Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent and probably not gonna be saying this too often,
you know, in the near future. But yesterday was a
day where I didn't get involved with anything. You know,
talked about those two games, thinking about them for months.
I just I didn't feel comfortable enough. And honestly, you know,
I think I saved myself some money because over time,
whether I FI was Rockets team total under or I
would have been a disaster. So it was good for
me to be on the sidelines yesterday. How's everything for
you and how are you feeling today?
Speaker 2: Doing good? Ski? There was one NBA play for me yesterday.
We talked about it here. The Golden State Lakers game over.
The total barely got there, but it did get there.
Real second half flurry again, Ski, how about Golden State
third quarter one more time right, thirty five twenty five
last night win. Maybe that's the thing we can pick
up again this year. But the total did get there.
And then I had a college football total with the
Kennesaw State game over, and that got over the total.
So it's two and out. Small plays but still two
and those two and oh will take it.
Speaker 1: Two and oh. I mean if you do that every day, man,
you go get you a nice island rob. You know,
we'll take two and oh every single day.
Speaker 2: You come visit me out there on the island.
Speaker 1: All as long as you got the tequila pineapple, it'll
be good. All right, let's get to some actionable info.
We have a lot of games. I didn't count them all,
but I think it. I'm gonna eyeball. I think it's
eleven or twelve. We'll see. So we won't talk about
all of them, you know, as much as we did
those two games yesterday. But the ones we feel stronger
about we'll get to. And also, I want to throw
this out there. It's the beginning of the season. You
don't get the normal, you know, we can't. We don't
have numbers to go off of, no recent performance, no anything.
So it'll be a little bit different of a handicap
and show than what you'll probably see, you know, two
weeks from now. All right, you know, let's get to it. Cleveland,
New York is first of five O five five oh
six that opened up New York minus three and a
half flip a favorite. Cleveland is now minus three and
a half total open two twenty nine and a half,
and I'm seeing two twenty six and a half. Literally
right before I did the show. I think I just
saw that injury with Karl Anthony town. So let's take
a look here refreshed, because like I told you all,
their every five seconds, somebody's rolled out. No Mitch Robinson,
no Josh Hart. Hounds is listed as doubtful.
Speaker 3: I thought I saw him out, but maybe I guess
I should double check, but I swear I just saw
him listed this out right now, and that's why the
number came down.
Speaker 1: Doubtful probably just as good as out O Giananobe is
probable for the Cavaliers. No max Strus, no Garland, then
you have a hundred questionable. You're supposed to be two
of the top teams in the East here Raveno and
again I have to change the spread and total here
because the lines are moving, you know, as we speak.
But it's not the matchup that we were looking forward to.
With everybody out. For New York, right they could be
down three, I mean three key guys. They are down
three key guys for Cleveland. They do have more of
their core. I mean, at this point, it seems like
it's Cleveland's game to lose. Raveno. I'll tell you this
before I pass it to you. I did bet under
in this game, and you know, some of why I
liked it has gone away now, but I still think
it could potentially get there. The things that I was
saying that I like that are gone are I like
Mitchell Robinson being able to protect the paint, car Anthony
Towns being able to protect the paint. And you have
another pair of bigs on the other side who can
do the same thing, and Mobley and Jared Allen, but
we're not gonna get those two bigs for the New
York side. Other than that, the pace without Darius Garland
for that Cavaliers team definitely dropped last season. I know
they got an addition and Lonzo Ball see if he'll
keep the tempo going. But between that, you know, also
missing a shooter and Max strus I was looking towards
an under two twenty nine and a half. It's the
number I got. We're now looking at two twenty six
and a half. Do you think would you still trust
it with the injury report? How are you looking at
this game.
Speaker 2: Ravino, Yeah, this one's tough ski too many missing pieces.
I did not play it. And then Nicks certainly are
hurt defensively by all these absences. And you know, generally
speaking last two years, three years, when I speak of
Cleveland at least, and I think when most of us
speak with Cleveland, I've done a bunch of shows with
you the last five years. We talk about Cleveland's front line.
