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Speaker 1: Let's help everybody. Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start the show

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by being transparent. Yesterday and things have been going really well.

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I haven't been making a lot of plays, but yesterday

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I made four plays and I only won one. It

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was not a good day. Rabino Pelicans was the only

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one that was a winner for me. I lost on

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the Suns, and maybe I was trying to be too

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smart with that because they just are terrible. I lost

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with you know, I didn't take the Raptors. I didn't

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fall for that, but instead I fell for the under

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So that's not good, and I forget the other one.

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But you guys get the point. Lakers Lakers might as

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five was a loser. Not a good day, Pino. Hopefully

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yesterday was better for you than it was for me.

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Speaker 2: Well, the good news is the play that I won.

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Speaker 3: We left here for the chat. Milwaukee Mayam met over.

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The total really never in doubt in that one. They

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played a pretty high scoring game. But where I went

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wrong was I was involved in the Laker game. I

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had total over obviously didn't come close to nineteen, needed

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to thirty one to win that game. Was over two thirty.

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Speaker 2: And Golden State.

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Speaker 3: The Golden State game, I had the total over and

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they scored one hundred and thirty seven points in the

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second half and didn't go over because the first half

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was that bad. Two quarters I think in the first half,

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one by Memphis, one by Golden State that didn't reach

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twenty points, so stayed under by a fuse. It was

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not a productive day yesterday. Look to get back at

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it today. Have one play up already that I like,

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and I think I'll probably add one or two more here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm taking my time a little bit today.

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I got to get back on track here after that

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one and three yesterday. What is this hear from the

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chat as saying, is I was wronging with the Lake

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shows Luca the answer or Lebron defense wins championships we

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have none. Well, I'll tell you the answer. Definitely, Definitely

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not forty one year old Lebron James. I'll say that

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right now. You know, if you are the numbers guy,

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the numbers show that the Lakers have been a lot

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better when Luca and Reeves are on the court and

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Lebron is not. They won all three of them are

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on the court. Together. So I agree Lakers don't have

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enough defense. You know, James got to be made and

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we're at the point of the season where not a

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whole lot can be done. Any thoughts from you, you.

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Speaker 2: Know, yeah, I'd agree with all of that.

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Speaker 3: It just stands to reason, like last night at the

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end of game, where I don't know, if Luca was

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a Mav he would have taken that three pointer the

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first never mind, yeah, never mind, you know, getting open

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a second time after the defender flies by and not

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pulling the trigger. I don't know if these guys still

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try to defer to Lebron when he's on the floor

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with them or what. I really don't know why, but

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I can see your point about Luca and Reeves together,

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maybe a little more free flow without the thing in

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the back of your head like we've got to make

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sure Lebron gets his.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, but I agree with everything. Jackson Hayes.

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Speaker 3: Of course, the only real rim defense that they have here,

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So you're right. I mean, personnel changes, there was a

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time to make those. That time is coming gone. So

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they are what they are for the remainder of the season,

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and what they are probably is not a deep contender

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in the Western Conference, which seems to get a little

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tougher day by day.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I didn't overlook the fact that their defense is

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not great. I guess, I don't know. I don't know.

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It wasn't that for me, But I didn't expect the

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Magic to fight, especially all the way to the in

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in that spot. That was something I didn't didn't expect

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to happen. Lakers got out early, had a double digit

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lead early, and it's like, honestly, watching the game, it

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felt like the Lakers were I don't know, I know,

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they're not probably not worried about the point spread. You know,

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sometimes some people are. But to somebody who had somebody

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who had four hundred and forty dollars on the Lakers,

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it looked like they were not trying to cover. They're

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actively not trying to cover the game. So we'll see

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where they go in the future. All right, let's get

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to today's action.

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Speaker 3: Man.

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Speaker 1: You know, maybe I should let you have this one too.

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Speaker 3: We must have We must have more injury news here,

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because this thing shot up over the course of the

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last ninety minutes.

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Speaker 2: The last time I looked at this number.

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Speaker 1: What game you're talking about.

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma City.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's get there. Is that not where we're starting,

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Let's get there. Yeah, it's not eight anymore. So yeah,

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it keeps going up. I just made these so yeah,

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I literally just made it and it was eight. Now

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it's ten and a half. And the total I just

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made that it was two nineteen and a half ten

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minutes ago. We're looking at two twenty two twenty and

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a half. So yeah, let's see what do we have

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going on? Just double check. The Twitter does show you

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a little faster, but I'll refresh here and see what

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we have going on. It has to be injuries, we

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do know. Okay, So he's playing on a back to

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back here, and yes, I'm assuming that these just popped up.

