Speaker 1: And Tali him to be U n C A T
and T two hunred seventy five thousand South Alabama first
half against Southern minutes. All Right, no one that I
know and no one that I can can come close
to these kind of numbers.
Speaker 2: All right, I'm bringing Teddy. Teddy, can you come in
with with Yannie to start off the show? Surekay, all right,
this is great. Alright, we're audibling, so we're gonna start
off this with Yannie Teddy, but I'll do the I'll
do the regular intro. This is great.
Speaker 3: I'm ready.
Speaker 4: When we're ready, We're live.
Speaker 2: Welcoen to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports
betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk the walks,
Football Friday, Massive Slate. We're just gonna get right into it.
We got Yanni, we got Teddy, we got Marco. We
kind of had an explosive thing right for some bringing Teddy.
We were talking about the point shaving scandal that's been
going on, and it appears I opened up a can
of worms. So Teddy lead us off with how do
you get this much money down?
Speaker 1: Well, okay, so we're talking about thirty nine current and
former players talking about seventeen schools. We're talking about twenty
nine games that are allegedly fixed over about twenty five
thousand games over the last two college twenty three, twenty
four and twenty four to twenty five.
Speaker 3: So it's a it's a real small percentage.
Speaker 1: But the amounts these guys are talking about, at least
for the betters that I know here in Las Vegas,
are not realistic.
Speaker 3: All right.
Speaker 1: If you can get down four hundred and twenty four
thousand dollars on a Kent State first half against Buffalo,
you're doing something at me and no one that I
know can do. If you're getting down four hundred and
fifty eight thousand on thousand to beat Uncat and T Again, I'm.
Speaker 3: Not saying it's not possible.
Speaker 1: I'm saying no one I know or deal with can
get this type of money down on college basketball first half,
college basketball, smaller schools conferences twenty to thirty five k
South Alabama first half or is in Southern MYSS. And
I wanted to ask Yanni, are those realistic? Can Because
Yanni's as good or better as we know Janni gets
he really is, can you get down at four hundred
and twenty four thousand on Kent State first half vers
in Buffalo four hundred fifty eight thousand, one thousand and
ncat AT and T Are those realistic?
Speaker 3: Are those nonsense?
Speaker 5: You can't walk up to the window and bet four
hundred thousand unless you have a big history at the tables,
Like if you've lost millions of dollars at the tables,
then they may extend you down.
Speaker 6: At the window.
Speaker 5: Otherwise you're not getting that at the window, no chance that.
The only place you're getting that is through the on
screen on screen. The only place you're getting that is
through the big books that guys like us get kicked
out of that have big history of losing accounts. Because
I know the guys that I work with will buy
those accounts. Like if you have a guy that's lost
millions of dollars to DKY or FanDuel or Caesar's or
one of those, we will take that account and bury
it for you and split that chop that money up
with you. Those are the only type of accounts you
could get that type of money down.
Speaker 6: Otherwise you're gonna destroy.
Speaker 5: That line Like you're right, teddy, you can't get down
four hundred thousand on a first half without destroying the market. Like,
you can't put that in a bot and even go
off screen with it without it desmolishing the market. It's
just not gonna happen. You're gonna have to hit the
screen and then it's gonna go oh nuts, Like that's
not happening. So I think the only way to get
that kind of money is through those type of accounts
that have that long history of losing and they take
those kind of figures because I remember, they extend that
kind of credit. There are guys out there that are
betting that needs six figures every game, that bet five
hundred thousand games. Someone's booking that and they're booking that
stuff off sure from them guys, it's can you infiltrate
one of them and get one of those whale accounts?
We call them, like, can you get a whale account?
That's the only way otherwise I can't. Like I said,
I have twenty accounts, steady, and at the end I
could maybe get you ten dimes down on something exactly.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's realistic. You know, ten dimes, maybe
get twenty.
Speaker 5: Yeah on my side totals Yeah, But like first half,
that team totals if I could get you ten, like, yeah, yeah,
that's that's good.
Speaker 3: And and I.
Speaker 1: Don't mean to hijack, but there's one more thing I
want to bring up here because it's important to note.
We're talking about twenty nine games fixed over a two
year span. Okay, so that's about twenty I got to
go about twenty five thousand games total, Johnny, I want
to ask you, do you think that's a realist long term?
Do you think that's been going on forever and we
just are finding out about it now because it's legalized
and regulated and there are agencies that report this stuff.
Where this is, this level of corruption has always been
in existence in college basketball, but now there's a spotlight
on it.
Speaker 5: Dude, you got the perfect guy on That's why Teddy's
been doing this. He's seen this evolution from the very beginning,
so he knows exactly what's happening.
Speaker 6: Nothing's changed except.
Speaker 5: There's more ability because now you have it, just like
more people are smoking weed than ever before because there's
a dispensary at every corner. If there wasn't, some people
that now are smoking cannabis probably never would. And it's
the same with the gambling. Now it's easier for these
guys to do something like that. But it's like a
business factoring in pillfage. You know your employees are going
to steal. Like when I ran a pizza shop, I
knew we're going to factor in five to seven percent
is going to theft. They're giving their friends free food,
they're stealing free food, or they're taking a twenty out
of the cash register. That's gonna happen whether you're at
a clothing store, whether you're at a supermarket, no matter,
pill fidge.
Speaker 6: Is gonna happen.
Speaker 5: And with sports betting, you're gonna get those bad apples
that are gonna have corruption, and it's gonna be that
small percentage, like Teddy said. But now there is that
spotlight and they're catching it. Wherefore unnoticed this is good
not bad. Yeah, exactly. I don't think it's a negative.
I think it's a positive.
Speaker 6: Now.
Speaker 5: Granted there's also probably some that got away with it also,
but that's always been the case. You know, I don't
think it's as widespread as they're making it.
Speaker 2: No, it's because this story gets all the headlines, so
that's you and then you it's it's like a legit, tiny,
itty bitty like piece of the puzzle. So it's not
like this happening.
Speaker 5: It's like when a game rains on the number and
we're like, ha, do is Vegas? No, But we don't
talk about the other games on that Sunday that didn't
even come near the number.
Speaker 6: You know what I mean.
Speaker 2: It's so true, It's so true. All right, Teddy, thank you.
We're gonna Teddy's gonna come back. He's gonna break down games.
We're gonna do sell me in the NBA real quick
in the chat. Pick a game for me and Teddy
to do sell me. I think there's a pretty obvious
one on the board. I think it's the Pacers Pelicans.
But if you guys won another NBA game, I'll give
you some nominees here. Pick between Wizards and Kings, Pelicans
and Pacers. Yeah, just pick between those two games. Let
me know in the chat and Teddy and I'll break
down with it, all right, Yanni, Yeah, listen, I'm in
I'm in Indiana. As you know, I have a couple
of casinos. I have every legalized book, and I will
tell you just in the last six months, I've been
able to get I mean, six thousand is kind of
nothing compared to you know, some of these things. I've
been able to get six thousand down on a Contender
series fight by by small amounts on different books. I've
been able to get the same amount down on cricket
small amounts on different books. I was able to get
three thousand down on the darts play small amount on
different These guys get caught because they get greedy.
Speaker 6: Yeah, that's what that's the goal.
