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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

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betting shows, where we talk, to talk and walk the walk,

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Big Big College hoops, NBA card tonight. Dan and I

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were talking before we recorded, and Dan, it's one hour.

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It literally is just one hour. I do not understand

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how one hour can so affect my sleep, my body.

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Speaker 2: Because Andy, we are men of principle and we are

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a man of rhythm, and changing the clock for ungodly

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known reason screws up people like you and I. But

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it doesn't matter, Andy, because we keep on chugging along.

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But yeah, time change is the dumbest thing in the world.

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If your pro time change, comment below and tell us why,

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because I don't think anyone is, and I want to

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hear why, so let us know. But Andy, people already

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lining up asking some questions daytime college basketball sides and totals, please,

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we'll be talking some of those here coming up. Celtics

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and Spurs. You've come to the right place because Jesse

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Schule will be joining the program near the end of

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the show talking Celtics and Spurs. He's also gonna let

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you know who you should be fading in Hoop's Action tonight.

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Brian Powers on the show as well, Maryland and Oregon

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facing off in month and Hofstrap. Those are two teams typically, Andy,

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we're releasing lacrosse plays on Brian Power, gonna be giving

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you a breakdown on what's going on on the hardwood.

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Then the Big Ten first round of course in the

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CAA Championship, and kicking us off. We move things around

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because when the pen wants to come on, we get

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the pen on, and that is Ralph Michaels. He's gonna

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be talking the Horizon League Final and the West Coast

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Conference Finals, so that is Detroit and Wright State and

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SMU and Syracuse. Actually we move some things around, so

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West Coast Final we'll hear about a little later in

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the show. We got SMU in Syracuse instead. So Andy,

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I'm minute in and I've already found a way to

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screw something up.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 1: Well, we did not have a let It Ride play yesterday, Dan,

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so those of you that are following along, we're doing

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their let It Ride Challenge similar to the latter challenge.

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We hit our Friday play. We let it Ride onto

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the Sunday play. So we turned one hundred dollars based

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on our client plays. I now have three hundred and

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sixty six. I do not have a let it ride today.

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I wish I would have played that the tennis play

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yesterday because that four percent was an easy cash. But

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we're gonna take it on four a year, not forcing anything.

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We're to try and get to that five or six

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win mark. But you've got a lacrosse play that just

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missed the client card. So walk us through this lacrosse

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play that you have for today.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this one, the number feels a bit right, but

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it feels a little wide in my opinion. So we're

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going back to talk about the Hobart Statesman. That's right,

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but we're fading them because they're laying six and a

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half points. How indy to me? Are you gonna take

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a one in five team and ask them to lay

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six and a half goals in weekday lacrosse? That's where

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it starts scratching my head. They're facing off against the

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Lamoine Dolphins, and the Lamoyne Dolphins used to be an

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absolute stud in in a lower division here in lacrosse.

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They moved up to Division one and it's been a

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bit of a slog. They kind of overperformed, and now

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they're coming back down to earth. But when I just

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look at these two teams, Leamoine coming in one in six,

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the Hobart State's been coming in one and five, how

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they've gotten at these places? Lemoyn's coming off an overtime

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loss against Manhattan. You know, if you look at common opponents,

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sure it's Canisius, that's that common thread, that's the one

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team that Hobart actually defeated. Canisius is a team that

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actually came back from being down a few goals to

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come back and defeat Lemoyne. So for me, Andy, you know,

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six and a half in lacrosse, it's it's a number

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that you know, isn't that wild? But when you're asking

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a one in five team to be laying a number

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midday lacrosse action or midweek lacrosse action, it just doesn't

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vibe for me. If this thing was seven and a half,

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eight and a half would be a four percent five

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percent bet, but six and a half it can just

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be a WTF for LFG. It will be one I'm

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betting with my own money, but I wanted to give

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it to you guys first, so we didn't end up

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with a five and a half for you. So I

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will be betting and after the show six and a

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half Lemoyne Dolphins. That's your wtfter LFG.

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Speaker 1: I mean it takes hundreds and hundreds of thousands of dollars,

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if not millions, to move a half point in the NFL.

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Dan and I can single handedly move a lacross line.

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Speaker 2: If I text Andy and I say, here's what our

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client play is. If we don't give it thirty minutes

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for clients to bet it, it will not be the

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same line we've We've learned though, I will bet it

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after the show. You guys can grab it now or

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taking Lamoine plus the six and a half.

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Speaker 3: All right, Ralph, get in here, let's see.

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Speaker 2: Well the pen there he is.

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Speaker 3: We have an agreement, Ralph expert.

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Speaker 4: Oh, hold on a second, I got it. I'll be

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right back. Hey Dan, I want to say this, Yes,

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Teddy number one, I agree with your thought process. You

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look at Lamoye and why they've got outscored by forty

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goals on the season. They were outscored forty five to

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three their first three games. Their last four games, they've

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only been outscored by five goals. You look at Holart

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and William Smith College. They won their opener and their

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last five games they've been outscored sixty to forty one.

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So this is my question to you. Are you at

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all concerned that you're leaving value off the table not

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betting on the wine plus seven fifty, which I just did.

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Speaker 2: Wow, Teddy, you even bet the plus seven fifty. I

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agree with you and Ralph. This is something that I

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tell you guys all the time with my lacrosse plays

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when we're betting on these dogs because of variants in

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this sport, because any team can go on a run.

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We've taken ten and a half. The other week we

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did Iona and they were a ten and a half

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point dog. We said, sprinkle on them on the money line.

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They ended up losing by one goal and they led

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most of the game. So I will not Aka Ralph,

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don't call me Teddy covers leave the value on it.

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I can't give the money line out as a bet

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for you guys, but if your bank role allows it,

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bet you know, the unit and then a little quarter

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unit on that sprinkle because they went out right. You know,

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I'll be touting that and you want to be cashing

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in alongside us. But whenever I bet the dog Ralph,

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I sprinkle at least a quarter to a half unit

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on the money line as well. And this is one

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of those dogs Teddy Michael's the pen that I certainly

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think could potentially be winning out right Well.

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Speaker 4: That is, that is Teddy's first money line dog, lax.

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Speaker 2: Just so it's barking, it's barking.

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Speaker 1: Well done, Ralph, well done. Let's talk a couple of

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these games here real quick. Let's start with Detroit and

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Wright State the Horizon League Final.

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Speaker 3: How do you break this game down?

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Speaker 4: Well, Andy, this is in your neck of the woods,

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the old Indiana State Fairgrounds, so sort of a unique

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setting being out there. You look at Right State, they're

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twenty two and eleven versus the two hundred and forty

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five schedule, Detroit only seven and fourteen versus the two thirteen.

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That shows an edge to Right State. When you look

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at common opponents, Wright State plus four point zero shooting

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percentage that's offensive minus defensive, Detroit only plus seven. That

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says take Right State at this number. You look at

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the ATS numbers Wright State fourteen and six ATS versus

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conference foes ten and six ATS as a conference favorite

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and away from home away in neutral games They are

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twelve and four against the spread seventy five percent and

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seven to one ats with a total over one point

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fifty one. Plus. Right State has revenge for losing as

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a ten and a half point home favorite the last

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time they played Detroit in Dayton. All those things you

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add them up, I'm gonna say we're going to fade

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Wright State. Despite those numbers, Detroit has come on strong.

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They started the season eight and twelve, but they've won

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seven of their last nine games. Why they move two

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freshmen into their starting role. They're not really starting, but

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they're playing significant minutes, and they have changed the Titans lineup.

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The metrics since February eighth, Detroit is number one, twenty seven,

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one twenty two on offense, one thirty seven on defense.

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Wright State has won sixty six, so Detroit is thirty

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nine spots better Wright State's offense one thirteen defense to sixty.

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Detroit just as good against the spread fourteen and six

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versus the conference away from home as a favorite or

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dog nine to three, including six straight covers by ten

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points per game. And if you're worried about the revenge

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for Wright State teams in the conference at tourney, that

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have revenged for a home loss as a favorite of

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seven or more, have only gone fifty seven sixty two

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to one forty eight percent. That double revenge means nothing.

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And by the way, Wright State played Northern Kentucky last night.

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The score was one oh three to ninety Wright's excuse me,

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Northern Kentucky is number twenty two in tempo. Detroit beat

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Robert Morse Robert Moritz tempo in the three hundreds, much

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fresher team, just as hot. And lastly, Wright State was

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the number one seed, but they got no break. They

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played Wednesday and they played last night. That is the

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exact same schedule as Detroit. And let's compare that to

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the sun Belt. Last night, Georgia Southern was playing a

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six straight game and Troy was playing their second game.

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That's what the Sun Belt does for their top tier teams.

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The Horizon gives no edge for being number one. Added up,

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it's not Detroit. Detroit is an actual client play. But

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here on the show, I called for an outright up

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set two weeks ago. We're gonna call for another outright

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up set to go with our lacrosse winner. The Detroit

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Titans win the Horizon League. Tonight and end up in

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March madness.

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Speaker 2: Well done, Ralph. We love it and you know what

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that means.

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Speaker 4: And anybody gotta say anything, you let me know. That's

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my dog, Scott.

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Speaker 2: A striking dog for you. He did it once? Shall

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he do it twice or thrice? If we catch that

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seven fifty on the agreement that we got from Ralph

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the Penn Teddy covers Michaels. All right, Ralph, let's talk this.

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Let's talk. He's gonna have more nicknames. He's gonna sound

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like Denarius Stormborn Tigarian when all of this is done. Andy.

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But let's talk this Syracuse and SMU game. Ralph. You

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made it nice and easy on yourself because it's two

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games that are four and a half, so at least

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you get to cap the same number. Total's a bit

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different in this one. One fifty four and a half

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Syracuse SMU. This one I believe in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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How are you looking to bet this.

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Speaker 3: One, Ralph?

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Speaker 4: Well, we're looking at two teams that have lost to

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combine ninth straight games. So how exciting can that be?

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But you know what, it's all for a second life

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right now. And Syracuse has lost five in a row.