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Caruso's doubtful, Chet is doubtful, Hardenstein is out, Let's gao,

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AJ and j do both out. I mean that makes

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sense while the line is going up. I mean maybe

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the Okay, see was looking at it like, you know, well,

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you need to win one of these games at least,

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Like I'm looking at the standings wise, they're forty five

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and fourteen after that win yesterday, the Pistons are forty

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two and fourteen, Like you know, for that number one spot,

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which I know they care about. They had to win

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at least one of these games on his back to

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back trip, so I feel like, you know, really good

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effort yesterday. Maybe they're just punting here today. You know,

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how do you see it?

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Speaker 3: Well, the one thing that I noticed from the absences

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that just came across is that Oklahoma City no longer

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has any rim protection. Chet and Hartenstein are both out,

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which means if you play Jalen Duran props early, you're

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probably really happy right now because he should have double

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digit boards. I think Jalen Williams from what I'm seeing

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here listed as the starting center. Okay, see, it looks

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like a crew of guards and wings against the Pistons too. Honestly,

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they have to be a little bit upset. Played san

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Antonio a couple of nights ago, and san Antonio took

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it to him one by eleven on Detroit's home floor.

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I know Detroit is trying to test the waters to

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see exactly where they stand against these top powers in

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the West. You're not gonna get a real good indication

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of that tonight since Oklahoma City's missing so many people.

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But that being said, I could see what Detroit wants

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to win the game, and win it rather convincingly for

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a confidence stan. From a confidence standpoint, I'm not so sure.

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I want to lay ten and a half. That seems

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awfully tricky, But that set there's still some available to

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nineteen and a halves out there. Maybe I'm better off

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just looking at Detroit's team total here. Let me just

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pull it up Ski, because if they're gonna have an

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easy path to the rim and Okase is pumping on

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this second game, I'm looking at one fifteen, one fifteen

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and a half four for the piss is they get

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to one sixteen here might not be that hard. It

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gets the team off of a back to back no

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rim protection, basically going to play with guys who like

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to play with pace. So maybe Kate and company over

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their team total. I have to reassess this game. The

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way I looked at it before.

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Speaker 1: I like the way you're looking at it. The only

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pushback I would give is if this game gets out

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of hand, Yeah, you know, some people could start heading

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to the bench and you get those other guys coming in.

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I would worry about that. Maybe you want to look

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at something first half, you know, because they're still going

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to play hard the first half regardless if they're blowing

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them out, and they're going to keep their players in.

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But it definitely be could being over with less rimp protection.

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For Okay, see out there, I like that. Look I

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marked that on my short list year. Okay, see over all, Right,

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next game, we are going to look at Warriors and

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Grizzlies opened up. I mean I have a minus one

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and a half for the Warriors here looks like four

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or four and a half total open two twenty six

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and a half looks like to twenty seven.

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Speaker 2: And a half.

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Speaker 1: For the Grizzlies. Kyle Anderson is questionable, Aldama, Clark, Coward,

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Edie and John Marin are out for the Warriors or

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for this probable Melton is questionable. L J. Crier out,

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Seth and Steph Curry as well as porzingis out. Warriors

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did play yesterday, you know, I mean I feel the

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same way, like what are the Warriors even doing being favorites? Like,

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like I said, that game versus Nuggets was really just

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a anti It was a really bad spot for the

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Nuggets and the Warriors took advantage. Pelicans got them yesterday.

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Warriors have to travel here again and they're laying four.

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I mean, I get that. The King, I mean, I'm sorry,

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the Grizzlies have a very long injury list. The Grizzlies

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just lost to the Kings. The Kings got off that

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what was a fifteen game losing streak, So maybe that's

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why they feel they have to make the Grizzlies an

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underdog here. But the Grizzlies didn't have Ti Jerome in

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that game. And he's a big part of, you know,

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the offense looking good. The games that I've been back

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into Grizzlies, you know, a lot to do with him

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being on the court. I've even played his props and

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I could look at his points assist prop again tonight.

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Even though they continue to raise it, he's hit twenty

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and a half every game but one, So Ti Jerome

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maybe worth the look. Still, Grizzlies plus four seems appealing.

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Can you talk me off?

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Speaker 2: Pods had fifteen rebounds last night?

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Speaker 3: Wow, Wow, Yeah, Ski, I gotta say that there's really

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no interior defense on either side here.

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Speaker 2: It's actually that's good for Golden State because aside from Post,

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they don't have guys.

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Speaker 3: That can defend the rim and and neither does do

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the Grizzlies the way they're playing now with O Max

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at center, it's just a game where Golden State's probably

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gonna do what they did last night. Second half was

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a little more successful, but they launched forty five more threes.

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They didn't shoot them well though, so you could actually,

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in my world, you could call for a little bit

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of a bounce back shooting the three tonight against this

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defense only made twenty four point last night.

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Speaker 2: Golden State did. Yet, as I said in the beginning,

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that was that game last night was good enough.

