1 00:00:01,600 --> 00:00:04,559 Speaker 1: You are alive, my friend. Welcome to the best sports 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:06,679 betting show on the planet. This is Wager Talk Today. 3 00:00:06,719 --> 00:00:11,039 I am your host, Andy Lang. It is Wednesday. We're 4 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:13,679 going heavy with college football. We're gonna talk a couple 5 00:00:13,679 --> 00:00:16,480 of games. We got MLB. I hope everyone caught that 6 00:00:16,519 --> 00:00:20,160 Tigers Guardians game. A lot of weird stuff happened in 7 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:22,280 that game. But we're gonna uncover the spots the market 8 00:00:22,359 --> 00:00:25,079 has not caught up to. Today. Ralph Michaels is gonna 9 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:26,760 join us. We're talking college football, and then we're gonna 10 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:29,800 talk some NFL trends and angles. We're gonna keep talking 11 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:33,799 about these undefeated and fully defeated teams. Ross is gonna 12 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,880 join us. We're gonna talk MLB. I'm gonna talk TCU 13 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:40,280 in Arizona State, and then we're gonna do this line 14 00:00:40,399 --> 00:00:44,759 makes no sense. So need some help from the chat 15 00:00:44,799 --> 00:00:48,240 here real quick. So I talked to pres last night, 16 00:00:48,399 --> 00:00:50,960 and so I always opened the show with welcome to 17 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:52,960 the best sports betting show on the planet. Well now 18 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,359 he's got a show. It's literally called the best betting 19 00:00:55,399 --> 00:00:58,759 show ever. So I need a new I need a 20 00:00:58,759 --> 00:01:03,159 new catchphrase. How to open the show put your suggestions 21 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:04,560 in there. I want a good one because I need 22 00:01:04,599 --> 00:01:06,239 to open the show a little bit different because we're 23 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,879 kind of crossing the streams a little bit. So, but 24 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:10,760 thank you guys for joining us. Hit the like button, 25 00:01:10,799 --> 00:01:12,760 come up with a new way for me to open 26 00:01:12,799 --> 00:01:15,840 the show, and let's get it started with Ralph Michaels. Ralph, 27 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:20,840 we're going to talk Army and East Carolina. Here. It's Army, 28 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:24,680 so we know we're getting on offense. Basically, every Army 29 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:27,200 game comes down to how good is the other team 30 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,680 and stopping the run. East Carolina's been good against the 31 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,480 run so far the season, their five point favorite over 32 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,079 Unders fifty two and a half. What's your breakdown on 33 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:36,519 this game? 34 00:01:37,519 --> 00:01:40,599 Speaker 2: Well, I'm glad you brought it. Brought up East Carolina 35 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,959 stopping the run because you look at their numbers, Andy, 36 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:46,920 and they're allow them two point eight yards per carry 37 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:50,359 and only eighty seven yards per game. That sounds awesome. Well, 38 00:01:50,359 --> 00:01:54,599 but guess what you played Campbell. You allowed four yards 39 00:01:54,599 --> 00:01:57,959 on twenty seven carries, and you played Coastal Carolina, who 40 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,040 is number one hundred in rushing, and you allowed sixty 41 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,560 seven yards and two points six yards per carry. So 42 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,439 I think that is a very misleading stat looking at 43 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:10,560 season to dates without breaking down who those opponents have played. 44 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:14,159 East Carolina comes in two and two. They could have 45 00:02:14,199 --> 00:02:16,879 won their opener against NC State. They only got out 46 00:02:16,879 --> 00:02:20,479 gained by ten yards and they were plus one turnover, 47 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:22,840 but they were in that game. They blow out Campbell, 48 00:02:22,879 --> 00:02:25,360 they blow out Coast to Carolina, and then last week 49 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:28,759 against BYU at home, they lost by twenty one, but 50 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,639 it's because they were minus two to turnovers and they 51 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:34,199 only got out gained by fourteen yards per game. So 52 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:38,599 actually East Carolina I have as a positive holding close 53 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:42,319 at NC State, holding serve at BYU. But what did 54 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,199 them in last week is Caitlin Howser was horrible. He 55 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:48,800 was like Lagway type bad. He went down and he 56 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,199 was backed up against his goal line, threw a pick, 57 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:53,599 they scored, and then he was about to score on 58 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:55,759 the goal line and he threw another pick. So that 59 00:02:55,800 --> 00:03:00,000 bass basically cost him fourteen points in that lost Lafe. 60 00:03:00,039 --> 00:03:04,039 Last week, you look at Army, Army could clearly be 61 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,080 undefeated as well. They lose to Tarlington State. That was 62 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:11,159 a horrible loss. Why they were minus three turnovers. If 63 00:03:11,159 --> 00:03:14,039 you watch Ross Brian Pyre Power and eye on the Blitz. 64 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:17,560 We talk about the record of teams that are minus 65 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,560 three turnovers, You're just not going to win. And then 66 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:22,800 last week against North Texas, they actually had a ten 67 00:03:22,879 --> 00:03:25,639 yard edge, but they were minus two turnovers again and 68 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:29,120 they lose in overtime. We know Army wants to run 69 00:03:29,159 --> 00:03:32,800 the ball. I don't think East Carolina's run defenses anywhere 70 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:36,879 near what they proposed in that situation. And how about 71 00:03:36,919 --> 00:03:41,520 this as a very surprising stat Army's throwing the ball 72 00:03:41,879 --> 00:03:45,560 more than they have in the past. If I told 73 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:49,319 you Andy that Army is number two in plays per 74 00:03:49,479 --> 00:03:53,639 game ran, They're averaging eighty two offensive plays per game. 75 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,280 They're number two in all is college football East Carolina 76 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:01,159 number five in all of college football at seventy nine 77 00:04:01,599 --> 00:04:06,560 point five percent. Armies d allowing three hundred and fifty 78 00:04:06,599 --> 00:04:07,680 six yards per game. 79 00:04:07,719 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 3: But again those are skewed numbers. 