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<v Speaker 1>Hey, everybody, Welcome into the Thinking Crypto Podcast. You're home

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<v Speaker 1>for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm your host, Tony Edward.

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<v Speaker 1>On your way in. Please let that subscribe button as

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<v Speaker 1>well as a thumbsup button and leave a comment below.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're listening on a podcast platform such as Spotify

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<v Speaker 1>or Apple, please leave a five star rating and review. Folks.

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<v Speaker 1>I am back home from vacation. I'm back in my

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<v Speaker 1>home studio, so the audio quality should be better. But

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<v Speaker 1>we got some big news to cover, guys. Big day,

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<v Speaker 1>big announcement from the Trump administration. The US government is

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<v Speaker 1>about to reopen in much more. And we see bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>right now trading just below one hundred and six thousand

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<v Speaker 1>dollars on the daily chart. We're seeing a bounce and

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<v Speaker 1>it looks just like we've seen throughout this bull market,

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<v Speaker 1>where bitcoin went below the two hundred day moving average

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<v Speaker 1>that's the bullmarket line in the sand, and then starts

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<v Speaker 1>to recover. Because we know nothing good happens below that

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred day moving average. If you are below that

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<v Speaker 1>in a downtrend, you are in a bear market, right

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<v Speaker 1>I've said that at nauseum, and on that same daily chart,

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<v Speaker 1>the RSI is moving away from the over soul zone.

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<v Speaker 1>So you have extreme fear, you have bitcoin over sold,

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<v Speaker 1>and you have these huge narratives in the market. Now

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<v Speaker 1>we have work to do. I'm not calling home saying

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<v Speaker 1>this is the start of the reversal pump, because on

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<v Speaker 1>the weekly chart the bears are stelling control, but on

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<v Speaker 1>the higher timeframe of the monthly chart, the bulls are

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<v Speaker 1>stealing control. So we got work to do here. Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>has a lot of support levels to reclaim so that

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<v Speaker 1>we can say, hey, this is indeed the reversal and

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<v Speaker 1>the continuation, So please understand what I'm saying. We are

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<v Speaker 1>seeing some positive signs, but we got work to do now.

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<v Speaker 1>One important thing is that bitcoin has corrected just about

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two percent, so not even as bad as we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen throughout this bull market, where we've seen minus thirty

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<v Speaker 1>two percent, thirty three percent and so forth. So this

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<v Speaker 1>is nothing even though people have been so fearful. Right

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<v Speaker 1>people been calling the top of the market, and much

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<v Speaker 1>more so. Here analyst Michael Posinos says, this is the

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<v Speaker 1>same as four out of the last six corrections. But

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<v Speaker 1>the important thing is guys, Bitcoin closed the weekly very strong,

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<v Speaker 1>So here Benjamin Cohen says Bitcoin managed to close above

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<v Speaker 1>the fifty week SMA, so that's a key support level.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it has to get back above that two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>day moving average, like I said, but we are seeing

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<v Speaker 1>positive signs here. Analyst Kevin Spence and said Bitcoin has

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<v Speaker 1>closed it's weekly above all key levels. The macro bowl

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<v Speaker 1>trend remains intact. So again, guys, this is just the data,

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<v Speaker 1>not feelings, not emotions, not hopium, just the data showing

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<v Speaker 1>that it did close above the key support levels. And

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<v Speaker 1>like I said, we don't want to call home and

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<v Speaker 1>say this is the reversal pump. Yet, we want to

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<v Speaker 1>see the markets show us and give us confirmation. So

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin needs to put the work in here. But we

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<v Speaker 1>got the macro factors and the narratives. For example, the

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<v Speaker 1>Senate reaches the deal to end the government shutdown, so

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<v Speaker 1>it looks like the government's going to be fully open tomorrow. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>I've been sharing these respective milestones and landmark events and

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<v Speaker 1>narratives for a long time, right, I've been sharing it

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<v Speaker 1>in my newsletter on the podcast. So I said, some

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<v Speaker 1>of the key factors that show this bullmark is not

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<v Speaker 1>over include the FED ramping down QT and starting QE

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<v Speaker 1>and continuing ray cuts, the government reopening, plus you got

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<v Speaker 1>the Market Structure Bill still in the Senate, and you

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<v Speaker 1>got the all quintfs to be approved by the SEC.

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<v Speaker 1>So with the government reopening, we're going to see the

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<v Speaker 1>latter two get done, guys. And of course we get

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<v Speaker 1>confirmation from Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, that

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<v Speaker 1>they're ending QT come December first. Plus the New York

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<v Speaker 1>Fed Governor just said on Saturday or Friday that they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to return to QE very soon. I reported on that, right, folks.

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<v Speaker 1>So all of these things are lighting up here very beautifully.

