Speaker 1: What's up?
Speaker 2: Everybody?
Speaker 1: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,
we do always start the show by being transparent. Yesterday
I went four and three. Overall. NBA was not not good.
It was one in three. College basketball was three and
oh so overall it was a little profit. But I'm
not happy with the NBA. You know, always good to
be here with you. How's everything going for you? Your music?
Speaker 2: Music? Okay? Yes, they was good. Four in one college,
one in one NBA. The good was Golden State team
total over got there by a whisker one nineteen. It
was one eighteen and a half, barely got there. And
the bad was what we dropped in here, lost by
half a point when New Orleans over one sixteen and
a half got to one sixteen. And in fact, after
we got off the shows ski that number went down
to one fifteen and a half for a while, so
there was a point in time where you could have
got the win. But college was really good, like it
was for you four and one. So happy with the
four and two. Take the profit, move on to another day.
Speaker 1: Who are your winners in college?
Speaker 2: The loser was Belmont team total. The winners were Ohio
and Toledo over. It was Virginia team total over the
Florida game last night over and oh the last one
was the one I gave on that show. It was
it was my five dollars play. What the heck? How
come I can't remember now? Oh, it was Villanova team
total over eighty and a half was my five dollar
play that one. Yes, we had four overs, four winners.
Speaker 1: All right. And for me, Houston first half in college
was twenty to five. Yeah, at one point there are
like more turnovers than points that the other team half.
And then I took a Seaton Hall plus points that covered,
and I took UNLV and of winning all right, it
ended up having to go to overtime. But man U NLV.
Those kids are undisciplined. They just it's so much dumb
stuff they do, like they were trying to give that
game away, but it ended up working out. Set narrative
says Ski would happened to Lebron yesterday? Oh he cooked
watching mouth about the King boy? Well, you know what
I'll say, CT, If you could play like that every day,
we'll be good. You know, we wouldn't have to come
in here and talk about Lakers roster or how bad
the Lakers got embarrassed. We would have to talk about it.
If he could do that every day, I would love it.
That's all I want. But the problem is we don't get.
Speaker 2: It all right, so we have to yap.
Speaker 1: All right, Let's let's see if we can find some
winners for today. You know, we have seven games. It
looks like on the slate we'll start with Toronto and
Indiana open five fifty nine five sixty that one, uh
open minus two for Toronto looks like two. Still total
open two twenty three and a half, looks like it's
two twenty two and a half. Injury report Jackson matherin
topping all out for the Raptors. They'll be without Jacobe Walter, Jacoperto,
het Burn, Arch Barrett. Then you have Tempo and Quickly
and Mama all questionable. So Raptors could be without quite
a bit here. And let me just glance. Yeah, third
game in four nights for the Raptors. Four than six,
So not the greatest response for this Raptors team. We
talk about all the time how the offense just gets
so much worse at the offense just gets so much
worse When RJ. Barrett is not in the lineup. The
defense gets worse when Yaka Purdle's not in the lineup.
It just you could have no quickly there. It could
be just too much for me to trust this Raptors team.
The Pacers, I feel like they have been playing better.
I think they've even won their last three games, so yeah,
they're playing good basketball right now, fairly healthy. I would
like it if Matthin was there, but I think the
Pacers are the right side here. And if you're betting
Toronto side or as far as not Toronto side, if
you're betting a prop I like Mary Boyle's over eighteen
and a half points and rebounds, you're already without a couple.
You're already without Purdle, could be without Mamu. And he's
just getting a lot of minutes lately, Like the last
five games, he's been getting thirty a little bit above
thirty one minutes compared to earlier in the season it
was like less than twenty. So they're liking what they're
seeing from him. I am as well. Pacers don't have
the best rent protection and a Pacer is not the
best rebounding team, so that's why I'll choose to focus
on him for the raptor side. But I do think
the Pacers win, or if not, they'll at least cover
the two and a half.
Speaker 2: What do you think here of You know, yeah, I
kind of like the direction. I think you went there
the other night. I know you said it on the
show when Boston played Indiana, looked toward the under and
it stayed way under. And I almost like to come
back with that here under with Indiana, who have one
three straight, who are focusing a little more on the
defensive end. Toronto, as you mentioned, missing a lot of
potential scoring here. The other night in the back to
backs against Philadelphia, Philadelphia did play Embiid and George in
the second, didn't play him in the first game, played
him in the second game. Philly gets there by thirteen,
held Toronto to oneho two. Pretty good effort out of
the sixers. But I kind of agree with the total
coming down here ski two twenty three and a half
to two twenty two and a half. Like I say,
it's become the Pacers. I don't want to say style
of play, because I don't know that they're totally committed
to playing defensive basketball rather than pace basketball. But there
is somewhere in between. With this team right now, they
certainly don't have the bodies and the ability to get
up and down the way they did last year. They
don't do it anymore, and they have been playing better
defensive basketball, evidenced by the game against Boston the other night.