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I have a reason why SMU lost four in a row,

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and it's a massive reason. And this is the reason

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I can't play the game. They lost their point guard

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BJ Edwards in the col game early in the game.

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They lost that game. He has missed the last three games,

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they've lost all three, and he is doubtful for tonight.

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So if he were playing, I would be on SMU

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even if you even if I know he's out, that

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doesn't put me on the Syracuse side. So here's what

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I'm gonna do. I'm gonna look at the under and

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you look at these two teams. Both are over teams.

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SMU offensive tempo number thirty three, Syracuse offensive tempo number

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one twenty four. You look at both season and date numbers,

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both scream over. But why are we gonna go under?

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This is why it's current form going into the conference

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tournament FINALSUS tempo number thirty three on offense year to date,

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the last two weeks, those four games without their point guard,

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they've slowed it down. They are at a temple of

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one fifty four, Syracuse a temple of number one seventy six.

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They lost a few backups. Their tempo the last two

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weeks number threeh eight. In the nine games prior to

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Edward's getting hurt, SMU averaged eighty five point nine points

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per game. The four games since he's missed, they've averaged

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seventy seven points per game. That is a nine point

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per game difference less scoring for SMU. This total has

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not been adjusted. I didn't release it as a client

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play in case Edward's play, but I do have it

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on my homepage as a free play. I don't want

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to go full game in case the game is close

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and they start folling, even though Syracuse is one of

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the worst free throw teams in the country. I am

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going to go first under seventy three and a half.

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And again, this would have been a client play if

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I knew that Edwards was out versus doubtful for tonight.

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Speaker 2: Great breakdown there, Ralph. I should have known you were

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gonna work in a first half play some way, somehow.

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Well done by you. Real quick, we're gonna take a

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look at this chart that you have for the folks,

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and obviously you guys see is Twitter handle there at

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cal Sports LB. You'll be able to look at it

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a little bit more in depth. You check it out

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over at his ex page. But Ralph, this special that

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we have going this March Madness bonanza is an absolute

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no brainer if you want to start getting this college

255
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basketball action now second you buy your access is going

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all the way through national championship game. So what do

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you have up? And I know it's five dollars Tuesday,

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but I would be remiss if I didn't mention a

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special like this even when we're rocking with plays for

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five bucks.

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Speaker 4: Well, listen, I've been basically number one in college basketball

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the whole season, but currently I'm number two. I had

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a poor week this week, the first week difference Championships.

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I will turn that around, and congrats to Gianni. He's

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been absolutely on fire and he took me over as

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the number one college basketball handicapper, but still number two.

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And last year in March Madness, I was number one.

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Get the entire rest of college basketball for one hundred

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00:14:17,879 --> 00:14:20,320
and forty nine dollars. You'll get this week of conference

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00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:23,799
tournaments for free. I do have a five dollars play

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loaded at wager Talk, and I'll tell you what if

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you had the sports memo, and I'll tell you what

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sports memo was blowing up with our seven dollars packages

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the play that I gave out for free. That is

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my seven dollars play at sports Memo. So if you've

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got a sports memo, do not buy my seven dollars

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00:14:43,759 --> 00:14:45,720
play over there. Do check me out at wage to

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talk to one forty nine special.

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Speaker 2: All right, Ralph, it's tart time. You know we love

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doing a little TNN.

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Speaker 4: Let's let's play a little game Dan, right, Okay, during

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the next three weeks, bring time we hear a media

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guys say it's tough to beat a team three times?

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You do a shot, I think we'd have to shut

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down the show.

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Speaker 2: Boiler Makers all around, baby around? Man? Is that what

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this is about? Beaten teams in the in their third meeting? Yeah,

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what do you What do you got for us here? Ralph?

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Speaker 4: It is if you look on the top and guys,

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there's a lot of dad in here. I will be

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posting this on my ex at cals Forts LV so

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you can look at But basically, let's just look at this.

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If a team wins the first two games, is it

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hard to beat them a third time? Look at the

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top line. If they won both, they're sixty eight point

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two percent the last ten years. If they won the

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first two games as a favorite, they're seventy eight point

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five percent winning the game their third game. If they

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won both as a dog, that is a time where

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they haven't won three straight, only forty two point nine.

301
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So if someone was a favorite the first two games

302
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and you hear, oh, it's hard to beat a team

303
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a third straight time, that's just bs. They do it

304
00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:06,399
almost eight percent of the time. Covering is a different story.

305
00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:08,919
Take a look at those ATS numbers on the right.

306
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So again, two very different things. Tough to beat a

307
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team third time, that's a MythBuster. Tough to cover against

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the team you beat the first two times, that is

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a fade.

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Speaker 2: Wow. Yeah's that's a great chart there. It makes a

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00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:27,200
heck of a lot of sense. Feeding the conventional barney

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00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,480
at the bar wisdom is what I like to call it.

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Where you can't beat a team three times? You know? So, Ralph,

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always a pleasure, buddy, Best of luck, and thanks.

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Speaker 4: For starting one more thing, Andy, Sorry, Andy and Dan.

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00:16:38,759 --> 00:16:41,679
I do want to mention I did a TikTok video

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00:16:41,679 --> 00:16:45,559
on wager Talk. TikTok. Why Miami of Ohio now thirty

318
00:16:45,559 --> 00:16:50,200
one to zero? Will not make the NCAA tournament. Seventy

319
00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:52,399
eight thousand people have vie died it already. Check out

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00:16:52,399 --> 00:16:55,559
Wayger Talk, TikTok. Give me a thumbs up. I'd appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: Thirty one to know and not make the tournament craziness,

322
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I am. I am gonna go watch the video because

323
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that makes no sense to me whatsoever. How you can

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00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:12,240
go How you win thirty one straight games and not

325
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make a tournament that has sixties plus teams in it?

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Speaker 3: Ridiculous, ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: Thank you as always, Thanks Ralph, best of luck, Andy.

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00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:23,400
Before we get to Brian, what do you have rocking

329
00:17:23,519 --> 00:17:27,319
five dollars Tuesday? Absolute no brainer? We should, like you said,

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we should have let it ride on that tennis play.

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But you know we we move on. Andy, We've gotten

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00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:34,880
two runs up. What are you rocking with today for

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00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:35,759
five dollars Tuesday?

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Speaker 1: Okay, well I want to I want to pause on that.

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00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,000
So you know, on the show we talked, hey, we'll

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tell you when we win, we'll tell you when we lose.

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Speaker 3: But you know this, this is a business.

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Speaker 1: To me, my bank role is a business, and so

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00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:51,759
I've talked openly about how bad UFC has been this year.

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Speaker 3: It's just off to a terrible start. On the flip side,

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tennis has been one of the bright spots.

342
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Speaker 1: And I will just be honest with you, I am

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00:18:00,279 --> 00:18:03,960
betting more on my tennis plays than anything else at

344
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,640
this point. And some of you got that play. I know,

345
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:11,079
betting on tennis doubles seems weird. This is a very betable,

346
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:15,920
gettable spot. And we attacked the early games and the

347
00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:18,759
early matches when these tournaments start, and it has been

348
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:22,880
very profitable. Yesterday we hit our play no sweat. You

349
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,599
get these powerhouse doubles teams that that's what they specialize in,

350
00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,039
and they go up against guys that are just kind

351
00:18:29,039 --> 00:18:31,720
of thrown together teams and it's really really gettable.

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00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:33,359
Speaker 3: So that was a four percent win yesterday.

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00:18:33,599 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 1: I will be a lot more open about tennis plays

354
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:37,960
on this show and given out some more free plays.

355
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:40,480
I've got one that's up right now. It starts in

356
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,000
a couple of hours, so if you want that, it's

357
00:18:43,039 --> 00:18:44,720
five dollars if you want to get that one in.

358
00:18:45,039 --> 00:18:46,960
But the big one is a four percent darts play.

359
00:18:47,039 --> 00:18:49,119
We did not have an official client play for darts

360
00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:50,279
in the Premier League last week.

361
00:18:50,559 --> 00:18:51,799
Speaker 3: Glad we sat out.

362
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:56,119
Speaker 1: Those lines, smelled, they stunk and turned out to be right.

363
00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:57,960
We love them this week, so we got a four

364
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:00,839
percent best bet in darts. We've hit seventy five percent

365
00:19:00,839 --> 00:19:02,880
of our bets in Premier League this year and this

366
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:04,720
is on a perfect five and oh angle.

367
00:19:05,079 --> 00:19:07,440
Speaker 3: This play is hit five times in a row. So

368
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:08,559
we really really like.

369
00:19:08,599 --> 00:19:11,319
Speaker 1: The play that is up for five dollars. The darts

370
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,160
play takes place on Thursday, but get it today for

371
00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,359
five dollars because at midnight tonight that price goes up

372
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,000
to twenty five bucks. You're getting a twenty dollars discount

373
00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,519
instantly on there. So you want to lock in an

374
00:19:22,559 --> 00:19:24,839
afternoon play for tennis. We've got that up and then

375
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,160
the darts play. Really important to get that one up.

376
00:19:27,279 --> 00:19:33,319
So let's uh in ten minutes here, Dan, we have

377
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:36,599
the big twelve game on the glass on the glass

378
00:19:36,759 --> 00:19:40,319
floor that Mark oh okay, that Marco talked about. So

379
00:19:40,559 --> 00:19:42,559
a couple of people have mentioned that in the chat.

380
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:47,519
Great question. I like the under it's seventy one and

381
00:19:47,519 --> 00:19:53,640
a half, okay, these first half under first half under,

382
00:19:53,799 --> 00:19:55,640
the I was like, okay, had they come up with

383
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,400
seventy one and a half, Well, these teams played a

384
00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:59,559
couple of weeks ago, and they scored seventy two points

385
00:20:00,039 --> 00:20:02,240
in the first half. This feels like a very vanilla

386
00:20:02,319 --> 00:20:05,960
number that they're putting out there. So middle of the day,

387
00:20:06,559 --> 00:20:08,960
glass floor, new surroundings.

388
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,160
Speaker 3: I think that's worth a sprinkle here, guys.

