Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens hosting the Detroit Lions. What an incredible football game?
Will it be a shootout? Who's gonna cover any prop bets?
How do we make money? Joe and Arey and myself
are going to take a part that game on the
Best betting Show Ever.
Speaker 2: We're also going to look at.
Speaker 1: NFL Week four. What do we need to bet now?
College Football Week five? Same thing. Joe's gonna yell and
scream about the Rams. I'm going to celebrate the Eagles.
We've got our MLB rundown coming and our mailbag segment. Everyone,
Thank you for watching the best betting show ever. You
could see it Monday to Friday. Joe, how is your weekend?
Speaker 2: How you doing? Brother? It's kind of frustrating weekend for
the most part there, it's like playing with your food Prez. Saturday,
you get beat by a couple of less than sixty
second bombs and hail Mary's that get you? And then
yesterday there are a lot of people like you celebrating,
but there were a lot of people like me scratching
a head, going you got to be kidding me. At
the end of those one o'clock games there, when it
comes to special teams. Unreal.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I mean I've never seen so many block
kicks in my life, and so many of them not
only turned games.
Speaker 2: Around, Joe, but turned bets around.
Speaker 1: Obviously, the New York Jets one helped the New York
Jets cover leverage or not, and Philadelphia covered as well
because of that, and on and on and on. I
mean not only that, but people I might not even
realize there were two block field goals in that Rams game,
so unbelievable. You think there's a reason for that, Joe.
Speaker 2: Yes, I do. I think lack of a preseason, I
think coaching isn't what it used to be. And yeah,
I think a lot of these games early on in
the season reflect that. Yeah, fundamentally. We see it in
baseball too, Prez, Right, a lot more errors, a lot
of guys can't push runners over. Same thing in the NFL, Like,
there is no excuse for turning the ball over five
times in a game, and there's no excuse to get
not one, but two field goals blocked in a game,
absolutely disgusting.
Speaker 1: Well, we're definitely going to talk about that five turnover
game in Pittsburgh and New England later on in the show,
we're going to break down the Monday night football game
in great detail. Before we get into that, I just
want to say that we lost a great person this
past weekend. Dave Sheripan and Dave worked with Wager Talkie,
was part of our family. He was also on the
Sports Grid network, but none of that matters. Who cares
where he worked. Dave was a loving husband and a
father of three beautiful daughters, and he was an incredibly
active father. All of his kids played sports, softball, baseball.
He was there every week. Anytime anybody came into Las Vegas,
he would make time out of his day to meet
them at the casino. He was happy, jovial, friendly, loving
and kind. We lost a great one. I talked about
it a bit yesterday and I got very emotional. I'm
a day removed, so I am not tearing, but I
did and lots of love to Dave and his family.
It is Joe. It is horrible, and it happened cancer.
It was so fast.
Speaker 2: I mean three months ago I was doing shows with
him on Sports Grid there and then yesterday we had
to make the announcement that he passed away. And I
mean just so said on so many levels and one
of the best, not only behind the counter but out
on the streets. So I don't know anybody who ever
met Dave that was not a fan who didn't feel
like they were welcomed, like you had known the guy
your entire life. He was just one of the truly
good guys and will absolutely be missed, and thoughts and
prayers with his girls and his wife just terrible all
the way around.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just it's so horrible, And he really was
such a special dude. But he loved sports betting and
if he was here now, he would do this show.
So let's go Monday night football. Que that clock, Joe.
Eighty two percent of the bets coming in on Baltimore
right now, seventy five percent on the money on the over.
It was fifty one and a half, it's now at
fifty three. There's a fifty four out there as well.
They can't get this game high enough, and I understand that.
With that said, where I'm going to go in this game,
Joe is I'm going to look to take both team
totals over. So instead of playing the single total over
and having one bet, I'm going to get greedy and
try go to and O tonight in the NFL. Worst case,
I go one on one, Joe. We got over twenty
nine and a half of Baltimore. They regularly can get
into the forties. We have over twenty three and a half.
For Detroit, they put fifty one up last week. I
think the better bet is the two team totals over
than the game over. Sidewise, I would lean on Detroit
because I think their offense is good enough for that
backdoor opportunity. Plus they can keep up with anybody. So
I lean on Detroit and I like both team totals over.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you got a point there pez the
Ravens right now twenty five and eleven to their team
total over over the last two seasons, and that's not
a fluke. Not to mention Lamar Jackson his last twenty
one starts under center for the Ravens. The over is
sixteen and five in the full game. That is the
best over percentage of any quarterback in the NFL. So
if you're gonna regularly put up forty points, then the
team total over is probably the smartest bet you can make.
