1 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: What's up everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:07,160 If you are new, we always start this show a 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:11,960 by being transparent. Yesterday I did take the Cardinals and 4 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:14,640 they fell short, so got to do a little bit 5 00:00:14,679 --> 00:00:17,160 better in the NFL. But we do have two WNBA 6 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,120 games to talk about today as well as some football 7 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:23,160 college football. So back here with mister Ravino. I'm curious 8 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:25,480 how you did yesterday and how you feeling today. 9 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 2: I'm good. Today's ski we had a one and oh 10 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:33,039 the East Carolina team total, Man got the good side 11 00:00:33,039 --> 00:00:34,759 of the half last night because we had a team 12 00:00:34,799 --> 00:00:36,280 total over twenty seven and a half. They got the 13 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,880 twenty eight. Maybe should have been more, but we'll take it. 14 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:41,759 Was a win. So for the week now Monday till 15 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,280 now seven and oh so, very very happy with the 16 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:46,399 way things are going this week. Hopefully we keep that going. 17 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: It's seven and oh, can't beat that. Nice work on that. 18 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:52,960 Shout out to Latino Unicorn ninety nine for reposting a stream. 19 00:00:53,039 --> 00:00:56,240 Definitely helps us out. And let's get to it. Don't 20 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,640 have the most time today and we have a good 21 00:00:58,679 --> 00:01:02,840 amount to talk about, so we'll start in the w 22 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:08,400 ladies first. That means first game in six seventeen, six eighteen, 23 00:01:08,439 --> 00:01:11,840 Las Vegas Aces going to Indiana now to take on 24 00:01:11,879 --> 00:01:13,719 the Fever opened up minus four and a half for 25 00:01:13,799 --> 00:01:16,920 the Aces. It looks like four is a consensus number 26 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:19,640 in total open one sixty two and a half, not 27 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:21,480 a whole lot of movement. I'll still call it one 28 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:26,840 sixty two and a half. I'll still call that the consensus. So, 29 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:32,959 you know, Indiana, surprise everybody. In that game one, Aces 30 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:36,480 looked like they took note. You know, they put belt 31 00:01:36,519 --> 00:01:38,760 to ass in game two. Now they got to go 32 00:01:38,799 --> 00:01:42,519 on the road and face this scrappy Fever team once again. 33 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,760 So I think it's pretty interesting to see it open 34 00:01:45,799 --> 00:01:47,680 four and a half. And you know, I see even 35 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,760 the three and a half out there right now. They 36 00:01:50,799 --> 00:01:54,000 think that Indiana has a real shot to win this game. 37 00:01:54,519 --> 00:01:57,040 And I'm gonna be honest with you, Vino, what I've 38 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:59,719 seen from the Fever so far this year. They get 39 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,680 help all year long, and they've gotten a lot of help, 40 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:06,120 and I think being at home tonight, they'll get some 41 00:02:06,159 --> 00:02:09,719 more help again. So that makes me, that makes me 42 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:12,680 hesitant to think that the Aces can win this game. 43 00:02:12,719 --> 00:02:15,120 Even if I think they're the better team or will 44 00:02:15,159 --> 00:02:17,400 win this game. Even though I think they're the better team, 45 00:02:18,319 --> 00:02:20,319 I'm curious if you see it that way, or are 46 00:02:20,319 --> 00:02:21,400 you looking more at the total. 47 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe they need this series to go five and 48 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:29,919 the help happens. I don't. We shall see. I think 49 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,800 they're probably the right side here in this game. Ski. 50 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,520 To me, it seems like it's a game that comes 51 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:40,639 down to a bucket either way and three point shots. 52 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:44,240 So let's say three points either way Friday night at 53 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,800 home in that arena. We'll see if Las Vegas answers 54 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:52,759 the bell they can. Certainly they've had time enough off 55 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:57,400 to game plan to understand after two games what Indiana 56 00:02:57,479 --> 00:02:59,680 is all about. How limited. They are certainly deep and 57 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:03,080 shut Indiana down in game two. But Kelsey Mitchell wasn't 58 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,680 productive in game two. I would expect she's productive here 59 00:03:05,719 --> 00:03:09,280 in game three, and this is probably the game to 60 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:12,800 get Indiana's A plus effort. I think game one, even 61 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:15,000 though they won it, it was more catching the Aces 62 00:03:15,039 --> 00:03:19,039 by surprise or tired than anything else. Game two, Aces 63 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:21,919 were well aware of the fever's presence. Like you say, 64 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:26,479 built to ask now. Game three is where Indiana gives 65 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:28,759 you forty minutes of what I would consider to be 66 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:30,759 a good effort. I'm hoping that it works this way 67 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,800 because my vision is to play Indiana tonight, come back 68 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:37,479 with Las Vegas in game four, and then have Vegas 69 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:41,680 win that series in five. I didn't look ski, but 70 00:03:41,759 --> 00:03:44,719 I am going to look right now. So the Aces 71 00:03:44,759 --> 00:03:47,439 are still kind of costly at this point. If they 72 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:49,840 lose this game, I would probably come back with a 73 00:03:49,879 --> 00:03:52,599 series play on the Aces if they go down to one, 74 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:54,400 because I do think they can win on the road, 75 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:55,960 and I do think they would clinch it at home 76 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:59,240 in game five. So for me, best case scenarios, if 77 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:01,479 Indiana gets the money here, I played them very very 78 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:05,360 slightly plus four. We'll see how it goes. But I 79 00:04:05,439 --> 00:04:07,520 just think that they'll be ready for this one. 80 00:04:08,439 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: I think they'll be ready to be man, says Fever 81 00:04:10,759 --> 00:04:12,840 nine and Oh against the spread at home number one 82 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:17,160 points per game. He's hesitant because of how Vegas has 83 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:23,839 played lately. Nine and Oh is underdogs, he says at home. Yeah, 84 00:04:23,879 --> 00:04:27,879 this one is scary if you like the Asis casey, 85 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:30,040 I know she likes the Aces, and she's saying she's 86 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,360 scared right there, So I can't talk you off of 87 00:04:33,399 --> 00:04:36,399 looking towards the Fever from a total perspective here, Robino, 88 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:39,279 you saw, I mean, if the Fever are going to 89 00:04:39,319 --> 00:04:43,439 be in the game or win. I mean