Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I am
your host, Corey Evans. Thanks for checking out this week's episode,
which is titled play your Panic Meter. This is a
annual in season topic that I cover once or twice
during the fantasy campaign. I'll go one out of five,
one being the least worried, five being panic mode full
blown time to hit the brakes on said player. So
I'll go one, two, three, four, and five with each
description and outlook rest of season for those respective assets
in fantasy football. Before I get to that, reach out
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assess your team. If you're contender, middle of the road,
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calls to give you my outset perspective on your team
or teams. Let's get right to it with a one
out of five. I am not worried is brock Boers
considered week to week with a PCL injury and bone bruise.
It sounds like he will not suit up again in
week six, or at least that is the latest in
terms of when I'm recording this episode. Bowers has admitted
that the injury has limited his mobility, which does make
sense because his stats have not been in line or
on par with his standout rookie season. Even playing through
or further aggravating a bone bruise increases inherent risk for
a more serious injury long term, so it makes sense
for the Las Vegas Raiders to perceive a caution when
it comes to a cornerstone franchise piece like Boers. Todate
nineteen catches, two hundred and twenty five scoreless yards, twenty
seven targets in four games played per contest output of
five for one oh three, five for thirty eight, four
for thirty eight, and five for forty six. Pedestrian numbers
outside of Week one, granted, has been playing with that
ailment that is a bone bruise and knee PCL injury.
Snap shares when actively been fifty one seventy seven, eighty three,
and seventy seven percent. Let's not forget the main reason
why I'm not overly concerned panic meter one out of five.
He was the PPR Titan one last season, a one
to twelve eleven ninety four five touchdown effort across one
hundred and.
Speaker 2: Fifty three targets.
Speaker 1: Could that be peak brock Boers or ceiling when we
all look back at his career, Sure it's possible. Different
offensive scheme now A chip Kelly not to mention additional
volume for ashing gent there are factors that work against
what we were accustomed to out of ours, there is no
reason to panic. However, once he's beyond the PCL injury
and bone brus and ready to roll second half of
the season, we should see more stats in line with
his rookie season, or at least a mid range, if
not high end tighten one that we're banking on during
his sophomore campaign with a two out of five. Not
really worried, somewhat concerned Travis Hunter. The offensive snap rates
have checked in at sixty four, fifty nine, fifty three,
fifty six and sixty ten percent, so roughly a part
time to three quarters player on offense sixteen catches, one
hundred and eighty two yards, twenty four targets.
Speaker 2: It's underwhelming, to say the least.
Speaker 1: I am not overly concerned about his long term career
arc or even rest of season production or role. Hunter
has flash signs of brilliance in short bursts. His boss
skills and playmaking ability are obvious if you watched any
of his film or Jacksonville football this season. The fact
that he's splitting reps between wide receiver and defensive back
is the one red flag and that is not necessarily
what Liam Cohene company said would be the case in
the preseason or post draft, So it's a contradiction. He's
essentially a fifty to fifty have not sixty to forty split,
and that does severely limit his target ceiling or even
fantasy output. Not to mention the target competition with Brian Thomas,
Diami Brown, Parker Washington, Traves, CTN, Breton Strange for Fortyland
and nir.
Speaker 2: You get the picture.
Speaker 1: The unfortunate part is that Hunter has you have to
clear six catches or ccy four yards receiving in a
contest to date. The good news is that he showcased
his game taking talent in those glimpses, case of point
being his acrobatic contested catch forty four yard reception first
Kansas City this past week. Jacksonville spent the second overall
pick on Hunter for good reason. It's been a slow
and frustrating start to his NFL tenure, that is for sure.
Thankfully we're not dealing with a talent issue instead, it
is usage based. Therefore, in my opinion, remain patient and
buy low if any of league members doubt his long
term upside or role, which should eventually be a near
lock for two receiver sets and not limited to three
receiver formations, empty set, et cetera.
Speaker 2: Travis Hunter's sealing a sky high. We're just not seeing.