389
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:13,559
Speaker 1: So if you missed it last week, Marco was talking

390
00:20:13,559 --> 00:20:16,440
about the Big twelve. They're playing on this glass floor

391
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:19,319
that's got led lights. I watched some of the women's games.

392
00:20:19,319 --> 00:20:22,599
The first game went easily under. The second game just

393
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,240
snuck over, so it was one and one. But I

394
00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:26,680
think you got to stick to it. I think if

395
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:28,400
you're going to play one, you just got to play

396
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:31,720
all of them. Yeah, you got it. On the on

397
00:20:31,799 --> 00:20:33,960
the Big twelve, it's Baylor and Arizona State look like

398
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:34,680
a tip tip and.

399
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:38,079
Speaker 2: Then we got Utah, Cincinnati, Kansas State BYU, and Oklahoma

400
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,920
State Colorado. Those are all those teams, you know, games

401
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:45,079
that are going here on that that glass led flashing court. So, uh,

402
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,079
I like it, Andy, that's a good flag there as

403
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,319
we're rapidly approaching that one. Yeah.

404
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, so let's see.

405
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:56,359
Speaker 1: Uh oh, I wish everybody could see where they're.

406
00:20:56,200 --> 00:21:00,319
Speaker 3: Playing this game. This Detroit. The game route broke. They're

407
00:21:00,319 --> 00:21:00,799
playing it at.

408
00:21:02,559 --> 00:21:02,720
Speaker 2: Dad.

409
00:21:02,799 --> 00:21:05,440
Speaker 1: It's in the middle of the ghetto. The Fairgrounds is

410
00:21:05,519 --> 00:21:07,720
just in the middle of the ghetto.

411
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:11,519
Speaker 3: Like when he goes there, they have like the boat

412
00:21:11,599 --> 00:21:12,759
Sport travel show.

413
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 1: They have like a bunch of different things. But that's

414
00:21:15,039 --> 00:21:18,359
where the minor league hockey team plays. And you do

415
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,759
not you don't aim to go through that area.

416
00:21:21,839 --> 00:21:24,279
Speaker 3: You kind of move, you kind of high tail it

417
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:30,279
through that area. I'm I'm nice that they're in that area,

418
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:34,200
but whatever, whatever. Shout out to the fair Grounds.

419
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Brian Power and let's talk about.

420
00:21:40,839 --> 00:21:43,319
Speaker 2: How's it going. It's going all right.

421
00:21:43,559 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 5: Finally we slaved the Georgia Southern Beast last night. That

422
00:21:46,799 --> 00:21:48,799
dumb team is gone, so they won't be.

423
00:21:48,799 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 2: Going a thorn in your side or what they had

424
00:21:51,759 --> 00:21:52,640
been over the weekend.

425
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:55,960
Speaker 5: Look, tip of the cap props to them. Ralph mentioned it.

426
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,720
They had to play six games in six days. It's

427
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,400
not easy to do. My thought was when they got

428
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:03,440
to that fourth game, maybe they would have tired legs.

429
00:22:03,519 --> 00:22:05,160
A team that didn't shoot the three very well in

430
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,799
the regular season, they were on an incredible run. I

431
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,759
drew a line though yesterday. If you're a client of mine,

432
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,880
don't it's weird to apologize. I guess, but I made

433
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,519
you wait until I officially gave the play out. I

434
00:22:16,519 --> 00:22:21,400
waited till the line hit minus five, and it hit

435
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:23,279
minus five. I gave Troy out and they won by

436
00:22:23,319 --> 00:22:26,839
double digits. They covered every number. So somebody wanted me

437
00:22:26,839 --> 00:22:27,880
to highlight the winning the chat.

438
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:28,640
Speaker 2: That's always nice.

439
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,319
Speaker 5: Yes, they made fun of me on the best betting

440
00:22:30,319 --> 00:22:32,640
show ever for playing against Georgia Southern again.

441
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:38,640
Speaker 1: But oh well, it is weird how you're just like,

442
00:22:38,759 --> 00:22:40,079
this team's gotta lose.

443
00:22:40,519 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 6: They're good.

444
00:22:41,039 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 5: I mean, I've got a lie of the people. I'm

445
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,279
not an athlete and he never was. But six games

446
00:22:46,279 --> 00:22:47,880
in six days it seems like a lot of work

447
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,880
to put in eventually, especially when you're not good like

448
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:51,720
Georgia Southern.

449
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 2: You're living on borrowed time.

450
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, not good. I don't know what do you want

451
00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,319
me to say. Well, let's talk about this this big

452
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:02,039
ten first round game.

453
00:23:02,039 --> 00:23:04,680
Speaker 1: We got Maryland Oregon, and then we got Monlouth and Hofstra.

454
00:23:04,839 --> 00:23:08,519
Let's start with Maryland and Oregon. Looks like five pm

455
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:11,039
Eastern tip off here? How do you break this one down.

456
00:23:11,799 --> 00:23:14,839
Speaker 5: Yeah, full disclosure game. This is typically not the kind

457
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:17,400
of game I want to bet. You're talking about two

458
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,400
teams in a power conference that have no real chance

459
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:25,359
of winning the tournament. Okay, spoiler narrator voice Maryland, Maryland

460
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,680
nor Oregon are winning the Big Ten tournament. They have

461
00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:30,240
no hope of an at large bid for the Big

462
00:23:30,319 --> 00:23:34,440
Dance Eater. So there's a question why I'm a little

463
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,960
hesitant to just come in and bet something is there

464
00:23:37,039 --> 00:23:40,039
is a question of what the player's mindset's going to

465
00:23:40,039 --> 00:23:42,240
be coming into the conference tournament, right, I mean, they

466
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,720
know it's all over, but the shouting these two teams,

467
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,839
both teams you look at Maryland Oregon had really disappointing seasons.

468
00:23:49,079 --> 00:23:51,559
Some of that was due to injuries bottom line, though,

469
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,480
Maryland lost twenty games for the first time since nineteen

470
00:23:54,519 --> 00:23:58,519
eighty nine. Meanwhile, first losing season up in Eugene for

471
00:23:58,599 --> 00:24:03,519
Oregon since two thousand. Now, Oregon was okay down the stretch,

472
00:24:03,559 --> 00:24:06,519
I stress okay when three and two straight up four

473
00:24:06,559 --> 00:24:08,440
and one against the number of the last five games.

474
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:10,640
One of those two straight up losses was only by

475
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,920
a single point at Northwestern, and in the regular season finale,

476
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:17,559
the Ducks beat Washington eighty five to seventy nine at home,

477
00:24:18,079 --> 00:24:20,920
led by as many as eighteen points in that one.

478
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,960
Maryland Meanwhile, they're gonna come into this game on a

479
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:27,400
four game straight up losing skid. So I guess perhaps

480
00:24:28,039 --> 00:24:30,440
we shouldn't be too surprised that Oregon took a little

481
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:33,640
bit of early money here. Let's just look, they're taking

482
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:35,640
actually a little bit more money since I did my

483
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:37,839
notes for this game. As I look at the odd screen,

484
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:39,480
but I don't want to bet either side in this

485
00:24:39,559 --> 00:24:41,440
matchup for the reasons I talked about at the top.

486
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:43,839
Let's look at the total instead. If you really want

487
00:24:43,839 --> 00:24:48,039
to play here, that number is sitting one thirty eight

488
00:24:48,039 --> 00:24:50,160
and a half. I see a one to thirty nine

489
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,839
as well on the odd screen. I think that number

490
00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:54,720
seems a bit low. These two teams met in the

491
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:58,119
regular season. Grant was back on January tecond total close

492
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,640
one forty six and a half for that regular season

493
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:04,640
meeting Andy and so we've got eight point delta we're

494
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:05,400
talking about here.

495
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:05,559
Speaker 2: Now.

496
00:25:05,599 --> 00:25:08,720
Speaker 5: I understand the final score of that regular season meeting

497
00:25:08,759 --> 00:25:11,480
was sixty four to fifty four in favor of Oregon.

498
00:25:11,519 --> 00:25:15,200
And we've got a situation here no led glass floors,

499
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:19,880
but it's unfamil your environment. Nonetheless, United Center in Chicago.

500
00:25:20,599 --> 00:25:23,480
Neither of these teams are good defensively, though both struggle

501
00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:27,440
to generate turnovers, and offensively, one thing they do do well.

502
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:31,440
Both teams do well, I should say, is collect offensive rebounds.

503
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,799
So there should be some second chance opportunities here. And furthermore,

504
00:25:35,279 --> 00:25:37,680
you go back to that regular season meeting. Guys, It's

505
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,480
not like Maryland's gonna shoot any worse today than they

506
00:25:40,519 --> 00:25:43,279
did back on January second, when they were twenty nine

507
00:25:43,319 --> 00:25:46,240
percent overall from the field, twenty percent from three low

508
00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:48,720
bar to clear for the Terps, and one final melt.

509
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:50,599
This is very interesting. I did not know this until

510
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,440
I was doing my notes for the game. No team

511
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,559
in the country has seen its opponents shoot a better

512
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:00,279
percentage from the free throw line than Oregon tams are

513
00:26:00,319 --> 00:26:03,880
hitting was eighty percent against them from the charity stripe.

514
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,720
So maybe some freebies for the Terps here. Nevertheless, I

515
00:26:07,839 --> 00:26:10,480
like the over I think both teams play loose and free.

516
00:26:10,839 --> 00:26:13,920
Let's be honest here, it's basically house money at this

517
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,319
point for Maryland and Oregon. So I don't think it's

518
00:26:16,319 --> 00:26:17,480
gonna beat defensive battle.

519
00:26:19,799 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 1: We apparently have moved the first half line. It's now

520
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,920
down to seventy and a half. So tune in and

521
00:26:27,279 --> 00:26:30,319
get Brian Power, myself and Danver just out here casually

522
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:33,640
moving lines.

523
00:26:32,519 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 3: With our deals. Yeah.

524
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 1: Some people move lines with money. We move lines with

525
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:37,920
our opinions.

