know.
Speaker 1: Well, you put that very well, Ryan, I'd take it
Speaker 1: one step further. In the end, there is zero doubt,
Speaker 1: zero doubt. In the end, people are going to choose
Speaker 1: competence over likability. Now, I happen to really like and
Speaker 1: enjoy Donald Trump. I criticize him when he deserves it,
Speaker 1: which happens. But there are a lot of people who
Speaker 1: don't like Donald Trump. I recognize that. But in the end,
Speaker 1: even if we were in the very best of times
Speaker 1: and everything was puppies and rainbows and unicorns, but in
Speaker 1: the very serious times we're in right now, no no
Speaker 1: enough people to matter are going to choose competence over
Speaker 1: likability every time. And then you can extend that to
Speaker 1: known quantity over likability because people know those Trump peers
Speaker 1: were really, really good when it came to the things
Speaker 1: that matter most. You're on the Dan Capla Show.
Speaker 7: And now back to the Amplas Show podcast.
Speaker 8: Vice President Harris, Vice President Harris, Vice President Harris.
Speaker 1: My name is Steve McCooey.
Speaker 8: I'm the father of Lance Corporal Kareem m Nicooey.
Speaker 7: My name is Jim McCollum.
Speaker 4: I am the gold Star father of the United States
Speaker 4: Marine Corps Lance Corporate Riley McCollum. This is Mark Schmidtz,
Speaker 4: gold star father of Marie, Lance Corporal Jared Schmidtz. My
Speaker 4: name is Darren Hoover, and I'm the gold Star father
Speaker 4: of the United States Marine Corps staff Sergeant Taylor Hoover.
Speaker 6: My daughter in law, Sergeant Nicole LeAnn Ge was killed
Speaker 6: in the Afghanistan exit at Abbey Gate.
Speaker 9: Our kids were murdered because of your administration.
Speaker 8: You're not at Dover for the dignified transfer, and no
Speaker 8: time have you reached out to me to offer your condolences,
Speaker 8: to offer thank you for kareem sacrifice and service.
Speaker 1: You have have thirteen families.
Speaker 4: We've been waiting over three years to so much as
Speaker 4: get a phone call, so much as are kids' names
Speaker 4: settle out. You failed for three years and eight months
Speaker 4: to acknowledge our kids. Where were you and Joe Biden
Speaker 4: on August twenty sixth, twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1: Nowhere near Arlington Cemetery.
Speaker 6: You couldn't be bothered to be with us or even
Speaker 6: say our kids' names, just as you had done for
Speaker 6: the last three years.
Speaker 7: Vice President Harris, I ask you, why.
Speaker 1: Won't you return a call and explain to us how
Speaker 1: you call my daughter in law's death a success President
Speaker 1: Trump has called.
Speaker 6: President Trump shows up where President Trump takes the time
Speaker 6: to hear our.
Speaker 1: Loved one stories, we invited him to be there.
Speaker 4: These are the only memories we get to make with
Speaker 4: our son, and it is you who is playing politics
Speaker 4: and trying to detract from our memories made that day.
Speaker 1: President Trump has been there for us. He's been a
Speaker 1: rock for us.
Speaker 4: He showed compassion for us when and he showed he
Speaker 4: truly cares for the families that truly do know what
Speaker 4: the ultimate sacrifice really is.
Speaker 1: How incredibly wrong and stupid of the Harris camp to
Speaker 1: pick a fight with these gold star families, particularly when
Speaker 1: they have no leg to stand on. And Trump has
Speaker 1: done it right from the very beginning, and Harris and
Speaker 1: Biden have done It's so wrong. By the way, this
Speaker 1: headline just popping up on CNN, is this the beginning
Speaker 1: of the exit plan? I don't think so, but I
Speaker 1: ask that because it's a fair question. CNN putting up
Speaker 1: the headline Harris Trump debate rules not solidified. So we
Speaker 1: heard some squawking from the Harris camp, from Harris herself
Speaker 1: over the weekend about Trump not agreed to open up
Speaker 1: the mics. Well, ABC said the rules were solidified. We're
Speaker 1: now a week out and CNN reporting the rules not solidified.
Speaker 1: Do you think Harris is going to be looking for
Speaker 1: an exit before that debate. I'm not predicting that. I'm
Speaker 1: predicting there will be a debate and Harris will be
Speaker 1: so thoroughly protected by ABC. She'll look good, She'll have
Speaker 1: some good sounding moments. It's not going to be even
Speaker 1: vaguely like the collapse of Joe Biden, and ABC would
Speaker 1: not let that happen, even if it looked like it
Speaker 1: was going to happen. But Trump can still come out
Speaker 1: the big winner through restraint and through hitting the right points.
