WEBVTT

1
00:00:00.520 --> 00:00:06.080
<v Speaker 1>This is the In This League Fantasy Podcast network, In

2
00:00:06.120 --> 00:00:10.759
<v Speaker 1>This League Fantasy Baseball podcast online at in This League

3
00:00:10.800 --> 00:00:16.839
<v Speaker 1>dot Com. Now here's your host, Bogman and the Welsh.

4
00:00:16.839 --> 00:00:19.039
<v Speaker 2>What is a friend Oza. Welcome back to the In

5
00:00:19.079 --> 00:00:22.839
<v Speaker 2>This League Fantasy Baseball podcast with Bogman and the Welsh.

6
00:00:23.120 --> 00:00:26.399
<v Speaker 2>We are back in the baseball primers. We are doing

7
00:00:26.519 --> 00:00:31.000
<v Speaker 2>second base today. Primers to us. We are literally sitting

8
00:00:31.039 --> 00:00:33.960
<v Speaker 2>here kind of going through the process of you know

9
00:00:34.119 --> 00:00:36.320
<v Speaker 2>how anybody is going to break down players literally if

10
00:00:36.359 --> 00:00:38.200
<v Speaker 2>you know, I'm riding for the Fantasy Black Book. I

11
00:00:38.240 --> 00:00:41.920
<v Speaker 2>go through, look through the savant find different areas that

12
00:00:41.960 --> 00:00:44.119
<v Speaker 2>are going to jump up of interest. So we might

13
00:00:44.359 --> 00:00:47.159
<v Speaker 2>stumble upon some interesting things today as we are going

14
00:00:47.200 --> 00:00:50.640
<v Speaker 2>through the second base position again our primer to this

15
00:00:50.679 --> 00:00:53.920
<v Speaker 2>whole bad boy and happy to speak to you all.

16
00:00:54.159 --> 00:00:59.280
<v Speaker 2>Mister Bogman, how do you feel about the Dodgers signing

17
00:00:59.399 --> 00:01:03.840
<v Speaker 2>another two hundred almost two hundred million dollar player and

18
00:01:03.960 --> 00:01:07.719
<v Speaker 2>maybe we won't get into a whole disgusting defertive contracts,

19
00:01:07.719 --> 00:01:10.920
<v Speaker 2>don't pay luxury tax, gaming the system conversation, But how

20
00:01:10.920 --> 00:01:13.239
<v Speaker 2>about those Dodgers Blake Snell now.

21
00:01:13.120 --> 00:01:15.799
<v Speaker 3>A Dodger, I mean at least we get to hate him.

22
00:01:16.079 --> 00:01:17.760
<v Speaker 3>You know, that's I'm back to hating him.

23
00:01:17.840 --> 00:01:19.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, like he was kind of like lovable, Like I

24
00:01:19.680 --> 00:01:22.640
<v Speaker 2>shared my picture with the with the what was it

25
00:01:22.680 --> 00:01:24.719
<v Speaker 2>when he was of the Padres and then you know

26
00:01:24.760 --> 00:01:27.000
<v Speaker 2>the Giants. He really stunk and you know, like there

27
00:01:27.040 --> 00:01:30.319
<v Speaker 2>were a lot of redeeming factors. Straight hate. We're back

28
00:01:30.359 --> 00:01:33.359
<v Speaker 2>into that voice that I do with Blake Snell victory.

29
00:01:33.560 --> 00:01:36.000
<v Speaker 3>Oh, I got to get paid.

30
00:01:36.079 --> 00:01:36.280
<v Speaker 1>Man.

31
00:01:36.560 --> 00:01:39.640
<v Speaker 2>Did you see I did a Uh, I did a

32
00:01:39.680 --> 00:01:41.760
<v Speaker 2>short for Fantasy Pros. We're trying to, you know, do

33
00:01:41.840 --> 00:01:44.599
<v Speaker 2>more baseball content, and I came up with this idea,

34
00:01:44.640 --> 00:01:46.640
<v Speaker 2>well not like an idea, but I was like, hey, listen,

35
00:01:46.760 --> 00:01:50.560
<v Speaker 2>we should do like social shorts for the big signings.

36
00:01:51.040 --> 00:01:53.840
<v Speaker 2>And then Blake Snell signs last night and then I'm like, okay,

37
00:01:53.840 --> 00:01:55.640
<v Speaker 2>I'll do it. I'll write it and then i'll do

38
00:01:55.680 --> 00:01:56.680
<v Speaker 2>it the next day. And I was like, you know what,

39
00:01:56.680 --> 00:01:59.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna do it tonight and I put the impression

40
00:01:59.319 --> 00:02:01.239
<v Speaker 2>in and then when I sent it to all the editors,

41
00:02:01.239 --> 00:02:04.599
<v Speaker 2>I was like, I did a Blake Snell impression. Leave it,

42
00:02:05.079 --> 00:02:08.000
<v Speaker 2>don't take it out. Leave it in there because they

43
00:02:08.039 --> 00:02:11.280
<v Speaker 2>don't probably understand it. Yeah, but you're gonna leave my

44
00:02:11.360 --> 00:02:13.919
<v Speaker 2>impression of Blake snow. So I started off the short

45
00:02:14.000 --> 00:02:19.319
<v Speaker 2>with a oh man, I got hyted man. Unfortunately that

46
00:02:19.400 --> 00:02:21.240
<v Speaker 2>was actually due. That was like one of the first

47
00:02:21.240 --> 00:02:25.080
<v Speaker 2>comments someone posted because I posted the picture of me instill. Yes, no,

48
00:02:25.199 --> 00:02:27.199
<v Speaker 2>it wasn't. It was some some random person was just

49
00:02:27.240 --> 00:02:29.759
<v Speaker 2>like they did the hydrated comment all time favorite thing.

50
00:02:29.840 --> 00:02:34.159
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, no, he's definitely now in the hated range

51
00:02:34.199 --> 00:02:36.520
<v Speaker 2>because he's a Dodger, and you know, kudos to them

52
00:02:36.560 --> 00:02:39.439
<v Speaker 2>for just having amazing book makers who know exactly how

53
00:02:39.439 --> 00:02:43.280
<v Speaker 2>to get people to come to defer state taxes, to

54
00:02:43.360 --> 00:02:47.680
<v Speaker 2>defer luxury taxes, to keep you know, everything financially set.

55
00:02:48.199 --> 00:02:54.479
<v Speaker 2>But from the fantasy perspective, it's I. I ended the

56
00:02:54.520 --> 00:02:58.319
<v Speaker 2>short to say it's the best destination he could go

57
00:02:58.360 --> 00:03:01.000
<v Speaker 2>for his fantasy value. And he had the tail of

58
00:03:01.039 --> 00:03:03.639
<v Speaker 2>two seasons where it was like he didn't he wasn't

59
00:03:03.680 --> 00:03:07.240
<v Speaker 2>in spring training really awful the first part of the year.

60
00:03:07.639 --> 00:03:09.960
<v Speaker 2>He was dominant one point four or five ERA in

61
00:03:10.000 --> 00:03:12.719
<v Speaker 2>the second half in his last twelve starts five to zero. Record.

62
00:03:13.080 --> 00:03:16.080
<v Speaker 2>Dude at a career high strikeout percentage this past year

63
00:03:16.759 --> 00:03:20.000
<v Speaker 2>thirty four point seven percent K percentage. And now he's

64
00:03:20.039 --> 00:03:23.319
<v Speaker 2>going to go be a Dodger with run support of Shoho, Tawny,

65
00:03:23.560 --> 00:03:28.719
<v Speaker 2>Mookie Bets, Freddy Freeman the defensive support. It's crazy. And

66
00:03:28.759 --> 00:03:32.159
<v Speaker 2>there's a couple decent hitter or pitcher kind of environments.

67
00:03:32.199 --> 00:03:34.199
<v Speaker 2>You know you're going to be pitching. I mean, he's

68
00:03:34.240 --> 00:03:36.360
<v Speaker 2>trying to collect all the nls. By the way, he's

69
00:03:36.360 --> 00:03:38.080
<v Speaker 2>never going to be a Rocky or a Diamondback. Maybe

70
00:03:38.159 --> 00:03:40.479
<v Speaker 2>he's thirty eight, you know, he's thirty six, he can

71
00:03:40.520 --> 00:03:42.439
<v Speaker 2>be a Diamondback. When he's thirty nine, he can be

72
00:03:42.439 --> 00:03:44.919
<v Speaker 2>a Rocky and collect the whole set. But like, you know,

73
00:03:44.919 --> 00:03:46.879
<v Speaker 2>there's some there's some environments in there that he's going

74
00:03:46.919 --> 00:03:48.960
<v Speaker 2>to do well. It's just like, what do you say.

75
00:03:49.000 --> 00:03:51.319
<v Speaker 2>It's an incredible destination for him, and he's gonna rank

76
00:03:51.360 --> 00:03:53.520
<v Speaker 2>even higher now I think in sp ranks.

77
00:03:53.680 --> 00:03:56.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's great. Yeah, it's awesome. I love it. Prog

78
00:03:57.080 --> 00:04:00.240
<v Speaker 3>Uh Yeah, I mean it is a really good spot

79
00:04:01.199 --> 00:04:05.879
<v Speaker 3>for fantasy. And I mean, are they gonna let him

80
00:04:05.879 --> 00:04:07.599
<v Speaker 3>throw the ball a little bit more and go deeper

81
00:04:07.599 --> 00:04:09.400
<v Speaker 3>into games? You'd think now that he signed a long

82
00:04:09.520 --> 00:04:12.439
<v Speaker 3>term deal, maybe a team would be more willing to

83
00:04:12.520 --> 00:04:14.919
<v Speaker 3>let him go. Obviously last year he had the whole

84
00:04:15.199 --> 00:04:18.040
<v Speaker 3>you know, Scott wars thing, not you know, no, not

85
00:04:18.120 --> 00:04:20.600
<v Speaker 3>signing until after You don't think he's I mean, he

86
00:04:20.720 --> 00:04:22.560
<v Speaker 3>has been bad when he gets to that point.

87
00:04:22.759 --> 00:04:26.040
<v Speaker 2>No, But I think they've openly said, like they want

88
00:04:26.120 --> 00:04:28.519
<v Speaker 2>to do a six man rotation this year. If you're

89
00:04:28.519 --> 00:04:31.160
<v Speaker 2>going to do a six man rotation, get Blake Snell.

90
00:04:31.279 --> 00:04:31.759
<v Speaker 2>They let it.

91
00:04:31.800 --> 00:04:33.560
<v Speaker 3>He would. If he's gonna do a six man rotation,

92
00:04:33.720 --> 00:04:36.240
<v Speaker 3>it should allow you to let those starters go a

93
00:04:36.240 --> 00:04:38.399
<v Speaker 3>little bit longer because they get the extra day.

94
00:04:38.600 --> 00:04:41.399
<v Speaker 2>But he did. But see, like, okay, so you're saying

95
00:04:41.439 --> 00:04:43.879
<v Speaker 2>per game, not on the season, because that's where like.

96
00:04:43.879 --> 00:04:46.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah's all on the season, and I.

97
00:04:46.279 --> 00:04:49.560
<v Speaker 2>Just per game he did. July eighth, he had the

98
00:04:49.600 --> 00:04:51.720
<v Speaker 2>no hitter. He went not so well.

99
00:04:51.720 --> 00:04:53.839
<v Speaker 3>That was his first time pitching into the ninth inning ever.

100
00:04:54.079 --> 00:04:56.399
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, to the ninth But check this out. Here are

101
00:04:56.439 --> 00:04:58.399
<v Speaker 2>his games pass. How many games he had past the

102
00:04:58.439 --> 00:05:05.519
<v Speaker 2>six inning this year? One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten,

103
00:05:05.720 --> 00:05:09.040
<v Speaker 2>eleven of six or higher. That's amazing for Blake Snell.

104
00:05:09.120 --> 00:05:13.040
<v Speaker 2>And past the sixth inning he had I think it's

105
00:05:13.600 --> 00:05:16.000
<v Speaker 2>four in the seventh and one in the ninth. So

106
00:05:16.040 --> 00:05:19.000
<v Speaker 2>I mean, like he finally pushed that boundary of going

107
00:05:19.040 --> 00:05:22.079
<v Speaker 2>deeper into games, and all of that he had twenty starts,

108
00:05:22.399 --> 00:05:25.079
<v Speaker 2>only went like one hundred innings. They're gonna do like

109
00:05:25.120 --> 00:05:28.720
<v Speaker 2>a six man type of rotation. They're gonna probably let

110
00:05:28.800 --> 00:05:31.319
<v Speaker 2>him go seven and he's still gonna chalk up like

111
00:05:31.800 --> 00:05:34.000
<v Speaker 2>maybe one hundred and eighty innings. I think this is

112
00:05:34.000 --> 00:05:37.560
<v Speaker 2>the perfect I mean, the only bad thing but he

113
00:05:37.600 --> 00:05:39.800
<v Speaker 2>doesn't do it anyways, would be that he's not They're

114
00:05:39.800 --> 00:05:41.959
<v Speaker 2>not gonna probably allow him on a six manter rotation

115
00:05:42.079 --> 00:05:44.360
<v Speaker 2>if they do fully commit to that to going like

116
00:05:44.399 --> 00:05:46.480
<v Speaker 2>two hundred plus innings. But he doesn't do that anyways.

117
00:05:46.680 --> 00:05:48.639
<v Speaker 2>Like you get one hundred and seventy five innings out

118
00:05:48.639 --> 00:05:51.279
<v Speaker 2>of Blake Snell, you're jumping for joy with that run

119
00:05:51.319 --> 00:05:54.399
<v Speaker 2>support and because right now it's him, you have a

120
00:05:54.399 --> 00:05:58.000
<v Speaker 2>Moto Glass now Otani and then you they're probably gonna

121
00:05:58.079 --> 00:06:02.319
<v Speaker 2>sign Kershaw back, and then you've also got May, maybe Sasaki.

122
00:06:02.480 --> 00:06:05.360
<v Speaker 2>You've got May, and then you've got Tony Gonsolin. So

123
00:06:05.480 --> 00:06:08.800
<v Speaker 2>like between that, they're gonna run six out every single week.

124
00:06:09.800 --> 00:06:12.240
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, dude, Like they might piggyback o Tawny

125
00:06:12.360 --> 00:06:15.399
<v Speaker 2>with let's say, like Dustin May and then you've got

126
00:06:15.480 --> 00:06:18.439
<v Speaker 2>Kershaw and Gonsolin, Like I think Snell will be one

127
00:06:18.480 --> 00:06:20.360
<v Speaker 2>of the few guys on that team that goes deep

128
00:06:20.399 --> 00:06:23.439
<v Speaker 2>into the physical game but just doesn't get like, you know,

129
00:06:24.480 --> 00:06:26.720
<v Speaker 2>he's gonna have a few less starts than other guys, and.

130
00:06:26.800 --> 00:06:28.959
<v Speaker 3>Who cares if he needs to skip a start or

131
00:06:29.040 --> 00:06:32.079
<v Speaker 3>whatever because they have so many guys. I the one

132
00:06:32.160 --> 00:06:34.240
<v Speaker 3>good thing that I think is coming from this is

133
00:06:34.279 --> 00:06:37.120
<v Speaker 3>this not just the nl wes that hates the Dodgers now.

134
00:06:37.160 --> 00:06:40.079
<v Speaker 3>Now it's everybody. Now it's the Dodgers versus the world.

135
00:06:40.160 --> 00:06:42.639
<v Speaker 3>So that is kind of that's kind of making me

136
00:06:42.720 --> 00:06:43.759
<v Speaker 3>a little bit happier. Here.

137
00:06:43.800 --> 00:06:46.079
<v Speaker 2>Definitely is a little bit of contingency online though, of

138
00:06:46.120 --> 00:06:49.480
<v Speaker 2>people that are like, what is itybody really just hate

139
00:06:49.480 --> 00:06:51.959
<v Speaker 2>the Dodgers And it's just like, shut up, dude, just

140
00:06:52.079 --> 00:06:54.600
<v Speaker 2>everybody hate the Dodge unless your Dodger fan. Zip it.

141
00:06:54.639 --> 00:06:56.399
<v Speaker 2>Like I don't want to hear your excuses about blah

142
00:06:56.399 --> 00:06:58.600
<v Speaker 2>blah blah, Like it's dumb, it's stupid, And there is

143
00:06:58.639 --> 00:07:02.040
<v Speaker 2>a megor Bob behind the whole thing, Like you and

144
00:07:02.120 --> 00:07:04.399
<v Speaker 2>I had this big thing behind before the show of

145
00:07:04.920 --> 00:07:08.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, it's not just deferred money, it's gaming the

146
00:07:08.879 --> 00:07:13.399
<v Speaker 2>luxury tax and uh, you know the California tax thing.

147
00:07:13.560 --> 00:07:15.839
<v Speaker 2>They're like, yeah, well defer all your money until you

148
00:07:15.879 --> 00:07:16.959
<v Speaker 2>move out of state, so.

149
00:07:16.920 --> 00:07:19.319
<v Speaker 3>Your tax out of Well, I think the bottom line

150
00:07:19.319 --> 00:07:21.800
<v Speaker 3>there is it's just not good for parody in the game,

151
00:07:22.000 --> 00:07:26.360
<v Speaker 3>you know. And look, MLB doesn't want parody. They want

152
00:07:26.560 --> 00:07:29.319
<v Speaker 3>the teams in New York, in Chicago and LA to

153
00:07:29.959 --> 00:07:31.000
<v Speaker 3>win a.

154
00:07:31.040 --> 00:07:33.560
<v Speaker 2>Million dollars and then they want Miami to spend thirty

155
00:07:33.600 --> 00:07:34.480
<v Speaker 2>million dollars in their day.

156
00:07:34.480 --> 00:07:36.399
<v Speaker 3>They don't want the d Backs and the Rockies and

157
00:07:37.319 --> 00:07:39.639
<v Speaker 3>the Marlins in the Rays in the playoffs. Those they're

158
00:07:39.639 --> 00:07:42.079
<v Speaker 3>small markets. They want the big markets in the playoffs.

159
00:07:42.079 --> 00:07:45.360
<v Speaker 3>So well, I get it, but it is, uh, you know,

160
00:07:45.519 --> 00:07:47.959
<v Speaker 3>it's aggravating to the rest of the fan base that

161
00:07:48.000 --> 00:07:48.959
<v Speaker 3>isn't Dodger fans.

162
00:07:49.120 --> 00:07:51.959
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, I mean, Diamondbacks don't belong that conversation anymore

163
00:07:52.000 --> 00:07:53.759
<v Speaker 2>because they are a top twenty market and they're spending

164
00:07:53.800 --> 00:07:55.439
<v Speaker 2>almost two hundred million dollars on there.

165
00:07:55.600 --> 00:07:58.360
<v Speaker 3>The top twenty market, there's thirty teams, so you know,

166
00:07:58.480 --> 00:08:02.079
<v Speaker 3>I mean, uh, it's yeah, they're mid payroll.

167
00:08:02.279 --> 00:08:04.160
<v Speaker 2>I mean, yeah, we can argue about it, like I'm

168
00:08:04.160 --> 00:08:06.199
<v Speaker 2>just saying, like they're not like the Rockies, but to

169
00:08:06.279 --> 00:08:09.040
<v Speaker 2>your point, like they were, they've been seen as a

170
00:08:09.040 --> 00:08:12.079
<v Speaker 2>small market team. They're not because they they spend a boatload,

171
00:08:12.160 --> 00:08:14.160
<v Speaker 2>but they're still not spending what the Dodgers and the

172
00:08:14.199 --> 00:08:17.079
<v Speaker 2>Red Sox and the Yankees and stuff are doing. And

173
00:08:17.160 --> 00:08:19.759
<v Speaker 2>that's due to more than ever, it's not due to

174
00:08:19.800 --> 00:08:22.399
<v Speaker 2>baseball rules. It's due to the person that owns the

175
00:08:22.439 --> 00:08:24.680
<v Speaker 2>team like that, like Steve Cohen will just go out

176
00:08:24.680 --> 00:08:27.920
<v Speaker 2>and spend every dollar because he's twenty billion dollars and

177
00:08:27.959 --> 00:08:30.079
<v Speaker 2>it's like, that's not good for the game when the

178
00:08:30.279 --> 00:08:33.159
<v Speaker 2>owner outside of it is the breaker, not like some

179
00:08:33.320 --> 00:08:36.720
<v Speaker 2>type of cap. And again, it just doesn't matter. But

180
00:08:36.840 --> 00:08:39.639
<v Speaker 2>it kind of all jumped out with Blake Snell signing

181
00:08:39.639 --> 00:08:42.080
<v Speaker 2>because it's a super team. The Dodgers are a super team.

182
00:08:42.120 --> 00:08:45.080
<v Speaker 2>But for fantasy, it's gonna be very interesting talking about

183
00:08:45.159 --> 00:08:48.360
<v Speaker 2>him in the sp ranks because you know, if you

184
00:08:49.360 --> 00:08:52.440
<v Speaker 2>if you were comfortable with what the bad of the

185
00:08:52.480 --> 00:08:54.240
<v Speaker 2>beginning of the year was, where it's like he didn't

186
00:08:54.240 --> 00:08:57.480
<v Speaker 2>get to play spring training and he struggled, and you

187
00:08:57.519 --> 00:08:59.399
<v Speaker 2>can like cross that out of your eye and you

188
00:08:59.519 --> 00:09:01.840
<v Speaker 2>only see what he was when he was good to go.

189
00:09:02.799 --> 00:09:05.279
<v Speaker 2>I mean, that's going to be a top five sp

190
00:09:05.440 --> 00:09:07.799
<v Speaker 2>and Fantasy Baseball. But like, if he gets back into

191
00:09:07.799 --> 00:09:09.759
<v Speaker 2>his bad ways, or maybe he really is just going

192
00:09:09.799 --> 00:09:13.000
<v Speaker 2>to be tail of two sides, you know, then maybe

193
00:09:13.000 --> 00:09:15.240
<v Speaker 2>it's gonna be a little bit overblown while also only

194
00:09:15.279 --> 00:09:18.559
<v Speaker 2>pitching like once a week. But hey, man, first domino

195
00:09:18.600 --> 00:09:21.600
<v Speaker 2>has dropped as we are recording this. Many more Dominoes

196
00:09:21.639 --> 00:09:24.320
<v Speaker 2>seem to be on the way with big trades and whatever.

197
00:09:24.399 --> 00:09:28.440
<v Speaker 2>And yeah, lava cakes.

198
00:09:28.440 --> 00:09:32.360
<v Speaker 3>What's the reference Dominoes? You just said Dominoes. What is

199
00:09:32.399 --> 00:09:33.240
<v Speaker 3>Domino's pizza?

200
00:09:33.360 --> 00:09:35.759
<v Speaker 2>Oh, Domino's pizza. I was like, what does the game

201
00:09:35.799 --> 00:09:37.919
<v Speaker 2>of Dominoes have to do with it? You're saying Dominoes.

202
00:09:38.840 --> 00:09:41.519
<v Speaker 3>I'm not Yeah, you're also not a puzzle guy either.

203
00:09:41.519 --> 00:09:46.480
<v Speaker 3>You're not putting these pieces together at all. Not man. Sorry,

204
00:09:46.480 --> 00:09:48.440
<v Speaker 3>that was like, I don't know, I'm a skinny guy now,

205
00:09:48.480 --> 00:09:49.840
<v Speaker 3>I don't know about domino.

206
00:09:49.600 --> 00:09:52.240
<v Speaker 2>I've never had a Domino's lava cake. I know you

207
00:09:52.240 --> 00:09:54.240
<v Speaker 2>you know the inner workings of the pizza industry, but

208
00:09:54.279 --> 00:09:55.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't know what a lava cake?

209
00:09:55.519 --> 00:09:58.519
<v Speaker 3>What is a lava cake is just it's just a

210
00:09:58.519 --> 00:10:02.639
<v Speaker 3>cake with fudge, yeah, with lava in the middle of right,

211
00:10:03.080 --> 00:10:05.240
<v Speaker 3>everyone lives in their mouth. It's actually called the hot Pocket.

212
00:10:05.480 --> 00:10:07.799
<v Speaker 2>Let's send it to Blake Snell. Then, oh man, this

213
00:10:07.879 --> 00:10:08.320
<v Speaker 2>is hot.

214
00:10:08.480 --> 00:10:16.879
<v Speaker 3>It's really hot. Man's actual lava gonna cost me my

215
00:10:17.039 --> 00:10:20.480
<v Speaker 3>whole contract to fix my mouth now, man, oh man.

216
00:10:20.720 --> 00:10:22.559
<v Speaker 2>Dude drives it like a Bugatti too. By the way,

217
00:10:22.639 --> 00:10:24.600
<v Speaker 2>his car is so ridiculous. Is it bake so it's

218
00:10:24.600 --> 00:10:26.639
<v Speaker 2>like a Bugatti or it's it's some it's some insane

219
00:10:26.679 --> 00:10:28.200
<v Speaker 2>looking car, like a lot of guys just drive like

220
00:10:28.320 --> 00:10:31.799
<v Speaker 2>nice expensive cars. His is this like like it's like

221
00:10:32.360 --> 00:10:34.240
<v Speaker 2>I don't even know how to describe it, like gray

222
00:10:34.440 --> 00:10:37.480
<v Speaker 2>with like lights under it, Like it's very Paul wall esque.

223
00:10:37.559 --> 00:10:40.039
<v Speaker 2>But you know that's that's blaky. That's Nelly for you.

224
00:10:40.519 --> 00:10:44.000
<v Speaker 2>All right, let's get into it. It is second base primer. Again.

