WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Bedtime Astronomy. Explore the wonders of the cosmos

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<v Speaker 1>with our soothing Bedtime Astronomie podcast. Each episode offers a

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<v Speaker 1>gentle journey through the stars, planets, and beyond, perfect for

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<v Speaker 1>unwinding after a long day. Let's travel through the mysteries

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<v Speaker 1>of the universe as you drift off into a peaceful

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<v Speaker 1>slumber under the night sky.

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<v Speaker 2>I want you to close your eyes for a second. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>don't do that for your driving, but if you're safe,

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<v Speaker 2>close them and I want you to picture the Earth,

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<v Speaker 2>not a map, not you know, a globe sitting in

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<v Speaker 2>a classroom. I want you to picture that view from space,

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<v Speaker 2>the blue marble. What is the one thing that just

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<v Speaker 2>dominates that image.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the water.

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<v Speaker 2>It's the water. It's not the continents, it's not the clouds.

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<v Speaker 2>It is that deep, overwhelming blue.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the defining feature of our existence. Really, it really is.

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<v Speaker 2>I was just ending at the beast last weekend, looking

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<v Speaker 2>out at the Pacific, and it just it. It's you.

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<v Speaker 2>The sheer volume of it all, seventy one percent of

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<v Speaker 2>the surface, right. It drives our weather, it shapes our geology.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, it makes it. Most of your body weight.

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<v Speaker 2>We are, for all intents and purposes, water creatures living

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<v Speaker 2>on a water planet.

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<v Speaker 3>We are Carl Sagan's pale blue dot. And you know,

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<v Speaker 3>without that water, we're just another cratered rock spinning in

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<v Speaker 3>the dark.

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<v Speaker 2>We're Mars exactly. And because it is so fundamental, so

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<v Speaker 2>absolutely non negotiable for life as we know it, you

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<v Speaker 2>would just hmm, you'd assume that by now, by the

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<v Speaker 2>year twenty twenty six, we would have the origin story

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<v Speaker 2>of water completely locked down. You'd think we'd have the

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<v Speaker 2>receipt for every single drop in the ocean.

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<v Speaker 3>It seems like a reasonable assumption. Yeah, it's the most

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<v Speaker 3>important substance we have, right.

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<v Speaker 2>But here is the thing that absolutely blew my mind

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<v Speaker 2>while I was reading this research packet. We don't or rather,

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<v Speaker 2>the story we thought we knew, the one I definitely

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<v Speaker 2>learned in high school earth science, might be completely wrong.

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<v Speaker 3>It's not just wrong, the new data suggests it's well,

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<v Speaker 3>it's mathematically impossible. It is a very bold statement, it is,

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<v Speaker 3>but that is what the data is telling us. We

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<v Speaker 3>are looking at a brand new study published literally yesterday,

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<v Speaker 3>January twenty fifth, twenty twenty six, in the Proceedings of

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<v Speaker 3>the National Academy of Sciences. It's a study that takes

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<v Speaker 3>a look at some very very.

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<v Speaker 2>Old rocks, rocks not from Earth.

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<v Speaker 3>Not from Earth, No, and it completely upends our entire

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<v Speaker 3>understanding of how Earth got its oceans.

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<v Speaker 2>And what's so wild is that to figure out where

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<v Speaker 2>earth water came from, they didn't look at Earth rocks

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<v Speaker 2>at all. They looked at the Moon.

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<v Speaker 3>They had to. It's the only clean witness we have.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, we are absolutely going to get into why that is.

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<v Speaker 2>We're going to talk about a team led by doctor

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<v Speaker 2>Tony Gargano. It's this massive collaboration with the University Space

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<v Speaker 2>Research Association, the Lunaran Planetary Institute, NASA, jpl SCRIPTS, the

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<v Speaker 2>heavy hitters, basically the heavy hitters of planetary science. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>and we're going to unpack why they're findings based on

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<v Speaker 2>a few handfuls of dust are forcing us to rewrite

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<v Speaker 2>the history.

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<v Speaker 3>Books and maybe even more importantly, why this rewriting of

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<v Speaker 3>history might actually be the key to our future in space.

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<v Speaker 3>It's this incredible twist.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a total double edged sword. Right, it's bad news

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<v Speaker 2>for the old textbooks, but it might be great news

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<v Speaker 2>for future astronauts. Absolutely, But Before we get to the future,

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<v Speaker 2>we have to deal with the past. We have to

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<v Speaker 2>understand the story that we're now tearing.

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<v Speaker 3>Down the standard model as it were.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so walk me through this, because I remember learning

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<v Speaker 2>about the late heavy bombardment. It always sounds like a

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<v Speaker 2>heavy metal band to me, but it was actually a

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<v Speaker 2>geological era. What was the prevailing theory about why Earth

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<v Speaker 2>has water?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, to understand the old theory, you have to understand

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<v Speaker 3>the environment in which the Earth was born. So you

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<v Speaker 3>have to go back in time about four and a

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<v Speaker 3>half billion years. The solar system isn't this polite, orderly

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<v Speaker 3>clockwork mechanism we see today. It was a construction site.

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<v Speaker 3>It was a shooting gallery, chaotic, violent, extremely hot. You

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<v Speaker 3>have the proto sun igniting in the center, and surrounding

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<v Speaker 3>it is the swirling disk of gas and dust. Now

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<v Speaker 3>in that disk, there's a very very important and visible line.

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<v Speaker 3>We call it the snow line or the frost line.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, is this like the snow line on a mountain?

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<v Speaker 2>You know, you get above a certain altitude and rain

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<v Speaker 2>turns to snow.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the exact same principle, but it's based on distance

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<v Speaker 3>from the Sun, not altitude. Inside that line, close to

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<v Speaker 3>the newborn Sun, it is simply too hot for what

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<v Speaker 3>we call volatiles to condense into solids.

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<v Speaker 2>And volatiles that's just signed to speak for things that

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<v Speaker 2>boil easily, right, like water.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly, water, carbon dioxide, methane, ammonia, all the good stuff

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<v Speaker 3>for life. If you are inside the snow line, these

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<v Speaker 3>things exist only as a gas, and the solar wind,

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<v Speaker 3>this incredible torrent of particles from the young Sun, blows

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<v Speaker 3>them away.

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<v Speaker 2>So they can't stick around.

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<v Speaker 3>They can't stick to the little dust grains that are

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<v Speaker 3>clumping together to form planets. It's too hot. The stuff

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<v Speaker 3>just vaporizes and gets blasted out to the colder outer

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<v Speaker 3>Solar system.

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<v Speaker 2>And Earth sits squarely inside that line.

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<v Speaker 3>We are well inside it. Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars. We

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<v Speaker 3>are the inn rocky planets. So according to the laws

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<v Speaker 3>of thermo dynamics, the building blocks of Earth, the planetesimals,

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<v Speaker 3>they should have been dry, bone dry, bone dry. Think

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<v Speaker 3>of a ceramic pot coming out of kiln. There is

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<v Speaker 3>no moisture left in there. It has been baked out completely.

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<v Speaker 2>So baby Earth forms. It's a molten magma covered rock.

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<v Speaker 2>It's incredibly hot, it is no atmosphere to speak of,

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<v Speaker 2>no water. It's basically a healthscape, a dry healthscape. Yes,

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<v Speaker 2>but clearly something changed. I mean, I'm looking at the

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<v Speaker 2>ocean right now. So the water had to arrive eventually.

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<v Speaker 2>It had to come from somewhere.

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<v Speaker 3>Correct, And since it couldn't have been there when the

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<v Speaker 3>planet formed, the logic, the very sensible logic, dictated it

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<v Speaker 3>must have been delivered from.

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<v Speaker 2>Outside after things had cooled down a bit.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly. It had to come from past the snow line,

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<v Speaker 3>where all that water and ice was still floating around.

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<v Speaker 2>Into the cosmic delivery service.

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<v Speaker 3>The asteroids and the commets, specifically a class of meteorite

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<v Speaker 3>called sea type or carbonaceous chondrites. These are they are

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<v Speaker 3>very primitive rocks that formed way out past Mars, out

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<v Speaker 3>near Jupiter and beyond in.

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<v Speaker 2>The cold, in the cold.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, And because they formed in the cold, they are

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<v Speaker 3>loaded with water. It's not liquid water, it's locked inside

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<v Speaker 3>their clay minerals. But some of these rocks are up

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<v Speaker 3>to twenty percent water by weight.

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<v Speaker 2>Wow, twenty percent. It's a very wet rock.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a very wet rock. So the theory, the late

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<v Speaker 3>heavy bombardment theory, stakes that about four point one to

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<v Speaker 3>three point eight billion years ago, the Solar System went

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<v Speaker 3>through this massive violent realignment. The giant planets Jupiter and Saturn.

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<v Speaker 3>They shifted their orbits, and.

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<v Speaker 2>When the gas giants move, everybody else has a really

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<v Speaker 2>bad day.

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<v Speaker 3>Gravity just goes haywire. They acted like a giant gravitational slingshot.

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<v Speaker 3>They destabilized the asteroid belt. They've flung billions of tons

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<v Speaker 3>of this rock and ice inward toward the Sun.

