1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: What's up everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. 2 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:06,679 If you are new, we always start this show by 3 00:00:06,759 --> 00:00:13,000 being transparent. Yesterday was not a good day for myself. 4 00:00:13,279 --> 00:00:15,839 I had three MLB plays. I went one and two, 5 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:17,920 so it took a little bit of a step back there. 6 00:00:18,679 --> 00:00:21,280 That would make me ten and five in the MLB playoffs, 7 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:23,280 So got to pick it back up there. There's no 8 00:00:23,359 --> 00:00:27,480 game to talk about here today. But yesterday was not successful. 9 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:30,079 You know know, was it any better for you? And 10 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:31,320 it's good to be back with you today. 11 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:37,119 Speaker 2: Good to be here ski. I had a not all MLB, 12 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:39,240 but I did also have a one and two day. 13 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:42,079 The college football play that we gave here is the 14 00:00:42,119 --> 00:00:45,520 best bet was the win New Mexico State team total over. 15 00:00:45,799 --> 00:00:48,840 They got the thirty seven, so that cash. I did 16 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,479 have a small play on the Rams first quarter. They 17 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,560 were never really in the game as far as covering 18 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:59,079 anything is concerned. And I also had the Cubs padres 19 00:00:59,119 --> 00:01:02,039 over which stayed under. So I too had a one 20 00:01:02,039 --> 00:01:04,879 and two day. All three bets were equal. So now 21 00:01:04,879 --> 00:01:06,480 we lost a little bit of change yesterday. 22 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:12,599 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll get get it back today. And man, you 23 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:15,719 know I said told you of off air. I mean 24 00:01:16,879 --> 00:01:18,799 I'm doing a lot of celebrating. I mean you and 25 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:20,680 I our birthday is on Sunday, so I guess I'm 26 00:01:20,719 --> 00:01:26,640 getting started early. But my sister got married yesterday, so 27 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:31,439 it's been a lot of festivities and it's just it's 28 00:01:31,439 --> 00:01:33,439 been it's been a very good time. I just say 29 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,879 that I've had a lot of fun, a lot of fun. 30 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 2: You know. I brought this tequila and pineapple for us 31 00:01:40,239 --> 00:01:43,920 for our birthday, but for your sister's wedding too. I think, hey, guys, 32 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:45,920 if you're watching and you want to join us here, 33 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:57,079 happy birthday, Ski and Congressulas birthday sister. Very nice talk 34 00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:58,120 first for us. 35 00:01:58,599 --> 00:02:02,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, get it gets me going. You know how 36 00:02:02,319 --> 00:02:06,239 little tequila gets me feeling all right? 37 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:07,879 Speaker 2: Winning track? 38 00:02:08,439 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, get that's how we get back on track. Right there, 39 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,560 justin cooland looks like he's ready to talk to Wnba 40 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:19,319 talking about some line moves. The Reynolds also ready to 41 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:22,039 talk it. So I appreciate you guys in the chat 42 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:26,199 wishing us happy birthday and congratulations to my sister. Appreciate 43 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:32,560 you guys. One All right, let's get to some actionable info. Rob. 44 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:36,599 You know we usually do ladies. First, we'll keep that 45 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:39,400 going here. Today we have w NBA Finals Game one 46 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:43,599 that is six eleven, six twelve Phoenix Mercury heading into 47 00:02:43,719 --> 00:02:47,479 Las Vegas take on the Ass and this is on 48 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,599 the move right now, and that's what they're saying in 49 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,400 the chat. Well, the side opened up three and a 50 00:02:52,439 --> 00:02:56,439 half favorites for aces is three or three and a 51 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,599 half depending where you shot the total though I have 52 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:04,360 the opener at I don't see an opener. Actually the 53 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:06,560 opener is not listed. I think the opener was one 54 00:03:06,599 --> 00:03:09,360 fifty eight and a half if I'm not mistaken. And 55 00:03:09,439 --> 00:03:13,919 now I see one sixty two's popping up on the board. 56 00:03:14,319 --> 00:03:22,159 So Ass coming off of that five game series versus 57 00:03:22,199 --> 00:03:26,080 Fever last game, you know, took them a little to 58 00:03:26,199 --> 00:03:31,080 overtime to get to pull away and get the job done. 59 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:34,039 For the Mercury, they've been sitting waiting for a little bit. 60 00:03:34,719 --> 00:03:34,919 Speaker 2: You know. 61 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: They got their series over with the links and four, 62 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,840 so they have the rest advantage here today. I believe 63 00:03:39,879 --> 00:03:46,960 it's four days, four days to two. This is I 64 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:50,280 believe the number one playoff defense I think versus number 65 00:03:50,319 --> 00:03:55,680 one playoff offense so far, so with it being at home, 66 00:03:56,159 --> 00:03:58,960 and you know, everybody's running the window and think it's 67 00:03:58,960 --> 00:04:01,159 gonna be that high scoring game, pushing it all the 68 00:04:01,199 --> 00:04:03,319 way up asides one sixty two right now, Robie, know, 69 00:04:03,639 --> 00:04:05,560 do you think they're pushing this one in the right direction. 70 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 2: Yeah? I wasn't even so sure at one sixty that 71 00:04:09,639 --> 00:04:13,080 it was the right direction. Ski. They've played four times, 72 00:04:13,159 --> 00:04:15,680 let's start right there. Las Vegas won three of the four. 73 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:19,360 The only time they didn't win, Asia didn't play. So 74 00:04:19,519 --> 00:04:22,279 with Asia in the lineup, they've beaten Phoenix three straight times, 75 00:04:22,319 --> 00:04:25,639 the last two coming mid to late August, so they're 76 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:31,319 not that far back. And the totals Ski in those 77 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:34,160 four games, a couple of them way below what we're 78 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:37,600 looking at tonight, and a couple of them over this number. 79 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:40,199 One hit one sixty five, the other hit one sixty nine, 80 00:04:40,319 --> 00:04:43,560 So odds maker, the number is probably in a really 81 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:47,639 good place right here. You're asking for I guess doing 82 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,120 the math here, like an eighty three to eighty game. 83 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:54,240 It's not impossible. And it's the first game of a 84 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:58,000 series where you know, sometimes they get a little looser 85 00:04:58,040 --> 00:04:59,959 in the first game and tighten up as we go 86 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,160 along in this series, So I can kind of understand, 87 00:05:03,199 --> 00:05:06,839 but I just can't get there with that. Then the 88 00:05:06,879 --> 00:05:10,319 next thing becomes the side where we see Phoenix push 89 00:05:10,399 --> 00:05:13,079 down to only plus three now after being plus three 90 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:14,720 and a half. So a little bit of Phoenix money 91 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,600 coming in as the afternoon rolls on here on the 92 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:22,839 East Coast. I think, if you just base your playoff 93 00:05:22,879 --> 00:05:25,439 of what we saw in the previous series, you're on Phoenix. 