Speaker 2: That's what happens in all of these Every single time
they get caught, not because they got caught, it's because
they drew attention themselves by getting greedy. So I it's
I don't know, I don't know. Let's let's get to
the Steep report. That was a great segment here, So
let's start with NFL. Any significant moves? Are we all good?
Speaker 5: It really is all about football this week, And we
talked about it a little earlier about how that the
earlier in the week, how the talk is going to be.
They're so heavy on team may with the National Championship
and with with the NFL playoffs, it's not as one
sided until you get to like the conference championship or
the Super Bowl.
Speaker 6: In fact, it's good balance.
Speaker 5: Like I've seen books put out their percentages and how
there's like, you know, eighty percent on San Francisco as
as a dog, or there's eighty percent on New England
or whatever. Maybe take account early on, but I think
as you get closer to kick off, the money BET's
going to be a lot more balanced, and the market's
going to reflect it. Like again, the way you could
decide whether I'm right or wrong is just look at
the line on Sunday, Like if they move three points
and then I'm wrong and they're one sided. But if
they stay static like they are and they're not moving,
then it means they have good balance, they don't have
much risk, And I think that's what's gonna end up
happening Buffalo Denver real quickly. We've already seen the sharp
money jump on the Denver side. A little bit of
a surprise because power rating wise most have Buffalo as
the number one team in the NFL.
Speaker 6: I think has to do with home field advantage.
Speaker 5: Both of these teams had a week week week's length
of schedule. Obviously, Buffalo's loaded on offense, Denver's loaded on defense.
But now you have Denver one and a half. So
you're now looking at a teaser for Buffalo, a plus
EB teaser because you're able to go through three, four, six, seven. Now,
if you get one on the other side, your goal.
So what you need right now is for Seattle to
get up to seven and a half or eight. If
you could get Seattle up to seven and a half
four eight, then you want to tease Buffalo and Seattle
regardless of your opinion on the game. Again, you're placing
a plus TV bet. This is the equivalent of walking
up to the roulette wheel and they're telling you this
next role, We're gonna give you fifty to one on
a number. You know there's only thirty eight numbers. You
should be getting thirty eight to one. That's fair. They
usually give you thirty five to one, that's their edge,
but now they're giving you fifty to one. You're getting
the best of it. You have to play a bet,
you have to pick a number. You're getting the best
of it. Doesn't mean you're gonna win, but you're now
in the advantageous position. So if you could get Buffalo
plus seven and a half and Seattle gets it at
seven and a half, for eight closes around there, then
you have a.
Speaker 3: Plus EV taser.
Speaker 5: Otherwise you're gonna have to tie it into Indiana on
Monday night. And I can't confirm we're plus EV there, boys,
because it's college football. I've been told, not from the Quants,
that we shouldn't be teasing college football, and I trust
the Quants because they're smarter than me. But I do
know last year in the National Championship, one of the
groups I moved for did tease the game, so they
thought it was a good bet.
Speaker 6: So I'm just throwing that out there.
Speaker 5: Indiana, Buffalo, Seattle, all within that long teaser number. Finally Seattle,
San Francisco. You're getting San Francisco shart money at seven
and a half, getting public money on San Francisco as well.
Houston and New England. New England got steam early, got
through that key number, went through two and a half.
Speaker 6: Three.
Speaker 5: Now at three and a half, I'm free juiced at
most shops. Now you're getting some Houston love and then
rams Chicago. You're seeing four at some of the sharp shops,
but you are getting love from the public on Chicago,
especially on the money line. I think a lot that
are betting Chicago comes someday, they're going to bet them
to win that game, you know, Rams on the road.
So not much has changed as far as the NFL. Again,
the highest risk for the books right now is the
forty nine Ers, followed by the Patriots, and then on
the totals, the biggest risk is under in the forty
nine Ers game, and then probably believe it or not
under in the the Broncos game. And I'm not sure
whether that's because sharp money came in and went under
forty seven at the opener and that's where the risk
came in, or whether public's piling on as well. I
just it just seems strange to me that the public
would be betting the under on Buffalo Denver.
Speaker 2: That's my quant my quantitative if anyone can tell you
what that with that quote is from the movie. In
the chat, shout out to you, Seth. What's Yanni's value
on Darnold if he doesn't play? Do you we have
this weird o bleaque injury. They're kind of making it
seem like it's a no nothing thing. But like jay
H and I were talking about, you see an oblique
injury on a pitcher in baseball that's a four week injury,
and they're just like a big deal. Oh man, Riley,
Riley is on it, Yanni. I didn't think many people
were gonna get that movie reference, but Riley got it
the big short, easy, easy, Yes, yes.
Speaker 6: Yes, here's what we have to look at.
Speaker 5: We have to look at value over replacement player. So
if he's not playing, who comes in?
Speaker 6: Who comes in?
Speaker 4: Drew Lock?
Speaker 6: Right, it's Drew Lock.
Speaker 5: What do we have with Drew Lock?
Speaker 6: Not much? Right?
Speaker 5: He threw three passes, three attempts, two completions in twenty
twenty six, So we don't we don't have all that much.
Speaker 2: I would, I would. I think quarterbacks. I think the
books are starting to really value quarterbacks a lot more.
It used to be like a quarterback was like what
minus two minus three?
Speaker 5: Yeah? I think Now you look see and here's the thing.
Look at his QBR. We look at a career QBR,
and he's got a decent sample size. He threw six
thousand yards, nine hundred attempts. He's got a seventy eight
point eight QBR. When we look at at Darnold, you
know what, what's he this year? I'd have to look
at that and if I had to guess, I'd say
it's a lot lot higher. So the drop off is
going to be significant maybe or maybe it isn't. I
think that's what it's going to come to, the drop off.
And he hasn't played all that grade I think of
late right.
Speaker 4: But.
Speaker 2: I would I would think the books. I think you
got to go to that three number right now, it's
seven and a half. If you're the books, would you
and a half or two and a half.
Speaker 5: It's not moving, Like I trust the market, and if
the market hasn't reacted, I don't, I think he's fine.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I agree completely.
Speaker 6: Like if you would have seen that light up on
odds logic, it would have lit up. Someone's going to
try to get ahead of that information because it's on
a key number of seven.
Speaker 5: So even being able to get that seven, if he
closes at six in the NFL, so huge, and and
if he's out, it's going to go drop a couple points,
you know what I mean?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, let's go to basketball real quick. You got
anything in college basketball today? Anything couple a couple of plays.
Speaker 5: I'd be cautious on the early moves. These were overnights.
I tend not to give them out to subscribers.
Speaker 6: Uh, they most.
Speaker 5: Getting out ahead, especially on a small board like this,
and it is all public side.
Speaker 6: They're betting Creating.
Speaker 5: They took Creating at a pick, They took the Paul
minus three, and they took Ohio minus three and a half.
All of those looked to me to be heavy one
sided public sides. So watch that screen at least the
wages talk free on screen and see any buy back
later in the day because those could be setups for sure.
In the NBA, I always say I'm very cautious what
I share because it's always injury based and that's so
time sensitive. Once it's factored into the price, the values gone.
Knowing the players out means nothing. Now they have such
a big sample size of these players not playing, they
pretty much know what to quantify them. But they did
bet Brooklyn. They took Brooklyn and flipped that favorite. They
laid the points on Indiana immediately it opener at minus three.
