Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start this show
by being transparent, and yesterday I went one and one.
My top play was the Grizzlies plus six plus seven
and a half. They end up winning the game all right,
so slightly profitable. I did lose on Tari Easton over
one and a half threes, didn't even get in a
tent after the first quarter, so slightly profitable day. Good
to be back here with you, Rob Youno. How's everything
on your end?
Speaker 2: Things are good? Ski? We had a three and one
yesterday one and oh from the NBA. The play that
we left here the Sixers team total over I think
they were into the seventies at halftime against the Clippers,
who it's a couple of times in a row now
their last two back to backs, the second end of
the back to back, they have not come up roses defensively,
so I'll keep my eye on that. We see now
that you know, maybe James Harden is going to be
shipped out of there, so maybe that had something to
do with it. But we'll take that win. In any
college we had at two and one, and I thought
I was on my way to three and oh with
Texas Tech up fifty nine to fifty with about three
minutes left, and then Ku came off the top rope
and made sure I didn't sweep the college board. So
we'll take three in one though.
Speaker 1: Was a good day, absolutely. We just got a trade
elenns knowing the chat, Jared Jackson Junior to the Jazz
for three first round picks to the Jazz. The Jazz
are they're trying to I mean, that's that's crazy to me.
Three first round picks from the Jazz for Jaron Jackson Jr.
I mean, I guess he's a nice he's nice. Next
thing up marketing, I don't know, we know what you
think about that?
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I thought the same thing that was with marketing.
Speaker 1: And I forget about Kesler too.
Speaker 2: Actually yeah, and Walker Kesler coming to that front line
could be really good. Rebounding Jackson and rim protection Jackson,
Kessler marketing to stretch defenses. George coming on the way
he is in the back. But I guess Utah is
trying to get there sooner rather than later. Right if
you're giving up three draft choices for I don't know
the age on Jaron Jackson junior twenty nine. Maybe he
not that old. So it's good for Memphis. I'll say
that because Memphis isn't just a complete rebuild type thing.
So yeah, three first for Memphis. I don't know when
they if they're this year or years after. But it's funny, Ski,
you and I were just talking about this off air,
and it's kind of the reason why we're only going
to go through a select few games today.
Speaker 1: Yeah, trade deadline. You know, you never know what you're
going to get throughout the day. You gotta be you know,
don't be surprised if you get some more of these
trades and things start to change throughout the day. So
maybe not not a day to load the clip. But
you know, saying that I do, I'll play some player props.
I'm not scared of those. So many guys don't play. Hey,
I'll be all right. But yeah, Utah, looking like they're
going in the right direction. All right, today's show will
be a little bit different. We won't go through every
game like we mentioned, we'll do a little bit of
the old school NBA style. If you guys can't remember
if you were around a few years ago. So first
game we will talk about here today Nuggets and Pistons.
This one opened up minus six, looks like five now
total open two twenty four looks like two twenty nine.
As far as injuries are concerned here, yeah, Bron questionable,
Bates Gordon, and Kem Johnson out for the Pistons. I
don't see anybody on the injury report that got a
full we'll go for tonight. You know this, this Pistons team,
I want to say they weren't playing the best of basketball,
but they have started to. Maybe it's that they're playing
ain't close games. Let me actually just pull this up
because I know they've they've won some of these games.
It's the first of a back to back for the Nuggets.
Says here they will play the next tomorrow in Madison
Square Garden. So I'll ask you, you know, I'll start
with that. Do you think the Nuggets maybe look ahead
here to play in Madison Square Garden or do you
think the Pistons of their attention here tonight.
Speaker 2: I think the Pistons have their attention for sure. I
don't think that Jo Kichever overlooks a game. We'll see
if they choose to load manage tomorrow but it doesn't
look like they're gonna do so today. I know Christian
Brown is expected back sometime soon, probably not tonight, but
they're they're as healthy as they've been in quite a while.
