Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. This week's show is titled Discounted Players with
Superstar Potential, meaning right now, whether it's in startup drafts,
existing leagues, market value in terms of ADP. I have
found or identified five players who I think are going
to overachieve at their price point with the potential and
a best case scenario or outcome to become superstars, if
not return to that superstar status. This week's bonus episode
of Ron Patreon is the inverse or opposite where I'm
identifying and discussing fallback candidates, players I think are going
to regress or not live up to their expectations compared
to previous seasons. Let's get right to it up first.
For this kind of player with superstar potential, it is CJ. Stroud,
who I think is going to recapture his rookie form.
He turns twenty four in October. His past season three thousand,
seven hundred and twenty seven yards passing twenty touchdowns, twelve interceptions,
a cty three point two percent completion rate, seven yards
press attempt fifty two rushes for two thirty three on
the ground, no touchdowns, unfortunately, had two fumbles lost.
Speaker 2: Ball security was an issue.
Speaker 1: Then again, Houston's dredfuffensive line in terms of Stroud dropping
back and being pummeled by defensive lineman was certainly a
problem that led to his pedestrian numbers sophomore compared to
rookie campaigns. He was a quarterback eighteen in fantasy last
year after being the quarterback eleven as a rookie in
twenty twenty three. So as a rookie back in quarterback
one and last year was a mid range quarterback two.
In fact, Stroud was arguably so bad last season in
terms of effectiveness that he ranked twenty eighth out of
thirty two in terms of drop back success rates among
qualifying NFL quarterbacks. Then there's the issue of his shoulder
problem or possible hidden procedure that took place over the offseason.
It's cost some uncertainty. It's being labeled a minor shoulder
muscle issue. After Stroud did not throw at OTA's ended
up throwing during the beginning of Huston's mini camp, which
is a positive welcome sign. Head coach Tamiko Ryan said
there are no concerns about CJ's throwing shoulder, which at
this point seems to be something we could put to
rest unless it flares up like Anthony Riginson, but that's
a whole different ballgame with the surgery that Richardson had
and now his current recovery states. Stroud's lackluster twenty twenty
four season has created a gap in terms of what
we all thought he would be a top five lock
at quarterback in Dynasty to what he was just inside
a top twenty in terms of fantasy finish last season,
and that means that he's discounted compared to what his
ceiling might be. Another factor to throw into the mix
is new oc Nick Cally, who was apparently giving CJ.
Stroud full reign of the offense, which, based on the
IQ and intangible Strau possesses, should help him succeed in
twenty twenty five when it comes to prest breeds, personnel groups.
Speaker 2: Defensively, etc.
Speaker 1: Not to mention Nico Collins being an absolute stud as
well as Joe Mixon, Nick Schubb, Damian Pierce, Woodie Marx
representing safety blankets and plenty of rushing volume for Shroud
to take pressure up himself. And then you have the
added presence of veteran Christian Kirk, who's a replacement for
Tank Dell at least in the short term.
Speaker 2: Jaden Higgins Jalen Knowle.
Speaker 1: As two Iowa State products who are receiving a lot
of buzz already early on in off season practices. All
that being considered, if you are in superflex or a
one quarterback league and you need a back end quarterback
one or high end quarterback two whose range of outcomes
supersedes his ADP, it is in fact CJ. Stroud there
is superstar potential already proven from his sensational rookie year,
where I think that can be recaptured in twenty twenty
five with his new infrastructure of supporting cast teammates and
again new OC Nick Kayley. Up next is someone I
talked about all the way back in January on a
free show as a rebound or bounce back candidate, and
I am doubling down on that assessment.
Speaker 2: TJ.
Speaker 1: Hockinson is discounted with superstar potential twenty eight in July
forty one, fourty five no touchdowns, eleven point one yards
per catch, sixty two targets in ten games played. His
return from a torn ACL in Week nine of last season.
His PPR finishes, which do give us that glimpse at
superstar upside entering the league, mind you, dating back to
twenty nineteen have been tight end thirty two, tight End five,
tight End fifteen, with Detroit tight end two, four and
thirty four. Minnesotas. We've had three top five finishes and
one just outside the top twelve, that being top fifteen
with thirty two and thirty four being the outliers, and
last season thinking with a great assault obviously recovering from
the torn ACL a limited stint of action, Hockinson is
arguably one of, if not the safest floor comboed with
highest ceiling bets at tight end. If you don't have
Brock Bauers, Tree McBride, Samuel port At, George Kittle, He's
under contract with the Vikings till twenty twenty eight, plenty
of job security and sure Josh Oliver did recently sign
an extension three years twenty three point twenty five million.