Their press at least as far as the percentages and
the trends. Go the Ravens betting their team total over
and if Detroit gives you anything close to what you
got last week. Yeah, those are two pretty good bets there, Press, There.
Speaker 1: We go, Jorni Lawrence Pressman hit that like button everybody. Okay, Joe,
let's move our attention to what did we learn? And
right off the bat, I'll tell you the Cleveland Browns,
Holy moly, their defense unbelievable and they got it done.
The Indianapolis Colts, maybe they aren't real. I understand it
was only the Titans, but man, this team's punted once.
The Vikings. This team is deadly with or without a quarterback.
Steelers stink, Joe. Five turnovers they could barely get out.
In New England, Philadelphia Eagles might sweep.
Speaker 2: I know you disagree. How good are the boxed Joe? Well,
I don't know. You'd rather be lucky than good in
that spot there, Prez. But listen, the one thing that
I learned this weekend is it's a good reminder is
don't overreact to variants. There are a lot of things
that you can do when handicapping. Okay, one of them
is there's only so much you can do. When variance
comes in your Eagles pick, Yes, you won it, but
that was not the right handicap. The right handicap was
the Rams had won that game, should have won that game.
But ultimately, the ridiculous variance of not one but two
field goals being blocked and then having it returned by
a five hundred pound man is just the most unbelievable
thing ever. So don't overreact to the outcome. Was the
handicap correct? Where you right in the way you processed
the game and came up with the play. If that's correct,
that's more important in the long term and the short
term win a lost Prez. That's the big thing to remember.
That is well said.
Speaker 1: And I clearly did handicap that game half correct as
in the second half. Jaguars Texans, Joe, you were on
the Texans yesterday? Is I'm looking at this team as
as my survivor picking Week four.
Speaker 2: Listen, another one of these situations. It's becoming abundantly clear
that Houston has a quarterback problem with CJ. Stroud Now
having said that, they still should have had an opportunity
to win that game. How you get the ball to
Nicocollins in the open field and somehow he gets tackled
and turns the ball over to the Jacksons beyond me.
But again another one of those situations where give credit
where credit was due. Jacksonville made a few more plays
than Houston, But where is the offense coming from Houston?
Pres is my quabble.
Speaker 1: Yeah, gotta look at the under in Houston games. Joe Roderi,
NFL Week four is in front of us, and right
now it's a matter of what are we bet. You
know we're gonna make bets. What do we do immediately?
And I'm gonna tell you, guys, if you like the
under in the Tampa Bay Philadelphia game, it came out
at forty five, it's now at forty four.
Speaker 2: Ninety three percent of the tickets.
Speaker 1: Have been written on the under.
Speaker 2: Bet that immediately.
Speaker 1: Exactly the same with Seattle playing Arizona. Eighty six percent
of the tickets have been written on Seattle already. So
if you do plan on betting them, get down immediately. Houston, Joe,
we just spoke about them minus seven. It's now minus
seven and a half. I would wait once you've missed
that seven, you gotta wait it out. If it goes
to eight, so be it, And ninety three percent of
the money is on the over in the Rams Indianapolis game,
which makes total sense. Joe, what are you seeing out there?
Speaker 2: Well, that was the biggest move today, Pras that I
saw was the Rams opened up forty six and a
half in that total and it has gone through the roof.
Like you said, it's almost a three point move here
over the last forty eight hours, which is actually kind
of crazy. But the Thursday night game, to me was
fascinating because watching Arizona fumble that game away and melt
down with not just the play of Kyler Murray, but
the play calling and the unnecessary risks taken by that team.
It's kind of hard. They got a ton of injuries
in the secondary. Now will Sam Donald be able to
take advantage of those, because I don't know Mac Jones
did and that was the reason why they were able
to move the ball into field goal range and win it.
So a lot of question marks with Arizona. They should
have won yesterday, but now they've got an even more
harder game because this is a better defense than they
just saw yesterday in Seattle.
Speaker 1: Yeap, that is for sure, and that over in the
Indianapolis Rams game. Quite the line move, Joe. Let's turn
our attention to college football Week five. Right off the
batt I want to talk about Duke, Joe. I was
on Duke, Milions were on Duke. This is a team
that's getting heavily bat eighty nine percent of the money
on Duke, eighty nine percent of the money on the
over ninety percent of the money is on Boston College.