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Speaker 1: To score there, getting injury news and line moves right now,

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you know, oh you got it, Draymond questionable melting out

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ors disappearing. If you were like a four, you need

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to take it right.

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Speaker 2: Now for sure.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, unless you're talking to me off here.

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You know, I think scores too much here.

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Speaker 2: I'm just going on and on about the total that

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the side.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I mean feel free. I mean I've opened up

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my water right now seeing four.

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Speaker 2: I see if I can extend it for you.

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Speaker 1: I think they disappearing too fast here? Oh man, did

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I miss it? Did I miss it? Yeah? I mean

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maybe I shouldn't rush. Maybe I should just think about

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it more. But man, Grizzly plus four was on my list.

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I hate to miss. I hate that I missed the number.

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You can still get three and a half. I mean,

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if I like four, I like three and a half.

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All right, I don't want to hang up on this game.

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But and I don't want to rush. But Grizzly is

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already on my list. Why do the Grizzlies not cover

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the game tonight now?

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Speaker 2: Especially?

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Speaker 1: I don't care about Draymond being questionable. I mean I

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would prefer Draymond was in honestly. But Melton, I think

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is a big deal. All Right, I'm gonna keep going.

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We'll see. I'm not going to rush because I feel

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like a lot of times when I rush, I mean,

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we opened a wallet on the show, we usually have

238
00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:11,159
some success. But I feel like I'm rushing it even

239
00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:12,559
though it was on my short list. So I'll move

240
00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:15,840
on to Spurs and Raptors. I'm sorry, you know, did

241
00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:16,879
you finish with the total?

242
00:13:17,759 --> 00:13:17,960
Speaker 2: Well?

243
00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,639
Speaker 3: I was going to head toward the over in that game,

244
00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:24,120
but the Anthony Melton had twenty eight points last night.

245
00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:24,759
Speaker 2: Was a big deal.

246
00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:27,080
Speaker 3: See, he was at the free throw line more than

247
00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:31,159
anybody eleven trips to the free throw line, So it

248
00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,840
kind of backs me off of a total play here,

249
00:13:34,879 --> 00:13:38,879
even though I know it's kind of a game with

250
00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,679
zero defense on either side and a lot of up

251
00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:42,200
and down, you.

252
00:13:42,159 --> 00:13:43,639
Speaker 2: Probably get the opportunities here.

253
00:13:43,759 --> 00:13:47,000
Speaker 3: Questionably, can you make enough shots both sides included here

254
00:13:47,039 --> 00:13:51,039
and without the Anthony Meltin who led the team taking

255
00:13:51,039 --> 00:13:55,240
twenty one shots last night, kind of tough. I guess

256
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:57,639
that moves Pods back into the starting lineup.

257
00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, but I'm gonna spend too much time if i

258
00:14:05,039 --> 00:14:06,600
keep thinking about this game. So I'm gonna let it

259
00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,639
go right now, you know, and I'll return after the show.

260
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,039
I need to I need to win. I need to

261
00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:17,399
for sure win today. I didn't like yesterday at Spurs

262
00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,559
and Raptors opened up six looks like seven and a half.

263
00:14:20,799 --> 00:14:22,120
Total went from two twenty eight and a half to

264
00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:25,000
two twenty nine and a half. It's just the Raptors

265
00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,600
on that back to back, right, everybody, you know, it

266
00:14:27,639 --> 00:14:29,919
wasn't a good spot for the Raptors yesterday. You know

267
00:14:29,919 --> 00:14:34,960
a lot of people thought I thought didn't work out.

268
00:14:35,399 --> 00:14:39,159
Now they got to play Spurs, who have the rest advantage.

269
00:14:39,799 --> 00:14:44,200
Who've been looking good? I mean, what if I told

270
00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:46,240
you this? You know, I'm just gonna shoot shoot this

271
00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:50,399
query to you and see what you think about it.

272
00:14:50,399 --> 00:14:53,080
It's basically the spot and it only goes back to

273
00:14:54,039 --> 00:14:57,399
So it's the last three seasons twenty twenty three looking

274
00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:06,159
at non conference rested road favorites versus unrested opponents that

275
00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:11,039
lost their last game as a home favorite. I'm sorry,

276
00:15:11,039 --> 00:15:12,600
my bad, my bad, my bad, my bad, my bad.

277
00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,919
Let me say this again, rested road fit, non conference

278
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:20,519
rested road favorites here? Why am I? Why am I

279
00:15:20,519 --> 00:15:22,120
explaining this? Like? We don't have the thing to put

280
00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:25,559
it up on the screen. I guess my brain is

281
00:15:25,559 --> 00:15:27,840
not working here, so so great, let me put it

282
00:15:27,919 --> 00:15:29,960
on the screen. Can you see that now? You know?

