WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.040 --> 00:00:00.960 Bucks seven ninety. 2 00:00:01.240 --> 00:00:03.279 Holy crap, I don't know who the hell we think 3 00:00:03.319 --> 00:00:06.879 when we are get off our show, idiot. 4 00:00:06.679 --> 00:00:08.400 The kids are crying or trail off crying. 5 00:00:08.400 --> 00:00:10.759 Their countries are screwing it up. Gold Play Inner. 6 00:00:10.640 --> 00:00:13.039 Murals, Brother, gold Play Inner Murals. 7 00:00:13.400 --> 00:00:16.160 They're supposed to be mature adults, but they're really not. 8 00:00:16.920 --> 00:00:17.920 Who's the kid here? 9 00:00:18.879 --> 00:00:19.800 Who's the kid here? 10 00:00:19.800 --> 00:00:20.679 Are you kidding me? 11 00:00:21.359 --> 00:00:21.640 Now? 12 00:00:21.679 --> 00:00:25.480 Here's nick coffee. 13 00:00:26.800 --> 00:00:30.079 We made it, Ladies and gentlemen. It is Friday. Welcome 14 00:00:30.079 --> 00:00:33.320 in coffee and company, fueled by Thornton's here on Sports 15 00:00:33.320 --> 00:00:36.920 Talk seven ninety getting you set for the weekend. We 16 00:00:36.960 --> 00:00:39.280 made it, folks, it's here. Should be a great weekend. 17 00:00:39.799 --> 00:00:44.320 I will say this, I thought by now, not nerves, 18 00:00:44.359 --> 00:00:46.200 because it wouldn't be nerves, but like I thought, by 19 00:00:46.280 --> 00:00:50.359 now I would be feeling a little not even worried, 20 00:00:50.399 --> 00:00:54.119 but just thinking, like about a scenario where Louisville kind 21 00:00:54.119 --> 00:00:57.119 of takes away all of the good vibes they gave 22 00:00:57.200 --> 00:00:59.880 us by winning at Clemson two weeks later, turning a 23 00:01:00.320 --> 00:01:02.640 losing to the worst team in the league. And I 24 00:01:02.679 --> 00:01:06.439 never would have like believed that that should happen. But usually, 25 00:01:06.480 --> 00:01:08.040 you know, I get a little worried. As we get 26 00:01:08.079 --> 00:01:10.519 closer to game day. I try to in my mind 27 00:01:10.840 --> 00:01:14.519 think about different scenarios that would potentially, you know, give 28 00:01:14.640 --> 00:01:17.640 us different reactions. But I just can't see a scenario 29 00:01:17.719 --> 00:01:20.359 where Louisville loses this game. But hey, that's the kind 30 00:01:20.400 --> 00:01:23.879 of thing somebody says and then it happens. But you know, 31 00:01:23.920 --> 00:01:26.680 we're gonna believe in the power of positivity. Positivity today 32 00:01:26.719 --> 00:01:29.000 because Louisville throughout the year has shown when it comes 33 00:01:29.040 --> 00:01:31.239 to football that they've they've been a good team. Now 34 00:01:31.239 --> 00:01:33.959 how good they are, I mean, if you play good 35 00:01:33.959 --> 00:01:36.840 teams close but don't win, it's all subjective. I mean, 36 00:01:36.879 --> 00:01:39.879 winning and losing is ultimately how you are evaluated. And 37 00:01:39.920 --> 00:01:41.439 they've got enough wins and then they've got a big 38 00:01:41.480 --> 00:01:44.200 win against Clemson, so I'm confident that they're going to 39 00:01:44.239 --> 00:01:46.599 be able to take care of business. The only concern 40 00:01:46.640 --> 00:01:53.239 would be the awkwardness of playing in an empty stadium. Maybe, 41 00:01:53.719 --> 00:01:55.599 you know, hopefully jet lag wouldn't be getting them. They 42 00:01:55.879 --> 00:01:58.200 flew out yesterday I think, or maybe they flew out today. 43 00:01:58.200 --> 00:01:59.920 Either way, by the time this thing kicks off to 44 00:02:00.000 --> 00:02:04.120 tomorrow afternoon, I mean, hopefully jet lag has worn off 45 00:02:04.159 --> 00:02:06.280 since then, but it is awkward just to think about 46 00:02:06.319 --> 00:02:08.599 Louisville traveling that far to play a game this late 47 00:02:08.599 --> 00:02:10.639 in the year against a team that is bad, and 48 00:02:10.680 --> 00:02:13.439 we'll have no fans in the stands, so you know, 49 00:02:13.439 --> 00:02:15.639 that's the only thing that could potentially cause an issue. 