1
00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:05,320
Speaker 1: Happy Saturday morning. We got college football kicking off here

2
00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:08,080
in an hour. I am Kelly Stewart. You guys know

3
00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:10,679
me is Kelly in Vegas, and this is Wager Talk's

4
00:00:10,759 --> 00:00:14,320
Last Call. We've got a star studded lineup for you today,

5
00:00:14,359 --> 00:00:16,559
starting with our good friend Art to Caesar over there

6
00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,160
at the Westgate Super Book, Yanni the Greek, you guys

7
00:00:19,199 --> 00:00:22,559
know him from Last Call every single week with me

8
00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:24,559
on Battle and of course wager Talk. Today in his

9
00:00:24,719 --> 00:00:27,800
infamous steam room, we've got Ross Benjamin, who has been

10
00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:30,480
red hot over the last two months. I'll let him

11
00:00:30,679 --> 00:00:34,000
break down all of that, including his five percent college

12
00:00:34,039 --> 00:00:36,520
football best bets. And Steve Merrill. You guys know he's

13
00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:38,719
the most watched guy here at wager Talk. He puts

14
00:00:38,759 --> 00:00:42,079
out great content of course, gives you guys all those winners,

15
00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:46,439
with all of the data with his ten thousand simulations

16
00:00:46,439 --> 00:00:48,920
that he runs every single day. We're gonna get right

17
00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,799
into it. Art to Caesar live from John Murray's old office. Art,

18
00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,280
is this your office now or are they just kindly

19
00:00:55,359 --> 00:00:57,399
letting you use it? Over there at the Westgate.

20
00:00:57,359 --> 00:00:59,000
Speaker 2: They're kindly letting me use it.

21
00:00:59,079 --> 00:01:02,439
Speaker 3: I don't think anyone can step into the former office

22
00:01:02,479 --> 00:01:03,439
of mister Murray.

23
00:01:04,079 --> 00:01:06,439
Speaker 1: What about the new office. I see he finally got

24
00:01:06,439 --> 00:01:08,840
some stuff. Hung, I'm proud of him. He's finally moving

25
00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:09,159
in there.

26
00:01:09,159 --> 00:01:12,040
Speaker 3: At home, he's finally moving in. He's got a couch,

27
00:01:12,079 --> 00:01:14,239
he's got all sorts of nice things, but he doesn't

28
00:01:14,239 --> 00:01:14,719
trust us.

29
00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:15,640
Speaker 2: He locks the door.

30
00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:17,799
Speaker 4: Wow.

31
00:01:17,879 --> 00:01:20,200
Speaker 1: So basically the opposite of Jay Cornegay, where it was

32
00:01:20,239 --> 00:01:22,760
an open door policy and you're welcome to just walk in.

33
00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,400
What a you know what. We'll see John Murray tomorrow

34
00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,319
here on Last Call, because I'm feeling in Verial Epstein,

35
00:01:29,359 --> 00:01:31,480
and we'll be sure to give him all the grief

36
00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:34,519
art every single Saturday, I ask you to run through

37
00:01:34,519 --> 00:01:36,640
the slate, tell us what you guys are seeing behind

38
00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:39,640
the counter and what information you have to give to

39
00:01:39,719 --> 00:01:41,599
our betters up to the date.

40
00:01:41,799 --> 00:01:43,359
Speaker 4: Last minute here before kickoff.

41
00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,560
Speaker 2: Let's start with the early stuff. North Texas had. Army.

42
00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:48,920
Speaker 3: North Texas was as low as kind of one and

43
00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,480
a half two on that game. We've moved to now

44
00:01:51,599 --> 00:01:53,920
three on the game, but it's still a small need

45
00:01:53,959 --> 00:01:57,400
for us on North Texas. There has been army money,

46
00:01:57,519 --> 00:02:00,239
but that's not a huge need either way. But it

47
00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:02,879
was interesting with some of the line movement there SMU

48
00:02:02,959 --> 00:02:05,879
TCU that's kind of bounced back and forth. We now

49
00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:08,719
have TCU minus six and a half. SMU will be

50
00:02:08,759 --> 00:02:12,240
a small need for us in the game. Hometown Flavored

51
00:02:12,319 --> 00:02:16,000
UNLV goes to Miami of Ohio. UNLV is a small

52
00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:20,319
road dog minus two. They took Miami of Ohio at

53
00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:23,319
two and a half and some money. Line Sprinkle will

54
00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,159
need the Hometown Rebels to win the game for us.

55
00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:27,879
Speaker 2: This is a big early need.

56
00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:32,599
Speaker 3: Wisconsin at home is up to ten, came back down

57
00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:34,719
to nine and a half this morning, but all week Kelly,

58
00:02:34,759 --> 00:02:36,879
they late seven, they laid eight, they laid eight and

59
00:02:36,879 --> 00:02:39,360
a half. So Maryland's going to be a really nice

60
00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,240
need for us early in the morning and then maybe

61
00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:44,199
the game of the day. It's very underrated and it

62
00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:46,719
kicks off super early in the Big twelve. Texas Tech

63
00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:50,800
at Utah. We're now three and a half on Utah.

64
00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:53,840
We've seen more Texas Tech money than Utah, but we're

65
00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,120
kind of booking to that side, so we're not afraid

66
00:02:57,159 --> 00:03:00,960
to take some Texas Tech money. We will need Utah

67
00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:02,479
in the game. We were one of the first to

68
00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:03,400
go to three and a half.

69
00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,919
Speaker 1: Wow, the Maryland game is gonna be interesting. It looks

70
00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:09,840
like the Maryland quarterback, or excuse me, the Wisconsin game.

71
00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:11,520
Speaker 4: The Wisconsin quarterback is going to be a go.

72
00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:14,400
Speaker 1: That is the double digit underdog in my money line

73
00:03:14,439 --> 00:03:16,719
parlay there at the West Gate. By the way, I

74
00:03:16,719 --> 00:03:19,159
looked on hard Rock this morning. If you bet my

75
00:03:19,199 --> 00:03:22,080
parlay today anywhere else, it's like thirty to one. Still

76
00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:24,439
forty to one. They're at the super book. They do

77
00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,759
me a solid. They put it up early. Barring anything catastrophic,

78
00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,439
it is gonna stay forty to one here up until kickoff.

79
00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:33,479
Speaker 4: So thank you guys for that.

80
00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,680
Speaker 1: Always love giving my followers a little extra coin in

81
00:03:36,759 --> 00:03:40,400
their pocket. Art. I think that this slate today is

82
00:03:40,479 --> 00:03:44,439
kind of a little iffy, right. There's there's some okay games,

83
00:03:44,479 --> 00:03:47,280
there's some snooze fest games. I think the noon slate

84
00:03:47,439 --> 00:03:49,960
is rather intriguing. I'm not knowing what I'm gonna do.

85
00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:51,599
I'm gonna have my head on a swivel. But for

86
00:03:51,639 --> 00:03:54,120
these afternoon games, we call them three thirty eastern here

87
00:03:54,879 --> 00:03:57,400
twelve thirty out there on the West coast. Which ones

88
00:03:57,439 --> 00:04:01,599
have caught your eye as a perspective, and then which ones.

89
00:04:01,599 --> 00:04:03,159
Are you guys gonna need there at the West Gate.

90
00:04:03,879 --> 00:04:06,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this is probably your best block of games.

91
00:04:06,759 --> 00:04:08,840
And obviously you got two major ones. You got Auburn

92
00:04:08,879 --> 00:04:12,240
out of Oklahoma. Oklahoma right now six and a half.

93
00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:14,400
We were seven at one point. This has seemed pretty

94
00:04:14,439 --> 00:04:17,680
good two way action. The Michigan Nebraska game very interesting

95
00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,000
game of the year for US. We had Michigan three,

96
00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:23,079
we reopened two and a half. We saw nothing but

97
00:04:23,199 --> 00:04:26,959
really Nebraska money. We got to pick at one point.

98
00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:30,399
They bought back on Michigan at pick. We're now Michigan

99
00:04:30,439 --> 00:04:34,519
minus one. We will need Michigan in that game, you

100
00:04:34,519 --> 00:04:38,120
would ce at UCF. That's seen really good two way action.

101
00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:40,079
Six and a half, seven, seven and a half, kind

102
00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:43,399
of bouncing all over the board. A need for US

103
00:04:43,519 --> 00:04:47,040
is gonna be Western Michigan. They're at home Toledo. They

104
00:04:47,079 --> 00:04:50,839
bought at thirteen and thirteen and a half. That's now fourteen.

105
00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,439
Speaker 2: Well, also need Buffalo at home Buffalo Detroit.

106
00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,079
Speaker 3: They took it seven, they took it six, So we're

107
00:04:57,120 --> 00:05:00,879
now sitting Buffalo minus five on that game. But I

108
00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:05,120
would say in all these early games, the first two slates,

109
00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:09,319
Michigan's our biggest need. I mean, Michigan is an enormous

110
00:05:09,959 --> 00:05:14,480
need for US. So goblo very very interesting there.

111
00:05:14,519 --> 00:05:16,959
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about this night slate and they

112
00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:18,800
get you back behind the counter because I know it

113
00:05:18,879 --> 00:05:21,560
is a very busy Saturday morning there in Las Vegas.

114
00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:25,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean some intriguing games as well. Obviously UF

115
00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:28,480
at Miami, you're gonna be Miami seven and a half

116
00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:28,839
right now.

117
00:05:28,879 --> 00:05:30,199
Speaker 2: We were as high as nine.

118
00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:33,480
Speaker 3: On that game, so there was some nibbles on Florida

119
00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:37,480
at nine at eight, so that's but you know, still

120
00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:39,240
pretty good two way because Miami is gonna be in

121
00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:40,879
a lot of teasers, They're gonna be in a lot

122
00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:44,040
of money lines. Illinois at Indiana, this is fascinating game

123
00:05:44,079 --> 00:05:47,519
of the year for US. Indiana we had four, it's

124
00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:49,680
now six and a half, and then even went to

125
00:05:49,759 --> 00:05:52,800
seven this morning. So Illinois will be a need for

126
00:05:52,879 --> 00:05:57,240
US for flooded with Indiana money. Arizona State goes to Baylor.

127
00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:00,519
Baylor now two and a half. They took three with

128
00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:03,759
Arizona State will need Baylor in that game.

129
00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:05,079
Speaker 2: Also a weird one.

130
00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:07,079
Speaker 3: This is kind of a low key under the radar

131
00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:09,240
game because no one's gonna care about it, but we

132
00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:12,399
will because it's in neat Arkansas State at Kanisas State.

133
00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:15,199
They took Kanasas State at six and five and a half.

134
00:06:15,399 --> 00:06:18,079
We're now Arkansas State four and a half as a

135
00:06:18,199 --> 00:06:20,800
road favorite. We will need Arkansas State in the game.

136
00:06:21,519 --> 00:06:23,800
Speaker 1: Very very interesting one. I love those low key ones.

137
00:06:23,879 --> 00:06:26,959
Last week was Delaware, this week Arkansas State. Are real

138
00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,480
quick because the questions in the well the comment section

139
00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:30,959
is kind of going a little nuts here, and I'll

140
00:06:30,959 --> 00:06:32,560
get to some of the questions here. But one of

141
00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:38,079
the games that is so frustrating to me is Florida Miami. Right,

142
00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:39,560
we saw seven and a half, we saw nine and

143
00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:43,240
a half back to seven and a half. Of course

144
00:06:43,319 --> 00:06:45,519
I was high on Florida to start the season. Of course,

145
00:06:45,639 --> 00:06:48,920
Florida through five interceptions last week and still had a

146
00:06:48,959 --> 00:06:51,639
chance to cover versus LSU. What are you guys seeing

147
00:06:51,639 --> 00:06:54,920
on this game? This is this game was what four

148
00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,040
in the Game of the Year slate four and a half?

149
00:06:58,079 --> 00:06:59,920
Maybe because I remember my dad had me look at it.