283
00:15:31,399 --> 00:15:33,879
Speaker 2: Not yet? Up here? It comes there we go.

284
00:15:34,799 --> 00:15:39,759
Speaker 1: So yeah, as you can see, non conference rested road

285
00:15:39,799 --> 00:15:45,720
favorites first an unrested opponent that lost their last game

286
00:15:45,759 --> 00:15:49,399
as a home favorite. They are zero to eleven ats.

287
00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:53,279
So yes, it's an advantageous spot for rest wise, but

288
00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:55,960
after their opponent just dropped the game they were expected

289
00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,200
to win. It says that they usually show up with

290
00:15:58,279 --> 00:16:00,720
better effort in that next game. So I would ask

291
00:16:00,799 --> 00:16:03,320
you what you think about this query. Welluld you trust

292
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:05,080
the Raptors to keep this more respectable?

293
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,279
Speaker 3: Well, i'd have to have Scottie Barnes in the game,

294
00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:10,919
and I don't know that he's going to be their

295
00:16:11,159 --> 00:16:15,639
partle of play. Barnes got hurt last night. I see

296
00:16:15,679 --> 00:16:19,080
him as questionable. I would want him in this game.

297
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:20,919
The other side is eight and one against the number

298
00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:24,000
last nine games. I mean, they're going so good right now.

299
00:16:24,039 --> 00:16:28,519
San Antonio is obviously the rest, like you said, affects it.

300
00:16:28,559 --> 00:16:28,919
Speaker 2: I don't know.

301
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,679
Speaker 3: You know, it's nice that peartle back, but nobody handles

302
00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:32,840
Wemby anyway, So.

303
00:16:34,519 --> 00:16:35,039
Speaker 2: I don't know.

304
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:38,840
Speaker 3: I just watched the way that san Antonio dismantled Detroit

305
00:16:39,559 --> 00:16:41,840
on Monday night, and it's hard for me to believe

306
00:16:41,919 --> 00:16:44,639
that they couldn't do the same thing to Toronto, who's

307
00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,360
a little less talented on the defensive end, especially if

308
00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:52,120
Barnes doesn't go. I mean barnes contributions, they're great offensively,

309
00:16:52,159 --> 00:16:55,440
but he's a superior defender as well.

310
00:16:55,559 --> 00:16:57,519
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

311
00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:01,559
Speaker 3: The query obviously would make me think twice yes, But

312
00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,319
if they don't have Scottie Barnes. I don't know that

313
00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:07,599
I would hesitate to play san Antonio in the advantageous

314
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,279
rest spot here. They just look like they're on a

315
00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:14,480
sheer mission you had, you had the standings before ski

316
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:16,920
in the West. I'm trying to look it up right now.

317
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,480
In the West. How many games ahead is okay? See,

318
00:17:19,839 --> 00:17:21,960
san Antonio might be on a quest to catch them

319
00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:23,160
and be the number one seed.

320
00:17:24,079 --> 00:17:25,960
Speaker 1: I could agree with that. And also I think san

321
00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:27,920
Antonio wants to stay in front of Houston. I mean

322
00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,880
they aren't headed then by a good point. But you

323
00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:33,559
have the Spurs forty one and sixteen, okay, see forty

324
00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:40,240
five and fourteen, so three games back here, but they

325
00:17:40,279 --> 00:17:41,720
can win and not cover.

326
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:44,319
Speaker 2: That's true. That's true.

327
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,599
Speaker 3: That's that's the business for it. And I should have

328
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:50,039
thought of that first. And we don't want to money

329
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:52,079
line seven and a half point pay for its either.

330
00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:55,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, and the Spurs. The Spurs do hold on. Let

331
00:17:55,519 --> 00:17:59,119
me verify. The Spurs do play tomorrow. It's only versus

332
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:04,960
the Nets, but potentially no, I don't think you saved

333
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:08,759
anything for the Nets. But I don't know. I want

334
00:18:08,799 --> 00:18:11,559
to try to make I want to continue to try

335
00:18:11,599 --> 00:18:13,480
to make a case for Toronto throughout the day. We'll

336
00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:17,160
see if I can actually get there. Mark Saisman, Toronto scrappy.

337
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:20,480
Maybe Spurs first quarter, first half, no better? You know

338
00:18:20,599 --> 00:18:25,279
somebody my guy in Noops, I think he does those

339
00:18:25,279 --> 00:18:27,720
Spurs first quarters as well. So that did stand out.

340
00:18:28,799 --> 00:18:30,960
Appreciate you guys in the comments section. Next game, we're

341
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,599
going Caves and Bucks opened up. Minds nine down to

342
00:18:34,799 --> 00:18:38,160
eight eight and a half. Total went down as well,

343
00:18:38,319 --> 00:18:40,200
from two twenty eight and a half to to twenty

344
00:18:40,319 --> 00:18:41,799
seven to twenty seven and a half.

