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Speaker 1: There we go.

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Speaker 2: Okay, welcome in to the opening line report Kelly Stewart

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Here on.

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Speaker 1: This beautiful Monday morning.

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Speaker 2: We saw a little bit of time before the NFL

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kicks off, but Teddy Covers as always, is going to

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bring us a look into what we need to be

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betting here early in the week. Teddy, let's talk some

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divisions today. I'm very excited to go over this entire breakdown.

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As I mentioned, we have a little bit of time

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before the NFL starts. I think Thursday, a little less

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than ten days. But I want to know who you're

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betting for each and every division. I want to hear

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your breakdowns. I want to hear some long shots. I've

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got my list ready to go. So I hope all

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of you hanging out with us there at home, live

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on all the various wager talk channels and of course

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your social media outlets. Teddy, let's get right into it.

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Let's talk AFC East.

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Speaker 3: Sure, and so, first of all, Kel, I mean I

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focus on win totals. Part two of my NFL season

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win total report will come out on Wednesday. If you

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haven't gotten the report already, it's still available, and frankly,

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the lines.

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Speaker 4: Are still available.

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Speaker 3: There are years where the stuff that I put out

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the markets move. This year has not been one of

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those using and I think get everything within ten or

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fifteen cents of where I put it out. So there's

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five plays released already, including a big ticket. I will

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be adding to that report this Wednesday. So if you

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want to get on board with the season win report

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again one to three and fifty two Lifetime, seventeen and

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four lifetime with the big tickets we won again last year,

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check it out on my own pagewt dot buzz, backslash TC,

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or just visit waderotalk dot com. So we've kind of

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done the win total stuff. We talked about that over

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the summer. We went through we were doing two divisions

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a week, and we went through wintals. So for today,

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we're going to talk about divisions and division on and

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there's lots of divisions where I'm not betting anything.

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Speaker 4: I wouldn't think about betting anything.

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Speaker 3: That being said, this is an opportunity for us to

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do a little preview. Now we'll talk four teams at

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a time, go through all eight divisions, and then next

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Monday it'll be a more traditional opening line report than

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one that we have every week.

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Speaker 4: We'll break down all the games four week one and

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talk about where the markets are moving.

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Speaker 3: So today's show we should have time at the end

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to answer questions if you've got questions throwing with the

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jet and obviously if you're watching this on replay, you

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know what I do. I get in the comments every week,

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you know, a couple of times, so feel free to

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ask questions below. We appreciate those comments and of course

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the likes very very much.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, my comments are already populating over here. Thanks Tyrone,

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I appreciate it. I got very lucky to cash that

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under in Dublin. All junks aside, Teddy, let's get into

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this AFC. So you mentioned some of these divisions you

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won't be touching at all.

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Speaker 1: I don't think this has to be one of them.

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This is the bills or bus and minus three thirty there.

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Speaker 2: It looks like our producers using DraftKings odds this morning.

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Speaker 1: That's step.

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Speaker 3: If you shop around, you know you're not gonna find

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much better than that, you know, I mean, the bills

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are three to one favorites against everybody everywhere, and they

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are spots where they're even higher than that.

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Speaker 4: You know, when we.

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Speaker 3: Look at you know, and the recent division history, twenty twenty,

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the Bills go thirteen and three to win the division

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twenty twenty one, eleven and six, and win the division

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twenty twenty two, thirteen and three, and win the division

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twenty twenty three, eleven and six, and win the division

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twenty twenty four thirteen and four and win the division.

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And again before that, the Patriots won what I think

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eleven years in a row, fourteen out of fifteen or

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sixteen out of seventeen, whatever it was. So it's not

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been a division where there's been a lot of ups

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and downs. There's been one dominant team, and Buffalo is

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clearly the dominant team. And we look at the strength

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of schedule for the Bills this year, you know, the

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AFC East teams face AFC North and NFC South opponents.

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The NFC South, in my opinion, is by far the

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weakest division in football. The three extra games for Buffalo,

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and again, the three extra games matter a.

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Speaker 4: Lot when we talk about divisions.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna talk about a team after team, but Casey,

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Houston and Philly, which is certainly tough compared to what

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we're looking at for the rest of the teams. You know,

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for Miami, you've got the Chargers, the Commanders, and the Colts.

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Speaker 4: For New England and New England's the team.

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Speaker 3: Has gotten a lot of hype this offseason, maybe more

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than they deserved, but you know, they have this one

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of the easiest schedules in the league based on this

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year's win total.

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Speaker 4: Their three extra games.

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Speaker 3: The Raiders, the Titans, the Giants, so that's at least

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some of the love. For New England and of course

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the Jets, that's a really an interesting story, you know.

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I mean, they went five and twelve last year, seven

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to ten the year before. They're aligned as a bottom

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feeder again this year, but each of the last two

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years they've been ligned as a playoff caliber, playoff contending team.

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The offense hasn't worked all that well in the preseason,

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but we look at their three extra games, Dallas, Denver, Jacksonville.

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That's for a last place team, you know, all three

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of those teams. I don't know how good Dallas gonna

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be talking about them, but Jacksonville should be better. Denver

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could be elite this year. I mean, we'll talk about

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the Broncos later on in this preview as well. So

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from a scheduling standpoint, you know Buffalo has it tougher.

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But from a talent standpoint, look, the Bills are super

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Bowl contenders, are super Bowl worthy barring injury. Barring injury debacle,

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Buffalo should be in the mix in January. If I'm

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going to take a long shot, look, I think the

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markets are a little bit.

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Speaker 4: Higher on New England than I am coming into the season.

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Speaker 3: I understand that the Patriots are better than they've been,

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but this team for getting it back to five hundred

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for New England, it's a positive side and five hundred

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in this division. So if you ask me, which of

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the two teams has more which the other teams has

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more upside?

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Speaker 4: From a plus price.

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Speaker 3: Perspective, if I'm taking a shot at anyone against Buffalo,

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I'll look at the Dolphins or the Jets in this division,

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and I'm not really ready to look at either one.

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I think the Bills are deserving favorites, and of all

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the eight divisions, Buffalo is the single biggest favorite amongst

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the eight divisions, deservedly so. Built of the right schedule,

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and that team is absolutely loaded. No reason to think

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that Buffalo won't be competing for home field advantage and

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the number one seed in the AFC when January rules around.

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Speaker 2: Let's move along to the AFC North. Take a pick

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at their odds here, because I think the team that

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is going to give Buffalo a run for their money,

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of course, is those Baltimore Ravens, but they're not near

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as big of a favorite here. Teddy minus one seventy

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to win the AFC North, Bengals right behind him plus

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two to ninety. Before we opt on the show this morning,

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I was telling Brett, I said, man, Joe Burrow and

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the Bengals getting a lot of love, I'm not so sure.

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I'm buying the hype Pittsburgh Steelers and Aaron Rodgers plus

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four seventy five. And then boy oh boy, the Cleveland

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Brown's getting lots of publicity, but for not the right reasons.

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Speaker 1: Forty to one.

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Speaker 2: The odds are minus one seventy plus two ninety plus

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forty to one like that is just incredibly awful break

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down the AFC North.

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Speaker 3: For me, Teddy, I'll book it at forty one to

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one if you want, you know, not to say that.

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So when we talk about the AFC East.

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Speaker 4: There's one dominant team and.

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Speaker 3: Three clearly lesser teams in the AFC North. Yeah, Baltimore

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is really good from a personnel standpoort from a powerting standpoint,

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I mean, the Ravens are certainly within a point of

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the Bills, as we see looking at the opening weekends lines.

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You know that these two teams are power rated in

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a very pomperable range. But when we talk about the

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rest of the division, Pittsburgh's all right, you know, Cincinnati's

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all right. So at least two of the other three

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teams in the AFC North have the potential to make

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noise this season, whereas the markets are staying in the

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AFC East perhaps not so much. So that's why you're

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seeing the price for Buffalo to win the division much

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higher than the price for Baltimore to win the division,

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even though again, powerting wise, the teams are fairly comparable.

