Speaker 1: NHL Best Bets for Thursday, March the fifth. Guys, welcome
to Puck Time Wager Talk TV, myself, Andrew McGinnis, Carmin
and Bianco Lawrence Pressman. We got a big slate to
break down, as mentioned on yesterday's show. We'll do a
little bit of a Q and A at the end
of the show. We got a handful of games to
break down, Carmin, and we'll tell you guys what those
games are.
Speaker 2: As far as this.
Speaker 1: Today for me a one in one day. We did
hit the bigger play though, so that was nice to have.
Shout out to Vancouver UH doing what they do, being
bad giving up goals.
Speaker 2: Carmine.
Speaker 1: I was very happy to finally better late than ever,
to hop on the vandwagon and just started fading this
Canucks team Carolina minus one and a half.
Speaker 2: Rare, rare puck line play for me.
Speaker 1: And then I had the Islanders in ducks game over
six and a half and I'll tell you three to one,
you know, with like twenty five minutes into the game,
it looked pretty good, but you and.
Speaker 2: I always talk about it.
Speaker 1: The dreaded four to one score line is never really
a good thing for us, So that one goes under
one in one night for me. We move on to
today and it's a big five percent play going tonight
in NHL karm Good morning, brother, how are you all right?
Speaker 3: You got one locked and loaded.
Speaker 4: That's good to year uh one in one four percent winner,
three percent loser. The Seattle Kraken. It ran into a
hot goalie. Hoffer was good last night. The XTRE numbers
on all the numbers were. At the end of the game,
we're in Seattle kracking. The Seattle Crackings favor other than
the three to two score line, three seventy four to
two ninety seven XG in that one, scoring chances twenty
eight to twenty one, high danger chances where they're where
there's as well to shots on goal. Not normally a
huge man, but still thirty six to twenty seven. They
had ten or more shots on goal in each and
every period. But Hoffer was good in that one and
they got the job done. I think Seattle plays better
with a lead than you do from behind. And Saint
Louis just went out there with that attitude of we
know some guys are leaving, we know.
Speaker 3: They're going to go.
Speaker 4: We're just going to play it's kind of like those
last ten or fifteen games of the year where teams
just played the spoiler role and just love to do
it out there patting their stats. So Roberts Thomas picked
up another goal. Good to see him scoring since he's
come back and he like to get moved today or tomorrow,
as will Parenko, who is going to be going to
the Sabers.
Speaker 3: Andrew.
Speaker 4: Let me tell you before we bring in the press,
the Sabers defense with Perenco coming in. Their average for
the Sabers defense is six point three or sorry, six
foot three and a half two hundred and seventeen and
a half pounds. They don't have a single guy under
two hundred. They don't have a single guy under six feet.
They are going to have six defensemen who are big,
who can play, and those are the type of defenseman
you want in the playoffs because they are going to
work you on the boards, they are going to tire
you out and in a game and in a series,
you want six big defensemen. So kudos to the Sabers
on pulling this one off. I think the deal still
needs to be finalized, but it looks like, yeah, what's.
Speaker 2: The deal with that? Car. It's so over. Everything's getting
But why are they.
Speaker 1: Not getting permission from the players before these track I
watched a segment with Elliott Friedman and he said that
there's some agents that are really pissed off right now
because these deals are being tweeted out by you know,
Darren Drager and other ex It's before the player signs
off on it because all of these good players, they
have no trade clauses, right, so they get to decide.
So this guy doesn't want to live in Buffalo, then
he can say I don't want to live in Buffalo
and he can say no to the deal.
Speaker 4: Come on, man, best wings in town. Speaking of wings,
this guy has been man. I saw some pictures of
Whistler INBC. The fresh snow that they have. You got
to bring in the press. They had like twenty year
I don't know if it was twenty centimeters twenty inches
what it was, but men, he must be enjoying life
because anyone who skis and I'm not a skier, but
fresh snow has to be the best snow.
Speaker 3: Press. Welcome to the show.
Speaker 2: What's up press? Hey?
Speaker 3: Boys?
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's been great. Snow is outstanding. Yesterday I sent
you some videos of me skiing. I'm not really putting
that up on Twitter much. But the raccoon faces starting
because you work gone all day. Uh, that's what we
call it us skiers, the raccoon face. Anyway, I have
absolutely zero issue with making a trade. And then if
the guy with no trade calls wants to insult the
city he was traded to, go right ahead. And if
he wants to insult the city he was at go
right ahead. But what other leverage does a GM have?
Why should the GM ask the player first?
Speaker 1: That I'm saying public, I'm saying it just public.
Speaker 3: Why.
Speaker 5: This is business and you got to do the best thing.
The players owe the GM nothing, the GM os, the
players nothing, the fans.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you why.
Speaker 1: I'll tell you why, because if he says no to Buffalo,
then all of a sudden things get really awkward and
they have no choice but to trade him. And other
teams have leverage because if he says no.
Speaker 4: But that's the the trade clauses and that's why the
players have them, and it's part of the contract. This
started back in the day of Brian Burke. He is
the one who put the no trade clauses into a
contract and it's snowballed from there. Nobody thought it would,
but Brian Burke was the first one to do it,
uh with the players giving him the option of a
no trade clause, and it just ballooned from there. It's
part of the game. So I agree with President in
the sense of who cares where the whether the player
wants to go there or not. The GM is going
to come out because the GM still has a fan base,
UH that supports his team that he needs to let
them know. I'm trying to make our team better. But
this player refuses to leave as well.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I'm just saying he'll get Yeah.
