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Speaker 1: Well, what's going on?

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Speaker 2: Everybody?

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Speaker 1: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,

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we already start this show by being transparent. And yesterday

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I went two and one again, so profitable day Top

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Play did win. I don't know why. I can't remember

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what the players were yesterday, you know, but I did

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go to in one regardless. How's everything for you yesterday?

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How you doing today?

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Speaker 3: Things were good? Yesterday had a two and oh one

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in the w was the Sparks game over. The total

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against Washington went way over the total nineteen ninety eighty final.

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That worked, as did a NBA Summer League game Brooklyn

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nets New York next That one over got there as well.

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So two and oh yesterday on the hook here this

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afternoon early got one home in a little revenge spot.

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We played Minnesota first quarter against Phoenix. That worked, but

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I played way too early yesterday afternoon, ski playing the

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Chicago Atlantic game over before the injuries came out, and

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last night I had to scurry back and try and

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try and cover up for that mess and it turns

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out to be a mess boy. Chicago just hasn't been

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able to score here. So I'm gonna wind up one

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on one this afternoon.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I was on the show last night with Kyle

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and we talked about that game, and I talked all

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about the team total under for Chicago. I didn't take it,

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of course, but I do remember what I had yesterday.

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I had Connecticut plus sixteen. That was the five dollars

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Tuesday play. That was my best bet. It was a winner,

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and the first half over eighty four and a half

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was a winner. And then I lost on Britney Sykes

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over fifteen and a half points. Didn't even try, you know,

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she was just I didn't like that at all, I'll

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tell you that. But we got three more games here

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for today and see if we can get to some

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more money. Got a couple of games going on right

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now as well, finishing up fourth quarter of one, and

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maybe we can get some halftime looks on Phoenix and Minnesota,

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we'll see, all right, first game we'll talk about here

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today looks like Valkyries and Storm. This game opened up

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Storm minus five and a half, hasn't really moved total

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open one fifty eight and a half and it's down

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as low as one fifty five and a half. Injuries,

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I do not see any on there. Pretty clean right there.

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This will be a rest advantage spot for the Storm

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they last played on the thirteenth compared to the Valkyries

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who played on the fourteenth. Both teams are off of losses.

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Seattle lost to Washington as a favorite and Golden State

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at the end of that last game versus Phoenix lost

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on a free though, So this one, this one is

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a little tough here. You know, I say, with both

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teams off of loss, you should get a good effort

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from both of them. Two really good defensive teams as well.

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I mean, I can understand why the total has come

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down a little bit here. Let me just remind myself

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it has come down about two points. I think I'm

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in agreement with that. And you know, if Valkyries would

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have won yesterday, I would have been looking a little

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bit more to the Storm probably or not yesterday but

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the other day. But because they didn't like and the

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way that they lost, I just think they're gonna play

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really hard, and they've been really good all year when

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they're catching points. So I can't go against the Vokyries

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plus five and a half, and I do think it's

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more of an undergame. How do you see this one

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be no.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, in terms of how they lost that game, Ski,

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we alluded to it a little bit yesterday. A free throw,

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a foul committed against the list of Thomas with one

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second left Seattle or excuse me, Golden They head coached

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Natalie Nicasi just losing off of a free throw that

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to me hurts. Head coach didn't like the fact that

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she lost with one second left to a free throw either,

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So maybe Golden State comes a little bit of a chip.

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Speaker 2: On her shoulder. I know this.

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Speaker 3: They've played Seattle twice so far this season. They've beaten

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them pretty well. Two times. Both were at home, though,

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and we know that Golden State's been They're feisty everywhere,

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to use your word, but they've been feisty you're at home.

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I don't like what I've seen out of Seattle's offense

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the last couple of games. I mean, it's like it's

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reverting backwards again. They had that really nice win on

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the road against the Liberty and then heading into break

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your next three games are two with Connecticut and one

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at home with Washington, and you get beat straight up

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by Connecticut and Washington. And in the game that you won,

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you didn't even look that good seventy nine to sixty five.

