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Speaker 1: Happy Monday, and welcome into the opening line report. Kelly

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Stewart here fresh off in NFL Week thirteen.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna find out what we learned.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk little Monday Night football with Teddy Covers,

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and they're gonna get right into that NFL Week fourteen slate.

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Speaker 2: Teddy, I give up. I know nothing.

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Speaker 1: I did take the Dolphins yesterday and survivor, so maybe

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I know little something. But good grief, we'll get into

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that game here in a minute. There's just so much unpack.

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Who's good, who's not good, Teams that have superseded expectations,

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teams who have fallen from grace.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna let you take the floor.

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Speaker 3: So the headline that I came up with for Week

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thirteen was quote the year where nobody's real. You know,

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all we saw throughout the course of the weekend was, Oh,

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this elite team got upset. Oh that eliteam got upset.

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But that's been the case all year. I mean, New England.

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No one believes in Buffalo, No one believes in Baltimore

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or Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, Andy, Denver, the Chargers, the Texans, the Chiefs, Eagles.

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Oh no, they're vulnerable. Dallas is live now, Chicago the

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number one seed, Green Bay. Do we trust them? Yes

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and no, some weeks we do. Detroit's falling apart, but

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you know, Tampa, the Rams lost of double digit favorites, Seattle,

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Sam the year where no one's real, lots of contenders,

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everything is wide open.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna talk about some contenders. We're also gonna

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talk about some pretenders. Teddy, let's talk about Monday Night football.

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This New England Patriots team is just hard for me

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to understand, right, They are superseding expectations all season long,

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New York Giants. After they beat the Eagles there on

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that Thursday night game, we thought, Okay, maybe, just maybe

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they're real. Cam'scattaboo gets hurt, Jackson Dart gets hurt. Jackson

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Dark will be playing tonight.

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Speaker 3: Correct, that's the expectation. He Jackson Dart's been taking the

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first strinks in practice all week. Jackson dren't expected back

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on the field, and that, of course, is why this

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line is seven and not higher looking of course, to

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the OS logic live on screen, mostly seven's out there

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for the Pats. Forty six and a half the prevailing

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total for this when I'm not anticipating a lot of

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movement between now and kickoff. There's certainly a case we

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made for the Giants and Giants to play competitive football

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all year loone, you know, and with Dart coming back,

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that is certainly a motivator for a losing team at

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the tail end of a bad season or towards the

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end of a bad season. And the Giants have shown

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they can play competitively with a lot of squads. That

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being said, there's been a lot of disrespect towards New

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England because of the schedule that they faced. Okay, well,

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the first the Giants aren't any good and second, you

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could only play the teams that are in front of you.

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The Pats were good enough to go to Tampa, and

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when they were good enough to go to Buffalo and win,

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and all of a sudden, now they get a national

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TV game to say, hey, we're real, We're the number

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one seed in the AFC. I could see a blowout

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and I could see a competitive game, and that's why

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I'm passing.

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Speaker 2: And it's okay to pass sometimes, guys. That is something

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that is okay. Even though it is fourteen weeks into

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the NFL season.

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Speaker 1: And it is a Monday night football game, and everybody's

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antsy to either continue winning or not. Dallas Detroit on

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Thursday Night Football, Teddy, I mentioned pretenders, We mentioned Detroit's

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recent struggles at least against the spread, and then most

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recently on Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Though I don't know, I said a couple of weeks ago,

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I like this team as a barking dog.

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Speaker 2: Now here they are. Are they barking once again?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Before we talk again into Thursday night. There's just

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a couple more a couple of things I want to

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clean up buys this week, Carolina, New England, the Giant,

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San fran. After this week, every team in the league

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will have exactly four games left. So this is the

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final week for buys. And this is the one I

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think the single weirdest season for NFL win totals that

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I've ever had Kelly. Every win total decided by December first. Unfortunately,

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this has not been a winning year for the NFL

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season Winter Report, finishing with a two and four record.

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The five percent Big ticket was a loser. In twenty

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twenty five, Seattle flown over the total that being said

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one oh five and fifty six in two thousand and one,

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seventeen and five big tickets. This won't happen again next year,

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and it is what it is with the win totals,

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So chalk eating weasels, we got to talk about the

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chalck eating weasels. The Jags won by twenty two, save

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frame one by eighteen. Seattle won by twenty six, the

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Chargers won by seventeen. The chalk eating weazels are the

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one who are covering of late dogs winning outright Houston

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and Indy, Carolina and La, the Jets versus Atlanta, and

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of course favorites win, but no Tampa, Miami and Denver

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in that regard. Of course, all the dogs Thursday and

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Friday not just covered. They all won straight up green

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made Dallas, Cincinnati and Chicago. All right, let's turn the

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page on last week and talk about this week, and

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that starts with Dallas and Detroit. With every week, you

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guys know the drill even coming into the opening line report,

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and we really appreciate all of your support. People love

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this show and the comments are positive uniformly. Thank you genuinely.

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But for those of you who this might be your

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first opening line report, there are fours at the lines

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we give for every game. The first is a look

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ahead line. These are the bettable lines four week fourteen

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games from last week. They call them look ahead lines,

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and that tells us how much this past game affected

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the points spread. The second number I'll give is my

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powering number. The third number I'll give and my powering

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numbers just team A team B home field. It does

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not factor in situations at all. I'll talk about where

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the line opened last night, and I'll talk about where

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the line has moved from the opener until this morning,

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so we can get a sense of where this line

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is going. That gives us an opportunity for some emergency betting.

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Don't know how many we're going to have today. Later

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in the season, you don't see the markets moving quite

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as dramatically as it did earlier in this season. The

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data is pretty well baked in. The bookmakers know where

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the money is likely to go. But we could have

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a handful. Let's see where the let's see where the

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screen lights up like a Christmas tree between now and

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the end of the show. So with Dallas and Detroit

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look ahead line, there was a mix. There were threes

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and three and a half for the Lions total fifty

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three and a half. My powering number comes three and

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a half. The markets last night open three and fifty

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four and we're seeing three and fifty three and a

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half this morning. So no dramatic move. Pretty much the

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look ahead line, my powering and the openers are all.

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The opener or the current are pretty close. Certainly, Dallas

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has played some good football over the last couple of weeks.

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When you're beating both teams that were in the Super

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Bowl last year over a five day span, you're doing

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something right, you know. Obviously the passing game Cde Lamb

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started Dak Prescott three on a twenty yards on eight

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point two yards for pass attempt against Kansas City. But

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Lamb and Pickens, the duo is proving to be as

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dangerous as expected. But the defense is what's going on here,

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you know. I mean, obviously bringing Quinnon Williams, you bring

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in Logan Wilson, trade deadline deals and a bunch you know,

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a rookie quarterback Chevin Revel's playing well. There's a whole

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defensive mentality in Dallas right now that hasn't been there

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all year, and it's allow want to win games, and

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of course, let's not forget the NFC East hasn't had

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a repeat champion in twenty one years. Dallas is saying,

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we're live to do something, you know, Dak Prescott quote,

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talking about this game on top where we put ourselves

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right before these games. Just a place we're in, having

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to get these wins against two elite teams, two teams

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that played in the Super Bowl last year, last year's

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last year. But we're talking about two organizations that obviously

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know how to win, and we just beat them both

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in two great games. So kind of going for the trifecta.

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As they travel to Detroit on a short week here,

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Lions started four to one. They're three and four since

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longest winning streak during that span one game, last eight

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games win loss, win loss, win loss, win loss, and

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of course they are coming up a long Lions off

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loss has been money for the last three years. Three

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and one against the spread this year, the only one

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that didn't cover. They still won by a touchdown, but

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they were laying two touchdowns against the g Men. They're

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not laying that here. Concerns for the Lions absolutely right now.

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Defense against Green Bay zero sacks, zero turnovers forced, only

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one tackle for loss the whole game. They allowed three

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or three on fourth down. They allowed two or two

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red zone touchdowns. Those are not positive signs for a defense.

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You know, they're gonna get Frank Ragnu back as the

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fourth time Pro Bowl center. Oops, he didn't pass is physical.

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Their starting center Graham Glasnow is in active again. He's hurt.

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There are issues on the office of line right now.

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I'm on Ross Saint Brown. You know, a real playmaker.

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When they have a Brown on the one side, Saint

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Brown on the one side, and Williams on the other side,

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that's a really tough duo to stop without him, the offenses,

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you know, we don't know. Dan campbe quote don't think

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it's long term. It might be a week or two

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if we're lucky. And of course, let's not forget Dan

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Campbell took over play calling duties in week ten. They're

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averaging thirty points a game during that span. They're not

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having thirty points of games since he started calling plays,

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and they're zero for seven on fourth down since week eleven.

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Dan Campbell continues to go for it and the Lions

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continue to fail.

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Speaker 1: All right, A couple of other teams that are failing,

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Washington is taking on Minnesota.

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Speaker 2: One of these teams has.

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Speaker 1: To win a game, and Teddy, there's a lot of

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really gross matchups over the next four weeks of just

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teams where we've kind of got to figure out are

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they playing? Do they caree? It's kind of iffy, right Minnesota.

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Last yesterday I wanted to take Seattle and survivor and

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Brett said, well, we don't know anything about this kid,

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and I said, you're right, I don't.

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Speaker 2: And I start reading about him. I'm like, this kid's

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gonna get his doors blown off.

