Speaker 1: Happy Monday, guys. Welcome to Puck Time Wager Talk TV.
We have picks, sides, totals props for you here for
the busy Monday slate. It's February, tewod, where does the
time go? We are just a handful of days away
from the Olympic breaks. Let's try and find you some
winners before the pause in NHL play Carmen, it feels
a bit weird here, man, Like, obviously you and I
both pumped up to watch the Olympics, but you know
it's it's gonna be a little bit weird here for
two weeks no NHL.
Speaker 2: Yeah, four days left, Andrew, they smashed a whole bunch
of games in together, so that is great. Then the
Olympics start right after the show. I'm going to pick
up my team Canada, the black jersey. I ordered it.
It's waiting for me at Von Mills. I'm gonna go
and grab that. I had to get ad. I had
to add a few x's to a The winter was
not kind. The winter was not kind to me. The
Excel became double and triple Excel. But with that said,
man uh yeah uh that Winter Classic man Or Stadium
series now Winter Classics name series. Brebrovski is swamen throwing
them down. Man goaliefights, Yeah, golige. Who doesn't love a
good goalie fight? First ever goaliefight, goaliefight that was outside
in a stadium, and uh, Vassilevski won that fight, swaymen
didn't get any punches in. Vassilevski caught him on the
chin once and whatever. It wasn't a classic fight, but
it was good nonetheless. And uh, post game when Andrew
and they shook hands, the teams shook hands, they had
a good laugh. I saw the video of the two
of them and they're just chatting and they're like, I
think we gave them some entertainment. So that was more
entertainment than anything else. But man, that was fantastic. We
have an action packed card for you guys today. Andrew
and I are going to talk about Ottawa and Pittsburgh.
Brian Leonard is back. He is back in Vegas, and
he arrived in Vegas from the deep cold and goes
seven to oh on his first day back in Vegas. Brian,
we are putting one of those ankle bracelets on you,
and you cannot leave Vegas because you're on fire. So
we are going to keep you there. Brian's gonna do
the New York Islanders and Washington Capitals. We're going to
keep him around for the Winnipeg and Dallas game, and
then Andrew and I will close it off with a
rematch of the Colorado and Detroit weekend game. I believe
they played on Saturday, saying game parlay from Andrew along
with some props, and I have a pod play the
pod play on Friday one, And if you're around and
you follow me on Twitter, you'll know that I put
out a pod on Sunday as well too, on the
first period over in that stadium series and that one
one as well too. So that's why you should always
follow on social media.
Speaker 1: But with that said, great call to you on that arm,
great call. A lot of goals in that first period.
Speaker 3: It was really really fun.
Speaker 2: A lot of goals, a lot of goals in general.
Andrew that that game, I thought the game would slow
down because like all indication and listening to you know,
I saw like how they had tended the arena and
they're pumping cold and and I'm just thinking it's it's
still once they removed that tent the night before uh,
and they keep that ice in the in the second
and third periods is where if if you over freeze
the ice, And I know that sounds weird, but if
you over freeze the ice, it's actually harder for the players. Uh.
And the NHL had had people there checking and monitoring
the ice because it actually can hurt them. It's got
to be kept at a certain temperature. And then I thought,
if it becomes one of those ones where there's a
lot of snow and it frost's over, do we see
any scoring in uh or a lot of scoring in
the second and third period as well. I was wrong there.
We saw a lot of them, but it didn't matter
to me. Man, we got goals in the first period.
Speaker 1: Yeah, a lot of penalties, I didn't, you know. It's funny, Yeah,
that's what I mean. Like, you know, hockey players, they
they try to pick and choose their spots when they're
gonna complain about a call. But David Pasternak, I think
Charlie McAvoy, both of them said like, I'm not really
sure what happened there, because let's be honest, carm a
lot of times when comebacks happen, it's because of a
power player too, Like you got to get a couple
of power play goals, but uh hey, they took full
advantage of it. And I gotta say this, Jeremy Swayman
was asking for it. I understand Hegel was poking at him,
but Swayman starts pounding him with the blocker, and I
I was so pumped up. I was watching the Raptors
game back and forth with the hockey game. I turn
it back on. I see Vaslevsky meeting him at center ice.
So it was a pretty good weekend overall for me.
I actually stayed away from NHL yesterday. I had one
college basketball play ended up being like a thirty point blowout,
so that was awesome. I did lose my big play
Saturday night, but we had a handful of free plays
and a handful of plays overall on Saturday. And we're
still on a pretty good run right now in the NHL.
So January we went three and one with the or
four and one with the five percent NHL play, so
we'll try and keep that going. And shout out to
Steve here who says he was at the Penn State
and Michigan State outdoor game seventy four thousand people at
that one. NCAA hockey is growing in a big way
right now, and it's it's pretty cool to see.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Celebrini Man not Celebrini McKenna with some selfies and stuff.
So the hockey selfies and stuff. But I always talk
about the bad days. It wasn't a bad day yesterday.
It was a four and oh day for me across
soccer and hockey. But like less the previous Sunday, I
had a bad Sunday, And I always say, don't judge
a person by one day. What happened since that Sunday?
I said I would get it back nineteen and eight
plus thirty four point four or five units the last
seven days. It's from Monday to this past Sunday, which
is number one at wager talk over that period. So
but it's still only seven days. We're going to keep
it rolling right into the Olympic break and then the
post Olympic break. But with that said, Andrew, we got
to get going. Here. We're six minutes, six and a
half minutes in Ottawa, Senators Pittsburgh Penguins minus one fourteen
on Pittsburgh, minus one oh seven on Ottawa, total six
here at six and a half. Where are you going
with this one?
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, the number seems a bit weird to
me here, Karl, it does. Like just looking at the number. Overall,
I understand it's a you know, it's a senator's team
that potentially is better than what their numbers dictate, you know,
offensively some of the way that they've been playing. But
at the end of the day, this number is a
little bit fish. I'm curious if you would describe this
the same way. But the number, based on what we've
seen from the Pittsburgh Penguins as of late, you would
think this would be a little bit less of you know,
of a Pickham stage here, you know, with how well
they're playing compared to the Autawa Senators. So immediately that
was kind of a flag to me. But I'll tell you, like, I.