Speaker 2: So that is important.
Speaker 1: Because Duke is at five and a half.
Speaker 2: We can wait.
Speaker 1: Boston College is at six and a half. If you're
gonna bet it, you gotta bet it immediately. And same
with air Force at minus six, Joe, we do not
want to see a seven go up there. Kansas minus
six money being taken all over on Kansas against Cincinnati.
Speaker 2: Again it says six, So get that bet in immediately.
Speaker 1: In USC Joe sitting on a seven and is about
to tip to seven and a half, so you might
want to get that in.
Speaker 2: What are you seeing out there? Please don't even get
me started. USC is up by more than three touchdowns
in a game in which pres I had them laying
seventeen and with a minute thirty left against the backups
Michigan State completes a Hail Mary eighty yard touchdown to
screw me there, But make no mistake that USC offense,
that is a legit offense and they are going to
get some attention. And by the way, that Cincinnati Kansas
game is fascinating because you just watched Kansas, I mean,
destroy West Virginia, right, but Cincinnati didn't play last week,
so out of sight, out of mind, pres are we
seeing the money? That's the Kansas point the Cincinnati head off.
So great point is that an overreaction? Well, we're gonna
find out.
Speaker 1: What about Georgia and Alabama here eighty six percent of
the tickets on Georgia ninety one on the over. That's
a sexy game. You think it's gonna hold it three.
Speaker 2: No, I don't. I think it's gonna drop down before
it's all said and done. And I also don't think
you're gonna have to wait very long also for the
line to move with the game that's on Friday night
between Florida State and Virginia. So if you like Florida State,
I would bet it now against Virginia coming up on Friday.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and there are seven and a halfs out there
and in eight on Florida State, but only about fifty
two of the money on Florida State. Houston is taking
the most right now for Friday Night, eighty three percent
of the money on them Joe our bad beat section
of the show. Before we get into that, I just
want to let everyone know hit that like button, hit
the thumbs up. Please subscribe to our channel. Look, I
had no bad beats personally for myself this past weekend.
You know, I was on the Old miss Over and
I don't want to say it was a bad beat,
but I mean everything had to go along for that
game to go under. You look at the you look
at opening the game with three field goals, you know,
and then you have that touchdown pass at the end
of the second half in the basket dropped. That was
a tough one for me. Obviously, I had the Philadelphia
Eagles and that got me there, but I didn't I
was not the reciprocate, it was recipient of any bad
beats this week you were.
Speaker 2: Oh, it was brutal. I mentioned that USC game, which
was just absolutely laughable. Arkansas giving up an eighteen point
lead to Memphis might have been the most disgusting game
of the weekend and we forgot another big one press here.
Anybody like me that had teasers associated with the Green
Bay Packers, Yeah, that you want to talk about bad beats?
Exactly how did the Packers lose that game? Mcga, I
have no idea, but again, right handicap, wrong result, don't
don't dwell too much on it in the short term.
Speaker 1: I mean, with that said, Joe, they were basically the
same in yardage. Cleveland has out gained the two previous opponents,
including Baltimore. From a teaser perspective, I can understand, but
from a point spread perspective, there was never a moment
where Cleveland was the right pick.
Speaker 2: Well, no, from a spread perspective, there was never a
moment where Green Bay was the right pick, which is why,
which is what mas and teaser so much more appealing,
because you should have won by at least three there
in Green Bay. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Who's the first coach you're going to get fired.
Speaker 2: In NFL? Yeah? Well, I mean I still think it
could be the Miami head coach. Although there were some
gross efforts over the week maybe Tennessee effort Dallas. Although
I mean there are some efforts that you just got
to scratch your head and go how much longer are
they going to be around? But maybe, Rahem Morris, if
they lay another egg like that and get blinds by Carolina,
I don't know, Atlanta could be looking for a new
head coach by the time the season's over. Joe and Airey,
we're doing.
Speaker 1: The best betting show ever, guys. That shows up Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.
We put it up at one pm Eastern on wager
Talk TV. We are going to try to a live
show shortly. We'll keep you posting on that art. The
Caesar joins us Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday Friday. He's a risk
manager over at the Westgate. Will tell us where all
the bets are. Joe, it's your MLB rundown. You have
two minutes every game on the board. My Blue Jays
are off tonight.