Speaker 5: It could all show backfire. Mitcharner could say, Hey, you
don't want me, I'm going to Vegas right.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you one thing interesting though this time of year.
Speaker 1: Two guys Bobby McMahon for the Toronto Maple Leafs, one
thing I was reading was that it's important for the
team to still act like their interest in signing the
player to a contract extension, because if you don't do that,
then you wreak desperation and teams will lowball offer you.
So it's kind of interesting business wise for that if
you don't act at all like you're going to do
it yourself. Then teams if they know you're desperate to
move a player, which some teams are desperate, and that's
the best thing calm. We were talking yesterday about Robert Thomas, right,
is that he's their number one center. Like, he's an
unbelievable player on a great contract in his prime. If
nobody gives them an offer that's going to knock their
socks off, they're not going to take it.
Speaker 3: They're asking for too much.
Speaker 4: Anyways, the great thing about the Buffalo and the Buffalo
Saint Louis one is it started with the Robert Thomas
and ended with Peranco, which I think is a better
fit for the Sabers because they wanted from the Sabers
own power, They wanted a first round draft pick, and
then they wanted another player as well too. I think
it's too much to give just because you're getting into
the playoffs for the first time in like fourteen plus
years and you're excited. Don't blow your load in the
first round or in one year. With that said, Pez
Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets, Tampa is a huge
favor here minus one eighty four Winnipeg plus one. Fifty
total sits are at six. This Tampa team all season long,
they've been consistent. At one point, I think they won
twenty of twenty one games, but they've only lost three
in a row three prior times or three times prior
to this three game losing streak that they're on, and
they've only lost four games twice all season long. To me,
good teams are teams that don't lose multiple games five
to six, seven in a row. Tampa doesn't seem like
one of those teams. How you breaking this one down?
Speaker 5: Well, I mean yeah, not only is Tampa lost three
in a row there, you know, they put up one goal,
two goals, three goals all together in their last two games,
and one of those losses was too Buffalo. But you know, KR,
we've seen this story play out before where if you
go back and look at Stanley Cup champs or top teams,
Presidents Trophy winners, they do go through periods where they
lose four or five games in a row. I would
not bet against Winnipeg right now. I was on Winnipeg
a few nights ago as a four percent winner. They
got it done in overtime with a dramatic end of
the game empty that goal that was against Chicago. Man,
I think Winnipeg is the way to go here plus
one fifty, and I also like the undercarm. I think
it's going to be a very low scoring game and
you guys can get six out there. And I understand
that Tampa Bay has allowed five, six and five in
their last three. I think with Tampa Bay needing to
prevent a four game losing streak, I think they're going
to really focus on defense. And this Tampa Bay team
has been outstanding defensively all year, so it's not like
they can't play to the under, and Winnipeg wants to
play to the under. They allowed two goals against Chicago
two against San Jose. This team regularly allows one or
two goals. So my favorite play is the under, but
I got no issue taking Winnipeg at plus one point fifty.
I also do want to mention that I lost my
five percent play last night on the same Seattle Kraken
that you had. That was one of my very big
money line plays that almost never lose. That was only
my second loss in two seasons. With that play, we
walked into a Hawk goalie. So if any of you
guys did buy that play and you're listening to the show,
my apologies. We had it right, we just couldn't get
it done. Yeah, So that's where I'm at. Carm Winnipeg
plus one fifty and the under three to two. Winnipeg Prez.
Speaker 1: I want to ask you, you know, when you've got
this time of year, you've got teams that it's pretty
clear they're not making the playoffs, teams that are relatively
clear they are going to make the playoffs, but doesn't
mean we can't make money betting on them.
Speaker 2: You like Winnipeg today.
Speaker 1: You know, I don't want to put you on the spot,
but like, what's kind of your your your picture of
this Winnipeg team for the rest of the season. They
still have talent, they still have hellabuck, Like, how do
we approach them for the rest is could they be
a team that doesn't make the playoffs but actually still
makes us money with betting or how do you kind
of frame this team?
Speaker 5: Great question and the answer is yes, this is a
team that I have been betting on the last week,
and this is a team I look to be betting
on moving forward. Man, this is a This is a
loaded hockey team that this season just got away. Connor
got injured. They went through a stretch of thirteen games
or so where they couldn't win a thing. It just
was one of those got away yours. And I think
this is a proud team and a team that's going
to play all the way through and a deep team, right,
So it's not like, you know, the top two guys
are upset they didn't make the playoffs and are going
to call it a year. I mean, everybody on this
team can score. Everybody on this team back checks and
or checks. It's a well coached team, it's got great goaltending,
and yeah, I'm looking for this team to make a run.
I think they're going to end up being a couple
of points short. They really needed to beat San Jose
and Anaheim in regulation. Those two points are going to
be the difference. But they are going to be a
real good bet on team moving forward.
Speaker 4: It's tough because, as you mentioned, it's not one of
those things where the season started well for them and
something happened and they just went downhill. Like right from
the get go, they just weren't playing well, and it's
sort of snowballed you had. You also had Hella Buck,
who you know, who missed quite a few games for
a while. So when you're missing your number one, it's
always top. You can have Eric Comery in there and
he can do well. The problem is that Comery is
not a goalie who's supposed to start five, six, seven
games in a row.