I mean, still missing Aaron Gordon, but talked about Peyton
Watson a lot on the show and how he's filled
some shoes here really really well. I think Denver, you know,
plus the points is the way I'm looking here. Ski
against Detroit the Pistons, you know, they got that what
was it, sixty point win or something over Brooklyn the
other night. Brooklyn's lineup was just a disaster and the
Pistons took full advantage. But it's not going to be
that easy against Denver. Now. Denver's off of the loss
to OKC, so I think there's a little bit of
that on their mind. I think situationally, it sets up
a little bit for Denver here. They've got some revenge
because Detroit went to Denver when Jokic was out and
beat them. So now Denver could come back with Yo
Kitchen maybe return the favor. Whether they win outright or not,
I just feel like five and a half six is
a lot to give Denver in any circumstance, so for me,
and this was a tough one with total too for
me Ski because Detroit's you know, they're a solid defensive team,
and I just feel like when Denver is asked to
step up, they can step up a little bit defensively.
That being said, money has all come in on over
to twenty four up to two twenty nine, but the
points sprit has come down now from six. I'm seeing
some five start. The flash here in front of me
looks like a universal five. Maybe there's a couple of
straight five and a halfs if you shop it close,
some spots that are readily available to folks across the
US and then around the world. So I'm gonna side
with Denver here. Not a play that I made yet,
but I think it's one that I'm going to end
up getting to the Nuggets.
Speaker 1: Plus the points, I would agree with you. I also
would look towards during under his rebound prop to nine
ten and a half. You know, I don't think it's
the greatest of matchups for a few different reasons. One,
he hasn't hit this prop the last four meetings versus Nuggets,
and that goes back this season. In the past two seasons,
and I think that's because one Yolkics will take him
away from the rim. I you'll have to guard Yokich
out on the perimeter because shoot and two is a
tough matchup. We know Duran foils a lot, Durren could
be in foul trouble majority of this game. So for
those reasons and some others, you know, as far as
matchup wise, numbers wise, it does say Denver does not
Denver is not allowing the most rebounds to the center
position like Duran under ten and a half rebounds in
this game. All right, you know we'll move it over
to another one and that will be And also my bad.
I did want to mention that I would agree with
you because you know, you got one team who kind
of just got embarrassed losing my double digits versus another
team who is you know, they flowing into this matchup
after just blowing him off the earth. So that's why
I would agree Lakers, than that opened up minus eight
and a half looks like eight and a half or
nine depending where you shot. Total open two twenty two
and a half. And we won't have a whole lot
of movement on that injury report Ronnie James is questionable,
so it was Allton Reeves, the Ero remains out for
the Nets, high Smith is out. Everybody else looks like
they're going to be a go here. And it's the
other side of that, right, you know, with the Nets,
the team that got blown off the earth, we've seen
them once before. They did show up in the following game.
Can they show up here versus Lakers squad? What do
you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny that that is like the main thought
process in my handicap here Ski. It's not something that
you would generally like to pin your entire bet on,
but with the Nets, it's becoming commonplace. They lose one
twenty to sixty six to the Knicks, they come back
and push Boston to overtime a couple of days later,
So that was one blowout. Now they get blown out
of one thirty to seventy seven. Lakers don't play a
ton of defense, so you can get some points here
against them. Problem for Nets again, I don't know. With
this trade deadline, I see mpj's name all over the
place in trade talks. It's possible between today or tomorrow.
It's hard to guess, you know what. I mean, if
he's in there and he plays with the LA defense,
I would think that Brooklyn can score their share and
probably stay under the number because they do have a
little bit of bounce back resiliency in them. And I'll
say this because the nets, I think I've read this morning.
They're the youngest team in the NBA right now, and
for young teams to get destroyed and then come back
and play really well, it's not uncommon. In fact, it's
more of the way for them to have such variance
between games. So to me, I'd probably look at the
nets here thinking that Los Angeles just doesn't play enough
defense to warrant being a nine point road favorite against
a team that may be a little I won't use
that word, but a little angry that they got destroyed
by so many points by Detroit. Certainly Detroit's capable of
holding them to what they held them through seventy seven
because they do play deep and crashboards. So and maybe
you look at Brooklyn ski I didn't play the game.
Doubt I will.