to me, 90 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:46,079 it seems like it's not going to be a shootout, 91 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,040 like they don't have the personnel anymore to really go 92 00:04:49,439 --> 00:04:52,560 bucket for bucket, So I would think we see a 93 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,680 good defensive effort from them. Is that how you see it? 94 00:04:56,439 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 2: Yeah? I think we just go back to Game one, 95 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,959 remember when Asia was complaining all the physical play rightfully so, 96 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:04,319 but I think you and I even talked about it 97 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,759 on the last show that Indiana has kind of resorted 98 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,600 to that inside physical type stuff, which they really weren't 99 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:14,199 to start the season, but because of their personnel and 100 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:16,319 their lack of depth right now, they have to be. 101 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:18,279 So I'm with you. I think that this one takes 102 00:05:18,279 --> 00:05:24,120 on a real playoff type atmosphere type style and asking 103 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,279 for what do we need here? Eighty two eighty one 104 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:31,199 seems like a lot to me, So I think under 105 00:05:31,199 --> 00:05:33,240 one sixty two and a half even I'm looking here 106 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:35,920 and you can find I don't know how stale this 107 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:38,360 line may be or if it's current one sixty three 108 00:05:38,399 --> 00:05:40,680 and a half. That's even better number. Shop at best 109 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:42,439 you can, but I think under the right way to go. 110 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:49,759 Speaker 1: Our good stuff, mister Ravino. Let's move it on over 111 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:53,120 to the next game. That is six nineteen six twenty 112 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:58,120 Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury opened up minus four and 113 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,439 a half. Looks like for pretty much across the board, 114 00:06:01,439 --> 00:06:03,160 total open one fifty eight and a half and hasn't 115 00:06:03,199 --> 00:06:07,600 moved that much. Another one where I mean, I mean, 116 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:09,839 we have the split series, but it was surprising to 117 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:15,279 see Minnesota melt down the way that they did. I mean, 118 00:06:15,399 --> 00:06:17,680 for all season long, they've been a really good second 119 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,439 half team, especially, so that just caught my attention. That 120 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,319 makes me think that we should be, you know, giving 121 00:06:23,319 --> 00:06:25,439 Phoenix a little bit more credit and taking them more 122 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:29,920 seriously maybe than some others have. I think they're another 123 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,399 team that's live to win tonight. I'm worried about the 124 00:06:32,399 --> 00:06:35,639 Minnesota links after that last game. How are you viewing 125 00:06:35,639 --> 00:06:36,079 this one? 126 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,759 Speaker 2: You know the power ratings that I keep Ski actually 127 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:43,879 said both of these road favorites should have been one 128 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,600 and a half, not four or four and a half 129 00:06:46,759 --> 00:06:49,800 like we see out there. So I think maybe they're 130 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:53,560 both a little bit overpriced, of course, and we've seen 131 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:58,079 money towards the dogs, so maybe my numbers are fairly decent, 132 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,920 but minutes soa is scary. However, all that being said, 133 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:06,439 when we talked about this game the other day, it 134 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:09,720 saw to the bad issues developing a pattern. Right, lousy 135 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:13,560 game ones, come right back game too, probably play well 136 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:16,439 again here at home again the Friday night atmosphere at 137 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:20,480 home Phoenix is a tough building to play in, and 138 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:25,000 so it comes down really to the shooting of both here. 139 00:07:25,519 --> 00:07:30,680 Minnesota hasn't had that true good shooting night yet. I 140 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:34,519 wonder if that happens here tonight in this game. If so, 141 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,199 I feel like Phoenix could probably match it. I was 142 00:07:38,279 --> 00:07:40,680 leaning toward the total over a little bit in this 143 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:42,600 game at fifty eight and a half, thought maybe this 144 00:07:42,639 --> 00:07:47,160 could reach sixty, but I haven't played it. I do 145 00:07:47,199 --> 00:07:49,360 think Phoenix is live is an underdog. If they're going 146 00:07:49,439 --> 00:07:52,920 to stay in this series, it's got to be with 147 00:07:53,079 --> 00:07:55,079 this game. I think, you know, they probably want to 148 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:57,079 win them both and not have to go back to Minnesota. 149 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:01,519 So Phoenix probably for the side I think over where 150 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:05,680 the total is concerned. Last game, I'm trying to remember 151 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,439 what it was before overtime struck. I'm looking here, seventy nine, 152 00:08:09,519 --> 00:08:13,240 seventy nine, so that was one fifty eight before it 153 00:08:13,279 --> 00:08:16,959 got to overtime. Switch wouldn't have cleared this number. But 154 00:08:17,079 --> 00:08:19,279 Minnesota fell apart in the second half the same way 155 00:08:19,279 --> 00:08:21,160 Phoenix fell apart in the second half in Game one. 156 00:08:21,199 --> 00:08:24,160 It's funny how each team has played a miserable second 157 00:08:24,199 --> 00:08:27,560 half so far. Correction takes place, maybe we get that 158 00:08:27,639 --> 00:08:28,720 extra bucket and get over. 159 00:08:30,839 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 1: I don't know. I see it a little bit different here. 160 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,639 I mean, the only game that these teams have played, 161 00:08:36,639 --> 00:08:39,559 like out of the last maybe six plus even meetings 162 00:08:39,799 --> 00:08:42,919 that's gone over has been because of overtime. Like, these 163 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:46,759 are two really good defensive teams, and that's what we've 164 00:08:46,759 --> 00:08:48,440 seen every time they play. I don't know that that 165 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:52,080 will change in this matchup. So I'm a little bit 166 00:08:52,159 --> 00:08:53,080 opposite on. 167 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,759 Speaker 2: That one real quick too, Ski, Just to your point 168 00:08:55,799 --> 00:08:59,480 about under possibly, I remember coming on the other day 169 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:01,600 and saying there were hardly any free throw shot in 170 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:05,159 Game one. There were only ten total, and there weren't 171 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:08,240 many in Game two either. Somehow, these teams play foul 172 00:09:08,279 --> 00:09:11,799 proof basketball, and if you're not getting extra points from 173 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:13,679 the free throw line. It does make it a little 174 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:14,879 more difficult to get over. 175 00:09:17,279 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: All right. Uh so you think you think we'll see 176 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:24,720 what the whistles do. 177 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:26,679 Speaker 2: We'll see what the whistles do. 178 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,399 Speaker 1: I mean they make a big difference, a big deal. Well, 179 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,799 how the game was gonna go, So we shall see. 180 00:09:33,919 --> 00:09:36,679 Brian h I would think it's more of an underday 181 00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:39,960 than overday. I think that's how he's looking at it. There. 