Speaker 3: At most.
Speaker 4: You want him a couple of games in a row,
and that's only to give a guy like hell A
Buck a rest if he's if he's played five or
six in a row himself. So from that point, Josh
Morrisey is still out for Winnipeg, so that obviously hurts
as well too. It's a tough one. I get where
you're coming from with Winnipeg and being a live dog.
I just think at this point in the season for them,
I just don't know what they have left. I think
they're too far behind. Yeah, I agree, Well, that's eleven
or twelve points that they're with desperation each and every night.
I just don't see it. But that's all we got.
Speaker 5: We got to pick our spots, right. I did not
release Winnipeg tonight. I don't. It didn't make a play tonight,
But I mean, you know, guess who's up next Vancouver?
Yeah right, you know, and after that as Anaheim and
the Rangers. You know, they win tonight, they could put
four straight together. They are only nine back only. Yeah,
I'm with you, Karen. I don't think this team's going
to make the playoffs, but I think this team is
a bet on team moving forward.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, they say, And yeah, those are two different things.
A team that is going to make the playoffs or
can make the playoffs and a team who you can
bet on to make money, two completely different things. Because
you know, I've talked about one of the toughest things
is trying to even make up eight or nine points
from the December mark forward. You have to be a
very good team or go on an insane run. The
Buffalo Sabers from December the fifteenth or whatever went on
an insane run the most points in the NHL.
Speaker 3: And they're still on it.
Speaker 4: And yet right and yeah, and they're still on it. Yet.
This is a team that, while they're sitting second in
the Atlantic, can easy fall to fourth in the Atlantic
in a couple of games. If Montreal wins a couple
of games, then a wild card spot.
Speaker 5: It's all because of overtime. The Leafs are above five hundred.
They're one of the worst teams in the league.
Speaker 1: So well, guys, I put this this chat, this this
tweet in our group chat yesterday with all of us,
not a single Pacific Division team would be in a
playoff spot. In the Eastern Conference, not one single team
in that division would even be in a spot. So
it's incredible to look at because the term at play team,
it's kind of like pres I know you do a
lot of college basketball as well. It's like, it's like
the whole ranking system. We don't care about rankings. We
care about the point spread, we care about the betting numbers,
the lines, right, and I feel like playoff positions sometimes
can skew people's mindset of how they actually see a
team because it's you know, for me, guys, when I
was younger, the West was always way better than the East,
and although Colorado and Dallas are in the West, for
the most part, it's fair to say the East is
a better conference than the West.
Speaker 2: This year, it is.
Speaker 5: On an average, not top heavy, right, So at.
Speaker 4: The end of the day, I'm going to I'm going
to revert back to what I said earlier. At the
end of the day, the regular season is just a
prelude to the playoffs. The teams are in a seven
game series, you know. I mean the Sabers can beat
and I'm a Sabers fan, the Sabers can beat Tampa
Bay in Tampa Bay score four goals in the first period.
But in a seven game series against Tampa Bay, they're
going to be decided underdogs if they play them in
a seven game series. And why because Tampa has the experience,
Tampa has the goaltending, Tampa has the team. It's just
what it is. Is why we just wait for the
playoffs to get here and then go from go from here,
because it's a completely different beast. Pres It's one game,
that's all it is. What do you got the promotes?
Speaker 2: Man?
Speaker 4: Because you are on sand on my run.
Speaker 5: Listen, I lost my mine percent last night. I ended
up three and one for my clients. Listen to what
is going on with me and my clients right now.
In all my bets, I'm on a six and one
and sixteen and six run, thirty two wins, sixteen losses,
over forty units of profit since mid February. I'm on
a four and one, eight and two and fourteen and
five and HL run. My NHL totals a total tonight
thirteen and four run. I won six straight, my NBA
eleven and four run, my NBA ats bets nine and one,
sixteen and four run, my college basketball six and one run.
It's like I'm a walking mic drop.
Speaker 2: Let's go.
Speaker 1: People were asking about President Energy in the live chat,
and that was a little that was a little bit
of the press that we know.
Speaker 2: That was the prize that we know the energy.
Speaker 4: Is so good that I know you have an extra
five minutes in.
Speaker 5: You No, I gotta run what I got a show
to take.
Speaker 3: But go ahead, what well? What well?
Speaker 4: Andrew and I are going to talk about the Buffalo
Sabers and the Pittsburgh Penguins next. But before you leave,
let me ask you a question. Is this game? But
is that not a fishy line? Right now? One ten?
Both ways?
Speaker 2: He doesn't want to talk to me.
Speaker 5: I don't, carm I gotta tell you, man, I don't
know what is she lines look like. I mean, I'm
sure I know what they smell like, but I don't
understand that whole concept. Like to me, I look at
the board, a bet jumps out or it doesn't jump out.
I look at that game and I think no. So
if I think I can't find a bet, then the
line doesn't look fishy.
Speaker 4: Smell something like a filter fish.
Speaker 5: But that's yeah, that's a horrible smell.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 5: If you want to, I have a one day left
of a buy one, get one promo. It's seventy nine dollars.
You buy a week of my NHL, you get a
week of my NBA for free. A lot of people
took advantage of that. On Monday, they are all up
a shit ton of money. That's one more day. So
buy my NHL for seven days, get my NBA for free.
