Speaker 1: What's up everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent. Yesterday was not a good day for myself.
I had three MLB plays. I went one and two,
so it took a little bit of a step back there.
That would make me ten and five in the MLB playoffs,
So got to pick it back up there. There's no
game to talk about here today. But yesterday was not successful.
You know know, was it any better for you? And
it's good to be back with you today.
Speaker 2: Good to be here ski. I had a not all MLB,
but I did also have a one and two day.
The college football play that we gave here is the
best bet was the win New Mexico State team total over.
They got the thirty seven, so that cash. I did
have a small play on the Rams first quarter. They
were never really in the game as far as covering
anything is concerned. And I also had the Cubs padres
over which stayed under. So I too had a one
and two day. All three bets were equal. So now
we lost a little bit of change yesterday.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll get get it back today. And man, you
know I said told you of off air. I mean
I'm doing a lot of celebrating. I mean you and
I our birthday is on Sunday, so I guess I'm
getting started early. But my sister got married yesterday, so
it's been a lot of festivities and it's just it's
been it's been a very good time. I just say
that I've had a lot of fun, a lot of fun.
Speaker 2: You know. I brought this tequila and pineapple for us
for our birthday, but for your sister's wedding too. I think, hey, guys,
if you're watching and you want to join us here,
happy birthday, Ski and Congressulas birthday sister. Very nice talk
first for us.
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, get it gets me going. You know how
little tequila gets me feeling all right?
Speaker 2: Winning track?
Speaker 1: Yeah, get that's how we get back on track. Right there,
justin cooland looks like he's ready to talk to Wnba
talking about some line moves. The Reynolds also ready to
talk it. So I appreciate you guys in the chat
wishing us happy birthday and congratulations to my sister. Appreciate
you guys. One All right, let's get to some actionable info. Rob.
You know we usually do ladies. First, we'll keep that
going here. Today we have w NBA Finals Game one
that is six eleven, six twelve Phoenix Mercury heading into
Las Vegas take on the Ass and this is on
the move right now, and that's what they're saying in
the chat. Well, the side opened up three and a
half favorites for aces is three or three and a
half depending where you shot the total though I have
the opener at I don't see an opener. Actually the
opener is not listed. I think the opener was one
fifty eight and a half if I'm not mistaken. And
now I see one sixty two's popping up on the board.
So Ass coming off of that five game series versus
Fever last game, you know, took them a little to
overtime to get to pull away and get the job done.
For the Mercury, they've been sitting waiting for a little bit.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 1: They got their series over with the links and four,
so they have the rest advantage here today. I believe
it's four days, four days to two. This is I
believe the number one playoff defense I think versus number
one playoff offense so far, so with it being at home,
and you know, everybody's running the window and think it's
gonna be that high scoring game, pushing it all the
way up asides one sixty two right now, Robie, know,
do you think they're pushing this one in the right direction.
Speaker 2: Yeah? I wasn't even so sure at one sixty that
it was the right direction. Ski. They've played four times,
let's start right there. Las Vegas won three of the four.
The only time they didn't win, Asia didn't play. So
with Asia in the lineup, they've beaten Phoenix three straight times,
the last two coming mid to late August, so they're
not that far back. And the totals Ski in those
four games, a couple of them way below what we're
looking at tonight, and a couple of them over this number.
One hit one sixty five, the other hit one sixty nine,
So odds maker, the number is probably in a really
good place right here. You're asking for I guess doing
the math here, like an eighty three to eighty game.
It's not impossible. And it's the first game of a
series where you know, sometimes they get a little looser
in the first game and tighten up as we go
along in this series, So I can kind of understand,
but I just can't get there with that. Then the
next thing becomes the side where we see Phoenix push
down to only plus three now after being plus three
and a half. So a little bit of Phoenix money
coming in as the afternoon rolls on here on the
East Coast. I think, if you just base your playoff
of what we saw in the previous series, you're on Phoenix.
And I would caution it a little bit simply because
Phoenix did get the benefit of not having the FISA
klier out there for a game and a little bit
over a game, So maybe it was made a little
bit easier by her absence. But you know, you can
certainly counter that with there is no way in heck.
We talked about it a little bit yesterday. No way
in heck. The Las Vegas Aces should have been pushed
to five games and overtime on their home floor in
the game five to beat a crippled Indiana team. So,
like I say, if you look at the last series,
you're all in on Phoenix. I think series wise, I
mean on Phoenix, I think they can win the series.