Speaker 1: All right, we can't keep going with this one. I
would be betting I'll be betting Brooklyn or nothing in
this one. Lakers don't play good enough defense for me
to expect them to win by that big of a margin.
Reeves could come back in and just mess up the
flow of things. I do like Ruy, though, Ruy to
continue to do whatever he You know, he's gonna play hard,
he's gonna get attempts in his role. He's doing the
little things that they need to help them win. I
like Roy pra tonight in that one next game up,
we would go magic and thunder and right around I'm
sorry open six and a half looks like eight or
eight and a half photo is right around the opener. Though.
As far as injuries, Castleton and Franz Wagner out, Okay,
see a lot of people man J. Dubb and Mitchell
both out, Dalen Williams, Chad Hardenstein, Sga and Caruso all questionable.
I mean, okay, see coming up that win versus Denver
just based off injury report, like they're too interested in
playing here tonight. But you never know. You could get
most of these guys rolled in as it currently stands,
I think you'd probably get the better effort of the magic.
The magic we at least know who are who's playing
right now. I would lean towards the Magic.
Speaker 2: What do you think, Yeah, it seems like Oklahoma City,
which hadn't been playing that well, and who knows why.
I mean, obviously the injury list has been pretty full
the last three weeks or so. But maybe Okay c
you know, a little disinterested at this time of year's ski.
Maybe they weren't covering numbers, they weren't even winning games
against teams they should have blown out. But they certainly
had full focus on the Denver game the other night.
It's like as if you know, that was the one
thing circled on their calendar, is we're gonna win there
against Jokichen beat that team, and they did. They beat
him pretty soundly. And now it looks like with this
injury list, maybe they don't care as much. I do
think Orlando cares lose to San Antonio the other night
kind of you know, I had Orlando team total in
that game over I think one oh nine and a
half won ten something like that, and they had put
up a forty point second quarter, and I thought, here
we go, should be on our way. We're more than
halfway there already, and next thing you know, they're throwing
up eighteen and a third, Webbin Yama defensively. I don't
know that we talk about it enough. I know that
you talk about it a lot, but just every time
you watch this guy, he's a people can't shoot against
this guy. It's crazy watching teams try and get shots
up against Wemby when he's fully into the game. It's
like trying to shoot into a mill. It just keeps
coming at you. And Orlando had their struggles, but I
think here they were playing pretty decently after that Miami win.
I gave you the quotes. I think you interpreted it
for me when when Jamel Mosley was talking about what
they their philosophy is paying off now and they did
score one thirty plus two games in a row before
that San Antonio game SAT, I think they've got the
goods to come up with a point spread cover here.
I would look their way, all.
Speaker 1: Right, one more game here before we move over to
another segment. Sixers and Warriors opened up minus one and
a half for the Warriors. Looks like three or three
and a half. I oulda went from two nineteen and
a half to two twenty one or two twenty one
and a half. Despite Steph Curry being out tonight no Steph,
no Seth, no Kaminga, no crier. Embeid also doubtful total
continues to go up here. That's what's standing out to me.
I mean, we know the Warriors in general like to
play a pace, but I can't help but think a
lot of that offense is missing here. Some reason, this
one keeps ticking up. I like to think the pace
quickens without Embid as well for the Sixers, what do
you think Sixers and Warriors.
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's still a lot of guard wing type offense.
I'm Philadelphia. And when when Embiid is out, certainly the
rim defense becomes a little bit less. You have Andre Drummond.
He'll give you twenty five solid minutes rebounding and whatnot.
Adam Bona is a guy I talked about earlier in
the year. I kind of like his energy at the rim.
But for the Sixers, like I say, Maxi edgecumbe oubre
Quentin Grimes, all these guys can still score. These guys
are all twenty a game. When I mean Grimes, when
everybody was hurt last year, was a leading scorer for
this team. So they got plenty of firepower here against
a very small Golden State team. The back to back
situation holds me back a little bit, But I have
a number for you that might negate any fear that
you have of playing Philly on back to back. Philadelphia
eight and one against the spread this season with no rest,
ten and two against the spread with any type of
rest disadvantage. Eight and four straight up in rest disadvantage games.
