1
00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:01,960
Speaker 1: You're live, my friend.

2
00:00:02,799 --> 00:00:05,160
Speaker 2: Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

3
00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:07,679
betting shows, where we talk the talk and walk the walk.

4
00:00:07,719 --> 00:00:11,560
It's Wednesday, Bord is stacked, We've got basketball, we got football.

5
00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:14,199
Ralph Michaels is gonna break down some college basketball trends

6
00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:19,719
how it affects November. November, we're Minnesota Missouri and Saturday's

7
00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:24,600
Iowa versus usc matchup. Then Ross Benjamin is gonna join

8
00:00:24,679 --> 00:00:30,039
us talk Lakers in Thunder the Thunder just keep on rolling, man,

9
00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:33,159
they are an absolute wagon right now. He's gonna break

10
00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:35,960
down Florida and Old miss and we're gonna do another

11
00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:41,560
episode of this line makes no sense. It's midweek, it's momentum.

12
00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,759
Let's keep stacking winners. I know you guys like to

13
00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:48,359
get a little steam report when Yanni is off. So

14
00:00:49,039 --> 00:00:51,679
clearly the biggest move is gonna be this Cleveland and

15
00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,840
Miami game. Cleveland open up at minus five, but they're

16
00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:58,759
resting starters, so that's gone from Cleveland minus five to

17
00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:00,920
Miami minus five and a half. I'm actually gonna be doing

18
00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,719
a breakdown on that exact game at the end of

19
00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:07,000
the show, so you can check that one out. Money

20
00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:09,760
is coming in on Houston minus sixteen and a half

21
00:01:09,879 --> 00:01:10,560
against Wizard.

22
00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:11,799
Speaker 3: That's how bad the Wizards are.

23
00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,760
Speaker 2: They're playing a team they're getting sixteen and a half points,

24
00:01:14,799 --> 00:01:18,159
and people are betting the spread against them. It's pretty bad.

25
00:01:18,239 --> 00:01:21,640
Portland is taking money against New Orleans, no surprise there.

26
00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,400
Dallas opened up as the favorite, but money's come in

27
00:01:24,439 --> 00:01:28,359
on Phoenix. And if we want to look at some football,

28
00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:30,359
not a lot of movement. There's a little bit coming

29
00:01:30,439 --> 00:01:32,760
in on Northern Illinois tonight, minus ten and a half

30
00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,439
up to minus eleven and a half. If you're gonna

31
00:01:35,439 --> 00:01:37,959
bet Toledo, I would do that now minus three and

32
00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:41,319
a half's are gone, minus four and even some four

33
00:01:41,359 --> 00:01:43,840
and a halfs are popping up, and a little bit

34
00:01:43,879 --> 00:01:47,560
coming in on Central Michigan. So that's your little mini

35
00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,640
Steam Report. Happy Wednesday, everybody. Hope everyone is having a

36
00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:54,959
great day. You guys did amazing with the movie talk yesterday,

37
00:01:55,079 --> 00:01:59,079
and we're gonna show you guys something special tomorrow when

38
00:01:59,159 --> 00:02:01,400
Dan is back. We're talking about the Philadelphia Eagles and

39
00:02:01,599 --> 00:02:05,799
movies that are bad but you just can't stop watching.

40
00:02:05,879 --> 00:02:07,879
So we got something special for that. Let's bring in

41
00:02:07,959 --> 00:02:10,159
Ralph Michaels. We got a lot to talk about with

42
00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:12,919
Ralph here, Ralph, Happy, Happy Wednesday.

43
00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:14,680
Speaker 3: How are you? What's up, Chris.

44
00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:17,479
Speaker 4: So Andy?

45
00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:20,400
Speaker 5: Uh, just so you know, there's been one hundred there's

46
00:02:20,439 --> 00:02:22,719
been three hundred and fifty NBA games with a line

47
00:02:22,719 --> 00:02:26,479
of minus sixteen or more since nineteen ninety. Uh, they're

48
00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,280
fifty one and four fifty one point four percent against

49
00:02:29,319 --> 00:02:30,479
the spread, those big favorites.

50
00:02:32,199 --> 00:02:35,240
Speaker 3: Just yeah, no value, what's so for it?

51
00:02:35,599 --> 00:02:35,759
Speaker 1: So?

52
00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:39,240
Speaker 3: But it is bad, Like we're not that far into

53
00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,759
the season, Ralph, Like we're still close to the.

54
00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:43,879
Speaker 2: Beginning and there's still so but the Wizards are so

55
00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,280
bad that there're seventeen point dogs.

56
00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:46,840
Speaker 6: Yeah.

57
00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:47,560
Speaker 4: I brought that up.

58
00:02:47,599 --> 00:02:50,800
Speaker 5: In college football, Afron was laying eleven to you Mass

59
00:02:50,879 --> 00:02:51,439
last week.

60
00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:52,599
Speaker 4: How bad is you Mass?

61
00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,080
Speaker 5: So you Mass is the lowest I've ever had a

62
00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,159
college football team on my power ratings.

63
00:02:57,639 --> 00:02:59,479
Speaker 4: They're that low of a bar right now.

64
00:02:59,479 --> 00:03:02,800
Speaker 2: But another story, all right, Well, let's talk a little

65
00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:06,319
college basketball. Let's talk in Minnesota and Missouri. I am

66
00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:09,960
not a big college basketball. I don't follow it as

67
00:03:10,039 --> 00:03:12,280
much as everyone else. At the end of the day,

68
00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:14,680
there's just too many sports I can't do everything. So

69
00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:17,319
I'm always interested in you guys kind of explaining these

70
00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,800
teams because obviously with nil there's a lot of moving

71
00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:22,879
parts going on. So we got Missouri minus six and

72
00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,759
a half over under one fifty seven. Tell us about

73
00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:29,759
these two teams and what you expect in this matchup, Andy.

74
00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:33,120
Speaker 5: I'm going to start this off by stealing Ross's line.

75
00:03:33,159 --> 00:03:36,599
Speaker 4: Who will be up next? This line makes no sense.

76
00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:41,120
Speaker 5: Uh, You're looking at a Minnesota team that has a

77
00:03:41,159 --> 00:03:46,039
brand new head coach that went fifteen and seventeen last year,

78
00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,400
which was number eighty three and ken palm, and has

79
00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:55,159
zero returning starters playing a Missouri team which is in

80
00:03:55,319 --> 00:03:59,319
Dennis Gates's fourth or fiftier. They went twenty two and

81
00:03:59,439 --> 00:04:03,800
twelve last year, finished number nineteen and ten palm ratings.

82
00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:07,719
They have three starters back, and they're only laying six

83
00:04:07,759 --> 00:04:10,599
and a half at home. I don't get it. I

84
00:04:10,719 --> 00:04:14,479
actually did not have this play on my card. When

85
00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,639
I started breaking it down, I started doing some deeper

86
00:04:17,639 --> 00:04:20,920
reading and deeper diving. I actually added this as a

87
00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,199
client play now on Missouri minus the six and a half.

88
00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:26,879
Dennis Gates, you know I was a fan when he

89
00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:28,680
was the head coach at Cleveland State. What he did

90
00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,319
to this program. He has a team that is not

91
00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:35,319
only deep, is one of the tallest teams in the country.

92
00:04:36,199 --> 00:04:39,759
Minnesota is a team that's bereft of front line size.

