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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: It is time for total Bases, and we have eighteen

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games in Major League Baseball today. Three games rained out yesterday,

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which means three double headers today.

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Speaker 1: Excellent slate of games morning till night.

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Speaker 2: And yeah it's we're gonna talk Yankees, Blue Jays. We'll

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probably touch on Brewers met the doubleheader. So a lot

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of good action to talk about your one stop show

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for all your Major League Baseball free picks right here

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on the wager Talk YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: And we're gonna get right into it. I'm going to

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Brian Leonard.

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Speaker 2: He made a great call yesterday and Yankees Blue Jays

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Canada Day. Sorry Canada, I got it. I didn't know

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that at the beginning of the show yesterday. I know now,

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hope you guys had a great Canada Day up there yesterday.

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The Blue Jays certainly did, Brian Leonard. They went off.

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They're playing unreal ball right now and they come in tonight.

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Will Warren, Jose Barrios, how do you see this one?

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Speaker 3: Before we get to that, there was a game yesterday

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but suspended, the Boston game. I had Boston as one

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of my two plays. The other was the Cleveland team

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total under two to one, suspended after three innings. Let

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us know if in this chat if that was called

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a suspended game or if you still have action on

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at today, be able to take a look at that

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for future reference in that regard mine was suspended. We'll

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see what happens.

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Speaker 1: And it will vary book to books.

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Speaker 3: Real very book to book. That's correct.

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Speaker 2: We're just curious if you're if you played Red Sox Reds,

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We're curious, is your bet pending or did they did

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they cancel it?

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Speaker 1: Did they call it? No action?

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Speaker 2: So we'll talk Yankees, Blue Jays. We'll then go to

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that sort of game and series. But let us know

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in the chat so we can get the uh to

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just get a gauge of how many people have action

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and how many people.

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Speaker 3: Don't yeap much to you, Yeah, Yankees Budgets Warren going

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against the Barrios, two hot pitchers. Barrios is surprising me. Uh.

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He's usually a guy I look to fade because of

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his name, but he's been pitching very well this year.

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Warren's when he's on, he's one of the best pitchers

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in baseball. Still inconsistent in that regard the current line

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on this is the Yankees with Warren about one twenty

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two total of about nine slightly to the under will

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Warren on the season comes in with a four point

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three seven ERA three point four to six expected, so

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he's had a little bit of bad luck. One point

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three to two whip, that's been his problem in his career.

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He's got a one point four to five whip in

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two seasons. His walk rate is ten point one right now.

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Strike out rate twenty nine point six, still excellent, nineteen

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point five strike out much walk ratio, but he's still

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a guy who has control issues. It's hard. Hit rate

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is in the ninth percentile averag Jacus Velosty eleven, so

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when he does get hit, he has been hit pretty hard.

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But he's got a great strikeout percentage in the eighty

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nine percentile extension in the eighty third. Throw six pitches

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and his four seas is his primary at thirty nine percent.

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If you take a look at what he has done

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so far this year with each of his pitches, he's

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done pretty well. His work percentage is really good on

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the sweeper thirty five point four percent. His sinker not

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really thirteen point seven. That's the only one where he's

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not much of a strikeout pitch and he can't get

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him off off the sweet sinker. But other other than that,

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he's pitched pretty well this season. And as I said

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earlier that Baryos is a guy right now who is

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pitching very well as of late. Comes in with a

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three point two six ERA four point five to five expected,

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so there's some luck involved in his success. One point

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two one whip very similar to his career numbers. If

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you look at statcast page Baseball Savant, there's really no red,

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which kind of surprises me for a guy that's has

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that ERA. In fact, the last three years he's had

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really good ERA three point two six, three point six

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zero three point sixty five, pitching in a really good

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hitting division. And so for him now haven't he read

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it is kind of surprising barrel rates in the eighteenth percentile.

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So he's another guy that can be hit. But in

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this game, I'd like the way Toronto's playing. Came back

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yesterday and we talked about that on the show. Whereas

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we were looking to fade the starter yesterday freed for

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the Yankees. It took a while to get there, but

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you finally got hit later on in the game, and

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Toronto performers very well. Current line on this there's seems

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to be at least to me that it's where the

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line should be, So I probably will not be getting

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involved in this one.

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Speaker 4: The way I see this is looking at the sides. Yeah,

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I mean, yes, Toronto seems to be the hot team

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right now, but actually they're just batting a little bit

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better than the Yankees. The Yankees have picked it up

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a little bit. I got them ranked fifteen and I

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got the Blue Jays ranked twelve. Bullpen wise, Yankees have

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a huge advantage as far as I can see, and

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I have the starting pitchers pretty equal. So I'm not

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going to play a side or a total in this.

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But I did look up the outs props and there

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is one that kind of caught my eye on this. Now.

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I haven't played it officially yet, but Will Warren's outs

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recorded seventeen and a half seems quite high to me.

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What that means is over or under will he finish

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six innings. Will Warren on the road has a five

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plusdra He's been horrible on the road. I don't have

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any sample size against these particular bats, but my projection

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for his outs is fifteen point three, so basically just

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over five innings. I don't think he's going to finish

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six innings here. Toronto's hitting it pretty well. It's a

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hitters park. I don't think he's going to finish six

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innings here. So under the seventeen and a half might

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be a pretty decent play, although I haven't played it yet.

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Speaker 1: See, I think Warren's going to pitch pretty good here.

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Speaker 3: He is.

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Speaker 1: I'm coming around on this guy.

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Speaker 2: He's someone that you know, maybe wasn't quite ready in

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April when he was like in the starting rotation right

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off the bat, but he's always sort of projected as

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someone I thought would would find success at the big

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league level at some point.

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Speaker 1: Last couple months.

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Speaker 2: I mean, with the exception of that start against the Dodgers,

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he's been fantastic. Last time out, you know, navigated a

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couple of walks, but really very minimal, minimal traffic on

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the basis against the A's five innings, gave up two hit,

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did walk for guys, but seven strikeouts. Pitched into the

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seventh against the Orioles six innings, eleven strikeouts against the

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Angels five and two thirds, scoreless ball against the Royals,

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so there's been a lot to like. He's got a

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very in my opinion, he spots his fastball. Well that's,

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you know, kind of what I've noticed about him. I

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feel like he throws to the corner. So you go

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back to the A's start. Yeah, he walked a couple

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of guys, but he wasn't missing out over the plate.

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He really wasn't giving them a great chance to do

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big time damage. Now the Blue Jays. Do I want

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to bet against this team right now? Not really, because

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I've I like this team. I feel like I've been

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sort of driving the Blue Jays bus a little bit

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over the last couple of weeks. I've bet them a

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few times, so I don't really want to go against them,

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but I wouldn't put anyone off of going against them here.

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If you if you like the you know, if you

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also like the Yankees. In the spot, Jays have used

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a lot of bullpen in the past couple of days.

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And you know, Barrios I've talked about really being like

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a veteran guy that makes big pitches. He's a guy

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that's gonna battle. But can can the Yankees get to him?

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Of course, at least in my opinion, So minus won

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twenty five felt. I don't like a tad cheap here,

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maybe a little bit of a discount on the Yanks,

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especially with the bultpen usage from the Blue Jays Lean Yankees.

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Speaker 1: Not sure I'm going to bett, go ahead, Bryant.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know. If Brandon Huma spoke, you say

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the Warren was seventeen and a half on his Yes, okay,

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So if it's seventeen and a half, he doesn't have

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to go six, gotta go five and two thirds? Is

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that correct?

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Speaker 4: No, Yeah, you have to go get over seventeen and

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a half. He has to finish six innings if.

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Speaker 2: You go, because you need eighteen outs, so eighteen.

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Speaker 3: But if it goes five and two thirds, it's only

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sixteen seventeen, seventeen seventeen and go over under seventeen and

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a half. Yeah, I almost heard that also in the chat.

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It looks like a fifty to fifty split. And some

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of them had a good kind of These sharper books

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are the ones that canceled. The less sharp books, the

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public books are the ones that let it go on.

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So I'll keep that in mind in the future if

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there is rain delays and you've got the better team,

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Chances are you're probably better off playing at a if

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you could still bet at like a DraftKings or a

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FanDuel or something like that.

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Speaker 2: So, Brian, let me ask you this, like, do you

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have as someone that has action in that game one?

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We actually have eighteen and a half games today. I

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forgot about Red Sox Reds still going on as someone

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that has action in game one? If like, is there

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a way to get back in if you have a

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canceled ticket, like based on the score right now, and

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then let's just talk about game two.

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Speaker 1: If you see anything there, Nick Martinez Brian Baya.

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Speaker 3: I haven't seen anything. I mine was canceled and I

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haven't seen anything about getting back into it or not.

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Boston does have the leads, so you'd have to be paying.

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It was basically a pick them yesterday, sure, so you'd

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have to pay more for that. They've already said, you know,

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obviously they're not bringing those guys back again. I believe

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BeO is picking up for Boston in the game, and

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at this point they don't know who they're gonna use

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in in the the second game they normally schedule. We'll

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have to say on that one. So what game? What

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game would you like to talk about? Now?

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Speaker 1: Well, I mean, I guess that's a really good point.

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Speaker 2: If they're gonna use Beao in game one, then we'll

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have to see. I mean, there's really not much sense

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in talking reds red Sox because you really kind of

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need to see what's what's going on there.

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Speaker 1: So let's move on to the chat.

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Speaker 2: And I guess this is one I do like I

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want to talk about this doubleheader. We'll mostly probably focus

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on game two. So game one is the same matchup

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as yesterday. We broke down Game one, Brewers Met. I'm

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very curious to see what kind of goes on through

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this doubleheader. I have a little bit of a plan myself,

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so I'll go back to you, Brian Leonard. Any anything

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in this doubleheader for you that's like different from yesterday?

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Speaker 1: And are you looking at game two at all?

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Speaker 2: I believe it's Miseroski and then maybe Tidwell for the Mets.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we obviously don't know who the relievers, what they

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do in the first game, which is why I never

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make any full judgments on the second game until the

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first game is over. The Hans Peralta still lean with

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Parolta here. Holmes has been a little bit shaky as

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he goes on a little bit, and we all know

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how the Mets are playing right now. In the second game,

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I lean with Misrowski. Tidwell is one of the better

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prospects for the Mets. He did get a little relief

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action the other day. Did not pitch well. You can

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understand that, but he's highly touted also, So I got

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two of the better young pitchers in this game in

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this second game. But I don't know how you can

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go against miss Rowski right now. The way he's pitching.

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He's obviously in the minors he had control problems. He

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has not hit any of the majors. It's going to have.

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It's it's somewhat similar to what we had with the

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with Burns the other day with Cincinnati. Any any game

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that those guys pitch, they are if there's if there's

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such chance to for the other team to find some

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flaws like they did with Burns, And that has come

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out now that yes, they do know that he was

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tipping us pitches, but you could tell when you watch

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that game so slightly and for Milwaukee on both sides

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probably won't get involved.

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Speaker 4: Before I do the analysis. Look down at the scroller there.