Speaker 1: The short term dividends to the likes of Tetroo McMillan
or mecheg Buka. When you compare the top wide out
quote unquote in this year's class moving right along to
modernly concerned or at least an increase level of raising
an eyebrow based on early cost compared to immediate production
over a five week sample size and three week six
it is Nico Collins and that is a three out
of five on the player Panic Meter. For me, the
reason for that score or level of panic is that
he was viewed and locked in or at least perceived
as a premier wide receiver one and ADP or cost
existing or startup dynasty drafts, yet has failed to live
up to those expectations. Entering Week six in Houston's buy
production so far has been twenty two for three, twelve
three touchdowns, thirty six targets good not great. The receiving
efforts per game have checked in at three for twenty five,
three to fifty two in a touchdown, eight one oh
four in a touchdown his best game of the season,
four for seventy nine and four fifty two and another score.
The targets per week have been five, nine, eleven, six,
and five. Outside of two of those games that is
replacement level target share six or fewer targets and fifty
two yards receiving or less, and three of five games
played in twenty twenty five to this point for Nico
Collins warrants a three out of five in the player
Panic Meter threshold. It is legitimately time to contemplate if
Nico is an overrated fantasy football asset, not talent based,
it's more offensive scheme or usage driven, not to mention Houston, CJ.
Shroud and company spreading the ball round between Nico Collins,
Christian Kirk, Jaden Higgins, Jalen Nole, Xavier Hutchinson, the duo
running back of Nick, Chubb and Woody Marks.
Speaker 2: A sprinkle of Dalton Schultz.
Speaker 1: Outside of Nico PPR Wide Receiver twelve fantasy season in
twenty twenty three, he has not finished better than the
PPR Wide Receiver twenty three, which was in twenty twenty four, which,
depending on how he fares rest of twenty twenty five,
could mean that Nico Collins is more of a wide
receiver two or high end wide receiver three than the
forecast at wide receiver one. That was an extrapolation of
what he accomplished again as the wide receiver twelve and
twenty twenty three, that could be his peak sealing when
it comes to a fantasy outcome or range of high
low projections. Listen, I fully believe in Nico's talent. However,
I'm less confident in Nick Kayley is the OC in
Houston and Stroud's regression as a passer compared to his
rookie season in twenty twenty three. This is a two
full conversation Stroud and Nick Kayley. If Nico is not
going to be force fed the ball as in seasons past,
then we have to adjust our fantasy rankings and expectations
for Nico moving forward. I'm not necessarily selling shares. I
might try to buy low, but a three out of
five on the Panic meter as we answer Houston's Week
six by time for quick breakway back with four out
of five and five out of five on that set
panic meeting. Before I get to that, be sure to
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Speaker 2: Great for trades player value.
Speaker 1: My opinions of the most important players in Dynasty Fantasy
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Speaker 1: And unlimited direct message access to me in season offseason
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Speaker 2: Be right back after that short break four out of five.
Speaker 1: Meaning I am becoming increasingly concerned or worried about this
player's outlook.
Speaker 2: It is Trayvon Henderson.
Speaker 1: He's a prime example of how preseason expectations, hype buzz
ADP can backfire in comparison to all NFL teams actually
view or envision roles for rookies. One preseason highlight should
not dictate a three to four round jumping eightps we
saw especially in redraft for Trayvon. To date, thirty two
rushes about twenty one one touchdown, fifteen receptions, ninety yards,
sixteen targets. Entering week six, he has seven kickoff returns
for one hundred thirty four yards.
Speaker 2: As well.
Speaker 1: The snapshots per week have been thirty five thirty two,
forty six, thirty one and fifty percent, which translates to
not even a true RBBC, more of a complimentary or
change a pace weapon. To this point, for New England,
in theory, Henderson's offensive role should expand with Antonio Gibson
out with a torny ACL and despite Remandre Stevenson's inefficiency
per touch three point six yards per carry so far
and fumbling woes three lost already in twenty twenty five,
the Patriots the coaching staff trust him Ramandre in short
yardage and goal on situations that is probably not going
away unless we see a lot more fumbles. I am
only to bet on Henderson turn things around rest of
the way and possibly becoming a league winner, with the
exception being baked in of assuming more volume. That being said,
the early counting stat and USTU returns are discouraging. The
optimistic viewpoint is that Treyvion is a second round pick
for New England this year. Thirty eight overall makes it
far too early to write off Trayvon.
