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Speaker 1: What up. Y'all. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start the show

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by being transparent. Man, yesterday I felt like I had

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a good play, man, I did. I listened to all

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the interviews, I heard everybody talk, watched the way they

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play any situations, and it did not translate. I saw

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a comment here, actually and pull this comment up. Joe

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says he had the Celtics good job on that. He

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said poor Ski though, had the under on that one.

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Of course, the Celtics decided to make eleven threes in

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the first quarter. A lot of these threes are just

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wide open, man, It's just frustrating. After they talk about

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we need to focus on defense. But oh, in one yesterday,

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see if we can do better here today? You know

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you do better than me yesterday?

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Speaker 2: I did.

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Speaker 3: I got there with a three and oh yesterday's Ski

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all three team totals. Funny in the YouTube comments section,

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somebody had written welcome back Gino or something. I need

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my team totals, So we went to the team totals.

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Speaker 2: Last day.

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Speaker 3: We got the Philly team total over they get to

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one to fifty three, had the Houston Rockets team total over.

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That was the closest of all the closest they were

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one seventeen. They got to one nineteen simply because Milwaukee

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was in the game late and fouled and let Houston

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get to the free throw line with like six seconds left.

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Speaker 2: So that was two and zero.

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Speaker 3: And then we closed it out with the Knicks team

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total against Memphis one twenty and a half. They got

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to one thirty. Some of these things Ski and I

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know I said it yesterday. Shouldn't be afraid of these numbers.

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Just jump on the train and ride it. Indiana Chicago.

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We talked about all.

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Speaker 2: The missing pieces. Two hundred and seventy one points.

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Speaker 3: Some of these games are just like, wake up and

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mechanically play them anymore down the stretch. Some of these

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teams just so disinterested in stopping the opponent and really

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interested in scoring points.

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Speaker 2: So we'll see if we can put something together get today.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, did any games go under yesterday? I mean, I

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don't know if anyways went under, but yeah, something to

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keep in mind for sure. Not a whole lot of

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defense being played right now these last few few games.

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Is the season something to take note of? All right?

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We have one, two, three, four, five, six six games

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today and only one double digit spread, so we might

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have something decent to talk about here today. Phoenix and

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Charlotte opened up minus six, looks like five and a

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half now. Botal went up from two twenty one. That's

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how it's two twenty five and a half for Phoenix.

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Mark Williams is questionable, Coffee's out, Heigh Smith is out

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for Charlotte.

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Speaker 2: PJ.

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Speaker 1: Haws out.

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Speaker 2: It's like they're pretty healthy.

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Speaker 1: The situationals here, third game in four nights for the Suns,

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fourth and six as well, fourth and six for the Hornets.

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Also first game of a back to back. It says

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here they played the Pacers two. So you also have

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a horness team that lost to the Suns not that

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long ago, maybe a little less than a month ago,

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March eighth, ninety nine to one eleven. They they lost

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them twice. They lost to them on January twelfth, one

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thirteen to one twenty. I'm sorry, no, no, no, that

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was last season. So they did lose to them the

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only time they played them this season standings wise, I

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guess that's something I should look at here, and my bad,

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you guys today, I'm a little no, I'm capping on

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the show today because my priority today was I don't know,

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I felt like since I got sick at my betting

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hasn't been that well. So all morning I just woke

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up and was just doing stuff to take care of

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myself and make myself feel better. But standings wise, we

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do have the Suns at seventh. Doesn't look like they're

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going to be able to get out of the play in.

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But you definitely don't want the Clippers. You don't want

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to go down anymore, is what I'm saying there. And

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they do have six games left. They're three games ahead

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of the Clippers, three and a half ahead of the

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Blazers or the Hornets. The Hornets are in that eighth spot,

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they can still make it out the play in. There

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are two games behind that six spot, so definitely doable.

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Should get a good effort from both. You know, I'm

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looking a little bit more towards the Sun's side, unless

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you can talk me off here, Rob, what do you think?

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Speaker 3: Well, I think the number would be the thing that

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we're talking to the Suns here.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Charlotte.

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Speaker 3: Five and a half right now just seems large in

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a game where there's meaning for both sides. A couple

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of things I found interesting though, especially in the case

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of Phoenix.

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Speaker 2: You just went through the standings.

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Speaker 3: Phoenix obviously a little more secure in their spot than Charlotte,

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and Charlotte can continue to move up. That they went

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from ten to eight last night with their win. Orlando

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was lost, so Charlotte with an opportunity. Phoenix pretty much

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is going to be locked into seven unless they collapse late.

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But I found this interesting in reading this morning. Suns

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did not use Jalen Green the last sixteen plus minutes

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in Tuesday's game. Coach made a decision made by coach

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Jordan not use Grayson Allen Royce, O'Neil, Devin Booker trying

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to go smaller. Here's what ID says. He says he's

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not injured. Green's not injured. We just decided to go smaller.

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Don't know how much smaller you can go. Jalen Green's

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a guard or a swinging play smaller and use some

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other guys in that stretch that he's normally in. So

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he took him out of the grouping, the rotational that

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Green is in and just sat him for sixteen minutes.