94 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:29,879 And I would caution it a little bit simply because 95 00:05:29,959 --> 00:05:32,160 Phoenix did get the benefit of not having the FISA 96 00:05:32,199 --> 00:05:35,360 klier out there for a game and a little bit 97 00:05:35,399 --> 00:05:37,560 over a game, So maybe it was made a little 98 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:40,759 bit easier by her absence. But you know, you can 99 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:42,959 certainly counter that with there is no way in heck. 100 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:44,759 We talked about it a little bit yesterday. No way 101 00:05:44,759 --> 00:05:47,160 in heck. The Las Vegas Aces should have been pushed 102 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,600 to five games and overtime on their home floor in 103 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:52,959 the game five to beat a crippled Indiana team. So, 104 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:56,879 like I say, if you look at the last series, 105 00:05:56,879 --> 00:05:59,480 you're all in on Phoenix. I think series wise, I 106 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:01,759 mean on Phoenix, I think they can win the series. 107 00:06:01,759 --> 00:06:06,839 I find it from a series perspective, SKI I wonder 108 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:12,399 if Asia can withstand the physical nature that's going to be. 109 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:16,160 You know, Collier got beat up pretty good by Phoenix. 110 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,720 Phoenix is not one to you know, not be physical. 111 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:23,759 So by seven game series, it's a long time and 112 00:06:23,959 --> 00:06:26,199 certainly they're going to be focused on Asia and try 113 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:30,480 and let everybody else beat them. Hasn't worked the last 114 00:06:30,519 --> 00:06:33,040 three times, but I think it could work in a 115 00:06:33,079 --> 00:06:36,279 seven game series. So out of all the plays available 116 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,000 to us right now heading into tonight, I think I 117 00:06:39,079 --> 00:06:41,000 like Phoenix to win the series the best. 118 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,639 Speaker 1: Well for a person like myself. You know, I'm just 119 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:51,800 I'm just I'm just chilling and I'm smiling. I got 120 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:54,439 that eighteen to want to do that for you, eighteen 121 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:58,519 to one on the Mercury, So you know, saying that 122 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:03,560 out loud, I would think you got an eighteen to 123 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:06,560 one in your pocket and it was like what minus 124 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,600 one twenty or one thirty or something for the aces 125 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:12,079 on the series. I mean, you could guarantee yourself at 126 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:14,519 least a little profit. And I think that's what I'll 127 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:19,720 end up doing for a person like myself. I put 128 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,800 I put two units on the Mercury to win the 129 00:07:22,839 --> 00:07:27,800 championship at plus eighteen hundred, so that's what thirty six units. 130 00:07:29,199 --> 00:07:31,480 So if I was to do something like, for example, 131 00:07:32,279 --> 00:07:38,759 bet the Aces to win the series four units, you know, 132 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:41,680 if the Aces win, I would pick up two. If 133 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:43,639 the Mercury win, I would pick up a little bit 134 00:07:43,639 --> 00:07:46,680 over thirty. And you know, I think that's with the 135 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:48,879 ticket that currently have in my pocket. I think that's 136 00:07:48,879 --> 00:07:51,920 a good way to approach it. Just logic school, you know, 137 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:57,319 guarantee yourself some profit. Now, outside of that what we 138 00:07:57,319 --> 00:08:02,480 were saying here, Yeah, I don't really agree with the 139 00:08:02,519 --> 00:08:06,879 total going up either. You know, this is the first 140 00:08:06,879 --> 00:08:09,399 time we'll see a seven game series for one, and 141 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:11,759 I think, you know, it's going a little bit more 142 00:08:12,399 --> 00:08:15,480 like filling out and just you know, they know it's 143 00:08:15,519 --> 00:08:18,120 not the it's not the end. It's not first to 144 00:08:18,199 --> 00:08:20,600 two wins, it's not first to three wins. You know, 145 00:08:20,759 --> 00:08:29,040 they got time to correct. So between that and really 146 00:08:30,279 --> 00:08:34,240 I think that the Aces, I'm unsure because we have, 147 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,519 like I'll say, we always talk about the rest and rest, 148 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,840 right I mean, this is a huge one right here, Mercury, 149 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:42,720 and we usually say when you get to that four 150 00:08:42,799 --> 00:08:45,519 days mark, it could become rusty. That's the Mercury. If 151 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:50,120 at the four days off the ass and this can 152 00:08:50,159 --> 00:08:54,480 go a couple of different ways, Like they could be 153 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:57,159 tired because that series was five games, because they're coming 154 00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:59,639 off of an overtime game. They could also be more 155 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,919 in really than this Phoenix Mercury team. They didn't have 156 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:06,720 to travel, you know. And I'm I honestly, when I 157 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,879 think about the side for this game, I'm I'm a 158 00:09:09,919 --> 00:09:11,440 little bit more in line with I think the Ace 159 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:13,879 has come out more in rhythm for this first one. 160 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:18,000 And you know, add the house to LJ and A 161 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,000 chat mentioned how good they've been in game one. He 162 00:09:20,039 --> 00:09:23,039 said they're eight and three ats since twenty twenty one 163 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:27,600 and game ones, I do think they're the right side. 164 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:30,480 And but as far as the total, I disagree with 165 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:32,399 the line move up. I think it's I think it's 166 00:09:32,399 --> 00:09:38,440 an undergame. Anything else here, Rover, you know, before we 167 00:09:38,879 --> 00:09:39,720 keep going, I. 168 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 2: Would just you know where game one is concerned. Ski. 169 00:09:42,919 --> 00:09:46,360 I think it's important to note that game one of 170 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:49,039 each of the two Phoenix series sat Too Sabi has 171 00:09:49,039 --> 00:09:52,360 been a no show. She's rebounded and played really well 172 00:09:52,919 --> 00:09:55,080 or recovered that I don't mean rebound going up for 173 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:58,559 a rebound. She's rebounded and played really well in the 174 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:01,600 remainder of the first two series, but game ones have 175 00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:04,639 been bad for her, and you wonder if that doesn't 176 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:08,720 follow suit here. Maybe she corrects that here. But again, 177 00:10:08,759 --> 00:10:10,559 it's a lot of guesswork, right, Like you were saying, 178 00:10:10,799 --> 00:10:13,840 some of this is guesswork. I think just on a field, 179 00:10:15,519 --> 00:10:19,480 from a field perspective, a handicapping field perspective, I would 180 00:10:19,519 --> 00:10:22,440 lean Las Vegas here at the low price in game one, 181 00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:24,759 I would be more in line with They probably have 182 00:10:24,879 --> 00:10:30,200 more rhythm going for them, and maybe Phoenix takes a 183 00:10:30,279 --> 00:10:33,600 game to get themselves right, but boy, when they get 184 00:10:33,639 --> 00:10:36,519 themselves right, they've been really good in these previous two series. 