150
00:07:00,439 --> 00:07:02,600
He has a straight up bet with the Miami or

151
00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:04,920
excuse me a Florida fan. He took Miami pick him,

152
00:07:04,959 --> 00:07:07,639
so I think he's sitting kind of pretty. But this

153
00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:10,480
is like one of those types of games where I

154
00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,319
want to take Florida. I feel like I was correct

155
00:07:13,319 --> 00:07:17,240
about this Gators defense, but the offense has been so abysmal.

156
00:07:17,399 --> 00:07:19,800
I cannot trust them. What are you guys seeing there

157
00:07:19,839 --> 00:07:20,480
at the Westgate?

158
00:07:20,959 --> 00:07:22,600
Speaker 3: Well, listen, if they're gonna have one hundred yards of

159
00:07:22,639 --> 00:07:24,959
penalties in five turnovers, they're not being a high school team.

160
00:07:25,439 --> 00:07:28,040
It just doesn't matter. But I do think there's still

161
00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,000
value in Florida. I like them today over a touchdown,

162
00:07:31,079 --> 00:07:34,000
I really do. I think I played in.

163
00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,720
Speaker 1: The West eight College Contest because I was like, I

164
00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:38,959
gotta have some sort of action on this team. But

165
00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:40,360
they don't deserve my money.

166
00:07:40,839 --> 00:07:42,800
Speaker 2: No, for sure, I get that, and that's, you know,

167
00:07:42,879 --> 00:07:43,560
a great way to do it.

168
00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,160
Speaker 3: You put them in the college contest so you could

169
00:07:45,279 --> 00:07:46,600
just kind of forget about it.

170
00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:48,600
Speaker 2: But I'm not really sold on Miami. Listen.

171
00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:49,959
Speaker 3: I know they got a lot of guys that was

172
00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:53,000
not a Beck fan, even when he was at Georgia.

173
00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:54,720
But you know, like I said, Florida's gonna turn the

174
00:07:54,759 --> 00:07:56,519
ball over five times. They're not beating anyone.

175
00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:58,279
Speaker 2: But it's funny.

176
00:07:58,279 --> 00:08:01,360
Speaker 3: Despite the early Florida money Like I said, we did

177
00:08:01,360 --> 00:08:03,439
get Miami money back, so that's been pretty good.

178
00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:03,839
Speaker 2: Two way.

179
00:08:03,959 --> 00:08:07,199
Speaker 3: Miami is gonna be very popular in moneyline parlays because

180
00:08:07,199 --> 00:08:08,519
nobody really trusts Florida.

181
00:08:08,879 --> 00:08:10,920
Speaker 1: Yep, you just took the last question. Before I get

182
00:08:10,959 --> 00:08:12,759
you out of here. Everybody always wants to know what

183
00:08:12,879 --> 00:08:15,839
are the biggest money line parlays. I could probably guess

184
00:08:15,959 --> 00:08:19,720
it's gonna be Wisconsin. It's gonna be TCU, it's gonna

185
00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:22,639
be UCF, it's gonna be Oklahoma, it's gonna be Miami.

186
00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:23,519
Into the Night's late.

187
00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:26,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you can throw Indiana in there because of

188
00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,000
obviously the big line movie you've seen, you know, from

189
00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:29,800
four all the way up to seven.

190
00:08:29,879 --> 00:08:32,159
Speaker 2: So Indiana is gonna be very popular in that regard

191
00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:32,559
as well.

192
00:08:32,879 --> 00:08:34,720
Speaker 4: All Right, anything you would like to leave us with

193
00:08:34,799 --> 00:08:36,000
before we get you out of here.

194
00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:37,600
Speaker 2: No, I think that's good.

195
00:08:37,759 --> 00:08:37,919
Speaker 5: You know.

196
00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:39,159
Speaker 2: The one thing I will mention.

197
00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,360
Speaker 3: There's a Hawaii late night game, Super late Night, you know,

198
00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:45,879
the old Vegas nine PM kickoff. They laid two and

199
00:08:45,879 --> 00:08:48,200
a half with Fresno. It's up to three, but this

200
00:08:48,279 --> 00:08:50,879
has almost been two groups battling, laying Fresno at two

201
00:08:50,879 --> 00:08:53,519
and a half, taking Hawaii at three. So that's a

202
00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,039
really good handle game for us late night.

203
00:08:56,039 --> 00:08:57,120
Speaker 2: I just wanted to mention.

204
00:08:57,039 --> 00:09:00,879
Speaker 1: That awesome stuff Art this Caesar Westgates book at art

205
00:09:00,919 --> 00:09:02,039
Dice twenty one.

206
00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:05,919
Speaker 4: They're on X and you can also catch him.

207
00:09:05,799 --> 00:09:10,080
Speaker 1: On the Best Betting Show Ever with Prez and Joe Ranieri.

208
00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:12,440
Art give us a little look as to what that

209
00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:13,399
show is all about.

210
00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,159
Speaker 3: Well, it's me and Joe battling pres and trying to

211
00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,159
keep our sanity, but you know, it's a lot of fun.

212
00:09:20,159 --> 00:09:21,399
Speaker 2: We give out a parlay of the day.

213
00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,440
Speaker 3: I always give a book report, just kind of basically

214
00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:27,120
throughout the week, give you as many NFL and college

215
00:09:27,159 --> 00:09:29,960
games as I can, seeing all the movement as we

216
00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:31,960
get through. And then even you know, if I give

217
00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,240
you something on Tuesday, try to check back on Friday

218
00:09:34,519 --> 00:09:37,000
and say, hey, has this stood? Have they you know,

219
00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:38,919
bought back on the other side, or are we seeing

220
00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:41,279
even another group Beth, the sides are trying to give

221
00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:42,720
you as much information as I can.

222
00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,600
Speaker 1: You guys can check that show out every single Tuesday.

223
00:09:46,799 --> 00:09:50,039
Starting as Art mentioned, they're on the Wager Talking YouTube

224
00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:52,159
channel or I lied, you're not getting out of here yet.

225
00:09:52,279 --> 00:09:53,720
Speaker 4: I need a best bet from you.

226
00:09:54,639 --> 00:09:55,519
Speaker 2: I'm taking Florida.

227
00:09:55,639 --> 00:09:56,399
Speaker 5: I don't care.

228
00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,639
Speaker 3: I'm taking them plus seven and a half. If they're

229
00:09:59,759 --> 00:10:03,600
doing hey, listen, if throws five interceptions, I'll never look

230
00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:07,399
at Florida again. I think they are worth a I'm

231
00:10:07,399 --> 00:10:08,840
not saying sprinkle on the money line, but I think

232
00:10:08,879 --> 00:10:10,159
they're gonna keep it within seven.

233
00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,679
Speaker 4: Okay, I I fine fine.

234
00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:16,519
Speaker 1: Art Art has spoken you guys. Art is the best.

235
00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,039
He's gonna try to join us every single Saturday morning

236
00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:22,480
here during college football season, borring you know, all the

237
00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:24,679
kids calling out sick and he has to go run

238
00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:27,039
the risk room by himself. He is the best. Again,

239
00:10:27,159 --> 00:10:29,720
Art Dice twenty one. Give him a follow on X.

240
00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:32,240
All right, guys, we're gonna bring in VR. We're gonna

241
00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:34,600
get him rocking and rolling. We're about ten minutes into

242
00:10:34,639 --> 00:10:37,879
the show and we're gonna take you guys up until kickoff.

243
00:10:37,919 --> 00:10:39,639
As long as you guys are in the comment section

244
00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:44,440
asking questions, VR welcome in. You guys know VR. We

245
00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,519
do a college football edition of bet on It every

246
00:10:46,519 --> 00:10:49,600
single Wednesday. You can also catch him on the NFL

247
00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:51,639
edition with me, and then he will be back here

248
00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:55,440
tomorrow with me. I'll be filling in for aero ops team.

249
00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:58,519
We're gonna go through the NFL slate. Johnny wants to

250
00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:01,559
know how big the overlay in my contest is. Really quickly, guys.

251
00:11:01,639 --> 00:11:05,559
Splash sports dot Com backslash Kelly in Vegas. I started

252
00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:07,799
the season off so bad in college football that I said,

253
00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:10,759
I just want to refresh. We're starting week four. We've

254
00:11:10,799 --> 00:11:13,200
already got week five up as well. It's ten thousand

255
00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:16,840
dollars guaranteed every single week, twenty five dollars to enter

256
00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:20,759
Splash sports dot Com backslash kelleing Vegas. You guys have

257
00:11:20,879 --> 00:11:24,200
about forty eight minutes left to sign up.

258
00:11:24,519 --> 00:11:24,799
Speaker 6: VR.

259
00:11:24,879 --> 00:11:27,200
Speaker 1: Welcome in. I know you're going to do a weekly

260
00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:30,120
steam room here on the Wager Talking YouTube channel before

261
00:11:30,159 --> 00:11:33,200
we get into the college football slate. Can you let

262
00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:34,919
everybody know what day you're do in the steam room

263
00:11:35,039 --> 00:11:35,960
and where they can find you.

264
00:11:36,399 --> 00:11:39,159
Speaker 7: Yeah, for the regular season during football, we're doing it

265
00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:42,039
on Sunday. Now, if it comes like a busy time

266
00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:43,720
that I want to add a Saturday to it, we

267
00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:46,559
might during the regular season at a Saturday and Sunday

268
00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:49,000
if it's busy enough and there's things to cover. But

269
00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:52,480
every Sunday we go in an hour plus leading into

270
00:11:52,519 --> 00:11:55,720
the early kickoffs. We go through every single NFL game

271
00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,000
and I share side total player props, information that I have,

272
00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,080
anything from the back end that I have. I'm there

273
00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:03,399
to answer all the questions.

274
00:12:03,399 --> 00:12:05,879
Speaker 6: But more importantly, we go over a year to date results,

275
00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:08,799
recent results, and.

276
00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:12,240
Speaker 7: The goal as we're heading towards the last quarter in

277
00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:14,600
twenty twenty five. So make sure you join us for

278
00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:16,759
a steamer room. If you got a month or better,

279
00:12:17,919 --> 00:12:19,480
you'll be in there and you want to join.

280
00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:19,840
Speaker 6: Us for sure.

281
00:12:20,039 --> 00:12:23,639
Speaker 7: It helps a lot, like it helps you learn how

282
00:12:23,639 --> 00:12:25,960
to use the information, because again, if you're not using

283
00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:27,200
it correctly, what good is it.

284
00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:28,440
Speaker 6: I'm crushing college.

285
00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:30,200
Speaker 7: Football right now, Like if you're betting college football, you

286
00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:32,759
want to see our stuff. I'm getting the sharpest college

287
00:12:32,799 --> 00:12:33,879
football stuff.

288
00:12:33,639 --> 00:12:35,200
Speaker 6: Right now and NFL.

289
00:12:35,279 --> 00:12:38,080
Speaker 7: But if you're not using it correctly and not bet

290
00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:39,799
sizing correctly, it's not going to matter.

291
00:12:39,919 --> 00:12:42,080
Speaker 6: So all I'm here that on that, but I want

292
00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:43,559
to see you guys.

293
00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:46,600
Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely. The first question is from Andrew, he must

294
00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:48,759
watch the college football edition to bet on it. You

295
00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,919
gave out a under fifty five and a half Louisiana

296
00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:55,919
Lafayette Eastern Michigan. Are you still high on that? Excuse me?

297
00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:57,799
You gave it? I think fifty two and a half,

298
00:12:57,840 --> 00:12:59,200
fifty one and a half. I'd have to look at

299
00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:02,919
bet fifty and a half. What is the We always

300
00:13:02,919 --> 00:13:05,120
like to tell people at wagers, Tuctor, we have parameters,

301
00:13:05,159 --> 00:13:07,519
right line moves too much. All right, it's no longer

302
00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:09,480
a bet. Is it still a bet at fifty and

303
00:13:09,519 --> 00:13:09,919
a half?

304
00:13:10,279 --> 00:13:10,480
Speaker 5: Yeah?

305
00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:13,159
Speaker 7: Yeah, up the fifty, up the fifties at three percent bet,

306
00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:16,200
it's it's not a huge, huge bet it was. You know,

307
00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,840
it's early in the week when we do the show Wednesday,

308
00:13:18,879 --> 00:13:22,480
I kind of finalized. By Tuesday night, I'm on the play.

