1
00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:08,160
Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everyone. It's Monday morning. Hope everyone

2
00:00:08,199 --> 00:00:11,279
had a fantastic weekend. It is time for a new

3
00:00:11,359 --> 00:00:13,960
week of full court press, Rob Bino. We are like

4
00:00:14,119 --> 00:00:20,519
officially on conference schedule time, right, Like all the all

5
00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,440
the crazy games, crazy times day games, a lot of

6
00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:25,920
those are done and and for the rest of the

7
00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:29,000
year it's going to be kind of slow Monday, a

8
00:00:29,039 --> 00:00:32,119
lot of Power Conference teams playing Tuesday, Big Slate Wednesday,

9
00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,039
Big Slate Thursday, and then all of my little Northeast

10
00:00:35,079 --> 00:00:38,479
schools playing on Friday. So uh, that's what you have

11
00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:41,280
to look forward to going forward. A smaller slate today,

12
00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:43,159
but still some big games to talk about. But first,

13
00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:45,600
as people file in, Rob, how was how was your weekend?

14
00:00:46,719 --> 00:00:50,439
Speaker 2: Weekend was good, Adam, weekend was good. We do a

15
00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:54,799
college basketball show, so let's talk college basketball. Last three

16
00:00:55,159 --> 00:00:57,320
really since December one, I went back just to track.

17
00:00:57,359 --> 00:01:00,640
I don't always keep tracking my record far as plays

18
00:01:00,679 --> 00:01:04,519
released to clients, but last thirty days number two over

19
00:01:04,519 --> 00:01:09,120
at wager Talk overall, and since December one, actually number

20
00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,719
two at wager Talk. So rolling right along here in

21
00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,560
college hoop. However, yes, they put a little bit of

22
00:01:14,599 --> 00:01:19,400
the brakes on it. I had probably the worst as

23
00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:21,719
far as result goes, probably the worst result I've had

24
00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,680
all season long, with playing Kennesaw State over their team

25
00:01:24,719 --> 00:01:27,519
total against Delaware and not even getting sixty points, which

26
00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:29,280
was a total surprise to me.

27
00:01:30,079 --> 00:01:32,519
Speaker 3: And then I got hooked. I had seat in hall minus.

28
00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:37,000
Speaker 2: Two and a half, win by two. And so those

29
00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:39,319
were a couple of small plays yesterday. But other than that,

30
00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:43,200
it's been really good for about six weeks now in

31
00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:47,040
college hoops. So tonight I was looking earlier and it's

32
00:01:47,079 --> 00:01:49,000
still your kind of board. You got a little IVY

33
00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:49,959
League in here.

34
00:01:50,319 --> 00:01:52,040
Speaker 3: I don't know that we're all that.

35
00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,760
Speaker 2: You know, the Monday swack board that gets television coverage

36
00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:00,480
on ESPN, right, usually a swack game on P and

37
00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,000
U or something around their little south Land. So we

38
00:02:03,079 --> 00:02:06,040
got stuff, even stuff to satisfy by you here, Southeastern

39
00:02:06,079 --> 00:02:07,280
Louisiana on the board.

40
00:02:08,479 --> 00:02:11,000
Speaker 1: Now, well, one of these days, when Bayou schedule works out,

41
00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,240
we'll get him on a Monday show. I mean this

42
00:02:13,319 --> 00:02:16,560
is right in his wheelhouse, south Land Swack. These these

43
00:02:16,599 --> 00:02:19,840
types of teams. Reason I asked you know how you

44
00:02:19,879 --> 00:02:23,120
were doing. I'm going to ask more about that on

45
00:02:23,159 --> 00:02:28,240
the show. I know people want recap transparency, and we

46
00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:31,400
have a co package now, so I feel like, you know,

47
00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:33,840
we've got to talk about it and Rob. For the

48
00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:35,479
first two months, I had to come on the show

49
00:02:35,479 --> 00:02:37,960
and be like, man, I'm off to a terrible start

50
00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:41,879
in college hoops. Nothing will go my way. And since

51
00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:44,560
the first of the year, it's it started to turn

52
00:02:44,599 --> 00:02:48,360
for me seven and two. Since January first, I've tweaked

53
00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,400
some things or I'm looking for a very specific kind

54
00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:55,080
of like subset to play. I wrote about it quite

55
00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:57,599
a bit this weekend and it's worked out so far.

56
00:02:57,719 --> 00:03:01,080
So seven and two, if you bought three day package,

57
00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,400
it pretty much any day. Since we started offering it

58
00:03:04,439 --> 00:03:07,280
on a daily basis, I think you've probably done okay,

59
00:03:07,719 --> 00:03:11,120
and that is now up all the time three days

60
00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:13,960
myself and Vino you get all the college hoop plays.

61
00:03:14,039 --> 00:03:15,960
We're always gonna come on here every day and give

62
00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:17,840
you as much information as we can on like six

63
00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:20,120
or seven games. But as you guys know, even on

64
00:03:20,159 --> 00:03:23,360
a night like this where there's not a massive slate,

65
00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,879
there's still so many games to talk about, and you know,

66
00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,280
we get into the weeds on this show, which is uh,

67
00:03:29,759 --> 00:03:32,199
which is why I think people like to, you know,

68
00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:36,520
to show up and talk hoops with us. We appreciate you, guys, Garth.

69
00:03:36,599 --> 00:03:38,120
I see you right there, and I'm gonna get to

70
00:03:38,159 --> 00:03:42,199
you after our feature game, Rob, which is a very

71
00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:47,960
clear feature game tonight. H Columbus Ohio undefeated. Nebraska pulls

72
00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,479
off that great win on Friday night to knockoff Michigan State.

73
00:03:51,919 --> 00:03:54,159
Now they kind of come across the country, Rob, I

74
00:03:54,319 --> 00:03:58,120
know that Ohio State. It's the spot, it's the spot

75
00:03:58,199 --> 00:04:02,520
that betters are supposed to gravitate toward Ohio State. I

76
00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:04,520
don't know that I want to do that. I like

77
00:04:04,599 --> 00:04:07,360
this Nebraska team, and I think their priors might be

78
00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,960
maybe a little low from just like kind of how

79
00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:13,240
they came into the season having some injuries last year.

80
00:04:13,879 --> 00:04:16,839
So it's like I'm very much torn here because my

81
00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:20,319
eyes and my numbers from in season that the real

82
00:04:20,399 --> 00:04:22,800
data that we have from this year say I should

83
00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:25,439
be on Nebraska. But it's never easy to go in

84
00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:29,199
conference on the road. They're heading to Columbus Nebraska, Ohio State.

85
00:04:29,199 --> 00:04:30,600
How are you seeing this one?

86
00:04:30,959 --> 00:04:33,839
Speaker 2: Yeah? And it's even harder to go in conference on

87
00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,959
the road with a bullseye on your chest, right, Nebraska

88
00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:39,040
all of a sudden as an undefeated walks in and

89
00:04:39,079 --> 00:04:43,120
it's not just oh, here comes Nebraska. Now, it's like

90
00:04:43,199 --> 00:04:45,600
here comes fifteen and o Nebraska. It's something to get

91
00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,879
up for. Was interesting against Michigan State. Adam the court

92
00:04:48,959 --> 00:04:52,120
storming by Nebraska. Happy to catch a little bit of

93
00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:55,439
the postgame press conference where rink Mast actually said he

94
00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:58,399
didn't not that he didn't appreciate it, but he was

95
00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,040
kind of disappointed by the fact that Nebraska fans at

96
00:05:02,079 --> 00:05:04,319
home feel the need to storm the court when they

97
00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:06,959
win a big game. His point was, you know, this

98
00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:09,560
team is good enough to win big games. We don't

99
00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,439
need to storm the court like we're some bottom dweller anymore.

100
00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:14,720
So maybe we could just sit in our seats and cheer.

101
00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:20,519
Interesting change in uh, you know, belief of this squad.

102
00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,519
And he you know, we talked about him Friday. It

103
00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:26,040
was a friday they played Michigan State.

104
00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:26,959
Speaker 3: I think it was when.

105
00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:30,160
Speaker 2: You broadcast from the tunnel there from the runway.

106
00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:31,839
Speaker 1: And yeah, yes.

107
00:05:32,639 --> 00:05:36,040
Speaker 2: Maybe we'll get to that later. But he's one of

108
00:05:36,079 --> 00:05:39,639
those guys in for Ohio State we've talked about. Christopher Tilley, right,

109
00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:46,199
big center comes over from the WCC mostly a post player,

110
00:05:46,319 --> 00:05:49,439
and how Maske can drag these guys out beyond the

111
00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:51,759
three point arc can cut down some of your rebounding.

112
00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:56,160
It's always an issue here for opposition. But I think

113
00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:59,480
the bigger thing here for Nebraska is you just have

114
00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:03,000
to defend and the arc against Ohio State, they want

115
00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:05,399
to go quick. They shoot threes. The numbers that Bruce

116
00:06:05,439 --> 00:06:08,480
Thornton is putting up for Ohio State are incredible as

117
00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:10,839
far as shooting goes. I think I saw this morning

118
00:06:10,959 --> 00:06:13,639
number seven in the country in true shooting percent and shoots,

119
00:06:13,639 --> 00:06:16,399
the two shoots, the three shoots, free throws everything. Ohio

120
00:06:16,399 --> 00:06:20,920
State nexcellent free throw shooting team. The situation, like you say,

121
00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:24,240
it just screams Ohio State. But they've bet it so

122
00:06:24,439 --> 00:06:26,279
hard at this point, it's a three and a half

123
00:06:26,319 --> 00:06:29,199
point move from one to two and a half.

124
00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:30,920
Speaker 3: It made me look at.

125
00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:34,519
Speaker 2: The total, and what I came up with on total, obviously,

126
00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:37,480
is you have two opposites Ohio State, three conference games,

127
00:06:37,519 --> 00:06:42,199
three conference overs. Nebraska been trending to under for quite

128
00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:45,040
some time, seven and one under the total in their

129
00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:48,680
last date, So it's really a battle of contrast here.

130
00:06:49,319 --> 00:06:54,279
If I had to you know I I would maybe

131
00:06:54,319 --> 00:06:57,519
take a look at the Ohio State team total because

132
00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,680
the away game. And the other thing to mention here

133
00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:03,560
is that Nebraska one true road game all season long,

134
00:07:03,759 --> 00:07:06,480
a lot of Neutrals, three or four Neutrals, all home.

135
00:07:06,879 --> 00:07:10,519
All their good work's been done mostly at Pinnacle. The

136
00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:12,639
one road game they went to Illinois. They won that

137
00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,639
game eighty three eighty, which is high scoring. And that

138
00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:17,680
made me think, well, maybe Ohio State can get to

139
00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:21,600
their team total in this game. That number currently stands

140
00:07:21,639 --> 00:07:23,240
at seventy eight and a half.

141
00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:24,800
Speaker 3: I could see Ohio.

142
00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:27,319
Speaker 2: State trying to force pace and maybe Nebraska keeping up.

143
00:07:27,319 --> 00:07:31,519
But there's really nothing here, Adams that I'm thrilled to

144
00:07:31,639 --> 00:07:32,680
run to the window with.

145
00:07:34,519 --> 00:07:35,360
Speaker 3: But I think if.