So not only are they covering, but they're winning sixty
seven percent of those twelve when they're at a rest disadvantage.
And here they are at the rest disadvantage, but they're
playing a team that's shallow on the depth chart in
the rotation. So Philadelphia looks like, you know, I won
with them last night. Team total was really really easy.
It's possible at this price could come back with him.
I'm just gonna look up. The current is again only
one O nine and a half. I don't know Ski.
To me, it looks low because I don't think Maxi Edgecombe,
Oh Bray Grimes. I don't think those guys ever run
out of energy. So I may get there with Philadelphia.
Team total.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's making it. That's making sense to me. People
in the chat liking that as well. City by the
Bay sorry, he was not on my list of what
I was looking at this morning. And I don't want
to just stop the show right now to go pull
up player props. I just already did a show on
player props, So sorry, I can't help you with that.
Mark asked, is Golden State going to contribute? Well, they're
their favorite. If you don't think they're going to contribute,
I mean there's a nice Philadelphia plus wait on you
to push the button. So if you don't think there
can contribute, maybe Sixers money Line has decided to go there?
All right, a little bit something. I mean, this show
has been different, but we're gonna mix it up even more. Veno,
you know about about this. You've been around, it's not
new to you.
Speaker 2: I want to know how many in the chat remember this.
This is good.
Speaker 1: I don't think anybody, honestly, it's been so long. But
one of my favorites. We're gonna go over to that.
That's my dog, Sam, that's.
Speaker 2: My dog, my dog.
Speaker 3: That's my dog. And anybody gotta say anything, you let
me know that's my dog, my dog.
Speaker 1: Can I make that? Can make it big? Oh man?
What are we doing here? Messing it up? Ro you
know for my dog, I'm gonna go with Denver Nuggets.
Be'st never you can get right now, it's plus five
and a half. I like them because they just lost
to Okay. See. Really teams that have been getting embarrassed
and I say embarrassed, you know, losing by double ditches
not covering versus Okay. See, they usually bounce back in
that next spot, and it's the Nuggets opportunity to bounce
back in the spot that been good in all year.
They are seven and one aps as a road dog,
they've had Detroy's number. I know Detroy's a little better
this year, but they beat Detroit ten of the last
twelve head the head meetings. The most recent one was
a week ago. They did lose that one, it was
without Yolkic, they only lost by two points. The only
other loss was in twenty twenty two. It was Yokic's
first first game back after COVID or something like that,
and they lost by two as well. So I don't
think the Pistons have been playing well enough to lay
these five points. I will go with the Nuggets plus
as my dog here rop you know, for you, what
will you rock with as your dog today?
Speaker 2: Wow, let's see here I do. I will definitely co
sign on the Nuggets, and I think I'll just move
to another There's a couple here, but I think I'll
go to a game that we talked about on the
show and take Orlando plus eight and a half year
against OKC. Even if they don't win, I think they'll
play within that number. Home of city. You saw it
the other night. The energy level, the focus, the motivation,
the post game how you know, they're kind of level,
so to speak, where emotion is concerned all the time.
But they were a little bit happy with themselves for
beating Denver the way they did. So that injury list
obviously a lot of those guys could play here tonight.
There's just a bunch of questionables. But I think eight
and a half still is too much here. I think
Orlando bounces back from the San anton game the other night,
So I'll take Orlando as my dog. Plus eight and half.
Speaker 1: Are good stuff from mister Rono, and I'll get that
figured out there we go. I'll get it together. Good
stuff from Robno. Yeah, you know. Now we're gonna move
it over the best bets. And before I do all
that good stuff, there won't be any shot clock for
the people who did. Remember, there were some people out
there too, you know we're there. Yeah, Tachi says, big throwback,
but Tone said that that's my dog. Some people did
recognize that one, all right. So before we get the
best bet, let's promo a little bit like we usually do.
That means we do have what the ten days of
all access for the price of seven, we'll save sixty
nine dollars. I think that's a pretty good way to
get involved. If you like a little bit longer, you
can do the super Bowl to super Bowl all access.