309
00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:25,480
There's been no buy back or anything like that. So yeah,

310
00:13:25,519 --> 00:13:31,360
we're definitely still under in Louisiana and the Eastern Michigan game.

311
00:13:31,399 --> 00:13:33,799
Speaker 6: It's it's one of the many totals that we're firing

312
00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:34,279
on today.

313
00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:37,000
Speaker 7: But yes, we're still far. We're still kept that bet.

314
00:13:37,039 --> 00:13:38,919
No buy back or anything like that. And it was

315
00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:40,720
a three percent for subscribers.

316
00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,600
Speaker 1: Perfect. All right, let's get into these noon slate games,

317
00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:45,600
obviously Texas Tech Utah.

318
00:13:45,399 --> 00:13:46,639
Speaker 4: Being the biggest.

319
00:13:46,919 --> 00:13:49,480
Speaker 1: What are you guys seeing there? It's art said that

320
00:13:49,519 --> 00:13:51,120
they're going to need Utah. I know you were waiting

321
00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:52,720
in the wings. You probably heard some of the things

322
00:13:52,759 --> 00:13:55,840
he said. I think that's very interesting. I do, unfortunately,

323
00:13:55,919 --> 00:13:58,279
think Texas Tech is somewhat of a square dog. You

324
00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:00,399
and I talked about this Texas Tech team. I thought

325
00:14:00,399 --> 00:14:02,639
at twelve to one, they were a nice outside shot

326
00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:04,799
to win the Big twelve. Do you think this is

327
00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:08,120
a Big twelve preview championship preview? Excuse me?

328
00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:10,120
Speaker 6: Yeah, and it really looks like it.

329
00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,360
Speaker 7: It does, and I think that's why you're not seeing

330
00:14:13,159 --> 00:14:16,080
much action from the bettings in togeins once that line

331
00:14:16,399 --> 00:14:18,720
did kind of settle. It looks like a sharp number.

332
00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:21,639
I'm seeing good two way action in the back end.

333
00:14:21,919 --> 00:14:24,679
Like one book's heavy. You told the other books heavy

334
00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:28,200
Texas Tech. So it's kind of depends on that. I

335
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:31,200
guess who they're booking from. But it looks like balanced

336
00:14:31,279 --> 00:14:34,159
two way action there. What we got down on is

337
00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:38,279
a team total. We bet Texas Tech under twenty seven

338
00:14:38,639 --> 00:14:41,440
at even money. I sent that out to subscribers as

339
00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:43,799
a three percent play good to minus one ten. We

340
00:14:43,840 --> 00:14:49,440
took Texas Tech under twenty seven for the team total,

341
00:14:49,679 --> 00:14:53,240
and yeah, that came in kind of before I jumped on,

342
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,320
so that should be a valuable Okay, perfect, All.

343
00:14:56,279 --> 00:14:58,080
Speaker 1: Right, let's let's go through the rest of your list.

344
00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,080
I know you've got a busy morning here ahead of you.

345
00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,759
We got about forty five minutes until kickoff. So if

346
00:15:02,759 --> 00:15:05,360
you guys have a question for VR, specifically drop it

347
00:15:05,399 --> 00:15:08,120
in the chat. Otherwise we'll wait and let Ross and

348
00:15:08,159 --> 00:15:10,639
Steve get to some of those other questions. Let's have

349
00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,360
you just do what you do best and let the

350
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,279
dog off the leash, let the guy run.

351
00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,200
Speaker 6: Yeah, I got a ton for you. Forgive me. There's

352
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:20,360
just so much going on.

353
00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:22,919
Speaker 7: Here's what I'm gonna do my package that I help

354
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,240
up at Wage of Talk for daily guys.

355
00:15:25,639 --> 00:15:28,159
Speaker 6: What I'm doing because we have volume is I'm only.

356
00:15:28,039 --> 00:15:30,919
Speaker 7: Firing four percent plays, so only best bets are going

357
00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:33,320
into that package. That's why I think there's only seven

358
00:15:33,519 --> 00:15:36,159
or eight bets in there, because there are only the

359
00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:39,399
four percents are going in there for daily guys. Subscribers

360
00:15:39,399 --> 00:15:42,240
are getting everything the guys that are with me partnering

361
00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:45,600
up for the college football season or you know, long term,

362
00:15:45,639 --> 00:15:47,759
because we've got a lot of good three percent plays,

363
00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:50,320
especially some added board. Let me give you those added

364
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:52,919
board real quickly, because they've done so well. I think

365
00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,159
last week we might have lost one or two and

366
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,120
fire twelve to fifteen of them. We bet three h

367
00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,799
nine oh five to Oho LSU minus thirty five and

368
00:16:00,919 --> 00:16:04,840
minus thirty six. We also bet Ohio minus thirty and

369
00:16:04,919 --> 00:16:10,320
thirty one. We bet Northern Alabama plus eighteen and seventeen

370
00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:13,960
and a half. We went over fifty three to fifty

371
00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:17,480
five in that Ohio Gardner Web game and went under

372
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:21,000
forty seven in New Hampshire Gartmouth. Now some of the

373
00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:25,960
other stuff for today, you already know the Louisiana under.

374
00:16:26,039 --> 00:16:29,559
Here's some more three percents for you, Western Michigan three

375
00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,600
fifty six, Western Michigan three thirty six forgiving Western Michigan

376
00:16:32,639 --> 00:16:35,200
plus fourteen and a half and under fifty one and

377
00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:38,840
a half. So it's Western Michigan and the under Troy Buffalo.

378
00:16:38,879 --> 00:16:40,960
We went over forty two and a half. That's a

379
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:44,679
three percent play. Oklahoma and Auburn. We went under twenty

380
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:47,240
three and a half first half, under twenty three and

381
00:16:47,279 --> 00:16:49,679
a half first half. You also know that I had

382
00:16:49,799 --> 00:16:52,000
Oklahoma in that game at minus six and a half

383
00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:54,559
from bet on it Oregon Oregon State.

384
00:16:54,399 --> 00:16:56,679
Speaker 6: Over fifty five. That was a RAS play.

385
00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:01,600
Speaker 7: Baylor Arizona State are over fifty nine and a half

386
00:17:01,639 --> 00:17:05,480
and sixty Michigan Michigan minus one one and a half

387
00:17:05,519 --> 00:17:09,839
and money line Hawaii plus three and a half, Nevada

388
00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:11,200
plus ten.

389
00:17:11,079 --> 00:17:12,960
Speaker 6: And a half Indiana.

390
00:17:13,079 --> 00:17:15,880
Speaker 7: Talking about Indiana, we bet that Indiana game early and

391
00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:17,839
then we came back and bet the money line on

392
00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:23,759
Indiana as well against Illinois Duke duke money line against

393
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:24,640
NC State.

394
00:17:25,559 --> 00:17:27,119
Speaker 6: And as you know, I like Florida as well.

395
00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:29,480
Speaker 7: I'm with you on Florida cal I've seen two a

396
00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,279
action from betting syndicates. I saw minus seven and a

397
00:17:32,319 --> 00:17:34,519
half in an account and I saw plus nine in

398
00:17:34,599 --> 00:17:37,559
an account as well, So good two a action there

399
00:17:37,599 --> 00:17:40,359
from the betting syndicates. But I'm on the Florida side

400
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,359
with you. I think they're undervalued and I think Miami's overvalued.

401
00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:45,480
It's that time of the year we could really take

402
00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:48,000
advantage of it. I looked up at the rankings this morning.

403
00:17:48,039 --> 00:17:49,680
I can't believe the ll us use the top five

404
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,680
team Alabama would be a double digit favored.

405
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:53,680
Speaker 6: Over them on a neutral field.

406
00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:56,480
Speaker 7: I'm telling you that right now now, maybe that's the

407
00:17:56,519 --> 00:17:58,720
line the books would put out because obviously they need

408
00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,799
to manage their risk. But a true line Alabama would

409
00:18:01,799 --> 00:18:04,400
be a double digit favorite, a one in one Alabama

410
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:06,240
team over that LSU team.

411
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 6: And I like LSU.

412
00:18:07,559 --> 00:18:09,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, you were high on them to start the year.

413
00:18:09,039 --> 00:18:11,759
Speaker 6: At top twenty kel barely Wow.

414
00:18:12,039 --> 00:18:13,599
Speaker 1: All right, well that was a lot of stuff. I

415
00:18:13,599 --> 00:18:15,359
hope you guys got your list written down. I've already

416
00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:17,799
got people texting me, what's the great godom like?

417
00:18:17,839 --> 00:18:18,200
Speaker 5: Everybody?

418
00:18:18,279 --> 00:18:18,640
Speaker 1: Relax.

419
00:18:18,759 --> 00:18:21,400
Speaker 4: You can also just take your own notes early.

420
00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:23,680
Speaker 7: I'll give you an early nine am kickoff because they're

421
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:24,480
like narrowed down.

422
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:25,640
Speaker 1: How they narrow it is down.

423
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:27,119
Speaker 6: But here's what really sticks.

424
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:27,279
Speaker 5: Out to me.

425
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:31,640
Speaker 6: The under an SMU TCU. I really like that on there.

426
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:36,599
Speaker 7: I thought they opened it too high. I circled that already.

427
00:18:36,799 --> 00:18:38,960
I saw one of the groups I respect most on

428
00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,559
totals came in on the under. And what I liked

429
00:18:41,559 --> 00:18:44,640
about it was today any Roague book that had a

430
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:46,640
sixty five out there, they took it.

431
00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:48,880
Speaker 6: So they're still looking to get more money on that

432
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:49,240
on there.

433
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:51,640
Speaker 7: I love when I see that on game day, Okay,

434
00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,880
sixty five, it's you know, there's not out there. But

435
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,960
because of the public money going over, they're popping up.

436
00:18:58,039 --> 00:19:00,759
When they pop up, be someone, there's the I love

437
00:19:00,759 --> 00:19:01,400
when I see that.

438
00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:02,720
Speaker 4: That's great stuff.

439
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:04,880
Speaker 1: All right, VR, we got about ninety seconds left with

440
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:06,559
you before we get you out of here. The comment

441
00:19:06,599 --> 00:19:08,400
section wants to know what is your end of the

442
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,279
year price prediction for bitcoin?

443
00:19:11,079 --> 00:19:15,079
Speaker 7: Oh oh, and here's what's tough. I think we may

444
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,160
see an uh. It's wanging between the price. So I

445
00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,400
don't think we're gonna bust one twenty. What I do

446
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,559
think is it's gonna drop a lot. I know everybody

447
00:19:23,599 --> 00:19:26,440
wants to the moon, but I've been in crypto for

448
00:19:26,519 --> 00:19:29,160
long enough to know we're probably gonna see eighty thousand again.

449
00:19:29,319 --> 00:19:31,880
It's definitely dropping below one hundred thousand again in twenty two.

450
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,599
There's bad times ahead. There's gonna be tough times ahead.

451
00:19:35,759 --> 00:19:38,039
Speaker 1: And it means it means it's on sale. It means

452
00:19:38,039 --> 00:19:39,599
it's on sale and we can buy more.

453
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:43,799
Speaker 7: Yeah, exactly, exactly, just wait, wait for pullbacks and buy.

454
00:19:44,319 --> 00:19:45,960
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna add one more.

455
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,440
Speaker 4: I know this is a sports betting show, but this

456
00:19:47,519 --> 00:19:48,319
is the same kind of thing.

457
00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 1: Okay, So at what point do I take my profit

458
00:19:52,079 --> 00:19:55,279
and put it off into something else like USD or whatever.

459
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,440
Speaker 4: Or are you just keeping it all invested in, just

460
00:19:57,519 --> 00:19:58,519
letting it just keep riding.

461
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:00,000
Speaker 6: You shouldn't have held on it.

462
00:20:00,279 --> 00:20:02,680
Speaker 7: You shouldn't have more than ten percent, and that's because

463
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,119
you're young. But you shouldn't have more than ten percent

464
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:09,359
of your wealth in bitcoin. If you've made money, cash

465
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,920
that out and start reallocating in the different things. You

466
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:15,160
don't need more than ten percent of your wealth in that.