Speaker 1: By the way, I want to get you this, this
Speaker 1: just dropped from Nate Silver. Now, Nate Silver, respected Polster,
Speaker 1: political analysts from the left, etc. Now you take everything
Speaker 1: with low grain of salt, because he's also a businessman, right,
Speaker 1: and he wants to keep attracting attention to himself. So
Speaker 1: you know, Nate Silver who had Harris's chance. These aren't
Speaker 1: poll spreads I'm giving you. These are You know that
Speaker 1: the percentage chance of success, the percentage chance of victory
Speaker 1: that he rates on a combination of things including the
Speaker 1: poll's historical trends, etc. He had Harris close to a
Speaker 1: sixty forty favorite a week or two ago, and now
Speaker 1: he has Trump closing in on a sixty forty favorite.
Speaker 1: So don't be at all surprised when in a few
Speaker 1: weeks Silver again has Harris as a favorite. But for
Speaker 1: what it's worth, and it's it's worth something because he
Speaker 1: is very respected and from the left. Silver comes out
Speaker 1: a few minutes ago and says, setting the convention bounced
Speaker 1: stuff aside, there just hasn't been much positive state polling
Speaker 1: data entering the system for Harris lately. It's a pretty
Speaker 1: significant statement from him, particularly because it's not opinion, it's fact.
Speaker 1: The state polling has been overall good for Trump and
Speaker 1: on a very positive trend line. Now you can throw
Speaker 1: certain polls out, right, I don't know if you do. Ryan.
Speaker 1: I throw Trafalgar out because Ritmus I'm not sure about
Speaker 1: him yet, but but Trafalgar is so hard right and
Speaker 1: so slanted toward Trump. I just throw that one out,
Speaker 1: just as there are certain ones on the left. You
Speaker 1: can just throw out ABC, Washington Post, you can throw
Speaker 1: that out. But but this is another Michigan pole from
Speaker 1: a group that does not lean right for the Detroit News,
Speaker 1: a Michigan pole that has Trump up one in Michigan. Right.
Speaker 1: And uh and and you know this is we just
Speaker 1: had a Minnesota pole again not from the right TV
Speaker 1: station in Minnesota on Friday that had Trump cutting their
Speaker 1: lead in half, and then over the weekend, isn't it.
Speaker 1: I think it is accurate. We saw, in one form
Speaker 1: or another, the Harris campaign in three blue states, right.
Speaker 1: I think we saw him in Minnesota, New Hampshire, Virginia.
Speaker 1: So the fact that they feel they have to cover
Speaker 1: that territory.
Speaker 6: Also just in one of Trump's advisors, Jason Miller, pointing
Speaker 6: out that the Harris campaign is making plans to either visit,
Speaker 6: target or advertise in New Hampshire.
Speaker 5: Right.
Speaker 1: And then he's interesting, there's a headline up about Harris's
Speaker 1: debate prep and she apparently is leaving the campaign trail
Speaker 1: for the most part on Thursday to prep for the debate.
Speaker 1: I don't falter for that that's a typical way to approach,
Speaker 1: and I think that's typically wise. Obviously, President Trump has
Speaker 1: his own approach. I do hope he does some more
Speaker 1: traditional type debate prep for this one as well, because
Speaker 1: the stakes are so high, the race is trending his way.
Speaker 1: Another good debate performance, you know, could come close to
Speaker 1: putting it to bed. But they're running these headlines about
Speaker 1: how she's prepping in Pittsburgh, right because she has to
Speaker 1: win Pennsylvania. She has to And I'm just sitting here laughing, because, oh,
Speaker 1: that's going to make up for that's going to make
Speaker 1: up for the biggest political mistake in our lifetimes wait,
Speaker 1: born of the anti Semitism, not hers, but within certainly
Speaker 1: certain powerful blocks in the Democratic Party rejecting Pennsylvania's extremely
Speaker 1: popular Governor Shapiro in favor of this Well the Family
Speaker 1: Show Waltz Tim Watts, Now, ye, I don't think that
Speaker 1: prepping in Pittsburgh is going to make up for that.