Speaker 3: Understand that more and more.
Speaker 1: If it's like average goaltending, you don't look at it
as much. But then lately I've been looking at last
one hundred and eighty minutes, last handful of games for
these goaltenders, and it was a great story seeing linas
Almark come back on Saturday play well for the Ottawa Senators.
Speaker 3: They get the win for one.
Speaker 1: That was one of my free plays Senators team total
to get to four, But I mean James Rymer's expected here.
Since he's returned that back to play eight seventy three
save percentage, he's two two to one three zero five
goals against average. The crazy thing is Karl is that
his numbers aren't very good, and his numbers are still
better than what Mari Linen was doing and really what
Allmark was doing earlier in the season. But just looking
at some of my numbers, the high danger chances for
for this Pittsburgh Penguins team, I think it's too much
for Ottawa to handle. I think the suppression is gonna
be too tough for them to create chances. And honestly,
if you put enough shots on goal in the Ottawa Senators,
you're gonna put goals up on the board.
Speaker 3: So six and a half is the total.
Speaker 1: If you could tell me first to four wins this game,
I think it's Pittsburgh. So the number seems a little
bit weird for me, and that's probably why I won't
end up being a client play for me. I do
have some player props in this game for the player
props segment coming up in a little while, but I
lean towards the Pittsburgh Penguins side. This team is playing
a lot better than people are probably giving.
Speaker 3: Them credit for.
Speaker 1: We'll see if they can maintain that post Olympic break,
because I'll tell you what, Ottawa is a team that
I want to be betting on in the Olympic break.
I think they're a team that's gonna miss the playoffs,
but we're gonna have opportunities to make money on them.
They're one of those teams, carm And I'll bring you
in with this, but go before I go to you.
I think they're one of those teams where I don't
like to blame goaltenders very much for like just outright losses,
but they're one of the few teams that you really
can blame their goaltending for how a lot of their
season has gone.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I don't think you can. It's one of
those ones where teams have to play better, the players
have to play better, and then they start to turn
it around at some point, and you wonder, is it
a little too late that you know that? You look
at the Ottawa Senators, they fall into that. Excuse me,
we're going to talk about the Winnipeg Jets and Dallas
a little later on and talk about like teams that
might have left it late. Listen, the Pens are playing good.
It's like they found the fountain of youth. Andrew she
Loves is supposed to be starting in this game. I
think he's actually confirmed. And if you look at his
numbers over the last what five five starts is allowed
two goals, a goal, three goals, two goals in two
goals his last his last five games, say percentage going up,
the goals against average going down. The odd thing is
through those five games, though they are two and three,
it's just because of the teams that they played and
the fact that they couldn't score goals against those teams.
AUTO is playing better, you know. I have to think
Auto is going to make a second half push. Whether
they're good enough for it. They've won three in a row.
I don't know. At the end of the day when
this one shakes out, I'm not sure if these teams
both make the playoffs or not. Obviously, the Pens are
in great shape right now. But a couple issues for
the manager coming into this game. Number one, Rusted, well,
what Rust is suspended? We know that, but La Tang Latang.
I think it's a broken foot for Latang and he's
out as well too. The one thing, you know, and
this is not one of those let's make fun of
the Torontoway police, but one of the biggest things was
with Kyle Dubis when he was let go from the
Leafs and he became the GM at Pittsburgh. They said,
this guy can't put together a defensive team. Andrew, look
at the lines. I think this is a good pack
of of defenseman for for the Penguins. You got Wrotherspoon
and Carlson. You have Kulak and Latang who's now injured.
Of course, you have sliv you and and Shay. That's
a pretty good Those are pretty good combos and it
seems to be working because they're playing some better duh,
and they're scoring some goals, you know.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 2: With that said, it does seem like a fishy line.
The sort of the next man up mentality I think
applies in this one. I still like Pittsburgh in this game.
I think Ottawa gives them a hard time in this one.
But you and I are gonna go Mano Amano. You're
looking for goals I'm looking for better defensive play from
both teams, and this one's staying under the total. And
that's hard to say considering I had the Penguins on
the weekend in regulation against the New York Rangers, and
somehow the Rangers woke up in the third period and
made it six to five. I'm like, what is going
on in the game? Yeah, that was the greatest game
end already, and thankfully it ended.
Speaker 1: But that Chuck says here Karen about different websites projecting
all Mark versus Rhymer. Look, if I will say, like
if that my handicap does change based on if it
is Rhymer. And I know that it's a lot about
the numbers and statistics, but I'm not gonna lie a lot.
Speaker 3: A big part of.
Speaker 1: The reason why I liked all Mark on Saturday was
because of the story. You know, the players were going
to get up for him, he was going to be
dialed in. It was his first game back after his
time away right from the game, so you have to
think that maybe he could go on a role himself.
So if it does end up being all Mark, I
think that bodes very well for your under as well.
I do think they're going to try and play some
better defensive hockey.
Speaker 3: We'll see.
Speaker 1: Well, the biggest thing I'm curious about is, like, can
can Pittsburgh keep getting this depth scoring? Like earlier in
the year when they were having success, it was because
it was because Crosby was on an unbelievable pace at
all these star players, But now they're getting scoring from
all over the ice, which I found super impressive.
Speaker 3: So it's good to see. We've got a question here
talking about.
Speaker 2: I have a question for you as well too. Before
we put up the strategies, I have a question for you.
So this is the first of a back to back
for Ottawa, so obviously they play Pittsburgh tonight, they're in
Carolina tomorrow. You have Reimer, you have oh Mark. If
Ollmark is your number one, does he give you a
better chance of winning tonight or does he give you
a better chance of winning tomorrow?
Speaker 1: What would you A lot of times late James goalies
have been doing coaches have been doing that. They've been
putting the better goalie the second night when they're tired.
Speaker 3: So yeah, we'll have to find out.
Speaker 1: I was just gonna say I think we'll probably save
this question for when we come back, uh, for the
most part. But one thing I'll say, and then I'll
give you a chance before we got to bring Brian
in here before he gets too tired of waiting for us.