185 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:40,039 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff. A lot of good stuff coming in 186 00:10:40,039 --> 00:10:45,159 from the chat as well. Dan In says wnba ILUMINAI 187 00:10:45,279 --> 00:10:47,679 wanted to push five games for Fever fans. I think 188 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:51,960 I saw Scott Foster with a wig on. That's a 189 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:55,159 good one. That is a good one right there. You know, 190 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:57,000 let's keep it going. We'll talk a little bit of 191 00:10:57,159 --> 00:10:59,960 today's college football, see what we can do in NFL. 192 00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:04,000 I'm not man, I'll be honest, I don't really have 193 00:11:04,159 --> 00:11:06,559 much going in this college football. I don't have very 194 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:09,240 many opinions. So I know there's a few games that 195 00:11:09,279 --> 00:11:12,759 you have looked at. I'm gonna just open it up 196 00:11:12,759 --> 00:11:15,799 to you. Robie know, Charlotte in South Florida. I know 197 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:18,840 it's a twenty seven, twenty seven and a half point spread, 198 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:23,120 fifty six point total. How are you looking at that one? 199 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:27,799 Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean the favorite side is tempting ski But 200 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:30,200 I always try to find a way around big numbers 201 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:32,559 because you never know what happens late in games when 202 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:36,039 you're laying twenty eight. So for me, I like South 203 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:38,799 Florida enough to play their first half team total, which 204 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:40,600 was twenty two and a half. It's a team that 205 00:11:40,639 --> 00:11:42,799 plays at rapid pace. It's a team that's off a 206 00:11:42,799 --> 00:11:46,799 bye week. They're certainly the better team than Charlotte. They've 207 00:11:46,799 --> 00:11:49,440 played the far better schedule. We've seen them beat top 208 00:11:49,519 --> 00:11:53,360 tier teams already this season. Charlotte comes in on a 209 00:11:53,519 --> 00:11:57,600 somewhat short work week and without their number one quarterback 210 00:11:57,639 --> 00:12:00,320 and without their number one running back. So Charlotte down 211 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:06,720 two of their best offensive players. They have not been 212 00:12:06,759 --> 00:12:11,159 good offensively anyway. So to me, first half, even if 213 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,120 South Florida is off of buy and again, I could 214 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,080 throw a little rest versus rust argument in there. Maybe 215 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:19,000 South Florida takes a minute to heat up, but they 216 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:22,559 are like the ninth fastest tempo team in the nation. 217 00:12:22,639 --> 00:12:24,919 There's gonna be enough possessions in the first half, I think, 218 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:27,720 and their defense could certainly as good as it's been 219 00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:30,159 help out in the scoring here. So for me, the 220 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:32,879 safer route rather than laying sixteen and a half first 221 00:12:32,960 --> 00:12:36,120 half and you know, finding yourself on the good end 222 00:12:36,159 --> 00:12:37,840 of a or on the short end of a twenty 223 00:12:37,879 --> 00:12:41,720 three to seven first half score, I'd rather play and 224 00:12:41,759 --> 00:12:45,759 trust South Florida's offense. Charlotte's defense has been miserable against 225 00:12:45,799 --> 00:12:49,240 the pass, and Byron Brown's a really good quarterback here. 226 00:12:49,279 --> 00:12:52,759 So South Florida first half team total over twenty two 227 00:12:52,799 --> 00:12:54,320 and a half and I'll just push it through here, 228 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:59,240 ski really quick, Western Kentucky Delaware. This game is totaled 229 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:01,320 at sixty one one and a half. We know Western 230 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:03,960 Kentucky's all air raid and nothing else. We also know 231 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:07,600 Delaware stepping up from FCS, this is a conference game 232 00:13:07,639 --> 00:13:12,440 now cusa game. Delaware has been really good offensively. The 233 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:15,200 thing they have in common is both again talk a 234 00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:19,799 lot about bad defenses. These are two bad defenses, and 235 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:25,159 specifically the matchups here aren't good for either side, especially 236 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,519 the Delaware pass game against the Western Kentucky pass defense. 237 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:33,279 It's a national spotlight for these two teams. Western Kentucky's 238 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,720 been here before, They've been good in CUSA, and they've 239 00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:38,399 been on TV a lot last few years. They've made 240 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:42,320 Bowl games. Delaware has not real showcase game for them 241 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:45,320 here tonight. I think this one gets over sixty one 242 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:46,840 and a half. It looks to me like it could 243 00:13:46,879 --> 00:13:49,320 hit a minimum thirty eight to twenty four, like sixty 244 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,960 two plus. So I played that and then last but 245 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:56,799 not least interesting one here ski New Mexico and San 246 00:13:56,879 --> 00:13:59,799 Jose State. Everything I just said about the game before 247 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:06,120 is magnified by about five times in this one. Offense 248 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:10,679 versus defensive matchup advantages are huge in this particular game. 249 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,000 The problem with this one was, if you're gonna bet 250 00:14:13,039 --> 00:14:15,840 it now, here's the problem with it. Game open fifty 251 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:20,279 four totals. Where totals are concerned, the key numbers fifty five, 252 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:25,080 fifty six, fifty seven, fifty eight have all been taken 253 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:27,080 away from you now, and now you have to get 254 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:29,480 the fifty nine. If you're going to play the game, 255 00:14:29,519 --> 00:14:31,399 you lessen your bet. That's what I would recommend. 