50 00:02:15.639 --> 00:02:18.840 Louisll's clearly a lot better than Stanford, and even in 51 00:02:18.879 --> 00:02:22.439 games this year where they did have letdowns, let's be real, 52 00:02:22.520 --> 00:02:25.120 they were against really good teams. So I'm hopeful that 53 00:02:25.159 --> 00:02:27.360 they can take care of business. And I say take 54 00:02:27.360 --> 00:02:29.719 care of business because I'll be a little preoccupied tomorrow, 55 00:02:29.919 --> 00:02:32.240 meaning I'll be keeping up and I'll be watching, but 56 00:02:32.280 --> 00:02:33.759 a lot of it will probably be on my phone 57 00:02:33.840 --> 00:02:35.479 or depending on where I'm at at the time. But 58 00:02:35.800 --> 00:02:38.120 I'm not doing the postgame show tomorrow, so that leaves 59 00:02:38.159 --> 00:02:40.319 you in good hands with the one and only Austin Montgomery. 60 00:02:40.360 --> 00:02:41.599 That's right, Are you fired up? 61 00:02:41.719 --> 00:02:45.000 I listen? I am ready. I was hoping today would 62 00:02:45.039 --> 00:02:46.960 be Saturday. That's how ready I am. 63 00:02:47.240 --> 00:02:49.159 I'm glad you're ready. You still got twenty four hours 64 00:02:49.159 --> 00:02:51.319 before he gets here. But I feel like you're going 65 00:02:51.400 --> 00:02:55.000 to have the task of leading a postgame show when 66 00:02:55.080 --> 00:02:58.000 Louisville has their biggest victory of the season as far 67 00:02:58.039 --> 00:03:00.240 as you know margin. Let's be honest, they played two 68 00:03:00.199 --> 00:03:02.360 bumps to start the season, and they blew those teams out, 69 00:03:02.400 --> 00:03:04.639 and that's what you would expect. But really every step 70 00:03:04.680 --> 00:03:07.319 of the way it's been rather competitive and they won, 71 00:03:07.479 --> 00:03:09.479 or it's been really competitive and they have a heartbreaker. 72 00:03:09.520 --> 00:03:12.719 I think tomorrow is the beat down, which is expected, 73 00:03:12.759 --> 00:03:15.840 so you know, I'm kind of just ready for them 74 00:03:15.879 --> 00:03:18.840 to get past this one and then bring in Pitt 75 00:03:18.879 --> 00:03:22.840 for what is the the you know, the ultimate. I mean, 76 00:03:22.840 --> 00:03:25.120 it's the last home game of the season, so it's 77 00:03:25.120 --> 00:03:26.840 Senior night. It's your last chance to go watch this 78 00:03:26.919 --> 00:03:30.479 team play. It'll be either at three thirty or four o'clock, which, 79 00:03:30.520 --> 00:03:32.400 as we discussed earlier this week, like it's not a 80 00:03:32.479 --> 00:03:34.800 night game, meaning that like it kicks off at night, 81 00:03:34.919 --> 00:03:37.159 but by halftime, it's probably gonna be dark outside. And 82 00:03:37.759 --> 00:03:40.159 you never know how much weather's gonna change from one 83 00:03:40.159 --> 00:03:41.639 week to the other. But I did see that there's 84 00:03:41.680 --> 00:03:46.000 already some potential minor snow showers or even I guess 85 00:03:46.039 --> 00:03:48.520 maybe flurries, but there could be snow next weekend, which 86 00:03:48.560 --> 00:03:50.199 I know that might keep people away, But I think 87 00:03:50.240 --> 00:03:52.400 that would be awesome unless it's you know, like ten 88 00:03:52.439 --> 00:03:57.120 degrees outside, so Pittsburgh obviously Louisville hopefully they can win out. 89 00:03:57.159 --> 00:03:58.960 I mean that's best case scenario, and really that should 90 00:03:59.000 --> 00:04:01.879 be the expectation. And I'll get into some numbers later on, 91 00:04:01.919 --> 00:04:05.840 because Louisville as of now has played one of the 92 00:04:05.840 --> 00:04:10.120 toughest schedules in the country. Now moving forward, their schedule, 93 00:04:10.400 --> 00:04:12.960 like the remaining strength to schedule, it's really light because 94 00:04:13.000 --> 00:04:16.160 of who you have tomorrow. Pitt they fall in recently, 95 00:04:16.199 --> 00:04:18.920 but there's still solid. Obviously Kentucky's having a really rough year, 96 00:04:19.000 --> 00:04:22.319 so you kind of have You've gotten through what was 97 00:04:22.399 --> 00:04:25.279 viewed as you know, the real challenges, and unfortunately you 98 00:04:25.319 --> 00:04:26.800 didn't come through in a few of them, but you 99 00:04:26.920 --> 00:04:29.560 did in the most recent one that clearly meant a lot, 100 00:04:29.600 --> 00:04:31.519 and I hope that it gives this team some momentum 101 00:04:32.079 --> 00:04:35.519 down the stretch here. But the acc scenarios, this is 102 00:04:35.560 --> 00:04:37.720 something that I wanted to reset here to start the show, 103 00:04:37.720 --> 