I find it from a series perspective, SKI I wonder
if Asia can withstand the physical nature that's going to be.
You know, Collier got beat up pretty good by Phoenix.
Phoenix is not one to you know, not be physical.
So by seven game series, it's a long time and
certainly they're going to be focused on Asia and try
and let everybody else beat them. Hasn't worked the last
three times, but I think it could work in a
seven game series. So out of all the plays available
to us right now heading into tonight, I think I
like Phoenix to win the series the best.
Speaker 1: Well for a person like myself. You know, I'm just
I'm just I'm just chilling and I'm smiling. I got
that eighteen to want to do that for you, eighteen
to one on the Mercury, So you know, saying that
out loud, I would think you got an eighteen to
one in your pocket and it was like what minus
one twenty or one thirty or something for the aces
on the series. I mean, you could guarantee yourself at
least a little profit. And I think that's what I'll
end up doing for a person like myself. I put
I put two units on the Mercury to win the
championship at plus eighteen hundred, so that's what thirty six units.
So if I was to do something like, for example,
bet the Aces to win the series four units, you know,
if the Aces win, I would pick up two. If
the Mercury win, I would pick up a little bit
over thirty. And you know, I think that's with the
ticket that currently have in my pocket. I think that's
a good way to approach it. Just logic school, you know,
guarantee yourself some profit. Now, outside of that what we
were saying here, Yeah, I don't really agree with the
total going up either. You know, this is the first
time we'll see a seven game series for one, and
I think, you know, it's going a little bit more
like filling out and just you know, they know it's
not the it's not the end. It's not first to
two wins, it's not first to three wins. You know,
they got time to correct. So between that and really
I think that the Aces, I'm unsure because we have,
like I'll say, we always talk about the rest and rest,
right I mean, this is a huge one right here, Mercury,
and we usually say when you get to that four
days mark, it could become rusty. That's the Mercury. If
at the four days off the ass and this can
go a couple of different ways, Like they could be
tired because that series was five games, because they're coming
off of an overtime game. They could also be more
in really than this Phoenix Mercury team. They didn't have
to travel, you know. And I'm I honestly, when I
think about the side for this game, I'm I'm a
little bit more in line with I think the Ace
has come out more in rhythm for this first one.
And you know, add the house to LJ and A
chat mentioned how good they've been in game one. He
said they're eight and three ats since twenty twenty one
and game ones, I do think they're the right side.
And but as far as the total, I disagree with
the line move up. I think it's I think it's
an undergame. Anything else here, Rover, you know, before we
keep going, I.
Speaker 2: Would just you know where game one is concerned. Ski.
I think it's important to note that game one of
each of the two Phoenix series sat Too Sabi has
been a no show. She's rebounded and played really well
or recovered that I don't mean rebound going up for
a rebound. She's rebounded and played really well in the
remainder of the first two series, but game ones have
been bad for her, and you wonder if that doesn't
follow suit here. Maybe she corrects that here. But again,
it's a lot of guesswork, right, Like you were saying,
some of this is guesswork. I think just on a field,
from a field perspective, a handicapping field perspective, I would
lean Las Vegas here at the low price in game one,
I would be more in line with They probably have
more rhythm going for them, and maybe Phoenix takes a
game to get themselves right, but boy, when they get
themselves right, they've been really good in these previous two series.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff. A lot of good stuff coming in
from the chat as well. Dan In says wnba ILUMINAI
wanted to push five games for Fever fans. I think
I saw Scott Foster with a wig on. That's a
good one. That is a good one right there. You know,
let's keep it going. We'll talk a little bit of
today's college football, see what we can do in NFL.
I'm not man, I'll be honest, I don't really have
much going in this college football. I don't have very
many opinions. So I know there's a few games that
you have looked at. I'm gonna just open it up
to you. Robie know, Charlotte in South Florida. I know
it's a twenty seven, twenty seven and a half point spread,
fifty six point total. How are you looking at that one?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean the favorite side is tempting ski But
I always try to find a way around big numbers
because you never know what happens late in games when
you're laying twenty eight. So for me, I like South
Florida enough to play their first half team total, which
was twenty two and a half. It's a team that
plays at rapid pace. It's a team that's off a
bye week. They're certainly the better team than Charlotte. They've
played the far better schedule. We've seen them beat top
tier teams already this season. Charlotte comes in on a
somewhat short work week and without their number one quarterback
and without their number one running back. So Charlotte down
two of their best offensive players. They have not been
good offensively anyway. So to me, first half, even if
South Florida is off of buy and again, I could
throw a little rest versus rust argument in there. Maybe
South Florida takes a minute to heat up, but they
are like the ninth fastest tempo team in the nation.