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So I don't know what's up with Seattle in these

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games against Golden State. And this again, this will be

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the first time they played Golden State here in Seattle.

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But in these games against Golden State, NECA hasn't played

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all that well five of sixteen combined in two games,

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just fourteen points against this team. Could be a little

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bit of like you say, really good defense out of

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the Valkyries, or it could just have been a couple

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of poor performance shooting wise.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. We know that venue is pretty tough.

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There I looked.

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Speaker 3: Here's where I look ski after I read this quote

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from Seattle head coach Noel Quinn, who's in response to

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the team scoring ten points in the first ten minutes

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against the Mystics, so at ten point first quarter. She

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said the team must correct that in order to beat

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the Valkyries tonight. When I see coaches or notable players

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talk about needing to get off the quick starts, I

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take that pretty seriously most of the time. So I

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looked towards Seattle in the first quarter here at home

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revenge spot head coach it says we got to get

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off to a quicker start, and they're only a one

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and a half point favorite first quarter. So if I

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were to look in this game, I haven't bet it yet,

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but I think that would be my My play would

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be first quarter Seattle to win by a bucket. Just

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adding all those elements up. But overall, I kind of

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agree with both of these line moves, and I agree

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with a lot of what you said that points toward

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Golden State in under.

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Speaker 2: As far as full game is concerned, hit that mute

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buttons Ki.

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Speaker 1: My bad. Yeah, Jeff, Jeff likes to under and m

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He's mentioned in a storm just off of bad loss

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and got blown out last time versus the Valkyriz things

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that maybe they should give a good effort here, and uh,

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I can understand when to get on the storm early,

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you know, justin cooland also liking the storm, I can understand.

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I do think it'll be a lower scoring game. I'll

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say that. Let's keep going down the list. We have

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Indiana and New York. This one opened up well, I

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feel like so there was these there was It wasn't

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open on the West. Maybe it was open on fandor

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or somewhere else at the lower numbers, but it didn't

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open up over here, So the opener I have is

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minus nine and as high as ten and a half.

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Right now, total open one sixty five and a half

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and it's as low as one sixty three. For the

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injury report. Kaitlin Clark has not been ruled out yet,

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but I mean she's questionable. I wouldn't expect her to

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play personally, and we know John Quolt Jones is still

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out for this Liberty team. The Fever did play yesterday,

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they were able to squeak out a win versus Sun.

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Now they have to see the Liberty here on the road.

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Liberty have started to play a little bit better lately, Vino.

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I think they've won three of their last four. We

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know how important Foebich is in the lineup for them.

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Do you think they keep it going here? Do you

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think Kaitlyn Clark is gonna play? And do you think

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New York can win by double digits?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: The interesting question here, Ski is that you know already

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and it hasn't been I mean it's been announced for

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maybe two three days. But the three point contest that

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the All Star Game, which features Kitlyn Clark and Sabrina Enescu,

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you would have got that match up here. I would

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think that Caitlyn Clark, if she can go, would go here.

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I think that you put team first before All Star weekend.

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But as I thought that, I'm not so sure.

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Speaker 2: I mean the last name, you know, yes, with less

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than forty seconds left.

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Speaker 3: I mean the fact that they got pushed by Connecticut

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so hard last night in a game where they were

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sixteen point favorites. Makes her be on the court with

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less than forty seconds left and get her tweaked the groin.

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Speaker 2: We don't know what it is. If you ask me.

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Speaker 3: She was crying at the end of the game. I

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don't think she'll go here. I don't even know if

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she'll be able to go where the All Star Game

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is concerned. But I was trying to way back and forth,

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is what would she deem more important? Is it more

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important to the league to have her available for the

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All Star Game? Is it more important to her to

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go for her team? They played back to backs and

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they got to win last night. Maybe your rest her here.