00:04:39.360 because we talked about a little bit yesterday, but I 104 00:04:39.360 --> 00:04:41.759 waited until the four o'clock hour to get into it. 105 00:04:41.959 --> 00:04:44.079 And yet I still keep hearing people and I don't 106 00:04:44.079 --> 00:04:46.360 know if you just don't want to be proven wrong, 107 00:04:46.639 --> 00:04:48.879 because here's the thing. When I tell you there's no 108 00:04:49.040 --> 00:04:53.120 possibility that Louisville ends up in the ACC Championship game, 109 00:04:54.279 --> 00:04:59.399 you can be the well actually guy, you can tell me, well, 110 00:04:59.439 --> 00:05:02.720 you're wrong. There is a possibility. So, like, I don't 111 00:05:02.759 --> 00:05:08.000 know why those that have a platform, rather it be writing, television, streaming, radio, 112 00:05:08.680 --> 00:05:10.959 they refuse to say that Louisville's not going to be 113 00:05:11.000 --> 00:05:13.600 in the ACC Championship Game. And I think it might 114 00:05:13.600 --> 00:05:16.160 be because they're worried about the correction police. They're worried 115 00:05:16.199 --> 00:05:19.319 about the well actually guy. And I'm here to tell 116 00:05:19.319 --> 00:05:21.079 you I don't give a damn about the well actually 117 00:05:21.079 --> 00:05:24.399 guy or the correction police, because let's live on planet Earth, 118 00:05:24.720 --> 00:05:26.759 let's live in reality. And I'm not doing this till 119 00:05:26.800 --> 00:05:29.279 like down Louisville. This is not like an anti Louisville thing, 120 00:05:29.319 --> 00:05:33.680 but like Pittsburgh would need to beat Clemson among many 121 00:05:33.720 --> 00:05:36.000 other things for that to happen. So I'll give credit 122 00:05:36.000 --> 00:05:38.600 words due the one and only Rick Bozych, president of 123 00:05:38.600 --> 00:05:40.959 the Kenny Payne Fan Club. He puts something up at 124 00:05:41.040 --> 00:05:44.680 WDRB dot com that really lays it out much better 125 00:05:44.720 --> 00:05:47.600 than I probably did yesterday. Should I stop doing the 126 00:05:47.600 --> 00:05:51.519 digs at Bosich about Kenny Payne, I probably should. I 127 00:05:51.519 --> 00:05:54.040 probably should. I mean everything I said it really did happen. 128 00:05:54.079 --> 00:05:55.759 But like you know, it's in the past, and he 129 00:05:55.800 --> 00:05:57.839 does good work. And I've always had great respect for Rick. 130 00:05:57.879 --> 00:06:01.879 But because I would just, you know it, whenever, I 131 00:06:01.879 --> 00:06:03.920 would try to make everybody aware how he was so 132 00:06:04.000 --> 00:06:07.240 objective for so many decades and he's such he's done 133 00:06:07.279 --> 00:06:09.920 really good work as a as a journalist that I vow. 134 00:06:10.040 --> 00:06:12.959 I mean, he's he's somebody that I seek out his 135 00:06:13.040 --> 00:06:15.720 work to read, and he's always been fair and objective, 136 00:06:15.759 --> 00:06:17.920 and then for some reason with Kenny Payin, he wasn't. 137 00:06:18.360 --> 00:06:20.360 And it, you know, I wanted to make it clear 138 00:06:20.399 --> 00:06:22.480 that like this guy, like what's going on here, don't 139 00:06:22.639 --> 00:06:24.879 don't don't think that this guy, because he's always been 140 00:06:24.879 --> 00:06:27.120 fair and consistent, is doing the exact thing with Kenny Payne. 141 00:06:27.120 --> 00:06:29.360 But nonetheless, I'll probably I'm gonna I'm gonna make it, 142 00:06:29.399 --> 00:06:32.519 I'm gonna make it a point to never reference those 143 00:06:32.519 --> 00:06:35.160 two together again. But like I'm not you're a You're 144 00:06:35.199 --> 00:06:37.160 a Louisville fan. Austin you've you've not worked on this 145 00:06:37.199 --> 00:06:39.519 show full time till recently. Like it was a well 146 00:06:39.560 --> 00:06:41.680 known thing among the Louisville community that Rick Bosicch is 147 00:06:41.720 --> 00:06:44.839 really making himself look foolish by acting like Kenny Payne 148 00:06:44.839 --> 00:06:45.720 wasn't a terrible coach. 149 00:06:45.920 --> 00:06:48.360 Yeah, back and forth? 150 00:06:48.720 --> 00:06:50.439 Yeah, I mean no, No, there was no back and forth. 151 00:06:50.480 --> 00:06:53.319 He never said a word to me, which is just 152 00:06:53.360 --> 00:06:54.959 like all the you know, I remember hearing. 