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Speaker 1: And the first series I thought, all right, Max, he

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didn't look so bad, and then he did what rookies do.

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As you're getting sacked, you throw an interception pick six,

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and the game was over right after that kind of

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talk about where you're looking for in any of these

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games where teams maybe have won two three wins on

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the season, and how do we actually break down anything

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outseide of a mathematical perspective, it's.

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Speaker 3: Key to note that while an organization may say we

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want the number one pick in the NBA, they're happy

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taking the players, all right, yeah, yeah, yeah, we'll play

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for hard for three and a half courters and you

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guys can play defense in the fourth and we won't.

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It'll be fun. In the NFL, that doesn't really happen.

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There aren't many center of their games the players check out,

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you know, and we saw that yesterday from Minnesota. It

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was a rough game for the Vikings, no question, But

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conceptually for this season, these guys are still fighting hard.

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They're still putting stuff on film for their next team,

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you know, if they're leaving, they're still putting stuff on

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film for the coaching staff. It's not often that you

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see a team just completely let go of the rope,

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and I haven't seen that from either one of these

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two teams. Minnesota had a really bad game yesterday, But

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it's not like this team is just as I said,

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all right, we're completely done. And also remember when you're like, oh,

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they're playing for draft position. The better the draft choices

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that come in, the more guys lose their job on

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that team, you know. So there's a pretty good motivator

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not to tank for a draft position, because then you're

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tanking for the guy who's going to come in and

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take your job. So I don't see that, you know,

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the effort's not an issue for the NFL down the stretch.

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The owner might want to lose, the players don't, and

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the coaches don't. Look aheadline here Minnesota minus one and

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a half forty three and a half my powering number

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as the Vikings minus at half point. I call it

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one slash pick. The markets opened with Washington as the favorite.

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I saw picks, I saw ones. I see one and

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a half right now, total forty one and a half

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forty two. This morning, there are questions about both quarterbacks.

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There is talk that we could see Je Daniels come

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back this past week, this next week, and from a

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JJ McCarthy perspective, the quote JJ McCarthy could emerge from

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concussion protocol as soon as Monday. Kevin O'Connell quote, he's

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still in the protocol as of right now. We'll see

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what he does tomorrow. Our goal is he cleared. I

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think of a good week of practice at an opportunity

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to play next week. Now, Max Prosber, if you did

246
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watch him as a Minnesota Golden Gopher, you knew that

247
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he wasn't likely to be an NFL star. The pick six,

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I mean it was on fourth down where a choice

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to make a play. So I get it. But as

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soon as soon as he threw the ball, you're like, oh,

251
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and then as soon as he caught it and started

252
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running the other way, you're like, well, see you next week, Minnesota.

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It felt the game felt over attend to nothing, and

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it was, you know, justin Jefferson two catches for four yards.

255
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You know, fourth shut up this season in the NFL, Tennessee,

256
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the Raiders, and Atlanta the three previous team to get

257
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shut out. None of those teams are aney good. And

258
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of course, you know, but if J. G. McCarthy comes back,

259
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McCarthy in six starts has the NFL's worst QBR among

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thirty three quarterbacks who have started at least six games.

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You know, Minnesota has to put him in to see

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what he can do. That's and of course Washington's played

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hard the last two weeks. They've taken a pair of

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teams to overtime and now they have back to back

265
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overtime losses, seven game losing streak, and the quotes coming

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out of Washington, oh, we're real happy, you know, Marionaque,

267
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We're going in the right direction. It's not exactly where

268
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you want to be, but I think put her together

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a great week of practice. Well, I think we just

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continued to stack these stack these overtime losses, you know,

271
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regardless of what it looks like for us, all about

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the process of the journey and the more we can

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find ways to improve week two weeks. I think, I

274
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think that that's a solid foundation for what's to come.

275
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All right. Dan Quinn took over the defensive play calling

276
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duties two games ago, and their defense has been better.

277
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There are a lot only forty two points in those

278
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ball games. Terry McLaurin came back, you know, dan Quinn,

279
00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:26,120
another positive quote. You know, there was progress that was made,

280
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certainly in the run game. We got plenty of room

281
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to grow in that hate the outcome, but I do

282
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love the fight and where we're at. So you don't

283
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usually see positive quotes like that from a team that's

284
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three and nine in the midst of a disastrous season

285
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and on a seven game losing streak. Nonetheless, Washington pleased

286
00:14:42,799 --> 00:14:45,000
with back to back overtime losses.

287
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Speaker 1: Please with back to back overtime losses. That sounds crazy

288
00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:51,519
to say it loud. A team that is one, I

289
00:14:51,559 --> 00:14:54,559
believe five of their last six and helped me somehow

290
00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:59,120
survived yesterday, Teddy, I cannot believe that on side kick

291
00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,480
about gave me a heart attack. And Johnny Detroit two

292
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he had them and I was texting, I'm gonna lose

293
00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:08,159
my mind. But they got the job done. Now they

294
00:15:08,159 --> 00:15:11,039
played the New York Lads. Hey, the Jets gotta win

295
00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:16,080
for me. Yesterday Nick Folks field goal was I was like,

296
00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:18,919
what was that? And it's still somehow Yeah, it looked

297
00:15:18,919 --> 00:15:21,360
like I kicked it and it went up through the uprights.

298
00:15:21,519 --> 00:15:24,600
So not a bad day yesterday for me. From these

299
00:15:24,639 --> 00:15:26,600
two teams.

300
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Speaker 3: Y'all gonna make me lose my mind. Up in here,

301
00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:32,879
up in here, Miami look ahead line minus three forty

302
00:15:32,919 --> 00:15:36,039
one and a half my powering number Miami two. The

303
00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:38,799
markets opened two and a half and forty one last night,

304
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,159
the markets this morning two and a half, forty and

305
00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:45,799
a half and two. Had a rough day yesterday, twelve completions,

306
00:15:45,919 --> 00:15:48,440
no touchdowns, only one in exception. He's thrown for two

307
00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:50,759
hundred less than two hundred yards seven times this year,

308
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:55,399
last three seasons through for less two undred seven times combined.

309
00:15:55,759 --> 00:15:57,159
It was all the eight een one hundred and thirty

310
00:15:57,200 --> 00:15:59,440
four rushing yards of Versts, New Orleans it went over

311
00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,639
to in the reds zone. They have one for their

312
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:04,440
last five. They're averaging one hundred and sixty seven rushing

313
00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:07,639
yards per game during that span. And remember last year

314
00:16:07,639 --> 00:16:09,759
they started two and six and they went six and

315
00:16:09,799 --> 00:16:12,799
two their next eight. We're seeing exactly that same scenario

316
00:16:13,039 --> 00:16:21,000
under McDaniel. Teams don't quit, all right. Mika Fitzpatrick quote,

317
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,399
I really appreciate how much this defense has been fighting.

318
00:16:23,559 --> 00:16:25,279
We obviously had a pretty rough start to the season.

319
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:29,080
Even throughout our downs at low periods, we were sticking together.

320
00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:31,519
As for the Jets, hey, the Jets are three and

321
00:16:31,559 --> 00:16:33,679
two in their last five games and the losses to

322
00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,000
the Bats of the Ravens. No shame there, you know,

323
00:16:36,639 --> 00:16:38,559
just some better record since the trade deadlines than the

324
00:16:38,559 --> 00:16:40,000
Colts do. And the Colts were the ones that got

325
00:16:40,039 --> 00:16:43,879
sast Gardner ad Mitchell and already established himself as a

326
00:16:43,919 --> 00:16:46,840
solid player, and of course, with Garrett Wilson on the

327
00:16:46,879 --> 00:16:49,679
injury reserve, he was their best offensive weapon. Yesterday, Tyler

328
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:54,360
Taylor Tyrod Taylor officially in the serviceable category. You talk

329
00:16:54,399 --> 00:16:57,240
about folks field goal to win. There were some ugly

330
00:16:57,279 --> 00:17:00,440
field goals that went through yesterday, but Taylor, so it

331
00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:02,879
felt amazing. Wasn't a perfect game any means we speak

332
00:17:02,919 --> 00:17:04,880
about our brand of football, I mean complimentary to one

333
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:06,920
another and all free phases. I think this is the

334
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,599
perfect game to show that the Jets haven't played much

335
00:17:09,599 --> 00:17:12,799
complimentary football this year. Folks field goal put the third

336
00:17:13,839 --> 00:17:19,039
you know, offense, defensive, special teams, the you know, the

337
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:22,480
icing on the cake in that regard, and Jets with

338
00:17:22,519 --> 00:17:24,519
a chance to win two in a row for the

339
00:17:24,519 --> 00:17:27,480
first time this season. My powering number says there's a

340
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:28,880
little bit of value at the current price.

341
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,400
Speaker 1: There's a lot of value for me here and a

342
00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:36,319
teaser perspective for the Jets. I'll take it probably and

343
00:17:36,559 --> 00:17:39,759
run Teddy. There's two more teams. We're just going to

344
00:17:39,799 --> 00:17:42,319
get through this rough stretch here on the odds Lotger screen,

345
00:17:42,599 --> 00:17:46,079
Tennessee one win on the season. Cleveland got one win

346
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,039
there versus the Raiders. A lot of people back to

347
00:17:49,079 --> 00:17:52,880
him yesterday. I know, huge team came in on Cleveland

348
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,960
early in the week with no avail. I was not

349
00:17:56,039 --> 00:17:58,519
impressed by this Cleveland Browns team in the slightest.

