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Speaker 1: What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to

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this podcast. It is heard live every day from noon

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to three on WBT Radio in Charlotte. And if you

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want exclusive content like invitations to events, the weekly live stream,

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my daily show prep with all of the links, become

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a patron, go to dpeakclendarshow dot com. Make sure you

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hit the subscribe button. Get every episode for free right

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to your smartphone or tablet, And again, thank you so

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much for your support. Last hour I mentioned a piece

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by Megan mccardal, not the Duchess of Sussex, Megan McCardell.

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She said Trump and his supporters have offered many justifications

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for high tariffs, which can be boiled down to four

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broad arguments. One is that these are a negotiating tool

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to be used to force other countries to lower their

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trade barriers. Another is that they will restore our manufacturing

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base and turn us into the superpower exporter we used

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to be. Third explanation is that we are trying to

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halt China's rise into a geostrategic rival. And the best argument,

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she said, is that we need to rebuild our manufacturing

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capacity for vital goods such as semiconductors just in case

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of another pandemic or a war. The tariffs, however, she says,

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suit none of these theories for starters. If you're trying

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to use tariffs to compel other countries to lower their

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trade barriers, you would impose levees in proportion to the

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tariffs that they impose on us. Yet, if you look

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at the example of Israel, which just announced that it's

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dropping all of its tariffs on US goods, they got

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hit with seventeen percent tariffs anyway, because the new duties

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were calculated based on relative trade flows, not the size

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of trade barriers. That's a key part here. Their formula

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is based on trade flows, not barriers. The trade deficit

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measures the flow, not the bear. Next up, the idea

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to eliminate trade deficits and rebalance the economy towards manufacturing. Okay,

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even if you think that's a worthwhile goal, you would

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want tariffs that achieve that globally, not with each individual country.

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For the same reason that you don't spend your entire

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salary on your employer's products, nor do you demand that

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the grocery store give you a part time job with

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a wage equal to your food bill. Right, that's not

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a one on one thing. You don't necessarily want to

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buy exactly as much from a trading partner as they

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want to buy from you. You may be specializing in

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certain products, certain services, or something, and in order to

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deliver that, you need some raw materials or something, and

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the country that has the raw materials does not want

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what you are selling as the final product for whatever reason,

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nor do they buy enough of it to offset the

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amount of raw materials that you are buying from them,

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So that trade deficit, that's the flow. That's not a barrier,

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even if that tariff is zero percent going both directions.

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If I'm buying more raw material from your country, I

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produce something with it, but your people are too poor

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to buy it from me, your country's going to have

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a surplus on me. That doesn't mean I'm cheating you

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or you're cheating me. It doesn't. The other problem with

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this theory is that a lot of what we buy

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from other countries here, she says, is inputs for our

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own manufacturing industries. It's hard to stand up a globally

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competitive manufacturing sector if you don't have the raw materials

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or the parts. All right, Next, argument was containing China.

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If you're going to try to do that, you would

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want to build up your relationships with the regional allies

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who would be at your side in case there's any

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kind of a fight, like Japan, for example, who just

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got hit with twenty four percent tariffs. Maybe you want

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to encourage the growth of export industries in countries like

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Vietnam that competes with China, they got a forty six

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percent tariff. As for the fourth argument, re shoring strategically

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vital goods, these tariffs, though exempt some of the most

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critical goods semiconductors, steel, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals. I mean, for

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now at least, maybe that changes. But if the purpose

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is to bring these things back to America so we

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can't have our supply chains disrupted in emergencies, why would

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you exempt all of these industries? This is what I mean.

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This is not reciprocal. They're calling them that. That's just branding.

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On one level, it's smart because the sudden shortage of

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any of these goods would be catastrophic for us. But

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on another level, what exactly are we trying to protect

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again the nation's strategic toaster reserve. None of these theories work,

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she says, and that's because Trump doesn't really have a

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theory of tariffs. He had as is a series of

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intuitions that exports make you strong and imports make you

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weak and dependent. Right, this is what I said. If

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Donald Trump believes that tariffs are the end in and

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of themselves and not a means to an end. But

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tariffs are fine, Tariffs are good. I want more tariffs.

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I want to be exporting more than I'm importing, so

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I'm making money. Right. If that's the view, then I don't.

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I don't. I don't have a lot of confidence in

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this approach. All right, let me go back to the

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phones here. This is Lee, Welcome to the show. Hello, Lee,

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my dear.