182 00:09:40,879 --> 00:09:43,279 B Man says, links where minus fourteen hundred to win 183 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:47,399 the series? Now minus three thirty? So, I mean that 184 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:51,000 tells you everything, right there, A little bit of worry 185 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:53,639 for this Minnesota team that looked like a juggernaut all 186 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:54,279 season long? 187 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 2: Are you're still hanging out to that Phoenix title? Tan too? Right? 188 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:03,919 Speaker 1: I am? What is it? Plus eighteen hundred? I believe 189 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:07,360 it was let's go. We're not mad if if Phoenix 190 00:10:07,399 --> 00:10:11,879 want to compete, I'm very good with that. I would 191 00:10:11,919 --> 00:10:14,559 love to see the Mercury in the finals. And then 192 00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:17,279 you know, just decide to do with that ticket. I mean, 193 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:19,159 I know what I'll do. I'll go ahead and edge 194 00:10:19,159 --> 00:10:21,600 it because I put a few units on plus eighteen hundred. 195 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:30,159 All right, college football, Rob, You know we have FSU 196 00:10:30,519 --> 00:10:35,919 in Virginia. I think this one opened up higher, like 197 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,159 closer to the nine area. My bad, my ice cream froze. 198 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:42,000 But it's come down. I did even see it dip 199 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:46,639 down past the seven in the total. You can correct 200 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:48,159 me if I'm wrong here, Rob. You know when I 201 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,639 when I looked at it earlier this morning, I think 202 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:53,320 it was it was lower. Now I'm seeing sixty and 203 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:56,720 a half. So I didn't do as much research as 204 00:10:56,720 --> 00:11:00,720 you on this one. How are you seeing FSU in Virginia? 205 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:03,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, I played this one and I played. I've been 206 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:08,480 a proponent of Virginia offensively this season. 207 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:08,799 Speaker 1: Ski. 208 00:11:08,879 --> 00:11:11,639 Speaker 2: It got me paid again. Last week they played Stanford. 209 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:14,320 The total was set at forty nine. Virginia scored forty 210 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:16,960 eight by themselves. I think a lot of people were 211 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:19,360 slow to the table. It's what we try to do 212 00:11:19,399 --> 00:11:21,600 in this business, right. We try to see things before 213 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:24,320 the odds maker can see them. Be a little proactive 214 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:26,799 at worked last week. They're catching on somewhat here because 215 00:11:26,919 --> 00:11:30,639 FSU has played really good offensive football to both teams. 216 00:11:31,879 --> 00:11:34,200 Good at the quarterback position. But let's give a lot 217 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:38,679 of credit to Thomas Castianos, the BC transfer that went 218 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:40,879 to Florida State, predicted over the summer that they could 219 00:11:40,919 --> 00:11:43,440 beat Alabama, went out and did it, and they haven't 220 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:48,000 looked back since. Virginia gained five hundred and ninety total 221 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:49,799 yards last week. I think it's a second week in 222 00:11:49,799 --> 00:11:52,559 a row they put up over five hundred yards. FSU 223 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:56,879 has been tattooing everybody after Alabama. The competition hasn't been great. 224 00:11:57,639 --> 00:12:00,960 That being said, Virginia's defense isn't that. It's just this 225 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:07,240 game sets up as two upper tier offensive units against 226 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:11,000 a Virginia defensive unit that I would say is average 227 00:12:11,039 --> 00:12:14,600 at best, maybe less, and a Florida State, you know, 228 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:19,679 defensive unit that is still unproven. Played Alabama. It was 229 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:23,200 Ty Simpson's very first game as a starting quarterback. Ryan Williams, 230 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:25,840 their star receiver, got knocked out with a concussion in 231 00:12:25,879 --> 00:12:27,519 the fourth quarter in that game. So I don't know 232 00:12:27,519 --> 00:12:30,960 what to make of FSU defensively, but I know that 233 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:34,039 I believe Virginia's offense is one of the most overlooked 234 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:36,360 units in the country. So for me, it was over 235 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:40,559 fifty nine excuse me, fifty nine and a half. And 236 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:44,000 to your point about this, line. It has bounced. Every 237 00:12:44,039 --> 00:12:45,960 time it seems to get the sixty sixty and a half, 238 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,039 another group comes back and pushes it down a half, 239 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:50,039 up a half, down a half. We'll see where it closes. 240 00:12:50,879 --> 00:12:53,360 To me, it'll reach the key numbers sixty one and 241 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:54,720 we can get paid with an over. 242 00:12:58,080 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: Good stuff on that. Tyler flowers like he got a 243 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,399 good number on this one, up and over as well, 244 00:13:02,919 --> 00:13:05,840 and we'll see where that total ends up there. Now, 245 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:08,679 you know, I'm gonna open it up and we're gonna 246 00:13:09,399 --> 00:13:10,799 spray aboard a little bit here. 247 00:13:10,919 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 2: Let's go. 248 00:13:12,399 --> 00:13:13,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know how I like to do NFL. I'm 249 00:13:14,279 --> 00:13:17,360 I'm not long winded, but I have a good amount 250 00:13:17,399 --> 00:13:19,320 of opinions on some of these games in the NFL 251 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,000 Week four. So we'll just put the banner up like 252 00:13:21,039 --> 00:13:27,720 that and I'll go down the list. Actually, I mean, 253 00:13:27,759 --> 00:13:30,159 I have something I played that I really really love. 254 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:32,600 I have something else I'm really looking to play, and 255 00:13:32,639 --> 00:13:34,399 I have some question marks on other ones that could 256 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:37,159 help me push me towards some So let's start like this. 257 00:13:38,519 --> 00:13:45,679 We will go We'll go Detroit and Cleveland. This screen 258 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:48,679 says the opener was nine and a half. It's up 259 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:50,639 as high as I mean, I see a ten and 260 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:54,279 a half out there, but earlier in the week there 261 00:13:54,279 --> 00:13:57,120 were eights. There were eight and a half. I know 262 00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:02,320 because I took one minus on the Lions. So my 263 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:06,919 