350
00:17:58,559 --> 00:18:02,160
Speaker 2: I feel like they didn't quit per se. They're just they.

351
00:18:02,039 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 1: Weren't able to get anything going against the Niners? Is

352
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:09,039
that more of a testament to this Niners team?

353
00:18:09,039 --> 00:18:10,400
Speaker 3: A little bit from columb Ay, a little bit from

354
00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:12,200
columb Well, it was all with Cleveland yesterday was their

355
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:15,640
special team especially kind a truly disastrous day. When you're

356
00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:18,279
a bad team as an underdog, what you can't do

357
00:18:18,799 --> 00:18:20,559
is take kickoffs, run about out of house at the

358
00:18:20,599 --> 00:18:24,440
five yard line. You can't muff punts. There were three

359
00:18:24,519 --> 00:18:27,440
different special teams misused for Cleveland yesterday, all of which

360
00:18:27,519 --> 00:18:30,359
led to San Francisco points. And you can't do that.

361
00:18:30,799 --> 00:18:33,359
And of course when things go went south, they went south.

362
00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:37,920
You know, the Browns are in a team that's really

363
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,279
capable when they it was as almost the sense of

364
00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:44,559
we talked about the Minnesota being down ten to nothing

365
00:18:44,599 --> 00:18:48,359
in the game's over. You know, Cleveland's not a team

366
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:50,240
that's gonna rally for many double digit deficits. You know

367
00:18:50,279 --> 00:18:52,480
they did it once this year. That was when Joe

368
00:18:52,559 --> 00:18:56,240
Flacco was at QB. Look headline here, Brown's minus three

369
00:18:56,279 --> 00:18:58,039
and a half, thirty four and a half. Look at

370
00:18:58,079 --> 00:19:00,279
that total. My powering number is Cleveland four and a

371
00:19:00,319 --> 00:19:02,839
half for this ball game, which tells you what I

372
00:19:02,839 --> 00:19:05,599
think about Tennessee markets opened. There were three and a

373
00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:08,359
halfs and fours last night, thirty three and a half

374
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,799
this total. That's what we're seeing this morning, three and

375
00:19:10,839 --> 00:19:14,319
a half's and fours. I don't think the market's going

376
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,160
up when you look at Cleveland, I'm not saying that.

377
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,000
I don't think there's a lot of people that are

378
00:19:19,079 --> 00:19:21,599
gonna go, yeah, let's lay four with the Browns and

379
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:25,200
asking to win by five or more. So that means Dan,

380
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:28,640
this is one where we can actually get together and

381
00:19:28,759 --> 00:19:31,039
put to an emergency betting aarty in place. Even though

382
00:19:31,079 --> 00:19:34,160
my powery number said this should be higher. If you

383
00:19:34,319 --> 00:19:39,119
want the if you want Titans, you can get a

384
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,240
plus four. Now, I'm not convinced it's going to be

385
00:19:41,279 --> 00:19:44,359
there later in the week. So Tennessee plus the four

386
00:19:44,599 --> 00:19:47,279
and it's another game for Tennessee where just bizarre game

387
00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:50,559
plan cam Ward forty one drop backs to pass, and

388
00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:52,559
those forty one drop backs she needed one hundred and

389
00:19:52,599 --> 00:19:55,400
twenty one yards and they ran the ball fourteen times

390
00:19:55,559 --> 00:19:58,680
sixty seven yards rushing. They ran the ball six effectively,

391
00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:02,519
and they just didn't do it much. You know, I've

392
00:20:02,559 --> 00:20:04,720
said it all year, I continue to say it The

393
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:08,599
issue in Tennessee is an offensive line problem, and Ward

394
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,400
now has ten games this season in which he's been

395
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:14,000
sacked at least three times. The only quarterback in the

396
00:20:14,079 --> 00:20:17,759
NFL history to be sacked more than more than three

397
00:20:17,839 --> 00:20:22,079
times in more than ten games in a season Warren

398
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,640
Moon in a nineteen eighty four. So it doesn't happen

399
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:27,839
a lot. Defense didn't force any turnovers, they didn't hold

400
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:29,799
Jacksonville to two point six yards per rush of four

401
00:20:29,839 --> 00:20:33,759
point eight yards per play. But remember Tennessee's supposed to

402
00:20:33,799 --> 00:20:36,519
be an zero to twelve team right now. Their only

403
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:39,960
win came in Arizona. That was a game where the

404
00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:43,079
Cardinals were up twenty one to six and de Marcado

405
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:45,480
had the seventy two yard touchdown where he oops, let's

406
00:20:45,519 --> 00:20:46,920
put the ball over the goal line and said, let's

407
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,000
fumble it through the end zone and Tennessee stole at

408
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:52,640
twenty two to twenty one. There was an Arizona gave

409
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,160
it to him. That's the only one they have this year.

410
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:59,599
Seventh straight loss, eleventh consecutive loss at home. The fans,

411
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,200
you know, booing early and often for Tennessee. I think

412
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,200
it's good for them to get out of Town, Mike McCoy,

413
00:21:04,279 --> 00:21:05,720
We got to do a better job all around.

414
00:21:06,319 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 1: It was sloppy, and now I'm sloppy because I'm over

415
00:21:13,799 --> 00:21:15,640
here looking on the Odds Lotges screen trying to figure

416
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:17,039
out what other teasers I'm gonna be.

417
00:21:17,079 --> 00:21:18,200
Speaker 2: Putting with the Jets.

418
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:23,079
Speaker 1: Let's go right in to an AFC North matchup. This's

419
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:25,799
gonna be interesting. I know Aaron Epstein is excited for

420
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:29,200
this breakdown because boyle boy, did the Baltimore Ravens break

421
00:21:29,279 --> 00:21:33,759
her heart? A ton of survivor backers, hearts and everybody

422
00:21:33,759 --> 00:21:37,680
who had him in the teasers, like myself, Teddy. The

423
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:41,559
Steelers looked abysmal yesterday, right Aaron Rodgers looked like he

424
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,920
was about to be forty two today, and the Baltimore

425
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:48,279
Ravens did not look much better. I thought maybe they'd

426
00:21:48,319 --> 00:21:49,759
be able to get the running game going with Derek

427
00:21:49,839 --> 00:21:52,680
Henry just a little bit more. Had some short bursts,

428
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,160
but overall, neither one of these teams looks like they

429
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,759
want to win the AFC North. Let alone are going to.

430
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:00,640
Speaker 3: I'm sure they both want to. The question is how

431
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,160
good are they and how healthy are they and how

432
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:05,200
capable are they? Look aheadline here Baltimore six and a

433
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:07,000
half forty six and a half. The total my powering

434
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,720
number Baltimore six, and I gave the Ravens a prairly

435
00:22:09,799 --> 00:22:15,359
significant downgrade after the loss on Thursday night. Powering number

436
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,000
are sorry. The markets opened six and a half forty

437
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,960
three and a half last night and we're sitting with

438
00:22:21,039 --> 00:22:22,839
a mixed line now, six last six and a half,

439
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,680
forty three and a half this morning. And it's it's

440
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:32,519
an injury question for both well, certainly for Baltimore. I

441
00:22:32,559 --> 00:22:34,119
mean they had won five in a row, but Lamar

442
00:22:34,279 --> 00:22:37,799
Jackson hadn't thrown a touchdown past the last two. Jackson

443
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,519
is clearly playing. He's very hurt. A right, the guy

444
00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:43,720
can't run. He has the fewest career rushing yards in

445
00:22:43,759 --> 00:22:46,079
this season as a rookie, six hundred and ninety five.

446
00:22:46,519 --> 00:22:48,759
He's got more than six thousand yards since then, better

447
00:22:48,759 --> 00:22:52,319
than six yards per carry full career this year. Again,

448
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,160
his fewest in a season is six to ninety five.

449
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:57,319
This year, he's got two sixty four and seventy of

450
00:22:57,319 --> 00:22:59,640
those came in Week one, so we've got under two

451
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,640
hundred yards rushing since Week one. He's been on the

452
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:07,240
injury report with three different injuries knee, ankle, tow over

453
00:23:07,319 --> 00:23:10,519
the past three weeks. He's missed practice every week during

454
00:23:10,599 --> 00:23:14,119
this span. You know his quote, I can't describe the

455
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,720
level of frustration. I'm ticked off. Turnovers are a big

456
00:23:16,759 --> 00:23:18,559
part of winning a losing game. Turns while over giving

457
00:23:18,559 --> 00:23:22,559
them extra possessions, pushes the outcome. That being said, Baltimore

458
00:23:22,599 --> 00:23:24,279
is still out gaining since he by one point three

459
00:23:24,319 --> 00:23:27,680
yards per play. You know, Bengals defense wasn't any good.

460
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:32,160
But when you have a dynamic quarterback who's all of

461
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:35,559
a sudden not so dynamic, your team isn't nearly as good.

462
00:23:35,559 --> 00:23:38,559
And that's the case for Baltimore. As for Pittsburgh, how

463
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,680
mad were they yesterday? They were booing renegade. I've never

464
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,799
heard of boot renegade. You know, Pittsburgh now two and

465
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,519
five of their last seven games. All right, all know,

466
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,039
Townless Dealers have never finished season with a losing record.

467
00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:53,119
They had ninety yards of offense through three quarters. They

468
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:56,319
couldn't run against Buffalo. They couldn't stop the run against Buffalo.