80 00:04:10,719 --> 00:04:13,919 Speaker 2: When they played Tarlington as well, they have allowed over 81 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:16,160 sixty three percent pass completions. 82 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:17,319 Speaker 3: You add it up. 83 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 2: I don't go Army games over very often, but they 84 00:04:21,399 --> 00:04:24,600 are nine and four over under their last thirteen games, 85 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:29,120 with a total under fifty seven added up Thursday, night. 86 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:35,120 I am going over the total with East Carolina and Army. 87 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 1: Amazing that that stat of how many plays they run. 88 00:04:38,519 --> 00:04:40,319 I was watching them one one game. I think the 89 00:04:40,319 --> 00:04:42,720 other team had run like four offensive plays in the 90 00:04:42,759 --> 00:04:44,639 second half and there was like three minutes left. It 91 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:48,519 was just the turnover is a weird on sides kick. 92 00:04:49,079 --> 00:04:51,879 But yeah, they really they've really righted the ship. So 93 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,920 I like that breakdown on the over there. You normally don't. 94 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,800 I normally don't think of Army with you know, overs 95 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:00,920 in games with close spreads, but like that breakdown. All right, 96 00:05:00,959 --> 00:05:03,000 let's talk about NFL. We're gonna talk about some three 97 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,639 and no teams own three teams and what the trends 98 00:05:05,639 --> 00:05:08,680 and angles tell us. Again, these aren't official plays, but 99 00:05:08,759 --> 00:05:10,160 we just want to look back and say, hey, what 100 00:05:10,199 --> 00:05:13,480 has history said to us about how you know, what 101 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,199 what the odds look like and what the bets look like. 102 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:18,560 So Ralph, let's walk through this chart and talk about 103 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:19,439 the teams that it effects. 104 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:22,279 Speaker 2: This week, Andy, we need to sweeten the pot a 105 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:25,800 little bit. If someone's gonna give you a name, a 106 00:05:25,879 --> 00:05:29,160 catchphrase to start the show, shouldn't they get at least 107 00:05:29,199 --> 00:05:30,040 a couple hundred bucks? 108 00:05:30,079 --> 00:05:30,959 Speaker 3: And wager bucks. 109 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,519 Speaker 1: Let's do it, all right, post a deal, Okay, post 110 00:05:34,519 --> 00:05:37,040 in the comment section. Yeah, post in the comment section 111 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:37,720 after the show. 112 00:05:38,079 --> 00:05:39,759 Speaker 3: Absolutely, bribe them a little bit. 113 00:05:39,759 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 2: We'll give them some squag, I'll send them some pens. 114 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:44,560 Let's yeah, let's let's make it some incentive. And if 115 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:46,399 you pick something on your own, that's fine, we won't 116 00:05:46,439 --> 00:05:48,519 give it out. But hey, let's get our guys involved, 117 00:05:48,519 --> 00:05:52,199 all right. You know we often talk about you don't 118 00:05:52,199 --> 00:05:54,920 hear very often about how teams do pre buy andy, 119 00:05:54,959 --> 00:05:57,240 but you hear about how teams do after a buye. 120 00:05:57,519 --> 00:06:00,879 Speaker 3: But think about this. These are professionals that in the. 121 00:06:00,879 --> 00:06:03,600 Speaker 2: Summer beat the crap out of each other in practice 122 00:06:03,959 --> 00:06:08,120 and in joint practices between teams. These are teams now 123 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:10,680 that have played three games and have beaten the crap 124 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:14,959 out of each other the first three games of the season. Now, 125 00:06:15,439 --> 00:06:17,680 when you have a buye, you know, you finally get 126 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,920 to spend some time with family and friends. You get 127 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:24,959 to relax both mentally and physically. So what do you 128 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,519 want on your off week? You want a positive mental attitude. 129 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:29,199 How do you get that? 130 00:06:30,399 --> 00:06:32,439 Speaker 3: Well, you win or cover. 131 00:06:32,759 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 2: So I'm bringing this up now because of my bet 132 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:37,920 on its system. I have a pre by situation. 133 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 3: I'm going to talk. You want to make sure you 134 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:40,360 check that out. 135 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:42,639 Speaker 2: But here's our charge for NFL three and OH and 136 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:45,800 O threams three and OH teams. If you blindly bet 137 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,800 every three and OH team since twenty fifteen, you are 138 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:52,680 forty six point five percent against the spread. If you 139 00:06:52,759 --> 00:06:56,720 blindly bet every zero to three team, you are sixty. 140 00:06:56,399 --> 00:06:57,759 Speaker 3: Four point three percent. 141 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 2: Strong difference there between undefeated teams and winless teams. 142 00:07:02,079 --> 00:07:03,879 Speaker 3: Let's break it down on the top. You see the 143 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,279 blue charts. Those are the three and O teams. 