thought process was pretty much. I mean, we saw a 264 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:10,840 pretty good game from that Cleveland defense. You know, probably 265 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:15,320 would be satisfied after getting that w the Lions. I mean, 266 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:17,759 I don't think the Cleveland is that good. Their defense 267 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:20,200 is solid, but their offense stinks. They weren't able to 268 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,120 score versus the Bengals. They weren't able to score versus 269 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,200 it was another bad defensive team that I'm blanking out 270 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:29,080 on right now. So I'm just not really impressed with 271 00:14:29,159 --> 00:14:32,399 what I've seen from them offensively. And because of that, 272 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,039 how can they keep up with this Lions team that's 273 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:38,919 you know what thirty eight points? Like? This Lions offense 274 00:14:39,279 --> 00:14:41,440 is starting to get into a rhythm now after that 275 00:14:41,519 --> 00:14:43,799 first game, and we've seen when they get into this 276 00:14:43,879 --> 00:14:47,399 rhythm going back to last season. I mean, it just 277 00:14:47,679 --> 00:14:50,080 continues on and on and on. So I want to 278 00:14:50,159 --> 00:14:54,279 ride that that rhythm, especially with Detroit here at home. 279 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:56,200 I think they can name their number, and I don't 280 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:59,120 think Cleveland's offense can keep up. So I think Detroit 281 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:03,080 is the right side in that game. Any thought from you, yeah, I. 282 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:06,679 Speaker 2: Think real quick, Ski, where Cleveland's concerned. The asset that 283 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,919 they have is not only the defense, but it's basically 284 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:14,480 Miles Garrett in that defensive line right and Detroit, if 285 00:15:14,559 --> 00:15:17,559 nothing else, they showed us last week that they're still 286 00:15:17,639 --> 00:15:20,440 one of the best offensive lines in the league because 287 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:23,440 they drove Baltimore backwards all game long and ran it 288 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:27,080 down there at the roads. And if Cleveland is unable 289 00:15:27,919 --> 00:15:31,679 to match up, you know, defensive line against offensive line, 290 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,159 it's gonna be another blow. I think real quick here 291 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:35,840 when you just look back at their schedule. They went 292 00:15:35,879 --> 00:15:38,519 to Baltimore, lost forty one to seventeen. Final scores a 293 00:15:38,559 --> 00:15:40,639 little bit deceptive because they didn't give up a lot 294 00:15:40,679 --> 00:15:43,200 of yards to Baltimore in that game, but they gave 295 00:15:43,279 --> 00:15:45,600 up a lot of points thirty one second half points. 296 00:15:46,399 --> 00:15:50,240 Detroit to me just seems to be a steamroller right now, 297 00:15:50,279 --> 00:15:55,039 So I would only play their side in this game. Again, 298 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:58,080 to your point about the Cleveland offense, it's very very hard. 299 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,000 A lot of times with this price tag, you would 300 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:03,840 say the dog has the ability to back door cover 301 00:16:03,919 --> 00:16:07,000 the game. I know it's the NFL and weird stuff happens, 302 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:09,919 but Cleveland just doesn't have that backdoor ability. It's not 303 00:16:09,919 --> 00:16:12,440 the team that goes down the field really quick behind 304 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:17,320 Joe Flacco and and real fast. Detroit sacked Lamar Jackson 305 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,039 how many times last week? And now they get the 306 00:16:19,039 --> 00:16:21,879 tee off on Joe Flacco. Could be a real long 307 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:23,039 day for the Cleveland offense. 308 00:16:25,879 --> 00:16:29,639 Speaker 1: I'm in agreement on that. Yeah, I'm in agreement with 309 00:16:29,639 --> 00:16:31,600 you on that d You got nine point five, Brian 310 00:16:31,639 --> 00:16:35,000 says Cleveland plus nine. But that Cleveland defense better at 311 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,600 home than on the road. Yeah, I want to say. 312 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:39,519 They gave up like twenty seven points per game on 313 00:16:39,559 --> 00:16:45,279 the road last season, So I want to fade them. 314 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,720 So let's keep going down the list. Let's talk about 315 00:16:50,759 --> 00:16:52,320 I'm just throwing the games out to day. I mean, 316 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:55,200 if you, if you have something you want to stop on, 317 00:16:56,000 --> 00:17:03,559 keep throwing Sam Frandon Jacksonville. I think I mean open 318 00:17:03,639 --> 00:17:05,799 minus three. I see a lot of three still right there. 319 00:17:05,799 --> 00:17:08,200 Three and a half's out there. Total went up from 320 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:11,000 forty four and after forty seven. My thought process here 321 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:17,039 is number one, Jacksonville is not that good Jacksonville's defense 322 00:17:17,079 --> 00:17:22,400 sucks and the offense is just untrustworthy in my opinion. 323 00:17:23,039 --> 00:17:25,559 When I look at the other side, San Fran, yes, 324 00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:28,119 they've been there, a little bit banged up, right. Kittle 325 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:31,279 will not be playing, but I'm pretty sure both of 326 00:17:31,279 --> 00:17:38,200 the receivers, is it Pershaw and Juwan, They're both gonna 327 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:41,519 be available to play. And I'm not mistaken Rock Purty 328 00:17:41,559 --> 00:17:44,079 looks like he's gonna be available to play here. Right. 329 00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:47,240 So we saw this team look pretty good with mac Jones, 330 00:17:48,599 --> 00:17:51,960 and I've seen Brock party for an entire season without 331 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,920 any weapons, like everybody was hurt last year and he 332 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:56,960 still was, you know, getting the ball or it needs 333 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,000 to go. I trust him more than I trust Trevor Lawrence. 334 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:02,720 I trusted forty nine or defense more than I trusted 335 00:18:02,759 --> 00:18:05,599 Jaguars defense. This is one of those situations where I 336 00:18:05,599 --> 00:18:08,400 would prefer to just bet San Fran to win. Can 337 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:09,319 you talk me off of that? 338 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,920 Speaker 2: No? No, And for a lot of the reasons that 339 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:17,160 he said a San Francisco. Somehow Someway has managed to 340 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:21,279 win two divisional games Seattle and Arizona when they had 341 00:18:21,279 --> 00:18:24,279 no weaponry at all. Last week, it was Christian McCaffrey 342 00:18:24,279 --> 00:18:27,720 and Mac Jones. They had no George Kittle's been out 343 00:18:27,799 --> 00:18:30,039 since the first week against Seattle. When they beat Seattle, 344 00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:32,799 Kittle went out in the second quarter, didn't have Jennings. 