WEBVTT

1
00:00:00.120 --> 00:00:02.040
<v Speaker 1>Dave Frasier on and we normally like to have him

2
00:00:02.040 --> 00:00:03.560
<v Speaker 1>on when there's going to be a big weather change.

3
00:00:03.560 --> 00:00:06.480
<v Speaker 1>But I got to tell you, I'm fond of today's weather, Dave,

4
00:00:06.559 --> 00:00:08.480
<v Speaker 1>So I'm okay if it sticks around for a little

5
00:00:08.519 --> 00:00:12.199
<v Speaker 1>while longer. So what are we looking at? I don't

6
00:00:12.199 --> 00:00:14.880
<v Speaker 1>think there's any snow or there's really nothing in the

7
00:00:14.919 --> 00:00:15.839
<v Speaker 1>immediate forecast.

8
00:00:15.919 --> 00:00:20.559
<v Speaker 2>Is there some wind and some cool downs coming that

9
00:00:20.640 --> 00:00:21.440
<v Speaker 2>we're monitoring.

10
00:00:21.480 --> 00:00:22.239
<v Speaker 3>By the way, just on.

11
00:00:22.160 --> 00:00:23.879
<v Speaker 2>A side note, I was talking with Dave. You're a

12
00:00:23.920 --> 00:00:24.679
<v Speaker 2>bad influence.

13
00:00:24.839 --> 00:00:28.399
<v Speaker 1>What No, you know what it is, Dave. I just

14
00:00:28.600 --> 00:00:30.519
<v Speaker 1>you know, you and I are very close to the

15
00:00:30.519 --> 00:00:34.039
<v Speaker 1>same age, and you, I know, have had friends. I'm

16
00:00:34.079 --> 00:00:35.679
<v Speaker 1>sure that we're going to do all this stuff when

17
00:00:35.719 --> 00:00:38.799
<v Speaker 1>they retired, but they dropped dead when they were fifty one. Right,

18
00:00:40.079 --> 00:00:43.240
<v Speaker 1>life is life is uncertain. Live your life. And I

19
00:00:43.320 --> 00:00:45.200
<v Speaker 1>know how much he loves that band. I wouldn't say

20
00:00:45.240 --> 00:00:47.600
<v Speaker 1>for like another band, but I would say for that one.

21
00:00:47.759 --> 00:00:50.600
<v Speaker 3>Yes, that's all, you know what, And that's true.

22
00:00:50.640 --> 00:00:53.240
<v Speaker 2>And I take that same philosophy because we have had

23
00:00:53.280 --> 00:00:55.719
<v Speaker 2>friends and family members who have done that. They've worked

24
00:00:55.759 --> 00:00:57.240
<v Speaker 2>so hard right up to the end, and then the

25
00:00:57.320 --> 00:00:59.280
<v Speaker 2>end was the end and they can get to enjoy

26
00:00:59.719 --> 00:01:02.439
<v Speaker 2>the bos of their labor. And I've done that with concerts.

27
00:01:02.439 --> 00:01:04.799
<v Speaker 2>I'm in the old Man concert stage with my wife.

28
00:01:05.000 --> 00:01:06.840
<v Speaker 2>We kind of looked with it for the old band

29
00:01:06.920 --> 00:01:10.719
<v Speaker 2>and stuff. We've had the great concerts that we've got.

30
00:01:10.840 --> 00:01:15.239
<v Speaker 2>We did the Trio. We did uh Ario, Speedwagonig and

31
00:01:15.359 --> 00:01:19.040
<v Speaker 2>Lover Boy. That was great, and you know we've done We've.

32
00:01:18.799 --> 00:01:21.920
<v Speaker 3>Done air Supply up at a in Greeley.

33
00:01:22.040 --> 00:01:25.120
<v Speaker 2>It was a small little form that was fantastic. Of course,

34
00:01:25.120 --> 00:01:28.280
<v Speaker 2>the piano men, you know, Elton John and Billy Joel.

35
00:01:28.359 --> 00:01:31.480
<v Speaker 2>I did Billy Joel twice out at the Corsfield. So

36
00:01:31.560 --> 00:01:33.319
<v Speaker 2>I'm you know, you take in these bands and we

37
00:01:33.480 --> 00:01:36.120
<v Speaker 2>just went and sat on the floor like a rod.