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To our websites on wager talk dot com, we all

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always have something available. I have two plays out for

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Major League Baseball today, also one comment. Management reached out

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to all three of us yesterday and told us that

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our video got great response from the crowd. So I

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just want to thank you guys for being interactive with

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us and being active in the chat. Management did reach

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out to us and congratulate us yesterday, so that was

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a good thing. It's a good thing for our show.

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So appreciate We didn't do it, you guys did it,

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so we appreciate it. Let's get onto this game. I

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generally don't like to do the game two of double headers,

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but I certainly am interested in this one because we

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have an extremely talented picture, although he only has sixteen

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innings of experience this year. But Miserowski versu Tidwell, I'll

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take Miserowski any day, and I have no idea even

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in the first game. Why the Mets are favored doesn't

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make sense to me. Brewers. I got them ranked hitting

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six in MLB. I got the Mets ranked twenty one

257
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A bullpen. I got the Brewers ranked nine and I

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got the Mets ranked twenty. So Brewers have extreme advantages,

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and almost everything I see here Clay home Holmes is

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a decent picture, Peralta is a good picture. So that's

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pretty much the only area where I think they can

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stand even ground with the Brewers. What scares me a

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little bit is the Mets are a really good home team.

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But I said this on yesterday's show, What Trump's what

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you know, being extremely cold or being a really good

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home team, I think being extremely cold gets the upper

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hand here. I don't know why the Mets are favored,

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probably because of their home record and because Holmes is

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a decent picture. But Game two they don't have a

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decent picture, and the Mets the Brewers do have a

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decent picture. So I really like the Brewers in Game two.

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I don't care who they rest, I don't care who

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they use in their bullpen. I don't care any of that.

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The Brewers advantage is so huge I am probably going

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to take a rare game to bet here.

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Speaker 3: Can I just ask a question? The problem with Bett

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and Mesrowsky is we've been taught when we handicap, you

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want to buy low, sell high. Well, obviously his by

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price right now is hot higher than it may ever be.

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He may turn out to be a very good picture,

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but right now you're buying high. And that's my only

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concern about that.

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Speaker 4: The one thirty I think for Game two for the Brewers.

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Speaker 1: Well, here's here's what I would say.

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Speaker 2: I think if you like Brewers Game two, I think

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you should bet it now. Like so, this is what

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I'm hoping happens. I'm gonna paint a little picture here.

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If you want to hear me talk and you want

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to hear us talk about game one. Deep dive Game one.

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We did that on yesterday's show. You can always go

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back to yesterday's show click the timestamp we talked about

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game one.

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Speaker 1: It's the same matchup.

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Speaker 2: I'm very interested in Game two, and here's what I

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hope happens. I would love to see the Brewers win

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a close game in Game one where they use some

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bullpen arms and win the game.

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Speaker 1: I think.

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Speaker 2: Because here's the other thing, I don't think the masses

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have really gotten involved with game two yet from a

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betting standpoint.

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Speaker 1: A lot of books haven't even put this up yet.

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Speaker 2: So what I'm hoping is throughout the day now as

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people realize, because I think this is a true a

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day night doubleheader, it's not like a true doubleheader. I

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think they're gonna empty the stadium and then sell game

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two as a separate ticket. You know, New York. They're

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00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,519
they're never leaving a dollar on the table. They're not free,

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no free baseball there. This is a one o'clock game.

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Clear the stadium, different ticket for the night game, So

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you're gonna have some time where like the game one

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is gonna be over and you're gonna have hours elapse

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before Game two kicks off. I'd love to see the

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Brewers win a close game in Game one where they

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use some bullpen arms, and I will I hope.

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Speaker 1: What I hope happens is that minus one.

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Speaker 2: Thirty on Miserroski becomes more like minus one fifty or

318
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minus one sixty, maybe even brings the plus one and

319
00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:41,960
a half run line in range. For me, Tidwell can

320
00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,960
hold his own. I'm not gonna sit here and tell

321
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you that he's on the same on the same plane

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as Miserroski from a talent standpoint, but he certainly can.

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Speaker 1: Hold his own.

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Speaker 2: The one thing I've noticed with Miserowski so far, even

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he's been elite since being called up, no question about that.

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Five innings, six innings, five innings. Is he gonna go

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into city field and exceed that?

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Speaker 1: From a length.

329
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Speaker 2: Standpoint, I don't know. I could see him getting six.

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00:17:07,759 --> 00:17:10,079
I don't think he's gonna go seven. I think, like

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00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:13,720
you know, a solid five to six inning outing from

332
00:17:13,799 --> 00:17:16,960
him is what I would expect from him today. Now,

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00:17:17,039 --> 00:17:19,240
if the Brewers use the good bullpen arms in game one,

334
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at worst, I'd beginning the Mets in what could be

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00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:25,640
a very desperate spot if they win game If they

336
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lose Game one, the spot becomes very desperate, and I

337
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:32,119
at least get three innings where Miserski is not in yet,

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the price is gonna be you know, it's gonna be

339
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,759
based on him being out there. So I'll be looking

340
00:17:37,799 --> 00:17:40,920
at Mets Game two. But I really just want to see.

341
00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:43,440
It's gonna take some stuff to happen in game one,

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specifically using up bullpen arms and the price to jump,

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00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,920
because I do think as people that the recreational better

344
00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:53,799
start to see, Oh, miss Roski against Tidwell game two.

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Pulling up my betting abb at four pm now I'm

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00:17:56,799 --> 00:17:58,880
gonna just bet the Brewers. I do think the line

347
00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:01,000
is gonna jump, and maybe we can take advantage of that.

348
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So I'll be looking at nets in some fashion. In

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game two, Mark Kinsen did the parlay hit? It sure did,

350
00:18:07,799 --> 00:18:10,759
Brian Leonard getting us with an under last night Tokyo

351
00:18:10,759 --> 00:18:14,480
Brandon of the Dodgers either the Rangers plus two twenty six,

352
00:18:14,559 --> 00:18:18,440
which means the parlay now for every dollar that we

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00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:22,319
if you've played them evenly, every dollar is returned thirteen

354
00:18:22,319 --> 00:18:22,839
to ninety.

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Speaker 1: I believe we are we are.

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00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,000
Speaker 2: I think the high water mark for this was like

357
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nineteen and change, so we're at some point the season

358
00:18:32,519 --> 00:18:35,279
we are going to break that twenty unit mark. Who knows,

359
00:18:35,279 --> 00:18:38,440
maybe we take a step in that direction today. Throughout

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the rest of the show, we will be locking in

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our show parlay legs, So you know, feel free to

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like subscribe listen if you've got stuff to do and

363
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you got to come back forty minutes from now to

364
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:50,680
check the parlay out. We're cool with that, But we'd

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love for you to hang around and watch the rest

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of the show because we will be talking about these

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games the next forty minutes or so. All Right, moving on,

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let's go to let's go to the chat here and

369
00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:05,480
grab a different game because there's a there's plenty of

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00:19:05,519 --> 00:19:10,559
them today and chat that the chat is popping off. Well,

371
00:19:10,599 --> 00:19:13,079
Titans CT, how many innings is Tidwell gonna give you?

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He is a starter at triple A, I would say, like,

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00:19:16,079 --> 00:19:18,559
Tidwell's not gonna he'll go five or six unless he's

374
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getting killed. I mean, if he's if he's yeah, like

375
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,480
if he's throwing. Like now that being said, it's a

376
00:19:24,519 --> 00:19:26,880
really good question if the Mets, the Mets are gonna

377
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:29,519
be like, they'll take him out quicker if he gets

378
00:19:29,559 --> 00:19:32,759
into trouble. But if he's throwing a decent game, it's

379
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gonna be five or six. And that's why game one

380
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:37,720
is so important, because if the Mets don't use their

381
00:19:37,759 --> 00:19:40,519
bullpen up in game one, then they're gonna be, you know,

382
00:19:40,759 --> 00:19:43,160
I would say, more inclined to to use their good

383
00:19:43,319 --> 00:19:46,599
arms in game two. It's why you have to really

384
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,079
kind of watch game one before you make a decision

385
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:53,759
on that game. Okay, Colin Gregory Marlins Twins over the

386
00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:57,279
hottest team in Major League Baseball, the Miami Marlins. They

387
00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:01,279
just continue to win It's been fun to watch. They're

388
00:20:01,279 --> 00:20:02,880
a team that I've been high on since the beginning

389
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:04,839
of the year. I'm actually kicking myself that I haven't

390
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:07,279
made more money on them on this run.

391
00:20:07,279 --> 00:20:09,720
Speaker 1: I haven't bet him that often, but it's.

392
00:20:09,559 --> 00:20:12,039
Speaker 2: Been fun to watch and Brian Leonard they might be

393
00:20:12,079 --> 00:20:14,559
in position to win again today. Jansen Junk's been great.

394
00:20:14,759 --> 00:20:17,119
Simeon Woods Richardson for the Twins, how are you seeing

395
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:18,160
Marlins Twins?

396
00:20:18,559 --> 00:20:22,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, my first look last night. I just every night

397
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:25,920
I look at the schedule before to try to get

398
00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:27,480
an idea if there's something I really want to use,

399
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:29,640
because I think the line's going to move. My first

400
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,200
thought was Jackson Junk was going to be a nice

401
00:20:32,279 --> 00:20:36,319
value here. Some money has come in on Miami a

402
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:41,599
little bit, but Simeon Woods Richardson, unfortunately the luck has

403
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,039
run out on him in his career now in four

404
00:20:44,079 --> 00:20:46,960
seasons four point four to two ERA, one point three

405
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,519
to three whip. That's not going to get it done.

406
00:20:49,599 --> 00:20:53,359
Considering his home park is not a bad pitcher's part

407
00:20:54,079 --> 00:20:56,759
and he's had a lot of opportunities there. The only

408
00:20:56,839 --> 00:21:00,359
red on his stat cast page is his extent in

409
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:05,039
the seventieth percentile, his barrel rate six percentile, ground ball

410
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,799
right ninth. So he gets hit hard and he gives

411
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:12,799
up fly balls. Not something I'm looking to back. Has

412
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:15,480
expected era is four point seventy four, very similar to

413
00:21:15,599 --> 00:21:20,400
his era on the season, Jackson junk. He's looked better

414
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:24,599
than his number. Show One thing he has done very well,

415
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,200
and we talked about this last time. He doesn't walk anybody.

416
00:21:28,079 --> 00:21:32,799
He's into one hundredth percentile and walks one point six

417
00:21:33,039 --> 00:21:36,599
percent Now that was a little bit of a surprise

418
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:38,720
because the last three years it was eight point three,

419
00:21:38,799 --> 00:21:41,759
six point one, eight point one all around the league

420
00:21:41,839 --> 00:21:44,759
average even a little bit better. But this year he's

421
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:48,599
really put it together in that regard. The only problem

422
00:21:49,279 --> 00:21:53,039
is because he throws the ball in the zone and

423
00:21:53,079 --> 00:21:57,200
he's not walking people, he's getting hit hard. His expected

424
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,759
batting average is in the first percentile, his average EXA

425
00:22:00,799 --> 00:22:03,920
velocity is in the first percentile, and his hard hit

426
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:08,839
rate is in the first percentile. So instead of playing

427
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,359
Miami in this game, I kind of let the over.