Speaker 3: One thing I will say is.
Speaker 1: That you got to really be careful of the of
the teams that don't have that many Olympians because last
year we really really saw it, and Carmine pointed it
out with Washington, there's going to be some teams that
have players that were snubbed. And as I keep on
saying it as a Canadians fan, mister Saturday Night, Cole
Kawfield getting snubbed, I'm happy to see it.
Speaker 3: He's not there.
Speaker 1: He's gonna get rested, Jason Robertson. And you look at
the teams with a lot of Russian players, you know
they're not going to the Olympics, so those are going
to be rested. So you know, I would say that's
where you kind of can start, Karen, by looking at
which teams are going to have the most.
Speaker 2: Rest Yeah, it's sure, Andrew this and there's just a
wealth of talent in Canada and it happens in the
US as well too, that you just can't. You can't
bring everybody, you know what I mean. It's not like
the NFL where you can have, you know, a forty
man roster. It's you can have twenty three or twenty
five guys. You can have a couple of guys who
make the trip over in the event of injuries, in
their emergency call ups and stuff. But we shall see.
I'm looking forward to the Olympics. Maybe some of those
guys who don't make it and miss out on it,
let's say a gold medal, whether it's Canada, US or
let's say Sweden and they didn't make the team, they're
they're going to have that chip on their shoulders in
the second half of the season. I don't think it
gets them down. I think it maybe fuels them sort
of moving forward. But we got to bring in Brian.
Like I said, he was seven on Sunday, Andrew, he's
already won two games while listening to us talked for
twelve minutes, so.
Speaker 3: You bet.
Speaker 2: He's on a nine and over run right now. Bright,
welcome back, man, we missed you. You are doing quadruple
duty this week. You're on every day of the week,
and then if you want, like on Friday, we have
no show, but we can just have you on and
you just kind of stare at the camera for about
twenty minutes.
Speaker 4: Just like the last twenty I just did right exactly exactly. Man,
how you doing, I'm doing great. And you were talking
about with the Olympics and all. It kind of reminds
me of the or the Major League Baseball All Star
Game where you got certain Eleca Toronto last year. They
had such a good team, a lot of players going
to the All Star Game and then it's a big
deal and a whole bit.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 4: I do a lot of that around the All Star
Game where you find teams, you know, your lousy teams
that nobody's going the All Star Game. Those are the
tech on teams. I'm looking to play around that. So yeah, great,
great points on that.
Speaker 3: Regarding the Olympics, well, I'm looking forward to it.
Speaker 1: And again there's gonna be money to be made post
Olympic break because you know, we're gonna be excited for
the Olympics. Whatever happens, how the games go, who wins,
but the players are gonna have to get right back
into it. So we'll find out if the younger teams
do better the older teams do better or all that
good stuff. So look forward to it. But Brian, we
got a game to dive in on, and you're gonna
stick around with us for the most part.
Speaker 3: We'll go into your game.
Speaker 1: You're gonna talk Islanders and Capitals before you do that.
If you can maybe just give us a strategy, if
you're changing how you look at anything going into the break,
or if everything stays the same for you so far.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going to take a look at it. As
you were just talking about the goalies, the way they
play the goalies first or second game or whatever. Guess
better team, lesser team, that kind of thing. Yeah, I
think there's a lot of things around the breaks of
these sports in which you could take advantage on. So
that's something I'm looking at. In fact, since I was
waiting for the spot here to open up, I noticed
that the Islanders have decided to go with the backup
goalie on today's card because they were taking money. Washington
was taking money, and so they're going to go with
their better goalie in tomorrow's game. But the Islanders are
in the middle of a five games a seven day
stretch and they host the Penguins tomorrow. They currently sit
in the final playoff spot in the East with a
four point lead over the Blue Jackson. Blue Jackets and
these capitals, and neither is two squads have had much
success on the power play this year, both sitting there
just over sixteen percent of the season, which I think
is one of the reasons why Washington has been so
struggling lately. Actually on the whole season, Washington on the
power play normally is very good. We all know about.
You know, there are great scores on that team, and
so that's something to keep in mind of that that's
been really the problem for Washington all year long. You know,
if you don' think I look at the schedule and
the series between the two. You know, the Islanders have
not lost in regulation to Washington since the twenty twenty
two to twenty three season. They've been very good on
the road, especially against divisional opponents this year. And you know, Washington,
as I mentioned, they're one of the strictest teams in
the league this season, currently on a nine and seventeen
overall run. But they are off a couple of nice wins.
They beat Detroit the other day in overtime and then
they got that huge comeback victory over the Hurricanes last
time out, so maybe they're starting one of those streaks.
We'll have to see. But Washington's been dealing with goalie
injuries of late. They've had to call up Klay Stevenson.
Visitor in the series has won each of the previous
three meetings this season. I think that's going to continue here,
even though we've got a lesser goalie in goal for
the Islanders. I just don't trust Washington as of late.
They have not played well. It's been a long time
since they played well and an interesting thing to look
a until the goalie situation came out, you would think
money would be coming in on Washington because there are
four points behind the Islanders for the playoff spot, They're
playing at home, they're playing three of their next four
games against got other teams that are fighting for those
playoff spots. So this is a time where you would
think money would come in on Washington. And yet their
money came in all day long for the Islanders before
that goalie announcement, So that was kind of strange for me.
So I kind of like the Islanders here and now
we're getting more more value with the underdog here, So
I like the Islanders is my player of the day
on the show.
Speaker 2: Today, Yeah, Bry, you know interesting on they're like on
the goalie stuff. So last night I put out a
free play that's on the wager Talk site in this game,
and I took the under six and a half in
this game, but I fully expected and both the goalies
are different. I thought it would start for the Islanders,
but more importantly, Klay Stevenson would start because Logan Thompson's injured.
But he's I'm looking at the clear images. He's sporting
his team Canada equipment and he's on the ice this
morning for Washington in goal, which means that he will
get the start, and some of the sites are starting
to update it that he's the expected goalie for tonight.
