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Speaker 1: What's up?

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Speaker 2: Everybody?

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Speaker 3: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new.

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We always start this show by being transparent and didn't

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do any show yesterday. The things have been going well though.

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WNBA playoffs. I think I've hit ten out of twelve,

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so we'll try to keep that going here today. Tennis

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as Beijing has been a disaster for me, so I

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got to clean up the tennis. What else to I

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have to recap? NFL was profitable. My best bet on

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the Lions was a winner. Not too much else going

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on robo so have been I've been making a little

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bit of money lately. We do have MLB playoffs here now,

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how's everything for you?

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Speaker 4: Things are good, Ski. The NFL weekend once again was

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tremendous six and one. Closed it out with a five

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percent on the Denver team total last night over twenty

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six and a half, and as I'm you know, I

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jumped at that play specifically because obviously I've been rooting

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for the Brics for some fifty years, and it reminded

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me when we were off air last week how well

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people know their own teams. Like you saw the Chargers

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minus six and a half and you're like.

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Speaker 2: Hell no.

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Speaker 4: I don't get if it is the Giants, even if

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they don't have Elik neighbors, hell no. And it worked

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out right and for me with the Broncos ever since

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bow Knicks became quarterback with Sean Payton, it's their offense

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bullies bad defenses, which Cincinnati fits the category, and then

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they get stoned by every good defense in the league.

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Speaker 2: They just they beat.

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Speaker 4: The bad ones and they can't do anything against the

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good ones. Last night just another case. I think bo

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Nicks had three hundred and fifty three yards passing against

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the sorry Cincinnati defense. And now they'll play Philadelphia this

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week and they'll probably go back to score thirteen points

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because they just can't play offense against good teams. But

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it did remind me how well you know if you

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follow a team, how well you know it. And NFL

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just to get back to that point eighteen and five.

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Speaker 2: The last three weeks absolutely good for us.

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Speaker 4: So we'll get to the WNBA here because I know

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this is a WNBA show, and we'll see if we

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can make a little extra tonight.

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Speaker 3: It's a money show. We'll talk about whatever's going to

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put some money in the pocket. I don't care if

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it's table to this, if you got it is, I

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want to hear it. But one thing I mentioned too

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before you started going forward with the Chargers. You know,

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I'm not betting on them playing anything. I mean, I

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already don't want to bet on them land points.

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Speaker 1: But I'm nervous.

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Speaker 3: No Joe aught like Joe at for anybody who doesn't know,

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that's like that's like Tom Brady of the offensive line,

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like he allows literally no pressure, like zero pressures. You

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can't replace that guy, and they're already down Rashaun Slater

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from the preseason.

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Speaker 1: I'm worried about the offensive line for the Chargers. I'm

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not looking. I'm not.

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Speaker 3: You won't be seeing my money on them and in

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their future, I'll tell you that they're have to show me.

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Speaker 2: Robbio.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's see a couple couple comments. Shout out

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to Duffel. Cole says, long time listener, first time caller,

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appreciate you tapping in. We got Mark b Man in

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the chat. Casey listening as well. Casey says, w NBA,

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CFL cricket. We only want the Moulah, don't sure how

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we get it.

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Speaker 1: And this Mar says, just watched fees W interview. Wow.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Hey, they're lighting Kathy and they're lighting them up

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over there in the W Sell Reeve, Becky Hammond, Stephanie White,

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ne FISA, she pretty much did you see it, Robbine,

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No or no.

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Speaker 4: I have not seen the interview. I saw Cheryl Reeve

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get fined for her comments, but heat of the moment,

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and she's probably right.

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Speaker 3: So to sum it up, she said pretty much like

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we got the best league in the world. We have

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it was something else, the best something else in the world.

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We have the absolute word leadership in the world. So

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she's throwing some shots over there. People are not happy.

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They want some change in the W. So if you're

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if you're into the W, which if you watch the

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show you probably are, you may want to check out

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that interview. But let's see all we can get paid today.

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We do have one game, and it's a big one.

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Speaker 1: WNBA Game five.

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Speaker 3: In the semifinals at least and before is equivalent to

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an NBA Game seven, and for this one, it opened

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aces minus seven. I'm seeing pretty much eight everywhere is

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eight and a half still out there seven and a

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half at a couple of shops, depending what you like.

