Speaker 1: What's up everybody? Welcome back to another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start this show
by being transparent. We didn't do any shows over the
weekend obviously, but since Friday things did not go well.
I went and three since so not a good weekend
for myself. Overall, last week was good. I think I
went to eleven and seven, which is, you know, we won.
I think those ten units, So I can do that
every week. I'll be happy. But the end of the
week was not great. You no good to be back
with you. How's everything been for you?
Speaker 2: A little bit of a break even Ski good? First
of all, no NBA on the weekend. I was just
zoned in on college basketball. Good Day Saturday? What was
good Saturday? I gave back on Sunday. So basically we
lost one unit. And what's been a really really good
college bas B sketball season, four street winning months, number
two at wager Talk since December one. So we head
into this this starts the hugest hugest week now right
there the conference tournaments, the major conference tournaments within the
the NCAA, and the postseason. So combine that with NBA
and we're gonna have our hands full, buddy. There's a
lot going on here right now.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about these these NBA games. I
believe we have five of them. Not the greatest, but
we'll get through them. First up, we have Sixers and
Cavaliers opened up minus ten and a half. Thirteen and
a half is a consensus right now. Totals gone up
slightly from two twenty five and a half as high
as two twenty seven. Let me refresh the injury report.
But for Cleveland we have Dan Way probable, Jared Allen out,
Procter out, scrus out or the Sixers MAXI nb VJ
Edge gone broom, Paul George all out. So that's the
backup crew for Philly tonight. I mean, I understand why
the line moves up when I see the injury report.
I just can't help but think, you know, we see
this time and time again. The Cavalayers probably look on
the other side and become disinterested. Meanwhile, the guys for
the Sixers who are getting additional playing time want to
go out there and show a little something, prove something
might be too inflated. Now at thirteen and a half,
what do you think here of you know.
Speaker 2: I kind of agree. It's why I chose Skive when
I just bet this game about twenty minutes ago. I
chose the Cleveland team total over when twenty second of
back to backs. For Cleveland, they didn't have to travel,
they stay at home, they had a few days off
to rest up. For Boston. Man just couldn't get it
going against the Boston defense. But that shouldn't be the
case here. Whether they cover or not, they should score points.
Andre Drummond I believe is not in this game either
or I have to go back and check. No, he
is in. He's gonna be with Bona here. But the
point is Jared Allen, if he goes, the boards should be.
Should he's out, the boards should be. And the rim
protection on Philly's side should be a little bit light here,
but plenty of scoring on the Cleveland and without Maxie,
I guess the problem could and Edgecombe the problem could
be for Philadelphia lack of pace, but I'm not sure
because one of the pieces that you brought up. Guys
who get a chance to play real minutes now generally
won't go slow, and it's not Philly's nature to go
all that slow. And em beads not on the floor.
So for me, I'd rather not lay thirteen and a
half here case of that somewhat disinterest factor. But I
would look for an offensive bounce back against a defense
that really looks to be in a little bit of
trouble here tonight. So for me, it's gonna be Cleveland
team total over one twenty.
Speaker 1: I get it. I get it for sure. And Cameron Payne,
I mean, he just doesn't strike me as a guy
he likes to play slow. All right, Yeah, we'll move
over to the next game. That is Nuggets and Thunder
opened up minus seven and a half. Ro okay, see
down a six or six and a half. The pennel
where shop total went up from two thirty one, I'm
seeing it as high as two thirty three, as high
as two thirty three. As far as injuries, Jamal Murray
is still questionable, Peyton Watson is out for okay. See
you have Caruso and check questionable, Carlson, Hardenstein and Jada
all out. We did see these teams what like two
weeks ago something like that.
Speaker 2: It was an.
Speaker 1: Overtime game, okay, so he ended up getting to win.