469
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,720
They couldn't stop the same play from being run over

470
00:23:59,799 --> 00:24:02,799
and over and over again successfully against Buffalo, It's been

471
00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:04,799
all week talking about we're gonna stop the run, and

472
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:08,200
they give up sixteen rushing first downs, that the most

473
00:24:08,599 --> 00:24:13,000
the Steelers have allowed in a game this century, and

474
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,640
you talked about it. Aaron Rodgers turns forty two on Tuesday.

475
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:18,519
He looked ancient in the cold on Sunday, one hundred

476
00:24:18,519 --> 00:24:21,599
and seventeen passing yards and of course managed to throw

477
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,359
his receivers under the bus. After the game, Mason Rudolph

478
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:27,200
came in after Rodgers threw had the sacks fumble six

479
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:30,359
and went to three three passing with a banter exception.

480
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,359
Rodgers said it right, we gotta flush this one and

481
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,039
maybe circle the wagons time for Pittsburgh. I know this

482
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:38,599
not in a rush to lay with Baltimore this week.

483
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:43,440
I'm concerned about the Ravens offensively and their capabilities with

484
00:24:43,839 --> 00:24:45,400
a limited Lamar Jackson right now.

485
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,519
Speaker 1: Teddy, I'm sure you are not alone in your synopsis

486
00:24:48,759 --> 00:24:51,359
on thinking that maybe Sam Darnold was not going to

487
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:55,200
be the savior in Seattle, but it appears that maybe

488
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,680
he is. This week they take on the Atlanta Falcons.

489
00:24:57,759 --> 00:25:01,359
Kirk Cousins got to win for his team yesterday. Break

490
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:02,400
Down this one for US.

491
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,640
Speaker 3: Look aheadline Seattle minus seven and a half total forty

492
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:08,880
three and a half. My powering number is only six

493
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,960
and a half for the Seahawks, and I've got Seattle

494
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:12,920
rank pretty high right now in Atlanta rank pretty low.

495
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:14,319
But I don't think I have the markets as low.

496
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,319
I'm not quite as low on Atlanta as the markets.

497
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,839
Perhaps markets opened seven and a half forty three and

498
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,519
a half last night, and we're even seeing some eighths

499
00:25:22,599 --> 00:25:28,039
out there this morning forty three and a half, still

500
00:25:28,079 --> 00:25:31,599
holding as the total. Sam Donald was pretty awful yesterday.

501
00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:34,519
The offense didn't really work. You know, the questions re

502
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,039
Sam Donald versus defenses that know him are good defenses,

503
00:25:38,519 --> 00:25:41,000
those haven't been answered successfully. They had two hundred and

504
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:43,480
nineteen total yards on three point five yards per play

505
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,319
in a game where the defense pitched a shutout and

506
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:50,519
forced five turnovers. That being said, read these quotes about

507
00:25:50,559 --> 00:25:54,960
the defense to Marcus Lawrence, and I mean this wholeheartedly.

508
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,519
But there's another level we're gonna reach. You haven't seen

509
00:25:58,599 --> 00:26:01,119
the best of us. We're gonna cap lies on opportunities.

510
00:26:01,599 --> 00:26:04,240
This is the best defense I've played on in my

511
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:10,400
twelve NFL seasons. That's DeMarcus Lawrence. Sam Donald quote, unbelievable.

512
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,559
We have a defense like this just consistently frust of

513
00:26:12,599 --> 00:26:14,839
an offense, especially me personally, Like I hate putting them

514
00:26:14,839 --> 00:26:17,000
positions to where I'm getting a sack of fumble, defense

515
00:26:17,039 --> 00:26:18,359
recovering it and now all of a sudden they're down

516
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:23,480
to the red zone. But with that type of defense, see,

517
00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:26,079
I can have games like they did yesterday from Sam

518
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:29,839
Donald and company and still win. Ree Morris seventy crashed

519
00:26:29,839 --> 00:26:31,599
and burned as Tampa Bay head coach. It was a

520
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,160
disaster there. It got worse every year. His third year

521
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,160
he didn't make it through. A decade later he got

522
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,200
a second try as head coach, and boy, we're seeing

523
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:41,759
more of the same. Atlanta's one and six straight up

524
00:26:41,799 --> 00:26:44,039
their last seven. The only win came against the Saints,

525
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:47,720
you know, two and five eights. During this band, Jon

526
00:26:47,839 --> 00:26:49,880
Robinson had one hundred and forty two rushing yards. Kirk

527
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,400
Cousin didn't throw a pick. Atlanta scored three touchdowns of

528
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,519
three red zone tries, only had one penalty. The Jets

529
00:26:54,559 --> 00:26:58,279
had nine. You're supposed to win those games, and they

530
00:26:58,319 --> 00:27:00,119
had the ball and a tight game, a chance to

531
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:01,799
win they put it instead and give it Jets enough

532
00:27:01,839 --> 00:27:04,799
time to score. That's on the coach, not well done.

533
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,559
Falcon's not a team the market's excited about right now,

534
00:27:07,599 --> 00:27:10,640
and that explains the difference perhaps between my powering number

535
00:27:10,839 --> 00:27:12,880
and the current market. But all we're seeing the Seattle

536
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,480
money right now early in the week.

537
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, I kind of don't blame everybody. Seattle and a

538
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,640
teaser looks pretty easy to.

539
00:27:22,799 --> 00:27:25,519
Speaker 1: Take and not have to stress. We'll see how that

540
00:27:25,599 --> 00:27:28,400
one ends up panning out for me. Another teaser team,

541
00:27:28,559 --> 00:27:32,359
Jacksonville back at home now playing Indianapolis.

542
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:33,279
Speaker 2: Teddy.

543
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,039
Speaker 1: Indianapolis was one of those teams that started off red hot.

544
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:39,720
I'm not saying they fizzled out just yet, but is

545
00:27:39,759 --> 00:27:41,880
that what we're kind of seeing? Did they quote unquote

546
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:42,599
peak too early?

547
00:27:43,559 --> 00:27:43,599
Speaker 2: No?

548
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,720
Speaker 3: Who think we just had a bad game yesterday? That said,

549
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:50,440
the Jacks are playing good football? Look aheadline here indy

550
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:54,000
forty eight three forty eight and a half. My powering

551
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:57,599
number comes Jags minus one in this game. Maybe I'm

552
00:27:57,599 --> 00:27:59,400
putting the cart before the horse with Jacksonville at all.

553
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,759
Jacksonville do. I'll talk about a minute up, up up

554
00:28:01,799 --> 00:28:04,279
every week in my power raise pretty much of late

555
00:28:05,079 --> 00:28:08,839
so I got Jaggs minus one. The markets opened Indy

556
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:10,839
minus one and a half forty seven and a half

557
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,319
last night. And again looking at that Odds logic live

558
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:15,519
on screen, I'm seeing one and a half. I'm seeing

559
00:28:15,559 --> 00:28:17,240
one and a half with juice. I'm seeing even a

560
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,799
two out there for the Colts total sitting there at

561
00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:22,079
forty seven and a half. Yes, they've lost three of

562
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:25,559
their last four. The concern for Indy right now, just

563
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:27,680
like the concern for Baltimore. You know, we talked about

564
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,960
Lamar Jackson being well less than one hundred percent. Dam

565
00:28:31,079 --> 00:28:34,440
Jones is playing hurt, and it's pretty pretty clear, you know.

566
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,720
And because he's playing hurt, what are we seeing opposed

567
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:41,000
team is pretty all kinds of pressure on him, you know.

568
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:45,279
The you know recent trends of Cult opponents, Colts opponents

569
00:28:45,559 --> 00:28:49,039
sending extra rushers and blitzing Jones and Area Peakselved earlier

570
00:28:49,079 --> 00:28:53,640
in the season. Well, there's been limitation. He's limited right now.

571
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,799
Only one pass TIMPs outside the pocket on Sunday. That's

572
00:28:56,839 --> 00:28:59,920
the fewest that he's had all year. He never scrambled

573
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:02,839
despite the constant pass rush, and there's nobody behind him,

574
00:29:03,079 --> 00:29:05,799
you know, you have Anthony Richardson who had the facial fracture,

575
00:29:05,839 --> 00:29:07,799
he's not playing, and then you have the rookie backup,

576
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:11,319
Riley Leonard. So it's Danny Dimes. You know Michael Pittman,

577
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:14,079
the wide receiver quote, We knew he's tough about the

578
00:29:14,119 --> 00:29:16,480
decision to be playing. So we've got to keep going.

579
00:29:17,039 --> 00:29:19,920
Danny Dimes. I definitely spent a sense of hot I

580
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,640
definitely expect a sense of a high sense of urgency

581
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,440
and guys being ready eager to correct what we need

582
00:29:26,519 --> 00:29:29,559
to correct. No one's losing confidence, but we know what

583
00:29:29,759 --> 00:29:32,880
we have to do. This stadium in Jacksonville has been

584
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:34,960
a house of horrors for India. They haven't won there

585
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,559
since two thousand and fourteen, and the Jags now four

586
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,039
and one straight up their last five. The only game

587
00:29:41,079 --> 00:29:43,680
they lost during that span was the game they led

588
00:29:43,799 --> 00:29:46,400
at Houston twenty nine to ten going in the fourth

589
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,799
and then fell apart. Now they couldn't run the football yesterday,

590
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,559
but Trevor Lawrence played a clean game. The defense heuth

591
00:29:52,599 --> 00:29:54,519
Tennessee to three point four yards were played, didn't turn

592
00:29:54,559 --> 00:29:57,119
the ball over. Now they have thirteen penalties. It wasn't

593
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:01,160
clean everywhere but Trevor, Lolawrence. I love this quote after

594
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,400
the game. We're happy we won, no doubt about that.