428
00:22:11,559 --> 00:22:15,119
These are two guys that can get hit. We know

429
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:18,160
that Miami is on a really good hitting streak right now.

430
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,599
We've talked about this for the last month. They've done

431
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:25,839
very well here for their young hitters, and Minnesota their

432
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:30,519
oft injured third basement back yesterday. He's probably hurt again today,

433
00:22:30,599 --> 00:22:33,400
but they're coming around with some of their guys that

434
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,440
are getting a little bit healthy in the lineup. I

435
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:38,440
think they'll get to Junk a little bit too. So

436
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:41,720
I'm going to play this one over the total, and

437
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,559
that's one of the ones that I'm thinking of for

438
00:22:45,079 --> 00:22:47,240
my parley happen. I'm not looking at any yet, but

439
00:22:47,279 --> 00:22:50,480
that's something I'm looking at. Total right now in that

440
00:22:50,519 --> 00:22:52,319
game is eight and a half to the over, maybe

441
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:56,319
minus won eighteen. So I'm looking for that one over

442
00:22:56,759 --> 00:22:59,039
and that's the best game I see right now that

443
00:22:59,039 --> 00:22:59,960
we've talked about so far.

444
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,440
Speaker 4: Brian is correct. Junk does not throw balls or he

445
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,640
doesn't walk people. He does throw balls, he doesn't walk people.

446
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:14,319
Two walks all season I project him though at only

447
00:23:14,519 --> 00:23:18,079
twelve point seven outs recorded. He does not go deep

448
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:22,160
into games at all. Will he start, I don't know,

449
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:27,240
but he's only thrown seventy nine pitches once. Every other

450
00:23:27,319 --> 00:23:33,200
start he's gone under seventy nine pitches, so but progressively

451
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:36,920
he's getting further and further so maybe they're trying to

452
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,960
stretch him out a little bit or getting used to it.

453
00:23:42,039 --> 00:23:44,519
You guys are down on Woods. I'm not so down

454
00:23:44,559 --> 00:23:47,000
on him. Actually, I have him ranked a little higher

455
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:52,160
than Junk, but pretty much the same, right around the

456
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:56,440
same level. But Miami's just better at everything else than

457
00:23:56,440 --> 00:24:00,359
the Twins. The Twins are very mediocre as far as

458
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,440
their bullpen is concerned. They're hitting. I have them ranked

459
00:24:03,519 --> 00:24:07,680
nineteen in current form, not very good. Miami ranked six

460
00:24:07,759 --> 00:24:11,200
and hitting or an eight and bullpen. So what Adam and

461
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,960
Brian were teaching me at the beginning when we started

462
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:17,480
doing this show that the Miami young arms are being

463
00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:20,079
coached really well. It's starting the show now because their

464
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:23,680
bullpen's playing quite well. I think Miami would be the

465
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,000
only way you could go here. The question is how

466
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,000
deep is junkn to go doesn't really matter though, because

467
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,759
he's backed by a pretty good bullpen and the better lineup,

468
00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:34,000
so that would probably be the only way to go.

469
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you're right about that, Marlins.

470
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:41,839
Speaker 2: They've put together kind of a little bit of a

471
00:24:41,839 --> 00:24:42,640
pitching staff.

472
00:24:42,839 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 1: They're hitting the ball. I'm with you.

473
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,319
Speaker 2: I wouldn't play the Twins here. I don't like what's

474
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,400
richardson at all. I don't know if I want to

475
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,559
like jump in now with the Marlins, as I think

476
00:24:51,559 --> 00:24:56,039
they've won eight straight, I definitely lean toward the over.

477
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,240
My number falls right on where that what's this total

478
00:24:59,279 --> 00:25:00,839
Brian half something like that.

479
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, over, So my numbers like kind of right in

480
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:05,559
line with that.

481
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,759
Speaker 2: But you know, I look at I look at the

482
00:25:08,839 --> 00:25:10,880
I think the Twins. Someone in the chat pointed out,

483
00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:12,400
and I just want to confirm this. The Twins have

484
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,880
been shut out back to back games. Yep, that's correct.

485
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,720
Three nothing lost on Sunday night to Detroit, two nothing

486
00:25:18,759 --> 00:25:22,920
lost last night to the Marlins. Twins will probably get

487
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:26,720
something here. You know, Junk is someone that remember, this

488
00:25:26,839 --> 00:25:28,720
was a guy. I mean, he was terrible in the

489
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:32,519
Brewers organization, and the Brewers are an organization that tends

490
00:25:32,559 --> 00:25:34,920
to do well with pitching as well. The Marlins have

491
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:38,119
definitely fixed him to an extent, but I wouldn't be

492
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,559
surprised if there's some regression there because he gives up

493
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:45,319
some absolute rockets. He is giving up some serious hard

494
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,359
hit and so yeah, listen, it's nice that you're not

495
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,920
walking guys, but if you're gonna give up one oh

496
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:51,640
eight off the bat.

497
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,519
Speaker 1: Every once in a while, that can turn into a

498
00:25:53,519 --> 00:25:53,960
big inning.

499
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,799
Speaker 2: You know, you get a couple guys on base, you know,

500
00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:59,759
string a couple of hits together, and suddenly someone gaps

501
00:25:59,759 --> 00:26:02,519
want hits it out. There's your crooked number for the Twins.

502
00:26:02,759 --> 00:26:05,640
That being said, like this Marlin's offense is just rolling

503
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,119
right now. And I've talked about these young teams the

504
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:11,279
snowball effect. There's a reason the Marlins are winning right now.

505
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:13,799
This team could turn around and lose seven in a row.

506
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,079
Like That's how when you've got a lot of young

507
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:20,720
guys that don't know better, it tends to be run

508
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,960
of really good, run of really bad. Right now, it's

509
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,319
really good for the Marlins, and there's nothing that I've

510
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,759
seen to suggest that it's not going to continue to

511
00:26:28,799 --> 00:26:31,640
be really good, because there's no we don't know the

512
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,079
ceiling for a lot of these guys in this Marlins lineup.

513
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:36,200
And so I think you either have to ride the

514
00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:39,440
Marlins or pass. And I lean with Brian Leonard. I

515
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:44,400
think there's probably runs in this game. All right, let's

516
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:49,559
move it, let's move along. We're olling, we're cruising. I

517
00:26:49,559 --> 00:26:51,440
feel like we're making good time today. It's only nine

518
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,319
to twenty six. We've got a full half hour left

519
00:26:54,319 --> 00:26:57,039
and change a bunch of games. So let's let me

520
00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:58,359
go grab one from the chat.

521
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:03,359
Speaker 4: Here a lot of people saying they wanted to see Guardians. U.

522
00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:05,759
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to this one first. Well, we'll, we'll, we'll,

523
00:27:05,799 --> 00:27:06,480
we'll get to him.

524
00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:08,160
Speaker 2: Ethan says, plus one and a half of the White

525
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:11,079
Sox is at appetizing today, and I have a feeling.

526
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:14,839
Adam agrees, Well, I have to be honest, it wasn't

527
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,920
on It wasn't on my you know, sort of an

528
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:22,319
initial first pass through that being said, I don't think

529
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,319
there is. I mean, there's definitely value there. And the reason,

530
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,559
Brian Leonard is because I don't buy Clayton Kershaw being

531
00:27:28,599 --> 00:27:31,440
a favorite of this of this magnitude at this point

532
00:27:31,759 --> 00:27:34,799
against pretty much anyone. I think you're still paying for

533
00:27:34,839 --> 00:27:37,160
the name, and then of course you're paying for Dodgers

534
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,240
at home. Not sure I'm gonna do it, but I

535
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:42,359
can't disagree with Ethan that the White Sox might be

536
00:27:42,519 --> 00:27:43,200
some value here.

537
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 1: How are you seeing White Sox Dodgers?

538
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:51,880
Speaker 3: I agree Brandon Eiser, his numbers aren't overly dominating four

539
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:56,599
point three three ERA, one point three three whip. His

540
00:27:56,960 --> 00:28:01,680
UH expected ERA comes in at three point three to one,

541
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,000
So he's pitching with a little bit of bad luck.

542
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:09,039
He's not a big strikeout guy. His fastball velocity is

543
00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:12,599
in the third percentile. But he does get good strikeouts.

544
00:28:12,319 --> 00:28:15,279
I spoke there, he does get good strikeouts. In fact,

545
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,799
you look at his numbers, and I mentioned the past,

546
00:28:18,839 --> 00:28:21,759
I play fantasy baseball. This is a guy who's showing

547
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:27,039
up under you know, the whiffs. He's always a chase leader,

548
00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:30,319
a whiff leader, strikeout leader when he pitches. He just

549
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,839
hasn't pitched a lot. He's coming out of the bullpen mostly,

550
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:35,480
and he will do that. He won't go along in

551
00:28:35,519 --> 00:28:39,359
this game, but when he's in the game, yes, they're

552
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:44,279
going to be very competitive. He's a lefty and the

553
00:28:44,359 --> 00:28:47,759
Dodgers haven't seen him obviously, and so it's a situation

554
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,720
where I'm in agreement with you. I'm really surprised that

555
00:28:50,799 --> 00:28:54,519
Kershaw is doing as well as he has done, considering

556
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:59,640
he really has no fastball any longer. So I looked

557
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,160
at that and I said, if I could play Chicago

558
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:05,359
White Sox and maybe the first half that would be

559
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,200
something I would take a look at. So let's let's

560
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,839
take a quick look at the line, and that one.

561
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:14,920
The current line for the full game is the Dodgers

562
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,599
about three to twenty total of nine. Let's see what

563
00:29:18,599 --> 00:29:20,319
we're looking at here for the first.

564
00:29:20,039 --> 00:29:23,279
Speaker 2: Half, right, I think it's going to be Sean Burke

565
00:29:23,359 --> 00:29:24,759
that comes in behind Ier.

566
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 1: So that's that's what I think they're doing today.

567
00:29:26,799 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 3: Okay, and he's pitched a little bit better as of late.

568
00:29:29,839 --> 00:29:34,240
If I remember correctly, it's looking at two sixty five

569
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:38,079
for the Dodgers in the first five. The thing is,

570
00:29:38,079 --> 00:29:41,599
when you get a team as good as the Dodgers

571
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,160
the Yankees, the better teams in baseball, the longer the

572
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:48,359
game goes, the more chances they're gonna win in the

573
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:52,519
short term, first inning, first five, you'll find a lot

574
00:29:52,559 --> 00:29:56,440
of the lesser teams have leads in that regard. And

575
00:29:56,519 --> 00:29:58,640
so those are the better times. And the line is

576
00:29:58,640 --> 00:29:59,960
telling you that you go on for three to two

577
00:30:00,599 --> 00:30:04,599
to sixty to sixty five for Kers shop. But if

578
00:30:04,599 --> 00:30:08,519
I could get Chicago plus, you can get up to

579
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:12,680
two thirty right now, A plus no money in the

580
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,039
first half. And if you take a look at the

581
00:30:15,079 --> 00:30:19,039
spread in the first half of this game. We're looking

582
00:30:19,079 --> 00:30:24,759
at Chicago plus in the first half plus a half

583
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:31,680
plus upwards of one. That's a pretty good bet. Chicago

584
00:30:31,759 --> 00:30:34,200
first half plus one forty five plus plus a half

585
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:37,119
a run. Yeah, I'm interested in that. I think I

586
00:30:37,119 --> 00:30:39,079
think there's ways to play Chicai. I wouldn't want to

587
00:30:39,079 --> 00:30:42,640
play the Dodgers here. You just have an easy early game.