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Speaker 2: Y joy your show always. I missed unfortunately most of

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yours today, and I told you so. I'm not up

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to speed, but I'm seventy two years old, still working

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lifelong independent. Have loaded on both sides of the aisle.

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Just to set the ground straight. You mentioned there's a

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couple of things I want to say, and I'll be quick.

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I'm on lunch. Anyway. You mentioned about thirty years ago

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how this was a Democrat thing and how Trump was

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a Democrat and he's doing what the Democrats did. What

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I It's amazing you said that because I just watched

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an old C SPAN on television dated nineteen ninety six

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with Nancy Pelosi, and I believe Chuck Schumer was there

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as well, But she was speaking to the US China

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trade and the status quo back then in nineteen ninety six,

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which is thirty years ago, just as you mentioned, and

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there was a nineteen ninety five trade deficit of thirty

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four billion vent the tariff on Chinese goods was two percent,

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and the average for the Chinese it was thirty five

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percent on US sending to them. And Nancy Pelosi was

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saying almost every talking point that Trump is saying with

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the with the tariffs and the deficits, So that I

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found very interesting. The other thing that I wanted to

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make mention of is I'm I haven't retired yet, and

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am I scared what's happening right now? You bet I am.

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But at the same time, I'm just going to stay

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towed in. I'm not going to panic and do anything.

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There's a lot of short sales that are going on.

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With these short sales is betting against the market, so

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that's very disruptive in itself. But I'm going to hang

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in there. I remember Reagan when he came in after Carter,

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he said, we're gonna have to take some bad tasting

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medicine before we can get well again. I remember that quote,

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and I'm not going to panic. I'm just going to

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sit here and view this and hope I'm right that

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there is a terrific sale going on right now.

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Speaker 3: We bargains.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I mean that's all we can do.

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Speaker 2: That's all we can do, because you know, if we're

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going to sit here and stew about everything else, I mean,

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where we're at now is unsustainable, even before the tariffs,

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it's unsustainable. And our medications are all coming from overseas.

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Everything's coming from over there, and that does make us

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weak and terribly vulnerable. And I think I fear that

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more than what this market is doing today. And I

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don't have that my age to get the time to

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wait for our market to write itself and make my

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money back. But I'm just going to keep the faith

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in there, because now this is Roosevelt. Now we have

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nothing to fear but fear itself. There's a Democrat for you.

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But I just I just want people to just hold on,

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just don't slip your wig over this, and hold on

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and see what happens. I've seen a lot of history.

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I'm sure you've seen a real good part of it too,

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and you're very well spoken on it, and you're up

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on things a lot more than me. But if we

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start caving in and flying by the seat of our pants,

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we're going to be in bigger trouble than we are now.

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Speaker 1: Lee, I appreciate the call. Thank you very much for

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showing yes, ma'am, absolutely, thank you. Have a great weekend,

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you too, all right, take care well, Yeah, And I

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think and that's that's all I've been trying to do,

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is to lay out like these are my concerns. But

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what did I say yesterday? Give it a minute. I've

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been saying this on everything Trump does. Just take a

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couple of deep breaths, and let's see what happens. We'll see,

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all right. If you're listening to this show, you know

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I try to keep up with all sorts of current events,

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and I know you do too. And you've probably heard

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me say get your news from multiple sources. Why, well,

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because it's how you detect media bias. Which is why

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I've been so impressed with ground News. It's an app,

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and it's a website, and it combines news from around

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the world in one place, so you can compare coverage

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and verify information. You can check it out at check

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dot ground, dot news slash pete. I put the link

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in the podcast description too. I started using ground News

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a few months ago and more recently chose to work

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with them as an affiliate because it lets me see

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clearly how stories get covered and by whom. The blind

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spot feature shows you which stories get ignored by the

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left and the right. See for yourself. Check dot ground,

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dot news slash pete. Subscribe through that link and you'll

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get fifteen percent off any subscription. I use the Vantage

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We'll go over here and chat with Ray.

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Speaker 4: Hello, Ray, good afternoon, Heank.

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Speaker 5: I want to tell you first, I respect your intellectual integrity.

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Speaker 2: Wow.

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Speaker 5: You look at each issue and you make your decisions

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based on it.

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Speaker 1: Thank you.

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Speaker 5: And I've been on hold while a few people have

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gotten close to my point Donald Trump was a lifelong Republican.