225
00:10:44.039 --> 00:10:47.039
<v Speaker 2>These are not ranks, though we will be going off

226
00:10:47.120 --> 00:10:51.000
<v Speaker 2>of n FBC, just just like in how they're being

227
00:10:51.120 --> 00:10:52.759
<v Speaker 2>drafted in kind of the order that we're going to

228
00:10:52.840 --> 00:10:55.360
<v Speaker 2>talk about them. And it's also you know, good for

229
00:10:55.440 --> 00:10:57.600
<v Speaker 2>you guys to understand the early reference of where these

230
00:10:57.639 --> 00:11:01.080
<v Speaker 2>guys are going. But this isn't based on are necessarily

231
00:11:01.120 --> 00:11:03.320
<v Speaker 2>built around us talking about like this is who we

232
00:11:03.360 --> 00:11:05.759
<v Speaker 2>are going to hundred percent have and these are the ranks. No,

233
00:11:05.879 --> 00:11:07.279
<v Speaker 2>we're going to be going through this where this is

234
00:11:07.320 --> 00:11:08.960
<v Speaker 2>part of the process. We are going to be telling

235
00:11:09.000 --> 00:11:12.120
<v Speaker 2>you positionally about what we're finding on the guys. We'll

236
00:11:12.159 --> 00:11:13.960
<v Speaker 2>have some fun with it, and we will do it

237
00:11:14.200 --> 00:11:19.320
<v Speaker 2>right after this. I swear to God, I'll pistol whip

238
00:11:19.360 --> 00:11:20.519
<v Speaker 2>the next guy that says.

239
00:11:20.559 --> 00:11:23.200
<v Speaker 1>In this league, Hey, Barva, what's the name of that

240
00:11:23.279 --> 00:11:26.600
<v Speaker 1>restaurant you like? Of all the Mazirella stif me in

241
00:11:26.759 --> 00:11:27.440
<v Speaker 1>this league?

242
00:11:29.559 --> 00:11:33.679
<v Speaker 2>All right, second base again, n FBC will be kind

243
00:11:33.720 --> 00:11:35.399
<v Speaker 2>of the gauge of where we're going to talk about

244
00:11:35.440 --> 00:11:39.279
<v Speaker 2>these guys. And it is very nice to say, you know,

245
00:11:39.320 --> 00:11:41.279
<v Speaker 2>there's some guys that are going to kind of be

246
00:11:41.399 --> 00:11:43.960
<v Speaker 2>leaving the position as well. I feel like it's been

247
00:11:44.000 --> 00:11:46.360
<v Speaker 2>a little bit bear with me girth here, if you will.

248
00:11:46.399 --> 00:11:49.799
<v Speaker 2>From a positional standpoint, it's funny. It doesn't have to

249
00:11:49.879 --> 00:11:52.159
<v Speaker 2>mean that. I'm just saying it was, you know, it

250
00:11:52.279 --> 00:11:53.799
<v Speaker 2>was built a little bit stronger.

251
00:11:53.679 --> 00:11:56.320
<v Speaker 3>Very moist. Position is very vainy.

252
00:11:56.799 --> 00:12:00.679
<v Speaker 2>Though I will say that this is probably been a

253
00:12:00.799 --> 00:12:04.919
<v Speaker 2>very long standing like every time we're like ooh hard standing. No, No,

254
00:12:05.519 --> 00:12:07.879
<v Speaker 2>it's not like we're always kind of doing this where

255
00:12:07.919 --> 00:12:09.919
<v Speaker 2>it's like, oh, yeah, you know, second base isn't great.

256
00:12:10.240 --> 00:12:13.519
<v Speaker 2>Already saw the discourse going on in the spay, Oh

257
00:12:13.600 --> 00:12:15.279
<v Speaker 2>second base is bad. And then you get like the

258
00:12:15.519 --> 00:12:18.559
<v Speaker 2>deep league NFC guys that are like, well it's a matter,

259
00:12:18.679 --> 00:12:21.480
<v Speaker 2>and it's like, okay, dude, well you're drafting fifty rounds.

260
00:12:22.320 --> 00:12:26.240
<v Speaker 2>But from a starting perspective you could probably get away with.

261
00:12:26.600 --> 00:12:30.720
<v Speaker 2>There's fifteen there's fifteen second base starters that you're not

262
00:12:30.879 --> 00:12:33.879
<v Speaker 2>going to like be sick to your stomach about. But

263
00:12:34.399 --> 00:12:36.360
<v Speaker 2>there's some of these guys are going to qualify at

264
00:12:36.360 --> 00:12:39.480
<v Speaker 2>other positions, and I think the position can get away

265
00:12:39.519 --> 00:12:39.720
<v Speaker 2>from you.

266
00:12:39.799 --> 00:12:43.360
<v Speaker 3>So that's like the everybody needs an MI too, So yeah, exactly,

267
00:12:43.480 --> 00:12:43.720
<v Speaker 3>and it.

268
00:12:43.799 --> 00:12:46.639
<v Speaker 2>Might not come from short stuff, but getting to it,

269
00:12:47.200 --> 00:12:51.960
<v Speaker 2>the first second baseman and the only inside the top fifty,

270
00:12:52.039 --> 00:12:55.159
<v Speaker 2>there's only one second basement inside the top fifty. The

271
00:12:55.919 --> 00:12:58.399
<v Speaker 2>good exciting thing we get to tell you it is

272
00:12:58.559 --> 00:13:04.879
<v Speaker 2>Catell Martea with MVP votes last season, thirty six homers,

273
00:13:05.039 --> 00:13:08.240
<v Speaker 2>a two ninety two batting average. He hits or he

274
00:13:08.279 --> 00:13:11.799
<v Speaker 2>had seven stolen bases, which is not too shabby. Ninety

275
00:13:11.840 --> 00:13:14.720
<v Speaker 2>three runs, ninety five RBI. He was so close to

276
00:13:14.879 --> 00:13:16.919
<v Speaker 2>just putting up that one hundred one hundred with it

277
00:13:18.000 --> 00:13:21.840
<v Speaker 2>an absolutely I know the term I want to say,

278
00:13:21.879 --> 00:13:24.039
<v Speaker 2>it's when Bagman says, but it's not appropriate for the show.

279
00:13:24.159 --> 00:13:27.559
<v Speaker 2>Red is the ansels. You know what I'm saying. Yeah,

280
00:13:27.799 --> 00:13:30.519
<v Speaker 2>it is a very beautiful red savant page. And what

281
00:13:30.679 --> 00:13:34.960
<v Speaker 2>that means our high percentiles across the board. He is

282
00:13:35.159 --> 00:13:41.200
<v Speaker 2>top four percentile at least summer higher in expected wOBA

283
00:13:41.320 --> 00:13:44.360
<v Speaker 2>at three ninety two. Expected batting average of two ninety four,

284
00:13:44.399 --> 00:13:46.360
<v Speaker 2>which by the way, is higher than his batting average

285
00:13:46.639 --> 00:13:49.840
<v Speaker 2>expected slug of five thirty eight. This is the league,

286
00:13:49.960 --> 00:13:53.440
<v Speaker 2>by the way, expected slug top four percentile of the league.

287
00:13:53.840 --> 00:13:59.679
<v Speaker 2>Average ex velocity ninety four, hard hit percentage fifty three

288
00:14:00.039 --> 00:14:04.919
<v Speaker 2>point eight, dramatically higher than he has ever done before.

289
00:14:05.200 --> 00:14:07.440
<v Speaker 2>And that kind of correlates as well, because he's always

290
00:14:07.480 --> 00:14:09.440
<v Speaker 2>been a dude that hits the ball hard. You and

291
00:14:09.480 --> 00:14:12.200
<v Speaker 2>I have been talking about it for eight years. We're like,

292
00:14:12.399 --> 00:14:14.240
<v Speaker 2>dude always is going to put up a one to fifteen.

293
00:14:14.279 --> 00:14:17.279
<v Speaker 2>But what has happened gradually over time? He has learned

294
00:14:17.720 --> 00:14:20.879
<v Speaker 2>to tap into that more consistently, and it happened this year.

295
00:14:21.000 --> 00:14:25.639
<v Speaker 2>Ninety four average average X velocity one seventeen max, but

296
00:14:25.799 --> 00:14:28.759
<v Speaker 2>the barrel percentage jumped up to twelve percent to go

297
00:14:28.919 --> 00:14:32.559
<v Speaker 2>with that hard hit rate. It's it's easy to say,

298
00:14:33.039 --> 00:14:35.440
<v Speaker 2>Katell Mark Da Ka Tell Marte has done this before.

299
00:14:35.559 --> 00:14:36.840
<v Speaker 2>That's the other thing I want to throw out, Like

300
00:14:36.879 --> 00:14:39.679
<v Speaker 2>everyone's like, oh, the thirty two home run season. These

301
00:14:39.720 --> 00:14:42.200
<v Speaker 2>were career highs. This was a career high in RBI,

302
00:14:42.360 --> 00:14:45.519
<v Speaker 2>career high in homers, not a career high in runs,

303
00:14:46.519 --> 00:14:48.720
<v Speaker 2>and not a heid soul and basis. But you know,

304
00:14:48.840 --> 00:14:51.240
<v Speaker 2>like way up their highest batting average or second highest

305
00:14:51.279 --> 00:14:53.200
<v Speaker 2>bating average has had in the last five years. It's

306
00:14:53.200 --> 00:14:54.799
<v Speaker 2>a lot of me talking here just to say that,

307
00:14:54.960 --> 00:14:58.120
<v Speaker 2>like listen, he clicked in in a completely different way

308
00:14:58.159 --> 00:15:00.639
<v Speaker 2>in a weird diamondback season where lots of I struggled.

309
00:15:01.159 --> 00:15:03.559
<v Speaker 2>He was as dominant as you can be and made

310
00:15:03.639 --> 00:15:07.480
<v Speaker 2>these jumps that maybe will end up being like was

311
00:15:07.559 --> 00:15:10.120
<v Speaker 2>this an anomaly? But they are also jumps that make

312
00:15:10.200 --> 00:15:12.720
<v Speaker 2>him an elite player. And he's the only second baseman

313
00:15:12.879 --> 00:15:16.039
<v Speaker 2>from NFBC that is going inside the top fifty, right

314
00:15:16.320 --> 00:15:18.080
<v Speaker 2>outside the top thirty bugs.

315
00:15:18.399 --> 00:15:22.080
<v Speaker 3>It's because last year I jumped off the train. It's like,

316
00:15:22.240 --> 00:15:24.480
<v Speaker 3>I think he's gonna get hurt again. He does it

317
00:15:24.559 --> 00:15:27.240
<v Speaker 3>every other year. And look, this is all missing twenty

318
00:15:27.320 --> 00:15:29.600
<v Speaker 3>six games. He played one hundred and thirty six games,

319
00:15:30.080 --> 00:15:33.480
<v Speaker 3>so he missed a big grip of games here, and

320
00:15:33.559 --> 00:15:35.919
<v Speaker 3>he still put up these really good numbers, and the

321
00:15:36.039 --> 00:15:39.679
<v Speaker 3>expected stats are right in line, not sinking a lot

322
00:15:40.159 --> 00:15:42.679
<v Speaker 3>in batting average or slugging or x well. But you know,

323
00:15:43.679 --> 00:15:47.000
<v Speaker 3>everything seems like this. These are just the numbers that

324
00:15:47.039 --> 00:15:49.759
<v Speaker 3>he's gonna put up when he's healthy. So a great

325
00:15:49.840 --> 00:15:53.919
<v Speaker 3>year for KTL. And I mean he faded a little

326
00:15:53.919 --> 00:15:56.480
<v Speaker 3>bit down the stretch. That's when he had his injuries, right,

327
00:15:56.720 --> 00:15:58.279
<v Speaker 3>was kind of closer to the end of the season,

328
00:15:58.360 --> 00:16:01.080
<v Speaker 3>but he came back strong. So yeah, I mean he

329
00:16:01.360 --> 00:16:04.960
<v Speaker 3>is the only one in the top fifty for a reason.

330
00:16:05.080 --> 00:16:07.200
<v Speaker 3>It's because these numbers are really ridiculous.

331
00:16:07.360 --> 00:16:10.039
<v Speaker 2>I mean, you want a ridiculous number two he hit.

332
00:16:10.120 --> 00:16:11.600
<v Speaker 2>I mean you say he faded in the second half,

333
00:16:12.360 --> 00:16:15.039
<v Speaker 2>maybe towards the end, because he just got hurt in yeah,

334
00:16:15.080 --> 00:16:17.440
<v Speaker 2>he didn't the bat yeah that yeah, Because that's why

335
00:16:17.440 --> 00:16:19.000
<v Speaker 2>I want to clarify because he hit two ninety two

336
00:16:19.000 --> 00:16:20.879
<v Speaker 2>in the first half, he hit two ninety in the

337
00:16:20.919 --> 00:16:23.480
<v Speaker 2>second half. But listen to this, three hundred and fifty

338
00:16:23.559 --> 00:16:25.799
<v Speaker 2>nine at bats in the first half, he hit nineteen homers.

339
00:16:26.000 --> 00:16:28.799
<v Speaker 2>That's phenomenal, by the way, in one hundred and forty

340
00:16:28.840 --> 00:16:32.279
<v Speaker 2>five at bats in the second half, seventeen homers. He

341
00:16:32.360 --> 00:16:36.159
<v Speaker 2>hit two less homers in two hundred less at bats.

342
00:16:36.320 --> 00:16:40.279
<v Speaker 3>Point raising in the second half. Yeah, so you know

343
00:16:40.360 --> 00:16:42.600
<v Speaker 3>they're like, his homer to fly ball rate was twenty

344
00:16:42.639 --> 00:16:46.440
<v Speaker 3>five point seven. Well, it's his career is thirteen percent,

345
00:16:46.679 --> 00:16:50.399
<v Speaker 3>So maybe there's a little something there. But maybe that's

346
00:16:50.440 --> 00:16:54.399
<v Speaker 3>just he's you know, hitting the ball better and putting

347
00:16:54.440 --> 00:16:54.919
<v Speaker 3>it out more.

348
00:16:55.039 --> 00:16:58.039
<v Speaker 2>Babbop numbers are right in line. There's no like overtly

349
00:16:58.080 --> 00:17:00.840
<v Speaker 2>high Babbitt numbers. Here's the thing that stands out kind

350
00:17:00.879 --> 00:17:02.919
<v Speaker 2>of tracking. If you listen to the first base series.

351
00:17:03.720 --> 00:17:05.519
<v Speaker 2>And I don't know what to make of this, because

352
00:17:06.119 --> 00:17:07.599
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to go in and be like, hey, listen,

353
00:17:07.720 --> 00:17:11.559
<v Speaker 2>he hit the ball harder. That's great, better I making

354
00:17:11.680 --> 00:17:14.559
<v Speaker 2>better decisions equated to him barreling the ball. Like, I

355
00:17:14.559 --> 00:17:16.720
<v Speaker 2>don't know if there's something he like physically did in

356
00:17:16.839 --> 00:17:21.480
<v Speaker 2>his game outside of standing. Yeah, yeah, well let me

357
00:17:21.519 --> 00:17:23.759
<v Speaker 2>fin like when you like, I don't know if he

358
00:17:23.880 --> 00:17:27.119
<v Speaker 2>did anything like you know, you go to drive line

359
00:17:27.160 --> 00:17:30.960
<v Speaker 2>or whatever that changed how he was barreling outside of

360
00:17:31.079 --> 00:17:34.319
<v Speaker 2>making better decisions against pitchers and not like he had

361
00:17:34.319 --> 00:17:37.559
<v Speaker 2>an eighteen percent k rate. So like what I'm getting

362
00:17:37.559 --> 00:17:40.200
<v Speaker 2>at is he barreled the ball more. So I'm not

363
00:17:40.400 --> 00:17:43.079
<v Speaker 2>surprised because of high barrel rates that he tapped into

364
00:17:43.240 --> 00:17:45.960
<v Speaker 2>big hard hit numbers and that might be like the

365
00:17:46.039 --> 00:17:48.200
<v Speaker 2>big key for him to be this elite players, He's

366
00:17:48.240 --> 00:17:52.119
<v Speaker 2>got to get to barrels. So getting to focusing on

367
00:17:52.240 --> 00:17:54.880
<v Speaker 2>barrels for a second, when you go to the pitch types,

368
00:17:55.240 --> 00:17:57.960
<v Speaker 2>he hit three thirty six against fastballs. He hit two

369
00:17:58.039 --> 00:18:00.240
<v Speaker 2>ninety six the prior year, So that's an uptick. Check

370
00:18:00.279 --> 00:18:03.799
<v Speaker 2>this out. Ninety one point three average exit velocity the

371
00:18:03.880 --> 00:18:07.920
<v Speaker 2>year prior against fastballs ninety five point one. That's a

372
00:18:07.960 --> 00:18:10.680
<v Speaker 2>four mile an hour increase. So he was barreling fastballs.

373
00:18:10.960 --> 00:18:14.319
<v Speaker 2>How else do you learn this? In twenty twenty three,

374
00:18:14.759 --> 00:18:17.880
<v Speaker 2>he hit specifically against four seams, he hit two ninety

375
00:18:18.359 --> 00:18:21.640
<v Speaker 2>with a two eighty three expected batting average, a run

376
00:18:21.799 --> 00:18:25.680
<v Speaker 2>value of six. That's like, you know, it's like, fine,

377
00:18:25.839 --> 00:18:30.119
<v Speaker 2>that's nothing crazy. The run value specifically this year, he

378
00:18:30.279 --> 00:18:34.240
<v Speaker 2>hit three fifty four against four seam fastballs, but had

379
00:18:34.279 --> 00:18:37.240
<v Speaker 2>a three twenty six expected batting average, which is amazing,

380
00:18:37.680 --> 00:18:41.880
<v Speaker 2>and his run value twenty one. That might be one

381
00:18:41.880 --> 00:18:45.160
<v Speaker 2>of the highest run values on a pitch type ever.

382
00:18:45.640 --> 00:18:49.640
<v Speaker 2>So what I'm getting at here is like, dude overperformed

383
00:18:49.680 --> 00:18:53.200
<v Speaker 2>against fastballs and had this crazy second half. Could he

384
00:18:53.480 --> 00:18:57.359
<v Speaker 2>see less fastballs next year? That's a possibility. He doesn't

385
00:18:57.400 --> 00:18:59.319
<v Speaker 2>really struggle against him. And by the way, he hit

386
00:18:59.400 --> 00:19:04.519
<v Speaker 2>almost before exit velocity against breaking pitches and sliders, he

387
00:19:04.599 --> 00:19:07.160
<v Speaker 2>hit two seventy nine. So like, if I'm trying to

388
00:19:07.240 --> 00:19:09.960
<v Speaker 2>pick a knit here, it feels hard that he's going

389
00:19:10.000 --> 00:19:12.920
<v Speaker 2>to be able to like completely repeat this, but I'm

390
00:19:13.039 --> 00:19:15.839
<v Speaker 2>just not seeing any ground ball rate was a tiny

391
00:19:15.880 --> 00:19:18.039
<v Speaker 2>bit up, but he pulled the ball more. Okay, he

392
00:19:18.119 --> 00:19:21.599
<v Speaker 2>knew with a high barrel rate zone contact.

393
00:19:21.359 --> 00:19:24.960
<v Speaker 3>Less selective this year because he had the highest swing

394
00:19:25.079 --> 00:19:28.440
<v Speaker 3>percentage of his career ever forty eight point one percent,

395
00:19:28.960 --> 00:19:33.440
<v Speaker 3>but his lowest contact percentage. So it seems like he's

396
00:19:33.519 --> 00:19:36.759
<v Speaker 3>just not waiting around as much. He's trusting what he sees,

397
00:19:36.839 --> 00:19:39.599
<v Speaker 3>and he's taken more hacks, So that was a big

398
00:19:39.640 --> 00:19:40.279
<v Speaker 3>part of it as well.

399
00:19:40.359 --> 00:19:43.359
<v Speaker 2>I think yeah, And so like what does that equate to,

400
00:19:43.440 --> 00:19:46.039
<v Speaker 2>because like the worst thing that you can do is

401
00:19:46.400 --> 00:19:50.640
<v Speaker 2>pay for the player's performance last year. That maybe doesn't

402
00:19:50.720 --> 00:19:53.279
<v Speaker 2>have a baseline. I kind of think Katzel does have

403
00:19:53.400 --> 00:19:57.079
<v Speaker 2>a relative baseline for what I think is semi positive

404
00:19:57.079 --> 00:20:00.240
<v Speaker 2>as projections are lower, which I think is right, like

405
00:20:00.319 --> 00:20:02.440
<v Speaker 2>to project him to be thirty five homers again, no,

406
00:20:02.839 --> 00:20:06.720
<v Speaker 2>they got twenty seven homers, about the same stolen bases,

407
00:20:06.920 --> 00:20:09.759
<v Speaker 2>batting average is roughly it's good. It's almost too eighty

408
00:20:10.039 --> 00:20:12.400
<v Speaker 2>and really good counting stats across as it should be.

409
00:20:13.680 --> 00:20:15.920
<v Speaker 2>I like what I see, and you know, in trying

410
00:20:16.000 --> 00:20:18.720
<v Speaker 2>to pick the knits here, like I said, of finding

411
00:20:18.839 --> 00:20:22.480
<v Speaker 2>something that you might not like, there just really isn't

412
00:20:22.640 --> 00:20:26.759
<v Speaker 2>Like as long as he gets to barrels, he's gonna

413
00:20:26.839 --> 00:20:32.200
<v Speaker 2>smash baseballs. And he overperformed it looks like against fastballs.

414
00:20:32.240 --> 00:20:34.359
<v Speaker 2>So if that downtick, but he's just a good hitter.

415
00:20:34.519 --> 00:20:37.000
<v Speaker 2>So like all the baseline from a primer perspective, a

416
00:20:37.039 --> 00:20:40.119
<v Speaker 2>ka tell Marte is like he's worth investing. I'm kind

417
00:20:40.160 --> 00:20:42.799
<v Speaker 2>of surprised his ADP is twenty eight. If I'm being

418
00:20:42.839 --> 00:20:46.160
<v Speaker 2>honest with you here, it's probably an NFBC because he

419
00:20:46.200 --> 00:20:49.079
<v Speaker 2>doesn't steal elite bases that he doesn't go higher. But

420
00:20:49.680 --> 00:20:53.119
<v Speaker 2>from a second to third round pick at a position

421
00:20:53.279 --> 00:20:56.200
<v Speaker 2>that does have some falloffs, maybe there's some Maybe we're

422
00:20:56.200 --> 00:20:58.960
<v Speaker 2>going to get to some guys that are better values

423
00:20:59.000 --> 00:21:00.480
<v Speaker 2>at the end of the day. I mean we haven't

424
00:21:00.480 --> 00:21:02.960
<v Speaker 2>looked at them yet, but you know, Simeon is going

425
00:21:03.000 --> 00:21:05.119
<v Speaker 2>off super low, and if he had a bounce back

426
00:21:05.240 --> 00:21:05.920
<v Speaker 2>like that would.

427
00:21:05.680 --> 00:21:08.480
<v Speaker 3>Be there's sure going to be better values because he's first.

428
00:21:08.640 --> 00:21:11.039
<v Speaker 2>Right now, we're in the top one one hundred of

429
00:21:11.079 --> 00:21:13.680
<v Speaker 2>second base, so like anyone could be a better value.

430
00:21:13.759 --> 00:21:17.440
<v Speaker 2>But like from a safety net standpoint, oh, no Homer

431
00:21:18.240 --> 00:21:21.359
<v Speaker 2>could tell it's kind of the dude, this is what

432
00:21:21.440 --> 00:21:23.599
<v Speaker 2>we always were hoping for. So I don't know if

433
00:21:23.640 --> 00:21:25.599
<v Speaker 2>you have anything else on Cautel. From a primer.

434
00:21:25.359 --> 00:21:27.720
<v Speaker 3>Perspective, I just like that you invented no Homer, So,

435
00:21:27.880 --> 00:21:30.880
<v Speaker 3>oh my, we'll love the d Backs. Can tell Marte,

436
00:21:31.039 --> 00:21:34.240
<v Speaker 3>no Homer, we just love him. His production is great.

437
00:21:34.440 --> 00:21:37.359
<v Speaker 2>So I very carefully said that, so that that is

438
00:21:37.440 --> 00:21:40.160
<v Speaker 2>how we talk about the Diamondbacks, all right, So could

439
00:21:40.200 --> 00:21:42.279
<v Speaker 2>tell Marte in the books he is kind of your

440
00:21:42.319 --> 00:21:45.880
<v Speaker 2>own tier. Move off to number two, who is outside

441
00:21:45.920 --> 00:21:48.759
<v Speaker 2>the top fifty. His ADP is actually fifty one. On

442
00:21:49.720 --> 00:21:51.519
<v Speaker 2>the next two guys are kind of really close together.

443
00:21:51.880 --> 00:21:56.160
<v Speaker 2>It's Ozzie Albi's where you know Ozzi just he does

444
00:21:56.240 --> 00:21:58.400
<v Speaker 2>miss some games. I guess in twenty twenty three we

445
00:21:58.480 --> 00:22:01.519
<v Speaker 2>did get the full season thirty three Homer's, thirteen stolen bases,

446
00:22:01.559 --> 00:22:03.359
<v Speaker 2>he hit two to eighty, and then this year, you know,

447
00:22:03.440 --> 00:22:05.240
<v Speaker 2>we kind of paid up for that, and then he

448
00:22:05.319 --> 00:22:09.119
<v Speaker 2>got hurt. He had just under four hundred bats, ten homers,

449
00:22:09.279 --> 00:22:11.960
<v Speaker 2>eight stolen bases, with a two fifty one batting average.

