Speaker 1: Welcome in to the opening line report, Kelly Stewart here
this beautiful Saturday morning, and boy do we have a
tough stuff to go over. We've got college basketball, college
football playoff, and of course we've got some NFL even today.
We're going to bring in a couple of different guys
from wager talk dot com, starting off with Yanni the Greek.
Then of course Teddy covers you guys know him from
the opening line report with me, and then Steve Merrill
Batton clean up for us answering all those college basketball questions. So,
if you guys have a question, drop it in the chat.
And if you hear somebody storing in the background, there
is a grimlin at my feet trying to make him
behave while I'm up here at my dad's house. Good
luck and prayers to me for that one. Also shout
out to those in the comment section already getting started,
those wager Talk insiders. Appreciate you guys being those premium
subscribers here. Hey Joey Presdy, Yes, it's been a fun
It's been a fun week and a half being an
HOA president. Lots of phone calls, lots of BS, and
lots of emails. It's Brian Yanti the Greek Vre. Would
you ever be an hoa president? Would you?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 3: No?
Speaker 2: Probably not. I don't think i'd get voted in Gil.
I don't think i'd get the votes needed.
Speaker 1: There was only four people that voted. I voted for myself, shocker.
But I do like to get things done, and that's
what we do here.
Speaker 3: That's who you need.
Speaker 2: Someone like that. I'm not good at that. I'm not
good at that. That's exactly what you need. Someone like
you that's on top of things. Make sure that things
get done. Seriously, that you make sure we get.
Speaker 1: Those sharp bets are the Caesar from the west Gate
super Book already sent me a tax. I'm gonna give
you guys those bets, not only for college basketball but
also the college football playoff. Today. Vierre is gonna coach
by some of those, but I'm gonna let him go
and just give you guys a preview of what this
Saturday Slate looks like. We got college basketball, we got NFL,
we got college football Playoff. Anything else you guys are
betting right now, right before Christmas?
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, real quickly, I just sent out a four
percent play and you guys can have it. It's my
only NHL play so far, so no package or anything
like that.
Speaker 3: It's Buffalo. We bet Buffalo Sabers.
Speaker 2: We bet them three different times, so I don't know
if there's some injuries or what's going on. I'm not
I'm doing the handcap of myself on the NHL. I
don't even have power ratings for that, but yeah, we
bet Buffalo for minus one sixty. The last bet I
just placed was at minus one seventy four, so it
was three different times, one sixty, one sixty five, then
one seventy four, so I doubt it'll be there, probably
about up to one eighty at most of the sharp shops.
Speaker 3: So we're on Buffalo.
Speaker 2: In the NHL, that's an you know, for the different
smaller market sports. Now in the NFL, here's what we got.
Let's just start off with the early game first, and
that's Philadelphia and Washington.
Speaker 3: No surprise books are gonna end up.
Speaker 2: Needing Washington, mostly because of all the exotic risks, a
ton of parlays and teasers, with Philadelphia one of the
most heavily teased games already locking into Sunday's action, so
they're using philadelp on moneyline parlays with Sunday and with
teasers with Sunday's action, and again, if Washington could sneak
in there and get a money line win, that would
wipe out so much of the risk going into the
later game because in the later game there's two way
action and it's no surprise these two just played two
weeks ago, really close game, and it's another point flip
type of game, mostly because of the injuries on the
green Bay side.
Speaker 3: Otherwise, power ratings reflect green.
Speaker 2: Bay should be the favorite, but with the injury situation,
that's why this line has flipped since the look Ahead,
which had green Bay as high as a three point favorite.
So John Murray and the guys over at Westgate had
green Bay as a three point favorite in.
Speaker 3: The look Ahead. They are now one point dogs.
Speaker 2: I like them on a teaser they were at one
and a half two yesterday.
Speaker 3: I talked about that.
Speaker 2: I thought that offered a lot of value, especially when
coupled with the fact the under got steamed. So it
may not reflect that in the betting line, but the
under is a very sharp move. There's just so much
over money from recreational betters that that just helped manage
risk for the books. Otherwise you'd be looking at probably
a forty four forty four and a half on that total.
So two way action on the side Green Bay in
Chicago over from the public, under from the wise guys,
and then again Philadelphia and Washington. No surprise, Philadelphia is
the signed from the public. Nothing yet on the total.
They're betting it over. As far as the recreational betters,
college football playoff first round, all three games getting bet
over by the public, So regardless of whether they're taking
the favorite or.
Speaker 3: The dog, they're doing it with the over.
Speaker 2: They're teasing it with the over also, so they like
all three overs.
Speaker 3: If you look at the totals on.
Speaker 2: A ODSO logic right now, you'll notice the market's not
reflecting that. In fact, it's showing us the opposite it.
Oregon total opened at about fifty to fifty and a half.
That's down the forty six. Texas A and M and
Miami opened about fifty one and a half fifty two,
that's down the forty eight, and even Mississippi and Tulane,
which opened fifty seven fifty seven and a half.
Speaker 3: It's sitting right there.
Speaker 2: So obviously anytime that the total's moving up because of
public money, there's some sharp betting the under. That's the
side daylight. That's usually the case anyway. But we're just
looking at three independent, standalone games, so the volumes a
lot heavier sides. Oregon and Mississippi both one sided, no surprise,
like they're betting Oregon in Mississippi blindly. The spreads irrelevant.
It's the A and M and Miami game that you're
seeing good two way action now that it's sitting at
that key number of three. Anyone that could read the
line or let you know, Miami was the sign that
the sharps took as soon as the line opened. Just
like Oklahoma yesterday. They liked the Oklahoma side that was
one of the first ones that got steamed. Miami was
one of the first that got steamed as well.
Speaker 3: They took them at four, took them at three and
a half.
Speaker 2: That's why you're looking at three right now. Personally, my
power ratings show that Miami is the higher power rated team.
So the rankings have Miami tenth and Texas A and
M seventh. I have Texas A and M seventeenth, and
I have the Hurricanes at like thirteen. So I have
Miami as the better team.
Speaker 4: Again.
Speaker 2: When the market reflects it, I feel more confident. When
it doesn't, I worry a little bit. Like I stayed
off of Alabama yesterday because my numbers showed Alabama was
the side, but I had to respect the market, which
made Oklahoma.
Speaker 3: Go do favorite, So I kind of sat that one out.
Speaker 2: But here my numbers and what the market's doing do
support each other as far as the Miami side, So sorry.
Speaker 3: Not to go along.