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I can't help but think Ski that it's reminiscent. I'll

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go to an NBA comparison here. It's kind of reminiscent

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of what happened to ad came back after that abductor

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or whatever it was, and then two games later heard

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it again and he was out for a while. Not

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so sure what this injury is, but we'll have to

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wait and see. All that being said, if she can't go,

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these numbers are going to be affected for sure. But

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this is why Indiana got Ary McDonald because her first

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game she got used to running the team without Caitlin

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Clark being available. Then she got more games under her belt.

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She looked fine running the Indiana fever. So while she

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may not be Caitlin Clark as a passer, she certainly

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is a more than capable point guard here. And to me,

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there's a couple of things here when I look at

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Indiana and what they might be able to produce offensively.

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New York's defense has been bad last ten games. The

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New York defense eighty four point nine per game, ninth

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in the WNBA. Indiana scoring is second in the league

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last ten games, and those last ten games, five of

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them are without Caitlin Clark. Liberty number eleven last ten games.

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An effective field goal percentage allowed Indiana offense number three,

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New York eight, and defensive raiding Indiana too in offensive raiding.

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I mean New York doesn't defend the paint last ten games,

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number ten in paint field goal percentage, Indiana offense number

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two in that category. So there's a lot of matchups

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here that could work for Indiana. I take that and

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you weigh that with New York, which and Sabrini and

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Escu was three for twenty from the floy the other

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day fifteen percent oh of seven from three point range.

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To me, that spells bounced back where she's concerned. Natasha

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Cloud was one of five over to the starting back

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what was four twenty five. I think you get a

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bounce back there. Liberty only shot thirty eight and a

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half percent. They two lead the league in points scored

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eighty six point three, And I think there's a revenge

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mode if your first time around they get beat one

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O two to eighty eight on national television on a

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Saturday afternoon by Indiana in Indiana, So I know New

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York doesn't forget that. And I'll say this, they scored

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eighty eight points in that game without John Cuell Jones

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and without Leoni Phoebus. She was playing EuroBasket at the time.

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So the two of their three best three point shooters,

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Phoebus is shooting fifty percent from three, Jones forty three

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over forty three percent from three, and they still got

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to eighty eight. Yenescu and and Brianna Stewart had big games.

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Their team total here is eighty six and a half.

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I don't think that they should have any problem getting

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over eighty six and a half here. If I think

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that way, and what I said earlier about the Liberty

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defense being bad, you probably like full game total too.

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But I would wait on it because as soon as

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they say that Caitlin Clark is out, you're gonna go

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from one sixty three probably down to one sixty one,

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maybe lower. You probably get a better price later. But

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I think both of those overs work here.

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Speaker 2: Ski. I think the Liberty will score and score.

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Speaker 3: Big revenge motive for them, and also a bounce back

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for Yenescu and her and her shooting, and potentially a

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full game over. But I would wait on that one

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because I think you're going to get a better price.

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Speaker 1: Man, I kind of disagree. I kind of disagree here, Rob.

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I think I mean both teams are capable of playing defense.

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Let me just go I want to look at last

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games here over at the Moneybottery, I think, I mean,

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00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:08,120
both teams are capable. Liberty just held Atlanta to seventy two,

240
00:13:08,759 --> 00:13:12,399
Vegas to seventy eight, Seattle to seventy nine. Even though

241
00:13:12,399 --> 00:13:17,360
they lost Sparks to seventy nine. Liberty are playing solid defense.

242
00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:20,879
Last five game stats, they are number one defensive rated team.

243
00:13:21,519 --> 00:13:26,759
So I think that they can continue that, especially in

244
00:13:26,799 --> 00:13:29,600
a revenge spot like you mentioned. And for the fever,

245
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,279
I mean it's been it's been a little bit shaky

246
00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,080
in a couple of games. But one thing I will

247
00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:41,519
say is if Kaitlin Clark doesn't play the defense, the

248
00:13:41,519 --> 00:13:47,159
defense gets better. The offense also gets a little bit worse.