Speaker 1: I don't you know. I don't think there's really anything
Speaker 1: she can do at this point to to make up
Speaker 1: for that. That's stunning, stunning mistake. That is such a gift,
Speaker 1: It is such a gift to the Trump campaign and
Speaker 1: by extension, all of America, and then on top of that,
Speaker 1: are now famous, which you'll never be able to get
Speaker 1: away from her. Effectively disavow opposition to Frank absolutely opposed
Speaker 1: to frecking but my goodness, yeah, prepping in Pittsburgh. That's
Speaker 1: that's going to make up for turning your back on Shapiro. Right,
Speaker 1: were zero five eight two five five the number text
Speaker 1: d A N five seven seven through nine. When we
Speaker 1: go back, what's the truth of what's going on with
Speaker 1: Venezuelan gangs in Colorado?
Speaker 7: You're listening to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast.
Speaker 9: The Moss murders executed these six hostages and cold blood
Speaker 9: apparently shot them the head shortly before they might have
Speaker 9: been rescued by Israeli defense forces. My heart goes out
Speaker 9: to all the families, especially Herschelbert Poland's family are fellow American.
Speaker 9: There are other fellow Americans still to be accounted for.
Speaker 9: But I think we should note that these hostages were
Speaker 9: discovered in the tunnels under Ratha. That's where Joe Biden
Speaker 9: and Kamala Harris put pressure on Israel not to enter
Speaker 9: for months, using arms embargo to try to keep them
Speaker 9: from entering Kamala. Harris even said that Israel shouldn't enter
Speaker 9: Rafa because she had studied the maps.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right, Tom Cotton, Well, I play that now
Speaker 1: because what you just heard at the bottom one of
Speaker 1: the few credible, accurate newscasts we ever hear from ABC
Speaker 1: National News on the show, of course, every day we
Speaker 1: hear a tremendous local newscasts from our award winning newsroom.
Speaker 1: But the ABC stuff, they're just Democrat hacks at this point.
Speaker 1: But they were right about this one. And this is
Speaker 1: a major, major development, major development politically, and it tells
Speaker 1: you something unmistakable about the polling, the polling that the
Speaker 1: Biden administration is seeing right now that the Harris campaign
Speaker 1: is seen right now. Justice Department charges top Hamas terrorists
Speaker 1: for October seven massacre. And this guy's just Hitler. He's
Speaker 1: just the reincarnation of Hitler. Hamas's chief Sinwar and he's
Speaker 1: among those charged. I'll read a bit of the peace
Speaker 1: from National Review. The Justice Department is charging several top
Speaker 1: ranking AMAS terrorists for the role in perpetrating the October
Speaker 1: twenty seventh, October seven to twenty twenty three mass slaughter
Speaker 1: of Israeli civilians that jump started the ongoing conflict between
Speaker 1: Israel and Hamas, and it goes on from there. There
Speaker 1: is no way, my constitutionally protected opinion, there is zero
Speaker 1: chance this happens unless the internal polling is so awful
Speaker 1: right now for the Harris campaign that it feels it
Speaker 1: has to make a pivot, because obviously it's how I
Speaker 1: open the show. It's been catering to the anti Semitic
Speaker 1: faction of the Democratic Party. That's why they don't have
Speaker 1: Josh Shapiro as their VP, and very hopefully that costs
Speaker 1: them Pennsylvania. They've been catering to that faction. They've been
Speaker 1: so petrified and terrified that they're going to lose Michigan
Speaker 1: if they don't cater to these Hamas supporters and Amas
Speaker 1: representing the rawst form of evil on the face of
Speaker 1: the earth. And so they've forfeited all principle. They forfeited
Speaker 1: right and wrong for this political calculation, which, as we predicted,
Speaker 1: is now backfiring on them. You can bet it's backfiring
Speaker 1: on them among Jewish voters in America and far beyond that, though,
Speaker 1: backfiring on them among just a lot of decent people
Speaker 1: of all religions or no religion at all. Nobody has
Speaker 1: to be any kind of foreign affairs expert to see
Speaker 1: that Hamas is just evil in its raws form. And
Speaker 1: so now you're seeing this pivot. Now all of a sudden,
Speaker 1: after the execution of the American hostage in a place
Speaker 1: where where Harris said, oh no, you shouldn't even go
Speaker 1: in there, what do we have? We have the Biden
Speaker 1: administration bringing charges against Sinwar and others. So what do
Speaker 1: you think is going on here? I understand somebody could
Speaker 1: make the opposite argument, Ryan, and tell me which argument
Speaker 1: you would buy. Someone can make the opposite argument that
Speaker 1: Wait a second, No, Dan, this is Biden doing exactly
Speaker 1: what you said he was going to do right right,
Speaker 1: because what I've told you from day one, it's obviously true.