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Now you could read into it two different ways. A

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It could be a coach who knows they're locked into

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seven and just looking at some smaller lineups in case

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he needs to use them in the play in or

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the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Could look at it as man, this guy.

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Speaker 3: Wants to get Jalen Green on the pinch a little

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more than on the floor. I don't know which, but

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I just find it funny that they would be I

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don't know.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that it's funny.

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Speaker 3: It's it's because they're in that specific spot, three games

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ahead of the Clippers in that seven. Is about that

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he's able to do this evaluation process. I'm not sure

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that it'll make a difference tonight. I think what would

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make a difference is if Mark Williams plays Mark Williams

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back to Charlotte for one and then a big presence

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at the rim for Phoenix two. I think that would

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make a difference here. But I tell you it's hard

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for me to ski at this point in time to

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go all in against Charlotte. One more thing I found

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interesting about Charlotte.

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Speaker 2: This is numbers wise.

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Speaker 3: Charlotte's scoring margin this year is plus four point seven

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points per game, so they're winning games by a little

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over four and a half, a little less than five

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on average. That scoring margin is better than Cleveland's, better

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than the Lakers, better than Houston's, and just three tenths

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of a point worse than Denvers. Is Charlotte's playing great ball,

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Not that we didn't know that already, but I think

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it's attributable to their defense plus their offense. Brandon Miller quote,

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I think the heart is there. Our heart is showing

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every night. We're competing at the highest level against any

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team on any given night, building wins for the city

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of Charlotte. I think we've been doing a great job

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with that. It's a team that's unified, it's a team

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that's playing well. The one thing that would scare me

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off of them is a five and a half might

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be too much because Phoenix is still a really, really

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good team, and if they come focused, this could be

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a really tight one. And I could even see, you know,

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Phoenix come's focused, like see Phoenix winning the game. So

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I don't I don't have a great feel for it,

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but I just some of the stuff surrounding it. I

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think I need to watch a little bit here to

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see how these teams go down down last few games.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I need some more time with his

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sons and Hornets game. All right, we'll go to t

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Wolves and Pistons opened up minus five and a half

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down to three and a half. Total went up from

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two twenty two as high as two twenty five. Injury report.

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You have Ant questionable, McDaniel's out for Detroit, Sasser's questionable,

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and Oki no Stewart. This is man. Piston has been

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playing like every day. It's what six game and nine

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nights for them. It's a lot of basketball to be

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playing for the Timberwolves. They did have a couple of

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days off before this game, and it is the front

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of a back to back. They play the seventy six

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ers tomorrow. Looking at this, Piston, I mean, six game

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in nine days, that is pretty taxing. Let me just

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glance at the standings. I know the Timberwolves are kind

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of in that fifth they're actually the Rockets passed them up,

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So Timberwolves in a sixth spot doesn't really look like

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they're in danger of falling into the play in but

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you know, still a chance to move up there. For

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the Pistons, there are four games ahead of Boston with

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six games left. You know, almost pretty sure to be

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locked in that first seed, you know, I mean you're

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missing a lot of scoring without both Kid and potentially Ant.

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Do you just look towards this game to go under?

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I mean, they are both more defensive teams. First, How

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are you viewing this one, Veno.

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Speaker 2: You know we had this oops, no, I was on.

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Speaker 3: I think we kind of had this same situation the

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other night with Detroit, right, they got bit down and

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we capitalized on Detroit, or at least had the opinion

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that Detroit at three and a half was a good play.

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Speaker 2: In that game.

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Speaker 3: Here you get the number coming down. Probably people think

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Gant's gonna play. I can understand that Minnesota has been

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pretty good as of late five and three. I kind

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of think the opposit way here of what I thought

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the other night. I just don't know if I'm willing

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to bet against Detroit in any of these situations. We

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talked about it at length the other day. We talked

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about the same situation with San Antonio. Those two teams

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are very similar. Stepping in front of either one, you know,

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could drop your account pretty quickly. So you have to

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be pretty sure of yourself here again, Minnesota, like you say,

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They're not in any danger of, you know, leaving the

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top six here, but.

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Speaker 2: A climb, maybe a climb.

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Speaker 3: To five is something they have their eyes on.

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Speaker 2: I'm not really sure.

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Speaker 3: I think Minnesota's been playing a little bit better as

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of late, and at some point Detroit maybe has a

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close call. I didn't play it, Ski, I won't play it.

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I think my side lean is towards the timber Wolves.

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You mentioned the scheduling for Detroit. That's got to be

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considered a little bit here, and then you asked about

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the total. So let me just respond to that really quick,

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to twenty two up to two twenty four and a half.

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The game with Detroit that Detroit played the other night

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went far over the total. I think it was against

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Toronto one twenty seven to one sixteen or something to

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forty three. I feel like Minnesota's Toronto's just in a

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free fall at this point. Minnesota is not that So

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I could understand a move maybe towards under here in

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this game. I won't play it, but I could certainly

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understand it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'll try to continue to make the case

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here and I'm gonna market on my my short list

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here under But talking about that Pistons game versus Raptors.