Really appreciate doing this being here. I will see you
guys next next week. If anybody's in Whistler, I'll be
on the slopes in an hour.
Speaker 2: Have fun, press the great having you.
Speaker 4: And if you can just pass on the message to
Jordanary because you're filming with him shortly telling my wish
him the best of luck with the Florida Panthers in
this year's playoffs.
Speaker 5: All right, you got nothing to say, dude. They are
literally the champions, Like, come on, bro, come.
Speaker 4: On, yehs like you guys all right, And you know
I got to get the power in there because Joe
kept all of last season's playoffs. Joe kept tagging me
in tweets. He doesn't reply to anything, but uh, he
kept tagging me in tweets as Florida pull to another
Stanley Cup win or whatever. So I got to give
it to him a little bit.
Speaker 1: You know, I respect it, but it's also a little
bit bothers some I think for people like us that
watch hockey every single night, because when you see Florida fan,
that's that That's what people don't understand is that I
want the game of hockey to grow. Like I'm excited
by other fans getting to experience wins and stuff. But
I feel like people don't understand, like if the Montreal
Canadians are trying to make beliefs, sorry even your Buffalo
Sabers or the Edmonton Oilers, if they won the Stanley Cup,
it would be the craziest parade. If you thought the
Toronto Raptors parade was crazy, Like the parade would be
insane for those teams. And you know, I respect it.
Though Joe was rocking the team USA Jersey and stuff.
He gets into it, but car it this way.
Speaker 2: I like that way.
Speaker 4: Sorry, Okay, I'll get you in a second because I'll
finish the Joe thing before we actually do a clip
for this game. Joe and I, uh, we go on
every once in a while because he's a New York
Jets fan. I'm a Buffalo Bills fan. So we just
poke fun at each other as many chances as we
can get during football season, and it bleeds over into
hockey season as well to Andrews. So that's the thing
with Jordan Airy and I. He is one cool dude.
So nothing better better than you want to talk about trolls, guys,
Joe's the best. Andrew. We're at the super Book at
Westgates during March Madness and wager talks having the meet
and greet, and I'm standing there with Joe. We're right
by the clubhouse window there room where we have like
the food and drinks, and Joe told everyone to bet
on one game, but all the guys were on the
opposite side. So the game's on and Joe's team is
absolutely blowing them out in March Madness, and these guys
are coming into the room to grab a drink and
Joe's Joe wouldn't even let him through the door. He's
trolling them as they grab a drinking food and as
they leave, he is just trolling. Hey guys, I'm not
sure if you can see that score up there, but
your team's down thirty two points. It was just the
funniest thing. So God bless Joe Raniary and his He
trolls the right way.
Speaker 1: Honestly, my favorite Joe Nier memory. He there with his
his wife or a girlfriend, and he was trying to
watch some sports and bet on some sports. So he's
just like, here's some money for the slots. Go have
fun on the slots, Go win something, dude.
Speaker 4: The dude, okay, just one more quick note the dude.
We go to Aria because we're all going to grab
a bite to eat or something like that with some
of the wagers talk staff, and Joe makes me sits
down with him at a slot machine. I think it
was like the price is right or whatever. It was
like eight hundred US later that I popped into the
machine and he put like a under sixteen hundred bucks.
I think you know what we ended up with. I
think thirty seven cents on that voucher. Oh boy, that's
pretty much it.
Speaker 5: Man.
Speaker 4: This is why slots are for suckers.
Speaker 1: Anyways, it's tough, but Karl, I wanted to just say
that those sucker bets when it comes to talking about
fishy lines and stuff. I just think that when you
look at a game and you know, there's there's two
things that make me think of Dave Cocaine. It's the
code getting fired, and it's the fishy lines. Because I
remember Dave. Remember he used to have the glasses and
he would like look at the glas like this, and
he would say, this line stinks. Doesn't make any sense.
That's what he would say. This line stinks, and he
would he would.
Speaker 2: Look at it.
Speaker 1: And you would always tell us if a line doesn't
make any sense, you back that team. It doesn't make
much sense on and so let's look at it. Here
the Buffalo Sabers minus one fifteen Penguins minus one oh
five total lot six and a half. Here's the deal, Karl.
We've got a Penguins team that's overachieving a bit for sure,
playing good hockey, good offensive play. But as a Sabers fan,
you know as well as I do, this Buffalo team
has been fantastic for months, not just a couple of weeks,
not for one month. They've been on a roll for
a long, long, long time. Even though they're on the road,
you would think looking at this number, looking at this game,
the Sabers should be getting more respect.
Speaker 2: So here's something for everybody watching.
Speaker 1: Some people are gonna look at this and say, oh
my god, I can get the Sabers at just minus
one fifteen. But what you should be thinking is I
would respect this line more if it was minus one thirty.
You know, we sometimes think we know more than the books,
but you also have to respect the books. And looking
at this minus one fifteen, they're hanging an indicator of like, hey,
you want to take the Sabers, look at this number
we're going to give you. So, Carl, when I look
at these, when I look at my advanced metrics, I
like to look at last four, last five games for
for goalies or for teams. And the cool thing about
this game is that both of these teams are top
four or top five in both goals against and goals four.
Speaker 2: That means overs for me goals.
Speaker 1: Because sometimes a team can be top five and goals against,
but the not scoring either. I like the over team
total for the Pittsburgh Penguins plus one twenty five. And
the cool thing is for the Sabers, they're over three
and a half is plus one twenty. I think you
pick which team you like, you take their team total.