345 00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:36,240 They're running around with only Christian McCaffrey in the backfield 346 00:18:36,279 --> 00:18:38,799 doing every day. It still won the game somehow Someway 347 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:40,640 and won it by more than three points. I think 348 00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:42,960 they won that one seventeen thirteen something like that. So 349 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:47,599 they've proven that they can win based upon defense, based 350 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:51,200 upon doing just enough on offense against teams that, in 351 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:54,200 my estimation, are better than Jacksonville. Seattle certainly is better 352 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,960 than Jacksonville. Arizona, I would say is a little better 353 00:18:56,960 --> 00:19:01,039 than Jacksonville. Jacksonville begged to be beaten by Houston last week. 354 00:19:01,039 --> 00:19:05,119 I had Houston, you know, rip up that ticket. But 355 00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:09,240 I mean, Houston had every opportunity to beat Jacksonville last 356 00:19:09,279 --> 00:19:12,319 week because Jacksonville couldn't pull away. Now you're gonna send 357 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:16,759 them on the road West Coast. It's a non conference game, 358 00:19:17,559 --> 00:19:21,319 which sometimes those games get a little looser where points 359 00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:24,039 are concerned. Because I was little, it was a little 360 00:19:24,079 --> 00:19:25,880 head scratching to me ski to see the total go 361 00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:28,240 from forty four to forty seven, Like, why is it 362 00:19:28,279 --> 00:19:31,039 going there? Because San Francis should be able to keep 363 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,240 Jacksonville quiet in San Francisco, all their weapons aren't back. 364 00:19:34,599 --> 00:19:38,640 But it is non conference. All that being said, San 365 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,519 Francisco watched Seattle win and go to three to three 366 00:19:41,559 --> 00:19:45,279 and one last night. So as far as keeping pace 367 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,720 in the division, you want to win here. I thought 368 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:50,599 this price was cheap for San Francisco. I don't know 369 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,160 that these tour in the same class. So I'm with 370 00:19:53,279 --> 00:19:56,720 you there. I do like San Francisco good stuff. 371 00:19:57,519 --> 00:19:59,039 Speaker 1: I'm glad you agree with me. That makes me feel 372 00:19:59,039 --> 00:20:02,440 even more confident. Pariz asking about anything on tennis, I 373 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,480 haven't had a chance to look at I am still 374 00:20:06,039 --> 00:20:08,839 on the road, got a lot of stuff going, hadn't 375 00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:12,160 been able to look ahead the tennis yet. And when 376 00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,920 I finish this show, in the next show, I'm going 377 00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:16,799 to be driving back home for a few hours, so 378 00:20:17,279 --> 00:20:18,960 I might not get a chance to look at tennis 379 00:20:19,039 --> 00:20:26,279 until this evening. To keep going down the list, I mean, 380 00:20:26,319 --> 00:20:28,079 a lot of stuff stands out to me here. Ralbi. 381 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:32,039 You know, all right, let's see, can you let's go 382 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:40,000 Why why are the Patriots laying five and a half points, Like, 383 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,880 what have we seen from them to where they're supposed 384 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,240 to be a five and a half favorite versus really anybody? 385 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:46,880 That's kind of how I feel about the same thing 386 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,880 I said about the Falcons last week, like what have 387 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:52,079 we seen to make us think that they should be 388 00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:53,519 expected to win by touchdowns? 389 00:20:53,559 --> 00:20:53,759 Speaker 2: Now? 390 00:20:54,559 --> 00:20:59,119 Speaker 1: I just don't see it. From the Panther side, the 391 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:03,559 defense surprisingly has looked good this year, a big improvement 392 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:05,440 from what we saw last year where they couldn't stop 393 00:21:05,759 --> 00:21:09,559 a nosebleed. And at the same time, what I said, 394 00:21:09,599 --> 00:21:13,680 I mean what I said about so not this past 395 00:21:13,759 --> 00:21:17,079 game the week before, from that second half of the 396 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:21,119 game through this pass game for Carolina, that offense is 397 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,359 looked ahead of a lot better. They look competent, they 398 00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:25,599 look good getting five and a half points. I know 399 00:21:25,599 --> 00:21:29,079 they're not at home. I just I can't lay five 400 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:30,440 and a half with the Patriots. I really want to 401 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,240 get there with the Panthers. How are you viewing in it? 402 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,799 But I have to say, well, I give I do 403 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,200 give the Panthers defense more credit than the Patriots defense. 404 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:41,640 So y'all want to get there with the Panthers? How 405 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:43,200 are you feeling about this one, Rob, You know. 406 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:45,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny. I've talked to a lot of people 407 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:47,240 about this game, and the number one argument I hear 408 00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:51,240 from them is Carolina one thirty to nothing last week, 409 00:21:51,279 --> 00:21:53,400 they're going on the road. Now it ain't gonna happen again. 410 00:21:54,039 --> 00:21:57,559 And I'm thinking, well, why not not not to win 411 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,400 thirty to nothing? But why would you discount carol lineup 412 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,119 for that reason? You know what I mean? Because I'm 413 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,039 of the opinion I'm on the game, but I'm on 414 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:08,599 the total because I feel like New England's past defense 415 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:10,359 has been so bad. And I'll just add on to 416 00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,160 your point about Carolina's offense beginning to look confident. We 417 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,119 saw Bryce Young the end of last year start to 418 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,519 turn it around. First game wasn't good, we get it, 419 00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:19,839 but it's been pretty good ever since, and New England 420 00:22:19,839 --> 00:22:22,839 hasn't stopped anybody through the air. So I feel like 421 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,440 Carolina can get their share, and New England, to their credit, 422 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,960 pretty good offensively at this point in time, and Carolina 423 00:22:30,079 --> 00:22:31,920 not the best defense in the world. So to me, 424 00:22:32,839 --> 00:22:36,839 this total being listed at less than forty four twenty 425 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:38,960 four to twenty gets me paid twenty seven to seventeen 426 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,359 gets me paid, et cetera, et cetera. I like that 427 00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:46,200 angle of it, and I think if you like, like 428 00:22:46,279 --> 00:22:49,920 I do, Carolina's ability to move the football, then you 429 00:22:50,039 --> 00:22:51,920 have to like plus five and a half. I mean, 430 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,880 it would take a rash of turnovers in my estimation. 431 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:58,119 That sets New England up to really not cover here. 432 00:22:59,079 --> 00:23:03,119 New England's not They win games by huge margins, so 433 00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:06,240 I would have trouble taking the favorite here. I could 434 00:23:06,279 --> 00:23:09,039 only look dog, but mostly I think this one's going 435 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:10,680 to get over forty three and a half. 436 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:18,960 Speaker 1: All right. I mean I did consider the first half over, 437 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:20,960 but I just I don't know. I like to side 438 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:22,359 a little bit more, so I'll leave that to you. 439 00:23:24,039 --> 00:23:27,839 Steve says Man. Panthers. They don't have much on offense. 