153 00:06:54.800 --> 00:06:56.959 You remember me making fun of him? You probably yes, 154 00:06:57.720 --> 00:07:00.279 and it's you know, I probably shouldn't have, but it 155 00:07:00.279 --> 00:07:02.000 it was never personal. It was just, you know, like 156 00:07:02.839 --> 00:07:06.319 when people say things that like everybody knows is nonsense. 157 00:07:06.399 --> 00:07:11.360 That usually doesn't you know, that happens every day in life. 158 00:07:11.519 --> 00:07:13.480 You know, you don't know what's real anymore when it 159 00:07:13.519 --> 00:07:16.560 comes to what people are yapping about on the internet. However, 160 00:07:17.000 --> 00:07:19.839 Rick is somebody. For a long time, both sides thought 161 00:07:20.079 --> 00:07:22.199 that he hated their team. And you know what that means. 162 00:07:22.680 --> 00:07:24.439 That means that like he's doing a good job, he's 163 00:07:24.439 --> 00:07:26.279 not a homer, and for some reason he became a 164 00:07:26.279 --> 00:07:28.240 homer for Kenny Payin and I never understood it. So 165 00:07:28.319 --> 00:07:31.240 I just wanted to acknowledge, Hey, you usually can trust 166 00:07:31.240 --> 00:07:33.279 this guy to be fair. He's not being honest and 167 00:07:33.319 --> 00:07:35.319 fair this time, so it bothered me more than it 168 00:07:35.319 --> 00:07:38.040 should have. But Rick does great work and he's the 169 00:07:38.040 --> 00:07:40.600 one who put this together that I want to uh 170 00:07:40.839 --> 00:07:44.480 to bring up here because here is let's see, by 171 00:07:44.519 --> 00:07:46.920 the way, another notable stat about Stanford that we need 172 00:07:46.959 --> 00:07:51.519 to discuss here. They've thrown more interceptions than touchdowns this 173 00:07:51.600 --> 00:07:53.959 year on the season, and then they've had multiple quarterbacks play, 174 00:07:54.040 --> 00:07:57.360 so they've allowed twenty three passing touchdowns, which of course 175 00:07:57.439 --> 00:08:00.079 is more than anybody in the ACC. Their next the 176 00:08:00.199 --> 00:08:04.800 last in total offense and total defense. They stink really bad. 177 00:08:05.279 --> 00:08:08.199 So again that's another confidence booster for me to where 178 00:08:08.240 --> 00:08:10.600 Louisville they're playing a team that might be the worst team. 179 00:08:10.600 --> 00:08:13.920 In fact, there's no might to it this team, and 180 00:08:13.959 --> 00:08:16.399 it is across the country. They are at home, and 181 00:08:16.439 --> 00:08:19.079 you know, crazier things have happened. But the more I 182 00:08:19.120 --> 00:08:20.759 look at it, Louisville should be favored by more than 183 00:08:20.800 --> 00:08:24.439 twenty because Stanford is quite literally the worst team you've played, 184 00:08:25.079 --> 00:08:29.079 maybe maybe since you played Austin p in Week one 185 00:08:29.160 --> 00:08:31.839 Jacksonville State. They've actually turned it on and been pretty 186 00:08:31.879 --> 00:08:36.000 good for who they are Stanford. They suck. So anyways, 187 00:08:35.720 --> 00:08:42.720 here's the scenario where Louisville can find themselves in the 188 00:08:42.759 --> 00:08:47.240 ACC Championship game. And I don't mean this won't happen, 189 00:08:47.279 --> 00:08:50.440 but here's what is worth sharing because it is a 190 00:08:50.440 --> 00:08:54.320 little confusing. But again, it just speaks to how many 191 00:08:54.360 --> 00:08:56.279 things that are unlikely to happen need to happen for 192 00:08:56.320 --> 00:08:58.840 it to even be a possibility. So I'll read directly 193 00:08:58.879 --> 00:09:01.720 from WDRB dot comedy. So it is the clearest path Louisville, 194 00:09:02.120 --> 00:09:03.919 the clearspath Louisville has to sneak back into the a 195 00:09:03.960 --> 00:09:09.360 SEC Championship game. Discussion begins with Pittsburgh beating Clemson, which 196 00:09:09.519 --> 00:09:12.639 could happen, but I don't think it'll happen. Now. If 197 00:09:12.679 --> 00:09:14.879 that happens, what that does is it actually takes Then 198 00:09:14.879 --> 00:09:16.120 this is the reason I wanted to bring it up, 199 00:09:16.120 --> 00:09:21.919 because that result would, I guess, for maybe just a moment, 200 00:09:22.399 --> 00:09:24.480 keep hope alive for something that is not going to 201 00:09:24.519 --> 00:09:26.679 happen as