You get a nice plus price. Some people might say
it's greedy because we're getting one oh five or one fifteen.
The way I look at it, whoever wins this game
is scoring at least four goals.
Speaker 2: Do you agree, mister c B. What do you think?
Speaker 3: I agree?
Speaker 4: I think we see some goals and it's it should
be Uko Peca Lucan in in goal for the Sabers tonight,
even though Alex Lion has been much better. And I'm
pretty certain that even though Stuart Skinner was listed as
the expected goalie, that it's going to be she loves
in goals, and I'm they'll probably be confirming that one
because I think he was first off the ice at
the morning skate this morning, and he's been he's been
very good is his last his last few games as
well too. And it's a guy who's got a goals
against average under three at two point seventy five. And
say percentage at right at point nine to zero zero.
So from that aspect of it, I think if it
bodes well better, it's better for the Pens in this
one depends. Have beaten the Sabers twice this season and
two prior meetings, and there were both two or three
goal victories in that one. They beat him the very
last game in Buffalo prior to the Olympic break where
they went in there and I think they beat the
Sabers five to two. This just seems to me like
the like the flat spot for the Sabers playing so
well out of the break beat Florida beat Tampa in
the Sunshine State, come up with another win. It just
I don't know what it is. This one is kind
of screaming flat spot for me. And I'm a Sabers fan,
so for me to say it screams of a flat spot,
it really does to me. So we shall see. But
I wouldn't lay. I wouldn't lay one fifteen with the
Sabers in this one. I think it's for me, it's
either Pittsburgh or nothing tonight. In this game, Andrew and
the total six and a half. If it was a six,
I'd be on the over. But at six and a half,
I think this game is ultimately going to be a
complete pass with me with a lean. If you're asking me,
I'm gonna use the phrase I used to use last year.
With a gun to my head, I'd probably take the
Pittsburgh Penguins, all right.
Speaker 1: Well, so if it was your last thing you ever
had to bet on, that's what you would do. But
it doesn't sound like you're getting the.
Speaker 4: Guns to my head anyways, because it could only end
one way, and it's never a good so you know
it's it's listen. I'd love nothing better than the Sabers
to win tonight and continue on a good run that
they've been doing. I you know, some of my friends
and chatting with them yesterday, what's happened. They're like, Sabers
twenty two to one to win the Cup. I'm like,
don't waste your money, right, It's it's a Cinderella story.
But for me, I'm just I'm just a static that
they're finally going to make the playoffs after fourteen years.
Whatever happens to them in the first round is what
happens to them in the first round. We'll talk about
that come playoff season. But right now, it's just enjoy
the ride and then we'll see what happens. I went
through it with the Bills, who are like one in
fifteen for the longest times, and then went to four
Super Bowls. I went to watch the first one, Scott
Norwood wide write. I never went to watch another Super Bowl.
And and then they didn't make the playoffs for the
longest time, and Josh Allen came back and they still
can't win.
Speaker 2: So caren before we get to the following game here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just want to bring up the package that
we've been talking about quite a bit on the show.
It's a fantastic one. You've been on an absolute role
with multiple sports. I'm so jealous of you cashing soccer
tickets during the day. You've got hockey at night, of course,
but this buy three, get three free, six days sixty
nine dollars. I got a five percent play going tonight
in the NHL, and I'll tell you it is not
going to be the only play that I have tonight.
I'm going to have more than just the five percent play.
Prez talked about it. What did he say, KRM. He
went three and one yesterday, but he lost the five percent.
So I'm going to be completely straight up with all
of the people listening right now. Imagine being one of
those people that bought the five percent play but you
didn't have the other three plays.
Speaker 2: That's a bad.
Speaker 1: Feel, right, And so I'm not trying to pitch it
because realistically it's better for us if people buy every
single day, but you buy three, get three free six days. Personally,
for me, I want you guys to get a sample
size and get all of the plays that I'm on.
So five percent play goes tonight, but I would much
prefer you guys to jump in on the buy three,
get three six days sixty nine dollars WT dop bus
slash am Carmine WT dop bus backslash CB and it's
just the way to go Karen versus the Daily Picks.
Speaker 4: Yeah, No, I think it's a great deal.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 4: You know, if you're going to pay thirty five for
a five percent play, it's literally thirty four dollars more
and you're getting five additional days and that's if there's
only one play on that day with the five percent play.
So I think it's a great deal. Judge someone over
at least over a six day, a six day schedule
of games, and there's a lot going on right now,
especially with the NHL. There are no two game nights anymore.
They need to get these games in and so there's
gonna be a ton of action there as well too.
A quick note too, I want to mention Don Buster,
who was on earlier this week. He has a five
percent play up as well too in the NHL. You
can find that over on his page at wt dot
buzz backslash dB, so you can find it there. He'd
be on today's show, but I think he's men in
the avocado farm down in Mexico. But let's give the
guy some love. Man, don Buster, good luck with your
play if you're watching this show, and if you are,
you better be hitting that like button. Andrew we talked about,
or he talked at the beginning of the show about
the New York Islanders last night. Riddick and goal the Ducks.
Thank thank you Ducks for bouncing back in that one
for to one winners. But now you have the Islanders
at plus money plus money against the LA Kings with
their number one goaliean goal Soroken is the starter tonight
in this one. Andrew minus one forty for the Kings
plus one fifteen for New York. Five and a half
is a total Where you going with this one.