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He has good I mean Democrat, he has good ideas,

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he has bad ideas. He is, in fact, parroting the

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Democrat line for a long time that they didn't want

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to push. Another mid day talk radio show has been

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playing Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer and Sanders and all

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these people that were calling for tariffs and talking about

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the trade deficits. So in his mind, he's still buying

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chandeliers for his casinos.

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Speaker 4: It's a direct.

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Speaker 5: Cost benefit analysis. The Democrats get to say, oh, look

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how terribly he is, Look how terrible he is, and

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it's like the rabbit saying, don't throw me in the

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brier patch it with their loving it because it's going

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to work out for them. It's either going to cut

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down on the trade deficits the flow as you very

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aptlete you talked about, and it may end up hurting

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Trump enough that it gets them out of their hair. Yeah,

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as far as and you know so for them, it's

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what they asked for for years and years and years

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because they do need to do it. It was going

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to hurt They never had the courage to do it.

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Trump's doing it, admitting it's going to hurt, and he's looking,

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as you pointed out, long term rather than oh tomorrow,

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this is going to be fixed.

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Speaker 1: So they yeah, they get to they get the policy

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they wanted, and they get to whack the guy they

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hate all at the same time.

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Speaker 6: Exactly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's a that's a a stute point.

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Speaker 3: Ray.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate the call. Have a great weekend you too. Hright, buddy,

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say it. Let's go over to Steve. Hello, Steve, good afternoon. Hey,

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what's going on.

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Speaker 3: I was listening to the show and my truck coming

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back from a Sporting Play tournament, and I thought I

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would call in and chat with you about Tariff's for

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a bit.

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Speaker 6: Sure.

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Speaker 3: The first thing I want to do is tell you

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the Coulot stories.

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Speaker 1: You know what a coulot is, the the not shorts

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and not pants thing.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 3: I had a couple of buddies that I played golf

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with down in South Florida and they had each had

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contracts for a couple of million kuosts. This is back

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in the seventies, Bush, those those.

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Speaker 1: Were very those that that was the high days of Kulot.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, a fad that did not last no. So

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these guys had their manufacturing facilities in South Carolina. UH.

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As soon as Bush recognized China in the World Trade

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Organization UH, it was far cheaper for them to manufacture

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in China, and literally within ninety days everything was.

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Speaker 2: Moved to China.

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Speaker 3: Yea, and they had about six plants in South Carolina.

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They closed and one day after golf I said, hey, guys,

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if this ever reverses, what are you going to do,

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because you're you're manufacturing over there. Their response was, it'll

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take us about six months, primarily because of the permitting

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process in South Carolina, but we'll be back within six months.

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So I don't think people realize how quick business guys

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that are capitalists can respond to these things.

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Speaker 1: If there's enough of a profit to be made in

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selling the goods. Like the downside on the tariffs is

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that the consumer pays the increased costs and if now

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you can't move as much product, then the profit margin

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might be might not be high enough for you to

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make that investment.

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Speaker 3: Well, you have to pass. It's not just the tariff

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that you're looking at, right, because if you're going to

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move back, you're going to have state of the art

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technology which means far fewer people in the plant and so,

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and the logistics costs are not trivial between Trona and

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the US, and so by the time you factor all

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that in with the tariffs being applied, it's going to

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be cheaper to do it in the US, especially when

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Tesla's got these twenty three degree freedom of robots that

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you are going to cost twenty grand and work twenty

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four hours day, seven days a week.

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Speaker 1: Well, and that's yeah, You've hit on one of the

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aspects of this conversation that is so far as I

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can tell, not really covered much at all, which is

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that a lot of the job losses in manufacturing is

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due to automation. It's due to the robotics. It's not

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not anymore at least, it's not like the textile industry

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moving overseas, or the furniture makers and stuff, a lot

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of the stuff. Now, again, we're the second largest manufacturing

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country on the planet, and most of our job losses

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come from automation.

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Speaker 3: But what you're going to see with the tariffs is

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that a large amount of manufacturing will come back to

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the US, and it's going to come back face faster

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than I'm saying most people realize I hope so, and

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the jobs that are going to be created are going

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to be high dollar jobs because they're going to be

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sophisticated manufacturing jobs, I hope. So there's a real training

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effort that's going to have to occur sort of at

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the at the States, probably junior college level. But if

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you get a good workforce train like that, they're going

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to be terrific jobs Number one. Number two. Let's take

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India for example. So one of my companies, we were

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in sixty five countries, and for example, in India, when

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we had an operating company there, we had to leave

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sixty five percent of the profit in India by regulation.