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<v Speaker 2>And Earth was just standing in the way.

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<v Speaker 3>We were in the cosmic crosshairers. The whole inner Solar

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<v Speaker 3>System was a shooting out. We got pummeled. And the

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<v Speaker 3>idea was that these impacts, millions and millions of them

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<v Speaker 3>over hundreds of millions of years, they were the delivery mechanism.

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<v Speaker 2>They brought the water.

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<v Speaker 3>They brought the water they'd crashed into the young Earth.

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<v Speaker 3>They'd vaporize on impact, release their steam into the thin atmosphere,

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<v Speaker 3>and eventually, as Earth cooled, that steam would condense.

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<v Speaker 2>Into rain, and it would rain for centuries.

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<v Speaker 3>Millennia, filling the basins and creating the very first oceans.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, it's such an elegant story. It's very clean.

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<v Speaker 2>It explains everything. It explains why we have water despite

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<v Speaker 2>being a hot planet. It explains the craters we see

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<v Speaker 2>all over the Moon in mercury. It fits the timeline.

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<v Speaker 2>So why why has it been challenged? Now? Why are

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<v Speaker 2>doctor Gargano and his team saying, hold on a minute,

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<v Speaker 2>they can't be right.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, you know, imagine you have a theory that says

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<v Speaker 3>a specific delivery truck dropped off a package at your house. Okay,

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<v Speaker 3>you'd expect to find some evidence, right, some tire tracks

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<v Speaker 3>in your driveway, maybe a receipt.

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<v Speaker 2>Sure, some kind of proof of delivery.

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<v Speaker 3>That's what scientists have been looking for, the chemical proof

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<v Speaker 3>of delivery. If these see type asteroids brought the water,

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<v Speaker 3>the chemical signature of those asteroids should be all over

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<v Speaker 3>Earth's crust and mantle. We should see the fingerprints of

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<v Speaker 3>that specific type of space rock everywhere we look, and

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<v Speaker 3>we don't. We can't find them, or, to be more accurate,

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<v Speaker 3>we can't trust what we find here on Earth.

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<v Speaker 2>Why not? Is the equipment not good enough to see it?

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<v Speaker 3>No, no, the equipment is phenomenal. Now, the problem is

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<v Speaker 3>the witness. Earth is a terrible witness to its own history.

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<v Speaker 2>Earth has amnesia.

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<v Speaker 3>Geological amnesia is the perfect way to put it. Think

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<v Speaker 3>about it. Earth is active, it's alive. We have plate tectonics.

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<v Speaker 3>The ground you're standing on right now was not there

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<v Speaker 3>four billion years ago. It was deep inside the planet.

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<v Speaker 3>Right It gets recycled, constantly recycled. It's been subducted down

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<v Speaker 3>into the mantle, melted into magma, mixed around like in

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<v Speaker 3>a giant blender, and then spewed back out as new

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<v Speaker 3>lava at a mid ocean ridge.

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<v Speaker 2>And on top of that there's weather.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh absolutely, rain, wind, glacier grinding mountains down, rivers, carving canyons.

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<v Speaker 3>And then you have biology. You have plants growing over rocks.

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<v Speaker 3>You have bacteria literally eating minerals. Earth is constantly, relentlessly

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<v Speaker 3>erasing its own scars.

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<v Speaker 2>So if a giant water bearing asteroid hit Earth four

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<v Speaker 2>billion years ago, the crater is long gone.

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<v Speaker 3>The crater is gone, the ejecta blanket is gone. The

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<v Speaker 3>chemical evidence has been diluted and smeared and mixed into

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<v Speaker 3>the great soup of the Earth's mantle over billions of years.

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<v Speaker 2>So asking Earth, where did you get your water, it's

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<v Speaker 2>kind of like asking a person who's undergone total plastic

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<v Speaker 2>surgery and had their memory erased what they look like

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<v Speaker 2>as a baby.

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<v Speaker 3>That is a very vivid and slightly disturbing analogy, but yes,

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<v Speaker 3>it's fundamentally correct. Earth cannot tell us the truth about

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<v Speaker 3>the bombardment because Earth has changed too much.

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<v Speaker 2>Which brings us finally to the neighbor, the silent partner

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<v Speaker 2>in this whole cosmic dance, the Moon.

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<v Speaker 3>The Moon is the perfect control group. It's the key

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<v Speaker 3>to the whole miss It formed around the same time

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<v Speaker 3>as Earth, in the same neighborhood, from very similar materials,

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<v Speaker 3>but it's small. It cooled down fast. It died geologically speaking,

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<v Speaker 3>It died geologically very very early on. There are no

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<v Speaker 3>plate tectonic.

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<v Speaker 2>No volcanoes recycling the crust.

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<v Speaker 3>No atmosphere, so there's no wind and no rain to

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<v Speaker 3>cause erosion.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a museum.

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<v Speaker 3>It is a time capsule. The surface of the Moon,

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<v Speaker 3>what we call the regolith, is what doctor Gargano in

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<v Speaker 3>the study calls a time integrated record. It has just

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<v Speaker 3>been sitting there, exposed to the vacuum of space, collecting

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<v Speaker 3>dust and debris for billions of years.

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<v Speaker 2>So anything that hit Earth during the Late Heavy bombardment

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<v Speaker 2>also hit the Moon. Because we're right next to each other.

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<v Speaker 2>We're a system.

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<v Speaker 3>In cosmic terms, we are holding hens. If Earth got

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<v Speaker 3>showered with these waterbloons, the Moon got splashed too. But

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<v Speaker 3>unlike Earth, the Moon didn't wipe off the water. It

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<v Speaker 3>kept the chemical residue of everything that ever hit it

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<v Speaker 3>locked in its surface layer.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, I want to pause on that word you used. Regolith. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>because when I look at the footage from Paul eleven

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<v Speaker 2>a Paul seventeen, I see the astronauts popping around in

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<v Speaker 2>this gray stuff. It looks like dirt, looks like fine

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<v Speaker 2>gray powder. Is it dirt?

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<v Speaker 3>A geologist would have a fit if you called it dirt,

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<v Speaker 3>and for good reason. Dirt or soil on Earth is

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<v Speaker 3>an incredibly complex thing. It has organic matter, It has

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<v Speaker 3>worm casings, decaying leaves, bacteria.

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<v Speaker 2>It implies life.

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<v Speaker 3>It absolutely implies a living ecosystem. Regolith is purely mechanical.

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<v Speaker 3>It is rock that has been pulverized into dust. Imagine

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<v Speaker 3>a single rock sitting on the surface of the Moon.

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<v Speaker 3>A micrometeorite the size of a grain of sand hits

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<v Speaker 3>it at twenty thousand miles per hour. It shatters the rock.

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<v Speaker 3>Now over billions of years. That happens trillions upon trillions

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<v Speaker 3>of times. So the top layer of the Moon is

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<v Speaker 3>just this blanket of loose, jagged, heterogeneous debris. It's dust,

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<v Speaker 3>its tiny shards of glass from the heat of impacts,

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<v Speaker 3>its rock fragments.

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<v Speaker 2>So the team's mission then was to look at this

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<v Speaker 2>great powder samples brought back by the Apollo astronauts over

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<v Speaker 2>fifty years ago and try to find that chemical receipt

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<v Speaker 2>for the asteroids.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, they wanted to see if the tire tracks from

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<v Speaker 3>the delivery truck were there in that lunar dust.

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<v Speaker 2>But and there is always a butt in science, isn't there.

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<v Speaker 2>It wasn't as simple as just putting the dust under

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<v Speaker 2>a microscope and seeing a little label that says made

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<v Speaker 2>in the asteroid belt.

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<v Speaker 3>No, not at all. And this is where the story

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<v Speaker 3>gets technically very difficult. This is why it took until

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty six to get a clear answer, Because the

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<v Speaker 3>Moon is a good witness, but it is a messy,

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<v Speaker 3>messy witness.

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<v Speaker 2>Messy how you just said it doesn't have wind or

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<v Speaker 2>rain to mess things up.

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<v Speaker 3>It doesn't, but it has impacts. And you have to

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<v Speaker 3>remember those meteorites aren't landing softly. They are hitting at

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<v Speaker 3>hypersonic speeds. They are exploding. The energy release is massive.

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<v Speaker 3>It's like a nuclear bomb. Okay, when a rock hits

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<v Speaker 3>the moon, it vaporizes itself, It melts the local moon

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<v Speaker 3>rock it hits, it creates a plasma plume. Everything gets

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<v Speaker 3>mixed together in this incredibly violent event.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's like if I threw a chocolate bar into

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<v Speaker 2>a blender full of vanilla ice cre and then just

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<v Speaker 2>hit pulse for a fraction of a.

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<v Speaker 3>Second, and then you did that a million times of

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<v Speaker 3>rebillion years in random spots. The regolith has been reworked,

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<v Speaker 3>it's been melted, it's been mixed, vaporized, recondensed. The signal

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<v Speaker 3>of the asteroid the impact is blended almost seamlessly into

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<v Speaker 3>the signal of the moon itself.

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<v Speaker 2>So how on earth do you separate them? How do

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<v Speaker 2>you unblend that smoothie? To figure out how much chocolate

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<v Speaker 2>bar was originally there?