93
00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:46,920
Their front line six three, six eight, six eleven. They've

94
00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:49,720
got a six' seven guy in there that'll play sometimes as,

95
00:04:49,759 --> 00:04:52,000
well but they've got a very small line and their

96
00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:56,160
best offensive player is their center or power, forward who

97
00:04:56,199 --> 00:04:59,600
is six foot eight In Jaden Crocker. Johnson the problem

98
00:04:59,639 --> 00:05:04,279
is This missouri's front. Line they have guys that have

99
00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:06,759
started this season seven.

100
00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:11,360
Speaker 4: Foot six, eleven six, eleven six' nine and.

101
00:05:11,439 --> 00:05:15,879
Speaker 5: Six five they've got, the size they've got. The experience

102
00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:19,439
they're at home playing a. Fourth, game now is there

103
00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:22,399
an advantage playing a fourth game versus a team playing

104
00:05:22,399 --> 00:05:24,360
a third game that one extra game under.

105
00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:25,519
Speaker 4: Your, belt well.

106
00:05:25,399 --> 00:05:29,519
Speaker 5: Their database tells us it is teams playing game four

107
00:05:29,639 --> 00:05:32,199
versus a team paying game three as a home favorite

108
00:05:32,439 --> 00:05:35,959
sixty three percent since twenty. Twenty one if they're a

109
00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:39,439
home favorite of, four more that goes to seventy one

110
00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:46,800
percent against. The spread minnesota's two opponents, This Year, gardner

111
00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:48,959
webb who is number three hundred and twenty one in

112
00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:51,800
the country At Al, corn state which is three hundred

113
00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:53,639
and thirty four in, the country and both were.

114
00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:54,439
Speaker 4: At home.

115
00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:59,079
Speaker 5: Minnesouri hasn't played that tough of, a schedule but they

116
00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:01,360
have at least played on the, road already so they've

117
00:06:01,399 --> 00:06:06,240
been tested More than. Minnesota has it was gonna be

118
00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:09,120
a best bet for. The show it ended up being a.

119
00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:12,920
Client Play The missouri tigers get it done tonight Versus

120
00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:13,680
The Minnesota.

121
00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:19,160
Speaker 2: Golden gophers, all, Right interesting oh we get two versions of.

122
00:06:19,199 --> 00:06:21,240
Speaker 3: This line makes. No, sense oh it's gonna be a.

123
00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:22,480
Great day it's gonna be, a great.

124
00:06:22,519 --> 00:06:27,319
Speaker 2: Great day we're just kind of getting into college, basketball

125
00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,560
season and you've got some trends and angles to Focus.

126
00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:33,680
On november as, you're saying it's not a huge, you,

127
00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:36,519
know like oh my gosh. Aha moment but let's take

128
00:06:36,519 --> 00:06:38,959
a look at these trends and angles and say we

129
00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:40,959
can help people out when they're breaking down some of.

130
00:06:40,959 --> 00:06:44,240
These games we're looking At just november trends and how

131
00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,160
how the favorites of certain spreads are doing.

132
00:06:47,199 --> 00:06:49,920
Speaker 4: So far, so again These are november.

133
00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:53,399
Speaker 5: Games only the average team plays about eight Games, in

134
00:06:53,439 --> 00:06:54,800
november sometimes a little.

135
00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:57,360
Speaker 4: Bit more if you're gonna play some. Holiday tournaments so

136
00:06:57,959 --> 00:06:58,439
it gives you.

137
00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:02,120
Speaker 5: An idea so let's take. A look These are november

138
00:07:02,199 --> 00:07:06,040
only records since twenty. Twenty one on the top YOU

139
00:07:06,079 --> 00:07:09,279
see i have the home, favorite listed the, away favorite

140
00:07:09,319 --> 00:07:12,879
and neutral favorites down the left. Hand side the top

141
00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:16,759
line are all favorites, home favorites, away favorite. Neutral FAVORITES

142
00:07:16,879 --> 00:07:19,959
then i have favorites of seven, or more favorites of fourteen,

143
00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:23,800
or more favorites of twenty, or more or favorites of thirty.

144
00:07:23,879 --> 00:07:25,959
Or more so take a look at home favorites Andy.

145
00:07:25,959 --> 00:07:32,279
In november small home favorites basically, Fifty percent big home

146
00:07:32,319 --> 00:07:37,959
favorites of fourteen or more forty nine fifty and forty.

147
00:07:37,959 --> 00:07:41,079
Eight percent so not. Wow numbers but big Favorites in

148
00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:46,199
november are not a positive. Away favorites if you're a small,

149
00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:51,240
away favorite that is. A negative away favorites of minus

150
00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:53,480
seven or more forty two point.

151
00:07:53,519 --> 00:07:56,639
Speaker 4: One percent if we took out big favorites.

152
00:07:56,279 --> 00:07:58,399
Speaker 5: Of fourteen, or more twenty or more of thirty, or

153
00:07:58,439 --> 00:08:02,120
more those are a combined what fourteen. And eight if

154
00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:06,160
we took, that out those favorites of under fourteen would

155
00:08:06,199 --> 00:08:08,759
be about thirty, eight percent so that is a.

156
00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:10,439
Speaker 4: Significant fade and then.

157
00:08:10,519 --> 00:08:13,720
Speaker 5: Neutral favorites you see favorites of fourteen or more in

158
00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:17,759
a neutral setting forty one percent against. The spread on,

159
00:08:17,839 --> 00:08:21,360
the bottom people often, ask, me oh this team's off

160
00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:23,920
in an early season upset win or. Upset LOSS so

161
00:08:23,959 --> 00:08:25,920
i just went on the very bottom in that in

162
00:08:25,959 --> 00:08:28,040
that brownish color and the blue.

163
00:08:28,439 --> 00:08:29,279
Speaker 4: The top is.

164
00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:32,000
Speaker 5: Team's off the loss is a favorite of ten, or

165
00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:33,960
more so, they're off the loss is a double. Digit

166
00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,120
favorite those teams only forty eight percent their next game

167
00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:41,720
forty three percent. Over under on the, opposite end teams

168
00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:44,240
that are off a win as a double, digit dog

169
00:08:44,879 --> 00:08:48,399
those teams are forty nine percent and forty four percent.

170
00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:52,919
Over under so both situations Under the mendoza line against,

171
00:08:52,919 --> 00:08:58,679
the spread and both of those situations significantly under in

172
00:08:58,759 --> 00:08:59,080
the over.

173
00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:04,159
Speaker 2: Under market, all right so we've just got to be

174
00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,399
careful with some of. These favorites it's not it's not the.

175
00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,919
Obvious trends, and yeah you're looking at some of these, dogs.

176
00:09:09,519 --> 00:09:13,480
Speaker 5: Here and remember early in, the season teams that, are

177
00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:15,960
ranked we know how much of a Pot shot, dad,

178
00:09:16,159 --> 00:09:18,399
Is right those are just coaches that have no idea

179
00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,240
what teams are. Gonna do all of, a sudden they

180
00:09:20,279 --> 00:09:22,159
throw up a team because of last, year's rankings and

181
00:09:22,159 --> 00:09:24,480
they were ranked so early in, the season you get some.

182
00:09:24,639 --> 00:09:28,799
Fake RECORDS when i run those those ap ranked teams

183
00:09:28,799 --> 00:09:31,159
that are those double digit favorites that lose later in,

184
00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,200
the year it does become stronger because it becomes a.

185
00:09:34,279 --> 00:09:38,080
Speaker 2: Legitimate, situation yeah it makes all the sense of. The

186
00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,720
world so just just, tread, lightly guys when you're following

187
00:09:40,759 --> 00:09:43,879
some of. These trends let's move to college, Football, here

188
00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:48,200
ralph you're Bringing down IOWA, and usc and you know

189
00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:50,279
there's stereotypes for. A reason that was like one of

190
00:09:50,279 --> 00:09:53,440
The most iowa. Games ever it's just it was Perfectly

191
00:09:53,519 --> 00:10:00,759
encapsulated iowa final scores what, eighteen sixteen just this Slow Classic.