far as the a SEC title game. But 202 00:09:26.759 --> 00:09:28.759 what it would do is it would diminish your win 203 00:09:28.799 --> 00:09:33.720 against Clemson, and it would actually, you know, I guess, 204 00:09:33.720 --> 00:09:37.200 I guess it would make Pittsburgh a more challenging opponent 205 00:09:37.240 --> 00:09:40.000 where there's more opportunity for you to get value if 206 00:09:40.039 --> 00:09:41.720 you beat them when they come to town next week. 207 00:09:42.159 --> 00:09:46.000 But that's the first part of it. So playoff status 208 00:09:46.039 --> 00:09:49.480 dot com. It's a website that tracks the conference championship 209 00:09:49.519 --> 00:09:54.559 probabilities playoff probabilities for all college and pro teams. Currently, 210 00:09:54.600 --> 00:09:57.519 Louisville's likelihood of being in the championship game is seven percent, 211 00:09:57.600 --> 00:09:59.679 which I feel like, you know, I'm sure they're crunching numbers. 212 00:09:59.720 --> 00:10:01.879 That's a real number, but to me, I'm like, I 213 00:10:01.960 --> 00:10:04.600 feel like it seems like more more of a one 214 00:10:04.639 --> 00:10:10.759 percent type of thing happening. But are we good? Are 215 00:10:10.799 --> 00:10:11.120 we good? 216 00:10:12.360 --> 00:10:15.519 Oh? Yeah, yeah, yeah, No, I just have a couple 217 00:10:15.480 --> 00:10:16.759 of questions for the big games. 218 00:10:16.799 --> 00:10:18.480 Okay, okay, you let me worry that we weren't on 219 00:10:18.480 --> 00:10:18.960 the air or something. 220 00:10:19.039 --> 00:10:19.759 No, no, no, we're good. 221 00:10:20.000 --> 00:10:22.159 I'm sorry. I spaz out, I lose my train of 222 00:10:22.159 --> 00:10:24.080 thought and I start I have a panic attack, even 223 00:10:24.120 --> 00:10:26.039 though nothing's wrong. So that's on me. It's on me. 224 00:10:26.080 --> 00:10:28.080 But anyways, back to to the whole acc race here. 225 00:10:28.120 --> 00:10:31.799 So Louisville of course lost SMU SMU five and zero 226 00:10:31.840 --> 00:10:34.039 and They've got three league games to play. They're nineteen 227 00:10:34.039 --> 00:10:37.519 and a half point favorites against Boston College tomorrow, and 228 00:10:37.840 --> 00:10:42.000 they're gonna probably be double digit favorites against Virginia and Cal. 229 00:10:42.240 --> 00:10:45.919 Who are there, you know, next two opponents after Boston 230 00:10:45.960 --> 00:10:49.879 College tomorrow. So you know, SMU is getting in the 231 00:10:49.919 --> 00:10:51.759 title game. I mean, that would be the biggest shocker 232 00:10:51.799 --> 00:10:53.480 of all is if they lose to one of these 233 00:10:53.519 --> 00:10:55.679 three teams. I mean, it could happen, but I just 234 00:10:55.759 --> 00:11:01.399 think it seems insanely unlikely. So Cle six and one, 235 00:11:01.480 --> 00:11:04.200 Miami five and one, Louisville four and two, and Pit 236 00:11:04.279 --> 00:11:09.600 three and two. These are the teams that, by technicality, 237 00:11:09.679 --> 00:11:12.480 can still say they're alive in the race for the 238 00:11:12.840 --> 00:11:16.919 you know, for the ACC championship game. Now Miami their 239 00:11:16.960 --> 00:11:20.720 most recent loss was their first, so they've got Wake 240 00:11:21.000 --> 00:11:23.960 in Syracuse, which they should win. Those are not teams 241 00:11:23.960 --> 00:11:28.159 that I think anybody would view as real challenges for Miami. 242 00:11:28.200 --> 00:11:30.679 Now again, I know, Miami nearly lost to Cal, and 243 00:11:31.120 --> 00:11:35.039 Louisville had him on the ropes. They should have lost 244 00:11:35.080 --> 00:11:36.639 to Virginia Tech. I forgot about who it was, But 245 00:11:36.639 --> 00:11:37.759 that was a game A little bit, a little bit 246 00:11:37.759 --> 00:11:39.440 earlier in the season. So Miami has shown us that 247 00:11:39.519 --> 00:11:42.480 they are vulnerable, and I guess we'll find out in 248 00:11:42.519 --> 00:11:45.759 the next couple of weeks. Here are they vulnerable to 249 00:11:45.799 --> 00:11:48.159 the point where like maybe somebody cracked them and they're 250 00:11:48.240 --> 00:11:50.519 just they're going to start losing, or are they you know, 251 00:11:51.159 --> 00:11:53.039 gonna be able to roll teams like they have at 252 00:11:53.039 --> 00:11:57.240 times this year. So again that I mean, the most 253 00:11:57.279 --> 00:12:01.759 likely scenario is that Miami and SMU end up in 254 00:12:01.799 --> 00:12:04.240 the championship game. I mean, I think right now that 255 00:12:04.320 --> 00:12:06.559 is that's what's to happen. So what Louisville needs is 256 00:12:06.840 --> 00:12:10.679 Miami to lose to one of those games, and I 257 00:12:10.759 --> 00:12:15.399 just don't think that's gonna happen now. Louisville also needs, 258 00:12:15.440 --> 00:12:19.559 as we mentioned earlier, Clemson to lose to pit tomorrow unlikely. 