144 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 2: Home favorites that are three and oh like Buffalo and 145 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:13,920 San Fran fifty percent. Home dogs like Tampa Bay sixty 146 00:07:13,959 --> 00:07:17,680 seven percent, but only a three game sample size. Away 147 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:22,160 favorites like the Chargers in Philadelphia six five and two 148 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:26,480 away dogs like the Colts only two and seven twenty 149 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:30,360 two percent against the spread. But as I said, take 150 00:07:30,399 --> 00:07:33,160 a look at those OH and three teams. I know 151 00:07:33,199 --> 00:07:36,360 it's plug your nose. It's gonna be an ugly play. 152 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,560 You don't want to back them, But since twenty fifteen, 153 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:42,680 if you blindly bet them, you're twenty seven and fifteen 154 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:48,120 sixty four point three percent. Home favorites five and three 155 00:07:49,279 --> 00:07:54,439 sixty two point five percent home dogs forty percent four 156 00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:58,360 and six. Small sample size, like the Giants, away favorites 157 00:07:58,439 --> 00:08:01,040 not many O and three away favorites none apply this week. 158 00:08:01,079 --> 00:08:02,839 Speaker 3: But remember, guys, this chart is for. 159 00:08:02,879 --> 00:08:05,199 Speaker 2: Every team for the rest of the season that has 160 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:08,959 a buy on deck away favorites four and two. But 161 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:12,879 look at away dogs like the Jets, like New Orleans, 162 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:17,000 and like Tennessee. They are thirteen and six against the 163 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:20,639 spread sixty eight point four percent, So it doesn't matter 164 00:08:20,639 --> 00:08:23,920 if you're an OO and three team, except those home 165 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:28,519 dogs have been very positive ats situations. And again, make 166 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:31,360 sure you check out the bet on an extended TNA 167 00:08:31,519 --> 00:08:34,720 version of the NFL. Make sure you watch my pre 168 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,679 by segment. You will be surprised at those numbers. 169 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 1: It actually makes all the sense in the world. Ralph, 170 00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:46,799 like the public season oh and three team be like, eh, 171 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:50,240 they're no good. The books probably know this, so they're 172 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,960 putting out an inflated number, but you're oh and three. 173 00:08:53,039 --> 00:08:55,159 That's when the coaching staff starts to feel it. The 174 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,000 players start to feel the heat, and they start to 175 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,840 make adjustments, and then you get them for performing or 176 00:09:00,879 --> 00:09:03,360 fixing some of the some of the mistakes. So like, 177 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:05,279 just remember that makes sense. 178 00:09:05,519 --> 00:09:07,919 Speaker 2: There's only one NFL team in the history of the 179 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,039 NFL that made the playoffs after an open three start. 180 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:12,360 That was the Texans I think in twenty eighteen or. 181 00:09:12,399 --> 00:09:13,279 Speaker 4: Nineteen back then. 182 00:09:13,399 --> 00:09:16,799 Speaker 2: So and I'm sure the other teams start taking you lightly. 183 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,320 Oh god, this team is oh and three. Your preparation 184 00:09:19,519 --> 00:09:21,639 is just not the same when you're facing a wins 185 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:25,039 team and that records, those records continue positive. We'll talk 186 00:09:25,039 --> 00:09:27,039 about it in a couple of weeks that those four 187 00:09:27,039 --> 00:09:30,480 to oh five teams all have positive ATS records because 188 00:09:30,519 --> 00:09:32,879 teams tend to look past them. 189 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 1: It's really good stuff for Ralph. Great stuff on the chart, 190 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,639 great stuff on the college football breakdown. It's beautiful Wednesday 191 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:41,639 where I'm at, got a break in the weather. Tell 192 00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:44,200 everyone what you have up at for clients at wager Talk. 193 00:09:44,879 --> 00:09:49,279 Speaker 2: My first college football five percent of the year college 194 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:54,919 football last year, number two at wager Talk, behind your 195 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:59,080 next esteemed guest this year in college football ten and 196 00:09:59,159 --> 00:10:04,639 five six seven percent college football five percent sides six 197 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:09,039 and one eighty six percent college football five percent side. 198 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:14,000 Since December twenty twenty four, thirteen and three eighty one percent, 199 00:10:14,399 --> 00:10:17,200 and oh yeah, by the way, college football and NFL 200 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,879 number two since the start of last year. My NFL 201 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:25,440 this season sixty three percent NFL plays, three percent higher 202 00:10:25,799 --> 00:10:29,399 seven and two seventy nine percent. The college football play 203 00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:34,320 is thirty five dollars or for fourteen dollars more. Get 204 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:38,159 the Weekend Warrior, all my Saturday college football, all my 205 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:42,519 Sunday NFL and a bonus Monday Night NFL play if 206 00:10:42,519 --> 00:10:43,960 I have one, it. 207 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:45,200 Speaker 3: Will be included as well. 208 00:10:45,399 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 2: A great weekend me Ross Andy, anyone at wager Talk. 209 00:10:49,639 --> 00:10:52,639 The Weekend Warrior the only way to lock up your 210 00:10:52,639 --> 00:10:53,519 football weekend. 211 00:10:53,759 --> 00:10:54,919 Speaker 3: And one last mention on. 212 00:10:54,879 --> 00:10:57,559 Speaker 2: That sign up today because as soon as you sign 213 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:00,720 up you will get those plays emailed and meet. Do 214 00:11:00,799 --> 00:11:04,480 not wait the Saturday to sign up when those lines 215 00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:07,039 have moved. Take advantage of these early releases. 216 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 1: Ralph Michaels, thank you so much. Ralph, have a great day. 217 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:15,159 Appreciate all the breakdowns and good information on NFL trands. 218 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:20,399 Ralph Michaels. Everyone uh oh right, Eric asks no polland 219 00:11:20,399 --> 00:11:24,360 today it's it's uptimes pollen every day and they just 220 00:11:24,399 --> 00:11:27,159 mowed outside and dusted up all the leaves, so now 221 00:11:27,159 --> 00:11:30,080 you get pollen and leaves with with dust. So yeah, Eric, 222 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:33,919 this is my life in September around here. So uh 223 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:38,360 you just feel my head just full of full of tension. 