Speaker 1: Karl, I'll be honest, I don't have a lot on
this game, but I think it's a very interesting one
for us to talk about. I think that, first of all,
there's been a lot of back to backs this week,
a lot of teams playing on back to backs throughout
the week, especially those East coast west coast trips as
mentioned yesterday. I always find it interesting when you've got
a team that decides to have their number one goaltender
play the second game, as you just talked about, so
it could set up for them to get some good
goalstading tonight and good defensive game. So a lot of
times the second half of back to back, it obviously
makes me lean towards overs. You know, earlier in the week,
I had that with the Dallas game. And I think
that you like those back to backs, but there's certain
situations where a back to back can actually like the under.
And I think that New York will not be happy
with how they let Anaheim just swarm all over them.
You know, Anaheim made it look easy against the New
York Islanders last night. Guys, So I have a small
lean towards the under five and a half in this game.
The books are respecting the LA Kings here, you know,
for a team that struggled quite a bit, and something
worth noting, Caren, they lost their first game after firing
their coach. But their first game after firing their coach
was against the Colorado Avalanche. Who's to say this team,
you know, isn't going to get a little bit of
a spark still after they fired their coach. And who's
to say that maybe it was just tough luck for
them that they fired their coach and then their next
game was against the top dog in the whole entire league.
So who knows, you know, what could be a play here?
And it's unfortunate because these lines come out so late
because I liked the Anthony Stolars one yesterday, but I
never saw the line in time. I think that you
could look at Sorokean over on his saves. You know,
maybe we'll see LA really pressed tonight throw everything at
the net. But you know, Sorocan is a better goaltender
than David Riddich, So maybe the save prop for Sorokean
could be a good idea.
Speaker 2: But Caren, what do you think.
Speaker 1: I kind of leaned towards the under, you know, lean
towards kind of the save prop for Sarroken should be
a good game, though, I think it will be.
Speaker 3: A good game.
Speaker 4: I will say this. I did yesterday bet because I
was playing some futures last night, and I did bet
on the LA Kings because I got the price. I
wanted to the LA Kings to make the playoffs. I
found a plus one twenty out there. It's at plus
one ten plus one oh five at different books, but
I found a plus one twenty. I took them. And
before I get to this game, I'll just mention why
I took them. I get it. The FIALA one is out.
We'll see if they make a move to add anybody
over the next couple of days. But twenty two games left,
eleven at home, eleven away. They play Vancouver three times.
They played the Calgary Flames twice. They play Nashville twice.
Both of them are in LA. They play Saint Louis
and the Rangers. Those are all bottom five teams, with
the exception of Nashville and Nashville doesn't win as many
games on the road, so a favorable schedule for the
La Kings, especially at home, and they have one East
coast trip left where they're going to face teams like
New Jersey. They're going to face teams like the New
York Rangers, teams that are done for the season, and
the Kings are playing for a lot more. They're only
about five points out of a playoff spot they have
with a game in hand, they have a chance to
make the playoffs, even with the Fiala injury. So with
that said, in this game, Andrew, it didn't make sense
to me. I thought that goalie should have been reversed.
I would have started Soroken, but I'm not a coach.
Of course, I would have started Soroking yesterday against a
team that could score goals, and you want your best
goalie in there and put Riddick in goal against a
team like the Kings, who normally are their games are
lower scoring games, hence the total five and a half.
Yesterday's total was at six and a half or six
or six and a half. So you know, with that said,
I would probably would have flipped it the other way.
But we've seen Number one starters doing playing in the
second game for some reason this season. With that said,
I get it the Islanders look like a live dog here,
but I'm taking the Kings at minus one forty year
as on a second of a back to back, and
I have to believe that Kings with a little bit
of rest are the right spot tonight.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I don't blame you, and I think
that one thing again to mention, it's just that goalie.
I mean, tell me if I'm crazy, KRM. I do
care a lot about the coaching fired stuff, and we
saw it with Columbus, And again I do think that
it's one of those things that despite losing the Colorado
I think LA still played pretty well.
Speaker 2: Would you agree.
Speaker 1: I mean I watched a good portion of that game.
I try to watch a little bit of every every
big game. I thought they still looked respectable even though
they didn't win the game.
Speaker 4: Yeah, no, listen, I think they did. It's unfortunate who
they played. But if there's one positive that the Kings have,
and and I think the best thing in my eyes
that the GM can do for the LA Kings is
to go out and grab a player or to that
doesn't cripple you next year. But the salary cap is
going up next year as well, two in the NHL,
so that's another thing to look at. But if they
can pick up a player too, I think it sends
a message in that dressing room that yeah, we lost Fiala,
but you know what, we have guys in this dressing
room that can play. Guys in this dressing room that
can compete and that can win, and we're going to
give you a couple more pieces. Go out there and
win the games. And then look at that schedule and
it's a favorable schedule for them. You look at the schedule,
pull it up, you look at the LA Kings, and
you go through their games, and it is a good
schedule for them. On the road, they have eleven games left.
Eight of those eleven games are against teams who are
not in a playoff spot at the moment and normally
sitting bottom five. So that's a favorable road schedule as
well too. So we'll see what the Kings do in
the next thirty six hours, Andrew, But I like them
tonight and I'll lay the buck forty with them.