They took Philadelphia, who lost on prime time last night.
That was the TV game against Cleveland, So I think
a little recency bias there. They laid immediately when that
line opened, the one and a half that will probably
get the three on Philadelphia and then Sacramento. I don't
know if there's someone out there because that one went
up from five up to like seven and a half.
Speaker 6: But then a little bit of take back.
Speaker 5: So nothing really big sticking out in NBA or college
basketball small board. It's all waiting for tomorrow's big board
to college basketball and of course divisional round of the
playoffs to kick off.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Sacramento revolves around Demantes. Sabonis got questionable whatever whatever,
whatever they know they know more than we do. So
whatever the markets are telling you, they're kind of telling
you Sibonis's status Here, David wants to know, Yanni does
buff How does Buffalo with a bad defense? But Josh
Allen equal to Denver? Who you would say Denver's got
the weaker quarterback with the better defense. So we got quarterback.
Here's the to me.
Speaker 5: I have no bias, brother, I don't like Buffalo, I
don't like Denver. If I do, someday it'll be happen
because I'll bet one of those teams. I'm not a fan.
Please trust me when I tell you that. Here's what
my numbers tell me. That Buffalo had the twenty sixth
toughest strength of schedule, Denver the thirty first. So only
one team had an easier strength of schedule than Denver,
that's the New England Patriots. Okay, so that's established that
Buffalo had the tougher strength of schedule. That's not me,
that's the betting lines that established that and the records
of this team's next Buffalo has the second best offense
against that strength of schedule. Denver has the seventeenth most
efficient offense against that strength of schedule. So weaker strength
of schedule fifteen positions better on offense as far as
efficiency goes on the Denver side defensively, defensively, Denver sixth
in efficiency. They're not number one, not number two, not
number three, even they're number six, so they're outside the
top five. And that's against the thirty first as schedule.
Buffalo has the fifteenth toughest defense, again average, but against
a little better strength of schedule. So these teams are
very comparable. It's a coin flip type of game. That's
why they're letting the market decide on power ratings. Neutral
field Buffalo would probably be about a one and a
half two point favorite at the most Now they're making
buff Denver the favorite because they got about a two
point home field advantage.
Speaker 6: Again, who's better.
Speaker 5: That Sundasity game is not going to determine that because
they're only going to play sixty minutes and the ref
could determine that, but bad Colt could determine that. But
I'm just telling you, on paper, this line's pretty tight.
It's where it should be with one team about a
one point favorite over the other. They're very, very comparable teams,
and that's why they're letting us be the deciding factor.
And I think that's why the teaser offers some value.
I think Denver wins the game. Hopefully they don't do
it by margin, because I'll probably end up teasing.
Speaker 2: Roy wants No, what are some heavy sharp plays?
Speaker 6: Oh that's gonna happen.
Speaker 2: Give them the speech about not all sharp plays when
not in every day we have huge sharp plays. Gotta
kind of be crazy as much information as possible. But
whatever we have we share.
Speaker 6: Whatever we have we share.
Speaker 5: Now again, yesterday's steam sheet had all of the NFL
had the college football in there.
Speaker 6: Every day it's in there. It hasn't changed. I've been
sharing what's been bet in the NFL.
Speaker 5: The big stuff's gonna come on game day, player prompts,
team totals, first half, that's where the gold comes in. Luckily,
I'm here for last call on Saturday and Sunday, so
we'll see if we have any of that stuff. But otherwise,
it's like I told you, Seattle got steamed early, San
Francisco got steamed late. New England got steamed early. The
uh under in Buffalo, Denver got steamed, the under in
the Rams, Chicago got steamed. Indiana and Under got steamed
on Monday. But that's all early and at different numbers
than where it sits right now. And again, lines move,
opinions change value switches. That's just how markets work.
Speaker 2: All right, Yannie, big big weekend televeryone.
Speaker 6: But here's the beauty.
Speaker 4: Here's the beauty.
Speaker 5: I have up already Saturday's package for NFL, Sunday package
for NFL. I think I got like four four percents
already for this weekend's NFL. I have the Monday side
in total in the National Championship. So now all I'm
waiting for is any player props. Those will be added
to that package for free, pending confirmation, and I wasn't
sure we were going to have one. We didn't have
one in the uh uh, what's it called?
Speaker 6: In the Bowls.
Speaker 5: We only had one throughout the Bulls. But fire and
a five percent in the Division round of the NFL playoffs.
Speaker 6: Just confirmed it. It will be on Sunday.
Speaker 5: That package is up right now for twenty nine dollars.
In about fifteen minutes, it'll be thirty nine dollars. So
if you're jumping on with me Sunday, get on that now,
because I just confirmed by five percent we are in
action side total for every game on Sunday. So yeah,
I like the NFL. Man, I trust my numbers finished
number one when the season was over.
Speaker 6: Let's just keep it going bad last week on Sunday,
but Saturday was good. Good luck to you. I know
you got some big plays coming.
Speaker 2: We got a lot of big plays.
Speaker 6: Thanks for your big plays last week.
Speaker 2: Though I did, I went, I went two, three five
percent boxing play this morning. It was in Australia, so
it was like at seven o'clock this morning, no contest.
Speaker 6: Thanks thanks.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I had had to splurge a little bit on myself,
you know, especially with gold going off.
Speaker 6: I figure, you know, it's not a bad, bad little uh.
Speaker 5: Investment and yow you get sometimes you gotta treat yourself
to something nice. But yeah, that's the luck to everyone.
And you have a five percent in UFC coming up
as well.
Speaker 2: Actually happen Saturday.
Speaker 3: Let's do it.
Speaker 2: Let's do it.
Speaker 5: Meeting with the UFC today for next week's car So
excited to break that down with you. I know Teddy's
waiting to come up next. He's got some gold for you.
So off best the luck when it comes to NBA
and NFL, that's who you want to listen to. So
best the luck to everybody this weekend.
Speaker 2: Thank you, Yianni. Appreciate your brother as always, just gets
us hyped for the weekend, gets us excited and hyped up.
We're gonna keep the momentum going here. Let's just go
right into Teddy covers here, Teddy, it does look like
so we did a poll here in the NBA, so
Pelican's Pacers is definitely going to be the game that
we do the raids for the number one spot. But
we'll do that here at the end. You're gonna break
down Rams Bears Miami Indiana. But yeah, just finishing thoughts
on this point shaving scandal, we talked about just you
know how much money they get down, but just what
are your thoughts when you see stories like this.
Speaker 1: Well, it's worth noting that there were multiple times that
they allegedly and these are all allegations. Nothing's been proven
in a quarter of law yet. So but the multiple
times where they allegedly players and still lost the bets.
They had one hundred and ninety on Fordham against Duquine
on February twenty fourth, still one because they had for
the Fordam guys were supposedly in on the fix.
Speaker 3: It didn't matter you Caine didn't hit shots, they didn't win.
So they took a bath on that game.
Speaker 1: And even when you have multiple players in theory, it
doesn't ensure that the fix is in that game.
Speaker 3: They try to fix it and get the job done.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just I always look at these and I
just go, man, you guys had a good thing going.
