Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent. Yesterday I had three props and Asia under
her rebound prop was a winner. Stewie over seven and
a half rebounds was an annoying loser, needed one rebound
the entire fourth quarter and was running away from them,
and Jackie over four and a half assist kind of
died when Asia got injured. So one and two day yesterday,
but started off today with two winners. J C. Sheldon
over one and a half three pointers May eight plus
one sixty eight was a winner, and Erica Wheeler over
one and a half threes minus one twenty five was
a winner. Probably gonna lose Aliah Boston still watching that
game right now, but it's still going to be a
nice start to today. You know, it's good to be
back with you. How's everything been for you? How you
doing today?
Speaker 2: We're good. Today's Ski did not participate in that opener
as far as client selections were concerned, but I did
have a play on Necagua McKay over points of rebounds
twenty three and a half. Ski, she pulls down a
rebound with zero point six left in the game, Town
ten to go over twelve and twelve. And sometimes you're
at this stuff long enough. Sometimes you get them that way.
Sometimes you lose them that way. My nice account, though, yeah,
my account will take that one for sure. Are loaded
up with the two I like the best or the
two we're going to talk about. They're both later games,
one this afternoon a little later and then the night game.
So ready to get at it with today's stuff. Yesterday,
by the way, real quick w NBA was one and one,
a three percent winner, the bigger play winner on the
liberty team total over. We talked about a little bit
yesterday got lucky in the end. Stewie was running away
from rebounds for you and she was bricking free throws
for me. I'm like, can you get this over? Eighty
five and a half? Thank goodness, Sabrina came through and
hit a couple, and then the loser was During the
day we talked about that, we had the mystics. I'm
still kind of wondering how they lost that game. Went
seventeen of thirty one from the free throw line to
not cover that game. Just a bad, bad free throw
day for the mystics.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm uh, I'm checking. I'm checking now. Yeah, Lee
is not doing anything and is next games. I like
him a lot, and they're moving, So let's get to it.
My bad. Just you know, you know what we do
on the show. We start to show for a little
bit of money, you know.
Speaker 2: Make sure if you're in the chat, have your apps open.
Speaker 1: All right, Boom boom boom. We're good to go. Let's
get to it, you know. Next our first game up
links and Mercury opened up links minus five and a
half and now it looks like six and a half
or seven that sevens are actually disappearing. There's one seven
and a half, very juice. There's a couple sevens, but
they're they're disappearing fast. For six and a half, it
looks like right now total open one sixty three and
a half. Looks like one sixty and a half. We'll
call a consensus number. Injury report. Pretty big for this
game for Minnesota. Just griffing out before Phoenix, Phalia, Copper
and Satu once again missing Hell has been out for
a while, so Phoenix did play their last game without
both Kalia and Sautu, and they whooped the Wings what
was it like, one hundred to seventy something like that,
thirty point win. Yeah, I mean they still have players
who can shoot. They still have Alyssa Thomas who's MVP caliber.
So you can't overlook this Mercury team. On the other
side the links. This is the front end of a
back to back for them, Vino, they play again tomorrow
versus I forget who it's against. But they play again
at noon tomorrow, and they've been playing a lot of games.
They do come into this game with two days rest,
but just I mean, I still think this makes this
their seventh game in like ten days or like, they've
been playing so many games and they got to play
again tomorrow. So I personally don't like this link spot.
I don't like the way their offenses look necessarily the
past couple games or you know, three of the last
four games. I think that Phoenix can keep it competitive
here at home. What do you think?
Speaker 2: You know, Well, I bet it, And because it was
the front end of a back to back, I shaved
it down the first half. Minnesota minus three and a
half played it that way. Sammy wickhamb the reason why
Phoenix got to one hundred and two the other night,
she had a career game thirty six points covered up
for the absences of the team's top two scores. That's
against the Dallas defense, which you were giving it a
little credit in the other day, Skime. But I know
in prefacing that you said, I'm always quick to call
the Dallas defense ass Their perimeter defense was asked on
that night, and Sammy took advantage of it. I just
don't know that she. You know, Minnesota probably comes in.