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<v Speaker 3>That is the million dollar question. And for decades scientists

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<v Speaker 3>use what we can call the old way. They looked

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<v Speaker 3>for specific types of metals. They looked for cideriphiles, cierophile.

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<v Speaker 2>I love that word. It sounds like someone who is

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<v Speaker 2>just obsessed with hard cider.

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<v Speaker 3>I wish no, it means iron loving. These are particular elements,

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<v Speaker 3>things like iridium, platinum, gold, osmium, elements that chemically they

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<v Speaker 3>bond very strongly with iron.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, And why do we look for those specific elements.

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<v Speaker 3>It has to do with how planets form. When the

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<v Speaker 3>Earth and the Moon were young and molten, they differentiated,

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<v Speaker 3>the heavy stuff sanked, so the heavy iron sank to

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<v Speaker 3>the center to form the core. And because these cider

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<v Speaker 3>philes love iron, they hitched a ride. They sank down

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<v Speaker 3>into the core too. So the crust of the Earth

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<v Speaker 3>and the crust of the Moon are naturally very very

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<v Speaker 3>poor in these metals. They're all locked away deep inside

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<v Speaker 3>the core.

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<v Speaker 2>Got it. So the surface is naturally metal pore exactly.

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00:14:19.759 --> 00:14:22.639
<v Speaker 3>But meteorates, they are primitive. They never went through that

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00:14:22.720 --> 00:14:27.399
<v Speaker 3>melting and differentiation process. They are chemically a complete jumble,

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00:14:27.679 --> 00:14:29.960
<v Speaker 3>and they are loaded with iridium and platinum.

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00:14:30.000 --> 00:14:32.399
<v Speaker 2>So the logic was simple. If you find a rock

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<v Speaker 2>on the Moon's surface that has a lot of iridium

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00:14:34.759 --> 00:14:37.360
<v Speaker 2>in it, that iridium must be alien. It has to

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00:14:37.399 --> 00:14:38.879
<v Speaker 2>have come from an asteroid impact.

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<v Speaker 3>That was the logic. It's a tracer, a chemical fingerprint,

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00:14:42.080 --> 00:14:44.080
<v Speaker 3>but it turns out it's a flawed fingerprint.

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00:14:44.559 --> 00:14:47.440
<v Speaker 2>Why didn't it work for this study? What's the flaw?

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<v Speaker 3>It's because of that messy factor we just talked about,

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<v Speaker 3>the intense heat of the impact. When an impact happens,

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00:14:53.639 --> 00:14:57.000
<v Speaker 3>you create this big pool of magma, and the physics

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00:14:57.039 --> 00:15:00.200
<v Speaker 3>gets weird in there. The metal might separate from the

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00:15:00.279 --> 00:15:03.600
<v Speaker 3>rock the silicate oh, it might sink to the bottom

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00:15:03.639 --> 00:15:06.960
<v Speaker 3>of the crater melt pool, or if it gets vaporized

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<v Speaker 3>into a gas, the heavier metal might condense at a

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<v Speaker 3>different temperature than.

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00:15:10.600 --> 00:15:13.120
<v Speaker 2>The lighter rock, so the signal gets distorted. It's not

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<v Speaker 2>a true representation of the original meteorite exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a fractionation problem. You might find a rock that

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00:15:19.360 --> 00:15:21.879
<v Speaker 3>has a really high concentration of iridium, but you don't

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<v Speaker 3>know if that represents the average amount of meteorite material delivered,

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00:15:26.120 --> 00:15:28.519
<v Speaker 3>or if you just got lucky and found a concentrated

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<v Speaker 3>little nugget. It's too unreliable for calculating the total volume

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00:15:32.519 --> 00:15:33.960
<v Speaker 3>of material that arrived.

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00:15:33.759 --> 00:15:35.840
<v Speaker 2>So using metals is kind of like trying to count

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<v Speaker 2>how many people were at a party by looking at

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00:15:38.080 --> 00:15:40.600
<v Speaker 2>the footprints in the muddy carpet, But the carpet has

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00:15:40.639 --> 00:15:43.279
<v Speaker 2>been shampooed in vacuum ten times since the party.

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00:15:43.480 --> 00:15:45.840
<v Speaker 3>That's a pretty decent analogy. Yeah, the deity is noisy.

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00:15:46.080 --> 00:15:49.679
<v Speaker 3>And so doctor Gargano and his team they realized that

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00:15:49.759 --> 00:15:53.000
<v Speaker 3>if they wanted a real answer, a mathematical hard limit,

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00:15:53.639 --> 00:15:56.320
<v Speaker 3>they couldn't rely on the metals. They needed to look

337
00:15:56.320 --> 00:15:58.639
<v Speaker 3>at something much more fundamental. They needed to look at

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00:15:58.679 --> 00:15:59.519
<v Speaker 3>the rock itself.

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00:16:00.279 --> 00:16:00.799
<v Speaker 2>Oxygen.

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00:16:00.919 --> 00:16:04.759
<v Speaker 3>Oxygen. It is the most abundant element in the lunar crust.

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00:16:04.840 --> 00:16:07.440
<v Speaker 3>It makes up roughly forty five percent of the weight

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00:16:07.519 --> 00:16:09.879
<v Speaker 3>of any given Moon rock. You can't separate it out.

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00:16:09.919 --> 00:16:13.559
<v Speaker 2>It is the rock, okay, But oxygen is oxygen? Isn't

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00:16:13.600 --> 00:16:16.759
<v Speaker 2>it the air I'm breathing right now? How does oxygen

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00:16:16.799 --> 00:16:18.639
<v Speaker 2>tell you if a rock came from the Moon or

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00:16:18.639 --> 00:16:19.440
<v Speaker 2>from an asteroid.

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00:16:19.600 --> 00:16:21.919
<v Speaker 3>This is where we have to talk about isotopes, and

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00:16:22.000 --> 00:16:24.679
<v Speaker 3>I promise we'll keep this as painless as possible.

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00:16:24.840 --> 00:16:28.320
<v Speaker 2>You better my high school chemistry is uh, it's very rusty.

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00:16:28.399 --> 00:16:31.840
<v Speaker 3>Think of oxygen atoms as having different flavors. The standard flavor,

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00:16:31.879 --> 00:16:34.480
<v Speaker 3>the one you're mostly breathing right now, is oxygen sixteen.

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00:16:34.639 --> 00:16:37.399
<v Speaker 3>It has eight protons and eight neutrons in its nucleus.

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00:16:37.480 --> 00:16:40.679
<v Speaker 3>It's the light version. Let's call it vanilla vanilla perfect.

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00:16:41.039 --> 00:16:44.799
<v Speaker 3>But there are heavier, rarer versions. Oxygen seventeen has one

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00:16:44.799 --> 00:16:48.360
<v Speaker 3>extra neutron. Oxygen eighteen has two extra neutrons. Let's call

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00:16:48.360 --> 00:16:49.600
<v Speaker 3>them chocolate and strawberry.

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00:16:49.799 --> 00:16:53.000
<v Speaker 2>Okay, I'm with you, and I'm getting hungry, But okay, vanilla,

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00:16:53.559 --> 00:16:54.960
<v Speaker 2>chocolate and strawberry.

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00:16:55.279 --> 00:16:58.799
<v Speaker 3>Every single object in the Solar System has a specific recipe,

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00:16:59.080 --> 00:17:02.840
<v Speaker 3>a specific race of these three flavors. Earth has a

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00:17:03.000 --> 00:17:07.759
<v Speaker 3>very particular blend of vanilla, chocolate and strawberry oxygen. The

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00:17:07.759 --> 00:17:10.839
<v Speaker 3>Moon has a blend that is almost identical to Earth's,

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00:17:11.000 --> 00:17:13.960
<v Speaker 3>which is a clue to its origin. But that's another story, right.

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00:17:14.200 --> 00:17:17.720
<v Speaker 3>But those C type meteorites, the water carriers from the

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00:17:17.720 --> 00:17:19.079
<v Speaker 3>outer Solar System.

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00:17:18.920 --> 00:17:22.160
<v Speaker 2>Let me guess they have a totally different recipe.

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00:17:21.680 --> 00:17:25.440
<v Speaker 3>A totally different recipe. They have a distinct isotopic fingerprint.

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00:17:25.880 --> 00:17:29.039
<v Speaker 3>They are much richer in the heavy isotopes, the chocolate

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00:17:29.039 --> 00:17:31.400
<v Speaker 3>and strawberry in a way that really stands out from

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00:17:31.440 --> 00:17:32.440
<v Speaker 3>Earth and Moon rocks.

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00:17:32.559 --> 00:17:35.920
<v Speaker 2>So if you physically mix meteorite dust into moon dust,

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00:17:36.240 --> 00:17:39.359
<v Speaker 2>you change the flavor profile of the resulting rock exactly.

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00:17:39.359 --> 00:17:41.839
<v Speaker 3>You shift the overall ratio you add more chocolate and

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00:17:41.880 --> 00:17:44.279
<v Speaker 3>strawberry to the vanilla. But wait, there's a catch, of.