Speaker 2: Especially in dynasty circles.
Speaker 1: If Henderson lands on a wait wire redraft, you can
speculate to the ad him, stash him, don't start him
quite yet, let's see proof of concept. However, in Dynasty,
Henderson went as early as one point two one point
three even at some Super Flex league, So we have
to remain patient here. I am going to at least
pump the brakes on the rookie breakout. The fact that
Gibson is out rest of the season does pave a
p for Henderson to turn things around. But four out
of five and that panicmeter, because the early results have
been reminiscent of a Day three pick or someone that's
on the otso looking in for a concrete role. This
could change, though fairly quickly, as we've seen with rookies
when you get to the midpoint or second half of
the fantasy season. With that in mine, I am a
bit panicked about Trava Henderson. I'm not going to be
selling for pennies and a dollar. If anything, this is
a hold, wait and to see or buy low with
a future first or an overachieving rookie or sophomore young
talent you could swap for Henderson and then a five
out of five. I am legitimately concerned and worried about
DJ Moore. DJ Moore performed as the PPR wide receivers
six and sixteen in Chicago nown Carolina for twenty twenty
three and twenty twenty four, with equal if not higher
expectations entering this year through the added presence and creativity
of head coach Ben Johnson. Thus far, Moore has been
a bust with the receiving log of sixteen one to
seventy three in a touchdown twenty one targets before the
Bears play on Night Football four week six, Romadonsday has
taken over as the Bears wide receiver one. That much
is self evident and a big reason behind DJ Moore
him falling out maybe even a trade candidate based on
the room mill here in Chicago. DJ Moore has not
surpassed five receptions or safety are receiving yet in a
game this season, and unless the Bears do trade DJ Moore,
it appears unlikely that he's going to carve out a
substantial enough role to return more than wide receiver three
or flecked value in ten or twelve team leagues. I'm
specifically concerned about DJ Moore because there's a lack of
downfield targets. It's all dink and dunk short underneath. If
not screens, he's averaging an anemic ten point eight yards
per reception.
Speaker 2: He turns twenty nine in April.
Speaker 1: He's not yet old, but is approaching that Clifford plateau
where people start to fade away or pivot off of
depreciating assets. The tough part here for the Bears, if
they do decide to move on, is that he's under
contract till twenty thirty, So a possible trade in real
life is going to require a team or franchise absorbing
a significant portion of DJ Moore's contract, which may or
may not be a starting point for a lot of teams.
All that being said, DJ Moore is not someone you're
going to drop in Dynasty or even Rejraft for that matter.
Speaker 2: It's more I want to make.
Speaker 1: The point clear that the alert or potential with Ben
Johnson has been non existent to this point. That's been
roma Doon's a DJ Moore could come out of the
buy with far more potential than the first batch of
games for the Bears.
Speaker 2: I'm just not sold that's the case.
Speaker 1: We've seen the best of DJ Moore in terms of
peak production. This is now either status quo or a
decline beginning, and unfortunately it's probably too late to get
out in Dynasty. This is someone you have to hope
has a few good games in a row or gets
traded and then you cash out maybe seventy five percent
of what you would have when he was a staple
set of forget at Wyre Receiver two with Wyde Receiver
one Spike Weeks.
Speaker 2: That will do it up.
Speaker 1: You'll enjoy this week's episode of the Player Panic Meter.
A quick recap A one out of five. I'm not concerned.
Black Bouers slightly concern two out of five, but not
overly worried.
Speaker 2: Travis Hunter three out of five.
Speaker 1: Okay, now I'm getting ready to press the panic button.
Speaker 2: Not quite there. Nico Collins four out of five. I'm worried.
Speaker 1: I'm concerned, but let's not overreact. Trayvon Henderson and then
sound the alarm. Not likely what I'm seeing five out
of five panic. DJ Moore thanks again. If you enjoy
this week show, please take a few moments drop a
five star review on Apple or Spotify.
Speaker 2: Helps me out a ton until next time. This is
the Dying.
Speaker 1: As you're checking out, I hope you all have a
great week, good luck in your matchups, and I will
talk to you soon, see you