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Speaker 1: And hello, Welcome one and all to the Big Podcast

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on this Wednesday, the fifteenth day of July, Year of

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Our Lord, twenty twenty six. My name is Tom Sullivan. Well,

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I don't know they were working the day on Capitol Hill,

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I mean were there were. I can just imagine walking

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down the hallways and all the doors were closed and

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inside there were hearings. Everybody was having a hearing today.

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I mean the Vice President was up on Capitol Hill

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schmoozing try to talk them into various things. Todd blanche

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was before the committee on whether he was going to

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become the official Attorney General. Jay Clayton, former SEC Director,

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current US Attorney for the Southern District of New York

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he was also on the hot seat today. So we're

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going to get to all all of that in just

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a minute. Let me let me go back around, because

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the whole business about Iran is I'm puzzled. I I

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don't know why this isn't a real estate deal. The

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President is saying, uh, and I've got a bunch of

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clips that I can play for you, saying that yes,

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we are going to We're going to hit him harder tonight,

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and the harder tomorrow night, and if they don't come

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to the negotiating table, we're going to get even harder

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next week. I mean, and I'm going wait, wait wait

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wait wait wait wait, what's this going coming to the

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negotiating table? What's that all about? This is not a negotiation,

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mister president. No, no, no, these these are not people

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that are trustworthy. Their word means nothing. So I don't

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know about you, but I wouldn't waste my time sitting

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down at the table negotiating with somebody that I know

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is lying, cheating, and will do the opposite of what

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it is that the person says in an agreement. I

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don't know why, but he's I mean, could you imagine

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a FDR. Wow, we need to get Adolf Hitler to

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the negotiating table or Emperor hero Hito. That's what we need.

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We need to get to the negotiating No, there wasn't that.

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The negotiation was I surrender, one hundred percent render. We

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cannot continue to let Iran have the same regime. The

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only reason I say this, and I hear really smart

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people saying I don't understand what this is all about.

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I don't understand what the war with Iran is all about.

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Iran is trying to build their nuclear programs so that

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they can in fact drop nuclear bombs in Israel but

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also here. So it's it's not a problem today, but

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it's going to be a problem tomorrow. They are they're

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already you know where we bombed in all those mountainous locations.

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We now have satellite photos of them. They're rebuilding great

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big concrete walls, if you will, so that they can

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drive back into under the mountain and continue on with

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their nuclear efforts. That's what they want to do. You

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may not have to worry about this, but your children will.

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This is this is literally changing the future so that Iran,

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which is crazy, doesn't attack us. But but President Trump

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seems stuck and maybe it's from his real estate days,

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but he seems stuck on We got to get him

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to the negotiating table. Listen, listen to this. This is uh.

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He was asked about, are you going to go after

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their energy targets? Here's the president.

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Speaker 2: Do you anticipate that the strikes were seen this week

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against Iran will expand are you considering hitting energy targets

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or other locations.

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Speaker 3: I'll save the energy targets for last, but ultimately we'll

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hit energy targets. Yeah, but we're gonna hit him very

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hard tonight, We're gonna hit him very hard. Tomorrow night,

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we're gonna hit him very hard the night after. And

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then next week it gets really bad for them because

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next week comes see power plants, next week comes to bridges.

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We're going to knock out all that power plants. We're

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going to knock out all that bridges unless they get

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to the table and negotiate.

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Speaker 1: There, it is, unless they get to the table and negotiate.

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You can't negotiate with these people, sir. I just and

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oh the other thing is people are going, well, you know,

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you know that's a war crime to knock out their

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power plants and their bridges, And no, it's it's not.

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If they're using them to facilitate their efforts in a war,

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we can take out electricity because they use the electricity

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to make missiles or drones or whatever else it might be.

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So I mean, it's it's, it's it's let's go on.

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Here's one of Also, this is the president yesterday when

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he changed his mind about charging twenty percent toll. I'm

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wondering if you could explain you're changing thinking on straight

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form moves to find a twenty percent.

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Speaker 4: I was called by different people different countries, kings and

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emirs and all of the people that we all know

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and we all love, and they've been frankically, they've been

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very strong partners, and they said, we'd love to do

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it a different way. We would like to invest tremendously

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in the United States as opposed to charging the feet.