Why why did you have to bet so much? You
could have probably strung this thing out for a long
long time, but they just couldn't help themselves. And once
those bets get get bigger, like they what they say,
like someone tried to put down a couple hundred thousand
out of Kentucky casino that they'd never bet at before.
And it was like, moron, the guy that ruins it.
I mean, that's you know, we have this, we had
this happened. We had a good thing going with with
NASCAR on a certain book, and one of my buddies
couldn't help himself. You bet too much and they took
every They took it all down, and it's like greed
somehow just ruins everything when you got something like that going.
So let's go to the National Championship game, my Hoosiers,
Joe Ranire's Miami Hurricanes. You were you were pretty big
on Indiana last week. I was of the opinion whoever
won Oregon Indiana was probably going to beat Miami. But
now we're gonna deal with this big point spread. We're
up to minus eight and a half. What's your take
on this game?
Speaker 6: Here?
Speaker 2: Does a does Miami have a shot? All the public
money seems to be coming out on Indiana right now
over under forty seven, So.
Speaker 1: This game is getting two way action at the current number.
We saw a lot of Indiana money at the open.
At the current numbers, I'm seeing pretty close to two
way actions. There shouldn't be Miami support in the marketplace.
Is not a runaway line for the Hurricanes and the Hoosiers.
And again looking at the logic live on screen right now,
we're talking Indiana eight and a half the prevailing number
total forty seven. So you talk about the intriguing matchups,
the most intriguing matchup might be the Miami's defense creator,
Corey Heatherman, against Indiana's head coach because those two worked
together at James Madison for several years. Heatherman one Assistant
Coach of the Year one year under Signetti for what
it's worth. So it's a coaching it's Miami defensive coaching
staff that's very familiar with what Indiana wants to do
on the offensive side of the football.
Speaker 3: We look at Miami.
Speaker 1: The only two losses all year won by a field goal,
one by six in overtime, so they haven't lost by
this margin all year. We've seen Miami here in the postseason.
They win a low scoring defensive scrum against A and M.
They were able to win against the defending national champs,
in a medium scoring game against Ohio State, and then
last week in a high scoring game against olem Miss.
They've shown they can win in different styles. You know,
you win low scoring game, you win shootouts, you beat
the defending national champs. I means you're blowing up the
line of scrimmage and you're doing things right on.
Speaker 3: Both sides of the football. They're a hard team to
bet against.
Speaker 1: And yet if I'm getting involved in this game and
I am, there's no way I'm playing Miami okay, And
there's no take on the total either. Indiana as a
total wiser are a really hard team to bet because
they allowed fifteen or less twelve times in fifteen games,
and elite defensive squad and they scored thirty plus eleven
times those fifteen games, and the league offensive squad. They
just lit up Oregon, They just lit up Alabama. You
have the Heisman Trophy winner, he had the number one
draft toy said quarterback. Indiana's on an over team, not
an under team, and Miami doesn't correlate with one or
the other. We've seen them play low scoring games in
high scoring games here in the postseason. But the big issues,
the biggest issues for me are threefold. First, Carson Beck
versus Fernando Mendoza. Sorry, I ain't betting Carson Beck in
that matchup. Second, Mario crystaball, And I know I talked
about Miami's defense coreator, but their head coaches crystaball, not
trust kiss Christal Ball and Ganey's management like I do
Signetti not even close. And the third factor that puts
me here, all right, I stepped in front of Indiana
once this year.
Speaker 3: Remember the game very well.
Speaker 1: I had Maryland plus twenty one and a half at home,
and the game is over in the first quarter, the
Hoosiers one fifty five to ten. And I at that
day that you know we talk about how we rehandicap games.
I call it my post mortem. After the day, I
went back and looked, and I made a conscious decision
after that loss, I'm like, I am not betting against
Indiana anymore, not going to do it. All right, the
betting markets haven't caught up with this team in two years.
I haven't caught up with this team in two years.
Let's flip the switch switch and start betting on Indiana.
Set them in against them. That's served me well in
recent weeks, in recent months. So the Hoosiers are one
way team if I'm not betting on them. I'm not
playing the game. I can't play the total. I don't
want to step in front of Indiana here. So is
Indiana pass, plain and simple? There's a line value problem,
all right, Indiana. They were plus three and a half
on a neutral against Ohio State Miami. The following game
against Ohio State was plus eight on a neutral against
the Buck Guy, So that indicates there's four and a
half points worth the difference. The look headline here with
five and a half. The markets opened seven and it
got beat up eight and a half the prevailing number.
So a line that should be four and a half
five and a half is now eight and a half.
That's not a value equation. But I'm telling you flat out,
I ain't step in front of Indiana. Who sues your
pass for this better?
Speaker 2: It's pretty interesting that this James Madison like coaching Tree,
like they go, they go from Signetti ends up being
a stud Chesney who looks like he's a stud, And
didn't they just hire Billy Napier kind of one of
these things is not like the other.
Speaker 1: Of Naper's track record before his last stint was bet
on all the way.
Speaker 3: He's a kype of coach.
Speaker 6: You won.
Speaker 1: He's a he's a signetty in the world where he's
super methodical and you know it didn't work out for him.
That happens sometimes in some places, but I think Napier
has the there's upside with Napier as a head coach.
Speaker 3: I'll leave it at dead.
Speaker 2: I agree. I agree, that listened, James Madison. Pretty good
run on coaches so far. They've they've done well for themselves.
We're gonna do you sell me in a bit. But
we got to get your take on the Rams and
the Bears. Good friend John Hoglin j H Chicago native,
he's the producer today. Are you gonna break his heart here?
Speaker 3: Teddy?
Speaker 2: What are you gonna do with this Rams versus Bears game?
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna lean this is not a bet for
me for the Rams and the Bears. It really isn't.
Speaker 1: And the key factor if you talked about anything else,
the first we got to talk about the weather forour
case in Chicago.
Speaker 3: The highest twenty, the lowest two. There's a chance of snow.
And the game not the early game, it's the late game.
Speaker 2: It's at night.
Speaker 1: You know, game starts five to thirty local time. This
is not La Rams weather. This is not Matthew Stafford weathered.
And yeah we say Stafford in the cold at Philly
last year, sure twenty six or forty four three twenty four,
two touchdowns, No picks there, John McVay talking about it.
Speaker 3: But Stafford in cold, rain or snow.
Speaker 1: Since joining the Rams, he's one to nine straight up
and a noticeably lower completion percentage for quarterbacks in general
with temperatures below twenty degrees. Now, the narrative is that
Stafford played in the cold for years and.
Speaker 3: He's used to it.
Speaker 1: I lived in Michigan for years. I moved to Las Vegas,
and I'm telling you I went back. It was the
third winner, and it was like I'd never spent a winner.
I never lived in the cold before. Stafford's old. He
left the cold five years ago. Devonte Adams two. I
do not expect the best game from Matthew Stafford and
the La Rams here. The Bears remnus two win turnovers
last week and they still won. It's not just positive
turnovers differential, it's also a quarterback who has played a
lot of refuse to lose.
Speaker 3: And that being said, La the only team to win
without covering last week.
Speaker 1: So we talk about betting bandwagons. Bigger betting bandwagon right
now for the Bears than there is for the Rams.