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00:17:44.200 --> 00:17:46.240
<v Speaker 2>Course there is. Science is never easy.

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00:17:46.319 --> 00:17:50.200
<v Speaker 3>The heat. Remember how the impact melts and vaporizes the rock.

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00:17:50.119 --> 00:17:51.480
<v Speaker 2>Yes, the blender effect.

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00:17:51.720 --> 00:17:55.160
<v Speaker 3>Well, heat also changes the isotope ratio. It's a process

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00:17:55.160 --> 00:17:58.519
<v Speaker 3>called fractionation. If you boil a pot of water, the

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00:17:58.599 --> 00:18:02.519
<v Speaker 3>lighter water molecules with the light vanilla oxygen sixteen, they

381
00:18:02.559 --> 00:18:05.359
<v Speaker 3>evaporate a little bit faster. The heavy ones tend to

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00:18:05.359 --> 00:18:07.319
<v Speaker 3>get left behind, so the water that's left in the

383
00:18:07.319 --> 00:18:08.799
<v Speaker 3>pot gets isotopically heavier.

384
00:18:09.119 --> 00:18:11.480
<v Speaker 2>So the heat changes the flavor profile too. Doesn't that

385
00:18:11.519 --> 00:18:13.960
<v Speaker 2>just ruin the entire experiment. How do you know if

386
00:18:13.960 --> 00:18:16.319
<v Speaker 2>the change in flavor is because you added a meteorite

387
00:18:16.519 --> 00:18:18.720
<v Speaker 2>or just because the rock got cooked in an impact.

388
00:18:19.039 --> 00:18:22.799
<v Speaker 3>This is the absolute genius of the triple oxygen isotope method.

389
00:18:23.039 --> 00:18:24.839
<v Speaker 3>This is the breakthrough, and this is why it's so

390
00:18:24.920 --> 00:18:28.359
<v Speaker 3>much better than the metal method. The changes caused by

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00:18:28.359 --> 00:18:32.240
<v Speaker 3>heat by this fractionation, they follow a very strict, very

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00:18:32.279 --> 00:18:36.359
<v Speaker 3>predictable mathematical law. We call it mass dependent fractionation.

393
00:18:36.680 --> 00:18:38.079
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that sounds a little scary.

394
00:18:38.160 --> 00:18:40.160
<v Speaker 3>It just means the change depends on the weight on

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00:18:40.240 --> 00:18:43.920
<v Speaker 3>the mass. Oxygen eighteen is about twice as heavy relative

396
00:18:43.960 --> 00:18:46.960
<v Speaker 3>to sixteen as seventeen is, so it fractionates twice as much.

397
00:18:47.559 --> 00:18:50.119
<v Speaker 3>If you plot these changes on a graph, all the

398
00:18:50.160 --> 00:18:53.359
<v Speaker 3>heat effects just slide up and down a specific line

399
00:18:53.440 --> 00:18:54.759
<v Speaker 3>with a specific slope.

400
00:18:54.960 --> 00:18:57.240
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so heat moves you up and down along this

401
00:18:57.279 --> 00:18:58.720
<v Speaker 2>one predictable line.

402
00:18:58.559 --> 00:19:02.319
<v Speaker 3>Right, But the meteorite signal, the mixing of a different

403
00:19:02.359 --> 00:19:06.319
<v Speaker 3>recipe that comes from a totally different isotopic reservoir, it

404
00:19:06.319 --> 00:19:09.279
<v Speaker 3>doesn't follow that mass law at all. It pushes the

405
00:19:09.319 --> 00:19:11.279
<v Speaker 3>signal off the line sideways.

406
00:19:11.559 --> 00:19:13.559
<v Speaker 2>Uh huh. So they can look at the grass and

407
00:19:13.599 --> 00:19:16.039
<v Speaker 2>they can separate the two effects. They can say, okay,

408
00:19:16.319 --> 00:19:18.640
<v Speaker 2>this much of the change is because it melted, but

409
00:19:18.799 --> 00:19:22.440
<v Speaker 2>this jumps sideways off the line, that's the alien material.

410
00:19:22.599 --> 00:19:27.359
<v Speaker 3>Precisely, they can mathematically unblend the smoothie. They can, finally,

411
00:19:27.599 --> 00:19:31.480
<v Speaker 3>with high precision, isolate the impact or signal from the

412
00:19:31.559 --> 00:19:35.279
<v Speaker 3>vaporization noise. It's an incredibly powerful tool. That is just

413
00:19:35.920 --> 00:19:39.440
<v Speaker 3>it's so clever, it's brilliant, and they applied this high

414
00:19:39.440 --> 00:19:43.000
<v Speaker 3>precision analysis to a massive suite of Apollo samples from

415
00:19:43.000 --> 00:19:46.400
<v Speaker 3>different missions, different locations to get a really good representative

416
00:19:46.400 --> 00:19:47.880
<v Speaker 3>average of the entire lunar surface.

417
00:19:48.000 --> 00:19:50.240
<v Speaker 2>And this brings us to the verdict. The bottom line,

418
00:19:50.279 --> 00:19:52.559
<v Speaker 2>the number. What did they find when they did all this?

419
00:19:52.759 --> 00:19:55.240
<v Speaker 3>They found a signal. The meteorites are there. The tire

420
00:19:55.279 --> 00:19:58.440
<v Speaker 3>tracks are in the dust. The analysis showed conclusively that

421
00:19:58.480 --> 00:20:01.680
<v Speaker 3>the lunar reglyff contains at least one percent impact related

422
00:20:01.720 --> 00:20:05.319
<v Speaker 3>material one percent give or take. Maybe a little more

423
00:20:05.319 --> 00:20:08.640
<v Speaker 3>in some spots, maybe a little less. But generally speaking,

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00:20:08.640 --> 00:20:12.680
<v Speaker 3>the lunar surface is about one percent extraterrestrial, likely from

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00:20:12.680 --> 00:20:14.119
<v Speaker 3>these carbonaceous meteorites.

426
00:20:14.200 --> 00:20:18.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so hearing that, my first thought is great, that

427
00:20:18.240 --> 00:20:21.519
<v Speaker 2>confirms it. The theory was right. Meteorites did hit the Moon.

428
00:20:21.720 --> 00:20:23.920
<v Speaker 3>It does confirm they hit, there's no question about that.

429
00:20:24.279 --> 00:20:27.759
<v Speaker 3>But the problem isn't the presence. It's the quantity. That

430
00:20:27.880 --> 00:20:31.119
<v Speaker 3>one percent number. It's not a confirmation. It's a hard limit.

431
00:20:31.279 --> 00:20:33.079
<v Speaker 2>Walk me through the math on that. Yeah, why is

432
00:20:33.119 --> 00:20:35.480
<v Speaker 2>one percent a problem? It sounds like a lot of rock.

433
00:20:35.680 --> 00:20:37.440
<v Speaker 3>It is a lot of rock, but we have to

434
00:20:37.480 --> 00:20:40.039
<v Speaker 3>scale it up. We know the surface area of the Moon,

435
00:20:40.440 --> 00:20:42.880
<v Speaker 3>we know the mass of the regulith, layer, so we

436
00:20:42.920 --> 00:20:45.920
<v Speaker 3>can calculate the total tonnage of meteorite material that one

437
00:20:45.960 --> 00:20:49.079
<v Speaker 3>percent represents. Okay, then we have to adjust for Earth.

438
00:20:49.319 --> 00:20:51.720
<v Speaker 3>Earth is bigger, it has more gravity, so it pulls

439
00:20:51.720 --> 00:20:54.039
<v Speaker 3>in more rocks than the Moon does. There are models

440
00:20:54.039 --> 00:20:57.079
<v Speaker 3>for that, so we can calculate, based that one percent

441
00:20:57.119 --> 00:21:01.480
<v Speaker 3>lunar figure exactly how much total meteorite mass was delivered

442
00:21:01.519 --> 00:21:04.559
<v Speaker 3>to the Earthman system during that bombardment window.

443
00:21:04.359 --> 00:21:06.599
<v Speaker 2>Right, And then you just calculate how much water would

444
00:21:06.640 --> 00:21:09.200
<v Speaker 2>be in that mass of meteorites, correct.

445
00:21:09.160 --> 00:21:12.119
<v Speaker 3>Knowing that they are up to twenty percent water. And

446
00:21:12.160 --> 00:21:15.400
<v Speaker 3>when you take that total mass of water delivered and

447
00:21:15.440 --> 00:21:17.279
<v Speaker 3>you compare it to the actual amount of water that

448
00:21:17.319 --> 00:21:21.720
<v Speaker 3>is sitting in Earth's oceans today, the math just breaks.

449
00:21:21.839 --> 00:21:25.720
<v Speaker 3>It completely falls apart. It's nowhere near enough. It's not

450
00:21:25.799 --> 00:21:27.039
<v Speaker 3>even in the right ballpark.

451
00:21:27.079 --> 00:21:29.480
<v Speaker 2>Put it in perspective for me, how much water are

452
00:21:29.480 --> 00:21:32.200
<v Speaker 2>we actually talking about here on Earth? It feels infinite

453
00:21:32.240 --> 00:21:33.720
<v Speaker 2>when you look at it, But what's the number.