192
00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:04,960
Midwest iowa but now they're going on the, road here

193
00:10:05,159 --> 00:10:05,799
they're going Out.

194
00:10:05,799 --> 00:10:08,759
Speaker 3: To california so what do you Make of IOWA. And,

195
00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:11,320
usc well.

196
00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:14,519
Speaker 5: If you want to compare offenses, to defenses there's no game,

197
00:10:14,519 --> 00:10:19,799
that better uh shows that picture. Than this on, the

198
00:10:19,879 --> 00:10:24,240
season USC's offenses number two in, the country averaging five

199
00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:27,679
hundred three yards, per game number one in the country

200
00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:35,039
averaging seven point six' one yards per Play in the

201
00:10:35,519 --> 00:10:39,519
iowa team defense number four, in the country allowing two

202
00:10:39,639 --> 00:10:43,559
hundred and fifty, yards per game yards per play number

203
00:10:43,759 --> 00:10:48,279
seven in the country at four. Point TWO eight now

204
00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:52,320
i can, hear, People saying well iowa's. Defense is legit

205
00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:55,639
look what They, did to indiana holding them to fifteen

206
00:10:55,759 --> 00:10:59,000
points and two hundred and. EIGHTY four, yards i agree.

207
00:10:59,159 --> 00:11:03,960
An amazing ormans look what They, did Against oregon holding

208
00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,360
oregon to two hundred and thirty nine yards and sixteen

209
00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:11,879
points in that. Two, POINT loss again i agree. In

210
00:11:11,879 --> 00:11:16,480
incredible situation those. Are offensive. Numbers my apologies indiana had

211
00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:18,960
three hundred and thirty Seven yards and oregon had three

212
00:11:19,039 --> 00:11:22,399
hundred and. Seventy three, YARDS my apology I Gave you oregon's.

213
00:11:22,639 --> 00:11:27,519
Iowa's offensive numbers but the Difference is the indiana game

214
00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:30,720
against that elite Offense and the oregon game against. That

215
00:11:30,799 --> 00:11:33,879
elite offense we're both At. Home in kinnick it is

216
00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:37,080
so Much different for iowa to go. On the road

217
00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:41,240
they're only road games This Year. At Iowa state at

218
00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:45,440
rutgers they allowed four Hundred yards at Rutgers and at.

219
00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:50,200
Wisconsin they allowed wisconsin they Did. Shut out wisconsin but

220
00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:53,600
again That is. The wisconsin offense iowa is going to

221
00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:57,200
struggle with their defense on the road against. This ELITE

222
00:11:57,279 --> 00:12:02,399
offense when i look at, The rank games, iowa all.

223
00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:08,600
Defense no offense the. Difference IS this the usc defense is.

224
00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:13,559
Actually very solid they have played very well their number forty,

225
00:12:13,639 --> 00:12:17,279
in the country holding opponents to under. Their season average

226
00:12:17,720 --> 00:12:21,639
and if we want to look at late season games

227
00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:24,000
where both teams are ranked from week number, eight and

228
00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,639
later home favorites of three and a. Half or more

229
00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:28,679
when both teams are ranked and they're the higher ranked

230
00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:32,720
opponent one to eighteen and seventy, against the spread that is.

231
00:12:32,799 --> 00:12:37,840
Speaker 4: Sixty three percent use gets it, done at home.

232
00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:43,120
Speaker 5: They score well i'm actually going to look TO play the,

233
00:12:43,279 --> 00:12:47,399
usc TEAM total AND i like. Usc as well iowa

234
00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,600
will be struggling this week. On the road, by the way,

235
00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:54,840
it's their, first excuse me second road game, in six

236
00:12:54,919 --> 00:12:57,759
games and the only other road game they played was

237
00:12:57,799 --> 00:13:01,919
Against the, decimated wisconsin program which they score thirty seven

238
00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:05,799
points and. Shut them out, iowa goes down they get.

239
00:13:05,799 --> 00:13:08,440
THEIR fourth loss usc still.

240
00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:11,120
Speaker 4: In the, chase all.

241
00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:14,360
Speaker 2: Right, Great breakdown yeah I'm not playing iowa. On the, Road,

242
00:13:14,639 --> 00:13:17,960
new chance ralph you. And the pen what do you

243
00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:18,720
have up at wager?

244
00:13:18,799 --> 00:13:23,480
Speaker 5: Talk college football number one the, last four weeks number

245
00:13:23,519 --> 00:13:25,799
one the, last five, weeks five percent.

246
00:13:26,039 --> 00:13:27,600
Speaker 4: Twelve and two i'll have One.

247
00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:31,159
Speaker 5: For this, saturday as well but, again Two Options the

248
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:36,480
weekend warrior for forty nine dollars or this week Any. Capra,

249
00:13:36,639 --> 00:13:41,799
wager talk basically you're getting a free three day, all

250
00:13:41,799 --> 00:13:46,639
access packed which is sixty nine dollars because our seven

251
00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,639
day all access for ninety nine dollars is now bumped

252
00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,720
up to get ten days for, ninety nine dollars under ten,

253
00:13:52,759 --> 00:13:56,039
dollars a day. No coupon needed that's the way to

254
00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:58,759
go to get the end of this weekend taking you

255
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,080
all the way. Into next week ten, days, of FOOTBALL

256
00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,039
basketball and nhl for under ten.

257
00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:09,399
Speaker 2: Dollars a, Day, great segment ralph thank, you very, much great.

258
00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,559
Trends great breakdowns take a look At that Weekend Warrior.

259
00:14:12,639 --> 00:14:15,480
For ralph michaels thank you so much, for joining us

260
00:14:15,519 --> 00:14:17,000
and thank you to everybody. In the chat if you

261
00:14:17,039 --> 00:14:19,720
could take a quick second hit that like button and

262
00:14:19,759 --> 00:14:24,720
we had a question about College BASKETBALL props anddiyan i know.

263
00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:27,039
It's football talk curious if anyone your team or someone

264
00:14:27,039 --> 00:14:30,279
else that major talk does college basketball props looking to

265
00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:33,399
learn more for some. Contests, OUT there yes i do

266
00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,159
look at college basketball props for.

267
00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:37,360
Speaker 3: What we do what makes.

268
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,200
Speaker 2: It hard is there's just not enough books that put.

269
00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:43,600
Them out there if you can find a book, that

270
00:14:43,679 --> 00:14:47,759
has it there are some. Doozies out there there's one

271
00:14:47,919 --> 00:14:52,559
out there today for The, Guy From. INDIANA tucker devrees

272
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:55,559
betamgm put him out at one and a. Half made

273
00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:58,559
threes this is pretty much all. This guy does like

274
00:14:58,799 --> 00:15:02,480
he's averaging five makes in his first.

275
00:15:02,279 --> 00:15:04,200
Speaker 3: Two, Games like this it's all this guy does.

276
00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:08,159
Speaker 2: Is take threes but it's like minus two hundred and

277
00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:11,279
it's only available. On one, BOOK so yeah i look

278
00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:14,200
at some, of these props but unfortunately it's just not

279
00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:18,200
been good enough and available enough to try and to

280
00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:21,080
try and make them. Actual actual, plays but yeah you

281
00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:23,960
can find some. Really soft lines once we get more,

282
00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:25,559
than the season they're going to be putting out props

283
00:15:25,559 --> 00:15:28,039
on some of, the bigger teams and then they'll be available,

284
00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:30,200
at most books and then you'll definitely have props once

285
00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:31,600
We Get to march madness.