That total dropped overnight from six and a half to six,
and now it's back up to six and a half,
still shaded to the under. I still like the under
because I think that the Cops have putting some pretty
good defensive efforts of late. They're playing a little bit better,
and it's like you said, they need to make up
the they need to make up that those those points
that they are behind the New York Islanders. Big save Dave.
Andrew knows I'm a huge fan of big save Dave Riddick,
So in goal for the Islanders, we'll see the Islanders
haven't been scoring a ton of lates, so this is
one of those ones where I believe overall the New
York Islanders have the worst record for over unders on
the road this season. So keep that little tidbit for
you guys out there as well too. So Nope, not
red light Riddick. We want big save Dave tonight in
a little scoring game. I'll take Washington three to two
or about two to two, and then whoever Brian likes
wins it in overtime. Are you good with that, Brian?
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's interesting because we've talked about this in the past.
Usually when you've got a backup goal turnder in there,
everybody makes that big adjustment that goal. He's not as
good he's but the teams know that too, So the
teams tend to play better defense when they've got a
lesser goaltender in there, So a lot of times you
get the advantage in that game. So yeah, I'm in
agreeing with you on this one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you look at it and Andrew. In that
game game that Clay started on the weekend against Carolina,
he allowed like three goals in the first twenty four
to twenty five minutes of the game, and then he
shuttled Carolina the rest of the way and Washington game
all the way back and won that game four to three.
So who would you rather have it? Net Andrew tonight.
Speaker 1: Yeah, There's been a lot of goalies that have just
come up lately and we don't know much about them,
and they end up having a good a good run.
So it's almost like you you don't want to just
automatically say, Okay, this is a goalie we've never heard
of before, we're gonna fade them. It's almost like you
want to just watch and see how they are and
then go from there. But to your guys's point, the
number is baked in with the backup goalie, but also
the like it's kind of.
Speaker 3: Similar Brian what you just said.
Speaker 1: For me, I've looked at more unders on back to
backs lately, and I used to think, you know that
the easy mindset is take overs back to back because
they're tired, right, Well, the numbers baked into it you know,
maybe the team plays more defensive and they change their formations,
and same thing with the backup goalie. You know, they
know the backups in there, so they might change a
little bit as well. So but I'm looking for I'm
looking forward to following the movement throughout the day in
this game. I feel like I have my Odds logic
page up. I feel like he'll be interesting to watch
the way that one works. But last thing I'll say here,
Dave ridditche like for me, it kind of reminds me
of Jonathan Quick with the New York Rangers. I know
I've said this a lot on puck time, but ever
since Shasterkin got hurt, he hasn't looked nearly as good anymore.
Speaker 3: And it's because some of these.
Speaker 1: Goalies that are older, they're better when they only play
every so often. So big save Dave is good because
he plays like once every two weeks, you know, so
like and if you throw him in a position where
he becomes the full time guy, then maybe he wouldn't
be that good anymore, you know. So I always find
that kind of interesting comment and says that why are
there two streams? One of them is YouTube shorts, and
one of them is the is the regular YouTube.
Speaker 3: That's all.
Speaker 2: Yeah, always look for the irregular one. You get to
see all three of us up close and personal. But Andrew,
with that said, before we lead into the next game,
you look at Riddicks January numbers two, three and one
with the three thirty one goals against average and an
eight thirty eight save percentage, and the Caps are scoring
three point one to eight goals per game. So I
don't know. I still like the under in this one,
but I liked it better when it was sick. When
I released it at six and a half and I
saw that the under was bet down to six and
now it's back up. I think that has more to
do with the Islanders change of goalies than it does
with the Washington Capital change of goalies. We're gonna mix
things up. We're going to keep it Brian and Brian
here and him and Andrew are going to break down
on the Winnipeg at Dallas game, and I will have
a play in that game, but you'll have to wait
till the end of the show because it's going to
be the pod play. With that said, Andrew, you want
to take the lead on.
Speaker 1: This it's a mysteries. I like that a little bit,
a little bit of a tease there from car. We
got to wait till later to get that breezy cold
play of the day from him here. This Winnipeg team,
Brian just conceptually overall with this Winnipeg team. Last year,
they got off to such a red hot start with
their season they never really looked back here. I think
the biggest thing for me, and of course this is
coming from podcasts and stuff I listen to, is that
they maybe lack speed. And in the NHL these days,
no matter who you are, you've got to be able
to have speed in order to have success. Looking at
some of the websites that I use, they just kind
of talk about how, you know, they're not able to
suppress the chances that teams are creating against them because
they're just not fast enough. A little bit here, what
do you think about the number in this one here
Dallas and Winnipeg. I mean, Dallas has had their ups
and downs, but the end of the day they might
be a team I'm more so looking to jump on.
Speaker 4: Well, you look at the Dallas starts. So the first
game back home after a successful three to zero road
trip in which every game was decided by a single goal. Normally,
I'm looking to fade teams in that regard, but Dallas
has struggled a little bit as of late. In fact,
the last month or so has been a struggle for him.
But they've been playing with more physicality as a late.
The coaching staffs wants them to begin in more of
a playoff mood, a playoff mode, and that's what they've
been doing lately. The power play has been especially good
as of late, and it's the second best in the
league on the season, so Dallas. That's where Dallas gets
their bread and butter this season is in that power
play and Winnipeg they're on a seventy five run. That
comes on the end of eleven game losing streak, So yeah,
they had that streak earlier Goalie was out and they
were struggling mightily in that time. Now they're trying to
fight their way back into the playoff contention, apparently sitting
nine points out of the playoffs, so they've got a
long way to go, but they're feeling a little bit
better about the way they've been playing. Dallas won the
previous two matchups by single goals in higher expected scoring
contests when they played Winnipeg. Winnipeg's a team that you want.