So maybe under two twenty two and a half didn't
play it, But to me, that looks like the best
look on that game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree if I'm betting the total, it
is the under Pacers defense has been good, and if
you're missing, you know, a couple of point guards, a
couple of guards for that Raptors team, I think it
should hurt the offense at least a little bit. So
I can understand that next game Cavs and Sixers opened
up minus three and a half for the Sixers down
to one or one and a half total open two
thirty eight and a half. Down two thirty six and
a half looks like that, I'm sorry, down as low
as two thirty five and a half at a shop
Livingston Streus Dean Wade all out for the Cavaliers for Sixers,
looks like it could be a night where everybody's out there,
even Ubra got upgraded to probable, so Edgecombe and b
pg Ubray probable sixers. You know, they've been playing some
good basketball lately. They've I don't have the exact numbers,
but yeah, they have been playing good basketball. This one
is their third game at fourtnits fourth and six. I'm
pretty sure those prior three games were all on the road,
I feel like, and one of them was an overtime game.
I don't know, I just feel like that's a little
bit too much for me. The overtime game, first game
home after, you know, being on the road for a bit,
versus Cavaliers team who got embarrassed last game, Like this
is the spot the Cavaliers show up in, or at
least when, like once they get embarrassed and lose as
a favorite like they did to the Jazz. I think
this is a Calve spot here, Rob, you know what
do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's hard to tell what is a Calves spot anymore.
As soon as they got good, they weren't good again,
and so maybe they get good again now I'm not
so sure. Obviously, I think we made the case for
Utah the other night simply because marketing in had been
sat in the final game of Utah's home stand, as
was Nurkic, and then they both played on Monday. Marketing
had a really good game in that one, but to
beat Cleveland outright was kind of surprising to me. They
just shouldn't be getting beat by a team like that. However,
they have been up and down. There's no reason to
think that they couldn't get back up again. I'll say
this about the Sixers, I wouldn't worry as much about
third and four nights simply because Origin emb didn't play
one of those games, so for them, it's probably second
in three days. So they played, they got a day off,
they'll play again here. That probably helps them a little bit.
Sixers team total ski last eight games, seven and one
to the over they're playing better offensive basketball right now
as a team, Like you said, overall, they're playing better.
The group has come together. They're finally whole at this point,
I would expect. I was a little surprised that the
total came down from two thirty eight to two thirty
six or two thirty six and a half wherever it
lies right now, thinking that both of these teams are
probably gonna have everybody on the floor and it should
get up and down. Cleveland doesn't stop anybody, and they
certainly can score on anybody. That being said, will take
a further look into it, but that would probably be
my look here is to this game getting up and
over and I can't argue off of Cleveland just because
there's not enough evidence to support that they shouldn't be
played here. They're they're just all over the for a
stretch of games. They're good for a stretch, they're bad,
then they become good again. Hard for me to get
engaged on Cleveland right now. They are one in four,
one in five ats last six after being four and
one ats the previous five, So kind of crazy. What's
going on with Cleveland?
Speaker 1: Yeah, we just we just need them to win the
game for this one right here. I don't know. I
just look at the Sixers team. Yeah, they've been playing well,
but hanged up Raptors team back to back, hanged up
Magic team, Wizards don't even want to win Nuggets. The
whole starting five is banged up or not playing. Nicks
without Josh Hart, banged up week, Mavericks, Grizzly, Like, what
a how much stock are we putting into these wins?
Is what I want to you know, That's what I'm
thinking here, Robbie, No.
Speaker 2: I agree. I agree. How much stock reporting into Cleveland
losing to lousy ut on their home floor.
Speaker 1: Well, one thing, that's what I'm saying. I've seen Cleveland
loop like when they lose as a favorite and they're
on the road. They've won five of their next six games.
I think they've covered five of their next six games.