286
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:32,480
Speaker 3: In the tournament, so.

287
00:15:33,679 --> 00:15:38,360
Speaker 2: All right Let's bring In, ross the boss and we

288
00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,039
got several things to Talk.

289
00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:43,200
Speaker 3: About, With ross here Ross For.

290
00:15:43,279 --> 00:15:45,960
Speaker 2: Self happy wednesday how are you hope everything's going?

291
00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:46,240
Speaker 3: Well for?

292
00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:49,320
Speaker 6: You very well Thank. You andy on it always a

293
00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:49,799
pleasure to.

294
00:15:49,799 --> 00:15:52,120
Speaker 3: Be, with you yeah we got to.

295
00:15:52,159 --> 00:15:56,200
Speaker 2: Talk About this, THIS thunder, team i mean this team

296
00:15:56,279 --> 00:16:00,000
is it's like. They got better they won the champions

297
00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:04,039
and it's like. They got better they're coming off of

298
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,639
they Just stopped the warriors and they beat them so

299
00:16:07,679 --> 00:16:10,120
bad their starters didn't even have to play, A, full minute,

300
00:16:10,159 --> 00:16:12,480
so you know you take it back, to back situation

301
00:16:12,559 --> 00:16:15,559
it's like it almost doesn't even. Really affect them they're,

302
00:16:15,639 --> 00:16:18,559
minus seven here the over unders two to thirty. And

303
00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:20,919
A half, THIS lakers team i think is playing a

304
00:16:20,919 --> 00:16:24,200
little bit better. Than people thought they're, eight and three

305
00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:26,440
but this is their third game of a four. Game road,

306
00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,879
trip You Know does oklahoma city keep winning and covering

307
00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:31,360
the spreads Or can the lakers?

308
00:16:31,399 --> 00:16:33,519
Speaker 3: Pull, THE upset well i got.

309
00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:35,720
Speaker 6: A different way i'm going to, approach this, Game And

310
00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:40,600
yeah oklahoma city does feel like they're getting or seem

311
00:16:40,679 --> 00:16:44,120
like they're getting better when you consider the fact that

312
00:16:44,679 --> 00:16:47,960
we know how good. They Are, defensively but offensively they've

313
00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:51,440
been awful good this, year as, well and yeah. Two

314
00:16:51,519 --> 00:16:54,639
tired teams but here's The thing the lakers in their,

315
00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:59,519
last five defensively as much as they've been improved as

316
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:04,200
a team and with their, win loss record defensively they.

317
00:17:04,279 --> 00:17:06,599
Have some shortcomings as a, matter of fact over their,

318
00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,960
last five games they're allowing one hundred and sixteen point eight,

319
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:13,759
points per game opponents have shot fifty point six percent,

320
00:17:13,799 --> 00:17:16,920
from the field that made nearly thirty eight percent of

321
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:20,440
their three, point shot attempts and they've also allowed twenty

322
00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,000
eight free throw. ATTEMPTS per game a, lot of people

323
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:28,559
when THEY handicapped the nba or college basketball do lose

324
00:17:28,599 --> 00:17:31,960
sight of that statistics and free throws. Are very important

325
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,640
the ability to knock them down and what the opposition

326
00:17:34,759 --> 00:17:37,480
may give up in terms of free throws per game

327
00:17:37,839 --> 00:17:42,960
you should heavily CONSIDER when handicapping nba. Or college basketball having,

328
00:17:43,079 --> 00:17:47,160
Said All that oklahoma city number five this year and

329
00:17:47,319 --> 00:17:50,119
scoring offense at one hundred and twenty two point four,

330
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:54,519
points per game speaking of, The Last five oklahoma city

331
00:17:54,559 --> 00:17:57,680
over their last five games averaging one hundred and twenty five,

332
00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:02,160
point six points shooting forty nine percent also thirty eight

333
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,839
percent from beyond the, three point line and they're averaging

334
00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:09,480
twenty six free throw. Attempts per game now here it

335
00:18:09,519 --> 00:18:12,519
is with. The Free throws the lakers giving up a

336
00:18:12,559 --> 00:18:15,839
lot of, Free Throws lately oklahoma city getting to the

337
00:18:15,839 --> 00:18:19,359
free throw line a lot. In Recent games oklahoma city

338
00:18:19,559 --> 00:18:22,880
number ONE in the nba when it comes to free.

339
00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:27,519
Throw percent percenters they are knocking down eighty six point

340
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,279
two percent of their free throws to. Start the. Season

341
00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:35,319
Just incredible oklahoma city is also number six. In offensive

342
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:38,400
efficiency i'm going to look at the team Total Here,

343
00:18:38,519 --> 00:18:41,200
of oklahoma city which is one eighteen, and A half

344
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,359
and i think you've guessed, it. By Now folks oklahoma

345
00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:47,440
city over their team total of one eighteen and a

346
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:48,440
HALF Against.

347
00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:53,240
Speaker 2: The, la lakers yeah, It makes sense, lakers playing better

348
00:18:53,279 --> 00:18:54,400
but the defense certainly.

349
00:18:54,519 --> 00:18:58,279
Speaker 3: Can BE exploited so i want to Ask you the bills?

350
00:18:58,279 --> 00:18:58,519
Speaker 6: Are your?

351
00:18:58,559 --> 00:18:58,759
Speaker 3: Team?

352
00:18:58,839 --> 00:19:00,119
Speaker 6: Right, yes there?

353
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:03,680
Speaker 2: Yeah all right what's your Take on the bills where they're?

354
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:05,079
Stand right now.

355
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,599
Speaker 6: It's easy to kick somebody, when they're down and they're

356
00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,160
certainly down. After that performance, BUT you KNOW i think

357
00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:16,640
i mentioned It Before the, kansas city game even though

358
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,880
They Won that. Kansas, city game look there's nobody, on

359
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,880
the outside meaning they're wide receivers that could, stretch the

360
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:30,119
field and their intermediate passing game is nonexistent and teams are.

361
00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:33,039
Catching onto that. And their defense every time they seem,

362
00:19:33,079 --> 00:19:36,119
like they're improving three or four players get injured, in

363
00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:38,599
a game and then there's four to five, players not.

364
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,799
Available key players it seems. LIKE every week i might

365
00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:44,880
be a little bit of exaggeration in terms of, player

366
00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:48,759
availability defensively But don't think. I'M far, off i mean

367
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:51,359
you look at the Fact They lost michael hoyt. For

368
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:55,720
the season their free agent acquisition was playing Very well

369
00:19:56,039 --> 00:20:00,519
At oliver Torn by step he's out probably until the

370
00:20:00,559 --> 00:20:03,519
playoffs if, they make it which is no longer a

371
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:07,839
certainty the way they're. Playing right now and you also look.

372
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:12,319
At their Secondary their cornerback benford has, been banged up

373
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:16,519
their linebackers seemed to be a revolving door. Because of

374
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:21,160
injuries and again they're running, games very good their offensive.

375
00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:23,640
Lines very good we Know How good, josh allen is

376
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:27,039
but without somebody to stretch, the field offensively and they

377
00:20:27,079 --> 00:20:30,200
fail to pull the trigger at, the trade deadline which.

378
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:34,400
IS very disappointing i don't think this team is Even

379
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,319
Close to super bowl caliber. AS we speak.

380
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:38,720
Speaker 1: I.

381
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:39,599
Speaker 3: Couldn't, agree more.