440 00:23:28,079 --> 00:23:33,240 Who is Bryce throwing the ball too? I mean, how 441 00:23:33,279 --> 00:23:36,200 did they score thirty points last week? Did they score 442 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,960 a defensive touchdown? I don't remember. 443 00:23:40,799 --> 00:23:44,039 Speaker 2: I mean I thought you were asking him now. 444 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:47,519 Speaker 1: I'm just trying to remember myself here because I know 445 00:23:48,759 --> 00:23:52,319 I can't remember. But uh, anyway, they look good in 446 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,119 that second half. The same people through two in the 447 00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,559 second half of you know, prior to the last game, 448 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,400 and they just come off a thirty zero game. Where 449 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:02,599 are we? Why are we talking about this? 450 00:24:03,839 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 2: They gave up twenty seven to the Dolphins. That game 451 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:11,480 hit sixty, all. 452 00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:15,039 Speaker 1: Right, you know, let's keep going. I think I like 453 00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:23,640 Carolina there, all right. Let me ask you this. The 454 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,240 other side, Atlanta looks so terrible in that zero to 455 00:24:26,319 --> 00:24:30,799 thirty loss. Right now, they're at home laying the short number. 456 00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:36,400 Washington doesn't have Jade and Daniels. I don't know, after 457 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,119 getting embarrassed like that, I would think you get a 458 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:43,640 really good effort from Atlanta at home, back home after 459 00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:45,319 a couple of road games in a row, too. I 460 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,599 know they're happy to be home. I would try to 461 00:24:47,599 --> 00:24:49,799 find as many reasons as I can to back Atlanta. 462 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:56,279 Speaker 3: Do you have any They already beat the backup quarterback 463 00:24:56,640 --> 00:25:00,880 against Minnesota a couple of weeks ago, right Their defense 464 00:25:01,079 --> 00:25:03,799 absolutely took Minnesota apart in that game. 465 00:25:04,599 --> 00:25:08,480 Speaker 2: Minnesota was without some offensive linemen. But Washington without Jade 466 00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:12,920 and Daniels just isn't Washington. And I think, you know, 467 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,240 I think with these NFL teams and these defenses that 468 00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,279 are good enough to do with ski see against Washington 469 00:25:18,319 --> 00:25:20,839 is let's just go ahead, and stack the box and 470 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,119 take away the run. Jade and Daniels could beat us, 471 00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,240 but we don't think we can get beat by the backup, 472 00:25:25,279 --> 00:25:27,319 and I'd agree with that. I think Atlanta's way good 473 00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:30,839 enough defensively. I don't think Washington is in that game 474 00:25:30,839 --> 00:25:34,039 where Atlanta beat Minnesota, which is a Brian Flores defense, 475 00:25:34,079 --> 00:25:36,200 a better defense than what Washington brings to the table. 476 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:41,319 They had enough big plays out of Bijon Robinson and 477 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,240 enough pass completions out of Michael Pennox to get it done, 478 00:25:44,559 --> 00:25:46,559 and I don't know why they can't get it done here. 479 00:25:47,799 --> 00:25:51,480 That home field means something in Atlanta, so at under 480 00:25:51,519 --> 00:25:54,559 a field goal, I think it's probably the right side. 481 00:25:54,599 --> 00:25:59,480 I'd have a hard time with the Commanders. Everything they 482 00:25:59,519 --> 00:26:02,160 do offenatively, he's predicated on Daniels, and without him they 483 00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,319 didn't look the same to me last week, So I 484 00:26:04,319 --> 00:26:06,640 don't know how that's gonna change a whole bunch on 485 00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:08,000 the road here against Atlanta. 486 00:26:09,519 --> 00:26:14,359 Speaker 1: Mariota man, m I mean, I'm willing to bet against 487 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:16,279 that guy for as many more games as he plays. 488 00:26:16,319 --> 00:26:18,359 I'll just say that you don't have to. It didn't 489 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:24,160 take too much talking into to fade Mariota for me. Oh, 490 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:26,279 we're you gonna say something there? Ready to keep going? 491 00:26:26,799 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 2: No, No, I see you studying there. I know you're throwing, 492 00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:32,559 So I'm just waiting to catch another one. 493 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 1: All right. Tampa Bay and Eagles, I think it's I mean, 494 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:41,000 it opened two and a half. It did cross the 495 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:42,720 three and go to three and a half for Philadelphia 496 00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:45,599 on the road. But and this is one where you 497 00:26:45,599 --> 00:26:47,039 can correct me if I'm wrong here, because I'm just 498 00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:50,960 speaking from the top of my head. Philadelphia hasn't been 499 00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:57,079 like like steamrolling or killing opponents. They've been playing relatively 500 00:26:57,119 --> 00:27:02,759 close games right up a Bay, They've been damn good. 501 00:27:02,759 --> 00:27:07,279 I want to say fourteen and six as an underdog recently. 502 00:27:07,759 --> 00:27:09,799 So them being at home here, I know they're a 503 00:27:09,839 --> 00:27:12,799 little banged up, but when I see them catching points, 504 00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:15,599 I tend to try to find one to fine reasons 505 00:27:15,599 --> 00:27:18,920 to back them three and a half. I mean, you 506 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,799 could you could do one of those seven point teachers 507 00:27:21,839 --> 00:27:23,279 and get ten and a half and feel really good 508 00:27:23,279 --> 00:27:25,839 about it. And if you are betting a seven point teasers, 509 00:27:25,839 --> 00:27:27,759 you want to better that bed online. I'm gonna tell 510 00:27:27,759 --> 00:27:31,119 you that right now. In general, I think teasers have 511 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,079 really good eyes at bet online. I'll just throw that 512 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,279 out there, but I want to try to get there 513 00:27:36,319 --> 00:27:39,480 with Tampa Bay at home. Is there any reason for 514 00:27:39,519 --> 00:27:41,920 you to talk me off of that. 515 00:27:43,279 --> 00:27:45,720 Speaker 2: I'm trying to wait on the injury report. Obviously, not 516 00:27:45,839 --> 00:27:50,039 having Mike Evans now is critical for Tampa Bay. They're 517 00:27:50,079 --> 00:27:54,400 already without Chris Godwin, who has a question mark next 518 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,559 to his name for this week. He could return. That's 519 00:27:56,599 --> 00:27:59,079 part of the weight on the injury report. Tristan Wurfs, 520 00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,319 the left tackle, it's another part of the weight on 521 00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:05,279 the injury report. Didn't play last week. They've skated by 522 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:10,119 barely field goal against Atlanta, one point against Houston on 523 00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:12,400 that Monday night er, and then two points against the 524 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:16,440 Jets last week. And it's