Evan Mobley, Jared Allen. There's nobody to contest those two
guys that Jared Allen. I don't and again I'm not
a prop guy, but these are the thoughts that came
to my mind. Jared Allen rebounds has to be in
play here. Evan Mobley from everything that came out of
Cleveland in the offseason and some of the preseason, Evan
Mobley looks like they're looking toward him to be a
bigger scorer carry Moore of the scoring load this year.
That probably is in play. I don't know what his
points are, but from a prop perspective, I would think
that the two bigs on Cleveland's side, I mean, how
many minutes can Yabiselli give them the Knicks at center here?
He's a part time player for Philly, forced into action
last year due to injuries. As good players outid player,
but he's a backup. I don't know that he can
give you more than twenty three twenty four minutes that
are good so to me, I don't know that I
could trust the total under simply because the Knicks are
likely probably gonna want to push it a little bit.
There's such a small team here tonight, and Cleveland has
such an interior edge. I don't want to play under,
don't want to play over. The only thing I could
recommend here is maybe the two bigs for Cleveland in
some prop form, look like the best, the best possible
place to me.
Speaker 1: Hey, Cody says, Nicks may struggle to score here looking
at their team total under, your Cavs still have you
know that defense on their side. It could be a
good way to pivot there. Let's keep going. Rovino do
have a lot of games today, and next up looks
like five oh seven five away. Brooklyn and Charlotte opened
up minus four and a half for the Hornets currently
five total open two twenty two and a half all
the way up to twenty eight and a half. So
shut up about six points there. As far as who's available,
I do see Grant Williams and Josh Green out for
the Hornets, I Smith out for the Nets a lot
of I mean a little bit of a new Nets
team here. Here's here's how I think about this one.
I don't really trust all of the guys on the
on the Nets team. I trust Cam Thomas, I trust
Michael Porter both to score. I trust LaMelo to play
a pace and score. I trust Brandon Miller to score.
Like if I'm playing this one, I agree the total
is moving in the right direction. Already moves six points.
You know you're getting the ass end of the line.
But I think that's the right way for it to go.
Other than that, I don't think either of these teams
are great defensively, And you know in basketball, I don't
like to lay with teams I don't trust to get stops.
So it would be Brooklyn probably or over you know,
in this one. And when I think about that to MPJ,
I think he'll want to have a good debut over
there for the Hornets, So maybe bet on him anything
for you in this game between Nets and Hornets.
Speaker 2: Roveno, Yeah, I actually played ski and again, I think
one thing that you set off the top. It's the
beginning of the season, and for those of you who
may purchase plays that I've had the first couple of days,
you can see I'm going baby steps in. There's plays,
but there's smaller unit plays because we don't have a
lot of solid info yet. But I did play this game,
and I did play the Charlotte team. Total over, I
just zero it in on Charlotte. I think you mentioned
right off the bat there is not a lick of
defense going to be played by Michael Porter Junior or
camp Thommas. So the Nets are and they've got five
rookies on this team. I just can't see the Nets
going out there against an uptempo pace team like Charlotte
who wants to push and has legitimate scorers across the board,
even a couple deep into the rotation. Oh, it was
one fifteen and a half yesterday at first ski when
I got it, when I recommended it, it had jumped
up a point to sixteen. One sixteen and a half.
But I still think Charlotte is likely in that one
seventeen category. One thing I think we know we're going
to get here is a lot of opportunity. Charlotte may
shoot a bunch of free jews here. Again, when you
have so many guys that haven't played together, defensive assignments
get blown all the time. In this game. I think
Charlotte can take huge advantage of it. They're going to
want to come out on their home floor opening day,
Opening night, excuse me and play really well. So my
play here with Charlotte team total up and over what's
currently won sixteen and a half?
Speaker 1: A right? Good stuff on that Rob. You know I
can't talk you off at all. Let's keep going down
the list. I messed up something on my screen here,
but I'll try to fix it as we keep going.
Next up is five on nine to five ten heat,
and you know their neighbors going to Orlando to face
the Magic opened up minus eight and a half or Orlando.
You'll see eight and a half out there. There's a
nine that just popped up. Total opened two thirteen and
a half and it looks like it's as high as
two fifteen and a half. And again, I just want
to refresh because when I see these lines moving, you
know what time it is. The injury or something might
have happened. We are waiting on Khalel where he's listed
as questionable. There will be no tier hero in this game.
