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Speaker 1: What's up, y'all? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start the show

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by being transparent. Yesterday I went seven and seven. My

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top play did win, but I ended up just doing

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a little bit too much. You know. Good to be

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back with you. How you doing today? How is everything

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for you?

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Speaker 2: Yesterday was at a little loss here Ski. We had

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one and one in college basketball? Boy, oh boy, it

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just shows you. I had Miami of Ohio team total

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over eighty six and a half with the kid on

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the free throw line to ice the game. They landed

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on eighty six, and so we lost that one, but

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we won the other one with Alabama last nineteen total

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over NBA was not good, Oho, and to the play

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I left here for the chat Utah and the Clippers

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over never really got close. First quarter was bad. It

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never got close. And I also had the first half

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team total yesterday thinking that maybe they'd get up big

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and then pull back the reins because they have a

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back to back tonight. But they were never close to

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that either. So we got to make up some ground

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here in the NBA tonight.

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Speaker 1: All right, We got a lot of games to try

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to do that. With I'll tell you that. So we'll

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start at the top. We'll go in rotation order like

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we always do. That means Lakers and Calves opened up

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minus two and a half for the Calves looks like

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three total, not really moving too much. Reeves and Theero

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are listed as out. Marrow is probable, Hunter is probable.

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Both Garland, Mobley and Struce are out. It's Lakers team.

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I mean, this seems like an overgame, rob you know,

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I still don't trust the Lakers defense, you know, and

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then you minus Mobley from the Cavaliers and add Merrow.

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I mean, and that seems like less defense, more offense.

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To me, I would lean towards over. No, I probably

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have to pull you on too hard to get you

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to lean that direction. What are you thinking here?

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Speaker 2: No, because everything you just said were my first exact

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thoughts when I bet this one over two thirty five

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and a half. Yeah, it just makes too much sense

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right at Cleveland, even without Garland, Donovan Mitchell has been

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able to score without Mobiley. We get it, they lose

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some offensive production, but we know that they lose rim protection,

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they lose defense against the Lakers, and then when you

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bring Meryl back I don't know. We read the quote

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from Kenny Atkinson last week, the head coach. He said,

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we need samback. You're gonna get him back now. He's

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been out a little bit, so sometimes you wonder will

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he come back and just pick up where he left off.

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But he is such a pure shooter that I kind

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of feel like he will against this particular defense. Funny

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that Mobley goes out, Merrill comes in and this line

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goes up from two and a half to three and

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a half. You would think Evan Mobley's the bigger name

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that maybe that would move the line more than Sam

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Merrill would. But seems to me like people understand what

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we're talking about here. I really like the over there.

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I think the Lakers can score. The Cavs haven't shown

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the ability to stop teams all year long for the

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most part, and without Evan Mobley it's just less of

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a defensive team. So give me over two thirty five

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and a half there, Ski, Yeah, that's Casey's on.

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Speaker 1: It all right. I like some props in this game, though,

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I think I think I like Ruy and his role.

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I don't like Ayden the fade aiden and yeah, I'm

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you know, somebody mentioned something to me about if they

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said they saw an article where Reeves might be how

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do I say Reeves might be like upgraded to play today?

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Speaker 2: Oh?

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Speaker 1: And I'm like they better not if I'm taking some

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props in this game. But that would be that? Would

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that would that make you like the over more? Would

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that mess up your handicap? Just curious?

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Speaker 2: It would kind of be Well, it wouldn't mess it up.

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I'm not coming from a prop standpoint either. I'm just

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coming from straight over. I would I would repeat what

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I said about Sam maryl. We don't know that Austin

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Reeves is going to come in and just start scoring points.

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He's been out for an extended period of time, but

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we know how important he is to that team, and

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I wouldn't discount him adding a little more offense, maybe

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not what he normally does, but it wouldn't change my handicap.

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Ski I'm trying to find right here now, he's still listening.

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Speaker 1: He's listened out. But we've seen this in the NBA.

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So I was just asking, all right, we could keep

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going bulls in Indiana. This is another one. Well, it

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opened for one, It opened minus to Indiana and flipped

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to minus two or two and a half Chicago, but

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also total came down from two thirty six as long

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as two thirty four and a half. You have Tredy

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Jones and Zach Collins out, you have Walker questionable topping

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out for the Pacers. Well, no, maybe I shouldn't. Maybe

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they know something I don't know, but the Pacers are

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pretty healthy right now. I think they should be able

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to start scoring points. And the Bulls haven't had a

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whole lot of trouble scoring points except for that last one.

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Or no, they still they got the team total. Yeah,

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they still score. They didn't stop anybody, So I disagree

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with they coming down. Any thoughts from you here on

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Chicago and.

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Speaker 2: Indiana, Yeah, I'm not going to agree with it coming down.

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The Bulls team total is seven and two to the

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over over the course of their last nine and obviously

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neither team has been really good defensively. But Bulls team

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totally again here tonight one eighteen and a half the

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other side, the other side came down pretty hard, one

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eighteen and a half to one sixteen and a half.