146
00:07:35,279 --> 00:07:38,160
Speaker 2: I had to, my play would be Ohio State team

147
00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:38,839
total over.

148
00:07:38,959 --> 00:07:40,199
Speaker 3: We'll see if.

149
00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:42,959
Speaker 2: Nebraska can win another high scoring game. And I know,

150
00:07:43,079 --> 00:07:45,759
common opponent wise, you know, you got one team that

151
00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:48,000
beat Illinois and Illinois's home floy you got another team

152
00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,480
that lost to Illinois. But I'll just wrap it up

153
00:07:50,519 --> 00:07:52,639
by saying the three Ohio State losses, two of those

154
00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:55,079
are by one point. I mean, it's not as bad

155
00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:57,800
as it seems with Ohio State at this point.

156
00:07:57,800 --> 00:07:58,959
Speaker 3: We'll see what goes on tonight.

157
00:08:00,959 --> 00:08:03,959
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's gonna in my opinion, it's it's

158
00:08:03,959 --> 00:08:07,319
going to be entirely dependent on how Ohio State shoots

159
00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,959
the ball from outside the three point arc and and

160
00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:14,439
you know, really just probably fifteen feet in out. I mean,

161
00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:16,199
you don't want to take a ton of mid range.

162
00:08:16,199 --> 00:08:19,199
But Nebraska pretty solid rim defense. I think they're going

163
00:08:19,279 --> 00:08:22,360
to be more inclined to give the three up in

164
00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:26,199
this matchup. Now, Ohio State being at home, I think

165
00:08:26,199 --> 00:08:27,920
that there's you know, if there was ever going to

166
00:08:27,959 --> 00:08:29,480
be a game where they might be able to get

167
00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,840
hot and hit some threes, it's it's probably a matchup

168
00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:36,480
like this. You know, I was looking at obviously, you know,

169
00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,480
Bruce Thornton being the you know, Thornton being the key.

170
00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:41,480
I think you kind of have to think, you know,

171
00:08:41,519 --> 00:08:44,000
twenty point nine points per game, that he would be

172
00:08:44,039 --> 00:08:46,399
the key for Ohio State in any big game like this.

173
00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:50,200
And you know, even though I don't think his game

174
00:08:50,279 --> 00:08:53,200
necessarily is is to just kind of fire threes up.

175
00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:55,559
You know, the couple of the couple of games that

176
00:08:55,639 --> 00:08:59,279
he's really sort of had a volume shoot threes, was

177
00:08:59,799 --> 00:09:01,919
you know, West Virginia went one for seven, had a

178
00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,679
pretty good shooting night against Illinois six for nine from deep.

179
00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,120
But you know, it's not like you want him to

180
00:09:07,159 --> 00:09:08,679
just it's not like you want to just let him

181
00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:11,159
you let him shoot from the perimeter. Forty five zero

182
00:09:11,159 --> 00:09:15,120
point two percent for Thornton from three this year. To me,

183
00:09:15,200 --> 00:09:17,639
this is kind of a high variance, Like this game

184
00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:21,120
could go a lot of different ways. Nebraska, I think

185
00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:26,080
Nebraska is probably the real deal. I I guess. I

186
00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,879
I'm torn on Masks comments because at one point, I

187
00:09:29,919 --> 00:09:33,639
love the pageantry of college basketball and I love that

188
00:09:33,639 --> 00:09:36,879
that that fan base is like excited enough to do that.

189
00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:40,960
I mentioned on Friday the Nebraska crowd against New Hampshire

190
00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:43,759
sold the place out. I mean, they're like that, they

191
00:09:43,759 --> 00:09:46,320
are like all in on that team this year. But Robbie,

192
00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:48,200
I kind of agree, if you're favored in a game,

193
00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,480
you probably shouldn't rush the court. Like that's just you know,

194
00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:56,039
if you're the favorite in a game, you know there's

195
00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:57,960
a like you probably should have won the game anyway.

196
00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:01,320
That being said, like again, if Ohio State is hitting

197
00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:04,080
the outside shot and they can really sort of like

198
00:10:04,159 --> 00:10:06,639
draw Nebraska away from the rim a little bit. I

199
00:10:06,639 --> 00:10:08,799
think there's a nice path the victory for them here.

200
00:10:09,279 --> 00:10:11,600
Of course, you also have to add in the fact

201
00:10:11,639 --> 00:10:14,000
that not only is Nebraska going on the road here,

202
00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,399
but they're going on the road after a massive win

203
00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:22,879
over an arguably bigger name. So I totally understand that

204
00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:27,360
the letdown spot angle I just didn't have. There's just

205
00:10:27,399 --> 00:10:29,919
not enough of an edge here to make me want

206
00:10:29,919 --> 00:10:32,159
to lay two and a half with Ohio State. I

207
00:10:32,159 --> 00:10:34,679
think if it was like a pick, I'd be more

208
00:10:35,159 --> 00:10:37,399
inclined to maybe give Ohio State a shot. But I

209
00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:41,159
just don't think necessarily think they're the better team than Nebraska.

210
00:10:41,279 --> 00:10:41,960
Speaker 3: Just in general.

211
00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:44,320
Speaker 1: I think this could just be a spot that's good

212
00:10:44,399 --> 00:10:47,320
enough for them to sort of get up and over

213
00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:50,480
at home here. So yeah, I'm with you. I guess

214
00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:53,399
man slightest lean to Ohio State on the side, I

215
00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:56,440
suppose as we as we talk it out, I feel

216
00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,360
like I've talked myself more into the Ohio State side

217
00:11:00,039 --> 00:11:05,720
then the Nebraska side. All right, Garth, this is that

218
00:11:05,759 --> 00:11:07,840
this is an interesting one that had a bunch of

219
00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:10,879
question marks on my notepad here, So let's get into this.

220
00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:15,080
Thoughts on William and Mary Charleston Garth says, I lean

221
00:11:15,159 --> 00:11:18,320
with the tribe eleven and one against the spread to

222
00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:21,600
start the season. That's my guy. Brian Earle there taking

223
00:11:21,639 --> 00:11:24,879
the taking Steve Merrill's William and Mary tribe and turning

224
00:11:24,879 --> 00:11:28,360
them into a contender Rob in the Coastal his second year.

225
00:11:28,759 --> 00:11:31,879
We had him at Cornell up here in central New

226
00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:35,879
York for years, and he is sort of seamlessly transitioned

227
00:11:35,879 --> 00:11:38,960
to doing his thing at William and Mary and really

228
00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:41,480
has them, you know, has had them playing great ball

229
00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,679
really since the second that he stepped on campus. And

230
00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:47,759
I mentioned this maybe a week or two ago, Brian

231
00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:51,200
Earle in his first year, I think they really started

232
00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,879
to fizzle out down the stretch last year. And that's

233
00:11:53,879 --> 00:11:57,320
something that happened to some of his younger Cornell teams.

234
00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,279
And I guess when I say younger, I mean guys

235
00:11:59,279 --> 00:12:01,720
in the first and second year in his program. Because

236
00:12:01,759 --> 00:12:04,840
Brian Old the style he plays ROB is so demanding

237
00:12:05,279 --> 00:12:08,879
that his teams have fizzled out in February at times. Right,

238
00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,919
It's just such a grueling pace. Guys are not conditioned

239
00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:16,039
enough to play his style and they fizzle out. With

240
00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:21,360
that being said, it's January fifth. Okay, there's been a

241
00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,679
relative lull for a lot of these teams in college basketball,

242
00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,720
so I don't see any fatigue being a real issue

243
00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:30,840
in early January. And then on the Charleston side, I've

244
00:12:30,879 --> 00:12:34,799
really struggled to make an accurate number for Charleston because

245
00:12:34,799 --> 00:12:36,399
of how many injuries they've had to deal with so

246
00:12:36,480 --> 00:12:39,919
far this year. So Garth, I'm with you. I lean

247
00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,320
William and Mary as well have not gotten to the

248
00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:44,879
window with it yet, but the tribe certainly make a

249
00:12:44,919 --> 00:12:47,360
lot of sense. Rob talk to me William and Mary Charleston.

250
00:12:48,519 --> 00:12:50,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that we have to grade Charleston with

251
00:12:50,799 --> 00:12:52,840
Hickman and Dougan. Right, it's been a couple of games

252
00:12:52,919 --> 00:12:55,879
now since they're back, and all of a sudden, when

253
00:12:55,919 --> 00:13:00,120
you go through pace numbers, possession numbers of game, the

254
00:13:00,159 --> 00:13:03,840
full group, Charleston is back to playing faster. You got

255
00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:07,000
a pair of it. Even against Drexel, they're up in

256
00:13:07,039 --> 00:13:10,240
the seventies in possessions in that game, and excuse me,

257
00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:12,720
against the Eline there were seventy four Drexel sixty three,

258
00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:16,960
but seventy two points against Drexel, which indicates to me,

259
00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:20,639
Adam that Charleston's ready to get back to a little

260
00:13:20,639 --> 00:13:25,679
bit of pace. I kind of disregard the overall adjusted

261
00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,480
offensive tempo here because now that you're full, it looks

262
00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:30,679
like your team as whole, It looks like they're getting

263
00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,679
back to what they kind of do best, and it

264
00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:35,960
fits in William and Mary's wheelhouse. As you mentioned, Brian Earl,

265
00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:40,159
they're seven right now in adjusted offensive tempo, but number

266
00:13:40,279 --> 00:13:45,039
one in the country the fastest quickest length to possession going.

267
00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,440
I've used William Mary a couple of times just isolating

268
00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:51,080
team total. Wouldn't be afraid to do that here as well.

269
00:13:51,919 --> 00:13:54,039
I think their number is eighty one and a half.

270
00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,480
This could end up being my leg of the parlay.

271
00:13:56,759 --> 00:13:59,159
I'll hang on to this for a second, but I

272
00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:00,759
just feel like this game is going to go up

273
00:14:00,759 --> 00:14:05,039
and down. Money has come toward the over here. Fifty

274
00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:09,000
nine nine and a half opener now one sixty four,

275
00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:12,200
one sixty four and a half. So people recognizing that

276
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,000
it's two teams that kind of want to do the

277
00:14:14,039 --> 00:14:17,360
same thing, get up and down the flot. The one

278
00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:19,919
bad thing for Charleston is their three point shooting has

279
00:14:19,919 --> 00:14:24,000
been miserable. You wonder if that'll ever turn. I mean

280
00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:27,879
if to me, it feels like Charleston should probably have

281
00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:31,360
some positive regression coming their way. As far as three

282
00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:34,519
point shooting is concerned, however, William and Murray has been

283
00:14:34,559 --> 00:14:38,480
playing very good three point defense for those couple of reasons.

284
00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:41,039
I know Charleston has home floor, I know they can score.

285
00:14:41,519 --> 00:14:42,639
Speaker 3: I just think I trust the.

286
00:14:42,639 --> 00:14:46,039
Speaker 2: Road team a little more with their offensive ability to

287
00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:50,000
get over their total. The question would be why shy

288
00:14:50,039 --> 00:14:54,559
away from the full game total and include everybody? And

289
00:14:54,639 --> 00:14:56,799
for me, I think that would be my answer is

290
00:14:56,879 --> 00:14:59,440
Charleston's yet to prove that they can hit from beyond

291
00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:01,159
the arc. William and Mary, if they do have a

292
00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:04,440
defensive asset, it is guarded beyond the arc.