588
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:46,519
Or at least last last night, they scored early, took

589
00:30:46,519 --> 00:30:48,480
a lead, and like said, on the rest of the game.

590
00:30:49,519 --> 00:30:51,480
I don't think they're excited to play the White Sox.

591
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:55,720
And I searched the guy I like, so yeah, I

592
00:30:55,799 --> 00:30:57,839
like the first half of that game. Also, So let's

593
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:01,039
go with the White Sox plus half in the first

594
00:31:01,039 --> 00:31:03,240
half and see how that works out. I think that's

595
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:08,000
a pretty good bet that your parlay leg still thinking

596
00:31:08,039 --> 00:31:08,440
about it.

597
00:31:08,839 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 4: Okay, I'm gonna push back. I'm going to be the

598
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,160
devil's advocate here because I think Clayton Kershaw is having

599
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,759
a pretty good season. Actually, he's gone twenty three innings,

600
00:31:18,799 --> 00:31:23,200
he's only given up four earned six inning, five inning,

601
00:31:23,279 --> 00:31:26,880
seven inning, five inning. He's given up one two zero one.

602
00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:29,720
I think he's pitching pretty good actually, But yes, he

603
00:31:29,839 --> 00:31:33,079
is an old dog, and old dogs lose their juice

604
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,799
as the as the season progresses. Totally agree with that.

605
00:31:36,839 --> 00:31:40,039
But Clayton Kershaw his whole career has been a good

606
00:31:40,119 --> 00:31:43,279
regular season guy who just absolutely barfs on the mound

607
00:31:43,279 --> 00:31:46,319
when the playoffs start. He's been like that his whole career. Right,

608
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:50,359
But yes, he's older now, but he's not starting as

609
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,759
many games as he was when he was in his primes,

610
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:58,319
So I don't understand all the Kershaw hate. Actually, I

611
00:31:58,359 --> 00:32:01,000
think he's still pitching pretty good in my opinion. He

612
00:32:01,079 --> 00:32:03,400
started out a little rough, but I think he's coming around.

613
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,640
These old veterans they find a way, you know, we

614
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:08,960
call it. I've said this before. It's it's like the

615
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:12,759
Maddox rule. You know, as you get older, you outsmart

616
00:32:12,759 --> 00:32:15,640
the batters instead of overpowering them. It's just how you

617
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,799
how you do when you get older. Right. I think

618
00:32:18,799 --> 00:32:21,839
he's cerebral enough to be able to do that. And

619
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:25,720
the White Sox are just a bad team. But White

620
00:32:25,759 --> 00:32:28,960
Sox bullpen is playing better than the Dodgers bullpen currently,

621
00:32:29,559 --> 00:32:33,119
and I have Sean Burke if he's gonna shoulder most

622
00:32:33,119 --> 00:32:35,680
of the load in this game as the better pitcher

623
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:40,119
than Kershaw, but it's negligible. The lineups are no comparison,

624
00:32:40,279 --> 00:32:42,680
so the question is, yeah, we probably will see a

625
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:46,079
lot of this Dodger bullpen, so uh, a little dicey,

626
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:51,319
but I kind of like Kershaw actually, But let.

627
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:52,799
Speaker 3: Me cut that in real quick. Here is what you're

628
00:32:52,799 --> 00:32:53,440
talking about.

629
00:32:53,559 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 4: Minus three hundred though.

630
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, uh, he does have a three point oh three, right,

631
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:01,519
but it's expected at three point nine zero. His problem

632
00:33:01,599 --> 00:33:04,720
is he was always very good in walks, and now

633
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:06,880
he's at eight point three this season, which is basically

634
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,920
league average. His strikeout ray was always in the twenties

635
00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:12,920
and thirties. This year it's only eighteen point six, So

636
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,400
you got him at ten point three strike out minus walk,

637
00:33:16,119 --> 00:33:19,599
and on his chart he's in the first percentile a

638
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:23,640
hard hit rate, first percentile in averageackson of velocity, third

639
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:28,839
percentile in fastball velocity. He can't get hit, so he's

640
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:31,319
surprised me how well he's pitching. But there's no red

641
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:35,480
on his stackcast page, which tells me that he's doing

642
00:33:35,519 --> 00:33:37,799
it with guile, but he's not doing it with the

643
00:33:37,839 --> 00:33:41,680
actual ability that he's had in the past. Obviously in

644
00:33:42,359 --> 00:33:45,039
three dollars is awful high price to have to pay

645
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:50,319
three sixty in some pass on the Dodgers. Here's d I.

646
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 2: Agree that that is the problem with the Dodgers and

647
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,119
Kershaw in this game and some of these like older

648
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:59,000
veteran guys, you're always almost always going to pay for

649
00:33:59,079 --> 00:34:01,559
the name, and you're especially gonna pay for the name

650
00:34:01,839 --> 00:34:04,759
when they're when they're running good. So like a Verlander,

651
00:34:05,079 --> 00:34:07,039
even though they don't have it like they used to,

652
00:34:07,319 --> 00:34:09,800
they will run good at times. And when guys like that,

653
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:13,639
like a Scherzer, a Verlander, a Kershaw, start to really

654
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:16,079
run good, you're gonna pay for it. And that's what

655
00:34:16,079 --> 00:34:19,239
you're being asked to do here. There's it's a very

656
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:21,840
appealing setup for the White Sox so as far as

657
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:25,559
like listen, Iert's in there to open because the White

658
00:34:25,559 --> 00:34:28,760
Sox like the matchup with him against Otani and Freeman.

659
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:31,960
So my guess is the goal is to get Iceert's

660
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:35,119
gonna go from Otani to Freeman. That's probably the plan.

661
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:37,119
So that might be an inning, it might be an

662
00:34:37,159 --> 00:34:39,840
inning and his third. It'll then be Sean Burke, and

663
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:41,840
then I think it's gonna be Grant Taylor, who is

664
00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:44,960
someone that Brian Leonard talked about because he hasn't pitched

665
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:48,320
since Saturday, where he threw two innings. He's been awesome,

666
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:50,960
So he's one of these younger bullpen arms that are

667
00:34:51,039 --> 00:34:53,400
under the radar. Brian Leonard talked about him before he

668
00:34:53,519 --> 00:34:57,159
was called up. Since his call up on June tenth,

669
00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:00,519
A zero point eight zero whip in the majors. That's

670
00:35:00,559 --> 00:35:03,159
a pretty appealing pitching setup for the White Sox. There

671
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:07,199
ier against the good lefties and the Dodgers lineup Sean Burke,

672
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,719
Pray gives you three or four innings, doesn't get blown up.

673
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:12,760
Taylor probably for two. He might go in and shut

674
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:14,840
them down for two innings. They've never seen him before

675
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,079
and he's pretty nasty. All of a sudden, you're in

676
00:35:17,079 --> 00:35:20,079
the seventh or eighth inning with a big price money

677
00:35:20,079 --> 00:35:22,360
line potentially in position to win. So yeah, I like

678
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,719
that White Sox money. I like that White Sox money

679
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:28,239
line from a value perspective. I think from a numbers perspective,

680
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,000
that's a very good bet. Will it hit, Not sure,

681
00:35:31,039 --> 00:35:33,880
but hey, it's one of the better like plus two

682
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:35,159
fifty plus two eighty.

683
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:37,480
Speaker 1: Money line bet you can make in my opinion, Go ahead, Brian.

684
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, the White Sox against lefties since the beginning of

685
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,400
Junior at one o two WRC plus, which is better

686
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,079
than the league average. So they've hit lefties pretty well.

687
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's an interesting one. I'm I'm glad.

688
00:35:48,599 --> 00:35:51,320
Speaker 2: I wasn't thinking about I didn't know if we would

689
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:54,079
talk about that one today, And I guess I like

690
00:35:54,119 --> 00:35:56,639
the White Sox more than I expected when I sort

691
00:35:56,639 --> 00:36:00,760
of did my first run through this, so interesting, interesting

692
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:02,880
convo right there, we'll we'll continue on.

693
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:07,760
Speaker 3: I need good money on the White Sox this year,

694
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:08,679
we can at all.

695
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:13,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, we got a day game here. I see,

696
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,000
I see a couple we'll go to Steve Duke and

697
00:36:15,159 --> 00:36:16,800
there's a couple others in the chat that have brought

698
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:19,039
this one up. Raise a's. I believe this is one

699
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:23,800
of the first ones the early games this afternoon. Raise a's.

700
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:29,679
We've got my quick notes earlier today, Brian Leonard I said, wow,

701
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:32,719
we've got used up bullpens on both sides. I didn't

702
00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:35,079
go much past that, but you know, that was one

703
00:36:35,119 --> 00:36:37,400
of the things that stood out to me was that

704
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,159
that both teams have kind of used their pent up

705
00:36:39,199 --> 00:36:40,239
the last couple of days.

706
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,280
Speaker 1: It looks like it's gonna be Pepio.

707
00:36:42,079 --> 00:36:45,679
Speaker 2: And what do we have Spence for the A's early

708
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:47,079
game out Steinbernerfield?

709
00:36:47,079 --> 00:36:48,039
Speaker 1: How you seeing this one?

710
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not getting too involved in this one because

711
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,239
the weather does have an effect here. The wind's blown

712
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:58,719
out to the left field at ten miles an hour,

713
00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:01,960
which is pretty good. Probably has right field is where

714
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,199
the short porch is. It's time Brenner Field. There's a

715
00:37:05,199 --> 00:37:07,760
lot of rain here starting at ten am fifty four

716
00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:10,920
time the game is supposed to go off sixty three

717
00:37:11,079 --> 00:37:13,920
seventy eight. This is a very good chance of being

718
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:17,440
one of those games it's either rained out or delayed,

719
00:37:17,599 --> 00:37:19,599
which means when you take a look at the starters,

720
00:37:19,639 --> 00:37:25,000
if you're looking to bet Pepio here, who Although I

721
00:37:25,119 --> 00:37:28,039
like Spence overall, I think he's better than what his

722
00:37:28,119 --> 00:37:30,920
number show. Pepio may only go three innings here, and

723
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,480
they may have a delay of some sort, so I

724
00:37:34,519 --> 00:37:37,559
cannot lay Tampa Bay at this number. They're currently about

725
00:37:37,559 --> 00:37:39,840
two ten. If I was to play this at all,

726
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:45,159
it would be the athletics and the A's hitting very well,

727
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:48,960
playing pretty well right now, they're playing much better on

728
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,559
the road than they do at home. We've seen that

729
00:37:51,639 --> 00:37:55,039
all season long, even from a hitting perspective, I don't

730
00:37:55,079 --> 00:37:56,880
know why they don't hit in their own ball park.