382
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:43,119
Speaker 2: Yeah it, teams you're right teams have figured out that

383
00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:44,880
they're not getting over the. Top of us we can

384
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,279
we can just focus on. That short yardage and it

385
00:20:48,319 --> 00:20:50,640
really does stink for you guys because that defense on

386
00:20:50,799 --> 00:20:54,319
paper should be good and then. Just injuries, galore, it's

387
00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:56,759
like well this isn't the defense that you guys had.

388
00:20:56,799 --> 00:21:00,480
Speaker 7: Before the, SEASON so yeah i PERSONALLY think if i,

389
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,400
Could just interject i'm sorry, to INTERRUPT you But I,

390
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:07,359
think bobby babbage the Defensive, COORDINATOR to bills i said

391
00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,359
it last year and it's even more.

392
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,880
Speaker 6: APPARENT this year i think he's in a little over

393
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,559
HIS head and i think That's cost the. Bills a

394
00:21:14,599 --> 00:21:17,960
lot You see that sean McDermott is now starting to

395
00:21:18,039 --> 00:21:21,720
take over some of the, defensive play calling and you

396
00:21:21,759 --> 00:21:23,480
know that's writing on the. Wall, to, me.

397
00:21:24,839 --> 00:21:28,279
Speaker 2: Yeah agreed agreed it Was like in detroit when coach

398
00:21:28,319 --> 00:21:31,160
took away the calling to the play calling duties of. The, offensive,

399
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,599
coordinators well if we're not, calling the plays what are

400
00:21:33,599 --> 00:21:34,039
you doing here?

401
00:21:34,039 --> 00:21:37,039
Speaker 3: As a coordinator so let's move. To college Football let's

402
00:21:37,079 --> 00:21:37,720
Suck Florida.

403
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,839
Speaker 2: And Ole miss ole miss has got to becoming this.

404
00:21:41,559 --> 00:21:46,720
Just Darling team lane kiffen completely. Resurrected his career IT'S really,

405
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,599
just i mean this guy was dead, to the. World

406
00:21:49,759 --> 00:21:52,720
wasn't he, he, was like oh. Nobody likes him and by.

407
00:21:52,759 --> 00:21:55,119
How things change we got a, big spread here when

408
00:21:55,279 --> 00:21:57,559
is fifteen and a half over under fifty three. AND

409
00:21:57,599 --> 00:21:59,599
a half i guess this just comes down to Do

410
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,960
you think florida can slow them? Down at all what's

411
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,480
your take? On, THIS game, yeah i mean.

412
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,720
Speaker 6: Look at This is a florida team that's a wounded.

413
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:10,799
ANIMAL right now i mean you look At they upset

414
00:22:10,839 --> 00:22:14,359
texas a, few weeks back and then They go to,

415
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:19,720
kentucky last week who had this long. Sec losing streak

416
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:24,039
they broke it, the week before and then They wallop

417
00:22:24,599 --> 00:22:29,079
the gators at home thirty. Eight to seven and that was.

418
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,680
A horrible loss and that really to me speaks volumes

419
00:22:33,039 --> 00:22:35,640
as to where this program. Is right now a lot

420
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,279
Of uncertainty and i'll get to that. In a bit BUT.

421
00:22:38,599 --> 00:22:45,880
Their quarterback cj langue eleven touchdowns and twelve interceptions this

422
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:50,400
year and that includes WHEN they, play fbs opponents which

423
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:54,559
they're two. And six against it's eight touchdowns. Against eleven

424
00:22:54,599 --> 00:22:58,720
interceptions big regression from a season ago when he was

425
00:22:58,799 --> 00:23:02,359
six and one as a freshman starter for The. For

426
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:06,119
THE gators and I just think florida right now is in.

427
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,839
A Bad. Place oh miss they've had some close, Calls,

428
00:23:09,839 --> 00:23:11,920
this year andy but, you know what they're six and

429
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,440
oh straight up and five and one against the spread

430
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:18,079
AT home against fbs, opponents this year and that includes

431
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:22,279
three and oh straight up in ats against. Se sec

432
00:23:22,519 --> 00:23:25,720
pos so this is a team with a very. Strong

433
00:23:25,799 --> 00:23:29,359
home field they're only lost this year forty three Thirty

434
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:32,440
five at georgia in the game they blew a. Fourth

435
00:23:32,519 --> 00:23:36,559
quarter lead and also they'll be playing with revenge from

436
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:40,279
last year's twenty four to seventeen Upset loss at florida

437
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,640
in a game they All gained the gators by one

438
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,519
hundred and twenty yards but still managed to. Lose the

439
00:23:45,559 --> 00:23:48,440
game florida has A huge adge andy and, strength the

440
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,559
schedule And My buddies Brian Power and ralph michaels brought

441
00:23:52,559 --> 00:23:55,960
that to my. Attention last week how Strong a schedule

442
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:59,440
florida plays but, you know what when you consider the

443
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,759
fact this is a lame duck coaching staff and a

444
00:24:02,839 --> 00:24:07,759
struggling Starting quarterback because lagway will get to start this

445
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,640
week despite a lot of rumors that he was going,

446
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,960
to be benched and they're facing a top five team

447
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,680
who has been very. Good at home and it's also

448
00:24:16,839 --> 00:24:20,519
worth noting since, twenty Twenty three the gators are zero

449
00:24:20,559 --> 00:24:23,200
to nine straight up in two and seven against the

450
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,200
spread as, a road underdog so they're not exactly. In

451
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:30,240
a situation they've had a lot of success over the last.

452
00:24:30,279 --> 00:24:34,079
COUPLE of Years I like ole messer minus fifteen and

453
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:37,279
A Half against florida andy The only reason i'm not

454
00:24:37,559 --> 00:24:40,200
using this as, a CLIENT play so i would go

455
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,240
very conservative. WITH this play i don't like taking Teams

456
00:24:44,279 --> 00:24:49,400
like oh miss laying this kind of number when the

457
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:54,039
betting patterns shown by the public is. WHERE they, are

458
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,440
i mean two thirds of the volume of bets and

459
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,079
two thirds of the money FROM the source i use

460
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:03,039
has Come, in on miss and also some diminished failue

461
00:25:03,079 --> 00:25:05,559
because that opening line went from thirteen and a half

462
00:25:05,559 --> 00:25:07,960
to fifteen and a half and in some places as

463
00:25:08,039 --> 00:25:11,119
high as sixteen, And a half so very small lean

464
00:25:11,799 --> 00:25:14,799
Here on the rebels minus fifteen and a Half. Over

465
00:25:14,839 --> 00:25:17,519
the gators i'm glad you brought.

466
00:25:17,599 --> 00:25:17,680
Speaker 1: Up.

467
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,000
Speaker 2: That, line move yeah getting the worst of the number

468
00:25:20,319 --> 00:25:23,480
is just always a tough tough spot to be unless.

469
00:25:23,519 --> 00:25:27,480
Something crazy, happened, so, yeah great great great job pointing.

470
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,400
Speaker 3: THAT one out i want to get to this line

471
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,400
makes no sense for first teleround what you have up. At,

472
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:32,079
WAGER talk.