Even with all the hype for LA and look, I mean,
every stat shows LA is the better team. You know,
they had a realistic chance to win all five games
they lost this season. Made the blockfield goal in Philly,
they had a two point overtime, two point conversion overtime
against Seattle, they had the overtime, lost to stan Fran.
They lost by a field go to Atlanta and Carolina, both.
Speaker 3: On the road. Both games they lost the turnover battle.
You know, LA is the better team.
Speaker 1: It feels like the Bears are on borrow time, and
statistically the Bears the worst team left in the playoffs.
You know, the minus zero point three yards per play
all right, number sixteen in DVOA, all right, yards per
play on defense number twenty nine, all right, the Rams
ranked much higher in all of those categories than the
Chicago Bears.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 1: But the same time, that Rams defense a little bit suspect.
They've allowed twenty seven or more four times their last
five games. They were just the highest scoring game of
the weekend last week, and even winning a shootout against
that not elite offense, basically better offense here. So it's
not strong, slightly towards the Rams, slightly towards the over
even in the weather, because I don't trust the defenses.
But neither's gonna be a client play for me on Saturday,
on Sorday Sunday night in Chicago, Lean La, Lean Over,
but they're just Leans at the current crisis.
Speaker 2: I'm glad you're here because I was talking to JH
about this. He's from Chicago, my family's from Wisconsin. You
were in Michigan. The cold that comes off those lakes
is just a little different. It just hits different, doesn't it. Like,
I don't know what it is. It's snappy, it's whippy,
it's it's piercing, it's it just is really cold when
with that wind coming off the lake.
Speaker 1: If you spend a winner in Illinois or in Michigan,
or in Wisconsin, or it doesn't matter if you're on
a lake or not, it's prick and cold, dude, Yes,
it's it's.
Speaker 2: I'm just I'm just telling you. When I go out
to Wisconsin, I'm like, the cold is different up here
than it is down here in Indiana. I don't know
what it is, so yeah, it's bone chilling. Yes, absolutely, yes, absolutely,
we had a qu hobby. If you like bears, do
you just play money line here on this one? Teddy,
you gave the stat about stafford Or. I mean, it's
not a strong play, but.
Speaker 3: So I wouldn't argue with them.
Speaker 4: You know.
Speaker 1: It's in general when I take any underdog in any
pro sport, NFL, NBA, I'm gonna put something on the
money line, all right. How much I put on the
money line. I rarely make it a full money line bet.
Sometimes I'll split it fifty to fifty. Normally the ratio
is two to the points read one to the money line.
Sometimes we'll make a three to one ratio. Someone's take
a four to one ratio when we're talking about bigger dogs.
But that ratio risk reward is for you to decide
with your bankroll. That's how I do it, so with
something on the money line, but I usually don't put
everything on the money The question do you want to
make a profit, do you want to break even if
they win, if if they don't win, or do you
want to.
Speaker 3: Make a profit if they don't win? And that's your
question and I tend to like to make a profit
if they don't win straight up, which means a smaller
money line size. Wager.
Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna do sell many, but tell everyone
what you have up. We have a huge weekend, NFL,
NBA everything. What do you got for us?
Speaker 3: I mean, this is it, you know, I mean after
this weekend, we have three football games left.
Speaker 1: So it's a great time, of course, with this incredible
deal we have right now at buys seven days for
the price of three. I mean, it's sixty nine bucks.
It's gonna get you every play through next Thursday. If
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up tomorrow, every day play through next Friday, less than
ten dollars a day you're gonna get. I got a
pair of plays up in the NFL playoffs for this weekend,
one side one total, including a four percent best bet.
Speaker 3: I have the National Championship game up. Obviously there's gonna
be hoops with NBA.
Speaker 1: Still think number one at NBA at wager talk dating
back to twenty twenty two of what one hundred and
eighty eight units of profit for the clients during that span,
So great time to get on board.
Speaker 3: Check out my homepage, q Dot Buzz, backslash TC.
Speaker 2: All right, it is time for sell Me. I will
go over it. So here's how the segment sell me works.
Is Dan's out here, So we just randomly pick a game.
We did a poll, and uh, normally this segment is
better when you're dealing with two bad teams. Teddy and
I have to fight it out. So what happens is
we randomly pick a game and then we each get
assigned one team that we don't know beforehand, and we
have to make the case on the spot for that
team why they will cover, and you guys can win
a three day pass after the show is over. In
the comments section, simply put Teddy or Andy, which side
do you think is right? And then your wager Talk
user name. So Teddy, wager Talk user name, Andy, wag
your talk use your name. We will randomly pick one
and you will win a three day pass. Since Dan
isn't here, Teddy, I have the coin of Destiny. So
the game that we're going to pick is going to
be the Pacers and the Pelicans. Pacers will do three
and a half as the line. Right that work here?
Speaker 3: We go sure sounds great, which one of these dogs.
Do I have to make a case for it?
Speaker 2: All right, Heads, I'm gonna do it. Heads, you get Pacers, Tails,
you get Pelicans. The coin is up and it is heads.
You get the Pacers. Because I put an extra e
in there, you get my Pacers minus three and a half.
Make the case why my Indiana Pacers are going to
cover against this Pelicans team.
Speaker 1: So fordest Worth, looking at the Athletic Live ot screen
right now, I'm seeing mostly fours on the board for Indiana,
So you can find a three and a half. You're
doing something right.
Speaker 4: Look at that.
Speaker 1: I'm making a case you're getting the best of the
number at three and a half. So that makes it
super easy to look at the Indiana side of the equation.
But let's be real, okay, the Pacers are underachieved big
time over the first half of the season. This season
on link to halfway point right now, most needs to
have played right in the range of forty one games,
so there's still a whole another half of the season
to be played here in the NBA.
Speaker 3: And then, by the way, Indiana's.
Speaker 1: Four and one ats three and one, four one ats
three and two straight up their last five that includes
a four point spread covering loss to Cleveland.
Speaker 3: But they just beat Charlotte, They just beat Miami, they
just beat Boston over.
Speaker 1: The course of the last week, taking care of business
against better squads than New Orleans, a team that's on
a little bit of an uptick right now. Pelicans are
on an uptick, and they're certainly for all the talent
in New Orleans has, boy, they find ways to lose games.
They find ways to put together one miserable quarter or
one miserable half.
Speaker 3: Just bite every contest. Indiana playing good New Orleans not
so much. Lay it.
Speaker 2: All right. I have to make the case for the
New Orleans Pelicans. Well, toddy Pelicans are on a hot streak.
They won two out of four, and they kept it
close against Denver, only lost by six, lost by ten,
but that was at Orlando. That's a pretty decent team.
My case for the Pelicans is that, first off, a
line movement on the Pacers is a tragedy, and the
Pacers learn their lesson. They got a little cute. They
won three games in a row, and somebody stepped in
and said, what are we doing. We're gonna lose our
draft pick. Let's keep losing here, guys, let's get back
to our losing ways. What happens They get blown out
by a Toronto team that not too much. The motivation
here is for the Pelicans. They don't have their draft pick,
they traded it. Pelicans need to win this game. Pacers
need to lose this game. They are in a race
to the bottom here. So I get an Indiana Pacers
team that won three in a row against a couple
bad teams there that rock fight against ball to ninety
eight ninety six. Come on, who win? Who wins an
NBA game scoring ninety eight points? Now these days there
are point totals in the last two games one oh
one in ninety eight. Meanwhile, I get a Pelicans team
that's just put up one sixteen, one, sixteen, one, eighteen
and one twenty eight. I get the better offense here.