731
00:37:57,519 --> 00:38:01,960
Suffarrenos come out and just hate this ballpark. And I

732
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:04,840
think that if they hadn't given him so much money,

733
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:06,960
he would be on the trending block. But I don't

734
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:09,480
know anybody who's willing to pay that kind of price

735
00:38:09,559 --> 00:38:11,840
for Sava Reno, so they may be stuck with him.

736
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:15,480
But in this one right here, because of the rain

737
00:38:15,559 --> 00:38:20,760
and everything, lean with the athletics, but we don't know

738
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:22,119
what's going to happen, if it's going to be able

739
00:38:22,159 --> 00:38:23,280
to get fully played or not.

740
00:38:25,079 --> 00:38:27,719
Speaker 4: I don't really know how to approach this one because

741
00:38:29,639 --> 00:38:32,639
the Rays hit really well, but their bullpens performing poorly,

742
00:38:32,679 --> 00:38:35,639
which generally makes me lean to an over. But then

743
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:38,159
you look at the A's, who are not really hitting

744
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:40,960
very well and have a pretty good bullpen, at least

745
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:45,320
in current form. I got both of these pictures Spence.

746
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,880
I got him ranked nine on a curve of thirty,

747
00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:50,400
where I have Hippio rank eleven on a curve of thirty.

748
00:38:50,559 --> 00:38:54,880
So both pictures, Yeah, I mean, my first inclination would

749
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:58,639
be to lean to an over but at further look,

750
00:38:58,679 --> 00:39:03,320
I probably wouldn't play that Rays are a little bit

751
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,960
better team. It's just not enough for me to play aside.

752
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,239
So yeah, that's pretty much where I'm at. I'm kind

753
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:11,440
of grid locked on this one.

754
00:39:12,599 --> 00:39:13,599
Speaker 1: I agree with Chad.

755
00:39:14,159 --> 00:39:15,800
Speaker 2: He says, born and raised in South Florida, it's not

756
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:17,679
going to rain for more than fifteen minutes. Yeah, Like

757
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,039
my family's got a place in Hollandale Beach. It is

758
00:39:21,079 --> 00:39:24,000
like the worst rain for like fifteen twenty minutes and

759
00:39:24,039 --> 00:39:26,639
then it's ninety degrees and sunny out again. I always

760
00:39:26,679 --> 00:39:28,480
forget that we even have to deal with it with

761
00:39:28,639 --> 00:39:31,119
raised games. Not used to still not use to them

762
00:39:31,119 --> 00:39:34,960
playing outdoor. Another chat comment from the chat in or

763
00:39:35,039 --> 00:39:37,400
from Chad that I kind of agree with that the

764
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:39,440
ball does kind of fly out of there during the

765
00:39:39,559 --> 00:39:41,280
day at least, and that.

766
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:42,800
Speaker 1: Might be a little bit anecdotal for me.

767
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 2: I don't have like exact numbers in front of me,

768
00:39:45,039 --> 00:39:48,280
but there's been a couple of day games at steinbrin

769
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:50,280
Or Field this year where I just felt like pop

770
00:39:50,360 --> 00:39:53,480
ups were ending in the fifth row of right field

771
00:39:53,519 --> 00:39:56,000
seats right like it was like literal just balls that

772
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:59,360
I thought you had an outfield er camped under and

773
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:02,760
they left the ball. So that that's an interesting point

774
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,840
to bring up. I'll go back to the fact that

775
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:09,239
I think both bullpens have some usage. That nine over

776
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,880
at a discount minus one oh five, I think is

777
00:40:12,159 --> 00:40:15,880
a reasonable look here, because I don't see how there's

778
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:18,480
not scoring one to nine in this game. Like I

779
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:21,840
don't see any spot in this game, in any inning

780
00:40:22,159 --> 00:40:24,239
where the other team is just like a guarantee to

781
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:27,800
lock down their opponent. And with the nine flat you

782
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:30,119
get to four to four and at least you're you're

783
00:40:30,199 --> 00:40:30,960
kind of free rolling.

784
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,360
Speaker 1: So yeah, I lean over there. Gee hurt.

785
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:36,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I remember that one well because I lost in

786
00:40:36,519 --> 00:40:40,679
this game, the Hunter Brown game. He pop ups and

787
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:43,360
they were six rows deep. Yeah, I took a loss

788
00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:46,199
on that one when Hunter Brown, I literally thought it

789
00:40:46,199 --> 00:40:47,960
was a can of corn and it was in the

790
00:40:48,679 --> 00:40:51,119
fifth row of the outfield. So interesting stuff. That was

791
00:40:51,159 --> 00:40:54,159
a day game earlier this season at Steinbrenner Field.

792
00:40:55,119 --> 00:40:57,079
Speaker 1: All right, let's go.

793
00:40:57,119 --> 00:40:59,599
Speaker 2: We are at the final third of the show where

794
00:40:59,639 --> 00:41:02,280
cruise right along. I'm gonna go back in the chat

795
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:05,519
and grab Yeah, let's go Tokyo.

796
00:41:05,519 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 1: Brandon brought this one up.

797
00:41:06,559 --> 00:41:10,800
Speaker 2: Jay Dot says Guardians plus Money resident Guardian expert here,

798
00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:11,880
Brian Leonard.

799
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 1: Hit in this game last night. We're going back to

800
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,480
you Guardian's Cubs and.

801
00:41:16,559 --> 00:41:20,480
Speaker 3: Managa a lefty going against Cleveland, tenn or Biby. Anytime

802
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:25,880
you got a lefty going against Cleveland. They've struggled since

803
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:30,840
beginning of June. Cleveland is at sixty eight on the

804
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:36,360
WRC plus just better in San Francisco the Athletics, which

805
00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:40,320
you pointed out about a month ago, Trigg that they

806
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:43,719
were ended up struggling with versus lefties they have and

807
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:46,400
then the New York Mets in dead last of sixty two.

808
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,119
Cleveland is not. It's just not the last month either.

809
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:53,880
Cleveland just cannot hit lefties. They have two guys that

810
00:41:54,159 --> 00:41:57,440
Fry and the center fielder that they brought in to

811
00:41:57,559 --> 00:41:59,719
hit lefties. Neither one of them hit lefties this year.

812
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:04,800
So but yeah, we had that under yesterday in the

813
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,719
first or for the U for Cleveland, and that wouldn't

814
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:12,079
be a bad one once again here, but you know,

815
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:16,559
if you're looking at the Cleveland part, we have had

816
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:22,119
Bobby's pitch better as of late. He was playing more

817
00:42:22,159 --> 00:42:25,320
to contact earlier in the year. Now he's now that

818
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:29,400
he's getting settled in, he's getting more strikeouts lately. His

819
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:31,400
stat cat page has a lot of red on it.

820
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:33,960
He comes in with a three point nine oh e RA,

821
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,920
a three point five eight expected one point one eight whip.

822
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:40,480
He's been very good. His only drawback really is his

823
00:42:40,599 --> 00:42:43,079
chaser eight. He can't get people to chase. He's in

824
00:42:43,119 --> 00:42:46,760
the tenth percentile in that in that run. The good

825
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:49,480
thing is but he's got a lot of pitches to throw.

826
00:42:49,679 --> 00:42:53,199
He throws his for seam excuse me, the most, but

827
00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:56,400
it's only twenty eight percent. So he's got six pitches

828
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:59,679
and he's using some of his other pitches more lately,

829
00:43:00,039 --> 00:43:04,519
and he's having more success in that regard. Taking a

830
00:43:04,519 --> 00:43:06,679
look at the Cubs that got in Monaga out there,

831
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:11,440
and he's he's a lefty in his second season. Comes

832
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:13,320
in with a two point five to four ARRA, but

833
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:17,320
is expected the RA four point three to two. His

834
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,480
whip is one point oh three. Last year, I only

835
00:43:20,519 --> 00:43:23,599
walked four percent of the batters. This year's up to

836
00:43:23,639 --> 00:43:26,679
seven point six still better than average, but he is

837
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:28,880
a flyball pitcher. He's only in the third percent tile

838
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:33,320
on ground ball right fastball velocity ten percentile. So when

839
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,760
I take a look at this game, I don't want

840
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:40,639
Cleveland because they can't hit lefties. So I'm either playing

841
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:46,880
Cleveland team total under. Both bullpens will be available here

842
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:48,760
and there. They're all should be in pretty good shape

843
00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:52,880
here Cleveland, since they haven't been winning, they haven't been

844
00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:55,519
using their best pitchers in the back of the bullpen.

845
00:43:56,159 --> 00:43:58,760
They're to the point now right now that they need

846
00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:00,840
to get those guys in the game. They need to

847
00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:02,679
get them in even if it's even if they're not

848
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,559
winning the game. So in the second half of the game,

849
00:44:05,679 --> 00:44:08,199
I think Cleveland's bullpen is going to be a big

850
00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:13,360
help to holding down Chicago. So therefore, instead of just

851
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:16,519
playing Cleveland under, I'm looking to play the whole game under.

852
00:44:17,519 --> 00:44:19,599
It opened seven and a half to the over. It

853
00:44:19,639 --> 00:44:21,639
was bet up to eight to the over. Right now

854
00:44:21,639 --> 00:44:25,800
we're looking eight over fifteen. I would play the under. There,

855
00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:28,079
I would play the under eight. It may be minus

856
00:44:28,079 --> 00:44:30,880
one oh five. I think that's a pretty good bet

857
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:33,039
because Bobby is pitching better than he has. He did

858
00:44:33,079 --> 00:44:36,360
have one bet outing lately, but overall, I've watched all

859
00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:40,400
of his starts and he's pitching much better. And him

860
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:42,800
and Iagoa being a lefty that Cleveland doesn't see very

861
00:44:42,840 --> 00:44:45,760
often being in the National League, obviously they're going to

862
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,679
struggle with him. So give me that game. Under will

863
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:52,280
not be my best bet on the show, but it's

864
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:53,480
something I'm taking a look at.

865
00:44:56,199 --> 00:44:59,280
Speaker 4: Guys. I went four and one in MLB yesterday, up

866
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:02,599
eighty six units on the year. I have an MLB

867
00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:05,199
feature play. You can get it at the scroll thing

868
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:08,199
down there. Brian's page down there, Adam's page down there.

869
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:12,320
We are wonderful baseball cappers, so give us some love

870
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:14,880
and check out our page. Also, please go to the

871
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:18,119
replay and leave a comment and like it. We would

872
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:23,320
extremely appreciate your generosity in giving us those five seconds

873
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:26,480
of your time about this game. I'm gonna make this

874
00:45:26,559 --> 00:45:28,840
my parley leg I like the Cubs on the money

875
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:33,599
line Cleveland. I have them ranked twenty nine out of

876
00:45:33,639 --> 00:45:36,599
thirty and hitting they can't hit lefties. Brian says, they

877
00:45:36,599 --> 00:45:42,960
can't hit anything right now, including lefties. Imanaga is kind

878
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:44,719
of the X factor, but I don't think he's much

879
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:47,199
of an X factor because I've seen him in Japan.