224 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,799 All right, let's loosen the tension with Ross. Benjamin get 225 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,080 in here. Ross. We got to talk about. 226 00:11:42,879 --> 00:11:47,320 Speaker 4: Uh hey, problems too. 227 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:51,639 Speaker 1: But you know, yeah, you know what's gonna help is 228 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:54,080 I'm flying tomorrow. I'm sure that'll be great for the 229 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:59,320 wonders for you and in a plain full of sick 230 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:03,600 people are all right, let's talk. Let's do college football first. 231 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:06,720 This one's on Friday. We got TCU versus Arizona State. 232 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,200 Then we'll talk MLB and then we'll do this line 233 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,480 makes no sense, but let's start with TCU Arizona State. 234 00:12:12,519 --> 00:12:15,519 Here interesting lines that we got here. What's your breakdown 235 00:12:15,519 --> 00:12:16,000 on this game? 236 00:12:16,639 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, Arizona State right now a two and a half 237 00:12:19,399 --> 00:12:23,200 point favorite. Look, you know, if you watched any of 238 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:27,000 my videos prior to college football season and also my 239 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:32,120 college football betting preview I did with Teddy at the Westgate, 240 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:37,000 Arizona State was a sleeper pick for me. And you 241 00:12:37,039 --> 00:12:40,240 know I didn't expect that loss against Mississippi State, but 242 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:43,320 I still think this is a quality football team. They're 243 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:46,200 coming off a twenty seven to twenty four huge win 244 00:12:46,759 --> 00:12:48,759 at Baylor last week as a two and a half 245 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:52,440 point underdoged are now three and one. Their only loss, 246 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:55,720 like I alluded to, was against Mississippi State, but you 247 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:58,240 know that's the Mississippi State team that's now four and 248 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:02,159 oh and currently ranked number twenty seven in the latest 249 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:07,120 AP Pole now number twenty four. TCU is three inho 250 00:13:07,279 --> 00:13:11,639 after a thirty five to twenty four home win against SMU. 251 00:13:11,799 --> 00:13:15,480 But you know, here's what concerns me with TCU. Their 252 00:13:15,519 --> 00:13:18,440 defense allowed three hundred and eighty four yards in that 253 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:22,519 win against SMU, and they also the game before that, 254 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:26,360 they faced an FCS team in Abilene Christian and they 255 00:13:26,399 --> 00:13:30,480 allowed four hundred and fifty three yards of total offense. 256 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:34,080 So not very good. And we all know now that 257 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:37,840 opening win against North Carolina isn't as big a deal 258 00:13:38,279 --> 00:13:41,200 as we thought it was because North Carolina is just 259 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:45,039 an absolutely brutal team and SMU, by the way that 260 00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:49,679 they beat last week, they've already suffered two losses this year, 261 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:53,039 and the Mustangs have proven to be early on a 262 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:56,039 very vulnerable team on the defensive side of the ball. 263 00:13:56,120 --> 00:14:01,360 I really like sophomore quarterback Sam let It for Arizona State. 264 00:14:01,759 --> 00:14:04,440 Matter of fact, I'm a little disappointed with a start 265 00:14:04,519 --> 00:14:07,519 I expected more, but I think he's going to get 266 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:11,000 better as the season goes on. Remember this is a 267 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:15,200 kid as a freshman that was number two excuse me, 268 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:19,159 second team Big twelve and also led his team to 269 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:22,639 an eleven and three record, including a College Football Playoff 270 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:26,960 appearance against Texas in a game they lost in overtime. 271 00:14:27,559 --> 00:14:32,159 I also like his wide receiver Jordan Tyson. Tyson number 272 00:14:32,639 --> 00:14:37,159 third team All American last year, preseason, first team All 273 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:40,679 American this year, and he's living up to the billion 274 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:43,000 over his last four game or the first four games 275 00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:45,759 of the season, I should say, thirty one catches for 276 00:14:45,879 --> 00:14:49,279 three hundred and fifty seven yards and five touchdowns. I 277 00:14:49,399 --> 00:14:53,159 like Arizona State here at home. I think this is 278 00:14:53,799 --> 00:14:59,039 a game that TCU gets exposed, especially defensively, and I 279 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:03,120 think Arizona the State is far and away the better 280 00:15:03,519 --> 00:15:07,080 defensive team in this matchup. And by the way, Arizona 281 00:15:07,159 --> 00:15:10,240 State since last year five and oh straight up in 282 00:15:10,279 --> 00:15:13,519 ATS is a home favorite and six and oh straight 283 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:16,240 up in ats in all games where their points spread 284 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:19,519 was plus three to minus three. Right now they're minus 285 00:15:19,559 --> 00:15:21,679 two and a half. I can get a very good 286 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:25,440 price on the money line right now, Andy, and I'm 287 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:27,360 going to opt to go that way. I'm gonna go 288 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:32,960 Arizona State minus one thirty on the money line over TCU. 289 00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:38,759 Speaker 1: All right, I like it, Bill writes in the chat here, Ross, 290 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:41,840 we're talking. We're just talking with Ralph about not preparing 291 00:15:41,879 --> 00:15:44,159 for zero to three teams. He says, a good coach, 292 00:15:44,159 --> 00:15:47,120 we'll have you ready for anybody. Take lou Holtz in 293 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,799 my lou Holtz voice, you have to be careful with 294 00:15:49,879 --> 00:15:53,000 holy Cross. Holy Cross will sneak up on you. All right, Ross, 295 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,320 do you have a Lou Holtz voice? 