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And so not only is he going to use the

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new administration going to use tariffs as a negotiating but

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it's going to be negotiating other things other than tariffs.

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For example, if you told India all their companies in

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the US would have to leave sixty five percent of

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their capital in the US and it could not be

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repatriated and we're doing the same thing that they're doing,

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they would stop that probably and within ninety days.

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Speaker 5: To six months.

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Speaker 3: And so there are a lot of things like this

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that are barriers for US companies that are they're not teriffs,

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but they're tariff related.

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Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, they're trade barriers.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, exactly.

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Speaker 3: And so that's why you can't just look at one

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number because they're each country is. You've got to look

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at it on a standalone basis because they're all different, right,

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some tariffs, some don't, Some have repatriation limits on what

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you can bring back.

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Speaker 1: It's not simple, right, And that's why he went, that's

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why their formula that they used was looking at the

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deficit and then divided by imports, because they just they said,

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any deficit is going to capture all of that other stuff.

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Speaker 3: Well, I mean, you got to give them some slack things.

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You're just getting started.

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Speaker 1: No, I understand, but they've been working on it for

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a while. And you know, when you're slapping tariffs on

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countries that we have a surplus against, I'm kind of

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doubting the formula there. But no, all, you made very

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good points, Steve. I appreciate the call man. Have a

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great weekend. I got to run two news. Here's a

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make memories that'll last a lifetime. So Trump has now

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just announced that his administration has been working very hard

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on a deal to save TikTok, and they have made

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00:19:42,799 --> 00:19:46,079
tremendous progress. The deal requires more work to ensure all

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necessary approvals are signed, which is why I am signing

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00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,319
an executive order to keep TikTok up and running for

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an additional seventy five days. Dude, you can't do that.

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This was a law passed by Congress, signed by the President.

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They were supposed to I have divested this, they were

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supposed to have sold it. You don't get to write

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executive orders that ignore laws. Like oh my gosh. But

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apparently China's not happy with the tariffs. So yeah. Here's

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a pete tweet from Jeff who says, hopefully when these

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jobs come back to the US, the American people will

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want the jobs. I have been trying to hire people,

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but nobody wants to work. I mean, they want to

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get paid, but they don't want to work. That's a problem. Travis,

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Welcome to the program. Hello Travis.

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Speaker 6: Hey, I hear a lot of people calling in saying

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the pain is temporary. Yeah, this way, Well, the problem

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with that is in uncertainty makes the pain longer.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 6: Let's say I'm a billionaire and I see that these

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tariffs are in place, and I go, well, right down

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the road from me, there's a closed down textile mill.

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I'll just buy that and reopen it and take a

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lot of money. So I opened it, and the next

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day Trump goes, great news, these tariffs worked. I got

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a trade deal, and all of a sudden, now I'm

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competing with whatever country Trump made this trade deal with.

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So is the goal repatriating jobs or is the goal.

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Speaker 1: Tariffs?

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Speaker 5: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Is the tariffs.

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Speaker 6: Yeah? Yeah? Or you get a deal because don't don't

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let don't make me bring back jobs. And then you

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get a deal, and now we're right back to competing

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with the foreign country.

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Speaker 1: Right, And this is you know why I played the

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audio yesterday Scott Besson, the Treasury Secretary, you know, urging

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people to just wait, you know, give us some time,

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and like business doesn't move that slowly though. So yeah,

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I mean, if you're if you're looking at these tariffs

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and they're going into effect, you have to start making

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decisions about how to how to adjust to that. And

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that's a very fair that's a very fair concern.

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Speaker 6: Give us time to do what, Give us time to

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get a deal, give us time to bring jobs back,

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give us time to do what.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good question, Travis. I appreciate the call man.

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Have a great weekend, all right, Yeah, take care of

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Let me go over and get Jeff on too real quick.

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Hello Jeff, welcome to the show.

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Speaker 4: Hey Pete, how you doing good?

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Speaker 1: What's up?

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Speaker 6: Oh? Not much?

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Speaker 4: First time caller here, so I'm a little nervous.

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Speaker 1: So that's all right, you'll do fine. I got faith

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in you, Jeff.

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Speaker 4: Thank you. You know, I heard one another radio show

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this morning. I won't say where about, you know how suddenly,

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you know, on X there's some of these Republicans, you know,

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like Leader John Thune and Mike Johnson coming out and saying, okay, okay,

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we got to get this deal done, you know, like

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the tax cut deal and then Trump's agenda.