454
00:21:33.960 --> 00:21:36.160
<v Speaker 3>Well, we often say that water is just a thin

455
00:21:36.319 --> 00:21:39.640
<v Speaker 3>film on Earth's surface, which is true relative to the

456
00:21:39.640 --> 00:21:42.839
<v Speaker 3>size of the planet, but in absolute terms, the number

457
00:21:42.880 --> 00:21:47.480
<v Speaker 3>is staggering. The total mass of Earth's hydrosphere, oceans, ice caps, rivers,

458
00:21:47.559 --> 00:21:51.759
<v Speaker 3>everything is about one point four to six sextillion kilogram.

459
00:21:52.440 --> 00:21:54.920
<v Speaker 3>That's the one followed by twenty one zeros. It is

460
00:21:55.000 --> 00:21:58.880
<v Speaker 3>one point six hundred quintillion tons. It's the number that

461
00:21:58.920 --> 00:22:00.960
<v Speaker 3>is almost impossible for the human brain to process.

462
00:22:01.000 --> 00:22:03.359
<v Speaker 2>That is, yeah, my brain just refuses to process that number.

463
00:22:03.480 --> 00:22:06.319
<v Speaker 3>It's a global ocean three miles deep in places, and

464
00:22:06.440 --> 00:22:09.279
<v Speaker 3>the meteorite delivery rate calculated from the hard limit on

465
00:22:09.319 --> 00:22:11.920
<v Speaker 3>the moon rocks, it would only fill a tiny, tiny

466
00:22:11.960 --> 00:22:13.000
<v Speaker 3>fraction of that basin.

467
00:22:13.240 --> 00:22:15.000
<v Speaker 2>So it's not just that it comes up a little short.

468
00:22:15.079 --> 00:22:17.559
<v Speaker 3>It's not a rounding error. It's like trying to fill

469
00:22:17.599 --> 00:22:21.599
<v Speaker 3>an Olympic swimming pool with a thimble. You are adding water, sure,

470
00:22:22.079 --> 00:22:24.720
<v Speaker 3>but you are never ever going to get a pool.

471
00:22:25.200 --> 00:22:29.000
<v Speaker 2>So doctor Justin Simon from NASA, he was one of

472
00:22:29.039 --> 00:22:31.799
<v Speaker 2>the authors on this paper. He had a quote about this,

473
00:22:32.039 --> 00:22:33.480
<v Speaker 2>a very carefully worded.

474
00:22:33.240 --> 00:22:37.240
<v Speaker 3>Quote, right, he said, and I'm paraphrasing. The results don't

475
00:22:37.240 --> 00:22:40.680
<v Speaker 3>say meteorites delivered no water. They just make it very

476
00:22:40.680 --> 00:22:42.519
<v Speaker 3>hard for them to be the dominant source.

477
00:22:42.839 --> 00:22:45.880
<v Speaker 2>Dominant being the keyword there. They were a sprinkle, not

478
00:22:45.960 --> 00:22:46.680
<v Speaker 2>the main course.

479
00:22:46.880 --> 00:22:49.440
<v Speaker 3>Exactly. They were a contributor, but they were not the

480
00:22:49.480 --> 00:22:50.720
<v Speaker 3>source of our oceans.

481
00:22:51.319 --> 00:22:53.559
<v Speaker 2>This is a huge deal. This is fundamental shift in

482
00:22:53.599 --> 00:22:57.200
<v Speaker 2>planetary science because if the water didn't come from the

483
00:22:57.240 --> 00:23:01.119
<v Speaker 2>sky during the late Heavy bombardment, where on Earth is

484
00:23:01.160 --> 00:23:01.559
<v Speaker 2>it from?

485
00:23:01.640 --> 00:23:03.839
<v Speaker 3>Well, it's what Sherlock Holms would say, right when you

486
00:23:03.920 --> 00:23:08.000
<v Speaker 3>have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be

487
00:23:08.079 --> 00:23:10.640
<v Speaker 3>the truth. If it didn't come from outside.

488
00:23:10.279 --> 00:23:11.599
<v Speaker 2>It had to have come from inside.

489
00:23:11.640 --> 00:23:14.000
<v Speaker 3>It has to be indogenous. It was here all along.

490
00:23:14.319 --> 00:23:17.759
<v Speaker 2>What does that mean? Exactly? Indogenous? How could it have

491
00:23:17.799 --> 00:23:19.839
<v Speaker 2>been here all along? If the Earth was supposed to

492
00:23:19.839 --> 00:23:20.799
<v Speaker 2>be bone dry?

493
00:23:20.880 --> 00:23:24.519
<v Speaker 3>It means the water was part of Earth's original ingredients list.

494
00:23:24.680 --> 00:23:27.519
<v Speaker 3>It implies that when Earth was forming from that swirling

495
00:23:27.559 --> 00:23:29.920
<v Speaker 3>cloud of dust and gas, even though it was hot,

496
00:23:29.960 --> 00:23:32.559
<v Speaker 3>even though it was inside the snow line, it somehow

497
00:23:32.599 --> 00:23:35.440
<v Speaker 3>managed to grab onto water molecules.

498
00:23:34.880 --> 00:23:38.079
<v Speaker 2>And trap them, trap them where deep inside.

499
00:23:37.640 --> 00:23:40.839
<v Speaker 3>Deep inside the rock structure itself. Yeah, locked into the

500
00:23:40.880 --> 00:23:43.440
<v Speaker 3>minerals of the mantle. Or Another theory is that maybe

501
00:23:43.440 --> 00:23:46.279
<v Speaker 3>the Earth formed much much faster than we thought, and

502
00:23:46.359 --> 00:23:48.519
<v Speaker 3>it trapped a huge amount of gas from the solar

503
00:23:48.559 --> 00:23:50.680
<v Speaker 3>nebula before the Sun's wind blew it all away.

504
00:23:51.079 --> 00:23:53.119
<v Speaker 2>And then what it just stayed down there.

505
00:23:52.960 --> 00:23:57.839
<v Speaker 3>For a while. Then, over hundreds of millions of years, volcanoes,

506
00:23:57.880 --> 00:24:01.279
<v Speaker 3>acting like planetary plumbing, burned the water out as steam

507
00:24:01.880 --> 00:24:05.480
<v Speaker 3>geyser's volcanic eruptions, releasing it to the surface to form

508
00:24:05.519 --> 00:24:06.559
<v Speaker 3>the oceans from within.

509
00:24:07.279 --> 00:24:10.519
<v Speaker 2>This completely changes the personality of our planet. The old

510
00:24:10.559 --> 00:24:13.279
<v Speaker 2>story was that Earth was a dry, dead rock that

511
00:24:13.440 --> 00:24:17.160
<v Speaker 2>just got lucky. It got saved by a convenient asteroid

512
00:24:17.160 --> 00:24:18.119
<v Speaker 2>shower right.

513
00:24:18.200 --> 00:24:21.160
<v Speaker 3>A serendipitous accident of celestial mechanics.

514
00:24:21.200 --> 00:24:25.680
<v Speaker 2>But this news story, it sounds like Earth was born wet,

515
00:24:25.960 --> 00:24:28.440
<v Speaker 2>it was resilient, It held on to its life blood

516
00:24:28.480 --> 00:24:32.279
<v Speaker 2>through the most violent, fiery period of its birth. That

517
00:24:32.440 --> 00:24:33.920
<v Speaker 2>feels different.

518
00:24:34.039 --> 00:24:37.240
<v Speaker 3>It suggests that habitability might be a more fundamental property

519
00:24:37.279 --> 00:24:40.119
<v Speaker 3>of planetary formation than we thought. Maybe it's not just

520
00:24:40.200 --> 00:24:42.480
<v Speaker 3>a lucky roll of the dice with asteroid impacts.

521
00:24:42.720 --> 00:24:45.440
<v Speaker 2>That is a profound shift in thinking, and it opens

522
00:24:45.519 --> 00:24:48.039
<v Speaker 2>up a whole universe of questions about other planets.

523
00:24:48.079 --> 00:24:51.559
<v Speaker 3>It does. But and here is the pivot, the twist

524
00:24:51.599 --> 00:24:53.839
<v Speaker 3>in the story that I promised at the start. While

525
00:24:53.880 --> 00:24:56.160
<v Speaker 3>this study is a bit of a bummer, for the

526
00:24:56.240 --> 00:24:59.720
<v Speaker 3>asteroid water theory on Earth, it is absolute twenty four

527
00:24:59.759 --> 00:25:02.759
<v Speaker 3>care gold for something else, for the future, specifically for

528
00:25:02.920 --> 00:25:04.279
<v Speaker 3>our future on the Moon.

529
00:25:04.359 --> 00:25:06.200
<v Speaker 2>Because even though we just said the amount of water

530
00:25:06.279 --> 00:25:09.720
<v Speaker 2>delivered was tiny compared to Earth's oceans, tiny is a

531
00:25:09.759 --> 00:25:10.759
<v Speaker 2>relative term, isn't it.