296 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 4: Do I have a Lou Holt's voice. It's been so 297 00:15:59,399 --> 00:16:01,720 long since I seen him on the air. I can't 298 00:16:01,799 --> 00:16:03,639 recollect what his boys sounds like. 299 00:16:03,679 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 1: But well, he would say it like this, you have 300 00:16:08,559 --> 00:16:12,200 to be careful with holy Cross. Yeah, holy Cross will 301 00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:14,519 sneak up on you. I think that's the I think 302 00:16:14,559 --> 00:16:15,799 that's the little hold holds. 303 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:19,799 Speaker 4: Yeah. I'll lean those imitations to you. Andy. That's not 304 00:16:19,919 --> 00:16:20,960 my strong suit. 305 00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:23,559 Speaker 1: If I give that one a five out of ten. 306 00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:27,000 It wasn't my best work here. So all right, let's 307 00:16:27,039 --> 00:16:31,799 talk Major League Baseball, Mets and the Cubs. Tong is 308 00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:34,840 going for the Mets. I don't know what to make 309 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:38,320 a song. I did a free play on fading him 310 00:16:38,399 --> 00:16:40,639 last game, and boy he made me eat those Yeah, 311 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:43,240 eat that right up? He was really good his last start. 312 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:44,960 Didn't mean while I got buoyed for the Cubs, who 313 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:48,240 has not been good recently. Difficult game here, and the 314 00:16:48,279 --> 00:16:51,919 books obviously know it's difficult. Chicago only minus won twenty 315 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:53,919 five over under at seven. What do you make of 316 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:54,360 this game? 317 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:58,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna focus in on the total in this game. 318 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:01,000 And you're right, it is a difficul called game because 319 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,799 the Mets have everything to play for in the Cubs 320 00:17:04,839 --> 00:17:11,640 pretty much really can't improve or go backwards understanding. Right 321 00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:14,559 now as it applies to the playoffs, they're already locked 322 00:17:14,599 --> 00:17:18,000 in as a wild card team. Not so fortunate for 323 00:17:18,039 --> 00:17:21,400 the Mets right now. They did win yesterday, coupled with 324 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:25,519 a Cincinnati loss, they're still in the there's now in 325 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:29,960 i should say, the final wildcard spot in the National League. 326 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,400 So a lot to play for you mentioned Matthew Boyd 327 00:17:33,079 --> 00:17:35,880 having a terrific year, and then all of a sudden, 328 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:40,160 over the last six starts he's faded terribly over those 329 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:44,559 last six outings a six fifty eight ERA six sixty eight, 330 00:17:44,599 --> 00:17:48,119 excuse me, and also a one to fifty five WHIP. 331 00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:50,920 And even more concerned, he's allowed six home runs in 332 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:54,160 thirty one innings pitch. Now, you may say, well, Ross, 333 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:56,680 look at his numbers at home, and you would be right, 334 00:17:56,839 --> 00:18:00,839 because in the sixteen home starts is eras terrific. However, 335 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,480 in his last three home starts just a five to 336 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,839 twenty nine ERA. Then, only have the Cubs bullpen over 337 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:10,119 their last six the four to seventy one ERA, and 338 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:15,319 another alarming stat, Cubs relievers have allowed seven home runs 339 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:19,279 in twenty one innings pitched during those last six games. 340 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:22,519 The Cubs are seven to one to the over this 341 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:25,240 year at home when facing teams like the Mets that 342 00:18:25,319 --> 00:18:29,079 average one point twenty five home runs or more per game. 343 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,640 And you mentioned Joonah Tom Yeah, five innings of scoreless 344 00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:35,599 baseball is last time out. But the bottom line is 345 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:38,400 when you look at all four starts he's made this year, 346 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:40,960 a five to ninety four ERA and a one forty 347 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:45,000 four whip and only averaging four point two innings pitched 348 00:18:45,279 --> 00:18:50,279 per start. Okay, the Mets bullpen has pitched extremely well 349 00:18:50,279 --> 00:18:53,920 over the last six games, Andy, However, they've really been 350 00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:57,119 pressed to the limit. In those last three games, the 351 00:18:57,160 --> 00:19:00,799 Mets bullpen has combined to pitch nine eineteen and one 352 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:05,000 third innings. That's a ton of action. So they're gonna 353 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:08,319 be worn down a little bit. And history will tell 354 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,519 you this year when the Mets bullpen is a little 355 00:19:10,559 --> 00:19:13,319 worn down, they don't do very well. I mean yesterday, 356 00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:16,920 for example, the Mets starting pitcher David Peterson. He was 357 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,039 pulled after just in inning and the third in allowing 358 00:19:20,079 --> 00:19:23,240 five runs. But the Mets six and zero to the 359 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:26,160 over this year on the road after the bullpen has 360 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,559 pitched four innings or more in each of the last 361 00:19:28,599 --> 00:19:31,680 three games. They're also thirteen and one to the Over 362 00:19:31,839 --> 00:19:34,519 this year on the road after a three game span 363 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,960 in which their bullpen pitched thirteen or more combined innings. 