Speaker 1: Let's cash some tickets, calm a little bit of Q
and a action. Any questions in the chat that we're
seeing from people, mostly people just having some good conversations.
Speaker 2: But I drew not too many questions we're seeing right now.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Riley was looking for a player prop
to add to one that he likes. And you in
three out of four yesterday with player props, So how
about you give us some more and Riley can grab
one or two of them and added to the one
that he already likes and come up with a ticket.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yesterday three out of four. Was excited to go
three out of four there, and you know we didn't
get the bowl horr vat point. That was the only
one that hurt us. And you know it was an
over I liked in the Islanders game. But Karen, when
it came to the over, it was just one team
doing all the scoring. I'll tell you what though, Matthew
Schaeffer shots on goal over two and a half that
was plus one point fifteen. So anybody that catched that,
we were able to make some money today, guys, I'm
just come at you with goal scoring props. I will
tweet out the graphic, but it's not ready for today
for right now, Braiden point plus one seventy five. That's
Braydon point plus one seventy five from the Tampa Bay Lightning.
The next one up, This is a juicy one here, guys.
Cole Perfetti plus two eighty five. Cole Perfetti plus two
eighty five. Remember, guys, you guys can take these goal scorers,
take the points or shots with them as well. But
we are rocking and rolling with those two guys. One
other game, I like some goal scoring props in we'll
give you guys from the Boston Bruins. We've got two here,
Morgan geeky. This guy has been unbelievable. I don't understand
karm Howe's number is still plus one seventy plus one
seventy Morgan geeky, especially on the road. This guy's been
very very good for them. And Victor Arvidson plus two
seventy for the Boston Bruins actually playing his former team,
the Nashville Predator plus two seventy. And there was one
other one I wanted to mention here. This is a
guy from the Buffalo Sabers we have to look out.
Speaker 2: For right now.
Speaker 1: Josh done plus three ten And I told you guys,
I like the Pittsburgh Penguins, So if you like the Penguins,
you can sprinkle a little bit on Anthony Manta plus
two ninety five. That's Anthony Manta plus two ninety five.
You got Josh Done plus three ten, plus one seventy
for Morgan Geeky, and my favorite of the night, Braden
Point plus one seventy five and Cole PROFETI a little
bit of a sprinkle on him at plus two eighty five.
Speaker 2: The goal scoring bets are what I like right now.
Speaker 1: They're all plus money, they're all great prices, and again,
you don't have to hit at an absurd percentage to
make money with these goal scoring props because you're getting
such fantastic prices. So, you know, Carl Mike, think about this,
Morgan geek having a fantastic year like he is, and
he is still plus one seventy to get a goal.
Speaker 2: Think about it.
Speaker 1: A few years ago, Austin Matthews was like minus one
thirty in some spots. And a lot of this stuff
is about the name of a player, about the name
of the player, not as much about the stats that
are backing him up. And I still think that Morgan
geeky is underrated, a little.
Speaker 4: Bit underrated or overrated? Did you say sorry?
Speaker 1: I was just think I think he's still not getting
the credit from the books because his number is plus
one seventy.
Speaker 2: To me, it should be lower than that.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's Andrew. You know, everything is whether it's respect.
I think that I don't think with the books, I
don't think it's respect. I think it's algorithms and and
what they're going to play, you know. I mean it's
kind of like the circuit. You have shots on goal
over one and a half. It hits for a while,
and they see that, people continue to bet it, and
they make it one eighty five, one ninety five, and
they're fine with if you winning a bet, if you're
willing to lay a dollar ninety five. So books never losey.
You know, it's up to us to to try and
find plays that that will win. But I don't know
where to go with with like the underrated overrated things
in the NHL nowadays, just because you grab a player
on one team who doesn't seem to perform, and then
you move them to another team and all of a sudden,
the guy looks like a superstar and stuff It's like
it's kind of like the argument of Jack Egel with
the with the Buffalo Sabers. A great player in the
Sabers but not surrounded by much and who won that trade?
You know, I mean he went for Alex Tuck, and
I think it was Krebs. You know, he goes to
he goes to Vegas, is surrounded by a core of
very good players and they win a cup. So and
Jack Ichael's eyes, he won the deal, and Vegas won
the deal. The Sabers get Tuck. He's playing well right now.
We'll see whether he resigns with the Sabers or not.
It will always be that Vegas won that deal. But
Vegas was dealing from a position of strength. They knew
that Sabers had to move Michael, he wasn't gonna play
there anymore and stuff. So, uh you see that.
Speaker 2: Wants to play there.
Speaker 4: I don't, I don't know. I don't agree with uh
with Press sometimes on arguments. Uh, but uh it's funny,
but uh we shall see, uh what happens. But uh, man,
what do you think about this? You'll wave?
Speaker 1: Why? Padrick Maroon says, I don't think he'll wave his
no move clause why would he.
Speaker 4: Just call him Patrick Buffoon anyways? But uh, whatever I'll take.
I'll take Maroon on right now. And speaking of Buffalo,
for you Bills fans out there, you Bill's Mafia fans,
just coming across my desk is the fact that DJ
Moore will be signing. There's a deal going on. He's
coming to the Buffalo Bills. So yeah, always great to
have a player like that can help our offense. So Andrew,
there you go, just a little little mix in there
with that said, man, let's get to the pod play.