293
00:15:04,799 --> 00:15:07,080
Speaker 3: So William and Mary has been good to me.

294
00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:09,320
Speaker 2: As far as putting points up is concerned, I think

295
00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,840
to get to eighty two in this game probably not

296
00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,799
an issue. Like I said, I could end up being

297
00:15:14,799 --> 00:15:16,200
my leg of the parlor because I really like the

298
00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:18,559
way William and Erry plays offense and the pace that

299
00:15:18,559 --> 00:15:20,519
they play. We have to believe there's gonna be enough

300
00:15:20,519 --> 00:15:23,759
possessions in this game, Adam to get enough scoring opportunities

301
00:15:24,080 --> 00:15:25,440
to get to where I want to go if I

302
00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:27,320
wind up on William and Mary team total over.

303
00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:30,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, if I'm going off memory here, but

304
00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:32,960
I want to say, William and Mary last year at

305
00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,200
one point really like laid it on Charleston and scored

306
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:38,240
a whole bunch of points and it was one of

307
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,879
their sort of signature wins from last year. I probably

308
00:15:40,879 --> 00:15:42,879
should have looked that up before we got on the show.

309
00:15:42,879 --> 00:15:44,440
I didn't know, of course, Like you know, we do

310
00:15:44,519 --> 00:15:46,679
the show, we kind of come in and we ever

311
00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:48,720
really know where it's going to go, So I didn't

312
00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,120
necessarily think we know what we would talk this game.

313
00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:53,840
Speaker 2: I got it for you here real quick, Adam, just

314
00:15:53,879 --> 00:15:58,960
to make your point correct here, William and Mary at

315
00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:04,279
home Charleston ninety to seventy five last year, Yeah, was

316
00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:06,679
their only but they cost scored ninety on him.

317
00:16:07,519 --> 00:16:09,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was a It was a it was like

318
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,799
a kind of like a blowout. Because remember, of course,

319
00:16:11,879 --> 00:16:15,120
last year's Charleston team probably better than this year. I

320
00:16:15,159 --> 00:16:17,679
know that that they were. They were probably starting to

321
00:16:18,399 --> 00:16:20,120
you know, tail off a little bit, of course, in

322
00:16:20,159 --> 00:16:22,440
the wake of Pat Kelsey going to Louisville. But I

323
00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,200
do remember William and Mary having the pretty much doing

324
00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:27,720
what they wanted offensively in that game. You talked about

325
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,399
the guys that were that have come back recently, Connor

326
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,799
Hickman sort of probably being the more important of the two.

327
00:16:33,919 --> 00:16:37,159
Kobe Duggan on paper, should help a lot. He just

328
00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:39,799
I don't really feel like he did a whole lot

329
00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:43,399
in his first two games back, you know, played thirty minutes.

330
00:16:43,639 --> 00:16:47,759
He wasn't like a super efficient, you know, kind of contributor.

331
00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:50,600
But the guy that that, to me is the big,

332
00:16:50,639 --> 00:16:53,919
big loss and probably speaks to you, you know, just

333
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,840
you liking the over and Charleston's defense has really suffered

334
00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,879
as mister Dean he's been out the majority of the year,

335
00:17:00,639 --> 00:17:02,919
I believe, only played the first three games and is

336
00:17:02,919 --> 00:17:05,960
done for the season. And I think he's the reason

337
00:17:06,519 --> 00:17:10,440
that Charleston's defense is much worse than projected. Would have

338
00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:14,119
easily been their best defensive guard, probably the best defensive

339
00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:17,319
player on their team. So again, I'm kind of with you.

340
00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:21,039
I lean towards the William and Mary side. I'm not

341
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:24,039
confident enough right now in my rating on Charleston, especially

342
00:17:24,039 --> 00:17:25,920
with a couple of guys back in the mix. My

343
00:17:26,039 --> 00:17:29,559
gut says don't don't bunt the number that much just

344
00:17:29,599 --> 00:17:31,359
because those two guys are back. Got to see a

345
00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:35,359
little bit first. But again, I think this is one

346
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,160
of the I think the other day I said, I've

347
00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:41,200
got like five teams that I'm just not really sure

348
00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,160
what to do with at this point. And Charleston is

349
00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:47,680
one of those five teams because of the name recognition

350
00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:49,960
on the front of the jersey, always being sort of

351
00:17:50,039 --> 00:17:53,039
over overvalued because they've been so good in this league

352
00:17:53,039 --> 00:17:56,799
for so long, the injuries, they're a really tough team

353
00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,440
to get a grasp with. But Garth, if you pin

354
00:17:59,559 --> 00:18:02,759
me down to answer your question, I'm with you. I

355
00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,680
leaned toward the tribe as well, and that that Rob

356
00:18:05,759 --> 00:18:08,039
is just because I'm a I'm a Brian ear Old guy.

357
00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,440
I've I love that guy when he's he was up

358
00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:14,720
here at Cornell and I'm I even said when he

359
00:18:14,759 --> 00:18:17,279
got the William and Mary John to Steve Merrill, I

360
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,359
was like, you guys got a really good one with

361
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,640
Brian Earl, Like he will have you in the mix

362
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:25,359
in the coastal sooner than later. And that's what he's

363
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,720
done to this point. So yeah, interesting game, Garth. If

364
00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,279
you do go with William and Mary good luck and

365
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:35,920
we can circle back. We can circle back with with

366
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:37,319
the total at the end of the show like we

367
00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:42,000
always do, uh where we will be locking in parlay. No, No,

368
00:18:42,079 --> 00:18:44,960
we did not fire Brian Power. BP is still welcome

369
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,599
on the show anytime he wants to come on. BP

370
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:52,160
just ended up kind of being the main football content

371
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:55,920
guy over the last few weeks. So he's been doing

372
00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,839
a lot of college football, NFL and and guys, believe

373
00:18:58,839 --> 00:19:01,119
it or not, it takes a lot of time and

374
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,559
preparation to come on and do a show like this

375
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:07,119
where you just you know, rap and fire some random

376
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,720
game you know from some small conference, and you know,

377
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,200
we come on here and talk about it. So we

378
00:19:13,319 --> 00:19:15,519
kind of just let him go do his thing. But no,

379
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:19,279
BP's always welcome to drop in. He literally has the

380
00:19:19,319 --> 00:19:22,680
ability to log in and do that whenever he wants.

381
00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,079
He might be listening at home and he might be like, hey,

382
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:26,839
I want to pop in right now. So No, we

383
00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,839
love Brian Power. We did not fire him. He's welcome back,

384
00:19:30,279 --> 00:19:33,720
welcome back anytime. We'll get into some of the other

385
00:19:33,799 --> 00:19:37,240
chat questions. I will say this again, though, Rob, did

386
00:19:37,279 --> 00:19:40,279
I see that you have a play in the FCS

387
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,440
Championship game tonight. Do you want to talk about that

388
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:43,079
for a minute.

389
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:45,960
Speaker 3: I do. It's actually a best bed play.

390
00:19:46,039 --> 00:19:49,559
Speaker 2: And you know, a lot of guys don't cover the FCS,

391
00:19:49,599 --> 00:19:51,799
but I've been covering it now for about four years.

392
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,440
And you got a good matchup tonight, Cinderella's story with

393
00:19:54,519 --> 00:19:59,680
Illinois State, a team that really was lucky to get

394
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:03,119
in to the playoff picture and then has rattled off

395
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:06,480
four straight wins. And you've got a team returning to

396
00:20:06,559 --> 00:20:10,200
the championship game after losing it last year in Montana State.

397
00:20:10,839 --> 00:20:13,519
Price tag on that game, I think Montana State ten

398
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,200
and a pretty fair total of fifty six and a half.

399
00:20:16,279 --> 00:20:19,599
And the game has moved used to be played in Frisco,

400
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,519
Texas for years and years now it's being played in Nashville,

401
00:20:22,599 --> 00:20:27,960
Tennessee here tonight on Dandy's home field. For those you know,

402
00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:31,240
for those who don't check out FCS football, give it

403
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:34,119
a look tonight. These upper tier teams are really, really good.

404
00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:36,720
And I was looking at him real quick here and

405
00:20:37,559 --> 00:20:40,839
there's about I don't know, just at a quick glance,

406
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:46,559
I saw about two dozen FCS guys from the Missouri

407
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:50,039
Valley Conference and the Big Sky already in the transfer

408
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:53,160
portal to go to FBS, and you saw those guys

409
00:20:53,279 --> 00:20:55,640
take hold. In fact, the quarterback for Iowa this year

410
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,880
Mark Gronowski, South Dakota State quarterback. So bottom line here,

411
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:03,480
I do have a good feel for this game. The

412
00:21:03,519 --> 00:21:06,160
play is up and available at wager talk dot com.

413
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:10,000
I'm six and two in the FCS playoffs so far

414
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,079
seventy five percent. So we're looking to close it out

415
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,599
at seven and two with a big play here tonight.

416
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:16,960
You can check it out wagertalk dot com on my

417
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:19,440
home pagewt dot buzz slash RV.

418
00:21:21,559 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 1: That's too bad it's still not in Frisco. I'm in Frisco,

419
00:21:24,079 --> 00:21:27,039
Texas right now. That's where I've got some friends and

420
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,240
so I came down to visit some friends and family

421
00:21:29,279 --> 00:21:33,720
this weekend. I'm actually that that's where they live, is Frisco, Texas,

422
00:21:33,759 --> 00:21:36,079
So that is that is currently where I am. And

423
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,039
I got to say, you know, you talked about Illinois

424
00:21:38,039 --> 00:21:41,839
State Cinderella, much to the dismay of my buddies over

425
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,960
at Tarleton State. I think they felt like this was

426
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,200
this that was their spot. Forget. I think Villanova upset

427
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,759
them to sort of open up the door for Illinois

428
00:21:51,759 --> 00:21:54,000
State to be in this game. But yeah, they the

429
00:21:54,279 --> 00:21:57,359
Charlton State guys followed them closely this season and was

430
00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,559
rooting for them, and I feel like if you ask

431
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,480
around Stephenville, they probably feel like this, this should be

432
00:22:02,519 --> 00:22:06,440
them in that game tonight. So they just but yeah,

433
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,599
they just hired a new offensive coordinator. He was at

434
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:14,000
the game on Saturday. So Charlton State Athletics alive and well,

435
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:18,119
that place is awesome. They are like doing an incredible

436
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:21,079
job with their facilities. Would not be surprised if they

437
00:22:21,079 --> 00:22:25,200
were an FBS football team within the very near future.

438
00:22:25,559 --> 00:22:27,279
If a conference can find a spot for them, I

439
00:22:27,599 --> 00:22:31,160
think they're going to end up in the FBS. All right. Yeah,

440
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:34,279
So if you're into football, there's there's limited college football

441
00:22:34,839 --> 00:22:37,000
the rest of the year. Checkout robs is it a

442
00:22:37,039 --> 00:22:38,279
five percenter tonight.

443
00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:40,880
Speaker 3: Best bet?