364 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:42,880 So when their bullpen has been text and especially on 365 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,640 the road, the Mets have played in a lot of 366 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:48,200 high scoring affairs, and I think a lot of that 367 00:19:48,319 --> 00:19:50,559 has to do with the fatigue the bullpen and their 368 00:19:50,599 --> 00:19:53,240 offensive proess. I mean the Mets over the last six 369 00:19:53,279 --> 00:19:57,680 games a three thirty five on base percentage and eleven 370 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:02,400 home runs hit. So they're producing offense now. Matthew Boyd 371 00:20:03,079 --> 00:20:06,559 his last six, I told you he's not very good. 372 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:09,200 He's not very good. In his last three at home. 373 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:11,640 The Cubs are seven and one to the over at 374 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:14,839 home this year versus teams like the Mets averaging one 375 00:20:14,839 --> 00:20:18,000 point twenty five home runs a game. Having said all that, 376 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:21,079 and not to be redundant, the win is blowing in 377 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:26,400 from left field today, Andy, However, you know the total 378 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:29,240 is seven in today's home played unplayer. By the way, 379 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:33,400 DJ Rayburn his last seven games behind the plate six 380 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,720 to oh and one to the over and eight one 381 00:20:35,759 --> 00:20:38,119 on one to the over in his last ten as 382 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,319 the home played on player this year, I'm going Cubs 383 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,319 Mets over the total of seven. 384 00:20:44,599 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 1: Wow. The umpire breakdown, And I'm sorry for being redundant 385 00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:53,000 there at the end, But somehow I was reading my 386 00:20:53,039 --> 00:20:54,599 own notes and I wrote it down. 387 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:57,559 Speaker 4: Twice, So I apologize, folks. I'm not getting auled. 388 00:20:58,440 --> 00:20:58,920 Speaker 3: You're good. 389 00:20:59,039 --> 00:21:03,160 Speaker 1: You're a good ross and we can get an umpire breakdown. Uh, 390 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,319 it's great Bob has a hot take in the chest. 391 00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:09,799 Starting pitching means nothing, it's all about middle relief. 392 00:21:10,279 --> 00:21:11,680 Speaker 4: I agree with it. 393 00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:13,400 Speaker 1: I would say it's nothing. 394 00:21:15,599 --> 00:21:19,640 Speaker 4: Starting it all starts with I vehmiently disagree with that 395 00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:25,519 means it's always my foundational point. And last I checked 396 00:21:25,519 --> 00:21:27,880 the number one in Major League Baseball this year, So 397 00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:32,839 I have to disagree respectfully with Bob. I will say 398 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:40,079 that not enough handicappers place enough emphasis on relief pitching. Uh, 399 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:43,680 And that's when you have a great starter who's red 400 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:49,079 hot and you have a bullpen core that's not That's 401 00:21:49,079 --> 00:21:51,799 where I reverted a lot to a first five inning 402 00:21:51,839 --> 00:21:55,519 play in many occasions. So there's a way to tack that. 403 00:21:55,799 --> 00:21:58,599 And Uh, I'm glad you brought that topic up. But 404 00:21:58,759 --> 00:22:02,599 middle relief only counts when you're looking at pictures. They 405 00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:06,279 may average less than five innings per outing. And if 406 00:22:06,279 --> 00:22:09,240 that's the case, you have a lousy starting pitcher anyway, right, 407 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:14,000 if he's averaging just that. So thank you for that question. Robert. 408 00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:18,960 Speaker 1: All right, we got a weekend Warrior special that we're 409 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,799 running in Bross. You're one of the perfect guys to 410 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:24,119 use that on. It's forty nine bucks. You can use 411 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:28,559 it on any handicapper, but Ross tell everyone, why should 412 00:22:28,559 --> 00:22:30,759 we use the Weekend Warrior special on you? 413 00:22:31,319 --> 00:22:35,279 Speaker 4: Well, Andy, I am so glad you asked. I never 414 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,200 thought you would ask, but since you did, let me 415 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:42,240 answer that my football plays the last two weeks College 416 00:22:42,279 --> 00:22:45,640 Football and NFL combined fifteen and five. 417 00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:46,119 Speaker 1: Folks. 418 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:49,119 Speaker 4: That's with my premium picks the last two weeks. So 419 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,319 people who bought my forty nine dollars Weekend Warrior package 420 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:56,079 the last two weeks extremely happy because all of those 421 00:22:56,160 --> 00:23:00,319 picks took place on a Saturday, Sunday and a Monday. 422 00:23:00,559 --> 00:23:04,079 That's what we cover on this package. Having said that, 423 00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:07,960 NFL coming up a four and oh sweep last week, Andy, 424 00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:12,119 including a pair of four percent best bet winners. On Sunday, 425 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,880 I had the Cleveland Browns plus eight and a half 426 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,200 outright over the Green Bay Packers. On Monday, I had 427 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,720 the Detroit Lions plus four and a half outright over 428 00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:25,559 to Baltimore Ravens. College Football seven and one the last 429 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:28,680 two weeks thirteen and six to start the year, up 430 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:32,440 over twenty six units so far in college football this season. 431 00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,960 If you've been following me in college football, you know 432 00:23:35,039 --> 00:23:38,200 that's nothing new, because since it started twenty twenty three, 433 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:42,160 I'm number one in units earned in college football, number 434 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,880 one last year in both win percentage and units earned 435 00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:50,119 in college football. And so take advantage all sports. By 436 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,920 the way, Andy, since May the thirteenth, one three and 437 00:23:54,039 --> 00:23:57,920 ninety four sixty percent and a net profit of one 438 00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,720 hundred and twenty five point seven in units. And by 439 00:24:01,759 --> 00:24:05,680 the way, the baseball playoffs are coming up, folks. Number 440 00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:09,279 one this year in Major League Baseball and units earned. 