532
00:25:10.799 --> 00:25:13.480
<v Speaker 3>Everything is relative in space, one percent of the lunar

533
00:25:13.480 --> 00:25:16.440
<v Speaker 3>regolith being meteorite material. When you do the math for

534
00:25:16.480 --> 00:25:20.160
<v Speaker 3>the entire Moon, that translates to billions of tons of

535
00:25:20.200 --> 00:25:22.960
<v Speaker 3>water delivered to the lunar surface. For Earth, that's a

536
00:25:22.960 --> 00:25:26.599
<v Speaker 3>puddle in the Sahara. For the Moon, it's a fortune.

537
00:25:26.759 --> 00:25:30.519
<v Speaker 2>It's the ultimate irony. The cosmic trash that wasn't enough

538
00:25:30.519 --> 00:25:33.160
<v Speaker 2>to fill our oceans is the treasure that's going to

539
00:25:33.240 --> 00:25:33.799
<v Speaker 2>let us leave.

540
00:25:33.960 --> 00:25:37.039
<v Speaker 3>Precisely, the study confirms that the delivery trucks did arrive.

541
00:25:37.359 --> 00:25:40.079
<v Speaker 3>Now on most of the Moon, that water is long gone.

542
00:25:40.440 --> 00:25:43.720
<v Speaker 3>The Moon has no atmosphere, barely any gravity. If a

543
00:25:43.759 --> 00:25:47.000
<v Speaker 3>water bearing meteorite hits the lunar equator at noon, the

544
00:25:47.039 --> 00:25:50.640
<v Speaker 3>water vaporizes and the intense sunlight just boils it off

545
00:25:50.640 --> 00:25:51.400
<v Speaker 3>into space.

546
00:25:51.160 --> 00:25:53.559
<v Speaker 2>Instantly, So the equator is dry, bone dry.

547
00:25:54.039 --> 00:25:56.640
<v Speaker 3>But there are places on the Moon where the sun

548
00:25:56.720 --> 00:25:57.359
<v Speaker 3>never shines.

549
00:25:57.440 --> 00:25:58.799
<v Speaker 2>The darkness at the edge of town.

550
00:25:58.960 --> 00:26:02.039
<v Speaker 3>The permanently shadowed regions PSRs.

551
00:26:02.319 --> 00:26:04.119
<v Speaker 2>These are the deep craters of the Poles.

552
00:26:04.160 --> 00:26:07.519
<v Speaker 3>Right, Yes, the Moon's axis is very straight, it doesn't

553
00:26:07.559 --> 00:26:10.480
<v Speaker 3>tilt like Earth's does to give us seasons. So at

554
00:26:10.519 --> 00:26:13.960
<v Speaker 3>the North and South Poles you have these incredibly deep craters,

555
00:26:14.000 --> 00:26:16.200
<v Speaker 3>like the massive South Pole Eate can Basin, one of

556
00:26:16.240 --> 00:26:18.920
<v Speaker 3>the oldest impact features in the Solar System, where the

557
00:26:18.960 --> 00:26:22.160
<v Speaker 3>crater floor has been in total complete darkness for maybe

558
00:26:22.200 --> 00:26:23.359
<v Speaker 3>two billion years.

559
00:26:23.400 --> 00:26:24.920
<v Speaker 2>It's the ultimate deep freezer.

560
00:26:25.240 --> 00:26:27.680
<v Speaker 3>It is a perfect cold trap. The temperatures in these

561
00:26:27.680 --> 00:26:30.720
<v Speaker 3>PSRs drop to minus two hundred minus two hundred and

562
00:26:30.720 --> 00:26:34.240
<v Speaker 3>thirty degrees celsius. So when those meteorites hit other parts

563
00:26:34.279 --> 00:26:36.559
<v Speaker 3>of the Moon and release their water vapor, some of

564
00:26:36.599 --> 00:26:39.960
<v Speaker 3>those individual water molecules would just hop around the surface

565
00:26:40.000 --> 00:26:41.319
<v Speaker 3>until they randomly landed in.

566
00:26:41.279 --> 00:26:43.400
<v Speaker 2>A PSR, and once they land there, they.

567
00:26:43.240 --> 00:26:47.720
<v Speaker 3>Stick, they freeze solid, and they never ever leave.

568
00:26:48.160 --> 00:26:51.200
<v Speaker 2>So the one percent chemical signature that doctor Gargano found

569
00:26:51.200 --> 00:26:54.319
<v Speaker 2>in the Apollo samples, that's just the trace residue left

570
00:26:54.319 --> 00:26:57.839
<v Speaker 2>on the sunlit surface. But in these polar craters there

571
00:26:57.880 --> 00:27:02.079
<v Speaker 2>could be massive concentrated to posits of ancient meteorite ice.

572
00:27:01.960 --> 00:27:04.799
<v Speaker 3>Layers and layers of it accumulating for billions of years

573
00:27:04.920 --> 00:27:07.359
<v Speaker 3>waiting for us. And this is why every major space

574
00:27:07.400 --> 00:27:11.799
<v Speaker 3>agency NASA with this Artemis program, EESA, the Chinese CMSA,

575
00:27:11.880 --> 00:27:14.480
<v Speaker 3>the Russians, They're all targeting the lunar South Pole.

576
00:27:14.559 --> 00:27:17.400
<v Speaker 2>It's not just for the cool view, it's for the resources.

577
00:27:17.559 --> 00:27:18.480
<v Speaker 2>It's a water rush.

578
00:27:18.559 --> 00:27:20.920
<v Speaker 3>It's the great migration that the article talks about. It's

579
00:27:20.920 --> 00:27:22.079
<v Speaker 3>about living off the land.

580
00:27:22.359 --> 00:27:24.920
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so let's break down the shopping list. We land there,

581
00:27:25.039 --> 00:27:27.079
<v Speaker 2>we send a rover into one of these dark craters,

582
00:27:27.079 --> 00:27:30.559
<v Speaker 2>we find the ice. What do we actually do with it? Obviously?

583
00:27:30.640 --> 00:27:32.440
<v Speaker 2>Number one is you drink it?

584
00:27:32.599 --> 00:27:38.640
<v Speaker 3>Survival basic survival water is heavy. Launching a single bottle

585
00:27:38.680 --> 00:27:41.279
<v Speaker 3>of water from Earth to the Moon costs thousands and

586
00:27:41.359 --> 00:27:44.440
<v Speaker 3>thousands of dollars. It is the most expensive bottled water

587
00:27:44.519 --> 00:27:46.839
<v Speaker 3>in the universe. If you can mine it there, if

588
00:27:46.880 --> 00:27:48.680
<v Speaker 3>you can melt it and purify it, you don't have

589
00:27:48.720 --> 00:27:51.559
<v Speaker 3>to bring it. That changes the entire economics of space

590
00:27:51.599 --> 00:27:52.559
<v Speaker 3>travel instantly.

591
00:27:52.960 --> 00:27:55.000
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so we drink it. We can use it to

592
00:27:55.039 --> 00:27:57.759
<v Speaker 2>water plants in a greenhouse for food. What else?

593
00:27:57.880 --> 00:28:01.759
<v Speaker 3>Radiation shielding This is a huge often overlooked one. Deep

594
00:28:01.759 --> 00:28:06.200
<v Speaker 3>space is a wash in radiation, cosmic rays from distant supernovae,

595
00:28:06.319 --> 00:28:09.440
<v Speaker 3>solar flares from our own sun. You need thick walls

596
00:28:09.480 --> 00:28:12.039
<v Speaker 3>to protect human DNA from damage on long.

597
00:28:11.799 --> 00:28:13.799
<v Speaker 2>Missions and water stocks. Radiation.

598
00:28:14.279 --> 00:28:17.279
<v Speaker 3>Hydrogen is incredibly good at blocking cosmic rays and water.

599
00:28:17.519 --> 00:28:19.279
<v Speaker 3>H two O is full of hydrogen. So if you

600
00:28:19.279 --> 00:28:21.559
<v Speaker 3>build a habitat and you surround it with a jacket

601
00:28:21.559 --> 00:28:23.720
<v Speaker 3>of water, or you mix the water into the regolift

602
00:28:23.759 --> 00:28:25.839
<v Speaker 3>to make a kind of concrete and bury your habitat

603
00:28:25.880 --> 00:28:27.759
<v Speaker 3>under that, you create a safe haven.

604
00:28:27.920 --> 00:28:30.640
<v Speaker 2>That's incredibly smart. You live inside your water tank basically.

605
00:28:30.680 --> 00:28:33.720
<v Speaker 3>But the killer app the thing that really matters for

606
00:28:33.720 --> 00:28:38.160
<v Speaker 3>the future for becoming a spacefaring species is fuel. Rocket

607
00:28:38.200 --> 00:28:42.400
<v Speaker 3>fuel rocket fuel water is H two O hydrogen and oxygen.

608
00:28:42.559 --> 00:28:45.240
<v Speaker 3>If you run an electric current through it a process

609
00:28:45.240 --> 00:28:48.079
<v Speaker 3>called electrolysis, which is high school science again, you can

610
00:28:48.119 --> 00:28:51.039
<v Speaker 3>split it. You get oxygen gas, which you can use

611
00:28:51.079 --> 00:28:54.079
<v Speaker 3>to breathe in your habitat, and you get hydrogen gas.