If you want to play Winnipeg, you're probably looking for
the unders. And I think that's what we're going to
need to get out of Winnipeg tonight. The Justice scored
just twelve times in the last seven games overall, so
their scorings continues to struggle, and the power play has
been bad all season for this Winnipeg team. So they've
got to play a clean game here, and if they do,
I think this game is a game that we're looking
to play the under end. They've lost both games, as
I mentioned, and they went over in those games. Winnipeg
can't afford to try to match Dallas, and Dallas on
that power play is so much better what Winnipeg is
if Dallas is coming to play, which you would expect
them to come to play every game the rest of
the way out because they are playing catch up at
this point. If you like Winnipeg at all in this game,
you kind of like the under and that's the way
I'm looking at this game. It's a free play I
put up on the site. Not one of my better
plays for today, but that's the way I'm looking at this.
Dallas talent wise is the better team, no doubt about it.
But the win it'd been playing over the last couple
of months very very streaky. So until I get a
couple more wins under the belt, I don't know if
I want to lay this number with them.
Speaker 3: That's kind of how I feel as well.
Speaker 1: Like you look at this number here and it's it's
it's tempting to take the dog because of how high
and steep this number is. Overall, I like the under
that five and a half. It can get away from you.
These five and a half, they're so tough in the NHL.
Brian will say, I, you know, we don't want to
give attention to the haters. But I gave out an
under Philadelphia and LA on Saturday afternoon, tweeted it out,
and I told people I'm going to start tweeting note
many a lot more picks than I like I used
to and it finishes three to two.
Speaker 3: It's five and a half.
Speaker 1: I mean a lot of unders that go under five
and a half, they're gonna finish three to two, you know.
And this guy's like sending me hate tweets like your garbage,
you're working for the books and all this, and like
it's the first period, like it was two nothing out
for the first period, and these five and a half
are tough to go under. But one thing I was
gonna add is, I know I always, you know, try
and bring up different angles and ways to look at things,
and I kind of relate the goalie save props to
some of the different props you can bet on with
with pitchers in MLB action, if you have a really
high price, you can look towards you know, runs aloud
or hits a loud or so on and so forth.
And I think that Hella buck over on saves could
be a good prop to look at if there's even
a slight part of you that thinks Winnipeg stands a chance,
or if you and I Brian as we do like
the under in this one, I think this is going
to be a good one for this save prop for him. Unfortunately,
save props don't typically come out until a little bit
later in the afternoon for a lot of them. But
if I'm getting twenty five and a half, twenty six
and a half something along that line, I'm interested in
looking at Hellabuck because Unfortunately, they rely on him a ton,
and you know, when he was injured and Eric Comery
was the main guy, we saw how much they slipped.
So I think people have to realize that this guy
is the MVP for a reason on this team. And
so no matter what happens, I think he's gonna have
to make a ton of saints. Whether Winnipeg wins or loses,
the total goes under over, I think that he's gonna
have to make a ton of saves.
Speaker 3: So, and you know, you.
Speaker 1: Talk about the under Brian, but if we if I
told you, hey, Brian, tonight's game ended two to one,
you might think, Okay, this is a that's a pretty
good score line to take a shot with the underdog, right, Yeah,
I agree.
Speaker 4: And for the gentleman that said you're getting paid by
the books, I've never received a paid I've been doing
this for forty five years. I've never received a pay
I've never met anybody that actually got a paycheck from
the books, unless you're actually working for the sportsbooks. So
a lot of people say that kind of stuff. They
don't even sportsbooks don't even know who we are. You know,
it's uh, yeah, that's that's crazy talk. It's like, you know,
I used to say about the fixes anymore, you never know.
But if the game is fixed, if you don't know
about it, you still got the same fifty fifty chance
of winning. So if it's fixed, great, I don't care.
It's what are you gonna do? What are you gonna do?
Speaker 3: Then?
Speaker 1: The funny thing is I I and I feel like
everybody should be like this. But if I asked you, hey, Brian, like,
can you give me a college play tonight or your
college football or whatever? And I tail it and they
lose by thirty, I'm not mad at you. It's a
play I chose to gamble with you, Like, you know,
you have great seasons and all sports that you been
on doesn't mean that one game that I decided to
ask you for is going to be a guaranteed winner.
So that stuff always makes me laugh. But one guy
that well, you can pretty much guarantee winners. Lately, knock
On Wood Karm has been crushing it with these play
of the day. Let's bring him back in here, Karm.
You've got the graphic all set and ready here. You
you heard. We kind of like the under We kind
of like Winnipeg I'm looking at Hella bucks save prop
How does that correlate with what you like in this game?
Speaker 2: Andrew, I don't even know why you're lying to like
the viewing public. I've seen your bank account. You get
You're getting like one hundred K deposited in there every
the end of the month, every end of the month,
and they give you like one game and they tell you,
like this Chinese Ping Pong, I need you to release
this guy. As they be, there is no rigging, there
is no working for the books, and that when you
see comments like that, they're just amates comments from someone
who hasn't been bedding long enough and they just think
that they have the woes me attitude that whatever they
read online has to happen. Even the best of betters,
and Brian Leonard will tell you this, the ones that
make money betting with and low big numbers. If you're
hitting fifty four to fifty, you're making money in different
sports where there's a big attached to it. You you
have to obviously hit a higher winning percentage and over
to overcome that vig But nobody works for the books.
With that said, I believe in a couple of weeks
after the Olympic break, the six and sixty will be
brought to you by Fan Duel, but I will discuss
that a little later on. So with that said, uh,
let's go to the pod Man and then Andrew's gonna
have the same game party for you. All Right, You
guys aren't gonna like this, but I like this play,
and I released this play last night, or I played
it last night before the Winnipeg money started coming in.
I am taking the Jets plus one thirty nine in
this spot, and I'm gonna give you a couple of
reasons for it. Jets are starting to play so much better.
They went into Philadelphia, sorry, they went into Florida, win there.
They went into New Jersey won there. They lose to
Tampa Bay. Everyone seems to be losing to Tampa Bay
at the moment. So at the very least, they're gonna
split this four game road trip. But they have a
chance to go three to one in this road trip,
taking on a rival here in Dallas. And when these
teams play, they're normally like these one goal games that
they play. But more importantly, it looked like this Winnipeg
team was dead in the water. The sound clips coming
from the coach from some of the players were terrible.