249
00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:50,840
The defense gets better, so that means less points to me,

250
00:13:52,639 --> 00:13:54,159
and the fever being on the second of a back

251
00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:57,879
to back, I think they could die out offensively, especially

252
00:13:57,919 --> 00:13:59,840
as the game goes on. Another thing I just want

253
00:13:59,879 --> 00:14:02,679
to I've been listening to a few of the players

254
00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:07,600
interviews lately and they're asked about what helps them be

255
00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:11,919
successful on offense or what helps them be successful in general.

256
00:14:12,399 --> 00:14:14,679
And the first thing Kelsey Mitchell said it. She said,

257
00:14:15,039 --> 00:14:19,080
it's really our defense, and she just you know, elaborates

258
00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:23,480
on how the defense is most important. Yesterday, Sophie Cunningham

259
00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:27,120
says the same thing in her postgame interview. So I

260
00:14:27,159 --> 00:14:29,879
see this as more of a defensive game. And the

261
00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,600
numbers already dropped, probably because they expect Kaitlyn Clark to

262
00:14:32,679 --> 00:14:35,039
be out. I don't think it's gonna you know, you're

263
00:14:35,039 --> 00:14:36,720
not gonna get a better number. If you like under,

264
00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:39,440
if you like over, yeah you should probably wait. But

265
00:14:40,559 --> 00:14:46,039
I think I'm more of under in this game. You

266
00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:50,279
Capur in the Buildings says it's okay to disagree. Ski Okay,

267
00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:53,919
Mark looks like he had a nice little first half

268
00:14:53,919 --> 00:14:56,159
on the Mercury plus six and a half. I need

269
00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:59,440
him for the full game, so I need them to fight, fight, Mercury,

270
00:14:59,559 --> 00:15:06,200
keep it up. Let's see a couple other people happy

271
00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:09,480
with that Mercury. I guess real quick here, if you

272
00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:11,480
know thirty three thirty seven at the end of the

273
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:13,440
first half. I didn't get to watch that second quarter

274
00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:17,519
as much because I've been on here with you. But

275
00:15:19,559 --> 00:15:22,120
the second half number I saw four and a half

276
00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:24,600
or I still see one at bet MGM. But I

277
00:15:24,639 --> 00:15:27,480
see a five and a half popping up fives mostly.

278
00:15:27,799 --> 00:15:30,639
I mean, second half is moving a lot towards the Links.

279
00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:33,279
It is a revenge spot for the Links. You know,

280
00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:38,639
they have been a really good second half team. Do

281
00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:41,600
you think the line is moving in the right direction there?

282
00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:45,279
Or the total second half total of seventy six and

283
00:15:45,279 --> 00:15:47,480
a half, maybe they think they continue to see really

284
00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:49,159
good defense. I don't want anything to do with the total,

285
00:15:49,159 --> 00:15:55,000
I'll tell you that right now. But the side, well,

286
00:15:55,039 --> 00:15:56,840
I already know what I need to win, so I'm

287
00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,080
not betting the second half. But I'm curious if you

288
00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,080
have an opinion of you know, yeah.

289
00:16:00,919 --> 00:16:03,360
Speaker 3: If you already have the Mercury and you have them

290
00:16:03,399 --> 00:16:06,960
plus ten, then there's no reason to take five and

291
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,320
a half in the second It's basically the same thing, right,

292
00:16:11,879 --> 00:16:14,120
So you stick with what you have and see what

293
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:17,039
happens twenty one to ten. And I thought, maybe you know,

294
00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:22,919
it's in response to what Ronald said, and it's okay

295
00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,480
to disagree. I mean, I did have Minnesota first quarter,

296
00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:28,159
they win Phoenix first half day when twenty one to

297
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,559
ten first quarter gets turned around by Phoenix twenty three

298
00:16:30,519 --> 00:16:33,600
to sixteen second quarter, and perhaps a lot of that

299
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:36,919
is due to the fact that My line of thinking

300
00:16:36,919 --> 00:16:38,399
real quick was they might have a little bit of

301
00:16:38,399 --> 00:16:41,000
trouble ball handling to start the game. Really no guards

302
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,000
on this team, Melissa Thomas would have to take over

303
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:46,320
most of the ball handling. Be shaky early. Looks like

304
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,279
they got it stabilized in the second quarter, and now

305
00:16:49,279 --> 00:16:51,600
we see where it goes from here. I'd be a

306
00:16:51,679 --> 00:16:54,519
little bit scared. I think you said it best because

307
00:16:54,519 --> 00:16:56,840
Minnesota's been a good second half team that we saw

308
00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:57,519
it the other night.