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I think you're saying who's most likely to get best

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the chiefs in the AFC, Those two teams would be

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one and two, you know, Buffalo and Baltimore. Although there's

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some other interesting choices that could come alive this year,

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but certainly when we're talking about going into the season,

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it's Kansas City, Buffalo, Baltimore not necessarily in that order

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right there, group together. So when we look at the schedule,

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and again I'm talking about the three extra games for

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these squad that matters, you know, three extra games for Baltimore.

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They got Casey, Houston and the Rams. And frankly, all

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three of those teams were first place teams last year.

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I think all three of them are a little bit

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weaker potentially, I don't know, testions might be all right,

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we'll talk about Houston in a few minutes. So we

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compare that, let's say to what we're seeing for the Bengals,

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and the Bengals three extra games, Jacksonville, Denver, Arizona.

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Speaker 4: I happen to like all three of those squads. And

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you know, Cincinnati.

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Speaker 3: You talked about the concern that Joe Burrow is as

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good a quarterback as there isn't the league, and his

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receiving corps is elite. The running game looks like the

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I mean, the offsive line is fine. The running game

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is fine. There's certainly an offense in Cincinnati that's gonna

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create some headlines this year. The questions where they can

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stop anyone, you know, and in the preseason and answer

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that question particularly well, they're playing a lot of vanilla coverages,

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a lot of soft coverages. We'll see what it looks

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like in September as opposed to August. I'm not willing

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to write off Cincinnati just because they looked as poorly

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as they did defensively in the preseason. But certainly the

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Bengals on that side of the football have a lot

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more questions than that Baltimore does.

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Speaker 4: Coming in the campaign.

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Speaker 3: Then you look at what you know Cleveland, I mean,

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what are you gonna do with Cleveland? You know, it's

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Joe Flacco's an interesting choice, all right.

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Speaker 4: Flacco is obviously no future with Flacco.

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Speaker 3: There's one benefit to Joe Flacco, but it's a detriment

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as well. Joe Flacco will take shots, he chucks it

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up and lets his receivers make plays. And when you

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have a receiving corps that's making plays, Joe Flacco can

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get you to the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: When you're receiving corps that's getting beaten in one.

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Speaker 3: On one coverage and the opposing defensive batcher making plays,

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all of a sudden, Joe Flacco after a month will

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have a you know, three touchdown to eleven in or ratio,

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the Bengals of Owen or the Browns will be ohing

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four and we'll be talking about who you know a

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who the next coach is going to be, and be

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who Stefanski.

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Speaker 4: Is gonna run the rest of the season with behind center.

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Speaker 3: But by the way, the three extra games for Cleveland,

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the Raiders, the Niners, the Titans again, all of whom

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are supposed to be better this year than they were

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last year. And then there's Pittsburgh, you know who. Every

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year we talk about how this is going to be

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the year that Tomlin goes under five hundred, and then

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Tomlin finds a way to get them in the mix.

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They're three extras, the Chargers, the Colts and the Seahawks

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not the toughest of tough and they got the Jets,

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the Patch, the Browns the first five games this season,

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they got Seattle at home and Minnie in London. Don't

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be surprised at Pittsburgh is the team that gets off

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to the hottest start in this division, and that could

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again we talk about as the season progresses, a hot

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start from Pittsburgh could offer value on Baltimore to win

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the division.

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Speaker 4: A month or six weeks into the season.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's move along too well, one of the

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least lackluster divisions.

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Speaker 1: Both South divisions are just awful.

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Speaker 2: But we'll talk about the AFC South here first, because

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they're not as bad as Teddy.

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Speaker 1: Here's kind of the real thing I've been looking at.

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Speaker 2: Do we see certain teams take a step forward or

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do we see certain teams take a step back? I'd

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like to think with one of the better coaches in

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Shane Steike and the Indianapolis Colts take a step forward,

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we can get the odds on the screen here. I

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will break that down for you. I'm sorry, we're going

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AFC South. This says NFC South. Don't mind those odds

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on the bottom, the perks of doing a live show.

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But we've got the Colts and we've got the Texans,

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and those are the only two teams I think have

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the opportunity to win the AFC South.

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Speaker 1: Teddy, what say you?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? I mean just AFC South.

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Speaker 3: I've seen the Texans basically even money the Jaguars and

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the Colts in the plus three dollars plus three fifty

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range in Tennessee a long shot seven or eight to one,

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depending on where you price it. Of course, for all

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of these division odds, there are there's variants from book

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to book. You're not seeing anyone painted any number. Each

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book is going to take their own action. They're going

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to set their own numbers on this particular marketplace. So

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it's worth shopping around. It's worth shopping, you know. And

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you say, oh, I out extra ten cents, an extra

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twenty cents, especially when you talk about locking up your

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money all season for the division winner. Take advantage of

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the best offer available. Not well, that's where I have

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my money in now and this time of the year again,

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this is when the books are offering all the bonuses,

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et cetera, et cetera. It's a great time to open

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new accounts. And my advice to everyone out there, any

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book that's legal in your state should be open and

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funded all right, period, any book, all books that are

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legal in your state, and that gives you variants, and

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it gives you free variants. You're not buying half points,

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you're not buying stuff. So that's my opinion. All I

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can do is hocker you my advice in that regard.

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But certainly it's not an elite division. We got this

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so Houston is a team I like Houston. I'll just

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put a plane and simple. You know, there were a

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lot of concerns about their officsive line this off season.

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No one could understand what they were doing on the

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opfsitive line. Mcaryans had a plan and the lost of

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the line at least on paper, and from what I've seen,

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looks just.

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Speaker 4: Fine for the Texans, maybe even good. So there's potential

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for Houston up front and defensively.

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Speaker 3: This team's elite, obviously, they've been there in recent years.

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Speaker 4: They have a quarterback who we like in Stroud.

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Speaker 3: If I'm making a bet here, it'd be the Texans,

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and I'm a Texans belief. I'll put it that maybe

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Texans to win the division at even money is something

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that they Again it's not a great bet, but it's

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something worth considering their three extra games Tampa, Baltimore, Buffalo.

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Speaker 4: Ouch.

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Speaker 3: You know that's as tough and that certainly affects me

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when it comes to Houston's season win total. But I'm

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gonna pull you back in here, Kelly for a minute,

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because you said something very interesting and I wasn't sure

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if you were just as one of those things where

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you're just trying to introduce a game. What on earth

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makes you think that Shane Stiken has any idea what

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he's doing. You called him a good coach, a great coach.

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You said something that positive about Shane Stikeen, and I'm

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very curious about that.

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Speaker 1: So I'm a Shane Stiken believer.

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Speaker 2: I think that what we've seen from him as a

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coordinator might not necessarily be translating as a head coach.

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And I will also say I was very high on

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Anthony Richardson coming out of the University of Florida and

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getting hurt in that first game, and well, let's just

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be honest, he's never really recovered. Now we're gonna see

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what Daniel Jones is made of. I think it's gonna

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be really interesting. I do think that Houston probably win

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this division. I think Houston's a better team on paper.

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I think that they probably are more well rounded. But

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I do think that if the Colts can get the

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running game going this year instead of just hobbling around

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on one legged quarterbacks and injured running backs, then maybe,

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just maybe they can improve this season. Again, it's not

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a tough division. I'm not high on the Jags, and

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as you mentioned, the poor Titans are.

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Speaker 1: They've got a long road ahead, Sure they do.

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Speaker 4: So that's a reasonable case. Shay Segon's got.

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Speaker 3: To show me something, and he's got to show me something.

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I've seen very little to like about this team in

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rex years, and very little like about them this preseason.

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Speaker 4: And obviously Jones is now the guy.

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Speaker 3: And if you're talking about winning now, you know, being

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a five hundred team now, Jones is probably the QB

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that you want.

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Speaker 4: They are three.

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Speaker 3: Extra games Miami, Pittsburgh and Atlanta in Bertolan, So I

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mean there's upside and downside for ad They're not a

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team that but if I'd have bet one of the two,

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I bet downside before upside.

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Speaker 4: The Jags are a team of some upside, you know.