There's gonna be enough possessions in the first half, I think,
and their defense could certainly as good as it's been
help out in the scoring here. So for me, the
safer route rather than laying sixteen and a half first
half and you know, finding yourself on the good end
of a or on the short end of a twenty
three to seven first half score, I'd rather play and
trust South Florida's offense. Charlotte's defense has been miserable against
the pass, and Byron Brown's a really good quarterback here.
So South Florida first half team total over twenty two
and a half and I'll just push it through here,
ski really quick, Western Kentucky Delaware. This game is totaled
at sixty one one and a half. We know Western
Kentucky's all air raid and nothing else. We also know
Delaware stepping up from FCS, this is a conference game
now cusa game. Delaware has been really good offensively. The
thing they have in common is both again talk a
lot about bad defenses. These are two bad defenses, and
specifically the matchups here aren't good for either side, especially
the Delaware pass game against the Western Kentucky pass defense.
It's a national spotlight for these two teams. Western Kentucky's
been here before, They've been good in CUSA, and they've
been on TV a lot last few years. They've made
Bowl games. Delaware has not real showcase game for them
here tonight. I think this one gets over sixty one
and a half. It looks to me like it could
hit a minimum thirty eight to twenty four, like sixty
two plus. So I played that and then last but
not least interesting one here ski New Mexico and San
Jose State. Everything I just said about the game before
is magnified by about five times in this one. Offense
versus defensive matchup advantages are huge in this particular game.
The problem with this one was, if you're gonna bet
it now, here's the problem with it. Game open fifty
four totals. Where totals are concerned, the key numbers fifty five,
fifty six, fifty seven, fifty eight have all been taken
away from you now, and now you have to get
the fifty nine. If you're going to play the game,
you lessen your bet. That's what I would recommend.
Speaker 1: Is.
Speaker 2: I still think they can get the fifty nine here.
San Jose State's a team that gave up over three
hundred yards passing to Stanford last week of all teams,
so and Stanford excuse San Jose State with their quarterback
Walker e Get definitely throw first, and they can throw
on New Mexico. The New Mexico uprising here this year
because nobody thought they were going to be any good.
And I know that some people have actually pushed New
Mexico higher in their power ratings or advanced them more
than any other team in FBS football this year. That's
how much above expectation they have played. They have a
head coach who came from FCS Idaho, brought the quarterback
with him, Jack Lane, and that combination Jason Eck and
Jack Lane. If you just go back to FCS last year,
this was a offensive minded team and that's what New
Mexico has become, especially through the air. The fifty eight
and a half still seems too low, but again I'd
listen to bet because they've already taken We call the
ass end of the line. Right, it's key. It's what
you're getting, but it doesn't mean it can't still pay you.
You just got to be a little more careful with
that game.
Speaker 1: Now, good stuff, Rovino. I like that that middle game
you talked about. I think I could roll with that
one towards the over. But good stuff overall. I don't
have anything to add. I think you covered it pretty
well NFL Week five. It's a lot to look at here, Robno,
you know how we usually do it. I just kind
of go down the list, you know was sticking out
to me. The one was super obvious. I'm pretty sure
the entire world is on it. We'll see if it covers.
But the Lions, why don't I have any openers? Let
me refresh this Lions and the Bengals. I mean, I
could just repeat what I said last week. This Lion's team.
They're rolling offensively Cincinnati. They're not gonna be able to
keep up with the quarterback situation that they have going.
They can have all those skilled players, but they don't
have people to get them the ball. It's not really
gonna matter. And that Bengals defense is just so bad.
Detroit should be able to name their number. So if
you got in early like me, it's awesome. I mean,
to get a better number. I got minus eight. You're
seeing ten or ten and a half right now. But
they should. They should destroy Cincinnati unless they just completely
overlook them. Any thoughts on that game, Robi, No, yeah, I.