There was enough coverage on every highlight show of that
thirty six point performance where they're aware of who the
threat is on the floor from the perimeter, at least
on this team right now. I think Minnesota's got plenty
of frontline to deal with Alyssa Thomas and Natasha Max.
So it comes down to will Phoenix hit threes which
they love to shoot. Will Phoenix be able to outpace
Minnesota maybe for forty maybe not, we'll see, But I
think for twenty Minnesota twenty minutes, Minnesota probably is the
right side here. They are a far superior defensive team
to Dallas. They also we say this on this show,
but I still think it goes overlooked. They're either the
first or second ranked team in fast break points in
the league, so you consider it. Minnesota is a slow
tempo team, methodical, but when they get out on the break,
they score. Phoenix loves to push. I could see some
rebounds going the other way, defensive rebounds from Minnesota going
the other way real quick here in scoring. So for
those reasons, I do like Minnesota first half here. It
bothers me maybe that if they're ahead, which is why
I didn't play full game, that maybe they reduce minutes
of starters because of the back to back, So laying
seven and a half seven seven and a half is
a little scaried to me. But I think they'll come
out ready for this game here. And I just don't
know that Phoenix can never repeat performance of what they
did the other night offensively, and specifically, Sammy wickcoms probably
going to draw an awful lot of attention for some
pretty good defensive guards. One last thing I'll say here
about Minnesota, and I meant to look these numbers up
this morning and I didn't, So this is just a
general observation of the shooting downfall of Kaylea McBride recently.
She just hasn't been making a lot of shots for
Minnesota at all. There's got to be a breakout game
for her. Maybe it happens today. Phoenix is not the
best of defensive teams. I like Minnesota first half minus
three and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, shooters go through slumps. It happens. So
if Veno wants to chop this game in half, I
think that, you know, it could go either way for me.
I just don't like the situation for Minnesota, that's all.
And also, they've already beaten this Phoenix team twice this season.
I think Phoenix remembers that, and you'll get a really
good game from them today. So I'll be on the
full game plus seven. Let's move it over. I could
show some query stuff, but it's all right. We'll just
keep the show moving today. First, our next game up
will go Wings and why is my screen not there?
We go, We'll go Wings and Sky opened up minus
two for the Sky now down to minus one to
to open one sixty four and a half. And it
looks like one sixty six and a half is a
consensus as far as who's available for this game. Nobody
on the injury report for Chicago, yet they are on
the front end of it, back to back, you could
have people up, you know, added to the injury report.
Cardoza looking to make a return here, Ravino from playing
in the euro Cup with Brazil. For Dallas, they're still
going to be without Djene Carrington, Rique Gumbula and Maddie
segres So still missing a lot for this Dallas team.
We just talked a little bit about Dallas right that
defense reverted right back to as you know, just can't
trust him, can't trust them to get stops first, anybody.
That's just what it boils down to. Has been that
way for years and it's not changing this season as
far as what we've seen. Chicago has been an over
team as well, you know, Chicago being unrested. I think
the defense would be a little bit even worse than
it usually is. So them getting Cardosa back too, I
think helps the offense because she's really good around the basket.
They'll probably be good for Angel Rees assist. You know,
I'll mention this before I pass it to you, because
I have them doing a little bit more props. Lately.
Andre Rees has been killing it, right, She was killing
it in some games when Cardosa was there, but the
past few games when she's going crazy. It's been no Cardosa,
so she might that rebound prop is a little scary
to me, Like I want to lean towards under around
Injury's rebounds, but I just can't go to the window
and bet it because if I'm sitting there watching her,
you know, she's trying to get every single one, like
she plays hard. But I think it could be a
little bit too much at fourteen to half for Cardosa
coming back this game on the back to back. That's
the one thing I'll say, And I would prefer to
bet her assists because I think she can still dish
everybody and especially Cardoza. So I like points in this game.