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Speaker 6: You know, just.

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Speaker 4: Basically I didn't put two and two together, but somebody

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else did. About to now, because of these caar IFFs,

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it seems like they are wanting to negotiate because somebody

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also said that you know, there's two sides of that. Trying

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to bring jobs back. Number one, can make it expensive

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to manufacture somewhere else, but you got to make sure

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it's economically feasible for them to manufacture it here. And

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I believe that's part of Trump's plan is to cut

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the corporate tax. And you know, these taxes are what

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drives some businesses, you know away. Yeah, so regulation and

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hopefully you know, we can basically kill two birds with

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one stone by getting those jobs back here and getting

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the corporate tax to make it, you know, cut down

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to make it more favorable for them, and and to

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you know, also just try and you know, get our

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economy back up on the on the rails because you know,

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eventually about the manufacturing our stuff elsewhere because it's cheaper,

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Eventually those chickens come home to roost, and uh, when

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we have absolutely no competitive advantage, then they could basically

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pull the rug out from under us and then hike

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the rates. And so I see what he's trying to

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do here. Now I'm not going to act like a

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profit because I could wind up looking like a fool,

433
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you know, saying how successful is this going to be?

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Or is he going to be flexible between you and

435
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me and the gate posts. I think he probably will

436
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be because I think that's in the best interest, but

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he can't say it.

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Speaker 1: But no, I think I think all of that is

439
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is fair. Like that is the unknown, and that's I've made.

440
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Like you, I've made no predictions about what's going to happen,

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because I have no idea. My only uh you know,

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I've laid out my concerns with how this could go

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to prepare myself and other people in case it does

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go sideways. But I hope he's right, and I hope

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he gets a deal done. If it's beneficial to America,

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that would be fantastic.

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Speaker 4: And I do think that's what the end game is.

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I don't think he's trying to say, well, I'm going

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to stick it to them because they've been sticking it

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to us. There might be a little bit of that

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in there, but I don't think that's the ultimate goal,

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you know, just to I guess the thing is, let's

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try to be as less swappy about it as possible,

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but you know, try and be you know, like calculated,

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and you know, hopefully everybody wants to come and play

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ball with us. Yeah, you know if we can create

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the you know, the right playing field.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Jeff, I appreciate the call. You did. Great, I will.

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I wish you're happy or a good weekend.

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Speaker 4: I should say, and see y on less than two weeks.

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Speaker 1: All right, buddy, all right, see then, thanks, Jeff, appreciate

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the call. This is from Sean Pete, three time Trump voter.

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Speaker 3: Here.

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Speaker 1: While I implicitly trust the President, the latest terrifactions leave

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me with questions, assuming millions of jobs come back here,

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who will work in these factories and plants? Illegal labor

467
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is going away. I don't support illegal labor to begin with,

468
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and these new jobs won't be good enough for many

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laid off government workers. On top of that, a large

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part of our working age population simply won't take on

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such jobs, as many recent statistics show. So I'm scratching

472
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my head at how we'll swing this one without also

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economically cratering in the meantime. Thanks for any insight or

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even reassurance, Sean from Burnsville. Yeah, I don't know me,

475
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:42,640
and I have no problem telling people that I do

476
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:44,880
not know. I am making no predictions on how this

477
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,680
all works out because I don't know. I cannot tell

478
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,680
the future, and nobody else can. Whether they're telling you

479
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,799
it's all going to work out perfect or it's all

480
00:26:52,839 --> 00:26:55,960
going to crash, nobody knows. All right, So spring is

481
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here a time of renewal and celebrations. You've got graduations, weddings,

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483
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family's making memories that are going to last a lifetime.

484
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moments from days gone by? Are they hidden away on

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old VCR tapes, eight millimeter films, photos slides? Are they preserved?

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losing the magic of yesterday. At Creative Video, they help

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generations to come. I urge you do not wait until

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it's too late this spring. Celebrate your past. Visit Creative

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off four eighty five. Mail orders are accepted to get

498
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all the details that createavideo dot com. It's been a while,

499
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:02,519
but we are pregaming again in Brett winterbal three till

500
00:28:02,759 --> 00:28:08,359
I think midnight. Now they've got him on WBT three

501
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,440
to seven. Brett Winter will here on News Talk eleven

502
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:14,440
ten and ninety nine three WBT, and he is colonizing

503
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:17,640
a portion of my program as he has. That's been

504
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:21,319
your stated goal is to colonize every single program on

505
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:25,480
the station. I think you have you Is it mission accomplished?