38
00:01:36.200 --> 00:01:38.239
<v Speaker 2>And we saw Paul McCartney when he was in town

39
00:01:38.280 --> 00:01:39.480
<v Speaker 2>out at Corsfield.

40
00:01:39.560 --> 00:01:40.599
<v Speaker 3>So it's been fantastic.

41
00:01:40.640 --> 00:01:43.480
<v Speaker 2>That concert I went to in the last probably five years,

42
00:01:43.599 --> 00:01:46.439
<v Speaker 2>and I paid nothing for the seats. It was at

43
00:01:46.640 --> 00:01:50.560
<v Speaker 2>Fiddler's Green and it was Christopher Cross, Peter Setera.

44
00:01:50.640 --> 00:01:53.560
<v Speaker 3>Chicago, and then and then Kenny Loggins.

45
00:01:53.719 --> 00:01:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Yes, oh no, I didn't hear that. When I saw

46
00:01:55.480 --> 00:01:59.120
<v Speaker 1>the one with Christopher Cross, the lead singer of Black Finger,

47
00:01:59.239 --> 00:02:03.799
<v Speaker 1>maybe Todd run Gregg and Nicki Dolins. Okay, what kind

48
00:02:03.799 --> 00:02:06.719
<v Speaker 1>of lineup is that? It was phenomenal? It was so good,

49
00:02:06.799 --> 00:02:08.000
<v Speaker 1>It was so so good.

50
00:02:08.319 --> 00:02:10.560
<v Speaker 3>The Fiddler's Green concert was fantastic.

51
00:02:10.680 --> 00:02:14.439
<v Speaker 2>And I sat in the front row and I paid nothing.

52
00:02:14.439 --> 00:02:15.840
<v Speaker 3>And you know why why.

53
00:02:16.520 --> 00:02:18.560
<v Speaker 2>Because the radio station I work would got me some

54
00:02:18.599 --> 00:02:19.800
<v Speaker 2>great seats.

55
00:02:20.120 --> 00:02:22.039
<v Speaker 1>Well, I just want to let you know I never

56
00:02:22.080 --> 00:02:23.120
<v Speaker 1>get those great seeds.

57
00:02:23.120 --> 00:02:25.879
<v Speaker 2>So you are really really special.

58
00:02:27.000 --> 00:02:28.240
<v Speaker 3>People hooked me up. Yeah.

59
00:02:28.319 --> 00:02:30.599
<v Speaker 1>Well I'll be like, oh so I'm not as good

60
00:02:30.599 --> 00:02:31.360
<v Speaker 1>as Stave Frasier.

61
00:02:31.400 --> 00:02:31.719
<v Speaker 2>Whatever.

62
00:02:31.800 --> 00:02:33.879
<v Speaker 1>Anyway, Dave, let's talk weather for a moment. I do

63
00:02:33.960 --> 00:02:36.840
<v Speaker 1>have a couple of questions from the text line. One

64
00:02:36.840 --> 00:02:40.039
<v Speaker 1>of them says, Mandy, I live in the southwest of Nebraska.

65
00:02:40.159 --> 00:02:43.080
<v Speaker 1>We've had zero snow. When do we begin to panic?

66
00:02:45.360 --> 00:02:48.479
<v Speaker 3>You know, I always stand on the same thing I.

67
00:02:48.400 --> 00:02:51.240
<v Speaker 2>Say said here with you for years, is never give

68
00:02:51.319 --> 00:02:54.000
<v Speaker 2>up on a season. We are in an El Nino pattern,

69
00:02:55.039 --> 00:02:59.000
<v Speaker 2>and what that means is that the storm track is

70
00:02:59.039 --> 00:03:02.000
<v Speaker 2>not favorable for Colorado. And we knew that going into

71
00:03:02.039 --> 00:03:05.080
<v Speaker 2>the winter, and that the southern mountains would struggle more

72
00:03:05.120 --> 00:03:07.719
<v Speaker 2>than the northern mountains. And while the snow pack. Right now,

73
00:03:07.800 --> 00:03:11.080
<v Speaker 2>our water supply is only at sixty one percent. The

74
00:03:11.120 --> 00:03:13.919
<v Speaker 2>northern mountains are actually pushing that percent to hire. It's

75
00:03:13.960 --> 00:03:17.680
<v Speaker 2>the southern mountains that are dragging it down. Everybody's below average,

76
00:03:17.719 --> 00:03:19.479
<v Speaker 2>so it's not like we're at one hundred percent and

77
00:03:19.520 --> 00:03:21.919
<v Speaker 2>they're at twelve percent or something like that. We're all

78
00:03:21.919 --> 00:03:25.719
<v Speaker 2>below average and we expected long periods of dry weather.