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Speaker 3: I think the Cohen and according to everything fall apart

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for Jacksonville last year, and they found a way to

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lose close games week after there were one play away,

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a stop away, a first down away, the fourth down

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conversion away, week after week after week. And that's the

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kind of thing that you don't necessarily expect to translate

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one year to the next. Terror Lawrence the quarterback who

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I thought would be better in the NFL, and he

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hasn't been. And now he's got the offensive coordinator Guru

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as his head coach.

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Speaker 4: He's got weapons.

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Speaker 3: I think the Jags have more receiving weapons they've had

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at any point in Lawrence's era. You know, we'll see

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how Travis Hunter plays out in that regard. Certainly, the

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three extra games Carolina, Cincinnati and the Jets. You know,

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compare that with Houston and you understand why there's some

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love for Jacksonville.

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Speaker 4: Certainly the over mark plays.

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Speaker 3: And that again, if I'm taking someone that's not Houston

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win the division, it would ProAb to be Jacksonville and Tennessee.

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Speaker 4: I mean, you said it.

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Speaker 3: You know, there's it's a complete rebuild. It's a rookie quarterback.

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The Titans are going to go through some growing pains,

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maybe a lot of growing pains. They're three extra games

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New England, Cleveland and New Orleans. Although the Browns and

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the Saints both late season games, if you're playing crappy teams,

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you'd rather play them early, you know, because you know

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they're crappy. Boy the late season, maybe something weird happens.

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But going into the season, Cleveland and New Orleans are

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ranked thirty one and thirty two in my power rating.

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So that's one advantage perhaps for a Tennessee team that

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you know that still looks pretty rough.

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Speaker 2: All right, guys, I see some questions populating in the chat.

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Andy Lang with a funny comment using a high draft

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pick on a quarterback with limited experience and bad accuracy?

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Speaker 1: How can anybody have predicted that would go wrong?

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Speaker 2: All jokes aside, Andy Lang will be up next Wager

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Talk today, Teddy. Before we get into the AFC West,

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I had a quick question for you, because you've mentioned

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it a couple of times, about what we've seen in preseason.

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Speaker 1: So I'm a.

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Speaker 2: Novice sports better, I watch preseason, I formulate opinions about teams, players,

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and so forth. Should I do like the men in

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Black thing and just forget all about what we saw

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in preseason?

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Speaker 1: This is kind of where I tend to think people

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like to overreact. How about that?

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Speaker 4: Sure?

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Speaker 3: And the answer is a little bit from colin a

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a little bit from columb All right, So you don't

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want to so forth like, Yeah, Cincinnati's defense, for example,

391
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all right, look terrible. They were just playing bas coverages.

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It's a first install of a new defense. Since he

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wasn't trying to disguise coverages. They weren't blitzing. It wasn't

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Cincinnati's defense. There's a difference to that versus a team.

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Let's say, like, I don't know New Orleans that couldn't

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do anything, you know, where everything you thought about the

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Saints and you watch him on the field, you're like, wow,

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you know it's a new head coach and a new

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quarterback and they really are going to go through some

400
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serious growing pains. You know what we saw from Tennessee

401
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this preseason where all right, hey, maybe the Titans isn't no, no,

402
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it's still tight.

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Speaker 4: You know.

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Speaker 3: So you balance your opinions about the teams with what

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you're reading about how the coaches are approaching the games.

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Speaker 4: And the answer is yeah, sort of maybe.

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Speaker 3: You know, you pay attention to some but you don't

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want to overreact. That being said, you don't want to

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underreact to some stuff either. So it's a crappy answer.

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Speaker 4: Kel. The answer is, you know the.

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Speaker 2: Answer I wanted. You should never overreact to too much, right.

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I say that after throwing an absolute temper tantrum on.

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Speaker 1: Saturday, But that is what it is.

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Speaker 2: You got to just let it out and at whatever

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capacity that is, and you say, Okay, now, let's step

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back and look at actually what we saw and how

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much of it actually matters.

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Speaker 1: Right?

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Speaker 3: What was that you who was brawling with Avery Johnson's dead?

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I get it this born, I saw it in the video.

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Speaker 2: Oh boy, oh boy, I was not criticizing his son.

422
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Of all of the criticisms I was throwing around on Saturday,

423
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Avery Johnson received zero ounce of criticism from me. Hopefully

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we'll be seeing him in the NFL one day and

425
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Teddy and I can be talking about him on this show.

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All right, guys, we're gonna get into the AFC West.

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As you guys can tell, there's a Broncos. No, there's not,

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this case eight helmet behind me. I have to swap

429
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that out for the NFL shows. Broncos helmet behind me normally,

430
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because I grew up as a Broncos fan, and the

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Broncos were always pretty good, and then they weren't for

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a long stretch of time, and I'm hoping they're on

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an up hill swing.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 2: Teddy plus two fifty to win the AFC West, Chargers

436
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right behind plus three fifty and the Raiders twenty two

437
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to one. The reason why I didn't mention in the

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Kansas City Chiefs is because they won this division for

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what feels like a better part of the last decade.

440
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And Patrick Mahomes has been great for the Chiefs. Andy

441
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:01,839
Reid has been great for the Chiefs. Didn't matter how

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00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,759
many receivers they did or did not have. Somehow this

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00:22:04,839 --> 00:22:07,519
team wins games, they get into the playoffs, and they

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are dominant and found their way back to a super

445
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Bowl again last year. Talk to me about why the

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Chiefs seem very cheap to win the AFC West.

447
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Speaker 3: They're cheap because their their division rivals are good.

448
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:19,880
Speaker 4: All right.

449
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Speaker 3: Denver's good, all right, Denver's really good. Denver has like

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Super Bowl upside good. All right, The Chargers are good.

451
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They might be really good. They might have Super Bowl

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upside type of good. I'm a believer in Denver in particular,

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but La as well. And of course the Chiefs have

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Super Bowl loser. They have we played all these extra

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games for five straight years being elite, and now you

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know they are salary cap concerns for Kansas City. You

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know that roster is not as deep as it's been

458
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:56,039
in recent years. You know, they kept their studs, but

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if they go through a wave of injuries like they've

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had last year and then the year before.

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Speaker 4: Both there could be some squit.

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Speaker 3: Concerns for GA against Kansas City, and obviously schedule wise,

463
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the Chiefs are up against it. But you know, I

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like this Broncos team a lot. And again, what am

465
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I looking for? I'm looking for a defense, all right?

466
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Everyone else offense? Look at this guy, look at that

467
00:23:17,279 --> 00:23:21,079
guy who's playing defense. And Denver's defense. The depth is there.

468
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,759
They showed, we showed it all preseason. How good the

469
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depths of that defense is. We've seen Peyton coach winners

470
00:23:26,839 --> 00:23:32,480
and developed winners before. There's a lot to like about

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the Broncos. They're three extra games Cincinnati.

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Speaker 4: Green Bay, and the Jets.

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Speaker 3: They get the Giants, Jets, Colts, Titans first seven weeks.

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They have a chance to get off to a really

475
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,880
hot start. Tough closeout though, case at Washington, at Vegas,

476
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,039
Green Bay, Jacksonville at CAC and the Chargers. So Denver

477
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,440
might be a team that gets hot early, comes back

478
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:55,680
to earth late, or if they're able to beat those

479
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:59,480
teams late, I might be talking about a legitimate big

480
00:23:59,519 --> 00:24:01,400
game contender.

481
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:02,799
Speaker 4: For the AFC Western Division.

482
00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:05,440
Speaker 3: They face the AFC North and NFC East, not the

483
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:10,960
two toughest divisions in football. Three extra games for Kansas City, Baltimore, Detroit, Buffalo, Ouch,

484
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,640
you know, and they got the Chargers, Eagles, Ravens, Lions

485
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:17,400
all in the first six weeks, then Washington Buffalo before

486
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:20,079
the week ten by Kansas City's up against the schedule.

487
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 4: Wise, if they.

488
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 3: Decline, they're not as good early, if they're not as hungry,

489
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,960
if they're worn down, they could be in a they

490
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:28,119
could be in a spot by midseason. That being said,

491
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,640
Andy Reid's Team's gone over to the win total what

492
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:34,680
every year forever? I mean literally every year going back

493
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,559
to Philadelphia. Andy Reid has been a machine when it

494
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:39,960
comes the two win totals.