444
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 2: And ironically, Adam I have mentioned six and two in

445
00:22:44,759 --> 00:22:47,279
the FCS playoffs. One of the two was Tarleton State

446
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,519
late eleven and a half against Vildanova got off to

447
00:22:49,559 --> 00:22:51,799
a fourteen to nothing lead within the first three minutes

448
00:22:51,839 --> 00:22:54,720
and thought, Wow, this one's gonna look pretty easy and

449
00:22:54,759 --> 00:22:57,759
then their defense got picked apart a little bit by

450
00:22:57,799 --> 00:23:00,920
Nova that day. But certainly a really good team and

451
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,119
a good offensive football team for sure.

452
00:23:04,319 --> 00:23:06,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, it'll be fun to watch, interested to see how it,

453
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,640
you know, translates to the new venue in Nashville. Believe

454
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:13,599
it's Vanderbilt Stadium. A little a little too bad that

455
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,000
it's I guess on a Monday, but no Monday night football,

456
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:18,880
so they kind of have the the grand stage, if

457
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,000
you will. Should be a great game. And if you're

458
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:25,119
into that, check Rob's playout and yeah, let's uh, we'll

459
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,160
get back to hoop. You can also check check us

460
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:31,480
out any three days we've got that package up myself

461
00:23:31,519 --> 00:23:34,559
and Rob all the college who plays that we release

462
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:38,160
in that time period. But back to back to baskets here.

463
00:23:38,839 --> 00:23:42,519
I think our buddy Keith Bayou Betts Landry went and

464
00:23:42,599 --> 00:23:46,319
saw one of these teams this weekend. So Steven f

465
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:50,039
Austin the Lumberjacks twelve and two, Rob off to a

466
00:23:50,079 --> 00:23:54,880
great start. They're headed to McNeice to play McNeese State.

467
00:23:55,799 --> 00:23:58,599
Obviously the the odds on favorite to win this league.

468
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,880
I think I think our guide by you went to

469
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:06,039
Steven went to Steven F. Austin's game on Saturday at

470
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:11,440
South Louist Southeast Louisiana, where they won seventy three to

471
00:24:11,519 --> 00:24:14,559
sixty three. Rob You, you know, we talked about McNee State

472
00:24:14,599 --> 00:24:16,119
a lot, and I feel like you have a better

473
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:17,640
beat on this team than I do, so I'll let

474
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:19,440
you kick it off, but I want to point out

475
00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:21,079
the travel here.

476
00:24:21,759 --> 00:24:22,279
Speaker 3: Steven F.

477
00:24:22,279 --> 00:24:25,039
Speaker 1: Austin has been on the road for a while. They

478
00:24:25,079 --> 00:24:29,799
had the Texas East Texas Louisiana swing last week, going

479
00:24:29,839 --> 00:24:31,720
to East Texas A and M and then down to

480
00:24:31,799 --> 00:24:35,319
Northwestern State, and then the Lumberjacks had to head back

481
00:24:35,319 --> 00:24:37,960
to the state of Louisiana this week for two more

482
00:24:38,319 --> 00:24:41,759
road games. So not exactly the easiest sort of spot

483
00:24:41,799 --> 00:24:45,799
to draw, easily the best team in the league in

484
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,440
McNee State on their home floor where they've been virtually

485
00:24:49,519 --> 00:24:52,240
unstoppable the last couple of years. So, Steven F. Austin,

486
00:24:52,319 --> 00:24:54,519
do they have a shot in McNeese tonight?

487
00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:59,079
Speaker 2: Well, if you want to, a lot of guys won't

488
00:24:59,079 --> 00:25:02,200
stand in front of it. Locomotive Adam and right now

489
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,960
points spread wise, just from betting term, Steven F. Austin,

490
00:25:05,039 --> 00:25:08,079
is that locomotive seven and oh there should be six

491
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:09,960
and oh seven and one against the spread in their

492
00:25:10,039 --> 00:25:13,319
last eight games, seven and oh straight up in their

493
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,440
last seven. So they're playing great basketball at this point

494
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,359
in time. And my first inclination when I look at

495
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:23,240
this line is it would probably be a defensive battle

496
00:25:24,079 --> 00:25:28,400
in this contest and points worth taking in that particular instance,

497
00:25:29,519 --> 00:25:35,480
Stephen F. Austin travel aside probably in my estimation, enough

498
00:25:35,559 --> 00:25:37,920
offense to slip in under a number. When you look

499
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,119
at McNeice results so far this year, and we have

500
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,640
talked about him quite a bit, we'll wade handed it over.

501
00:25:43,319 --> 00:25:47,400
It's not the same program that created the type of

502
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:51,160
separation in scoreboard on the scoreboard as.

503
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:51,880
Speaker 3: They did last year.

504
00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:55,079
Speaker 2: You know, McNeese State could hold you to forty eight

505
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:58,000
and get the seventy eight. It was not that difficult

506
00:25:58,000 --> 00:25:59,519
for them last year in this league. This year a

507
00:25:59,559 --> 00:26:02,519
little bit more of a winning games, but not quite

508
00:26:03,039 --> 00:26:08,279
with that type of authority. Ten twelve fourteen in that

509
00:26:08,319 --> 00:26:11,240
type of mix blasted East Texas A and M. They're

510
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,200
supposed to do that, But I could see a close,

511
00:26:14,279 --> 00:26:18,799
hard fought defensive confrontation here. Totals come down forty four

512
00:26:18,839 --> 00:26:21,319
to forty two and a half, which kind of I

513
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:24,359
see some one forty three's out there as well, kind

514
00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:25,480
of goes along with my.

515
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 3: Perception of the game.

516
00:26:28,519 --> 00:26:32,039
Speaker 2: However, the money has come in on McNeice, up from

517
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,200
nine and a half now to ten and a half.

518
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:36,279
They are the best team in the league. I think

519
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:39,519
the only reason for me. I think it's more style

520
00:26:41,039 --> 00:26:45,599
and strength of team, which lies on defense on both sides.

521
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,400
I think that's probably why I feel like ten and

522
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,640
a half is a lot of points in this game.

523
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,119
Speaker 3: Stephen F. Auston's put up some really good numbers this year.

524
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:55,319
I don't think they can be ignored.

525
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 2: So if I was going to play at him, the

526
00:26:58,039 --> 00:26:59,799
home team is the better team. But I just think

527
00:26:59,839 --> 00:27:01,400
ten and a half might be a little too much

528
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:02,039
at this point.

529
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:06,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I will. I will backtrack to I sort

530
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,640
of hashed it out ahead of the Internet Word game

531
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,400
and then the Houston Baptist game. I have a very

532
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:16,160
specific angle. I'm trying to play with McNeice in conference

533
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:21,279
play that's now too and zero. But it also it

534
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:23,920
relies on them. It's it's it's McNeice on the road,

535
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,599
which they've been. They've been on a nice string of

536
00:27:26,599 --> 00:27:29,440
home games here. So even though Stephen F. Austin is

537
00:27:29,519 --> 00:27:32,519
one of the teams I had circled to play against McNeice,

538
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,480
i'd prefer to do that on the road. I'm not

539
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,759
saying that I I didn't consider it a little bit here,

540
00:27:39,559 --> 00:27:42,079
but man, if you look at McNeese splits, you know

541
00:27:42,559 --> 00:27:44,519
their home road splits. I mean, this team is just

542
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:47,839
deadly in Lake Charles, Louisiana. They're they're really tough to

543
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,359
beat at home. And yes, you're getting a you know,

544
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,519
you're you're getting a healthy number with Stephen F. Austin,

545
00:27:53,599 --> 00:27:56,880
but still they they've been able to really like pull

546
00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:59,599
away from some of these teams. Now, Stephen F. Austin,

547
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,160
I I think at this point I'm comfortable calling them

548
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,240
the second best team in this league. I think it's

549
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,359
like pretty clear McNeice, Steven F. Austin. There were some

550
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:09,119
other teams that I thought could get up in the mix,

551
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:11,079
but the more I watch them, the more I think

552
00:28:11,079 --> 00:28:14,720
that they're the clear too. The other thing that's tough here,

553
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:18,039
so Steven F. Austin's best player as a guy that

554
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:20,240
I thought was going to be a star at UMass

555
00:28:20,319 --> 00:28:23,079
for Frank Martin Keon Thompson and he really just never

556
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:26,240
panned out for the minute men. But that's also just

557
00:28:26,319 --> 00:28:30,400
a complete grease fire that's going on in Amherst, Mass.

558
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,960
They it's just a mess. They Ultimately they probably need

559
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,480
to go in a different direction. I don't think Frank

560
00:28:36,519 --> 00:28:38,039
Martin is it. But we're not going to talk about

561
00:28:38,119 --> 00:28:40,559
U Mass today. We're going to talk about Keon Thompson.

562
00:28:41,319 --> 00:28:44,960
Ever since he's showed up in I think it's Nachadoches, Texas,

563
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:48,039
and I don't know I'm saying that correctly. He's been

564
00:28:48,599 --> 00:28:50,680
arguably the best player on this roster this year, the

565
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:54,160
top scorer seventeen point six points per game. The tough

566
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,720
part for him in this matchup is he's going to

567
00:28:56,799 --> 00:29:01,160
probably be blanketed by Garway Dull, former Providence guard who's

568
00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:04,559
a great defender. Someone I was at the game when

569
00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:07,559
Garwoy Dwell punched the kai on Kansas State in the

570
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,240
face down in Bahamas. It's my Garway Dwell. That's the

571
00:29:10,279 --> 00:29:12,960
first thing every time I talk about him that comes

572
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,839
to mind. But yeah, McNeese can do a job defensively

573
00:29:15,839 --> 00:29:18,960
on key On Thompson, and I kind of my gut

574
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,400
says the same thing as you rob hard thought defensive

575
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,799
battle that could end up being a McNeese thirteen point

576
00:29:25,839 --> 00:29:27,720
win when it's all said and done, because I really

577
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:30,519
think they can, you know, hit the knockout punch, wipe

578
00:29:30,559 --> 00:29:32,960
you out defensively, like last five minutes of the game.

579
00:29:33,519 --> 00:29:35,839
I like the under here and on a day where

580
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:39,480
there's just not that much, you know, not that much

581
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,519
for me at least to love on this board, under

582
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,640
is a It might be a look for me here

583
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,279
in the parley, but like you, I think I'm gonna

584
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,799
see what else comes up and make that decision at

585
00:29:51,839 --> 00:29:52,440
the end of the show.

586
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:57,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's interesting you bring up Thompson Adam because McNeese

587
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:02,680
for those who haven't seen them, basically on the defensive side,

588
00:30:02,759 --> 00:30:05,599
they it's like a swarm almost. They want to force

589
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,160
you into turnovers. They're very, very good at taking the

590
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:11,759
ball away and so far this season analytics show you

591
00:30:11,799 --> 00:30:15,200
that Stephen F. Austin Kean Thompson the point guard for

592
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,079
this team, they don't turn it over, so it to

593
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:18,400
be a real good.

594
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 3: Match up there if.