79
00:03:26.400 --> 00:03:30.280
<v Speaker 2>There is a potential shift coming that the Pacific waters

80
00:03:30.319 --> 00:03:32.919
<v Speaker 2>are starting to move away from the colder pattern, which

81
00:03:32.960 --> 00:03:36.360
<v Speaker 2>is La Nina, to more of a neutral pattern and

82
00:03:36.400 --> 00:03:40.280
<v Speaker 2>then maybe come later this year to an al Nino pattern.

83
00:03:40.280 --> 00:03:42.680
<v Speaker 2>And if that happens, and again it's it's a computer

84
00:03:42.719 --> 00:03:46.439
<v Speaker 2>models generation, it's a forecast, but if we do transition

85
00:03:46.520 --> 00:03:49.280
<v Speaker 2>to an al Nino by the fall and winter of

86
00:03:49.319 --> 00:03:53.159
<v Speaker 2>next year, we will benefit here greatly with a lot

87
00:03:53.199 --> 00:03:55.479
<v Speaker 2>of snow along the front range in the northern mountains,

88
00:03:55.520 --> 00:03:57.280
<v Speaker 2>and the southern mountains will do a little better too.

89
00:03:57.599 --> 00:04:00.360
<v Speaker 2>But that's a slow progression. So there's a lot of

90
00:04:00.400 --> 00:04:02.840
<v Speaker 2>talk out there about the sea surface temperatures and the

91
00:04:03.280 --> 00:04:07.039
<v Speaker 2>equatorial Pacific changing, but it takes a long time for

92
00:04:07.159 --> 00:04:10.520
<v Speaker 2>that change to then kind of influence the atmosphere. We

93
00:04:10.560 --> 00:04:13.639
<v Speaker 2>need the jet strength to dip. We have had El

94
00:04:13.719 --> 00:04:17.920
<v Speaker 2>Nino patterns in the past where we ended up okay

95
00:04:18.000 --> 00:04:18.519
<v Speaker 2>at the end of.

96
00:04:18.519 --> 00:04:21.279
<v Speaker 3>The season, maybe eight to nine inches short on.

97
00:04:21.439 --> 00:04:25.639
<v Speaker 2>Snow, but we weren't, you know, record setting snowfall or

98
00:04:25.839 --> 00:04:28.600
<v Speaker 2>lack of snowfall s tootal. So you can't give up yet.

99
00:04:29.240 --> 00:04:34.000
<v Speaker 2>We load snow in the mountains through April seventh, and

100
00:04:34.040 --> 00:04:37.279
<v Speaker 2>then after that whatever is there, that's the melting that begins,

101
00:04:37.279 --> 00:04:40.079
<v Speaker 2>and that's our water supply. So we've got plenty of

102
00:04:40.079 --> 00:04:43.279
<v Speaker 2>time between now and April seventh. I wouldn't say panic yet,

103
00:04:43.319 --> 00:04:45.879
<v Speaker 2>but I understand the concern, and I would like to

104
00:04:45.959 --> 00:04:48.519
<v Speaker 2>see snow chances. The bigger problem is we get these

105
00:04:48.560 --> 00:04:52.360
<v Speaker 2>really warm patterns. And I like today's weather, but you

106
00:04:52.399 --> 00:04:56.160
<v Speaker 2>know what, sixty degrees on January fourteenth, probably a little

107
00:04:56.160 --> 00:04:56.720
<v Speaker 2>too much.

108
00:04:56.920 --> 00:05:00.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well, let me ask this question. We got a

109
00:05:00.079 --> 00:05:03.199
<v Speaker 1>couple questions about the immediate weather coming up here quickly.

110
00:05:03.839 --> 00:05:07.040
<v Speaker 1>This person said, I'm terrified about the cold tempts on Sunday?

111
00:05:07.439 --> 00:05:09.399
<v Speaker 1>Is it really going to hit us? I don't want

112
00:05:09.399 --> 00:05:12.120
<v Speaker 1>to have to have want Buffalo to have their cold

113
00:05:12.160 --> 00:05:17.839
<v Speaker 1>weather advantage. But then someone else asked, Dave can you

114
00:05:17.879 --> 00:05:20.319
<v Speaker 1>talk about the extreme weather event that the news just

115
00:05:20.399 --> 00:05:23.560
<v Speaker 1>talked about from northern Colorado on Friday? So what's happening

116
00:05:23.600 --> 00:05:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Friday Saturday?