506
00:28:25,519 --> 00:28:25,599
Speaker 3: Now?

507
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 7: No, because I don't have any access to Nori. And

508
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,839
once I get that, you know that's.

509
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,039
Speaker 1: Like a whole, then you then you wouldn't When would

510
00:28:33,079 --> 00:28:35,319
you sleep? I don't know, it doesn't matter, doesn't matter.

511
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:37,759
Speaker 7: As Curtis Lee what famously said, there's time to sleep

512
00:28:37,759 --> 00:28:38,240
when you die.

513
00:28:38,319 --> 00:28:40,799
Speaker 1: That's that is true. That is true. And you take

514
00:28:40,839 --> 00:28:43,119
a lot of B twelve. As I learned about two

515
00:28:43,119 --> 00:28:46,480
weeks ago. He gave me the first bumps always free.

516
00:28:46,559 --> 00:28:49,400
That's what I've been told he gave me. He gave

517
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,359
me one of your one of your B twelve Zip Phizz,

518
00:28:52,519 --> 00:28:55,400
Zip Fizz. He didn't help you dude, I was wired.

519
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 6: Yeah.

520
00:28:56,559 --> 00:28:59,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, So now I know the secret to no sleep

521
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:04,400
and colination of all the shows. So all right, so

522
00:29:05,119 --> 00:29:07,079
I was not actually like I have show prep for

523
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,759
other topics that I was going to get to today.

524
00:29:09,839 --> 00:29:11,200
Speaker 7: You've probably got nowhere near it.

525
00:29:11,359 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 1: Nowhere near it.

526
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,839
Speaker 7: It's all tariffs all the time, right, yeah, I love that.

527
00:29:16,039 --> 00:29:21,119
Speaker 1: So all right, okay, so what do you think the

528
00:29:21,319 --> 00:29:26,200
grand strategy is for Trump on this?

529
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 7: For Trump, it's it's to reset the entire world's balance

530
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:36,000
with the United States to what end so that we

531
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:40,039
can genuinely I believe what he's trying to do is

532
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:41,920
bring in enough money that we can get rid of

533
00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:42,640
the income tax.

534
00:29:43,799 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 1: Interesting.

535
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:47,160
Speaker 7: I think that's what he's trying to do. I think

536
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:51,720
he's trying to do two things. Okay, yeah, two things. Okay,

537
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:55,119
So I think what he's doing is he is trying

538
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:59,240
to beat Powell into submission.

539
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:00,759
Speaker 1: Do you see what pal said today?

540
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,440
Speaker 7: Yes, yeah, yeah, And I think he's trying to beat

541
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:04,279
him into submission.

542
00:30:04,359 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 1: That's the Federal Reserve chairman, Yes.

543
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 7: Because it went down to it went down to three

544
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:13,559
nine today three point nine. Okay, So he wants to

545
00:30:13,599 --> 00:30:16,599
be able to start paying down this debt, right that

546
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:18,440
we've got thirty six trillion.

547
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 1: And do we have like some payments or something come

548
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:20,920
and doing we do have them.

549
00:30:21,039 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 7: Yeah, So he's he's what he's done now is because

550
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,079
of the way the stock market is, he has driven

551
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:31,799
people to cash in the in the ten year treasuries now.

552
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:35,519
And so that means if he can keep pum pummeling

553
00:30:35,559 --> 00:30:38,480
that and making it hard on Powell, then what will

554
00:30:38,519 --> 00:30:41,799
happen is we'll be able to pay those that money

555
00:30:41,799 --> 00:30:45,279
back at much lower rates and lock them in and

556
00:30:45,279 --> 00:30:47,799
lock them in for ten years. And I think that

557
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,480
is that is what his objective is. So when people

558
00:30:50,519 --> 00:30:54,480
are screaming about like different, oh, it's too much, it's expensive,

559
00:30:54,559 --> 00:30:57,240
all this, he's playing a much longer game.