595
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:25,039
Speaker 2: McNeice can't get those extra possessions that they generally get

596
00:30:25,079 --> 00:30:28,519
caused by turnovers. Because Steven f Boston is protecting the

597
00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:32,319
basketball we'll see. Probably not something I would get to

598
00:30:32,359 --> 00:30:35,240
the window with, but the question was asked and my

599
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:39,839
thought process on it would be probably Steven at Boston

600
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,559
plus punch, although I wouldn't. I probably would agree with

601
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,920
Under in this game matter because when you said knockout

602
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:47,920
punch when you were going through your analysis, I'm thinking

603
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,319
to myself, you know, something like seventy three to sixty

604
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:53,400
is very possible in a game like this, and that

605
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:57,759
does end up on McNeice cover and Under. I would

606
00:30:57,759 --> 00:31:01,359
put a little trust in South the Steven F. Austin side.

607
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:06,319
Speaker 1: I think the chat is poking fun at me, Rob

608
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:12,200
right now? Is it? It's not knock it docs? Is

609
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:14,240
that what it did? I I probably said it wrong. Listen,

610
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:18,720
come listen to me talk Korean baseball like I'll listen.

611
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:22,200
I'm gonna butcher names. This is not you know, I

612
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,599
didn't go to journalism school like I'm really just you know,

613
00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,359
I'm just here to kind of be a degenerate and

614
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,160
talk sports betting with you guys. So you know it

615
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:33,839
is what it is. The the the app I say

616
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,759
Appalachian State wrong too, and they come for me every

617
00:31:36,759 --> 00:31:39,359
time there's a clip of me talking about app is

618
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:43,559
it apple Lachin? I don't know anyway. I think Colin

619
00:31:43,559 --> 00:31:45,880
Gregory is a Texas guy. That's probably why he's like,

620
00:31:46,359 --> 00:31:48,319
you know, show some respect here. I get I get

621
00:31:48,359 --> 00:31:51,440
it by you. Bet says nah, not a do chiss.

622
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:53,720
All right, we got, we get. We gotta move on

623
00:31:53,799 --> 00:31:56,200
before there's like a clip of that like me trying

624
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:59,799
to say that, Like Maggie, it's rounds on on the internet.

625
00:31:59,839 --> 00:32:03,319
So let's move on, different game. Let's go back to

626
00:32:03,359 --> 00:32:06,680
the chat here we could. A couple of people asked

627
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:10,960
about this one. This is as you as you said here, Rob,

628
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:14,720
kind of in my you know, one of the few

629
00:32:14,759 --> 00:32:16,240
that's up in my neck of the woods to many

630
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,319
of the teams that I typically get involved in quite

631
00:32:18,359 --> 00:32:21,559
a bit. Uh, this is a very intriguing game, and

632
00:32:21,799 --> 00:32:24,200
I feel like as a as a Pace totals guy,

633
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,000
you're gonna have an opinion here. So Columbia is headed

634
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,960
to Ithaca, New York to play the Cornell Big Red

635
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:33,480
Tonight IVY League play. I want I think this might

636
00:32:33,599 --> 00:32:37,119
be the IVY League opener. I believe this is the

637
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,680
first IVY League game of the season. They did not

638
00:32:39,799 --> 00:32:42,640
kick conference playoff last week or over the weekend. They

639
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,559
they play a little bit of a more watered down

640
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:50,480
conference slate, just fourteen conference games in the IVY eight

641
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,319
team league. Everyone plays each other twice. Only four go

642
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,000
to that IVY League tournament rob So every game in

643
00:32:57,079 --> 00:33:00,799
the IVY is a big game. And yeah, Columbia heading

644
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:04,119
up to listen. I don't, I don't mind. It's Jocks.

645
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:09,839
I believe Jacks the the coach for Cornell. Now I don't,

646
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,319
I don't mind him, but I do think he might

647
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:15,200
be Like I think this might be the team version

648
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,640
of Cornell. I've said it a couple times, like they're

649
00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,680
just not as clean and crisp as the Brian Earle teams.

650
00:33:20,839 --> 00:33:24,000
They play the same way, but it's a little bit sloppier,

651
00:33:24,799 --> 00:33:28,279
turn the ball over more, more lapses on defense. So

652
00:33:28,599 --> 00:33:32,640
I I'm they're kind of a fade for me for

653
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:34,960
a team that can handle that, which I think Columbia

654
00:33:35,079 --> 00:33:38,480
might be a team that can handle that style, that tempo.

655
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:42,119
Of course, of course, now Columbia uh their new head

656
00:33:42,119 --> 00:33:46,759
coach Florida, former Florida Gators assistant. I think potentially doing

657
00:33:46,799 --> 00:33:49,880
big things with that program. So this is an interesting one.

658
00:33:50,039 --> 00:33:52,160
Curious to see if you're going anywhere with the total here.

659
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, they're gonna make you pay for it,

660
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,400
right if you like over. It's very hard to come

661
00:33:59,079 --> 00:34:00,720
to a conclue illusion where.

662
00:34:00,559 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 3: You like under.

663
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:04,599
Speaker 2: Between these two, we're gonna see three point bombs away,

664
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,839
we're gonna see two very good three point shooting teams.

665
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:12,000
Cornell of course breakneck pace, so you probably get the possessions.

666
00:34:12,039 --> 00:34:14,519
But all that said, you have to get to one

667
00:34:14,639 --> 00:34:18,559
seventy now, which is you know, eighty five. Aside, if

668
00:34:18,599 --> 00:34:21,719
they played it even and the points spread here up

669
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,599
from one to two and a half tells you well,

670
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:27,880
probably need eighty nine, eighty three something, eighty seven eighty

671
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,559
one something in that vicinity. It's eighty seven eighty one

672
00:34:30,599 --> 00:34:33,000
doesn't even get you there, but you get the point.

673
00:34:33,039 --> 00:34:37,599
You need a lot here. Now that being said, it's

674
00:34:37,599 --> 00:34:40,440
not against Cornell's religion to get up into the nineties,

675
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,480
that's for sure, And they've done it recently. They scored

676
00:34:44,559 --> 00:34:49,079
ninety seven against Michigan State, for goodness sakes, So you

677
00:34:49,119 --> 00:34:52,480
can get points from this team. I would think that

678
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,880
you know, Colombia has no shot at slowing down the

679
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,880
pace in this one, so they go with it Columbia.

680
00:34:59,199 --> 00:35:02,559
All the metric suggest that Columbia is the slightly better

681
00:35:02,679 --> 00:35:06,159
defensive team. Cornell plays little to no defense. It's just

682
00:35:06,599 --> 00:35:09,679
it's sort of reminiscent again. And whenever I see a

683
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:13,360
team like this, I use the analogy or the comparison

684
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:17,840
to the nineteen ninety Loyola Merrimount team, and nobody will

685
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:22,960
ever be like that. But it's basically saying that Cornell's

686
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,400
going to score, and they really don't care if you score.

687
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:26,760
They just want to take it out of the bottom

688
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:29,079
of the net and get down and score again and

689
00:35:29,159 --> 00:35:32,280
wind up being the highest point total on the scoreboards.

690
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:37,559
So it's difficult here to say under. They're making it

691
00:35:37,599 --> 00:35:41,880
tough on me to bet over. It's obviously my initial reaction,

692
00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:44,119
and I still think it'll probably get there, Adam, to

693
00:35:44,159 --> 00:35:46,079
tell you the truth, I still think you'll probably find

694
00:35:46,079 --> 00:35:48,840
this game in the one to seventy somewhere. So for me,

695
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:53,119
it would be a void's side, although the money hasn't.

696
00:35:53,159 --> 00:35:55,519
The money's been on Cornell here, and I would probably

697
00:35:55,519 --> 00:35:58,760
look towards total, which continues to rise. And I'm looking

698
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:01,280
right now live and I see couple of one seventies

699
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:05,280
out there. Once again, it's that ten eleven am block

700
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,400
ten to eleven am block eastern time in the morning

701
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,079
where these lines move. If you like over, you better

702
00:36:10,159 --> 00:36:13,840
just bet it now because to five o'clock eastern start.

703
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,960
By that time, it'll probably be one seventy two and

704
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:19,039
a half total. So if you like, you get the

705
00:36:19,039 --> 00:36:20,159
best of the number right now.

706
00:36:23,119 --> 00:36:27,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, listen, Colombia. If Colombia does not want

707
00:36:27,679 --> 00:36:30,239
to probably play a game that goes over, right, Like Columbia,

708
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:34,159
if their path to victory here is going to probably

709
00:36:34,159 --> 00:36:36,639
be to slow this game down, try to You know,

710
00:36:36,639 --> 00:36:39,760
they've got they've got some solid front court players on

711
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:45,760
this roster that can absolutely score on Cornell if they

712
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,079
can slow If they can slow the game down and

713
00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:50,719
turn it into like more of a half court game.

714
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:54,480
They've got guys that can execute and score against Cornell

715
00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,559
who I've not really been impressed with defensively. So just

716
00:36:57,599 --> 00:36:59,639
because it's not a track meet does not mean this

717
00:37:00,079 --> 00:37:03,280
one still can't get over, because even if Columbia does

718
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:06,239
slow it down, they might be efficient enough to score

719
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,079
enough points to push this one over.

720
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:09,119
Speaker 3: Yeah.

721
00:37:09,159 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 1: Like for me here again, I've talked about this a

722
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,039
lot this year. I've really am looking to kind of

723
00:37:15,039 --> 00:37:18,400
play against this Cornell team when there's when there's a

724
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,280
team that's not going to get totally sort of like

725
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:25,079
baffled by the crazy style they want to play. My

726
00:37:25,199 --> 00:37:30,320
gut says that Columbia is well coached enough to not

727
00:37:30,559 --> 00:37:34,599
fall into the traps that are like that Cornell, that

728
00:37:34,639 --> 00:37:38,559
Cornell can can sort of set against like either a

729
00:37:38,599 --> 00:37:42,280
far weaker competition or like b the last time Cornell played,

730
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:43,840
I believe a game that we could bet on because

731
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:45,639
I think they had a non D one opponent mixed

732
00:37:45,639 --> 00:37:48,159
in there. You know, a team like a Michigan State

733
00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:50,800
where yeah, they're probably not going to win that game,

734
00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:54,119
but against the spread they can cover because you know

735
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:57,159
they'll just their style is like good enough to I

736
00:37:57,159 --> 00:37:59,400
think they got to like ninety something, gave up one

737
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:01,800
for team. I think it was like ninety seven to

738
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:05,199
one fourteen. So I think if Cornell can slow this

739
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:08,480
game down, get the ball inside a little bit, they're

740
00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:10,440
probably going to score. That's the thing. You can beat

741
00:38:10,639 --> 00:38:13,880
Cornell at the rim pretty easily with you know, with size.

742
00:38:15,119 --> 00:38:18,760
I just think that like the Cornell teams that have

743
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:20,960
been in this league the last few years are just

744
00:38:21,039 --> 00:38:24,400
better than this one. And so again they're I'm gonna

745
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:26,320
put this. This will be my parlay leg. I may

746
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,000
add this for clients as well. I was hoping to

747
00:38:29,039 --> 00:38:33,440
get three, but these are the types of games I've

748
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,960
been looking for closer to a pick where I just

749
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:39,360
where I just really am asking the better team to

750
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:43,039
win the game. In this case, we're actually getting two

751
00:38:43,039 --> 00:38:44,639
and a half points. I think that's kind of you know,

752
00:38:44,679 --> 00:38:47,000
at least MGM and some of the other books still

753
00:38:47,039 --> 00:38:49,719
have two and a half. I think I see some

754
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,559
going to two. So really just need what I consider

755
00:38:53,599 --> 00:38:58,159
to be the better team to win Ithaca on a Monday.