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<v Speaker 1>And then you throw in President Trump says Americans will

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<v Speaker 1>get at least two thousand dollars dividend payment, excluding high

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<v Speaker 1>income earners. He wants to use the tariff revenue to

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<v Speaker 1>give Americans the dividend. Now, I know this is a

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<v Speaker 1>whole can of worms. There's a whole political debate. I

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<v Speaker 1>understand the tariff implications and how that was already like

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<v Speaker 1>taxing people and much. I'm not here to talk about that.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll save that for the political podcast to handle. But

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<v Speaker 1>the fact of the matter is, if they are going

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<v Speaker 1>to indeed do this This is going to drive retail

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<v Speaker 1>to come in and you know we're going to see

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<v Speaker 1>something like what we saw in twenty twenty, where you

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<v Speaker 1>get these stimmy checks and people are you know, investing

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<v Speaker 1>in the markets. Now, will everybody invests in the markets.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course not. They're actual people who need it. They

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<v Speaker 1>need to you know, pay their bills and much more

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<v Speaker 1>so we want to be cognizant of that, but a

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<v Speaker 1>good amount you know, they're going to go and put

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<v Speaker 1>it into the market. We've seen this time and time again,

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<v Speaker 1>and this I think could spur the retail fomo because

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things I've been saying NonStop is when

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<v Speaker 1>have we seen the market top without true euphoria? Agreed,

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<v Speaker 1>we didn't see euphoria. All we saw was fear. So

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<v Speaker 1>I said, that is not right. History is not on

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<v Speaker 1>the side of people calling the market top. So again, right,

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<v Speaker 1>We've been looking at this market holistically. You got a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of chart guys who don't understand macro and market fundamentals.

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<v Speaker 1>I've been giving you that plus the charts. Right, you

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<v Speaker 1>have to look at all of these things together, not

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<v Speaker 1>just one. You can't have tunnel vision, so be careful

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<v Speaker 1>with some of these chart guys, who are not telling

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<v Speaker 1>you about global liquidity, who are not telling you about

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<v Speaker 1>what the FED is doing with quantitative easing, because you

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<v Speaker 1>can't just look at those things, and you can't just

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<v Speaker 1>look at the charts. You have to look at them

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<v Speaker 1>together to get a full view of the market, right guys.

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<v Speaker 1>So I hope you appreciate that. So you know, we'll

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<v Speaker 1>see Trump posted on truth Social about this now. Scott Pissent,

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary of the Taragy he kind of backtracks some of it.

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<v Speaker 1>But look, I think Trump sees there's a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a need for this politically because of what happened recently

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<v Speaker 1>with the elections. Plus you know the Supreme Court is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be reviewing the Terriiff city situation. So I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know, maybe they push it back and this is

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<v Speaker 1>the way to make up for it. I don't know, right,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just guessing, but I think those are plausible scenarios.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's see. But this would add fuel to the fire.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the cherry on top of the Sunday as

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<v Speaker 1>you have retail FOMO in with their tariff stimmy checks

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to call it that. Now, I like

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<v Speaker 1>what nature Raci had to say and I kind of

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<v Speaker 1>alluded to it earlier. Government shut down equals SPOT crypto

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<v Speaker 1>ETF floodgates opening, So the SEC will be able to

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<v Speaker 1>get going on these and he says in the meantime,

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<v Speaker 1>we could see the first thirty three Act spot XRP

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<v Speaker 1>ETF launched this week. So, like I said, the government

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<v Speaker 1>opening allows the SEC to do their job and the

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<v Speaker 1>Senate to get that crypto bill through. So these are

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<v Speaker 1>major milestones with a crypto market. And like I said

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<v Speaker 1>in the most recent podcast, I don't think the market

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<v Speaker 1>makers and the whalers are dumb like that to skip

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<v Speaker 1>these things which could drive massive retail FOMO and kick

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<v Speaker 1>us into a massive rally to the blow off top, honestly, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So that's just what I'm thinking. Look, it's not guaranteed,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think if we think logically here, realistically, we

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<v Speaker 1>look at all the things and all the factors that

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<v Speaker 1>are happening, I think those are plausible scenarios. Now, Arkham,

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<v Speaker 1>which is a crypto analytics firm, they highlighted that Trump

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<v Speaker 1>Media and Technology Group holds over one billion dollars a bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>That's pretty crazy. Over one point three billion of bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>as of September thirty, twenty twenty five. Incredible. So look,

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<v Speaker 1>I know there's a whole political conversation here, but I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just looking at it from an investment standpoint. Again, I'll

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<v Speaker 1>save the political commentary for political podcasts, right guys. And look,

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<v Speaker 1>you're free to share your comments in a comment section.