495
00:24:40,279 --> 00:24:42,839
Speaker 4: The Raiders have certainly up their town. I think their

496
00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:47,160
floor is much higher than it's been. Their ceiling isn't

497
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:50,440
that high. But I don't think the Raiders are bottom feeders.

498
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:51,319
This year.

499
00:24:52,839 --> 00:24:58,319
Speaker 3: They face three extras New England, Chicago, Cleveland, and turned

500
00:24:58,319 --> 00:25:01,160
about winnable home games you know, Tennessee, Al, Dallas, Cleveland,

501
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,240
the Giants. There hasn't been much of a home field

502
00:25:03,319 --> 00:25:05,720
edge for the Raiders. They are only two and six

503
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,160
at home last year. Their opponents always fill up at

504
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,720
the stadium as much as the Raiders do, but they

505
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,079
do have a fair few winnable home games. And you know,

506
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,920
Harbor is another guy who has been proven that we

507
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:20,839
want our money on this coach out against them. I

508
00:25:20,839 --> 00:25:22,559
like the physical style for the Charger. I do worry

509
00:25:22,599 --> 00:25:25,200
about some of the injuries they suffered in August. They're

510
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:31,720
three extras Miami, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, pretty tough but not unreasonable,

511
00:25:31,759 --> 00:25:36,559
and a really tough closeout for La Philly at Kansas City,

512
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,599
at Dallas, Houston and Denver in their last five games.

513
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:42,559
But all there are the toughest opponents come at home,

514
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,279
and they have a fairly easy start to the season.

515
00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 4: The Chargers might be a team.

516
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,519
Speaker 3: We're talking about a lot at the midway point, and

517
00:25:49,839 --> 00:25:52,079
the Chargers and Broncos. Again, if I'm making one bet here,

518
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:55,519
it'd be Denver to win the division. The price is right,

519
00:25:55,759 --> 00:25:58,400
but I bet against Andy Reid is in. Patrick Mahomes

520
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:00,440
has not been exactly a winning price position.

521
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,920
Speaker 2: No, it is not, Teddy. It has not been fun,

522
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:06,519
except for that Eagle Super Bowl.

523
00:26:06,519 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 1: That was kind of fun.

524
00:26:07,839 --> 00:26:10,680
Speaker 2: All right, Let's get in to the NFC We're gonna

525
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:12,400
start off with the NFC East. If you guys have

526
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:14,599
a question for Teddy, please drop it in the chat

527
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:16,519
and we will get to your NFC questions. If you

528
00:26:16,519 --> 00:26:18,440
miss the AFC, you're gonna have to drop it in

529
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:20,880
there and he's gonna respond to you guys later.

530
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 1: The NFC East is going to be very interesting, Teddy.

531
00:26:25,319 --> 00:26:28,039
Speaker 2: We've got the Philadelphia Eagles short favorite minus one forty

532
00:26:28,319 --> 00:26:31,960
using draft Kings odds. Of course, always shop around the

533
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:37,160
Commanders plus two twenty Cowboys plus six fifty Giants eighteen

534
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,599
to one, Teddy. A lot of people think the Eagles

535
00:26:39,599 --> 00:26:43,200
are gonna make another Super Bowl run this year. But

536
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:45,039
before they're gonna do that, I think they've got to

537
00:26:45,079 --> 00:26:47,000
do pretty well here in the NFC East.

538
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:49,079
Speaker 4: Sure, I mean, let's start with dall.

539
00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:52,319
Speaker 3: I got these in alphabetical orders, so I mean, Dallas,

540
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:56,559
we have a new head coach, We have your typical offseason, Turmol.

541
00:26:56,599 --> 00:26:58,720
You have a team that's still missing their best defensive player.

542
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,039
You have an off line that's not as good as

543
00:27:01,039 --> 00:27:06,240
it was. You have an aging quarterback coming off injury.

544
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, I got my concerns about the Cowboys or not.

545
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,880
Speaker 3: And look there's there's a potential for upside for Dallas,

546
00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:15,160
but I'm not buying it. Three extra games for Dallas, Carolina,

547
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:18,319
Arizona and the Jets fairly easy in that regard.

548
00:27:18,599 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 4: That being said, that's a show.

549
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 3: Meet team the Giants showed at So the Giants, our team,

550
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,519
we want to tap the brakes on for what they

551
00:27:28,519 --> 00:27:30,400
did in the preseason. Look great in the preseason. Of course,

552
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,240
you're gonna look great in the preseason. You have a

553
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,240
rookie quarterback who played well against second and third string

554
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:37,240
defense in Jackson Dart and then you have veterans behind

555
00:27:37,279 --> 00:27:39,759
him and Jameis Winston and Tommy DeVito, and bang, you're

556
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:43,759
putting up thirty plus every game, which is nice. In

557
00:27:43,799 --> 00:27:48,359
August September, it's one quarterback and you're not playing against

558
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:48,640
third and.

559
00:27:48,599 --> 00:27:51,839
Speaker 4: Fourth string defenders, and things change in a hurry.

560
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 3: And of course, you know, based on this year's win total,

561
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:56,759
the Giants of the single tough schedule in the league,

562
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,440
three extra games New Orleans, San fran New England.

563
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,680
Speaker 4: Two of those three supposed to be much better. This year.

564
00:28:01,759 --> 00:28:05,839
Speaker 3: NFC East teams faced AFC West and NFC North, which

565
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,960
are both you know, in my opinion, elite divisions. You know,

566
00:28:09,039 --> 00:28:11,480
AFC West NFC North could be the you know, the

567
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,480
two best divisions in football. And that's who the AFC

568
00:28:14,519 --> 00:28:18,720
East teams face. So not gonna be easy for the

569
00:28:18,839 --> 00:28:24,160
g men to turn their long term failures.

570
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,640
Speaker 4: Into a in a success this year schedule wise.

571
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:32,039
Speaker 3: Philadelphia, I mean, certainly on paper, the Eagles look as

572
00:28:32,079 --> 00:28:33,640
close to being as good or as good as they

573
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:35,279
were last year. Last year they stayed healthy, all their

574
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:38,640
key guys stayed healthy, especially down the stretch. They have

575
00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:42,240
one of the toughest schedules in the league because you know,

576
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,839
the Rams, the Bills, the Bucks are their three extras.

577
00:28:46,799 --> 00:28:52,319
As for Washington and the Commanders are really an interesting team.

578
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,559
Last year they faced the weakest schedule in the league.

579
00:28:54,839 --> 00:28:58,079
Jame Daniels is a stut all right, and when you

580
00:28:58,079 --> 00:28:59,960
have a study and they made all win now moves,

581
00:29:00,039 --> 00:29:01,799
and you have a veteran head coach and Dan Quinn

582
00:29:01,799 --> 00:29:04,480
who has certainly shown they didn't get his teams to overachieve.

583
00:29:05,279 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 4: But there so there's a lot to like. Go Washington

584
00:29:08,799 --> 00:29:09,160
one of those.

585
00:29:09,039 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 3: Teams that you're finding really different opinions on as you talk.

586
00:29:12,759 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 4: To different people. The people that really like the Commanders.

587
00:29:15,799 --> 00:29:17,559
Speaker 3: The vetting markets haven't and there's a lot to do

588
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,119
with last year's schedule versus this year's schedule, the three

589
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:23,880
extra games Atlanta, Seattle, and Miami, and of course depth

590
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,079
something of concern for the Commanders.

591
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:27,839
Speaker 4: They made a ton of win now moves, bringing in

592
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:28,799
a lot of veterans.

593
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,359
Speaker 3: Veterans sometimes get banged up early, and that could be

594
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:37,039
a problem for a team with high expectations. But you know, Washington,

595
00:29:37,359 --> 00:29:39,079
I've heard people tell me they're a Super Bowl contender.

596
00:29:39,119 --> 00:29:42,640
I've heard people tell me they're the last place team.