526
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,839
Speaker 2: So this is, like our friend crack Man says, just

527
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:43,319
with our brain we move. We think about a line,

528
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,559
Brian Power, and the line moves. It does. It's incredible

529
00:26:46,559 --> 00:26:47,240
how that happened.

530
00:26:47,279 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, Brian, it's five dollars Tuesday. I know we're running

531
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,680
this one hundred and forty nine dollars March Madness Bananas

532
00:26:54,759 --> 00:26:57,480
Bananza special so we can invest long term with you.

533
00:26:57,519 --> 00:26:59,160
Tell her what you have up today before we get

534
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:00,359
to this month withth Hoffa.

535
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, so I had a five dollars play for this afternoon.

536
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:05,880
I had to take it down. The the linements moved,

537
00:27:06,039 --> 00:27:08,680
so that is down. But guess what I've got good news.

538
00:27:08,759 --> 00:27:11,519
I have another five dollars play, locked and loaded. This

539
00:27:11,519 --> 00:27:14,640
one's actually in the NBA. So my first NBA play

540
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:16,839
in two weeks with so much going on in March Madness,

541
00:27:16,839 --> 00:27:18,839
and that's being my primary focus this time of year.

542
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:21,680
Obviously the NBA does take a little bit of a backseat,

543
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:24,119
But guys, I have a selective approach the NBA. It's

544
00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:26,599
paid off thirty eight and sixteen run in the NBA

545
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:30,039
that was sixteen and four with four plays rated four

546
00:27:30,079 --> 00:27:32,759
percent or higher. Wouldn't you know this play tonight that

547
00:27:32,799 --> 00:27:35,640
you can get for only five dollars is a four

548
00:27:35,799 --> 00:27:41,480
percent best bet? So I would appreciate or encourage I

549
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,720
should say, well, I appreciate and encourage you to head

550
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,480
on over to wt dot Buzz slash BP to.

551
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 2: Pick that up.

552
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:51,079
Speaker 5: I probably I will not guarantee it, but probably Andy,

553
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,559
and we'll be adding another college basketball play as well

554
00:27:53,599 --> 00:27:54,559
as the day moves along.

555
00:27:55,599 --> 00:27:55,920
Speaker 2: Nice.

556
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:56,599
Speaker 3: Nice.

557
00:27:57,079 --> 00:28:02,000
Speaker 1: Speaking of college basketball, let's talk Monmouth and Hofstra. I

558
00:28:02,039 --> 00:28:05,319
don't know anything about these teams. Tell us about these teams,

559
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:06,799
and what do you expect from this game?

560
00:28:07,279 --> 00:28:07,640
Speaker 3: All right?

561
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:11,519
Speaker 5: Well, no disrespect to Monmouth's seventy four to sixty four

562
00:28:11,559 --> 00:28:14,000
win over Campbell last night, but yesterday on the Morning

563
00:28:14,039 --> 00:28:16,440
Wager with Markusen and I Peple can check out that

564
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:21,039
show of course or Picks and Harlay's channel every day

565
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:24,759
Monday through Friday. But we talked about the CAA semis

566
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:30,440
on yesterday's show. I thought Towsand and Hawfstra was the

567
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:34,240
true final here in the CAA Tourney. After all, tousand

568
00:28:34,279 --> 00:28:37,559
was the preseason favorite to win this league. Hofstra came

569
00:28:37,599 --> 00:28:40,000
into DC, which is where this tournament's being held, as

570
00:28:40,039 --> 00:28:42,799
the league's highest rated team in Ken Pop. Now that

571
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:46,599
being said, Hawfstra had to go to overtime last night

572
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,400
and needed a miraculous last second three to win the game.

573
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,880
Anyone who watched that prior remembers it was a tear

574
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,960
up shot, but it went in and hofsher I'll take it. Meanwhile,

575
00:28:55,359 --> 00:28:59,400
Monmouth largely in control last night throughout the game against Campbell.

576
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,000
I will also add the Hawks have been much better

577
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:05,359
since kve On McClain became eligible. He had a team

578
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,440
high nineteen points last night. He's averaged about seventeen points

579
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:12,839
per game since becoming eligible back on February fifth. However,

580
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:17,079
anyone who watched Monmouth Campbell last night knows that the

581
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,240
Monmouth win had a lot to do with Campbell just

582
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:22,960
being absolutely horrible. The fighting Campbe's turned the ball over

583
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:25,880
twenty three times, shot just three of eighteen from three.

584
00:29:26,359 --> 00:29:29,319
Not gonna win many games doing that kind of stuff, obviously. Now,

585
00:29:29,319 --> 00:29:33,680
Monmouth also shot three of eighteen from three and still one,

586
00:29:33,799 --> 00:29:36,960
so that's pretty crazy. It's not too often, guys, you

587
00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:38,880
see a game where the two teams combined to go

588
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:43,160
six of thirty six from beyond the arc. And wouldn't

589
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:47,599
you know during conference play this year, Hofstra and Monmouth

590
00:29:47,799 --> 00:29:50,559
happened to rank number one and number three in the CIA,

591
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:54,440
respectively in three point shooting. So what's the story for tonight, guys?

592
00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:59,079
I expect improved shooting across the board relative to last

593
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:03,240
night semi five, Uh, Hofstra and thousand and that's you

594
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:06,400
look at that semi Both team shot below thirty nine

595
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,359
percent for the game. It was tied fifty five apiece

596
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:12,799
at the end of regulation. But again, let's go back

597
00:30:12,799 --> 00:30:14,960
to what we said about Maryland, Oregon and the Delta

598
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,359
in the total between the regular season matchup and what

599
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:20,319
we've got here. These teams played twice in the regular

600
00:30:20,319 --> 00:30:23,279
season offstren Bondmouth totals for those games closed one thirty

601
00:30:23,359 --> 00:30:25,519
nine and a half one forty and a half. For

602
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:27,880
this evening, number got as low as one thirty two

603
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:29,480
and a half. I think we've seen a little bit

604
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:32,880
of buyback and it's at one thirty.

605
00:30:31,799 --> 00:30:34,720
Speaker 2: Three and a half. Now, perhaps where's this game.

606
00:30:34,559 --> 00:30:36,160
Speaker 5: On the board, Yes, one thirty three and a half.

607
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:38,640
I know everything's on the line for these two teams,

608
00:30:38,839 --> 00:30:41,680
but I just expect much better shooting across the board

609
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:43,039
than what we saw last night in the semi. So

610
00:30:43,119 --> 00:30:46,000
I would lean over here as well at the current price.

611
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 3: Was that the banked in three at the end last night?

612
00:30:50,759 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 2: Yes, it was all. It was all.

613
00:30:54,559 --> 00:30:57,039
Speaker 5: It was one of those It was a really bad offense,

614
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:01,440
you know, Zeno, no, they know, ranted about the imagines.

615
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:02,880
Speaker 2: It a ranting about something, but he.

616
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:07,559
Speaker 5: Ranted about He ranted about teams that just dribble out

617
00:31:07,559 --> 00:31:09,400
the clock and take a terrible shot at the end

618
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:09,759
of the clock.

619
00:31:09,799 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 2: And he's absolutely right. It's horrible.

620
00:31:11,839 --> 00:31:15,799
Speaker 5: In the NBA, you can get away with just hey,

621
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,480
best player, just dribble and make something happen at the

622
00:31:18,519 --> 00:31:20,119
end of the shot clock, because you know, you're talking

623
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:21,319
about some of the best players in the world.

624
00:31:21,359 --> 00:31:23,039
Speaker 2: In college, it just looks.

625
00:31:22,839 --> 00:31:24,599
Speaker 5: Like they panic when it gets the five seconds of

626
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:28,319
these jack up a terrible three. Luckily for Hofstra it

627
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:33,200
went in. They're still alive. So there you go.

628
00:31:34,359 --> 00:31:36,799
Speaker 2: They drew it up when they drew up bank it

629
00:31:36,839 --> 00:31:39,519
in in the most ugly fashion that we've ever seen.

630
00:31:39,759 --> 00:31:44,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a terrible shot. All right, Brian, thank you

631
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,839
so much for joining us. Appreciate it. Good looking all

632
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:47,359
your plays.

633
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,279
Speaker 1: Five dollars, NBA best bet is up, look for another

634
00:31:50,279 --> 00:31:53,400
college basketball play, and as always, the March Madness Bonanza

635
00:31:53,519 --> 00:31:55,359
still live. One hundred and forty nine dollars. Get the

636
00:31:55,359 --> 00:31:58,119
rest of Brian Power's place for us marks.

637
00:31:58,119 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 3: Thank you, Brian, have a good one.

638
00:31:59,359 --> 00:32:04,799
Speaker 2: Okay, awesome, have a good night. Look this dude is

639
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,440
solid to da. I agree that dude is solid.

640
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 1: To Oh so we missed some stuff in the in

641
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:15,079
the uh in the in the comments. Actually bring in

642
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:18,400
Jesse because I think Jesse spotted this as well.

643
00:32:18,559 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 2: Jesse.

644
00:32:20,519 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 3: Did Brian bring up free throw defense?

645
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 6: I think he did.

646
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,839
Speaker 7: I think he suggested that something about the way that

647
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:32,039
Oregon plays defense during free throws allows their opponents to

648
00:32:32,119 --> 00:32:32,759
hit eighty percent.

649
00:32:32,799 --> 00:32:35,599
Speaker 6: I've never heard of that before. But what do I know?

650
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:40,279
Speaker 1: You can listen, you can talk while they're you know,

651
00:32:40,359 --> 00:32:41,440
getting ready to shoot.

652
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,319
Speaker 3: I mean a lot of stuff happens while guys are there.

653
00:32:44,359 --> 00:32:47,799
Speaker 2: Maybe they're overwhelmingly positive, Mandy. Maybe they're just like, hey man,

654
00:32:47,839 --> 00:32:49,759
you can do this, you know what I mean. Maybe

655
00:32:49,759 --> 00:32:52,400
they're they're just really well so.