450
00:22:12.240 --> 00:22:16.599
<v Speaker 2>The Savant page all almost except him not striking out.

451
00:22:17.000 --> 00:22:20.079
<v Speaker 2>Everything was below average. He dropped two percent and his

452
00:22:20.200 --> 00:22:24.240
<v Speaker 2>barrel percentage down to six not good. Hard hit percentage

453
00:22:24.279 --> 00:22:29.519
<v Speaker 2>fell seven percent, also not good. His expected his overall

454
00:22:29.559 --> 00:22:33.559
<v Speaker 2>batting average obviously dropped thirty points. His expected dropped twenty

455
00:22:33.680 --> 00:22:35.759
<v Speaker 2>points from that prior year, which was really good, and

456
00:22:35.799 --> 00:22:39.559
<v Speaker 2>it looked more reminiscent to twenty twenty two. So I'll

457
00:22:39.599 --> 00:22:42.680
<v Speaker 2>stop there for a moment. In kind of the early assessment,

458
00:22:42.720 --> 00:22:45.759
<v Speaker 2>it was a massively down year. Production just was not there.

459
00:22:46.680 --> 00:22:48.440
<v Speaker 2>But I don't know, if you chalk you know how

460
00:22:48.519 --> 00:22:50.000
<v Speaker 2>much you want to chalk up the injuries. He just

461
00:22:50.240 --> 00:22:53.880
<v Speaker 2>he didn't barrel, he downticked his hard hit. He didn't

462
00:22:53.920 --> 00:22:56.400
<v Speaker 2>strike out as much, which is really good. But what

463
00:22:56.599 --> 00:22:58.400
<v Speaker 2>say you on Ozzie Alvi's.

464
00:22:58.160 --> 00:22:59.759
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, A lot of that was the second half. He

465
00:22:59.880 --> 00:23:02.359
<v Speaker 3>was pretty miserable in the second half after he came

466
00:23:02.440 --> 00:23:04.400
<v Speaker 3>back from the injury. Maybe he came back too quick,

467
00:23:04.799 --> 00:23:06.920
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, but he only hit two hundred in

468
00:23:06.960 --> 00:23:08.759
<v Speaker 3>the second half. He only played twelve games in the

469
00:23:08.799 --> 00:23:11.559
<v Speaker 3>second half as well, so maybe just came back a

470
00:23:11.559 --> 00:23:13.680
<v Speaker 3>little bit too quick. But he's never really been good

471
00:23:14.200 --> 00:23:16.759
<v Speaker 3>against you, or I should say he's been much better

472
00:23:16.799 --> 00:23:19.359
<v Speaker 3>against lefties in his career than Riotyes, I think he

473
00:23:19.359 --> 00:23:22.200
<v Speaker 3>has a two forty seven average in his career against righties.

474
00:23:22.440 --> 00:23:25.279
<v Speaker 3>So most pictures are righties. So the batting average is

475
00:23:25.319 --> 00:23:27.039
<v Speaker 3>probably never going to be impressive. But we know what

476
00:23:27.119 --> 00:23:29.839
<v Speaker 3>Ozzy is when he's out there and working well. It's just,

477
00:23:30.279 --> 00:23:33.240
<v Speaker 3>you know, how much do we need to shade the

478
00:23:33.400 --> 00:23:36.519
<v Speaker 3>injury that he had in the second half not being

479
00:23:36.640 --> 00:23:39.039
<v Speaker 3>very productive? Do we see enough? Is this more of

480
00:23:39.119 --> 00:23:42.079
<v Speaker 3>a hey, look, I don't really care. He's had enough

481
00:23:42.119 --> 00:23:45.599
<v Speaker 3>time to you know, recover, and I think he's going

482
00:23:45.640 --> 00:23:48.200
<v Speaker 3>to be back to the normal Ozzie he is coming

483
00:23:48.240 --> 00:23:50.240
<v Speaker 3>in or is to say, I kind of want to

484
00:23:50.240 --> 00:23:52.000
<v Speaker 3>see him in spring training. Do you have like a

485
00:23:52.319 --> 00:23:54.440
<v Speaker 3>an initial thought in terms of that.

486
00:23:55.480 --> 00:23:57.960
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I haven't really even gotten into that. I mean, again,

487
00:23:58.000 --> 00:24:00.279
<v Speaker 2>this is the primary, this is the trick. Yeah, like yeah, sure,

488
00:24:00.319 --> 00:24:02.480
<v Speaker 2>Like I think Ozzie's one of It's kind of like

489
00:24:02.519 --> 00:24:04.960
<v Speaker 2>could tell he's one of those dudes that's had these

490
00:24:05.039 --> 00:24:08.119
<v Speaker 2>big ups and these big downs, So it's hard to gauge,

491
00:24:08.720 --> 00:24:12.200
<v Speaker 2>like looking through here, just to give a couple other pieces,

492
00:24:13.319 --> 00:24:16.319
<v Speaker 2>worst year against righty's in his career he hit two

493
00:24:16.440 --> 00:24:19.000
<v Speaker 2>twenty five. He had never hit rightys worse than he

494
00:24:19.119 --> 00:24:21.000
<v Speaker 2>and now he's had some bad years. By the way,

495
00:24:21.039 --> 00:24:25.799
<v Speaker 2>again of hitting righty's. Uh, a switch hitter dramatically better

496
00:24:25.839 --> 00:24:28.880
<v Speaker 2>against lefties. But this was the first year he ever

497
00:24:28.960 --> 00:24:32.559
<v Speaker 2>hit under two thirty against right handed hitters. And that's uh,

498
00:24:32.839 --> 00:24:35.480
<v Speaker 2>looks like that's where the predominant power is hit.

499
00:24:35.480 --> 00:24:37.480
<v Speaker 3>Fig he have more power. He hits six homers.

500
00:24:37.680 --> 00:24:40.039
<v Speaker 2>Okay, well check that, yeah, no, but his power comes

501
00:24:40.079 --> 00:24:42.640
<v Speaker 2>from the righties because look at this in twenty twenty three,

502
00:24:42.799 --> 00:24:45.799
<v Speaker 2>he hit twoint fifty against righty's. Twenty eight of his

503
00:24:45.920 --> 00:24:49.559
<v Speaker 2>thirty three homers came against right handed hitters. So his power,

504
00:24:50.279 --> 00:24:54.440
<v Speaker 2>I'm just going through it. Yoh yeah, just not even

505
00:24:54.640 --> 00:24:58.119
<v Speaker 2>it comes from the right handed side. So if he's

506
00:24:58.200 --> 00:25:02.039
<v Speaker 2>struggling to hit right handed hitters, every single year of

507
00:25:02.119 --> 00:25:06.000
<v Speaker 2>his career he has been a predominant power hitter, I

508
00:25:06.039 --> 00:25:08.319
<v Speaker 2>guess that would be from the left side hitting against

509
00:25:08.359 --> 00:25:11.119
<v Speaker 2>righties as a switch hitter, So if he's struggling there,

510
00:25:11.559 --> 00:25:15.079
<v Speaker 2>the power is going to be depleted. Also, just throwing

511
00:25:15.160 --> 00:25:18.400
<v Speaker 2>this in, this could be maybe a portion of this

512
00:25:19.359 --> 00:25:24.480
<v Speaker 2>is he saw an uptick in sinkers. So sinkers became

513
00:25:24.559 --> 00:25:29.759
<v Speaker 2>the second highest pitch usage against him this season and

514
00:25:29.960 --> 00:25:32.319
<v Speaker 2>he hit only two thirty nine against them, where he

515
00:25:32.440 --> 00:25:35.000
<v Speaker 2>hit three p thirty eight the previous year. He hit

516
00:25:35.079 --> 00:25:37.039
<v Speaker 2>him harder, but sinker what a sinkers do? They can

517
00:25:37.119 --> 00:25:39.359
<v Speaker 2>get into the ground more. And then I come over

518
00:25:39.480 --> 00:25:41.799
<v Speaker 2>to here, did his ground ball rate go up? Yep,

519
00:25:42.079 --> 00:25:45.960
<v Speaker 2>about a percent and a half. He wasn't able to

520
00:25:46.000 --> 00:25:49.519
<v Speaker 2>pull the ball quite as much. And then the only

521
00:25:49.640 --> 00:25:52.119
<v Speaker 2>other thing to add in was I'm looking at the

522
00:25:52.240 --> 00:25:54.240
<v Speaker 2>usages here. Yeah, I mean it was like the sinker.

523
00:25:54.359 --> 00:25:58.240
<v Speaker 2>The sinker went up a percent and a half, change

524
00:25:58.319 --> 00:26:01.160
<v Speaker 2>ups went down. These are pitched again him. Change ups

525
00:26:01.200 --> 00:26:04.680
<v Speaker 2>went down, and slider usage also went down. That's a

526
00:26:04.720 --> 00:26:08.200
<v Speaker 2>weird one when sliders go down. But maybe it was

527
00:26:08.319 --> 00:26:11.920
<v Speaker 2>like you know, sinker usage. When he's from the left

528
00:26:11.960 --> 00:26:14.920
<v Speaker 2>hand side, he's hitting you know, ground balls a little

529
00:26:14.960 --> 00:26:18.440
<v Speaker 2>bit more. Because dude didn't barrel, he didn't hit well.

530
00:26:18.519 --> 00:26:22.799
<v Speaker 2>His expected batting average was just really bad. I leave

531
00:26:22.839 --> 00:26:24.680
<v Speaker 2>it to be like, I don't know what you take

532
00:26:24.799 --> 00:26:27.680
<v Speaker 2>from that. Like that, that seems like, oh, people found

533
00:26:27.680 --> 00:26:30.240
<v Speaker 2>a way that they want to attack him, and he

534
00:26:30.400 --> 00:26:31.880
<v Speaker 2>kind of fell apart. I'd love it if we had

535
00:26:31.920 --> 00:26:34.119
<v Speaker 2>bat speed numbers too, because he's actually got a really

536
00:26:34.359 --> 00:26:39.720
<v Speaker 2>slow bat speed sixty nine point seven with oh, actually

537
00:26:39.720 --> 00:26:41.279
<v Speaker 2>we do have oh you know that's from left and

538
00:26:41.359 --> 00:26:44.079
<v Speaker 2>right handed side. Also look at this right so wait,

539
00:26:44.279 --> 00:26:47.920
<v Speaker 2>when he's batting lefty, that's against righty's Check this out, dude,

540
00:26:48.839 --> 00:26:54.559
<v Speaker 2>His swing gets longer seven point three swing length against

541
00:26:54.640 --> 00:26:59.359
<v Speaker 2>lefties or as a lefty six point nine as a righty.

542
00:26:59.759 --> 00:27:01.960
<v Speaker 2>So his swing gets longer.

543
00:27:01.720 --> 00:27:04.319
<v Speaker 3>Probably just gets pitched differently. He gets pitched to the

544
00:27:04.400 --> 00:27:07.279
<v Speaker 3>outside more. One way and gets pitched to the inside

545
00:27:07.319 --> 00:27:08.920
<v Speaker 3>more the other way. That's probably what it is.

546
00:27:09.119 --> 00:27:11.440
<v Speaker 2>I'm just saying I think that's interesting because where his

547
00:27:11.640 --> 00:27:14.720
<v Speaker 2>power comes from, it gets longer, and it's a tad

548
00:27:14.839 --> 00:27:18.160
<v Speaker 2>bit slower. The bat speed is close, it's well below average.

549
00:27:18.279 --> 00:27:21.240
<v Speaker 2>They're relatively close, but that would say that's a relatively

550
00:27:21.359 --> 00:27:26.519
<v Speaker 2>more dramatic line. Also, his blast contact percentage four point

551
00:27:26.599 --> 00:27:29.400
<v Speaker 2>six percent as a lefty, fifteen point nine as a righty,

552
00:27:29.839 --> 00:27:33.279
<v Speaker 2>and his overall squared up contact percentage nine percent lower

553
00:27:33.400 --> 00:27:35.359
<v Speaker 2>as a lefty. So again, what I'm getting at is

554
00:27:35.440 --> 00:27:41.119
<v Speaker 2>like where he makes the prominent power side really struggle

555
00:27:41.200 --> 00:27:43.319
<v Speaker 2>this year, and he's got to make up the batting

556
00:27:43.319 --> 00:27:46.720
<v Speaker 2>average from the other side, and that swing's getting long again.

557
00:27:47.160 --> 00:27:49.559
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I wish I had correct answers here. I

558
00:27:49.640 --> 00:27:51.400
<v Speaker 2>feel like those are things I don't love.

559
00:27:51.799 --> 00:27:52.359
<v Speaker 3>I don't like.

560
00:27:52.480 --> 00:27:54.680
<v Speaker 2>Those are things that don't I'm not like, oh, hey,

561
00:27:55.240 --> 00:27:57.839
<v Speaker 2>you know, he's gonna pull this back around, Like he

562
00:27:57.880 --> 00:28:00.359
<v Speaker 2>does have a history. Just the year prior he was

563
00:28:00.400 --> 00:28:03.640
<v Speaker 2>really good. But I just don't know how how great

564
00:28:03.680 --> 00:28:05.680
<v Speaker 2>I feel about some of these things. Like maybe they're

565
00:28:05.720 --> 00:28:07.039
<v Speaker 2>learning how to pitch to him, so.

566
00:28:07.440 --> 00:28:11.279
<v Speaker 3>He's going around the other players are like James Wood.

567
00:28:11.759 --> 00:28:14.839
<v Speaker 3>Would you feel comfortable taking Ozzie over James Wood?

568
00:28:15.759 --> 00:28:16.920
<v Speaker 2>No, I'd rather have James Wood.

569
00:28:16.920 --> 00:28:19.880
<v Speaker 3>I think man a lot of pitchers. It's like Williams

570
00:28:19.960 --> 00:28:21.599
<v Speaker 3>Hater Crochet d as young Man.

571
00:28:22.160 --> 00:28:23.759
<v Speaker 2>I think he's in a tough spot. I think he's

572
00:28:23.799 --> 00:28:28.599
<v Speaker 2>in a tough spot. Shoreber or Ozzie m I don't know.

573
00:28:29.400 --> 00:28:32.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. Uh and then Al two base behind him. Well

574
00:28:32.279 --> 00:28:35.200
<v Speaker 3>let's just go there. Yeah, because he's the next guy. Anyway,

575
00:28:35.400 --> 00:28:37.480
<v Speaker 3>would you rather have Jose al Tube or would you

576
00:28:37.559 --> 00:28:38.519
<v Speaker 3>rather have Ozzie Alvis?

577
00:28:38.599 --> 00:28:40.559
<v Speaker 2>Well, I mean, let's do the breakdown before I even

578
00:28:40.599 --> 00:28:42.200
<v Speaker 2>start to say that again, I haven't I haven't even

579
00:28:42.200 --> 00:28:45.359
<v Speaker 2>gone through my second basement. So al tuve last year

580
00:28:45.519 --> 00:28:50.599
<v Speaker 2>two ninety five, twenty homers, twenty stolen bases. It was

581
00:28:50.759 --> 00:28:53.079
<v Speaker 2>three straight years of hitting at least two ninety five

582
00:28:53.200 --> 00:28:55.960
<v Speaker 2>or higher. But funny enough, he's just gonna be. He's

583
00:28:56.000 --> 00:28:58.599
<v Speaker 2>just one of these guys. Expect a batting average dramatically

584
00:28:58.640 --> 00:29:01.319
<v Speaker 2>lower every single year. So in twenty twenty he hit

585
00:29:01.400 --> 00:29:05.559
<v Speaker 2>three hundred XBA to twenty. I'm sorry, twenty twenty two,

586
00:29:07.039 --> 00:29:10.319
<v Speaker 2>three hundred expected batting average thirty points lower, two sixty nine.

587
00:29:10.559 --> 00:29:13.880
<v Speaker 2>Twenty twenty three hit three to eleven expected batting average

588
00:29:13.920 --> 00:29:16.240
<v Speaker 2>two forty five. This past year he hit two ninety five.

589
00:29:16.279 --> 00:29:20.160
<v Speaker 2>Expected was two sixty two. So it is like always

590
00:29:20.240 --> 00:29:23.079
<v Speaker 2>dramatically lower, so we can't really pick that apart. He dropped,

591
00:29:23.319 --> 00:29:25.400
<v Speaker 2>his barrel percentage went down, but he got the ball

592
00:29:25.480 --> 00:29:28.519
<v Speaker 2>in the air more again, which is really nice. He

593
00:29:29.440 --> 00:29:32.119
<v Speaker 2>this looks like the second lowest walk percentage of his career,

594
00:29:32.240 --> 00:29:34.400
<v Speaker 2>so that kind of dipped down a little bit, and

595
00:29:34.519 --> 00:29:38.039
<v Speaker 2>he didn't really pop off in any other statistical like

596
00:29:38.200 --> 00:29:42.119
<v Speaker 2>Baseball Savante, you know, type of percentile. But he was

597
00:29:42.200 --> 00:29:45.160
<v Speaker 2>a twenty twenty guy. He stole at a much higher clip.

598
00:29:45.240 --> 00:29:48.480
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the twenty two stolen bases were the highest

599
00:29:48.559 --> 00:29:52.640
<v Speaker 2>since two thousand and seventeen. He had not gone over twenty,

600
00:29:53.000 --> 00:29:55.160
<v Speaker 2>so he kind of made up for it in that standpoint.

601
00:29:56.720 --> 00:29:59.039
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, man, like maybe like al two Vay's

602
00:29:59.039 --> 00:30:01.960
<v Speaker 2>getting older. I don't want to be on the too

603
00:30:02.119 --> 00:30:05.160
<v Speaker 2>wrong side of it, you know, because it's like a

604
00:30:05.240 --> 00:30:08.359
<v Speaker 2>lot of these things look the same, like for sure, yeah, yeah,

605
00:30:08.440 --> 00:30:11.839
<v Speaker 2>Like his average X velocity's the same, maxiv's about the same.

606
00:30:12.440 --> 00:30:14.880
<v Speaker 2>He stopped barreling as much, but he got the ball

607
00:30:14.920 --> 00:30:16.759
<v Speaker 2>in the air. That to me, I'm like, okay, that's

608
00:30:16.799 --> 00:30:19.680
<v Speaker 2>like a compensation type of thing. He hit two eighty

609
00:30:19.799 --> 00:30:22.799
<v Speaker 2>or higher against the three major pitch types, which I

610
00:30:23.000 --> 00:30:25.880
<v Speaker 2>really loved to see, and he just kind of got

611
00:30:25.920 --> 00:30:28.920
<v Speaker 2>it in the air a little bit more. I don't know,

612
00:30:29.000 --> 00:30:30.920
<v Speaker 2>he's just so old, but I think like I would

613
00:30:30.960 --> 00:30:34.720
<v Speaker 2>probably rather Altuve at this point than than Ozzie. And

614
00:30:34.759 --> 00:30:36.599
<v Speaker 2>that might be reading too much into just some of

615
00:30:36.720 --> 00:30:38.480
<v Speaker 2>like the standard like primary.

616
00:30:38.279 --> 00:30:40.920
<v Speaker 3>I'm the same, I'm the same. I think I'd rather

617
00:30:40.960 --> 00:30:43.240
<v Speaker 3>have al two bay, although I do like the thing

618
00:30:43.279 --> 00:30:47.960
<v Speaker 3>I worry about this season is the power. Right, his

619
00:30:48.079 --> 00:30:51.480
<v Speaker 3>homer to fly ball rate was twelve percent, which is

620
00:30:51.599 --> 00:30:56.559
<v Speaker 3>his lowest sense twenty nineteen, twenty twenty actually, and then

621
00:30:56.680 --> 00:31:00.920
<v Speaker 3>before that, I guess twenty eighteen. But yeah, I mean

622
00:31:01.799 --> 00:31:04.640
<v Speaker 3>it's it's still above his average in his career. But

623
00:31:05.920 --> 00:31:07.759
<v Speaker 3>he did play one hundred and fifty three games this

624
00:31:07.880 --> 00:31:09.880
<v Speaker 3>year and only at twenty bombs. But I love the

625
00:31:09.960 --> 00:31:12.519
<v Speaker 3>twenty two stolen bases that got a new manager a spot.

626
00:31:12.599 --> 00:31:15.920
<v Speaker 3>I just ran more UH for the Astros this year,

627
00:31:16.079 --> 00:31:19.839
<v Speaker 3>and he was on the healthy end of that, so

628
00:31:20.519 --> 00:31:23.039
<v Speaker 3>being close to a twenty twenty, guy, you know, getting

629
00:31:23.039 --> 00:31:25.960
<v Speaker 3>those games back, which kind of we were starting to

630
00:31:26.039 --> 00:31:28.319
<v Speaker 3>question because he was getting older and he had, you know,

631
00:31:28.599 --> 00:31:30.880
<v Speaker 3>he broke his hand in the World Baseball Classic the

632
00:31:31.000 --> 00:31:34.000
<v Speaker 3>year before. But yeah, playing one hundred and fifty three

633
00:31:34.119 --> 00:31:37.519
<v Speaker 3>was impressive. Putting up these stolen bases again was impressive.

634
00:31:37.559 --> 00:31:40.039
<v Speaker 3>And doing it all with a decent batting average of

635
00:31:40.079 --> 00:31:43.000
<v Speaker 3>two ninety five still three hundred and three eleven two

636
00:31:43.079 --> 00:31:46.759
<v Speaker 3>ninety five, and his steamer projections are not very favorable

637
00:31:46.839 --> 00:31:51.039
<v Speaker 3>to that batting average two sixty eight. His expected stats.

638
00:31:51.119 --> 00:31:54.480
<v Speaker 3>Let me just take a look. His batting average was

639
00:31:54.480 --> 00:31:58.720
<v Speaker 3>two ninety five. He is the lowest qualified second basement

640
00:31:58.880 --> 00:32:02.799
<v Speaker 3>in terms of the batting average was projected and expected

641
00:32:02.839 --> 00:32:05.119
<v Speaker 3>at two sixty two, and he hit two ninety five,

642
00:32:05.400 --> 00:32:09.079
<v Speaker 3>So a thirty three point dip a lot. Yeah, well,

643
00:32:09.240 --> 00:32:11.119
<v Speaker 3>I guess I was looking at something else when you

644
00:32:11.160 --> 00:32:11.839
<v Speaker 3>were talking about Oh.

645
00:32:11.839 --> 00:32:13.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I was going I was going through the OK.

646
00:32:13.440 --> 00:32:15.319
<v Speaker 2>But that's kind of the thing where I'm saying, like,

647
00:32:15.920 --> 00:32:18.319
<v Speaker 2>I'm actually not surprised that the projections are low like that,

648
00:32:18.400 --> 00:32:20.880
<v Speaker 2>because projections are going to read off of like hard

649
00:32:20.920 --> 00:32:24.240
<v Speaker 2>to hit barrel and expected numbers and the expected numbers

650
00:32:24.559 --> 00:32:28.559
<v Speaker 2>are lower. It's funny though, because if you go a

651
00:32:28.640 --> 00:32:31.279
<v Speaker 2>three year average, buddy boys hit two ninety five or

652
00:32:31.319 --> 00:32:33.759
<v Speaker 2>higher for three straight years, so like to be under

653
00:32:34.079 --> 00:32:37.920
<v Speaker 2>So it's reading off of expected, but he overperforms his expected.

654
00:32:38.240 --> 00:32:41.799
<v Speaker 2>Another thing I see in here, you know that might

655
00:32:41.960 --> 00:32:43.680
<v Speaker 2>maybe breed a little bit of confidence when you're talking

656
00:32:43.720 --> 00:32:47.640
<v Speaker 2>about power. So he hit let me open this up here, Okay,

657
00:32:47.680 --> 00:32:49.119
<v Speaker 2>so this is interesting when I open it up a

658
00:32:49.119 --> 00:32:51.119
<v Speaker 2>little bit more, because I wasn't say last in twenty

659
00:32:51.240 --> 00:32:54.440
<v Speaker 2>twenty three, he hit thirteen homers against fastballs. He did

660
00:32:54.519 --> 00:32:59.319
<v Speaker 2>the same thing this year. What was different and positive

661
00:32:59.799 --> 00:33:02.279
<v Speaker 2>was he he had a better hard hit percentage against

662
00:33:02.319 --> 00:33:06.119
<v Speaker 2>four seams and sinkers than the previous year forty one

663
00:33:06.200 --> 00:33:11.640
<v Speaker 2>percent to thirty nine and twenty nine percent to twenty percent.

664
00:33:11.720 --> 00:33:13.960
<v Speaker 2>So you actually hit the ball harder against fastballs, which

665
00:33:14.000 --> 00:33:19.000
<v Speaker 2>is his primary fastball place. But when you expand in

666
00:33:19.240 --> 00:33:24.920
<v Speaker 2>the pitch types, he had hit twenty or more homers

667
00:33:24.960 --> 00:33:28.799
<v Speaker 2>against fastballs three straight years prior. So that's where he

668
00:33:28.960 --> 00:33:32.079
<v Speaker 2>makes his money, is off of because some guys will

669
00:33:32.119 --> 00:33:34.240
<v Speaker 2>have an even distribution. Because I don't want people to

670
00:33:34.240 --> 00:33:37.119
<v Speaker 2>be like, oh no, it's like no, that some guys

671
00:33:37.160 --> 00:33:40.119
<v Speaker 2>will like more evenly distribute some of that, like Altuve

672
00:33:40.359 --> 00:33:44.880
<v Speaker 2>does it off of fastballs. Why I'm encouraged is he

673
00:33:45.000 --> 00:33:47.960
<v Speaker 2>had the career high pole percentage, he lowered his ground

674
00:33:48.000 --> 00:33:51.960
<v Speaker 2>ball percentage, and he hit fastball types harder. I think

675
00:33:52.000 --> 00:33:54.119
<v Speaker 2>the age works against him, but I just wouldn't be

676
00:33:54.200 --> 00:33:56.240
<v Speaker 2>shocked if he pulls together another twenty. So I think

677
00:33:56.279 --> 00:33:59.920
<v Speaker 2>you have to have reasonable expectations. Twenty twenty, twenty fifteen

678
00:34:00.160 --> 00:34:02.039
<v Speaker 2>is probably a little bit. What are his projections right now?