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And I like that actually, because I don't think anybody

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should be able to charge your fee for the UH

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for the straight.

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Speaker 1: I have to kind of chuggle because yesterday he thought

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it was fine to charge a toll for the straight.

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Brtt McGirk, who has done a lot of negotiating with

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the Middle Eastern countries ways in.

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Speaker 5: I think Kevin just said casting about. I think that's

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a pretty good way to put it, both the United

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States and Ron. I think you just see casting about

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on both sides. I think the problem with that threat

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is problematic on his face, but also so I'm not

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sure the Iranians take it seriously. But if they do

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take it seriously, Aaron again, it is the Revolutionary Guard

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that is in charge in Tehran, and they will strike

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infrastructure in the Golf. I mean that is basically what

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they said. I think they've proven the demonstrated willingness and

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capacity to do that. So then you're in a war

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targeting each other's civilian infrastructure, and that can really damage

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the global economy. That's the problem of one of many

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problems here.

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Speaker 1: Yes, it's a problem, but at the same time, Iran

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has no trouble hitting the infrastructure in our allies, whether

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UAE or in Bahrain, you name it, go down the

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list Kuwait. So this is something that the allies are

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most concerned about, is the attacks that they're getting. Obviously, well,

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I'd say two things.

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Speaker 5: I think the one thing that all the golf states,

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including like oh Man that works a little closely with Iran,

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they are totally opposed to Iran's claim of sovereignty over

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the strait and Iran's claim that they will charge a fee.

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So the golf is united kind of with us against that.

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So then for the President of come out and say, actually,

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we're going to protect it and we'll charge it even

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higher fee was completely contradictory and kinnter productive to everything

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we're trying to do. I'd secondly say, Aaron, that kind

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of that'd be a good problem to have if we

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were able to guard the Straight and protect shipping. The

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issue here is that Iran is using the kind of

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ancient advantage of terrain and the modern advantage of drone warfare.

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And these drones can be fired from a thousand kilometers

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way even farther away and hit a slow moving tanker,

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and that is what they're doing to hold the Straight hostage.

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It is very hard to stop. I dealt with this

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in the last White House in the Red Sea when

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the Huthis and Iranian proxy group was targeting ships in

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the Red Sea. We had to naval coalition. It's very

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difficult to stop. So I'd like to know how we're

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going to be the guardian of the Strait. I think

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that would be great if we could do it, but

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it's a very difficult. As General Kimin I think knows

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extremely well.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's listen to General Mark Kimmell to see what

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he says.

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Speaker 4: Well.

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Speaker 6: Well, first of all, I'd just like to make a

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comment about bridges and infrastructure. In fact, I think it's

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important to note that bridges and infrastructure that are primarily

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being used support military forces are legitimate military targets. I

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didn't hear anything about civilian infrastructure. I didn't hear anything

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about civilian bridges. So let's hope we're going to stay

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focused on the military targets. Ground campaign, certainly, I don't

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think the President is talking about attacking into taker On,

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but at ground campaign could certainly be something like going

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into Kashi Mood. It could be going into carg Island.

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I certainly hope we don't do that. I think they're

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better alternatives. But it's also important to note that what

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the president was doing was not ruling in he was

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just not ruling out ground forces to keep his options open.

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Speaker 1: Oh yes, let's talk ground forces. General Kimmot, by the way,

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was under Secretary of State in George W. Bush's administration.

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But what did Donald Trump say about using ground troops?

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Speaker 5: Are you only not a ground campaign in a limited capacity.

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Speaker 3: I don't want to say that either, but I would

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say no if I thought it was appropriate. I'd say,

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sometimes you need a ground campaign, but we have other

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people that will do the ground campaign for US.

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Speaker 1: I heard a retired helicopter pilot talking earlier today about

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oh no, no, you don't need ground troops. I don't

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know how you can win a war without ground troops.

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I've been saying that since day one. You can bomb them,

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you can do a lot of damage to their bridges,

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their energy sources, you can do a lot of damage

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to lots of places. But the way you take over

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a country is, again, you arrest the leaders IRGC leaders,

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just like we did in other wars. You know, one

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of the other words. I was thinking about my belief

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that negotiations, you don't negotiate. Go to the Vietnam War.

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What did we do. Henry Kissinger had negotiations in Paris

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with the leaders of Vietnam for at least a few years.