And then Moe Wagner out for the Magic. I saw
somebody in the chat. I gotta put this up there
because let me just where is it? Miami team total under.
They got no shooters. I mean when I'm looking, Norman
Powell can shoot, Wigains can shoot, David Michel can hit
a couple jumpers. It's not like they don't have anybody.
But I do think, you know, they can struggle going
up against this Magic defense. I mean, we've seen the
last year, the year before, I think even as well,
very very good defensive team. A lot of the problems
that I had with the Magic was thought process wise,
you know. Was usually when I expect teams to win
by these big margins, it's teams that I trust to
shoot the three well and defend the three well. Now
the Magic were one of these teams that they didn't
have a whole lot of shooters last year, but when
they were big favorites, they were pretty damn good. They
still find a way to do it. And now this
season you had Desmond Bain, who helps you in that
department where you were lacking. So I like the addition.
I like this Magic team. Uh the more I think
about it, I mean, I think they can win this
game by double digits. Can you talk me off of
the Magic here at the House?
Speaker 2: No, because it's still on my short list of play.
I was waiting on, you know, some kind of definitive
information on where, if where can't go. It throws Jovich
into the game, and it's just a different story when
they played when they went to that lineup last year,
when they played Bam at the four and where the five,
it kind of worked for Miami. They started scoring a
little more. But like you mentioned, no Tyler Hero, but
insert Norman Powell. Norman Powell can do Tyler Hero type things.
Davion Mitchell is not necessarily a shooter. To the earlier
comment about they don't have shooters Wiggins, we don't know.
I don't really trust that bench on Miami. But here's
what put it on the short list for me was
when I saw Jalen Suggs was gonna play. I thought
Jalen Suggs might miss. And this is a team for
those who don't know that I played a future bet
on to win the Southeast Division. I know Atlanta's made improvements,
but the Desmond Bain pick up and then add on
top of it Ski, but I think it's probably one
of the most unheralded acquisitions of the offseason when Orlando
picked up Tyas Jones. Who, believe it or not, Tyas
Jones at point guard has led the NBA and assist
the turnover ratio six of the last seven years. It's crazy.
How good boss with the ball. And like you said,
you normally don't trust Orlando offensively to cover numbers like this,
but when you can come off the bench with Tyas Jones,
that's a big deal for playmaking ability for the Magic
who definitely have guys who can finish. So to me,
like I said, it was on the short list, it
might totally get on the playlist here minus the eight
and a half or whatnot. I don't wanted to get
two out of hands. You said you saw a nine jump,
so there may be only one. Yeah, in the show
here Afesser's movement to interrupt and get involved quicker than
we want to. But yeah, I do like Orlando.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, we let's shut it down real quick
on this show. We don't play around that wallet. Let's
get involved, all right. Uh yeah, we're both looking at
Orlando in this game. Next one, five eleven, five twelve,
Toronto and Atlanta opened up Atlanta minus six, came down
a little bit to five and a half. Total open
two thirty five and a half and as high as
two thirty seven and a half. Injury report. Nobody on
there for the Hawks. For the Raptors, Jakobe Walter, I
believe that it is is out. Mary Boyles is out
as well. This Raptors team now has the combination of
Ingram and Barnes on the wings, and I like it's
that's a lot of length, athleticsism, defense, you know. I
like that. At the same time, I don't really trust
or like the guard player for Toronto. I actually hate it.
So I'm I'm unsure, you know, what I really want
to do with this Toronto team. As far as Atlanta,
I do like their roster. I like the addition of Porzingis.
I think that they have really I think they have
some potential to make some noise this year, but it's
really really only one guy. I try to defend right there,
and uh, you know, you know me Robno. I like
that expect you know that I can trust to get
some stop when I'm laying some points. So that makes
me hesitate. On the Atlanta side, you know, I want
to try to find reasons to to take the points
with Toronto. But then I look at Quickly and RJ
and I say, never mind. You know, is there any
way you can get involved with the Raptors and Hawks?
Speaker 2: You know, real quick to the one guy that you
can trust defensively on the Hawks side, it's the new guy, right,
it's Dice and Daniels that guy. But absolutely interesting that
at shooting guard Ski a couple of years back, and
this is the reason why I played Orlando to win
the Southeast. Atlantam made the big move for dejenta Murray,
who was a better two way playman, a very good
defensive player and a far better offensive player than Daniels is.