I get a team that doesn't want to lose against
the team that does want to lose its Pelicans, and
a little sprinkle on the money line. That's my case
for the Pels boys and bad teams to really really
really really really rough teams.
Speaker 1: So you said, actually in that in that announced you
said New Orleans has to win this game. Uh one
new one is coming off a win this year, by
the way, they won their last game. Check out their ats.
They're straight up NATS record coming off of win. They're
not a team. They had that one winning streak. They
didn't win I think four or five in a row
in the December, but that was it.
Speaker 2: One of them, a nineteen point win against the Pacers.
Nineteen against the Pacers. So all right, Teddy, great job
you broke down the Pacers and why you should bet
all the pases that I broke down the Pelicans again.
Comment section after the show, Teddy or Andy and your username,
and we are going to pick a winner for a
free three day past. Teddy, thank you so much, appreciate you.
You make football Fridays awesome and good luck this weekend.
Speaker 3: Brother, you make football Fridays awesome. You're beautiful. Don't have
a change. Thanks guys, Teddy covers.
Speaker 2: We had a couple questions about the boxing. Oh you
let me do the sprinkle again? Yeah, a little sprinkle there.
We had all right, we had our boxing best bet
that went off at seven am this morning because it
was in Australia. So what happened was, guys, the fight
was going on. In the third round, there was a
head clash. One of the fighters couldn't see, so the
doctor waved it off, so it got ruled a no contest,
So kiss your sister type of situation. But those of
you that got the boxing play, not much we could
do about it, so we move on from it. So
we are still running this by myself and joveneary ninety
nine dollars. You get my place for seven days and
Joe's plays for seven days. Joe does all your spreads
totals on all the main sports. I've got your props covered.
I've got your more obscure sports covered like we have.
We have a golf play that's going off today. We
have all of your player props for NBA, for NHL,
and we're gonna have a best bet that is up
for NFL this weekend. Also, if you get it tomorrow,
we have a five percent UFC that takes place next Saturday.
So this is set to expire tonight, but I'm gonna
extend it to tomorrow. I'll have a customer service extend
this thing that way. You get it tomorrow, you get
all of our weekend plays plus next Saturday that includes
my five percent UFC Best bet So twenty twenty six
off to a really good start, really happy with everything.
We're cruising right along well on schedule, building bank rolls,
so really really excited about that. It's called the Who
Who Who Hurricane Special ninety nine dollars. It's basically buy one,
get one free myself and Joveniary combined into one package.
All right, let's bring on and.
Speaker 6: Marco.
Speaker 2: What's up, Margot?
Speaker 3: How you doing?
Speaker 4: I'm doing fine. I just I feel smarter listening to
that breakdown of Indiana and New Orleans.
Speaker 2: Listen, the people don't like it when we do like
a big game. They want they want the trash of
the garbage, keep of of the of the games. So, uh, Margot,
we're gonna break down games at the end. Though Dan's
out here. We normally do like a free contest at
the end, So I'm gonna I'm gonna enter free contest.
Speaker 4: You and me.
Speaker 2: We're gonna pick the spread on all four NFL games.
So impromptu, you and I are entered in a free contest.
All right, Okay, it's a free it's free market, no problem.
Speaker 3: All right.
Speaker 2: College basketball. We're gonna start with college basketball, and we're
gonna go to Baylor in Kansas. Uh, pretty open on
the show. I don't know too much about college basketball.
I don't handicap it. So tell us a little bit
about these teams and what do you expect from this game.
Speaker 4: Well, when you look at Kansas, you know, you got
to decide which one's going to show up, you know,
doctor Jeckwell, mister Hyde, because this team, they're seven and
one straight up at home, but they're just one in
three on the road. But Kansas is coming off a
monster win their last.
Speaker 3: Game the other night.
Speaker 4: They handed undefeated number two Iowa State its first loss
of the season, and they did it and blowout fashion
eighty four to sixty three. So normally I would be
looking to fade a fat and sassy Kansas team coming
off a big win like that. If this game was tomorrow,
buried among the one hundred or so college basketball games
that will be going on tomorrow. But no, it's on
Friday night and it's on Fox, so it's going to
be a primetime game. There's only seven college basketball games tonight.
This is the premier game. So I don't see Kansas
having that let down. Baylor's coming off a blowout of
their own. But it was over Oklahoma State. No big deal.
They're not a good basketball team. I hope Joe's not listening.
He doesn't like Oklahoma State getting bad mouth. But you know,
we've got to talk the facts there. You look at
this Oklahoma State or excuse me, if you look at
Baylor prior to that Oklahoma State game, they shot just
thirty seven, thirty and thirty six percent from the field
in their previous three games. That's going to be a
problem because this Kansas teams held ten of its seventeen
opponents this year to thirty nine percent or less shooting.
I'm gonna go ahead and look at Kansas here. There
are only two and two in their last four games.
But if you look at the two losses, and you know,
I'm a big situational guy, and I look at scheduling,
travel and everything else. They lost those two games in
a matter of three games. What they had to do
and this is one of the things with you know,
conference realignment, and it's even tougher in basketball because remember,
in football, you play one game a week. In basketball,
you're playing two, three games sometimes in a week span.
This is what Kansas had to do. They had to
fly to Florida to play Central Florida. They lost. Then
they returned home back to Kansas to play TCU in
a barn burner one oh four one hundred in overtime
in which they won. Turned around after that game and
flew to West Virginia. Now you don't have to be,
you know, a geography major to understand that these teams
in the Big Twelve. When you have teams like West
Virginia and you have teams like Central Florida, those are
not close to most of the teams in the Big Twelve,
so they present travel problems. That was a horrible stretch
for Kansas and it explains why they lost those two games.
In my opinion, that was three games in seven days,
all in diffferent cities, going all different directions. I'm gonna
go ahead to get to stay home for a second
game tonight, TV game, Prime time Rock Chock Jayhawks, lay it.
I have n't winning this one by thirteen.
Speaker 2: Ooh, all right, Marco's calling for a little all spread.
Don't you threaten me with a good time. We're gonna get.
We're gonna go.
Speaker 4: You know, if it's if it's a Friday night Andy
and your good time is alternate lines. I think we
got to step your game up a little bit.
Speaker 2: Okay, Marco, I'm watching the Bahrain Masters of Darts on
a on another screen, and I have the Sony open
on another Like this is kind of what we do
real quick. Someone asked, do we do anything refund for
the boxing play that got rule got ruled in no contest.
I am checking with customer service right now, so I
will I will, I will check and let you guys know.
We're gonna talk Texans Patriots. But I got to get
your take on the Steelers situation, you know, Mike Tomlin out.
Speaker 3: I listened, Marco.
Speaker 2: I listened to a podcast before the Steelers lost, and
someone was like, I have a conspiracy theory that Tomlin's
gonna throw the game so he can go take the
Ravens job.
Speaker 4: I saw the Ravens owner. He was pretty funny and
his his response and in a rare press conference appearance, Uh,
he was laughing about it as well. Here's the thing.