309
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:00,399
Speaker 2: You and I actually text back.

310
00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:02,279
Speaker 3: And forth about the ryl Reeve went into the locker

311
00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:04,119
room disappointed with the way the team played in the

312
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,599
first half. They came out and we're fired up second half.

313
00:17:07,279 --> 00:17:09,920
This is the last half of basketball before you head

314
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,480
into the All Star breaks, so I think you'll get

315
00:17:12,519 --> 00:17:14,799
top effort from both teams. It's just the question of,

316
00:17:15,599 --> 00:17:20,680
you know, who's got the better personnel here, man, I

317
00:17:20,759 --> 00:17:23,480
don't know. I think I would lay off this thing entirely,

318
00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:25,640
especially if I'm you when you already have Phoenix. I

319
00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:30,720
would just say, you know, I'll ride this out, all right.

320
00:17:30,759 --> 00:17:32,480
Speaker 1: That's that I mean, That's what I'm gonna do. I

321
00:17:32,519 --> 00:17:36,240
will say, links are really good second half, So We're

322
00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:37,799
we're gonna have to fight for this one.

323
00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:39,519
Speaker 2: Just bet it down to five.

324
00:17:41,079 --> 00:17:42,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna have to We're gonna have to fight

325
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,079
for this one. I know that for sure. Let's get

326
00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:47,000
to the next game, the last game on a slate

327
00:17:47,039 --> 00:17:53,759
for today, Aces and Wings. This one opened up minus

328
00:17:53,759 --> 00:17:57,640
five and a half. I see, I mean it's kind

329
00:17:57,640 --> 00:18:01,000
of all over. We'll call six. The consensus total open

330
00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:04,200
one seventy two, and it's down as low as one

331
00:18:04,319 --> 00:18:07,319
sixty nine and a half. As far as an injury report,

332
00:18:07,519 --> 00:18:11,079
Cheyenne Parker Tyres remains out. She did just have a child,

333
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:16,799
so that's why she's been away. Dallas Wings, we have

334
00:18:17,039 --> 00:18:23,960
Carrington listed as questionable. Secrets still remains remains out the ass.

335
00:18:24,079 --> 00:18:26,279
If I'm not mistaken yet, they do have the rest

336
00:18:26,279 --> 00:18:29,759
advantage here, three games compared to two. Both teams do

337
00:18:29,799 --> 00:18:33,559
have a little bit of rest. The Wings. This is

338
00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:35,880
the second game home after a pretty long road trip

339
00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:40,440
for the Aces and having a few days off in between.

340
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:43,559
For the Wings. It's their first game after a three

341
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:47,799
game road trip. We usually call that a flat spot, right,

342
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:52,440
you know? And uh man, I can't I can't help

343
00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:55,720
but think they might be extra flat today like the

344
00:18:55,759 --> 00:18:57,839
Wings in my in my mind, they don't really have

345
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:01,720
too much to play for, like their season, and they're

346
00:19:01,759 --> 00:19:04,160
not making noise this year. That's just how it is

347
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:08,839
what it is. And game before the break, Errique just

348
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,640
came back and they looked absolutely terrible, Like I don't

349
00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:13,680
see much changing in this game before the break is

350
00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:17,839
kind of what I'm hinting at here. For the Aces, though,

351
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:20,759
I do feel like the game is more important to them.