345
00:18:42,319 --> 00:18:42,759
Speaker 2: This is the.

346
00:18:44,279 --> 00:18:48,559
Speaker 1: Bucks on the back to back. They got that over

347
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,680
for you yesterday. You know you going to it again.

348
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:57,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've been on them blindly. Now it's say it's

349
00:18:57,839 --> 00:19:01,440
a back to back for Cleveland as well. Played really

350
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:07,720
good against the Knicks last night. Cleveland held New York

351
00:19:07,839 --> 00:19:10,319
to ninety some odd points last night, And I tried

352
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:12,680
to think in my head, Skee, did they hold them

353
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:18,039
to ninety four points because they focused in and played

354
00:19:18,079 --> 00:19:20,799
really good defense or in watching that game, it seemed

355
00:19:20,839 --> 00:19:23,119
to me more like New York just couldn't make a

356
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,079
shot for an extended time. It's not like Cleveland was

357
00:19:27,319 --> 00:19:30,480
all up on them as far as defending them is concerned.

358
00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:32,279
It's like the Knicks had a lot of open looks

359
00:19:32,319 --> 00:19:35,440
that they missed. So for Cleveland here, I could see

360
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:39,119
a defensive letdown for sure, which Milwaukee probably can take

361
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:42,440
advantage of. Milwaukee's no great shakes defensively, we know that,

362
00:19:42,559 --> 00:19:44,279
which means Cleveland should score.

363
00:19:44,079 --> 00:19:45,480
Speaker 2: More than the one o nine last night.

364
00:19:45,559 --> 00:19:48,759
Speaker 3: That type of thinking process would lead me to over.

365
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,039
But I do worry a little bit about the twin

366
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:54,000
back backs. There's got to be a little bit of

367
00:19:54,039 --> 00:19:59,279
fatigue on each side here, so I.

368
00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:02,319
Speaker 2: Could somewhat understand people betting this down to two twenty seven.

369
00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:04,039
Speaker 3: But like I told you yesterday, I'm kind of in

370
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:07,480
the market now to be playing these Milwaukee games over,

371
00:20:08,559 --> 00:20:12,240
just because they seem to be trending as a team

372
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:16,079
that can score but cannot defend, and they don't get

373
00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:20,880
priced the way like say Utah always close to two forty, right,

374
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,400
Milwaukee's still in these two twenties where we can take

375
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:27,200
advantage until they run a few more overs off on

376
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:28,880
the schedule than in the odds makers.

377
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,799
Speaker 2: It's just a tricky call for me. I would lean

378
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,720
over sidewise.

379
00:20:34,839 --> 00:20:38,079
Speaker 3: I don't know if Cleveland just was ready for the

380
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:39,519
Knicks and really doesn't care here.

381
00:20:39,599 --> 00:20:40,119
Speaker 2: I could see that.

382
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,599
Speaker 3: Doc rivers, though, I've read a quote this morning, extremely

383
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:46,279
happy about it. He's very happy we're seven and two

384
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:49,839
right now, and he was talking about finally we're breaking

385
00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:52,640
through and extending good streaks.

386
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:53,920
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

387
00:20:55,079 --> 00:20:59,039
Speaker 3: That could be that could be a red flag, that

388
00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:00,559
could be a ghost sign, that could be a lot

389
00:21:00,599 --> 00:21:02,440
of things. But I'm just interested in Milwaukee from a

390
00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:04,559
totals perspective, so I don't worry too much about him

391
00:21:04,599 --> 00:21:05,119
winning games.

392
00:21:05,279 --> 00:21:07,640
Speaker 2: Just score your points, give up your points, and I'll

393
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:08,039
be happy.

394
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess seventy to two is good enough for

395
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:15,119
Beno to give him back. It's his nickname, I guess, But.

396
00:21:15,319 --> 00:21:19,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I blew it, didn't I. I guess we should

397
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,000
have like a fine jar for this show where you

398
00:21:22,079 --> 00:21:23,519
have to grow win five bucks.

399
00:21:25,319 --> 00:21:28,000
Speaker 1: His mom and named Glenn. I'm calling him Glenn. You

400
00:21:28,079 --> 00:21:32,759
know about Doc, but uh, you know. The one thing

401
00:21:32,799 --> 00:21:35,880
I'll say about this total is I don't think you

402
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,680
run to the window to bet this over. And the

403
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,160
reason for me saying that is because both teams are

404
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,039
on the second of a back to back. You wait

405
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:46,640
and just make sure you know that the people you

406
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,440
want in the game are not rolled out, because there

407
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:52,200
absolutely could be late roadouts with both teams on the

408
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:57,680
back to back. Mark says, oh, Glenn knows best.