Speaker 2: And finally, in the FCS playoffs, Illinois State.
Speaker 3: Got steamed. They were actually adult.
Speaker 2: They're now the favorite, but we're seeing it will take
back because that was up to like two and a
half yesterday, it's back down the one and a half.
Speaker 3: So sorry not to.
Speaker 2: Go off on my rants kill, but just want a
couple of one NFL for you guys with some detail.
Speaker 1: No, absolutely, VR. We love these rants and that's because
we get tons of good information. I was waiting to
jump intil after we had at least one hundred likes
from the YouTube channel and at least a thousand people
watching live, which we are here. We're gonna get into
all of those questions, whether it's college Football Playoffs NFL
with Teddy covers. We're gonna get into college basketball questions
with Steve Meryll VR. I have a question for you though.
You mentioned the Eagles, and then Art de Caesar said
the Eagles, they're gonna need the Redskins because of all
the Eagles teasers and of course money line bets. I
am kind of in a conundrum. I have one survivor,
one little tiny survivor, not the big money league, but
still one hundred thousand dollars to the winner. It is
a double pick week through the rest of the season.
I got Houston. That's easy, that's a no brainer. I
love Houston anyway. This week the Raiders versus that defense.
My second options is the Eagles, but I don't like
taking those divisional road favorites. And then my third option
is the Saints against the Jets. If you had to pick,
would you take the Eagles on the road in the
division or the Saints to get a third win in
the row? All right?
Speaker 2: Eagles power rated I have them as eight point favorites
on a neutral. Okay, eight point favorites on a neutral.
The Saints are who are they playing again? Saints and
the Jets so it's at New Orleans that one.
Speaker 3: I have New Orleans.
Speaker 2: I've two to that, so they're minus three and the
Jets at New Orleans should be a three and a
half point favorite on a neutral three and a half
four add in the home field, I would take Philly,
kel I would take Philly really.
Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, I'm nervous. Okay, all right, I'm gonna
look at it a little bit.
Speaker 2: More saying it because I don't like that, especially its
falls on the teaser, like everyone's teasing me. But just
because of what the power ratings show that I think
they bit the Eagles don't cover. I think they have
the higher probability of winning that game. And looking at
the Saints public action here and how the line moves again,
I would go Eagles. I would go Eagles scale. I
would go Eagles with no regrets.
Speaker 1: Once again, this is the best week to use them, frankly,
unless we use them Week eighteen versus this exact same team.
Let's get into some of the stuff from Art Teser
at the Westgate super Book. He sent me a very
long list, including a best bet, so I always like
to go over with VR. We already mentioned that the
Sharps are on Miami Public and some house players are
on A and M, so he's gonna need Miami to
win the game for a very nice decision there at
the Westgates super Book, and I just mentioned that they're
gonna probably need green Bay at this point. I put
green Bay in a teaser. Good news is I did
it early in the week. I also have the Bears
in a teaser. I hope somebody just wins by set
or less. And then again, they're gonna need the Commanders
because of all the Eagles teasers and money line bets.
We'll get to Art's best bet here in a minute.
He said Tulane will be a small need, nothing significant,
but he I was surprised by this one. Sharps took
twenty one and a half with Oregon. They started at
twenty one, obviously, but some of them even still took
twenty one and a half with JMU. So they took
the points with JMU. You and I talked about this
on my splash contest. I am seven points behind in
one of them, and I thought, you know what, what's
a good way to get ahead by playing the sides
that no one else wants? Right? I didn't do so
well with Oklahoma last night, but I was thinking about
going both dogs today, Tulane and JMU. But he did
say the book they booked the game to need Oregon,
and that was really surprising to me.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Organ's legit, Like I mean, I have them top
five for sure, and well, James Madison, I do think
they're overvalued, overrated. I talked about that all season, Like
power rating wise, they're barely in my top forty five.
But looking at what the number is, sixty and I
think the lumbers too high. I think Oregon should be
about a seventeen and a half eighteen point favorite, and
I think that's why they're taking the twenty one on
James Madison. But the Tulane Mississippi line I do think
is warranted because of where it's being played. I don't
give them like a full home field advantage, but being
in Mississippi got shaded a little bit. And I actually
used Tulane on bet on it because that was the
one dog that was actually sticking out there. And even
power rating wise, I thought it had a little bit of,
you know, a line value. But looking at it today
and seeing that the sharp money did take James Madison.
I like it as well at three touchdowns because, again
for James Madison, this is a free role.
Speaker 3: They didn't come into.
Speaker 2: The season expecting to win a NASH championship like now
getting to the playoffs, winning their conference and gutting to
the playoffs. Now they get to play Oregon and all
they have to do is try to show up and
not get blown out like that to them is their goal.
So they're gonna give you sixty minutes of effort for
Oregon style. Points don't matter anymore. You're in it now.
You don't have to win by sixty points. You have
to win and stay healthy for who's up next. So
I don't think Oregon has any reason if they're up
four touchdowns to go up six touchdowns. I don't where
I do think James Madison, if they're down four touchdowns,
they are motivated to cut it to two touchdowns, like
to have some respect on that final score. That's where
I think the back door stays open for these big dogs,
kind of like we see during March Madness, where you know,
the Cinderella story doesn't ever really come to fruition, but
in the first round, some of those teams are just
so happy to be there and the number one ranked team.
Speaker 3: I think you just want to move on to the.
Speaker 2: Next game, and I think we may get that from
Oregon today at three touchdowns.
Speaker 3: I like the dog there.
Speaker 2: I do like Tuwayne a little bit also, but I
just don't have real value power rating wise, And like
I said, with Miami, I agree with it also, I
think they're the better team, and I fought A and
M all season. I've been waiting for them to get exposed.
They kind of did and had that one point win
or whatever. But yeah, I agree with the market there also.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go through some of this sharp college basketball
from the Westgate. Starting off, We've got Arkansas plus five,
Denver plus ten and a half, Grand Canyon plus three,
Kent State they bet at a Pickham, Southern miss plus
two and a half, f BYU minus four and a half,
Buffalo PICKHM, Memphis plus four, ball State plus ten and
a half, Colorado minus four, and Weaver State minus five. Now,
not as any plays his last week, but Art and
Caesar went eleven six and one, so a profitable weekend.
Last weekend, he had a ton of college basketball. I'll
go over those again here guys when Steve Merrill joins
the show, but I wanted to see if VR had
any of those in agreement.