467
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:18,359
There's still speculative asset. It's made a lot of money

468
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:21,079
for a lot of people, myself included in you. But

469
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:24,759
still you gotta think big picture and ten percent is

470
00:20:24,839 --> 00:20:26,759
more than enough if you're holding.

471
00:20:26,799 --> 00:20:32,799
Speaker 1: Awesome stuff at Greek Underscore, Gambler, UFC, Bitcoin, College Football, NFL,

472
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,519
help you back with us tomorrow here on last Call

473
00:20:35,599 --> 00:20:38,359
as well as in the steam room. You guys can

474
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,880
catch him there tomorrow right after last call, and you

475
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,960
can also catch me joining on End Zone Live with

476
00:20:45,039 --> 00:20:47,480
the Press and Andy. It's gonna be fun to be

477
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,359
sweating out those early games with those guys.

478
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,119
Speaker 4: I'm gonna be cheering for chaos and you guys, buckle up.

479
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,839
Speaker 1: We're gonna bring in Ross Benjamin here next. He's gonna

480
00:20:54,839 --> 00:20:58,279
take all of your college football questions. Ross has been

481
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:03,000
absolutely on fire. Basically, I don't know. Ross. Was it

482
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,759
mid July you caught lightning in a bottle? I mean,

483
00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:09,480
I think you gave up fifty was it fifty three

484
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,200
free baseball winners? And it was something insane?

485
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 8: It was.

486
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,440
Speaker 5: It was an insane streak of like seventy one and

487
00:21:15,519 --> 00:21:18,240
twenty and free picks. Yeah, but as far as the

488
00:21:18,279 --> 00:21:23,000
premium picks color, it's uh, since May the thirteenth, I've

489
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:27,200
been on fire over one hundred I believe right now,

490
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:30,319
one hundred and eight units in that profit since maybe

491
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:32,160
May the thirteenth, So I love it.

492
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,279
Speaker 1: In sports, you're currently three and oh and your five

493
00:21:35,319 --> 00:21:38,240
percent college football? Are you giving out one five percent

494
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:38,640
a week?

495
00:21:38,759 --> 00:21:39,319
Speaker 8: Or is it?

496
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:43,559
Speaker 5: Yeah? One five percent a week? And uh, you know

497
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,480
we get limited how many five percent best bet we

498
00:21:46,559 --> 00:21:50,119
could use at the site, which is right okay because

499
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,000
some guys would abuse it, and uh, but you know,

500
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:55,440
we'll see if I hit this one, I'm going to

501
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,039
be on my hands and knees asking Johnny and Ralph

502
00:21:58,079 --> 00:21:59,480
to up the anty a.

503
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:00,160
Speaker 2: Little bit right.

504
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:05,519
Speaker 1: LSU Week one outright winner at Clemson Oklahoma over Michigan.

505
00:22:05,559 --> 00:22:07,799
There in week two you laid the six and then

506
00:22:07,799 --> 00:22:11,319
Tennessee plus four and a half. Great number didn't matter though,

507
00:22:11,319 --> 00:22:12,799
even at three and a half you got the cover

508
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,480
with Tennessee. So you are three and oh there, Ross.

509
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,319
We're gonna get into some of these college football questions.

510
00:22:19,079 --> 00:22:22,400
I'm gonna start off with one that I saw because

511
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,319
it pertains to me. One of the guys said, Hey,

512
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:30,039
how are my garbage Badgers laying ten to Maryland. I

513
00:22:30,079 --> 00:22:32,079
asked myself the same question, and I went through and

514
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:35,119
I thought, Malik Washington has the ability to go in

515
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,960
and exploit this Badgers defense. Do you have an opinion

516
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:38,559
on that game?

517
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 9: I don't have a strong opinion.

518
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:45,759
Speaker 5: I will say this, buyer beware with Maryland because they

519
00:22:45,799 --> 00:22:49,880
fall in the same category as Rutgers, you know, teams

520
00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:54,359
that they really prey on a soft early season schedule.

521
00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:57,920
Then once they get into the Big ten, they struggle.

522
00:22:58,799 --> 00:23:02,480
Mike Loxley I'm not a big fan of and also

523
00:23:02,599 --> 00:23:05,559
Maryland not only the struggle once he get into Big ten,

524
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,880
they really struggle big ten away games. So I would

525
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,400
steer clear of that. I mean, if you're not sold

526
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:14,240
on to Badgers lay in ten. I could understand that,

527
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:18,559
because they really shouldn't be minus ten against anybody. But

528
00:23:19,039 --> 00:23:21,079
to me, that's a little bit of a red flag

529
00:23:21,599 --> 00:23:24,519
and I really have no faith in Mike Laxley and

530
00:23:24,559 --> 00:23:26,480
Maryland on the road in big ten action.

531
00:23:27,039 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 4: Well, that's not like what I like to hear.

532
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,880
Speaker 1: The other day, Ross was against me on I cannot

533
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:33,920
remember which game you put it in the wager Talk

534
00:23:34,079 --> 00:23:38,440
slack for wager Talk today I wrote f and now and.

535
00:23:38,519 --> 00:23:39,799
Speaker 6: ROSSI not know what that meant.

536
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:44,079
Speaker 1: I found it made me chuckle.

537
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:45,640
Speaker 4: It is what it is.

538
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,599
Speaker 1: I hate being against Ross. So let's go into some

539
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,599
of these earlier games as well. Ross one of the

540
00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:53,240
games that I think is not being talked about all

541
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:56,160
that much. I mean, right now, we've got a big,

542
00:23:56,559 --> 00:24:00,599
big conversation with Texas Tech TCU, cuse me, text like

543
00:24:00,759 --> 00:24:02,240
Utah and asking you TCU.

544
00:24:02,279 --> 00:24:04,839
Speaker 4: Those are the two bigger morning games. I get it.

545
00:24:05,079 --> 00:24:06,680
But let's kind of dive a little deeper.

546
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:09,119
Speaker 1: Is there something else in this slate that kicks off

547
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,880
here in a little over thirty minutes that you think

548
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:14,759
that our audience needs to know about. Yeah, I would

549
00:24:14,799 --> 00:24:15,319
look at.

550
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:18,640
Speaker 5: The Arkansas Memphis game, Kelly. You know, here's the thing.

551
00:24:18,759 --> 00:24:22,160
Arkansas coming off that tough loss last week against Ole

552
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,720
Miss forty one to thirty five, and they got LSU

553
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,920
up next, and in between they have a road trip

554
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,839
against a non Power four conference school in Memphis.

555
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:35,000
Speaker 9: I mean, you shouldn't take Memphis.

556
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:37,799
Speaker 5: Lightly, but when you add it all up, it's a

557
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:41,640
danger spot for Arkansas, especially laying more than a touchdown

558
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,039
on the road. The last I check, you can get

559
00:24:44,079 --> 00:24:46,880
seven and a half with Memphis. And don't forget, this

560
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:50,119
is a Memphis team that has aspirations of being a

561
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,960
Group of four representative in the College Football Playoff and

562
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,759
what better way to do that than with a win

563
00:24:56,839 --> 00:25:01,000
over an SEC opponent. I think you could say to

564
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,799
a quality SEC opponent at this point in Arkansas, and

565
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:07,799
you know, if they were able to pull this off,

566
00:25:08,559 --> 00:25:12,039
it also gives them a little bit of forgiveness if

567
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:16,240
they lose one game in conference. So yeah, I think

568
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:18,440
that that's a dangerous spot for Arkansas.

569
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,359
Speaker 9: And I think that Memphis.

570
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 5: Has the ability to not really win this game, but

571
00:25:23,759 --> 00:25:26,000
more importantly, to get inside this number.

572
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:30,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, Marco gave this out as his sandwich game on Wednesday.

573
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,359
I already had it on my long list. I did

574
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:35,480
play it in the contest there at the Westgate super

575
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,079
Book for College Football. I also played it on my

576
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,759
Splash contest. I haven't gotten to the window just yet.

577
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,319
I was really high on Arkansas going to ole Miss

578
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:45,200
last weekend. I said I thought that they had a

579
00:25:45,279 --> 00:25:48,759
chance to win. Frustrating loss. I exactly, I see it

580
00:25:48,759 --> 00:25:52,279
completely the scheduling spot. I just think Arkansas is a

581
00:25:52,319 --> 00:25:55,519
little bit better than the last week. We'll see how

582
00:25:55,559 --> 00:25:57,039
that ends up playing out if I actually get to

583
00:25:57,079 --> 00:26:00,039
the window with that team or not. Another game I

584
00:26:00,039 --> 00:26:02,240
want to talk about selfishly while we're waiting on some

585
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,599
of the comments to populate. Hey, let's talk about it. UCF,

586
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:09,119
you n C. We've got Bill Belichick versus Scott Frost.

587
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:11,799
Do you have an opinion on one side or another here?

588
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:13,599
Speaker 9: I don't.

589
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:16,079
Speaker 5: Again, another one of those games, I don't have a

590
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:20,279
strong opinion, Kelly, but I would lean toward UCF. I mean,

591
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:22,920
let's not get caught up in a win over Richmond

592
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:28,400
and a win over Charlotte. Those are two terrible teams. UCF,

593
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,319
you know, supposed to be on the bottom half, if

594
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,240
not near the bottom of the Big twelve.

595
00:26:34,319 --> 00:26:34,759
Speaker 9: This year.

596
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 5: But Scott Frost has done awfully well since, you know,

597
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:43,880
at UCF prior to his stint at Nebraska where he flapped.

598
00:26:44,319 --> 00:26:48,759
I would have a small lean here on UCF. Laying

599
00:26:48,759 --> 00:26:49,880
the points at home.

600
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,039
Speaker 1: Not good news for me. Not good news for me.

601
00:26:57,799 --> 00:26:59,680
I'm taking the points of Bill Belichick. I think that

602
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:01,880
I could see it.

603
00:27:02,039 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 9: You know, I could see playing.

604
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:04,759
Speaker 4: Against TCU in two ways.

605
00:27:04,799 --> 00:27:06,759
Speaker 1: One, I don't think there as good as advertise as

606
00:27:06,759 --> 00:27:08,640
we saw as week one, so I'm taking SMU. And

607
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,640
then two, I also think North Carolina, some of those

608
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:14,640
teams you mentioned it, how Maryland goes in and they

609
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:17,079
beat up on those cupcakes. I actually think that that

610
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:20,160
is good for some of these middle of the road teams.

611
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,319
I think Bill Snyder perfected that those playing those Northern

612
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:26,279
Illinois schools or North Dakota or whatever. You beat up

613
00:27:26,319 --> 00:27:28,519
on those cupcakes. It gives you a chance to work

614
00:27:28,559 --> 00:27:30,960
out some of the kinks in your offense, defense, special

615
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,720
teams wherever you're having shortfalls. And it also gives your

616
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:36,839
team confidence to get some of those wins so that

617
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,319
when they do get into conference play, I don't know,

618
00:27:39,599 --> 00:27:40,920
I'll get you.

619
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,200
Speaker 5: Don't know, whatever way you want to spin it if

620
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:44,319
it makes you feel better.

621
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 1: I think that some of these teams do need those

622
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:51,200
need those confidence boosters. If you will, you know we

623
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:55,599
can't all have you know Alabama FSU week one and uh,

624
00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:57,839
you know you can't play those teams each and every

625
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:02,920
single week. Okay, let's get into some of these questions, guys, Army.

626
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:06,279
This was a game that our de Caesar mentioned, this

627
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:07,720
North Texas Army game.

628
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:09,839
Speaker 4: He mentioned they were gonna need North Texas.

629
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:12,759
Speaker 1: This Army team beat up on my Kansas State Wildcats

630
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,640
held the possession in the second half for all but

631
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:19,480
three minutes, in like twelve seconds. It was crazy. Is

632
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,119
Army as good as advertised here? Or should we be

633
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:23,839
looking at North Texas?

634
00:28:24,319 --> 00:28:26,799
Speaker 5: You know, every time you think you got things figured

635
00:28:26,839 --> 00:28:31,079
out in college football, you don't. Because I even text

636
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,200
you and I says, if Kansas State doesn't wake up

637
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:36,240
in this spot against Army, they'll never wake up in

638
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:41,359
You were sort of skeptical, and you were right. And look,

639
00:28:42,839 --> 00:28:46,319
Army loses their opening game at home to Tarleton State,

640
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,839
a FCS team. They go on the road and they

641
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,559
control the tempo as they like to do.