679
00:34:02.160 --> 00:34:05.680
<v Speaker 2>What are like the counting stats, not the average? You're muted?

680
00:34:07.400 --> 00:34:09.119
<v Speaker 3>Sorry I was coughing. I went away from it, so

681
00:34:09.239 --> 00:34:10.239
<v Speaker 3>let me pull it back up here.

682
00:34:10.440 --> 00:34:13.039
<v Speaker 2>Oh okay, because because I'm curious, I would guess, like,

683
00:34:13.159 --> 00:34:15.000
<v Speaker 2>in my brain, I'm gonna I'm not looking at it,

684
00:34:15.559 --> 00:34:18.840
<v Speaker 2>twenty one homers and fourteen stolen bases.

685
00:34:18.920 --> 00:34:21.719
<v Speaker 3>What I'm gonna guess twenty one and nineteen. Oh kay,

686
00:34:21.760 --> 00:34:24.960
<v Speaker 3>so that's twenty two and nineteen excuse me? On Steamer

687
00:34:25.199 --> 00:34:26.440
<v Speaker 3>to sixty eight average.

688
00:34:26.639 --> 00:34:28.079
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so I don't care about the average on it.

689
00:34:28.119 --> 00:34:30.199
<v Speaker 2>I care about the counting stats. That's interesting if you've

690
00:34:30.199 --> 00:34:33.280
<v Speaker 2>ben come, because I think he every single year overperforms

691
00:34:33.519 --> 00:34:35.320
<v Speaker 2>his projected expected stuff.

692
00:34:35.400 --> 00:34:38.320
<v Speaker 3>They were missing Tucker for a huge grip of games

693
00:34:38.400 --> 00:34:41.400
<v Speaker 3>last year in this lineup, so getting him back will help,

694
00:34:41.679 --> 00:34:42.840
<v Speaker 3>you know, boost everything.

695
00:34:42.880 --> 00:34:45.280
<v Speaker 2>I feel like, yeah, because his RBI numbers are actually

696
00:34:45.639 --> 00:34:49.519
<v Speaker 2>RBI numbers. I even shocked at this in twenty twenty

697
00:34:49.559 --> 00:34:51.960
<v Speaker 2>two when he hit twenty eight homers. He had more

698
00:34:52.119 --> 00:34:54.679
<v Speaker 2>RBI this year than that year and he I mean

699
00:34:54.719 --> 00:34:56.719
<v Speaker 2>he played like twelve more games, but he still had

700
00:34:56.840 --> 00:34:57.440
<v Speaker 2>more RBI.

701
00:34:57.760 --> 00:34:59.320
<v Speaker 3>He only wasting lead off that year.

702
00:34:59.559 --> 00:35:02.039
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he had fifty seven RBIs of those twenty eight homers,

703
00:35:02.840 --> 00:35:06.360
<v Speaker 2>just more opportunities runs were ninety four was still pretty good.

704
00:35:06.679 --> 00:35:09.360
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, man, Like I kind of come back

705
00:35:09.400 --> 00:35:12.639
<v Speaker 2>to that. I feel like I saw more warning signs

706
00:35:13.039 --> 00:35:16.320
<v Speaker 2>out in Albi's though. It's a powerful lineup, but they've

707
00:35:16.360 --> 00:35:19.679
<v Speaker 2>had a pass of moving him around, and like, I

708
00:35:19.719 --> 00:35:24.559
<v Speaker 2>don't know, yeah, yeah, I mean, become an only left

709
00:35:24.599 --> 00:35:27.480
<v Speaker 2>handed hitter, Albi's please and focus on hitting the ball

710
00:35:27.559 --> 00:35:29.840
<v Speaker 2>better from an average standpoint, because that's where your power is.

711
00:35:30.239 --> 00:35:32.000
<v Speaker 2>I think that messes with him. I kind of think

712
00:35:32.039 --> 00:35:36.440
<v Speaker 2>there's a baseline of two eighty twenty fifteen for Altuve

713
00:35:36.599 --> 00:35:38.639
<v Speaker 2>with ninety plus runs. If I have to spend it

714
00:35:39.159 --> 00:35:41.119
<v Speaker 2>in the fifties pick. I think it's gonna I think

715
00:35:41.119 --> 00:35:41.880
<v Speaker 2>it's gonna be l tub.

716
00:35:42.360 --> 00:35:45.639
<v Speaker 3>But I guess my question is do you think you're

717
00:35:45.719 --> 00:35:48.000
<v Speaker 3>going to right, because no, I don't think I'll do

718
00:35:48.039 --> 00:35:50.480
<v Speaker 3>it with you. Yeah, I don't think either. I think

719
00:35:50.599 --> 00:35:52.800
<v Speaker 3>Marte is the only one, and he might cost a

720
00:35:52.800 --> 00:35:56.039
<v Speaker 3>little too much in that area as well. So I

721
00:35:56.079 --> 00:35:58.559
<v Speaker 3>don't know if this is the group of second Basement

722
00:35:58.599 --> 00:36:01.159
<v Speaker 3>I want to be picking from and they are the best,

723
00:36:01.599 --> 00:36:04.639
<v Speaker 3>but you know second base is not very good, So

724
00:36:04.800 --> 00:36:06.800
<v Speaker 3>I don't know. Do you feel after going over the

725
00:36:06.880 --> 00:36:09.000
<v Speaker 3>top three do you feel more or less encouraged about

726
00:36:09.000 --> 00:36:09.559
<v Speaker 3>second Base?

727
00:36:10.519 --> 00:36:13.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, right now I feel I think I feel fine,

728
00:36:14.119 --> 00:36:16.719
<v Speaker 2>but it'll start to be grosser. And that's why, Like

729
00:36:16.840 --> 00:36:19.760
<v Speaker 2>I think, once you get through the other names, that's

730
00:36:19.840 --> 00:36:22.679
<v Speaker 2>gonna help determine, like a little bit more like Katel

731
00:36:22.840 --> 00:36:24.559
<v Speaker 2>is the one. If you were like, you got to

732
00:36:24.599 --> 00:36:29.000
<v Speaker 2>spend pick thirty, Katel fifty or Albi's fifty seven for Altuve,

733
00:36:29.280 --> 00:36:31.320
<v Speaker 2>what are you doing, I'd be like, I'm doing it

734
00:36:31.440 --> 00:36:33.599
<v Speaker 2>for Catel. I'm doing it for Copel a hundred percent,

735
00:36:34.320 --> 00:36:38.480
<v Speaker 2>because you know, the oldest here is Altuve. Like I said,

736
00:36:38.519 --> 00:36:40.639
<v Speaker 2>the only thing I feel good about is regardless of

737
00:36:40.719 --> 00:36:43.000
<v Speaker 2>him getting older. It kind of seemed like three years

738
00:36:43.039 --> 00:36:46.519
<v Speaker 2>ago that age decline happened, and now this is the

739
00:36:46.599 --> 00:36:49.760
<v Speaker 2>new Altuve and there's nothing that's really changed year over

740
00:36:49.920 --> 00:36:52.920
<v Speaker 2>year for me to be like, I don't think. I

741
00:36:52.960 --> 00:36:54.800
<v Speaker 2>think he could repeat and he could have a nice

742
00:36:54.840 --> 00:36:56.719
<v Speaker 2>high average and maybe he even hits a few more

743
00:36:56.760 --> 00:36:59.840
<v Speaker 2>homers this coming year. That's a possibility. You just worry

744
00:36:59.880 --> 00:37:03.039
<v Speaker 2>that stops running, but the team seems to want him

745
00:37:03.039 --> 00:37:04.599
<v Speaker 2>to run a little bit. So let's go into the

746
00:37:04.639 --> 00:37:06.719
<v Speaker 2>next year, and this is like, this is the big change.

747
00:37:07.000 --> 00:37:09.280
<v Speaker 2>This is where things really move off. That was, you know,

748
00:37:09.400 --> 00:37:13.480
<v Speaker 2>fifty seven in now you jump to pick ninety. That's

749
00:37:13.559 --> 00:37:16.840
<v Speaker 2>the fourth second baseman on the primer we're going to

750
00:37:16.880 --> 00:37:19.159
<v Speaker 2>do here, and that is Marcus Simeon, who Marcus Simeon

751
00:37:19.360 --> 00:37:23.400
<v Speaker 2>was darling for everybody. Marcus Simeon was like essentially in

752
00:37:23.480 --> 00:37:26.679
<v Speaker 2>Kutel Marte's spot, and frankly, you know, maybe it's that

753
00:37:27.320 --> 00:37:30.000
<v Speaker 2>general spot. It's almost probably picked for pick that you

754
00:37:30.039 --> 00:37:33.880
<v Speaker 2>want to be careful of. Simeon homer potential was still there.

755
00:37:33.920 --> 00:37:36.960
<v Speaker 2>He had twenty three homers this past year. Stole late bases,

756
00:37:37.079 --> 00:37:39.719
<v Speaker 2>which definitely was a decline. I think that was the

757
00:37:39.960 --> 00:37:44.280
<v Speaker 2>lowest he's had since twenty twenty with those eight stolen bases,

758
00:37:44.360 --> 00:37:47.320
<v Speaker 2>and it was his lowest home run total since twenty

759
00:37:47.480 --> 00:37:50.719
<v Speaker 2>twenty one, where he hit forty five in twenty twenty one.

760
00:37:51.199 --> 00:37:53.280
<v Speaker 2>The biggest thing that jumps out to is the batting average.

761
00:37:53.360 --> 00:37:56.360
<v Speaker 2>It tanked down to two thirty seven. He scored over

762
00:37:56.400 --> 00:38:01.000
<v Speaker 2>one hundred runs. RBI opportunities weren't really there from if

763
00:38:01.039 --> 00:38:04.000
<v Speaker 2>I remember correctly, last year was a really nice savant page.

764
00:38:04.079 --> 00:38:07.480
<v Speaker 2>It looks pretty gross right now. Where he really thrives

765
00:38:07.760 --> 00:38:12.400
<v Speaker 2>is he is a higher walk doesn't chase doesn't strike out.

766
00:38:12.599 --> 00:38:15.840
<v Speaker 2>That kind of breeds to a points league player. But

767
00:38:16.199 --> 00:38:18.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, some of the counting stats struggled. I'll stop

768
00:38:18.840 --> 00:38:20.639
<v Speaker 2>there for a second, let you go, and I'll kind

769
00:38:20.679 --> 00:38:23.119
<v Speaker 2>of keep digging in here thoughts on Marcus Simeon.

770
00:38:23.400 --> 00:38:27.440
<v Speaker 3>It just that he's always consistently inconsistent, right, Like you know,

771
00:38:27.679 --> 00:38:30.000
<v Speaker 3>you look at this his splits from month to month.

772
00:38:30.119 --> 00:38:32.679
<v Speaker 3>It was two fifty eight and then two thirty nine,

773
00:38:32.800 --> 00:38:35.760
<v Speaker 3>not bad from April to May, down to two oh

774
00:38:35.880 --> 00:38:40.239
<v Speaker 3>two in June to two eighty seven in July back

775
00:38:40.320 --> 00:38:43.280
<v Speaker 3>to two oh seven in August and then two thirty one.

776
00:38:43.360 --> 00:38:45.360
<v Speaker 3>I mean it ends up looking okay a first hap,

777
00:38:45.400 --> 00:38:48.079
<v Speaker 3>second half splits two forty two to two thirty. But

778
00:38:48.760 --> 00:38:52.159
<v Speaker 3>you just the Marcus Simeon. Uh, you know, he will

779
00:38:52.239 --> 00:38:54.599
<v Speaker 3>carry you and then he will sink you. And that's

780
00:38:55.119 --> 00:38:59.800
<v Speaker 3>the inconsistency that I don't typically like in a daily league.

781
00:39:00.239 --> 00:39:02.039
<v Speaker 3>At least in a daily league, you can get him

782
00:39:02.039 --> 00:39:06.639
<v Speaker 3>out when he's struggling a little bit, so he's he's

783
00:39:06.719 --> 00:39:08.400
<v Speaker 3>a very good player at the end of the year.

784
00:39:08.440 --> 00:39:11.679
<v Speaker 3>That is frustrating in season, is how I just consistently

785
00:39:11.719 --> 00:39:12.880
<v Speaker 3>feel about Marcus Simeon.

786
00:39:13.639 --> 00:39:16.559
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm looking here. Uh, he barreled at the same rate.

787
00:39:17.039 --> 00:39:20.320
<v Speaker 2>His expected batting average was higher. There's a if we're

788
00:39:20.320 --> 00:39:22.320
<v Speaker 2>going to build some optimism that was it was higher

789
00:39:22.719 --> 00:39:26.039
<v Speaker 2>two fifty one. He still get he got the ball

790
00:39:26.079 --> 00:39:28.559
<v Speaker 2>in the air a little bit less nineteen the previous year.

791
00:39:28.639 --> 00:39:31.559
<v Speaker 2>He'd actually been over nineteen. Since twenty twenty, that fell

792
00:39:31.639 --> 00:39:34.360
<v Speaker 2>to seventeen, but that still went with a good barrel,

793
00:39:35.760 --> 00:39:38.320
<v Speaker 2>higher max the actually highest max ev of his career,

794
00:39:38.719 --> 00:39:41.440
<v Speaker 2>but one of the lower average evs. His hard hit

795
00:39:41.519 --> 00:39:44.760
<v Speaker 2>percentage went down by about two percent something to keep

796
00:39:44.760 --> 00:39:47.199
<v Speaker 2>an eye on, and he underperformed pretty much against every

797
00:39:47.320 --> 00:39:50.599
<v Speaker 2>single pitch type. He did a much better job on

798
00:39:51.440 --> 00:39:54.079
<v Speaker 2>breaking in off speed pitches. The previous year two seventy

799
00:39:54.119 --> 00:39:58.119
<v Speaker 2>six two fifty, his expected numbers were lower, but his

800
00:39:58.440 --> 00:40:01.079
<v Speaker 2>numbers this year were under the expected numbers from the

801
00:40:01.079 --> 00:40:04.559
<v Speaker 2>previous year, and those are trash. The fastballs though, two

802
00:40:04.639 --> 00:40:09.639
<v Speaker 2>fifty four against expected to ninety big launch degrees. He

803
00:40:09.719 --> 00:40:13.000
<v Speaker 2>gets under pull the ball the same lot more ground

804
00:40:13.079 --> 00:40:16.320
<v Speaker 2>balls as you might expect in there, and I'm just

805
00:40:16.360 --> 00:40:18.159
<v Speaker 2>trying to look if there's anything else. It's his own

806
00:40:18.480 --> 00:40:21.639
<v Speaker 2>swing percentage was up, contact percentage was the same. He

807
00:40:21.719 --> 00:40:24.079
<v Speaker 2>did chase more than he had done in some time.

808
00:40:25.119 --> 00:40:25.480
<v Speaker 3>I don't know.

809
00:40:25.880 --> 00:40:27.400
<v Speaker 2>I look at that and I think there might be

810
00:40:27.480 --> 00:40:29.679
<v Speaker 2>some optimism as far as like where he can hit.

811
00:40:29.719 --> 00:40:32.360
<v Speaker 2>I will say it looks like he underperformed Babbit Lois

812
00:40:32.440 --> 00:40:35.559
<v Speaker 2>Babbit of his entire career at two fifty, so that's

813
00:40:35.599 --> 00:40:38.519
<v Speaker 2>kind of a telling sign. Though he's not a three

814
00:40:38.599 --> 00:40:40.679
<v Speaker 2>hundred babbit guy, so it looks like there's a little

815
00:40:40.679 --> 00:40:45.119
<v Speaker 2>bit of underperformance there. I tend to think maybe he

816
00:40:45.239 --> 00:40:47.599
<v Speaker 2>is losing some of that big max power because he

817
00:40:47.760 --> 00:40:50.000
<v Speaker 2>was still barreling and not getting to it. But if

818
00:40:50.039 --> 00:40:52.800
<v Speaker 2>the batting average goes up, maybe he's a twenty five

819
00:40:52.920 --> 00:40:56.000
<v Speaker 2>homer ten stolen base and if you got Corey segerback

820
00:40:56.079 --> 00:40:59.079
<v Speaker 2>and White Langford's playing well, maybe you could get back to,

821
00:40:59.760 --> 00:41:01.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, hitting in some serious runs. I mean, Simeon

822
00:41:02.239 --> 00:41:04.119
<v Speaker 2>they like to run Simi and out as the leadoff

823
00:41:04.159 --> 00:41:06.239
<v Speaker 2>hitter and then they'll go Corey Seeger two.

824
00:41:06.800 --> 00:41:08.559
<v Speaker 3>Maybe they screw with that a little bit, so he's

825
00:41:08.679 --> 00:41:12.480
<v Speaker 3>more inconsistent. Altov without the stolen bases is kind when

826
00:41:12.519 --> 00:41:13.079
<v Speaker 3>you look at.

827
00:41:13.039 --> 00:41:18.559
<v Speaker 2>It well, and he scored one hundred runs with Seger

828
00:41:18.639 --> 00:41:21.360
<v Speaker 2>missing time too, so that's kind of like a semi

829
00:41:21.440 --> 00:41:24.840
<v Speaker 2>positive in there. I think there might be something there

830
00:41:24.880 --> 00:41:28.159
<v Speaker 2>with him. But when you look at like his slug

831
00:41:28.400 --> 00:41:31.599
<v Speaker 2>was down, his wOBA was down. His hard hit by

832
00:41:31.639 --> 00:41:35.000
<v Speaker 2>the way, I mean, I understold it bottom twenty two

833
00:41:35.039 --> 00:41:37.800
<v Speaker 2>percentile of the league. That's essentially like the bottom fifth

834
00:41:37.840 --> 00:41:39.880
<v Speaker 2>of the league is as his hard hit. He never

835
00:41:40.039 --> 00:41:41.920
<v Speaker 2>was a big hard hit guy. I guess in general,

836
00:41:42.199 --> 00:41:44.480
<v Speaker 2>he reminds me of remember the conversations we had last

837
00:41:44.519 --> 00:41:48.079
<v Speaker 2>year with like C. J. Abrams and Hassan Kim, where

838
00:41:48.320 --> 00:41:50.199
<v Speaker 2>I was a little picky on them where it was like, man,

839
00:41:50.280 --> 00:41:53.599
<v Speaker 2>these guys they don't barrel, they don't hit the ball hard.

840
00:41:54.079 --> 00:41:56.440
<v Speaker 2>But what they do is they get they optimized by

841
00:41:56.679 --> 00:41:58.599
<v Speaker 2>just getting the ball in the freaking air. And some

842
00:41:58.719 --> 00:42:00.519
<v Speaker 2>guys can do that. And I felt like that's something

843
00:42:00.679 --> 00:42:04.719
<v Speaker 2>hard to keep repeating, but I don't know. Some of

844
00:42:04.760 --> 00:42:06.519
<v Speaker 2>these guys just do it. And Simeon has been doing

845
00:42:06.559 --> 00:42:06.960
<v Speaker 2>it forever.

846
00:42:07.119 --> 00:42:10.679
<v Speaker 3>Dudes had like a I mean again, he goes on

847
00:42:10.760 --> 00:42:13.760
<v Speaker 3>these hot white hot. He cannot miss the ball. We

848
00:42:13.880 --> 00:42:16.039
<v Speaker 3>saw it even in the World Series last year, right

849
00:42:16.280 --> 00:42:18.480
<v Speaker 3>whereas like the first three games he did nothing and

850
00:42:18.519 --> 00:42:22.679
<v Speaker 3>then the last two he was crushing it. So he

851
00:42:22.920 --> 00:42:25.519
<v Speaker 3>just he is an up and down player. He's inconsistent.

852
00:42:25.719 --> 00:42:27.639
<v Speaker 3>He's the numbers at the end of the year are

853
00:42:27.679 --> 00:42:32.079
<v Speaker 3>pretty consistent. But the daily grind with Simeon is he

854
00:42:32.239 --> 00:42:34.800
<v Speaker 3>is going to be wildly inconsistent. He's going to go

855
00:42:34.840 --> 00:42:37.039
<v Speaker 3>through high highs and low lows. It has always been

856
00:42:37.079 --> 00:42:37.719
<v Speaker 3>that way for him.

857
00:42:38.239 --> 00:42:41.199
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, what I do like about it is he's coming

858
00:42:41.239 --> 00:42:45.159
<v Speaker 2>at a cheaper cost. This is another one of those likes. Ozzie,

859
00:42:45.199 --> 00:42:49.159
<v Speaker 2>by the way, he just really struggled against Righty's I mean,

860
00:42:49.599 --> 00:42:53.719
<v Speaker 2>let's see twenty twenty one. It is the lowest he's

861
00:42:53.880 --> 00:42:57.519
<v Speaker 2>hit against rdy since twenty twenty and that's where like

862
00:42:57.599 --> 00:42:59.840
<v Speaker 2>a lot of power comes from from him, and he

863
00:43:00.000 --> 00:43:02.039
<v Speaker 2>only hit two twenty eight. He had eighteen homers against

864
00:43:02.079 --> 00:43:04.559
<v Speaker 2>ridies this year while hitting only two twenty eight. So like,

865
00:43:04.679 --> 00:43:08.360
<v Speaker 2>if you have low babbit, maybe you can you could

866
00:43:08.440 --> 00:43:11.719
<v Speaker 2>foresee that and you, by the way, you hadn't expected

867
00:43:11.719 --> 00:43:15.400
<v Speaker 2>batting average higher against fastballs. That the low babbit higher

868
00:43:15.519 --> 00:43:18.559
<v Speaker 2>XB against fastballs, and your predominant power in there, maybe

869
00:43:18.599 --> 00:43:20.360
<v Speaker 2>some of that power comes. I kind of don't buy

870
00:43:20.400 --> 00:43:23.119
<v Speaker 2>the batting average going up too high. So two fifty

871
00:43:23.840 --> 00:43:26.920
<v Speaker 2>call it twenty five homers. What's his steamer projection.

872
00:43:28.239 --> 00:43:34.280
<v Speaker 3>On? Simeon? Yeah, uh, simeon steamer projection currently is this

873
00:43:34.440 --> 00:43:36.519
<v Speaker 3>thing he wants to take forever to load. I had

874
00:43:36.599 --> 00:43:38.880
<v Speaker 3>like just clicked away from it. Two fifty three, ninety

875
00:43:38.920 --> 00:43:42.679
<v Speaker 3>four runs, twenty five homers, seventy three RBI, and twelve

876
00:43:42.760 --> 00:43:43.519
<v Speaker 3>stolen bases.

877
00:43:43.719 --> 00:43:46.000
<v Speaker 2>That's almost is exactly what I said. I actually think

878
00:43:46.079 --> 00:43:49.760
<v Speaker 2>that is palatable at ninety that like that late pick that.

879
00:43:50.119 --> 00:43:52.199
<v Speaker 3>Like I would rather have that at ninety than Altuve

880
00:43:52.320 --> 00:43:54.880
<v Speaker 3>at fifty seven or fifty five or whatever he was,

881
00:43:55.320 --> 00:43:55.840
<v Speaker 3>So I.

882
00:43:55.880 --> 00:43:58.760
<v Speaker 2>Think I agree, and Albi's I think it's Kutel and

883
00:43:58.840 --> 00:44:01.000
<v Speaker 2>then it moves on to Simeon. Let's go to another

884
00:44:01.039 --> 00:44:03.800
<v Speaker 2>one that's exciting. So this guy is in this, I

885
00:44:03.840 --> 00:44:08.159
<v Speaker 2>guess there's a couple guys in this this four to five. Yeah,

886
00:44:08.159 --> 00:44:09.719
<v Speaker 2>And I think a lot of people are gonna like,

887
00:44:09.760 --> 00:44:11.960
<v Speaker 2>we'll have to see where he goes. It's Jordan Westberg.

888
00:44:12.360 --> 00:44:15.199
<v Speaker 2>Who Jordan Westburg is just outside the top one hundred

889
00:44:16.159 --> 00:44:18.800
<v Speaker 2>eighteen homers in a little over four hundred bats, six

890
00:44:18.880 --> 00:44:21.880
<v Speaker 2>dolen bases, he hit two sixty four. That batting average

891
00:44:21.880 --> 00:44:23.639
<v Speaker 2>carried over from the year prior, where he had like

892
00:44:23.639 --> 00:44:27.400
<v Speaker 2>two hundred at bats. Great barrel percentage numbers eleven point

893
00:44:27.440 --> 00:44:31.679
<v Speaker 2>eight percent love it. He raised his hard hit percentage

894
00:44:31.719 --> 00:44:34.320
<v Speaker 2>year over a year to above average forty six point

895
00:44:34.360 --> 00:44:34.840
<v Speaker 2>one percent.

896
00:44:35.559 --> 00:44:35.840
<v Speaker 3>Love it.

897
00:44:36.199 --> 00:44:38.920
<v Speaker 2>His expected batting average higher than his batting average. Love it.