880
00:45:48,119 --> 00:45:51,519
He did miss some time in Japan as well, and

881
00:45:51,599 --> 00:45:54,400
every time he came back he was just fine. He's

882
00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:57,280
one of those guys. He's just so durable, he's just

883
00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:02,239
so reliable. He never was flashy. He never was one

884
00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:04,880
of those guys like Darvish who just overpowers people and

885
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:08,519
strikes out thirteen guys. But he holds things down really well.

886
00:46:08,679 --> 00:46:12,039
Mister reliable. I like him. I have him ranked slightly

887
00:46:12,119 --> 00:46:17,599
higher than bb here or Biby. Bibby does walk fewer people.

888
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,199
His walk ratio is a little bit better than Ema Naga's,

889
00:46:20,199 --> 00:46:23,079
but I have Imanaga ranked slightly higher. I have him

890
00:46:23,079 --> 00:46:25,840
both ranked pretty close to each other, though, in the

891
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:32,119
top one third of starting pitchers. I you know, I

892
00:46:32,199 --> 00:46:35,679
updated my numbers today and the Guardians are the only

893
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:39,119
team in Major League Baseball who rank twenty fifth or

894
00:46:39,159 --> 00:46:43,000
worse in batting and bullpen at the same time in

895
00:46:43,079 --> 00:46:45,800
all of Major League Baseball right now. According to my rankings.

896
00:46:45,840 --> 00:46:49,719
These are not you know, these are my rankings. But yeah,

897
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:51,880
give me the Cubs all day here. I think Imanaga

898
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:55,639
can hold it down for at least going into the

899
00:46:55,639 --> 00:46:59,760
sixth inning. I have him at sixteen point six outs recorded,

900
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:02,880
which means he should go into the sixth inning. Maybe

901
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:05,639
one or two outs in the sixth inning. Looks good

902
00:47:05,639 --> 00:47:09,000
to me. Cubs bullpen is holding things down to have

903
00:47:09,039 --> 00:47:12,880
them ranked twelve. So I don't see any reason why

904
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,400
the Cubs can't win this game. I don't know what

905
00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:17,039
the odds are for that though, Brian, what do you

906
00:47:17,039 --> 00:47:18,199
have for fair odds.

907
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:19,920
Speaker 3: On the Cubs minus one fifty five?

908
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:22,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, Oh, that's a play. That's cool.

909
00:47:23,599 --> 00:47:24,920
Speaker 1: That's what I have as well.

910
00:47:25,039 --> 00:47:29,119
Speaker 2: I'm in agreement when I you know, you have to

911
00:47:29,159 --> 00:47:31,119
put the Dodgers at one if I feel like, if

912
00:47:31,159 --> 00:47:34,320
you're power rating National League teams, you have to put

913
00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:35,719
the Dodgers at one right now.

914
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:38,840
Speaker 1: It just it is what it is.

915
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,639
Speaker 2: That being said, when you look at the whole league, like,

916
00:47:42,039 --> 00:47:44,159
I think Cubs would be my number two team from

917
00:47:44,159 --> 00:47:46,599
a power rating standpoint, and I do think that they

918
00:47:46,679 --> 00:47:49,639
kind of get maybe lost in the shovel a little bit,

919
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:52,320
especially because up until two weeks ago, you still had

920
00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:53,960
the Mets up. You know you have You've had to

921
00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:57,079
downgrade the Mets after the last couple of weeks. I

922
00:47:57,119 --> 00:47:59,719
still think the Cubs fly under the radar. Just a

923
00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:02,639
little bit with with just how good this team is.

924
00:48:03,079 --> 00:48:04,199
Speaker 1: Minus one fifty five.

925
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:06,679
Speaker 2: Very fair in my opinion for the Cubs at home,

926
00:48:07,199 --> 00:48:09,079
I don't like this Guardian's team one bit. I think

927
00:48:09,079 --> 00:48:11,639
they're a bad baseball team. They don't hit, they don't

928
00:48:11,639 --> 00:48:14,199
have the pitching they did last year. So TV, I

929
00:48:14,199 --> 00:48:16,639
have nothing else to add. I think that's a very

930
00:48:16,639 --> 00:48:17,159
good call.

931
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 4: And I just have one thing to add when you're doing.

932
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:23,400
Speaker 1: So, I have nothing else. Cubs are just.

933
00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:26,519
Speaker 4: One thing to add as we're trashing the Guardians. Sorry, Brian,

934
00:48:27,119 --> 00:48:27,679
that's all I have.

935
00:48:30,079 --> 00:48:32,679
Speaker 3: The first one very lucky the last few years.

936
00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:35,320
Speaker 1: He came in.

937
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:37,800
Speaker 2: He came into the season saying that their their bullpen

938
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:39,880
was shot, and he's been one hundred percent right about that.

939
00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:43,079
Speaker 4: So yeah they are. And actually they came into the

940
00:48:43,119 --> 00:48:46,559
season ranked like top three bullpen, right, so that's pretty surprising.

941
00:48:46,559 --> 00:48:47,679
They're playing so bad.

942
00:48:47,639 --> 00:48:52,599
Speaker 3: The bullpen is so it's it's every year, it's different.

943
00:48:52,639 --> 00:48:55,039
It all depends. Like for one of the reasons why

944
00:48:55,039 --> 00:48:57,719
their bullpen numbers are bad is because they're not taking

945
00:48:57,800 --> 00:48:59,639
leads and laid into the game, so they can't use

946
00:48:59,679 --> 00:49:03,519
their best bullpen arms.

947
00:49:03,679 --> 00:49:09,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, all right, let's keep it going. I want

948
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:12,559
to go to this game because our friend Kaz in

949
00:49:12,599 --> 00:49:14,920
the chat has asked about it. I may actually have

950
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:17,679
a parlay leg here and it's another early game, and

951
00:49:17,719 --> 00:49:19,360
I know you guys want to talk some of the

952
00:49:19,360 --> 00:49:21,159
games that are going to start in a couple hours.

953
00:49:21,199 --> 00:49:24,280
So Cardinals, Pirates, don't look.

954
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:26,440
Speaker 1: Now. The other team that's starting to play good ball

955
00:49:26,519 --> 00:49:28,079
is the Pittsburgh Pirates. Brian Leonard.

956
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:30,599
Speaker 2: I don't know if they it's going to take a

957
00:49:30,639 --> 00:49:32,639
while for them to get back into any sort of

958
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:35,760
you know, get back in the mix. But hey, they've

959
00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:39,280
played much better and they've got some really good pitchings.

960
00:49:39,280 --> 00:49:41,880
Speaker 1: So who knows. Pirates, Cardinals, how you seeing this one?

961
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:44,679
Speaker 3: Yeah? I mentioned about a week or two ago how

962
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:47,719
they were fifteen and fifteen. I believe since the coaching change,

963
00:49:48,119 --> 00:49:50,039
a manager change, they've got to be better than that.

964
00:49:50,159 --> 00:49:50,400
Speaker 4: Now.

965
00:49:51,119 --> 00:49:55,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're playing really good ball. If you are a

966
00:49:55,559 --> 00:49:59,360
guy who refuses to play underdogs, you're loosing on on

967
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:03,360
a lot of money. With Miami and Pittsburgh lately, Sonny

968
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:07,880
Gray going for Saint Louis. He is the best non

969
00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:10,920
skeens pitcher in the for either one of these teams.

970
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:15,079
He's been very good. Line's about one twenty uh total

971
00:50:15,159 --> 00:50:17,840
is about eight to the under twenty or seven to

972
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:21,800
the over twenty, whichever you prefer. But Sonny Gray's got

973
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:24,559
a lot of red on his statcass Page comes in

974
00:50:24,599 --> 00:50:27,039
with a three point three six c RA three point

975
00:50:27,079 --> 00:50:30,920
six to one expected one point zho nine whip. His

976
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:36,000
fastball velocity is only in the sixteenth percentile, but he's got,

977
00:50:36,239 --> 00:50:40,119
you know, seven pitches he throws, and he slider is

978
00:50:40,159 --> 00:50:41,760
only one percent of the time, but it's changed up

979
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:44,320
eight percent, So he's got anywhere from eight percent to

980
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:47,840
twenty one percent on any pitch out of six pitches.

981
00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:50,440
So I love that. I love the veteran pitcher, especially

982
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,239
against a young team like Pittsburgh that if you watch

983
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:58,320
Pittsburgh bat against guys with breaking pitches, they look really

984
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:01,880
bad sometimes. And that's the situation we'll be in today.

985
00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:06,119
Mitch Keller inning Xeter comes in with a three point

986
00:51:06,199 --> 00:51:09,320
nine ORA three point ninety five expected one point two

987
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:13,400
two whip. Pretty decent, but he's not getting people to

988
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:16,400
swing and miss. His withif rages in the twelve percent

989
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:21,639
suspective batting average in the eighteenth percent strikeout percent twenty fourth,

990
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:24,320
So his strike out to Walker a show is only

991
00:51:24,639 --> 00:51:27,760
twelve point five at a little less than what we

992
00:51:27,800 --> 00:51:31,280
would like. But still Pittsburgh's playing very well right now.

993
00:51:31,559 --> 00:51:34,079
I think because of the way Pittsburgh's playing right now,

994
00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:37,000
I'm finding a little bit of value here on Saint Louis.

995
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:39,440
We've got the age of the Saint Louis staff against

996
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:42,400
a young team, a young hitting team. I would prefer

997
00:51:42,519 --> 00:51:46,719
Gray in this game over Pittsburgh, and in Pittsburgh has

998
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:49,039
always been the team for me when growing up as

999
00:51:49,079 --> 00:51:51,960
a little kid in Cleveland, I needed to pick a

1000
00:51:52,039 --> 00:51:55,000
National League team. Pittsburgh's close to Cleveland, I've always urd

1001
00:51:55,039 --> 00:51:58,440
it for the Pirates. But I think the line favored

1002
00:51:58,480 --> 00:51:59,840
Saint Louis a little bit in this game.

1003
00:52:01,599 --> 00:52:04,559
Speaker 4: Yeah, looking at these two teams, I have him almost deadlocked.

1004
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:08,320
Every point I make, there's a counterpoint for the other team.

1005
00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:11,760
I see a little bit of a discrepancy between Sonny

1006
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:14,800
Gray and Mitch Keller. Like Brian said, Mitch Keller innings eater.

1007
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:19,119
Sonny Gray is just solid as heck. His road stat's

1008
00:52:19,199 --> 00:52:21,320
not as good as his homestats, but it's not that

1009
00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:24,840
much of a worry. Historically, he's pretty good against these

1010
00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:29,360
batters and he's eight and two. Can't argue with that.