473
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 6: Yeah i got a college basketball total up for, sale

474
00:25:35,799 --> 00:25:38,559
right now. Nine and three run with my. College basketball

475
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:43,759
totals also college Football winner for wednesday evening, up right

476
00:25:43,799 --> 00:25:48,519
now and college football number, two this, year number, one

477
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:52,240
last year number two in. Twenty twenty three you get, the,

478
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:57,480
gisted have folks very consistent and very high win percentage

479
00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:00,400
in college football over the. Last three seasons and so

480
00:26:00,759 --> 00:26:03,039
you got both of those up for. Sale right now

481
00:26:03,079 --> 00:26:07,079
Don't Forget the weekend warrior package Forty nine dollars Saturday

482
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:11,920
college football SUNDAY In THE. Nfl monday nfl it includes

483
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,640
all five. Percent best bets and, by the way last

484
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,240
week two and oh with my COLLEGE football and nfl five,

485
00:26:18,279 --> 00:26:20,960
PERCENT best bets i should say two. And oh combined

486
00:26:21,279 --> 00:26:25,920
now after eight, straight, WINNING weeks weekends, i should say

487
00:26:26,039 --> 00:26:29,839
or seven straight winning Weekends With the. Weekend warrior package

488
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:33,680
i've took a loss the, last two, weeks but Folks you.

489
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,839
Know i'm transparent we don't win, all The time but

490
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,279
i'm going to, Win this week so take advantage of

491
00:26:39,319 --> 00:26:42,640
that forty nine Dollars Off For weekend warrior special this

492
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:46,599
year NUMBER three in nfl college Football Combined at wager

493
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,759
talk AS, Well IN mba, like i said off to

494
00:26:49,799 --> 00:26:51,839
a nine and three start to the season and on

495
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,799
a twenty two to eight roll dating back to. The

496
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,039
last season you got.

497
00:26:57,079 --> 00:26:58,519
Speaker 3: Me, Fired, up now ross we're.

498
00:26:58,519 --> 00:27:04,799
Speaker 2: Winning this, week let's go let's go, calling our shots let's,

499
00:27:04,839 --> 00:27:08,799
go all Right let's do this line makes no sense

500
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:10,759
and you're coming over the top.

501
00:27:10,799 --> 00:27:12,880
Speaker 3: WITH this one i. Love this one talk to us

502
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,519
about what line? Makes, no sense YEAH if.

503
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 6: You i would have brought this up at the beginning,

504
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:21,480
of the season everybody WOULD have thought. I WAS nuts

505
00:27:21,559 --> 00:27:25,319
but i think right now it's very applicable and it's

506
00:27:25,319 --> 00:27:28,359
The first time i'm going to LOOK at an nfl game.

507
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:32,680
In this segment, so Right Now The kansas city chiefs

508
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:36,160
are a four point favorite on The. Road AGAINST denver,

509
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,160
like I said if i would have told you this

510
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:40,920
was this line makes no sense at the beginning, of

511
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,519
the year you would, have told me how did you become?

512
00:27:43,559 --> 00:27:48,000
A professional handicapper but now looking at both teams, Resumes

513
00:27:48,079 --> 00:27:51,839
this season DENVER Leads the afc west with an eight.

514
00:27:51,839 --> 00:27:54,519
And two record there are three games Ahead Of The.

515
00:27:54,599 --> 00:27:59,400
Kansas City chiefs the broncos are also on a current seven. Game,

516
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:03,599
Win Stream yeah kansas city is a road favorite by

517
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,799
better than a field goal. In this situation and, by

518
00:28:06,839 --> 00:28:10,160
the way when You look at denver and you think

519
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,000
this is a great home underdog VALUE with what, i

520
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:17,640
just said really examined the whole, thing in all because

521
00:28:17,839 --> 00:28:21,480
five of their last six wins during this current win

522
00:28:21,599 --> 00:28:24,839
streak have come by four, points or fewer and they've

523
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:28,279
been masters at coming back late and fourth quarters. To

524
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:32,400
win games they barely got by last Week against the raiders.

525
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,119
Ten to seven that's not A very, good raiders team

526
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:38,119
and that game was at. Home as well they're, eight

527
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:41,519
and two but they're just plus six point two point

528
00:28:41,599 --> 00:28:44,920
per game differential for an eight. And two team. That's,

529
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:49,039
not great now remember here's The Thing with kansas city

530
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:52,200
nine and oh STRAIGHT up in ats in their last

531
00:28:52,319 --> 00:28:55,200
nine games as a favorite of two and a half

532
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,960
to seven points when coming. Off a loss the last

533
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:00,680
time they played was two weeks ago when They went

534
00:29:00,759 --> 00:29:03,559
to buffalo looked terrible in a twenty eight to twenty

535
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:07,759
one Loss. Against the bills, but remember this who's one

536
00:29:07,839 --> 00:29:12,079
of the best head COACHES, in THE nfl in nfl history,

537
00:29:12,119 --> 00:29:15,359
for that matter when coming Off, of, bye yes sir, You.

538
00:29:15,519 --> 00:29:19,240
Guessed It Andy it's andy Reid Of The. Kansas city

539
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:22,720
chiefs he's twenty two and four in his head Coaching

540
00:29:22,759 --> 00:29:26,480
career With Philadelphia and kansas city following a Bye Week

541
00:29:27,039 --> 00:29:30,680
in kansas city, five and four but All four losses

542
00:29:30,759 --> 00:29:34,000
andy by seven. Points or fewer so this team is

543
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:37,000
a lot better than. The record indicates and after a

544
00:29:37,119 --> 00:29:40,160
loss and coming off, of bye week watch. Out For

545
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:41,839
them wounded chiefs.

546
00:29:43,359 --> 00:29:46,359
Speaker 2: Twenty two and four off of a bye is, Like

547
00:29:46,559 --> 00:29:50,400
it's insane that. Is truly insane have you heard The

548
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,119
Story of andy reid when he was when he first

549
00:29:53,119 --> 00:29:56,720
got his first. Offensive coordinator job the binder that he

550
00:29:56,759 --> 00:29:59,559
showed up with where he had he had every minute

551
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:02,480
practice accounted for for the next year.

552
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 6: Sounds like what.

553
00:30:07,119 --> 00:30:17,559
Speaker 7: Every minute when she got in front, Of her Anyway.

554
00:30:15,519 --> 00:30:17,359
Speaker 3: Ralf's got ross's.

555
00:30:17,359 --> 00:30:22,799
Speaker 2: Scott Jokes, Today oh ross it's, a great. Breakdown great,

556
00:30:22,839 --> 00:30:25,000
segment as always this labe makes no Sense on the.

557
00:30:25,039 --> 00:30:28,359
Chiefs minus fourth thank, You, very much ross always, bringing

558
00:30:28,359 --> 00:30:29,400
the heat and yes we're gonna.

559
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:30,279
Speaker 3: Win this weekend.

560
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:32,240
Speaker 6: Yes we are thank. You for him.

561
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 3: Let's Do, it.

562
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 2: Thanks ross appreciate, it, all right guys let's do all

563
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,839
around the world and then we will break down the

564
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:44,480
Heat and the calves do some player props Here for Tonight.

565
00:30:44,559 --> 00:30:46,720
Rockets and wizards you're getting a Great Line on reed

566
00:30:46,759 --> 00:30:50,079
shepherd over eleven and. A half points his. Minutes are

567
00:30:50,119 --> 00:30:52,480
up It looks like houston's really settled. Into the rotation,

568
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,759
he's had twelve sixteen and sixteen points the. Last three

569
00:30:55,799 --> 00:30:57,440
games and it does not get much.

570
00:30:57,240 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 3: Better Than Playing.

571
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:02,799
Speaker 2: The washington wizards the thirtieth. In defensive efficiency they give

572
00:31:02,839 --> 00:31:05,960
up the twenty eighth amount of, twenty eight months twenty

573
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:09,480
eighth most points to. Shooting guards here And Even though

574
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,400
reed shepherd's coming, off the bench he's playing. Plenty of

575
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,480
minutes his minutes are up to twenty six minutes the.