Back on December fifth, right here on this show, I
said this is the way it was going to play
out the end of the season. He was going to resign. Uh,
you know, they don't fire coaches in Pittsburgh. He resigned
where he's gonna land next. You know, everybody speculating he's
gonna go to the broadcasters booth or you know, halftime
or pregame analysis. And you know he loves to use words.
You've heard all of the Tomlin or tomlin isms as
they like to call him, the standards, the standard and
all that. We'll see what happens. If he wants to coach,
he'll be hired right away. But remember here's the difference
with him being resigning versus being fired. By him resigning,
the Steelers still owned the contract rights to him for
two years, which means if a team does hire him
as their coach, the Steelers is gonna have to get
some form of compensation, whether it be a draft pick
or a player trade, something they will get. So that's
the only thing that's gonna hang over, you know, his
head as far as getting you know, a job, how
much you know the Steelers you know want for that.
But we'll see how it plays out. It was time.
You know, I don't have anything against Mike Tomlin. He
just he was too stubborn to change with the way
the NFL is you know, I made the joke, you know,
two thousand and seven, called Mike they they want their
offense back. Okay, this is twenty twenty five. You've got
to change with the times and they never did.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Fair, Yeah, it is fair. It's you just you go
down the list and it's just like you gotta have
a young, offensive minded team in the way the NFL
works it.
Speaker 4: Daisy, here's the the most intriguing part. And you talked
about it with Kurt Signetti at James Madison and in
the coaching tree that's already coming from that. You know,
the short time that he's been a head coach, in
where he's been, in the places he's been. In the
nineteen years that Mike Tomlin has been a head coach
and never had a losing season, there is not one
limb on the Mike Tomlin coaching tree. Nobody has. Nobody
has gone out and become a head coach that has
done anything. You could say, you know, Bruce arians was
under coward. That's the only guy that you know that
went did anything.
Speaker 2: It is wild to say that that is that it
is Bulkers.
Speaker 4: You're right.
Speaker 2: When when I heard that, I was like, yeah, who
did come out from under and Tom mean, while you
got McVeigh and shanahan like guys are just like coming
out left and right. So well, let's talk this Texans
Patriots team. Talk about coaching. How did how did Rabel
sit out a year? By the way, how did Rabel
not get gobbled up by somebody that was that was bizarre?
So all right, we got this Texans team. Nico Collins
is not going to play. We saw the Texans. Their
defense is nasty. Stroud makes a lot of mistakes. You
got the Patriots here as minus three. There's some minus
three and a half's as well, over under forty and
a half. Books are expecting a low scoring game. How
do you break this one down?
Speaker 4: Well, obviously, you know, you look at these are the
two teams that delivered the most lopsided wins of last
week and what as a wild wild card weekend. But
both games, even though they became blowouts at the end,
they were tight games. You know, halfway through the third
quarter Houston and New England pooled away in the fourth quarter.
To me, I think Houston's win was more impressive. It
was on the road, and for all the things that
we've said, bad about Pittsburgh and everything. It's still tough
to go into Pittsburgh on a Monday night on the
road and win, you know, win a game. And they
did that, and they did it with three C. J.
Stroud turnovers. You know, in the first half. Most teams
that would have been the end of the story, their
their playoff run. Would it came to an end with
three turnovers like that. But this defense is so good.
They shut Pittsburgh down after every one of those you know, turnovers,
had to settle for a field goal, and Pittsburgh just
couldn't get anything going at all until late in the game,
you know, when the game was decided. The key for
me is the defense. And I always say, you give
me the better defense getting points. I'm gonna look there.
The New England defense looked really good last week. Okay,
they shut down the Chargers, but let's be honest, the
Chargers offensive line has got so many injuries and they
had no answer for New England. New England put pressure
on Justin Herbert all night long. He was under duress,
and when he did get the football out of his
hands before somebody was on top of him, he did
complete passes. Okay, the Houston line is much better than
the Charger line. They're gonna be able to give CJ.
Stroud a little more protection. And if he just holds
onto the football, don't hold it like a loaf of bread,
we should be okay if he doesn't turn it over.
But on the flip side, what the Chargers did, they
kept New England in check for most of the game.
What they didn't keep in check was Drake May beat
them with his running. I think he had like eleven
rushing attempts in that game or something. He continued to
move the chains. You know, he's not a great runner,
don't get me wrong. But the timing of the runs
where he saw the defenses turn their backs and look
to cover downfield, he took off, got the yardage for
the first down and moved the change. That was huge.
Houston's not gonna do that one because they have the
better defense, and two, they got to see the game film. Okay,
you're an idiot if you don't have a guy as
a spy to stay on the line to make Drake
may have to beat this defense with his arm instead
of his feet. I'm gonna go ahead and take Houston
in this one. Plus the points. Houston's held nine o
their last twelve opponents to one hundred or few yards rushing.
That's gonna force Drake may to have to make plays
through the air. For the season, fifteen of eighteen opponents
have been held up to twenty one or less points.
But what I'm gonna tell you here with this play, Andy,
we've seen that it's sitting at three. We saw a
couple three and a halfs then it came back to three,
but right now it's sitting at three.
Speaker 3: Juice.
Speaker 4: I think when we get to Sunday, the public when
they start to bet, because what people you know, and
I know BR's probably talked about this numerous times, the
public doesn't bet till Sunday, okay because most people, if
you know, if it's an account where you've got to
have your money in the account, you're not tying up
your NFL money on Tuesday or Wednesday or Thursday, because
you need the money in your account to bet basketball. Thursday, Friday, Saturday,
they play on game day, and when they get to
game day, they're gonna bet New England in this game.
And I think you'll see the three and a half
spop back up.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I can't. I can't disagree that from Indianapolis.
I can't freaking believe I get a supporting roof the Patriots.
But I gotta agree with you on that one. So Marco,
we got Sauce of the Week, and then we're gonna
enter the free contest that I did not tell you about.
This is gonna be great. Tell over and what you
have up and then give us the sauce of the week.
Speaker 4: All right, Well, what we've got up? Teddy said it.
This is the best deal going guys. You know, the
forty nine dollars Weekend Warrior is a very popular package.
But stop and think, guys, we tell you about value
plus ev okay, get the best of the number. Well,
if you can get to you know, a weekend Saturday
and Sunday for forty nine dollars and for twenty dollars more,
we're gonna give you seven days, which is the price
of three days. It's a no brainer. That's a plus
EV play. Pick your favorite capper, buy him for seven
days for sixty nine dollars, you're gonna get all of
his plays. Uh for me, I'm going to tell you,
you know the drill. We're forty one and nineteen. I
did lose a five percent last week, first one in
a while, now forty one and nineteen, going back to
February of twenty twenty four, we're coming up on two years.
That's a pretty impressive record college basketball. I love conference play.
You know we're in the heart of conference play right now.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 4: We're hitting for the season in college basketball, sixty three
percent for the year. Head on over wager Talk. Grab
me for a seven day package. You'll get everything I have,
including a five percent play that sells for thirty five
dollars buy themselves. Check it out over at wager Talk.
Now for the Sauce of the Week, I won't tell
you the sauce yet, but I'm gonna tell you the team,
and it's this one goes to everybody on the fricking
team because they all earned the sauce of the Week
this week. And that's the Green Bay Packers. Okay, how
in the world do you blow a twenty seven to
six league go into the fourth quarter? Okay, well, you
know I'm gonna tell you how you do that. Okay.