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So it looks like and obviously in the points spread too,

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there's anti Indiana money here for whatever reason. I don't

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know that I trust the Bulls defense enough Ski to

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go ahead and play them, but I will say this,

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I could trust them to outscore Indiana. The way the

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Bulls have been We talked about it the other day,

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the way the ball is moving around since Josh Giddy

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got back, it's been pretty good. And even with the

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slow start last game against the Lakers, it's still got

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to one eighteen their team total in that game, I

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know hit the two forty, So I don't know. I

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would kind of disagree with the total movement down as well.

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I would almost trust the Bulls to score more than

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anything in this game over the one eighteen and a

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half their team total.

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Speaker 1: All right, going back to the world once more, Hawks

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and Celtics opened up minus six. Looks like it's gone

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down a little bit. Seeing some five and a half

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or starting to go down. See some five and a

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halfs there. Total not the most movement there. Let's look

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at some of these injuries. Kada has been ruled out

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for Zingis and Risa che both remain now for Atlanta. Uh.

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You know, I was thinking about Sam Hauser here in

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this game points and rebounds, I'm not sure how I

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moved with Kate out, but there's still something on my radar.

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Other than that, I'd like to think that this is

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a game that has a good amount of points as well.

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I mean, I'm thinking yesterday under today overs. I guess

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as I'm looking at these games, what do you think

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you're Hawks and Celtics.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd probably be more toward the Hawks here, just

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off current form ski Atlanta three and oh straight up

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against the number last three Boston. Oh and three straight

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up against the number last three. Boston's been streaky and

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until they come out of it, I would probably try

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to look the other way. It's it's kind of in

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that range where it's hard to take Atlanta with only

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five and a half because they're still Atlanta, but the

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way Boston's playing right now just hasn't been the best qualities.

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So and I feel like Boston, We've said it before,

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but if they're really not making threes, they're not gonna

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win by margins. So we'll see if Atlanta's recent run

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here against it was done against Memphis Phoenix in Indiana,

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Indiana the other night to beat by sixteen, Phoenix by seven,

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Grizzlies by two, Grizzlies ran a back to back there,

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but I still wouldn't like Boston here. I think if

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I had to play and I didn't, I would probably

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play Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I like what you said about Boston has been streaky,

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because they absolutely have. I agree with that. We'll keep

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going here down the list. The next one looks like

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Magic and Heat. And this one opened minus two and

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a half. I'm seeing three and a halfs out there.

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Total went up a little bit from two twenty eight

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and a half to about two thirty and a half.

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You have Castleton and Franz Wagner out. We have Powell

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probable where questionable, Mitchell doubtful, and then no hero. This

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is a chance for the Heat to get a little

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bit of revenge. They've had a couple of days off

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as well and are coming off of a win. I

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forget who they played, though they played, Oh the Suns.

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They beat the Sons without a was it without yeah,

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without Devin Booker. So put every much stock into that

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as you want, I guess, But one thing I will

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say is I do remember the Heat and they had

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like a meeting or something like a team meeting, right,

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and Sposter was was chewing bad mountain, some players out

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and then the Heat went out there and played a

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good game. They went out there on the back to

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back and played another good game. I think that was

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the game versus Phoenix. So are they going to continue

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that now or is you know, all that talk just

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out the window all right home? Uh? I don't know

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if you know. I could see this one going a

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couple different ways. How are you seeing it?

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Speaker 2: The way I view Miami right now? The way they're

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playing Ski, it's hard to play them under. It's hard

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to not just wake up in the morning and play

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Miami Heat over now. They beat Phoenix at the night

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one eleven to one oh two, only two hundred and

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thirteen points. Game stayed under the number. I think Miami's

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team total still got above the number, but that came

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on the heels. It was the fifth of a five

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game road trip, and the eight games played before that,

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and maybe that OKAC game is the start of the

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good run that you were talking about after the meeting.

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I can't remember exactly when they had it, but starting

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with Oklahoma City, they played eight straight games over two

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hundred and thirty points, and it really didn't matter who

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was in the lineup. I remember last week saying something

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about hero not playing. You're like, I don't care if

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your hero ain't playing, Rob Vino. I'm still playing this

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game over and it went over. They're just playing that

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brand of basketball again, up and down the floor, ninety

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four feet and Orlando. I watched them again the other

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day against who were they playing, Cleveland. I think they

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were beating Cleveland, like in the by halftime or start

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a third quarter, and then Cleveland went on this offensive

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run where Orlando's it's funny to say they can't defend,

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but they can't defend right now. So the only thing

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that held me back SKI from playing this game, and

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I did play it anyway, regardless over the number. I

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got two twenty nine and a half. You're looking at

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two thirty now. But the only thing that stopped me

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was that these two they're either within a half a

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game or a game of each other for the division lead.

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So I thought, well, maybe they'll, you know, play a

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little more defense, but I think Miami is way too

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committed to playing the extreme tempo game. And if you

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watch Orlando this year, you're Miami, you gotta believe you

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can score one hundred and twenty against them, So I

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played over over too twenty nine and a half. Like

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I say, it's moved up to two thirty.