256 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: Is. 257 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,759 Speaker 2: I still think they can get the fifty nine here. 258 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,399 San Jose State's a team that gave up over three 259 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:40,879 hundred yards passing to Stanford last week of all teams, 260 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:44,159 so and Stanford excuse San Jose State with their quarterback 261 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,879 Walker e Get definitely throw first, and they can throw 262 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:50,960 on New Mexico. The New Mexico uprising here this year 263 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:52,559 because nobody thought they were going to be any good. 264 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:55,960 And I know that some people have actually pushed New 265 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:59,000 Mexico higher in their power ratings or advanced them more 266 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:03,360 than any other team in FBS football this year. That's 267 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:06,320 how much above expectation they have played. They have a 268 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:10,360 head coach who came from FCS Idaho, brought the quarterback 269 00:15:10,399 --> 00:15:13,639 with him, Jack Lane, and that combination Jason Eck and 270 00:15:13,679 --> 00:15:16,120 Jack Lane. If you just go back to FCS last year, 271 00:15:16,279 --> 00:15:19,559 this was a offensive minded team and that's what New 272 00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:22,720 Mexico has become, especially through the air. The fifty eight 273 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:24,879 and a half still seems too low, but again I'd 274 00:15:24,919 --> 00:15:28,120 listen to bet because they've already taken We call the 275 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:29,879 ass end of the line. Right, it's key. It's what 276 00:15:29,919 --> 00:15:32,919 you're getting, but it doesn't mean it can't still pay you. 277 00:15:32,919 --> 00:15:34,519 You just got to be a little more careful with 278 00:15:34,559 --> 00:15:34,919 that game. 279 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 1: Now, good stuff, Rovino. I like that that middle game 280 00:15:39,639 --> 00:15:41,279 you talked about. I think I could roll with that 281 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:46,399 one towards the over. But good stuff overall. I don't 282 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:48,720 have anything to add. I think you covered it pretty 283 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:56,360 well NFL Week five. It's a lot to look at here, Robno, 284 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:57,799 you know how we usually do it. I just kind 285 00:15:57,799 --> 00:16:00,879 of go down the list, you know was sticking out 286 00:16:00,879 --> 00:16:06,679 to me. The one was super obvious. I'm pretty sure 287 00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:09,159 the entire world is on it. We'll see if it covers. 288 00:16:09,519 --> 00:16:14,000 But the Lions, why don't I have any openers? Let 289 00:16:14,039 --> 00:16:21,399 me refresh this Lions and the Bengals. I mean, I 290 00:16:21,399 --> 00:16:26,600 could just repeat what I said last week. This Lion's team. 291 00:16:26,919 --> 00:16:30,919 They're rolling offensively Cincinnati. They're not gonna be able to 292 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,879 keep up with the quarterback situation that they have going. 293 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:36,039 They can have all those skilled players, but they don't 294 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,600 have people to get them the ball. It's not really 295 00:16:38,679 --> 00:16:41,039 gonna matter. And that Bengals defense is just so bad. 296 00:16:41,559 --> 00:16:45,200 Detroit should be able to name their number. So if 297 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:49,559 you got in early like me, it's awesome. I mean, 298 00:16:49,679 --> 00:16:51,679 to get a better number. I got minus eight. You're 299 00:16:51,679 --> 00:16:53,799 seeing ten or ten and a half right now. But 300 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:57,120 they should. They should destroy Cincinnati unless they just completely 301 00:16:57,639 --> 00:17:02,960 overlook them. Any thoughts on that game, Robi, No, yeah, I. 302 00:17:02,879 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 2: Mean it is kind of simplistic, Ski, but for the 303 00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:08,079 last three weeks for me, actually not three weeks because 304 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:12,279 I didn't catch this play when Minnesota played Cincinnati. They 305 00:17:12,279 --> 00:17:14,799 started Carson Wentz that week and I backed off and 306 00:17:14,839 --> 00:17:18,920 I shouldn't have. But it's just one of those until 307 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,920 further notice, fade the Cincinnati defense. I cast a five 308 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:24,680 percent play Monday night by playing the Denver team total 309 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:27,319 over Denver done nothing offensive we all see so long 310 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:30,359 they fase Cincinnati, bo Nick sets the world on fire 311 00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:33,359 showing Painton's a genius again, and you know that's just 312 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,160 how that goes. Play Cincinnati and that's what happens to you. 313 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,319 The Lions team total that's available out there is twenty 314 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:41,319 nine and a half. It'd be hard pressed to think 315 00:17:41,319 --> 00:17:43,920 that they can't get the thirty one in this game 316 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:48,400 against Cincinnati. So again, that's just a mechanical knee jerk 317 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:52,519 reaction type play at this point, play against the Cincinnati defense. 318 00:17:52,559 --> 00:17:55,759 It gets no better. And like you said, Ski about 319 00:17:55,759 --> 00:18:00,559 the quarterback play, if Jake Browning is actually contributing to 320 00:18:00,839 --> 00:18:05,000 the benefit of the other side's offense, you score even more. 321 00:18:06,279 --> 00:18:10,720 Lookout Aiden Hutchinson's coming for Yeah, Jake Browning. So we'll see. 322 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,079 But I think you have to play against the Cincinnati defense. 323 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:15,359 I'd be on Detroit team total over twenty nine and 324 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:22,559 a half. Get the mute. 325 00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:28,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I agree with the team total over. 326 00:18:29,079 --> 00:18:30,960 And I said that I don't know what's going on. 327 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:33,440 I might have to replace this light whatever's going on 328 00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:38,759 right here. But let's talk about I mean, you know 329 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:42,440 who my team is, Ravino, and I always look at 330 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:44,759 it when it's I see a minus next to that name, 331 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:50,119 We're gonna have to talk about it. And for this week, 332 00:18:50,440 --> 00:19:00,359 I mean minus three. Here here's my problem, the charters. 333 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,640 I'm worried about their schedule so far. Who they've played, like, 334 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:07,200 I should pull it up here. They played the Chiefs 335 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:11,640 and Worthy got injured like immediately, so you know that 336 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:15,359 throws a wrench in Casey's entire game plan. So I 337 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,960 don't know how much Stock I'm putting into that. For one, 338 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,039 who they beat. They beat the Raiders, right if I'm 339 00:19:21,039 --> 00:19:27,359 not mistaken, beat the Broncos, beat the Broncos. I'm not 340 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:30,359 high on the Broncos either. I mean, I'm just not 341 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,200 really impressed with what I've seen from Chargers is what 342 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,039 I'm trying to say here and now. Not only is 343 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:40,519 Rashaun Slater gone he was going to preseason, but Joe 344 00:19:40,559 --> 00:19:43,640 aut is gone. Those are two guys, like two of 345 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:48,680 the premier you know, offensive line like the premiere Blockers. 