Speaker 2: Yeah, here's what we got in college and Colline basketball
so far. I thought he said Colorado, we got Colorado State.
We're on Colorado State plus eight, Texas State minus one
and a half, ul Monroe plus one.
Speaker 3: I'm just taking him straight from the account.
Speaker 1: Right now, I'm sitting in the text because the group
chat's already been asking me what are the needs for today?
I'm like, everybody, wait, we haven't even hit go live yet.
Speaker 3: In North Carolina.
Speaker 2: North Carolina, so the Monroe, Texas State, Colorado State, those
three are hit in every single account that I have,
every single one, so they had the number on every one.
Speaker 3: So those are as legit as they come.
Speaker 2: North Carolina minus four not so much, probably like thirty
percent of the account, so I don't know whether the
numbers was gone, but those three Monroe, Texas State, and
Colorado State, they're legit for sure.
Speaker 1: All right, VRE, We're gonna let you get out of
here and bring in Teddy Covers to talk some of
this NFL and college football playoff. Let us know what
you got going on over at wagertalk dot com before
you leave.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, it's time to do some damage.
Speaker 2: I have my Saturday NFL package up already, two four
percents in there.
Speaker 3: College football package will go up.
Speaker 2: Now that I have confirmation Sunday NFL going for third
straight five percent, big move, and of course college basketball
will be out there. The steam sheet will be up
also with NonStop information put in there and again steam
room tomorrow final hour heading in the cakeoff. It's a
great time since Thanksgiving, I said, it's now we're now
fishing with dynamite and we're up over seventy units since
that Thanksgiving weekend.
Speaker 3: Things done change. Jump on board. Let's have good holiday
and best of luck this weekend.
Speaker 1: All right, bes the luck to you VR. Let's bring
many covers. You guys know him from the opening line
report with me every single Monday morning. And yes, good
morning Teddy. I appreciate you hopping on last call with us.
We are going to hit some college football playoffs some
Saturday NFL not a not a great start for the
college football playff for me. Right, Oklahoma just kind of
well blew a seventeen point lead, which has been on
par for my college football plays this year. But let's
kind of break down these other three games. We got
some questions in the chat we're gonna get answered, and then,
of course I want to get your opinion on what
I should do in Survivor as well.
Speaker 5: Sure, I'm actually gonna disagree with Johnny on that. In
terms of the choices, New Orleans are Philly, Philly is love.
The only king Philly is beaten in the last month
is the Raiders.
Speaker 6: You know what I mean.
Speaker 5: I got concerns about Philly, and I'm I'm more confident
watching going to show off today. I'm not confident that
the that the Jets are going to show up.
Speaker 1: Now really quickly. Jayden Annuals is out for this game. Correct, Yes, Marioda,
It is Marioda. Which is how much of a drop
off would you say between the two quarterbacks?
Speaker 6: Zero point zero?
Speaker 1: And that's what I was afraid you were gonna say.
So here we are, and I have I have some
genuine concerns. I did see that one of the guys
who has previously cashed and Survivor did play the Saints.
I think it was on one of the Twitter accounts
I follow, like Last Man Standing or one of those
and so I thought, Okay, this kind of gives me
the extra nudge towards the Saints, but again, it is
still the Saints. Now. My buddy Joe is a huge
Saints fan, and after they beat Tampa, he goes, Saints
are going to win out watch and I said what,
and he goes, I've been a Saints fan my whole life.
I know exactly what they're gonna do. Kind of break
down your thoughts on that game. I know it's tomorrow,
but for my own personal reasons why I get some
questions from the chat.
Speaker 5: So, the Jets have been no shows. I mean the
last two weeks they've been flat out no shows. And
when we look at the Jets defensive injury report, they're
gonna have problems moving forward.
Speaker 6: And we've seen each of.
Speaker 5: The last two weeks the Jets opponent has scored touchdowns
in the first three drives of the game, you know,
and when you're giving up twenty one points, you know
by midway through the second the Jets aren't gonna come back.
Speaker 6: For a lot of deafists like that, it's just not
in their moo. You know.
Speaker 5: The concern here for the Saints is back to back
division wins.
Speaker 6: Is this an EXL spot?
Speaker 5: But when you have a first year, first time head coach,
when you have a rookie QB, and Tyler Shuck is
not your standard rookie QB. All right, this is a
guy who doesn't have Super Bowl upside, but he does
have win now upside.
Speaker 6: What he plays six years in college. Seven years in
college for like Shuck.
Speaker 5: With every we played three different schools before he was
Duddy's what twenty six, twenty seven years old. As a rookie,
he's a notcher two ahead of a lot of the
other guys because he's had so much collegiate experience. Now,
is Shuck gonna be a Pro Bowl quarterback?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 5: Is Shuck a quarterback you want on your team at
the tail end of a bad season to give you
a chance to win a game. Yes, you know so, Yeah,
it'd be Saints for me in that in that department.
And it's also worth noting the books are really gonna
need Washington in that ball game, and they're not likly
to need New York the same way.
Speaker 1: And that's after Art sent that that kind of codified it,
which I thought, you know, hey, of course everybody's gonna
want to tease the Eagles, you know, six point six
and a half point favorite, bouncing around here on the
Odds logic screen. All right, let's see what we've got
for questions in the chat. If you guys have an
FL Saturday NFL you gotta wait for Sunday NFL tomorrow.
Or if you have any college football playoff questions, we're
going to answer those now. If you have college basketball,
we're gonna save those for our guys. Steve Merrill at
the end of the show, I got a frendcheet on
my hip. Don't mind me. It's not me snorting. Guys,
I promise. Let's see what we got here for questions
in the chat in regards to today's college football. Okay,
let's go right here. Look ahead. Alabama is I you is?
I don't know what to make an Indiana Bama. I
don't know what to make a Bama teddy. Let's talk
about it. Did you think yesterday was a fraudulent win
by Alabama? Did Oklahoma's absolutely choke away that game? I'm
not gonna lie After the punt mishap and then the
pick six, I said, I'm going to bed. I have
things to do tomorrow. I'm not watching this garbage game.
Speaker 5: I washed right through the end because I had Alabama
in that boggame, and I wanted to be I wanted
to make sure they were taken a knee before all
was done. So certainly the Sooners, it felt like the
energy of the crowd and the energy of the team
was so huge early that once it turned, they had
nothing left in the tank. And the other thing that
it felt like, you know, at least for this better
there was one play that nobody's going to talk about
that was the key to the whole game. Oklahoma's up
seventeen to nothing, Alabama still can't move the football. It's
third and five on their next t I think on
three and out, three and out, three and out their
first three drives, and it's third and five and the
crowd is going crazy, and if they punt there, I
think it's a Sooner's runout.