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Speaker 1: I like to see stuff like this. I'm happy we

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could be winning. Glad we're helping you win. I appreciate

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you trusting us. Yeah, you know, I trust. I trust

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the Heat to. I mean played at Brandon Basketball, all

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the all that stuff that I said before, and it

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had two meetings. It was that thunder game, and it

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was another one after they lost to Portland before they

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played the Jazz, and then they smoked the Jazz like

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one forty something to fifteen or sixteen. So they came

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back and played another good game, is what I'm saying.

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After that verse, Phoenix, I don't really like the thought

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of Miami laying points. That's my problem here. I don't

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know it just for that reason, I guess I just

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have to stay off right now. But the Magic, I'm

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gonna come back at you Teddy cover style.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Magic.

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Speaker 1: I mean they haven't really been putting up any points lately.

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It takes to the Tango, right Rovino. I mean, it

240
00:13:25,519 --> 00:13:27,480
can't just be the Heat scoring. Don't the Magic have

241
00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:28,559
to put up some points?

242
00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,720
Speaker 2: They do. And I just attributed to the pace of

243
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the game, Ski, Like, when I play these overs, that

244
00:13:34,399 --> 00:13:36,519
first thing I asked myself, am I going to get

245
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enough scoring opportunities to get this thing over? And the

246
00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:43,320
way Miami plays, you just get I think Miami had

247
00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,720
a game a couple of games ago where like they

248
00:13:46,759 --> 00:13:50,120
had one hundred and eight shots at the basket. It's

249
00:13:50,279 --> 00:13:54,159
crazy that the way that they're playing. So I think

250
00:13:54,159 --> 00:13:56,799
I just consider the pace of game will give me

251
00:13:56,960 --> 00:14:01,240
enough chances, you know, to score against Miami. So lets

252
00:14:01,279 --> 00:14:02,360
say the.

253
00:14:03,399 --> 00:14:06,799
Speaker 1: I know what you're looking at. Remember that, Yeah.

254
00:14:06,639 --> 00:14:12,799
Speaker 2: That potential points right, Wake that baby out real quick.

255
00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,159
The other thing, Ski, is we do often talk about

256
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:17,440
first home game off of a long road trip, right,

257
00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:19,600
and it is the first home game for Miami off

258
00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:21,759
a long road trip. They had a day of rest,

259
00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,320
but still it is what it is. It is the

260
00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:28,000
first off a long road trip.

261
00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:32,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, so sorry, maybe if you like the I've been

262
00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:38,440
up since like one am. Maybe maybe if you like

263
00:14:38,879 --> 00:14:43,039
the magic, maybe you take them early. Is that I thought,

264
00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,240
maybe as a flash spot that heat come out sleeping.

265
00:14:46,919 --> 00:14:52,360
We'll see next game. Nixon Raptors pretty good one here

266
00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,360
opened up. Pick them now minus one and a half

267
00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:57,919
to open two twenty six and a half is down

268
00:14:59,039 --> 00:15:03,320
as low as two only and a half. Injury report,

269
00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:08,240
you have Heart questionable, McBride and Robinson out, C m

270
00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:14,559
B questionable, Yaka Purdle out. These Raptors had two days off,

271
00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:19,200
you know, and the Knicks back to back here, Knicks

272
00:15:19,279 --> 00:15:21,679
have looked like they've tried to come back to life

273
00:15:21,679 --> 00:15:24,559
the last couple of games. But I can't ignore it

274
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:30,200
that the spot does scream Raptors. But I'm going to

275
00:15:30,279 --> 00:15:34,840
ask you this, but absolutely as spot as the Raptors.

276
00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:39,679
I mean a home team with two days off versus

277
00:15:39,679 --> 00:15:41,919
team on the back to back, when'd you think the

278
00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:43,960
spread would be just a little more than one and

279
00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:49,399
a half? Like, I don't know, that's that's making me

280
00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:51,759
feel a way that you know, you know how I

281
00:15:51,759 --> 00:15:54,120
get sometimes, Rob, You know I don't like that.

282
00:15:54,559 --> 00:15:58,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, the other direction, run the other What do you think, Rob?

283
00:16:01,399 --> 00:16:05,399
You make a good point. Obviously the number looks low

284
00:16:05,519 --> 00:16:09,279
considering the spot here. One team rested, one team on

285
00:16:09,399 --> 00:16:11,679
back to back. You know, I had the Knicks last night,

286
00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:14,080
like I say, ski first half under the assumption that

287
00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:18,360
they would play hard against Sacramento build their lead. It

288
00:16:18,399 --> 00:16:21,200
never happened. They didn't build their lead until the fourth quarter.