346 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,440 Joe Alt really doesn't allow any pressures at all. So 347 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:55,079 that's not a guy that you can just replace next 348 00:19:55,079 --> 00:19:55,440 man up. 349 00:19:55,559 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 2: I'm sorry. 350 00:19:56,279 --> 00:19:58,680 Speaker 1: I know some guys you can, but he's not one 351 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,759 of them. And truly, I think they're missing three guys 352 00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:06,079 on the offensive line right now. So I've seen Herbert 353 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,240 when he doesn't have enough protection. I've seen his Chargers 354 00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,640 team plenty of times. I know we have a new 355 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:13,839 coach and all that stuff, but I just don't trust 356 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:17,640 him when he doesn't have protection. I'm thinking about Washington's 357 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,759 D line, Rob you know, I think that they should 358 00:20:20,759 --> 00:20:24,720 be able to get after Herbert and you get Jaden 359 00:20:25,079 --> 00:20:27,759 Daniels back in the lineup over there. I mean I 360 00:20:27,839 --> 00:20:31,720 just think, I mean they were fine without him, or 361 00:20:31,799 --> 00:20:33,759 look they look cool without him. I just think they 362 00:20:33,799 --> 00:20:36,799 have a lot of good players over there. So seeing 363 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,440 Washington plus three, I really want to fake the Chargers. 364 00:20:40,519 --> 00:20:41,480 Can you talk me off? 365 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,440 Speaker 2: I can't because the show I was on previous to 366 00:20:45,799 --> 00:20:47,880 coming on with you, Ski I talked about this game 367 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,400 as being a play for me, and it's the Washington side. 368 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:53,519 I just you know, you hit it. It's the number 369 00:20:53,559 --> 00:20:56,680 one reason why I play Washington here is because and 370 00:20:56,720 --> 00:21:01,240 you mentioned it, those two tackles aren't ordinary tax Rashawn 371 00:21:01,319 --> 00:21:03,640 Later and John Out, They're all pro tackles. I mean, 372 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,279 it's like losing four offensive linemen when you lose those 373 00:21:06,279 --> 00:21:09,279 two guys. And now Makai Beckton is hurt as well. 374 00:21:09,319 --> 00:21:12,400 He may play, but he's gonna play banged up. And 375 00:21:13,079 --> 00:21:17,599 if you're LA, it hurts your running game, it hurts 376 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:21,599 your pass protection. It allows Washington, in my estimation, it 377 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:24,119 allows Washington to kind of crowd the line of scrimmage 378 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,920 or have a lot of disguised pressures on Justin Herbert here. 379 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,240 I don't know, it's gonna be very, very tough I'm 380 00:21:32,279 --> 00:21:36,279 sure Jim Harbaugh we know it. He knows it right, 381 00:21:36,279 --> 00:21:39,200 and they're devising some sort of game plan. But I 382 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,640 don't know what kind of game plan you devise without 383 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:46,759 those two guys in protection. We see great teams a 384 00:21:46,839 --> 00:21:49,319 LA Kansas City in the Super Bowl. When Pat Mahomes 385 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:51,960 didn't have protection to two Super Bowls, they lost. They 386 00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:55,079 got crushed because his best guys weren't out there keeping 387 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,359 them up right. And it's kind of the same thing 388 00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:01,839 here with LA. I know that Washington's not the best 389 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,920 defense of all, but having Jade Daniels back is just huge. 390 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:07,960 It forces the LA defense to have to do so 391 00:22:08,079 --> 00:22:11,680 much more just because of his dual threat. So plus 392 00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:15,319 three and I'm surprised Ski an hour ago this was 393 00:22:15,319 --> 00:22:17,640 plus two and a half and it went back up 394 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:21,359 to plus three. And so I don't know where the 395 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,400 Charger money is coming from, but I certainly don't agree 396 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:25,720 with it. I like the Washington. 397 00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:32,680 Speaker 1: Side, all right, we're in agreement on that one. There's 398 00:22:32,759 --> 00:22:34,519 one game I want to ask you about, and also 399 00:22:34,599 --> 00:22:37,279 another one that catches my attention. Which one should I 400 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:37,920 do first. 401 00:22:37,759 --> 00:22:43,759 Speaker 2: Robbie, No, the one that catches your attention, all right? 402 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:48,759 Speaker 1: All right. The Saints are favored their minus two this week, 403 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:53,279 and they have been I'll be nice, they they've been 404 00:22:53,319 --> 00:22:56,519 not good. They've been not good. 405 00:22:56,839 --> 00:22:58,319 Speaker 2: I thought the A word was coming. 406 00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 1: I was trying to be nice. They've not been good. 407 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:06,839 So to see them favorite here is just really sticking 408 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:11,759 out to me. The Giants coming off of a win 409 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,839 could be what is it how Marco caused? What is it? 410 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,920 Fat and sassy or whatever? They say? You know, they're 411 00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:26,039 satisfied with that win over the Chargers, and they're on 412 00:23:26,079 --> 00:23:31,279 the road here and they have a divisional game on Thursday, 413 00:23:31,839 --> 00:23:36,279 first the Eagles, so maybe you know, they just overlooked. Says. 414 00:23:36,319 --> 00:23:38,480 I know the Giants aren't that great, but maybe they 415 00:23:38,839 --> 00:23:42,599 are not really that paying attention that much to this 416 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:47,000 game as much as they should be and looking forward 417 00:23:47,079 --> 00:23:51,200 to Philadelphia. So maybe the same sort the right side rock. 418 00:23:51,319 --> 00:23:54,759 You know, maybe their favorite for a reason. What do 419 00:23:54,799 --> 00:23:55,480 you think about it? 420 00:23:57,319 --> 00:24:00,039 Speaker 2: Well, I think the reason they're favorite is obviously the 421 00:24:00,079 --> 00:24:02,799 Malik Neighbors situation. Right, they lost them all I think 422 00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:05,680 for the year now and now the Giants are you know, 423 00:24:05,839 --> 00:24:08,240 having Jackson Dark come in and pull out a win 424 00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:13,559 is fine, but you immediately take their all everything wide 425 00:24:13,559 --> 00:24:16,000 receiver away from them, and that just makes it harder 426 00:24:16,079 --> 00:24:19,519 on the Giants, a little bit easier on the Saints, 427 00:24:19,519 --> 00:24:21,960 and things need to be made easier for the Saints 428 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,599 because defensively they've been bad. The other side of that 429 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,480 coin is the Giant pass rush, which is really