It's like when they feel like they got embarrassed, they
finally show up. So I think you get a you
get a really good game from them. Another thing I
like for the cass side that I didn't mention the
Sixers the absolute worst fast break defense after playing with pace,
Calves do like to get out in the fast break
and score, So I like that for the Cavaliers team,
and the Sixers don't do the best job defending the
mid range. You have a couple of guys who are
pretty pretty nice floater for the Cavaliers as well as
mobile can getting that mid range. I just I see
the ways the Cavs can have success in this game.
So I like the Cavaliers here. Next game we have
Jazz and Bulls speaking up those Jazz open four and
a half right there. Total has come down though, from
two forty six and a half as low as two
forty and a half injury report. Marketing is now doubtful.
Kevin Love and thee And are both out for Chicago,
Phillips is questionable, Collins and Giddy are out, Kyra Mura
is out, and Kobe White looks like he's playing his
time around. So this is a back to back for
the Bulls. For the Jazz they do have, it's the
first of a back to back for them, and man
can't help but notice just that that marketing being out,
like I've seen them get blown off the earth this
year this season. Without marketing out there in the court,
I don't think the Bulls are, you know, team you
really want to lay with too often, So there's no
way I can support them. But it's still very hard
to look at the Jazz. This is when I think
I just have to pass here. You know anything from
you on Jazz and Bulls.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the part that only makes it, I guess. The
hold up for me on playing the Bulls is the
back to backs played Houston last night, played them tough
to one nineteen one thirteen. You get big minutes out
of the front line. In that game, Trey Jones goes
crazy scores thirty four. Probably not going to do that again.
But the reason why I looked at the Bulls right
away is for what you said earlier. Without marketing, I
generally don't want any part of the Jazz County. George
has been very good, but when he's together with marketing,
and he's even better. Because they have more threats. I
don't know if we can expect Utah to do. You know,
it's very possible that Cleveland just saw Utah coming the
other night. You know they're a double digit favorite. Oh
it's only Utah. Before you know it, you get beat
because Utah can score a little bit. If Chicago wasn't
on a back to back, I think I'd be there
with them tonight. The price is in a cheap enough range.
You're asking him to only win by five points at
home against this team. Not so sure. I won't get
there yet, Ski, but I got to convince myself that
the back to back isn't as big a hindrance as
I seem to think it is right now.
Speaker 1: Nets and Pelicans. We just saw the Pelicans last night,
and man, they pissed me. Off, gave the game away.
Now we have them get back to back home underdog
versus NETS team. I think, I honestly just I don't
think I can avoid that I have recency biased for
these Pelicans. We do have the Nets with the rest advantage.
I mean, obviously it should be a spot for the Nets.
But can we trust them here? It's a whole different story.
I don't know that. I do you know anything from
you Nets and Pelicans.
Speaker 2: It's hard. I was waiting to see if they're gonna
sit Zion in the second of back to backs. You
never know what's gonna go on with New Orleans second
of back to backs. There's already so many guys that
aren't playing anyway, had been good for a stretch, cooled
off a little bit. My first inclination was just to
play the game over, But then you know the NETS
are involved, so that I don't want to play over.
The NETS team total, for what it's worth is seven
and one to the under last eight games, So the Nets,
I don't know if they can give me enough to
push this thing over. And New Orleans and you can
go right through their game logs, there's plenty of games
in their last twelve where they haven't scored either anything
above one ten, so that makes it hard to get
to the total. Probably a good one to pass here.
Like I say, I got burned by New Orleans myself
last night, thinking they could get over one sixteen and
a half, got to one sixteen, left me at the altars.
So maybe I'll just bypass that game. Tonight.
Speaker 1: Nuggets and mass opened the pig them. We now see
Dallas minus two and a half. Totally, not a whole
lot of movement, but a lot on the injury report
for both of these teams. I mean, Joker, valentiunis, Cam Johnson,
Bron Bates all out, Murray Brown both questionable, Gordon Jones
both probable for Denver for Dallas. PJ. Washington and Brandon
Williams Matt are both questionable. Max Christie is doubtful. No
ad in this one. Yeah, this is a I don't know,
this is a disgusting game, Rob, you know, I'll just
I'll skip. I went for the last two games on
the slate. Anything from you, Yeah.