259 00:12:20.080 --> 00:12:23.000 So if Louisville beat Stanford and Pitt in these next 260 00:12:23.000 --> 00:12:26.120 two weeks, they could finish with a three way tie 261 00:12:26.240 --> 00:12:31.399 with Miami and Clemson. Obviously, Miami Clemson did not play 262 00:12:31.399 --> 00:12:33.039 in the regular season, they're likely to meet in the 263 00:12:33.039 --> 00:12:36.039 a SEC championship game. As you know, Louisville lost to Miami, 264 00:12:36.080 --> 00:12:39.480 but they but you know, but they would have defeated 265 00:12:39.519 --> 00:12:41.759 Pittsburgh at that time. So what would what it would 266 00:12:41.799 --> 00:12:45.919 come down to is the fact that these three schools 267 00:12:46.399 --> 00:12:49.480 don't share any common opponents, which is really really unusual. 268 00:12:49.559 --> 00:12:50.919 I would say this is maybe one of the better 269 00:12:51.000 --> 00:12:54.480 examples you'll find as far as understanding that these no 270 00:12:54.639 --> 00:12:57.399 divisions within these big conferences, as they continue to expand, 271 00:12:57.919 --> 00:13:00.879 is gonna make it to where you can you know, 272 00:13:00.960 --> 00:13:03.440 you could try your best to give balanced schedules, but 273 00:13:03.480 --> 00:13:05.960 it's gonna be really tough to do, especially if you've 274 00:13:05.960 --> 00:13:09.039 got not a whole lot of parody in your league. 275 00:13:09.639 --> 00:13:13.440 So they have no common opponents, So the next tiebreaker 276 00:13:13.480 --> 00:13:19.320 would be the combined winning percentage of each team's conference opponents. 277 00:13:19.960 --> 00:13:22.639 And that's where if these things played out, Louisville would win, 278 00:13:22.679 --> 00:13:24.320 and it wouldn't even be close as far as the 279 00:13:24.320 --> 00:13:27.240 tie breaker. So they take again the winning percentage of 280 00:13:27.759 --> 00:13:31.480 everybody you've played in conference, Louisville, And again this speaks 281 00:13:31.480 --> 00:13:35.039 to not only Louisville being a team that you know 282 00:13:35.200 --> 00:13:37.559 is I mean again, Louisville is in the top twenty 283 00:13:37.679 --> 00:13:40.919 right now of the college football playoff rankings because one, 284 00:13:41.000 --> 00:13:43.000 they have a good record, but they also have a 285 00:13:43.039 --> 00:13:45.080 really really good strength to schedule, and the teams that 286 00:13:45.080 --> 00:13:48.000 they lost to are good. Louisville right now, they're opponents 287 00:13:48.000 --> 00:13:52.080 in ACC play their records twenty nine to eighteen. So 288 00:13:52.519 --> 00:13:55.279 think about that. The combined record of the ACC teams 289 00:13:55.279 --> 00:13:58.600 that Louisville has played, they are eleven games above five 290 00:13:58.679 --> 00:14:04.799 HUNDREDAMMI is in second place. Their opponents combined record twenty 291 00:14:04.840 --> 00:14:07.399 one and twenty eight, a forty two percent winning percentage 292 00:14:07.399 --> 00:14:10.679 compared to Louisville's nearly sixty two percent winning percentage. As 293 00:14:10.720 --> 00:14:14.039 far as their combined opponents, Clemson even worse nineteen and 294 00:14:14.080 --> 00:14:17.480 twenty nine for a thirty nine percent winning percentage. So 295 00:14:19.720 --> 00:14:22.080 if you get there, you're in good shape. For that 296 00:14:22.159 --> 00:14:24.799 reason alone, getting there, I think is what is nearly impossible. 