Speaker 1: We've got another example of it today. I just don't
Speaker 1: think this is an example. But we have Biden undeniably
Speaker 1: trying to defeat Harris, because you can be certain Joe
Speaker 1: Biden wants the people who humiliated him, deposed him, cast
Speaker 1: him aside. Think about how humiliating that is for anybody,
Speaker 1: let alone is sitting president, let alone somebody like Joe Biden,
Speaker 1: who's so riddled with insecurities. Yeah, Joe Biden wants the
Speaker 1: people who humiliated him to fail. Do you really think
Speaker 1: there's even one chance in a trillion, even a little
Speaker 1: sinew in his body where Biden wants the people who
Speaker 1: did this to him and succeed. No, he wants to
Speaker 1: be sitting there an election night seeing I told you
Speaker 1: so well, I should have been your nominee. That's what
Speaker 1: he wants more than anything. So is there any chance
Speaker 1: that he's doing this to hurt hairs?
Speaker 6: Is there any chance under very dark cover of night
Speaker 6: dan that he might be feeding the Trump campaign any
Speaker 6: kind of tidbits to help them out.
Speaker 1: Oh? I don't think there's any doubt they're going to
Speaker 1: do it. Leaks through not Joe Biden calling up Trump
Speaker 1: or Steven Miller anybody, but there are going to be
Speaker 1: leaks that help the Trump campaign. Nobody can deny Biden
Speaker 1: wants her to lose. Biden wants the people who deposed
Speaker 1: him to fail. I don't think that can even be
Speaker 1: credibly argued. The question is what's that going to look like?
Speaker 1: And is this part of it? Is this bringing of
Speaker 1: charges now? Because you can bet that's going to make
Speaker 1: a lot of Democrat voters in Michigan unhappy. I think
Speaker 1: it's going to make a lot more happy, because there
Speaker 1: are many more good people than bad people. But so
Speaker 1: I think it's more likely a reflection of internal polling
Speaker 1: that shows their tanking because of their support for Hamas,
Speaker 1: and this is an effort to turn that polling around.
Speaker 1: That's my best guess. But I could see the other
Speaker 1: argument being made that is part of Biden's effort to
Speaker 1: defeat Harris. Another part of Biden's effort to defeat Harris, Ryan,
Speaker 1: I left my head off. I'm surprised I could start
Speaker 1: the segment. We're about to start a segment in this headline,
Speaker 1: Oh this is perfect. This headline pops up on CNN
Speaker 1: that said something like secret weapon. Joe Biden goes back
Speaker 1: on the campaign trail for Kamala Harris, and I said, hey,
Speaker 1: exhibit Hey proves my point. He wants her to lose,
Speaker 1: because if you wanted Harris to win, you wouldn't be
Speaker 1: out there linking yourself to him, to her. And then
Speaker 1: look at this headline on CNN right now, James Carville,
Speaker 1: Harris must break from Biden on policy CNN headline twenty
Speaker 1: minutes ago, Secret Weapon Joe Biden back on the camp
Speaker 1: atrail for Harris, and then Carvel's saying, man, she's got
Speaker 1: to separate from him. No, obviously, if Biden really wanted
Speaker 1: Harris to win, he would not be out there campaigning
Speaker 1: for her. That that only drags her down, It links
Speaker 1: her to him. Why do you think that she had
Speaker 1: this big surge in the polls after he was deposed
Speaker 1: and she was installed because a whole lot of people
Speaker 1: didn't like him before. Yeah, so he he is only
Speaker 1: hurting her when he goes out there, Mark and monument
Speaker 1: her on the Dan Kapla show, Welcome.
Speaker 5: Yeah, hey, Dan, thanks for taking my call. I've got
Speaker 5: to disagree with you somewhat on the Trafalgar pulling. I
Speaker 5: do agree with you, he's very conservative. But if you
Speaker 5: go back and look at the twenty sixteen election.
Speaker 3: With Clinton and then twenty twenty with Biden and donational stuff,
Speaker 3: go back and look, she was within the top two
Speaker 3: to three of inaccuracy with polling the individual states.
Speaker 5: And when I say individual, I'm talking like Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania,
Speaker 5: and North Carolina.
Speaker 1: Those type of.
Speaker 5: States, and there's only really, there's only a few polsters
Speaker 5: that had been very good. I think that fabrics what
Speaker 5: is that fabrics polling?
Speaker 1: Right?
Speaker 5: The tip polling has been pretty good, but most of
Speaker 5: them when you go back and look at a week
Speaker 5: or two before the elections back in sixteen and even.