576
00:31:13,519 --> 00:31:16,359
Last couple Games So like reed shepherd to go over

577
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:18,720
his POINTS Go to Nhl. Sabers and mammoth take A

578
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,519
Look at jack quinn to not. Have a point he

579
00:31:21,559 --> 00:31:22,720
only has one point in his.

580
00:31:22,799 --> 00:31:23,279
Speaker 3: Last eight.

581
00:31:23,359 --> 00:31:26,839
Speaker 2: Games buffalo's struggling they've lost six. Out of seven they've

582
00:31:26,839 --> 00:31:30,440
scored four goals total the, last three games and he

583
00:31:30,519 --> 00:31:33,839
has struggled. Against this team and Then Nice little world

584
00:31:33,839 --> 00:31:37,599
cup qualifier plus Four. Hundred from pavlos this comes off

585
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:40,319
Of the wager talk. Free picks page take A look At.

586
00:31:40,319 --> 00:31:43,480
Portugal at ireland portugal is on top. Of this group

587
00:31:43,799 --> 00:31:44,960
they're not really motivated.

588
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 6: In this.

589
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 2: Game ireland is ireland need points to get, into second

590
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:53,200
place so they've got. The motivation edge and, Believe or

591
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,400
not Ireland has played portugal pretty tough the. Last three

592
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:58,079
meetings they even have a. Zero zero draw portugal hasn't

593
00:31:58,119 --> 00:32:00,640
Beat him At ireland and portugal is not played. Amazing

594
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,240
right now the draw at plus four hundred is. Worth

595
00:32:03,279 --> 00:32:09,960
a sprinkles so. Those, Are, Areas Yes ubray ombra ubray

596
00:32:10,079 --> 00:32:11,880
was not the. Man, last night yes WE lost, our

597
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,960
nba prop WE won. Our nhl prop ubray. Was absolutely

598
00:32:15,039 --> 00:32:17,759
terrible he got in foul trouble early and then he

599
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:19,880
just was completely out of whack and.

600
00:32:20,119 --> 00:32:23,200
Speaker 3: Was MISSING shots so nba play goes.

601
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:26,119
Speaker 2: Down, in flames however six, SEVENTEEN and ten i was

602
00:32:26,119 --> 00:32:28,440
looking over the record seventeen and ten and we've added

603
00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:31,079
ten percent to THE bankroll and nba prop so really

604
00:32:31,119 --> 00:32:33,759
really love what's what's going ON in the. Nba props

605
00:32:33,799 --> 00:32:36,240
market so last night, just one play. We move on

606
00:32:36,319 --> 00:32:38,200
we got three plays that are up tonight and we're

607
00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:41,319
still running that. Special seven DAYS you GET nba. And

608
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:45,519
nhl plays love a seven. Day sample size that way

609
00:32:45,519 --> 00:32:46,839
you can see what we can do for you over

610
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:48,359
the cross over the course.

611
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 3: Of one week so.

612
00:32:49,359 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 2: That's still up and we also have OUR Five Percent

613
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:55,640
ufc BEST bet for ufc. THREE twenty two i. Love this,

614
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:57,720
car first off this is like one of the best cards,

615
00:32:57,720 --> 00:32:59,400
of the year maybe the best card, of the year

616
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:00,200
and it's also one of.

617
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 3: The most betable there are a.

618
00:33:01,599 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 2: Ton of bets the tough part about this one is,

619
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:06,839
not finding bets it's narrowing it down to the best.

620
00:33:06,839 --> 00:33:08,920
Of the best so we have our five percent best

621
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:10,839
bet that is up or, waiting for props and there

622
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:11,559
will be more.

623
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:12,279
Speaker 3: Bets that are.

624
00:33:12,279 --> 00:33:14,720
Speaker 2: Added to that SO five percent ufc WE Won Four

625
00:33:15,319 --> 00:33:17,720
ufc best bets, in a row and WE got the

626
00:33:17,799 --> 00:33:21,240
NBA props and nhl props, SPECIAL Lets Up, wt Dot

627
00:33:21,279 --> 00:33:26,160
buzz Slash, al and adrian you are absolutely one. HUNDRED

628
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,599
percent right i am so glad. You said that so what.

629
00:33:29,599 --> 00:33:31,759
We're talking about the play Last night was uber to

630
00:33:31,799 --> 00:33:34,799
go over one and a. Half three pointers he wasn't

631
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:36,880
very good the. Last two games we expected to bounce

632
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,000
back and he. Was really bad the key to these

633
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,920
props is playing them over and over. And over again

634
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,160
you find these guys that. Go on streaks that's what.

635
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:47,079
We're looking for player props that are gonna go on four,

636
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,400
out of five like seven, out of ten these these types.

637
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:51,559
Speaker 3: Types of streaks so.

638
00:33:51,799 --> 00:33:54,200
Speaker 2: When, they lose once it's a really good idea to

639
00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:55,880
go right. Back to it and it's really hard because

640
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:58,319
you're Like a lost i'm never playing. That guy again

641
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:02,119
so it's it's it's the way, To. Do it adria

642
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,039
you play that prop and if, it loses again you

643
00:34:05,079 --> 00:34:07,000
move on To. The next streek there's a million props

644
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,840
and we have a ton of props to. Take advantage of,

645
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:14,800
so all right let's break down this calves. And Heat

646
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:20,599
Game Cleveland. Cavaliers miami heat This. Is in miami cleveland opened,

647
00:34:20,639 --> 00:34:23,320
up minus five then they decided to sit most. Of

648
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:28,079
their players they're Gonna, Be, Sitting, Mitchell, garland Moby tyson

649
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:30,719
and strus. Are still out so this Line Is now

650
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:33,559
miami heat minus six with an over under of two

651
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:37,199
thirty eight. And a half these Teams. Played on monday

652
00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:41,079
it was, an incredible game one forty One thirty eight.

653
00:34:41,199 --> 00:34:44,480
Cleveland overtime win i'll go over some. Basic numbers Here

654
00:34:44,559 --> 00:34:49,280
offensive efficiency, Miami is, Ninth cleveland Twelfth defensive efficiency, Miami is.

655
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:53,599
SIX cleveland's thirteenth i think you can kind of ignore

656
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:57,199
some of Those. Numbers for cleveland it's the same system.

657
00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,199
That they're running but when you're missing, those main guys

658
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,000
those numbers are probably.

659
00:35:01,639 --> 00:35:02,239
Speaker 3: Just not going.

660
00:35:02,519 --> 00:35:05,119
Speaker 2: To BE accurate and i, will say this sometimes when

661
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:07,679
teams rest their, Big name stars we've, talked about this

662
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:10,599
we see a letdown from the other team and the

663
00:35:10,639 --> 00:35:13,119
team that is sitting their stars and they end up

664
00:35:13,159 --> 00:35:16,519
covering and then sometimes they. Even win outright so we

665
00:35:16,599 --> 00:35:18,880
have to try and figure out is this something that

666
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:22,079
is going. TO happen tonight i don't see a Letdown.

667
00:35:22,119 --> 00:35:25,480
Spot for, Miami first off spoilsuer on this team notes

668
00:35:25,519 --> 00:35:28,920
they're one In six against cleveland, the last. Season last playoffs,

669
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:31,639
In this season spoltstra and the teams. Certainly know it

670
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,119
here's a chance to get a, win at home and,

671
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:37,559
talk about motivation you could lose motivation with these, guys

672
00:35:37,559 --> 00:35:40,400
being out but losing an overtime on your Home court

673
00:35:40,559 --> 00:35:42,840
on monday really really good.

674
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:44,639
Speaker 3: Revenge spot here and Also.