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Not a thing came out of that. Nothing. So I'm

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still looking at this and going, no, you have to

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go in and you have to literally arrest and jail

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at the very least the leaders of the IRGC. They

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are responsible for the deaths of not only tens of

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thousands of their own people, but also American troops. They

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were the ones that were making the IEDs that blew

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up on American troops in Iraq and other places. Back

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to General kimmid.

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Speaker 6: Well, I think both Fred and I are concerned about

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that significantly, because again, all we need is one mistake

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made by an air fence artilleryman who misses a missile

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coming in. I mean we saw that in Ala Sad

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inside of Irock, where we luckily did not lose a

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significant number of troops.

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Speaker 1: But when you have a large.

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Speaker 6: Concentration of them as we do and kuate out a

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data you in Katar and some of the other basonuity

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that could certainly happen. Listen, I think it's important to

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go back to Bretz Common. It is clear that if

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the United States is the unilateral protector of the Gulf

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of the straight over movies, that will not work. The

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fact is we are belligerate in this conflict and for

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us to try to control it is a war situation.

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Either they have it or we don't. But as we

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did with the counter Piracy Coalition, and we did in

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the tanker Wary and nineteen eighty one to nineteen eighty eight,

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we used non belligerents in that operation. This is a

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great opportunity for or the British, the French, the Germans

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to come in and run a maritime escort operation. Through

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the straight horror movies, it tells the Iranians you have

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a choice you can either let these people take the

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commercial traffic through or you can fire on them. Is

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the only you now have a war with Germany, the

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United Kingdom in France. Now, I think we all understand

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why the allies have not been rushing to our assistance

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in this. But there are options other than a unilateral operation.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's see what what are NATO allies actually do.

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They've had all kinds of chances. This might be a

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perfect example for them to step up. The guy who

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was very much involved in negotiating with Iran to create

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the JCP away. Yeah, I know it was. It was

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torn up by President Trump. But here's his name is

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Alan Eyer, and this is how he thinks about what's

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going on.

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Speaker 7: Quite simply, the US administration is flailing. It is trying

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failed policies. Again, incremental attacks on Iran and its coastal

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facilities will not get Iran to change its red lines

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closer to US red lines. And again, we do not

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have sufficient military force to keep the straight open if

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Iran uses threats in the rockets, drones fast attack craft

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to threaten maritime traffic in the Strait. Because the maritime

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insurance industry, ship owners, cargo owners will not risk it.

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So I don't know what President Trump is doing. He

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might have a plan, or he might just be going

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back to his greatest hits where he blows things up

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and says, we sunk the Navy, we destroyed the air Force.

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Isn't that wonderful.

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Speaker 1: Well, there's not much with Allen Eyre that I agree with,

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but he did say one thing about the fact that

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you can bomb them, and that's not going to bring them.

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That's not going to work. It's not going to be successful.

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And again the President wants to wants to bring him

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to the negotiating table. Alan Eyer isn't even talking about that.

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He says that won't work with them. Yeah, you know,

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peace through strength is an element, but the strength has

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to be all the way to where you strangle the leadership.

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You can't leave him there. Another one from back in

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those days, Dana Strau. She was a deputy Defense secretary.

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Speaker 8: I think Iran is already immune to what the President says.

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He keeps saying things like this, and he really has

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no plan here. So escalating to civilian infrastructure, first of all,

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opens up the aperture for Iran to respond in kind.

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They're already attacking tankers again in the Golf to expand again.

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For them to civilian infrastructure across the Golf Jordan and

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Israel would be terrible for the region after how much

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it has suffered this year.

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Speaker 1: Well, no, they're going that's what they're going to do.

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They're going to attack infrastructure in our allies backyards. However,

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she is I think right that they are immune to

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whatever Donald Trump says. He can threaten them all day

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long and it just goes in one ear and out

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the other. They don't take his threats seriously. They just don't.

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So that's what's going on with the war is going

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to be continuing on with the presidents that he's going

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to do, just keep hammering them meantime, Like I said,

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there were a lot of people on Capitol Hill today testifying.

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One of them was Todd blanche He's the acting Attorney General,

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he was the deputy Attorney General. He was the President's

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personal lawyer. Before that, he worked as a US prosecutor

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in the Southern District of New York. He's a highly

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regarded guy. Here's Jonathan Turley doesn't usually give adaboys to anybody,

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but he sure did with Tod Blanche.