352
00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:25,480
They're one game below five hundred after, you know, underperforming

353
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:27,960
as much as they did. They can go into the

354
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:30,200
break just that five hundred. I think they felt a

355
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,920
lot better about themselves. So I think the Aces would

356
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,839
be a little bit more for the side that I trust,

357
00:19:37,519 --> 00:19:39,599
and I think they can really name their number. I'm

358
00:19:39,599 --> 00:19:41,400
gonna check the team total while'll pass it to you.

359
00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:42,960
How do you feel about this game?

360
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:48,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's hard for me to lay that type of

361
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,039
price with Las Vegas, But that being said, it's just

362
00:19:51,079 --> 00:19:53,240
as hard to take that price with Dallas off of

363
00:19:53,279 --> 00:19:55,079
what I just saw that three game. You know, they

364
00:19:55,079 --> 00:19:57,799
headed into that three game road trip pretty confident. They

365
00:19:57,799 --> 00:20:02,000
were coming off a win against Phoenix eighty nine. They

366
00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,240
beat that team without a Riku. I think we talked

367
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,519
about that last week, how it looked like the you

368
00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:09,880
know page and a couple of others were talking about

369
00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:12,400
how they shared and things were good, and the head

370
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:16,200
coach was happy to go back and play Phoenix again

371
00:20:16,279 --> 00:20:20,359
in Phoenix, and they got destroyed by a shorthanded Phoenix team.

372
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,799
Then they got destroyed by Chicago, Then they got destroyed

373
00:20:23,799 --> 00:20:27,720
by Indiana. It's hard to take that team, it really is.

374
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:30,480
My inclination always with them is to look at the

375
00:20:30,519 --> 00:20:33,960
over first, see if you can get this game up

376
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:38,160
and over. And the Las Vegas defense still is a

377
00:20:38,279 --> 00:20:40,759
roller coaster ski. I mean one game they look like

378
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,720
you know, Becky yells and screams and they come out

379
00:20:43,759 --> 00:20:45,200
and they play well, but they gave up one hundred

380
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,279
and two in regulation to Golden State last game.

381
00:20:48,319 --> 00:20:49,519
Speaker 2: I mean, they're just not.

382
00:20:49,599 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 3: There defensively, and Dallas certainly can take advantage of teams

383
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,359
with their offense. I've reading a couple of coaches from

384
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,839
Paige Becker this morning. You know, the process is slow,

385
00:21:00,039 --> 00:21:00,480
We're not going.

386
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,240
Speaker 2: To change what we do. We're still young. Blah blah

387
00:21:03,279 --> 00:21:04,319
blah blah blah blah.

388
00:21:04,599 --> 00:21:08,599
Speaker 3: None of that indicates a win, but they do play

389
00:21:08,599 --> 00:21:12,759
better at home, and the Aces again have been so

390
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:15,640
up and down I'm afraid to bet that side.

391
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:17,480
Speaker 2: Tell you the.

392
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:21,039
Speaker 3: Truth, this game has come down a little bit toward

393
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,920
the under, and in my head, I think that's because

394
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:25,440
they just.

395
00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:27,799
Speaker 2: Gave up one hundred and two. The Aces did.

396
00:21:28,039 --> 00:21:31,759
Speaker 3: And their focus probably tonight will be on defense. Not

397
00:21:31,799 --> 00:21:34,400
that they're a good defensive team, but when they do focus,

398
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,559
which is once every other game, I guess they do

399
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:41,039
play better d So maybe it doesn't get over. I

400
00:21:41,079 --> 00:21:43,880
had a lot of conflicts back and forth with this game.

401
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:48,359
Didn't play, but like I said, man, I hate myself

402
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:50,680
for wanting to bet Dallas plus six so badly, but

403
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,160
it's kind of the way I would lean if, in

404
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,000
fact I had to bet it, which I haven't.

405
00:21:56,920 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 1: Mark likes Page Becker's over seventy nine points. Can't talk

406
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:06,119
y'all for that, Jeffery said, Scared they bounced back after

407
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:12,519
that horrible performance first Indy Jeffrey says, also, highest total

408
00:22:12,559 --> 00:22:15,359
on the board is an overreaction to the Golden State game.