Speaker 6: I really do.
Speaker 5: And that Frost receiver he caught two touchdowns later in
the game, but on third and five he kind of
stumbled and made this great catch and ended up being
a twenty nine yard game downfield, and all of a sudden,
Alabama's moving and that one third down conversion is a
difference between Oklahoma winning by five touchdowns and Alabama pulling
the upset.
Speaker 6: And nobody's gonna talk about that one play, but that
was it.
Speaker 5: That was the highest leverage play of the entire game.
Down seventeen to nothing, they punt there. I'm telling you,
as soon as run them out that said count me
as an Alabama believer. You know, they weren't healthy down
the stretch. Ty Simpson wasn't healthy, and that explains the
Georgia loss, that explains the struggles against Auburn. They're healthy now,
the boor stayed put. All right, this is a this
is a legit contender to go a long way. I
would not be surprised if they beat Indiana. In fact, Mike,
and again, I haven't thought about it, haven't handicapped the
game yet, but my initial gut reaction is I'll take
the Crimson tide again.
Speaker 1: All right, We've got about forty questions about Bears Packers
here in the teaser, and that's the first NFL game today.
I get it, guys, I'm breaking VIA's rules. Teddy. I
don't know if you noticed, but starting here on last call,
especially on Sunday's Via has been saying, hey, wait to
do these teasers, and I have not listened to them
in the slightest. I have been betting them live with
you on last call. So I had four Bears teasers,
now I've got four Packers teasers. That's not reality for
most people. Talk to me about the side or the
total here, whichever you prefer. I'm curious to see how
this game pans out. Packers really don't have well. First
of all, they're kind of riddled with injuries, and they
really don't have an upside. In my opinion at this
point in time, the Bears is basically the Bears division
to the Packers down the Bears. Yes, you are correct, Brian.
Speaker 5: So I have fourteen things I disagree with you about.
And let's start with the mainstream narrative that says, oh,
the Packers are riddled with injuries and the Bears are fine.
That ain't the case. The Packers lost Micah Parsons. They're
getting two guys back off ir this week. Who are
gonna two defensive ends who are gonna They're not Micah Parsons,
but they have bodies, capable bodies they can put there
it's not a complete loss at to rush the passer
for green Bay.
Speaker 6: The key injuries for this game are the Bears receiving corps.
Look at the Bears receiving corps. All right, No Luther
Burton in this ballgame for Chicago.
Speaker 5: He matters in this better's opinion, And he's not the
only one that's gonna be missing. No Romeo Dnze. And
when you're talking about, you know, two of their three
best receivers with and Ben Johnson's been a guy who's
been able to create depth at the receiving cor You
did it in Detroit. There's certainly some depth in Chicago.
But when you're talking about the injuries that matter here,
it feels to me like Green Bay's injuries is getting
a lot more publicity than Chicago's injuries. And Chicago's injuries,
at least in my opinion, everybody is impactful. You know,
why are the Bears here? They're here for two reasons.
You know, why are they in control of the division?
Fourth quarter comebacks capable has been great down the stretch
of tight games. They have that confidence that you know,
some teams develop that, hey, we're gonna win close games
in the fourth quarter. And they start doing it September
and by December they believe in themselves and the Bears
are absolutely that team. The other reason that the Bears
are in this spot is because their defense created thirty turnovers.
You know, I mean your defense is creating takeaways every
single week. It gives the offense a chance to find rhythm.
Speaker 6: But Green Bay is not.
Speaker 5: A turnover team. You know, Jordan loved and threw the
ball over turn the ball. I think they've given away
ball nine times. Ye, So this is not a game
where I expect the Bears to win the Turnamer battle
by margin. And with Chicago being favored on a team
that green Bay is owned, on a field that green
Bay is owned, I bet the Packers. I advised my
clients to bet the Packers. It's a client play for
me on Saturday night. Green Bay plus the points. And
if I'm teasing, you know, obviously I've be teasing up
to seven and a half with one and a half
still available for green Bay right now. But I'm not
teasing straight bet. I think green Bay wins the game.
Speaker 1: I do like the Packers as well. Teddy, Let's look
at this playoff picture really quick. I just got it
open on my phone because I was genuinely curious from
this question. So we'll get into Eagles commanders. Does Philly
even need to win right now? Is Philly locked in
to that? Well, the NFC Wildcard race, Philly looks like
they're locked in at the three seed.
Speaker 6: Philly is supposed to win the division, right They're supposed to.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna look and see what I can find
for the whole division right now. Yes, they have a
three game lead over the Dallas Cowboys.
Speaker 5: So when it comes to must wins and playoff positioning,
I really don't look a lot until Week eighteen, the
last week you pay attention to that stuff.
Speaker 6: In Week sixteen, teams aren't. And I said teams might
have in the back of.
Speaker 5: Their minds, but is it a legit edge from a
handicapping standpoint, I haven't seen that that's the case.
Speaker 6: I really haven't.
Speaker 5: So it's not something that this week I'm paying a
lot of attention to. We'll pay a little bit of attention
next week, but really week eighteen, you want to know
Week seventeen, week in Week sixteen, it's in my mind
less of a factor.
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, We're gonna get in some more college
football playoff talk here in a minute, I already mentioned
you guys can find Teddy and I every single Monday morning,
eleven am Eastern eight am Pacific. Right here, I'm on
the wager Talk YouTube channel for the opening line report
of the NFL weekly Card. We go through tons of information,
I mean, Teddy, just the notes Teddy sends me has
helped my handicapping in the NFL immensely. It is one
of those must watch shows, especially if you want to
get not only the best in the information, but the
best of the number early in the week, Teddy, what
else do you have going on over at wager talk
dot com.
Speaker 6: So we're going good right now, guys.
Speaker 5: You really are swept last night swept to night before five,
and over the last two days. The NFL has been great.
The last couple of weeks seven to one eighty eight
percent NFL run all sports. I think it's eighteen and
eight now over the last two weeks. So we're making money.
And I'm in play today in college football. I'm in
playing college hoops. I'm in play in the NFL. Although
you just got that here a moment ago. But we'll
have NFL obviously for tomorrow, we got these weekend Warrior
packages for forty nine bucks. We have the buy seven days,
get three days for free, great deals right now on
my page w dot buzz backslash tc. This is the
website wager talk Dot. You know, I tell you guys
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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about this first college football playoff game.