597
00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,240
I've got an opinion on the Commanders. They're in part

598
00:29:45,279 --> 00:29:48,119
one of my season win Total Report that's already out.

599
00:29:48,799 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 2: Teddy people are just joining us. Can you let them

600
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,240
know what to expect from that season?

601
00:29:52,279 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 1: Win total? Obviously, win total report, excuse me.

602
00:29:55,119 --> 00:29:57,759
Speaker 2: Obviously you've been doing it for a very, very long

603
00:29:57,759 --> 00:30:01,680
time and had a ton of success in doing stuff.

604
00:30:02,079 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 3: So they started as a lark two thousand and one,

605
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:05,799
you know, I'm like, yeah, let's go. Let's you know,

606
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:07,319
I was betting them, and I'm like, well, let's just

607
00:30:07,319 --> 00:30:10,200
release them, you know, and see what happens. And I

608
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:11,880
put out six plays and I went six and zero.

609
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:17,319
All right, I'm a market yeah, bingo. And that's really

610
00:30:17,359 --> 00:30:18,960
I mean, that's how it started. In two thousand and two,

611
00:30:19,079 --> 00:30:21,839
two I started started taking it seriously and spending. I

612
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,119
spent you know, all the whole off season, and I've

613
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:25,480
be putting out reports every year since.

614
00:30:25,519 --> 00:30:27,279
Speaker 4: So this is the report's been coming out since two

615
00:30:27,319 --> 00:30:27,960
thousand and one.

616
00:30:28,319 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 3: So you get the opinions, you know, you get my bets,

617
00:30:31,359 --> 00:30:32,519
you know, stuff that I've made.

618
00:30:32,759 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 4: I talk about how to bet it.

619
00:30:34,039 --> 00:30:36,039
Speaker 3: We're to shop around to find the best of the number,

620
00:30:36,359 --> 00:30:38,960
what other alternative bets you might want to make it

621
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:43,039
through the winning divisions or making playoffs, et cetera, et cetera.

622
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:45,839
And then I give a ton of analysis on the teams,

623
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,279
their schedules, their pros, cons.

624
00:30:48,279 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 4: And that analysis is what people can use all year long.

625
00:30:51,119 --> 00:30:51,319
You know.

626
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 3: That's part of at least part of the added value

627
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,039
of the win report. That's why all you guys at

628
00:30:57,079 --> 00:30:58,599
the way you're talking always want to look at it.

629
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:01,519
Speaker 4: It's not necessarily the pick, it's all the info that's

630
00:31:01,559 --> 00:31:02,000
in there.

631
00:31:02,119 --> 00:31:03,799
Speaker 1: Absolutely, so, I mean.

632
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 3: There's a ton of info I spend, you know, again,

633
00:31:05,559 --> 00:31:08,599
I spend all summer with it. Part two comes out

634
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:11,799
on Wednesday, so and again it's not gonna be deep.

635
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:14,680
You know, we're talking about a play maybe two. But

636
00:31:14,799 --> 00:31:16,880
Part two of the report comes out on Wednesday. If

637
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,519
you haven't gotten on board, now's the chance to do it.

638
00:31:19,519 --> 00:31:22,240
If visit my page Toot, buzz backslash TC.

639
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:23,799
Speaker 4: I also want to.

640
00:31:23,759 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 3: Talk about the special we got on right now, the

641
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642
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Speaker 4: You know, if you want to partner. I understand buying

643
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picks is not for everyone. I get it.

644
00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:37,279
Speaker 3: If you want to partner up this football season right

645
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651
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Speaker 4: I love the NBA. It's the start of the college

652
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Speaker 3: All of that, including all five percent big tickets number

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Speaker 4: Seventy seven bucks. It's the best, dude, You're gonna get

660
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661
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Speaker 3: Check it out on my page wt dot buzz, backslash

662
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663
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Speaker 2: All right, Teddy, let's get into my favorite division in

664
00:32:30,559 --> 00:32:31,519
all of football.

665
00:32:31,839 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 1: That is the NFC North.

666
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:34,759
Speaker 2: I know a lot of people are like why, and

667
00:32:34,799 --> 00:32:37,440
it's just because it has just been one of those divisions.

668
00:32:37,119 --> 00:32:38,039
Speaker 1: I've always followed.

669
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,319
Speaker 2: I have a lot of family from Chicago obviously our

670
00:32:40,359 --> 00:32:43,160
Wayger Talk families from Detroit. I used to do a

671
00:32:43,279 --> 00:32:46,839
show in Minneapolis, and of course now I'm dating a

672
00:32:46,839 --> 00:32:50,519
Packers fan, so this division is somehow gravitated towards me,

673
00:32:51,119 --> 00:32:53,640
and now I love to watch all of these games.

674
00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:56,720
This is the tightest so far, at least as we've

675
00:32:56,759 --> 00:32:59,240
seen as far as the odds go, the Detroit Lions

676
00:32:59,279 --> 00:33:02,079
plus one, see the Green Bay Packers plus two twenty five,

677
00:33:02,359 --> 00:33:05,720
the Minnesota Vikings plus three twenty and our producer for

678
00:33:05,839 --> 00:33:09,680
today at least Jag is Chicago Bears plus five point

679
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:13,440
fifty Saddy, who is winning the NFC North.

680
00:33:13,599 --> 00:33:15,720
Speaker 1: I've got my money on the Minnesota Vikings.

681
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 3: So this is a fascinating division, and you can make

682
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,759
the case that it's the toughest division in football flat out.

683
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 4: You know, there ain't no weaklings here.

684
00:33:23,759 --> 00:33:27,519
Speaker 3: The Bears will be better than they've been in Minnesota,

685
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:33,519
Green Bay, Detroit. They've all got Super Bowl upside, you know,

686
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,480
every one of them, no question in my mind.

687
00:33:36,519 --> 00:33:40,079
Speaker 4: So you know, and when you have that type ups

688
00:33:40,359 --> 00:33:42,119
I don't know the Bears have foot Bawl upside. It's

689
00:33:42,119 --> 00:33:43,200
certainly yet they.

690
00:33:43,119 --> 00:33:45,359
Speaker 3: Are three extra games, and of course the a NFC

691
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:50,279
North teams face NFC East and AFC North. N it's

692
00:33:50,279 --> 00:33:54,960
the East good division, mediocre division, maybe AFC.

693
00:33:54,519 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 4: North pretty good.

694
00:33:56,079 --> 00:34:00,200
Speaker 3: Three extras for the Bears, the Raiders, the Saints, the

695
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:03,200
forty nine ers, so not the toughest of the three.

696
00:34:03,559 --> 00:34:07,599
They don't get any warm weather teams to come in

697
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,840
after like mid October, so that's maybe a negative to

698
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:11,519
their schedule.

699
00:34:12,079 --> 00:34:14,280
Speaker 4: Certainly, we're talking about the Guru and.

700
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 3: Ben Johnson and the new head coach, and Caleb Williams

701
00:34:19,039 --> 00:34:22,199
has a number one overall draft Toroys Kili Williams is

702
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:22,960
not a bust, all right.

703
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,079
Speaker 4: This is not JaMarcus Russell coming. I think Cale Williams

704
00:34:26,199 --> 00:34:26,800
be just fine.

705
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:31,320
Speaker 3: And when we look at the again win now moves

706
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:35,400
this past offseason, the Bears could be pretty good.

707
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:36,760
Speaker 4: They really could be.

708
00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 3: The Lions, of course, are still the team to beat,

709
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:40,719
and the two new coordinators, I.

710
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 4: Get it, but.

711
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:48,519
Speaker 3: Their schedules tough, three extra games Pittsburgh, the Rams and

712
00:34:48,559 --> 00:34:50,679
the Bucks. And you look at how they start the season,

713
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:55,039
you know, Green Bay, Chicago, Baltimore, sincey Kansas City, Tampa, Minnesota, Washington,

714
00:34:55,079 --> 00:34:57,519
Philly in the first ten games. Only easy game they

715
00:34:57,559 --> 00:35:01,639
have is Cleveland during that span. You know, we could

716
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:06,280
see value on Detroit later in the year. If they

717
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:09,079
start out, let's say they're five hundred at the halfway point,

718
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:11,360
that might be the time to look at the Allions

719
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:14,199
to win the division, or some futures on the Lions

720
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:19,639
then in Green Bay. This is certainly a surprisingly large

721
00:35:19,679 --> 00:35:21,719
sentiment in the betting markets, at least the people that

722
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,920
I talked to here in Las Vegas look at the Packers.