560
00:30:57,319 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 1: So do you think then that the the the tariff

561
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,240
regime goes away. If if that's the goal and he

562
00:31:03,319 --> 00:31:06,920
gets he gets the the debt locked in at the

563
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:11,720
lower rates, interest rates drop, yeah, then he just says

564
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:16,039
and we're not well yeah, yeah, uh well no, no,

565
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,559
I mean it's gonna be a right, it's gonna be

566
00:31:18,559 --> 00:31:21,359
a negotiation twenty four to seven, right, because what's gonna

567
00:31:21,359 --> 00:31:22,799
happen is like if you rent an apartment, and I

568
00:31:22,839 --> 00:31:25,559
rent an apartment, and the first the least is like

569
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:26,680
eighteen hundred bucks.

570
00:31:27,839 --> 00:31:31,960
Speaker 7: Then the next year it's like nineteen hundred bucks. Whatever

571
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,559
it is. All that stuff can be negotiated, right, And

572
00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:36,759
so I think he believes that this negotiation is going

573
00:31:36,839 --> 00:31:38,559
to be happening. But the thing that's important to know

574
00:31:38,599 --> 00:31:41,400
about Trump is he's playing with house money. Because he's

575
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:43,039
not going to try to get re elected. He could

576
00:31:43,039 --> 00:31:45,559
do anything he wants between now and then, right, and

577
00:31:45,599 --> 00:31:48,599
so he's able to do these big, bold things. They

578
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:50,960
would have been better off instead of stealing the election. Okay,

579
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,200
not really. I don't know who the president was for

580
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:56,759
the last four years, so I'm conf yeah, autop right, yeah,

581
00:31:56,799 --> 00:32:00,359
President auto pan. If they had just let him coming

582
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:04,759
in and win the second election, he wouldn't have been

583
00:32:04,799 --> 00:32:07,680
doing this like he But they brought Hey, you guys,

584
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,799
here you go. You went good atalk, good Eta.

585
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 1: And now he's on a mission from God.

586
00:32:12,839 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 7: Absolutely he is, and so he this he is playing

587
00:32:16,759 --> 00:32:18,920
with house money basically.

588
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:22,559
Speaker 1: Yeah. I have heard had a caller during the show

589
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:25,759
today who mentioned this, and I have heard the left

590
00:32:25,759 --> 00:32:27,319
he's saying that, oh, he's doing this so he could

591
00:32:27,359 --> 00:32:30,880
you know, buy the dip and he and Elon can

592
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:32,480
make all this money on the stock market and all

593
00:32:32,519 --> 00:32:35,079
this stuff. It's like, of all of the explanations, that's

594
00:32:35,119 --> 00:32:35,759
the stupidest.

595
00:32:35,839 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 7: Okay, So, so like let's think about this for a second.

596
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,640
What have we had to fight with for the last

597
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:44,240
three four years?

598
00:32:44,799 --> 00:32:45,279
Speaker 1: Inflation?

599
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:45,799
Speaker 6: Yeah? Yeah?

600
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:46,119
Speaker 1: Yeah?

601
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 7: So how do we know the stock market's not inflated?

602
00:32:49,279 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 1: Isn't it always?

603
00:32:50,519 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 6: Right? No?

604
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:54,759
Speaker 7: But right? I mean, like, why all this stuff that's

605
00:32:54,759 --> 00:32:57,319
getting all this stuff that's getting pummeled down now, I mean,

606
00:32:57,359 --> 00:33:00,279
it's that's the way I kind of view it. I

607
00:33:00,319 --> 00:33:01,160
think it's awesome.

608
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:03,480
Speaker 1: Do you think it's awesome? I do think it's awesome.

609
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 7: The chaos it No, the chaos is a byproduct of

610
00:33:07,519 --> 00:33:12,799
the awesomeness. Look, if you don't sell your position, you

611
00:33:12,839 --> 00:33:14,079
didn't lose any money.

612
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:15,319
Speaker 1: Of the stock market in the stock market.

613
00:33:15,359 --> 00:33:15,759
Speaker 6: Right.

614
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,880
Speaker 1: So here's so my here here's what I say. I

615
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,480
am raised in a in an environment. I am the

616
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:24,680
fish that doesn't know it's wet. I've been raised in

617
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:28,759
an environment that tariffs are inflationary, uh, and they tax

618
00:33:29,079 --> 00:33:34,119
the domestic consumer. That is the economic philosophy that I

619
00:33:34,359 --> 00:33:36,880
was under. The belief that this is the norm. So

620
00:33:37,319 --> 00:33:39,839
I make no predictions on what this how this all

621
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:45,119
shakes out. It could be very beneficial, but we'll see. Yeah,

622
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,839
we'll see what we So we got two more minutes. Roughly.