595
00:30:03,519 --> 00:30:05,279
We came here to win and that's what we did.

596
00:30:05,599 --> 00:30:07,599
But even to have that feeling of like man just

597
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:11,119
didn't finish clean. I think that shows the maturity of

598
00:30:11,279 --> 00:30:15,680
this team. Too bad injury report for Jacksonville after the game.

599
00:30:15,759 --> 00:30:18,759
That's probably why Indy's the chalk right here at my number.

600
00:30:18,839 --> 00:30:21,119
Maybe didn't factor in all the injuries because I don't

601
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:24,559
sometimes get every injury on Sunday night. But left tackle

602
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:28,359
Walter Walker little concussion, Wide receiver Parker Washington got hurt.

603
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:32,039
Long snapper Ross Metsik has a back injury. Trayvon Walker,

604
00:30:32,079 --> 00:30:35,359
the defensive Lynn defensive vent has been able to practice

605
00:30:35,359 --> 00:30:37,599
the last two weeks. The right guard is hurt. The

606
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:41,079
defense tackle Eric Armstead was a late scratch on Sunday,

607
00:30:41,119 --> 00:30:43,480
so they could be potentially without as many as five

608
00:30:43,559 --> 00:30:48,240
starters against Indy, first place in the AFC South on

609
00:30:48,359 --> 00:30:48,759
the line.

610
00:30:49,319 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, let's talk about what you've got going

611
00:30:51,359 --> 00:30:55,480
on now through Super Bowl over on wager talk dot com.

612
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 3: Absolutely so we got a deal, I mean, flat out,

613
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and look, I'm gonna say two things right at the top.

614
00:31:02,359 --> 00:31:04,519
Number one, buying picks. It there for everyone. I get it.

615
00:31:04,759 --> 00:31:07,279
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616
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sell you. I'm buying picks. People are interested at times

617
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to get on board and if you want to get

618
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on board. And secondly, this hasn't been my best NFL season,

619
00:31:16,039 --> 00:31:18,160
not by a long shot. It wasn't a great weekend.

620
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:22,680
That said, I put the work in. I'm confident we're

621
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622
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623
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624
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633
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634
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635
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636
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not for everyone, and then there's no hard Steff. You

637
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,920
don't want to buy us, fine, please like, comment, subscribe.

638
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:22,000
We appreciate it. But if you want to get on board,

639
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today's the deal to do it. Cyber Monday and we

640
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641
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642
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643
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644
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645
00:32:38,079 --> 00:32:42,359
com today only for midnight, Teddy, Let's move to the

646
00:32:42,519 --> 00:32:46,119
NFC South. We've got those New Orleans Saints that I mentioned.

647
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,160
They sure look like they wanted to try to win

648
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:52,200
that football game yesterday. They had opportunities late taking on

649
00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:55,000
the new excuse me, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

650
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:56,400
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield is.

651
00:32:56,359 --> 00:33:00,799
Speaker 3: Going to be a go uh probably, and you know

652
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:05,079
that's the concept. Let's just say things. The Saints look

653
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,160
bad early, you know, looked awful early, and then they

654
00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:10,279
got a little momentum and as the game progresses you

655
00:33:10,319 --> 00:33:12,359
a little momentum. All of a sudden you're liive, you know,

656
00:33:12,759 --> 00:33:15,319
for a quick team. They're not quit in Saints Haven's

657
00:33:15,319 --> 00:33:17,279
shown quit, you know, first year, first time head coach.

658
00:33:18,359 --> 00:33:20,839
Look headline here, tamp by seven and a half forty three,

659
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,160
my powering. I'm sorry, I party numbered tamp by nine.

660
00:33:25,039 --> 00:33:28,480
The markets opened eight and a half forty three last night,

661
00:33:29,079 --> 00:33:30,920
and that's pretty much we're seeing eight and a half

662
00:33:31,279 --> 00:33:33,440
as a prevailing number today. Forty two and a half

663
00:33:33,559 --> 00:33:40,880
the total. Baker played, yes, and you know four. Where

664
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,400
are my notes here? Oh? There they are? Sorry for

665
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:47,880
uh like I scrolled down there. I have a game here.

666
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,079
Clearly it's out of order, so be aware. I'm gonna

667
00:33:50,079 --> 00:33:51,880
have to scroll back up to it. And this again.

668
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:53,839
They're down sixteen to nothing at halftime. They closed it

669
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,880
within nineteen seventeen and went for two. And then and

670
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:58,119
then Tyler Shuck got accepted and I went back the

671
00:33:58,119 --> 00:33:59,920
other way and they got and they got to recover

672
00:34:00,079 --> 00:34:02,319
the on side kick. You know, Kellen Moore, I loved

673
00:34:02,359 --> 00:34:04,960
our guy's resiliency, the way they battled. We didn't do

674
00:34:05,119 --> 00:34:07,240
enough even at the very end it with an unfortunate ending.

675
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:09,760
There's stuff to learn from and grow from during that game.

676
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:14,440
But you like a bad team that's playing with heart.

677
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,840
That being said, Tampa, they're getting healthier. Bucky Irving's back

678
00:34:19,159 --> 00:34:22,440
leading rusher yesterday, Chris Godwin, they're leading receiver yesterday. Mike

679
00:34:22,519 --> 00:34:25,960
Evans and Jalen McMillian. Jaylen McMillan gonna start their twenty

680
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:30,480
one day practice windows to return. The back door was

681
00:34:30,519 --> 00:34:33,239
wide open yesterday. But Tampa's defense, you know, they got

682
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:34,880
out gained by more than one hundred yards. They led

683
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:37,840
by two touchdowns. Couldn't hold it, but they were outgained

684
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:39,519
by more than one hundred yards and by one point

685
00:34:39,559 --> 00:34:42,440
four yards per play. The plus two turnovers helped them.

686
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,440
Baker Mayfield quote, it's playoff mentality from here on out.

687
00:34:45,679 --> 00:34:47,760
We're in control of our own destiny. But it's not

688
00:34:48,039 --> 00:34:51,559
going to be easy. Huh. The Saints game might be easier,

689
00:34:51,599 --> 00:34:52,719
probably the easiest of the bunch.

690
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,880
Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna move on to Cincinnati. Buffalo up

691
00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,679
next on the Odds logic screen, going in rotation order.

692
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:03,679
If you guys are following along here at home, Seddy,

693
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:08,960
let's talk about these two teams. Cincinnati Joe Burrow Boy,

694
00:35:09,679 --> 00:35:13,400
he didn't look that injured on Thanksgiving.

695
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:14,280
Speaker 2: Now, did he? No?

696
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:16,840
Speaker 3: He really didn't. Okay, Yeah, so I know what I did.

697
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:19,719
I know what My games are always in the right order.

698
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:20,960
And then yes, I had him in I had him

699
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,320
for time order when I went back east for Thanksgiving,

700
00:35:23,679 --> 00:35:25,440
and I didn't put him back in rotation order. So

701
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:27,840
I loaded them in time order for some reason. So

702
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,400
that's why I'm gonna be scrolling around a little bit

703
00:35:30,639 --> 00:35:39,960
here for a moment. Since he and Buffalo six and

704
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,119
a half fifty three and a half was a look

705
00:35:42,159 --> 00:35:45,719
ahead my powering number six and a half for the Bills.

706
00:35:46,039 --> 00:35:48,199
The markets opened five and a half fifty one and

707
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:50,960
a half, and that's basically what we're seeing right now.

708
00:35:51,079 --> 00:35:52,880
Five and a half fifty one and a half. Has

709
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:56,199
it moved a whole lot again since he with the

710
00:35:56,199 --> 00:35:59,519
impressive performance on Thursday night, they were out gained by

711
00:35:59,559 --> 00:36:02,239
one point three yards per play Balthmor in five turnovers.

712
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:03,920
It's not like since the's defense is getting better, they

713
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:05,440
still give up six point one yards for play to

714
00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:07,920
a quarterback they get a run, and also was the

715
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,480
fewest points since he's allowed all season. The first time

716
00:36:10,480 --> 00:36:13,239
he had allowed twenty six since anything less than twenty

717
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:15,840
six since Week one, Zach Taylor, that was kind of

718
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,199
the first all around played a game we played all year.

719
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,079
It wasn't perfect, but road division wins on Thursday night

720
00:36:21,159 --> 00:36:24,400
nonetheless never come easy. It started with our defense, Joe

721
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,400
Burrow's back, and since he still went only won a

722
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:28,360
six in the red zone, and Burrow was still only

723
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:30,280
thrown for five point four yards for past ten he

724
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:33,440
was rusty. That being said, they went one on eight

725
00:36:33,519 --> 00:36:37,679
without him last year, since he did pull off five

726
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:40,440
consecutive wins to close out the season with a winning record,

727
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,960
So there's a chance they could put in something like

728
00:36:44,039 --> 00:36:47,880
that together this year. It's worth noting that type of history.