642
00:28:53,319 --> 00:28:54,559
Speaker 9: But I'm still not sold.

643
00:28:55,119 --> 00:28:58,519
Speaker 5: I think North Texas coming off a very impressive performance

644
00:28:58,599 --> 00:29:02,119
against inferior opposition and of course last week, but it

645
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:05,200
tells me everything when Army opens up as a favorite

646
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,079
here and now North Texas is a favorite, and I

647
00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:08,880
think rightfully.

648
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:10,519
Speaker 9: So I think what we saw with.

649
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:14,759
Speaker 5: Army against Kansas State and my estimation is more of

650
00:29:14,759 --> 00:29:18,799
a fluke than a reality. And I think that North

651
00:29:18,839 --> 00:29:22,599
Texas has too many offensive weapons for Army to control.

652
00:29:23,559 --> 00:29:27,279
And again, if Army falls behind, which I believe they

653
00:29:27,359 --> 00:29:30,799
will in this game, they're not built to come from behind.

654
00:29:30,839 --> 00:29:33,720
The problem with the Kansas State game for the Wildcats

655
00:29:33,839 --> 00:29:36,799
was they weren't in that position. Army was able to

656
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:40,000
continue to play with their identity and not have to

657
00:29:40,039 --> 00:29:43,920
be in uncomfortable positions. I think they'll be in more

658
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:47,640
of an uncomfortable position against an explosive offensive team in

659
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:50,400
North Texas, and I have a lean toward North Texas.

660
00:29:50,519 --> 00:29:53,319
Speaker 1: Col All right, we're on the same page. There a

661
00:29:53,319 --> 00:29:57,160
couple questions some of these underlying games. I know I'm

662
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,559
just throwing you for a loop. Blame the comments section,

663
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,160
so I'll give you a minute to look if you

664
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:03,119
need to find your notes. Louisville was a team that

665
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,200
I was really high on this year. I thought, hey,

666
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,960
they have an outside chance to win the ACC. I

667
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,200
spring it a little bit of money there plus seven

668
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:13,200
point fifty. Talk to me about this Louisville team. Do

669
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,559
you have any thoughts on them long term versus Bowling Green.

670
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 5: Well, I know that Teddy really like Louisville going into

671
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,720
the year when we did our college football preview show.

672
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,279
I'm not quite as high on Louisville as Teddy is.

673
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:29,720
I don't know how you feel about him against a

674
00:30:29,759 --> 00:30:32,720
Bowling Green team that I believe. They're coming off a

675
00:30:32,759 --> 00:30:35,319
win last week, right, Kelly, if I'm not mistaken, an

676
00:30:35,359 --> 00:30:35,920
upset win?

677
00:30:36,079 --> 00:30:36,319
Speaker 2: Was it?

678
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 4: And it was an upset win?

679
00:30:38,319 --> 00:30:41,359
Speaker 5: Yes? Yeah, in any event, I really you know, I

680
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,759
don't have a strong opinion one way or the other

681
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,640
end Louisville. They're a team that I want to see

682
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:48,759
when they get into more of what I like to

683
00:30:48,799 --> 00:30:52,640
deem as the meat and potatoes against some quality opposition,

684
00:30:52,799 --> 00:30:56,319
at least one quality opponent before I make any kind

685
00:30:56,319 --> 00:31:00,559
of decision or strong opinion is to the long term

686
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,039
success or lack thereof for Louisville.

687
00:31:03,599 --> 00:31:06,519
Speaker 1: That is fair. I think sometimes we do need teams

688
00:31:06,519 --> 00:31:08,519
to be able to pass the eye test for us,

689
00:31:08,839 --> 00:31:13,119
and there's just some that aren't. Here's a good one, Clemson, Syracuse.

690
00:31:13,279 --> 00:31:14,960
Is Clemson actually going to show up today?

691
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:15,039
Speaker 2: That?

692
00:31:15,039 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 1: I think we get asked that almost every single week.

693
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,119
Is Clemson going to show up? They didn't show up

694
00:31:19,119 --> 00:31:21,279
in the second half there versus Troy A couple of

695
00:31:21,359 --> 00:31:23,359
weeks ago, look Syracuse.

696
00:31:23,519 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 4: I like fran Brown. I bet against him.

697
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 1: I had Connecticut plus six and a half and that

698
00:31:30,039 --> 00:31:33,200
was really painful to lose that in overtime. But Franz said,

699
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,559
you know what, unacceptable. You guys should have lost this game.

700
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:38,680
He knew they pulled one out of there, you know what,

701
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:40,400
And he said, you guys are running laps.

702
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 4: You guys are running a drillage.

703
00:31:41,559 --> 00:31:41,759
Speaker 5: Yeah.

704
00:31:41,799 --> 00:31:43,759
Speaker 9: After the game.

705
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,880
Speaker 1: I love to see it. I love to see it.

706
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,599
Speaker 4: I like brand Brown. I think he is a solid

707
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:49,480
football coach.

708
00:31:50,279 --> 00:31:52,759
Speaker 1: And I can't say the same about Dabo Sweeney.

709
00:31:52,799 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 4: I think the game may have passed him by.

710
00:31:55,359 --> 00:31:56,799
Speaker 1: I know a couple of years ago he had those

711
00:31:56,839 --> 00:32:00,319
thoughts that he wasn't gonna need anil, the Clemson brand

712
00:32:00,079 --> 00:32:02,839
and so forth, We're going to be enough. Obviously, he's

713
00:32:02,839 --> 00:32:04,759
had to change his tune there, But let's kind of

714
00:32:04,759 --> 00:32:08,519
talk about this Clemson Syracuse game. Seventeen and a half

715
00:32:08,559 --> 00:32:11,519
points has me looking towards a dog. Not going to

716
00:32:11,559 --> 00:32:12,880
get to the window with them. I don't think.

717
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 5: No, I'm not going to get to the window either.

718
00:32:15,759 --> 00:32:19,640
And being close in proximity of Syracuse here in western

719
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:21,880
New York, we get a lot of Syracuse cover and

720
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,480
I could agree with you wholeheartedly. I love fran Brown.

721
00:32:25,599 --> 00:32:28,240
I think what he's trying to do at Syracuse in

722
00:32:28,279 --> 00:32:31,440
the direction he's headed is a good one. Now, can

723
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:36,359
they win this game? Possibly, but probably not. Okay, but

724
00:32:36,799 --> 00:32:40,920
as far as the seventeen or seventeen and a half goes, look,

725
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:43,920
Steve Angeli's been a hell of a pickup Kelly. You know,

726
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:47,359
transfer quarterback from Notre Dame makes you wonder when you

727
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:49,759
look at Notre Dame and how they perform so far.

728
00:32:50,559 --> 00:32:51,079
Speaker 9: And CJ.

729
00:32:51,279 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 5: Carr, How the heck did they pick CJ. Carr over

730
00:32:53,759 --> 00:32:59,000
Steve Angelly is beyond me. Steve Angeli is passed for

731
00:32:59,279 --> 00:33:03,359
over a thousand yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions, and

732
00:33:03,559 --> 00:33:06,640
Syracuse is pretty talented on the outside. The problem with

733
00:33:06,759 --> 00:33:10,160
the Orange is their ability to stop people Now, Clemson

734
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,279
has not shown that they're an explosive offense, but I

735
00:33:13,279 --> 00:33:16,559
think they're going to have some offensive success today against

736
00:33:16,599 --> 00:33:20,519
a very vulnerable Syracuse defense in my opinion. But I

737
00:33:20,559 --> 00:33:23,680
can see this. You know, Syracuse is Live, is a

738
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:26,759
big dog here. I think they get inside the number

739
00:33:27,079 --> 00:33:30,279
and don't rule out the possibility with their offense that

740
00:33:30,359 --> 00:33:33,039
they get back door to this game, you know, a

741
00:33:33,119 --> 00:33:35,599
late touchdown to get inside the number as well. So

742
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:39,119
I would have the slightest the leans here towards Syracuse.

743
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:40,599
Speaker 9: And yeah, Kelly, I agree.

744
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 5: You know, I just don't think it's not a matter

745
00:33:42,519 --> 00:33:45,519
of well Clemson show up. They haven't proven to be

746
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:49,599
very that hype team. I'm not going to say they're

747
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:52,160
not a very good team, but they were getting a

748
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:56,119
lot of hype as a potential national champion before the

749
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:59,960
season started. Cade Klaubnick to me he was getting all

750
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:03,759
hype as a Heisman Trophy candidate. He's not shown me anything,

751
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:07,359
nor is the Clemson offense so far. So that's what

752
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:08,679
I got to say about that.

753
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:10,119
Speaker 1: Hey, I'm with you.

754
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:11,239
Speaker 4: I am with you.

755
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:13,440
Speaker 1: Just a few short weeks in here and we've already

756
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:17,280
got big, big comments, all right, A couple more questions,

757
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:19,400
and then we're gonna bring in Steve Merrill to take

758
00:34:19,519 --> 00:34:22,960
us home. Bill wants to know what Ross thinks about

759
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:27,440
Michigan at Nebraska. Let me double check my notes just.

760
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 4: Because I wanted to not get it wrong.

761
00:34:28,599 --> 00:34:30,880
Speaker 1: Artis Cazar told me from the Westgate super Book this

762
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,480
morning that Michigan was gonna be their biggest need.

763
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:38,320
Speaker 4: They're inundated with Nebraska money. They saw to the open

764
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:38,960
game of the year.

765
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,320
Speaker 1: Three two and a half is what they opened this

766
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,639
week down to pick them back up to two and

767
00:34:43,679 --> 00:34:47,840
a half. Russ, I you talk about Clemson, I'm gonna

768
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:51,639
talk about Nebraska. Nebraska hasn't been good since Tom Osborne retired.

769
00:34:51,679 --> 00:34:53,960
I mean, I shouldn't say that they had a little

770
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,639
stretch there where they were all right, But the point

771
00:34:56,679 --> 00:35:01,800
being is to Nebraska standards, this team can't seem to

772
00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:05,639
get over that eight nine win hump. Is this the

773
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:07,679
year that they finally get it with Matt rule. I

774
00:35:07,679 --> 00:35:10,360
think Matt Roull is an awesome coach. I love what

775
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:13,519
he brings to his programs, but that doesn't always quot

776
00:35:14,039 --> 00:35:16,639
What he did at Baylor might not work in Lincoln, right,

777
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:20,039
So just hearing your thoughts here on Michigan. Are they

778
00:35:20,039 --> 00:35:23,320
going to go in and beat up Nebraska there in Lincoln.

779
00:35:24,119 --> 00:35:27,159
Speaker 9: I get the feeling you like Michigan in this game, so.

780
00:35:28,559 --> 00:35:32,480
Speaker 5: Correct this game. I'm just okay. I was just my

781
00:35:32,639 --> 00:35:35,280
intuition from working with you a couple of times.

782
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:35,559
Speaker 9: Now.

783
00:35:36,559 --> 00:35:40,199
Speaker 5: Anyway, you know what they say about people with assumptions, Kelly,

784
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:44,599
and anyway, Michigan, I'm not crazy about the fact they're

785
00:35:44,599 --> 00:35:47,360
going on the road with a true freshman quarterback, and

786
00:35:47,639 --> 00:35:50,599
also the fact that in their one true road test

787
00:35:51,159 --> 00:35:54,480
at Oklahoma, their offense failed miserably.

788
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:57,559
Speaker 9: Brad Underwood or excuse.

789
00:35:57,199 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 5: Me, Brad Underwood, the kid from Underwood, this true freshman

790
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:07,679
quarterback from Michigan. Yeah, Bryce, Yeah, yeah, whatever at any event.

791
00:36:08,559 --> 00:36:11,000
That's why I just try to beat numbers and not

792
00:36:12,119 --> 00:36:13,960
on ESPN talking about names.

793
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:14,400
Speaker 9: Anyway.

794
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:18,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, I look, I think Nebraska's on the right track.