289
00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:22,759
They had a thirty one to fifty, so they had

290
00:16:22,799 --> 00:16:26,399
to extend themselves in the fourth quarter, which makes this

291
00:16:26,519 --> 00:16:29,399
even harder. On a back to back, right, you would

292
00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:32,120
hope that he could have that, Mike Brown could have

293
00:16:32,159 --> 00:16:35,320
pulled players in the fourth quarter because they were doing well,

294
00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:39,399
but he couldn't. They had to absolutely blow Sacramento out late,

295
00:16:39,879 --> 00:16:41,960
which makes the minutes a little more taxing. So I

296
00:16:42,039 --> 00:16:44,879
can understand the point about maybe the number looking a

297
00:16:44,879 --> 00:16:50,320
little bit low. Nicks have played better lately, which you know,

298
00:16:50,519 --> 00:16:52,919
it kind of confuses me a little bit as to

299
00:16:52,919 --> 00:16:55,039
which way to go here. I didn't bet the game,

300
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,919
probably won't bet the game. I'd love to try and

301
00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,159
recoup my money from life last night and exploding it

302
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,000
on me, but I don't think I can do it here.

303
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:07,680
Speaker 1: I mean, neither team is playing with pace. Here. You

304
00:17:07,799 --> 00:17:11,559
have a next team playing really good defense lately, offense

305
00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:12,920
not so great.

306
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:17,039
Speaker 2: I know maybe though right did you say no?

307
00:17:17,519 --> 00:17:19,960
Speaker 1: Maybe would hurt the defense, But I still think it's

308
00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,640
it's going to be a slower, more defensive game. I

309
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,519
agree with the market dropping the total in this game.

310
00:17:25,559 --> 00:17:27,920
I think this is an undergame at all. Over I

311
00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:30,359
liked earlier. I think this one's one of the undergames.

312
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,319
Speaker 2: Is it the asset end of the liner? Do we

313
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,079
still have room to get in there?

314
00:17:35,319 --> 00:17:38,000
Speaker 1: I still think it's gonna make it under two twenty honestly,

315
00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:40,519
I really do. And you can still get to twenty

316
00:17:40,519 --> 00:17:45,079
one and a half. So that's kind of how I'm

317
00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:48,759
looking at that game there, all right, Next one up,

318
00:17:48,799 --> 00:17:53,960
we have Hornets and Grizzlies. Opened up minus one and

319
00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:56,119
a half for the Grizzlies, Flip to minus two for

320
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:59,400
the Hornets to open two thirty six down as low

321
00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,200
as two thirty big move Plumbling and Simpson out for

322
00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:07,000
the Hornets. Clark Edie Jerome or Morant and Pippin out

323
00:18:07,079 --> 00:18:17,079
for the Grizzlies. This one. You know, I'm not sure

324
00:18:17,079 --> 00:18:18,680
if the Grizzlies have covered That's what I'm trying to

325
00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:23,240
look at here. Since they've come back from overseas, Yeah,

326
00:18:23,279 --> 00:18:29,160
they wont no, no, no, they lost the Rockets, they

327
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,960
lost the Pelicans, they lost to the Hawks, They've lost

328
00:18:33,039 --> 00:18:36,359
every game since they've come back. That's kind of how

329
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:39,160
I saw it. That's what I said, even though I

330
00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,200
didn't play every single one of these games. They didn't

331
00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:46,160
lose them all. I'm not sure that it ends tonight here.

332
00:18:46,559 --> 00:18:50,319
I mean, ah, take a little bit of time for

333
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:52,000
them to get back in rhythm. It's the third game

334
00:18:52,039 --> 00:18:55,000
in four nights, fourth and six. The Hornets are on

335
00:18:55,079 --> 00:18:57,160
the first of the back to back. They play the Mavericks.

336
00:18:57,160 --> 00:19:01,640
Tomorrow's team, I think is in a pretty solid rhythm. Wow,

337
00:19:02,039 --> 00:19:05,079
the grazz Leaders are kind of the opposite. I think

338
00:19:05,839 --> 00:19:08,880
the line flipped for a good reason. I think the

339
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:11,759
Hornets deserved to be the favorite in this game. How

340
00:19:11,759 --> 00:19:12,359
do you view it?

341
00:19:14,079 --> 00:19:16,640
Speaker 2: I'm glad to hear it because I wanted to bet Charlotte,

342
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:18,359
but I figured I'll come on the show and just

343
00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:20,920
wait and see what we hash out here. But I

344
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,720
think Charlotte's in a really good rhythm right now. Four

345
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:26,640
and one, straight up, we're not asking him to do

346
00:19:26,799 --> 00:19:28,680
much here. I mean, obviously you would have liked to

347
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:31,640
have him as a dog just you know, win money line.

348
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,200
But here to win by three against this team, I

349
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:37,480
don't know. They destroyed Philadelphia the day, bad spot, but

350
00:19:37,559 --> 00:19:39,119
they came out and did what they had to do

351
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:42,240
win by thirty seven. Beat the Wizards go on the

352
00:19:42,319 --> 00:19:46,720
road crush Orlando. It's been good for them before that

353
00:19:46,799 --> 00:19:50,160
beat Denver. That was at the very end of a

354
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,039
five game road trip, which is pretty impressive that Charlotte,

355
00:19:53,039 --> 00:19:55,720
five games out west, could come up the fifth game

356
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:59,119
in altitude and beat Denver. So I just like what

357
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,279
Charlotte's doing right now. Ski When I look down their

358
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:05,319
rotation for tonight, it's becoming a pretty deep team. Like

359
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,359
I'm looking through and saying, can I trust these bench guys?