409
00:22:00,839 --> 00:22:03,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, he does, all right.

410
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:08,559
Speaker 1: Kings and Rockets opened up fourteen and a half looks

411
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:11,599
like still fourteen thirteen and a half. Actually two twenty

412
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:13,720
one and a half was the opener and it hasn't

413
00:22:13,759 --> 00:22:16,759
really moved too much from there. Let's get to some

414
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:23,920
injuries for this Rockets team. Tate and Thompson both out.

415
00:22:24,559 --> 00:22:28,480
We have Carter questionable card will out for this Sacramento team.

416
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:32,599
Like we mentioned, Sack did get off the snide right,

417
00:22:34,279 --> 00:22:36,799
got that win versus Grizzlies. Grizzlies are missing a bunch

418
00:22:36,799 --> 00:22:40,799
of people. It was a great spot for them, a

419
00:22:40,839 --> 00:22:43,519
great spot for them to get off that losing streak.

420
00:22:44,279 --> 00:22:48,920
Now they're facing Rockets team, who I mean, we know

421
00:22:49,039 --> 00:22:51,319
they could absolutely blow them out if they want to,

422
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:54,079
and they very well could have wanted to. I mean,

423
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,279
they've lost to this Kings team, as bad as they are,

424
00:22:56,359 --> 00:23:02,640
they've lost to them twice this season. I'm not gonna

425
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,480
say that the Kings have the Rockets number, but what

426
00:23:05,559 --> 00:23:08,000
I will say is maybe the Rockets we're not focused

427
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:11,119
in those games. Maybe they were bad spots. I think

428
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:14,480
the Kings will have their attention because of that tonight.

429
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,000
The one thing I would worry about is laying the

430
00:23:18,039 --> 00:23:20,200
big number on the front of a back to back

431
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:24,000
they do play the Magic tomorrow, I would cut this

432
00:23:24,079 --> 00:23:27,720
in half and play first game, first half Rockets. That's

433
00:23:27,759 --> 00:23:29,119
kind of the way I'm looking at this one here.

434
00:23:29,279 --> 00:23:30,480
You know, how do you see it?

435
00:23:33,039 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 3: No, I mean Thompson, so read Shepherd takes over at

436
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,880
point guard, which reads Shepherd can score. We know that

437
00:23:40,319 --> 00:23:42,880
he probably not the rebounder from the guard position that

438
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,119
Thompson is, but certainly can screen it. And the Rockets

439
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:50,039
have enough rebutting anyway. But this quote, Ski, Adam, I

440
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:51,799
gotta do this one. I gotta read this one. And

441
00:23:51,839 --> 00:23:55,880
this comes from Doug Christie after they beat the absolute

442
00:23:56,039 --> 00:23:57,720
depleted Memphis Grizzlies.

443
00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 2: Getting on the plane, he says.

444
00:24:00,839 --> 00:24:04,400
Speaker 3: Two things that travel in the NBA are defense and rebounding.

445
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,720
And I'm thinking, yeah, but you coach the Kings, they

446
00:24:07,759 --> 00:24:10,920
don't play. What are he even talking about?

447
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:14,559
Speaker 2: Because you beat the Christmas second unit. Oh my god,

448
00:24:14,799 --> 00:24:17,319
that I mean I don't know.

449
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,519
Speaker 3: You thought Glenn was a little excited because he's seven

450
00:24:20,599 --> 00:24:24,279
and two, Doug Christy's really excited about traveling. With defense

451
00:24:24,319 --> 00:24:27,680
and rebounding, They're not gonna rebound Houston, no way in heck.

452
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:31,079
If Houston does have a focus, like a double revenge focus,

453
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:37,000
then they're not gonna be as good defensively or offensively either.

454
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:41,759
So to me, I would try to look at Houston's

455
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:44,079
team total. You said cut the side in half.

456
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 2: I don't know.

457
00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,079
Speaker 3: I hate to cut totals in half simply because I

458
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,359
never know which half is gonna be the scoring half.

459
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:55,480
But the problem with that is, again, like you mentioned

460
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,000
in the opening game, if you're blowing a team out

461
00:24:58,039 --> 00:25:01,200
in the fourth and people come out of the game

462
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,279
and the breaks go on, then you really don't want

463
00:25:04,839 --> 00:25:07,720
full game either. So I think you could look at

464
00:25:07,759 --> 00:25:10,440
the first half from either perspective. I'll get you the

465
00:25:10,559 --> 00:25:15,079
total on that first half team total, Houston sixty one

466
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:17,400
and a half. Need to get the sixty two certainly

467
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,480
doable against the King's defense. I probably won't play ski

468
00:25:21,519 --> 00:25:24,359
simply because Houston has that back to back game tomorrow,

469
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:29,160
probably a more important game, and maybe they'll just try

470
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:29,759
and coast here.