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I mean, they shot fifty six percent from three. We

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got to expect some kind of regression from them, right.

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Let me just glance at this Timberwolves team. I don't

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remember their last game. They played the Mavericks. They put

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a one twenty four one by thirty. They shot forty

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five percent from three. I mean, I like to think

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there's some regression coming from both of these teams, you know,

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I look at how they've been playing lately. I mean

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Timberwolves have gone under five straight games. Timberwolves in those

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five games have the second worst offensive rating, the second

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best defensive rating, and pace wise eighteenth. Pistons pace twenty

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first to last five games, number four defensive rated team,

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eighteenth offensive rated team. I don't know, you know, I mean,

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you know, I feel like I made a lot of

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sense for Boston and Miami yesterday. One plus one doesn't

239
00:12:29,639 --> 00:12:32,120
always equal to but if one plus one equals two,

240
00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,120
this one should stay under one more thing, a couple

241
00:12:35,159 --> 00:12:41,080
more numbers points per game. Timberwolves last five games, averaging

242
00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:43,440
one oh five point four and allowing one o two

243
00:12:43,519 --> 00:12:46,480
point two. That's about two oh seven and a half

244
00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:51,639
Pistons allowing one to eleven scoring one twenty point eight.

245
00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:53,519
I mean, you put those two together, I'm pretty sure

246
00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:55,679
you still end up under two twenty four.

247
00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:55,919
Speaker 2: And a half.

248
00:12:56,480 --> 00:13:02,600
Speaker 1: One plus one equals two. This game stays under. You know, listen, if.

249
00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:04,559
Speaker 3: I'm in a court of law and you're the opposed,

250
00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:10,440
I'm a little nervous right now to the Minnesota numbers

251
00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:15,679
really quick. Offensively, I would somewhat justify that low number

252
00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:18,120
due to the fact that Edwards hasn't played in a

253
00:13:18,159 --> 00:13:21,039
few of those. But defensively, I think you said they've

254
00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:24,279
given up one oh two points something, and I feel

255
00:13:24,279 --> 00:13:27,919
like Minnesota is always capable of that. Like they when

256
00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:31,039
they're in these ruts and it's been almost a full

257
00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:34,120
season for them where they're just giving up massive amounts

258
00:13:34,159 --> 00:13:36,639
of points. I think we always question, how could Minnesota

259
00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,879
be that bad defensively? Really, they're not on paper. When

260
00:13:39,879 --> 00:13:42,879
they put their minds to it, you get the kind

261
00:13:42,919 --> 00:13:47,399
of number you just you just gave us there, one

262
00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:49,519
oh two point whatever it was per game.

263
00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:52,080
Speaker 2: That's the kind of defense they can be. So they

264
00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:52,399
may be.

265
00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:55,320
Speaker 3: In one of those stretches Ski where their focus is

266
00:13:56,320 --> 00:14:00,000
on defense, maybe not saying it as loud as they're exposed.

267
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:01,879
What was true was saying it before he gave up

268
00:14:02,039 --> 00:14:05,600
fifty three in the first quarter. But Minnesota's got that

269
00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,320
capability to stop teams from scoring, that's for sure.

270
00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,320
Speaker 1: This is a good point and only played in one

271
00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:14,159
of the last five games, so offense will be better

272
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:19,399
if he's rolled in today. Good point, and justin, I

273
00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:21,840
can't do it right this second, just because it'll take

274
00:14:21,919 --> 00:14:24,080
me too long to type it in the database, and

275
00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:25,720
I don't want to hold up the show. But I

276
00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:27,840
will look it up and I'll get back to you.

277
00:14:27,879 --> 00:14:32,399
I know where to find you, all right, Lakers and Thunder.

278
00:14:32,919 --> 00:14:34,759
This one opened up minus eight and a half. Looks

279
00:14:34,799 --> 00:14:38,240
like nine total open two twenty five tires, two thirty

280
00:14:38,279 --> 00:14:43,200
two and a half injuries, Marcus smart as out, Caruso

281
00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:50,240
is questionable, situational, let's get over there. Third game in

282
00:14:50,279 --> 00:14:54,080
four for the Lakers. Meanwhile, the Thunder and the Lakers

283
00:14:54,159 --> 00:14:58,080
did have you know, day rest before this game. Thunder, though,

284
00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,840
do have the rest advantage two days off before this one,

285
00:15:00,919 --> 00:15:05,799
and this is their fourth straight home game and this

286
00:15:05,879 --> 00:15:09,480
is the first row game after three straight home games

287
00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:15,679
for the Lakers. Interesting, Thunder, I feel like I have

288
00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:18,399
started to get back into a rhythm playing better basketball,

289
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:23,879
but the Lakers been playing good too. I mean, expecting

290
00:15:23,879 --> 00:15:25,440
the Lakers to lose about ten points the way that

291
00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:29,440
they've been playing lately, that seems like a stretch man.

292
00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:32,840
Oh no, I guess I would prefer the Lakers side here.