612
00:28:54.119 --> 00:28:55.839
<v Speaker 2>And if you chill them down until they become.

613
00:28:55.680 --> 00:29:00.240
<v Speaker 3>Liquids, you have liquid oxygen and liquid hydrogen LX and LHO.

614
00:29:00.880 --> 00:29:05.440
<v Speaker 3>The most powerful, most efficient chemical rocket propellant known to man.

615
00:29:05.920 --> 00:29:08.920
<v Speaker 3>It's what powered the Space Shuttle's main engines. It's what

616
00:29:09.039 --> 00:29:12.440
<v Speaker 3>powers the core stage of NASA's SLS rocket today.

617
00:29:12.680 --> 00:29:14.680
<v Speaker 2>So the Moon becomes a gas station in the sky.

618
00:29:14.880 --> 00:29:18.279
<v Speaker 3>It becomes an interplanetary depot. If you can refuel your

619
00:29:18.319 --> 00:29:20.880
<v Speaker 3>spacecraft on the Moon, you can go to Mars, you

620
00:29:20.880 --> 00:29:23.119
<v Speaker 3>can go to the asteroid belt. You break what's called

621
00:29:23.160 --> 00:29:25.160
<v Speaker 3>the tyranny of the rocket equation. You don't have to

622
00:29:25.200 --> 00:29:27.160
<v Speaker 3>carry all of your fuel for the whole journey from

623
00:29:27.160 --> 00:29:29.680
<v Speaker 3>the surface of Earth, which means you can carry more cargo,

624
00:29:29.839 --> 00:29:31.400
<v Speaker 3>more science equipment, more people.

625
00:29:31.720 --> 00:29:34.279
<v Speaker 2>It connects back to the meteorites in such a beautiful

626
00:29:34.319 --> 00:29:37.920
<v Speaker 2>poetic way. The same bombardment that failed to give or

627
00:29:37.960 --> 00:29:41.039
<v Speaker 2>Earth its oceans gave us the keys to leave Earth.

628
00:29:41.160 --> 00:29:44.480
<v Speaker 3>It's amazing, isn't it. That tiny trickle of water frozen

629
00:29:44.519 --> 00:29:47.359
<v Speaker 3>in the dark for eons. It could be the catalyst

630
00:29:47.400 --> 00:29:49.960
<v Speaker 3>for us becoming a multiplanetary species.

631
00:29:50.279 --> 00:29:52.319
<v Speaker 2>The article also touched on one more thing that I

632
00:29:52.359 --> 00:29:57.440
<v Speaker 2>found just fascinating infrastructure, specifically building radio telescopes.

633
00:29:57.599 --> 00:30:00.480
<v Speaker 3>Ah, yes, the view from the side.

634
00:30:01.240 --> 00:30:03.200
<v Speaker 2>How does water help us build a telescope?

635
00:30:03.319 --> 00:30:06.680
<v Speaker 3>It's about presence. It's about being able to stay. To

636
00:30:06.799 --> 00:30:10.400
<v Speaker 3>build a massive, sensitive radio telescope on the far side

637
00:30:10.400 --> 00:30:13.359
<v Speaker 3>of the Moon, you need infrastructure, you need power, you

638
00:30:13.400 --> 00:30:16.119
<v Speaker 3>need robots, you probably need humans to service it. You

639
00:30:16.160 --> 00:30:18.039
<v Speaker 3>can't do any of that if you're just camping for

640
00:30:18.039 --> 00:30:21.079
<v Speaker 3>two weeks at a time. The water enables a permanent base.

641
00:30:21.279 --> 00:30:22.960
<v Speaker 2>And why do we want a telescope on the far

642
00:30:23.000 --> 00:30:23.960
<v Speaker 2>side of the Moon so badly?

643
00:30:24.079 --> 00:30:28.400
<v Speaker 3>Because Earth is loud electromagnetically speaking, it's screaming. We are

644
00:30:28.440 --> 00:30:33.839
<v Speaker 3>constantly broadcasting TV, radio, military radar, our cell phones, starlink satellites.

645
00:30:34.079 --> 00:30:36.480
<v Speaker 3>We are blinding ourselves to the faint whispers of the

646
00:30:36.559 --> 00:30:38.880
<v Speaker 3>radio universe. The far side of the Moon is the

647
00:30:38.920 --> 00:30:42.359
<v Speaker 3>only place in the entire Inner Solar System that is

648
00:30:42.440 --> 00:30:46.440
<v Speaker 3>permanently shielded from all of Earth's radio noise by thousands

649
00:30:46.440 --> 00:30:49.920
<v Speaker 3>of miles of solid rock. It is the quiet zone.

650
00:30:50.240 --> 00:30:52.240
<v Speaker 2>So if we use the water from the poles to

651
00:30:52.279 --> 00:30:54.839
<v Speaker 2>build a permanent base, we can then build a listening

652
00:30:54.920 --> 00:30:56.880
<v Speaker 2>post on the far side that could let us hear

653
00:30:57.640 --> 00:30:59.680
<v Speaker 2>what the very beginnings of the universe.

654
00:30:59.680 --> 00:31:02.839
<v Speaker 3>We detect signals from the cosmic dark ages, that period

655
00:31:02.920 --> 00:31:06.000
<v Speaker 3>of time before the very first stars ignited. We could

656
00:31:06.039 --> 00:31:08.440
<v Speaker 3>map the hydrogen of the early universe. We could do

657
00:31:08.519 --> 00:31:11.119
<v Speaker 3>what kind of science that is literally impossible to do

658
00:31:11.200 --> 00:31:12.839
<v Speaker 3>from Earth or even in Earth orbit.

659
00:31:12.920 --> 00:31:15.240
<v Speaker 2>It all comes back to these rocks. Elk, I want

660
00:31:15.240 --> 00:31:18.000
<v Speaker 2>to take a moment to appreciate the ground truth aspect

661
00:31:18.039 --> 00:31:19.279
<v Speaker 2>of this whole deep.

662
00:31:19.119 --> 00:31:19.880
<v Speaker 3>Dive round truth.

663
00:31:19.960 --> 00:31:22.599
<v Speaker 2>Yes, we are talking about a cutting edge study published

664
00:31:22.640 --> 00:31:26.960
<v Speaker 2>in twenty twenty six, but the samples, the actual rocks

665
00:31:26.960 --> 00:31:29.920
<v Speaker 2>they put in their machines, those were collected.

666
00:31:29.519 --> 00:31:33.680
<v Speaker 3>When between nineteen sixty nine and nineteen seventy two by

667
00:31:33.759 --> 00:31:34.839
<v Speaker 3>the Apollo astronauts.

668
00:31:34.960 --> 00:31:37.839
<v Speaker 2>That is over fifty years ago. That's just incredible to me.

669
00:31:38.160 --> 00:31:41.400
<v Speaker 3>It is a testament to the foresight of the Apollo program.

670
00:31:41.680 --> 00:31:44.079
<v Speaker 3>They didn't just collect rocks for the scientists of the

671
00:31:44.119 --> 00:31:48.359
<v Speaker 3>nineteen seventies. They explicitly curated and sealed some of these

672
00:31:48.400 --> 00:31:51.680
<v Speaker 3>samples for the future. They knew technology would improve. They

673
00:31:51.759 --> 00:31:55.559
<v Speaker 3>knew you'd invent instruments like these incredibly high precision triple

674
00:31:55.599 --> 00:31:59.559
<v Speaker 3>isotope mass spectrometers that didn't even exist when Neil Armstrong

675
00:31:59.599 --> 00:32:00.640
<v Speaker 3>took that small step.

676
00:32:00.839 --> 00:32:03.319
<v Speaker 2>Doctor Gargano in the paper calls himself and his team

677
00:32:03.440 --> 00:32:06.200
<v Speaker 2>part of the next generation of Apollo scientists.

678
00:32:06.440 --> 00:32:09.839
<v Speaker 3>He is. He's answering fundamental questions that the astronauts on

679
00:32:09.880 --> 00:32:12.960
<v Speaker 3>the surface couldn't have even formulated back then. That is

680
00:32:13.000 --> 00:32:16.319
<v Speaker 3>the incredible power of sample return. A rover on Mars

681
00:32:16.400 --> 00:32:19.400
<v Speaker 3>is fantastic, but it's limited by the tools it carries

682
00:32:19.400 --> 00:32:21.559
<v Speaker 3>on its back. When you bring the rock home, you

683
00:32:21.599 --> 00:32:25.000
<v Speaker 3>can throw the entire weight of earth scientific capability at

684
00:32:25.039 --> 00:32:26.640
<v Speaker 3>it for decades.

685
00:32:26.119 --> 00:32:28.519
<v Speaker 2>To come, and it really emphasizes why we need to

686
00:32:28.559 --> 00:32:31.160
<v Speaker 2>go back, not just to plant a flag and make footprints.

687
00:32:31.359 --> 00:32:33.480
<v Speaker 2>We need more rocks, We need different rocks.

688
00:32:33.599 --> 00:32:35.960
<v Speaker 3>We desperately need rocks from the poles. We need rocks

689
00:32:35.960 --> 00:32:38.000
<v Speaker 3>from the far side. You have to remember the Apollo

690
00:32:38.039 --> 00:32:41.759
<v Speaker 3>missions all landed in a very specific, relatively safe zone,

691
00:32:42.119 --> 00:32:44.039
<v Speaker 3>the equatorial near side.