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Speaker 9: Well, the votes do appear to be there, but we'll

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have to wait to see. Tom Blanch is actually the

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most complete package of a nominee that I've seen since

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Bill Barr. I mean, the fact is that he is

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an accomplished lawyer, with both civil and criminal cases on

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his resume that are quite remarkable. He worked at the

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most prestigious US Attorney's office. Everyone agrees he's an extremely

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talented lawyer. He doesn't have that flashy aspect that you

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see with some nominees. He's a very serious and competent guy.

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And so the expectations is that he will be confirmed. Now,

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the Senate does have a role here, and there are

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legitimate questions. They have a right to ask, is he

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prepared to confront the president if he feels the president's

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going too far?

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Speaker 10: They're right to look at his record. But his resume

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is very impressive and I would say is one of

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the strongest in the history of that department.

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Speaker 1: Hey, you won't hear that kind of testimony from Jonathan

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Turtley very often. So, Yeah, Blanche's highly regarded lawyer. He

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worked for the government, he did private sector, He's he's

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done it all he's done criminal, he's done civil. So

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the hurt the hearing today was I guess necessary. But

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the Judiciary Committee, even though Lindsey Graham was a member

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of it, there was a majority of two Republicans. So

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with Lindsay Graham not on the committee, they still have

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a one vote majority. So there might be somebody on

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the committee. John Cornyn, who obviously got the shaft by

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the President, may be willing to attack back at him,

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but otherwise it looks oh And also Tom Tillis is

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on the committee too, and that's another one that he

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and Trump got sideways on. But it looks like he

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will have the votes coming out of the Judiciary Committee.

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But they have to go through all the questions and

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a lot of it, a lot of it was about

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Epstein and his role as deputy Attorney General. He was

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supposed to be overseeing that. Why did he do why

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didn't he do this? Why didn't he do that? There

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was a lot of questions all around Epstein. But when

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all was said and done, it looks like Todd Blanche

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will be able to get the full votes and move

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on to become the real acting not acting but the

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real Attorney General. Another person on Capitol Hill today was

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Jay Clayton. And here's another guy with a great background.

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He was highly regarded when he was the Securities and

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Exchange Commissioned chairman Wall Street. The business community, the banking community,

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they all thought that he was a smart guy and

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used a lot of common sense in regulating the securities industry.

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While he went from there to being the head of

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the US Attorney He is the U S Attorney for

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the Southern District of New York, the most prestigious office

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by far, and now the President has tapped him to

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be the office of Director of National Intelligence ODI and I.

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This is Tulsea Gabbard's old office. This is the one

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that Bill Poulty has been occupying for a little over

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a week when he's in there firing people, which was

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supposedly that what he was assigned to do. So Jay

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Clayton went before the committee today and it's interesting because

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John Mossoff, who was a Senator from Georgia Democrat, decided

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to ask him not about the role of D and I,

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not about National Intelligence, but he asked him did Donald

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Trump was the election in twenty twenty. Here's asof did

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Joe Biden won the twenty twenty election.

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Speaker 2: Senator, I'm not an election denier. Joe Joe Biden was

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certified as the President of the United States who won

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the twenty election. I have answered to answer it. What

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is your answer?

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Speaker 1: Well, he said, I'm not an election denier, but I'm

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you know, Joe Biden with the president. These are the

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games that they play to rattle each other. They're ass off.

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The Democrat Jay Clayton is a Republican. John Kennedy, the

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Senator from Louisiana, was asked about this and why does

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it happen? And Kennedy always has a straightforward answer.

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Speaker 11: No, But there's this little game if you followed all

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the committees. It happens every time we have a nominee

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in ju this year or the Democrats try to get

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a nominee by the President to say that the president

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actually won the election and President Biden didn't, and they

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want the nominee to use the magic words that Trump

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lost the election, and the nominees, understandably in my opinion,

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don't want to play that game.

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Speaker 9: I haven't, But that was it a game. I mean,

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it's just what happened.

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Speaker 1: No, it is a game case. If you if you

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look at.

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Speaker 11: It's a game of words by my Democratic colleagues, and

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I have not heard one single nominee by the president

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say that Donald Trump won the election and Joe Biden lost.