471
00:25:29,799 --> 00:25:32,759
Speaker 2: But I do. I tell you what I do like.

472
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,880
Speaker 3: Read Shepherd in the game from an offensive standpoint. If

473
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:37,799
I'm looking for points, read Shepherd's a guy that can

474
00:25:37,839 --> 00:25:38,960
get to the rimman shoots.

475
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 2: So we'll see how it.

476
00:25:40,039 --> 00:25:48,400
Speaker 1: Goes, all right, Next game and last game, Celtics and

477
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,440
Knights open to minus four and a half for the

478
00:25:51,519 --> 00:25:56,319
Knigets down at four, we'll call it four as a consensus.

479
00:25:56,759 --> 00:25:58,640
Total went up from two twenty seven and a half.

480
00:25:58,759 --> 00:26:01,519
We're looking at twenty eight and a half as a consensus.

481
00:26:01,599 --> 00:26:05,720
Over there, injury report, you have Jael and Brown questionable.

482
00:26:05,799 --> 00:26:08,279
He did miss yesterday. I thought that would mean he's

483
00:26:08,319 --> 00:26:11,920
playing today. For Denver. You have Murray and Straut they're

484
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:16,839
both probable. Still no Gordon, no Picket, and no Watson.

485
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,799
Pretty sure. The Nuggets did not play yesterday, So yeah,

486
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,839
they're at home. They have the rest advantage. They've been

487
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:29,599
off for what two days? Meanwhile, this is the Celtics,

488
00:26:30,039 --> 00:26:33,839
what one, two, three, four? Fourth straight road game and

489
00:26:34,079 --> 00:26:35,839
second of it back to back. I mean they weren't

490
00:26:36,519 --> 00:26:40,240
challenged too much by the Suns last night. You used

491
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:42,359
to have to travel another state over though, and go

492
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:47,000
play again. The next night, so advantageous spot for the Nuggets.

493
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:54,359
After the Nuggets in a bad spot lost outright to

494
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:56,720
the Warriors, had two days off to think about it,

495
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:58,839
get right work on whatever they need to work on.

496
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,960
I would think that this is a nugget spot. What

497
00:27:02,079 --> 00:27:02,720
do you think? You know?

498
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,440
Speaker 3: I think really quick here, and this is why you

499
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,279
guys watched the show. While you were talking Ski, that

500
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:12,599
guy was screaming alert, alert, alert at me. So I

501
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:17,599
had to turn him down alerts because Cleveland just ruled

502
00:27:17,599 --> 00:27:20,240
out Mitchell, ruled out Mobley, and.

503
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 2: There was one more in there that's now questionable to Harden. Yeah,

504
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:27,160
that's what I'm saying.

505
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 3: That's why he watched the show because wouldn't rush to

506
00:27:29,759 --> 00:27:32,240
the window with this total because guys could get ruled out.

507
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,359
And here it came, my alert specialist, let me know

508
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:39,200
that we have three guys now probably not playing, three

509
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,400
starters likely not played. I think James Harden was the

510
00:27:41,519 --> 00:27:45,880
questionable one, but the other two Mitchell and Mobley not

511
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:46,519
going to play.

512
00:27:46,559 --> 00:27:49,160
Speaker 2: You'll probably see a decline in that total. I kind

513
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:49,880
of like this game.

514
00:27:51,079 --> 00:27:54,160
Speaker 3: At first, I wanted to just play the Nuggets team

515
00:27:54,279 --> 00:27:57,279
total because of the rest situation. Of the Celtics potential

516
00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:00,000
fatigue situation here. They've been on the road quite a while.

517
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:02,880
Hile one sixteen and a half we know where the

518
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:05,079
Nuggets are concerned. One sixteen and a half is not

519
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,359
all that hard. Boston's a really good defensive team and

520
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:11,680
they've been not a good defensive role. But then I

521
00:28:11,759 --> 00:28:13,799
said to myself, or I'm thinking to myself when I'm

522
00:28:13,799 --> 00:28:15,640
a handicapping this game, do you really want to keep

523
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:19,759
Boston out of the loop offensively? Because Denver just they

524
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:21,960
just don't care to play a lick of defense at

525
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:23,960
this point in time. But you'd really want to have

526
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,480
Jalen Brown in there. I know Pritchard and company can

527
00:28:27,599 --> 00:28:30,200
light it up, especially against a Denver defense. So that's

528
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,279
kind of where I'm torn here. I think Denver's the

529
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:37,079
right side. I think the total is an over which

530
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:39,759
capacity I play it at. I'm not sure as of yet,

531
00:28:39,839 --> 00:28:43,200
but I don't see a lot of reason to light

532
00:28:43,319 --> 00:28:47,000
the Boston Celtics here other than their possible contribution to

533
00:28:47,119 --> 00:28:50,079
the total in this game and last night's game really

534
00:28:50,119 --> 00:28:52,839
low scoring against Phoenix. Phoenix is dragging all these games

535
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,039
way down. They just played like a ninety one to

536
00:28:55,119 --> 00:28:58,559
seventy seven against Portland prior to that, and we talked

537
00:28:58,559 --> 00:29:02,240
about the head coach saying that they just struggle offensively

538
00:29:02,359 --> 00:29:06,599
in stretches. So it'll be a different test for Boston

539
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:11,200
tonight in altitude against an offense that doesn't struggle to score.