898
00:44:39.079 --> 00:44:42.480
<v Speaker 2>Why do those all things equate to like higher expected numbers?

899
00:44:42.519 --> 00:44:46.880
<v Speaker 2>Because that is a red baseball savant page Top twelve

900
00:44:46.960 --> 00:44:51.199
<v Speaker 2>percent tile x wOBA XBA x slug, top twentieth percentile

901
00:44:51.239 --> 00:44:54.239
<v Speaker 2>of average ex velocity and barrel percentage Top twenty four

902
00:44:54.280 --> 00:44:56.679
<v Speaker 2>in the league and hard hit percentage, and he had

903
00:44:56.719 --> 00:45:00.639
<v Speaker 2>a top nine percentile sprint speed dudes, fast dude to

904
00:45:00.760 --> 00:45:03.440
<v Speaker 2>hit the ball consistently hit it hard by the way,

905
00:45:03.760 --> 00:45:06.800
<v Speaker 2>twenty one point seven percent k percentage, which lowered from

906
00:45:06.840 --> 00:45:10.599
<v Speaker 2>the year over year. Anybody who starts to do research

907
00:45:10.679 --> 00:45:14.000
<v Speaker 2>on the position, we're gonna love Jordan Westburg. The thing is,

908
00:45:14.119 --> 00:45:17.039
<v Speaker 2>we're gonna hope that we don't get fooled. But man,

909
00:45:17.119 --> 00:45:19.320
<v Speaker 2>I will tell you Westburg, if he is outside the

910
00:45:19.360 --> 00:45:22.239
<v Speaker 2>top one hundred, he's gonna be all of our targets.

911
00:45:22.400 --> 00:45:24.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. I mean, you didn't even mention his expected stats

912
00:45:24.880 --> 00:45:28.239
<v Speaker 3>like his batting average. Uh you know, I was expected

913
00:45:28.239 --> 00:45:31.400
<v Speaker 3>to be to eighty one though too sixty four, so

914
00:45:31.679 --> 00:45:36.039
<v Speaker 3>seventeen points higher. And you know, you you look at

915
00:45:36.039 --> 00:45:38.159
<v Speaker 3>the splits and everything. What was bad about his game?

916
00:45:38.199 --> 00:45:40.280
<v Speaker 3>What was the second half? But the second he had

917
00:45:40.320 --> 00:45:43.239
<v Speaker 3>the hand injury July thirty. First, he didn't play it

918
00:45:43.320 --> 00:45:45.400
<v Speaker 3>all in August. He only played six games to finish

919
00:45:45.440 --> 00:45:47.920
<v Speaker 3>the season, so he never really got he was slowing

920
00:45:48.000 --> 00:45:49.559
<v Speaker 3>down a little bit in July that I think the

921
00:45:49.599 --> 00:45:52.280
<v Speaker 3>batting average was down at like two thirty two. But

922
00:45:53.039 --> 00:45:55.400
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, man, everything just seems wheels up as

923
00:45:55.440 --> 00:45:59.039
<v Speaker 3>a young player that's still figuring everything out. And I

924
00:45:59.239 --> 00:46:02.079
<v Speaker 3>just in this third year, this is where it really

925
00:46:02.159 --> 00:46:05.360
<v Speaker 3>should take off. So like you said, I think I

926
00:46:05.440 --> 00:46:08.679
<v Speaker 3>think the cost is going to start to rise the

927
00:46:08.760 --> 00:46:12.519
<v Speaker 3>closer we get to actual draft season here. But yeah,

928
00:46:12.639 --> 00:46:16.840
<v Speaker 3>he's a good investment, and I just there's not a

929
00:46:16.880 --> 00:46:19.880
<v Speaker 3>lot to poke holes in and dislike with Westbroog.

930
00:46:19.519 --> 00:46:21.599
<v Speaker 2>Right now, Yeah, and I got something there.

931
00:46:21.679 --> 00:46:23.480
<v Speaker 3>He qualifies as second and third by the way.

932
00:46:23.920 --> 00:46:26.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he he did struggle on the second half, as

933
00:46:26.320 --> 00:46:27.320
<v Speaker 2>you mentioned, but he.

934
00:46:27.360 --> 00:46:30.960
<v Speaker 3>Only played six games in uh like in September. He

935
00:46:30.960 --> 00:46:32.880
<v Speaker 3>didn't play it all in August and that so that

936
00:46:33.000 --> 00:46:36.320
<v Speaker 3>second half is really those six games and then the

937
00:46:36.400 --> 00:46:37.800
<v Speaker 3>two weeks after the All Star Game.

938
00:46:38.159 --> 00:46:40.199
<v Speaker 2>Now here's something to pay attention to. But this works

939
00:46:40.239 --> 00:46:43.360
<v Speaker 2>positively and negatively, got big home road splits. His power

940
00:46:43.519 --> 00:46:45.880
<v Speaker 2>was the same, but he hit over three hundred at

941
00:46:45.920 --> 00:46:48.679
<v Speaker 2>home and he hit two twenty eight on the road.

942
00:46:49.440 --> 00:46:52.360
<v Speaker 2>But here is so that's like a negative. But here's

943
00:46:52.360 --> 00:46:55.320
<v Speaker 2>where the positive comes in. The Orioles are looking at

944
00:46:55.440 --> 00:46:58.000
<v Speaker 2>changing the left field dimensions to make it more hitter

945
00:46:58.119 --> 00:47:01.760
<v Speaker 2>friendly for right handed hitters. They made left field more

946
00:47:02.199 --> 00:47:04.639
<v Speaker 2>pitcher friendly, which is why you see like expected numbers.

947
00:47:04.960 --> 00:47:08.599
<v Speaker 2>They are changing the dimensions and that could be something

948
00:47:08.639 --> 00:47:12.840
<v Speaker 2>good for Westbrook. Except this he was like a dead

949
00:47:13.119 --> 00:47:16.039
<v Speaker 2>center center field type of power hitter. He actually had

950
00:47:16.039 --> 00:47:18.679
<v Speaker 2>a really bad poll percentage, So like what I'm getting

951
00:47:18.679 --> 00:47:20.639
<v Speaker 2>at is it's gonna be something to watch. He was

952
00:47:20.719 --> 00:47:23.280
<v Speaker 2>forty five in his rookie year. Then he just started

953
00:47:23.400 --> 00:47:28.719
<v Speaker 2>like middle fielding everything thirty eight percent pole percentage. So

954
00:47:28.880 --> 00:47:32.599
<v Speaker 2>you wonder and you hope, like, don't change yourself too much,

955
00:47:33.239 --> 00:47:35.480
<v Speaker 2>but if you pull the ball more, you're going to

956
00:47:35.559 --> 00:47:37.679
<v Speaker 2>probably see more homers. And he gets a ball in

957
00:47:37.679 --> 00:47:41.039
<v Speaker 2>their thirteen degree launch angle, which you absolutely love to see.

958
00:47:41.719 --> 00:47:43.960
<v Speaker 2>So you know, if there is a if a change

959
00:47:44.000 --> 00:47:46.440
<v Speaker 2>in that pole percentage for the positive, we love that

960
00:47:46.639 --> 00:47:48.599
<v Speaker 2>his chase rate was a little bit higher. That's something

961
00:47:48.639 --> 00:47:51.239
<v Speaker 2>to watch out for. And kind of a low ze

962
00:47:51.639 --> 00:47:54.639
<v Speaker 2>zone contact percentage. It was under eighty percent, so that's

963
00:47:54.719 --> 00:47:58.079
<v Speaker 2>like below average, So you know that makes me think

964
00:47:58.920 --> 00:48:00.559
<v Speaker 2>I want to look at his bad and see was

965
00:48:00.599 --> 00:48:02.960
<v Speaker 2>at high No. Three zero five. That's like a he

966
00:48:03.039 --> 00:48:05.199
<v Speaker 2>was three thirty five the year before. That looks pretty good.

967
00:48:05.960 --> 00:48:08.559
<v Speaker 2>It's hard to pick the knits, like the home road

968
00:48:08.679 --> 00:48:10.880
<v Speaker 2>split would be one, but then I would go, well,

969
00:48:11.119 --> 00:48:13.039
<v Speaker 2>you know, the home park is going to get even better.

970
00:48:13.119 --> 00:48:15.360
<v Speaker 2>He did struggle against lefties a little bit this year,

971
00:48:15.400 --> 00:48:18.960
<v Speaker 2>he only hit two thirty. He really dominated right handed hitters.

972
00:48:19.679 --> 00:48:22.159
<v Speaker 2>That can tend to maybe change a little bit, but

973
00:48:22.719 --> 00:48:25.480
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, there's some good balance in Like if

974
00:48:25.519 --> 00:48:27.880
<v Speaker 2>he struggled with fastballs a little bit, he still hit

975
00:48:27.880 --> 00:48:32.000
<v Speaker 2>almost two fifty against breaking pitches. He crushed EV's highest

976
00:48:32.039 --> 00:48:35.119
<v Speaker 2>EV was against off speed pitches this year. Dude, he's

977
00:48:35.159 --> 00:48:36.639
<v Speaker 2>a trip. I don't know how we're not going to

978
00:48:36.679 --> 00:48:38.280
<v Speaker 2>love him. And the ballpark factor is going to just

979
00:48:38.360 --> 00:48:41.280
<v Speaker 2>make left field even better. So what what are his projections?

980
00:48:41.920 --> 00:48:42.599
<v Speaker 3>You want to guess?

981
00:48:43.320 --> 00:48:46.800
<v Speaker 2>Yes I do. Let's see eighteen homers in four hundred.

982
00:48:46.840 --> 00:48:52.639
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to guess twenty six homers. What's the stolen bases?

983
00:48:52.840 --> 00:48:55.840
<v Speaker 2>Six twenty six homers? Ten stolen bases with a two

984
00:48:56.519 --> 00:49:00.800
<v Speaker 2>it was two dy one with a two sixty eight average.

985
00:49:00.920 --> 00:49:04.559
<v Speaker 3>Two sixty one, nineteen homers and only eight stone or

986
00:49:04.679 --> 00:49:07.480
<v Speaker 3>only nineteen homers and eight stone bases. So I'm the

987
00:49:07.599 --> 00:49:09.719
<v Speaker 3>homers is all that you were off of? And look

988
00:49:09.760 --> 00:49:11.599
<v Speaker 3>if they're bringing the fence in a little you know,

989
00:49:11.679 --> 00:49:12.920
<v Speaker 3>it's not gonna be a one for one and like

990
00:49:13.000 --> 00:49:16.079
<v Speaker 3>it was before, but they are bringing it in, so uh,

991
00:49:16.559 --> 00:49:18.840
<v Speaker 3>they're going to bring the fence in. Hopefully it gets

992
00:49:18.840 --> 00:49:20.679
<v Speaker 3>a little bit better on the road, as you mentioned,

993
00:49:20.719 --> 00:49:23.519
<v Speaker 3>but you know, his splits are more positive towards right.

994
00:49:23.599 --> 00:49:26.559
<v Speaker 3>He's two seventy five vers right. He's against two thirty

995
00:49:26.840 --> 00:49:29.480
<v Speaker 3>first lefties. We'll take that all day. Most pictures are righty,

996
00:49:29.639 --> 00:49:34.039
<v Speaker 3>So yeah, I mean, I just there's room for growth

997
00:49:34.119 --> 00:49:37.159
<v Speaker 3>here for him. Thirteen homers against righties as well and

998
00:49:37.239 --> 00:49:40.960
<v Speaker 3>only five against lefties, So yeah, I mean, I Jordan

999
00:49:41.000 --> 00:49:43.599
<v Speaker 3>Westburg is definitely a player that's going to start moving up.

1000
00:49:43.920 --> 00:49:46.480
<v Speaker 3>Once people start doing their dives and they're digging, he's

1001
00:49:46.519 --> 00:49:48.239
<v Speaker 3>going to start picking up and up and up.

1002
00:49:48.239 --> 00:49:50.159
<v Speaker 2>I feel like it'd be really interesting to watch, though,

1003
00:49:50.159 --> 00:49:53.440
<v Speaker 2>because eight of his homers did go opposite field and

1004
00:49:53.719 --> 00:49:55.599
<v Speaker 2>he really just didn't pull like you want to talk

1005
00:49:55.639 --> 00:49:58.280
<v Speaker 2>about true pulling. It looks like two of those homers

1006
00:49:58.360 --> 00:50:00.960
<v Speaker 2>maybe let me call it four, or we're like actual

1007
00:50:01.159 --> 00:50:03.920
<v Speaker 2>big pull homers. And if I'm looking at the chart,

1008
00:50:04.000 --> 00:50:07.639
<v Speaker 2>I maybe see three hits that could have been homers

1009
00:50:07.679 --> 00:50:09.840
<v Speaker 2>on that side. But it's hard to be like, you know,

1010
00:50:09.920 --> 00:50:12.519
<v Speaker 2>can you repeat opposite field stuff? So I don't know

1011
00:50:12.760 --> 00:50:15.000
<v Speaker 2>either way. Like I think the cost is just really nice.

1012
00:50:15.039 --> 00:50:17.880
<v Speaker 2>I think I will bet you right now that once

1013
00:50:18.000 --> 00:50:21.679
<v Speaker 2>we get like what is it ATC and stuff and

1014
00:50:21.920 --> 00:50:25.000
<v Speaker 2>what's the what's CARDI? I'm completely blanking on CARDI is ATC?

1015
00:50:25.199 --> 00:50:27.360
<v Speaker 3>Is he not? No? The bat?

1016
00:50:27.519 --> 00:50:29.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the bat, the bat, I will bet you those

1017
00:50:29.800 --> 00:50:32.159
<v Speaker 2>are going to be more aggressive on his power. I

1018
00:50:32.280 --> 00:50:34.960
<v Speaker 2>fully believe that. Next up on the list is a

1019
00:50:35.000 --> 00:50:36.960
<v Speaker 2>guy that I just watched a ton of in the AFL.

1020
00:50:37.280 --> 00:50:39.880
<v Speaker 2>He is around one fifteen, he is six. We've only

1021
00:50:39.920 --> 00:50:41.559
<v Speaker 2>got to six here. But that's why things are going

1022
00:50:41.599 --> 00:50:44.280
<v Speaker 2>to get plowing, Matt McClain. We really don't have a

1023
00:50:44.440 --> 00:50:46.599
<v Speaker 2>ton to go off of because we're looking what.

1024
00:50:46.679 --> 00:50:48.920
<v Speaker 3>Did you see? What do you see from the AFL?

1025
00:50:49.039 --> 00:50:49.840
<v Speaker 3>That's what I want to know.

1026
00:50:50.119 --> 00:50:52.519
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, yeah, one hundred percent because the only twenty

1027
00:50:52.760 --> 00:50:56.000
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty three numbers we had it was sixteen fourteen,

1028
00:50:56.360 --> 00:50:59.960
<v Speaker 2>two ninety league average ish like decent barrel and stuf.

1029
00:51:00.159 --> 00:51:03.599
<v Speaker 2>So in the AFL he played multiple positions. He played

1030
00:51:03.679 --> 00:51:06.800
<v Speaker 2>center field, which I mean they moved they traded India.

1031
00:51:07.559 --> 00:51:08.960
<v Speaker 2>But I don't know if that's a one hundred percent

1032
00:51:09.119 --> 00:51:11.159
<v Speaker 2>just from mcclan They played him, and they played mclan

1033
00:51:11.199 --> 00:51:14.039
<v Speaker 2>at third, short, second, Well, I think you know he

1034
00:51:14.079 --> 00:51:17.320
<v Speaker 2>didn't play short. He played second, third and center field

1035
00:51:17.440 --> 00:51:22.079
<v Speaker 2>out there. My problem with him is that twenty eight

1036
00:51:22.119 --> 00:51:24.920
<v Speaker 2>point five percent k percent from twenty twenty three that

1037
00:51:25.119 --> 00:51:28.519
<v Speaker 2>is still in play. Nude was wild swinging still, I

1038
00:51:28.559 --> 00:51:31.719
<v Speaker 2>mean he was. I'm trying to yeah, argue no, not

1039
00:51:31.800 --> 00:51:34.199
<v Speaker 2>even he was the most pro guy there. He had

1040
00:51:34.239 --> 00:51:36.880
<v Speaker 2>the most pro at bats and he was I mean guy,

1041
00:51:37.000 --> 00:51:40.880
<v Speaker 2>you can get him high on high fastballs. Incredible bat speed,

1042
00:51:40.920 --> 00:51:42.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, what was We don't have bat speed numbers,

1043
00:51:42.920 --> 00:51:44.800
<v Speaker 2>but I will bet you he's above league average and

1044
00:51:44.880 --> 00:51:48.400
<v Speaker 2>bat speed. He's still got a major strikeout issue. He

1045
00:51:48.519 --> 00:51:50.480
<v Speaker 2>does try to get the ball in the air. If

1046
00:51:50.519 --> 00:51:53.960
<v Speaker 2>he barrels, that's going to help him. But I am

1047
00:51:54.039 --> 00:51:57.760
<v Speaker 2>worried that the batting average his XBA from that twenty

1048
00:51:57.880 --> 00:52:02.440
<v Speaker 2>twenty three season was about thirty points lower. I'm worried

1049
00:52:02.519 --> 00:52:04.719
<v Speaker 2>he's more of a two forty two fifty hitter with

1050
00:52:04.840 --> 00:52:08.400
<v Speaker 2>high strikeouts. But like dude, freaking runs. He hit a

1051
00:52:08.440 --> 00:52:10.440
<v Speaker 2>couple homers when he was out there. I think those

1052
00:52:10.480 --> 00:52:12.840
<v Speaker 2>are things to be excited about, but it is really

1053
00:52:12.920 --> 00:52:15.639
<v Speaker 2>hard to to look at him and be like, you know,

1054
00:52:15.719 --> 00:52:17.239
<v Speaker 2>he hasn't played any year, what the hell is he

1055
00:52:17.320 --> 00:52:19.559
<v Speaker 2>going to do? Yeah, it looked like he was trying

1056
00:52:19.599 --> 00:52:21.119
<v Speaker 2>to pull the ball a little bit more out here,

1057
00:52:21.280 --> 00:52:23.880
<v Speaker 2>like he was more aggressive in that standpoint. He didn't

1058
00:52:23.960 --> 00:52:26.719
<v Speaker 2>pull the ball. Only five of his sixteen homers were

1059
00:52:26.760 --> 00:52:29.639
<v Speaker 2>even on like the left field side. It was a

1060
00:52:29.760 --> 00:52:32.320
<v Speaker 2>whole bunch of opposite field stuff he hit in that

1061
00:52:32.400 --> 00:52:34.239
<v Speaker 2>first year. And then let's look at.

1062
00:52:34.159 --> 00:52:35.000
<v Speaker 3>Well, he's in Sincy.

1063
00:52:35.320 --> 00:52:36.639
<v Speaker 2>You know it's yeah, I wanted to look at that

1064
00:52:36.840 --> 00:52:39.760
<v Speaker 2>shoe box. Ten of his six homers came from Cincinnati,

1065
00:52:39.840 --> 00:52:41.880
<v Speaker 2>probably all those opposite field ones, and he hit three

1066
00:52:42.000 --> 00:52:45.000
<v Speaker 2>h four. I'm not as optimistic about Matt McClain, if

1067
00:52:45.039 --> 00:52:48.000
<v Speaker 2>I'm being brutally honest. I remember you and I having

1068
00:52:48.039 --> 00:52:50.199
<v Speaker 2>the conversation last year in the Ranks episode. It was like,

1069
00:52:50.280 --> 00:52:51.679
<v Speaker 2>freaking mout McClain, let's go.

1070
00:52:51.880 --> 00:52:54.880
<v Speaker 3>I was excited, man, And yeah, obviously the shoulder injury

1071
00:52:54.960 --> 00:52:57.880
<v Speaker 3>just screwed the whole year for him. So I I

1072
00:52:59.320 --> 00:53:01.559
<v Speaker 3>was hoping we get maybe a little more of a

1073
00:53:01.639 --> 00:53:05.119
<v Speaker 3>discount on McLean, but no such luck. I still think

1074
00:53:05.159 --> 00:53:06.000
<v Speaker 3>I'm pretty.

1075
00:53:05.960 --> 00:53:08.159
<v Speaker 2>You hate the discount. I mean it's it's it's kind

1076
00:53:08.199 --> 00:53:08.599
<v Speaker 2>of decent.

1077
00:53:09.000 --> 00:53:12.159
<v Speaker 3>I mean post one hundred is fine, So it's fine.

1078
00:53:12.159 --> 00:53:14.960
<v Speaker 3>I was just hoping for a little bit more. Maybe

1079
00:53:15.039 --> 00:53:17.840
<v Speaker 3>with Garcia's good year, Terrain's good year, he would go

1080
00:53:18.239 --> 00:53:21.480
<v Speaker 3>fulow those guys. But no such luck there. But you know,

1081
00:53:22.119 --> 00:53:25.880
<v Speaker 3>maybe he's gonna qualify multiple positions too. We'll see what happens.

1082
00:53:25.920 --> 00:53:28.039
<v Speaker 3>As you said, they're bouncing them around all over the place.

1083
00:53:28.119 --> 00:53:30.559
<v Speaker 3>But I like, I just I want to see him

1084
00:53:30.599 --> 00:53:33.159
<v Speaker 3>back hitting because the lineup has gotten better and since

1085
00:53:33.199 --> 00:53:36.079
<v Speaker 3>he as well. So, uh, there's just there's a lot

1086
00:53:36.159 --> 00:53:38.119
<v Speaker 3>there for Matt McLean. So I think I'm going to

1087
00:53:38.199 --> 00:53:40.360
<v Speaker 3>be back in, maybe not as aggressive as I was

1088
00:53:40.480 --> 00:53:43.559
<v Speaker 3>last year, which you know, thank god we hold our

1089
00:53:43.599 --> 00:53:46.119
<v Speaker 3>drafts late for the most part. But yeah, last year,

1090
00:53:46.440 --> 00:53:51.119
<v Speaker 3>uh sucked. But I think he's gonna be pretty decent.

1091
00:53:51.159 --> 00:53:53.280
<v Speaker 3>But like you said, I I expect with this high

1092
00:53:53.280 --> 00:53:55.880
<v Speaker 3>strike strikeout rate at batting average come down this two

1093
00:53:56.000 --> 00:53:59.880
<v Speaker 3>nineties not realistic. You know, It's projections right now are

1094
00:54:00.000 --> 00:54:03.480
<v Speaker 3>a uh two sixty with twenty five homers an eighteen

1095
00:54:03.519 --> 00:54:04.239
<v Speaker 3>solen bases.

1096
00:54:04.400 --> 00:54:06.119
<v Speaker 2>So and I think me too high.

1097
00:54:06.679 --> 00:54:07.599
<v Speaker 3>You think it's too high.

1098
00:54:07.800 --> 00:54:09.519
<v Speaker 2>I think that's just too high. Like I don't know

1099
00:54:10.440 --> 00:54:12.599
<v Speaker 2>for just the version that but see, here's the problem.

1100
00:54:12.639 --> 00:54:15.039
<v Speaker 2>The version that I saw was a Matt McClain that

1101
00:54:15.280 --> 00:54:17.480
<v Speaker 2>hadn't done anything the whole year. I saw him in

1102
00:54:17.800 --> 00:54:21.679
<v Speaker 2>instructs before the AFL and he was just getting going

1103
00:54:21.760 --> 00:54:23.559
<v Speaker 2>and you know, so like he didn't have big reps,

1104
00:54:23.559 --> 00:54:26.519
<v Speaker 2>so he can't pick too much into it. Like there

1105
00:54:26.679 --> 00:54:29.320
<v Speaker 2>the skills are still there. Dude can fly, but he's

1106
00:54:29.400 --> 00:54:32.360
<v Speaker 2>just very hyper aggressive, and I just don't know what

1107
00:54:32.400 --> 00:54:34.039
<v Speaker 2>that's going to look like. I'm really worried about the

1108
00:54:34.119 --> 00:54:36.000
<v Speaker 2>batting average, but he does feel like a guy that

1109
00:54:36.039 --> 00:54:38.679
<v Speaker 2>could hit two forty and still be a twenty twenty guy.

1110
00:54:38.840 --> 00:54:40.840
<v Speaker 2>Like if he's on the base paths, he's going to run.

1111
00:54:41.239 --> 00:54:45.039
<v Speaker 2>He's got some uh some you know, real actual power potential.

1112
00:54:45.559 --> 00:54:48.199
<v Speaker 2>But it's just like league average eighty nine average x

1113
00:54:48.280 --> 00:54:50.280
<v Speaker 2>velocity about one ten the year before.

1114
00:54:50.920 --> 00:54:53.519
<v Speaker 3>I will even see in the second half of twenty

1115
00:54:53.559 --> 00:54:57.159
<v Speaker 3>twenty three that the strikeout rate was over thirty percent.

1116
00:54:57.320 --> 00:54:58.840
<v Speaker 3>And I'm worried that he is going to be a

1117
00:54:58.920 --> 00:55:00.559
<v Speaker 3>big swing and miss guy for sure.

1118
00:55:00.880 --> 00:55:03.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, like he might be a struggles first half click

1119
00:55:03.559 --> 00:55:07.960
<v Speaker 2>second half type of guy. Will say, also massively overperformed

1120
00:55:07.960 --> 00:55:10.280
<v Speaker 2>breaking pitches. In twenty twenty three, he had a two

1121
00:55:10.320 --> 00:55:13.840
<v Speaker 2>seventy five average against two oh seven expected batting average.