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Make sure you line shop total open one fifty seven

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and a half. I'm looking we'll call it one fifty

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eight the current consensus. As far as an injury report,

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we know everybody who's been out for Indiana, Dantees, Damirs,

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Dante's out again for the ass.

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Speaker 1: They look to be healthy.

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Speaker 3: So Raveno in that last game, I mean, speaking of

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interviews Asia, I mean she let it be known. She says,

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you know quote she are not not all the way quota,

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but pretty much what she said was Lia Boston is

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always saying Asia has a special whistle. She said, Lia

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shot thirteen free throws tonight. And I mean that goes

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back to I mean we talked about it, Robino. Yes, yes,

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the Fever all season long.

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Speaker 1: They get that good home cooking.

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Speaker 3: Like they got more than five players on the court

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in those Fever games, and we saw once again they

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shot with thirty four free throws compared to the Aces eleven.

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Speaker 1: That's a big that's a big part of how they

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how they win that game.

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Speaker 3: Now it's saying that, you know, I guess before I

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break it down too much, I want to ask you,

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is that just you know, mostly home cooking.

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Speaker 1: Is that are the fever doing.

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Speaker 3: Something to allow themselves to get to the free throw

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line more efficiently. If I have to think about it,

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I would say maybe it's a Leah Boston just being

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you know, extremely physical.

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Speaker 1: That's that's how they're doing it. But what's your thought

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on that?

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Speaker 4: Well, in the series overall, Ski, it didn't show up

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until that last game. Right, Indiana, for what it's worth,

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is plus twenty six in free throw attempts for the series.

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They were plus twenty three in that game you just

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mentioned it, thirty four to eleven. So it was only

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a plus three advantage through three games. And I think

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we noted here on the show that because of their

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you know, depth shy rotation, I had noticed that they

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had gone to more.

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Speaker 2: Physical style play inside.

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Speaker 4: It seemed to me like a Leah Boston was getting

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tougher the series before that got them through. So I

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don't expect any plus twenty three free throw differential as

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far as attempts goes in this particular game, especially when

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you know the other side makes it known. Hey, they

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got a little more favorable whistle than we did in

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this case, a lot more. Can't take anything away from

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Indiana the fact that they're here. Skiing a game five

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in the semi finals is ridiculous, to tell you the truth,

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but they've done what they had to do. Las Vegas

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has found a way to score on this team though.

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The last three games of this series for the Aces

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ninety points, eighty four points, eighty three points. Their offense

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is not sporadic like Indiana's. Indiana has shown US sixty

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eight points in one game seventy two points in another game.

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They can be contained offensively, and of course it is

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because they just don't.

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Speaker 2: Have an array of scorers. I would expect Las Vegas

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to be.

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Speaker 4: Extremely and nothing either team, both teams won't be fully focused.

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But I think there's a little chip on the Ace's

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shoulder in this game. And I think through four games,

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even though it's a two to two tie, to me,

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when I go through this whole thing and break it down,

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they show to be the better team. And when they've

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won in this series, it's been by twelve and thirteen.

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So the eight shouldn't be scary here. Know that there's

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a lot of in football, we call it backdoor ability,

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but I don't know that there's a lot of, you know,

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last second three point worries that Indiana could shoot a

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three and cover. They've got a couple of players, But

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I don't worry about that too much. I think Las

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Vegas is probably the right side. Where I came into

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a little bit of issue was with the total, just

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thinking it's a game five, it's for all the marbles,

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and in game sevens in the NBA generally we would

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be on under knowing that it would be a physical style.

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Speaker 2: It would maybe be.

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Speaker 4: A more you take, more seriousness of each possession, not

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wanting to commit turnovers, and it kind of slows the

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game down. So maybe an underlook, But I think mostly

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the Aces are the better team here and it'll show

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up tonight in a double digit win.

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Speaker 3: Well, so what you're saying and Chip Guy's mission, anybody

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else taking second half under if they go way over

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in the first have I mean, this will be a

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game where I would expect the second half get a

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little tighter. If the first half does, it is higher scoring.