It puts a dent into Hockinson's snap share and target ceiling.
Then again, Sam Darnold was fantastic for most of last year.
He did slow down substantially down to stretch when Hockinson
was back. Let's see what Hockinson and JJ McCarthy can
do under the guidance of Kevin O'Connell.
Speaker 2: Jordan Addison might be suspended with.
Speaker 1: That hearing coming reportedly in July from his DUI and
offseason or so ago.
Speaker 2: All this sets up TJ.
Speaker 1: Hodginson for success based on his short and intermediate usage
that he's been so accustomed to at the pro level.
In my opinion, Hockinson is a mid range tight end,
one with the potential to become top five in that
same tier of Bowers, McBride, Lapour to Kittle. There's plenty
of other candidates to be the fifth, sixth, seventh, eighth,
et cetera tight end in that mix, and Hockinson should
be firmly in that conversation as a discount of player
to acquire right now with that superstar potential.
Speaker 2: Next up Jalen Waddle.
Speaker 1: He turns twenty seven in November, still relatively young for
how long he's been in the NFL. He went fifty
eight seven forty four and two for two twelve point
yards per catch across eight three targets in fifteen years
played last season. Previously, he had three consecutor one thousand
yard receiving seasons to begin his NFL tenure from twenty
twenty one to twenty twenty three, which were one thousand
fifteen yards, one thousand, three fifty six yards, and one
thousand fourteen yards prior to his dip in twenty twenty four,
which could be credited to a few things, injuries, to
his an effectiveness, to a missing time, et cetera. Let's
look at it per year catches per year since he
began one oh four seventy five, seventy two fifty eight
wrong direction tards per year one forty one seventeen, one
oh four eighty three. Also a consistent decline the PPR
annually of wide receiver thirteen eight thirty four to forty six. Again,
outside of the rookie and sophomore seasons, we have not
seen as much consistency out of Wattle in this high
variance offense, with Tua splits being in out of the
lineup because of his concussion history. All that being said,
Tua is focusing on releasing the ball even quicker after
already doing so on average and two point three seconds
in twenty twenty four, which was the best fastest the NFL, which,
if true, means a lot of potential deacon dunk or
short concept routes to get the ball in Waddele's hand
and let him manufacture yardage after the catch. John wu
Smith is a factor for Wattle's role. John Husmith is
doing a hold in holdout situation, wants a new contract
could be traded based on multiple reports, not to mention
Tyreek Kill his risked offseason surgery as well as his
other risk that has the brace on its that we've
seen in game action, which allows us a forecast Jalen
Waddle as a wide receiver three with wide receiver two
upside and if John hu And or Tyreek grout of
the picture, Waddle is a wide receiver one possibility with
the cost nowhere near that current price.
Speaker 2: Point or expectation.
Speaker 1: He also has job security under contract with the Dolphins
till twenty twenty nine. Therefore, in terms of wide receivers
who are discounted, with the previous superstar ability that was
on display rookie sophomore years and what it costs to
trade for right now, makes me believe that Jalen Waddle
is arguably the best buy at oppositions, let alone wide
receiver in the Dynasty lane landscape. Be right back after
a quick break, and I'll have two more discounted players
with superstar potential before that. If you want a one
to one roster call to discuss your team needs, we can
talk about trades and drops, rookie strategy, or just the
context of your leagues. Hit me up for a roster
call over on Google Meet. I have thirty minutes slots
available for thirty bucks or a one hour slot for
fifty dollars.
Speaker 2: Hit me up on social media.
Speaker 1: That's at Dynasty dow Pod on most platforms, or send
me an email to dynastydepod at gmail dot com looking
forward to get that scheduled.
Speaker 2: If you're interested, be right back.
Speaker 1: Let's discuss Zavier Leaguett, who is somewhat of a forgotten
man or afterthoughts in the Donzee space. He's only twenty
four first round pick last year, thirty two overall, yet
has become pushed a side in Carolina because of the
presence of Teto McMillan. Legette went forty nine four to
ninety seven four touchdowns ten point one yards per catch
eighty four targets to the PPR wide receiver sixty one.
Sure disappointing given the context, though it's not all that surprising,
and especially the setup of Carolina's offense, which is by
committee at wide receiver when Get was even healthy, which
I will dive into that discussion a bit further in
a minute. Let's look at the profile of isabel to
Get six one two, twenty one, four point three nine,
forty one point five four to ten yards split forty
inch vertical, ten foot six ex broad jump. If that
athletic build was in this year's rookie crop not named
Travis Hunter or possibly Tedroo McMillan, we'd all be jumping
at the opportunity to draft said prospect. And that is
still is able to Get only entering to sophomore year,
even as college resme was solid. Fifth three games played
with South Carolina one thirteen sixteen, seventy eight, twelve touchdowns,
fourteen point yards per catch. While he was not an
early age breakout can at the college level, he finished
strong and he ended up being a first round pick.