359
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But the Democrats don't like the words they use, so

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they play these games, and I do think it is

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it is a game. I'm not I do not know

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a single nominee by the President that I personally believe

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thinks that Joe Biden was not the president. I mean,

364
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Kennedy's right, he understands why. But the Democrats are playing

365
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it so they little grade school game if you go

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to work for somebody and they're paying, they give you

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a good job, and they're a good boss and everything else,

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and they say, you know, I am absolutely dead set

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that the sky is green. I believe the sky is green.

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So if somebody asks you in front of your new boss,

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what color is.

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Speaker 1: The sky, Oh, I don't know. It looks kind of

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green to me. I understand why they're doing it.

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Speaker 11: Well, look, I'm biased, but I think the Democrats have

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made it hard. I don't think there's any doubt about

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the fact that Joe Biden was the president. And I

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haven't heard a single nominee by President Trump. Say Donald

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Trump won the election. Joe Biden did, but the Democrats

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want them to use the magic words so they can

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get then go spin the press, most of which will

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suck it up like a Hoover Deluxe, that this guy

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called Donald Trump a liar and he's Donald Trump's nominee,

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that it is a game that's being played. I've been

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in dozens of hearings where the Democrats did that, and

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I don't think the American people have any doubt about

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who the last president was. It was Joe Biden.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think, I mean, I know there are a

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number of people that are absolutely convinced that Donald Trump won.

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And one of the people that think that he won

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in twenty twenty is in fact Donald Trump.

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Speaker 9: It is about the Democrats.

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Speaker 11: No, I think the I think persident Trump thinks he

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won the election, and I think he was cheated, and

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he's entitled to have that belief, and the American people

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are just are entitled to draw their own conclusions about

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the truth or magendacy of what he says. But I

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just to me, it's all a game of words like

398
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them between the Democrats and Republicans, because I think if

399
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you if you go ask the average American who was

400
00:25:09,759 --> 00:25:14,759
last president, they're going to say Joe Biden. And I

401
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just think that to me is raality. And all of

402
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this other stuff about well you're not using the magic

403
00:25:22,279 --> 00:25:25,440
words that the Democrats want us to use is just

404
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a lot of inside Well, who won in twenty twenty four?

405
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Speaker 1: And that's the rest of the back and forth regarding

406
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:37,000
twenty twenty election was did Donald Trump win in twenty sixteen?

407
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Speaker 11: Yes?

408
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Speaker 1: Was he supposed to have Actually the people predicted that

409
00:25:41,519 --> 00:25:46,119
Hillary would have won, but he won. And even before

410
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that election, he was saying it's going to be rigged,

411
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but w obviously Whenty won, he said it wasn't rigged.

412
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Twenty twenty, he said it was rigged. Twenty twenty four,

413
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he won again. Republicans have been winning a lot of

414
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elections in some how they're not rigged, only certain times,

415
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only when Republicans win. But anyway, I gets see how

416
00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:13,079
it gets. It gets childish. It just does. I want

417
00:26:13,079 --> 00:26:18,920
to talk about ice, the traffic stops. This is getting

418
00:26:20,079 --> 00:26:25,480
pretty dirty because they have a bunch of complaints now,

419
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especially in Maine. There were two shootings this past week,

420
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one in Houston, one in a little town in Maine,

421
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and the people in Maine are saying that the ice

422
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officers do not have cameras body warn cameras. And what's

423
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interesting to me about that is they do have they're

424
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not wearing masks. All the videos of the shooting in Maine,

425
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all the ice officers did not have masks, which I

426
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thought that was a big contention, but apparently it's not anymore.

427
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The other thing about it is is that the body

428
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worn cameras. I don't know why they're not wearing them.