Daniels is excellent on the defensive end, but he's not
de Jontay Murray offensively, and they still couldn't get anything done.
It's a little bit bothersome to me. I know a
lot of people are higher on the Hawks now. If
I flip it over, I know that our buddy and
colleague Teddy Covers is extremely high on Toronto. I have
to see it to probably accept it. What I do
think is that last year, I don't know the last
thirty games or so, let's just say after all Star break,
Toronto was just a wildly high scoring team. Score a lot,
give up a lot. And if they continue that philosophy
when you play the Hawks, you know, maybe you can
get to over I just don't know that I can
get involved in a game where I need two thirty
eight on the first game of the season. You know,
we're probably gonna get the two forty real fast here
from the hodsmakers. If this is already too thirty seven
and a half. It took double overtime last night, like
you saying that OKC Houston game to get to where
it was. They're far better defensive teams. I don't know,
don't like the game as far as betting it is concerned.
But I want to see what Toronto looks like on
the floor here for a couple of games, and you know,
if that guard play is anything at all, they should
be able to score. I know quickly e Manual quickly
is going to charge that team up and down the floor.
So you should get opportunities here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would expect them to play with pace for sure,
And I mean you expect the same kind of thing
with the Hawks, right, so I can understand if this
one was the highest scoring game of the night, I
wouldn't be surprised. Yeah, let's let's keep going down the list.
Drip Fego says, any player props, I mean, nothing is
standing out right now. I mean, yesterday I talked about
some player props, but again, this is the first game
of the season. We don't have any numbers, we don't
have anything to go off of, and we have eleven
or twelve games to handicap as it is. So Nah,
don't see any player props right now that are standing
out to me. Really, just spend the time getting through
these twelve games trying to figure out whom we pick
on the side in total. Honestly, next seventy six ers
and Celtics opened up minus two and a half for Boston.
Looks like four and a half right now to to
open two twenty four and a half, and it's all
the way up to two twenty nine. As far as
who's available tonight, Jalen Brown is still questionable. We know
there's no Tatum for Boston. Paul George's out, mckenne is out,
Watford is out for Philly. Shocker, Robno.
Speaker 2: Means a lot of money for not playing.
Speaker 1: Yeah, man, Joel and Bid will be out there. We'll
see what he looks like. I'm not a big believer
in in you know, current state of Joel Ebid or
what I've seen from him recently. So I'm not high
on the six years in general, no secret. I do
like their rookie vj Edgecombe. You know, maybe he can
have a good game, but as far as as far
as this game, if I'm betting it, you know, I
heard I think it was Jalen Brown and he was
saying something like he's more like this seems like more
of a track team than a basketball team, Like they
just want to run and you see the total skyrocketing up.
So players talking like that, especially you know early in
the season, no numbers, I tend to want to listen.
I think the total will moved in the right direction,
and uh yeah, that's how I feel. What do you think? Rap?
Speaker 2: You know, and I think those moves in this game
Ski correlate Boston's up to four now or four and
a half the totals up, and I think that's just
somebody knows that Jalen Brown's going to be involved in
the game. Game SAT total SAT, and then all of
a sudden it popped, And I think that probably means
Jalen Brown's involved, and I can't disagree with him. When
you look at their new look lineup SKI and we
know Boston wants to shoot fifty three is a game.
Peyton Pritchard, Derek White, Sam Hauser, Jalen Brown all in
the starting five. That's crazy. You're gonna get an awful
lot of pace, You're gonna get an awful lot of
three pointers. And on the other side, it's the same thing.
I mean, a couple of preseason games here locally watching
the Sixers vj Edge Coleman. Again, it's preseason, but we
saw him at Baylor gets out on the wing. He's
a tremendous athlete, good finisher, looked good in preseason. Having
Tyreese Maxi back is huge. Quentin Grimes was the leading
scorer for Philly last year. Once all the starters went
down and they were playing with that backup unit, the
guy they went to was Quentin Grimes, so they've got
all kinds of scoring in their lineup. There's nobody to
contest embiid if in fact he is healthy enough to
play well tonight. He looked pretty good in preseason. I
will say he doesn't look like he's struggling movement wise,
so I could understand the total. I should have been
there to start with at the two twenty four and
a half, but now it's quite the move up to
two twenty nine to twenty nine and a half. But
I certainly understand it because I think this is going
to be some form of track meet.