756
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:01,360
With the amount of snow they've gotten kids there, I'm

757
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:03,480
not giving Cornell much of it. A bump for home court.

758
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,440
Be surprised if Columbia even gets to the school at

759
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:08,599
this point the way it's snowing in that part of

760
00:39:08,679 --> 00:39:11,480
the in that part of the country. But yeah, this

761
00:39:11,519 --> 00:39:14,119
is gonna be by parlay leg and a very likely

762
00:39:14,159 --> 00:39:16,039
of client play for me as well. I just think

763
00:39:16,079 --> 00:39:19,000
Columbia is the better team and if they can play

764
00:39:19,039 --> 00:39:21,920
their game, get Cornell out of the way. They want

765
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,800
to play. They should kind of win this one without

766
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,760
much issue. I think, so Colombia plus two and a

767
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,880
half parlay leg and a very likely going to the

768
00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:32,360
client card.

769
00:39:33,639 --> 00:39:35,719
Speaker 2: Last thing I said on that one, Adam go ahead,

770
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,760
is that I always like to find a comp game,

771
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:44,000
a comparison game, and for Colombia that comp game. And

772
00:39:44,039 --> 00:39:46,320
this is for totals better. This is not for five betters,

773
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,960
but for totals betters. Just a couple of games ago,

774
00:39:49,039 --> 00:39:53,079
Columbia went down and played North Florida, which stylistically is

775
00:39:53,199 --> 00:39:56,239
very much like Cornell rapid pace. They don't shoot anywhere

776
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:58,840
near as good as Coronell, but they play that style.

777
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:02,239
Game landed on seventy two. For those of you considering

778
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:06,920
over and out of cornell six losses this year, five

779
00:40:06,960 --> 00:40:10,639
of the losses went over the total. So if you're

780
00:40:10,679 --> 00:40:13,719
on the Columbia side and you're a big parlay guy,

781
00:40:14,079 --> 00:40:16,719
Colombia and over could be a way to go. But Cornell,

782
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:19,920
even in losing efforts, they get themselves up and over

783
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:22,719
the totals, So we'll see how that goes. That's mainly

784
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:25,920
for totals betters here as we talk at one sixty

785
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:27,920
nine and a half, one seventy current price.

786
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:31,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I caught some of that game. You know,

787
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:34,039
I kind of leaned toward Colombia in that game that

788
00:40:34,119 --> 00:40:38,159
the number was was quite big. That was a you know,

789
00:40:38,519 --> 00:40:41,480
ultimately what kept me off is it is sort of

790
00:40:41,519 --> 00:40:46,000
avoiding like personally avoiding either these big underdogs or these

791
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:47,760
big you know, try having to go and like lay

792
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,760
a big number like on the road. And yeah, so

793
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:53,119
I you know, was correct to just kind of stay

794
00:40:53,159 --> 00:40:55,559
off of that one because Columbia didn't cover. But I

795
00:40:55,639 --> 00:40:59,000
felt like they were just sort of in like Christmas

796
00:40:59,039 --> 00:41:03,360
break mode, a little bit not really fully focused. Gonna

797
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,880
be focused here again. Top four teams get into the

798
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:08,599
IVY League tournament. It is a battle. There's a lot

799
00:41:08,639 --> 00:41:11,440
of parody in this league. Yale is very likely going

800
00:41:11,519 --> 00:41:13,559
to run away with it and grab that top spot.

801
00:41:13,679 --> 00:41:16,559
But these are huge games for two, three, and four

802
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,719
to get in your conference tournament. And because it's only

803
00:41:19,719 --> 00:41:22,039
a four team tournament, you get in you only have

804
00:41:22,079 --> 00:41:25,000
to win two games to get to the NCAA tournament.

805
00:41:25,079 --> 00:41:28,119
So yeah, I think I've this was on my short

806
00:41:28,159 --> 00:41:30,599
list on a short slate today, Rob and I have

807
00:41:31,599 --> 00:41:36,280
fully talked myself into this one. So Columbia plus two

808
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:38,519
and a half will be a play for me. And again,

809
00:41:38,559 --> 00:41:42,280
I just I'm banking on the on the Lion slowing

810
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:45,719
it down and making Cornell kind of execute a little

811
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:48,079
bit in a slower game. I think that is a

812
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:50,480
going to be an issue for the Big Red. So

813
00:41:50,559 --> 00:41:53,159
this is an early tip and a best bet for me.

814
00:41:53,639 --> 00:41:58,840
Columbia plus two and a half. Joey Cheese, Well, first

815
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:01,440
of all, so that you're late, Joey, and I'm glad

816
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:03,719
that you brought that up. Because this show not only

817
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:06,360
is it live, it's also on demand every day wager

818
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,679
Talk YouTube channel, you can catch the replay, So head

819
00:42:09,679 --> 00:42:12,880
on over there. While you're over there, a like, a subscribe,

820
00:42:13,159 --> 00:42:18,199
a comment. They're all appreciated. It helps us get up

821
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:21,639
in the algorithm, which is the goal these days. Get

822
00:42:21,639 --> 00:42:25,239
in the algorithm, stay in the algorithm. So if you

823
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:27,000
can head on over and check out any part of

824
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,880
the replay and hit us with a little like and subscribe,

825
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:34,039
it's much appreciated. And Joey Cheese, because you are here

826
00:42:34,199 --> 00:42:36,079
in person, I know you're a busy guy and we

827
00:42:36,119 --> 00:42:40,039
appreciate you stopping in. We're more than happy to talk

828
00:42:40,119 --> 00:42:44,320
Harvard basketball stay in the IVY League, rob Bino, they

829
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:47,880
take on Dartmouth. And so I'll set this up by saying,

830
00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:51,880
like Harvard coming into the season, I kind of had

831
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:56,519
circled as the team that could really surprise in this league.

832
00:42:56,639 --> 00:42:59,760
It was pretty well known that Yale would would be

833
00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:03,639
the far and away odds on favorite to win this league.

834
00:43:03,679 --> 00:43:06,199
But you know, with Princeton losing Xavi and Lee and

835
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:11,960
Caiden Pierce, Columbia having a new coach, Cornell not being

836
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:15,599
the same Cornell team they've been in years past, you know,

837
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,440
I just thought, I think two to up Brown being

838
00:43:18,519 --> 00:43:20,880
down from what they've been the last couple of years.

839
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:22,800
Key on Lilly moving on. He was he was one

840
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,079
of the best players in this league last year. I

841
00:43:25,159 --> 00:43:27,719
really feel like two to four is right there for

842
00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:30,280
the taking wide open. And I felt like there was

843
00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:32,440
no better team to put themselves back up in that

844
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:36,119
top four in the IVY than the Harvard Crimson. Tommy

845
00:43:36,159 --> 00:43:38,599
Amicker's been in the league forever, he hasn't had a

846
00:43:38,639 --> 00:43:41,079
good team in a while. I can't remember the last

847
00:43:41,079 --> 00:43:46,559
time Harvard was even like in the top five, top four,

848
00:43:46,639 --> 00:43:48,880
and even any good. I think they might have snuck

849
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:51,519
in one year as the four, but they really haven't

850
00:43:51,559 --> 00:43:55,000
had a good team in years now at this point.

851
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:57,039
But last year they brought in a guy by the

852
00:43:57,079 --> 00:43:59,280
name of Robert Hinton who's turned into one of the

853
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:02,119
best scorers in the conference. Leads the team fifteen point

854
00:44:02,199 --> 00:44:05,559
nine points per game. I really liked sophomore Austin Hunt

855
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,599
he got hurt last year. Was at the game he

856
00:44:08,679 --> 00:44:11,840
got hurt down at Navy talking to someone from Harvard

857
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:15,800
that was really, you know, no more than like thirty

858
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:19,400
minutes before he pulled his hamstring. A Harvard guy was

859
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:21,440
talking to at the game, was like talking about how

860
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,199
excited that they were about him. Hinton was getting all

861
00:44:24,199 --> 00:44:26,679
the attention, and they really liked Austin Hunt. So he

862
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:29,360
lost a lot of his season last year coming back

863
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,800
from an injury, but he's starting to get in the

864
00:44:31,840 --> 00:44:36,199
mix there. So with all that being said, I'm pretty

865
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,679
pro Harvard just in general. It's just they disappointed me

866
00:44:39,679 --> 00:44:41,559
a little bit in the non conference. I thought there

867
00:44:41,599 --> 00:44:44,159
would have been some better results. A lost to BEU

868
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:46,840
weren't competitive against the BC team. I thought they matched

869
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,559
up pretty good against losing the UMass. You know, just

870
00:44:50,679 --> 00:44:54,519
just not the best non conslate for them. Conference play

871
00:44:54,559 --> 00:44:56,840
starts here, we go back the last couple of weeks.

872
00:44:56,880 --> 00:45:00,159
It is somewhat of a clean slate, Rob, So I

873
00:45:00,159 --> 00:45:02,760
start to buy back in with Harvard. Now I think

874
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:04,440
they're a much better team than Dartmouth.

875
00:45:04,639 --> 00:45:05,079
Speaker 3: Not myth.

876
00:45:07,199 --> 00:45:11,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, And Dartmouth has shown us so far this season, Adam,

877
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,199
that they're really you know, I use this phrase a lot,

878
00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:16,840
but they're kind of a one trick pony. They're a

879
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:19,000
team that wants to get up and down and shoot threes.

880
00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:21,960
It's what they do best. Harvard doesn't necessarily or has

881
00:45:22,039 --> 00:45:26,559
not necessarily defended the three overall this season. Again, overall

882
00:45:26,599 --> 00:45:30,519
statistics at this point in time, with the non conference

883
00:45:30,559 --> 00:45:33,920
schedules that these teams play, sometimes has to be taken

884
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:36,199
with a grain of salt. But I will say this, Harvard,

885
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:41,079
you know, far more methodical. And when they get an opponent,

886
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,679
you just go down there, Ledger, when they get opponents

887
00:45:44,199 --> 00:45:50,159
who are average, below average, snails paced teams, their defense

888
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:52,679
locks down and you just go through these results and

889
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:55,000
you see that these teams can't score on them. Dartmouth

890
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:58,519
isn't really that. Dartmouth is a team that can score

891
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:02,599
and can make buckets won't defend on the other end

892
00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:05,559
very well, And I just find some value here in

893
00:46:05,599 --> 00:46:07,960
this total at one forty five. I feel that this

894
00:46:08,079 --> 00:46:12,519
total is predicated on and it most likely is on

895
00:46:12,639 --> 00:46:16,480
overall season results to this point, and not necessarily the

896
00:46:16,519 --> 00:46:20,760
matchup that will take place here. Harvard's efficiency on the

897
00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:24,760
offensive end, whether they go you know, whether they use

898
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:27,480
twenty seconds of the shot clock, whether they use twenty

899
00:46:27,519 --> 00:46:29,679
five second of the shot clock, their efficiency on the

900
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:34,400
offensive end here should get them into the mid high

901
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:38,679
seventies here against this startmouth team. That being said, what's

902
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:40,760
required out of the other side at that point is

903
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:46,320
high sixties, maybe reach seventy. And Harvard's allowed that type

904
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:48,840
of point total to teams that are a little quicker,

905
00:46:48,920 --> 00:46:52,079
to teams that are capable of scoring that. So I

906
00:46:52,159 --> 00:46:54,840
think there's a slight edge toward the over in this

907
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:58,639
particular instance, just due to matchup. I won't probably won't

908
00:46:58,679 --> 00:47:01,039
play it because I think the wiggle room here is

909
00:47:01,199 --> 00:47:04,920
very very little. At one, you're asked to get.