360
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,920
And Charlotte looks to be getting a little bit better

361
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,599
defensively for sure. They were a terrible defensive team before.

362
00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,720
Now they're actually halfway decent, and I know they can

363
00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:21,359
play with pace and score with Memphis. So I kind

364
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:22,480
of like the Hornets here.

365
00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:28,839
Speaker 1: All right. Yeah, Hornets definitely been playing better basketball for sure.

366
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,720
I do also like do also like Landale in his game.

367
00:20:33,799 --> 00:20:36,599
I think it's a pretty good matchup for him, and

368
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:38,720
you know, he's been a big part of what they've

369
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:41,240
been doing in Memphis lately. So that's the one person

370
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,319
I do like for Memphis. Other than that, I think

371
00:20:43,319 --> 00:20:48,240
I like the Horneteer a couple more comments. I think

372
00:20:48,279 --> 00:20:51,079
we're good. I think We're good. Appreciate you. Jay Maine

373
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,559
gave me something for one of the earlier games. I

374
00:20:54,599 --> 00:20:56,640
believe I did write it down. I'll go back and

375
00:20:56,680 --> 00:21:02,359
look at it, all right, t Wolves and MAVs opened

376
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:05,799
up minus seven for the Wolves. Looks like seven and

377
00:21:05,839 --> 00:21:09,160
a half or eight total open two thirty two down

378
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,400
as low as two twenty eight and a half. Let's

379
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:17,079
take a look at the injuries. Terrence Shannon Junior remains

380
00:21:17,079 --> 00:21:20,759
out for the Wolves. You have Cooper Flag questionable. Anthony

381
00:21:20,799 --> 00:21:28,680
Davis and Kyrie obviously both remain out here the Wolves.

382
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:31,240
I are already gonna turn it around now after that

383
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,759
last game. I mean, they have been playing pretty bad.

384
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:38,319
They have been a team that has been untrustworthy really

385
00:21:38,319 --> 00:21:41,440
against the spread, and they are on the front end

386
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:46,079
of the back to back. They play Thunder tomorrow, and honestly,

387
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,279
when I see that makes me think that they'll care

388
00:21:48,319 --> 00:21:52,000
a lot more about playing the Thunder tomorrow. So wow,

389
00:21:52,279 --> 00:21:54,319
how do I missed that earlier? I think that may

390
00:21:54,319 --> 00:21:57,240
have made me like Dallas tonight. You know what do

391
00:21:57,279 --> 00:21:57,799
you think here?

392
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:01,880
Speaker 2: Yeah? Everything doing thing. I'm waiting on his flag because

393
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:06,359
it's kind of one of those I know are wait

394
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:09,359
your talk colleague, Marco D'Angel LECs to refer to them

395
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,920
as sandwich games. But if you just think, you know,

396
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,880
they crushed Golden State. But let's face it, Steve Kerr

397
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:16,799
let him win, right, that was the game. We're not

398
00:22:16,799 --> 00:22:18,680
going to play anybody. We don't care. Let's just go home.

399
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:22,720
We won the game before, so they get that win

400
00:22:22,799 --> 00:22:25,119
that they're supposed to get. Now they play this Dallas

401
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,359
team and then they have Okac on deck. And when

402
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,480
I saw Okaycy on deck, this when the same reaction

403
00:22:29,559 --> 00:22:33,319
as you like Minnesota, even if I have to back

404
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,400
door it at the end of the fourth quarter because

405
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:40,000
Minnesota has got people on the bench, I really don't care.

406
00:22:40,039 --> 00:22:41,519
But I don't even see it that way. I think

407
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:46,880
Dallas can play competitive basketball here. And we use the

408
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,440
word a lot, but you used it again not trustworthy

409
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:55,079
with the Minnesota team because they just don't defend all

410
00:22:55,079 --> 00:22:58,960
that well anymore. So Dallas is what they are. But

411
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:01,160
one thing I know when I watched him, Jason Kidd

412
00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:03,119
still has those guys playing. I would love to have

413
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:07,920
flag here. If we get them, it's probably an even

414
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:09,920
better play. Of course, we'll lose a little bit of

415
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,359
line value. But I think Dallas is the right side

416
00:23:12,519 --> 00:23:16,279
strictly situational ski really nothing more than situational, and maybe

417
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:21,440
a shade bit fundamental from the perspective that Minnesota is

418
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,240
just not playing good enough d to ask them to

419
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:27,160
win by a huge margin, unless you know you do

420
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:31,400
with Steve Current. Just you play guys nine through fourteen today,

421
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:32,200
That's what you.

422
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:37,160
Speaker 1: Got man, Steve Kurr boy, I don't know what happened

423
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,400
to him. Was this team just so good that he

424
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:43,359
couldn't make mistakes earlier in his career coaching career, or

425
00:23:43,519 --> 00:23:46,920
has he gotten worse? I don't know one of the two.