Let's also not forget that the best case comparison for
Laget in the pre draft process last year was aj Brown,
so it's far too early to write off or categorize
Exavier as a bust, especially when he costs a fraction
of the price that new rookie sensation Tedroo McMillan is
going to demand in Dynasty, which is an early to
mid first loget. I've seen well out of the top
seventy five to one hundred in startup rankings, whether that's
one quarterback or super flex. If you aim for a second,
you're probably going to convert and acquire is able to
get right now, going back to that injury conversation, Lagett
did battle multiple injuries. He had a lingering hip issue
and a rist problem. The wrist ailment actually required off
season surgery, so he was never at full strength last season.
We never saw the true capacity of Liget, whether it
be workload or on field ability. As a result, if
you believe in the athleticism, the size B combination, the
opportunity now with Dave Canalis and Bryce Young, whether it's
a one to a one B McMillan, Lagett or foot
flop that order, it might not matter because Caroline is
going to be facing plenty of negative gamescript, which is
why I'm going to spend a second on Lget as
a flex or wide receiver three with the.
Speaker 2: Potential for far more production.
Speaker 1: Last, but not least a bit divisive in terms of
if you can actually pan out the pro level. But
it's eighty or ADENI Mitchell twenty three in October, second
rounder pick fifty two overall. Last year out of Texas,
the production was a huge letdown. Twenty three grabs, the
twelve yards, no scores, thirteen point six yards per catch,
fifty five targets, a dreadful forty two percent catch rates. However,
un catchable targets or an ongoing issue and underlying metrics
and stats will align with that assessment that eighty Mitchell
had some bad luck in terms of whether he was
targeted the passes were errant or inaccurate. Let's look at
the college profile as well as athletic traits sixty two
two oh five four point three four forty one point
five to two ten yards split thirty nine and a
halfs vertical eleven foot four inch broad again, sort of
comparing apples to apples. Here from the twenty twenty four
to twenty twenty five receiver classes.
Speaker 2: Is able to get and eighty.
Speaker 1: Mitchell have far superior side speed as well as agility
or change the direction scores when it comes to burst explosion,
et cetera. Ben this current twenty twenty five group of
urge wide receivers, So if you are missing out on
this year's class, don't be afraid to pay less for
laget or eighty mix.
Speaker 2: Adie Mitchell had thirty.
Speaker 1: Five games played in college two years with Georgia Wilma Texas,
collectively ninety three fourteen oh five, eighteen touchdowns fifteen point
one yards per catch. Sure, Adie Mitchell comes with some
flaws or concerns, such as his route running being relatively limited,
not to mention the case against being target share alongside
Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pearce, Jonathan Taylor all the
volume as a rusher, and the newfound president of Tyler Warren.
The case four could be, Hey, it was a bad
situation as a rookie. The quarterback Carosel did not work out.
As of right now, we could expect Daniel Jones be
quarterback one. With Richardson's shoulder being an ongoing issue. If
you want to bet on Adam Mitchell's talent. It's visible
on tape dating back to Georgia, Texas or in stint
with the Colts last season. I'm not recommending or touting
Mitchell as somebody are going to trade for or hold
right now and then start immediately come week one. This
is more depth with the long term upside of becoming
a possible superstar, because if it all clicks, I don't
see Ady Mitchell's career at being all that far off
from George Pickens, or probably view him especially now in Dallas.
Speaker 2: Mike Schell needs more opportunities.
Speaker 1: Consistency, and catchable passes to showcase and deliver on his
second round draft capital from only a year ago. That
will do what we all enjoyed this week's episode of
discount of players with superstar potential.
Speaker 2: Those were, as a quick recap, TJ. Stroud, who I view.
Speaker 1: As a back end quarterback one high end quarterback two, TJ.
Hockinson as a mid range tight end one, Jalen Waddle
as wide receiver three, with wide receiver two or one
upside depending on the presence of Johnaui Smith or Tyreek Hill,
Xavier le Guet as a flex or wide receiver three,
and eighty year Adni mitchell As wide receiver depth with
a lot of room for growth. That will do it.
Thanks again for listening. Until next time. This is the
Dynasta you're checking out. Hope you have a great rest
of the week and I will talk to you soon.
Speaker 2: See you