656
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:54,799
Speaker 1: So there there are rules of what you can and

657
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:59,720
can't do U during the free throw, during the dribbling

658
00:32:59,759 --> 00:33:02,440
and then shooting, and what guys do is you'll you'll

659
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,519
see some of them that are like Dylan Brooks will

660
00:33:04,559 --> 00:33:05,240
do this like that.

661
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:06,839
Speaker 3: I'm sure Dort does this.

662
00:33:07,599 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 1: They'll yell across the free the guy shooting the free

663
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:14,319
throw to the coach and he'll be like, we're talking strategy.

664
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:14,960
Speaker 2: I'm not.

665
00:33:15,039 --> 00:33:17,839
Speaker 1: I'm not directly yelling at the guy shooting the free throw.

666
00:33:18,119 --> 00:33:21,440
I'm simply yelling in his ear at my coach about

667
00:33:21,519 --> 00:33:23,759
subs or what to do. So you'll see a guy

668
00:33:23,799 --> 00:33:25,839
like dribbling the ball and Dylan Brooks will be.

669
00:33:25,799 --> 00:33:29,119
Speaker 2: Like, coach, what are we running? What are we running?

670
00:33:29,599 --> 00:33:33,000
Speaker 3: Like? I don't know, baby, Maybe that could be what

671
00:33:33,039 --> 00:33:34,640
they talk about, by doubt, Andy.

672
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:37,359
Speaker 2: Have you guys seen the viral videos. It's like of

673
00:33:37,519 --> 00:33:42,440
high school kids who like their defense for for free throws,

674
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,839
someone in the crowd, who's usually another dude, will yell

675
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:47,720
as the guy's about to shoot a free throw, they'll go,

676
00:33:48,119 --> 00:33:51,680
that's my man, like right when they're about to shoot

677
00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:53,599
the free throw, and it's like you can hear like

678
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:57,000
a like a pin drop, and everyone's always turned around

679
00:33:57,279 --> 00:34:01,960
and it works. It's like a ninety. That's my man. Jinkes.

680
00:34:02,319 --> 00:34:04,319
I saw it all nine and I was like, actually,

681
00:34:04,359 --> 00:34:08,280
pretty smart, that's my man move, that's my man.

682
00:34:08,639 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 1: I've not seen that, but I definitely know what I'm

683
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:12,280
doing on social media after.

684
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:16,119
Speaker 2: I'll send them here away. Don't worry. There's a whole compilation.

685
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,840
Speaker 1: That's great, all right, Jesse. We got several teams that

686
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,960
we want to fade here. We'll start with college basketball.

687
00:34:23,599 --> 00:34:25,880
Give me one team that we're looking at fading tonight

688
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:27,239
this week moving forward.

689
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:33,079
Speaker 7: Well, we're gonna fade the BYU Cougars, a big BYU guy.

690
00:34:33,159 --> 00:34:36,639
I like BYU at home, but they're not at home tonight.

691
00:34:36,679 --> 00:34:40,280
They're in Kansas City, a couple hour drive from Manhattan.

692
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:44,639
They're taking on the Kansas State Wildcats. Kelly's team and

693
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,880
BYU is asked to cover a ten and a half

694
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:51,480
point spread. Total sits at one sixty five and a half.

695
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:55,199
Neither of these teams play defense. It's been a nightmare

696
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,679
season for Kansas State. Twelve and nineteen straight up, twelve

697
00:34:58,679 --> 00:35:01,719
and nineteen against the Spring, we had three and fifteen

698
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,039
in the Big Twelve. They're coming off a one to

699
00:35:04,079 --> 00:35:08,679
oh four to eighty five loss at Lawrence, Kansas. They're

700
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,000
just two and eight straight up in their last ten. Overall,

701
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:15,159
they rank fifteenth in the Big Twelve in scoring defense,

702
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:18,360
allowing eighty one point one points per game. But they

703
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:22,159
can score points. They're averaging seventy nine point two points

704
00:35:22,159 --> 00:35:25,599
per game. They're two and three in their last five

705
00:35:25,679 --> 00:35:28,719
versus BYU, and only one of those games was a

706
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:32,559
loss by ten or more points. And since they fired

707
00:35:32,639 --> 00:35:37,119
Jerome Tang, with Matthew Driscoll taking over as an interim coach,

708
00:35:37,559 --> 00:35:42,280
they've shown some signs. The first game after firing Tang,

709
00:35:42,599 --> 00:35:45,920
they beat Baylor, and then they beat West Virginia at home.

710
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:49,639
Now they lost to opponents that were better than them,

711
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:53,559
but BYU. I think BYU could let them hang around.

712
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:56,679
The Cougars are twenty one and ten twelve and nineteen

713
00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:00,719
against the spread, so really poor against the spread, nine

714
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:03,159
and nine in the Big Twelve, coming off in eighty

715
00:36:03,159 --> 00:36:07,000
two to seventy six win over Texas Tech Texas Tech

716
00:36:07,039 --> 00:36:11,199
without topping so BYU four and six straight up in

717
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:14,159
their last ten. Guess how many of those ten games

718
00:36:14,199 --> 00:36:18,519
were wins by enough points to cover this spread? Zero

719
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:21,599
zero have not won a game by ten or more

720
00:36:21,639 --> 00:36:24,480
points or more than ten points in their last ten

721
00:36:24,559 --> 00:36:28,000
overall BYU four and twelve against the spread in their

722
00:36:28,039 --> 00:36:32,880
last sixteen BYU's. The better team BYU should win this game.

723
00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:34,840
I don't know if they win it by more than

724
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:38,079
ten points, though, so I'll take the points with Kansas State.

725
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:43,639
Speaker 1: Sorry, Jesse, I thought you were actually asking me about zero.

726
00:36:43,639 --> 00:36:46,079
I didn't mean interrupt you there, but I actually knew

727
00:36:46,079 --> 00:36:46,639
it was zero.

728
00:36:47,800 --> 00:36:49,719
Speaker 6: I'm always happy to hear your opinion.

729
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:50,039
Speaker 3: Andy.

730
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,440
Speaker 1: Let's move on to the next team that you're looking

731
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:58,559
to fade, big name in basketball. But you're not sold

732
00:36:58,599 --> 00:36:59,719
on this team.

733
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:02,519
Speaker 7: Yeah, Ralph came out with that chart about you know,

734
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,039
is it really tough to beat a team three times

735
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:09,719
in a season, and he says, no, it's not. But

736
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,239
they don't cover the spread, and I'm banking on that

737
00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:16,960
here because Santa Clara comes in. They're only getting six

738
00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:20,679
and a half points in the West Coast Conference Final,

739
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:25,519
Santa Clara twenty six and seven overall, eighteen and fourteen

740
00:37:25,559 --> 00:37:29,400
against the spread, fifteen and three in the West Coast Conference,

741
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,320
coming off a pretty impressive seventy six to seventy one

742
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:37,400
win against Saint Mary's. I had Saint Mary's in that game,

743
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,239
so that was a little bit disturbing, but I also

744
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,239
had the under I did a video for the pix

745
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:46,400
and Parlays Network yesterday and cash two of three. Of course,

746
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:48,400
in the comments, they were only talking about the one

747
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:50,440
that didn't hit, not the two that did.

748
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 6: So.

749
00:37:52,159 --> 00:37:54,559
Speaker 7: Santa Clara two and eight straight up in their last

750
00:37:54,599 --> 00:37:59,440
ten versus Gonzaga, and they have lost both previous meetings

751
00:38:00,079 --> 00:38:01,960
during the regular season, and they were one and one

752
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:06,079
against the spread in those games. Gonzaga, obviously, they're an

753
00:38:06,159 --> 00:38:10,039
absolute powerhouse. Twenty nine and three straight up, seventeen and

754
00:38:10,119 --> 00:38:13,639
fifteen against the spread, tied for first in the conference,

755
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:17,159
sixteen and two, coming off a sixty five to fifty

756
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:21,039
six win over Oregon State. Now I had Oregon State

757
00:38:21,039 --> 00:38:23,039
plus eighteen and a half in that game. They covered

758
00:38:23,079 --> 00:38:26,400
it pretty easily. And I mentioned, you know, the motivation

759
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:30,639
for Gonzaga because they were coming off a loss at

760
00:38:30,679 --> 00:38:33,719
Saint Mary's and they were looking at once they get

761
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:38,079
through Oregon State, a matchup in the finals, most likely

762
00:38:38,119 --> 00:38:42,199
against Saint Mary's. Saint Mary's was supposed to beat Santa Clara,

763
00:38:42,639 --> 00:38:44,440
and I think the fact that it's not going to

764
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:47,920
be that revenge game against Saint Mary's is just not

765
00:38:48,159 --> 00:38:48,920
very good.

766
00:38:48,639 --> 00:38:49,920
Speaker 6: For motivation for Gonzaga.

767
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:51,800
Speaker 7: And of course everybody's going to say, hey, it's a

768
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:55,800
conference championship game, it's the final. I mean, Gonzaga's got

769
00:38:55,800 --> 00:39:01,639
a trophy case overflowing with West Coast Conference championship wins,

770
00:39:01,639 --> 00:39:03,760
So you know, I think it's a bit of a

771
00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:06,320
tricky spot for Gonzaga. They are the six and a

772
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:08,440
half point favorite. There's no doubt they're good enough to

773
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:11,079
beat this team, but I just think they're catching them

774
00:39:11,119 --> 00:39:15,119
at the wrong time in the wrong spot. One thing

775
00:39:15,159 --> 00:39:19,079
that Santa Clara has in their favor is Gonzaga ranks

776
00:39:19,079 --> 00:39:21,880
dead last in the West Coast Conference in free throw

777
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:26,480
shooting sixty nine point nine percent from the Charity Stripe.

778
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:29,159
Maybe if they were playing Oregon they would be doing better,

779
00:39:29,199 --> 00:39:33,800
I don't know. Also, Gonzaga's second leading scorer, Braden Hauff,

780
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:37,519
hasn't played since January, he was averaging seventeen point eight

781
00:39:37,559 --> 00:39:41,480
points of the game. Gonzaga doesn't need this. Santa Clara

782
00:39:41,559 --> 00:39:44,199
does six and a half points. Give me the points.