Speaker 1: Twenty, Mark, you broke up on us, which is said
Speaker 1: because you're a great caller and obviously very well informed
Speaker 1: and you know what you're talking about. And I sure
Speaker 1: appreciate that. Here here's my problem with Trafalgar polling. Okay,
Speaker 1: we got burned by them big time in twenty two
Speaker 1: and they were way off, way way way off in
Speaker 1: in almost every key race. And so I agree with
Speaker 1: you historically on their success, but they were so far off,
Speaker 1: they were so far off I think it was in
Speaker 1: the mid terms or twenty a half to go back
Speaker 1: and double check that, I just can't trust him right now. Now,
Speaker 1: maybe they've got their formula tweaked and they're right on
Speaker 1: top of it now. Because the truth is, the Trafogar polling,
Speaker 1: which is so good for Trump in the swing States,
Speaker 1: is now lining up with a bunch of other much
Speaker 1: more independent polling which is also good for Trump in
Speaker 1: the swing States. So maybe Trafalgar now has it figured out.
Speaker 1: I hope so. But we don't have to rely on
Speaker 1: Trafalgar at this point to look at the polling and
Speaker 1: say this is Trump's race to lose. He's on a
Speaker 1: trajectory to win. And next Tuesday Night's event can't call
Speaker 1: it a debate because she'll be protected. Next Tuesday Night's
Speaker 1: event is probably everything. You're on the Dan Kaplis Show.
Speaker 7: And now back to the Dan camp A Show podcast.
Speaker 2: You better thank a union member.
Speaker 7: One the five day work week, you met a thank
Speaker 7: a union member for sick leave.
Speaker 2: You better thank a union member for paid leave. You
Speaker 2: better thank a union member for the can time.
Speaker 9: Let's just get through the next sixty four days.
Speaker 1: Oh my lord, it is she literally the biggest phony
Speaker 1: we've ever had in a presidential race. I mean, think
Speaker 1: about that first. I understand there are people you've disagreed
Speaker 1: with on policy, maybe intensely disliked or liked, But have
Speaker 1: we ever had a bigger phony, just obviously phony in
Speaker 1: a presidential race. I don't think anybody else comes close.
Speaker 1: I mean, you can say what you want about candidate
Speaker 1: on this side or that side, but a phony. I mean,
Speaker 1: the big reason Trump won is his authenticity. A lot
Speaker 1: of people don't like him, say, hey, he's real. At
Speaker 1: least I know what I'm getting. It just doesn't get
Speaker 1: any more phony than what you just heard. And I
Speaker 1: think on so many different levels, you run that sound
Speaker 1: in every swing state through election day, you're going to
Speaker 1: win because Americans say, people have a very strong sense
Speaker 1: of self respect, and people who lie to you are
Speaker 1: disrespecting you, right, And we've all got really good radar
Speaker 1: for that. People who are pretending to be something they're
Speaker 1: not to get something from you, like a vote No,
Speaker 1: that's just wow, and then talking down to the audience,
Speaker 1: all sorts of things that make that bad for her
Speaker 1: and good for Trump. But interesting, you know, as we've
Speaker 1: been predicting and talking about the polls, clearly at this
Speaker 1: point there's no doubt about it. Nate Silver from the
Speaker 1: Left has acknowledged it as recently as forty minutes ago.
Speaker 1: The polls now trending in Trump's favor, including in the
Speaker 1: swing states. But what's remarkable is Trump has spend grossly
Speaker 1: outspent in the swing states and he's still trending up.
Speaker 1: And if the election was held today would likely win
Speaker 1: the current buys through election day. Have the Democrats trouncing
Speaker 1: Trump in terms of spending in the swing states? Now,
Speaker 1: I expect that's going to change, But even with all
Speaker 1: that race was held today, he probably wins. We're going
Speaker 1: to spend a lot more time over the next few
Speaker 1: days talking about this so called debate a week from now,
Speaker 1: which will probably be the last big event that shapes
Speaker 1: the outcome of the campaign, and talking about what you
Speaker 1: want to see or not see. But we have to
Speaker 1: spend the last couple of minutes of the show talking
Speaker 1: about two things. Want a text, Ryan, what is this
Speaker 1: text you're talking about? I'd love to know.
Speaker 5: Dan.
Speaker 1: How's about you bring on Michael Brown and you two
Speaker 1: have a debate. I love Michael Brown. I love his show.