293
00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:35,000
I'm not quite sure what to do with the total.

294
00:15:35,639 --> 00:15:37,240
Any thoughts from you on Lakers thunder?

295
00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:41,519
Speaker 3: You know, yeah, I looked at that total to twenty five,

296
00:15:41,559 --> 00:15:45,600
all the way to two thirty two, and in one

297
00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:50,440
straight spot to thirty two and a half, and I

298
00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,200
wonder why this seven point increase in the total. But

299
00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:57,279
and I do wonder if this isn't going to become

300
00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,759
the game within the game. Right the last couple of days,

301
00:15:59,799 --> 00:16:02,559
all we hear about is this MVP talk. Luca put

302
00:16:02,639 --> 00:16:04,840
himself right into running with the month of March that

303
00:16:04,879 --> 00:16:08,200
he had, He got wemby over there at San Antonio

304
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,480
just going crazy every single night, and of course SGA

305
00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:14,519
trying to win it as well. And you just wonder

306
00:16:14,519 --> 00:16:17,720
if this doesn't turn into the SGA versus Luca offensive

307
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,639
battle in this particular game. And maybe that's why people

308
00:16:20,679 --> 00:16:24,159
are betting this thing up and over. The number two

309
00:16:24,159 --> 00:16:25,799
twenty five might have been a little bit too low

310
00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:28,720
to begin with. Anyway, the guys that you said are

311
00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:33,200
out here Marcus Smart, Alex Caruso, or at least questionable.

312
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,159
Those are probably the two guys that go after loose

313
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,120
balls more than anybody. I neither one of these teams.

314
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,639
So you're taking some defense away. And I would say

315
00:16:42,639 --> 00:16:44,679
this about the Lakers. I think the Lakers are the

316
00:16:44,759 --> 00:16:46,799
right side if in fact, they don't turn it over.

317
00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:50,840
You know, okay See goes on their runs by forcing turnovers,

318
00:16:50,919 --> 00:16:55,519
not necessarily because they're this great jump shooting team from

319
00:16:55,519 --> 00:17:01,600
the perimeter, but they will put a couple steals transition

320
00:17:01,799 --> 00:17:05,519
buckets together, are surrounded by a couple of threes, Maybe

321
00:17:05,599 --> 00:17:07,519
lou Dort shows up and makes one, and the next

322
00:17:07,519 --> 00:17:10,559
thing you know, they're on that run. LA's ball protection

323
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:14,839
is pretty good. So I don't know that OKAC can

324
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,519
get on a huge run against this team to knock

325
00:17:18,599 --> 00:17:22,200
them out and win by ten plus. Oklahoma City obviously

326
00:17:22,279 --> 00:17:26,400
is more than capable. Don't get me wrong, But again,

327
00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:30,799
if they're up twelve thirty five seconds left, you think

328
00:17:30,839 --> 00:17:32,079
the Lakers can backdoor them.

329
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:32,839
Speaker 2: Of course they can't.

330
00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:35,079
Speaker 3: There's more than enough guys who can shoot at three

331
00:17:35,559 --> 00:17:39,680
Luca or Austin Reeves for starters, So I don't know.

332
00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:41,839
I think the way the Lakers are playing, I would

333
00:17:41,839 --> 00:17:43,920
look towards the plus nine and a half. I do

334
00:17:44,039 --> 00:17:49,559
think that Okase's knockout punch always scares me, especially at home.

335
00:17:49,599 --> 00:17:53,039
When motivated. I think both sides are motivated here. I

336
00:17:53,079 --> 00:17:54,480
don't know what to do with this game. I would

337
00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:57,799
have played it over at the beginning price. I probably

338
00:17:57,799 --> 00:17:59,200
would have played it over all the way up to

339
00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:01,680
two twenty seven and a half to twenty eight. But

340
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,440
here where it's priced now, maybe it's side of my range.

341
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 1: Yah, I think some good points there. I'm not sure

342
00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:12,319
what to do with this one either. I think I

343
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:16,680
just need a little bit more time. Calves and Warriors

344
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:21,160
right around the opener for both side and total. Tyson out,

345
00:18:21,279 --> 00:18:25,359
Dean Wade out for the Calves, Steph and Horford out

346
00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:29,920
for the Warriors. Santos post porzingis Peyton melting all questionable.

347
00:18:30,279 --> 00:18:32,559
There's the second of a back to back for the Warriors,

348
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,039
third and fourth for the Caves, but they do have

349
00:18:37,079 --> 00:18:41,799
the rest advantage, you know, Cavaliers off of a loss

350
00:18:41,799 --> 00:18:44,559
as well. I would like to think that they bring

351
00:18:44,599 --> 00:18:47,880
a really good effort here and I think that they

352
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,279
can win this game by margin. But something about it just,

353
00:18:51,039 --> 00:18:54,200
oh no, I can't really get there and push the

354
00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:58,759
button is there? I mean, I have a hard time

355
00:18:58,759 --> 00:19:01,119
with Warriors games lately. I just don't know how much

356
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:04,680
they care, how much they're trying. Now it's a back

357
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:08,440
to back. I don't know, if you know, what do

358
00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:09,359
you think about this game?