729
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:51,920
That being said, Buffalo fifty one for two forty nine

730
00:36:52,039 --> 00:36:55,719
rushing in Pittsburgh, James Cook a huge game, Josh Allen

731
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,000
took where the defense would give him no complettion longer

732
00:36:58,039 --> 00:37:00,199
than sixteen yards. He was sacked eight times. You were

733
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:04,440
playing without both starting offensive tackles, So be aware with

734
00:37:04,599 --> 00:37:08,000
that Bills game plan or that Bill's injury report this week,

735
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:11,159
how injured that offensive line is going to be. But

736
00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:14,559
that much more line defense control the flow completely, you know,

737
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,519
four and four since their four and oh start, the

738
00:37:17,599 --> 00:37:21,679
four wins coming against Pittsburgh, Tampa, KC, Carolina, all playoff contenders.

739
00:37:22,159 --> 00:37:25,480
Buffalo is one of those teams. I see Super Bowl upside,

740
00:37:25,559 --> 00:37:28,199
I see first round exit downside, and I'm not sure

741
00:37:28,559 --> 00:37:31,079
you know, in a year where no one's real, the

742
00:37:31,159 --> 00:37:32,920
Bills fall into that category as well.

743
00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,559
Speaker 1: All right, Well, the Denver Broncos looked real for at

744
00:37:36,639 --> 00:37:39,519
least three and a half quarters until that last series

745
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:42,159
where the commanders were able to take them to overtime

746
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,559
on a fourth down pass That was kind of a

747
00:37:44,639 --> 00:37:48,320
wild one if you were a commander's backer. Now they're

748
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:51,320
headed to play the lowly Las Vegas Raiders.

749
00:37:52,639 --> 00:37:55,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, look aheadline seven and a half, forty and a half,

750
00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:59,039
my powering number nine. The market's open seven and a

751
00:37:59,079 --> 00:38:01,559
half and forty half last night, and again, looking at

752
00:38:01,599 --> 00:38:04,599
that way you talk the odds logic, live odd screen,

753
00:38:04,679 --> 00:38:07,559
that's exactly what we're seeing today. Seven and a half.

754
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:09,679
There are some forty ones out there. I'll call it

755
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:15,719
forty one as opposed to forty fourth in the total.

756
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:20,000
So this is hard, man. I'm used just going click.

757
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:23,480
That's the here we go Broncos Raiders. This is a

758
00:38:23,559 --> 00:38:26,880
rematch of that ten to seven Thursday night thriller slash

759
00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:30,239
snooze fest a few weeks back Denver's ten and two

760
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,760
so far that was the broncos eighth win by a

761
00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:36,719
single score during that span. The offense four drives of

762
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,519
at least ten plays and then did nothing in the

763
00:38:39,559 --> 00:38:40,920
fourth quarter of the opposite of what we're used to

764
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:43,119
seeing from Denver. You know, three points in an interception

765
00:38:43,199 --> 00:38:45,639
in the fourth Bonnick still three hundred and twenty one yards,

766
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,719
only sacked once and made the plays in ot. Of course,

767
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:50,960
they won the game on a batted down two point conversion.

768
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,719
Sean Payton quote. We didn't escape. We won. The journey

769
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:57,039
of a good team season involved games like this and

770
00:38:57,079 --> 00:39:00,199
then you believe you can do it again Denver. Not

771
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:02,800
easy to lay this type of a price with the

772
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:06,800
Broncos team that hasn't been winning by margin. As for

773
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,559
the Raiders, well, the offen didn't work a whole lot

774
00:39:09,599 --> 00:39:11,480
better for Greg Olsen than it did for Chip Kelly.

775
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:14,159
They already fired, especially things coordinator. There's no one left

776
00:39:14,159 --> 00:39:18,119
a fire. You know, they got an interception from third

777
00:39:18,159 --> 00:39:20,159
and gold to two. It could have been worse for

778
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:23,639
Las Vegas yesterday, you know, Ashton Jonty, they really tried

779
00:39:23,679 --> 00:39:25,639
to get him involved. Thirty one rushing yards, two point

780
00:39:25,679 --> 00:39:28,719
one yards per carry, Gino sack five times. I talked

781
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,800
about how it's an offsitive line problem in Tennessee. That's

782
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,679
an offsitive line problem in Las Vegas as well.

783
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,039
Speaker 2: That is one of many problems for the Las Vegas raiders.

784
00:39:39,679 --> 00:39:41,280
You know, doesn't seem to have a lot of problems

785
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:45,320
right now. The Chicago Bears sitting in first place in

786
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:45,880
the NFC.

787
00:39:46,159 --> 00:39:49,760
Speaker 1: Congratulations of John Hoagland, one of our producers here at

788
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,000
wager Talk. I know he couldn't be happier for his team.

789
00:39:52,079 --> 00:39:54,880
Yet there's still a sizeable underdog here at green Bay.

790
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:59,400
Speaker 3: They sure the market target respect Chicago just yet. We

791
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,039
saw that last this week again, so look ahead line

792
00:40:02,119 --> 00:40:04,480
green Bay minus five and a half. There were minus

793
00:40:04,559 --> 00:40:07,639
sixes minus six and a half out there. Total. It

794
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:09,559
was a split total as well, forty five and a half,

795
00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:12,480
forty six, forty six and a half. My priwery number

796
00:40:12,559 --> 00:40:15,599
comes green Bay three and a half. The markets opened

797
00:40:15,679 --> 00:40:18,599
five and a half forty five and a half last night,

798
00:40:19,119 --> 00:40:22,719
and that's pretty much what we're seeing. You know, we've

799
00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:26,239
seeing nothing but Packers money since six and a half

800
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:27,840
forty four and a half, so we've seen money for

801
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:33,800
Green Bay. We've seen money for the under which again

802
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,559
we talked about playing at Lambeau in December, we're likely

803
00:40:36,599 --> 00:40:39,559
to see under money. And you know, Kayleb Williams, when

804
00:40:39,559 --> 00:40:41,239
the passing game were not effective at all, it didn't

805
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:45,800
matter in the win against the Eagles. The defense forcing

806
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:48,639
turner was every week and note the first downs Bears

807
00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:52,960
twenty eight Eagles, fourteen, time of possession, forty minutes for Chicago,

808
00:40:53,079 --> 00:40:55,719
twenty for Philly, oh and two start for the Bears

809
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:59,679
nine and one since five straight wins, Ben Johnson, these

810
00:40:59,679 --> 00:41:02,079
guys feel pretty good about what they just did. It

811
00:41:02,199 --> 00:41:03,400
was hard to go on the road to be a

812
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:05,280
good team like that. They have a lot of belief

813
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,000
in what we're doing. They have a lot of belief

814
00:41:07,039 --> 00:41:08,679
in themselves, they have a lot of belief in this

815
00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:11,119
coaching staff. So the confidence just starts to develop and

816
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:14,960
continues to bubble over. Of course, you know they had

817
00:41:15,079 --> 00:41:18,039
two hundred yard rushers forty seven carries, two hundred eighty

818
00:41:18,079 --> 00:41:22,039
one yards. Can do that in Green Bay. We'll see

819
00:41:22,559 --> 00:41:26,880
Jordan Love wasn't sacked through four touchdowns the opposite zero turnovers.

820
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:29,840
Credit to our offsive line forgive me time to make throws.

821
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:31,719
His quote, it's dur the reason where we were able

822
00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:34,079
to win the game. We knew what was at stake

823
00:41:34,119 --> 00:41:37,000
in this game. It's a tight race. Green Bay now

824
00:41:37,079 --> 00:41:39,599
three and other last three six and two their last eight.

825
00:41:40,159 --> 00:41:44,480
You know, Micah Parsons another season where we had twelve

826
00:41:44,559 --> 00:41:46,920
plus sacks. That's a fifth straight year. It's a big

827
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:48,159
win for us to go where we want to go,

828
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:50,320
to win the division playoffs. This was a playoff game.

829
00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:54,480
Is to stack these up worth noting impact injury for

830
00:41:54,679 --> 00:41:58,159
Green Bay. Devonte Wyatt's the defensive tackle. Carter off the

831
00:41:58,199 --> 00:42:00,440
field late in the game. Matt Lafleur or it doesn't

832
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:03,039
look good. That's a critical loss for our team and

833
00:42:03,199 --> 00:42:03,880
our defense.

834
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:10,119
Speaker 1: Okay, moving right along to a team that just lost

835
00:42:10,199 --> 00:42:13,039
to the Carolina Panthers as a double digit road favorite.

836
00:42:13,119 --> 00:42:17,360
They are now taking on divisional rival Arizona. Teddy, talk

837
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:21,039
to me about this La Rams team here, how they

838
00:42:21,119 --> 00:42:24,559
bounce back after a loss like yesterday. I saw a

839
00:42:24,679 --> 00:42:26,800
very close snippet of the game right I watch in

840
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:30,679
red zone. We got people over and I literally turned

841
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:32,639
to my buddy Ctiago, the Rams are going to lose

842
00:42:32,679 --> 00:42:35,119
this game. He goes, Relax, it's the first quarter. But

843
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:40,519
it was such a prolific touchdown pass by Bryce Young

844
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,800
that when he just celebrated, you could just tell that

845
00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:47,079
the momentum had swung. Talk to me about this Rams

846
00:42:47,079 --> 00:42:49,360
seam and how they bounce back here Arizona. I know

847
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:52,519
we've been talking about all season long that basically they're

848
00:42:52,559 --> 00:42:54,000
going to clean house after this year.

849
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:57,800
Speaker 2: No more Kyler Murray, no more Gannon. What do teams

850
00:42:57,840 --> 00:42:58,519
making stuff like that?