Speaker 2: Go everybody is off tonight here, Broz, you only got
three Major League Baseball games on tap, and the first
one is going to involve two teams that are really
racing here at the end of the week to go
on vacation. With the Washington Nationals taking on the Braves,
this would have been a hell of a pitching matchup
three months ago, but now we get McKenzie Gore taking
on Chris Sale. The Braves have been absolutely red hot
here over the last couple of weeks. In fact, they
have been a giant paint of the ascid de Droit
Tigers over the weekend, who now all of a sudden
find themselves guessing as to whether or not they're going
to make it to the postseason. Both these teams, though,
have had their moments into second half. I think Chris Sale, though,
is going to be a little too much for this
Nats team. The Brewers and the Padres Peralta versus Paveta
here tonight, listen, Milwaukee has been red hot. They're already
locked up the National League Central likely to best record
in Major League Baseball. Pavetta is a guy that has
been much better at pet Goo than he has been
on the road. It's a low total, but I think
it's a low total for a reason. Peralta, by the way,
has given up zero or one run in six of
his last seven starts. I like the first five under
in this spot. I don't think with the Padres firmly
in that number two wildcard spot, are we really worried
about them making the postseason. I don't think so, but
I think the under in the first five is a
good look. And then could be the end of Justin
Verlander's career here at forty two years old. He takes
the mount for the Giants taking on the Cardinals and McGreevy,
and you gotta believe Verlander, who has pitched much better
than his record, says it, especially over the last month.
I think he and the Giants want to go out
in style. For mcgreevy's a pitch to contact guy that's
not going to be well for the Cardinals. I think
the Giants hitters show up, and I think var Lander
gets that final start and the win for the Giants,
And that is your three game Major League Baseball Rundown,
Joe and Airy.
Speaker 1: Every day we do a mail bag segment.
Speaker 2: Guys.
Speaker 1: We obviously ask you it the like button, We obviously
ask you to subscribe to our channel. But commenting is
crucial to the word of today is chapstick chapacks?
Speaker 2: Love it?
Speaker 1: Nothing to say, just put chapstick up in the comment second.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and we're gonna we read a lot of it.
We read every.
Speaker 1: Comment and we do try to to get to respond, So, Joe,
we had a question from one of our listeners, h A.
Bill see Bert, and Bill writes, I love the show,
but I'm facing a dilemma. Pres Joe and Arna have
Seattle to win the division. The parlay thirty one five
to one, and they're offering me fifteen to one on
a cash out. So Bill, I am floored that they
are offering you fifteen to one, given that Seattle is
unlikely going to win the division. I would take that
cash out faster than I wrote the tech the comment.
I wouldn't even have written the comment. I would have
been too busy taking the cash out.
Speaker 2: Joe, NII.
Speaker 1: I mean that is way to go, Bill, fifteen to
one and you're holding a losing ticket.
Speaker 2: I just want to know what in the hell was
the other half of that parlay that they're still offering
you half price on the full ticket there, So that
must have been one hell of a first leg of
that parlay that's already in the books for you to
be getting fifteen to one in a division in which
you're not even leading in the division. Here, the forty
nine ers, although banged up here, still have the easy
schedule among all the rest of the teams there. So
the Rams aren't going anywhere anytime soon. So if you
could get fifteen to one, I think if they lose
to Arizona on Thursday, what do you think that number
is gonna be. Not gonna be fifteen to one, So
cash it out. Why you can here, But I want
to know what the hell that first leg was pres Yeah.
Speaker 1: It's actually unbelievable.
Speaker 2: Joe Ranieri.
Speaker 1: One of our listeners complimented you on your take on
Philadelphia's offense. You were dead right for the first half
of that game. Then we got just because he's a
Putts doesn't mean he knows how to screw. I don't
know what this person's talking about, but that's really it, dude.
It's New Year's for me and all my brethren tonight, Joe,
so I'm getting together with the family. I think it's
your fifty seven hundred and something or other.
Speaker 2: Nice kudos to you, man, Mayer's to another of fifty
seven hundred years.
Speaker 1: I think, Yeah, fifty seven hundred years of nothing but
joy for my people.
Speaker 2: Joe and Airy.
Speaker 1: I love you, my brother, Yes, me Joe and Art Tomorrow.
Guys comment like subscribe, thank you for watching. And we'll
see you all tomorrow