That's how I like it from a proper perspective. What
how you seeing this one be? No?
Speaker 2: You know it's it's kind of crazy, Ski, because Elizabeth
Williams was starting to play real well without Cardozo, and
now you have all three of those. It could make
the frontline even better. In theory, you would think the
frontline should be even better now three deep. Elizabeth Williams
didn't get a lot of minutes to start the season,
got a ton of minutes the last few games and
has shown to be very very capable. We'll see what
the reinsertion of Cardosa into the lineup does here. But
I'm looking at this game from over perspective and over
perspective only you talked about the Sky have been an
over team. They haven't a lot less than eighty and
seven their last seven games. They do give up points.
We know Dallas gives points. Chicago's become a better offensive team,
and they've done it with pace and some open floor.
So I think that the second of back to back
we travel for Chicago, as you mentioned, hurts their defensive
effort a little bit here. I think Dallas wants to
get after it again here that you know, the other
night they had some expectations of maybe a two game
sweep of Phoenix and came up really shy with only
seventy two points. I had their team total that night
and lose by thirty. So I think Dallas will be ready.
From an offensive standpoint. They still want to run. Head
coach makes that perfectly clear. He's got a lineup that
wants to run a couple of ways. For me, I
think over one sixty six and a half here is
very doable. You can maybe find sixty six just shot
for the best number if you're going to play full
game over, and I do think Dallas team total gets over.
They were a little light the other night because they
didn't shoot it well. I would expect them to shoot
it much better here against Chicago. They're good inside on
the interior. As far as offensive rebounds go, you could
get that'd be a pretty good matchup actually the interiors
here both sides. Their number is eighty three and a half.
And like I said, Chicago hasn't given up less than
eighty and seven straight games. I don't know why they
would start here in the second of a back to
back with travel, So a couple of ways for me
to look at it. Dallas team total up and over
and the full game up and.
Speaker 1: Over, first game home after three game road trip, probably
at least and no rest for Chicago Sky. I mean
the defense should be a little soft tonight. I think so.
At least last three meetings between these teams, I've had
one sixty nine plus. Chicago's gone over five of their
last six games. Dallas has gone over five of their
last seven. Looking at last five games for both number
two in pace for Chicago, number five for Dallas, and
both bottom five defensive rated teams in that same five
game span. So sounds like it should be up tempo,
sounds like it should be a lot of points. Case
In the chat, she says, shout out to Johnny. He says,
you know, could be a late night DJ playing old
school jams. He says, you got the radio voice. Rovino,
I like that. And Casey, she says, you want to
fade two K cover Reese. They did come out with
the cover ranger Reese on there. He said, the Queen
gonna drop twenty and twenty on y'all.
Speaker 2: I don't want to hold any clipboards near her. Get
my off.
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I can't. I can't fade her today. I'm
just telling you my thought process for not taking her.
I guess that's what I'm trying to say here. But
if I was taking her, I think the assists I
would prefer today. But nope, no more props. I think
we'll end today probably two and one with the props.
See all these last couple of players go on these
last two games. That is the show, Ravino. And before
we move in the best bets, we'll go ahead and
do a little bit of promotion and let's toss this
up there. Let's take away the banner too. There we go, Teddy.
I like this Teddy right here.
Speaker 2: Ye, I'm in that picture. I love them.
Speaker 1: So the looks like this Flex Picks three day flex
pass for just forty nine dollars, so you save twenty
bucks on this one. And uh yeah, how the way
flex Picks. I think you can just pick a Capper
per day, or you can roll with the same one
if you want to. Just a good way for you
to try different people and see what their picture like.
So maybe you want to try Rob, maybe you want
to try myself. You see some other guys on here.
Look at U Capper's big ass head right there. I
wish it was a chat, a chat my guy Drew Man.
I haven't seen Drew in a while, but I love Drew.