Speaker 1: All right, Next game up Pistons and Bulls five fifteen
five sixteen open minus two and a half for Pistons.
I think he got up to four and a half
and came back down once Chicago's injury report got a
little cleaner. Total open two thirty four and a half
went down. Now that the injured report is cleaner, it
went back up to two thirty seven and a half.
Kobe White out, Zach Collins out, Harris LeVert is probable
for Detroit. No or Sasser's doubtful. I'm sorry, and Ivy
looks like he's going to be out. You know I did,
I did play this game, and you know I don't
like to see the total going up when I've been
an under. But really my thought process is, again we
don't have the numbers and all this stuff. My thought
process was, you're missing a lot of points in pace
with both Kobe White and Jaden Ivy. That was the
basis for it. But I'll ask you, with this total
on the rise, do you think it's the wrong side
to be on the under? Or how you viewing Detroit
in Chicago?
Speaker 2: Well, I will say this to your case. Anybody who's
taken the time to listen to Billy Donovan, I mean
he's trying to tell everybody defense and physicality. Those are
the first two words out of his mouth about this season.
It's a three hundred and sixty degree polar opposite of
what the Bulls have been. But when we see that
they got Jalen Smith out of Detroit at center a
shot blocker deluxe. When we see that Patrick Williams is
back healthy, it's interesting some of the guys Isaaccoro is
now on this team, Some of some guys who are
more defensive minded than offensive minded now infiltrating of the
Bulls rotation. I mean, you can't just believe the coach
because he says that's what he wants to do. The
players still have to do it. But I'd rather take
a night and see if the Bulls do play any
form of defense. Pistons can score. They didn't have Jade
and Ivy all last year basically, and they still scored.
So they've got players Duncan Robinson in their starting lineup
is kind of interesting. All shoot, no defense. I don't know,
Ski I could, I could see your side of it.
I didn't play because I'd rather watch the Bulls after
hearing Donovan talk and just see if it's lip service
or if they really are going to be at least
a little bit different. I don't expect them to be
a team that you know, is top five defense in
the NBA, but they were so rotten last year. If
they could just get up to you know, average fifteen
sixteen seventeen the NBA, they could be pretty good. So
we'll see.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if I'm playing the player prop here is absolutely Kate,
and I would prefer to bet on Kate then bet
on the Pistons, because no Pistons are gonna win. I
think Kate is having a great night. That's just how
I view them. So to the person about player props
so far, probably Kate, maybe VJ in the previous game,
Cam Thomas or MPJ in that next game. And I'm
talking points for all these guys, so Evan Mobley, Pra
as of right now, that's just looking down the list.
Those will be guys that I will try to make
a case for, you know, keep going here. New Orleans
Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies five seventeen five eighteen opened up minus
three and a half for the Grizzlies, looks like four
total open two thirty four and a half as high
as two thirty seven. Who is available or who is
not available? In this game? The Pelicans will be without Dejahntay, Murray,
Cavan Looney. I feel like, year after year, even in
the the Grizzlies just always have a laundry list of injuries,
Like why is everybody always hurt? There? No Brandon Clark,
no zachy Ty Jerome out, Scottie Pivian Junior out, Williams out.
I have a hard time, but I feel like it's
the lineup is so inconsistent all the time. With this
Grizzlies team. I never have a strong fell on them
in general. This Pelicans team, I like one through four.
I'm not gonna say I don't like five. I just
I worry. That would be my worry. If I'm worried
about this roster is Kevon, Looni and Mesi. But I
do think one through four we'll be able to score on,
you know, with the best of them. So seeing them
getting points here, I was trying to make a case
for the Pelicans. Can you help me out trying to
get there with New Orleans.
Speaker 2: It's hard, and it's just as hard to make a
case for the other side. Ski, to tell you the truth.
But to go back to your point about the Memphis injuries,
they're not just injuries. Those are all low tournament like
we're not going to see those guys for a while.