All right, Miami's down to three. Art and Caesar from
the Westgate super Book said that is going to be
their biggest need of the day. I liked A and M.
Let me back this up, I tweeted. I hoped I
could bet against both these teams in the first round
of the playoffs, and unfortunately they play against each other,
so you can't do that. I did have a slight
lean towards an M that I gave out on bet
on it. I'm not going to probably get to the
window with this, but finding out that Miami is such
a significant need here, Teddy does make me think I
should take Texas A and M out of my survivor,
right I have a college football playoff survivor pool and
just go straight easy chalk and take Ole miss and Oregon.
I know that's not the right thing to do. I
do have a M and two of them, though, what
do you think about this game?
Speaker 5: I have Miami in my pocket, I have Miami money
line in my pocket. I have a free play video
out from Miami in my pocket. I got a client
play where I wrote up Miami in my pocket. And
I understand the case for A and M. The case
for A and M is Mike alco versus Mario Christobal,
you know.
Speaker 6: And I get that crystal Ball has failed in these spots.
I'll go as not.
Speaker 5: But boy, you start looking at the personnel. Great, not
the personnel between these two teams, and there's no edge
for A and M at least not in my opinion.
And when we look at the quarterbacks, I'll take my
chances with a quarterback in Beck who's been you know what,
a five year starter who's been in big games before,
as opposed to Red who hasn't. And I'll certainly take
my chances with MIAMI'SD when I have the better quarterback
and the better defense that I'm catching points I'm interested,
and you know from every cisco, both the test and
the stats are telling me that Miami is a better defense.
And I believe that Miami's quarterback everybody as good as better,
and they're catching a field goal plus, So I'm interested.
I'm interested in my pocket. I think the Hurricanes are
very capable of winning this bogame. And again, when the
committee makes controversial decisions like getting Alabama into the field,
they're getting Miami into the field. Sometimes those decisions end
up paying off.
Speaker 1: A little bit of motivation by being told you weren't
supposed to get in.
Speaker 6: You suck factor.
Speaker 1: I do like the USU factor. Okay, let's talk about
the U suck factor. As far as the two teams
that did get in that might not have right, we
know Tulane doesn't suck. They won the Sun Belt. We
know JMU doesn't suck. But they are both seriously outclassed,
at least from a on paper perspective, Right, Teddy, But
this week on the gold sheet, I read this on
bet on It and I thought it was really interesting.
Oklahoma did not do this last night, however, though all
four home teams last year during the College Wall Playoff
not only one, but won by a margin of nineteen
point three points per game, So that was a really
interesting one. And when they're up seventeen nothing, I thought,
oh boy, the stat may stay alive. However, that includes
JMU maybe catching a few too many points. Let's talk
about both Tulane and JMU and whether you could get
to the window with either one of these teams or
if you think you got to lay it or don't
play it.
Speaker 5: So the answer will I get to win to the
betting window with Tulane or James Madison is very simple.
I'm gonna say this as clearly as I can. Hell, no, okay,
these teams are outclassed, all right, both of them.
Speaker 6: All right. I heard Yanni talking earlier about, oh, well,
if Oregon's up four touchdowns, they won't They were not
going to be more ready to go at five.
Speaker 5: They're playing at home in front of a racous crowd
against a demoralized opponent that's down four touchdowns, and.
Speaker 6: They don't have a chance. You know, I don't think it'll.
Speaker 5: Be Oh, let's just run the ball three times in
the middle of the punt. He's gonna kill James Madison
if I'm gonna lay points. Really, I'm tempted by both favorites.
You know, it was forty five to ten Old Miss
Tulane in the first meeting, and Tulane was interested. Okay,
you know, it wasn't like and I understand it's a
different scenario now, and there may be there may be
over confidence from Old Miss, and obviously it's an Old
Miss team that has gone through some coaching turmoil. But
in general, in bowl games, as long as the team
as a coach, you know, it's one thing if there's
no coach, but as long as the team has a coach,
I'm kind of tapping the brakes on some of this
coach and stuff. Oh the coach is gone, Oh the
coach is here. It's the players who are on the field,
you know, and the players.
Speaker 6: There's no comparison in either of these two games.
Speaker 5: I mean again, and we look at comps, we look
at Okay, how did this team do when they stepped
up in class? James madison't play anyone. Their toughest game
all year was September fifth at Louisville, and.
Speaker 6: They weren't in that game.
Speaker 5: You know, I don't think I lost only two touchdowns,
but Louisvio wasn't interested either.
Speaker 6: You know here Oregons.
Speaker 5: You know it's it's Oregon's interested, and it's a long
way from home from a program that has no experience
in these spots.
Speaker 6: Could the back door be open? Maybe? But Oregon's defense
been really good.
Speaker 5: I just checked the forecast for Eugene today and it's
not nearly as bad as initially expected. This total got
pet down. At this number, I can only take over
for Oregon James Madison. I think it's been bet down
too far. But then again, I worry about James Madison scoring,
but I think the Dogs will take care of business.
I worry about Tulane almost looking past Tulane a little bit,
but I don't worry about That's not an upset. You know,
if ole Miss doesn't spend the game shooting themselves in
the foot, they'll win, and they're they're likely to win
by margin. I don't want the Dogs favorite or passed
in two games where the Dogs are severely outclassed.
Speaker 6: On both sides of the ball.
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy at Teddy Underscore covers anything else you'd
like to leave our audience with for either today's NFL
games or college football playoff games.
Speaker 6: Well, I'll have college hoops on the brink.
Speaker 5: We've been working college hoops all morning, and I'm really
tempted by Virginia. Mine is fourteen and a half against Maryland.
That's three o'clock Pacific, six pm game. That's my last
one out right now. Got a couple of plays up
in college hoops, but the last one out is.
Speaker 6: Virginia.
Speaker 5: Virginia has been just crushing teams lately and Maryland's just
been getting crushed lately, and this is just expect more
of the same from both these squads. I worry about
the layoff for the cast since their last contest, but Virginia,
and of course the money's come for Maryland. But Virginia
fourteen and a half is one that has intrigued me.
Speaker 1: I'm going to add that to my long list of
other ones that I'm probably going to bet from the
Westgate super book earlier, and we'll go through those here
in just a minute. Teddy, I will see there you go.