Speaker 1: I listened to it every morning. But what would we
Speaker 1: be debating about? What would we disagree on?
Speaker 6: Well, somebody that knows you both extremely well, I don't
Speaker 6: know that he has severe disagreements with you on policy
Speaker 6: matters that stand out to me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, No, and I'm sure we do somewhere, and I'd
Speaker 1: love to debate it. But yeah, I just don't know
Speaker 1: what the texture is referring to please to write us
Speaker 1: or call us and let us know what you're talking
Speaker 1: about there, Dan, I just tuned in and call most
Speaker 1: of that incredible sound clip from the thirteen gold Star Families.
Speaker 1: Where can I find that clip to share? Just google
Speaker 1: up Trump ad gold Star Families. That's a Trump campaign ad.
Speaker 1: And whoever told Kamala Harris to pick that fight with
Speaker 1: the gold Star Families? Wow? She is way off balance.
Speaker 1: So off balance. Over the weekend, to avoid reporters questions
Speaker 1: about the horror in Israel because of the policies of
Speaker 1: the Biden administration, she pretended to be on the phone
Speaker 1: but made the mistake of having both the AirPods in
Speaker 1: and have the phone up to her ear. Yet not
Speaker 1: a great look, Dan. How many votes do you think
Speaker 1: Trump and Kamala each will get this overall? I don't
Speaker 1: believe Kamala gets more than fifty million votes nationwide if
Speaker 1: it's an honest election. Great question. I want to sit down.
Speaker 1: I want to look at you know, yet all those
Speaker 1: states before that now had mail in, but then had
Speaker 1: mail in balanting because of COVID and they don't normally
Speaker 1: have it. So I want to go back and look
Speaker 1: at those numbers. Before I answer that good question, Dan,
Speaker 1: is that any worse talking about Kamala's obviously phony talked
Speaker 1: down to the crowd voice in Detroit than Trump mimicking
Speaker 1: a disabled person. I dare you to run that in
Speaker 1: a loop Listen. I criticize that at the time it happened,
Speaker 1: and I know President Trump said that's not what he
Speaker 1: was doing, But I criticize that at the time it happened. Dot,
Speaker 1: I don't think there's been a more balanced show when
Speaker 1: it comes to President Trump, criticizing him when he deserves it,
Speaker 1: praising him when he deserves it. It just sounds like
Speaker 1: more Trump praise than you normally hear, because he's deserved
Speaker 1: a lot of praise. Dan, What about kamalain Al Sharpton
Speaker 1: for reparations? Yeah, we have that sound. This comes back
Speaker 1: to the danger of diffusion. Never has there been a
Speaker 1: candidate against whom there is more powerful evidence right out
Speaker 1: of their own mouth than all of this video and
Speaker 1: sound from Kamala Harris. But which do you choose to
Speaker 1: lead with? But yeah, there's some sound out there of
Speaker 1: Harris calling for reparations that will try to play tomorrow.
Speaker 1: That's probably a ninety ten big loser in America. Dan,
Speaker 1: the significance of Mikey is that he wouldn't eat anything,
Speaker 1: but he did eat Life Cereal, so we knew it
Speaker 1: was good. And what I was talking about is the
Speaker 1: Harris campaign clearly now views Polus as their go to liar.
Speaker 1: When they have something they need to address but they
Speaker 1: have no good answer to it. They call up Polus
Speaker 1: and they send him out on national TV because Jaredi'll
Speaker 1: eat it. Jared'll do it, and he's pretty shameless about it.
Speaker 1: And I didn't get to that sound today. We'll place
Speaker 1: some of that tomorrow. But that's what the Mikey reference is.
Speaker 1: I thought Ryan that Mikey would eat anything. That's why
Speaker 1: they kept saying, hey, Mikey'll eat it.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 6: I believe the commercial originally was like, he doesn't like it,
Speaker 6: but he likes life ceria.
Speaker 1: Okay, well, let's play the Christial need to get that camel.
Speaker 1: We need to get the camel back for one on
Speaker 1: the button text or a good way to in the show.
Speaker 1: Trump won't have anything to do during the speech slash
Speaker 1: debate because Harris is going to get COVID. You know,
Speaker 1: CNN running a headline today. I mentioned that debate rules
Speaker 1: not yet settled. Wait a second, is Harris now positioning
Speaker 1: for an out? I don't think so. I expected to
Speaker 1: be there, but keep an eye on that Ryan. Great job.
Speaker 1: Thank you as always, Kelly, You're the best. Please join
Speaker 1: us tomorrow on The Dan Kapla Show