Are you here questionable? With that ankle injury. Just from
from top of my head, like when he has these
ankle injuries, he usually still plays. So and with the
line coming down, I think that's insinuating that either he's
going to play or you know, some of those guys
for okay See will be out. I think he plays though,
and if he plays, I can't help but think the
Nuggets can keep this one respectable. I mean, okay See
hasn't been playing the best basketball. They're trying of just
you know, trying to get back into the rhythm. I
feel like ever since SGA came back, maybe I don't
think that they haven't covered in five games. You have
Aaron Gordon back in the mix for Denver. I don't
know if you know it is Denver for me or
probably an under What do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to agree, and especially if check he's
got the flu. If he sits, then you lose Holme,
gun Ann Hartenstein and okay See becomes real small. Jaylen
Williams has been good at scoring points in the pivot
and getting his share of rebounds when he's been asked
to do so because of those two guys not being available.
But against Denver, and Jolkic here tonight. I wouldn't think
that would be the case. We'll see if Holmgren goes,
he may go. Even if he does go, I still
like the Denver side. It is kind of a shame
that and we'll see if Murray goes. But as soon
as Gordon comes back Friday night, Murray plays eighteen minutes
and gets hurt. It was a fight the last time,
right Sga and Nicole Jolkic got into it a little bit,
and then Lou Dort got a technical for kind of
shoving jolkicch or whatever it was, but it was excessive.
So like the head coach of Oklahoma City said, here Dagnall,
he said, you know, we played each other one hundred times.
They know our playbook, we know their playbook. We're in
the same division. But I think what sold me on
Denver in this game was the fact that, you know,
last week when we talked about the Nuggets, they were
in fourth place in the West, looking to move up
to three, and now they're in the final playoff spot,
only like two and a half games ahead of Phoenix
for a play in birth. So I mean they have
to start winning some games here before they play their
way right out of the top six and wind up
in a play in game. So for me, I think
plus the points here with Denver probably a good way
to go. Certainly they'll be a I don't know if
there's going to be bad feelings because Luke Dort actually
apologized after the game, said what he did was wrong
or at least over the top somewhat, so they'll play hard.
I think Aaron Gordon makes a huge difference in that defense.
You and I have talked about Denver's head coach trying
to plead them to play defense. Aaron Gordon's a big help.
I think plus six probably the way to look here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking at the Nuggets schedule. I mean, yes,
they need to start winning games, but these games aren't
getting easier. Thunder rockets Furs and they this is the
first of those three games and fortnights for them. You're
gonna have to start giving some every night for this
Nuggets team. Yeah, s Nuggets or nothing. Chat see Mac mentions. Yeah,
Joker might want some get back, but you did say
that Dort apologized. We'll see if Joker accepted the apology.
Speaker 2: Got his brothers in the front row.
Speaker 1: Stammy likes Nuggets and under. We'll see how that one
shakes out. That's the way that I would think about it. Man,
can't help but think that last game I had such
a good cap on that under, and that that last
meeting and it went to overtime and killed me. Makes
me think maybe first half under this time around, but
maybe just recncy bias. Next game Grizzlies and Nets opened
up minus one and a half for the Grizzlies. Looks
like as a move total though, came down from two
twenty five as low as two twenty. Actually, I see, yeah,
it's as low as two twenty. Injuries, let's get there
for Memphis. I mean, it's a laundry list. Coward Hendricks,
Jerome Pippin, doubtful, Aldma Clark, Gibson, Brant out for Brooklyn.
MPJ and Igor are both out, and somehow the Grizzlies
are still the favorite in this game. This is insane.
I mean, I guess that just just shows you how
pathetic to have look. But there's no way, there's no way,
how can you how can you lay with the Grizzlies
team with like six players available on the road, it's
nets for pass it's very easy to pass, though, what
do you think you know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's real easy to pass. No point guards. I
mean you listed them both there for Memphis, so they're
unlike their fourth point guard here in this case, I
will say this about Brooklyn came back the other night
against the Pistons with a huge second half, like sixty
one to forty three second half out of Brooklyn against Detroit.