723
00:35:24,559 --> 00:35:25,159
Speaker 4: And go yeah.

724
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:31,079
Speaker 3: I looked at Green Bay and go yeah, yeah. You know,

725
00:35:32,199 --> 00:35:34,000
the NFL showcase in this team he got four night

726
00:35:34,039 --> 00:35:37,519
games the first ten weeks. They are three extras Arizona, Carolina, Denver.

727
00:35:37,559 --> 00:35:40,519
I like two of those three teams. Carolina is still

728
00:35:40,559 --> 00:35:41,840
going to be Carolina, I believe.

729
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:44,199
Speaker 4: But I certainly look.

730
00:35:44,599 --> 00:35:47,199
Speaker 3: At Green Bay as being a team not to overlook

731
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:48,079
in this division.

732
00:35:49,679 --> 00:35:53,079
Speaker 4: No, not at all. The Biking's gonna go as far

733
00:35:53,079 --> 00:35:54,440
as J. J. McCarthy could take him.

734
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:56,519
Speaker 3: Last time he saw McCarthy playing, he won a national

735
00:35:56,559 --> 00:35:59,199
championship in Michigan. He certainly looked a part this offseason.

736
00:35:59,199 --> 00:36:01,719
He looked a part last offseason. They made every move

737
00:36:02,199 --> 00:36:06,440
to keep McCarthy and not let Darnold go, which we

738
00:36:06,519 --> 00:36:08,480
so go. We'll have you know, I'm confident I'll have

739
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,400
a couple of growing, paying games, but by the end

740
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:14,239
of the year he could be pretty done good. They

741
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,079
only have one true road game the first seven weeks.

742
00:36:16,079 --> 00:36:20,519
They have two games in London. There are three extras Atlanta,

743
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:25,199
the Chargers, and Seattle. Not the toughest trio that you're

744
00:36:25,199 --> 00:36:30,079
going to see opposing teams face. So you know, it's

745
00:36:30,119 --> 00:36:33,559
a very tough division. The worst team in this division

746
00:36:34,199 --> 00:36:36,559
would be one of the best teams in like one

747
00:36:36,599 --> 00:36:40,159
of the South divisions. The Bears might be favored to

748
00:36:40,199 --> 00:36:43,960
win the AFC South, but here, obviously they're the fourth

749
00:36:44,039 --> 00:36:45,920
choice because that's the division they're in.

750
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,559
Speaker 2: All right, let's move along to the NFC South again. Guys,

751
00:36:49,559 --> 00:36:52,320
if you have a question for Teddy, drop it in

752
00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:54,519
the chat. We've got some NFC wast questions. We'll get

753
00:36:54,519 --> 00:36:56,199
to here in a minute, but first we got to

754
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:58,679
talk to the talk about the division that is closest

755
00:36:58,719 --> 00:36:59,480
to my new home.

756
00:37:00,039 --> 00:37:00,239
Speaker 4: Teddy.

757
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:03,719
Speaker 2: I've been to a lot of Bucks games since I

758
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,519
moved to Florida. They are the front runner here, but

759
00:37:06,679 --> 00:37:10,400
just minus one fifteen to win the NFC South Falcons

760
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:14,800
plus two ten Carolina plus four seventy five New Orleans

761
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,119
eighteen to one. Teddy took a longer shot flyer here

762
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,559
on the Carolina Panthers. I do like Baker Mayfield in

763
00:37:21,599 --> 00:37:24,119
this Bucks defense, but I think that they benefited from

764
00:37:24,159 --> 00:37:26,599
a lot of things going their way the past few seasons.

765
00:37:27,079 --> 00:37:30,119
The Falcons, I'm not sure what we're going to see

766
00:37:30,159 --> 00:37:33,000
from this team. I'm not high on them, but the

767
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:35,440
Panthers seem really interesting to me. I think that they've

768
00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:38,440
made some nice offseason moves and in a division that

769
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:40,039
seems to be fairly wide open.

770
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 1: Almost five to one held some value to me.

771
00:37:43,559 --> 00:37:44,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm not.

772
00:37:44,599 --> 00:37:49,199
Speaker 3: Getting there with Carolina. In fact, I lay the price

773
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:51,360
with Tampa. If I had to make one bet in

774
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,719
this division, Tampa is the best team. It's really not

775
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:55,199
that close.

776
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,119
Speaker 4: And you talk about Atlanta, I've got concerns about.

777
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 3: Atlanta as Wellheen Morris. I'm not a coach. I'm not

778
00:38:02,039 --> 00:38:04,440
a riped the coach guy, but I'm not a Raheem

779
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:07,360
Morris fan. Michael Pennick's got you know, he had three

780
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:09,760
starts against teams with weak defenses late in the season,

781
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:12,480
and they've you know, and obviously the Cousin's still on

782
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,519
the roster. Cousins won't be I'm assuming that someone, some

783
00:38:14,559 --> 00:38:17,119
quarterbacks is gonna hurt something trade for him fairly early.

784
00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:22,360
That's a reasonable assumption. Three extra games for Atlanta, Minnesota,

785
00:38:22,519 --> 00:38:27,039
Washington Colts in Berlin. None of those are easy earliest

786
00:38:27,079 --> 00:38:31,000
by possible. These am a long stretch afterwards. That being said,

787
00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:34,239
there's schedules. You know, I don't know if this is

788
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:36,280
the easiest stretch of any team all year, but it

789
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:38,920
might be close. They got Miami, New England, Indie, Carolina

790
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:40,800
and New Orleans, the Jets and Seattle over a seven

791
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:44,360
week span, you know, late October into December, so there's

792
00:38:44,519 --> 00:38:47,119
room for Atlanta schedule wise to make some noise. I

793
00:38:47,119 --> 00:38:50,119
just don't know if they're good enough. Plenty of talent

794
00:38:50,199 --> 00:38:52,000
on that team, they have not shown any signs to

795
00:38:52,039 --> 00:38:55,199
me to putting it together. You know, Carolina, you know,

796
00:38:55,639 --> 00:38:59,119
Canal has brought everyone back, but you have an embarrassing owner,

797
00:38:59,159 --> 00:39:01,480
a team that hasn't made the playoffs in twenty eighteen,

798
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:05,760
and they're like Tennessee and they're coming from complete rebuild.

799
00:39:06,559 --> 00:39:09,719
Speaker 4: So I can see them being better. I expect them

800
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:10,119
to be better.

801
00:39:10,199 --> 00:39:12,679
Speaker 3: NFC South teams, by the way, places NFC West and

802
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:18,599
AFC East opponents the three extras for this dismal Carolina squad, Dallas,

803
00:39:18,679 --> 00:39:21,880
Green Bay, Jacksonville their dogs and all of them, you know,

804
00:39:23,119 --> 00:39:24,599
And it's not the league showcase in this team.

805
00:39:24,599 --> 00:39:25,880
Speaker 4: They have a week fourteen.

806
00:39:25,559 --> 00:39:29,280
Speaker 3: By they could be all beat up by then there's again,

807
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:31,719
it's your money, do with it what you want. My

808
00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:33,840
money's not going on Carolina to win the division. And

809
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:34,920
at the end of the year, if they do, you

810
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:35,920
can mock me. It's fine.

811
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:36,559
Speaker 4: I won't be mad.

812
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:46,280
Speaker 3: When we talk about the Saints, this is looks like

813
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:50,480
the worst team in football. You know, there's there's there's

814
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:53,159
no sugarcoating what's gone on in New Orleans. A team

815
00:39:53,199 --> 00:39:55,800
that you know, kick the cans salary cap wise for

816
00:39:56,119 --> 00:39:59,119
very part of a decade, and now they're at the

817
00:39:59,159 --> 00:40:01,039
back end of that hanging all these guys that aren't

818
00:40:01,039 --> 00:40:03,880
there anymore, and it's a you know, it's a true rebuilding.