So yeah, Flex Picks. That's the promo for us, and
let's get back there. We go and get the banner
back up there, so we know we are going to
do best bets. I'll ask you if there's anything else
you would like to promote. You do have a best bet,
we would love to hear it. If you do not,
it's all good.
Speaker 2: Well yesterday I did not leave one for the show,
but today I will certainly. I'll just say this real quick.
As far as selection packages are concerned, WNBA has been
kind to me since June one up fifteen units the
CFL Canadian Football League. For anybody out there listening who
does play these spring summer football leagues. I think last
look the other day number one at wager talk in
CFL handicapping. So a couple of reasons we've been pretty hot.
I mentioned a lot since the middle of March. It's
been an extended run. So once again, if you're looking
to get a flex package, you want to try a
try a selection package of mine. That's where I've been good.
WNBA and CFL Best bets you're skin you know what.
I want to ask a general theory question to you
real quick before I get to best bets. Not to
extend it too long, but these day games look at
them differently? Do you play them sidewise or total wise differently?
I mean, Connecticut comes out of nowhere with ninety three
points today and a ten point win is a seventeen
point dog home floor morning game. We're not seeing the
same response out of Indiana. But is there any way
you look at these games that they're not. They don't
happen that often, but they're kind of strange times.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's very strange to be playing that early. I mean,
I don't I don't necessarily look at them two different
just for being early. I think I think Seattle maybe
just sleptwalk today. Connecticut is tired of getting beatn up on.
They just showed a little bit of prior today. And
for Indiana, I mean, when you integrate a high usage
player like Kaylen Clark, may not always go the way
you think it will go, which is for that team
to have more success. And Golden State has been feisty
versus everybody all season, so I'm not surprised to see
them winning as a big dog. So I don't I'll
just look at them the same.
Speaker 2: I guess, Well, here comes another one. I'm going to
go to for the best bet. I talked about Minnesota
first half minus three and a half, a lot of
reasons to like this game. Could even take a look
at their team total in this one, but again the
fear for me ski full game on the Minnesota side,
and maybe maybe not as much but a little bit.
Team total is front of the back to back if
they're ahead, and maybe they pull starters, but I like
them first half here. I just think Sammy Wickham is
going to draw a lot of attention. I think Phoenix
runs out of scoring options. You know there may be
a couple deeper. This a time is much more of
a facilitator than really twenty points score. So for me,
it's going to be Minnesota here. You talked about how
often they've played too, and this probably is the most
rest they've had in two weeks. I know that Commissioner's
Cup game got shoved in the middle of all of
this to make it even tough around them. Scheduling had
been rough a little rested here aware of Sammy Wickham.
Give me Minnesota best bet here first half minus three
and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, we shall see. I'll be root up for Rob,
so goodest first half, but the full game will be mine.
Phoenix plus seven is my best bet. I think Minnesota.
I mean they play tomorrow. A lot of these people,
you know, probably gonna be doing All Star weekend stuff
like they're ready to. I don't think you get the
best effort from them for full forty minutes in this game.
Go ahead and give Rob twenty minutes, but the last
twenty minutes it's the home team Phoenix plus seven. So
if you're at if you see it, go that way
and you might want to make a second half bet
if you're thinking how I'm thinking, all right, you no
appreciate you taking the time to do the show with me.
We do a good job capping and breaking down these games.
Definitely helps my process and for you guys in the chat,
we appreciate all of you as well. Great people, great cappers.
Shout out to I am Destro, just reposted the stream
and Turkish asks where can I watch live stream? We're
live A lot of different places YouTube, I see twitch, kick,
Twitter podcast version I guess says what Spotify or Apple Music.
So a lot of different ways to listen, but right
now I think YouTube is where most people do watch.
And just for everybody else out there, see here comes
those late injuries, reaches downgraded to questionable, so back to back.
We may not get hurt today, but that's the show
you guys. Appreciate you all for watching. I believe we
have a couple games tomorrow. We do, so we'll be
right back here again tomorrow ten thirty am Pacific Standard time.
And we will catch you guys. Then