851
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:00,800
Speaker 3: Sure? First, I want to thank all you guys who

852
00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:03,760
are watching live nearly two thousand and you right now.

853
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:06,920
We appreciate you. We appreciate the likes, the comments, and

854
00:43:07,039 --> 00:43:11,800
the follows very very much. Thank you. When it comes

855
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:15,800
to the Rams and the Cardinals, look at the line here,

856
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:17,840
eight and a half, forty seven and a half, LA

857
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:20,039
favored my powering numbers, the Rams nine and a half.

858
00:43:20,119 --> 00:43:22,719
The market's open seven and a half and forty eight.

859
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,159
The seven and a half. There's still some out there.

860
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,760
Let's do one more emergency PEDG alert, this is real.

861
00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:33,880
One more if you like the Rams, so I bet

862
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:36,599
him sooner rather than later. You know, again, my numbers nine,

863
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:38,400
nine and a half. The market's open seven and a half.

864
00:43:38,559 --> 00:43:39,920
There are still seven and a half's out there. The

865
00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:43,519
markets have most of the markets are moving to eight.

866
00:43:44,079 --> 00:43:46,079
So if you want la lay seven and a half

867
00:43:46,119 --> 00:43:48,280
the current number, that will be the best you're likely

868
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:52,400
to get, you know. Firing Young after the game said

869
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:55,159
it was a humbling experience. Quote, I just feel like

870
00:43:55,199 --> 00:43:57,280
this is a wake up call, something you just need

871
00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,840
to learn from. I definitely think it's something we need,

872
00:44:00,039 --> 00:44:01,199
but I don't look at it as a bad thing.

873
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:03,599
I just look at that as motivation. So I think

874
00:44:03,599 --> 00:44:07,679
I'm glad it happened. We needed this. Jared Verse, I

875
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:09,480
don't think we came in as high as we should have.

876
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:12,159
You know, I didn't think we do the things we

877
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:13,679
need to do. Too many people thought of this game

878
00:44:13,719 --> 00:44:14,920
as one of those games where we just kind of

879
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:16,960
jump out of your gaps, do what you have to do.

880
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:19,840
That's not what it is, doesn't matter. We've got to

881
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:24,440
be better than that. Matthew Stafford quote. Obviously we're not

882
00:44:24,519 --> 00:44:25,880
gonna win a whole lot of games. When I turn

883
00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:28,679
it over three times, it hasn't been an issue, and

884
00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:32,519
I don't expect it to be moving forward. So Stafford's saying,

885
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:35,159
pay attention to us. We'll be fine. We're motivated this

886
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:40,079
week and Arizona. I'll give Arizona credit. You know, Jacobe

887
00:44:40,159 --> 00:44:43,000
brick Set was brilliant again yesterday. Three hundred passing yards.

888
00:44:43,119 --> 00:44:44,840
They didn't quit. They were now in seventeen to three.

889
00:44:46,519 --> 00:44:48,880
His only interception, you can't blame him for that pass man,

890
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:52,440
that was an unbelievable play. Seven different receivers for Arizona

891
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:55,119
caught at least two passes they opening up for Bam Night.

892
00:44:55,199 --> 00:44:57,800
Bam Night got five point six yards per rush. Our

893
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:00,840
game Tampa by one hundred yards at four yards were played.

894
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:05,239
They've outgained their opponents five times in their nine losses,

895
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:07,920
and of course they continue to find ways to lose games.

896
00:45:08,039 --> 00:45:10,880
Tight did that again yesterday, and they do that again here.

897
00:45:11,519 --> 00:45:13,559
The emergency betting alert for the La Rams won't help

898
00:45:13,599 --> 00:45:16,760
you a whole lot because Arizona's haank tough. But I

899
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:19,480
feel like at some point the Cardinals are gonna let

900
00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:21,599
let go of the rope a little bit, but they

901
00:45:21,679 --> 00:45:24,079
haven't yet, and we have to give credit to Jonathan

902
00:45:24,199 --> 00:45:28,880
Gannon and his staff for keeping them competitive even you

903
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:31,039
know yesterday, and the spot where they easily could have

904
00:45:31,119 --> 00:45:34,840
laid down percent was solid. The defense was solid, and

905
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:36,800
in many ways Arizona was the better two teams, even

906
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:38,639
though they did not win the game, had straight up

907
00:45:38,679 --> 00:45:40,280
fastest Teddy.

908
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:41,880
Speaker 1: One of the only teams that I was right about

909
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:44,280
to start the NFL season was the Kansas City Chiefs.

910
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:46,039
Looks like I'm going to catch that under eleven and

911
00:45:46,119 --> 00:45:49,199
a half wins and hopefully they don't make the playoffs

912
00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,880
at three to one. The Houston Texans, on the other hand,

913
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:54,800
were a team that I kind of wasn't sure what

914
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:56,559
we're going to see from year three of c. J.

915
00:45:56,719 --> 00:46:01,679
Stroud waltzed in to division rival Indianapolis with a nice win.

916
00:46:01,880 --> 00:46:04,079
Yet Kansas City is still a three and a half

917
00:46:04,119 --> 00:46:04,719
point favorite.

918
00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 3: Here at Arrowhead, Yeah exactly, looking ahead line there were

919
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:11,199
four and a half slash five slash five and a

920
00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:13,440
half total forty two and a half my powering numbers

921
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:15,719
the Chiefs minus three and a half, the market's open

922
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:18,039
three and a half forty two and a half last night.

923
00:46:18,519 --> 00:46:21,320
What are we seeing today? Three and a half forty

924
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:23,800
two slash forty one and a half, So a little

925
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:26,920
bit of money coming for the under in this boggy

926
00:46:26,960 --> 00:46:30,519
I'm not anticipating that to be a They're very comfortable

927
00:46:30,559 --> 00:46:34,400
betting to the Houston games under every single week. Of course. CJ.

928
00:46:34,519 --> 00:46:40,599
Stroud came back yesterday Miko Rios quote overall for him

929
00:46:40,599 --> 00:46:42,119
coming back to having played in a few weeks, did

930
00:46:42,119 --> 00:46:46,480
a really nice job. I'm excited to see how he

931
00:46:46,599 --> 00:46:50,239
continues to progress. Stroud said he was a little rusty. Quote,

932
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:52,159
I feel like I knocked off some rust and him

933
00:46:52,159 --> 00:46:56,079
back rolling. We're super dangerous. We lost some close games

934
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:58,639
against some really good teams. We can find a way

935
00:46:58,679 --> 00:47:01,360
to win some close games after Thanksgiving. Put ourselves to

936
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:06,000
a position to do whatever we want. I thought I

937
00:47:06,079 --> 00:47:07,679
did a really good job of taking with the defense

938
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:09,920
was giving me. That's the type of team we have.

939
00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:13,360
I don't have to be superman all the time. And

940
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:18,159
obviously Houston's defense another dominant performance. Kansas City, well, they're

941
00:47:18,199 --> 00:47:20,679
on the outside of the playoff picture looking in right now.

942
00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:22,719
You know they're not gonna win the division. Nine years

943
00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:25,039
straight and winning the division, you know that's bye bye

944
00:47:25,119 --> 00:47:28,320
right now. Seven year string of AFC championship games. Well,

945
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,280
you got to make the playoffs order to do that.

946
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:36,599
And worth noting the three teams that entered the weekend

947
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:39,199
in the wildcard spots in the AFC, that's the Chargers,

948
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,079
the Jags, and the Bills. They've all beaten the Chiefs

949
00:47:42,119 --> 00:47:44,159
head to head, so they don't get a tie breaker

950
00:47:44,159 --> 00:47:45,440
if it comes to that. And of course we talked

951
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:47,800
about it a lot. You know, twelve to zero one

952
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:49,960
score games last year. This year they're one and six

953
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:53,159
in one score game. Another ten penalty showing the defense

954
00:47:53,199 --> 00:47:56,440
had no sacks against Dak Prescott. They went three or

955
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:58,320
three on fourth downs, they didn't turn the ball over

956
00:47:58,639 --> 00:48:02,880
and they still lost. And oh, by the way, they

957
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:05,400
also lost two more off the lineman to injuries. Jawanna

958
00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:08,119
Taylor got hurt, Josh Simmons got hurt. They're already without

959
00:48:08,199 --> 00:48:12,079
Trey Smith. So that injury report for the Chiefs O well,

960
00:48:12,159 --> 00:48:15,360
is something to definitely pay attention to this week before

961
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:19,159
you lay pointer them. Mahomes quote, you gotta win every

962
00:48:19,199 --> 00:48:21,320
game now and hope that's enough. We're gonna play a

963
00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:23,480
lot of good teams coming up. We're gonna make the playoffs,

964
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:26,039
we're gonna have to win them all. That's got to

965
00:48:26,079 --> 00:48:28,039
be the mindset, and we step into the training facility

966
00:48:28,079 --> 00:48:30,199
when we get back to Kansas City.

967
00:48:32,039 --> 00:48:34,440
Speaker 1: Okay, before we get into Monday Night Football, I wanted

968
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:36,119
to thank all of you guys for hanging out with

969
00:48:36,199 --> 00:48:38,239
us here every single Monday, almost two.

970
00:48:38,199 --> 00:48:41,199
Speaker 2: Thousand of you watching live. If you guys are in

971
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:42,840
the comments section, we appreciate you.