426
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:56,079
Speaker 2: He seems disinterested because again he's on the podium the

427
00:23:56,160 --> 00:24:00,279
other day and he doesn't talk about basketball anymore. He

428
00:24:00,319 --> 00:24:04,039
wants to talk about world events. I'm like, dude, you're

429
00:24:04,039 --> 00:24:09,079
a basketball coach. Let's go talking to somebody else about

430
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:09,640
that stuff.

431
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,519
Speaker 1: So he says he's old and stubborn.

432
00:24:14,759 --> 00:24:16,599
Speaker 2: He could be. He's off the pop of itch Tree.

433
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:19,200
So you can see that.

434
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,559
Speaker 1: Start child asking what we think about the total here,

435
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,480
I don't really have a strong opinion. Let me just

436
00:24:28,559 --> 00:24:33,839
check some pace numbers. At least number one and number five.

437
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:34,640
Speaker 2: I mean.

438
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 1: Maybe just based on that, but the market doesn't agree

439
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,960
too fast paced playing teams and this one is I mean, well,

440
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,440
how much offense are we going to get for Minnesota?

441
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:48,359
Their offense hasn't even really been great. They just been

442
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:54,599
playing all right defense, offense hasn't been great, and how

443
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:59,160
interested are they tonight? We can get somebody sitting who's

444
00:25:00,079 --> 00:25:01,400
he looked at the injury part, but let me just

445
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:04,440
double check, because you can get somebody downgraded. I could

446
00:25:04,519 --> 00:25:08,119
very well see somebody downgraded in his game. I would

447
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,559
not be surprised any anything on the total.

448
00:25:10,599 --> 00:25:13,279
Speaker 2: Before we move on, well, I would say that they

449
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,480
take off. You know, the three and a half point

450
00:25:15,519 --> 00:25:19,119
movement downward is people seeing flag and immediately we know

451
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:23,400
how the NBA goes to star Child's question. I know

452
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,480
which way he's looking at it, but if he's looking

453
00:25:25,519 --> 00:25:29,039
at over he certainly you know it has a little

454
00:25:29,039 --> 00:25:32,720
bit of valuate. Anthony Edwards is the one guy SKI

455
00:25:32,839 --> 00:25:35,039
that ever since that All Star voting came out, has

456
00:25:35,039 --> 00:25:38,720
been playing really really well offensively. But other than that,

457
00:25:38,799 --> 00:25:40,599
I didn't play it, and for me not to get

458
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:44,559
involved in a total just means I don't have a good,

459
00:25:44,839 --> 00:25:45,920
good position either way.

460
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:52,079
Speaker 1: On that game, there was a one comment, ain't Randall

461
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,240
from Dallas. I'm not sure, but I'm gonna check and

462
00:25:54,319 --> 00:25:56,359
i'll see what he does first. Then I'm not sure though.

463
00:25:57,079 --> 00:25:59,839
Speaker 2: That's his hometown for sure, because at one point he

464
00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:01,799
is going to go play for Dallas.

465
00:26:02,799 --> 00:26:08,680
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from everybody. No start out, not

466
00:26:08,759 --> 00:26:13,279
with the pace numbers first and fifth, but we'll see

467
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:17,640
market is pushing it under. Maybe it's not correct, that's

468
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,680
what you're saying. Last or no, second to last, Warriors

469
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:24,400
and Jazz opened up minus oh man, So what use

470
00:26:24,599 --> 00:26:27,480
Steve kerboy? I don't know. I don't want to get

471
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,799
in trouble. It's not my platform. Actually, I'm not saying it.

472
00:26:30,039 --> 00:26:33,279
I've called it off. We'll talk about it later. Let's

473
00:26:33,279 --> 00:26:38,480
talk about Steve Kurr later. I have some things to

474
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,599
say about Steve Kurr. I'll just tell you right now.

475
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 2: They're not private session for this Steve Kirr talk.

476
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:53,039
Speaker 1: Moving right now. It went from eight and I'm seeing

477
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:57,960
a red nine and a half on my screen. Uh

478
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,960
so maybe it's starting to move total open two forty

479
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:02,880
and a half to thirty nine and a half. So

480
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:09,519
we're looking at Curry Draymond, GP two probable, l J.

481
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:16,240
Cryer questionable, Steth and Kaminga both out, can't say, George questionable,

482
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:22,960
Marketing questionable, Urkage questionable, art list and kneeang out. I

483
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:26,279
like to think if George plays, they can cover and

484
00:27:26,319 --> 00:27:31,400
it can go over. But if they don't play, probably

485
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:33,640
not going to be involved anything from you here.

486
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:37,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I was definitely involved here. Ski I'm trying.

487
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:40,519
I'm getting my money back from Utah tonight. I bet

488
00:27:40,559 --> 00:27:43,960
this one over. Can't they George? I think we'll play.

489
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:48,160
What I read was he's being He was just held

490
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:52,160
out of the front end for rest purposes, and he'll

491
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:53,799
probably be there today. So if you get him in

492
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:58,279
marketing together now they could switch out George for marketing.