It's ninety nine dollars per month and you'll get all
access every sport from now until next February. So veno.
I'd like to think that I did an okay job
on promo. But if there's anything else that I miss,
if there's anything else you like to promote, oh, you
know what, I didn't do a good enough job. We
got college Tuesday right, a dollar Tuesday. So both Rob
Vino and myself have a top play up on our
page for five dollars. If you want to be involved,
you guys know where to find it. The link to
our page. Just scrolling on the bottom of the screen.
Now I'm going to pass it to you. You know,
if there's anything else you like promote, feel free. If
you have a best bet for the show, we'd love
to hear it. If you don't, it's all good.
Speaker 2: I think promotions are well covered their ski. You added
the five dollars Tuesday in at the end and the
throwback to That's My Dog. I just thinking about it
while you were talking there, and also while you were
talking there, I went to my trustee apps and made
one play. So that's what I'm going to leave is
the best bet because it's the play I bet. We
talked it out a little bit here on the show.
I was close to making the play, didn't make it
until just now, But I'm going to be on the
sixers team total over one oh nine and a half.
The whole thing just sets up really well, and I
think you get a bargain price on their team total
because embiid is out. That seems to be the contributing
factor to why Golden State's gone up from one to three,
because certainly Golden State's not going up on their own merits.
They're going up on the basis of a team on
a back to back and without Joel Embiid, and Philly
can still score. Without Joel Embid, they score in a
different way. Joel's been great lately. But I mentioned the
four guys in all the speed that they bring to
the game. So smallest Golden State team, quick Philadelphia team,
and Philly's playing good. I saw a quote. I'm dragging
this out a little bit, but I just want to
say I saw a quote from I forget which Philly
starter it was, might have been Maxie who said, they
honestly think they have a chance in the East. Right now,
we'll see if they do. The one reason why I
hadn't pulled the trigger on this game until just now
was I'm worried about Golden State trading. But seriously, that
doesn't involve the Philly team totals. So that's the reason
why I made that bet. Philly team total best bet
over one O nine and a half.
Speaker 1: Good stuff. Robino Tachi says, where's the contrarion play the day?
Maybe we should get that debt.
Speaker 2: I hated that the Contrarian gods, and I hated that.
Speaker 1: Well, you know what that is now it is now
we've seen this before, rob you.
Speaker 2: Know, yeah, that's true too. I think we've rebranded it
very well.
Speaker 1: Ski Yeah, yeah, we got a different one on ere
on this this show. My best bet I'm gonna go with.
I'm gonna go with Rueye over thirteen and a half
PRA man and I should pull this up. I think
he's hit this. He's been hitting it like crazy, as
long as he gets twenty two minutes, which he's getting,
as long as it's not a blowout, as long as
he's not just coming back from injury. He's cleared with
this PRRA number. My bet, I'm gonna get it here
because I think it's important. So I apologize to you
guys for not having it ready. You have to hear me,
you know, bullshit for just a second here, But here
we go. Twenty two minutes. He's hit it sixteen put max. Actually,
he's hit it twenty five out of thirty two games
so far this season, thirteen and a half pr As
long as he's getting twenty two minutes, I'm pretty sure
he's getting twenty two minutes, regardless if Reeves comes back
tonight or not. He's comfortable in his role. He said
that he's going to do the little things to stay
on the court with rebound whatever the case may be.
I like, really over thirteen and a half twenty three
bounds in the sist, that's my best bet for the show.
There they go, you know, attach he says. Contrarion gods
were always on Vino's ass.
Speaker 2: Right there, Probably why I hate them, guys.
Speaker 1: I always appreciate you taking time to break the games
down with me. You know, helps my process. I'm sure
it helps everybody else out as well. People in the chat.
Always gonna let you know you're appreciated. Great cappers, great people,
and you help make the show what it is. So
always gonna let you guys know that we will be
back again tomorrow. Don't think we'll have this big of
a slate, but if we do, we'll still cap it.
So that's the luck on all your action tonight, and
we will catch you off then