795
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,719
Getting off tangent here. So but to answer your question,

796
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:25,559
and I have a small lean toward Nebraska here, I

797
00:36:25,599 --> 00:36:29,119
think that this is a statement game for them. They're

798
00:36:29,119 --> 00:36:33,960
bringing in a brand name school in Michigan. Is I

799
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:38,639
don't think Michigan's that good as they've been in past years,

800
00:36:39,639 --> 00:36:43,880
But This is Nebraska's opportunity at home and to make

801
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:47,800
a statement say hey, we're relevant again. And if they're

802
00:36:47,800 --> 00:36:50,280
ever going to do so, this is their chance, because

803
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:52,800
if they fail miserably here, it's going to be talk

804
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,119
of the same old Nebraska over and over again.

805
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:58,440
Speaker 1: All right, Ross, before we get out of here, let

806
00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,440
everybody know what you got over at wagertalk dot com.

807
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:03,320
Steve Merrill, I see him waiting in the wings. If

808
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,519
you guys have a question for Steve, drop it in

809
00:37:05,519 --> 00:37:05,960
the chat.

810
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:07,800
Speaker 4: Ross, Red Hot Ross.

811
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 1: I know ever really likes to call you Ross the Boss,

812
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,280
but I'm gonna call you Red Hot Ross instead.

813
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,599
Speaker 5: Okay, whatever you call me is fine with me, Kelly.

814
00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:18,360
So yeah, four and oh last week in college football

815
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,719
ten and five to start the year, I sent you

816
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,239
the couple of streaks I have in college football going

817
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:27,199
back to last year. Now we're seventy and forty with

818
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:30,159
our last one hundred and ten college football premium picks.

819
00:37:30,519 --> 00:37:35,239
I believe that's sixty four percent since twenty twenty three,

820
00:37:35,599 --> 00:37:39,880
up over ninety six units in college football, which is

821
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:43,159
number one at wagertalk dot com in that category.

822
00:37:44,199 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 9: So yeah.

823
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,559
Speaker 5: Major League Baseball continued as a role too, folks, Number

824
00:37:47,559 --> 00:37:50,639
one in Major League Baseball as we speak, So a

825
00:37:50,679 --> 00:37:53,320
lot of good stuff. Four big plays today. One goes

826
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:57,199
at noon Eastern time. My five percent best beat goes

827
00:37:57,239 --> 00:38:00,960
tonight in the National TV Game two game at three thirty.

828
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:06,719
Take advantage, folks. We're on a really nice role. And

829
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:11,320
again forty nine dollars Weekend Warriors Special Folks, it's thirty

830
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:14,639
five dollars from my college football five percent best bet Today.

831
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:16,960
You're gonna get the rest of my college football You're

832
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,679
gonna get all of my NFL tomorrow, my Monday night

833
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:23,280
pick in the NFL. Take advantage of at forty nine

834
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:27,480
dollars my personal link WT dot buzz slash RBWT dot

835
00:38:27,519 --> 00:38:30,840
buzz slash RB And don't forget to check out our

836
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:34,880
show on Thursdays, The Blitz with Brian Power, Ralph Michaels

837
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:37,800
and myself, as we highlight all the big games of

838
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:41,199
the week, and you'll get an early take from us

839
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:45,199
every Thursday live at one o'clock right Eastern time.

840
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:46,519
Speaker 9: Right here at wager Talk.

841
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,800
Speaker 1: TV YEP Waiters Talk TV wager Talk YouTube channel, you

842
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:53,559
can catch Ross, Brian Power and Ralph, Michael Sock and

843
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:56,079
all the College Football Great Show on the Blitz. If

844
00:38:56,079 --> 00:38:58,280
you guys haven't caught that over there, you can also

845
00:38:58,639 --> 00:39:01,159
listen to it on all of your podcast networks. Thank

846
00:39:01,199 --> 00:39:05,599
you to Ross. We've got twenty one minutes until kickoff.

847
00:39:05,599 --> 00:39:07,800
Weve got Steve Merril coming in to take us right

848
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,440
up until kickoff. As long as you guys have a question.

849
00:39:10,519 --> 00:39:12,000
Good morning Steve Merrill.

850
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:14,119
Speaker 8: There we go. Got to get the w on the.

851
00:39:15,599 --> 00:39:15,800
Speaker 2: Yes.

852
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:18,320
Speaker 1: I bought polos for all these guys and now Steve

853
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:19,599
Marrel is the only one that wears on him and

854
00:39:19,599 --> 00:39:21,199
Adam trigger Steve.

855
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:22,920
Speaker 8: By the way, that the best part of the shirt

856
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:24,519
is the sleeve. Man. We got to do this on

857
00:39:24,559 --> 00:39:25,480
the front next time.

858
00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 1: Okay, listen.

859
00:39:26,559 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 4: I was just trying to mix it up.

860
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:29,199
Speaker 1: I know you guys are no.

861
00:39:29,679 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 8: I love it. I'm just saying you don't see as

862
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:31,920
much on TV.

863
00:39:32,079 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 1: But yeah, I had like golf polo in my brain.

864
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:37,920
You know, when guys are out there golfing, you know

865
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:38,760
you want to have branding.

866
00:39:39,119 --> 00:39:39,719
Speaker 4: It is what it is.

867
00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 1: Let's get into some of these questions. Andrew had a

868
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:46,119
question about Missouri. Leonora Sellers is going to be playing

869
00:39:46,199 --> 00:39:50,000
in this game, hopefully, because we would never wish injurypond anybody.

870
00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:52,159
He gets to play for all four quarters, but Mike

871
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:54,039
Shula is going to do his best to keep that

872
00:39:54,079 --> 00:39:58,239
guy upright against this Tigers front seven. See break down

873
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:03,599
this South Carolina Zouri game down to let's see odds

874
00:40:03,599 --> 00:40:06,000
logic screen. What do you got, Steve on your own?

875
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,519
Speaker 8: Oh, I'm saying ten now, and I'm so glad. I'm

876
00:40:08,519 --> 00:40:10,320
so glad you led with this game because I was

877
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:11,960
going to ask you to talk about it because look,

878
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:14,840
I love the comments the live chat, and I did

879
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,920
do a double video for this game and also one

880
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:19,840
of the other night games. Which one was it? Ever? Again,

881
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:21,719
I did so many games, but anyway, whatever the another

882
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:24,320
night game I did, Miami of Florida, did Nebraska Michigan game,

883
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,280
Miami of Florida, Florida game, this game. Also I think

884
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:29,119
I did one of the top twenty fives, mixed them

885
00:40:29,119 --> 00:40:32,840
all together, so I'm confused. But anyway, Leonora's Sellers was

886
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:34,440
the key because I did the video on Thursday and

887
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:36,360
he was questionable, and right after I released it, he

888
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:38,079
was upgraded to probable. So I did want to give

889
00:40:38,119 --> 00:40:40,800
everybody that update. He's expected to play and we kind

890
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:43,559
of knew that was coming because the line was eleven

891
00:40:43,639 --> 00:40:45,280
up as high as thirteen, and then when I did

892
00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:47,119
the video, it had already dropped from ten to nine

893
00:40:47,159 --> 00:40:49,400
and a half and the total had risen three points

894
00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:51,320
as well, so we kind of had a feeling. The

895
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:54,360
Betty markets thought the Nori Sellers was playing for South Carolina.

896
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:56,760
He left last week in the second quarter with a

897
00:40:56,800 --> 00:41:00,320
head injury concussion, most likely against Vandy. It was ugly.

898
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:02,639
They lost thirty one to seven. They fell out of

899
00:41:02,679 --> 00:41:05,000
the top twenty five. They were ranked eleventh last week.

900
00:41:05,039 --> 00:41:08,320
They're not even ranked anymore. Missouri's moved up from twenty

901
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:11,360
fifth to twenty third. By the way, in the additional votes,

902
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,039
I think South Carolin was like third, so they'd be

903
00:41:13,079 --> 00:41:14,639
like twenty eighth right now, so they have a chance

904
00:41:14,639 --> 00:41:17,519
to play their way back in. I don't think it happens, Kelly.

905
00:41:17,679 --> 00:41:20,639
My ten thousand game simulation favors Missouri by thirteen and

906
00:41:20,639 --> 00:41:24,039
a half, So with Sellers in or out at ten,

907
00:41:24,079 --> 00:41:26,800
there's value and I would have liked it either way

908
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:28,639
here or lee Missouri. The other reason I wanted to

909
00:41:28,679 --> 00:41:30,960
talk about this real quick is in the video when

910
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,199
I said Leonora's Sellers. It made me think of Larry

911
00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:35,800
Sellers from The Big Lebowski. Now you're old enough like

912
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,360
me to remember it's a great movie from the late nineties.

913
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:40,440
You got to watch it about five times to really

914
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:44,239
appreciate the brilliance. But Larry Sellers is the punk on

915
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:46,280
near the end and out Burger who they thought had

916
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:49,199
stolen all the money. So I asked people to put

917
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:51,639
their favorite Big Lebowski quotes. I was just checking them

918
00:41:51,639 --> 00:41:54,400
about thirty minutes ago. There are some gems in there.

919
00:41:54,519 --> 00:41:56,400
I'm gonna start running with this. So if you're watching

920
00:41:56,480 --> 00:41:59,079
right now, in the live chatter on the replay, drop

921
00:41:59,119 --> 00:42:01,360
your favorite Big Leabalt quotes. Anybody under thirty is not

922
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:03,440
going to get what we're talking about, which is a shame,

923
00:42:04,039 --> 00:42:05,679
but man, there's some good lines in them. I was

924
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,920
cracking up reading the comments, Kelly, because as you know,

925
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,079
I read the comments and I do reply back.

926
00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:14,159
Speaker 1: Steve does read all the comments. All right, So next question.

927
00:42:14,199 --> 00:42:17,360
We've already talked about Maryland, but I will say Ross

928
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:19,679
didn have a big opinion here. Maryland is one of

929
00:42:19,679 --> 00:42:22,400
my best bets this week. I think Malik Washington is

930
00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:25,000
a really I think he's a star. I think he

931
00:42:25,039 --> 00:42:28,000
has real star potential. Maybe the rest of the Maryland

932
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:30,079
team doesn't look that good, so they make him look

933
00:42:30,119 --> 00:42:32,440
a lot better. And of course they played a bunch

934
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:34,880
of cupcakes, so you've got to kind of bring back

935
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:38,159
in some of those expectations. But I watched those Badgers

936
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:42,199
defense last week and they just got pummelted. Yes, I

937
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:44,880
understand it was by Alabama, but these.

938
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:48,079
Speaker 4: I'm gonna say this, these middle of the road teams,

939
00:42:48,119 --> 00:42:48,719
my team.

940
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,599
Speaker 1: Included Kansas State, whatever that may be, are not getting

941
00:42:51,599 --> 00:42:53,360
the best athletes that they used to get, and I

942
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:57,559
think Wisconsin under Luke Fickle is starting a downward trend.

943
00:42:58,000 --> 00:42:59,840
Ten points was just too many points for me. I

944
00:43:00,039 --> 00:43:01,960
think this defense could easily give up a late back

945
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:04,039
to recover, and I wouldn't be shocked in the slightest.

946
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:06,599
Speaker 8: Yeah, I think you're onto something about trying to identify

947
00:43:06,679 --> 00:43:09,320
teams and really programs that are in that mold. And

948
00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:11,119
I'll mention a couple others real quick when we look

949
00:43:11,159 --> 00:43:14,039
at this game. A friend of mine, Dania Leewen's huge

950
00:43:14,119 --> 00:43:16,199
Virginia Tech fan, goes to all the games and they

951
00:43:16,679 --> 00:43:18,840
made T shirts last week to get the ad fires

952
00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:21,440
a hashtag that was trending, and of course they lost

953
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:24,440
outright to Old Dominion. Pry is gone. It looks like

954
00:43:24,519 --> 00:43:26,760
Virginia Tech's having some trouble, maybe catching up to this

955
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:29,880
in il portal. Another team I'll mention is Oklahoma State.

956
00:43:30,159 --> 00:43:32,119
I did a video for that game against Tulsa the

957
00:43:32,199 --> 00:43:35,159
other day. Last night on the Friday, I got it wrong.