Now you have Cole Profetti coming out after the game
and saying, man, we're loving playing hockey right now. The
guys in the dressing room are excited. We're gonna get
on a roll. That's actually what you want to hear
from players. They're enjoying playing hockey again. Can they go
into Dallas and beat them? Absolutely? Anytime you have a
goalie like O'Connor hellibuck, he can go in and steal
you again. This guy's the VESDNS Trophy winner. I am
taking the plus one thirty nine here. I like the
Winnipeg Jets. Some money's coming in on them, of course,
But you know, with that said, Eric Comery started against
Florida and they played great in winning two to one.
Now they get their number one goalie in goal in
Dallas tonight looking to finish off this road trip three
games to one or three and one record. So with
that said, the Winnipeg Jets plus one thirty nine is
your pod to play.
Speaker 3: I like it, Carl. I mean it's a good price.
Speaker 1: And the end of the day here for Dallas is
they're a great team, but these days do they deserve
that price tag is the big question that we will ask.
I'm gonna start diving into different player player props more,
and I'll tell you what. One of the ones that
I've been looking at a ton is the goalie save props.
So when that hell Buck one comes out, you guys
can take a look at my social media page and
we'll see if I end up tweeting that stuff up.
Carm I feel bad that Brian left. I didn't give
him a proper exit, Like we didn't get to talk
to him more.
Speaker 3: He just kind of even ask him what he had up.
Speaker 2: I know, if you're still there, if you're still around
Brian watching this show log back in, we got to
give him.
Speaker 3: A proper right.
Speaker 2: I feel about like, uh, you talked about like Jazz
on the Fresh Prince of bel Air where he goes
flying through the air excited.
Speaker 1: I just wanted to hear what your pick was on
this game. That's all it was. And and he said, audios,
I'm leaving. So we love you, Brian, We love you.
We got to get you back, Jared. But great comments
here today live chat and h hey guys, we're gonna
be here all week.
Speaker 2: I will say this Brian's on a tremendous run. Seven
and oh on on Sundays is phenomenal. Again, it's always
one day. But he's happy to be back in Vegas
after being in a deep cold of the UH East
coast with all that snow where he was pretty much
Andrew a shut in at where he couldn't get out
because there was so much snow in that area that
he was in that he couldn't make his way out.
So he was stuck at home and stuck watching the
pres on puck time. But if you're watching this, we
love you as well too, Andrew. Same game parlay, give
us some individual winners and a same game party winner.
Speaker 3: Let's do it here, Karme.
Speaker 1: Tomorrow, I'm gonna have a huge sheet of who's hot,
who's not, and good stuff like that.
Speaker 3: But today I just have the parlay and know it's you.
It's just you, Karm. Hold On, hold on, hold on,
get out of here, Karm.
Speaker 1: All right, We've got four picks for today and this
is an actual same game parlay because we're dealing with
just one game here. We've got Pittsburgh, we've got Ottawa,
and a lot of people have talked about so many
players that are playing well at their age. But I
don't think people are giving enough credit to Evgeni Malkin
for how well he has been playing on this season,
having a fantastic run. This matchup sets up very well
for him. We'll take Malcoln to get a point. Brady
can Shock three plus shots on goal. Been a handful
of games now since he got back from injury where
he has gotten at least three shots on goal. This
is a Pittsburgh team. It does surrender quite a few
shots against Centerman. We'll go total over first period here,
over one and a half goals here, Guys, I know
that we have seen this Senator's team have some inconsistent
goaltending and all Mark is back. But between these two teams,
I can look at fireworks right from the get go.
And Tommy Novak, Tommy Novak right now is on a
line with Malcoln. They're playing together. They're playing together, and really,
I will say they have developed instant chemistry. Like whenever
they've played together, they've done really well. And I think
if one guy gets a point, so does the other guy.
Plus five point fifty for a Monday Night NHL winner
guys plus five point fifty. Let me know if your
tail and I really do like this one. Spend some
time craft in this one up and I'll tell you
what you can bet on to Tommy Novak individual as
a single bet. You can bet on total first period
over one and a half goals as an individual, and
if you want just two out of these four, I
would take a look at Malcoln and the Brady could
chuck shots on goals. So let's make some money here, guys.
And quick promotion for me, Karen, I will just say
before I throw it back to you, is that yes?
Speaker 2: Andrew? How about we give it's a short week. How
about we give the people one more game and we
do Detroit in Colorado.
Speaker 1: Okay, I was gonna do a little bit of promotion
after my segment, but oh.
Speaker 2: I apologize for jumping in there. I figured your promotion
would come at the end. My bad, Andrew. But because
we have to talk about this one, because I'm doing
the timestamps so they love the time sause, dude. These
teams played on Saturday. What happened to Detroit's offense? Let's
talk about this game, Andrew. I'm gonna go to you
first on this one unless you need a little bit
of a break. But Colorado one ninety six at home
Detroit plus one sixty. The total sits here at a
six and a half. This is one of those ones
where Andrew I would put up that graphic make me
understand the line. And it's not because I think Colorado
should be a higher price. I actually think that they
should be a lower price than they are right now,
probably by about fifteen to twenty cents. I thought this
was one of those ones that should fall in the
one seventy to like one eighty five range. It just
seems a little too high for me. In this instance.
Gibson didn't look good. He got pulled in that game.
They brought in cam toalb But I believe in in
the third period five nothing you have tays out landeskog
out O'Connors listed is out, and then I think there's
another player. I think it's Netchis who's listed as questionable
for tonight's game, so we'll see whether he misses or not.
Returning home off a road trip, what do you do here?
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's always interesting when both teams, you know, play,
they play each other back to back games, and the
interesting situation here for Colorado though, is that it's first
game back at home after a road trip. The last one,
of course, was the last game of their road trip,
but they came into that one pissed off.
Speaker 3: It was an early start.
Speaker 1: Speaking of pissed off, I wasn't happy because I didn't
play it, but I ended up being one of my
free plays from my Every Game on the Board video
talking about how Colorado looked so bad against the Montreal Canadians.