really good. 430 00:24:28,519 --> 00:24:31,680 Could get after Spencer Rattler. But I feel like Spencer 431 00:24:31,759 --> 00:24:37,519 Rattler ski has been certainly confronted with a lot of 432 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,480 you know, the defensive coordinators that have made life difficult 433 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,880 on him. So I don't know that this one, he 434 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,160 may get sacked a couple of times here, three times, 435 00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,200 let's say, but I don't know that that's going to 436 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,440 be a big difference maker in this game for New 437 00:24:52,519 --> 00:24:55,440 Orleans and for the Giants as well. It's a game 438 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,319 on your schedule that you say, man, we can win 439 00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:00,839 that one. New Orleans does happen to be home as 440 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,799 you mentioned Jackson Dart's first game on the road. Who 441 00:25:03,839 --> 00:25:08,759 knows that he did play at Ole Miss in that region, 442 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:11,720 so maybe somewhat of a homecoming for him. But I 443 00:25:11,799 --> 00:25:16,000 don't know. I never trust first time roads starts at quarterback, 444 00:25:16,039 --> 00:25:17,480 you know what I mean. I think that New Orleans 445 00:25:17,519 --> 00:25:19,480 might be able to force him into a couple of mistakes, 446 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:24,160 and the Giants cam Scataboo has run it pretty good, 447 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:28,359 but they're not necessarily a running team, so I don't know, 448 00:25:28,599 --> 00:25:32,720 you know, game plan wise, if I'm New Orleans stacked 449 00:25:32,799 --> 00:25:35,480 up to stop scatabo and say Dark go ahead without neighbors, 450 00:25:35,519 --> 00:25:37,680 try and beat me. And on the other side, I 451 00:25:37,759 --> 00:25:40,599 like Spencer Ratler enough for what it's worth. The Saints 452 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,200 a couple of times have hung around. They'd been in games. 453 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,920 I know they've been blown out, especially in Seattle, but 454 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,599 they've hung around in a couple of these, so I 455 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,039 don't see any reason why they can't really win this one. 456 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,640 I think there's enough negatives for the Giants to go 457 00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:57,920 ahead and play the home team here. 458 00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 1: Right, So we're saying we're seeing that one kind of 459 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:06,559 the same, and I mean, I'm gonna use it here. 460 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,440 I'm gonna do a little bit of well it's not 461 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,400 a vent thing, but just my opinion. A lot of 462 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:16,200 people are are, you know, happy, and like what they've 463 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,519 seen from Jackson Dark. I'm not getting carried away. I've 464 00:26:19,519 --> 00:26:24,279 seen I've seen him enough. I'm talked about old miss Yeah, 465 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,440 you remember when their season was on the line about 466 00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:30,359 two minutes left. Yeah, I need to see a little 467 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:32,880 bit more from Jackson Dark besides just that one game. 468 00:26:33,279 --> 00:26:37,279 So uh, not a fan, all right? I mean I 469 00:26:37,319 --> 00:26:42,559 wanted to ask about Denver in Philadelphia, Philly. You're in 470 00:26:42,599 --> 00:26:47,160 Neck of the Woods, Denver, your team. You talked about 471 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,279 Denver and how they're able to beat up on the 472 00:26:50,319 --> 00:26:53,400 poor defenses, maybe struggle for some of the better ones. 473 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:57,880 Philly one of the better ones. Right, so you're expecting 474 00:26:58,319 --> 00:27:00,160 the Broncos to struggle in this game. 475 00:27:01,839 --> 00:27:07,319 Speaker 2: I do. I mean until you proved differently. Again, you 476 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:09,759 go back to game one of last year when bow 477 00:27:09,799 --> 00:27:13,400 Knicks became the starting quarterback, drafted immediate starter, and you 478 00:27:13,559 --> 00:27:15,359 just go through all their games and you pull out 479 00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:18,559 the games where they played above average defenses and Denver 480 00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:22,440 was silent, offensively silent, and then you take the other 481 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,079 half of their games had a pretty favorable schedule last year, 482 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:29,079 you take those games where he played weak defenses, and 483 00:27:29,519 --> 00:27:32,519 a reputation is built. I mean, heading into this year, 484 00:27:32,559 --> 00:27:35,359 there were people thinking Denver could overtake Kansas City and 485 00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,880 that division based on what bow Knicks and Sean Payton 486 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:43,079 assumingly accomplished last year. Offensively, come out this year, do 487 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,799 nothing against Tennessee. Come out in your second game, do nothing, 488 00:27:45,839 --> 00:27:48,440 third game, do nothing. Get a Cincinnati defense and blow 489 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:50,920 them away. And now we see a line of three 490 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:56,000 and a half. It's kind of what you've seen last 491 00:27:56,079 --> 00:27:59,000 right Soka. I think a lot of people and myself 492 00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,680 included phill four and O. But it's not an overwhelming 493 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:04,599 four and oh like they could have lost a couple 494 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:06,759 of games a long way. So people are saying Philadelphia 495 00:28:06,839 --> 00:28:10,480 probably is overachieved. They see Denver off the Monday night 496 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:15,000 setting new records for Bonick's passing yardage and whatnot, destroying Cincinnati, 497 00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:18,039 and we're faced with three and a half here. I'm 498 00:28:18,079 --> 00:28:22,240 telling you, Denver's defense is elite for sure, but so 499 00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,200 is the Philly offense when it wants to be. And 500 00:28:24,279 --> 00:28:26,039 in my neck of the woods here in Philadelphia, they 501 00:28:26,079 --> 00:28:30,119 have come under such intense criticism offensively from the fandais 502 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:35,119 from the media. The aj Brown situation. We saw a 503 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,240 couple of weeks ago when Philly was down nineteen to 504 00:28:38,319 --> 00:28:40,720 three to the Rams, and then they came out in 505 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:42,640 the second half and decided, Okay, now we're gonna start 506 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:44,680 passing and we're gonna come back running for and what 507 00:28:44,759 --> 00:28:48,319 did they do? They won the game. AJ Brown went crazy. 