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<v Speaker 1>I understand, but just note that I'm not going into

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<v Speaker 1>these political talking points because that's not what we do here.

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<v Speaker 1>But this right here is confirmation that I think Trump

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<v Speaker 1>and his family they're betting big because they know what's coming. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>you got to read between the lines here, right, So

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think they would be holding this asset if

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<v Speaker 1>it's about to dump and go down to the bear

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<v Speaker 1>market bottom that some people are saying. I think they

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<v Speaker 1>will sell as we're nearing the top. So we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>watch all of these things closely, now, folks. This episode

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<v Speaker 1>is brought to you by v Chain. V chain is

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<v Speaker 1>one of the top Layer one enterprise blockchains in the market.

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<v Speaker 1>I've been a VET token holder for many years. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>very bullish on this project and some of the key

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<v Speaker 1>features of the v chain blockchain includes its secure, affordable, scalable, fast,

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<v Speaker 1>and sustainable. Some of the brands working with vchain include BMW, Walmart, China, Javon, Chi, PwC,

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<v Speaker 1>even Boston Consulting Group. They're doing some amazing projects with

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<v Speaker 1>Boston Consulting Group and they're also partnered with Dana White

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<v Speaker 1>in the UFC. Most recently, Dana White said that he

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<v Speaker 1>purchased one million dollars of the VET token and recently

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<v Speaker 1>v chain launch staking via stargate. So once again, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>I am a VET token holder. And if you'd like

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<v Speaker 1>to learn more about v chain, go to v chain

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<v Speaker 1>dot org. Link would be in the description. Now look

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<v Speaker 1>at this, folks, big news coming out the CFTC, so

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<v Speaker 1>US regulator that may rule over digital assets, pushing towards

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<v Speaker 1>cryptospot trading. So this is coming out from Commissioner Caroline

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<v Speaker 1>fam Will. She's the acting Commissioner, so it says here

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<v Speaker 1>Caroline fam the acting head of the CFTC, the agency

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<v Speaker 1>likely to take over much of the US oversight of

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<v Speaker 1>crypto trading, has been meeting personally with regulated exchanges to

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<v Speaker 1>get retail spot crypto products, rolling sources say. The stand

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<v Speaker 1>in leader of the commodities regulator is also said to

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<v Speaker 1>be seeking to establish a dedicated trial unit in its

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<v Speaker 1>enforcement division, which has been recently depleted amid the widespread

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<v Speaker 1>cuts in the federal government or federal employment. Another policy

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<v Speaker 1>priority will be the allowance of stable coins as tokenized

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<v Speaker 1>collateral earlier next year, though it's uncertain whether FAM will

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<v Speaker 1>have moved on by then with what sources indicate is

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<v Speaker 1>her plan to work at Moonpay the CFTCE. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a bit thin when it comes. There's a bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a skeleton crew running it right now. But shout

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<v Speaker 1>out to Acting Chair Commissioner FAM because she's been doing

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<v Speaker 1>an amazing job despite the lack of manpower the CFTC,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to put it that way, and we

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<v Speaker 1>see her, you know, really spearheading a lot of crypto initiatives,

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<v Speaker 1>and the SEC in parallel has been doing the same thing.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think they're all trying to get this market

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<v Speaker 1>to a certain place where more capital can come in,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course that's very good for us who are

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<v Speaker 1>early adopters. Now, look at this news Ledger, the hardware

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<v Speaker 1>company is considering a New York IPO or fundraise as

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<v Speaker 1>demand for hardware wallet climbs. So, folks, one of the

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<v Speaker 1>factors I've been stating, why does the bull markets got over.

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<v Speaker 1>You have many crypto companies as well as traditional tech

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<v Speaker 1>companies looking to do IPOs. No one does an ip

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<v Speaker 1>in a bear market, please show me right, Only a

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<v Speaker 1>fool would do that. So these people are anticipating that

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<v Speaker 1>the bull market continues and they are working with the

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<v Speaker 1>big bangs and the big Wall Street firms who are

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<v Speaker 1>doing lots of analysis on this. So they're not idiots.

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<v Speaker 1>So again read between Alliance right, why would they be

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<v Speaker 1>planning IPOs? WHI is crack in securitize in others looking

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<v Speaker 1>to do to open AI right, looking to do an IPO.

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<v Speaker 1>Come on, guys, right, this is where the chart. Guys,

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<v Speaker 1>they get blinded by just charts. But you got to

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<v Speaker 1>look at what's happening in the market. So this is

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<v Speaker 1>another sign. And Ledger is a big hardware company and

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<v Speaker 1>another crypto company looking to go public. Folks. Now, final

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<v Speaker 1>news item, Pakistan mulls rupee backed stable coin as country

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<v Speaker 1>sees twenty five billion dollar crypto opportunity. So we continue

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<v Speaker 1>to get news from across the globe of countries embracing crypto,

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<v Speaker 1>setting up the guardrails with their legislation, investing launching stable coins,

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<v Speaker 1>trying to attract as much of the business as possible,

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<v Speaker 1>So Pakistan is considering launching a rupee backed stable coin,

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<v Speaker 1>as experts warned that delays in regulating digital assets could

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<v Speaker 1>cost the country up to twenty five billion dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>lost economic opportunities. Folks, what have I said over the years?