Speaker 2: Mean it is kind of simplistic, Ski, but for the
last three weeks for me, actually not three weeks because
I didn't catch this play when Minnesota played Cincinnati. They
started Carson Wentz that week and I backed off and
I shouldn't have. But it's just one of those until
further notice, fade the Cincinnati defense. I cast a five
percent play Monday night by playing the Denver team total
over Denver done nothing offensive we all see so long
they fase Cincinnati, bo Nick sets the world on fire
showing Painton's a genius again, and you know that's just
how that goes. Play Cincinnati and that's what happens to you.
The Lions team total that's available out there is twenty
nine and a half. It'd be hard pressed to think
that they can't get the thirty one in this game
against Cincinnati. So again, that's just a mechanical knee jerk
reaction type play at this point, play against the Cincinnati defense.
It gets no better. And like you said, Ski about
the quarterback play, if Jake Browning is actually contributing to
the benefit of the other side's offense, you score even more.
Lookout Aiden Hutchinson's coming for Yeah, Jake Browning. So we'll see.
But I think you have to play against the Cincinnati defense.
I'd be on Detroit team total over twenty nine and
a half. Get the mute.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I agree with the team total over.
And I said that I don't know what's going on.
I might have to replace this light whatever's going on
right here. But let's talk about I mean, you know
who my team is, Ravino, and I always look at
it when it's I see a minus next to that name,
We're gonna have to talk about it. And for this week,
I mean minus three. Here here's my problem, the charters.
I'm worried about their schedule so far. Who they've played, like,
I should pull it up here. They played the Chiefs
and Worthy got injured like immediately, so you know that
throws a wrench in Casey's entire game plan. So I
don't know how much Stock I'm putting into that. For one,
who they beat. They beat the Raiders, right if I'm
not mistaken, beat the Broncos, beat the Broncos. I'm not
high on the Broncos either. I mean, I'm just not
really impressed with what I've seen from Chargers is what
I'm trying to say here and now. Not only is
Rashaun Slater gone he was going to preseason, but Joe
aut is gone. Those are two guys, like two of
the premier you know, offensive line like the premiere Blockers.
Joe Alt really doesn't allow any pressures at all. So
that's not a guy that you can just replace next
man up.
Speaker 2: I'm sorry.
Speaker 1: I know some guys you can, but he's not one
of them. And truly, I think they're missing three guys
on the offensive line right now. So I've seen Herbert
when he doesn't have enough protection. I've seen his Chargers
team plenty of times. I know we have a new
coach and all that stuff, but I just don't trust
him when he doesn't have protection. I'm thinking about Washington's
D line, Rob you know, I think that they should
be able to get after Herbert and you get Jaden
Daniels back in the lineup over there. I mean I
just think, I mean they were fine without him, or
look they look cool without him. I just think they
have a lot of good players over there. So seeing
Washington plus three, I really want to fake the Chargers.
Can you talk me off?
Speaker 2: I can't because the show I was on previous to
coming on with you, Ski I talked about this game
as being a play for me, and it's the Washington side.
I just you know, you hit it. It's the number
one reason why I play Washington here is because and
you mentioned it, those two tackles aren't ordinary tax Rashawn
Later and John Out, They're all pro tackles. I mean,
it's like losing four offensive linemen when you lose those
two guys. And now Makai Beckton is hurt as well.
He may play, but he's gonna play banged up. And
if you're LA, it hurts your running game, it hurts
your pass protection. It allows Washington, in my estimation, it
allows Washington to kind of crowd the line of scrimmage
or have a lot of disguised pressures on Justin Herbert here.
I don't know, it's gonna be very, very tough I'm
sure Jim Harbaugh we know it. He knows it right,
and they're devising some sort of game plan. But I
don't know what kind of game plan you devise without
those two guys in protection. We see great teams a
LA Kansas City in the Super Bowl. When Pat Mahomes
didn't have protection to two Super Bowls, they lost. They
got crushed because his best guys weren't out there keeping
them up right. And it's kind of the same thing
here with LA. I know that Washington's not the best
defense of all, but having Jade Daniels back is just huge.
It forces the LA defense to have to do so
much more just because of his dual threat. So plus
three and I'm surprised Ski an hour ago this was
plus two and a half and it went back up
to plus three. And so I don't know where the
Charger money is coming from, but I certainly don't agree
with it. I like the Washington.