623
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,680
I forgot I've been out of practice.

624
00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 7: It's okay.

625
00:33:50,359 --> 00:33:51,960
Speaker 1: I took a Friday off and now here I am.

626
00:33:52,039 --> 00:33:53,319
Speaker 7: I'm following your lead.

627
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 1: I know it's which is weird because I'm used to

628
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:59,839
following yours. Have you noticed that the view looks the

629
00:34:00,079 --> 00:34:02,720
aim as the hangover?

630
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,319
Speaker 7: Oh my gosh, I guess I thought you meant the

631
00:34:05,359 --> 00:34:06,039
TV show.

632
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 1: No, God, why would I bring them up?

633
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:10,880
Speaker 7: I don't know. You said the view, And I'm like,

634
00:34:11,679 --> 00:34:11,960
I'm not.

635
00:34:12,079 --> 00:34:13,679
Speaker 1: I mean, we can mock the view.

636
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:15,360
Speaker 7: Well, you can't mock them enough.

637
00:34:15,679 --> 00:34:19,320
Speaker 1: Correct? Correct? Yeah, So I don't know how it shakes out.

638
00:34:19,519 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 7: Yeah, nobody.

639
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:22,079
Speaker 1: And I don't write, and I don't pretend to. All

640
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:24,840
I say is he'd better be right whatever it is

641
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:27,119
that he is doing, he'd better be right, because if

642
00:34:27,159 --> 00:34:30,239
he's not right and this doesn't work out, My fear

643
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:34,800
is you see wipeouts of wealth, but also you see

644
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:38,880
wipeouts of Republicans for a long time to come. That's

645
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:40,199
my that's really.

646
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:40,559
Speaker 7: You think it'd be.

647
00:34:40,599 --> 00:34:42,800
Speaker 1: It'll be like that if it's bad enough.

648
00:34:43,079 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 7: Are you talking like great depression kind of a thing here?

649
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 1: I did. I did reference the smoot Holly. I heard

650
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,440
it several times. I took great umbrage against him. He

651
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:52,639
took umbradge at the smooth Haliet Are you are you

652
00:34:52,679 --> 00:34:54,559
a smooter? No?

653
00:34:54,679 --> 00:34:57,119
Speaker 7: But but the reality is the fundamental. I did a

654
00:34:57,159 --> 00:34:59,719
whole breakdown of that in the fourth hour last night.

655
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:03,480
Speaker 1: I stuff. I know if i'd say, oh, the fourth hour, yeah,

656
00:35:03,559 --> 00:35:07,360
like dude, I'm eating dinner, going to bed. You know.

657
00:35:07,519 --> 00:35:11,199
Speaker 7: I was walking around the track trying to find where

658
00:35:11,199 --> 00:35:11,599
we were.

659
00:35:11,679 --> 00:35:14,119
Speaker 1: Did you buy any parts?

660
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:15,119
Speaker 7: No?

661
00:35:15,119 --> 00:35:17,559
Speaker 1: No, okay, I don't. I mean no.

662
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:20,400
Speaker 7: I figured I would leave them for the people because

663
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,320
they may need that because of the tariffs.

664
00:35:22,559 --> 00:35:25,519
Speaker 1: That's fair. That's fair, all right, that's Brett Winnervo. You

665
00:35:25,519 --> 00:35:26,960
can listen to him actually, and I'm going to be

666
00:35:27,039 --> 00:35:29,280
right back with them. I'm sure he'll ask me more

667
00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:33,079
important things when we do that in a moment at

668
00:35:33,079 --> 00:35:35,239
three o'clock here on News Talk eleven ten nine three

669
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,760
WBT pregaming with Brett that's what we call it, or

670
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,719
pregaming with winter bul either way. All right, that'll do

671
00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:44,320
it for this episode. Thank you so much for listening.

672
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,559
I could not do the show without your support and

673
00:35:46,639 --> 00:35:49,480
the support of the businesses that advertise on the podcast,

674
00:35:49,679 --> 00:35:51,760
so if you'd like, please support them too and tell

675
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:53,519
them you heard it here. You can also become a

676
00:35:53,559 --> 00:35:58,199
patron at my Patreon page or go to dpetecleanershow dot com. Again,

677
00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:01,000
thank you so much for listening, and don't break anything

678
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:01,639
while I'm gone.

679
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:09,079
Speaker 7: Hmm.