Trent's on in and if anybody wanted to know, he
joined me in Oklahoma night and then made fun of it,
and subsequently Alabama just absolutely rolled after that moment. John
Murray did too. By the way, I've been calling him
Murray the mush all morning, so he and I are
not speaking as well. It is just taking a little
angry when people mush. The side that I'm on, Seddi
covers is the best. We'll see you Monday morning, bright
and early, right here for Week seventeen of the NFL.
All right, guys, we got about fifteen to eighteen minutes
with Steve Merrill, and we're going to get through all
of your college basketball questions. Merrill, I want to bring
you in because you live in the great state of
Virginia or Maryland, one of the two. I can't remember,
but I know it's over there somewhere, and I want
to hear your opinion on Teddy's breakdown of that game
while we get some questions populating for today's college football
card college basketball card.
Speaker 7: Excuse me ask my new friend Brady. He knows exactly
where I live and he can tell you. Good to
see you, Kelly in person, And yeah, it's a huge
card here. We also got two NFL games, NBA, I mean,
we got four major sports going in full swing. Everything
butt baseball here on Saturday. UVA is obviously an interesting
team because Tony Bennett last season in October, about two
weeks before the season started, all of a sudden retires
steps down, and you know a lot of times when
that happens, you're like, there's a controversy, something's going on now.
He was just set up with the atmosphere of modern
college basketball, the NIL, the transfer portal, all that junk,
and I think the reason he did it at the
last moment is because he wanted his assistant coach to
get a shot to run the team, which he did last.
Speaker 4: Year, but it didn't go great.
Speaker 7: Ryan Odum, the VCU coach, is now the new Virginia
coach this season, and Virginia is off to a nine
to one start. As Teddy said, they're playing Maryland today.
I've got a better project. You like a seventeen point win.
And this isn't your slow down Virginia team like in
year's past. So they've been routinely putting up eighty five
to ninety points on average this season.
Speaker 1: All right, Steve, I'm gonna go through some of these
sharp college basketball because I like to do it a
couple of different times in the show. I know everybody
pops in and out at different times, and of course
one of our insiders is asking for it. WT dot
buzz backslash Insiders. If you guys are looking to join
two dollars in ninety nine cents a month to get
premium access to everything wager talk All right ready, Steve
Arkansas plus five, Denver plus ten and a half, Grand
Canyon plus three, Kent State, Pickham, Southern Myths plus two
and a half, Florida International minus four and a half,
Buffalo Pickham Memphis plus four, ball State plus ten and
a half, Colorado minus four, and Weaber State minus five.
Do any of those games strike your interest?
Speaker 7: Nothing particular, but I will talk about the Memphis Mississippi
State game. I think that's one of the better matchups
in that list. Who got a lot of those mid
You know that look the sharp money loves to play
the small college mid major teams. I don't disagree, but
I focus more in recent years on the big boys.
I think you get a cleaner handicap. I use the
analogy of horse racing. I like to play, you know,
the bigger tracks. You just get you get Class A opponents,
and Memphis and Mississippi State both Top one hundred teams
if you will both bubble teams this season, and this
would be a pretty good game. Today, I'm really a
close game. I make it basically a pick them here
in this matchup, and I look at the matchup itself.
Both teams played a moderate pace. But the one edge
at Memphis has they're a really good offensive rebounding team.
I think that's going to give them extra chances, and
they're also the better defensive team in this game. Whenever
I get two teams, they're kind of equally matched as
far as the points spread in the projection. I look
for edges like that, and another little sneaky edge that
you can look when you're handicapping college basketball is free
throw rate. Memphis's biggest problem this year has been allowing
opponents to score from the free throw line. They're one
of the worst of the country. Their opponents get over
forty three percent of their total points from the free
throw line. Guess what, Mississippi State does not get many
points from the free throw line. It does not get
their often. I like the match up here for Memphis
today on Saturday.
Speaker 1: Okay, Art the Caesar every single week gives me a
best bet from behind the counter at the Westgates super
Book and every single week you argue against him.
Speaker 4: I know did he win?
Speaker 7: I know, I know he was wrong with Dayton two
weeks ago. What was it last week killing I don't.
Speaker 1: Remember, but I had to laugh because it was it
wrong so of Tyler Torrez here, which is why I
b'reing in Tyler like Saint John's money line. Well, guess
who likes Kentucky money line art to Caesar, ooh.
Speaker 4: He's on Kentucky. Yeah.
Speaker 7: So I actually had a best bet last Saturday a
week ago when we last talked on Kentucky. That was
my top play in college hoops all of last Saturday,
and we talked about it here on the show. I
gave that to everybody for free. Actually that's twelve point
went over Indiana and if you were called Kelly. One
thing I did say in that breakdown last week was
that Kentucky might be turning the corner? Is it time
to trust Kentucky? And I know that's always a big
if because.
Speaker 4: This is a team.
Speaker 7: Even head coach Mark Pope said about a month ago,
I've done a terrible job coaching. Love it when a
coach says that, and he said it because he has
a payroll of over like twenty million dollars with this
current roster at UK. So my point is they're very talented,
but we haven't necessarily seen it show itself on the
court yet. I liked him last week against Indiana. They've
been off for a full week since I'm in agreement
with Art this week. This is a very good Saint
John's team as far as the matchup goes. Saint John's
plays great D defense, not quite as good as last year.
I ranked them as like the second best defense in
the country last year. I've got him like top fifteen
right now. But they're not a great rebounding team, and
I think that could be the difference in this game.
Both teams don't give up much from three point range,
so this is going to be teams scoring down low
from two point range. They both do that well, they
defend it well. Maybe a little bit of a sneaky
under in this game also, under could be a way
to play this. I think one of the reasons Kentucky's
going to start playing better is because their defense is
going to be better, and that's something they weren't doing
well earlier this season. And when you have a bunch
of five million dollars payroll guys each. They all want
to score. I think they're buying in more of the
defensive concept now and as I said last week, we
might have the by sign finally with Kentucky this season, Steve.
Speaker 1: They want to know where your Christmas shirt is comment
section Yes, absolutely hilarious.
Speaker 7: Thank you because I've been debating this, Kelly, and they
will see it later this afternoon. I did wear it
last night for my Fade to Public, but I warrant
for both Saturday videos, which you're here on wager Talk TV.
So it's a very simple solution. If you want to
see my Christmas shirt, go watch the three pack all
three college football playoff games and the two pack for
the NFL games, and then the one pack for all
the Fade the Public games, which will be uplated this
afternoon and includes a Saturday game. By the way, I
mentioned that in the Saturday video. And I gotta give
a shout out to my friend Candice. She's a trainer.