819
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,960
You have a new coach, three extra games, four New Orleans,

820
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:10,159
the Giants, the Bears, the Titans, so at least two

821
00:40:10,199 --> 00:40:15,559
of the three are okay. But it's not a it's

822
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:19,320
it's Tampa's division to lose. You know, the Bucks have

823
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:22,880
been there. They're loaded. Both sides of the ball look good.

824
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:24,960
Off the line looks good. You have a head coach

825
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:26,800
who you know, everyone likes ripping Todd Bowles because he

826
00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,000
doesn't he's not particularly emotional on the sideline.

827
00:40:29,079 --> 00:40:29,599
Speaker 4: I don't care.

828
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:34,480
Speaker 3: They got six games versus division teams, all lined at

829
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:37,000
seven and a half wins are lower, but the Jets,

830
00:40:37,039 --> 00:40:38,719
the only other team on their schedule lined lower than

831
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:41,559
eight and a half wins. The three extras Houston, Philly, Detroit,

832
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:44,079
much tougher than anyone else's division, so that does perhaps

833
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:46,800
give room for somebody else to make some noise. But

834
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,559
there's no other playoff team in this division. It's Tampa

835
00:40:49,639 --> 00:40:50,280
or passed for me.

836
00:40:51,199 --> 00:40:54,480
Speaker 2: I would agree, and it's Tampa's division to lose. Teddy,

837
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,840
We're gonna move along to the NFC West before we

838
00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:57,880
finish up the show here.

839
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,239
Speaker 1: But if you guys are watching, of course, on the

840
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,679
wayge to talk YouTube channel, hit that like button.

841
00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:05,960
Speaker 2: Make sure your subscribes you never miss another episode of

842
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:07,760
the opening line report. Teddy and are gonna be here

843
00:41:08,039 --> 00:41:11,000
every single Monday, including the Monday after Super Bowl. So

844
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:13,840
I already had to move my post super Bowl vacation

845
00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:16,679
by one day. All jokes aside, we love Teddy. We're

846
00:41:16,679 --> 00:41:19,039
gonna do some emergency betting alerts, so I got this. This

847
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:21,559
is a really cool thing off Amazon. I think it's

848
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:25,400
super fun. Apparently you can just magnet to your car,

849
00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:27,440
so maybe next time I get stuck in traffic, I

850
00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:30,320
can use that as well. Teddy, what else can they

851
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,559
be expecting here on Mondays? We're going to be live

852
00:41:32,679 --> 00:41:36,840
eleven eastern eight am Pacific every single Monday, getting ready

853
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:38,400
for the week for the NFL slate.

854
00:41:39,039 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 3: Look, it's not close. This is the best betting show

855
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:43,039
out there on a Monday. I think it's the best

856
00:41:43,039 --> 00:41:46,239
betting show out there any day, but for Monday morning.

857
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:48,960
Speaker 4: If you're someone like me who wants to get at

858
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:51,440
it early, pay attention early.

859
00:41:51,159 --> 00:41:53,679
Speaker 3: In the week, take advantage of betting numbers that aren't

860
00:41:53,679 --> 00:41:55,800
going to be there in a couple hours. This is

861
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:58,079
your show. The show has been growing, growing this year.

862
00:41:58,119 --> 00:41:59,880
I expected to blow up. You know, we got what

863
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:05,239
two hundred and twelve thousands followers drivers yeah, channel, and

864
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:07,519
that's only going up. You guys are talking about it

865
00:42:07,559 --> 00:42:09,559
with your friends. I appreciate that very much. If you

866
00:42:09,679 --> 00:42:14,480
like the show, tell somebody you know. But it's it's

867
00:42:15,159 --> 00:42:17,119
It will get you prepared for the week, and when

868
00:42:17,159 --> 00:42:19,559
you're go into work on Monday, you'll have more to

869
00:42:19,599 --> 00:42:21,239
talk or you'll have you'll have the key points to

870
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:24,519
talk about and impress your friends. So but more than that,

871
00:42:25,039 --> 00:42:27,079
my goal is make you guys money. My goal is

872
00:42:27,119 --> 00:42:29,519
to make me money, and you come along for the ride.

873
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:34,480
So we'll certainly be you know, for a thorough analysis

874
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:37,920
on Monday morning, what really happened yesterday? What can we

875
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:41,280
really expect to see this week. I'm not a fluff guy.

876
00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:42,880
I'm not the pump it up guy. I'm not a

877
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:45,039
hype guy. It's just not how I roll. If you

878
00:42:45,039 --> 00:42:49,159
want good analysis, come here every Monday, eight am Pacific,

879
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:50,280
eleven am East.

880
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, Teddy's right. I always have my notebook ready, pen

881
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:56,079
and paper. Get some of those early tidbits that I

882
00:42:56,079 --> 00:42:59,480
can also use throughout the week, something I may have missed.

883
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,119
I want you guys missing out on a single ounce

884
00:43:02,159 --> 00:43:05,119
of the best of the number and of course, the

885
00:43:05,119 --> 00:43:06,039
best of the information.

886
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:06,920
Speaker 1: Let's do this.

887
00:43:06,920 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 2: Last division before we get out of here and send

888
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:13,239
you guys on to wager Talk today. Jay Boff already

889
00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:15,760
asking me about the NFC West way back early in

890
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:17,719
the show, and then he thought I was picking on

891
00:43:17,800 --> 00:43:19,000
him by not answering his question.

892
00:43:19,119 --> 00:43:20,320
Speaker 1: We just hadn't got there yet.

893
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:23,840
Speaker 2: So let's talk about the NFC West here, Teddy, and

894
00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:25,679
he wants to know how we feel about San Francisco.

895
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:29,199
Perty has a new contract. He's lost some pieces on offense, Sure,

896
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:32,840
lots of people are high on them. Not show sure thoughts.

897
00:43:33,079 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 1: Also, Hi, Kelly and Vegas.

898
00:43:34,639 --> 00:43:37,119
Speaker 2: So let's get those division odds up so we can

899
00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:40,840
break this one down. The Niners plus one fifty five

900
00:43:41,039 --> 00:43:45,039
Rams two to one, Arizona plus four twenty five Seahawks

901
00:43:45,079 --> 00:43:48,400
five to one. This was a tightly contested division as well, Teddy,

902
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:52,239
I took a twenty to one flyer on the Niners

903
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:54,960
to win the Super Bowl last or the Niners benefited

904
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:59,960
in a negative way from injuries and turnovers and so forth.

905
00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:02,280
But one of the things it does always scare me

906
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:08,159
is when those quarterbacks finally get those big contracts. But

907
00:44:08,199 --> 00:44:10,239
I do think the Niners are gonna win the NFC West.

908
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:13,079
I do think that the Rams have a question mark

909
00:44:13,119 --> 00:44:16,440
as well, with the health of Matthew Stafford. Talk to

910
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:18,599
me about the NFC West before we get out of here.

911
00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:22,119
Speaker 3: So I talked earlier in the show about how you

912
00:44:22,159 --> 00:44:24,400
want to take some of the stuff you see in

913
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:25,599
preseason and take it with a.

914
00:44:25,519 --> 00:44:27,280
Speaker 4: Grain of salt. Tap the breaks down a little bit.

915
00:44:28,119 --> 00:44:29,119
This is not that.

916
00:44:30,039 --> 00:44:31,760
Speaker 3: And two of the teams we talked about, and I'm

917
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:33,440
gonna go in order like I do for everyone, but

918
00:44:34,039 --> 00:44:36,199
there are issues in Sanford. I don't think there's any

919
00:44:36,199 --> 00:44:37,880
team in the league that had a worse preseason in

920
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,840
San Francisco and the Rams are right there with them.

921
00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:46,039
So let's talk about it, and we'll start with Arizona.