540
00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:15,119
I may get the Nuggets team total here over one

541
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:17,119
sixteen and a half is my top play. I just

542
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:20,119
feel like that's an easy number for them to come

543
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:20,920
by nowadays.

544
00:29:22,799 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 1: Fair, very very fair. All right, that looks like that's

545
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:31,920
the end of the card here, mister Veno. So before

546
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:33,759
we move it over the best bet, let's put some

547
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:37,640
stuff up on the screen. We'll go with good old

548
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,559
ten days of all access for the price of seven.

549
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:43,920
You'll save sixty nine dollars if you want to get

550
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:47,839
involved with this deal. Good for either Robino or myself.

551
00:29:48,519 --> 00:29:51,119
And with that said, you know I'm going to pass

552
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,720
it to you. I'll ask you if there's anything else

553
00:29:53,759 --> 00:29:56,200
that you would like to promote, and if you have

554
00:29:56,279 --> 00:29:58,880
a best bet, we love to hear it. If you don't,

555
00:29:59,160 --> 00:29:59,680
no worries.

556
00:30:01,599 --> 00:30:03,799
Speaker 3: The ten for seven is really a nice promotion that's

557
00:30:03,839 --> 00:30:08,000
been pretty pretty good. The only thing I'll promote ski

558
00:30:08,119 --> 00:30:10,119
is the is the College Hoops Show, Full Court Press,

559
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:12,559
myself and Adam Trigger ten am to eleven am Monday

560
00:30:12,559 --> 00:30:14,319
through Friday. You can catch us five days a week

561
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:18,720
going over college games. We do one usually one of

562
00:30:18,799 --> 00:30:21,640
the top games of the night that's scripted, and then

563
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,519
the rest is all open to the chat. Whatever game

564
00:30:23,519 --> 00:30:25,000
you want to talk about is what we talk about

565
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:26,720
over the sixty minutes and you can catch us to

566
00:30:26,759 --> 00:30:30,160
get on Saturday with Kelly Stewart, Kelly and Vegas on

567
00:30:30,359 --> 00:30:30,920
Wager Talk.

568
00:30:31,079 --> 00:30:32,839
Speaker 2: Last Call here tonight's ski.

569
00:30:33,279 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 3: You know, I hate when I do this, but I'm

570
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:36,680
not going to leave the best bet simply because I

571
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:38,880
don't have anything in my pocket yet. Last night I

572
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:42,480
did have the one game Milwaukee Miami that was released

573
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,279
to clients and that I had bet, so I left it.

574
00:30:44,359 --> 00:30:49,359
But here's you could tell where I'm leaning with a

575
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:51,440
couple of these games. But I just haven't gotten to

576
00:30:51,519 --> 00:30:53,799
the window yet with anything. And we may have to

577
00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:57,440
take our time here and just see if there's anything

578
00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:01,359
else that goes on injury wise. NBA is always tricky

579
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:02,160
where that's concerned.

580
00:31:03,279 --> 00:31:05,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, it is. It is a day where I'd rather

581
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:08,720
wait for sure, and for that reason, you know, I'm

582
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:10,880
the same as you. Haven't placed a bet yet today.

583
00:31:12,799 --> 00:31:15,599
I'm definitely going to place the bet, but I'm just

584
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,599
trying to make sure it's the right one here today,

585
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,000
So can't leave the best bet for the show. But

586
00:31:20,119 --> 00:31:22,119
we did break down the games. Like Bino said, you

587
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:24,240
know which ways both of us are looking leaning however

588
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:29,079
you want to call it. So yeah, we'll end the

589
00:31:29,119 --> 00:31:32,920
show on that note. You know, it's always great breaking

590
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:34,640
down the games with you. I appreciate you taking the

591
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:37,599
time to do so chat. We appreciate you guys pulling

592
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:39,960
up and supporting the show. We appreciate the information you

593
00:31:40,079 --> 00:31:42,519
bring in just the good vibes in general. So best

594
00:31:42,559 --> 00:31:46,559
of luck to everybody out there. We'll be back again tomorrow. Peace.