Detroit's on a little bit of a skid, but still
they were down sixteen at halftime, a team that has
no interest in winning games, and they did show some
heart and win. Memphis has showed a little bit of,
you know, ability to play close as well. But it's
an eight man rotation tonight. That's all they have is
eight guys. I don't know how you handicap this one's
ski I guess I would somewhat agree with people pushing
the total down to twenty and a half. You probably
get some sloppy basketball out here, for sure, especially with
the point guard situation out of Memphis. I don't know.
It's it's so easy to leave that one alone. There's
no reason to try and make something out of it
and force play. As far as I'm concerned.
Speaker 1: All right, we'll keep moving next game. Appreciate you guys.
In the chat, Michael says he's picking up the points
for Brooklyn. If Michael Park Jr. Is out, I mean,
I don't trust any of those guys. That's why I
want to stay away. I guess you're saying this should
be under but yeah, I'm good man. All right, Casey
says that's why everybody's out, Rob it's a tank off.
Speaker 2: She's telling them the truth.
Speaker 1: I guess, speaking of tanking, teams will head over to Utah,
where they welcome the Warriors opened up. Warriors minus eight
is down in a seven or seven and a half total,
also down from two thirty as low as two twenty
three and a half. For injuries on this one, we
have Kirk Deaph Curry actually probable, will Richard questionable. Well,
this step are set. I gotta click it to make
sure this set. I'm sorry, Steph is out. So that's
my bad. Seth Curry probable, will Richard questionable. No Steph Horford,
Moody or Perzingis or Utah. You have Ace questionable, Keionte
George questionable. Collier and marketing it out. I mean it
seems they're gonna be missing all of the offense, or
you could be missing all of the offense. Prettish Utah team.
If those questionables turn out that happened, it would be
very hard for me to see Utah being competitive, even
though I don't think of Golden State that high. But
if they play, they can very easily cover the number.
So this is one where I would went on the
injury report. What do you think you're Vino?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean, how many times a day do we
have to say that on this show? We have to
wait for the injury report. It's crazy, but it's tough
to guess who wants to guess. I mean, you could
make a case for two different plays, two exact opposite
plays on the same game, depending upon who plays and
who doesn't. It's interesting to me Ski that they brought
Porzingis back the other day, played a good amount of minutes,
gets a day off, and then can't go again. Anyway.
I don't know how many days off the guy needs
in a row to get right, but I thought if
they brought him back like they did on Saturday, maybe
he would play tonight. But that's not the case, so
I don't know. Very difficult call at this point in time.
We do love Utah at home to go over in
most of their games, and at this price to twenty
three and a half, you don't generally get that number
in Utah home games. But you know, the subtractions from
these lineups are what they are. They're impactful. So we'll
have to wait and see who's going to go who's not.
If you think guys are going to go and play
in this game, then this is probably the best total
number you'll get. It's obviously gonna rise from two twenty
three and a half. It did open two thirty, but
you just can't play it right now.
Speaker 1: Ski, all right, we'll move over to the last game
on the slate. That's the Knicks heading. I'm sorry they
staying in La to face. The Clippers opened up minus
three and a half for New York down to two
or two and a half total open two twenty one.
Two twenty and a half is what we'll call the
consensus here or the Clippers. You have Collins listed is
out for New York, Mitchell Robinson is doubtful, McBride is out.
You do have the Knicks on the back to back here.
It didn't have to travel though. It just played the Lakers,
and coming off of a loss, I like to think
you get a good effort from them. The Clippers. I mean,
home teams with the rest advantage win about seventy two
and a half percent of the time. Clearly, is it
Clippers or not. They're not a home favorite, but home
teams with rest advantage win a good amount of time,
is what I'm trying to say here. And this is
kind of almost like a pick on territory. I'll probably
put my money on the Clippers here and expect points.
I mean, that's the way they're playing nowadays. What do
you think here of you?