117
00:05:24.839 --> 00:05:27.199
<v Speaker 2>Okay? And I'm glad they asked, because that is the

118
00:05:27.199 --> 00:05:29.800
<v Speaker 2>one area we are focused. So to the north and east.

119
00:05:30.079 --> 00:05:32.160
<v Speaker 2>Two things in play. When I say north and east,

120
00:05:32.240 --> 00:05:34.000
<v Speaker 2>think of north and east of the airport on the

121
00:05:34.040 --> 00:05:37.519
<v Speaker 2>ice seventy sixth quarter, say starting around Hudson and then

122
00:05:37.600 --> 00:05:41.000
<v Speaker 2>up to Fort Morgan and on towards Stirling and Jewelesburg

123
00:05:41.079 --> 00:05:44.000
<v Speaker 2>and then out on the eastern plane. Number Two, things

124
00:05:44.000 --> 00:05:46.160
<v Speaker 2>in play. Once they did not get the snow we

125
00:05:46.199 --> 00:05:48.160
<v Speaker 2>got late last week, even though we only got about

126
00:05:48.160 --> 00:05:50.399
<v Speaker 2>an inch or a little more in some location, so

127
00:05:50.439 --> 00:05:53.279
<v Speaker 2>they're lacking motion. Number Two, there is a bigger storm

128
00:05:53.319 --> 00:05:56.600
<v Speaker 2>system sliding through the Midwest, coming down across the Dakotas

129
00:05:56.879 --> 00:06:00.120
<v Speaker 2>and into the upper Midwest and Nebraska. This is going

130
00:05:59.920 --> 00:06:03.560
<v Speaker 2>to be a very cold Arctic air mass, and what

131
00:06:03.600 --> 00:06:05.600
<v Speaker 2>it's going to do is it's going to generate some wind.

132
00:06:05.680 --> 00:06:08.360
<v Speaker 2>So on Friday, the lack of snow in those areas

133
00:06:08.639 --> 00:06:10.959
<v Speaker 2>combined with strong wind out of the north and west,

134
00:06:11.000 --> 00:06:13.759
<v Speaker 2>twenty five thirty forty miles per hour is going to

135
00:06:13.839 --> 00:06:16.720
<v Speaker 2>increase the fire danger. And of course you just heard

136
00:06:16.759 --> 00:06:19.399
<v Speaker 2>that you Excel may be proactive in those areas as

137
00:06:19.399 --> 00:06:22.439
<v Speaker 2>they have been since the Marshall fire, so you know,

138
00:06:22.519 --> 00:06:23.720
<v Speaker 2>we will watch that area.

139
00:06:23.759 --> 00:06:25.360
<v Speaker 3>There are fire.

140
00:06:25.160 --> 00:06:28.399
<v Speaker 2>Weather watches in place which eventually will probably become red

141
00:06:28.439 --> 00:06:31.439
<v Speaker 2>flag warnings. Now Denver and the Front Range will be

142
00:06:31.480 --> 00:06:33.680
<v Speaker 2>on the western extreme of that and not really will

143
00:06:33.680 --> 00:06:36.720
<v Speaker 2>be kind of insulated and protected from the strongest winds,

144
00:06:36.759 --> 00:06:39.959
<v Speaker 2>and we have the snow, so it's really the northeast corner.

145
00:06:40.279 --> 00:06:43.800
<v Speaker 2>Here's the second factor. What the other thing we're watching

146
00:06:43.959 --> 00:06:46.959
<v Speaker 2>is the Arctic air, which is very dense, manny, and

147
00:06:47.040 --> 00:06:50.279
<v Speaker 2>very cold, and it sits down it's like syrup pouring

148
00:06:50.319 --> 00:06:53.519
<v Speaker 2>down over the lower terrain. Some of that is going

149
00:06:53.560 --> 00:06:58.319
<v Speaker 2>to backwash into northeast Colorado, where they're temperatures Friday, Saturday,

150
00:06:58.360 --> 00:07:02.600
<v Speaker 2>and potentially Sunday struggle in the thirties, maybe even close

151
00:07:02.639 --> 00:07:03.879
<v Speaker 2>to freezing or a little below.