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B Man says fever number one pace postseason, they run

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straight to the hoop and draw fouls. Look at the

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Dream series, same thing. Maybe that's part of how they're

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getting to that free throw line. You're saying there that

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total rob you know, Quincy Eskin over under full game,

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that total. The one thing I'll say is like, when

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I think about it, the Fever, either team really an

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elimination game. We're not going to see them give up

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and just you know, they're like that one game the

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Fever had it's still stayed under. It was not the

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prep Pass game, but the game before it stayed under.

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But they were fouling, filing, They were down ten within

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the last minute, still filing, filing, filing. We're gonna see

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that as long as this game doesn't get out of control.

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So that's something that makes me hesitate. As far as

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less points in this game, I think the Fever are

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going to continue to shoot a lot of threes because

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the Aces are trying to force them to shoot threes

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and cut off the paint.

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Speaker 1: Whether they shoot them well or not, we shall see.

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Speaker 3: I think they can and I think that they can

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get to the free throw line because what we said

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with the Pace getting to the basket, drawing, drawing foules

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in transition or just the physical play from Boston down low.

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So I do think Fever have figured out how to

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put up some of their share of the points.

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Speaker 1: The ass.

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Speaker 3: I do think they can score as well, you know more,

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I don't know more I think about it.

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Speaker 1: One.

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Speaker 3: Maybe maybe that comment, I mean, I did pull it

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up here, let's pull it back up here. Maybe this

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comment I don't feel so strong on.

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Speaker 1: I mean.

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Speaker 3: The second half, like in this elimination game, Like I said,

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you know they're going to keep filing. That could mess

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up a second half under real quick, So I like

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more points in this game than less. Yeah, I like

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more points in this game than less. And to what

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you said about the Aces being the better team, I

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agree with you one thousand percent. Would it be the

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better team tonight? I mean, but yes, they had that

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seventeen game win streak, but they've also been pretty inconsistent

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for other parts of the season.

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Speaker 1: So I couldn't.

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Speaker 3: I couldn't lay eight with the Aces and feel comfortable

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and good about my bet. I just couldn't, even if

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I think they're the better team. So it would be

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either fever over for me. Ravino Mark wants to look

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at that first half only any thoughts from you before

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we wrap up this game.

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Speaker 4: Well, just real quick. If we're looking for ways that

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Indiana stays in the game, I'm just noticing here Ski

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that they are plus twenty seven and rebounds that shouldn't

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happen against us.

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Speaker 2: Fore they gotta take a little more pride.

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Speaker 4: And I'm sure he's harping on it for sure, but

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the last two games in particular plus thirteen and plus

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twelve for the fever on the boards, which just shows

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that they've been kind of the tougher team, the more

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go and get it type team. You would think Las

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Vegas shows that mindset here tonight to close that gap. Boy,

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it's tough because and to your point about over real quick,

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this is the other thing I want to say. The

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odds maker has really baked that into the line, so

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to speak, right, because these totals in these games were

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all one sixty two, one sixty two, one sixty two

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even higher in the first couple of games, and now

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we're down to fifty eight and a half. So they've

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automatically taken four points off of this total because it's

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a game five, simply because of the game five, and

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so to your point, and overplay is a so called

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value play here. If we look at the results of

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these four games, you have a one sixty two or

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one seventy three a one fifty eight, which would be

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either push your a half shot here and then fifty six.

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So they've been all around this number for sure, So

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and overplay certainly not out of the question here, all right.

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Speaker 1: I think we did a good job on that game.

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Speaker 3: Let's just I mean, we're not gonna get too far

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into it, but we do have three It might be

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playoffs coming up.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go super deep.

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Speaker 3: I'll just throw out initial thoughts because I'm not one

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who is betting the entire MLB regular season. I'm doing

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a little bit of catch up and betting on some

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of these numbers and what I'm thinking right now currently.

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So it might be playoffs. Oops, yeah, okay, there we go.

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So Padres and Cubs. That's probably my least strong opinion.