1011
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:32,440
I agree. We've talked before that wins don't really mean

1012
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:34,760
a lot. But when you're eight and too, you're a

1013
00:52:34,760 --> 00:52:36,880
pretty good pitcher. I mean you can't. You can't become

1014
00:52:36,880 --> 00:52:40,320
eight and two without being good. And to prove the

1015
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:42,920
point that wins don't matter, Mitch Keller's two and ten

1016
00:52:43,039 --> 00:52:45,679
and he's not a two in ten pitcher. It just

1017
00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:50,280
shows that when wins, win records, win loss record really

1018
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:53,159
doesn't matter when you're when you're grading a starting pitcher,

1019
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:56,519
unless he's eight and two, then you can say, wow,

1020
00:52:56,679 --> 00:52:59,400
I mean he earned those eight wins, you know, but

1021
00:52:59,599 --> 00:53:02,360
yes you could. You can be a terrible pitcher and

1022
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:04,559
have the Dodgers line up behind you and be eight

1023
00:53:04,599 --> 00:53:07,840
and two. It's very true. So how do I break

1024
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:14,159
this down? Batting wise? Unbelievably, the Pirates are batting like

1025
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:17,639
number two in Major League Baseball in current form, where

1026
00:53:17,679 --> 00:53:22,800
the Cardinals are pretty toiling in mediocrity. But both bullpens

1027
00:53:23,639 --> 00:53:30,480
extremely solid, and Sonny Gray is extremely solid. I mean,

1028
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:32,920
I think the only way you could go in this

1029
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:36,320
is an under because both bullpens are so good right now.

1030
00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:40,719
And yes, the Pirates hitting is a little bit scary.

1031
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:42,960
But do we really think the Pirates are the second

1032
00:53:43,000 --> 00:53:46,679
best offense in MLB? I don't think so current form

1033
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:48,880
they are, but I think Sunny Gray can stop them

1034
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:51,039
a little bit, so under would be the only way

1035
00:53:51,039 --> 00:53:51,840
I would go here.

1036
00:53:52,320 --> 00:53:54,280
Speaker 3: By the way, when's lost with games is four and

1037
00:53:54,360 --> 00:53:55,639
seven on the season, you tell me.

1038
00:53:55,760 --> 00:54:01,199
Speaker 4: Exactly exactly, it doesn't mean and keller Is is two

1039
00:54:01,239 --> 00:54:03,320
and ten. He's not that bad.

1040
00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:09,679
Speaker 2: So I was sort of ready to make a case

1041
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:11,800
for the Pirates and look toward the plus one and

1042
00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:15,000
a half. This Pirates just took a considerable amount of money,

1043
00:54:15,039 --> 00:54:17,320
at least since I sort of jotted lines down before

1044
00:54:17,360 --> 00:54:21,239
the show. So Brian pointed out the value on the Cardinals.

1045
00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:25,360
He's right, because that was like I think the the Pirates.

1046
00:54:25,360 --> 00:54:27,960
Someone bet the Pirates to knock that down at least

1047
00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:29,039
from what it was earlier.

1048
00:54:29,840 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 1: I really they've been playing really good ball. I don't

1049
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:35,159
want to go against him.

1050
00:54:35,199 --> 00:54:38,079
Speaker 2: I have no interest in the Pirates at this price,

1051
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:40,119
and there's no value in the plus one and a half,

1052
00:54:40,159 --> 00:54:42,400
So I'm gonna give out my parlay league here. In

1053
00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:45,079
a different game, and then we can kind of talk

1054
00:54:45,079 --> 00:54:47,239
about this game, but I'm not gonna go into it

1055
00:54:47,360 --> 00:54:51,039
crazy because it's gonna be the Detroit Tigers in game

1056
00:54:51,119 --> 00:54:54,239
one of the doubleheader. We broke this game down yesterday.

1057
00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:58,039
I talked about liking the Tigers yesterday in that matchup.

1058
00:54:58,280 --> 00:54:59,800
Now it looks like the Tigers are going to go

1059
00:54:59,880 --> 00:55:03,920
with like the whole in opener, tight bullpen game, and

1060
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:07,039
I'm pretty much fine with whatever they're gonna do because

1061
00:55:07,039 --> 00:55:09,360
they've got all their bullpen they can use just about

1062
00:55:09,400 --> 00:55:12,440
a j Hinch will do pretty much whatever he wants

1063
00:55:12,480 --> 00:55:14,119
to do to win the game in game one because

1064
00:55:14,119 --> 00:55:15,880
he knows he's got flarity in Game two.

1065
00:55:16,119 --> 00:55:18,760
Speaker 1: He knows that he's probably gonna let Flerity go six

1066
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:19,400
in Game two.

1067
00:55:19,760 --> 00:55:22,360
Speaker 2: So I think you see Hinch really mix and match

1068
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:25,679
if he needs to, Brian Leonard, he might not need to,

1069
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:28,559
because I wouldn't be surprised if the Tigers put a

1070
00:55:28,559 --> 00:55:32,079
crooked number on Trevor Williams at some point. So Tiger's

1071
00:55:32,119 --> 00:55:35,159
money line Game one is my parlay leg and I'll

1072
00:55:35,199 --> 00:55:37,639
throw it to you guys anything in this double header

1073
00:55:37,679 --> 00:55:39,360
in either game Game one or Game two.

1074
00:55:40,280 --> 00:55:44,000
Speaker 3: Ree Salston is back he may be following. They haven't

1075
00:55:44,039 --> 00:55:47,400
announced anything that I've seen. We've got Tigers fans in

1076
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:51,000
the chat. Maybe they've seen something. But he's gonna be available,

1077
00:55:51,199 --> 00:55:53,880
and I really like him. He's a great pitcher. So

1078
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,519
let me give you the current number on that. This

1079
00:55:57,559 --> 00:55:59,480
would be a Detroit first game of the double header.

1080
00:55:59,519 --> 00:56:03,159
Holton the Williams basically minus won fifty across the board.

1081
00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:04,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love that.

1082
00:56:04,599 --> 00:56:07,199
Speaker 2: And Olsen. So here's the thing. It probably will be Olsen.

1083
00:56:07,280 --> 00:56:10,440
He's Olson's pitched for a while at Toledo and they

1084
00:56:10,599 --> 00:56:13,519
used Kiedro. Montero made the start for the mud Heads

1085
00:56:13,599 --> 00:56:16,079
last night, so it's not gonna be Montero. If it's

1086
00:56:16,119 --> 00:56:18,800
Alsin's turn to pitch at Toledo, it's probably gonna be

1087
00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:21,239
Olsen in a in a bulk roll.

1088
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:23,800
Speaker 1: So that's actually, that's actually very appealing.

1089
00:56:23,880 --> 00:56:28,719
Speaker 2: Holtand Olson better bullpen arms under those circumstances. I think

1090
00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:30,800
the Tigers should be closer to a two dollars favorite

1091
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:33,199
in that first game. So minus one fifty sounds great.

1092
00:56:33,239 --> 00:56:35,760
We'll go Tiger's game one as the parlay lake.

1093
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:40,280
Speaker 4: I normally have an opinion on this game.

1094
00:56:40,159 --> 00:56:41,400
Speaker 1: So that's all right.

1095
00:56:41,440 --> 00:56:43,519
Speaker 2: I want to go to Brian Leonard because we've only

1096
00:56:43,519 --> 00:56:45,440
got about four minutes left and he needs to close

1097
00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:46,239
out this parlay.

1098
00:56:46,280 --> 00:56:48,000
Speaker 1: So do you know what you want to put in this?

1099
00:56:48,079 --> 00:56:48,800
For the part?

1100
00:56:48,880 --> 00:56:50,960
Speaker 3: I do know I'm gonna do slightly different on one

1101
00:56:51,000 --> 00:56:54,079
of the games that I said I liked earlier. I'm

1102
00:56:54,079 --> 00:56:56,039
gonna take a look at that Miami game where I

1103
00:56:56,039 --> 00:56:59,719
originally said the over eight. I'm gonna play the first

1104
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:02,519
half over four and a half at minus one twenty five.

1105
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:05,039
I looked at the bullpens for both the teams, and

1106
00:57:05,079 --> 00:57:08,320
they both have especially the Twins have a very good bullpen.

1107
00:57:09,119 --> 00:57:11,360
They're all available tonight, so I don't want to get

1108
00:57:11,599 --> 00:57:13,440
where they got five or six runs in the first

1109
00:57:13,440 --> 00:57:15,800
five innings and then all of a sudden the bullpens

1110
00:57:15,840 --> 00:57:18,199
come in. So let me play the over four and

1111
00:57:18,239 --> 00:57:20,719
a half in the first five at minus one twenty five.

1112
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,320
So we've got we're eating some talk again today. It

1113
00:57:23,360 --> 00:57:26,599
worked out for us yesterday we got that parlay win.

1114
00:57:26,960 --> 00:57:28,480
Let's see if we can get another one today.

1115
00:57:30,320 --> 00:57:32,400
Speaker 1: I'll go back to you, Tokyo, Brandon.

1116
00:57:32,440 --> 00:57:36,480
Speaker 2: As I calculate the parlay Tigers Nationals Game two of

1117
00:57:36,480 --> 00:57:39,599
that doubleheader is a pretty well known pitching matchup, so

1118
00:57:39,639 --> 00:57:42,639
it's like not much to not much guesswork. It's gonna

1119
00:57:42,639 --> 00:57:46,639
be Jack Flarity against Mackenzie Gore. Anything you'd look at

1120
00:57:46,719 --> 00:57:49,519
to potentially get involved. Tiger's Nationals Game two.

1121
00:57:50,320 --> 00:57:54,239
Speaker 4: So I'm not sure if I'll get involved yet. But

1122
00:57:54,400 --> 00:57:57,760
I have Gore ranked quite a bit higher than Flarity.

1123
00:57:59,320 --> 00:58:03,000
But I have have the Tigers bullpen ranked way higher

1124
00:58:03,039 --> 00:58:06,400
than Washington, and I have both lineups ranked number six

1125
00:58:06,519 --> 00:58:14,559
in current form, so good hitting one bad bullpen. Gore,

1126
00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:17,440
where do I have him ranked? I think I have

1127
00:58:17,519 --> 00:58:20,599
him ranked like seven out of all out of all

1128
00:58:20,599 --> 00:58:23,199
the pictures right now. Let me find where I have

1129
00:58:23,280 --> 00:58:26,280
that Gore. Yeah, I have Gore ranked number nine out

1130
00:58:26,320 --> 00:58:28,719
of all the major league pictures right now are starters,

1131
00:58:29,239 --> 00:58:34,360
so he's on fire. Flarity, Uh, I just I don't

1132
00:58:34,400 --> 00:58:36,639
like Flarity, just because now I'm not saying he's a

1133
00:58:36,639 --> 00:58:39,159
bad picture. But every time I back him, I lose.

1134
00:58:39,280 --> 00:58:43,280
Every time I go against him, I lose, So I

1135
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:45,400
probably won't take that. He's one. You know, when you

1136
00:58:45,559 --> 00:58:48,840
when you sports bet thousands of bets a year, you

1137
00:58:48,880 --> 00:58:52,199
get these guys that you just hate to bet their games.