493
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,400
But they just didn't play offense last night, which is

494
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:04,240
something you usually don't see from them at home. And

495
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:08,599
I've said this repeatedly, but I've made a pretty good

496
00:28:08,599 --> 00:28:10,880
amount or cast a good amount of tickets within the

497
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,480
last three weeks. I'm just playing Golden State overs in

498
00:28:13,519 --> 00:28:16,440
some capacity. So I think this one probably gets back

499
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,720
to Utah style. I know yesterday I made the made

500
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:22,440
the statement that for Utah at home, the baseline should

501
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:25,559
be two forty. We're looking right in that area here tonight.

502
00:28:25,559 --> 00:28:29,079
Two thirty nine, two thirty nine and a half. I

503
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,279
just think this one gets old. I think it's another

504
00:28:31,319 --> 00:28:33,799
one of those we get back to what we're used

505
00:28:33,799 --> 00:28:37,359
to seeing from Utah at home, and that's something you know,

506
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:38,759
mid two forties and above.

507
00:28:39,519 --> 00:28:44,319
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what Keane George is in that baseline

508
00:28:44,359 --> 00:28:48,839
is two forty. When he's out, they're gonna have to show.

509
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 2: Me even with marketing last night it was terrible.

510
00:28:53,039 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're gonna have to show me without George. So

511
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:59,880
I'll be waiting on that injury report here all right, Uh,

512
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:01,920
when we're coming. I just seen pop up. Steph had

513
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,559
this my guy dream set out the dream in the chat.

514
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:08,440
Steph has six threes each time he played them. Ace

515
00:29:08,839 --> 00:29:13,000
threes a look. Nerd probably chased another triple double. Ace

516
00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:16,200
does play good at home. He plays good even verse,

517
00:29:17,799 --> 00:29:21,599
good matchups. I played him yesterday, and you know, first

518
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:25,799
my first thought was Buddy, But things were saying about Kurt.

519
00:29:26,119 --> 00:29:28,200
You can't trust whatever lineup he gonna put out there.

520
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:29,880
So I can't look at Buddy because I know the

521
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:34,279
number might have been low. But Curry. I didn't necessarily,

522
00:29:34,279 --> 00:29:35,640
I don't know. I didn't look at his threes. Maybe

523
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:37,359
I just looked at his points and saw thirty one

524
00:29:37,359 --> 00:29:39,440
and a half and just said, I'm cleaning the next guy.

525
00:29:40,039 --> 00:29:43,200
But that is a good call out on first threes today.

526
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:47,200
Appreciate your dream, all right, last game on the slate

527
00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:49,960
here Spurs and Rockets. I feel like they've played like

528
00:29:50,039 --> 00:29:55,400
twenty times already. I mean many times they gets to play.

529
00:29:55,759 --> 00:29:58,519
See it open Mine is four and it's down to

530
00:29:58,559 --> 00:30:03,839
two and a half for Houston. It'll open two twenty one,

531
00:30:04,359 --> 00:30:07,759
and it's sitting as low as two twenty Steven Adams out,

532
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:09,119
sohan as questionable.

533
00:30:09,799 --> 00:30:13,960
Speaker 2: We'll say you Rob, Oh, you know it's one of

534
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:18,559
the best, may be the best competitive matchup tonight that

535
00:30:18,599 --> 00:30:21,799
we could watch. I just couldn't find a great angle

536
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:27,319
to come at it with. I think again, we've noted

537
00:30:27,319 --> 00:30:31,000
the lack of or at least what should be a

538
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,039
drop off in defense without Steven Adams on one side.

539
00:30:34,759 --> 00:30:38,839
I know that the other side San Antonio when Wright

540
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,400
can score a bunch. So my first look here was

541
00:30:41,839 --> 00:30:46,920
toward over. Didn't get there with it to me still though,

542
00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:49,000
two twenty two twenty and a half looks a little

543
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,519
bit light in a game like this, so I may

544
00:30:51,559 --> 00:30:54,400
still play that ski it's gonna uh. I'll take some

545
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:57,160
time this afternoon and see if I can work out

546
00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,799
some numbers here. But to me, that's the best way

547
00:30:59,799 --> 00:31:04,200
to look I don't quite understand why there's such a

548
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:09,000
heavy push towards san Antonio here, But another way I

549
00:31:09,039 --> 00:31:12,599
could look at it is if that line movement happens

550
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:15,119
to be correct, san Antonio's team total is only one

551
00:31:15,119 --> 00:31:18,559
on nine. One on nine just seems so low for

552
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:22,799
a team with that type of scoring capability. So I've

553
00:31:22,799 --> 00:31:24,880
got options to look at here. Maybe I'll land on

554
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,599
one of them.