1122
00:55:13.840 --> 00:55:17.760
<v Speaker 2>I mean, dude, like way overperform there. It kind of

1123
00:55:17.800 --> 00:55:19.719
<v Speaker 2>comes back to it. He's not an all ball hitter.

1124
00:55:19.800 --> 00:55:20.679
<v Speaker 2>He's a fastball hitter.

1125
00:55:20.840 --> 00:55:21.000
<v Speaker 3>You know.

1126
00:55:21.079 --> 00:55:23.719
<v Speaker 2>He hit two seventy eight and three seventy one against

1127
00:55:23.760 --> 00:55:26.559
<v Speaker 2>sinkers and fastballs, which are the two highest pitches he saw.

1128
00:55:27.079 --> 00:55:29.960
<v Speaker 2>Guess what, I'm gonna imagine he's going to see quite

1129
00:55:30.760 --> 00:55:32.960
<v Speaker 2>a bit of off speed stuff. Dude. He hit two

1130
00:55:33.000 --> 00:55:35.320
<v Speaker 2>eighty eight and twenty twenty three against sliders. Guess what

1131
00:55:35.400 --> 00:55:40.599
<v Speaker 2>his XBA was, no idea one sixty four over one

1132
00:55:40.719 --> 00:55:43.039
<v Speaker 2>hundred points lower. So I think he's gonna see some

1133
00:55:43.079 --> 00:55:45.320
<v Speaker 2>more off speed stuff which happened to AFL, and he

1134
00:55:45.400 --> 00:55:49.519
<v Speaker 2>might struggle a tiny bit. Luis Garcia new name to

1135
00:55:49.559 --> 00:55:51.480
<v Speaker 2>the field because he finally did counting stats. He's just

1136
00:55:51.559 --> 00:55:53.400
<v Speaker 2>one of those weird dudes that it was like, man,

1137
00:55:53.440 --> 00:55:55.639
<v Speaker 2>he'd be sweet with his contact if he could start

1138
00:55:56.159 --> 00:55:58.840
<v Speaker 2>doing something with it, and he did eighteen homers, twenty

1139
00:55:58.920 --> 00:56:01.159
<v Speaker 2>two stolen bases with the two eighty two batting average.

1140
00:56:01.159 --> 00:56:03.519
<v Speaker 2>He was out in the AFL some time back, top

1141
00:56:03.719 --> 00:56:06.639
<v Speaker 2>almost top ten percent tile expected batting average, so it

1142
00:56:06.719 --> 00:56:10.239
<v Speaker 2>supports it. Two seventy eight XBA. It's very supportive of

1143
00:56:10.280 --> 00:56:13.800
<v Speaker 2>his batting average. He increased his barrel percentage to eight percent,

1144
00:56:13.880 --> 00:56:17.000
<v Speaker 2>which is very doable career high forty one point seven

1145
00:56:17.360 --> 00:56:19.760
<v Speaker 2>percent hard hit. I like that, got the ball in

1146
00:56:19.800 --> 00:56:22.119
<v Speaker 2>the air more. Eight point two degree launch angle was

1147
00:56:22.159 --> 00:56:25.400
<v Speaker 2>four point six the year before, sixteen percent k rate,

1148
00:56:25.639 --> 00:56:30.079
<v Speaker 2>walks five percent of the time, not as.

1149
00:56:29.440 --> 00:56:32.400
<v Speaker 3>Either, dude, like average two eighty one in the first half,

1150
00:56:32.440 --> 00:56:34.480
<v Speaker 3>two eighty four in the second half. ISO won sixty

1151
00:56:34.559 --> 00:56:36.360
<v Speaker 3>three in the first half, one to sixty in the

1152
00:56:36.480 --> 00:56:40.480
<v Speaker 3>second half. Sole what was look, Yeah, twelve to ten

1153
00:56:41.360 --> 00:56:41.719
<v Speaker 3>in ten.

1154
00:56:41.840 --> 00:56:43.639
<v Speaker 2>Yes, I went to look at the exact same thing,

1155
00:56:43.760 --> 00:56:45.800
<v Speaker 2>like he's still all of it in like two months,

1156
00:56:45.880 --> 00:56:46.119
<v Speaker 2>Like no.

1157
00:56:46.239 --> 00:56:49.679
<v Speaker 3>He just right. This was just consistent production throughout the year,

1158
00:56:49.719 --> 00:56:50.360
<v Speaker 3>which is nice.

1159
00:56:51.000 --> 00:56:54.039
<v Speaker 2>He also hit lefties almost two sixty. He's a lefty.

1160
00:56:54.320 --> 00:56:57.639
<v Speaker 2>He hit two sixty the year prior, so I mean

1161
00:56:57.719 --> 00:57:02.599
<v Speaker 2>that's really positive. But seventeen of his eighteen homers came

1162
00:57:02.599 --> 00:57:05.039
<v Speaker 2>against right handed hitters. But he's going to face them more. Yeah,

1163
00:57:05.079 --> 00:57:07.639
<v Speaker 2>so like that's something to you know, consider into it.

1164
00:57:07.719 --> 00:57:11.239
<v Speaker 2>He definitely was heavy on that side pitch type. This

1165
00:57:11.360 --> 00:57:13.119
<v Speaker 2>is one of those guys he's this is what I

1166
00:57:13.199 --> 00:57:15.840
<v Speaker 2>when I say all type pitcher. This is an all

1167
00:57:16.000 --> 00:57:17.039
<v Speaker 2>types type of pitcher.

1168
00:57:17.079 --> 00:57:17.239
<v Speaker 1>You know.

1169
00:57:17.280 --> 00:57:20.039
<v Speaker 2>It's three zero one against fastballs, three eighteen against off

1170
00:57:20.119 --> 00:57:22.840
<v Speaker 2>speed breaking was two thirty seven, which you know, it's

1171
00:57:22.880 --> 00:57:27.280
<v Speaker 2>not great, but it's like still doable. He hit more

1172
00:57:27.360 --> 00:57:30.079
<v Speaker 2>homers against breaking pitches, or hit the same amount of

1173
00:57:30.119 --> 00:57:33.199
<v Speaker 2>homers as breaking pitches against fastballs and off speed combined.

1174
00:57:33.360 --> 00:57:36.760
<v Speaker 2>Nine against breaking five and four were fastball and off

1175
00:57:36.840 --> 00:57:39.840
<v Speaker 2>speed combined. So that's again that's another positive. So that

1176
00:57:39.920 --> 00:57:42.599
<v Speaker 2>means like he's killing sliders, you know, and he was.

1177
00:57:42.719 --> 00:57:45.320
<v Speaker 2>He was putting him out to sixty seven batting average.

1178
00:57:45.360 --> 00:57:48.039
<v Speaker 2>So I'm trying to find the things that I don't

1179
00:57:48.199 --> 00:57:52.719
<v Speaker 2>like U Low's swing percentage because he would just like

1180
00:57:52.840 --> 00:57:54.400
<v Speaker 2>really look for that pitch. But he had a high

1181
00:57:54.480 --> 00:57:57.599
<v Speaker 2>zone contact rate, really high chase rate though Jesus, thirty

1182
00:57:57.679 --> 00:58:02.159
<v Speaker 2>six percent zone percentage went up. Trying to find the

1183
00:58:02.199 --> 00:58:04.199
<v Speaker 2>things that I don't like about it. I guess it's

1184
00:58:04.719 --> 00:58:07.280
<v Speaker 2>I think he's more fifteen to fifteen than I think

1185
00:58:07.320 --> 00:58:09.320
<v Speaker 2>he is, Like, he's probably get it.

1186
00:58:09.800 --> 00:58:13.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, even the projections are you know, they're almost

1187
00:58:13.559 --> 00:58:16.519
<v Speaker 3>like Rinson repeated what he had last year. It's more runs,

1188
00:58:17.639 --> 00:58:22.199
<v Speaker 3>sixty six runs, eighteen homers, seventy two RBI, which is

1189
00:58:22.239 --> 00:58:24.360
<v Speaker 3>two more than last year, and sixteen stone bases, which

1190
00:58:24.440 --> 00:58:28.000
<v Speaker 3>is six fewer than the previous season. But yeah, I mean,

1191
00:58:29.320 --> 00:58:31.719
<v Speaker 3>you know, look, he's one of those guys where you

1192
00:58:31.840 --> 00:58:34.000
<v Speaker 3>get down to it at second base and you're looking

1193
00:58:34.079 --> 00:58:37.840
<v Speaker 3>at who's left. I think he's gonna go behind like

1194
00:58:38.119 --> 00:58:41.000
<v Speaker 3>Bryce Terrang I think he's maybe go behind some of

1195
00:58:41.039 --> 00:58:44.360
<v Speaker 3>these other guys with better names or more upside. But

1196
00:58:44.559 --> 00:58:47.199
<v Speaker 3>he's a safe play, I think, is what we're gonna

1197
00:58:47.519 --> 00:58:50.000
<v Speaker 3>end up saying with Luis Carcier, I.

1198
00:58:50.039 --> 00:58:52.000
<v Speaker 2>Wonder if this is one of those guys that has

1199
00:58:52.119 --> 00:58:55.239
<v Speaker 2>benefited from the new rules with stolen bases as well,

1200
00:58:55.320 --> 00:58:59.199
<v Speaker 2>because here's something interesting. Twenty two stolen bases.

1201
00:59:00.239 --> 00:59:02.039
<v Speaker 3>But he's in the bottom.

1202
00:59:02.079 --> 00:59:05.800
<v Speaker 2>He's below league average sprint speed, so it's not a

1203
00:59:05.920 --> 00:59:09.920
<v Speaker 2>dramatically fast guy. He attempted twenty seven stolen bases, he

1204
00:59:10.039 --> 00:59:13.840
<v Speaker 2>was caught five times. There's just nothing abnormal there, maybe

1205
00:59:14.000 --> 00:59:16.000
<v Speaker 2>just a really smart based stealer. He knows how to

1206
00:59:16.039 --> 00:59:18.079
<v Speaker 2>pick on and find the right catcher to steal against.

1207
00:59:18.079 --> 00:59:20.199
<v Speaker 2>I almost now want to, like, I just do a

1208
00:59:20.280 --> 00:59:22.719
<v Speaker 2>quick little glance, see if there's like a game lot.

1209
00:59:22.840 --> 00:59:25.079
<v Speaker 2>Was he still a lot of two bases? Let's see

1210
00:59:25.920 --> 00:59:29.639
<v Speaker 2>he had two there? Just trying to see like the distribution.

1211
00:59:29.800 --> 00:59:31.880
<v Speaker 2>I get, well, he had a couple of multi stolen

1212
00:59:31.920 --> 00:59:36.159
<v Speaker 2>based games. One was against the Cardinals. Maybe not particularly

1213
00:59:36.199 --> 00:59:38.559
<v Speaker 2>great at throwing out I mean, I'm just grasping at

1214
00:59:38.559 --> 00:59:40.400
<v Speaker 2>straws here. One was against the Dodgers.

1215
00:59:41.360 --> 00:59:41.639
<v Speaker 3>I don't know.

1216
00:59:41.800 --> 00:59:44.480
<v Speaker 2>Everything else was just singular ones. He just found his spots.

1217
00:59:44.519 --> 00:59:45.960
<v Speaker 2>But I guess where I'm going with.

1218
00:59:46.000 --> 00:59:47.800
<v Speaker 3>That is like maybe he just finally let him do it.

1219
00:59:48.039 --> 00:59:50.199
<v Speaker 2>I just don't maybe don't believe him as much. That's more,

1220
00:59:50.599 --> 00:59:51.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't believe this still.

1221
00:59:51.480 --> 00:59:55.480
<v Speaker 3>Look, his projections are six fewer, so drop from twenty

1222
00:59:55.519 --> 00:59:58.159
<v Speaker 3>two to sixteen. So projections aren't really buying all of

1223
00:59:58.199 --> 00:59:58.559
<v Speaker 3>it either.

1224
00:59:59.000 --> 01:00:01.519
<v Speaker 2>So but if he and if he does increase, because

1225
01:00:01.679 --> 01:00:03.280
<v Speaker 2>the one thing you can really count on is you

1226
01:00:03.320 --> 01:00:06.079
<v Speaker 2>can count on that he's a higher contact guy, and

1227
01:00:06.199 --> 01:00:08.079
<v Speaker 2>that can make you feel good about it. He did

1228
01:00:08.199 --> 01:00:10.400
<v Speaker 2>not score a lot of runs this past year. I

1229
01:00:10.440 --> 01:00:13.840
<v Speaker 2>actually think he would be the Nationals. Where the hell

1230
01:00:13.920 --> 01:00:18.079
<v Speaker 2>did he hit? He hit primarily fifth was he had

1231
01:00:18.079 --> 01:00:19.800
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and twenty two of his back. He hit

1232
01:00:19.920 --> 01:00:20.719
<v Speaker 2>all over the place.

1233
01:00:21.280 --> 01:00:24.239
<v Speaker 3>Let's six, seven, eight nine for Washington's probably not the

1234
01:00:24.320 --> 01:00:24.800
<v Speaker 3>best spot.

1235
01:00:24.920 --> 01:00:26.760
<v Speaker 2>But if he was hitting like two, I think that'd

1236
01:00:26.800 --> 01:00:29.480
<v Speaker 2>be a semi positive. And if he grows the barrel

1237
01:00:29.760 --> 01:00:31.480
<v Speaker 2>and hits the ball a little bit harder than their's

1238
01:00:31.519 --> 01:00:33.320
<v Speaker 2>growth there, I just don't think the stolen bases are

1239
01:00:33.360 --> 01:00:36.239
<v Speaker 2>probably real. I would did you give me his projections?

1240
01:00:36.239 --> 01:00:38.239
<v Speaker 2>Because I feel like he's yeah, there were there was

1241
01:00:38.280 --> 01:00:41.239
<v Speaker 2>a right in line. Yeah it was sixteen and uh

1242
01:00:41.559 --> 01:00:44.719
<v Speaker 2>it was eighteen and sixteen. Okay, yeah, so I'm probably

1243
01:00:44.800 --> 01:00:48.119
<v Speaker 2>not going to be like massively interested Bryce Safe.

1244
01:00:48.280 --> 01:00:52.280
<v Speaker 3>He's a good floor player. I feel like contact, yeah, yeah, yeah.

1245
01:00:53.239 --> 01:00:55.519
<v Speaker 2>Bryce trying is super interesting though, because this is the

1246
01:00:56.039 --> 01:00:58.480
<v Speaker 2>first encounter of a player that like is devoid. He's

1247
01:00:58.519 --> 01:01:01.079
<v Speaker 2>devoid at homers. He had seven home this past year,

1248
01:01:01.159 --> 01:01:04.079
<v Speaker 2>but he stole fifty bases while hitting two fifty four.

1249
01:01:04.480 --> 01:01:07.320
<v Speaker 2>His expected batting average was higher at two sixty one, which.

1250
01:01:07.199 --> 01:01:07.920
<v Speaker 3>You love to see.

1251
01:01:08.239 --> 01:01:11.880
<v Speaker 2>But he is in this making of like the Luisa

1252
01:01:12.000 --> 01:01:14.320
<v Speaker 2>Rise type of play. Actually, who Luis Garcia used to

1253
01:01:14.320 --> 01:01:19.719
<v Speaker 2>be absolutely bottom barrel barrel percentage, horrific, hard hit percentage,

1254
01:01:19.760 --> 01:01:21.960
<v Speaker 2>one of the worst in the league. He dropped his

1255
01:01:22.159 --> 01:01:24.119
<v Speaker 2>launch angle, so this was like, I'm not I don't

1256
01:01:24.159 --> 01:01:27.840
<v Speaker 2>care about hitting homers down to six percent from twelve

1257
01:01:27.920 --> 01:01:31.880
<v Speaker 2>the previous year. But he doesn't strike out, he doesn't walk.

1258
01:01:32.079 --> 01:01:34.920
<v Speaker 2>And the only thing particularly besides his speed and the

1259
01:01:35.079 --> 01:01:37.719
<v Speaker 2>not striking out is the higher batting average, Like.

1260
01:01:37.760 --> 01:01:39.960
<v Speaker 3>That's what he does. Yeah, but he hit two to

1261
01:01:40.000 --> 01:01:42.840
<v Speaker 3>twenty in the second half, which is much closer to

1262
01:01:43.079 --> 01:01:47.400
<v Speaker 3>his twenty twenty three two eighteen batting average, So that

1263
01:01:47.599 --> 01:01:50.519
<v Speaker 3>kind of scares me a little bit and it could

1264
01:01:50.559 --> 01:01:51.000
<v Speaker 3>be scary.

1265
01:01:51.280 --> 01:01:54.599
<v Speaker 2>One thing, he hit three or two against fastballs. Expected

1266
01:01:54.679 --> 01:01:57.199
<v Speaker 2>was two seventy five, so there's a cool baseline. Struggled

1267
01:01:57.239 --> 01:01:59.920
<v Speaker 2>against breaking an off speed but had a higher expected

1268
01:02:00.079 --> 01:02:03.800
<v Speaker 2>batting average. Technically, his expected batting average is two fifty

1269
01:02:03.840 --> 01:02:07.199
<v Speaker 2>or higher against all those pitch types when they break

1270
01:02:07.239 --> 01:02:09.159
<v Speaker 2>them down into three pitch types, when you start to

1271
01:02:09.159 --> 01:02:13.119
<v Speaker 2>get individual like he killed sinkers, he killed fastballs, he

1272
01:02:13.239 --> 01:02:15.400
<v Speaker 2>killed sliders as well, and then you're starting to get

1273
01:02:15.440 --> 01:02:18.920
<v Speaker 2>into like the bottom twenty five percent of pitches seen,

1274
01:02:19.280 --> 01:02:22.320
<v Speaker 2>and that means a little bit less really really high

1275
01:02:22.480 --> 01:02:26.000
<v Speaker 2>zone contact, which actually I really like to see. I

1276
01:02:26.079 --> 01:02:28.880
<v Speaker 2>think the stolen bases are going to continue if not

1277
01:02:29.000 --> 01:02:31.000
<v Speaker 2>be more aggressive, especially if he if he had a

1278
01:02:31.039 --> 01:02:34.920
<v Speaker 2>higher expected batting average, you know, like maybe it's in

1279
01:02:34.960 --> 01:02:37.639
<v Speaker 2>the Lewis Rise range. Like what's his swing type two?

1280
01:02:37.880 --> 01:02:41.800
<v Speaker 2>His bats? Yeah, bottom two, so he does the Luise

1281
01:02:41.960 --> 01:02:47.039
<v Speaker 2>Rise thing. This is bottom barrels swing percentage sixty six

1282
01:02:47.199 --> 01:02:50.880
<v Speaker 2>point two, which is bottom two percent of the fricking league.

1283
01:02:51.079 --> 01:02:54.360
<v Speaker 2>But it is also massively short swing one of the

1284
01:02:54.440 --> 01:02:57.360
<v Speaker 2>shortest in the league six point one. League average is

1285
01:02:57.440 --> 01:03:01.920
<v Speaker 2>seven point three, So he is just short, compact, get

1286
01:03:01.960 --> 01:03:06.079
<v Speaker 2>to contact, use my speed, no power projection if you

1287
01:03:06.280 --> 01:03:08.880
<v Speaker 2>want tubes. I think he can get to two seventy

1288
01:03:08.920 --> 01:03:11.679
<v Speaker 2>two to seventy batting average with forty plus stolen bases.

1289
01:03:12.199 --> 01:03:14.920
<v Speaker 2>This is your guy. And then where was he hitting.

1290
01:03:15.239 --> 01:03:17.320
<v Speaker 2>He was primarily hit. He was leadoff, So I mean,

1291
01:03:17.360 --> 01:03:19.639
<v Speaker 2>if he got if he can continue that, uh, that's

1292
01:03:19.679 --> 01:03:22.320
<v Speaker 2>where we're gonna make our money. He did bat ninth

1293
01:03:22.360 --> 01:03:24.639
<v Speaker 2>the whole bunch as well, so I don't know, you know,

1294
01:03:24.719 --> 01:03:27.840
<v Speaker 2>with Churio and Yelich back, are they gonna do?

1295
01:03:28.639 --> 01:03:29.239
<v Speaker 3>Are they gonna do?

1296
01:03:29.360 --> 01:03:29.400
<v Speaker 1>What?

1297
01:03:29.760 --> 01:03:33.119
<v Speaker 2>Trang? Yelich? Yeah, well, you know with Willia Domis gone,

1298
01:03:33.119 --> 01:03:35.599
<v Speaker 2>that actually might work. It might go Trang then Yelich,

1299
01:03:35.840 --> 01:03:37.599
<v Speaker 2>then Churio and then Hoskins.

1300
01:03:38.159 --> 01:03:41.039
<v Speaker 3>Right, and I'm and I'm looking here. That makes me

1301
01:03:41.079 --> 01:03:44.239
<v Speaker 3>feel better is they have his projected batting averages two

1302
01:03:44.280 --> 01:03:46.199
<v Speaker 3>fifty four. I just don't know if that's believable.

1303
01:03:46.639 --> 01:03:48.920
<v Speaker 2>Well, but it was only to sixty one expected bout it.

1304
01:03:49.039 --> 01:03:51.840
<v Speaker 2>Oh you're you're saying you're really focused on the second half. Well, no, no,

1305
01:03:52.000 --> 01:03:53.320
<v Speaker 2>I mean just too sixty one.

1306
01:03:53.280 --> 01:03:57.400
<v Speaker 3>Though, Okay, I mean maybe I just uh, you know,

1307
01:03:57.800 --> 01:04:00.239
<v Speaker 3>having a full season before two eighteen and then the

1308
01:04:00.280 --> 01:04:03.079
<v Speaker 3>whole second half to twenty that that's I mean, I

1309
01:04:03.159 --> 01:04:05.480
<v Speaker 3>don't like it. Well, but we're not gonna be drafting

1310
01:04:05.519 --> 01:04:07.960
<v Speaker 3>by String at his current cost. He dips a little bit,

1311
01:04:08.199 --> 01:04:11.039
<v Speaker 3>I'll get in, well, so many solen bases, so many

1312
01:04:11.119 --> 01:04:15.320
<v Speaker 3>stole basis where the hell players? You can get stolen

1313
01:04:15.360 --> 01:04:17.400
<v Speaker 3>bases from almost all of them, but these.

1314
01:04:17.320 --> 01:04:19.159
<v Speaker 2>Are like elite, elite stole basis. Here's one thing I

1315
01:04:19.239 --> 01:04:20.679
<v Speaker 2>just want to throw out to when you're focusing on

1316
01:04:20.719 --> 01:04:23.719
<v Speaker 2>the second half. July he hit one sixty nine. August

1317
01:04:23.760 --> 01:04:26.400
<v Speaker 2>he hit two thirteen, so that's carrying it. But he

1318
01:04:26.599 --> 01:04:28.960
<v Speaker 2>ended the year hitting two fifty eight in September, so

1319
01:04:29.039 --> 01:04:32.280
<v Speaker 2>he did have a bounce back. Eleven stolen bases was

1320
01:04:32.320 --> 01:04:35.079
<v Speaker 2>the number one stolen bases that you know of any

1321
01:04:35.199 --> 01:04:38.760
<v Speaker 2>singular month. I don't know, he's probably better. Well it's

1322
01:04:38.760 --> 01:04:40.320
<v Speaker 2>not even a better point le guy, because he steals

1323
01:04:40.320 --> 01:04:42.360
<v Speaker 2>a lot of bases, but there's some value in there.

1324
01:04:42.440 --> 01:04:44.320
<v Speaker 2>So that is like a big course. So this next

1325
01:04:44.360 --> 01:04:48.000
<v Speaker 2>Tier'm gonna do some little bit quicker breakdowns on Zander

1326
01:04:48.039 --> 01:04:50.960
<v Speaker 2>Bogarts really fell, even though he was such a popular

1327
01:04:51.119 --> 01:04:54.039
<v Speaker 2>pick from previous years. I remember, like all of us

1328
01:04:54.079 --> 01:04:57.480
<v Speaker 2>were like, we're gonna draft Xander Bogarts. Xander Bogart's EIGHTYP

1329
01:04:57.760 --> 01:05:01.440
<v Speaker 2>fell down to one sixty two. He finished the season

1330
01:05:01.519 --> 01:05:05.159
<v Speaker 2>eleven homers, thirteen stolen bases, two sixty four, batting average

1331
01:05:05.639 --> 01:05:08.480
<v Speaker 2>like one hundred and seventy less. It pats. Everything was

1332
01:05:08.519 --> 01:05:12.079
<v Speaker 2>pullsided by the way he dipped in barrel percentage. His

1333
01:05:12.360 --> 01:05:15.239
<v Speaker 2>expected batting average kind of supported and it's kind of

1334
01:05:15.280 --> 01:05:17.119
<v Speaker 2>actually where it actually was higher than it had been

1335
01:05:17.159 --> 01:05:20.920
<v Speaker 2>in the previous years. Small dip and hard hit. Nothing

1336
01:05:21.039 --> 01:05:24.079
<v Speaker 2>to talk about in kasum percentage. I guess where I'm

1337
01:05:24.159 --> 01:05:28.440
<v Speaker 2>kind of getting at. Kind of looks like the same

1338
01:05:28.800 --> 01:05:31.920
<v Speaker 2>Ish player to me, he got the launch angle was better.

1339
01:05:33.000 --> 01:05:34.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I know talking to him, he didn't love

1340
01:05:35.039 --> 01:05:36.840
<v Speaker 2>second base. Maybe that was in his head. He pulled

1341
01:05:36.840 --> 01:05:39.039
<v Speaker 2>the ball a little bit more. I don't know, man,

1342
01:05:39.079 --> 01:05:41.119
<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure if I hate all of this that

1343
01:05:41.880 --> 01:05:44.320
<v Speaker 2>he might be a better value. What are his projections

1344
01:05:45.199 --> 01:05:45.519
<v Speaker 2>right now?