409
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:19,759
Feels like the total is too high. One seventy is

410
00:22:20,519 --> 00:22:22,440
about where you should be for Wings games. If Wings

411
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,599
games are lying under one seventy, you should automatically look

412
00:22:25,599 --> 00:22:30,960
at the over That's how I feel. I'll say this here.

413
00:22:31,079 --> 00:22:36,680
You know, Aces defense has not been the greatest. If

414
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:39,359
you trust the Mercury to score, I mean, if you

415
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:44,119
trust the Wings to score, this game should should definitely

416
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,799
clear one seventy. I mean, just looking at what they've

417
00:22:46,839 --> 00:22:49,160
been giving up lately. All right, let's go to let's

418
00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,119
go to the Wings one o two to Indiana. They

419
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,480
gave up eighty seven to Chicago, which is the team

420
00:22:54,519 --> 00:22:57,920
total for Aces. Tonight the gave a one o two

421
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:02,079
to Phoenix eighty nine Phoenix, like they'll give it up.

422
00:23:02,599 --> 00:23:05,240
And we can look at the last few times these

423
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:11,960
teams are played Aces, I mean Aces ninety plus. Well,

424
00:23:12,039 --> 00:23:14,839
what team total is eighty seven and a half, so

425
00:23:15,039 --> 00:23:17,720
they've cleared that in their last five meetings. Versus Dallas

426
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,240
won this season the rest in other seasons. But this

427
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,119
Dallas defense is ass that's the more of a story.

428
00:23:24,559 --> 00:23:30,519
So it's over or nothing in this game, and I

429
00:23:30,519 --> 00:23:32,079
would just trust the Aces to do a little bit

430
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,519
more of the scoring. That's how I feel. Anything else

431
00:23:34,559 --> 00:23:36,440
to add their you know, real.

432
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:38,319
Speaker 3: Quick, I'll say this when a Rik came back the

433
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:42,160
other day. She immediately went over ten from the floor

434
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:45,720
over three from three. But what they tried in that

435
00:23:45,799 --> 00:23:49,119
game was kind of like with Indiana tried in Kitland

436
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,599
Clark's first game back. They left Arry McDonald then his

437
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,279
starting point guard, moved Kaitlyn Clark to small forward. Here

438
00:23:54,559 --> 00:23:57,119
they let JJ Quinnerley play point guard as in the

439
00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,319
starting lineup and move the rik is small forward.

440
00:24:01,079 --> 00:24:01,920
Speaker 2: You probably have to.

441
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,279
Speaker 3: Change that back to what they had to start the season, right,

442
00:24:04,279 --> 00:24:06,720
Probably have to move Page back to handling the ball

443
00:24:06,759 --> 00:24:09,559
and move a Rique back to the two and he

444
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:11,920
get his Ia James back into the three spot. But

445
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:15,279
I don't know that they'll do that. I'm with you, Ski,

446
00:24:15,319 --> 00:24:17,160
I mean, you know how I am with these Dallas games.

447
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:20,559
I love to play them over, and my first instinct

448
00:24:20,599 --> 00:24:24,680
would be to play this game over. I just it

449
00:24:24,839 --> 00:24:28,240
scares me that Becky gets so angry with this team

450
00:24:28,279 --> 00:24:31,400
off miserable defensive performances, and maybe they show up here,

451
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,480
but I can't count on it because they've been bad,

452
00:24:35,279 --> 00:24:37,720
you know, fifty sixty percent of the time they've been.

453
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:40,039
Speaker 2: Bad defensively this year. So hard hard game for me

454
00:24:40,079 --> 00:24:41,720
to gauge.