It's a lot of stupidity, all right, And it's not
just from the coaching staff to the players. We talk
about foot ball iq you know, I know it's not
politically correct, but when we're talking about football IQs, I
think some of these guys are retarded. I'm sorry they're
mentally challenged on some of the things that happened. Let's
start with the end of you know, the last four
minutes and twelve seconds of the game, fourth quarter, Chicago
just scored made to two point conversion, and now we're
sitting at a three point game. Twenty seven twenty four.
Green Bay takes over first and ten after the kickoff
on their thirty one yard line with four to twelve left.
I'm pointing out the clock because want to tell you
what this drive consisted of. First play, they passed two
yards to the right, guy gets tackled inbounds. Good clocks running.
The second play is second and eight with three twenty
seven left. You went from four to twelve to three
twenty seven.
Speaker 2: That's what you're.
Speaker 4: Supposed to do. Jordan Love passes downfield to Romeo, makes
a diving catch thirty four yard game. He wasn't touched
when he made the diving catch. He gets up and
tries to run. Okay, he's trying to make a football play.
He goes out of bounce. Why do you go out
of bounds? You go down in bounds. You keep the
clock running. So they gave Chicago an extra time out
by doing that. Next play, first and ten from the
Chicago thirty three, he hands off to Josh Jacobs to
the left. No game, but the clock's running. Well, Chicago
has to spend a time out. That's what you want
them to do. But go back to that Romeo Dobbs play.
That wasn't the most stupidest play of the game. I
want to go back to play in the second quarter,
if you remember, on fourth and six, Chicago goes for
it from the green Bay forty. On fourth and six,
he throws a deep pass down to the thirteen yard line.
Speaker 7: Carrington Valentine, great play, intercepts. It was fourth down, idiot,
drop the ball, bat it down.
Speaker 4: You don't intercept it the thirteen yard line when you
can take over at your own forty on fourth down.
That's what I was talking about football, IQ. So let
me just fast forward to the end. After eight plays,
the green Bay Packers run throwing passes going out of bounds,
and then on the ninth play, trying a forty four
yard field goal that they missed. You ran eight plays
and elapsed only a minute and twenty one seconds of
game clock. I don't know how. I don't know how
you do that. And then only to be smart, you know,
we got to bring in the coach. I don't know
what Matt Lafour was thinking. He burns a time out
with two eight one o'clock. He saved eight seconds before
the two minute warning, and he didn't have the ball.
Chicago had the ball with their own forty six trailing
twenty seven to twenty four. I don't understand that. And uh,
and don't forget again stupidity on a third and ten
on a key drive, they called a timeout because you
want to get the play right. It's third and ten.
You're trying to get a touchdown, not a field goal.
Third and ten, call timeout. Talk about it, all right?
I can live with that. They got a delay a
game coming out of the timeout. How do you get
a delay a game coming out of a timeout? Third
and fifteen? All right? So all of that, what kind
of sauce do we give this team for this week?
Speaker 7: Andy?
Speaker 4: They get no sauce because they're not even getting wings.
They're going to their they're going home, They're going to
their room until training camp. They get nothing. You don't
observe anything. I'm like their child. Nothing. That's it. Goodbye
Green Bay. I've had enough of you. And yes, Chicago
Bear fans, I'm picking on the Bears because I have
not seen a team that gets more lucky breaks or
more stupidity thrown their in their favor than the Chicago Bears.
Speaker 2: They should be forced into a shot of my lord.
Speaker 4: And if you ever seen a worse clock management in
a game.
Speaker 2: Not in a big game. You see it in the
regular season with some like it was some bad coaches,
and you know there's there's some hopelessness with some of
those teams. But in a big game, it was pretty tragic.
It was it was, it was, It was bad.
Speaker 3: It was bad.
Speaker 4: So yeah, I had Green Bay. So there were some
solid grapes there.
Speaker 2: Involved Oh man, oh yeah, that's yeah, all right, let's
do uh, let's do our pick for this is a
free contest from one of with with one of our friends.
They got pick them on the Bills and the Broncos.
When you got to pick them, I don't know. I
kind of lean I just want the better quarterback, and
I think it's Josh Allen. Agree or disagree?
Speaker 4: I disagree. I agree that he's the better quarterback, but
I disagree that they're going to win the game.
Speaker 2: Okay, yes, all right, you want Broncos at the pick
him San Frian in this contest seven and a half
at Seattle.
Speaker 3: What do you think?
Speaker 4: Uh? San Francisco. I don't know how that's a difference
in good coaches, how they find a way.
Speaker 2: But you know what, uh?
Speaker 4: I this Seattle defense next to Houston. They're one in
one a in my opinion, and I just don't see
San Francisco. The NFL screwed them having to play Sunday
and then come back and play on Saturday against their
you know, arrested team. I gotta go Seattle, all right.
Speaker 2: Seattle have the Patriots Texans plus three and a half
on this one.
Speaker 4: You already know where I'm at there.
Speaker 2: We just did then and then the Bears and the Rams.
Bears are getting three and a half points at home.
I want to Bears.
Speaker 4: Every show that I've done this week, I've abstained from
making a pick on that game. I'm just tired of
having the Bears run me over. But you know what
I'm I'm tired of hearing everybody say, Andy, and how
many times have you done this? You're watching a game
and this guy's hit fifteen field goals in a row.
What's he doing? He misses that one? If I hear
the one and nine stat one more time about you know, Matthew,
stay effort, you know, you know, it's just leave it alone.
You know, we get okay, we get it. He doesn't
win anything, you know, But it's just one of those
ones that the Bears. How lucky can they continue? Maybe
they're a team of destiny if you want, if you
want to sell me on that, I'll take the Bears
that way, the team destiny.
Speaker 2: They are the team of destiny. They just keep winning
in this weird fashion. Like Ben Johnson is now the
king of the lock of the post game locker rooms.
Speaker 4: It's just how many stupid things did he do in
the first half that helped Green Bay have the lead
that they have. Does fourth down mean anything anymore? No,
it's there. It's fourth and three, fourth and four. We're
going for it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I know, I know, so, Rob says mattin
floor is the millort of game management. Yeah, very well
said so all right, Marco, we got our plays locked
in for the free contest. If we win, I will
be keeping it all. Thank you for your input, no problem.
Speaker 4: You know what, you can go spend it on wings
and tell me what's on.
Speaker 2: I will do that. Thank you, Marco, appreciate it. Have
a good week, and my friend you too.
Speaker 4: Good luck everybody, all right, Thank you JH.
Speaker 2: Good luck to John's Bears this weekend. I'm weirdly rooting,
weirdly rooting for the Bears. I just love that team
right now. So and thank you all for watching. Great
week of shows. Appreciate for Chris and John stepping in.
Fingers crossed that Dan has safely moved across the country.
He will be back Monday and we will be back
as well. Good luck on all your plays. Don't forget
myself and joveniering buy one, get one for ninety nine
dollars money is going to be an absolutely epic, epic
show on the day of the National Championship. I cannot
wait to make sure you're here, same time, at same place.
Good Luck on all your bets this weekend, and we'll
see everyone Monday. Take care