910
00:47:06,199 --> 00:47:06,840
Speaker 3: Seven and a half.

911
00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:09,559
Speaker 2: Let's just use the score here probably somewhere into seventy

912
00:47:09,679 --> 00:47:13,960
seven sixty nine range, which I think is possible. But

913
00:47:14,119 --> 00:47:15,719
like I say, there's not a lot of wiggle room

914
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:18,159
with that because Harvard generally won't get you into the

915
00:47:18,199 --> 00:47:22,360
eighties and Dartmouth is going up against a little bit

916
00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:25,440
better defense here. So I would have a slight lean

917
00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:26,679
toward over in that one at.

918
00:47:28,280 --> 00:47:30,800
Speaker 1: ROB, I think that's probably the better way to play

919
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:33,320
this game. I'll go back to Dartmouth's last couple games.

920
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:36,000
So I had a nice cover with Dartmouth. About a

921
00:47:36,000 --> 00:47:38,119
week ago, I took the thirty six and a half

922
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:42,920
against Florida, and a big reason I played Dartmouth well,

923
00:47:43,119 --> 00:47:46,280
the number was, in my opinion, obnoxious. Thirty six and

924
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:48,559
a half probably should have been eight points lower than that,

925
00:47:48,679 --> 00:47:51,960
and it really never came close to that. But you know, Florida,

926
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:54,239
I figured Florida, especially as the game started to get

927
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:55,719
out of reach, would would kind of give up the

928
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:58,360
three a little bit. It's something they've done most of

929
00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:01,320
the season. And that's exactly how Dartmouth was able to

930
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:03,519
stay within that number that got up to that got

931
00:48:03,559 --> 00:48:06,480
up to thirty like relatively quickly. And then as soon

932
00:48:06,519 --> 00:48:08,920
as Florida started kind of just letting them shoot an

933
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:11,199
open three here and there, Dartmouth hit a whole bunch

934
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:13,760
of threes and ended up keeping the game. You know,

935
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,800
the last ten to fifteen minutes of the game were

936
00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:20,440
very competitive. Dartmouth twelve or twenty seven from three point landing. Yes,

937
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:23,480
this is a good three point shooting team. The problem

938
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:25,599
and what makes it difficult in my opinion, to bet

939
00:48:25,639 --> 00:48:28,639
a side in this game is when Dartmouth does not

940
00:48:28,679 --> 00:48:31,679
shoot the ball particularly well, you get a result like

941
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,639
the State Sacred Heart game where they lost by twenty

942
00:48:34,679 --> 00:48:36,400
two in a game that they were like a one

943
00:48:36,440 --> 00:48:39,880
point favorite. You know, many would would say maybe they're

944
00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:43,039
they're well, they're at least on par with Sacred Heart

945
00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:45,559
and that game was never close. Go back to the

946
00:48:45,559 --> 00:48:49,679
game prior to that same thing. Their Holy Cross and

947
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:55,360
Dartmouth are are relative equals. I would say fourteen for

948
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:58,159
twenty four from three, and Dartmouth won the game eighty

949
00:48:58,239 --> 00:49:01,119
nine to sixty four. So from a it really makes

950
00:49:01,159 --> 00:49:04,480
the side challenging, especially when you're talking about laying points

951
00:49:04,519 --> 00:49:07,880
against Dartmouth, because of course, you know, in this instance,

952
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:09,880
not only do you need to win with Harvard, you

953
00:49:09,920 --> 00:49:11,440
need to cover the six and a half, which is

954
00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:13,920
now seven and a half. So yeah, I'm kind of

955
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:14,119
with you.

956
00:49:14,199 --> 00:49:14,360
Speaker 3: Rob.

957
00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:16,400
Speaker 1: I think if I was gonna play this one, I

958
00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:21,719
would just hope that, you know, Dartmouth hope it's a

959
00:49:22,119 --> 00:49:25,079
good enough shooting performance. But again, I think you have

960
00:49:25,119 --> 00:49:27,400
to like the fact that if Harvard opens this game up,

961
00:49:27,480 --> 00:49:29,960
which the books kind of suggest they might with this number,

962
00:49:30,679 --> 00:49:33,880
that you might get the the barrage of threes late.

963
00:49:34,519 --> 00:49:37,199
You know, it's a ten point game. Harvard sort of

964
00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:40,159
starts to feel good about themselves, and then suddenly Dartmouth

965
00:49:40,239 --> 00:49:43,320
hits a few threes to make it close and all

966
00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:46,280
the wild and then maybe you get extension. All those

967
00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:48,840
things kind of add up to I think the over

968
00:49:48,920 --> 00:49:52,800
being the look here, and you jogged my memory a

969
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:56,320
little bit because that game against Sacred Heart, I think

970
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:58,440
that was the that was Kid's death.

971
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:00,559
Speaker 3: Exactly.

972
00:50:01,679 --> 00:50:03,840
Speaker 2: I think we had that game that that day. Yeah,

973
00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:05,559
held six to seven game.

974
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:11,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, and by you said, you know, we kind of

975
00:50:12,119 --> 00:50:14,039
kind of talk about that game quite a bit that day.

976
00:50:14,079 --> 00:50:16,480
By You said, you know, Sacred Heart they just bullied,

977
00:50:16,559 --> 00:50:18,679
you know, bully them, out match them, and Dartmouth gave

978
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:21,599
up at the end. That's the tricky part here, because

979
00:50:21,599 --> 00:50:25,679
when when you go down twenty and at eleven am

980
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:27,760
to a team like Sacred Heart, like I you know,

981
00:50:27,800 --> 00:50:32,280
I could understand giving up. I find it less likely

982
00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:35,239
that Dartmouth would just roll over in a conference opener

983
00:50:35,920 --> 00:50:38,719
if they're only down like twelve or thirteen, Like you know,

984
00:50:38,840 --> 00:50:41,440
it's it's easy to wave the white flag down twenty

985
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:44,800
in the second half. I'd be kind of surprised if

986
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:48,239
Harvard can open it up to that extent, right Like,

987
00:50:48,280 --> 00:50:51,280
and so you stay in that ten to twelve point range,

988
00:50:51,440 --> 00:50:53,920
I think, I think there's a lot of chance for

989
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:56,599
points late here. So might even be a good one, Rob,

990
00:50:56,639 --> 00:50:58,719
to take a look at a second half over if

991
00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:05,280
the first half plays out a little low. All right, Rob,

992
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:07,559
I'm gonna go to you. We got about ten minutes left.

993
00:51:07,679 --> 00:51:10,920
I've locked in my parlay league with the Columbia Alliance.

994
00:51:11,679 --> 00:51:13,239
Do you have an idea of a game you want

995
00:51:13,239 --> 00:51:14,519
to go to here to close it out?

996
00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:15,480
Speaker 3: Yeah?

997
00:51:15,519 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 2: I think as I scanned over this whole thing, Adam

998
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:21,519
and I came close, and maybe we'll hit on USC

999
00:51:21,639 --> 00:51:24,639
Michigan State after I'm done here. But I don't see

1000
00:51:24,679 --> 00:51:27,719
anything really that I like more than what I talked

1001
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:30,360
about earlier with William and Mary going over eighty.

1002
00:51:30,519 --> 00:51:32,880
Speaker 1: All right, So that's rob let's do let's do this.

1003
00:51:33,000 --> 00:51:34,639
Let's let's go to that because that's kind of the

1004
00:51:34,639 --> 00:51:36,719
other big game. I wanted to talk about that game too,

1005
00:51:37,239 --> 00:51:40,199
since since you we've already talked about your game, we'll

1006
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:43,800
recap it at the end. Let's hit USC Michigan State.

1007
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:46,960
I was wrong about USC on Friday. I thought it

1008
00:51:47,039 --> 00:51:50,079
was too many. It clearly was not. It has me

1009
00:51:50,199 --> 00:51:53,679
questioning my number on USC a little bit. So my

1010
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:57,320
gut said too many again here, but didn't really want

1011
00:51:57,320 --> 00:52:00,280
to get involved after seeing what I saw on Friday.

1012
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:03,159
So yeah, talk to me about this game USC, Michigan State.

1013
00:52:03,719 --> 00:52:05,679
Are you looking team total over again here?

1014
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:09,000
Speaker 2: Well, on the other side of that, Adam, you didn't

1015
00:52:09,039 --> 00:52:11,599
like what you saw out of USC, and I think

1016
00:52:11,639 --> 00:52:15,519
we talked a lot about situational with Ohio State welcoming

1017
00:52:15,559 --> 00:52:19,280
in Nebraska. Maybe Nebraska is in the letdown spot. Michigan

1018
00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:21,440
State's the team that lost that game, and now they're

1019
00:52:21,519 --> 00:52:26,119
home in East Lansing and USC's hung around Michigan for

1020
00:52:26,159 --> 00:52:32,960
a while. It's hard to not think that Michigan State's

1021
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:35,800
gonna do a lot of damage to USC again. What

1022
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:39,360
we saw defensively there real quick here, in that game

1023
00:52:39,639 --> 00:52:42,039
against Michigan, and I did have USC team total over

1024
00:52:42,119 --> 00:52:43,760
seventy four and a half. I don't think they got

1025
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:45,960
to seventy. I think they got the sixty nine as

1026
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:47,840
their final score. In that case, it might have been

1027
00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:53,840
sixty eight. But USC actually, whether Michigan didn't shoot it

1028
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:57,360
well or whether they played three point defense, well, Michigan

1029
00:52:57,440 --> 00:53:00,400
did not shoot threes very well at all in that game,

1030
00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:03,559
but what they did was make about seventy two percent

1031
00:53:03,599 --> 00:53:07,760
of their twos. And if you can be beaten inside, now,

1032
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:11,440
Michigan's are pretty good inside the arc team. It's where

1033
00:53:11,480 --> 00:53:15,480
Michigan State kind of makes their living every year inside

1034
00:53:15,519 --> 00:53:21,360
the arc. So that's a little bit discouraging if you're

1035
00:53:21,360 --> 00:53:24,800
a USC, a lawnmower, a USC fan, because I think

1036
00:53:24,800 --> 00:53:27,840
Michigan State will have their way at the rim or

1037
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:32,599
in the paint in this particular game offensively. All that said,

1038
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:37,679
Eric Musselman's team just never got out of the funk

1039
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:40,039
that they were in shooting the basketball in that game.

1040
00:53:40,079 --> 00:53:43,400
And I went back and looked a little bit when

1041
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:47,840
Michigan State's home in East Lansing, I wish I had

1042
00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:55,400
splits home road, splits of pace tempo, but Michigan State's

1043
00:53:55,480 --> 00:53:57,719
unafraid to run at home.