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You know, I'm gonna just throw them all out there

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at once, and then you can come back and let

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me know before we get out of here. I don't

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know how long I can trust Boyd. I do trust Paveta,

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I trust the bullpen for the Padres, I think I

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might be able to trust Boyd early maybe like like this,

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this could be the one where you know it's no runs,

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Early and boys starts to give it up later. That's

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my initial thought. But I don't have anything strong on

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that game. I haven't played yet. I'm gonna try to

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look up some stuffhen I get off of here. Other

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than that Freed, I want to try to bet on

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him first five. I don't want to deal with that

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Yankees bullpen and you know what, the Boston bullpen, I

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don't want to deal with either. I'm thinking maybe a

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first five under there or or maybe a first five

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Yankees And for the last game, hundred Green for home

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road splits are pretty bad, Lake Snell. I think his

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last few starts were pretty good, if I'm not mistaken.

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Speaker 1: So I do.

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Speaker 3: I didn't watch baseball all season, but I did follow

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my hometown Dodgers a little bit. So I want to

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bet on the Dodgers some way, shape or form. Maybe

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maybe just fade Hunter Green early. Any thoughts on MB

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playoffs today, Robo, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Real quick.

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Speaker 4: I was going to bet the Pogis, And let me

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just preface this by telling everybody watching and that we'll

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watch like you. I did not bet Major League Baseball.

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I would say after the second week of the season.

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I played a little early and then just stopped focused

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on the w and focused on the NBA playoffs and

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then some Canadian Football League stuff. So for me, it

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was a weekend worth of catchup. I was going to

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play San Diego, but then I ran into Michael Boyd's

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home numbers at Wrigley Field and that stopped me dead

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in my tracks. Or Matt Boyd, excuse me, Matt Boyd

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at Matt Boyd in Wrigley Field this year twelve and

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one with a two five to one ERA seventy nine.

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Speaker 2: K's only fourteen walks.

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Speaker 4: So you were talking about home road splits for somebody

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prior to this.

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Speaker 2: These home roads splits are legit. So he's got a.

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Speaker 4: Little playoff experience from pitching prior. His playoff numbers were like, oh,

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seven seven ERA. So I didn't play Paveta. But I'm

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with you on the fact that if you're going to

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play the Padres, you want to play full game because

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there is a discrepancy. This is the largest discrepancy between

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bullpens in the In these opening four series, the Cub's

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bullpen is horrendous and the Padre's bullpen is lights out.

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So maybe if you're going to play San Diego, you

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play him full game. If you're going to play the Cubs,

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you might want to get on Boyd and then get

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out Yankees and Red Sox. You know, again, Crochet is

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an underdog, and we know Croche is one of the

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five best pitchers in the American League.

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Speaker 2: Not that Max Freed isn't.

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Speaker 4: But if you want to just take a price plus price,

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you probably want to play Crochet. They are missing a

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couple guys, and well they're not missing a couple, they're

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missing one. Roman Anthony and Alex Bregman I think is sick,

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but he's still going to play tonight. Stayed off of that,

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and then of course, I to am a Dodger fan,

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would love to be on Blake Snell in some way,

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shape or form. For what it's worth, the Dodgers starting

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pitching the last three weeks of the season was, I

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mean credible, the numbers that that starting rotation put up.

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The bullpen failed them in many.

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Speaker 2: Instances, But.

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Speaker 4: The difference between the playoffs is you really don't have

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to use your relievers as relievers. The Dodgers have seven

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starters and they're gonna You're gonna see Clayton Kershaw out

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of the pen you're gonna see a lot of starting

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pitchers from the pen. They got Ory Sacky back and

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he looked good as well. So I think the Dodgers

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the worries about the bullpen are lessened for me because

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they'll use starters out of the pen.

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Speaker 1: Fair enough. I like I like this play from Mark

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in the chat.

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Speaker 3: This is a straight fate of Hunter Green, Like how

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I'm thinking of playing right there, first five team total

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for the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: I like that play right there.

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Speaker 3: I think we did a good enough job here today, Robino,

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and my computer is dying anyway, so we're gonna move

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it on over.

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Speaker 1: To Best Bets. I don't have anything to put up.

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Speaker 3: Actually, we're still doing Weekend Warrior a right, so yes,

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we can go ahead and put that up there. Just

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remind everybody, if you want to be involved with every

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football play for the weekend, and Robno just told you

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he's been killing it the past three weeks, you can

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get every football release for only forty nine dollars.