508 00:28:48,359 --> 00:28:51,240 So it's not that they can't do it. I think 509 00:28:51,279 --> 00:28:53,200 they probably do it here. I don't know that this 510 00:28:53,279 --> 00:28:54,920 is a good spot in a short work week for 511 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,559 Denver only getting three and a half. So for me 512 00:28:58,319 --> 00:29:03,839 it would be Philadelphia. I would lay the price. You know, 513 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,680 this team total for the Broncos, I think they might 514 00:29:06,759 --> 00:29:10,759 find their way to seventeen. Their team total is nineteen 515 00:29:10,799 --> 00:29:12,599 and a half. That might be a little high for 516 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,759 them against this type of defense, But I really would 517 00:29:16,799 --> 00:29:19,799 prefer the side here. I think Philadelphia probably wins this 518 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:22,759 game by Again, you have to win by four points 519 00:29:22,839 --> 00:29:25,319 at home with a team that's probably got a little 520 00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:27,880 chip on their shoulder with something to prove. Offense, I 521 00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:31,519 wouldn't be surprised AJ Brown, Patrick's or ten. It's a 522 00:29:31,599 --> 00:29:34,680 nice matchup if that's the way it goes. But Philly's offense, 523 00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:36,480 I think he's going to move the ball here. 524 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:42,799 Speaker 1: All right. Not a whole lot more I'll really want 525 00:29:42,839 --> 00:29:46,000 to talk about, but I'll just mention a couple, or 526 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:56,119 maybe I'll mention this one. Actually, Arizona and Tennessee. Arizona's 527 00:29:56,160 --> 00:30:00,279 defense seems pretty solid. They're missing a lot, They're not 528 00:30:00,319 --> 00:30:03,880 going to have a run game. They're they're missing James Connor, 529 00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:09,799 They're missing Trey Benson, and I don't really trust Kyler Murray. Really, 530 00:30:10,559 --> 00:30:15,400 Tennessee's pass defense is good. Tennessee's pass defense is good. 531 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:19,200 Arizona doesn't have a run game. I was Arizona gonna 532 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:23,519 score enough to cover seven and a half. Also, at 533 00:30:23,519 --> 00:30:26,519 the same time, I get that Tennessee's offense hasn't been great. 534 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,000 Maybe under forty two is to look in that game. 535 00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:33,720 Those are minitial thoughts. How you feel or any thoughts 536 00:30:33,759 --> 00:30:34,039 from you. 537 00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:38,319 Speaker 2: Well, it's hard to bet Tennessee right now. Now. The 538 00:30:38,359 --> 00:30:43,079 one thing you could say about Tennessee is this is 539 00:30:43,119 --> 00:30:45,599 a step down in class for sure. Their last their 540 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,839 four opponents, to be fair to them, are the Denver defense, 541 00:30:50,519 --> 00:30:55,440 the Rams defense and in specific the Rams defensive front, 542 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,720 the Houston defense with their pass rush and their defensive capability, 543 00:31:00,119 --> 00:31:03,400 and then the Colts, and they lost all four. They've 544 00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,119 been destroyed by fourteen plus in every single in the 545 00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:09,079 last three eight plus and all of those. But they're 546 00:31:09,119 --> 00:31:12,799 better teams than Arizona. For sure, Arizona doesn't have the 547 00:31:12,839 --> 00:31:15,119 same capability on either side of the ball that those 548 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,880 teams have, so yeah, it's a step down the class. 549 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:23,000 I just wonder if cam Ward he's made a couple 550 00:31:23,039 --> 00:31:25,000 of comments, if he's not losing a little bit of 551 00:31:25,039 --> 00:31:29,319 faith in this team. This is a miserable point spread 552 00:31:29,319 --> 00:31:33,319 team too. I think I saw a numbers ski six 553 00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:37,880 and six and twenty two or something crazy since Callahan 554 00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:42,079 became head coach. It's just not really good against the spread. 555 00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,640 And you're right, they're not doing enough offensively to feel 556 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,359 secure backing them. So if I were to make a 557 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,400 choice out of the two you gave right there, I 558 00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,440 would almost lean more towards under in that game, thinking 559 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,160 Arizona might be able to hold Tennessee to seventeen, and 560 00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:00,400 you know, well it would have to be less than 561 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,519 seventeen to get this under and have Arizona still cover. 562 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,000 But that would be my initial look. I think there's 563 00:32:06,039 --> 00:32:10,039 better things on the board for me to try than 564 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:13,200 hoping that Tennessee gets a cover. Of course, you know, 565 00:32:13,559 --> 00:32:16,160 really bagged up San Francisco team covered with eight and 566 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,119 a half last night went out, right, So it's the 567 00:32:18,279 --> 00:32:21,759 NFL who knows. 568 00:32:20,759 --> 00:32:23,720 Speaker 1: All right, you know I like that under I do. 569 00:32:24,759 --> 00:32:27,319 That's really what's standing out to me at this moment. 570 00:32:28,839 --> 00:32:35,720 Let's just talk about the Chiefs. Chiefs and jackson I 571 00:32:35,839 --> 00:32:38,920 have no reason. Well, now you've got a lay three 572 00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:40,920 and a half. You know, here's the thing. The Chiefs 573 00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,000 are the masters of winning and not covering. Like I 574 00:32:44,119 --> 00:32:47,119 never trust him in a point spread, Like it just 575 00:32:47,279 --> 00:32:52,480 is so hard. I've seen it too many times, Patrick Mahomes. 576 00:32:52,839 --> 00:32:55,079 There's just enough to win the game. So if I 577 00:32:55,119 --> 00:32:57,200 like Kansas City, I almost feel like I have to 578 00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,079 take a juice money line, and I know they need 579 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:03,240 to win. I mean, you're gonna get what a guy's 580 00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:06,079 every worthy back. Now you're gonna get Rossie Rice. I mean, 581 00:33:06,839 --> 00:33:09,880 their season, they they were playing like their season wasn't 582 00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:11,799 over after the first couple losses, and I think they, 583 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:13,559 you know, are going to continue to make a push. 584 00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,119 So I'm not a big fan of Jacksonville. I don't 585 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:20,400 like their defense, don't trust Trevor Lawrence. I think the 586 00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:24,839 Chiefs can win, But whenever I see something in the 587 00:33:24,839 --> 00:33:30,799 hook with the Chiefs, I hesitate to against the spread. 588 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:32,240 I'll just say that, what do you think. 