152
00:07:04.680 --> 00:07:06.639
<v Speaker 3>Back here along the Front Range.

153
00:07:06.360 --> 00:07:09.000
<v Speaker 2>Again, we're kind of protected because we're up in elevation

154
00:07:09.040 --> 00:07:12.680
<v Speaker 2>a little bit. However, the computer models are now indicating

155
00:07:12.720 --> 00:07:15.079
<v Speaker 2>that some of that cold air may come back our way.

156
00:07:15.120 --> 00:07:17.720
<v Speaker 2>And the one thing I just finished doing is. I

157
00:07:17.800 --> 00:07:20.920
<v Speaker 2>adjusted my forecast for the Broncos bill game at Mile

158
00:07:21.040 --> 00:07:22.319
<v Speaker 2>High down.

159
00:07:22.639 --> 00:07:25.040
<v Speaker 3>Originally we're thinking a kickoff temperature around.

160
00:07:24.720 --> 00:07:27.839
<v Speaker 2>Fifty I'm thinking closer to maybe forty to forty two

161
00:07:27.920 --> 00:07:30.439
<v Speaker 2>because it looks like some of that colder air may

162
00:07:30.519 --> 00:07:33.040
<v Speaker 2>try and reach its way back to Denver, so that

163
00:07:33.120 --> 00:07:34.879
<v Speaker 2>part of the forecast is changing. Now here's the thing.

164
00:07:34.879 --> 00:07:37.240
<v Speaker 3>It's still dry, there's not a lot.

165
00:07:37.160 --> 00:07:39.279
<v Speaker 2>Of wind for us here in Denver, but the colder

166
00:07:39.319 --> 00:07:42.199
<v Speaker 2>temperatures on Saturday looking are starting to looking more likely.

167
00:07:42.720 --> 00:07:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Okay, but I mean that's not like you know, Buffalo

168
00:07:46.160 --> 00:07:49.319
<v Speaker 1>Lake effects snow cold. That's like that's chili. And is

169
00:07:49.360 --> 00:07:51.639
<v Speaker 1>it gonna be sunny or is it gonna be overcast?

170
00:07:51.959 --> 00:07:54.319
<v Speaker 2>No, it's gonna be sunny. And every single home game

171
00:07:54.399 --> 00:07:56.319
<v Speaker 2>this year at.

172
00:07:55.920 --> 00:07:58.120
<v Speaker 3>Mile High for the Broncos, the kickoff.

173
00:07:57.800 --> 00:08:01.600
<v Speaker 2>Temperature has been sixty degrees or higher. So we've had

174
00:08:01.600 --> 00:08:05.439
<v Speaker 2>some very mild football weather. This one will maybe a

175
00:08:05.439 --> 00:08:07.759
<v Speaker 2>little chilly. I've told our sports team who will be

176
00:08:07.759 --> 00:08:10.439
<v Speaker 2>out there on Saturday, bring the hat, bring the gloves,

177
00:08:10.560 --> 00:08:12.439
<v Speaker 2>and bring the jacket. You may not need it at

178
00:08:12.439 --> 00:08:13.759
<v Speaker 2>the start of the game, but you're gonna want it

179
00:08:13.800 --> 00:08:14.639
<v Speaker 2>at the end of the game.

180
00:08:14.639 --> 00:08:18.600
<v Speaker 1>Right, all right, Dave Frasier, Fox thirty one meteorologists who

181
00:08:18.639 --> 00:08:20.600
<v Speaker 1>loves the old bands as much as I do. Now,

182
00:08:20.680 --> 00:08:22.920
<v Speaker 1>next time I want tickets, I'm gonna have you ask

183
00:08:23.040 --> 00:08:26.560
<v Speaker 1>for them. If you're going to get the good seats

184
00:08:26.600 --> 00:08:29.079
<v Speaker 1>that I'm just gonna utilize our friendship like that, Dave,

185
00:08:29.160 --> 00:08:30.040
<v Speaker 1>don't be surprised.

186
00:08:30.959 --> 00:08:32.559
<v Speaker 3>Not a problem, but I'd love to do it.

187
00:08:32.679 --> 00:08:33.799
<v Speaker 1>I'll talk to you next week.

188
00:08:33.840 --> 00:08:34.039
<v Speaker 2>Man,