1345
01:05:45.599 --> 01:05:49.679
<v Speaker 3>To seventy one batting average, seventeen homers, and fourteen stolen bases.

1346
01:05:50.119 --> 01:05:52.280
<v Speaker 2>So the counting stats have gone away for people, that

1347
01:05:52.440 --> 01:05:55.280
<v Speaker 2>excitement because remember it was like twenty twenty was the projection,

1348
01:05:55.480 --> 01:05:58.320
<v Speaker 2>so they've killed that while improving his batting average.

1349
01:05:58.800 --> 01:06:01.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and he's I mean, he's been on a three

1350
01:06:02.039 --> 01:06:04.239
<v Speaker 3>year decline in batting average as well. Three zero seven,

1351
01:06:04.320 --> 01:06:07.199
<v Speaker 3>two eighty five, two sixty four h only one hundred

1352
01:06:07.199 --> 01:06:10.639
<v Speaker 3>and eleven games because of the entries last year. But yeah,

1353
01:06:10.679 --> 01:06:13.079
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, he's just not exciting. He offers a

1354
01:06:13.159 --> 01:06:16.000
<v Speaker 3>decent floor. We you know, he's a productive player when

1355
01:06:16.000 --> 01:06:18.559
<v Speaker 3>he's in the lineup, but getting a little bit older.

1356
01:06:18.760 --> 01:06:22.119
<v Speaker 3>That batting average dipping three years in a row, at

1357
01:06:22.199 --> 01:06:24.079
<v Speaker 3>least the stolen bases have come back a little bit,

1358
01:06:24.280 --> 01:06:26.599
<v Speaker 3>so that's nice. But I think I don't know.

1359
01:06:27.039 --> 01:06:28.599
<v Speaker 2>By the way, if you like, you like your second

1360
01:06:28.639 --> 01:06:30.639
<v Speaker 2>half stuff. He hit two thirty one in the first half,

1361
01:06:30.760 --> 01:06:33.039
<v Speaker 2>two ninety two in the second half, about the same

1362
01:06:33.079 --> 01:06:35.760
<v Speaker 2>amount of at bats, so he finished really strong, I

1363
01:06:35.840 --> 01:06:38.800
<v Speaker 2>mean really strong. He had this crazy July. He hit

1364
01:06:38.840 --> 01:06:42.159
<v Speaker 2>two fifty nine in September, but two ninety two in

1365
01:06:42.199 --> 01:06:42.840
<v Speaker 2>the second half.

1366
01:06:43.239 --> 01:06:46.440
<v Speaker 3>That's I just feel I feel lukewarm on Xander.

1367
01:06:47.599 --> 01:06:49.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he had some bad home roums. He's two forty

1368
01:06:49.719 --> 01:06:52.280
<v Speaker 2>six at home to eighty on the road. I guess

1369
01:06:52.320 --> 01:06:55.239
<v Speaker 2>I feel maybe I feel lukewarm ish as well. But

1370
01:06:55.880 --> 01:06:57.360
<v Speaker 2>who is it we were talking about earlier that I

1371
01:06:57.480 --> 01:06:59.960
<v Speaker 2>was like, that's like a fifteen to fifteen average guy,

1372
01:07:00.199 --> 01:07:02.639
<v Speaker 2>Like that's what Bogarts is, but cheaper the hell was

1373
01:07:02.920 --> 01:07:06.440
<v Speaker 2>was Garcia? Yeah, Luis Garcia. That's forty picks later than

1374
01:07:06.519 --> 01:07:09.800
<v Speaker 2>Garcia for Xander Bogarts and in a better offense. I

1375
01:07:09.840 --> 01:07:12.239
<v Speaker 2>don't know, man, I might I might lean into that a.

1376
01:07:12.239 --> 01:07:14.480
<v Speaker 3>Little bit more. I think the only thing that you

1377
01:07:14.559 --> 01:07:17.400
<v Speaker 3>don't have there is I think Xander's on the way

1378
01:07:17.559 --> 01:07:19.840
<v Speaker 3>down and Garcia might be on the way up.

1379
01:07:20.199 --> 01:07:23.199
<v Speaker 2>That's a fair point. Yeah, and Garcia had like positive

1380
01:07:23.280 --> 01:07:25.199
<v Speaker 2>like you know, barrel percentage went up, hard hit went

1381
01:07:25.280 --> 01:07:28.119
<v Speaker 2>up like Bogarts doesn't have that. I guess when I

1382
01:07:28.159 --> 01:07:30.480
<v Speaker 2>look at it, though, I think there are some positives

1383
01:07:30.519 --> 01:07:32.880
<v Speaker 2>that he's kind of a value. Nico Horner was one

1384
01:07:32.920 --> 01:07:34.599
<v Speaker 2>of the biggest guys I picked on last year. He

1385
01:07:34.679 --> 01:07:36.880
<v Speaker 2>comes in at ten one sixty nine. I hated his

1386
01:07:37.039 --> 01:07:39.599
<v Speaker 2>value last year, dead right about that, but he was

1387
01:07:39.599 --> 01:07:42.960
<v Speaker 2>still productive. Seven homers, thirty one stolen bases. You know

1388
01:07:43.119 --> 01:07:44.840
<v Speaker 2>that's not bad if it's post one fifty. It's just

1389
01:07:44.880 --> 01:07:47.480
<v Speaker 2>the problem is it was like top fifty or sixty.

1390
01:07:47.559 --> 01:07:50.119
<v Speaker 2>Last year. He hit two seventy three, which is very

1391
01:07:50.159 --> 01:07:52.960
<v Speaker 2>supportive of his average. His XBA was the best of

1392
01:07:53.079 --> 01:07:57.599
<v Speaker 2>his career except his rookie year. But like Terrang, one

1393
01:07:57.760 --> 01:08:00.679
<v Speaker 2>point two barrel, one of the worst hard hits in

1394
01:08:00.719 --> 01:08:04.159
<v Speaker 2>the league. But a doesn't strikeout, so this is like

1395
01:08:04.480 --> 01:08:07.880
<v Speaker 2>Terrang all over again. You could maybe argue, why take

1396
01:08:07.960 --> 01:08:09.800
<v Speaker 2>Terrang when you can get Nico for free?

1397
01:08:10.239 --> 01:08:12.320
<v Speaker 3>That's what I was about to say. Yeah, I mean

1398
01:08:12.559 --> 01:08:15.760
<v Speaker 3>it's not free. But he also hit two ninety seven

1399
01:08:15.800 --> 01:08:18.920
<v Speaker 3>in the second half. He had more stolen bases seventeen

1400
01:08:19.319 --> 01:08:22.039
<v Speaker 3>in the second half. In uh, you know what would

1401
01:08:22.039 --> 01:08:24.399
<v Speaker 3>that be twenty five fewer games to fourteen in the

1402
01:08:24.479 --> 01:08:27.479
<v Speaker 3>first half. Yeah, I mean he just looks better down

1403
01:08:27.479 --> 01:08:29.199
<v Speaker 3>the stretch as well, and lives.

1404
01:08:29.079 --> 01:08:32.960
<v Speaker 2>A ninety two point seven zone contact percentage. I mean

1405
01:08:33.000 --> 01:08:37.199
<v Speaker 2>he is making contact, it's just not good contact. Here's

1406
01:08:37.239 --> 01:08:39.520
<v Speaker 2>the thing we don't know, though, might get traded. There's

1407
01:08:39.520 --> 01:08:41.119
<v Speaker 2>a lot of rumors that he could get traded and

1408
01:08:41.159 --> 01:08:43.960
<v Speaker 2>they could put Matt Shaw in there. I guess I

1409
01:08:44.039 --> 01:08:46.079
<v Speaker 2>look at this and I just I guess I feel

1410
01:08:46.279 --> 01:08:48.880
<v Speaker 2>comfortable with who he is now. All my picking on

1411
01:08:49.000 --> 01:08:51.239
<v Speaker 2>him last year was like, we're out of our minds.

1412
01:08:51.479 --> 01:08:54.119
<v Speaker 2>There's no power projection, We're out of our minds for

1413
01:08:54.199 --> 01:08:57.199
<v Speaker 2>paying the costs that we were this post one point

1414
01:08:57.199 --> 01:08:58.800
<v Speaker 2>fifty for thirty stolen bases.

1415
01:08:59.159 --> 01:08:59.840
<v Speaker 3>I'm down with this.

1416
01:09:00.279 --> 01:09:01.720
<v Speaker 2>I don't I don't think that's a baud. It's just

1417
01:09:01.880 --> 01:09:04.920
<v Speaker 2>if he gets traded to like the Marlins or something,

1418
01:09:05.000 --> 01:09:06.760
<v Speaker 2>that's gonna stink, I'm gonna hate that.

1419
01:09:07.039 --> 01:09:09.840
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, I don't think that doesn't happen. You know,

1420
01:09:10.640 --> 01:09:11.520
<v Speaker 3>I don't see.

1421
01:09:11.439 --> 01:09:15.119
<v Speaker 2>Growth in Nico, but I still see the same player.

1422
01:09:15.399 --> 01:09:18.600
<v Speaker 2>Super low strikeouts. He ran a little bit less, but

1423
01:09:18.720 --> 01:09:21.000
<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna like they haven't picked on that. They

1424
01:09:21.039 --> 01:09:23.279
<v Speaker 2>haven't projected for twenty seven swipes.

1425
01:09:24.000 --> 01:09:27.159
<v Speaker 3>Oh really yeah, what's his batting average? Projection should be

1426
01:09:27.239 --> 01:09:31.079
<v Speaker 3>to seventy seven? Okay, yeah, eight homers, I mean, I

1427
01:09:31.159 --> 01:09:35.279
<v Speaker 3>think everything else, but twenty fewer runs as well. Sixty

1428
01:09:35.399 --> 01:09:38.880
<v Speaker 3>six down from eighty six, fifty six r The RBI

1429
01:09:39.079 --> 01:09:42.399
<v Speaker 3>went up and OBP went up a little bit, but yeah,

1430
01:09:42.520 --> 01:09:45.399
<v Speaker 3>down to twenty seven stolen bases, don't interesting.

1431
01:09:46.319 --> 01:09:49.680
<v Speaker 2>The next guy on here, you've got bright Actually, well,

1432
01:09:49.800 --> 01:09:52.159
<v Speaker 2>I'm jumping it's secondly twelve. There's another guy that moved

1433
01:09:52.239 --> 01:09:54.840
<v Speaker 2>up recently, but let's do Bryson Stott, who's around one

1434
01:09:55.079 --> 01:09:58.920
<v Speaker 2>seventy five. Bryson Stott's average tanked. He didn't. It's funny

1435
01:09:58.920 --> 01:10:01.279
<v Speaker 2>because he didn't grow in any other areas. But he

1436
01:10:01.359 --> 01:10:03.439
<v Speaker 2>still kind of put up the same thing. Second straight

1437
01:10:03.520 --> 01:10:06.119
<v Speaker 2>season of thirty stolen bases, second straight season of double

1438
01:10:06.159 --> 01:10:09.479
<v Speaker 2>digit homers. It just went from fifteen to eleven. His

1439
01:10:09.600 --> 01:10:13.439
<v Speaker 2>batting average sunk a decent amount. His expected batting average

1440
01:10:13.560 --> 01:10:15.680
<v Speaker 2>is a little bit higher though, and is closer to

1441
01:10:15.760 --> 01:10:18.359
<v Speaker 2>what we've seen. But he dropped in his barrel. He

1442
01:10:18.439 --> 01:10:20.920
<v Speaker 2>dropped in his hard hit, kind of like these other guys.

1443
01:10:21.479 --> 01:10:24.319
<v Speaker 2>Low K percentage, high walk percentage. He did get the

1444
01:10:24.399 --> 01:10:27.600
<v Speaker 2>ball in the air a bit more, but I guess

1445
01:10:27.600 --> 01:10:29.479
<v Speaker 2>you would look and you'd be like, well, what how

1446
01:10:29.560 --> 01:10:32.880
<v Speaker 2>do I project that he can become a better hitter,

1447
01:10:33.039 --> 01:10:35.399
<v Speaker 2>And it's I think the answer is you can't. Like

1448
01:10:35.760 --> 01:10:39.000
<v Speaker 2>fifteen thirty is like the cap of him, especially that

1449
01:10:39.079 --> 01:10:40.800
<v Speaker 2>he drops some of these stats. Like I like that

1450
01:10:40.880 --> 01:10:43.000
<v Speaker 2>he got the ball in the air more, but he

1451
01:10:43.199 --> 01:10:46.479
<v Speaker 2>just doesn't barrel. I think he hits decent contact, he's

1452
01:10:46.560 --> 01:10:50.159
<v Speaker 2>okay against the pitch types and eighty six percent zone

1453
01:10:50.239 --> 01:10:53.960
<v Speaker 2>contact percentage. Man, it's really hard to discern. Like Bryce

1454
01:10:54.079 --> 01:10:57.199
<v Speaker 2>terrang him and Nico Horner, they're all kind that's back

1455
01:10:57.239 --> 01:10:59.000
<v Speaker 2>to what you were saying, like when I'm like, you

1456
01:10:59.039 --> 01:11:01.279
<v Speaker 2>could take Nico Horner or you could take Bryce training,

1457
01:11:01.279 --> 01:11:03.119
<v Speaker 2>and you're like, well, those guys exist over here, Like

1458
01:11:03.960 --> 01:11:07.159
<v Speaker 2>this guy doesn't have the batting average, but there's a

1459
01:11:07.199 --> 01:11:09.920
<v Speaker 2>little bit more power potential. But jesus, it is all

1460
01:11:10.039 --> 01:11:13.319
<v Speaker 2>pull side. He has no real raw power to pull

1461
01:11:13.399 --> 01:11:15.600
<v Speaker 2>anywhere else. So it is going to be every single

1462
01:11:15.680 --> 01:11:16.640
<v Speaker 2>homer was pull side.

1463
01:11:16.640 --> 01:11:19.479
<v Speaker 3>This year. Yeah, I mean being in Philly is nice

1464
01:11:19.520 --> 01:11:22.720
<v Speaker 3>for that at least, so that's good. But yeah, I

1465
01:11:22.880 --> 01:11:26.760
<v Speaker 3>would say he's firmly third in this group, but this

1466
01:11:26.920 --> 01:11:31.000
<v Speaker 3>group probably needs to be a little closer. But Train

1467
01:11:31.079 --> 01:11:35.039
<v Speaker 3>definitely has way more upside than both those guys. But yeah,

1468
01:11:35.319 --> 01:11:38.439
<v Speaker 3>I just I'm kind of standing firm on you know,

1469
01:11:38.720 --> 01:11:40.640
<v Speaker 3>why pay for Traynga where he is when you can

1470
01:11:40.680 --> 01:11:42.880
<v Speaker 3>get these guys significantly later.

1471
01:11:43.119 --> 01:11:45.359
<v Speaker 2>I guess the difference for me is, like those guys

1472
01:11:45.399 --> 01:11:49.439
<v Speaker 2>have better stolen base potential. I look at Stott as

1473
01:11:49.479 --> 01:11:53.760
<v Speaker 2>a guy that has better power potential. He did underperform

1474
01:11:53.880 --> 01:11:56.039
<v Speaker 2>his babbitt but tiny bit, and he's had three straight

1475
01:11:56.119 --> 01:11:58.680
<v Speaker 2>seasons of double digit homers. So if I'm chasing a

1476
01:11:58.760 --> 01:12:01.079
<v Speaker 2>little bit more average and stolen bases, it's the other

1477
01:12:01.159 --> 01:12:04.000
<v Speaker 2>guys if I'm chasing. I don't even want to call

1478
01:12:04.039 --> 01:12:05.560
<v Speaker 2>it more of a complete player because he only had

1479
01:12:05.600 --> 01:12:08.039
<v Speaker 2>fifty seven RBIs, But I think the potential for him

1480
01:12:08.119 --> 01:12:10.239
<v Speaker 2>to be a little bit higher RBI is there. But

1481
01:12:10.520 --> 01:12:13.000
<v Speaker 2>did only score ninety sixty five runs when he hit

1482
01:12:13.119 --> 01:12:16.079
<v Speaker 2>like ninth all year, he hit uh fifth and sixth.

1483
01:12:16.399 --> 01:12:18.840
<v Speaker 2>It's amazing the RBI opportunities didn't show up when he

1484
01:12:19.000 --> 01:12:21.720
<v Speaker 2>hit almost three hundred at bats were between fifth and

1485
01:12:21.880 --> 01:12:22.520
<v Speaker 2>six like that.

1486
01:12:23.079 --> 01:12:25.079
<v Speaker 3>It should have been, but it just especially in Philly.

1487
01:12:25.359 --> 01:12:27.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's what I'm saying exactly. Only a couple more

1488
01:12:28.039 --> 01:12:30.000
<v Speaker 2>in the actual breakdown, and we'll just throw a couple

1489
01:12:30.119 --> 01:12:35.039
<v Speaker 2>names out Andres Jimenez another thirty stolen base nine homer

1490
01:12:35.119 --> 01:12:37.880
<v Speaker 2>guy hit two point fifty two. Is that offense really

1491
01:12:38.000 --> 01:12:41.159
<v Speaker 2>picked up left handed hitter who was one of the

1492
01:12:41.239 --> 01:12:44.119
<v Speaker 2>few that did not see a benefit and an uptick

1493
01:12:44.279 --> 01:12:46.560
<v Speaker 2>on that right field that they changed on the Guardians,

1494
01:12:46.560 --> 01:12:49.640
<v Speaker 2>probably because he lost five degrees on his launch angle.

1495
01:12:49.880 --> 01:12:52.600
<v Speaker 2>He also his garrel percentage was cut in half. It's

1496
01:12:52.640 --> 01:12:55.039
<v Speaker 2>hard to hit percentage with down. I hate all of

1497
01:12:55.119 --> 01:12:58.159
<v Speaker 2>that stuff. Maybe it can change because he had a

1498
01:12:58.199 --> 01:13:00.199
<v Speaker 2>thirteen degree launch agal the year before that. That's what

1499
01:13:00.279 --> 01:13:03.039
<v Speaker 2>you need to do. But he lost his barreling and

1500
01:13:03.159 --> 01:13:07.760
<v Speaker 2>it looks like, I mean, I'm trying to did it

1501
01:13:07.840 --> 01:13:12.039
<v Speaker 2>come from losing fastballs? He hit the same uh sliders,

1502
01:13:12.359 --> 01:13:15.439
<v Speaker 2>He hit sinkers a lot worse this year. That's about

1503
01:13:15.479 --> 01:13:16.520
<v Speaker 2>the pitch that I can tell.

1504
01:13:16.399 --> 01:13:19.319
<v Speaker 3>He hit in the first half and two fifty two

1505
01:13:19.359 --> 01:13:23.880
<v Speaker 3>in the second half. Is insanely predictable. It looks like

1506
01:13:24.039 --> 01:13:26.880
<v Speaker 3>for him and as Ower, the power just went away,

1507
01:13:26.960 --> 01:13:27.600
<v Speaker 3>like you said, the.

1508
01:13:27.880 --> 01:13:30.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I like him a lot less too. One

1509
01:13:30.239 --> 01:13:33.600
<v Speaker 2>eighty seven, uh is his ADP. He's thirteenth on the list.

1510
01:13:33.680 --> 01:13:35.319
<v Speaker 2>I like him less too, because he's got the lowest

1511
01:13:35.600 --> 01:13:38.000
<v Speaker 2>zone contact percentage of all these dudes we've been talking about,

1512
01:13:38.159 --> 01:13:40.720
<v Speaker 2>like all these base guys. It's the lowest there, but

1513
01:13:40.840 --> 01:13:44.119
<v Speaker 2>it's one of the most friendly environments for his handed

1514
01:13:44.239 --> 01:13:46.479
<v Speaker 2>bat right being able to hit to right field. He

1515
01:13:46.600 --> 01:13:49.239
<v Speaker 2>just didn't do it. So maybe if he could get

1516
01:13:49.319 --> 01:13:51.199
<v Speaker 2>back to that and make that a focus this year,

1517
01:13:51.479 --> 01:13:53.920
<v Speaker 2>and you can get back into a thirteen degree launch angle,

1518
01:13:53.920 --> 01:13:56.520
<v Speaker 2>you get that catch up little wind pocket, maybe he

1519
01:13:56.560 --> 01:13:59.479
<v Speaker 2>could hit more homers. Is there any projection that is

1520
01:13:59.640 --> 01:14:00.920
<v Speaker 2>on that side or nay?

1521
01:14:01.720 --> 01:14:03.800
<v Speaker 3>I mean they have him back to normal, but it's

1522
01:14:03.880 --> 01:14:06.920
<v Speaker 3>fourteen homers, you know, it's His batting average is two

1523
01:14:07.000 --> 01:14:09.560
<v Speaker 3>sixty three. They have him at which is up ten points,

1524
01:14:09.600 --> 01:14:13.279
<v Speaker 3>eleven points from last season. Fourteen homers, which would add

1525
01:14:13.399 --> 01:14:17.640
<v Speaker 3>five stolen base is twenty seven, down three. So what'd

1526
01:14:17.680 --> 01:14:18.399
<v Speaker 3>you say the average was?

1527
01:14:18.479 --> 01:14:21.960
<v Speaker 2>Sorry, two sixty three, that's not bad. I mean, that's

1528
01:14:21.960 --> 01:14:24.159
<v Speaker 2>still his career to sixty one, So that's the hell

1529
01:14:24.239 --> 01:14:26.680
<v Speaker 2>is better than his career one eighty seven. I mean

1530
01:14:26.760 --> 01:14:31.199
<v Speaker 2>that is forty five spots lower than Bryce Terrang. Bryce

1531
01:14:31.279 --> 01:14:34.079
<v Speaker 2>Ring's got a higher batting average and probably uh stolen

1532
01:14:34.079 --> 01:14:34.800
<v Speaker 2>base potential.

1533
01:14:34.880 --> 01:14:35.840
<v Speaker 3>But I don't know.

1534
01:14:36.000 --> 01:14:38.439
<v Speaker 2>I guess there's some These are all middle infielders to me,

1535
01:14:38.520 --> 01:14:40.800
<v Speaker 2>by the way, Like I coming back to your question

1536
01:14:40.880 --> 01:14:43.399
<v Speaker 2>from before, not to believor this, You're like, how do

1537
01:14:43.520 --> 01:14:45.600
<v Speaker 2>I feel about the position now that we've gone you know,

1538
01:14:45.680 --> 01:14:49.920
<v Speaker 2>twelve thirteen deep. It's like, well, I really want like

1539
01:14:50.680 --> 01:14:53.680
<v Speaker 2>like if I don't get Westburg, Simeon or Marte, I'm

1540
01:14:53.720 --> 01:14:56.000
<v Speaker 2>going to feel the stress and then I would love

1541
01:14:56.039 --> 01:14:57.960
<v Speaker 2>to get one of these dudes in that middle infield

1542
01:14:58.000 --> 01:14:59.600
<v Speaker 2>you want. You want to chase some stolen bases and

1543
01:14:59.680 --> 01:15:02.720
<v Speaker 2>go get a Nico at one sixty nine, or you know,

1544
01:15:02.880 --> 01:15:06.800
<v Speaker 2>Getjmenez near two hundred, Like I could I could stomach that.

1545
01:15:07.840 --> 01:15:09.199
<v Speaker 2>We did talk about a rise, I think in the

1546
01:15:09.239 --> 01:15:11.680
<v Speaker 2>first basement, didn't we Yes, we did. So he comes

1547
01:15:11.720 --> 01:15:14.319
<v Speaker 2>in at fourteen the last why I do want to

1548
01:15:14.319 --> 01:15:17.920
<v Speaker 2>mention Ring gifo, but because he is higher in ADP

1549
01:15:18.119 --> 01:15:21.680
<v Speaker 2>right now, he's actually the eleventh second baseman here, but

1550
01:15:21.840 --> 01:15:24.600
<v Speaker 2>Glabor Torres, who we do not know where he's going

1551
01:15:24.640 --> 01:15:26.399
<v Speaker 2>to go, that maybe plays a slight role in it.

1552
01:15:27.520 --> 01:15:29.840
<v Speaker 2>That one year seemed kind of an anomaly I was,

1553
01:15:29.960 --> 01:15:31.560
<v Speaker 2>I wrote last year. I was like, oh, he just

1554
01:15:31.640 --> 01:15:33.880
<v Speaker 2>hit sliders so much better, and look he's changed and

1555
01:15:33.960 --> 01:15:36.039
<v Speaker 2>he's not whiffing, and that just fell apart.

1556
01:15:36.079 --> 01:15:36.399
<v Speaker 3>This year.

1557
01:15:36.680 --> 01:15:40.119
<v Speaker 2>Homer's way down fifteen only four stolen bases, two fifty

1558
01:15:40.159 --> 01:15:44.720
<v Speaker 2>seven average. All of those were just stinky barrel percentage

1559
01:15:44.840 --> 01:15:47.680
<v Speaker 2>is on a three year decline. Hard hit percentage three

1560
01:15:47.760 --> 01:15:51.600
<v Speaker 2>year decline down to thirty five point four. His expected

1561
01:15:51.640 --> 01:15:55.359
<v Speaker 2>batting average was the lowest it's ever been in his career.

1562
01:15:55.399 --> 01:15:57.680
<v Speaker 3>Seventeen points worse than what he actually hit too.