958
00:43:35,199 --> 00:43:37,280
I thought Oklahoma State was in a breakout spot. The

959
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:40,880
fact they lost outright as a two touchdown favorite is

960
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:43,119
not a good sign for Mike Gundy. I'm a man,

961
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:45,480
he might be unemployed pretty soon. He's been there like

962
00:43:45,519 --> 00:43:49,559
twenty one years or nineteen years or something. Anyway, Virginia Tech,

963
00:43:49,599 --> 00:43:51,199
Oklahoma State a couple of teams. I think they are

964
00:43:51,199 --> 00:43:53,360
having trouble maybe in the modern era of college football.

965
00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:54,800
And I bring that up because I agree with you.

966
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:57,320
Wisconsin is another one of those teams I'm kind of

967
00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,719
keeping a close eye on for the same reason. With

968
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:01,800
that said, I do think this could be a bounce

969
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:04,280
back spot for them. I liked Alabama last week. I

970
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:05,760
gave it out in my free video that I did

971
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:09,159
for the Wisconsin Alabama game. They won by twenty four's

972
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:12,039
just under a three touchdown favorite. I'm not big on

973
00:44:12,119 --> 00:44:14,679
Wisconsin as a dog because they can't play from behind.

974
00:44:14,679 --> 00:44:18,119
They're not an explosive offensive team, but their rush defense

975
00:44:18,159 --> 00:44:20,719
has been incredible. Even last week against Alabama, they held

976
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,719
them to just seventy two rushing yards. Maryland has not

977
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:25,440
run the ball well in any of the three games

978
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:27,880
this season. I think that'll be the difference in this

979
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:30,480
one is that Wisconsin will control the line of scrimmage

980
00:44:30,639 --> 00:44:34,119
and went in doubt. I rely on my power ratings,

981
00:44:34,159 --> 00:44:37,159
my ten thousand game simulation as Wisconsin winning by fourteen

982
00:44:37,199 --> 00:44:40,039
on average. Not a game I'm involved in, but I

983
00:44:40,039 --> 00:44:42,639
would actually lean Wisconsin just due to the line value

984
00:44:42,639 --> 00:44:45,159
at ten or less. However, as we checked the Odds

985
00:44:45,159 --> 00:44:47,079
Logic screen, this is now steamed up to ten and

986
00:44:47,119 --> 00:44:48,760
a half across the board. It's lightened up like a

987
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:52,440
Christmas tree, so not much value left at this point.

988
00:44:52,079 --> 00:44:55,880
Speaker 1: Not good for me, Not good for me. Okay, let's

989
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:57,920
take a look at a couple of these other questions.

990
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:01,519
Bill wants to know whether or not you like Tulane

991
00:45:01,519 --> 00:45:03,599
plus the points at Old Miss. I had Tulane on

992
00:45:03,639 --> 00:45:05,360
my very long list. I liked a lot of dogs

993
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:06,920
this week. I know every ready jokes every week that

994
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:09,079
I like a lot of dogs, but there was probably

995
00:45:09,159 --> 00:45:12,000
twelve dogs on my list that I initially started out with.

996
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,079
This was one of them. I didn't think that they

997
00:45:15,079 --> 00:45:17,840
could get the outright win. I bet Kentucky against Old Miss.

998
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:20,840
I bet Arkansas against Old Miss, both teams I thought

999
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,519
had an opportunity to win. I'm not sure Tulane has

1000
00:45:23,559 --> 00:45:26,119
an opportunity to win, so I left them off eleven

1001
00:45:26,159 --> 00:45:27,639
and a half points. Steve, what say you?

1002
00:45:29,039 --> 00:45:32,159
Speaker 8: So my simulation has Ole Miss by eleven and a

1003
00:45:32,159 --> 00:45:35,199
half to twelve, So I think this game is pretty

1004
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:37,639
much spot on as far as that goes. I'm sorry,

1005
00:45:37,639 --> 00:45:39,760
my simulation has my eighteen and a half. The line

1006
00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:40,840
is eleven and a half for twelve, So I was

1007
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:42,199
just say I think the light is off by about

1008
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,800
a touchdown, and I'm not in a hurry to fade

1009
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:47,199
Old Miss. This is a team I think that wants

1010
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:49,880
to route teams whenever they can. I rate them as

1011
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:52,519
a top ten offensive unit this year. Toulayne I rate

1012
00:45:52,639 --> 00:45:55,360
is a top thirty offense. Kelly and I think both

1013
00:45:55,599 --> 00:45:57,519
offenses are pretty good, so that the over could be

1014
00:45:57,559 --> 00:45:58,920
worth a look here if you want to stay away

1015
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:00,599
from the side. I do like all As I said,

1016
00:46:00,599 --> 00:46:03,119
I think there's about a touchdown line value, but I

1017
00:46:03,119 --> 00:46:05,239
wouldn't disagree with an over sixty one. It's one of

1018
00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:07,519
the higher totals. But as Ralph Michaels likes to say

1019
00:46:07,519 --> 00:46:09,880
it and I say as well, the bigger totals normally

1020
00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:12,559
go over and that gets you also to maybe looking

1021
00:46:12,599 --> 00:46:14,679
at an old miss team totals. I check the Odds

1022
00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:18,079
Logic screen right now, we're seeing that around thirty five

1023
00:46:18,119 --> 00:46:19,800
and a half. I'll tell you what, Kelly, these team

1024
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:21,679
totals in both the NFL and college they do such

1025
00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:24,400
a great job of putting that extra half point right

1026
00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:26,400
on key numbers that just kind of keeps you off them.

1027
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:28,960
And obviously at thirty five and a half, you probably

1028
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:30,760
got to get to thirty seven or thirty eight, So

1029
00:46:31,079 --> 00:46:33,440
lin O, miss leanover. But also though lin O, miss

1030
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:35,320
team total over, would have liked to better those thirty

1031
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:36,119
five or less.

1032
00:46:36,639 --> 00:46:39,519
Speaker 1: All right, let's got a couple more questions here before

1033
00:46:39,519 --> 00:46:40,960
we get out. Because I know what I'm doing. Why

1034
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:42,800
I keep taking myself off the screen is because I'm

1035
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:44,920
putting in some of these last minute bets, whether from

1036
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:49,280
VR Steve ross Art, all right, here you go. Nobody

1037
00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:52,079
really has a big opinion here, Steven. I think that's

1038
00:46:52,079 --> 00:46:55,280
because the number has really gotten away from being able

1039
00:46:55,679 --> 00:46:58,159
to bet Indiana at this point. So the only spot

1040
00:46:58,159 --> 00:47:01,239
I could now look at would be Illinois. I said

1041
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:03,079
earlier this week on bet on It, I said, hey, guys,

1042
00:47:03,519 --> 00:47:07,360
if you like this game and there's some stale numbers available,

1043
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,760
maybe it's on your Splash contest, or whether you have

1044
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:12,679
pick Them League with your buddies, or even in the

1045
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:16,719
Vegas college contests, use it. Unfortunately I did not find

1046
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,880
one of those. But at this point, is it Illinois

1047
00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:20,440
or pass?

1048
00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:23,760
Speaker 8: Yeah? I agree with you. There's not a lot of

1049
00:47:23,800 --> 00:47:25,519
line by now that hits seven. There are some six

1050
00:47:25,559 --> 00:47:27,079
and a halves out there still. And by the way,

1051
00:47:27,239 --> 00:47:29,880
my stimulation is Indiana by about nine points on average,

1052
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:33,599
so I do lean towards the Hoosiers at seven or less. Definitely,

1053
00:47:33,599 --> 00:47:35,039
with like six and a half better, there's about a

1054
00:47:35,039 --> 00:47:37,880
four to five percent chance Indiana wins by exactly seven points.

1055
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:40,800
It's a very key number. I did a breakdown in

1056
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:42,480
this one in my Top twenty five video, which is

1057
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:44,400
another one of those free videos here on the channel

1058
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:46,440
and the one thing I point out in that is

1059
00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:49,159
that both these teams have played extremely weak opponents so far.

1060
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,199
I do an updated schedule rank every week on my

1061
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:54,760
Power Ratings, and I rate both of these teams have

1062
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:57,719
played like bottom twenty schedules so far. They both have

1063
00:47:57,760 --> 00:48:00,000
looked impressive doing it. I did have a strong bet

1064
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,280
I spent winner last week for my clients on Illinois

1065
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:04,440
when they shut out Western Michigan. So I'm not against

1066
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:06,360
the Aline. I think they're an explosive team. They're good

1067
00:48:06,360 --> 00:48:09,239
on both sides. But Indiana was even more impressive. What

1068
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:12,760
was it seventy three nothing against Indiana State Larry Bird

1069
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:15,559
and company, So both teams coming off blowout wins. I

1070
00:48:15,639 --> 00:48:17,599
prefer to have the home team here, but the line

1071
00:48:17,639 --> 00:48:20,000
is getting a little pricey. We'd only like it at

1072
00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:21,559
seven or less per first six and a half with

1073
00:48:21,639 --> 00:48:23,119
Indiana if you can still find it.

1074
00:48:24,039 --> 00:48:27,679
Speaker 1: All right, guys, if you're looking for a college ats contest,

1075
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:31,320
then it has that game. Slash sports dot Com Backslash

1076
00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:33,360
Calling Vegas. You guys have twelve minutes to sign up,

1077
00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:36,840
and currently there is still a two thousand dollars overlay.

1078
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:40,280
So next time Steve talks about Kansas West Virginia. I'm

1079
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:43,159
gonna go in and get myself a couple more entries.

1080
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:46,599
Andrew wantsn't know about the total, but I did play

1081
00:48:46,679 --> 00:48:50,199
twelve and a half with West Virginia. Here in a

1082
00:48:50,199 --> 00:48:51,639
lot of the contests, I did not get to the

1083
00:48:51,639 --> 00:48:53,480
window with them with my hard earned money.

1084
00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:57,719
Speaker 4: Steve, here's a real reality. I think West Virginia is

1085
00:48:59,199 --> 00:49:00,920
on the up swing right.

1086
00:49:01,039 --> 00:49:04,320
Speaker 1: Couldn't have been much worse there the last couple of seasons,

1087
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,000
but rich Rod has this team moving in the right direction.

1088
00:49:07,519 --> 00:49:11,320
I had Ohio against them prior to the backyard brawl

1089
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:11,800
last week.

1090
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:13,159
Speaker 4: Everybody said Kelly got a better than the.

1091
00:49:13,119 --> 00:49:16,960
Speaker 1: Backyard brawl, and I ultimately said, okay, fine, I'm just

1092
00:49:16,960 --> 00:49:20,320
gonna cover my eyes. They got the nice win over Pittsburgh.

1093
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:25,599
Thoughts on this one, I'm not sure that West Virginia's

1094
00:49:25,639 --> 00:49:26,800
defense is getting enough love.

1095
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 4: I think this could be a rough day for Jayden Daniels.

1096
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:31,159
Jayleen Daniel excuse me?

1097
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:33,400
Speaker 8: Yeah? Is that why he's not with the commit not

1098
00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:35,840
my Washington commanders tomorrow? Is he going back to college?

1099
00:49:35,880 --> 00:49:39,360
I don't know what the rules nowadays. Why can't you right?

1100
00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:42,159
You're getting paid either? Way, and he's got eligibility left.

1101
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:45,559
I think he actually could. We've talked about this. Could

1102
00:49:45,559 --> 00:49:47,440
someone like Tom Brady. I don't know if Brady left early,

1103
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:50,079
but could Tom Brady or Lebron James. Lebron James could

1104
00:49:50,119 --> 00:49:52,360
go back and get paid. We'll talk about that more

1105
00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:54,639
when the basketball comes around. With this, nil is a mess.

1106
00:49:54,639 --> 00:49:57,800
You missing mentioned Rich Rodriguez, and I mentioned teams like

1107
00:49:57,840 --> 00:50:01,039
Gundy with Oklahoma State, has it maybe passed him by.