I am disappointed about the the Seattle crack in the
last night Andrew with the pod play, So today's pod
Andrew put it up on the screen for me. I
am going with the Tampa Bay Lightning in regulation. I
disagree with the pres on this one. He thinks Winnipeg's
a live dog. I think Tampa Bay is going to
snap out of this three game losing streak. They lost
to the Sabers, they lost to Carolina, two very good teams,
and then they go to Minnesota and Minnesota was playing
extremely well as well right now, third in the Western Conference,
so three very good teams. They're now playing a non
playoff team in Winnipeg. And yes, it'd likely to be
Vasileskian goal against Hellabucks. So as far as the goaltending,
you would think it's a it should be a wash.
Hellibuck was great in the Olympics, but he was having
his SOSO season this year. Give me the better team here,
Tampa Bay in regulation minus one fifteen.
Speaker 3: That is your pod.
Speaker 2: Play Tampa minus one fifteen.
Speaker 1: Hey, you said it very hard for a team like
that to lose that many games in a row. And
despite I know that people don't like the money pock
this and they advanced metrics that, but they played well
last game carm They did respond. But guess who they
played a very good Minnesota team. So it's very similar
to what we said about the LA Kings. Look, they
fire their coach, they play well, they played a good
Colorado team. Marte Saint Luis, who I listened to all
of his press conferences for the habs KRM, he says
sometimes he thinks, hey, my team played better in this
loss than we did yesterday in the win we had,
so I think despite them them losing, Tampa Bay still
looked pretty good.
Speaker 2: So Tampa Bay the po D for Carmen you have.
Speaker 1: Let's let's bring that back up on the screen here
for a second seven seven to three five current bank role,
karm is making you guys money, proving the bankroll management.
Speaker 2: That is the way to do it.
Speaker 4: And KR am going to I'm going to hit ten k.
I'm going to hit ten k before the season is over.
I am determined to do so. Andrew, I think it's
important that we get to a number. And I've written
down because I asked people before to comment on the
video after it's uploaded about putting in some prices, sorry,
some some charities in the US that that we can
donate too, because I already did the food bank here
in Richmond Hill, which is the city in which I'm in.
It's one of the three little three suburbs up here,
Thorn Hill, Markham and Richmond Hill. And listen, as my
wife was talking about at dinner with some friends the
other night, you never realize until she came with me
that day a truck filled with bags and bags of
groceries and we got there just before they opened up
to the public and there was a lineup around the
building and down the street for people at the food bank.
That just shows you how terrible are the economies are
and the cost of living is. So to do something
good for my little part and it's part of the show,
so it's great. And I'm going to do the same
for some of the US charities. So it's only a
little part, but all.
Speaker 2: We can do.
Speaker 1: Karen, I'll tell you, I'm going to get a shout
out to my mom. Always got to respect your parents,
And for I think thirty five years, my mom has
been working or volunteering her time at the same spot.
It's called Sunday Suppers. Everybody can show up. They get
a nice, warm meal, they get some treats, they get
a toothbrush, they get clothing, they get anything that they
need on the go.
Speaker 2: Anytime I was younger.
Speaker 1: And we were on a family vacation, we were away
for a weekend wherever we were at carm she says,
I have to be home on Sunday at four o'clock.
The devotion she had, and I'll go with her and
help out with this. And you just realize that anything
you do can help it out, and to be honest
with you, it helps put things in perspective.
Speaker 2: For us.
Speaker 1: Gratitude is a very good thing to practice. And when
you are talking to people that need a helping hand,
you know you can anything that you can do can
help out. So Karm is building that bankroll for them.
People were asking for the graphic here Karm. This isn't
the one I was planning on having, but here is
this one for you guys out there. So these are
the picks. These are the plus money sides props. I
like here, love the prices on these.
Speaker 2: Let's try and.
Speaker 1: Cash a few of these tickets. That will be it
for me. Here Karm, once again, we've got this great deal.
Buy three, Get three six days sixty nine. If you're
looking for a hockey bet, I got a five percent play.
Karm's got action up. Anything else you want to mention KRM.
Speaker 4: No, I wish I wish you the best of luck
with your five percent plate tonight. Also, Don and Buster,
I always want you guys to win because we're not
competing against each other. We're we're actually it's to my
advantage that you guys both win because then customers are happy,
and that's all we really want. At the end of
the day, whether I finish first in NHL at Wager Talk,
or I finished sixth in NHL. At wager Talk, if
I have won units for my clients at the end
of the season, then I'm high. And then I know
that there's a bunch there's some people in front of
me that also won for their clients. This is all
you can ask for. You compete with yourself each and
every day. You're not competing against other people. I think
that's the mistake people make in life in general. Andrew,
and I'm not trying to turn this into a wellness
and things show, but worry about yourselves and let the
rest fall in place. Guys, hit that like button. If
you haven't already done so, hit the subscribe button. Joined
the evergrowing community here at wager Talk. I think we're
near that two hundred and fifty thousand subscribers and it's
growing each and every day. We appreciate you guys, always
tuning in the press. We'll be back tomorrow. We'll see
if his goggle eze or any better that ski face
of his, but he'll be on and we will have
the six and sixty where we try and go six
to OHO for the first time this season. The damn
Pittsburgh Penguins ruined it last week. Five and one, but
we will get one before the season stop for my
elth Andrew McInnis and the press.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 4: Thanks for tuning in and we will see you tomorrow
eleven am Eastern Time,