Speaker 1: Side, all right, we're in agreement on that one. There's
one game I want to ask you about, and also
another one that catches my attention. Which one should I
do first.
Speaker 2: Robbie, No, the one that catches your attention, all right?
Speaker 1: All right. The Saints are favored their minus two this week,
and they have been I'll be nice, they they've been
not good. They've been not good.
Speaker 2: I thought the A word was coming.
Speaker 1: I was trying to be nice. They've not been good.
So to see them favorite here is just really sticking
out to me. The Giants coming off of a win
could be what is it how Marco caused? What is it?
Fat and sassy or whatever? They say? You know, they're
satisfied with that win over the Chargers, and they're on
the road here and they have a divisional game on Thursday,
first the Eagles, so maybe you know, they just overlooked. Says.
I know the Giants aren't that great, but maybe they
are not really that paying attention that much to this
game as much as they should be and looking forward
to Philadelphia. So maybe the same sort the right side rock.
You know, maybe their favorite for a reason. What do
you think about it?
Speaker 2: Well, I think the reason they're favorite is obviously the
Malik Neighbors situation. Right, they lost them all I think
for the year now and now the Giants are you know,
having Jackson Dark come in and pull out a win
is fine, but you immediately take their all everything wide
receiver away from them, and that just makes it harder
on the Giants, a little bit easier on the Saints,
and things need to be made easier for the Saints
because defensively they've been bad. The other side of that
coin is the Giant pass rush, which is really really good.
Could get after Spencer Rattler. But I feel like Spencer
Rattler ski has been certainly confronted with a lot of
you know, the defensive coordinators that have made life difficult
on him. So I don't know that this one, he
may get sacked a couple of times here, three times,
let's say, but I don't know that that's going to
be a big difference maker in this game for New
Orleans and for the Giants as well. It's a game
on your schedule that you say, man, we can win
that one. New Orleans does happen to be home as
you mentioned Jackson Dart's first game on the road. Who
knows that he did play at Ole Miss in that region,
so maybe somewhat of a homecoming for him. But I
don't know. I never trust first time roads starts at quarterback,
you know what I mean. I think that New Orleans
might be able to force him into a couple of mistakes,
and the Giants cam Scataboo has run it pretty good,
but they're not necessarily a running team, so I don't know,
you know, game plan wise, if I'm New Orleans stacked
up to stop scatabo and say Dark go ahead without neighbors,
try and beat me. And on the other side, I
like Spencer Ratler enough for what it's worth. The Saints
a couple of times have hung around. They'd been in games.
I know they've been blown out, especially in Seattle, but
they've hung around in a couple of these, so I
don't see any reason why they can't really win this one.
I think there's enough negatives for the Giants to go
ahead and play the home team here.
Speaker 1: Right, So we're saying we're seeing that one kind of
the same, and I mean, I'm gonna use it here.
I'm gonna do a little bit of well it's not
a vent thing, but just my opinion. A lot of
people are are, you know, happy, and like what they've
seen from Jackson Dark. I'm not getting carried away. I've
seen I've seen him enough. I'm talked about old miss Yeah,
you remember when their season was on the line about
two minutes left. Yeah, I need to see a little
bit more from Jackson Dark besides just that one game.
So uh, not a fan, all right? I mean I
wanted to ask about Denver in Philadelphia, Philly. You're in
Neck of the Woods, Denver, your team. You talked about
Denver and how they're able to beat up on the
poor defenses, maybe struggle for some of the better ones.
Philly one of the better ones. Right, so you're expecting
the Broncos to struggle in this game.
Speaker 2: I do. I mean until you proved differently. Again, you
go back to game one of last year when bow
Knicks became the starting quarterback, drafted immediate starter, and you
just go through all their games and you pull out
the games where they played above average defenses and Denver
was silent, offensively silent, and then you take the other
half of their games had a pretty favorable schedule last year,
you take those games where he played weak defenses, and
a reputation is built. I mean, heading into this year,
there were people thinking Denver could overtake Kansas City and
that division based on what bow Knicks and Sean Payton
assumingly accomplished last year. Offensively, come out this year, do
nothing against Tennessee. Come out in your second game, do nothing,
third game, do nothing. Get a Cincinnati defense and blow
them away. And now we see a line of three
and a half. It's kind of what you've seen last
right Soka. I think a lot of people and myself
included phill four and O. But it's not an overwhelming
four and oh like they could have lost a couple
of games a long way. So people are saying Philadelphia
probably is overachieved. They see Denver off the Monday night
setting new records for Bonick's passing yardage and whatnot, destroying Cincinnati,
and we're faced with three and a half here. I'm
telling you, Denver's defense is elite for sure, but so
is the Philly offense when it wants to be. And
in my neck of the woods here in Philadelphia, they
have come under such intense criticism offensively from the fandais
from the media. The aj Brown situation. We saw a
couple of weeks ago when Philly was down nineteen to
three to the Rams, and then they came out in
the second half and decided, Okay, now we're gonna start
passing and we're gonna come back running for and what
did they do? They won the game. AJ Brown went crazy.