They also lost against the Ottawa Senators, so they were very,
very motivated. But Karl, it's a UNIQ situation, and you
and I get to talk about this all the time
where it's one of those scenarios where why can't the
team lose twice? Like, remember when the New York Islanders
recently had a back to back against the New York Rangers.
Why couldn't the New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red
Wings twice but the New York Rangers twice? You know
a lot of times I liked to go back and
take whatever team lost the first game, you take them
the next time. But I think it's one of those
situations where it's like, hey, just because they lost the
first game doesn't mean they're going to win the second
one all of a sudden. So I'm interested in finding
a way to take Colorado in this game. I am,
And you know, I've been waiting all season for Detroit's regression,
and I, you know, kind of stopped getting myself involved
in their games. But now we're starting to see some
John Gibson regression. And right now with Ottawa or Colorado's
offensive capabilities the last handful of games, what we've seen
here and Carmen, do you see Gibson, because I think
I see Gibson at one spot and I'm looking at
the last three games here save percentage versus expected save percentage,
and John Gibson is near the bottom with minus three
point eight percent goals saved above expected per sixty. Once again,
he's dent down there, near the bottom. So I think
that the Red Wings are giving up all kinds of chances.
Would I be able to talk to you out of
an over in this one though, because we did see,
you know, McKennon end up going on a huge run.
I mean he cashed his over one and a half
point prop in the first period.
Speaker 3: I think he ended up with like three or four
points in that game.
Speaker 1: But it's that typical spot that you know, I love,
the first period over, full game over when a team
is off a shutout. Maybe Colorado could still win, and
they could win both games, but maybe we do end
up seeing goals because Detroit will be really, really not
happy with getting shut out against a really key team.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Andrew, this is one of those ones where there's
only two games left for Colorado. They play tonight and
they play on Wednesday, and then they're done. So we'll
see the whole coasting thing. I don't believe in the
whole coasting thing. Maybe the intensity level isn't there. It
wasn't the greatest of road trips for them. But they're
back at home, and a lot of the times I
like the faded team in their first game back at home.
I did it with the Vegas Golden Knights when I
took the Dallas Stars, I plus money, So I want
to do that here. No, just because Colorado is more
of an elite or is an elite team, maybe it's
catching up to Detroit right now. That good run that
they had, maybe that's catching up to them. You look
at Gibson, he was on a tremendous role. I think
the guy was like six eighteen and two a run,
but he's lost his last three starts. He's allowed nine
goals and sixty one shots. This almost seems like a
team that is crawling to the or needs that Olympic
break to get here. So some of these guys who
aren't playing for Finland and the USA and Canada and
Sweden can get a little bit of rest and they
can make that second half push because they're still in
a playoff spot here. So maybe that the Olympic break
is coming at the right time for the Red Wings.
I would say andrew yes to the over because I
think that I just don't see how Colorado goes back
to back against this Detroit Red Wings team shutting them out.
I think Detroit gets something, maybe a couple of goals,
maybe they get three. I still think this is a
superior AVS team and they eventually get to win. Would
I be surprised if this game finishes four to three
or five to three for Colorado, No, I wouldn't. This
is one of those ones where I'd love it at six.
At six and a half is just going to be
a play for me and likely just a pizza slice
play for me, just because I want to see these
two teams and how they play. Anyone who's an older
school guy, Andrew remembers the battles that Colorado and the
Winnipeg sorry Colorado and the Detroit Red Wings used to
have back in the day and when they were competing
for Stanley Cups and stuff. It was absolutely phenomenal. So
we shall see. Are the Avs going to go to
the Nordiak jerseys tonight against Detroit? Who knows? I love
those bringing back those the nostalgia, bringing back those Nordeeks jerseys.
I'm gonna go with the over here. If that's what
you're liking, that's what I'm liking as well.
Speaker 1: Let's get some goals. Let's get some goals. This one
first period, full game. Maybe this could have been a
good one for me to find out the props. But
to what you mentioned, maybe got to look at the
lineup first to make sure I figure out who's healthy
and who's not. Yeah, it seems like everybody's talking about
this run here. Colorado fifteen straight against the Red Wings.
Not really a streak that I want to get in
front of either, that's for sure. So Let's get some
more goalie fights. Let's get some more goalie fighters. Yes, cheshier,
He says, I believe the Ads.
Speaker 3: Win the Cup. I think it's the retribution year.
Speaker 1: One thing I'm gonna say really quick, Carmen, and we
got to wrap it up, is that you know how
people will say, like I, you know, if this price
was plus eight hundred earlier in the year and it's
plus whatever, now, will I miss the boat? Well, the
only thing you're missing the boat on is.
Speaker 3: If you.
Speaker 1: If you could bet something now and it gets continually
you know, lower, then you're still getting a good number.
And I'll tell you what, guys, the Avalanche are going
to be active at the trade deadline. The Avalanche are
going to make something happen. So I understand you look
right now at the future board, and you can see
the Avalanche as heavy favorites, especially you know, looking around
right now plus three twenty five, three fifty three hundred.
Speaker 3: If you want to get a piece of them, you
know you can do that.
Speaker 1: But also you're gonna be able to look at cons
my trophy winners and all that good stuff as well
in different future odds. But I'm telling you, guys, like
there's going to be or you can try and figure
out who they're gonna face in the Western Conference Finals
and then get a good hedge out against against them.
But this is going to be a team that's going
to make moves at the trade deadline for sure.
Speaker 2: Yeah. You know another team who's going to make a
move Andrew moves at the trade deadline, the Nashville Predators.
I believe in a little over an hour, maybe the
Nashville Predators are holding a press conference. Barry Trotz is
stepping down as GM. He's going to stay there till
they get a replacement, but he could be a perfect
fit for the rebuilding Toronto Maple Leafs. Andrew get rid
of trevelling who does absolutely nothing and has made this
team pedestrian like, and bring him in. Uh tank the
rest of the season. I say tank, but you know
what I mean by by tank? Finished bottom five, Protect
your first round draft pick the Leafs and then sell
off some pieces like Oel get a first round pick,
sell off McMahon, get a first round pick, and uh
and rebuild that team. Uh. Somebody is gonna pick up
Stampcoast if Nashville picks up a majority of that contract,
Stamp Coast is leaving Nashville and will end up somewhere.