783
00:39:44,199 --> 00:39:45,320
I think they can hang around.

784
00:39:47,639 --> 00:39:50,159
Speaker 2: Well done.

785
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:53,119
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean if Marylyn hits eighty percent from the

786
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,519
from the free throw line tonight, I'm gonna come back

787
00:39:55,559 --> 00:39:58,199
and tweet about what a genius Brian Power is.

788
00:39:58,599 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 2: You just have to tweet at Brian Power wins. That's

789
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:03,360
my man, and everyone on.

790
00:40:10,079 --> 00:40:12,639
Speaker 1: Oh man, Well, I want to get your thoughts on

791
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:16,519
NBA tonight. We got a huge game Celtics and Spurs.

792
00:40:16,639 --> 00:40:19,360
I mean, we got Wemby, We've got Tatum. I gotta

793
00:40:19,519 --> 00:40:22,440
I gotta be honest. I can't believe how good Tatum looks.

794
00:40:23,639 --> 00:40:24,920
I can't believe it.

795
00:40:25,159 --> 00:40:27,320
Speaker 3: He looks like he really hasn't missed a step.

796
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:30,400
Speaker 1: I thought he would look skinny just because not being

797
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:33,400
able to, you know, get the full workouts in. He

798
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,119
looks like he just hasn't missed a step. So we're

799
00:40:36,159 --> 00:40:39,559
getting full Tatum and the Celtics team.

800
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:42,840
Speaker 3: Damn it, the freaking Celtics. Here we go again, like, oh,

801
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:43,800
here come the playoffs.

802
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 1: They get Tatum back. Now the East is wide open.

803
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:49,119
But this is a monster game. I mean, you got

804
00:40:49,119 --> 00:40:51,599
to put these two teams, I mean both have got

805
00:40:51,639 --> 00:40:54,199
to be in the top four, top five of NBA

806
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:58,320
Finals champions. So interesting your take on this game? How

807
00:40:58,360 --> 00:40:59,800
you how you break this one down tonight?

808
00:41:00,519 --> 00:41:02,039
Speaker 7: Yeah, I don't know if you remember, Andy, I got

809
00:41:02,039 --> 00:41:05,280
a pending bet on San Antonio plus eight hundred to

810
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,280
win the Western Conference.

811
00:41:07,199 --> 00:41:10,320
Speaker 6: So there's no doubt that I'm a little bit biased here.

812
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:12,199
Speaker 7: I was gonna start by talking about the Celtics, but

813
00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:15,960
I'll start with the Spurs. Forty seven and seventeen straight up,

814
00:41:16,039 --> 00:41:20,280
thirty five and twenty eight against the spread, twenty four

815
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:23,440
and six at home. And despite the fact that they've

816
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,079
won fifteen of their last sixteen games, there's still three

817
00:41:27,119 --> 00:41:30,480
games behind Oklahoma City. They're coming off a one forty

818
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:35,559
five to one twenty win versus Houston. This team's both

819
00:41:35,599 --> 00:41:38,880
beat Oklahoma City and Detroit twice, so they beat the

820
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:42,199
best team in the East twice and Oklahoma City once

821
00:41:42,599 --> 00:41:45,239
in that sixteen game span, where they're fifteen to one

822
00:41:47,119 --> 00:41:49,920
Boston five and eleven against the spread in their last

823
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:55,840
sixteen versus the Spurs, and I like the Spurs in

824
00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:57,880
this game. To be honest with you, I know Boston,

825
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:00,679
they're only two and a half games back the Pistons.

826
00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:04,320
They've got an excellent twenty two and eleven road record,

827
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:06,920
They're coming off back to back wins at Cleveland and

828
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:10,639
at home versus Dallas, and Tatum is back and he's

829
00:42:10,679 --> 00:42:12,800
told you he looks like he hasn't missed a beat.

830
00:42:13,119 --> 00:42:16,039
I've got a different opinion than Andy does, though, six

831
00:42:16,079 --> 00:42:19,199
of sixteen from the field in both those games thirty

832
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:21,920
seven and a half percent. Sounds like Andy was watching

833
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:23,840
the games a little closer than me. I'm just looking

834
00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:26,639
at the shooting percentage, and I know that. My opinion

835
00:42:26,679 --> 00:42:28,960
of Tatum is he's a guy that's never seen a

836
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,639
shot that he doesn't like. I think still there's still

837
00:42:31,639 --> 00:42:34,159
a little bit of rusts there. I think the biggest

838
00:42:34,639 --> 00:42:38,519
factor for the Celtics. Their primary concern is getting him

839
00:42:38,559 --> 00:42:41,400
back up to speed and making sure he stays healthy.

840
00:42:42,199 --> 00:42:44,679
Speaker 6: The Spurs, on the other hand, an absolute wagon.

841
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:46,280
Speaker 7: I'm not going to step in front of a team

842
00:42:46,519 --> 00:42:51,159
that's won fifteen of their last sixteen and beat Oklahoma

843
00:42:51,199 --> 00:42:54,239
City and the Pistons twice. So minus three is the

844
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:56,360
home favorite. It's got to be Spurs for me. I

845
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:59,079
also like the under. These teams have gone under in

846
00:42:59,119 --> 00:43:01,320
seven of the last ten, had to have meetings. Both

847
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:04,960
these teams been playing very strong defensively and playing at

848
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,559
a very slow pace since the All Star break, So

849
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:11,119
lean on the under official play Spurs minus three.

850
00:43:13,199 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 1: Trying to find what's that what's the price now on

851
00:43:16,559 --> 00:43:18,800
the West, it's got to be better than I mean,

852
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:19,880
you definitely got it.

853
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:20,559
Speaker 6: They were.

854
00:43:20,599 --> 00:43:23,159
Speaker 7: They were trailing by three games when I made the bet,

855
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:25,800
and there's still even though they keep on winning, they're

856
00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:27,320
they're still trailing by three games.

857
00:43:27,599 --> 00:43:30,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, plus four fifty now for for the Spurs. So

858
00:43:30,519 --> 00:43:32,800
you got the easily got the best of that number.

859
00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,119
So you got some got some nice wiggle room. And

860
00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:38,760
there's one team that's really given the thunder trouble. It's

861
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:41,719
been the Spurs this year. So I love I'd be

862
00:43:41,760 --> 00:43:44,280
real happy holding that eighth to one ticket there.

863
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,519
Speaker 7: Well, that's the thing about this San Antonio team is

864
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:49,320
the way they play against the best teams they faced.

865
00:43:49,400 --> 00:43:51,239
Speaker 6: That's that's pretty key to me.

866
00:43:52,199 --> 00:43:52,519
Speaker 3: Yeah.

867
00:43:52,519 --> 00:43:55,760
Speaker 1: Absolutely, They're so much fun to watch. I love watching them.

868
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:59,519
So I was just going over some uh, some NFL

869
00:43:59,639 --> 00:44:03,800
free agency news Jesse, Were there any moves that stood

870
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:06,599
out to you that you liked disliked just off the

871
00:44:06,599 --> 00:44:07,159
top of your head.

872
00:44:08,599 --> 00:44:11,119
Speaker 7: Just looks like a dumpster fire with all these quarterbacks

873
00:44:11,159 --> 00:44:16,639
getting released in TUA and Kyler Murray, and I can

874
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:19,960
remember I was. I had some arguments in the chat

875
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:23,239
with guys about Kyler Murray early in the season, and

876
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:25,920
they were not happy about some of the things I

877
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:28,599
said about Kyler Murray. But he's looking for a new

878
00:44:28,679 --> 00:44:31,559
job now, so perhaps I was onto something.

879
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:36,280
Speaker 2: Isn't it crazy that he was like late season, like

880
00:44:36,559 --> 00:44:39,559
MVP candidate at one point in his career and he

881
00:44:39,719 --> 00:44:43,559
has just, you know, the regression. And also I feel

882
00:44:43,559 --> 00:44:48,639
like it was the organization he fell out of love resoundingly,

883
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:51,320
and then the whole Brissette thing happens. He wants to

884
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:53,039
come back, they say no, we're going to keep you

885
00:44:53,079 --> 00:44:55,320
on ir. It was just a mess. It had to

886
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:57,920
end badly. I just don't know if pastors can get

887
00:44:57,960 --> 00:45:00,599
all that much greener for Kyler because it's seems like

888
00:45:00,719 --> 00:45:04,719
the whole sticking point for Kyler was hard guy to

889
00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:06,119
work with, So I don't know.

890
00:45:06,559 --> 00:45:09,119
Speaker 6: He's really good at call of duty though, so that may.

891
00:45:09,039 --> 00:45:12,800
Speaker 2: Be very good, very very good, Jesse. What do you

892
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,760
got rocking five dollars Tuesday? And also people can hop

893
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:18,159
board rock with you on teams that you like to

894
00:45:18,280 --> 00:45:21,960
fade for clients. Even with that March Madness bonanza, what

895
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:23,559
will folks find over at your page?

896
00:45:23,760 --> 00:45:26,079
Speaker 7: Gotta be honest, gentlemen, It's been a rough week for

897
00:45:26,119 --> 00:45:28,599
me with the client plays. Of course, my clients are

898
00:45:28,639 --> 00:45:32,679
aware it's been a fantastic twenty twenty six. Overall, we

899
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:34,920
have hit a bit of a rough patch. I only

900
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:37,079
got one play and it's a hockey play for five

901
00:45:37,159 --> 00:45:41,360
dollars Tuesday. Trying to recalibrate here. I think stick with me.

902
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:44,960
The March tournament is going to be excellent. And we're

903
00:45:45,039 --> 00:45:49,119
now sixteen and three with our last nineteen free picks

904
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:52,960
on this show. And I gave out my first loser

905
00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:56,519
with college basketball free picks in six weeks on the

906
00:45:56,519 --> 00:45:58,719
Picks and Parlays channel last night.

907
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:00,519
Speaker 6: I went too and one in the video.