Speaker 2: I wanted to look toward Dallas here. I kind of
figured earlier this morning, before this latest injury report came
out that Murray wouldn't play. He was doubt He wasn't
doubtful yesterday, but he was questionable. Then he did play,
and he played well. Second to back to backs, I
figured he's not going to play here. Dallas has been
playing shorthanded for the last couple of games. Actually had
a good win the other night for them. It was
a good win one twelve, one oh five on the
West Coast. Maybe still look at Dallas, but I think
even more than that Ski the deeper I look into this,
maybe under in this game. We talked the other day
about not having Brandon Williams, and with Dallas, when they
don't have two point guards, it gets a little difficult
because you have to play Cooper flag a lot at point.
They got away with it the other night, but they
only scored one hundred and twelve, And I just wonder
if this game even makes it to I'm looking at
the number now to twenty four and a half, down
to to twenty. Well, you can still get to two
twenty fours out there. I even see a couple two
twenty four and a half. So maybe I'm gonna look
at that one from an under perspective. I'll give it
some more thought.
Speaker 1: All right, the Valley says, do you guys ever give
game picks or just team totals and maybes? The Valley
do you ever listen? Because I've given out three bets
already today, So either your listening skills or just not there,
or I don't know what the problem is because I've
given out three bets already. Some guys you can't help rob,
you know, some guys they got to spoon fed. They
can't even listen. We're gonna keep going here.
Speaker 2: We can't play every game, yeah, given a best bet.
At least we give something every day. I mean, I
don't know. If you're looking to bet every game, you're
probably in trouble. Anyway.
Speaker 1: I've given two bets and a prop already. We have
seven games on the slate. We give a best bet
at the end of the show. What are you? What
are we doing here? The Valley eight forty five? Come on, man,
next game up. Nix and Kings opened up minus ten
and a half. It looks like eleven total open two
thirty and a half and it looks like two twenty
nine and a half. Injury report, Shaman is out for
the Knicks. For the Kings, you have Murray outs, the
bonus out, and Schroeder out. Is this a back to
back for the Kings, That's what I'm I'm just trying
to double check here. No, it's not a back to back.
It's third and four nights, fourth and sixth. The Knicks
did have two days off, so they do have the
rest advantage here. The Knicks, I just can't help but
think of there's so much better when Josh Hart is
out there on the court. He comes back. You know,
they go out there for as bad as they've been
on the road, right, they go out there and cover
on the road. This Kings team coming off back to
back wins. Are they turning the corner on their season?
Is it just a couple of good games. I don't
necessarily trust the Kings. I don't. I really like the
idea of continuing to bet New York since Josh Hart
just came back. But something's giving me some hesitation here.
I do think there will be points. I think this
total is a little bit too low. How are you
viewing this game, Ralph?
Speaker 2: You know, yeah, I like a lot of what you said.
It might not that I wrote out this morning. I
wrote first thing time for the Knicks there or time
to play the Knicks. They had gone on that real
bad streak since they lost the Cup game. I believe
they went like one to nine against the spread right
after that. They weren't playing well, but then they did
win the other night when Josh and it all correlates
to Josh Hart, or most of it correlates to Josh Hart.
But the thing that stopped me right away was I
looked at that game before I checked the numbers, and
then I saw there laying eleven, and I'm like eleven.
I don't know that I want to get there with eleven.
So then I looked to the total because the Kings
are playing better, and a lot of the quotes I
read out of the King's corner, especially where Malik Monk
is concerned. It looks like a little difference in attitude
here the last couple of games, so I think points
are in abundance here as well. I kind of like
this total over the Knicks really don't play that good
of defense. And again it gets repetitive because I say
it a lot, but just because they play slower tempo
doesn't mean they don't score big. Because they're so efficient
on their end, and the King's tret the best defensive
team in the world. So I think you can find
something in the two thirty two to two thirty three
range here tonight, and the number is only two twenty nine,
which would lead me probably in this case to the over.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I can understand. I mean I don't really trust
either defense right now. Good point by Larry West Junior
about Mike Brown inspired by the King slow to the payback.
Maybe the only problem is, you know this payback means
it went by twelve, That's all you know. I know
he wants to win the game, definitely know that. But
do we want to win by twelve? Aleen Nicks lean
over need to think about it a little bit more.
Next game. Last game, Wizards and Clippers opened up Clippers
minus thirteen looks like twelve, and total open two twenty seven,
down as low as two twenty six. Whitmore, Trey Young
will not be out there for the Clippers. Kawhi Zuwak
both questionable, Bogdanovich, Derreck Jones Junior, and Chris Paul are out.