So it's not that they can't do it. I think
they probably do it here. I don't know that this
is a good spot in a short work week for
Denver only getting three and a half. So for me
it would be Philadelphia. I would lay the price. You know,
this team total for the Broncos, I think they might
find their way to seventeen. Their team total is nineteen
and a half. That might be a little high for
them against this type of defense, But I really would
prefer the side here. I think Philadelphia probably wins this
game by Again, you have to win by four points
at home with a team that's probably got a little
chip on their shoulder with something to prove. Offense, I
wouldn't be surprised AJ Brown, Patrick's or ten. It's a
nice matchup if that's the way it goes. But Philly's offense,
I think he's going to move the ball here.
Speaker 1: All right. Not a whole lot more I'll really want
to talk about, but I'll just mention a couple, or
maybe I'll mention this one. Actually, Arizona and Tennessee. Arizona's
defense seems pretty solid. They're missing a lot, They're not
going to have a run game. They're they're missing James Connor,
They're missing Trey Benson, and I don't really trust Kyler Murray. Really,
Tennessee's pass defense is good. Tennessee's pass defense is good.
Arizona doesn't have a run game. I was Arizona gonna
score enough to cover seven and a half. Also, at
the same time, I get that Tennessee's offense hasn't been great.
Maybe under forty two is to look in that game.
Those are minitial thoughts. How you feel or any thoughts
from you.
Speaker 2: Well, it's hard to bet Tennessee right now. Now. The
one thing you could say about Tennessee is this is
a step down in class for sure. Their last their
four opponents, to be fair to them, are the Denver defense,
the Rams defense and in specific the Rams defensive front,
the Houston defense with their pass rush and their defensive capability,
and then the Colts, and they lost all four. They've
been destroyed by fourteen plus in every single in the
last three eight plus and all of those. But they're
better teams than Arizona. For sure, Arizona doesn't have the
same capability on either side of the ball that those
teams have, so yeah, it's a step down the class.
I just wonder if cam Ward he's made a couple
of comments, if he's not losing a little bit of
faith in this team. This is a miserable point spread
team too. I think I saw a numbers ski six
and six and twenty two or something crazy since Callahan
became head coach. It's just not really good against the spread.
And you're right, they're not doing enough offensively to feel
secure backing them. So if I were to make a
choice out of the two you gave right there, I
would almost lean more towards under in that game, thinking
Arizona might be able to hold Tennessee to seventeen, and
you know, well it would have to be less than
seventeen to get this under and have Arizona still cover.
But that would be my initial look. I think there's
better things on the board for me to try than
hoping that Tennessee gets a cover. Of course, you know,
really bagged up San Francisco team covered with eight and
a half last night went out, right, So it's the
NFL who knows.
Speaker 1: All right, you know I like that under I do.
That's really what's standing out to me at this moment.
Let's just talk about the Chiefs. Chiefs and jackson I
have no reason. Well, now you've got a lay three
and a half. You know, here's the thing. The Chiefs
are the masters of winning and not covering. Like I
never trust him in a point spread, Like it just
is so hard. I've seen it too many times, Patrick Mahomes.
There's just enough to win the game. So if I
like Kansas City, I almost feel like I have to
take a juice money line, and I know they need
to win. I mean, you're gonna get what a guy's
every worthy back. Now you're gonna get Rossie Rice. I mean,
their season, they they were playing like their season wasn't
over after the first couple losses, and I think they,
you know, are going to continue to make a push.
So I'm not a big fan of Jacksonville. I don't
like their defense, don't trust Trevor Lawrence. I think the
Chiefs can win, But whenever I see something in the
hook with the Chiefs, I hesitate to against the spread.