429
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It worked both ways. It protects the officer, it protects

430
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the citizens. It really shows it helps to show what

431
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,720
really happened. One of the problems with the shooting in

432
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Maine is that they came out and said that the

433
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officer that shot the young man in Maine said that

434
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he feared for the public safety. Well, it's more specific

435
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,839
than that that you unless you fear for your own

436
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:38,680
or somebody else's safety, you're not allowed to shoot. So

437
00:27:39,599 --> 00:27:44,359
that was kind of a lawyerly wording about the fact

438
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that it was considered about public safety. The problem was

439
00:27:49,519 --> 00:27:53,039
it is there are other videos, There are security videos

440
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on cameras, and the guy wasn't a police officer was

441
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walking next to the guy's car as it went in circles,

442
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So I don't see a chase. I don't see him

443
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trying to run down any officer. But that's only from one,

444
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:17,640
one or two videos that looks very suspicious and they've

445
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got to come forward. So today the President chimed in

446
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on this, and the President has come out and apparently

447
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:31,119
is unhappy, so shade a press that he's furious over

448
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:37,039
the pause on most vehicle stops conducted by ICE and

449
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:43,519
the blowback from his base. Prominent MAGA voices suggested that

450
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the administration was weakening its immigration enforcement. Well, I don't

451
00:28:50,519 --> 00:28:54,039
know if they're weakening it or not. I don't like quotas.

452
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Quotas are apparently this is a self imposed goal of

453
00:28:58,119 --> 00:29:00,880
two thousand arrest today. It was more than that before.

454
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But anytime you put quotas on police officers, that's not good.

455
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You just don't want motivations and incentives for police officers

456
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to find somebody that committed a crime. They'll find they'll

457
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find criminals, just not with a quota police. And the

458
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other part about this is is there's something that appears

459
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to be lacking in their training. How many of videos

460
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and recently where there are protesters that are standing there

461
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and the ice officer takes out looks like a bear

462
00:29:36,799 --> 00:29:40,599
spray and two feet from somebody's face just sprays them

463
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,599
with the spray. There's no reason for that. They don't.

464
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I don't know if they've ever been trained on traffic stops.

465
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They look like they are not up to speed with

466
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what most police departments know how to do. So I

467
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:59,839
know the President's upset about it, but and I'm fine

468
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:03,559
with them going back to doing traffic stops. But train them,

469
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:08,359
give them, give them the typical four, five, six seven

470
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:12,720
month academy training that most police officers get before they

471
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go out with a gun and a badge. That's all

472
00:30:17,119 --> 00:30:20,440
we talk. Well, no, we've got got some economy numbers today.

473
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This is the producer price index. That's the wholesale inflation.

474
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Yesterday we got the inflation that had dropped down to

475
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three and a half percent from over four percent. But

476
00:30:31,839 --> 00:30:35,279
that was because of what what prices dropped in the

477
00:30:35,319 --> 00:30:38,640
month of June. That's right, boys and girls, that was

478
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:44,839
gasoline energy prices. Well, so the producer price index, same thing.

479
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:51,559
Producer price index wasn't inflation, it was minus three tenths

480
00:30:51,599 --> 00:30:55,480
of one percent. The court rate was up three tenths

481
00:30:55,519 --> 00:30:57,920
But in other words, inflation was next to nothing in

482
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:01,160
the month of June at the core level and at

483
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:07,400
the wholesale level. And that is that's not surprising because

484
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:09,079
you take a look at it, and most of the

485
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,680
drop at the wholesale level of inflation was due to

486
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:17,960
gasoline prices. So it's not a big surprise. But I

487
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:21,039
thought we'd throw that in as inflation in the month

488
00:31:21,039 --> 00:31:24,400
of June has taken a big pause. My concern is

489
00:31:24,559 --> 00:31:29,519
we're halfway through July and we're back to shooting in

490
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:33,440
the Middle East, and oil prices and gasoline prices are

491
00:31:34,039 --> 00:31:37,839
sneaking back up again. So let's take a look at

492
00:31:38,119 --> 00:31:41,279
Wall Street, starting with the Dow. The Dow was up

493
00:31:41,519 --> 00:31:45,200
one hundred and fifty to close at fifty two thousand

494
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:47,680
and six fifty eight. It actually took a dip mid

495
00:31:47,759 --> 00:31:50,960
session into the minus territory, but came back with one

496
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,920
hundred and fifty point gain. The S and P up

497
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,640
twenty eight, the NASDAK up one hundred and sixty two.

498
00:31:57,359 --> 00:32:00,519
Price of gold fell three dollars to four thousand, sixty

499
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:05,440
six and oil up another buck today, a little more

500
00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:09,839
than eighty dollars now for one barrel of oil. That's

501
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:12,480
it for today. Thank you for coming by. We will

502
00:32:12,519 --> 00:32:15,319
be back tomorrow. I hope to see you then.