You know, I don't think I mean, I said it
already as soon as they made the trade, But I
don't think the Wizards are interested in winning games, and
they've gotten blown out I think in the three games
since the trade, or at least they didn't cover. There's
just so many question marks on this Clippers side. If
you tell me the Clippers were healthy, I feel a
lot better about just, you know, expecting another blowout of
the Wizards. So that's what gives me hesitation here. Any
thoughts from you here, Wizards and Clippers.
Speaker 2: It's hard to know what their focused level would be
right to get me. The Clippers have been playing so well.
I don't want to go against them. You have to
lay a double digit price with a team that maybe
wouldn't be fully focused in this spot. They go on
a road trip right after this. Maybe their eyes are
on the road trip thinking they're going to get right
past Washington. So I don't know that I could lay
the number I did. I don't want to get people
in the chat mad at me because I'm going to
talk about a team totally here and I have to
talk about it. I almost took a look, and there's
the other side of the coin Clippers team total over
which if they're you know what, if they're motivated and
ready tonight to close out this homestand then they do
get over But I was thinking of playing Washington over
one oh six and a half simply because I don't
know where that Clipper interest level rests for this particular game.
If they come in halfway disinterested, it usually affects the defense.
If in fact, Kawhi doesn't play, it affects the defense
and becomes more of a an opportunity for Washington to score.
So again, until we have a clear picture of the
injury list, which we never do at the time we
do this show eleven thirteen Pacific two thirteen. For me
here on the East Coast, we just never know where
these where these final statuses are going to land. But
I think if Kawhi doesn't play, I may get to
Washington over their team total gets. And I just thinking
that the Clippers don't care if they win by thirteen.
They just care to win the game and they could
probably outscore Washington.
Speaker 1: And Washington is healthy, I mean healthy, that is that
is a good interesting way to look at it there.
I mean the Clipper The one thing though, the Clippers
defense has been good, But like you said, if Kawhi
doesn't play, if Zoobac doesn't play you can both hurt
the defense. This Wizards team has hit that number every
game except for the last one, as far as their
last seven, so I can definitely understand that I like
over in this game. I think that makes some sense.
All right. That is uh, that is the NBA slate
for today, So we're going or before we move it
to best best, let's go ahead and toss this up
on the screen. You can still get seven day all
at't for sixty nine dollars, so slightly less than ten
dollars per day. And that is I'm not mistaken, Robie.
Know the price of a three day pass. Yeah, price
of a three day pass. So you're you're getting seven
days for the price of three with this special that
they have going right there. You know, outside of that,
I'm gonna move it on over the best Bets. I'll
ask you if there's anything else you'd like to promote,
and you know, if you have a best bet for
the show. There's people in the chat dying to dying
to hear a bet spoon.
Speaker 2: Bet, and you know what, I'm gonna disappoint so many
people here, So I'm gonna do what you do, Ski,
and I'm gonna say, listen, here's the short list that
I'm looking at. But I just can't leave the best
bet because I haven't There is no client play yet.
There is no Rob Veno out of my own wallet
play yet. So what I will say is what I
discussed on the show. I do think Cleveland and Philadelphia
probably find their way to the over in that game.
Have not bet it yet, but I'm leaning that way.
I'm leaning Chicago. I'm also leaning towards the Knicks and
Kings to get over. And then the last game we
talked about Washington team total over one oh six and
a half. So there's four that if you guys want
to go ahead and do the rest of the research
on your own or if they if they suit what
you're feeling on these games, then then that'll work. But
you know, against SCAT, I don't even have a client
play in the NBA yet, so I'm not going to
leave the best bet here.
Speaker 1: I do have three plays, like I said, already locked
and loaded. You know what, since Robno didn't give one,
I will give you two out of the three. I
like the Pacers in the first. They're playing good basketball
right now, They're fairly healthy, a lot healthier than the
Toronto side. We already talked about Toronto without r J. Purdo,
et cetera, et cetera, possibly without quickly just becoming too much,
and we'll stay in that same game. We'll go Mary
Boyles over eighteen and a half points plus rebounds. Just
a really good matchup for him. He's getting more minutes
with the lack of centers out there available, and he's
been playing good basketball. They like what they see from him.
So two plays in the same game, first game on
the slave for today. That's what I'll leave as best
bets for the show. You know, I always appreciate you
taking the time to do the show with me. It's
my process. I'm sure it helps everybody else. Guys in
the chat, we appreciate you. You guys help make the
show what it is best to luck everybody on all
your action. Will be back again tomorrow and we will
catch you all then.