908
00:46:00,639 --> 00:46:03,679
Speaker 7: As I said, everybody was focusing on the one that lost,

909
00:46:04,079 --> 00:46:06,360
but there was a couple winners in there as well.

910
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:09,039
Speaker 6: So we kick an ass with the free picks. What

911
00:46:09,039 --> 00:46:10,880
can I say?

912
00:46:10,960 --> 00:46:13,519
Speaker 2: Keep it rocking, Jesse? Well, done, my friend.

913
00:46:17,079 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, anytime put in a QB contract that he must

914
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:25,119
spend a minimal amount of time reviewing film that ideal,

915
00:46:25,639 --> 00:46:27,920
it's a huge red flag.

916
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:33,199
Speaker 2: Yeah. And Johnny also pointing out here that even with

917
00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:36,159
this little rough stretch, Jesse likes to call it like,

918
00:46:36,440 --> 00:46:38,840
I mean, you guys are hard on yourselves when you

919
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:40,599
know you don't win for the clients because you never

920
00:46:40,639 --> 00:46:42,840
know when they hopped in. You guys beat yourself up

921
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:44,679
a little bit there. But folks who have been long

922
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,960
term with Jesse, they're still sitting up nice twenty units

923
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,239
three months in. That's a good place to be and

924
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,599
a chance to build your bank role there. So yes,

925
00:46:53,079 --> 00:46:54,599
even the best betters in the world are going to

926
00:46:54,679 --> 00:46:57,360
have rough stretches. Folks, don't hit the panic button.

927
00:46:58,320 --> 00:47:00,519
Speaker 1: No, I mean, here ball were doing that damn pull

928
00:47:00,599 --> 00:47:02,840
up though, that's my man, you sent me that league

929
00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:03,800
pulled up so we get.

930
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,119
Speaker 2: Oh oh yeah, here, let me I gotta I'll do

931
00:47:06,199 --> 00:47:08,280
the share screen and I'll share it with you. Give

932
00:47:08,320 --> 00:47:10,480
me give me one second here and yeah, absolutely, yeah.

933
00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:11,920
Speaker 3: So we're talking about Kyler Murray.

934
00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:16,760
Speaker 1: I mean, this was the thing with that I Sam

935
00:47:16,840 --> 00:47:19,280
Donald is going to put a lot of teams in

936
00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:22,079
bad situations because he's going to be the poster child

937
00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:28,000
for reclamation projects or busts. And I don't think what

938
00:47:28,039 --> 00:47:32,000
people realize is, you know, Donald was at some dumpster

939
00:47:32,119 --> 00:47:35,480
fire teams. He got to San Francisco as a backup,

940
00:47:35,599 --> 00:47:39,400
and Kyle Shanahan basically told all of his coaching buddies,

941
00:47:39,639 --> 00:47:40,639
this guy's really good.

942
00:47:41,559 --> 00:47:42,760
Speaker 3: Somebody should go get him.

943
00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:44,920
Speaker 1: And it turns out you put a good coach and

944
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:47,679
a good team around him and he can flourish.

945
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:52,119
Speaker 3: So I fear that people are going to make make

946
00:47:52,199 --> 00:47:53,800
some pretty big leaps and.

947
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:56,320
Speaker 1: They're gonna go, well, if Sam Darnald did it, then

948
00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:59,320
Kyler Murray can do it.

949
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:02,639
Speaker 3: The Falcon signing to A. So now you have.

950
00:48:03,719 --> 00:48:09,000
Speaker 1: Two injury repulse and injury prone lefties. What what is

951
00:48:09,039 --> 00:48:09,800
Atlanta doing?

952
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:13,880
Speaker 3: What is going on here? So they go they signed

953
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:16,559
Kirk Cousins the massive deals, then they draft an injury

954
00:48:16,559 --> 00:48:18,519
prone guy and then they go get to A.

955
00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:21,039
Speaker 2: I should fix it all Andy.

956
00:48:21,519 --> 00:48:22,079
Speaker 7: I mean.

957
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:26,400
Speaker 3: That That's why I said I like the Malik Willis

958
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:27,559
signing for Miami.

959
00:48:27,679 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 1: I mean Miami just went from Tua to to Malik Willis.

960
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:34,280
And if Malik Willis is terrible, then you're gonna be

961
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:36,320
able to be in line for a really good draft

962
00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:39,800
pick next year. So it's just yeah, be some Brad

963
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:44,880
Darnold went from Shanahan koc Mike Matt Yeah.

964
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 3: Put a put a good coach and a good team

965
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:48,719
around him. All of a sudden, he'll win.

966
00:48:48,639 --> 00:48:54,119
Speaker 2: You freaking yeah, yeah exactly, we got here. I'll try

967
00:48:54,119 --> 00:48:55,840
this out. I'm not sure if this I'm not sure

968
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:57,639
if the sound will work or not. So it'll test

969
00:48:57,679 --> 00:48:59,519
a few things. But yeah, here's here has been the

970
00:48:59,639 --> 00:49:04,159
viral videos. Let's see if it'll work. Of course it

971
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:05,079
stops right there.

972
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:08,239
Speaker 4: That's my man.

973
00:49:12,840 --> 00:49:16,239
Speaker 2: You were you able to hear that? Yes? Okay, good,

974
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:22,119
so everybody heard that. That's my There's like full compilations

975
00:49:22,159 --> 00:49:24,360
and the whole bit is it's like if for your

976
00:49:24,440 --> 00:49:27,199
video game players out there, people are like saying, the

977
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:30,880
that's my man method is still unpatched, Like when there's

978
00:49:30,880 --> 00:49:33,400
a glitch in a game, they have to patch the glitch.

979
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,599
So that's the thing is like all around. There's one

980
00:49:36,679 --> 00:49:39,239
really funny one that has millions of views where somebody

981
00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:42,519
did it at at a NBA game and they did

982
00:49:42,519 --> 00:49:45,239
it to Jordan Pool and they were like, Jordan Poole,

983
00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:48,000
that's my man. And then there's people on the bench

984
00:49:48,119 --> 00:49:51,239
like turning around and reacting. It was. Look, even the

985
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:53,199
rests are laughing at it. On court. It's one of

986
00:49:53,480 --> 00:49:54,360
one of the best.

987
00:49:54,480 --> 00:49:55,480
Speaker 6: You know, there's.

988
00:49:55,360 --> 00:49:57,639
Speaker 2: Hope for the youth. Yet Andy, when they come up

989
00:49:57,639 --> 00:50:01,760
with something as powerful as that's my man, well.

990
00:50:01,599 --> 00:50:05,840
Speaker 3: I mean you came up with six seven, uh one kid, See.

991
00:50:05,599 --> 00:50:08,000
Speaker 2: That was that was that was the bad part. You

992
00:50:08,039 --> 00:50:09,880
gotta take the good, you take the bad. They come

993
00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:10,239
up with.

994
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:12,760
Speaker 3: Harmless, but it's annoying.

995
00:50:13,119 --> 00:50:15,800
Speaker 2: I mean, I got nieces and nephews and still if

996
00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:19,039
you if you float around those two numbers, you're getting

997
00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:20,400
six seven Dandy.

998
00:50:20,679 --> 00:50:23,599
Speaker 3: I know, I know, Yeah, that's my man. That is

999
00:50:23,639 --> 00:50:24,000
really fine.

1000
00:50:24,000 --> 00:50:24,840
Speaker 2: I bet I'm beaten.

1001
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,320
Speaker 3: I bet I bet kids when.

1002
00:50:27,280 --> 00:50:29,320
Speaker 1: Kids are playing on the ref calls of foul the

1003
00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:31,400
kids liked, no, I got.

1004
00:50:31,199 --> 00:50:32,079
Speaker 3: To shoot free throws.

1005
00:50:33,199 --> 00:50:36,079
Speaker 2: Somebody's gonna hit me with that, man. But it needs

1006
00:50:36,079 --> 00:50:38,599
to be properly time, Like you can't do it every

1007
00:50:38,639 --> 00:50:40,440
single time, you know what I mean. It needs it

1008
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:42,639
needs to be at the right spot, the right month.

1009
00:50:42,719 --> 00:50:48,960
Speaker 3: True true. Yeah, So uh, that's that's hilarious. So good.

1010
00:50:49,199 --> 00:50:49,960
That's my man.

1011
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:52,599
Speaker 1: Let's see a couple of free agency moves and then

1012
00:50:52,639 --> 00:50:55,760
we'll go to all around the world. Got some really

1013
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:58,719
good talk about golf in uh. In the chat we

1014
00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:00,519
were recording the Golf Show right for this, we get

1015
00:51:00,559 --> 00:51:03,880
you ready for the players. One of the favorites has

1016
00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:06,920
a hurt back that's a little bit of a worry,

1017
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:08,320
and we got Scottie.

1018
00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:09,079
Speaker 3: Scheffler who is struggling.

1019
00:51:09,119 --> 00:51:11,000
Speaker 1: But myself and Jan and Dan, we're gonna break it

1020
00:51:11,039 --> 00:51:12,760
all down for you and get you ready for the players.

1021
00:51:13,679 --> 00:51:22,000
Rico Doubtel signed with the Steelers Mike Evans to San Francisco.

1022
00:51:22,119 --> 00:51:24,840
I'm not sure how I feel about that one.

1023
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:25,760
Speaker 3: I love Michael.

1024
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:30,559
Speaker 2: I know the Electric substation is looking at Mike Evans'

1025
00:51:30,679 --> 00:51:34,519
kneecaps like, oh, I'm gonna mess that soft tissue up

1026
00:51:34,599 --> 00:51:35,320
real nice.

1027
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:38,400
Speaker 3: That hamstring doesn't stand a chance in Tampa.

1028
00:51:38,599 --> 00:51:42,039
Speaker 1: It doesn't like it doesn't stayed a chance in San

1029
00:51:42,039 --> 00:51:43,599
Francisco as well.

1030
00:51:43,639 --> 00:51:46,760
Speaker 3: So, uh, did your Eagles do anything of note? Dan,

1031
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:48,280
I really didn't see them pop up.