1563
01:15:57.920 --> 01:16:02.119
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but Lonchek was good, the max EV was good,

1564
01:16:02.159 --> 01:16:04.640
<v Speaker 2>but he lost the overall hard hit stuff. And part

1565
01:16:04.680 --> 01:16:07.640
<v Speaker 2>of that is is coming back to twenty twenty three,

1566
01:16:07.720 --> 01:16:10.079
<v Speaker 2>he hit that off speed stuff. Well that was gone

1567
01:16:10.159 --> 01:16:14.039
<v Speaker 2>this year, Like he just hit fastballs to ninety six.

1568
01:16:14.239 --> 01:16:17.840
<v Speaker 2>That's all he did. Horrific exit velocities versus breaking and

1569
01:16:17.920 --> 01:16:21.720
<v Speaker 2>off speed stuff. He just got back to whiffan through everything.

1570
01:16:21.760 --> 01:16:23.800
<v Speaker 2>And by the way, he saw less sliders. This year

1571
01:16:23.960 --> 01:16:26.920
<v Speaker 2>he saw, Yeah, that's it. He just saw more fastballs,

1572
01:16:27.000 --> 01:16:29.439
<v Speaker 2>less sliders, and he just stunk. And that tells me, oh,

1573
01:16:29.520 --> 01:16:31.920
<v Speaker 2>that was an anomaly from the year before. So I

1574
01:16:32.039 --> 01:16:35.720
<v Speaker 2>don't love that, and it's you know, maybe the home

1575
01:16:35.840 --> 01:16:39.000
<v Speaker 2>park is going to go in there. But the baseball

1576
01:16:39.039 --> 01:16:42.840
<v Speaker 2>savant stuff all below average thirty nine percent alex Woa,

1577
01:16:42.880 --> 01:16:44.439
<v Speaker 2>But like, I just don't love any of that stuff.

1578
01:16:44.439 --> 01:16:47.680
<v Speaker 2>I don't feel super optimistic because he just regressed back

1579
01:16:47.720 --> 01:16:49.399
<v Speaker 2>to the hitter that he was and the hard hit

1580
01:16:49.479 --> 01:16:51.159
<v Speaker 2>went away. I just kind of hate it.

1581
01:16:52.159 --> 01:16:56.079
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it just it doesn't look good and the expected

1582
01:16:56.359 --> 01:16:59.079
<v Speaker 3>numbers being bad as well. It kind of looks like

1583
01:16:59.199 --> 01:17:01.880
<v Speaker 3>this dude should not be in this range. He should

1584
01:17:01.880 --> 01:17:04.439
<v Speaker 3>be in the next group, which kind of is. But

1585
01:17:05.800 --> 01:17:10.560
<v Speaker 3>just with all these guys stealing bases, right, I don't

1586
01:17:10.600 --> 01:17:12.239
<v Speaker 3>I don't know that he really belongs in this group.

1587
01:17:12.279 --> 01:17:13.880
<v Speaker 3>I think he belongs to the next group. Like the

1588
01:17:13.920 --> 01:17:18.439
<v Speaker 3>post two hundred and his one ninety nine ADP ADP

1589
01:17:18.600 --> 01:17:20.319
<v Speaker 3>currently that's probably gonna sink.

1590
01:17:20.720 --> 01:17:22.600
<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure. So the last one of the actual

1591
01:17:22.600 --> 01:17:24.079
<v Speaker 2>breakdown and then I just want to throw it out

1592
01:17:24.079 --> 01:17:25.399
<v Speaker 2>if there's a guy or too just to look I

1593
01:17:25.399 --> 01:17:28.039
<v Speaker 2>probably should look at Jackson holiday ring gifo was on

1594
01:17:28.159 --> 01:17:30.680
<v Speaker 2>this list. Just missed a lot of time, twenty four

1595
01:17:30.760 --> 01:17:32.920
<v Speaker 2>stolen bases in two hundred and eighty three at bats,

1596
01:17:32.960 --> 01:17:36.680
<v Speaker 2>he hit three hundred, He had six homers. It's kind

1597
01:17:36.680 --> 01:17:38.439
<v Speaker 2>of hard because of the injury stuff, but like his

1598
01:17:38.600 --> 01:17:42.399
<v Speaker 2>barrel just tanked. His hard hit went way down his.

1599
01:17:42.520 --> 01:17:45.039
<v Speaker 3>Ex I mean it's every year too, you know, with

1600
01:17:45.159 --> 01:17:48.840
<v Speaker 3>the injuries seventy eight, one, six, twenty seven. You know,

1601
01:17:49.119 --> 01:17:50.119
<v Speaker 3>he's just been banged up.

1602
01:17:50.039 --> 01:17:52.880
<v Speaker 2>A lot, lost launch angle, couldn't get the ball in

1603
01:17:52.960 --> 01:17:55.439
<v Speaker 2>the air. He did have a better expected batting average

1604
01:17:55.479 --> 01:17:58.000
<v Speaker 2>this year than any other year, so it kind of

1605
01:17:58.039 --> 01:18:00.359
<v Speaker 2>looks like he just conformed as a player. Really high

1606
01:18:00.359 --> 01:18:04.239
<v Speaker 2>batting average against fastballs and off speed, but dramatically low

1607
01:18:04.359 --> 01:18:09.119
<v Speaker 2>ex velocity against fastballs, so that's probably where that power was. Lastly,

1608
01:18:09.239 --> 01:18:11.960
<v Speaker 2>he stopped pulling the ball. A lot of ground balls,

1609
01:18:12.520 --> 01:18:14.720
<v Speaker 2>but he has a really high zone contact percentage, So

1610
01:18:14.760 --> 01:18:17.039
<v Speaker 2>I guess it's got to be like just do you

1611
01:18:17.199 --> 01:18:19.159
<v Speaker 2>love him? You know he's he's a switch hitter. He

1612
01:18:19.279 --> 01:18:21.760
<v Speaker 2>hit two eighty or higher against both pitch types in

1613
01:18:21.960 --> 01:18:25.520
<v Speaker 2>his limited bats this past year, which is solid. But

1614
01:18:25.600 --> 01:18:27.840
<v Speaker 2>he had a look at this home road split three

1615
01:18:27.840 --> 01:18:31.079
<v Speaker 2>point fifty one in LA two forty four.

1616
01:18:31.199 --> 01:18:35.439
<v Speaker 3>On the road. He's also just a much better hitter,

1617
01:18:36.159 --> 01:18:40.199
<v Speaker 3>you know, versus lefties as a righty, and you know,

1618
01:18:40.920 --> 01:18:44.560
<v Speaker 3>he's a switch hitter, so to seventy six as a

1619
01:18:45.239 --> 01:18:47.439
<v Speaker 3>right handed batter, and then two forty three is a

1620
01:18:47.520 --> 01:18:49.680
<v Speaker 3>left handed batter, and most of his have bats in

1621
01:18:49.760 --> 01:18:54.119
<v Speaker 3>his career has been as a you know, batting against righties.

1622
01:18:54.159 --> 01:18:58.159
<v Speaker 3>So I don't know, man, it's just the injuries, the inconsistency,

1623
01:18:59.760 --> 01:19:01.479
<v Speaker 3>and I'm probably doing a little bit of the over

1624
01:19:01.560 --> 01:19:03.520
<v Speaker 3>correction because I had him in so many spots last

1625
01:19:03.600 --> 01:19:06.039
<v Speaker 3>year because he qualified at so many spots, and that

1626
01:19:06.279 --> 01:19:09.199
<v Speaker 3>that has gone away as well. So yeah, I'm just

1627
01:19:09.319 --> 01:19:14.359
<v Speaker 3>not gonna be in on him so much. So second, second,

1628
01:19:14.399 --> 01:19:17.359
<v Speaker 3>and third, which is still it's nice for dueal eligibility,

1629
01:19:17.439 --> 01:19:20.640
<v Speaker 3>but last year was like second, third, short outfield. He

1630
01:19:20.720 --> 01:19:21.319
<v Speaker 3>had everything.

1631
01:19:21.479 --> 01:19:24.680
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, he's at one seventy. It's not the best,

1632
01:19:24.760 --> 01:19:25.520
<v Speaker 2>it's not the worst.

1633
01:19:25.920 --> 01:19:26.439
<v Speaker 3>It's fine.

1634
01:19:27.159 --> 01:19:30.399
<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure. I'm not sure where I I This

1635
01:19:30.600 --> 01:19:32.680
<v Speaker 2>is one I'm not gonna walk away from, like us

1636
01:19:32.760 --> 01:19:36.000
<v Speaker 2>primering this to know exactly how I feel, because he

1637
01:19:36.159 --> 01:19:39.520
<v Speaker 2>way overperformed against Righty's where he typically looks like he

1638
01:19:39.640 --> 01:19:41.760
<v Speaker 2>just struggles, Like he hit two forty the year before,

1639
01:19:41.920 --> 01:19:44.239
<v Speaker 2>two thirty eight, the year before that, one ninety seven

1640
01:19:44.279 --> 01:19:47.520
<v Speaker 2>before that. Maybe that's him maturing as a hitter. But

1641
01:19:47.640 --> 01:19:48.840
<v Speaker 2>then when we go and look at some of the

1642
01:19:48.920 --> 01:19:52.960
<v Speaker 2>underlying stuff, well, he got worse at beryling. He doesn't

1643
01:19:53.000 --> 01:19:55.119
<v Speaker 2>have a great launch angle, you know, like his hert

1644
01:19:55.159 --> 01:19:58.479
<v Speaker 2>hit went down like okay, So then let me look here.

1645
01:19:58.520 --> 01:19:59.640
<v Speaker 2>Did I look at Babbitt here?

1646
01:20:00.079 --> 01:20:00.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah? I didn't.

1647
01:20:00.560 --> 01:20:02.840
<v Speaker 2>He way over performed. I was just about to say,

1648
01:20:02.920 --> 01:20:05.039
<v Speaker 2>does this mean he had to hire Babbitt almost three

1649
01:20:05.199 --> 01:20:07.960
<v Speaker 2>forty and he's a two ninety career Babbit guy, So

1650
01:20:08.399 --> 01:20:11.800
<v Speaker 2>babbit overperformed kind of feels like he does get to

1651
01:20:11.840 --> 01:20:13.800
<v Speaker 2>hit two. But if he's a two sixty guy and

1652
01:20:14.000 --> 01:20:16.039
<v Speaker 2>is a ten thirty, he actually could be a deal.

1653
01:20:16.319 --> 01:20:18.279
<v Speaker 2>I could stomach it. I think I could stomach it.

1654
01:20:18.600 --> 01:20:22.079
<v Speaker 2>But again, it doesn't feel good. That's the genda here.

1655
01:20:22.479 --> 01:20:26.279
<v Speaker 2>That five through or really that's six through eight or

1656
01:20:26.359 --> 01:20:28.439
<v Speaker 2>six through nine, you're like allight, and then it's like

1657
01:20:28.560 --> 01:20:31.439
<v Speaker 2>ten through fifteen, it's like would you like thirty stolen bases?

1658
01:20:31.720 --> 01:20:32.600
<v Speaker 2>And then no, homers.

1659
01:20:32.680 --> 01:20:34.960
<v Speaker 3>These are guys that you take asmin l infielders when

1660
01:20:34.960 --> 01:20:37.479
<v Speaker 3>you're low on stolen bases. That's what they are, and

1661
01:20:38.039 --> 01:20:41.119
<v Speaker 3>that's not good because that's a big chunk of the

1662
01:20:41.199 --> 01:20:44.560
<v Speaker 3>second base position itself. So it looks like just really

1663
01:20:44.600 --> 01:20:47.119
<v Speaker 3>you need to invest early in whoever you like up top.

1664
01:20:47.439 --> 01:20:49.880
<v Speaker 3>Whatever the guy is up top that you like, just

1665
01:20:50.000 --> 01:20:52.520
<v Speaker 3>go for it and make sure you have him before

1666
01:20:52.560 --> 01:20:54.840
<v Speaker 3>you have to dig into this area.

1667
01:20:55.319 --> 01:20:58.159
<v Speaker 2>You're not wrong. It looks like there's five real second basemen.

1668
01:20:58.319 --> 01:21:01.159
<v Speaker 2>There's probably another five that you can talk yourself into,

1669
01:21:01.239 --> 01:21:03.920
<v Speaker 2>and there's a bunch of middle infielders. So that's positionally

1670
01:21:04.399 --> 01:21:09.760
<v Speaker 2>outside the top two hundred. Mikel Garcia, Jackson Holiday, Geloff, Colt, Keith, Brendan, Donovan,

1671
01:21:09.840 --> 01:21:15.760
<v Speaker 2>Brandon Law, Willie Castro, India Cabalio, cronin Worth who's first baseman.

1672
01:21:15.800 --> 01:21:19.479
<v Speaker 2>And Chris Morel, who qualifies a couple different spots. Think

1673
01:21:19.520 --> 01:21:23.159
<v Speaker 2>it might be more primary third now, but Jackson Holiday

1674
01:21:23.239 --> 01:21:25.199
<v Speaker 2>is super interesting, Like, you know, will you want to

1675
01:21:25.239 --> 01:21:28.239
<v Speaker 2>buy back in he hit one eighty nine. His XBA stunk,

1676
01:21:28.680 --> 01:21:31.479
<v Speaker 2>but I will say good barrel, good hard hit percentage.

1677
01:21:31.520 --> 01:21:33.039
<v Speaker 2>He just didn't know what the hell he was hitting

1678
01:21:33.079 --> 01:21:36.800
<v Speaker 2>hit a thirty three percent strikeout rate. If he just

1679
01:21:36.960 --> 01:21:39.159
<v Speaker 2>improves as a hitter in the next year, he has

1680
01:21:39.199 --> 01:21:41.199
<v Speaker 2>a lot of underlying stuff that I love on almost

1681
01:21:41.279 --> 01:21:45.199
<v Speaker 2>ten percent a launch angle, good hard hit numbers. I

1682
01:21:45.319 --> 01:21:47.079
<v Speaker 2>think he could bounce back. I'm gonna be honest with you,

1683
01:21:47.119 --> 01:21:48.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm probably gonna buy back in on the cheap. What

1684
01:21:49.000 --> 01:21:51.239
<v Speaker 2>are his his projections?

1685
01:21:51.720 --> 01:21:54.439
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, let me pull him up here. I just this

1686
01:21:54.680 --> 01:21:57.239
<v Speaker 3>is one of those things like he will be if

1687
01:21:57.279 --> 01:22:00.159
<v Speaker 3>he starts spring hot, he will be the fast this

1688
01:22:00.359 --> 01:22:03.800
<v Speaker 3>riser of anybody. Two thirty four is a batting average

1689
01:22:03.840 --> 01:22:07.720
<v Speaker 3>projector ten homers, eight stolen bases in one hundred and

1690
01:22:07.760 --> 01:22:08.399
<v Speaker 3>twelve games.

1691
01:22:08.640 --> 01:22:11.239
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so that's what I wanted to ask. Yeah, I

1692
01:22:11.319 --> 01:22:14.640
<v Speaker 2>mean I was so wrong about him last year, probably

1693
01:22:14.720 --> 01:22:16.359
<v Speaker 2>going to go down with the ship again. I think

1694
01:22:16.439 --> 01:22:18.640
<v Speaker 2>that's wrong again. I think, if you know, with a

1695
01:22:18.680 --> 01:22:21.319
<v Speaker 2>whole offseason of work at the major league level, the tweaking,

1696
01:22:21.760 --> 01:22:24.279
<v Speaker 2>how well they've done in developing those guys, he already

1697
01:22:24.319 --> 01:22:28.239
<v Speaker 2>has this good underlying base. If he is a two

1698
01:22:28.439 --> 01:22:31.920
<v Speaker 2>thirty hitter, I think he's hitting eighteen homers. If he's

1699
01:22:31.920 --> 01:22:33.520
<v Speaker 2>a two to fifty hitter, I think he's going over

1700
01:22:33.600 --> 01:22:36.680
<v Speaker 2>twenty and maybe you see him be more aggressive and

1701
01:22:36.920 --> 01:22:41.239
<v Speaker 2>his ADP is too ten, So I don't hate him

1702
01:22:41.399 --> 01:22:43.840
<v Speaker 2>at all. Also, just wanted to mention Jonathan India who's

1703
01:22:43.840 --> 01:22:48.720
<v Speaker 2>now a Royal, really good expected wOBA and batting average

1704
01:22:48.800 --> 01:22:52.439
<v Speaker 2>expected numbers. He hit fifteen thirty thirteen, fifteen homers, thirteen

1705
01:22:52.439 --> 01:22:55.520
<v Speaker 2>stolen bases last year in a pretty hitter friendly environment.

1706
01:22:56.000 --> 01:22:57.560
<v Speaker 2>It was kind of always the same hitter. He just

1707
01:22:57.640 --> 01:22:59.880
<v Speaker 2>learned to walk more and strike out a little bit less.

1708
01:23:00.680 --> 01:23:02.720
<v Speaker 2>Getting out of the ballpark. It does look like there's

1709
01:23:02.760 --> 01:23:06.399
<v Speaker 2>some squeakers that he might end up losing, but one

1710
01:23:06.439 --> 01:23:08.479
<v Speaker 2>of the lowest chase rates in all of baseball, one

1711
01:23:08.479 --> 01:23:12.079
<v Speaker 2>of the highest walk rates in baseball, and he gets

1712
01:23:12.119 --> 01:23:14.479
<v Speaker 2>the ball in the frickin air. Maybe he scores more runs.

1713
01:23:14.600 --> 01:23:17.880
<v Speaker 2>Maybe he's a fifteen to fifteen guy. He's probably pretty average,

1714
01:23:18.399 --> 01:23:20.399
<v Speaker 2>but I do feel like he could score quite a

1715
01:23:20.399 --> 01:23:22.399
<v Speaker 2>few more runs. You have anything on Jonathan India with

1716
01:23:22.439 --> 01:23:23.039
<v Speaker 2>the Royals now?

1717
01:23:23.960 --> 01:23:26.720
<v Speaker 3>I mean just excited to see him in a new spot, right,

1718
01:23:26.880 --> 01:23:29.479
<v Speaker 3>just a new environment, a new spots, not fighting for

1719
01:23:29.960 --> 01:23:32.239
<v Speaker 3>playing time every single day, so maybe he can relax

1720
01:23:32.279 --> 01:23:35.199
<v Speaker 3>and hit a little better. So That's what I'm keeping

1721
01:23:35.239 --> 01:23:36.079
<v Speaker 3>my fingers crossed for.

1722
01:23:36.399 --> 01:23:39.680
<v Speaker 2>You want a negative though, all ballpark. If he played

1723
01:23:39.720 --> 01:23:41.920
<v Speaker 2>all his games in Cincinnati, he'd have had twenty homers

1724
01:23:42.000 --> 01:23:44.239
<v Speaker 2>last year. If he played all his games in Kansas

1725
01:23:44.279 --> 01:23:48.079
<v Speaker 2>City last year the lowest home run total of eight. Yeah,

1726
01:23:48.439 --> 01:23:51.439
<v Speaker 2>had eight, which that would have shared with Boston, the A's,

1727
01:23:51.800 --> 01:23:54.439
<v Speaker 2>the Marlins. Those were the worst for him. So something

1728
01:23:54.479 --> 01:23:56.399
<v Speaker 2>to keep an eye on out. I don't think he's

1729
01:23:56.399 --> 01:23:58.399
<v Speaker 2>ever going to bounce crazy back. I do think maybe

1730
01:23:58.439 --> 01:24:00.439
<v Speaker 2>he could steal more that team does, like Aron, I know,

1731
01:24:00.560 --> 01:24:03.520
<v Speaker 2>Cincinnati did. You just got to stay healthy. India might

1732
01:24:03.600 --> 01:24:05.920
<v Speaker 2>be kind of cheap. He's down in the two seventies,

1733
01:24:06.439 --> 01:24:09.039
<v Speaker 2>but it's a it's another list of other players, like

1734
01:24:09.239 --> 01:24:11.359
<v Speaker 2>I think col Keith is interesting. We'll talk about him

1735
01:24:11.359 --> 01:24:14.000
<v Speaker 2>in the ranks. Geloff had a pretty rough year. Mikeel

1736
01:24:14.079 --> 01:24:18.840
<v Speaker 2>Garcia is probably the CVS version of those same guys,

1737
01:24:19.520 --> 01:24:22.159
<v Speaker 2>and as the Scott's like, he could steal thirty bases

1738
01:24:22.199 --> 01:24:22.680
<v Speaker 2>and whatnot.

1739
01:24:23.159 --> 01:24:27.399
<v Speaker 3>Bad batting averages in this area here. Yeah, you know,

1740
01:24:28.119 --> 01:24:32.039
<v Speaker 3>Cole Keith two away, morell way down there as well.

1741
01:24:32.560 --> 01:24:35.520
<v Speaker 3>Willie Castro in the second half was miserable after being

1742
01:24:35.520 --> 01:24:37.560
<v Speaker 3>an All Star, So yeah.

1743
01:24:37.600 --> 01:24:40.000
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna go with I guess I'm gonna go with

1744
01:24:40.000 --> 01:24:42.239
<v Speaker 2>the echo chamber a little bit. His position does stink,

1745
01:24:42.399 --> 01:24:45.960
<v Speaker 2>it's not great. Can you make do with it? Absolutely? Man,

1746
01:24:46.079 --> 01:24:48.319
<v Speaker 2>you miss out and you want to go and be like,

1747
01:24:48.399 --> 01:24:50.159
<v Speaker 2>all right, you know you can get two of the

1748
01:24:50.199 --> 01:24:51.079
<v Speaker 2>same type of players.

1749
01:24:51.159 --> 01:24:51.840
<v Speaker 3>I screwed up.

1750
01:24:52.159 --> 01:24:54.199
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to dominate stolen bases and I'm going to

1751
01:24:54.239 --> 01:24:57.840
<v Speaker 2>get Nico Horner and under as Jiminez. But then you

1752
01:24:57.920 --> 01:25:00.159
<v Speaker 2>are playing from behind him power. I just don't want

1753
01:25:00.199 --> 01:25:01.800
<v Speaker 2>to play from behind in power and not sure you

1754
01:25:01.880 --> 01:25:04.119
<v Speaker 2>need to make up stolen bases, But there you go.

1755
01:25:04.279 --> 01:25:06.079
<v Speaker 2>Let us do what you guys think On the second

1756
01:25:06.159 --> 01:25:08.840
<v Speaker 2>base primer, who the guys that you're digging? What did

1757
01:25:08.920 --> 01:25:10.680
<v Speaker 2>you dig out of this? And hopefully we brought some

1758
01:25:10.800 --> 01:25:12.920
<v Speaker 2>new insights to you guys. Next step, what do you want?

1759
01:25:12.960 --> 01:25:14.399
<v Speaker 2>What are we doing? Shortstop or third base?

1760
01:25:14.439 --> 01:25:16.520
<v Speaker 3>People are right in shortstop, we're going around the horn,

1761
01:25:16.680 --> 01:25:17.520
<v Speaker 3>So shorting.

1762
01:25:17.279 --> 01:25:19.600
<v Speaker 2>Around the horn perfect, We're gonna pass it over for

1763
01:25:19.640 --> 01:25:22.680
<v Speaker 2>a double play on shortstops. Next then going to third base,

1764
01:25:22.760 --> 01:25:25.199
<v Speaker 2>and then we'll have a big old outfield which we'll

1765
01:25:25.199 --> 01:25:26.479
<v Speaker 2>be dealing with. So make sure to go and check

1766
01:25:26.560 --> 01:25:28.800
<v Speaker 2>us out at in this League dot Com. That's where

1767
01:25:28.960 --> 01:25:31.479
<v Speaker 2>the ranks live. I am working on the redraft ranks

1768
01:25:31.680 --> 01:25:34.239
<v Speaker 2>hopefully going to be right around December, First plus Prospect

1769
01:25:34.319 --> 01:25:36.720
<v Speaker 2>and Dynasty. I'm also writing for the Black Book right now,

1770
01:25:37.000 --> 01:25:39.039
<v Speaker 2>we're doing stuff over on Fantasy Pro. So we got

1771
01:25:39.159 --> 01:25:42.680
<v Speaker 2>ranks coming, We got the whole thing happening. Also, looking

1772
01:25:42.760 --> 01:25:45.119
<v Speaker 2>in December is probably when I'm gonna be doing a

1773
01:25:45.359 --> 01:25:48.439
<v Speaker 2>best Ball or two maybe, and we will shoot that

1774
01:25:48.520 --> 01:25:50.399
<v Speaker 2>over to the ITL Army members if people want to

1775
01:25:50.479 --> 01:25:52.039
<v Speaker 2>check it out, so come and support us and join

1776
01:25:52.079 --> 01:25:54.119
<v Speaker 2>the groups as well at in this League dot Com.

1777
01:25:54.840 --> 01:25:56.680
<v Speaker 2>That's what you can do for indoes. Find us on

1778
01:25:56.880 --> 01:25:59.359
<v Speaker 2>the twitters at is it the Welsh, at Bogman Sports.

1779
01:25:59.399 --> 01:26:01.600
<v Speaker 2>We're on the other so socials as well. And you

1780
01:26:01.640 --> 01:26:04.159
<v Speaker 2>know we're doing this right around Thanksgiving, Happy holidays, and

1781
01:26:04.279 --> 01:26:06.079
<v Speaker 2>we will talk to you next time right here on

1782
01:26:06.239 --> 01:26:06.720
<v Speaker 2>in this league.

1783
01:26:07.000 --> 01:26:13.199
<v Speaker 3>Soil m HM