Speaker 2: No, Yeah, I'm gonna stay true to that and play
the game over. Number seems to be in a good spot,
and I like the Nixon the bounce back. Ninety seven
points yesterday, interesting one hundred and forty two on Friday
against Denver ninety seven on Sunday. They'll probably fall somewhere
in between that in this game. And again, We've said
it over and over again, and I've been trying to
play this as often as I can. But Ty Lou,
you know, they got rid of James Harden and Zubots
for a reason, because they wanted to be a faster team.
Darius Garland went the other night to forty three on
the board for a full game. Total final score is
one twenty three, one twenty against Memphis. I just think
the numbers a little bit too low, maybe taking odds
makers sometime to adjust to the change in philosophy of
the Clippers, especially when Garland's on the floor. Uh but
they on they only open this thing to twenty one,
and for some reason people bet it down to two
twenty and a half. Could be because Nick's are on a
back to back. I'm not sure, but I don't think
they're scoring ninety seven here tonight. I think they'll score
a little bit better. And the Clippers, you know, when
you have a team on back to back, you'd love
to put a little bit of pace into the game.
Since they're trying to play with pace, I figure we'll
get enough possessions. I'm gonna play it over ski two
twenty and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I agree. The Black Clippers pace with
Garland has absolutely increased, and they've gone over all three
games since he's been playing, So I agree that maybe
the oddsmakers are taking some time to adjust, but that's
definitely the way they're playing. And if there's hesitation because
of the knick side, I would also agree. I mean,
they shot what twenty four percent from three last night
versus Lakers. Got to expect that to be a little
bit better. Yeah, so I would agree with your play
there on the over. That's a slave for the day,
you know, So before we do best bets or while
we do best bets, you know, I'm just gonna kick
it over to you. I know, we do have that
three days. If you buy a three day pass, which
is sixty nine dollars, you get three days for free,
so it comes out to just slightly over ten dollars
per day. There a chance to roll with Vino and
myself for an extended period of time. And last seven
days I did go eleven and seven. It's not the greatest,
not the wordst but you want some money if you
were involved. So that is a way to get involved,
you know. Is there anything else you would like to promote?
And if you have a best bet for the show,
we love to hear it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll just play the role of good company man
here and promote what wage your talk came out with
today as a March Madness Bonanza. This is an NBA show,
but we do speak some College Beast football at times,
and we both bet college basketball. I know Ski's been
really good at College Hoop this year. March Madness Bonanza
under six bucks a day you can get now right
through the National Championship game. Every single game play doesn't matter.
There's like three or four different postseason tournaments after this
huge week of conference tournaments. The whole package is like
one forty nine right through the National Championship game. So
if you're interested in college basketball, certainly take a look
at that one. There's probably no better bargain on the
board for guys who bet college hoop. Today's best bet, Ski,
I'll just go to what we talked about last I've
been trying to follow it each and every time out.
When I see Garland on the floor, that's Clippers Nicks
over the total. Here it's worked out for me. Cast
a couple of tickets along the way until the odds
makers start to pick this thing up where they set openers,
maybe an extra, you know, between four and six points.
Until that happens, I'm going to just keep firing away
at their over So for me, best bet today is
going to be Nick's clipper over to twenty. It looks
like mostly to twenty and a half. I mean, if
you really really have a lot of options and you
can shop meticulously, then you can find it two twenty.
But I'll go with two twenty and a half for
purpose of the show to be.
Speaker 1: Fair, and I will rock with Vino on that play.
I agree, I like it a lot, and I'll just yeah,
I forgot. I didn't even glance at that that couge
basketball thing. I'm not gonna lie. After my O and three,
I had to just, you know, go see the bartender Robino. Yeah,
I'm so, I'm gonna rock with you on that. The
college basketball I am fifty two and thirty seven, I
believe so far this season. So yeah, I wasn't aware
of the promo they have going, but if you want
to be involved, not the highest volume guy, but uh,
I've been able to put out some winners, so I
think we did a good enough job here. You know,
appreciate you taking the time to come cat these games
with me. Everybody in the chat. We appreciate you tuning
in and you know, everybody just trying to help each
other get to the window. So best of luck everybody
on all of your action. We will catch you all
again tomorrow