I'll just say that, what do you think.
Speaker 2: Robom well, I really like, you know, and it probably
sets up for us pretty good here for a couple
of weeks maybe. But I always thought all along that
Kansas City was just missing key components from that receiving
group and they were gonna take off offensively, and they
did take off against it. And now Baltimore's a banged
up defense, I get it, but they scored at will,
and they showed you what they can be with Hollywood Brown,
Xavier Worthy and you know, Kelsey isn't even really contributing yet.
But with those guys on the field and the threat,
they went vertical more. They started running those fly sweeps more.
Andy Reichs playbook wide open. I don't you know. To me,
Jacksonville's three and one is as fraudulent as any three
and one in the league so far. So I kind
of zeroed in on this one. And I just want
to play Kansas City's offense right now because I think
their offense is severely underrated. People still don't think they're
one of the top three teams in the AFC. I
think once they get Rashi Rice back, they probably will
win the AFC. So for me, it would be over
twenty four and a half in this game. For the Chiefs,
I think they can get to twenty seven. Again. I
just don't find Jacksonville to be that solid of a
three and and Trevon Walker, one of their best pass rushers,
is out for this game. If Mahomes has time and
they can dictate everything, they'll get to twenty seven. So
for me right now, I'm interested in playing Kansas City
team totals because I think their often is just going
to get better and better as the season rolls on.
Speaker 1: I like it all right. You know, it's about that
time where we wrap it up here, nothing to put
up on the screen, But before we do the best bets,
I'll ask you if there's anything you would like to promote.
If you have a best bet for the show, we
would love to hear it. And if not, it's all good.
Speaker 2: Let's just real quick promote the Weekend Warrior package going
on it and wager talk dot com ski three days
worth the football Saturday, Sunday Monday. I think you probably
even get tonight from them. Included in the package forty
nine dollars regularly one hundred and eight dollars for those
three days. You get it for forty nine, you get
every football play released. I myself, I think I saw
Johnny Detroit did post on X the NFL leader board
right now at wager talking, I think I ranked second.
It's been a good NFL season so far. I've talked
about it a little bit on the show. So if
you're interested and so packages once again, the Weekend Warrior
is probably a good way to get going three days
for just forty nine dollars. Best bet I'll go to
the college football Ski that we talked about earlier in
the show, and I'll leave the best bet as the
South Florida first half team total over twenty two and
a half. You got to get to twenty three. Honestly,
if things roll their way, they could get to thirty
plus against this team tonight. So they've had a week
off to get ready for this one. Certainly chomping at
the bit after getting beaten by Miami Florida. No shame there,
but they've played a really hard schedule and now they
get one of the ten worst teams in FBS football.
So for me, South Florida team total over twenty two
and a half first half and before I finish up,
one more happy birthday to Ski and I and to
the chat chat. We appreciate you, guys, so we'll toast
to you too.
Speaker 1: Absolutely sures to that, all right, uh Man. For myself,
I mean, I do have a best bet on my
page for the WNBA game one. I fit ten out
of thirteen in the WNBA playoffs. That's my promo right there.
As far as best bet, I haven't played anything else yet,
so you guys know how I am. I don't like
the gift stuff I haven't necessarily played, but I do
like that second game where I've talked about the over
in college football, and I'll just say this, I did
bet the Lions minus eight. I know its ten and
a half. Now. Outside of that, I'm looking hard at
that Arizona Tennessee under. It's lighting up on the screen
and moving as we speak. It's still forty two out there.
But I just want to double check what the opener was,
because the opener's not showing on this screen where it should.
I mean, I don't want to take the assing of
the line. I feel like it might have moved a
lot already, so I just want to double check that.
And the same look good, Yeah, Washington looks good. A
few things we talked about. I mean, I pretty much
like them all, so I just don't like to give
a best bet that I haven't actually put in myself.
So Veno, appreciate you taking the time to cap these
games with us Friday, so we'll be back again on Monday.
We appreciate everybody in the chat as well. And man,
it's time for me to get back to it. Robo
at a party and in the near future for me.
So actually, I have one more show to do and
then I can start the party. So I'm gonna talk
a little bit of more football, but for this show,
we appreciate everybody. We'll be back again on Monday. Best
to luck this weekend with your wagers.