1138
00:58:52,199 --> 00:58:53,239
And Flarity is my guy.

1139
00:58:53,400 --> 00:58:56,320
Speaker 2: So to ask you guys, let me ask you guys,

1140
00:58:56,320 --> 00:58:59,760
called the question because you made a really good point, Flarity,

1141
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:03,159
And especially depending on how the game the first game goes,

1142
00:59:03,880 --> 00:59:06,119
he might be asked to go out there and and

1143
00:59:06,119 --> 00:59:08,280
and give six, and Hinch might leave him out there

1144
00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:10,280
even if he doesn't have his best stuff. Is there

1145
00:59:10,320 --> 00:59:13,239
any like does that lead you to get involved in

1146
00:59:13,559 --> 00:59:14,760
any way in any market?

1147
00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:15,840
Speaker 1: We'll go to Brian first.

1148
00:59:15,960 --> 00:59:21,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, Flarry on the road home road economy is major.

1149
00:59:21,719 --> 00:59:23,559
It's been that way for a few years now. He's

1150
00:59:23,639 --> 00:59:26,639
very good pitching in Detroit, which is a good pitcher's ballpark, wah,

1151
00:59:26,679 --> 00:59:30,039
it is more of a good hitters ballpark. So I'm

1152
00:59:30,079 --> 00:59:32,800
lucky to go against Flerity a little bit and Gore

1153
00:59:32,920 --> 00:59:34,880
being a lefty. And as much as I like Gore,

1154
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:37,360
Detroit is the number one team in the last month

1155
00:59:37,760 --> 00:59:41,639
with the WRC plus of one for hitting against lefties,

1156
00:59:41,719 --> 00:59:45,679
so they've been raking against lefties as of late. So

1157
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:48,679
I kind of like the over. It's you can get

1158
00:59:48,719 --> 00:59:52,440
an eight over minus one fifteen. That's pretty much around there,

1159
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:56,159
So obviously you have to take a look at So

1160
00:59:56,320 --> 00:59:58,280
I'm in no hurry to play it you got because

1161
00:59:58,280 --> 01:00:00,559
you got to take a look who's available. But if

1162
01:00:00,599 --> 01:00:03,320
they use some key bullpont arms, that it's not going

1163
01:00:03,400 --> 01:00:06,840
to stay. So if it gets late in that game

1164
01:00:06,840 --> 01:00:09,280
and they're starting to use their best ballpont arms, you

1165
01:00:09,360 --> 01:00:11,440
know you can bet the over in the second game

1166
01:00:11,480 --> 01:00:13,360
and get a little bit of value because I'm sure

1167
01:00:13,360 --> 01:00:14,000
it'll go up.

1168
01:00:15,800 --> 01:00:16,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's a.

1169
01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:19,960
Speaker 4: Lot on It depends on how game one goes. So yeah, well.

1170
01:00:19,840 --> 01:00:21,480
Speaker 2: And I was just going to point out that's another

1171
01:00:21,559 --> 01:00:24,199
it looks like that's another day night doubleheader. So they're

1172
01:00:24,199 --> 01:00:26,920
going to play the game, clear out the ballpark and

1173
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:29,000
then bring them back in. So you're gonna have time,

1174
01:00:29,320 --> 01:00:33,360
probably a couple hours between games to to kind of

1175
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:35,840
decide if you if you want to do that or not.

1176
01:00:36,039 --> 01:00:38,320
Speaker 4: One spot where you can take advantage of the Washington

1177
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:41,199
Nationals is the books don't like them, but they hit

1178
01:00:41,360 --> 01:00:44,280
really well. They got a lot of young young guys

1179
01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:47,840
who can swap the ball really good. They got base steelers. Uh,

1180
01:00:47,880 --> 01:00:50,840
this team can make can produce runs, and the books

1181
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:53,039
don't like them, So you can take advantage. If you

1182
01:00:53,039 --> 01:00:55,360
ever see a Washington team total three and a half,

1183
01:00:55,639 --> 01:00:59,039
you can take advantage of that on the OVERKZ.

1184
01:00:59,159 --> 01:01:01,639
Speaker 1: No energy dre for me anymore. I gave them up.

1185
01:01:01,679 --> 01:01:05,039
Speaker 2: This is a low calorie sweet tea right here that

1186
01:01:05,079 --> 01:01:07,800
I'm drinking with very minimal caffeine.

1187
01:01:07,840 --> 01:01:10,079
Speaker 1: So it's my version.

1188
01:01:10,400 --> 01:01:13,800
Speaker 2: It's like my version of the smoking patch for a

1189
01:01:13,800 --> 01:01:17,159
caffeine addict pretty much, because you know, I still got

1190
01:01:17,199 --> 01:01:20,800
to have something, but uh yeah, no, no more energy

1191
01:01:20,880 --> 01:01:21,360
drinks for me.

1192
01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:21,760
Speaker 1: I was.

1193
01:01:21,920 --> 01:01:24,519
Speaker 2: I was doing like six hundred milligrams of caffeine a

1194
01:01:24,599 --> 01:01:28,039
day at one point, trying you know, I turned thirty

1195
01:01:28,119 --> 01:01:31,239
nine today. We're trying to make it another you know,

1196
01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:34,079
another forty years. So I had to had to chill

1197
01:01:34,079 --> 01:01:36,559
out on the uh on the caffeine.

1198
01:01:36,639 --> 01:01:37,079
Speaker 1: Gee hurt.

1199
01:01:37,079 --> 01:01:39,639
Speaker 2: No, the caffeine and the coffee is fine. I don't

1200
01:01:39,639 --> 01:01:41,639
I don't go DCAF coffee. I just don't want to

1201
01:01:41,679 --> 01:01:44,960
see like you don't want to see Adam hopped up

1202
01:01:44,960 --> 01:01:47,960
on caffeine. No, I just gave up the two hundred

1203
01:01:48,039 --> 01:01:51,079
milligram of pop like ghost energy drinks.

1204
01:01:51,119 --> 01:01:52,000
Speaker 1: How to give those up?

1205
01:01:52,119 --> 01:01:55,960
Speaker 3: So happy birthday? A good president would be a three

1206
01:01:56,039 --> 01:01:58,760
taine parlay for the second day in a row. Here.

1207
01:01:59,079 --> 01:01:59,880
That's how we can get that.

1208
01:02:00,000 --> 01:02:03,360
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, it would be a great present, and yeah,

1209
01:02:03,400 --> 01:02:05,880
that would be It would be a great way to

1210
01:02:05,880 --> 01:02:10,440
cap off the birthday with another parlay win we won yesterday.

1211
01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:12,320
If anyone missed the show, our three team er hit

1212
01:02:12,400 --> 01:02:17,119
yesterday and uh before I sign off fourth of July

1213
01:02:17,199 --> 01:02:19,880
special up on everyone's page seven day all access go

1214
01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:20,599
check that out.

1215
01:02:20,880 --> 01:02:23,039
Speaker 1: Give us those likes and subscribes. That's what I want

1216
01:02:23,039 --> 01:02:23,639
for my birthday.

1217
01:02:23,760 --> 01:02:26,599
Speaker 2: Likes and subscribes on this show and on the wager

1218
01:02:26,679 --> 01:02:31,440
Talk YouTube channel. So we appreciate it. Comment on the

1219
01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:36,559
appreciate that and the parlay without further ado a lot

1220
01:02:36,599 --> 01:02:38,960
of debt. I think we're in action during the day

1221
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:42,480
in most of these, uh, I am going with Tiger's

1222
01:02:42,800 --> 01:02:45,639
Game one on the moneyline minus one fifty.

1223
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:49,400
Speaker 1: We've got Brian Leonard with Twins Marlin's.

1224
01:02:49,079 --> 01:02:51,840
Speaker 2: First five over four and a half, it's minus one

1225
01:02:51,880 --> 01:02:54,920
twenty five, and then Tokyo Brandon has the Cubs, so

1226
01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:58,199
two full game money lines. Tiger's Game one money line,

1227
01:02:58,280 --> 01:03:00,840
Cubs money line, and then Brian Leonard with a first

1228
01:03:00,960 --> 01:03:04,360
five over four and a half in the Marlins Twins

1229
01:03:04,440 --> 01:03:07,840
game that comes out to plus three ninety three and

1230
01:03:07,960 --> 01:03:11,719
hopefully comes out to another winner for US programming.

1231
01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:12,239
Speaker 1: Noe.

1232
01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:15,000
Speaker 2: We will be here on Friday, fourth of July. We

1233
01:03:15,039 --> 01:03:18,760
will have a fourth of July show, so put that

1234
01:03:18,800 --> 01:03:20,519
in your schedules if you guys have the day off,

1235
01:03:20,519 --> 01:03:22,519
we're going to be here for our normal hour and

1236
01:03:22,559 --> 01:03:25,880
then of course back tomorrow nine am Eastern for another

1237
01:03:26,199 --> 01:03:26,800
total basis.

1238
01:03:26,840 --> 01:03:28,400
Speaker 1: Brian, did you have something you wanted to add there?

1239
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:31,239
Speaker 3: I just wanted to thank Jesse Shul for being in

1240
01:03:31,280 --> 01:03:34,519
the chat. He's been active in the chat today. Another

1241
01:03:34,760 --> 01:03:37,800
one of the really good handicappers over it over a

1242
01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:42,039
wager talk. That's the one thing about this show. We've

1243
01:03:42,079 --> 01:03:44,599
had a lot of the other handicappers pop in. A

1244
01:03:44,599 --> 01:03:46,119
lot of us just don't have the time to watch

1245
01:03:46,119 --> 01:03:48,960
other shows. They take the time to watch us because

1246
01:03:49,000 --> 01:03:52,440
they say they're learning something. And if these guys have

1247
01:03:52,440 --> 01:03:56,039
been around for as long as Jesse and some others Andy,

1248
01:03:56,360 --> 01:03:58,639
they come in and they watch a show, it really

1249
01:03:58,639 --> 01:04:01,159
helps them in a mex Us feel good because we're

1250
01:04:01,159 --> 01:04:03,320
a team effort. Even though we talk about ourselves a

1251
01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:05,480
lot on the show, we're a team effort. For why

1252
01:04:05,559 --> 01:04:08,360
you're talking, and we'd love everybody to have a lot

1253
01:04:08,360 --> 01:04:09,599
of success on the site.

1254
01:04:11,079 --> 01:04:13,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, shout out to Jesse Carmine comes in every once

1255
01:04:13,639 --> 01:04:15,679
in a while. Andy Laying, who I know, is like

1256
01:04:15,719 --> 01:04:17,880
busy as hell, so the fact that he's like popping

1257
01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:21,800
in is awesome. Appreciate all of you guys and over

1258
01:04:22,480 --> 01:04:26,599
eleven hundred live viewers on Twitter, which is fantastic as well.

1259
01:04:27,199 --> 01:04:29,960
Appreciate you guys, and we will be back tomorrow morning,

1260
01:04:30,119 --> 01:04:31,639
nine am for another total basis.

1261
01:04:31,679 --> 01:04:32,599
Speaker 1: Have a great day everyone,