441 00:24:10,519 --> 00:24:13,000 I don't know why you would go anywhere else but 442 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:14,960 right here, right now. 443 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,559 Speaker 1: All right, ross one of my favorite segments of the week. 444 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:22,359 This line makes no sense. You look at all the 445 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,200 football games and you pick one and you say, wait 446 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,880 a minute, this one's out of whack, all right. Kelly 447 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,240 in Vegas has a strong opinion on this. What line 448 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:32,839 makes no sense to you this week? 449 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, well it makes no sense. When I say line 450 00:24:36,319 --> 00:24:39,400 makes no sense, it's more of a warning and a 451 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:43,400 perception versus reality thing than a pick. And Kelly, you 452 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,160 know she brought to my time. Let me say the 453 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:50,880 game first. Kansas State is one in three this year. 454 00:24:51,079 --> 00:24:53,440 They're a six and a half point favorite at home 455 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,279 this week against a Central Florida team that started the 456 00:24:56,359 --> 00:25:00,079 season four and ah. So the obvious, I mean, the 457 00:25:00,079 --> 00:25:03,279 the novice out there would say we're getting a four 458 00:25:03,319 --> 00:25:06,680 and zero team as a touchdown more than a touchdown 459 00:25:06,759 --> 00:25:09,880 underdog against a team that's one in three and is 460 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:14,039 vastly underachieved. And that team's only win this year has 461 00:25:14,079 --> 00:25:18,319 been against an FCS opponent, and they needed a last 462 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,640 minute touchdown to win that game against that FCS opponent. 463 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:26,440 Kelly says, you know what, Ross, keep in mind, Central Florida. 464 00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,279 They just lost a head coach or excuse me, an 465 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:34,119 assistant coach this week tragically. And I get that, and 466 00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,880 it's certainly a motivational factor. But my point is, folks, 467 00:25:38,319 --> 00:25:41,640 is when you see lines like this, they're very when 468 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:46,279 it looks too good to be true. Very seldom is 469 00:25:47,079 --> 00:25:50,079 that not the case, and I think that's the case here. 470 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:54,279 I think that Kansas State desperate for a win, and 471 00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,279 a lot of people will be fooled and say, give 472 00:25:57,319 --> 00:26:00,200 me the undefeated team here against a one in three team, 473 00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:02,839 a team that's on and three against FBS opponents. So 474 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,880 my advice on this game is just to steer clear, 475 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:10,119 because Kelly brings up a good point. There's a motivation 476 00:26:10,319 --> 00:26:15,720 emotional motivational factor for Central Florida in this spot, okay, 477 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:21,839 and that you can't ignore. That doesn't come up every week, thankfully, 478 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:26,559 because we don't want teams to lose assistant coaches tragically 479 00:26:26,599 --> 00:26:29,599 on a weekly basis. So keep that in mind, and 480 00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,480 also keep in mind to Kansas State. The one and 481 00:26:32,559 --> 00:26:35,400 three team is the favorite here by almost a touch 482 00:26:35,559 --> 00:26:38,960 or over a touchdown, and they're very desperate for a win. 483 00:26:39,039 --> 00:26:42,079 They've underachieved at this point. I would stay away from 484 00:26:42,079 --> 00:26:44,640 this game, but don't be fooled by that line. Andy. 485 00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:49,359 Speaker 1: I like where Kelly said Kansas State's softest baby shit. 486 00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:50,440 I like that breakdown. 487 00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm glad you didn't give me an fm olt again. 488 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,559 Holy crip to me a week and a half to 489 00:26:57,599 --> 00:26:59,119 figure out that abbreviation. 490 00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:05,519 Speaker 1: Ross, Benjamin a great segment, as always, be careful on 491 00:27:05,559 --> 00:27:08,519 that Kansas State minus six and a half. That line 492 00:27:08,559 --> 00:27:11,599 made no sense. Ross, have a great weekend. Thank you 493 00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,480 very much, buddy. I can't wait to see you again next. 494 00:27:13,319 --> 00:27:14,839 Speaker 4: Week, Buddy. Thank you for having me. 495 00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:22,759 Speaker 1: All right. Well, I'm off tomorrow and Friday impromptu trip 496 00:27:22,799 --> 00:27:24,759 to New York because I have to check out the 497 00:27:24,839 --> 00:27:27,119 Ryder Cup. So if I'm leaving to go to the 498 00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:29,440 Ryder Cup, I gotta do a Ryder Cup breakdown and 499 00:27:29,599 --> 00:27:33,079 a pick. So here we go. All right, The Ryder 500 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,480 Cup is at beth Page out in New York. Let's 501 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,319 go for some stats and I'll give you my pick 502 00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:40,240 on this one. So if we're just trying to break 503 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,039 down these individual players the total strokes gained the last 504 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,640 three months, I'm looking at a very short sample size, 505 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:48,200 so I want to see what form they're really really 506 00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:52,920 recent in Your top guys are Shuffler, Fleetwood, McElroy, Henley, Fitzpatrick, 507 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:57,000 Rom Griffin Young in English. So you get a nice 508 00:27:57,039 --> 00:27:59,799 mix of Europeans and Americans. But what kind of jumps 509 00:27:59,799 --> 00:28:01,960 out me is go to the bottom and who's really 510 00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:06,640 been struggling. So the worst five players for total strokes 511 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:10,640 game last three months are Straka, Moricabo, Lowry, Hatton and Hoguard. 