1108
00:50:01,119 --> 00:50:03,039
So we'll keep it one on West Virginia. With that said,

1109
00:50:03,039 --> 00:50:05,719
I do like the Mountaineers in this game. My ten

1110
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:09,239
thousand game simulation projects Kansas by only ten points on average,

1111
00:50:09,559 --> 00:50:11,440
so I do think there's some line value of plus

1112
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:13,960
twelve twelve and a half with West Virginia. And the

1113
00:50:14,000 --> 00:50:16,679
other thing I'll point out about this game. While Kansas

1114
00:50:16,760 --> 00:50:19,760
is the better offensive team, I do rate West Virginia

1115
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:22,039
as the better defensive squad in this game. And whenever

1116
00:50:22,039 --> 00:50:25,159
we get the better defensive team catching double digits, that

1117
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,679
is something I take into account. So I like West

1118
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:29,800
Virginia in this one. Not sure they can pull the

1119
00:50:29,840 --> 00:50:31,360
out right upset, but I do think they can keep

1120
00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:32,800
it within single digits.

1121
00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:36,440
Speaker 1: All right, Steve. Right now, let's talk about your best bets.

1122
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:40,440
They have been on absolute fire. Guys, while Steve does that,

1123
00:50:40,599 --> 00:50:42,679
you got any last minute questions, We've got ten minutes

1124
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:46,599
until kickoff, drop them here in the chat. Steve, College Football, NFL.

1125
00:50:46,679 --> 00:50:48,159
How's it been for you so far this season?

1126
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:50,639
Speaker 8: Yeah? So, anybody any other games? Dropping real quick? Big

1127
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:53,159
Lebowski quotes are always welcome. And if you haven't watched

1128
00:50:53,199 --> 00:50:55,280
the movie, Watch, You're gonna have to watch it five times.

1129
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:57,039
But it's well worth it. It's so Funny's near the

1130
00:50:57,079 --> 00:51:01,239
in and out Burger on fifth Football last Saturday sixty

1131
00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:03,519
seven percent NFL sixty seven percent. And I was upset,

1132
00:51:03,599 --> 00:51:05,480
Kelly because instead of going four and too, we should

1133
00:51:05,480 --> 00:51:07,159
have gone six and oho. We had some bad breaks.

1134
00:51:07,199 --> 00:51:09,880
We had the Ravens in Week one on Sunday Night,

1135
00:51:10,519 --> 00:51:13,360
and we just had some miraculous non covers. We've had

1136
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:15,039
a couple of games in which the team has shut

1137
00:51:15,039 --> 00:51:17,559
out their opponent are allowed six or lesson octov. I mean,

1138
00:51:18,039 --> 00:51:20,480
so it's been okay, but it really could be monstrous.

1139
00:51:20,519 --> 00:51:22,440
So I'm waiting for that breakout weekend. I think it

1140
00:51:22,559 --> 00:51:25,000
very well could be. Today is I've got three games

1141
00:51:25,000 --> 00:51:27,599
I like a lot in college football. I've already loaded

1142
00:51:27,639 --> 00:51:30,159
two advanced NFL plays for tomorrow, have more to come,

1143
00:51:30,679 --> 00:51:33,320
So check out my page Steve merriwager Talk dot com

1144
00:51:33,679 --> 00:51:35,760
and you can do the Weekend Warrior for forty nine,

1145
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:37,599
get Saturday and Sunday, and then if I have it,

1146
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:40,000
I might have a Monday night play actually Lyons Ravens.

1147
00:51:40,519 --> 00:51:43,079
Or you can do seven days and nights all sports,

1148
00:51:43,119 --> 00:51:46,360
all Access with Baseball for just sixty nine with promo

1149
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:49,440
code SM six y nine. Full details are on my

1150
00:51:49,519 --> 00:51:51,599
page right now. And oh, by the way, don't forget

1151
00:51:51,599 --> 00:51:54,000
a bonus free play. Every day I put my best

1152
00:51:54,000 --> 00:51:56,599
bets up for my subscribers, the exact same games I'm using,

1153
00:51:56,800 --> 00:51:59,719
and then that last cut, my strongest remaining opinion goes

1154
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:01,679
up to a bonus free play on my page every

1155
00:52:01,760 --> 00:52:04,159
day perdue. Notre Dame is up there right now for

1156
00:52:04,199 --> 00:52:07,280
the free play Saturday. Check it out Steve merrillwager Talk

1157
00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:10,840
dot com and get there quicker with shortcut WT dot

1158
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:12,679
buzz slash SM.

1159
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,599
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the Apple Cup, because when

1160
00:52:15,599 --> 00:52:17,199
both these teams were in the PAC twelve, this was

1161
00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:19,480
a big deal and I love to bet the dog

1162
00:52:19,599 --> 00:52:23,159
in the Apple Cup. But now Washington State is one

1163
00:52:23,159 --> 00:52:24,760
of those middle of the road teams that is going

1164
00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:27,760
to suffer unless they get themselves into a Power five

1165
00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:32,159
conference very quickly here. But Washington does have Ohio State

1166
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:34,599
next week. This is still an in state rival. I

1167
00:52:34,639 --> 00:52:37,320
would not say they were looking ahead. Current line on

1168
00:52:37,360 --> 00:52:39,840
the Odds Lodger screen twenty and a half fifty one

1169
00:52:39,840 --> 00:52:40,760
and a half Steve.

1170
00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 8: Yeah, we'll see if it hits twenty and one a half.

1171
00:52:43,039 --> 00:52:45,840
Twenty one obviously another very key number, right, probably about

1172
00:52:45,840 --> 00:52:48,119
a four to five percent chance again that Washington wins

1173
00:52:48,119 --> 00:52:51,239
by exactly twenty one. What is it late November, we're

1174
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:53,199
talking about the Apple Cup. This was so weird last

1175
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:54,960
year when this happened. I think it was even earlier

1176
00:52:55,039 --> 00:52:56,960
last year. It was like the second week of September.

1177
00:52:58,000 --> 00:52:59,559
But you bring up a good point, and I was

1178
00:52:59,599 --> 00:53:01,480
going to say the same thing. This game probably means

1179
00:53:01,519 --> 00:53:03,920
a lot more to the Cougars now than it does

1180
00:53:03,960 --> 00:53:07,159
the Huskies. And then you've got that potential look ahead

1181
00:53:07,159 --> 00:53:10,440
spot as well. So it really comes down to is

1182
00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:13,320
their line value with Washington State. I think there is

1183
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:16,519
actually my simulation, my ten thousand game stimulation as Washington

1184
00:53:16,559 --> 00:53:18,519
winning by about seventeen and a half on average, It's

1185
00:53:18,599 --> 00:53:21,679
under eighteen points on average, so we got to get

1186
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:23,639
twenty one twenty and a half not good enough, but

1187
00:53:23,679 --> 00:53:26,119
at plus twenty one or more. I do think there's

1188
00:53:26,119 --> 00:53:28,000
some value here. And I thought also as you said,

1189
00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:30,440
I think there's an intrinsic edge maybe with the rival dog.

1190
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:33,280
And this is something we do talk more about in November,

1191
00:53:33,599 --> 00:53:35,960
with the rivalries that teams that aren't going bowling, you

1192
00:53:36,079 --> 00:53:38,400
hit that big dog. They sometimes have something to play for.

1193
00:53:39,199 --> 00:53:42,000
Very unusual situation where we talk about it in September,

1194
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:44,320
but I think it makes sense here. And Washington had

1195
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:46,719
the bye last week, Ohio State next week. Just a

1196
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:49,320
weird scheduling spot for the Huskies this early in the season.

1197
00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:52,159
Speaker 1: Very very good catch there. That was not a game

1198
00:53:52,199 --> 00:53:55,440
that was even on a list of mine. Steve Merril

1199
00:53:55,519 --> 00:53:58,119
at Steve Merrill on social media. You guys can watch

1200
00:53:58,159 --> 00:54:00,519
Steve on the Way to Talk YouTube channel. Well he's

1201
00:54:00,519 --> 00:54:03,000
our most watched guy on the Wager Talk YouTube channel.

1202
00:54:03,039 --> 00:54:05,599
If you guys check out those single game videos he does.

1203
00:54:05,599 --> 00:54:08,039
He does a fade the public segment. What else am

1204
00:54:08,039 --> 00:54:08,760
I missing? Steve?

1205
00:54:08,800 --> 00:54:10,880
Speaker 4: I know you join us here on last call wager

1206
00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:11,440
Talk today.

1207
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:14,920
Speaker 8: Yeah. So the college football Top twenty five video is

1208
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:16,599
up right now. We touched on some of those games

1209
00:54:16,599 --> 00:54:18,239
where there are three head to heads, and then, of course,

1210
00:54:18,239 --> 00:54:20,199
as you know, Kelly, I always go a little bit deeper.

1211
00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:23,320
Three bonus games that are just a bit outside from

1212
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:25,679
the Top twenty five, so it's really a top forty video.

1213
00:54:26,199 --> 00:54:29,719
Six games for free, also five other college football games

1214
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:31,920
for free and videos, and then the NFL. I think

1215
00:54:31,960 --> 00:54:33,360
we've got three of them up now. I'm gonna have

1216
00:54:33,360 --> 00:54:35,079
the Monday Night video up as well. Always do the

1217
00:54:35,119 --> 00:54:38,400
Sunday Night videos. Chiefs and Bills, by the way, Chiefs

1218
00:54:38,440 --> 00:54:40,880
and the Chiefs and Giants, the other blue team from

1219
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,159
New York. That's how my mind works. I gave a

1220
00:54:43,199 --> 00:54:45,280
free player prop in that video. I don't really do

1221
00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:48,440
player props, a Patrick Mahomes prop that I like a lot,

1222
00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:51,079
and that's free in that video just went up this morning.

1223
00:54:51,119 --> 00:54:53,960
And then yes, I'm recording Fade the Public right after

1224
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:56,000
this with Dan the Man Alexander, So that'll be up

1225
00:54:56,039 --> 00:54:58,280
in a few hours hopefully. All you got to do

1226
00:54:58,400 --> 00:55:01,480
is click subscribe here on wager Time TV and click

1227
00:55:01,519 --> 00:55:03,400
the bill. You get an instant alert when you click

1228
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:05,039
that bill. You never miss out on the free videos.

1229
00:55:05,079 --> 00:55:07,239
And if you're liking them, thumbs up, like and comment

1230
00:55:07,239 --> 00:55:09,079
blow because we do truly read the comments and reply

1231
00:55:09,159 --> 00:55:10,320
back here. I'll wait you talk TV.

1232
00:55:10,840 --> 00:55:13,239
Speaker 1: Absolutely, thank you guys for hanging out with us here

1233
00:55:13,679 --> 00:55:16,079
on this beautiful Saturday morning. We got less than five

1234
00:55:16,119 --> 00:55:17,800
minutes of kickoff, so I gotta get out of here

1235
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:19,639
because I got to get up some of these last

1236
00:55:19,679 --> 00:55:22,239
minute bets people are asking in the comment section. Yeah,

1237
00:55:22,280 --> 00:55:25,440
I want to take that under an SMU TCU Kelly

1238
00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:28,400
from a mathematical ev perspective, view five or six Survivor picks,

1239
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:31,559
how many would you put on Seattle tomorrow? That's a

1240
00:55:31,639 --> 00:55:34,079
very good question. I like the Saints a lot. That

1241
00:55:34,119 --> 00:55:37,239
we were my best bet this week on bet on It.

1242
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:38,760
There is a reason why I did not play the

1243
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:42,639
Saints in any of my Survivor excuse me, the Seahawks

1244
00:55:42,639 --> 00:55:45,119
and any of my Survivor picks. I like the Saints

1245
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:48,760
a lot. If you want to diversify, I think I

1246
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:52,960
would probably do one at the most to Seattle. I

1247
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:55,880
know a lot of people are doing to Seattle. Two

1248
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:59,440
bucks and already had done two bills. Best of luck

1249
00:55:59,519 --> 00:56:02,159
for you guys. I will be cheering for chaos. Thank

1250
00:56:02,159 --> 00:56:04,079
you to the almost four thousand of you hanging out

1251
00:56:04,079 --> 00:56:07,360
with us here. We will see you guys tomorrow, same time,

1252
00:56:07,599 --> 00:56:13,679
same place. Good luck on all your college football bets today,