922
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:49,159
Who's the team that showed upside last year. I spent

923
00:44:49,199 --> 00:44:51,079
a lot of money on defense this offseason. I do

924
00:44:51,159 --> 00:44:54,159
think if I'm gonna make one bet in the and

925
00:44:54,199 --> 00:44:57,079
the NFC West, to probably be Arizona to win the division.

926
00:44:57,519 --> 00:45:00,480
There's three extra games Green Bay, Dallas and since he

927
00:45:00,639 --> 00:45:02,800
not easy there, but they surely have a chance to

928
00:45:02,840 --> 00:45:04,760
get off to a hot start in New Orleans, Carolina,

929
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:08,280
San fran Seattle, Tennessee, and Indye the first six games

930
00:45:09,079 --> 00:45:11,800
and the back half team they were better on the

931
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:14,519
road than at home last year. In the back half season,

932
00:45:14,559 --> 00:45:16,119
they got a bunch of tough road games, So I

933
00:45:16,199 --> 00:45:19,000
think it's steal a couple of those, you know, Dallas, Seattle, Tampa,

934
00:45:19,039 --> 00:45:22,800
Houston since the Rams all tough. But I do think

935
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:24,519
there's upside for the Arizona, a team that spent a

936
00:45:24,559 --> 00:45:27,559
lot of money on defense this offseason, with the defensive mindset.

937
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,119
Speaker 4: The issues with Stafford are real, all right.

938
00:45:30,159 --> 00:45:34,440
Speaker 3: If Stafford gets hurt, if Stafford can't go, the Rams

939
00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:35,079
are in trouble.

940
00:45:35,199 --> 00:45:36,199
Speaker 4: And everybody knows that.

941
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:43,159
Speaker 3: You know, three extra games for the LA Rams, Philly, Baltimore, Detroit,

942
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:46,679
and of course NFC South and AFC South for the

943
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:50,239
NFC West. That makes it relatively easy in that regard.

944
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:52,840
But those three extras again, Philly, Baltimore, Detroit, that says

945
00:45:52,880 --> 00:45:56,599
tough as it gets for a team that it's clear

946
00:45:56,679 --> 00:46:01,119
that Stafford's back is an issue, and you know that

947
00:46:01,159 --> 00:46:03,960
worries me for La when it comes to futures. If

948
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,840
he stays healthy, team's got all kinds of upside, but

949
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,079
the backup quarterback is.

950
00:46:09,000 --> 00:46:11,599
Speaker 4: Not going to lead that team to the postseason. In

951
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:12,920
this Better's opinion.

952
00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:15,840
Speaker 3: San France scheduled so much easier this year than it

953
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:17,920
was last year. And they were minus ten turnovers and

954
00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:19,519
they were two and five and one score games, and

955
00:46:19,559 --> 00:46:22,440
you have Kyle Shanahan back and Robert Seal. I was like, oh,

956
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,039
they got the right defensive coordinator back then.

957
00:46:24,079 --> 00:46:27,159
Speaker 4: I get it. There's a love for San Francisco, but this.

958
00:46:27,079 --> 00:46:29,960
Speaker 3: Team was the injury real mess all year last year

959
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:33,639
and this August. I don't think any team had more

960
00:46:33,679 --> 00:46:37,719
injuries than San Francisco. Two key guys that worries me

961
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:40,440
a lot, especially when you had to you know, I

962
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,960
thin again, they jettisoned a bunch of veterans and big names.

963
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:44,360
I don't always worry about that when you had to

964
00:46:44,400 --> 00:46:47,840
pay brock perty two hundred sixty five million, But as

965
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,400
soon as you start have to pay your quarterback, that

966
00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:52,880
affects your depth. Just ask what happened to Cincinnati when

967
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:55,719
they paid Joe Burrow and everybody else who's a star

968
00:46:56,239 --> 00:46:59,880
for the Bengals. Three extra games for San Franisi, the Giants, Chicago,

969
00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:04,599
Cleveland in theory, but if they don't have healthy players,

970
00:47:05,480 --> 00:47:07,000
it could be a concern, especially if they have a

971
00:47:07,039 --> 00:47:09,960
week fourteen by and you know, Seattle's a team that

972
00:47:10,639 --> 00:47:14,320
on paper they lost a lot. They're three extra games Pittsburgh, Washington, Minnesota,

973
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:18,079
all relatively tough, and they have a tough start San

974
00:47:18,159 --> 00:47:22,159
France at pitt New Orleans at Arizona, Tampa Jacksonville road game,

975
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:25,599
Houston at Washington, Arizona and the Rams first ten.

976
00:47:26,559 --> 00:47:28,079
Speaker 4: They could get off to a rough start. If they

977
00:47:28,079 --> 00:47:30,519
get off to a rough start, do we see Jalen Milroe.

978
00:47:30,760 --> 00:47:31,199
I don't know.

979
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:35,119
Speaker 3: So Seahawks are not a team that I'm particularly enamored

980
00:47:35,159 --> 00:47:37,480
with coming in to the regular season.

981
00:47:39,119 --> 00:47:41,719
Speaker 2: All right, Guys, that has been the opening line report

982
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:44,679
breaking down all of those divisions for you guys here

983
00:47:44,679 --> 00:47:46,639
on the Wager talking Tube channel, of course, all of

984
00:47:46,639 --> 00:47:50,559
those social media channels, I think, as well as Kick and.

985
00:47:50,519 --> 00:47:52,519
Speaker 1: Maybe even Rumble. I'm not even sure we're I should

986
00:47:52,519 --> 00:47:52,920
probably know.

987
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:54,599
Speaker 2: This is part of my job, but we're on every

988
00:47:54,639 --> 00:47:58,679
single platform available at this point in time, including Spreaker.

989
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:03,400
So if you guys listen to any podcasts, Apple Podcasts, Spotify,

990
00:48:04,079 --> 00:48:06,360
basically every single podcast network, you guys can catch us

991
00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:08,280
there as well.

992
00:48:09,280 --> 00:48:11,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, I just described so, I download the podcast on

993
00:48:11,519 --> 00:48:13,119
Spotify now, thanks.

994
00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:16,239
Speaker 1: I love that for us, we have our own, our

995
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:19,000
own little thumb there opening a line report on of course,

996
00:48:19,039 --> 00:48:20,920
any podcast network that you.

997
00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:24,280
Speaker 2: So choose, Teddy. That's all I've got today. I appreciate

998
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,360
everybody hanging out with us. Any final words before we

999
00:48:27,400 --> 00:48:28,199
see you next Monday.

1000
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:30,440
Speaker 4: Did we have any last questions from the chat? Or

1001
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:31,079
is that all? We got?

1002
00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:32,239
Speaker 1: Lots of comments?

1003
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:34,559
Speaker 2: I think it's this is a really fun chat. We've

1004
00:48:34,559 --> 00:48:36,559
got lots of people got it bickering back and forth.

1005
00:48:36,599 --> 00:48:39,440
They've got their opinions. But I'll give you guys last

1006
00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:42,880
call here for questions. No more questions in the chat

1007
00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:44,760
We're gonna get you guys out of here. Get ready

1008
00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:48,400
for Andy Lang in the Well of course show Wager

1009
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:50,599
Talk today. If you guys want to see more, Teddy's

1010
00:48:50,679 --> 00:48:52,280
going to be part of bet On It Extra.

1011
00:48:52,400 --> 00:48:55,320
Speaker 1: He's going to be bringing you that same segment last year.

1012
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:56,320
You know, the stock Watch.

1013
00:48:56,559 --> 00:48:57,880
Speaker 2: Yeah I don't have a watch on, but you get

1014
00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:00,360
the idea, guys, stock Watch where he is going to

1015
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:03,280
bring you a team later on in the week that

1016
00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:05,760
you need to be buying on or selling on, So

1017
00:49:05,880 --> 00:49:06,519
be sure.

1018
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:08,280
Speaker 1: To check that out as well.

1019
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:13,599
Speaker 2: WT Dot Buzz, Backslash TC for Teddy covers if you

1020
00:49:13,639 --> 00:49:17,239
want to join Teddy for this upcoming NFL season?

1021
00:49:20,599 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 4: Am I talking? Are we done?