1044
00:53:58,199 --> 00:53:59,559
Speaker 3: They don't do it as much on the road.

1045
00:53:59,559 --> 00:54:01,920
Speaker 2: They take their defense and their methodical stuff on the

1046
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:05,320
road because that travels, but at home they're not afraid

1047
00:54:05,360 --> 00:54:07,320
to get up and down with you. And I get

1048
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:09,679
the feeling that this number, which has now been bet

1049
00:54:09,800 --> 00:54:11,719
up one forty eight and a half up to one

1050
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,039
fifty and a half one fifty one and a half

1051
00:54:14,079 --> 00:54:16,079
in some locales, I.

1052
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:17,639
Speaker 3: Have a feeling that money's right here.

1053
00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:21,000
Speaker 2: USC, from what I saw, probably won't be able to

1054
00:54:21,039 --> 00:54:25,159
defend Michigan State, but on that for the same token,

1055
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:27,039
I think USC is going to have a bounce back

1056
00:54:27,079 --> 00:54:29,719
offensive game here. Michigan State's not the easiest defense to

1057
00:54:29,760 --> 00:54:31,840
do it against. And I'm not saying that USC is

1058
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:33,559
going to go for ninety, but they'll probably go for

1059
00:54:33,599 --> 00:54:34,599
more than sixty nine.

1060
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:36,039
Speaker 3: I think the game gets.

1061
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:40,079
Speaker 2: A little bit quick, and Michigan State probably your winner.

1062
00:54:40,400 --> 00:54:43,199
I think I would look over in that contest. Again,

1063
00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:45,920
they're taking a lot of the wiggle room out of

1064
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:48,079
this game. Now, one forty eight and a half certainly

1065
00:54:48,119 --> 00:54:49,960
looks a lot better than one fifty and a half.

1066
00:54:50,639 --> 00:54:53,679
But still I think Michigan State's tendency is to go

1067
00:54:53,719 --> 00:54:56,599
ahead and play higher scoring, faster paced games at home,

1068
00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:59,480
especially when they're favored and they can have their way,

1069
00:54:59,559 --> 00:55:00,920
So that that's kind of the way I look.

1070
00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:01,280
Speaker 3: At this one.

1071
00:55:03,320 --> 00:55:06,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I you know, gave out USC as the parlay

1072
00:55:06,519 --> 00:55:10,079
leg on Friday, and as the day went on, I well,

1073
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:12,840
I was kind of I guess right at the time

1074
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:14,760
of the show, I think we got like twenty three.

1075
00:55:15,079 --> 00:55:16,960
It got knocked down to like twenty one and a half,

1076
00:55:17,039 --> 00:55:20,440
but I don't know, I had like I just couldn't

1077
00:55:20,440 --> 00:55:23,800
get there. Something told me like, just don't take a

1078
00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:26,480
worse number, don't just don't do it right like and

1079
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:29,119
and that ended up being the right move as Michigan

1080
00:55:29,199 --> 00:55:33,880
sort of ran that up. I numbers wise, again, I

1081
00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:37,239
was at I think I was at like eight and

1082
00:55:37,239 --> 00:55:40,000
a half or nine here. I have like six papers

1083
00:55:40,039 --> 00:55:42,360
on the desk, and of course don't know where that

1084
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:46,239
one is. Couldn't be less organized, rob, Yeah, I was

1085
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:48,960
at I was actually at seven and a half here

1086
00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:52,760
for Michigan State. So again my number for the second

1087
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:54,800
game in a row is showing quite a bit of

1088
00:55:55,159 --> 00:55:58,159
line value on USC. But the question I'd like to know,

1089
00:55:58,760 --> 00:56:05,519
is is USC staying in town until Friday to play Minnesota? Like,

1090
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,480
would they go all the way back to southern cal

1091
00:56:09,000 --> 00:56:12,840
just to come back and play a Friday Big ten

1092
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:16,800
road game up in Minnesota. Because if they're not, that's

1093
00:56:17,000 --> 00:56:20,199
that's a long week, right, Like they played Friday night

1094
00:56:20,239 --> 00:56:23,119
in ann Arbor. Obviously they hung around to play this

1095
00:56:23,199 --> 00:56:26,239
game in East Lansing. I'd be somewhat surprised if they

1096
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:29,280
travel all the way back to southern California just to

1097
00:56:29,320 --> 00:56:31,960
turn around and travel all the way back to Minneapolis.

1098
00:56:32,039 --> 00:56:35,280
So you know the mentality of like, you know, kind

1099
00:56:35,320 --> 00:56:39,000
of knowing you're away from home for you know, eight days,

1100
00:56:39,039 --> 00:56:42,360
and of course it's not like it's this isn't eight

1101
00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:46,880
days in you know, Palm Springs, right, It's it's northern

1102
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:49,639
it's Michigan, it's Minnesota in the middle of winter. That

1103
00:56:49,639 --> 00:56:52,280
that can be soul crushing a little bit. You know,

1104
00:56:52,559 --> 00:56:56,639
it's just again and because of that, I think, you know,

1105
00:56:56,679 --> 00:56:59,280
you talk about Michigan State losing on Friday in the

1106
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:03,119
manner that they lost the bounce back spot for them,

1107
00:57:03,199 --> 00:57:05,360
and just having been up to East Lansing a couple

1108
00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:08,559
of times, sort of knowing that they can run it

1109
00:57:08,639 --> 00:57:11,559
up at home. I think I'm like going to pass

1110
00:57:11,599 --> 00:57:14,800
on USC, even though once again that twelve that was

1111
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:18,199
hanging out there about an hour ago was very tempting,

1112
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:20,360
because I think USC has the athletes, and I do

1113
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:22,800
think that they're probably a little undervalued by the books.

1114
00:57:23,119 --> 00:57:27,559
But I may have to revisit that when they're back

1115
00:57:27,559 --> 00:57:30,960
at home, hopefully even more undervalued than they are right now.

1116
00:57:32,039 --> 00:57:34,400
Speaker 2: I'm going to give you a real quick quote on

1117
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:36,280
what you were talking about from Eric Musselman.

1118
00:57:36,360 --> 00:57:37,280
Speaker 3: I just found it here.

1119
00:57:39,079 --> 00:57:43,199
Speaker 2: This is Eric Musselman calling this a gauntlet of a

1120
00:57:43,239 --> 00:57:45,480
three game Midwest road swing. He said, I don't know

1121
00:57:45,519 --> 00:57:49,559
if anybody's prepared in the country for this trip. Musselman said,

1122
00:57:49,559 --> 00:57:51,239
we're going to be on the road longer than a

1123
00:57:51,239 --> 00:57:53,960
lot of NBA teams when they go on the East

1124
00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:56,960
Coast trip, and that's coming right out of Christmas break,

1125
00:57:57,199 --> 00:57:59,440
so that would suggest they're staying there at them And

1126
00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:02,159
he's not kind of thrilled about the Big ten schedule

1127
00:58:02,159 --> 00:58:05,840
maker throwing them up there in the in the in

1128
00:58:05,920 --> 00:58:08,360
the north top of the country for as long as

1129
00:58:08,360 --> 00:58:09,519
they're gonna have to be there.

1130
00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:14,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, it'll be it'll be interesting to see how that

1131
00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:16,840
plays out, and then of course, you know, sort of

1132
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:19,480
to see what we can take from that in the

1133
00:58:19,559 --> 00:58:21,880
Friday's game with Minnesota, which would eat which would be

1134
00:58:21,920 --> 00:58:25,239
the easily the best chance for USC to get a

1135
00:58:25,239 --> 00:58:28,199
win on this this swing, So that'll be interesting. Joey

1136
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:31,280
Cheese says, Rob breaks down totals like nobody in the business.

1137
00:58:31,639 --> 00:58:36,639
Is quite amazing. I very much agree. Joey Chees's phenomenal handicapper.

1138
00:58:36,719 --> 00:58:39,400
But the way that you sort of find your way

1139
00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:42,079
in with totals is very impressive, and we try to

1140
00:58:42,159 --> 00:58:44,320
hit as many on the show as we can. If

1141
00:58:44,360 --> 00:58:46,559
you like what you're seeing on the show, give our

1142
00:58:46,840 --> 00:58:50,320
our three day package a try. It is basically the

1143
00:58:50,400 --> 00:58:52,440
exact same thing that you're getting on the show, except

1144
00:58:52,440 --> 00:58:54,559
it's what we actually play and you don't have to

1145
00:58:54,559 --> 00:58:56,760
listen to me talk. You can just read, so that's

1146
00:58:56,760 --> 00:58:59,280
a huge plus as well. But Rob, I'm gonna give

1147
00:58:59,320 --> 00:59:01,199
him the floor. We are already talked about the game,

1148
00:59:01,679 --> 00:59:04,039
but Rob, can you clarify for the viewers what you

1149
00:59:04,039 --> 00:59:05,440
want to close the parlay out with.

1150
00:59:05,920 --> 00:59:07,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're going to close it out with the William

1151
00:59:07,519 --> 00:59:09,840
and Mary team Total Adam, which right now sits at

1152
00:59:09,880 --> 00:59:14,280
eighty one and a half for really a one ten

1153
00:59:14,400 --> 00:59:16,880
one ten deal. So no juice to speak of here,

1154
00:59:17,280 --> 00:59:18,920
but we're gonna look for William and Mary to get

1155
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:21,119
to eighty two in this game against College of Charleston.

1156
00:59:21,119 --> 00:59:24,119
If you need to hear why it is earlier in

1157
00:59:24,159 --> 00:59:26,000
the show, I know that it'll be time stamped and

1158
00:59:26,039 --> 00:59:27,679
you can go back and watch it. But William and

1159
00:59:27,679 --> 00:59:32,280
Mary team total up and over eighty one and a half.

1160
00:59:33,199 --> 00:59:35,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I can assure you if those time stamps are

1161
00:59:35,119 --> 00:59:37,599
not done, like very shortly after the show, I'll be

1162
00:59:37,639 --> 00:59:41,079
hearing from Kelly Stewart, so it will be time stamped. Yeah,

1163
00:59:41,119 --> 00:59:43,960
they will be in there very soon after the show,

1164
00:59:44,280 --> 00:59:47,320
and that'll close out the show and I'll recap the

1165
00:59:47,320 --> 00:59:52,159
parlay again. Rob even with me ruining Fridays still plus

1166
00:59:52,239 --> 00:59:57,719
three sixteen Stone Cold Steve Austin plus three sixteen units

1167
00:59:57,800 --> 01:00:00,000
on the season. Love to see that it's in the play.

1168
01:00:00,159 --> 01:00:04,239
US plus two sixty today is the odds for the

1169
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:07,280
two teamer. We've got Columbia plus two and a half

1170
01:00:07,559 --> 01:00:10,360
for me and then Robino going with William and Mary

1171
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:13,000
over eighty one and a half. That's a team total

1172
01:00:13,360 --> 01:00:17,079
and that's your two team, hopefully winner. There's a pleasure

1173
01:00:17,079 --> 01:00:20,199
as always. We'll see you guys again tomorrow ten am

1174
01:00:20,239 --> 01:00:26,280
Eastern More Full Court Press. Have a great day, everybody,