You like this guy. She's a trainer at the gym.
She gave me the shirt over a year ago, but
I was out of town so I didn't get it
till January, so I didn't wear it till last December.
And I debuted it coaching at halftime at a woy
Mary basketball game last year and he got a big applause.
And I warned some of the videos last week it's
a Santa shirt.
Speaker 4: You'll see it in the videos.
Speaker 7: And I debated on wearing it for more than videos
next week, so I will. One guy called it a
nerd shirt in the comments last night, ninety nine percent
positive comments. I mean, I love the viewers and normally
they regulate for me. They jump on people. But someone
said nurture, but I think he was kind of kidding,
so I didn't take it personally. Yeah, it was not
just right back like geek comment or something.
Speaker 1: But I mean, seriously, the comments section is absolutely bananas.
These guys are hilarious. Oh here's a good question that
I was avoiding, but our producer Louis wanted to put
it on just so we could hear what you think
about my Kansas State Wildcats kase State Lane twenty three
and a half against South Dakota. Is that number two
big team merrill?
Speaker 7: This would have been a great football game if k
State had decided to go to a bowl game. South
Dakota South Dakota State are both very good football teams.
Speaker 4: As you know, Kelly, why we're talking college hoops.
Speaker 7: I got K State kind of bubblish as well, probably
a little bit on the outside looking in. Right now,
South Dakota is not a good team. I projected about
a twenty two point win in this game. And you
know where I'm going with that, Kelly. If they're gonna
win the game, get their team total up and over
and let's pull that up. Let's pull up their team
total here as I look at this. And the reason
I mentioned is Kelly and I talked about this a
few weeks ago, and of course I had a free
play video a couple mondays ago with the K State
team total over ninety eight and a half. When they
played the worst Division one college basketball team in the country,
and that was Mississippi Valley State. They beat them one
oh eight to forty nine. They did get to eighty
three against Creighton in their last game, But you look
at those first five games that they won this season,
and they scored ninety eight points or more than three
of the five games. They could very well get to
the one hundred mark here didn't pull up their team total.
I don't have it in front of me if anybody
has it, but whatever it is, team total up and
over for K State today would be the way to
play it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll take a peek here, Steve, because it's not
only the team total the game.
Speaker 4: What's the rotation number? That's what I've got it right here?
Ninety eight.
Speaker 7: Well look at ninety eight and a half again, it's
magic ninety eight. Ninety eight and a half. That's the
magic number.
Speaker 1: Really this is And also if you like the game
over it that depends on their opponent's offensive proudness. Look
for the games over. I think they're like seven and
two to the over this year. I got to double
check that match cal.
Speaker 4: How about this case.
Speaker 7: State plays at the sixteenth fastest tempo in the country
out of three sixty five and thot shots.
Speaker 1: Oh boy, look out. You don't want to be holding
an under.
Speaker 7: One, and South Dakota plays at the thirty six fastest paced.
So both teams like to run, and I love that
kind of matchup because when they both want to run,
the better team has a huge edge and they get
what we call a front door cover so yeah, I
like stayed in this one.
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna check in the comments sections and see
if anybody else has any more college basketball. Oh boy,
Shawn Michael, he is obsessed with his Michigan Wolverines. Found
about this morning Michigan to get to twenty and oh
at plus five fifty? Interesting? Is that from a Seawn?
Is that from a Michigan book? They're just baiting you
guys to have this team win twenty games in a
row or I don't know what, but I'm gonna say
at plus five fifty, it's probably not, Steve, it's probably not.
Speaker 4: What was this twenty what was the plus five fifty four?
Speaker 1: They're gonna win twenty games, no losses, go twenty and
oh yeah, twenty.
Speaker 7: They're gonna I wasna say they're gonna definitely win twenty
games this year. They're already ten and oh but yeah
twentyeth Yeah, the Detroit Pistons having a great season as well.
There's some good Michigan basketball. Speaking of the comments, after
the show last week, I did a video for that
Arizona basketball game, and I mentioned Arizona is not They
were number one of the eight people and I said
they're not the best team. We talked about it last week.
I have Michigan as the best team in the country,
and someone got very upset in the comments that I
said that, I go, look, I'm not Saint Arizona's not
a good team.
Speaker 4: They're just not the best team.
Speaker 7: And we broke Michigan down last week here on the show,
and I explained why they are the best team in
the country. They are a dominant defensive team this season,
and I project probably a high thirty, maybe even a
forty point win in this one against LaSalle, who is
not a good team, a sale not a good offensive team.
And we talk a lot about this when laying big
numbers in college football, you can't bet bad offensive big
dogs offensively because they can't catch up when they get behind,
especially in football. That's why if you've got to play it,
you lay it. But it's the same here. Michigan is
the best defensive team in the country. How good are
they defensively? Well, they have the number one two point
defense in the country. They're giving up only thirty eight
and a half percent from two point range. They have
the second best two point offense sixty five percent, which
means they get easy baskets all game long down low
with their size, and the other team can't score. And
then you've got Lasal, who's one of the worst two
point offenses in the nation. A LaSalle team total under
makes a lot of sense in this one. And once
again I don't have it in front of me. What's
the rotation number on this one?
Speaker 1: I apologize, Steve, I already closed out my odds a lot.
Speaker 7: I'll scroll, but I like Lasale team total under in
this one because I just don't see how they're going
to score in this game down low. And I do
realize some people don't have access to team totals in
college basketball, so obviously you know the under would make
sense here. But I like Michigan laying the points. I
think it's gonna be a blowout, and I don't see
Lasal scoring much. And for some reason, I cannot find
this game on the board. Odds like, yeah, I don't
see it. I will say odds Lockgic was glitching for
me earlier today, so maybe we need Let's have it.
Speaker 1: To a couple more questions before we get you out
of here. Is Georgia a real top twenty five team
for usual or does the month of January shows who
they really are. I well, I didn't think they were
a top twenty five team last year, and then they
got into SEC play and they just got slaughtered. Let's
talk about this Georgia team here, Steve, and kind of
your thoughts on them or any other team in the
SEC as far as some maybe futures value.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, they haven't really been tested this season.
Speaker 7: The only good team they've played this year happens to
be their only loss, and that was against Clemson, but
it wasn't overtime, so it went down to the wire.