359
00:19:11,799 --> 00:19:15,599
Speaker 3: You know, my recent opinion on Cleveland's ski is that

360
00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:17,559
if I'm gonna get involved.

361
00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:19,079
Speaker 1: With them, team total, it's.

362
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,720
Speaker 3: Got to be from a total's perspective or team total, right.

363
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:24,039
I mean, we talked a little bit about it the

364
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,960
other day. James Harden has slowed them down a little bit,

365
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:30,680
but they're still efficient. And if you're gonna if this

366
00:19:30,759 --> 00:19:32,000
is the way it works out, and this is the

367
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:33,880
way it worked out last night, because they're both on

368
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:38,680
back to backs. If post poor Zingis and Horford all

369
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:41,519
three don't play like they didn't play last night, then

370
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,079
Mobiley and Allen have to go crazy on the interior.

371
00:19:45,319 --> 00:19:47,039
I mean, it's just no other way about it. They

372
00:19:47,079 --> 00:19:51,160
should get easy, easy points. I don't know, because Golden

373
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,720
State is so secure in their spot, like they're locked

374
00:19:53,759 --> 00:19:55,400
in and they're a playing team, they're gonna be on

375
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:58,839
the road. Maybe Kurr is resting these guys on purpose.

376
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,240
There's no reason to pl play them because they can't

377
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:05,000
move up or go down. So if you don't have

378
00:20:05,079 --> 00:20:08,359
any of those three bigs in this game, which, like

379
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:11,640
I say, last night, they didn't, could be a Detroit

380
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:16,279
situation where you know, they didn't play Duran and Harris

381
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:17,920
in game one of a back to back, but they

382
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:21,160
did bring him back in game two. But we knew

383
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,519
immediately that Duran and Harris were gonna play here. Steve

384
00:20:24,599 --> 00:20:28,240
Kerr drags us along as usual. I think Cleveland team

385
00:20:28,319 --> 00:20:30,599
total is a good way to go here. Golden State

386
00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:33,960
hasn't played a lot of defense as of late, so

387
00:20:34,079 --> 00:20:36,920
one nineteam to me seems really approachable for the Cavs.

388
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:38,960
I looked that way, and if these three centers don't go,

389
00:20:39,279 --> 00:20:40,519
it should be fairly easy.

390
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 1: All right. I agree, I agree chat us to look

391
00:20:47,039 --> 00:20:54,960
on the team total. Let's see, it was something my bad,

392
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:58,079
I just lost my I'll here we go. So what

393
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,480
else gonna say is yes, I agree with the thought

394
00:21:00,519 --> 00:21:02,359
that if you're back in the Calves, you don't really

395
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,240
want to trust it. I mean, I always say, if

396
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:05,880
you can't trust me to get stopped, how can't trust

397
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:08,799
them win by margin? Twenty fifth defensive rated team last

398
00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:11,559
five games. So I do agree that that a team

399
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:14,960
total is probably the better way to look. Probably I'll

400
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:18,559
write that down on my list as well. Calves team total.

401
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:24,200
All right, next game, Pelicans and Blazers opened up minus six.

402
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:26,519
I'm sorry, minus seven and a half is down to

403
00:21:26,599 --> 00:21:29,319
six and a half total open two twenty eight. It's

404
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:40,599
up to two thirty three. Injury report, you have Mackovich questionable,

405
00:21:40,759 --> 00:21:44,960
Trey Murphy questionable. For Portland, you have Grant out, Cranchy out,

406
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,240
sharp out. My first thought here is Pelicans are often

407
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:53,039
ass whopping, and I think Pelicans have rest defantage. Yeah,

408
00:21:53,039 --> 00:21:55,160
Pelicans had two days off before this game, off and

409
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:59,240
ass whipping. They do play again tomorrow versus the Kings,

410
00:21:59,279 --> 00:22:00,839
but I mean it's not they have to look forward

411
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:02,599
to anything. I think they'll get a good effort from

412
00:22:02,599 --> 00:22:06,119
them tonight after that bad game last time out. For

413
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:11,160
the Blazers, they're coming off what they won four of

414
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:16,119
their last five games. They put up well, they won

415
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:19,400
for the last five games, so playing some solid basketball,

416
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:23,839
and they have one by margin and all of those wins.

417
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:27,759
When I'm looking at the competition though, what I mean

418
00:22:27,759 --> 00:22:29,720
the one versus Clippers recently, I guess I can give

419
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:33,599
them that the Wizards, Mavericks, Bucks nuts, not that the

420
00:22:33,599 --> 00:22:36,359
Pelicans are world beaters, but I like to think that

421
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,880
they can keep this one respectable. You know, how about you?

422
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, back up that garbage truck for that

423
00:22:43,599 --> 00:22:47,400
list of teams that you just rattled off, and then Portland,

424
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:48,759
to their credit, stop.

425
00:22:48,559 --> 00:22:49,720
Speaker 2: Those teams from scoring.