512 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,440 That's four out of the five that are on the 513 00:28:14,519 --> 00:28:17,279 European team. So that's gonna be a red flag for me. 514 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:20,519 Blind t shots, that's gonna be a big thing here 515 00:28:20,559 --> 00:28:24,200 at Bethpage. This course is hilly, the rough has been 516 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,200 cut down and it tends to favor the longer players. 517 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:31,240 I was there in twenty nineteen and the Bombers had 518 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:35,599 the huge advantage. This place is massive hills and it's 519 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:38,599 got some elevated greens that you had to hit some 520 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:41,839 really really long shots. Home teams have done really well 521 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:46,680 recently at the Ryder Cup, and Europe has some upside 522 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:48,839 with some guys that are playing really well coming into 523 00:28:48,839 --> 00:28:50,839 the event. But the course history is not good for Europe. 524 00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:53,480 They haven't played here since twenty nineteen, but these guys 525 00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:55,599 on the European team did not play well when it 526 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:57,400 was here. The other thing is it's going to be 527 00:28:57,440 --> 00:29:01,519 wet Friday and probably Saturday, so watching them in the 528 00:29:01,559 --> 00:29:04,160 practice rounds, there's not a lot of roles, so the 529 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:06,799 ball when it hits the fair way, it just lands 530 00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,039 and it doesn't roll. That's big because you're not getting 531 00:29:09,039 --> 00:29:11,519 the roll out into the rough. So the Bombers are 532 00:29:11,519 --> 00:29:14,759 going to swing away and set up good weg shots. 533 00:29:14,799 --> 00:29:17,599 The greens are going to be really receptive, so aggressive 534 00:29:17,799 --> 00:29:20,240 solid wedge players are going to leave some really really 535 00:29:20,279 --> 00:29:23,319 short putts. So the last three months, the Americans have 536 00:29:23,359 --> 00:29:26,160 the advantage in tea green and putting and Both teams 537 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:29,079 are desperately going to need big weeks from their two 538 00:29:29,319 --> 00:29:33,279 best guys, that's Scheffler and McRoy. They need The Americans 539 00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:37,640 need Scheffler to basically run the table. Europeans need McElroy 540 00:29:37,799 --> 00:29:40,920 to basically run the table. If those guys falter, their 541 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,920 respective teams are in big trouble. A couple of X factors. 542 00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:46,480 John Rahm is the X factor for the European team. 543 00:29:46,559 --> 00:29:51,200 He has been absolutely lights out at the Ryder Cup, 544 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,720 but his game has fallen off just a little bit 545 00:29:53,839 --> 00:29:56,960 since going to live. He has not looked great at 546 00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,039 when he comes back to the Major, So keep your 547 00:29:59,079 --> 00:30:01,880 eye on John Rahm. Bryson dash Shambeau is obviously the 548 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:04,960 X factor for the US team. Do not underestimate the 549 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,039 effect of his length and what the crowd does. I 550 00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,279 followed Bryson at a live event and the crowd is 551 00:30:11,759 --> 00:30:16,599 absolute lunatics so out in New York following Bryson, do 552 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,559 not be surprised if these fans are extra obnoxious to 553 00:30:19,559 --> 00:30:23,119 whoever's playing against Bryson. I think the tops of the 554 00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:25,839 teams are pretty equal here. What worries me for the 555 00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:28,200 European team is the guys who are in poor form 556 00:30:28,279 --> 00:30:30,880 that I don't really trust. I don't trust their driving. 557 00:30:31,759 --> 00:30:33,599 It's gonna come down to some big putts. I think 558 00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:35,359 this is going to be a pretty close Ryder Cup 559 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,599 decided on Sunday in close fashion. But I'm gonna lean 560 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,839 the US team. I have to take the US team 561 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:44,119 based on Scheffler's record here, based on the length of 562 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,039 some of these guys, and based on this being on 563 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,680 home soil with the crowd behind him. The lean is 564 00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:52,000 the United States. But don't be surprised if this is very, 565 00:30:52,079 --> 00:30:55,880 very close. All right, that is going to do it. 566 00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,000 Thank you so much for joining us again. Put in 567 00:30:58,039 --> 00:31:00,440 the comments section after the show what my new opening 568 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:02,680 line for the show should be. I'm gonna pick a 569 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,480 winner and you're gonna get a couple hundred wager bucks. 570 00:31:05,519 --> 00:31:07,519 That comes right from Ralph Michael. So after show's over, 571 00:31:07,839 --> 00:31:09,880 put in the comments section. If you're watching this later, 572 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:11,519 put it down there as well. I need a new 573 00:31:11,559 --> 00:31:15,359 opening because pres said I stole his stole his title 574 00:31:15,359 --> 00:31:17,400 of his show. We'll have words with him after that. 575 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:19,799 But thank you so much. Don't forget to subscribe to 576 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,559 the wager Talk YouTube channel. Hit that bell you get 577 00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:24,799 notified when all of our breakdown videos come on in 578 00:31:24,799 --> 00:31:27,799 when our live shows go live. The Blitz is tomorrow 579 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:31,640 at one o'clock Eastern with Brian Power, Ralph and Ross 580 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:33,400 will be breaking down all the college football games and 581 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:35,920 that is live, so get your questions in. Hope everyone 582 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,039 has a great weekend. I am off until Monday. There's 583 00:31:39,039 --> 00:31:41,319 gonna be a lot of singing and chanting in my future. 584 00:31:41,359 --> 00:31:43,799 I can't wait. Good luck on all your plays and 585 00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:44,400 take care