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<v Speaker 1>Any country that bans cryptos writing their economic death sentence

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<v Speaker 1>because the markets, the economies and the governments will all

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<v Speaker 1>be running on blockchain rails. So here you go. Now

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<v Speaker 1>the narrative is coming out. What we need to do

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<v Speaker 1>is we're going to lose money. Right, of course, you're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna lose out on jobs, revenue, tax revenue and all that.

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<v Speaker 1>So speaking at these Sustainable Development Policy Institute conference on Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>Pakistan Banks Association presidents Afar Masoud said the nation could

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<v Speaker 1>unlock twenty to twenty five billion dollar in crypto related growth,

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<v Speaker 1>according to a report by local news outlet Daily Times.

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<v Speaker 1>Masoud pointed out that booming global stable coin market, adding

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<v Speaker 1>that Pakistan is seriously considering a rupee backed stable coin

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<v Speaker 1>and that a central bank digital currency CBDC could improve

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<v Speaker 1>financial access while reducing remittance costs. Folks, I hope you

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<v Speaker 1>see the direction the puck is heading in here, and

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<v Speaker 1>we want to skate to that direction, right, So you

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<v Speaker 1>make sure you're looking at this market from a macro perspective.

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<v Speaker 1>There's money to be made here, but you got to

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<v Speaker 1>be patient. It's a rollercoaster ride because markets are volatile,

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<v Speaker 1>and crypto because it's still very young, it's extremely volatile.

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<v Speaker 1>But that's where the opportunity lies because nothing moves like this.

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<v Speaker 1>Nothing gives you the swing up, and look you got

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<v Speaker 1>the swing down, which is pretty bad. But this is

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<v Speaker 1>where we are going to follow it closely, look at

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<v Speaker 1>the different signals and identify the top zone so we

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<v Speaker 1>can start taking our profits. And when the bear market

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<v Speaker 1>rolls around and it's bloody out there and people are

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<v Speaker 1>calling crypto scam again, I'll be backing up the truck

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<v Speaker 1>and hopefully you'll be here with me doing the same thing,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're going to rinse and repeat for the next

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<v Speaker 1>bull cycle. So again, this bull market's not over. Based

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<v Speaker 1>on the data, the facts, and all the things I've

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<v Speaker 1>shared so far, and much more I've often covered in

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<v Speaker 1>d Tail in my newsletter, there's much more to this,

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<v Speaker 1>and we want to make sure we're checking our emotions

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<v Speaker 1>at the door. We're not operating by emotions because you

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<v Speaker 1>will get wrecked if you're approaching the market that way.

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<v Speaker 1>You get to look at the data and you got

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<v Speaker 1>to exercise a lot of patients, right, folks. So again,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not over, and I think we'd still out you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a final fifth wave macro fifth wave if you call

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<v Speaker 1>it that, you know from an Elliott wave standpoint, before

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<v Speaker 1>this market tops out. And look, not just the crypto market,

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<v Speaker 1>but the stock market as well, because all of these

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<v Speaker 1>assets are following global liquidity. What have we seen over

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<v Speaker 1>the past two three years. Crypto hitting new highs, stock

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<v Speaker 1>market hitting new highs, real estate and precious metals. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>gold was going nuts. You guys saw the parabolic blow

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<v Speaker 1>off top. If you look, it might be a local top,

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<v Speaker 1>but that's sure, it looked like a parabolic blow off top.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's see. Let's see what happens with gold. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we don't have a crystal ball, but we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to look at the data and continue to study

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<v Speaker 1>this closely. Folks. That's the news. Let me know what

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<v Speaker 1>you think. Leave your thoughts and comments below, hit the

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<v Speaker 1>thumbs up button, hit the subscribe button. If you haven't

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<v Speaker 1>subscribed as yet, and folks, a great way you can

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<v Speaker 1>support the podcast is by subscribing to my free email newsletter.

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<v Speaker 1>I will be putting out a write up tomorrow. Link

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<v Speaker 1>will be in the description. Check out my book on

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon and my course at Mycrypto course dot com. This

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<v Speaker 1>is a comprehensive course that teaches you everything you need

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<v Speaker 1>to know about crypto. So, folks, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for tuning in. I appreciate you all and I'll talk

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<v Speaker 1>to you all later.