426
00:22:50,759 --> 00:22:54,119
Speaker 3: Brooklyn only got ninety nine, Milwaukee only got ninety nine,

427
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:57,920
Dallas only got a hundred, Washington only got eighty eight,

428
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:01,880
and Clippers rue oh four. So for Portland, it's really

429
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:05,920
been good on the defensive side, leading to these covers.

430
00:23:07,039 --> 00:23:09,160
Six and a half to me seem like a strong number.

431
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,759
I know that mid season, at least prior to All

432
00:23:12,799 --> 00:23:15,319
Star Break, there was a pretty heavy trend on Portland

433
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,519
home games. Good as a home dog, not good as

434
00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:21,200
a home favorite. Here they're a home favorite of six

435
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,359
and a half against a team that when they're healthy.

436
00:23:23,519 --> 00:23:26,559
Jeante Murray's back here in this lineup that when they've

437
00:23:26,599 --> 00:23:28,839
been somewhat healthy. And if Trey Murphy does go, Trey

438
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:30,720
Murphy's missed like three in a row, I think. But

439
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,599
if Trey Murphy is able to go here tonight, New

440
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:38,240
Orleans has tried to win games at times, so or

441
00:23:38,279 --> 00:23:41,480
at least played them close. Numbers seems big to me.

442
00:23:42,559 --> 00:23:46,039
I'd almost And again this doesn't come from me a lot,

443
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,759
but the way Portland's playing defense under almost seems like

444
00:23:49,839 --> 00:23:53,759
it could be doable here. Two thirty three is large,

445
00:23:53,759 --> 00:23:55,799
and what the odds maker is telling us to get

446
00:23:55,839 --> 00:24:00,519
over that, it's got to be One twenty to one

447
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,000
thirteen is a Portland cover and a push, So one

448
00:24:04,079 --> 00:24:09,240
twenty to one fourteen could be a lot here. I

449
00:24:09,279 --> 00:24:11,160
don't know. I don't like it enough to play it,

450
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,599
but I could understand the way Portland's playing defense right now,

451
00:24:15,759 --> 00:24:17,359
locking teams down to under one hundred.

452
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:18,039
Speaker 2: I don't care who it is.

453
00:24:18,039 --> 00:24:19,920
Speaker 3: If you're locking them down to under one hundred, that's

454
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:23,480
that's playing good defense. So maybe a little lean toward

455
00:24:23,519 --> 00:24:26,640
the under and a little lean toward New Orleans plus.

456
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 1: The points a bad chat. Some people say Pelicans a

457
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:38,720
couple of people. Some people say Blazers. So a little

458
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:41,759
bit all over the place here. I would prefer that

459
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:46,839
that Pelly side. There was a question here Michael asked,

460
00:24:46,839 --> 00:24:49,119
did I give out a client play yesterday? Yeah, I

461
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:52,240
mean I gave it out the Boston game under he

462
00:24:52,279 --> 00:24:53,880
says he didn't receive one. I mean, I wish it

463
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,759
didn't go out. If I could take it back, I would.

464
00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:01,160
I would love that. But so if you if you

465
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:05,240
didn't get it, you should just be happy, Michael. But

466
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:10,200
hopefully we can do better today. Spurs and Clippers. Looks

467
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,119
like the last game open minus three and a half

468
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:19,799
and hasn't moved total right around the opener as well.

469
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:24,599
For the Spurs, Luke Cornett is probable. For the Clippers,

470
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:30,720
I think Jackson is out. Let's get the situational. So

471
00:25:30,759 --> 00:25:33,279
for the Spurs, it is the second of a back

472
00:25:33,319 --> 00:25:36,559
to back they played the Warriors yesterday. Third game four,

473
00:25:36,599 --> 00:25:37,079
four and six.

474
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 2: As well.

475
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:39,640
Speaker 1: For the Clippers, they do have the rest advantage. They're

476
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:41,599
coming off that lost versus the Pelicans, so chances for

477
00:25:41,799 --> 00:25:45,920
them to bounce back. Let me just glance at the

478
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:51,960
standings for for the Clippers, where are they at Clippers,

479
00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,160
because this is probably a much more important game for them,

480
00:25:55,200 --> 00:26:01,160
than in the Spurs. Your Clippers in that eighth spot,

481
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:04,359
half a game in front of the Blazers, three games

482
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,400
behind the Suns. So it doesn't look like they're going

483
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:08,480
to get out of the plane. They're not in danger

484
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,960
of falling out. I mean, I mean, I'm sorry, they're not.

485
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,000
Doesn't look like they're going to get out of the

486
00:26:13,039 --> 00:26:15,000
play in as far as like the regular playoffs, and

487
00:26:15,039 --> 00:26:16,640
it doesn't look like they're going to you know, fall

488
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:20,039
to the eleventh, but they can still you know, get

489
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:22,559
home court advantage, move up to the seventh or move down.