1032
00:51:48,360 --> 00:51:50,480
Speaker 2: No, everybody's shipped out of town, so the Eagles, but

1033
00:51:50,599 --> 00:51:52,719
I think they're banking on Hey, let's go on on

1034
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:55,280
the draft. I think they're still gonna float. You know, hey,

1035
00:51:55,280 --> 00:51:58,039
can we get anything for Aj Brown? If you remember

1036
00:51:58,079 --> 00:52:01,000
when they acquired AJ Brown, it was a draft night trade,

1037
00:52:01,719 --> 00:52:03,920
so you know, don't don't rule out them doing anything

1038
00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:08,119
on Draft night. But it was all basically sellers and movers.

1039
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:13,519
Nacobe Dean gone, Red Blanket ship gone. You know, a

1040
00:52:13,599 --> 00:52:15,679
bunch of just these kind of role players who were

1041
00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:19,960
on defense. And Nacobe Dean absolutely great player. But Andy,

1042
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:22,800
your best ability is availability, and he just wasn't that

1043
00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:26,480
in Philadelphia and he was in absolute stud So really,

1044
00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:29,679
the players that have gone, I don't think it's the

1045
00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:31,760
end of the world for any of them. I think

1046
00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:34,360
the Eagles were in on that Max Crosby sweep stakes.

1047
00:52:34,400 --> 00:52:37,360
They didn't end up getting him, so I wouldn't be

1048
00:52:37,400 --> 00:52:38,920
surprised if you just see him sit on their hands.

1049
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,639
They got four compensatory picks, one of which is the

1050
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:44,480
ninety eighth overall, so I think they're If you do

1051
00:52:44,519 --> 00:52:46,639
see a big move coming from the Birds, that'll probably

1052
00:52:46,679 --> 00:52:48,440
be closer to the draft in my opinion.

1053
00:52:49,159 --> 00:52:53,239
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, ETN goes to the Saints. It looks like

1054
00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:57,960
so that that's an interesting fantasy move. Be interested to

1055
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,000
see what ETN does down in New Orleans. And also

1056
00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:03,360
who's going to take the reins and Jackson Villa if

1057
00:53:03,360 --> 00:53:05,159
that's just going to be a committee.

1058
00:53:05,159 --> 00:53:07,039
Speaker 3: So my colts, I.

1059
00:53:07,039 --> 00:53:09,519
Speaker 1: Don't really know what I think about what they did.

1060
00:53:10,159 --> 00:53:12,320
If you're gonna sign Alec Pierce to that big of

1061
00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:15,159
a money, yeah, you kind of had to let Pittman go.

1062
00:53:15,599 --> 00:53:19,360
And I have a feeling that they are just banking

1063
00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:20,719
on Daniel Jones.

1064
00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:28,000
Speaker 3: Just terrifying Dan Lock terrifying. But so we'll see, we'll see.

1065
00:53:28,239 --> 00:53:30,840
Speaker 1: Uh, I don't know, man, that's a lot of money

1066
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:33,159
to pay a wide receiver who caught what forty seven

1067
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:37,639
passes last year? I mean, but you know, this is

1068
00:53:37,639 --> 00:53:40,280
a this is an ownership in GM that they're not

1069
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:42,239
an ownership, but this is a GM that is hanging

1070
00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:46,639
on by a threat. He's been giving a long, long leash.

1071
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:52,400
So we'll see what happens. So, yeah, the Browns do nothing. Yeah, yeah, that's.

1072
00:53:52,199 --> 00:53:54,559
Speaker 2: What I think. I think what the NFL should do

1073
00:53:54,639 --> 00:53:57,079
is take all compensatory picks that go to anyone and

1074
00:53:57,159 --> 00:53:59,119
just give them to the Browns. You know what I mean,

1075
00:53:59,199 --> 00:54:01,519
Let's just let's just eat all this, so we can

1076
00:54:01,719 --> 00:54:04,039
just give them to Cleveland and the New York Jets.

1077
00:54:04,360 --> 00:54:07,079
No other compensatory picks. The fact that the Eagles and

1078
00:54:07,079 --> 00:54:09,960
the Ravens are who lead in compensatory picks is ridiculous

1079
00:54:10,000 --> 00:54:11,880
to me. I think the whole system is stupid. But

1080
00:54:12,159 --> 00:54:14,360
as long as it's the system, take advantage of it. Man.

1081
00:54:14,960 --> 00:54:18,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, all right, let's do some free plays here,

1082
00:54:18,119 --> 00:54:21,079
go all around the world. No, we'll be done for today. Reminder, guys,

1083
00:54:21,199 --> 00:54:24,159
five dollars. Tuesday, every Haiti capper can put up a

1084
00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:26,000
five dollars play. I've got two of them that's up

1085
00:54:26,039 --> 00:54:27,719
right now. One of them starts in about an hour.

1086
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:29,920
That's the tennis play, and then we've got one that

1087
00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:32,800
goes off on Thursday. That's a four percent darts play

1088
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:33,800
in the Premier League.

1089
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:34,719
Speaker 3: So lock that in.

1090
00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:37,679
Speaker 1: At midnight, price goes up from five dollars all we

1091
00:54:37,679 --> 00:54:39,480
have to twenty five dollars. So make sure you guys

1092
00:54:39,559 --> 00:54:42,360
get that one and take advantages as many Hadi cappers

1093
00:54:42,599 --> 00:54:45,719
as you would like. Make sure you bet responsibly, don't

1094
00:54:45,719 --> 00:54:48,719
have too much your bank well on any one given night.

1095
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:52,079
All right, let's go to Warriors and Bulls. Our boy, yesterday,

1096
00:54:52,159 --> 00:54:54,440
Brandon Podzimski, this was the play of the day on

1097
00:54:54,599 --> 00:54:57,159
the prop line. By the way, four and one run

1098
00:54:57,360 --> 00:54:59,920
on same game parlays and four and one run on

1099
00:55:00,159 --> 00:55:01,880
bets of the day on the prop line, so the

1100
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:06,440
prop line is up another same game parlay. But Podzinski, Dan,

1101
00:55:06,519 --> 00:55:09,280
this is all about the attempts that this man is

1102
00:55:09,280 --> 00:55:12,559
getting with all of these injuries. These guys like Gie

1103
00:55:12,559 --> 00:55:15,400
Santos and Brandon Podzinsky are shooting the ball a ton.

1104
00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:19,599
This guy has shot the ball from three point line.

1105
00:55:19,599 --> 00:55:22,480
Speaker 3: At least six times. One game he shot ten.

1106
00:55:22,800 --> 00:55:26,559
Speaker 1: That's right, Brandon Podzinski is shooting ten three pointers in

1107
00:55:26,599 --> 00:55:27,000
a game.

1108
00:55:27,039 --> 00:55:28,920
Speaker 3: Not Steph Curry but pods.

1109
00:55:29,320 --> 00:55:31,159
Speaker 1: It doesn't have a great percentage, but the Bulls are

1110
00:55:31,159 --> 00:55:33,599
twenty fourth in defending three. So let's take him over

1111
00:55:33,599 --> 00:55:36,079
two and a half threes. That's a plus money play.

1112
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:39,159
The Bruins and the Kings. Charlie McAvoy over one and

1113
00:55:39,159 --> 00:55:41,639
a half shots on goal. He's gone over the last

1114
00:55:41,679 --> 00:55:44,760
five games. He's getting six shots in those games, and

1115
00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:48,400
he went over earlier this season against the Kings. And

1116
00:55:48,599 --> 00:55:50,719
I want to lock in a Formula one play before

1117
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:54,639
qualifying George Russell to win at minus one forty. Last

1118
00:55:54,639 --> 00:55:56,599
week was the first Formula One race of the season.

1119
00:55:57,039 --> 00:56:00,400
It turns out Mercedes has been sandbagging in off season

1120
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:04,239
testing because they dusted everybody in qualifying. And then the

1121
00:56:04,320 --> 00:56:07,199
race starts and Russell gets off to a terrible start

1122
00:56:07,480 --> 00:56:09,519
and then ends up blowing away the field. So if

1123
00:56:09,519 --> 00:56:12,159
he qualifies on the poll again, this thing's going to

1124
00:56:12,199 --> 00:56:15,599
be minus three hundred. So the teams only have a

1125
00:56:15,639 --> 00:56:17,960
week to It's not even a week. The race was

1126
00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:21,320
on Sunday, their practice starts on Thursday, and Friday they

1127
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:23,280
had to travel, so there's not a lot of time

1128
00:56:23,320 --> 00:56:26,239
to adjust these cars. So I expect George Russell to

1129
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:29,960
be strong again. So all right, that is going to

1130
00:56:30,159 --> 00:56:32,440
do it. It's going to do it for us. What

1131
00:56:32,639 --> 00:56:34,920
was the lacrosse play again, Dan, Let's see if we've

1132
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:36,079
moved the line here.

1133
00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:39,679
Speaker 2: We're going with Lemoyne getting the six and a half.

1134
00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:42,039
That's at FANDUL. It looks like that stay in pat

1135
00:56:42,039 --> 00:56:45,480
but it's already down to six at Draft Kings. So yeah,

1136
00:56:45,920 --> 00:56:48,360
the grab the six and a half with Lemoyne. If

1137
00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:50,000
you want to bet the money line, do it over

1138
00:56:50,039 --> 00:56:52,920
at the Green Book. They're posting seven fifty. Despite the

1139
00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:56,159
fact that the spread is wider on FanDuel, the money

1140
00:56:56,159 --> 00:56:58,800
line is actually wider over on the on the Green Book.

1141
00:56:58,880 --> 00:56:59,599
So there you go.

1142
00:56:59,639 --> 00:57:03,039
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, well that's gonna do. It's five dollars Tuesday.

1143
00:57:03,280 --> 00:57:05,639
Take advantage of guys to have a big day. Good luck,

1144
00:57:05,639 --> 00:57:06,119
and on your bets.

1145
00:57:06,119 --> 00:57:07,880
Speaker 3: We'll see everyone the same time, same place tomorrow.

1146
00:57:07,920 --> 00:57:10,119
Speaker 2: Take care, that's my man.