692
00:32:43.680 --> 00:32:46.039
<v Speaker 2>The easy zone to get to the easy zone.

693
00:32:46.480 --> 00:32:49.079
<v Speaker 3>Basing our entire understanding of the Moon only on the

694
00:32:49.079 --> 00:32:52.279
<v Speaker 3>Apollo samples is like trying to understand the geology of

695
00:32:52.319 --> 00:32:55.279
<v Speaker 3>the entire Earth. If you only ever landed in the

696
00:32:55.279 --> 00:32:59.079
<v Speaker 3>Sahara Desert, you'd miss the rainforests, the ice caps, the Himalayas,

697
00:32:59.119 --> 00:33:02.400
<v Speaker 3>the deep ocean. We need to diversify the collection to

698
00:33:02.559 --> 00:33:05.359
<v Speaker 3>really truly nail down this water story.

699
00:33:06.000 --> 00:33:08.200
<v Speaker 2>So let's bring it all home. Let's synthesize this for

700
00:33:08.240 --> 00:33:11.359
<v Speaker 2>the listener who is trying to file this away in

701
00:33:11.440 --> 00:33:14.440
<v Speaker 2>their brain because we've gone from the ancient past to

702
00:33:14.640 --> 00:33:15.480
<v Speaker 2>the distant future.

703
00:33:15.559 --> 00:33:16.960
<v Speaker 3>Sure, let's do a quick recap.

704
00:33:17.039 --> 00:33:20.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay. Point one the old story. We used to think

705
00:33:20.200 --> 00:33:22.759
<v Speaker 2>Earth form dry and got all of its water from

706
00:33:22.759 --> 00:33:26.160
<v Speaker 2>a massive asteroid storm called the Late Heavy bombardment, right.

707
00:33:26.480 --> 00:33:27.839
<v Speaker 3>The cosmic delivery service.

708
00:33:27.960 --> 00:33:31.799
<v Speaker 2>Point two the investigation Doctor Gargano and his team used

709
00:33:31.799 --> 00:33:35.880
<v Speaker 2>a new, very clever method, triple oxygen isotopes to separate

710
00:33:35.920 --> 00:33:38.839
<v Speaker 2>the heat signal from the meteorite signal in the Apollo

711
00:33:38.880 --> 00:33:39.680
<v Speaker 2>Moon rocks.

712
00:33:39.400 --> 00:33:41.440
<v Speaker 3>And they found that the metia write signal is real,

713
00:33:41.519 --> 00:33:44.400
<v Speaker 3>but it's small. Only about one percent of the lunar

714
00:33:44.440 --> 00:33:45.839
<v Speaker 3>surface is made of this stuff.

715
00:33:46.079 --> 00:33:50.640
<v Speaker 2>Point three the math failure. When you take that one

716
00:33:50.759 --> 00:33:53.759
<v Speaker 2>percent and you scale it up to Earth, it is

717
00:33:53.839 --> 00:33:57.960
<v Speaker 2>mathematically impossible for those asteroids to have filled our oceans.

718
00:33:58.119 --> 00:33:59.319
<v Speaker 2>They're just warn't enough of them.

719
00:34:00.000 --> 00:34:03.920
<v Speaker 3>Cover to a new conclusion, Earth's water is likely and

720
00:34:04.000 --> 00:34:06.400
<v Speaker 3>doogenous it came from within the planet itself.

721
00:34:06.480 --> 00:34:10.920
<v Speaker 2>And finally, point four, the silver lining that same trickle

722
00:34:10.920 --> 00:34:14.199
<v Speaker 2>of meteorite water that was useless for filling Earth's oceans

723
00:34:14.719 --> 00:34:17.960
<v Speaker 2>is now sitting concentrated as ice in the lunar poles,

724
00:34:18.480 --> 00:34:22.119
<v Speaker 2>waiting to become the drinking water, radiation shielding, and rocket

725
00:34:22.119 --> 00:34:24.719
<v Speaker 2>fuel for the next generation of space explorers.

726
00:34:24.800 --> 00:34:28.320
<v Speaker 3>That's a perfect summary. We lost a simple, elegant origin story,

727
00:34:28.440 --> 00:34:30.800
<v Speaker 3>but we gained a practical roadmap to the stars.

728
00:34:30.840 --> 00:34:33.159
<v Speaker 2>I think I'll take that trade. But before we sign off,

729
00:34:33.159 --> 00:34:35.559
<v Speaker 2>I want to leave everyone with one final thought, something

730
00:34:35.599 --> 00:34:38.000
<v Speaker 2>that wasn't explicitly in the paper, but it's been nagging

731
00:34:38.000 --> 00:34:38.920
<v Speaker 2>at me since I read it.

732
00:34:39.079 --> 00:34:39.440
<v Speaker 3>Let's here.

733
00:34:39.760 --> 00:34:42.840
<v Speaker 2>We spend so much time and energy looking for goldilocks planets,

734
00:34:43.159 --> 00:34:45.639
<v Speaker 2>planets that are in the habitable zone, just the right

735
00:34:45.679 --> 00:34:48.599
<v Speaker 2>distance from their star to have liquid water on their surface.

736
00:34:48.400 --> 00:34:51.199
<v Speaker 3>Right the habitable zone. It's our primary target in the

737
00:34:51.239 --> 00:34:52.159
<v Speaker 3>search for life.

738
00:34:52.320 --> 00:34:55.280
<v Speaker 2>But this new study implies that just being in the

739
00:34:55.320 --> 00:34:58.880
<v Speaker 2>right place might not be the whole story. If Earth

740
00:34:58.960 --> 00:35:02.480
<v Speaker 2>didn't get its water from a lucky asteroid strike, if

741
00:35:02.480 --> 00:35:05.079
<v Speaker 2>it held onto it because it's something intrinsic to how

742
00:35:05.079 --> 00:35:08.039
<v Speaker 2>it was formed. What does that say about all the

743
00:35:08.079 --> 00:35:09.320
<v Speaker 2>other planets in the universe?

744
00:35:09.480 --> 00:35:11.159
<v Speaker 3>That is the big question? Isn't it?

745
00:35:11.199 --> 00:35:14.199
<v Speaker 2>Does it mean that wet planets like Earth are actually

746
00:35:14.239 --> 00:35:17.239
<v Speaker 2>common because water is just baked into the recipe of

747
00:35:17.280 --> 00:35:20.079
<v Speaker 2>planetary formation from the start. Or does it mean that

748
00:35:20.119 --> 00:35:25.559
<v Speaker 2>they're incredibly impossibly rare because holding onto that precious water

749
00:35:25.800 --> 00:35:28.880
<v Speaker 2>while being blasted by a violent young sun is a

750
00:35:28.920 --> 00:35:29.920
<v Speaker 2>miracle of physics.

751
00:35:30.159 --> 00:35:32.880
<v Speaker 3>It shifts the variable for life. It suggests that life

752
00:35:32.960 --> 00:35:35.440
<v Speaker 3>might not depend on a lucky rock throwing water at you,

753
00:35:36.039 --> 00:35:39.239
<v Speaker 3>but on how robust the planet's embryo was to begin with,

754
00:35:39.639 --> 00:35:41.519
<v Speaker 3>how well it held on to its inheritance.

755
00:35:41.559 --> 00:35:44.320
<v Speaker 2>Are we common or are we a miracle of retention?

756
00:35:44.800 --> 00:35:46.519
<v Speaker 2>I have a feeling the answer to that question is

757
00:35:46.559 --> 00:35:48.920
<v Speaker 2>waiting for us, frozen in the dust of those dark

758
00:35:48.960 --> 00:35:50.400
<v Speaker 2>craters at the south pole of the Moon.

759
00:35:50.519 --> 00:35:51.800
<v Speaker 3>I think you're right. We just have to go and

760
00:35:51.840 --> 00:35:52.320
<v Speaker 3>dig it up.

761
00:35:52.559 --> 00:35:54.960
<v Speaker 2>We will be watching. Thank you so much for walking

762
00:35:55.079 --> 00:35:57.920
<v Speaker 2>us through the isotopes and the sextilions and everything in between.

763
00:35:58.400 --> 00:36:02.119
<v Speaker 2>It's truly amazing how a pile of old gray dust

764
00:36:02.639 --> 00:36:05.159
<v Speaker 2>can change everything we thought we knew about our own

765
00:36:05.199 --> 00:36:05.800
<v Speaker 2>blue marble.

766
00:36:05.920 --> 00:36:08.119
<v Speaker 3>It was my pleasure. It's always good to re examine

767
00:36:08.119 --> 00:36:08.760
<v Speaker 3>the neighborhood.

768
00:36:08.840 --> 00:36:12.000
<v Speaker 2>For everyone listening. Thanks for diving deep with us, keep

769
00:36:12.000 --> 00:36:14.719
<v Speaker 2>looking up, stay curious, and we'll catch on the next one.

770
00:36:14.800 --> 00:37:22.960
<v Speaker 3>Goodbye everyone, see him