490
00:26:22,799 --> 00:26:25,400
So it is an important game for them more than

491
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:29,519
it is for the Spurs. Man, you know, Spurs. You know,

492
00:26:30,559 --> 00:26:32,839
the last two games for the Spurs, I feel like

493
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:37,119
somebody must say something like they're trying not to cover

494
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:37,640
those games.

495
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:38,119
Speaker 2: At the end.

496
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 1: It's always the last second of the game, the other

497
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,960
team is coming in like, I don't know, the starter

498
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:45,680
is not. I don't know if you know. That's how

499
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:48,200
I'm feeling. This is the point spread where you know,

500
00:26:48,279 --> 00:26:51,319
we kind of really got to win the game. It's

501
00:26:51,319 --> 00:26:54,200
hard to go in front of the Spurs. But tell

502
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,799
me this, I mean, Spurs have been playing some of

503
00:26:56,880 --> 00:27:01,000
the best basketball for over a month to month. It's

504
00:27:01,039 --> 00:27:02,559
just three and a half here. I mean, they just

505
00:27:02,559 --> 00:27:05,480
blew everybody out. I double did. It's in the past

506
00:27:05,519 --> 00:27:08,920
five games, it's three and a half. What do you

507
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:09,440
think about this?

508
00:27:09,599 --> 00:27:13,680
Speaker 3: You know, yeah, you know, I'm probably gonna stick to

509
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,559
the over in this game for a couple of reasons,

510
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:19,920
san Antonio. And again, when you go back through the

511
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:23,559
game logs, it's not the best competition, it's not the

512
00:27:23,599 --> 00:27:27,119
elite of the elite. But fourteen of their last seventeen

513
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,640
games they've scored one nineteen or more. That offense is

514
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:32,160
just like a machine. And since they put their mind

515
00:27:32,319 --> 00:27:36,200
toward it seems like they put their mind toward getting

516
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:42,119
wembin Yama some MVP votes. He's been going crazy. We

517
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,240
know that LA is playing up tempo and that we're

518
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,839
gonna get plenty of chances to score here. I think

519
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,119
san Antonio can score on anybody at this point in time.

520
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,640
There's so deep, so many weapons. It just doesn't stop

521
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:57,839
after one or two players. It's not just when min

522
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,799
Yama and Castle, it's that whole group through nine, one

523
00:28:00,799 --> 00:28:04,160
through ten. Everybody can score the other side of the coin,

524
00:28:04,559 --> 00:28:06,680
you need LA to score here too. They get San

525
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:10,519
Antonio on a back to back, they're a little bit rested.

526
00:28:10,599 --> 00:28:13,000
Like I say, they played faster, and I would expect.

527
00:28:12,759 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 2: To bounce back.

528
00:28:13,279 --> 00:28:16,559
Speaker 3: They only scored one oh four against Portland the other night,

529
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,880
with Garland in the game and with their you know,

530
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:24,559
with their lineup actually, so you know, you played kind

531
00:28:24,559 --> 00:28:27,640
of what I would call reverse bounce back. And I

532
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:29,519
would look at that too. When you were talking about

533
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:33,039
regression from the two teams that shot crazy three point

534
00:28:33,039 --> 00:28:38,279
percentages last night and pointing toward under, I'll say that

535
00:28:39,279 --> 00:28:41,799
Clippers just didn't shoot it well the other night. Probably

536
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:45,599
shoot it better here San Antonio. What they had like

537
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,319
twenty five points in the first four minutes last night.

538
00:28:48,319 --> 00:28:50,599
Speaker 2: It was crazy how quick they got out of the blox.

539
00:28:51,319 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 3: I think this one gets over Ski the Spurs for

540
00:28:54,519 --> 00:29:00,000
what it's worth against the bad competition. Last three games,

541
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:04,240
one thirteenth Indiana, one thirteenth in Milwaukee, one fourteenth to Portland,

542
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:08,559
who is a playing team, Adam, I feel like the

543
00:29:08,559 --> 00:29:11,000
Clippers can get to one fourteen here. If they do

544
00:29:11,119 --> 00:29:13,720
one eighteen, when fourteen gets me over, that's kind of

545
00:29:13,799 --> 00:29:17,640
right on the spread as well. I think this number

546
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:19,480
is probably in a spot where we can attack it

547
00:29:19,519 --> 00:29:20,079
and play over.

548
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:23,599
Speaker 1: I think you made some good points on that, and

549
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:25,720
a lot of people talking about the Spurs first half. Yeah,

550
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:27,599
you can avoid when Winby comes out the game and

551
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:29,960
they just trick it off. Could be a good way

552
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:35,000
to get involved there. That is the NBA car for today.

553
00:29:35,119 --> 00:29:37,920
So let's go do a little bit of that promo

554
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:41,799
that we usually do. Veno Buy three, get three free.