589 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 2: Robom well, I really like, you know, and it probably 590 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,279 sets up for us pretty good here for a couple 591 00:33:39,359 --> 00:33:42,359 of weeks maybe. But I always thought all along that 592 00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,319 Kansas City was just missing key components from that receiving 593 00:33:45,359 --> 00:33:49,200 group and they were gonna take off offensively, and they 594 00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:51,319 did take off against it. And now Baltimore's a banged 595 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,640 up defense, I get it, but they scored at will, 596 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:57,400 and they showed you what they can be with Hollywood Brown, 597 00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:02,480 Xavier Worthy and you know, Kelsey isn't even really contributing yet. 598 00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:04,720 But with those guys on the field and the threat, 599 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:08,719 they went vertical more. They started running those fly sweeps more. 600 00:34:09,559 --> 00:34:13,119 Andy Reichs playbook wide open. I don't you know. To me, 601 00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:16,360 Jacksonville's three and one is as fraudulent as any three 602 00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:20,320 and one in the league so far. So I kind 603 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,440 of zeroed in on this one. And I just want 604 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,719 to play Kansas City's offense right now because I think 605 00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:29,920 their offense is severely underrated. People still don't think they're 606 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:31,840 one of the top three teams in the AFC. I 607 00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:34,039 think once they get Rashi Rice back, they probably will 608 00:34:34,039 --> 00:34:37,000 win the AFC. So for me, it would be over 609 00:34:37,039 --> 00:34:39,199 twenty four and a half in this game. For the Chiefs, 610 00:34:39,199 --> 00:34:41,239 I think they can get to twenty seven. Again. I 611 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:45,559 just don't find Jacksonville to be that solid of a 612 00:34:45,639 --> 00:34:48,440 three and and Trevon Walker, one of their best pass rushers, 613 00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,840 is out for this game. If Mahomes has time and 614 00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:55,119 they can dictate everything, they'll get to twenty seven. So 615 00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:59,239 for me right now, I'm interested in playing Kansas City 616 00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,360 team totals because I think their often is just going 617 00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:03,079 to get better and better as the season rolls on. 618 00:35:04,199 --> 00:35:07,599 Speaker 1: I like it all right. You know, it's about that 619 00:35:07,639 --> 00:35:11,119 time where we wrap it up here, nothing to put 620 00:35:11,199 --> 00:35:15,719 up on the screen, But before we do the best bets, 621 00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:18,199 I'll ask you if there's anything you would like to promote. 622 00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:19,800 If you have a best bet for the show, we 623 00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:24,239 would love to hear it. And if not, it's all good. 624 00:35:25,559 --> 00:35:28,400 Speaker 2: Let's just real quick promote the Weekend Warrior package going 625 00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:30,840 on it and wager talk dot com ski three days 626 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,440 worth the football Saturday, Sunday Monday. I think you probably 627 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:38,000 even get tonight from them. Included in the package forty 628 00:35:38,079 --> 00:35:40,440 nine dollars regularly one hundred and eight dollars for those 629 00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:42,159 three days. You get it for forty nine, you get 630 00:35:42,159 --> 00:35:45,599 every football play released. I myself, I think I saw 631 00:35:46,559 --> 00:35:51,880 Johnny Detroit did post on X the NFL leader board 632 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,360 right now at wager talking, I think I ranked second. 633 00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:57,199 It's been a good NFL season so far. I've talked 634 00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:58,760 about it a little bit on the show. So if 635 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,920 you're interested and so packages once again, the Weekend Warrior 636 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:04,079 is probably a good way to get going three days 637 00:36:04,079 --> 00:36:08,679 for just forty nine dollars. Best bet I'll go to 638 00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,880 the college football Ski that we talked about earlier in 639 00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:15,480 the show, and I'll leave the best bet as the 640 00:36:15,559 --> 00:36:19,159 South Florida first half team total over twenty two and 641 00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,000 a half. You got to get to twenty three. Honestly, 642 00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:25,039 if things roll their way, they could get to thirty 643 00:36:25,079 --> 00:36:28,440 plus against this team tonight. So they've had a week 644 00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,320 off to get ready for this one. Certainly chomping at 645 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:34,519 the bit after getting beaten by Miami Florida. No shame there, 646 00:36:34,519 --> 00:36:37,000 but they've played a really hard schedule and now they 647 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,519 get one of the ten worst teams in FBS football. 648 00:36:39,599 --> 00:36:44,320 So for me, South Florida team total over twenty two 649 00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:47,960 and a half first half and before I finish up, 650 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,920 one more happy birthday to Ski and I and to 651 00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:53,760 the chat chat. We appreciate you, guys, so we'll toast 652 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:54,159 to you too. 653 00:36:54,960 --> 00:37:05,119 Speaker 1: Absolutely sures to that, all right, uh Man. For myself, 654 00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:07,039 I mean, I do have a best bet on my 655 00:37:07,159 --> 00:37:09,880 page for the WNBA game one. I fit ten out 656 00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:15,000 of thirteen in the WNBA playoffs. That's my promo right there. 657 00:37:15,079 --> 00:37:18,639 As far as best bet, I haven't played anything else yet, 658 00:37:19,119 --> 00:37:20,679 so you guys know how I am. I don't like 659 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,920 the gift stuff I haven't necessarily played, but I do 660 00:37:25,079 --> 00:37:27,719 like that second game where I've talked about the over 661 00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:32,079 in college football, and I'll just say this, I did 662 00:37:32,079 --> 00:37:33,920 bet the Lions minus eight. I know its ten and 663 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:39,000 a half. Now. Outside of that, I'm looking hard at 664 00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:43,000 that Arizona Tennessee under. It's lighting up on the screen 665 00:37:43,039 --> 00:37:46,239 and moving as we speak. It's still forty two out there. 666 00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:48,760 But I just want to double check what the opener was, 667 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,679 because the opener's not showing on this screen where it should. 668 00:37:52,199 --> 00:37:53,639 I mean, I don't want to take the assing of 669 00:37:53,639 --> 00:37:55,440 the line. I feel like it might have moved a 670 00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:58,039 lot already, so I just want to double check that. 671 00:37:59,039 --> 00:38:08,119 And the same look good, Yeah, Washington looks good. A 672 00:38:08,119 --> 00:38:10,119 few things we talked about. I mean, I pretty much 673 00:38:10,159 --> 00:38:11,800 like them all, so I just don't like to give 674 00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:14,039 a best bet that I haven't actually put in myself. 675 00:38:14,639 --> 00:38:20,159 So Veno, appreciate you taking the time to cap these 676 00:38:20,199 --> 00:38:25,800 games with us Friday, so we'll be back again on Monday. 677 00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:29,159 We appreciate everybody in the chat as well. And man, 678 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,280 it's time for me to get back to it. Robo 679 00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:33,519 at a party and in the near future for me. 680 00:38:33,599 --> 00:38:35,320 So actually, I have one more show to do and 681 00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:37,320 then I can start the party. So I'm gonna talk 682 00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:40,400 a little bit of more football, but for this show, 683 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:44,119 we appreciate everybody. We'll be back again on Monday. Best 684 00:38:44,119 --> 00:38:49,639 to luck this weekend with your wagers.