675
00:35:45,679 --> 00:35:49,199
Speaker 2: They're in miami we've all heard the stories that you

676
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:51,480
like To, party in miami And now the calves Have

677
00:35:51,519 --> 00:35:53,440
been in miami for a. Couple of days maybe the

678
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:56,559
players enjoyed Their stay in miami just. A little bit

679
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,599
The other thing, Ralph brought up Ralph knows. The, cleveland

680
00:35:59,639 --> 00:36:02,280
area well there was a Local story that cleveland has. Been,

681
00:36:02,519 --> 00:36:05,199
very open hey we're gonna rest guys throughout. The regular

682
00:36:05,199 --> 00:36:08,159
season we went way too hard in the regular season

683
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:11,119
last season and we ended up tired and injured going.

684
00:36:11,159 --> 00:36:14,119
Into the playoffs so You're gonna see, cleveland do, this you.

685
00:36:14,119 --> 00:36:17,159
Know fairly often but there are capable. Players Coming in

686
00:36:17,679 --> 00:36:20,039
sam merril's, Been Really good lonzo balls having a. REALLY

687
00:36:20,079 --> 00:36:22,360
good season i just think this is a Great. SPOT

688
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,000
for miami i don't think they're gonna be unmotivated. Coming

689
00:36:25,039 --> 00:36:27,960
into Tonight give me miami to cover, and the points,

690
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:30,559
and as always we will go over. Some props here

691
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:34,400
mobley over ten and. A half rebounds the last game

692
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:36,559
he Played against this heat team where HE played, and

693
00:36:36,599 --> 00:36:39,280
mobilei didn't he, Had TWENTY rebounds so i think we're

694
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:42,480
getting a Great number of mobili. Over his Rebounds fintechio

695
00:36:42,559 --> 00:36:45,440
for miami over one and a. Half made threes he's

696
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:47,679
been over an eight out of eleven. Games the season

697
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,960
he actually Had three Against. Cleveland on monday he's shooting

698
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,119
five per game and he's shooting forty nine percent. FROM

699
00:36:53,119 --> 00:36:56,480
the field i think the defense Struggles. Mightily For Cleveland

700
00:36:56,679 --> 00:36:59,079
and dean wade over eight and. A half points he's

701
00:36:59,079 --> 00:37:02,440
starting tonight normally coming, off the bench he's gonna get a.

702
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:04,679
Lot more minutes he Had, nine on monday he made.

703
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:06,880
THREE three pointers i just think he's gonna get more.

704
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:10,119
Shot attempts tonight so those, are your props and we're

705
00:37:10,119 --> 00:37:12,639
gonna Look at the heat to cover the spread. At minus,

706
00:37:12,679 --> 00:37:16,199
six as always are props that official for clients go

707
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:20,239
Out on wt buzz slash al NUMBER One in nba

708
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,639
props the, last two seasons and we've added ten percent

709
00:37:22,639 --> 00:37:26,000
to our bank roll this YEAR Just, With nba props.

710
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 3: So invite you to partner.

711
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 2: Up with us up with us props are absolutely one

712
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:32,079
hundred percent. Where it's at these are plays we bet with,

713
00:37:32,119 --> 00:37:34,199
our own money so invite you to join us on to.

714
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,719
Speaker 3: His plays tonight thank.

715
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,719
Speaker 2: You, So much guys please hit the like button on,

716
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,079
your way out leave us comment tell us what your favorite.

717
00:37:41,119 --> 00:37:43,679
Bet is tonight we got a Great, show for thursday

718
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,599
and Don't. Forget Football friday on friday where we get

719
00:37:46,639 --> 00:37:48,199
you ready, For the weekend so make sure you do not.

720
00:37:48,599 --> 00:37:51,079
Miss that show but we're gonna, be back, tomorrow same,

721
00:37:51,079 --> 00:37:54,159
time same place, twelve noon Eastern. Nine am pacific good

722
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:56,400
luck on. Your bets tonight we'll. See you tomorrow take care.

723
00:38:00,199 --> 00:38:25,920
Speaker 6: H. Good, h.

724
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,079
Speaker 1: Yeah sorry stream yard is. Is messing up.

725
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:36,199
Speaker 3: It's it's Been, walking HUH yeah so.

726
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:40,360
Speaker 1: I have to i had to end the streams on YouTube.

727
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:41,039
Speaker 5: And x.

728
00:38:43,559 --> 00:38:50,719
Speaker 1: Manually who even knows? About? Fucking twitch, ye so yeah

729
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:51,960
let me let me go.

730
00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:56,199
Speaker 3: Three, months straight yeah we.

731
00:38:56,400 --> 00:39:06,400
Speaker 1: Just, Never go okay so you're still live On on your.

732
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:08,199
Twitter right now, by the, Way.

733
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,360
Speaker 2: Hey guys i'm Still.

734
00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:11,599
Speaker 6: Live.

735
00:39:11,639 --> 00:39:16,079
Speaker 2: On twitter awesome we're gonna BE breaking down, ufc fights

736
00:39:16,119 --> 00:39:18,480
tonight so that video will be up if you guys are,

737
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:21,239
still watching it We'll myself and jim break IT down

738
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:21,800
to ufc.

739
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:23,360
Speaker 3: THREE twenty two.

740
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 2: I will just tell, YOU right now i do not

741
00:39:28,119 --> 00:39:31,880
Believe In This jack della maddelena nonsense about.

742
00:39:31,679 --> 00:39:33,159
Speaker 3: Being the underdog and thinking he's got A.

743
00:39:33,199 --> 00:39:38,039
Speaker 2: Shot against makachev just leave it at That macket shop

744
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:39,000
markachev to.

745
00:39:39,039 --> 00:39:39,360
Speaker 3: The moon.

746
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 1: Baby, we good yes well you'll have to manually and on.

747
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:46,880
On your, END.

748
00:39:48,159 --> 00:39:53,559
Speaker 2: Oh well, i really okay this is like weirdly gonna

749
00:39:53,599 --> 00:39:55,639
like somehow end up going viral and it's gonna be

750
00:39:55,639 --> 00:39:57,800
one of the most viewed pieces OF content.

751
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:04,639
Speaker 3: That i, have all right? Where is it.

752
00:40:09,119 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 1: If you go, to al right you know how? To,

753
00:40:13,519 --> 00:40:18,639
End it no if you go so if you're on

754
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:22,159
the homepage And you click premium along the, left, hand

755
00:40:22,199 --> 00:40:33,280
side okay and then Go. To media studio then at

756
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:39,119
the top bar, go to producer you should be able

757
00:40:39,159 --> 00:40:41,280
to end your. Live broadcast there.

758
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:52,039
Speaker 4: Never had never had.

759
00:40:52,039 --> 00:40:54,400
Speaker 1: To, DO that yeah i don't know it happened to

760
00:40:54,800 --> 00:41:04,239
the press earlier and then puck. Time Ran, fine.

761
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:08,440
Speaker 2: Jesus christ excuse Fucking. Live on twitter don't even realize it.

762
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,239
Speaker 3: Could be bad yeah that's, How.

763
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:20,480
Speaker 2: Careers, end, chris YEAH.

764
00:41:17,199 --> 00:41:17,679
Speaker 3: Yeah so.

765
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:20,119
Speaker 5: I.

766
00:41:20,119 --> 00:41:24,519
Speaker 1: Think we're good we're probably live, on TWITCH still but

767
00:41:25,039 --> 00:41:25,760
i don't really know.

768
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:26,159
Speaker 6: What to do.

769
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:42,440
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah we. Are stream finish let's see you if

770
00:41:42,559 --> 00:41:43,840
this does anything