Can you imagine him in a I was gonna say
a Buffalo Sabers jersey, but a Montreal Canadians jersey on
that power play stamp Coast with Coff Field and Suzuki.
Speaker 3: Pretty sweet? Pretty sweet? I think, what's gonna happen to
sleep for a week. If that happened, I'll be pumped.
I mean.
Speaker 1: The only thing is, though, is that people, because there
are so few sellers this year, because so many teams
are playing well, the ask is so high. The ask
is so high for some of these players like Nazim Kadri,
What the hell do the Calgi Flames want for him?
And I know one thing, like I obviously read the
most about the Montreal Canadians is they're not willing to
mortgage their future karm to trade for one player. So
I think the closer and closer we get to the
trade deadline, they're gonna have to, like probably lessen their
their ask because Steven Stamco's Ryan O'Reilly and Nazim Kadri,
whoever it might be, even Robert Thomas from the Saint
Louis Blues. Like some of these teams that are trying
to tank, maybe they're asking for the world from other teams,
and some other teams are just saying, you guys are crazy.
We're not giving you all that. So yeah, I can't
wait for that. But get your futures in, guys before
the trade deadline, because certain teams are gonna make their moves.
And you know one team that always makes a move
that's currently plus seven fifty, well that's the Vegas Golden Knights.
They always make a move, all right, carm I just
gotta say, when you've got something coming up here in
a second, you can close it out. A lot of
you guys have joined me already on the Olympic package.
It's gonna be fantastic Men's Olympic tournament. I cannot wait
for it. You guys can get every single pick that
I released for the entire Olympics for fifty nine dollars.
Speaker 3: Not gonna lie.
Speaker 1: I was a bit shocked when I presented this to
the head office and this was the price that they
gave me. But I was like, you know what, let's
roll with it. Let's get a ton of people on
this package. You guys know I follow international hockey. You
guys know that I did well last year with the
four Nations tournament, and that was only four teams. I'm
covering this tournament for the Hockeynews dot com. We'll be
dialed in talking to reporters every day. I'm ready to rock,
So go to my page WT dop bus slash, am
sides totals, team totals, and the occasional player props as well.
You can get that for just fifty nine bucks. Two
weeks of all my plays. Guys, one regular play is
twenty five bucks, five percent plays thirty five bucks. I'm
gonna give you two weeks of all of my Olympic
plays for fifty nine dollars. I'm going to have singular
plays posted at wager Talk. But the singular plays are
going to be nearly half of what the entire package
costs for the full tournaments. That you guys know what
to do. Get that full package. Let's make some money
during the Olympics. And I cannot wait for it.
Speaker 2: Andrew, I absolutely love it. You guys should be taking
advantage of this one. Andrew, I'm going to be dabbling
a little bit in the Olympics. But Andrew will be
going full bore in the Olympics, so it's worth it
to pick that one up. Andrew, I will say, I'm
going to pause the after Thursday. I'm gonna pause the
regular NHL pod play, but I will still have you
guys covered because I'm going to do this the Olympic pod. Yes,
chat GPT is my friend. Man. Why does it make
me look like I'm kind of happy but also really
pissed in that picture? I don't get it. But I
will start with a thousand dollars bank roll for the Olympics.
I will talk to Andrew throughout the Olympics and getting
some of his feedback on on games and stuff, and
see if I can come up with some Olympic pod
plays along the way. But with that said, two NHL
plays up for me tonight. Two soccer plays up for
me as well too. Swept the weekend in soccer three
and oh on Saturday, two and oh on Sunday went well, NHL,
where do we go in? NHL won both games yesterday
one and two on including a five percent winner on No.
Three and No on Saturday and uh and then one
and oh I think or one in one on Friday.
So with that said, NHL is going well. And the
final promo I have for you guys, guys, I got
to throw in these promos so you'll have to excuse me,
but the Cup to Cup Special. Some of you guys
have taken advantage of this one. The rest of the
NHL season and the whole entire World Cup tournament, which
is going to be a ton of games all summer long, well,
no summer long, for the five or six weeks that's
going on here in North America. That's all you're gonna
see on TV. You might as well bet on it,
and bet it on it with me, of course. So
let's Cup the Cup Special. Pick that up, get the
rest of the NHL season through the Sandy Cup playoffs,
and then the World Cup starts two days later. So
with that said, that's it for me Andrew. Anything to
add before we close this thing out.
Speaker 1: I just got to say, you kind of look like
Mark Messier in that picture for the Olympic Play of
the Day.
Speaker 3: Dude, that's stick.
Speaker 2: That stick looks terrible. It looks like those bandy sticks
or whatever it is. That stick looks terrible. I think
I have the old Wooden coho stick in my hand
there who.
Speaker 1: Yes, the old school and that will do it for
the show. Guys, let's make some money. It's a Monday slate,
but it's a busier slate. I've got two plays up
in NHL wt dot bus slash am Carmines in Action.
We're gonna try and keep it going, and you guys
get ready because post Olympic break, we're gonna come in hot.
But I'm gonna try and build the bankroll and I'm
gonna try and get you guys a deal as well,
where it's the rest of my NHL season plus all
of the Olympics for free. So we'll see if we
can get you a good deal for that as well,
because my goal is to build up that bank roll
during the Olympics. And as I mentioned, I cannot believe
the deal is fifty nine dollars for a full tournament.
We're gonna have a ton of plays and I can't
wait for it. First game as far as the hockey
is concerned, karm end of this week the team Canada
women's team is in action, so can't wait to watch
that and we'll be supporting. So that will do it
for the show, guys, Carmen and I don't like to ask,
but it's got it's part of the job. Hit the
like button. It really does help us out. And don't
tell anybody, but we need to get more likes than
wager Talk today. It's kind of a little mini competition here,
so help us out, boost us up a little bit.
Speaker 3: Guys, have a great night. We'll see you tomorrow right
here on Part Time