555
00:31:26,839 --> 00:31:32,799
Speaker 1: I don't know, m I think this is the lower

556
00:31:32,839 --> 00:31:37,119
scoring game. Star Child says this one is who says

557
00:31:37,119 --> 00:31:40,559
two twenty is crazy, Rockers been done but unders Yeah,

558
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:42,880
I mean these are two teams. Neither one of them

559
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:44,960
is playing fast. Yes, Spur has been able to score,

560
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:49,279
but both teams theyle On the defensive end, I don't know.

561
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,880
I think there'll be some defense, at least for half

562
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:57,680
of this game. Yeah, I think there'd be more of

563
00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:59,720
a defensive game. Trying to make sure I didn't miss

564
00:31:59,759 --> 00:32:04,440
anything here, like, I'm all right. I feel like like

565
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,880
we did a pretty good job, Lucky Power minding. Everybody

566
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,200
just matched the light button and shared the video that

567
00:32:09,359 --> 00:32:13,799
it only takes a few seconds. Appreciate you, Lucky Power. Yeah,

568
00:32:13,839 --> 00:32:18,880
that's that's the card for today, so Veno, I guess

569
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,839
I can go ahead and put this up here. Seven

570
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:28,680
day all access for sixty nine bucks pretty much you're

571
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:32,640
getting seven days for the price at three. And yeah,

572
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:34,519
things have been good the past seven days, I know

573
00:32:34,599 --> 00:32:39,079
as a before yesterday. Well, I guess just add seven

574
00:32:39,119 --> 00:32:42,400
to seven that would make it what is that there?

575
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,960
Forty three and twenty one the last seven days? So

576
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:49,160
I know Veno has been making money as well. We

577
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:51,680
got a guy in our chat earlier say that. Here

578
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,119
we go, pull Bobby up there, happy to say I

579
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:58,200
got you both long term and you're crushing. Appreciate you, Bobby.

580
00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:01,519
If you want to be like Bobby, you can get

581
00:33:01,559 --> 00:33:05,160
involved over at Wager Tug. That's a good way to

582
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,720
do it, all right, you know, I think I can

583
00:33:07,759 --> 00:33:11,160
move it on over the best Bet Now, I'll ask

584
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,279
you if there's anything else you would like to promote.

585
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,640
Feel free and you know, if you have a best

586
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:17,960
Bet for the show. We'd love to hear it. If

587
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:19,240
you don't, it's all good.

588
00:33:20,759 --> 00:33:23,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, no more promotion, ski. I think we got

589
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:27,640
that covered pretty well here. As far as best bets,

590
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:29,440
a couple of angles I could take here, but I'm

591
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:31,000
gonna go back to the top of the board. I

592
00:33:31,039 --> 00:33:34,200
just think Lakers Cleveland is an over Evan Mobley out.

593
00:33:34,599 --> 00:33:38,160
Lack of defense to me just means Los Angeles has

594
00:33:38,839 --> 00:33:41,319
can score even more than they've been scoring. And you

595
00:33:41,319 --> 00:33:43,640
know we've said it time and time again. LA's defense

596
00:33:43,759 --> 00:33:47,880
is what it is. Kenny Atkinson said the other day

597
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:51,200
he can't understand why Donovan Mitchell isn't considered top three

598
00:33:51,279 --> 00:33:55,279
in the NBA. He's been going crazy lately, and you

599
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:58,680
get Sam Merrill back. So I'm looking for points there

600
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:01,000
up and over two thirty five and a half.

601
00:34:02,559 --> 00:34:04,480
Speaker 1: Up and over two thirty five and a half for

602
00:34:04,519 --> 00:34:07,880
the Laker game for Ravino. Good stuff on that for me.

603
00:34:08,599 --> 00:34:11,400
And I have so many bets, so many bets already,

604
00:34:11,639 --> 00:34:14,719
it's barely not even PM yet here. What I got

605
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:18,119
like nine bets? Which one am I gonna give us

606
00:34:18,119 --> 00:34:21,599
the best bet for the show. This is the million

607
00:34:21,639 --> 00:34:25,800
dollar question. Let me see which line has not moved

608
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:32,320
too much. I am gonna go with you know what

609
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:34,800
you asked me a question. I'll go with that one.

610
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:37,480
New York and Toronto. I think we'll get a couple

611
00:34:37,519 --> 00:34:39,840
of rule outs. I think it'll still be a slower,

612
00:34:40,199 --> 00:34:44,519
more defensive game. It's at two twenty one and a

613
00:34:44,559 --> 00:34:47,199
half right now. I think that's still good enough for

614
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:50,320
guys watching the show to go cashing under. So my

615
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:52,440
best bet for the show be New York and Toronto

616
00:34:53,039 --> 00:34:58,400
under twenty one and a HALFO appreciate you taking the

617
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:01,440
time to break down the games. Definitely helps my process.

618
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:03,400
I'm sure helps everybody else out there as well. And

619
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,639
we got some sharp cappers out there in the chat

620
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,719
and just good people in general. So y'all help make

621
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:10,559
the show that it is always gonna let you know

622
00:35:10,599 --> 00:35:14,079
you're appreciated. Best luck everybody on all your action. We'll

623
00:35:14,119 --> 00:35:17,679
be back again tomorrow and we'll get you then.