455
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 1: All Right, we're going to wrap it up almost second

456
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,839
half of the game that's still going. We'll move it

457
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:51,359
over the best bets. Not going to put anything up

458
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,759
on the screen for today, he says, the last day

459
00:24:53,759 --> 00:24:56,039
of WNBA before All Star break. But we'll be back,

460
00:24:56,079 --> 00:25:01,200
I believe on Tuesday. And yeah, I'll I'll say is

461
00:25:01,799 --> 00:25:03,839
I do have a best bet up in available on

462
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:05,519
the site. If you guys want to check it out,

463
00:25:05,599 --> 00:25:07,480
you know where to find it over I Wager Talk.

464
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:10,480
Speaker 2: Vino.

465
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 1: I'll ask you if there's anything you would like to promote,

466
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,440
and if you have best bet for the Chowfiel, free

467
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:17,960
to share. If you don't, all good.

468
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 3: Let's go right, two best bets here's ski. We're, like

469
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:26,039
I said, closing in on the All Star break here

470
00:25:26,079 --> 00:25:28,720
for the WNBA, and since I don't handicap baseball, it

471
00:25:28,799 --> 00:25:34,039
will be CFL Canadian Football League for the weekend.

472
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:36,400
Speaker 2: And Summer League too.

473
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,319
Speaker 3: By the way, six and one in last seven Summer

474
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,039
League plays, so we have it, have had a pretty

475
00:25:40,039 --> 00:25:42,480
good gauge on that. I'm gonna go back to where

476
00:25:42,519 --> 00:25:46,240
we started here, the Fever and the Liberty. My first

477
00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:48,440
glance at that game, I thought automatically, I want to

478
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,279
play Liberty team total over I played it, it'll be

479
00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:53,160
my best bet for the show. The numbers eighty six

480
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:54,920
and a half. I just think the Liberty comes out

481
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,559
and scores here. It is a revenge mod motive for

482
00:25:57,599 --> 00:25:59,400
them in this game.

483
00:26:00,039 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 2: Kitlyn Clark.

484
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,279
Speaker 3: The one thing that she does do well on the

485
00:26:03,319 --> 00:26:07,559
defensive side. She's the second leading defensive rebounder on Indiana,

486
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,960
So some of that rebounding goes away when you have

487
00:26:11,079 --> 00:26:14,200
Erry McDonald in there. Perhaps he gets some second chances

488
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,240
out of New York. But I think Sabrina three of

489
00:26:17,319 --> 00:26:19,359
twenty last game, that's got to be different. She had

490
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:22,880
thirty four against this team the first time around. So

491
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:24,599
for me, it's going to be over eighty six and

492
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,319
a half team total New York Liberty. That'll be my

493
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:27,839
best bet.

494
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 1: All right, today, I'm gonna do something a little bit different,

495
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:32,599
and I'm just going to tell you ways I'm looking

496
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:35,920
because I could add a few, I could add a couple.

497
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:39,759
I'm still I'm still thinking about it, and there's still time.

498
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:46,759
So it's either right now Golden State or under. Maybe

499
00:26:46,759 --> 00:26:49,200
even that means Seattle team total under. If I put

500
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:54,319
them both together, I'm going with the I would go

501
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:56,279
with the under in the Indiana and New York game,

502
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:03,920
and the last game is aces or over, so actually

503
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:07,640
aces or aces team total over. Those are what I

504
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:09,880
think are the best best for today. Am I playing

505
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:14,160
them all? I have not yet could I very well cooked.

506
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:19,640
So that's gonna be the show for today. Fino, appreciate

507
00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:23,200
you coming on and breaking these games down with me chat.

508
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:25,640
I always appreciate you all as well. You guys help

509
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:27,839
make the show what it is. And for all of

510
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:32,720
you else watching out their Twitch, kick x, Apple, Spotify,

511
00:27:33,319 --> 00:27:36,039
you are appreciated. Like I said, there will be no

512
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:40,559
show until Tuesday when WNBA returns from All Stars, so

513
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:43,640
best of luck on all of your action in your

514
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,000
other sports or whatever it is you do in the meantime,

515
00:27:46,279 --> 00:27:47,960
and we will catch you guys when we return