mostly do because they just 525 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,960 haven't been healthy. Ski. I would love to be against 526 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,200 Philadelphia because I don't think Philadelphia's you know, they're not 527 00:28:23,279 --> 00:28:26,079 super Bowl Philadelphia, let's put it that way. Should have 528 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,759 got beaten last week by the Rams. It went their way. 529 00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:32,720 Give them credit, but they haven't shown especially on the 530 00:28:32,759 --> 00:28:36,240 defensive side and in that secondary. It's been a problem 531 00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,920 since the offseason. They've tried to correct it. You can 532 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:43,319 throw on this team, they haven't been able to correct it. 533 00:28:43,359 --> 00:28:45,359 And Baker Mayfield, if there's one thing he can do 534 00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:49,480 when he has the weaponry, he can shred you. But 535 00:28:49,559 --> 00:28:52,440 they're just so light on receivers. If Godwin doesn't play, 536 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,599 I'd have a hard time betting that team without Mike Evans, 537 00:28:55,599 --> 00:28:59,519 without Chris Godwin. Just in that instance, Philadelphia to me, 538 00:28:59,559 --> 00:29:02,839 has too much your offense for them. 539 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:04,359 Speaker 1: All Right, That's what I need to think about a 540 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,920 little bit more. I'm gonna just group a couple together 541 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,839 and if any of them catch your attention, we can 542 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:15,680 talk about it a little bit. Buffalo has not been 543 00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,039 good as a double digit favorite. They didn't cover versus 544 00:29:18,039 --> 00:29:20,359 Miami last week. I know the Saints have been terrible, 545 00:29:20,799 --> 00:29:24,519 but you're getting I mean, it's a three possession game 546 00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:27,880 right there with the point spread, it's New Orleans or 547 00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:31,960 past for me. With that Tennessee and Houston. To see 548 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,920 Houston laying minus seven as bad as they've been, it's 549 00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:39,880 kind of standing out to me. But my eye tests, 550 00:29:40,839 --> 00:29:43,720 I can't trust Houston. So now that I'm saying that 551 00:29:43,759 --> 00:29:46,480 out loud, I'm gonna go ahead and pass second, go 552 00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:50,480 ahead and leave that one alone. So I guess that 553 00:29:50,599 --> 00:29:54,440 New Orleans and Buffalo and then we have I mean, 554 00:29:54,559 --> 00:29:59,839 Kansas City. Are they dead? Baltimore? Baltimore defense looks so poor. 555 00:30:00,279 --> 00:30:02,079 I think that Mahomes can find a way to win, 556 00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:05,119 but I know Baltimore will be very hungry off of 557 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:10,039 a loss. So any thoughts on Baltimore case New Orleans Buffalo. 558 00:30:12,279 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 2: Well, for Buffalo, it's just the interest level, right Ski. 559 00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,319 They do have a divisional game next week which would 560 00:30:17,319 --> 00:30:20,200 be more important. It's against New England. They'll be a 561 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,000 big favorite again, but it's still AFC East game, which 562 00:30:23,039 --> 00:30:25,279 is the most important to them. So how much of 563 00:30:25,279 --> 00:30:29,039 an interest level they have against New Orleans is probably 564 00:30:29,079 --> 00:30:31,119 your biggest questionnaire. It's a little bit of a tough 565 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,759 travel spot for New Orleans. Go to Denver, get whacked, 566 00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:38,720 come all the way back east to play Buffalo. If 567 00:30:38,759 --> 00:30:42,000 Buffalo wants to lay it on, they can, but I 568 00:30:42,119 --> 00:30:44,640 just don't know that they care to. It could be 569 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,640 a get in, get out type situation. Or before I 570 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:49,400 even say that, it could be one where they come 571 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,039 out lazy in New Orleans gets the first half. So 572 00:30:52,839 --> 00:30:57,680 it's difficult. I can make counter arguments each way. Baltimore 573 00:30:57,759 --> 00:31:02,200 Casey I'm just gonna say that with Xavier Worthy back, 574 00:31:03,319 --> 00:31:08,640 thank goodness, Trevor Travis Kelsey hasn't you know, put him 575 00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:10,799 out for six weeks by colliding with him in that 576 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,279 first game. But with Worthy back, with Hollywood Brown with 577 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:18,559 Kelsey gives Mahomes more weapons and any team so far 578 00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:22,240 it's had offensive weaponry has lit up the Ravens. The 579 00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:24,920 Bills got him for forty one, Detroit just got him 580 00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,000 for thirty eight, and those games went flying over the total. 581 00:31:28,319 --> 00:31:30,279 I wouldn't be surprised if this one gets over. The 582 00:31:30,279 --> 00:31:31,960 total to forty eight and a half to me looks 583 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,960 too low. Baltimore can still score, they don't have any 584 00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:37,720 problem doing that, but they don't stop anybody. And some 585 00:31:37,759 --> 00:31:40,119 of it's due to injury for sure on that side 586 00:31:40,119 --> 00:31:41,519 of the football. So that's the way I would look 587 00:31:41,519 --> 00:31:44,480 at those two Buffalo Like I say, harked me to 588 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,720 make a case either way, but I think Baltimore Kansas 589 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:47,279 City gonna go. 590 00:31:47,279 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 1: Over good stuff. I agree with that total as well. 591 00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,400 We've really talked about almost every game. Last thing I'm 592 00:31:54,400 --> 00:32:00,319 gonna say here is and this is my teams six 593 00:32:00,359 --> 00:32:05,279 and a half. Oh he ain't no way, hell I'm 594 00:32:05,319 --> 00:32:06,839 letting it down with the targets. 595 00:32:06,839 --> 00:32:07,000 Speaker 2: Man. 596 00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 1: I know they've looked all right, they looked good so far, 597 00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:14,559 but on the road a touchdown. Yeah, I'm not even 598 00:32:14,559 --> 00:32:18,079 gonna break it down. It's just they're gonna have to 599 00:32:18,079 --> 00:32:20,519 make me a believer in rob you know. So, I 600 00:32:20,519 --> 00:32:22,000 have a feeling you're not gonna talk me off of 601 00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:23,519 Giants plus six and a half. 602 00:32:24,279 --> 00:32:27,279 Speaker 2: No, I won't talk at all because I've done enough 603 00:32:27,359 --> 00:32:29,759 work with you to know that Chargers as favorite. I 604 00:32:29,839 --> 00:32:32,400 learned my lesson, you know what. I've listened to you 605 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,279 a couple of times. It proves to be right. They're 606 00:32:34,319 --> 00:32:37,119 just not that great of a favorite. Does that you know? 607 00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:40,759 Does that trend begin to change the longer Jim Harbor. 608 00:32:41,079 --> 00:32:43,519 Speaker 1: Lady, it has lately. I'm not gonna lie. 609 00:32:44,079 --> 00:32:47,720 Speaker 2: And so that's the only thing that you're looking at 610 00:32:47,799 --> 00:32:50,480 here is maybe the coaching change makes a shift in 611 00:32:50,519 --> 00:32:53,640 that trend. But it's it's a big price to lay 612 00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:54,079 on the road. 613 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:56,640 Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely not for my money. 