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Speaker 1: So on that note, you know.

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Speaker 3: I'll pass it back to you, and maybe if you

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want to put some numbers again to you know how

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much you're killing it in football. And also if you

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have a best bet for the show or anything else

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you'd like to promote. We'd love to hear it real quick.

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Speaker 4: Just the numbers are off of the NFL the last

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three weeks eighteen and five, twenty and five would be

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eighty percent. So I'm going to guess that that's about

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seventy seven to seventy eight percent off the top of

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my head. But it's been great. It was six and

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one this week and had a couple of four percent wins,

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the five percent win last night, so every five percents,

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by the way, this year four and out so far

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in any form of football, college or pro.

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Speaker 2: So it's been good best bet.

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Speaker 4: And again we hate to do this, We hate to

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leave it dry in this area, but it's just I

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don't have a real good feel, not enough to recommend

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as the best bet on the Las Vegas Indiana game five.

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Speaker 2: You guys heard my thoughts on it.

384
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Speaker 4: I do think Las Vegas is the better team and

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if they win, it'll probably be by more than eight,

386
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but I'm not I don't have any real conviction on

387
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that game, so I'm gonna.

388
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:23,759
Speaker 2: Let best bets go.

389
00:19:23,799 --> 00:19:26,359
Speaker 4: Because I didn't play any of the nighttime baseball and

390
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:27,480
we'll get back with it.

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Speaker 2: I don't know when do we come back. Can we

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00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:33,359
come back on Friday, I guess? Or Thursday football?

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Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, Thursday night football, Thursday night football.

394
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:39,839
Speaker 4: So we'll get back to best bets then for today,

395
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I'll just leave it empty, all right?

396
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Speaker 1: Fair enough?

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Speaker 3: And uh, you know, for myself, I don't like to

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get best at. I haven't placed, and like I said,

399
00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,119
I still need to think about a couple of these

400
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:52,160
baseball or you know, do these baseballs I'm looking at.

401
00:19:52,519 --> 00:19:55,319
I do have a five percent up in the W tonight,

402
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:57,039
and I can't give it to you guys because it's

403
00:19:57,079 --> 00:20:00,279
just not fair. So if you I want to be

404
00:20:00,319 --> 00:20:02,240
involved with me on the W, I hit ten out

405
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:04,400
of twelve in the playoffs. I have a best bet

406
00:20:04,519 --> 00:20:08,759
up and available for tonight. But yeah, I mean maybe

407
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it's the Dodgers first five ever first five teams total over,

408
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,680
But like I said, I haven't bet. A check wouldn't

409
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:18,640
feel right making it official best bet for the show. Yeah, oh,

410
00:20:19,079 --> 00:20:21,279
you know, how do we forget? It is five dollars

411
00:20:21,319 --> 00:20:24,680
Tuesday too, right? So oh you got.

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Speaker 1: Something up for five dollars Tuesday?

413
00:20:26,279 --> 00:20:28,519
Speaker 4: I do, as a matter of fact, well, no, it's

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already gone guys. So you know what, though, remember last

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00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:33,960
week we talked about this ski. We're now allowed to

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put two five dollars plays up. We can put an

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00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,119
advanced football play up, and I actually am in the

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middle of the write up, so you will find a

419
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college football play for five dollars. It'll only be available

420
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till midnight Pacific time, because that's when we're mandated to

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take these down. But yes, I did have a Tiger

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first five inning play as the original five Tuesday bet,

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and now I will put a college football playoff, so

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you can still get that from me.

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Speaker 1: All right, good stuff, you know, we'll wrap it up here.

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Speaker 3: I do have an NFL top play up as well

427
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for five dollars Tuesday, and I'm three and ozho so

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far this season on those So Vino, it's great doing

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the show with you. Appreciate you taking the time to

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00:21:12,759 --> 00:21:14,920
break the games down with me. Everybody in the chat,

431
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,519
we appreciate you as well. We'll be back for Thursday

432
00:21:17,559 --> 00:21:22,000
night football and then we'll WNBA Finals resume. So until then,

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best of luck on all of your action and we

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will catch you all later.