Florida State not that great. I know they blew them out,
but they really haven't been an maybe Cincinnati. I guess
you could say maybe Cincinnati was a decent win by
nineteen a few games ago. But they're not going to
be tested today. They're played West Georgia, one of the
worst teams in the country. It'll be a thirty five
to forty point win. But a bigger picture SEC is loaded.
What did they get in twelve to the fourteen or
what was it fourteen fourteen of the sixteen however many
they have only everybody but two got in last year
in the NCAA tournament, and I talked about how Michigan
has the number one two point defense and the number
two two point offense, and last week they were first
in both. Guess who passed them, it's Georgia. Georgia has
the number one two point offense and the number sixteen
two point defense, and not a surprise. They have some
size and they're really good at forcing turnovers. Though normally
when you're a really good down low, you're not a
great turnover team. Georgia takes care of the ball and
they turned teams over as well, and they play at
the third fastest pace in the country. That's another reason
they score so many two point shots. It's not necessarily
that the as big as Michigan, it's that they're scoring
in transition. So I think the teams are going to
give Georgia trouble and Conference player are going to be
slow down half court teams. But a lot of those
SEC teams like to run, like Alabama do. They like
to play fast, and Georgia does it really well this season.
So Georgia and up tempo games is a play on
slower games. They're a play against that doesn't really apply here.
West Georgia is terrible at both ends of the court,
but just something to keep an eye on when conference
play begins in the SEC.
Speaker 1: All right, see, if I've got three more questions, we're
going to get to you. But first you already mentioned
where everybody can find your fad the public video. You
do a ton of video content for us right here
on the wager Talk YouTube channel. Let everybody know where
they can become a premium subscriber. And what you've got
in today the college basketball, college football Playoff NFL for tomorrow.
Speaker 7: Yeah you know, I give a lot away for free,
fifteen to twenty free plays every week in college and
pro football and basketball. I sneaking a lot of basketball
videos during the week as well. And don't forget, I'm
doing every single bowl game and all the playoff games
through next month through the championship game in January. So yes,
you're getting every college football game, but a lot of
those are light leans only. And if you're playing all
the games, nothing wrong with that. Have some fun with
the games today one percent of bank roll is appropriate.
But if you want my official best bets, I've got
like six to seven advanced college football bowl games for
this next week already loaded for my clients. Those are
strong four percent plays, four times stronger than the free
opinions them giving you in the videos, and sometimes the
video plays are the best bets. I'll give you every
Bowl game, some of those will be included. But the
only way to make money is to play consistently every
day and to play the strongest plays. And that's why
the one year all access is the way to go.
And I do still have a special link for an instant,
huge discount, biggest discount of the season, gets it down
about a dollar a play for all Sports all Access
for a full three under at sixty five days WT
dot buzz slash Steve three sixty five. WT dot buzz
slash Steve three sixty five locks you in for a
full year for about a dollar a play. Now, if
you want to start smaller, get a weekly or a
monthly sampler. Nothing wrong with that. Everybody gets the same
plays that I'm personally using every day. And don't forget
about the bonus free play every day on my page
as well, And that's of course at wager talk dot
com Steve Merrill wager talk dot com. You get there
quicker WT dot buzz slash sm.
Speaker 1: All right, we've got forty two hundred people watching, so
we're going to give it a couple more minutes here.
We're gonna hit these last three college basketball games because
these are the three that I want to know about.
Rob Christensen in the chat thoughts on North Carolina minus
three and a half versus Ohio state rotation number six
twenty seven, six twenty eight, I think the tire heel
should cover. VR mentioned that not across the board, but
in several sharp accounts he saw people laying three and
a half with North Carolina. Kind of break down this
one for us, Steven if any opinions on it.
Speaker 7: Yeah, so I missed out with Ohio said about a
week ago, thought they were a live home dog against Illinois.
As I told you last week, Illinois a team I
just didn't have a good feel for this season. I
rate North Carolina is the better squad in this game,
but not by much. Maybe a few points better overall
this season in my power ratings. And this game is
in Atlanta, Georgia. By the way, it's a neutral court.
So the line looks a little pricey here at four.
Now it's three and a half. It's hit for a
lot of locations. I think this one's going to go
down to the wire. And as far as the matchup
in this game, Ohio State and excellent two point offense.
North Carolina one of the best two point defenses in
the country, So that is the concern. And while I
feel the line is a little high, I don't like
the matchup for Ohio State. I actually like the under
in this game open one fifty four and a half,
it's up to one fifty eight. Now I don't agree
with that move. As I mentioned, I think North Carolina's
two point defense matches up well here. I played the
total here under one fifty eight. If you're going to
attack this one at three eastern, all.
Speaker 1: Right, Steve right here off the top six oh one
six h two. Lots of questions here about Michigan State
and if they can cover the twenty points against Oakland.
I in fact even have one at nineteen and a
half minus one oh five available. Kind of break down
this one that's tipping off here in about eight minutes.
Speaker 7: Yeah, you know, everyon's talking about Michigan and the Detroit Pistons,
as I mentioned, but I still at Michigan State is
one of the ten best teams in the country in
my power ratings. This is a really good squad that
Izzo has one again this season and not a surprise, Kelly.
They're one of the best, maybe the best rebounding team
in the country and Oakland does not rebound well, So
a lot of second chance points for Michigan State in
this one. I project about a nineteen to twenty point wins.
I don't think there's a lot of line value, but
if you're going to play it, I would lay it.
And Oakland also has one of the worst two point
defenses in the country. I think Michigan State's going to
be able to score fairly easy in this game. And
if you want to stay away from that big point spread,
just once again play the team total over eighty six
and a half with Michigan State.
Speaker 1: All right, anything you'd like to leave our audience with
any other games that possibly might make your card or narrowly.
Speaker 4: Just missed now we touched on most of them in
college hoops.
Speaker 7: You know I tread lightly this week in college hoops,
a lot of teams have been off for the exam
breaks they have the holiday breaks. That's why it's a
smaller card today than we normally see. But as I mentioned,
with like Kansas State or Michigan State, I really like
starting to utilized team totals. I don't release them to
my clients because a lot of books don't have the
numbers still, so you know, I want to use games
that are universally available to everybody. But I think a
sneaky way to play these big point spread games like
Michigan State or Kansas State today and they both go
here in about ten minutes by the way, at noon Eastern,
is to utilize those team totals because they usually if
it's going to be a blowout, they get up and
over and it's just a good way to head. You
can play half of it on the team total, half
on the point spread, have a little bit of a
hedge going.
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