614 00:32:57,319 --> 00:32:59,559 Speaker 2: And you're gonna get Jackson dark right, You're not gonna 615 00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:03,759 have Rush Wilson, the rookie quarterback that game. And we'll 616 00:33:03,799 --> 00:33:06,359 see if he brings any life to the team, which 617 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,839 Russ really wasn't doing unless he was playing the Cowboys 618 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:10,960 who can't stop anybody. 619 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,720 Speaker 1: And that's where I mean, I get it. Everybody wants 620 00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,319 to fade the rookie quarterback. I'm not a dark guy. 621 00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,119 I don't think he's that good. And when you remind 622 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:22,880 me of Jackson Dark, it pulls me back in a 623 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:26,440 little bit. Rob, you know, I'm not really a believer, 624 00:33:26,519 --> 00:33:33,680 but but yeah, there's no way that I'm taking the Chargers, 625 00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,240 all right. I think we did a pretty good job here. 626 00:33:36,799 --> 00:33:40,720 We talked two WNBA games, the college football game, damn 627 00:33:40,759 --> 00:33:45,680 near the entire NFL slate, and now I'm about that 628 00:33:45,759 --> 00:33:49,119 time to move it over the best bets. So I 629 00:33:49,119 --> 00:33:51,240 don't have anything to toss up on the screen here, Rob, 630 00:33:51,359 --> 00:33:55,039 you no, I know. Actually we do still have Weekend 631 00:33:55,119 --> 00:33:58,640 Warrior going, right, So if you want to be involved 632 00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,000 with every football play release from you know you can 633 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,319 get from Rob myself. Whoever you want to get it with, 634 00:34:03,759 --> 00:34:06,720 you can get it for forty nine dollars. It includes 635 00:34:06,759 --> 00:34:10,000 five percent plays includes Monday night football, so it's a 636 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:13,679 good way to get involved there. And outside of that, Rob, 637 00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:16,119 you know, I'm going to pass it back to you, 638 00:34:16,559 --> 00:34:18,760 I'll ask you if there's anything you would like to promote, 639 00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:20,440 and if you have a best bet for the show, 640 00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:25,880 we'd love to hear it if we If if you 641 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:27,679 don't have a best bet, it's all good. 642 00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:33,239 Speaker 2: I'll just, you know, double promote the Weekend Warrior Package. Ski. 643 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:34,920 That's a pretty good deal. I have to say. You 644 00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:37,480 get all three days Saturday, Sunday, Monday, every football play 645 00:34:37,519 --> 00:34:40,320 release for just forty nine bucks. Wager Talk does a 646 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:42,440 pretty good price reduction on that, from one o eight 647 00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:44,719 I think down to forty nine. So if you're interested 648 00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:48,760 this weekend, absolutely go and pick up a Weekend Warrior 649 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:52,519 Package over at wadgertalk dot com. I'm gonna leave you 650 00:34:52,519 --> 00:34:54,199 with the best bet here though, because I really believe 651 00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:58,360 Florida State Virginia are getting over sixty points here. I 652 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:00,440 should say over sixty one because some people that are 653 00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,719 gonna bet this now might only see sixties. But do 654 00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,800 shop it because there's still places out there showing US 655 00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:07,320 fifty nine and a half. You want to get the 656 00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:09,960 best of the number here. To me, though, would say 657 00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:14,360 it's a dead over game in this case. And like 658 00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,800 I said, I've just been high on this Virginia offense. 659 00:35:17,119 --> 00:35:20,719 Oddsmaker's starting to catch up, but maybe not enough in 660 00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,719 this contest because Florida State's offense is dynamite two. So 661 00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:28,280 Florida State Virginia over. I'm looking here. I think we 662 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,039 can still get away with fifty nine and a half. 663 00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:31,880 So I'm gonna say over fifty nine and a half. 664 00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:37,679 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Robino Before I get to 665 00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:42,800 mind Rizzachi. Let's get to him real quick. He says, 666 00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:46,519 face Ski, he's megatrash, he knows nothing for real, for 667 00:35:46,599 --> 00:35:50,920 real fatom, mostly especially NBA. And he says dart is 668 00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:55,800 good Ski number one. I'm gonna say, Rizachi, ooh love it. 669 00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:58,280 If you have a channel to come talk to these games, 670 00:35:58,519 --> 00:36:01,320 or if you uh, you know, have a track record 671 00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,719 of what you've done. I've won six out of eight 672 00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:06,719 years in the NBA, So if you've done better, I'd 673 00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:08,760 love to see it. If you have not, you should 674 00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:10,800 probably just shut the hell up and watch the show. 675 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:16,840 That's what I'll say. My best bet for the show promo. Actually, first, 676 00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:22,079 I've hit eight out of nine NBA playoffs. My bet, 677 00:36:22,119 --> 00:36:24,480 I got a phone call right there. I've hit in 678 00:36:24,559 --> 00:36:27,519 the WNBA playoffs and I have a five percent up 679 00:36:27,519 --> 00:36:31,000 and available for tonight, so if you'd like to be involved, 680 00:36:31,039 --> 00:36:33,519 you guys know where to find it. You can see 681 00:36:33,519 --> 00:36:36,199 both Rob you know, and my profile page at the 682 00:36:36,199 --> 00:36:40,719 bottom of the screen. And my best bet for the show, 683 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:42,639 I'm gonna give you football one that I played. The 684 00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:46,079 numbers not there anymore, but I took the lines minus 685 00:36:46,119 --> 00:36:47,760 eight and a half. I do think it's a double 686 00:36:47,800 --> 00:36:49,920 digit win. I gave you a lot of reasons why 687 00:36:50,159 --> 00:36:53,639 the offensive rhythm should continue, and that's where my money 688 00:36:53,639 --> 00:36:57,840 will be this weekend. So appreciate everybody in the chat. 689 00:36:58,039 --> 00:37:02,480 A lot of great people. Brian eight says, great jobs 690 00:37:02,519 --> 00:37:06,239 can Rob appreciate it. Let's win this weekend, Mark A, Steve, 691 00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:10,039 appreciate all you good guys out there, so if you know, 692 00:37:10,679 --> 00:37:12,679 always tell you too. I appreciate you taking the time 693 00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,239 to come break these games down with me. Helps my process. 694 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,039 I'm sure you help everybody else out there as well. Chat. 695 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:23,480 Most of you guys, except for one Apple, we appreciate 696 00:37:23,519 --> 00:37:25,559 you as well. A lot of good people, great efforts. 697 00:37:25,639 --> 00:37:28,320 We all just trying to help each other win. So 698 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:30,719 that's the luck on all your action this weekend. We'll 699 00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:34,119 be back again on Monday, and we will catch you 700 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:34,679 all then