297 00:14:24.840 --> 00:14:27.559 And as somebody's already brought up on the text line here, 298 00:14:27.559 --> 00:14:33.440 and you're right, the things that you need to happen individually, 299 00:14:34.519 --> 00:14:37.759 although not predictable, aren't crazy. We're not asking, you know, 300 00:14:38.720 --> 00:14:41.039 a flag football team to come in and play the 301 00:14:41.080 --> 00:14:45.559 eighty five Bears, but all of those things to happen, 302 00:14:46.360 --> 00:14:49.639 that's where I feel like it's impossible. And that's why 303 00:14:50.039 --> 00:14:52.720 it's just a seven percent chance of you getting there, 304 00:14:52.799 --> 00:14:56.360 So I don't bring it up to you know, I 305 00:14:56.399 --> 00:14:58.360 don't bring it up to rain on anybody's parade or 306 00:14:58.360 --> 00:15:01.080 anything like that if you are somebody still holding onto 307 00:15:01.120 --> 00:15:04.120 that seven percent. But like, I haven't done the show yet, 308 00:15:04.159 --> 00:15:05.960 and I probably won't do it to where we're acting 309 00:15:05.960 --> 00:15:07.879 as if that's a real thing. So just you know, 310 00:15:07.960 --> 00:15:09.519 keep that in mind. That's a disclaimer for you. 311 00:15:09.600 --> 00:15:09.759 Now. 312 00:15:09.960 --> 00:15:12.120 The other reason I thought of it is because I'd 313 00:15:12.159 --> 00:15:15.159 prefer louill I mean again, actually let me ask you this, Austin, 314 00:15:15.320 --> 00:15:17.399 you know, and it's just there's no right or wrong answer. 315 00:15:17.440 --> 00:15:21.279 It's just preference, Ma man, Louisville beating Clemson. That's their 316 00:15:21.320 --> 00:15:25.240 big value, right, Yes, they have an opportunity to beat 317 00:15:25.320 --> 00:15:29.720 Pitt next week, which right now will be a solid win, 318 00:15:29.840 --> 00:15:32.600 but certainly not anything close to what you did at Clemson. 319 00:15:32.679 --> 00:15:35.679 It looks good on a resume, yeah, but not, I mean, 320 00:15:35.759 --> 00:15:39.000 but not enough to probably well, you would end up 321 00:15:39.120 --> 00:15:40.480 being able to say that you beat one of the 322 00:15:40.519 --> 00:15:44.120 better teams in the ACCA. But what would you rather 323 00:15:44.279 --> 00:15:47.639 prefer Louisville being able to continue to hold on to 324 00:15:47.759 --> 00:15:50.200 that special win against Clemson and really just prop up 325 00:15:50.200 --> 00:15:53.279 that value or Clemson losing to pitt which makes your 326 00:15:53.320 --> 00:15:56.399 win not look as impressive against them. But then maybe 327 00:15:56.440 --> 00:15:59.720 the Pittsburgh win has some more value on it because 328 00:16:00.000 --> 00:16:01.879 now they've lost two games, but they just be Clemson. 329 00:16:02.000 --> 00:16:06.279 So I'd prefer Clemson stay unbeaten. That way, you know, 330 00:16:06.360 --> 00:16:08.000 you get to the end of the year, like Clempson 331 00:16:08.039 --> 00:16:10.080 could win the ACC. Folks like I don't know they will, 332 00:16:10.399 --> 00:16:12.000 but if you can claim that, you know, it might 333 00:16:12.039 --> 00:16:14.440 make you feel even more bitter about what happened earlier 334 00:16:14.440 --> 00:16:16.600 this year with some of the setbacks against the other teams. 335 00:16:16.759 --> 00:16:19.519 But if Clemson wins the ACC, that would end up 336 00:16:19.799 --> 00:16:22.159 with Louisville continuing to be able to climb in these 337 00:16:22.240 --> 00:16:24.960 rankings each week, if in fact they can, you know, 338 00:16:25.159 --> 00:16:28.000 hold on and beat Stanford, pitt and Kentucky. So again, 339 00:16:28.039 --> 00:16:29.559 there's no right or wrong answer, but I feel like 340 00:16:29.720 --> 00:16:33.159 the scenario where Louisville could end the season looking like 341 00:16:33.200 --> 00:16:35.519 a really good team that just you know, had some 342 00:16:35.519 --> 00:16:38.440 setbacks early that kept them out maybe that if it's 343 00:16:38.440 --> 00:16:40.759 a sixteen team playoff, you're end I think the best 344 00:16:40.759 --> 00:16:45.360 scenario where that happens will be when we'll be if 345 00:16:45.399 --> 00:16:48.000 Clemson wins out and wins the ACC So that's kind 346 00:16:48.000 --> 00:16:50.159 of what I'm pulling for. But again, you know it's 347 00:16:50.360 --> 00:16:51.080 kind of all for nothing. 348 00:16:51.159 --> 00:16:52.720 You know, thinking about that, I was going to kind 349 00:16:52.720 --> 00:16:54.279 of go the different way because you could just kind 350 00:16:54.279 --> 00:16:56.200 of like parlay the wins, like, all right, let's get 351 00:16:56.200 --> 00:16:58.600 the win over Clemson, cause it didn't mean something when 352 00:16:58.639 --> 00:16:59.039 he did. 353 00:16:58.879 --> 00:17:01.320 Beat them when they were ranked. And especially the whole situation. 