972
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:43,239
Speaker 3: Jump in.

973
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:45,159
Speaker 1: Have a question for us, we will try to get

974
00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:49,400
it answered. Teddy covers before you break down Monday Night Football.

975
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:50,679
Anything you'd like to add.

976
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:52,800
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, let's talk about what we got going tonight

977
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:54,519
over at wager talk dot com. Right now, I've got

978
00:48:54,599 --> 00:48:56,519
just single NBA best bet. I talked earlier in the

979
00:48:56,559 --> 00:48:58,320
show about what I don't want to do, why I

980
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:00,760
didn't want to get involved in Monday Night Football tonight.

981
00:49:01,039 --> 00:49:02,920
So it's a pass for me on the football side

982
00:49:02,920 --> 00:49:05,239
of the equation. We do have an NBA bet available,

983
00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:08,679
and of course Cyber Monday deals all over waydo talk

984
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:12,840
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985
00:49:12,880 --> 00:49:16,960
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986
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987
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988
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989
00:49:25,039 --> 00:49:28,000
like what else am I supposed to promote? Kel What

990
00:49:28,079 --> 00:49:28,719
do you got for me?

991
00:49:29,039 --> 00:49:31,559
Speaker 1: I think that's pretty much it, unless, of course, you're

992
00:49:31,639 --> 00:49:36,199
looking to partner with Teddy for both college football and NFL.

993
00:49:36,280 --> 00:49:38,239
We've still got a little bit of college football left,

994
00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:42,480
of course, through the National Championship Bowl season. Teddy two

995
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996
00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:48,239
through the Super Bowl for only two one hundred and

997
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998
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I'm sure if you used to coupon code Cyber twenty

999
00:49:54,360 --> 00:49:55,920
you might be able to get a discount on that

1000
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:59,360
one as well. Let's hit Monday Night football before we

1001
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:02,920
leave to Steve Merrill and Wager Talk today. He's over

1002
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:07,320
there filling in for Andy lang Armor, our producer. Well,

1003
00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:11,039
Dan Alexander probably did not enjoy Black Friday as much

1004
00:50:11,079 --> 00:50:13,719
as some of us did. But the Philadelphia Eagles off

1005
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:17,039
that loss to the Chicago Bears. Now they are road

1006
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:22,119
favorites headed into Los Angeles. Tell me why I have

1007
00:50:22,199 --> 00:50:23,079
a serious question here?

1008
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:23,360
Speaker 3: Is it?

1009
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:26,599
Speaker 1: Because we know the Eagles fans travel we know, SOFI

1010
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:29,800
is going to be fifty percent Eagles fans or are.

1011
00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:33,239
Speaker 2: The Eagles really power rated that much higher than the Chargers.

1012
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:37,639
Speaker 3: Let's talk about it. Look aheadline, Philly minus two and

1013
00:50:37,679 --> 00:50:39,400
a half and the total was there was forty two

1014
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:41,119
and a half, forty three, forty three and a halfs

1015
00:50:41,159 --> 00:50:45,559
out there. My party number has Philly minus one. So

1016
00:50:45,800 --> 00:50:50,000
clearly I'm with you conceptually on this, and it's really

1017
00:50:50,000 --> 00:50:52,320
Philly minus a half, Philly minus one. The market's open three.

1018
00:50:52,360 --> 00:50:53,800
There were three and a halfs out there last night.

1019
00:50:53,840 --> 00:50:55,880
The three and a half are gone. Now it's three

1020
00:50:56,559 --> 00:50:58,840
total down to forty and a half. So we have

1021
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:04,360
seen signifigant under money for this ballgame. Respect for Phillies defense,

1022
00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:07,239
not so much for their offense. Respect for the Chargers defense,

1023
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:13,400
not so much for their offense, but the defending chips.

1024
00:51:14,320 --> 00:51:16,039
You know, it's not like this team is a disaster.

1025
00:51:17,079 --> 00:51:19,760
You know, people are very, very worried about Philadelphia and

1026
00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:21,760
Chicago ran for two or eighty one yards against them.

1027
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:25,000
You know, they were dominant on the ground. Let's not

1028
00:51:25,159 --> 00:51:28,239
forget that the weekday games where teams are in as prepped,

1029
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,480
weird things that happened take one Parkley update. You know,

1030
00:51:31,880 --> 00:51:33,639
last year he had two thousand yards on five point

1031
00:51:33,639 --> 00:51:35,800
eight yards per carry at thirteen rushing touchdowns. This year.

1032
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:38,760
Last year two thousand and five yards five point eight

1033
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:41,119
yards per carry. This year seven hundred and forty yards

1034
00:51:41,159 --> 00:51:44,440
on three point seven yards per carry. You know, the

1035
00:51:44,519 --> 00:51:48,159
fans spent the game booing and calling for the team

1036
00:51:48,239 --> 00:51:51,840
to fire. Kevin Petula was after the courdator. Jalen fumbled

1037
00:51:51,840 --> 00:51:54,079
on a tousch push and again this scores ten to

1038
00:51:54,199 --> 00:51:55,800
nine in the third quarter, and Jalen fumbled on a

1039
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:57,320
touch push and then that was kind of the end

1040
00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:00,199
of it. Hurts back Patola, by the way, I have

1041
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:02,960
confidence in him, I confidenced his team. I have confidence

1042
00:52:03,159 --> 00:52:05,440
in us when we're collaborative. I have confidence that when

1043
00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:06,760
we have an identity. So I think it's the first

1044
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:08,559
thing that we have to establish what we've talked about.

1045
00:52:09,199 --> 00:52:11,719
You know, in twenty twenty four, Philly got off to

1046
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:13,840
a slow start, played great down the stretch. In twenty

1047
00:52:13,880 --> 00:52:16,800
twenty three, Philly started ten to one and then collapsed

1048
00:52:16,840 --> 00:52:20,559
down the stretch or the markets expecting the markets are

1049
00:52:20,599 --> 00:52:23,719
not expecting to repeat of that given the price here.

1050
00:52:23,840 --> 00:52:25,760
But there are a lot of concerns for the Chargers

1051
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:27,960
right now. You know, they're offse of lines, really struggling,

1052
00:52:29,119 --> 00:52:31,400
and that's creating, you know, justin Herbert's taking a ton

1053
00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:35,320
of hits, you know, and you know he broke his

1054
00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:39,239
hand in yesterday's game, and we don't know for sure

1055
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:41,440
that he's gonna play. Quote. I did my best to

1056
00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:42,760
go out there and take care of business. Thought we

1057
00:52:42,840 --> 00:52:44,599
ran the ball really well. So it's cool to see

1058
00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:47,440
I'm treating as if I'm playing next Monday. In terms

1059
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:49,239
of experience, I've gone through similar things or I think

1060
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:50,599
they'll be helpful at the end of the day. You

1061
00:52:50,639 --> 00:52:51,880
just got to go out there and make sure everything's

1062
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:54,159
good and you're comfortable. He said. The hardest part of

1063
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:56,239
Tenure to play was holding out of the football. They

1064
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:58,760
didn't take any steps under center for the rest of

1065
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:02,159
the game. It was all from the shotgun. And you know,

1066
00:53:02,280 --> 00:53:06,239
if you're playing, it's just something we Needa will monitor

1067
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:09,000
as the week goes on and we're throwing. Two years ago,

1068
00:53:09,039 --> 00:53:11,360
Herbert fractor the middle finger on his left hand at

1069
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:13,440
a game against the Raiders, and they played out a

1070
00:53:13,440 --> 00:53:18,360
shotgun when he did that. LA likely to continue doing

1071
00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:20,920
that here against Philadelphia. But you make the right point.

1072
00:53:21,360 --> 00:53:24,320
It's going to be all Eagles games. And of course Dan,

1073
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:26,119
like Xander says, he's going to the game, and he

1074
00:53:26,119 --> 00:53:27,960
has a four and oh straight up and against the

1075
00:53:27,960 --> 00:53:30,239
spread record in LA games. And that's the only trend

1076
00:53:30,360 --> 00:53:34,440
that matters, Dan, when you go who wins and covers?

1077
00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:40,320
We have Teddy a four and oh straight up, four

1078
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:43,519
and oh against the spread in games featuring my teams

1079
00:53:43,559 --> 00:53:43,920
in LA.

1080
00:53:44,039 --> 00:53:46,199
Speaker 2: So it's the it's the only trend that matters.

1081
00:53:46,320 --> 00:53:50,320
Speaker 1: So you don't have yourself on camera right now because

1082
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:52,079
I'm sure you look like a wooly mammoth.

1083
00:53:53,039 --> 00:53:55,880
Speaker 3: That is correct, although that is that's my usual state

1084
00:53:55,920 --> 00:53:59,519
of being to be fair, Kelly, Well, we got.

1085
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:03,159
Speaker 1: The homer pick from Dan Alexander. We'll see how the

1086
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:07,840
rest of this NFL slate pans out. Teddy covers, you

1087
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:08,519
are the best.

1088
00:54:08,639 --> 00:54:09,840
Speaker 2: Thank you for playing.

1089
00:54:11,119 --> 00:54:14,039
Speaker 1: Through your flu game. I hope you feel better. Get

1090
00:54:14,079 --> 00:54:17,079
some rest because we need some winners this week, not

1091
00:54:17,199 --> 00:54:21,039
only on the hardwood but in the NFL. Hang tight, guys,

1092
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:23,599
Wager Talk Today is up next.