555
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:44,279
That's still available six days. Come out to just sixty

556
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,319
nine dollars. A good way to be involved for you know,

557
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,480
just shy of a week. If you like longer term,

558
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:52,640
you can do the all in for the year. Ultimate

559
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:54,920
All Access pass comes out to under four dollars per day,

560
00:29:55,519 --> 00:29:57,400
and if you were to, for example, go get Rob

561
00:29:57,480 --> 00:29:59,559
Vino for a year, you'll receive a twenty five percent

562
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:02,000
bonus Q you can come check out anything that I

563
00:30:02,039 --> 00:30:05,920
have going and last but not least, NBA Playoffs plus

564
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:09,400
the rest of the regular season free. It comes out

565
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:12,119
to just just under two hundred dollars one ninety nine there,

566
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,799
and NBA is going until mid June, so you still

567
00:30:15,839 --> 00:30:19,480
have about two and a half months left of action left.

568
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:23,400
I mean, this is a really good way to get involved.

569
00:30:24,079 --> 00:30:26,839
You know, I'm gonna pass it back to you, ask

570
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:28,680
you if there's anything else you would like to promote,

571
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,359
and if you have a best bet, we'd love to

572
00:30:31,359 --> 00:30:33,559
hear it. If you don't, it's all good.

573
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll just add on to that last package you

574
00:30:37,519 --> 00:30:39,880
showed Ski one more time all the way through the

575
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:44,960
playoffs through the NBA Finals, and say that you can

576
00:30:46,119 --> 00:30:48,839
subscribe and get both of us in that package. There's

577
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,480
gonna be days like if you had that package right

578
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:53,200
now you went three and one. Yes see, there's gonna

579
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,880
be days where Ski carries me. There's gonna be days

580
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:57,839
when I carry him. There's gonna be days when we're

581
00:30:57,839 --> 00:30:58,680
both hot.

582
00:30:58,519 --> 00:30:59,759
Speaker 2: And you're just raking it in.

583
00:31:00,079 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 3: So for fifty extra bucks, that's probably the best way

584
00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:06,880
to go. I think the office is putting that up

585
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,720
for two forty nine, but you can check into that.

586
00:31:09,759 --> 00:31:13,440
But it is available both of us combined all the

587
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:17,960
way through the NBA playoffs. Let me get to the

588
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,160
board here. Ski and I did make a couple of

589
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:23,680
plays today. The one I like the best, I guess

590
00:31:23,759 --> 00:31:27,079
is the Cleveland team total over one nineteen. I just

591
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,680
Golden State has shown no interest to play d Golden

592
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:33,119
State is so small they could be even smaller tonight.

593
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,599
We don't know that for sure, but even if only

594
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:39,599
one of the three centers plays, it's seven Mobley and

595
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:42,759
Jared Allen. There should be easy points at the bucket here.

596
00:31:43,759 --> 00:31:47,920
So for me, I trust Cleveland to score. Like you

597
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,240
always say, we can't trust them to get stopped, so

598
00:31:50,319 --> 00:31:52,400
we can't trust them to lay ten. But I think

599
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,839
getting to one twenty four of them should happen tonight.

600
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:58,000
So best bet for the show Cleveland team total over

601
00:31:58,119 --> 00:31:58,759
one nineteen.

602
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 1: And a reminder for anybody out there, if you're new,

603
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:05,920
you won't know, but the last three years in the

604
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:09,160
playoffs I did, I am plus one hundred and forty

605
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,400
five units, so it is where I usually do my

606
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:13,440
best work. I know I said that yesterday, but I

607
00:32:13,559 --> 00:32:18,200
didn't put any numbers to it. So yeah, playoffs coming up.

608
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,960
You know and myself both good ways to go. Like

609
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:24,519
you said, if you can get both of us, I

610
00:32:24,559 --> 00:32:27,680
think that's the best way to do it. My best bet.

611
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,079
I haven't pushed the button yet, so I don't like

612
00:32:30,119 --> 00:32:34,559
giving one, but what I will say is just reiterate

613
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:39,240
the one plus one equals too. Minnesota and Detroit is

614
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:42,359
going under two twenty five tonight. I would like Anthony

615
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:44,720
Edwards to be out of the game from getting involved, obviously,

616
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,720
so I will wait a little bit, check the injury report.

617
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,160
If he gets rolled in, I'll make a decision. The

618
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:53,079
line will obviously go up. If he gets rolled out,

619
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:57,240
I will probably be like already at the window by

620
00:32:57,279 --> 00:32:59,480
the time. You know, as soon as I see the alerder,

621
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,079
I'm running to the window. So I'll give that to

622
00:33:02,119 --> 00:33:05,079
you guys, and I continue to make decisions throughout the day.

623
00:33:06,039 --> 00:33:08,799
You know, appreciate you taking the time to catch these

624
00:33:08,839 --> 00:33:10,839
games with me. Helps my process. I'm sure it helps

625
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,440
everybody else out there as well. Chat, we appreciate you

626
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,319
guys bringing a good energy, bringing that insight that you

627
00:33:17,359 --> 00:33:19,640
guys have, and you know, all of us are trying

628
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,279
to help each other get to the window, so I

629
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,000
always appreciate you guys and the good vibes that you bring.

630
00:33:25,079 --> 00:33:27,480
Tomorrow will be the last show of the week, so

631
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,920
best look everybody on all of your action and we

632
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:30,880
will catch you all then.