354 00:17:01.399 --> 00:17:03.200 I know that they don't look at their undefeated at 355 00:17:03.200 --> 00:17:05.200 home at night and however many years. 356 00:17:05.079 --> 00:17:08.279 But people know, yeah, it's not the committee's not considering 357 00:17:08.319 --> 00:17:10.000 it right, but you know, people know like that that 358 00:17:10.000 --> 00:17:11.759 didn't happen often, and Louisill beat them worse than the 359 00:17:11.759 --> 00:17:12.720 score actually showing. 360 00:17:12.960 --> 00:17:15.720 So if they remain on and stay strong, I guess 361 00:17:15.799 --> 00:17:17.960 like you'd hate you'd feel bad for it, but you 362 00:17:18.000 --> 00:17:19.759 want Clemson to kind of bounce back and kind of 363 00:17:19.799 --> 00:17:21.880 show some dominance. That way, you can kind of hold 364 00:17:21.880 --> 00:17:24.720 that over them if something happens is what was like 365 00:17:24.759 --> 00:17:27.160 a seven percent chance if you wanted to really make 366 00:17:27.200 --> 00:17:29.720 that come to perish and just like sit there at 367 00:17:29.720 --> 00:17:31.400 the end of the year and say, I mean, look 368 00:17:31.440 --> 00:17:33.880 how they bounce back from that. Louisville look how bad 369 00:17:33.960 --> 00:17:36.720 Louisville beat Clemson. It changed our whole season basically. 370 00:17:37.119 --> 00:17:40.119 Yeah, And look, there are some people that see seven percent. 371 00:17:40.200 --> 00:17:43.119 They know that that's not a great percentage, but they 372 00:17:43.160 --> 00:17:45.799 just believe in magic and maybe and I hope you're right, 373 00:17:45.839 --> 00:17:47.920 because that'd be insane. I mean, talk about a complete, 374 00:17:48.559 --> 00:17:52.680 you know, unexpected awesome thing happening. So speaking of awesome 375 00:17:52.680 --> 00:17:55.920 things happening this weekend, man, I mean, I don't know 376 00:17:55.920 --> 00:17:59.119 if people realize this because obviously, you know, it's football 377 00:17:59.160 --> 00:18:02.279 season and you got the big Jake Paul Mike Tyson 378 00:18:02.279 --> 00:18:03.680 fight tonight, which I want to talk about that. On 379 00:18:03.720 --> 00:18:05.079 the other side, we definitely need to get to that. 380 00:18:05.119 --> 00:18:06.519 I haven't talked about it at all, and I'll kind 381 00:18:06.519 --> 00:18:08.920 of explain my thoughts on the whole thing on the 382 00:18:08.920 --> 00:18:10.720 other side. But do you all realize we got some 383 00:18:11.039 --> 00:18:14.680 amazing college basketball games tonight in November on a Friday night, 384 00:18:14.759 --> 00:18:17.480 So gonna be an awesome sports weekend looking forward to. 385 00:18:17.519 --> 00:18:20.240 We'll talk about it throughout these next two and a 386 00:18:20.279 --> 00:18:24.839 half hours roughly. But again, the Tyson Paul fight, I mean, 387 00:18:24.960 --> 00:18:27.359 I feel like nobody's really saying it out loud, at 388 00:18:27.440 --> 00:18:28.559 least that I've heard, but I think a lot of 389 00:18:28.559 --> 00:18:30.119 people are kind of on the same page as far 390 00:18:30.160 --> 00:18:32.240 as how they view this entire thing, So we'll get 391 00:18:32.279 --> 00:18:34.200 to that next. It's coffee and company. We're feel about 392 00:18:34.240 --> 00:18:45.200 Thornton's right here on Sports Talk seven ninety guys. I 393 00:18:45.240 --> 00:18:48.440 wasn't kidding when I told you that we have a 394 00:18:48.440 --> 00:18:53.079 phenomenal Friday evening of college basketball games, which I know 395 00:18:53.160 --> 00:18:55.440 some people will be watching, but others will probably be 396 00:18:55.480 --> 00:18:58.720 watching the Mike Tyson in Jake Paul fight. But let 397 00:18:58.720 --> 00:19:00.200 me just give you a quick little rundown here because 398 00:19:00.319 --> 00:19:02.640 I'm want to plan on probably in the five o'clock hour, 399 00:19:03.880 --> 00:19:05.640 talking about some of these matchups because I'm gonna bet 400 00:19:05.680 --> 00:19:08.400 on them. I mean, you got number two Alabama at 401 00:19:08.440 --> 00:19:12.880