Zach Edy out until mid December, Ty Jerome out until
late November, Brandon Clark out until December, Scottie Pippen Junior
out until January. Those are four guys that play minutes
for this team and you're not going to see him
for at least six weeks, any of them. So it's
kind of a strange situation here, you throw KCP into
the mix to help just score a little bit. John
Jared Jackson are certainly quality duo capable of anything. But
I don't know. I kind of like the Pelicans scoring
ability off the bench. I will say with Alvarado, with
the rookie from Oklahoma, Jeremiah Fears, who's a scorer deluxe,
and then Jordan Hawk in second year out of Yukon.
But you know, I know Jose Alvarado is a pretty
good defender. But I don't see a lot of defense
in this game. It's again, it's one of those that
was priced too high for me to get to the total.
But sidew it's just difficult. You have to just watch
this game. In my opinion, I may number props here ski.
Speaker 1: Well sta, says Morant over twenty four and a half points.
I mean, I don't see a whole lot of rim
protection for the Pelicans. I mean I could see Marent
getting there. Zion maybe he has a I mean, we
saw skinny Luca last night. Maybe we see skinny Zion tonight.
Go off. People got something to prove in these first games,
So yeah, maybe Zion, maybe John ran points. It's tough.
I feel like anybody gets growing that Pelicans team, but
Zion should be the most motivated. I think, all right,
keep going down the list here. I think we're making
okay time in so many games Washington and Milwaukee open
up minus nine for the Bucks looks like nine and
a half or ten total open two twenty seven and
a half, as low as two twenty six and a half.
But we'll call consensus to twenty seven for the injury
report belaws out for Washington, nobody else, nobody on the
injury report for the Bucks. You know you like the
Bucks this season as far as being able to win
a little bit more than a five hundred team. I mean,
this should be one of the teams that they're able
to beat up on. I like, when I look at this,
I see be honest surrounded by shooters. You know, I
like Turner protecting the paint. I think that the Bucks
should be able to win this game by a big margin.
But when I say that, you know it is the
first game I am always weary of, Like I am
always wary of laying you know, close to double or
laying double digits in this first game of the season,
Like you just never know they're gonna come out already
in rhythm. It's a lot of points for that. So
I'll ask you all, are you a little bit nervous
about that? Is there any case we made for the Wizards?
Or is it the good old over with Milwaukee and Washington.
Speaker 2: I'll say that I'm with you as far as Buck's
covering numbers is concerned, especially double digit numbers. I will
be involved here. I just haven't gotten to it yet,
but I'm going to play the Milwaukee team total over
one eighteen and a half here. There just doesn't seem
to be a lot of resistance from the Wizard's side,
and Milwaukee is healthy and deep one through nine. I
mean when six through nine what's listed at least for
tonight is Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzmatorian Prince and Cole Anthony.
That's pretty solid six through nine at all positions. So
for me, it's certainly we hear Giannis every single year.
He's pretty loyal to this team because he probably could
have gone at some point and left them. But I
think there's something to prove here that I hate to
use the word because it's so overused. Statement game. It's
not really a statement game. But it's Milwaukee coming out
as a group tonight and kind of setting a tone.
Love them having Miles Turner at center now. I think
that's huge for them, and especially we're scoring is concerned
tonight against what's not a good Washington defense whatsoever. I mean,
CJ's in there now. CJ and Chris Middleton are both
going to start. There's no defense between the two of
them really, So for me, it's going to be the
Bucks team totaled. The current number listed is one eighteen
and a half. I think they'll get to one twenty here.
Whether or not they cover, I'm not sure, but I
do think they'll score.
Speaker 1: I like that play. I mean I thought about it
this morning before we talked. I just my hesitation was,
if they're getting blown out by so much, maybe they
just you know, take it easy at the end. But
still it's hard for me to see Washington stopping this
Milwaukee squad. And Milwaukee has a solid bench too, That's
what I mean. The six, I mean, maybe we can't
even trust those guys if it gets out of hand
to continue scoring. Yeah, I mean one eighteen and a
half seems pretty doable. Robne know, I do like it.
I might join on that one. Won't. I won't stop
the show right now, but might open up that while
a little bit later, comment came and said from Casey,
there's two comments here. She likes Porters assists. Then you
have Sta saying Janni's triple double off the Summer League,
the Summer Interleague comments on passing, and then uh, Cody
likes Giannis Pira in Casey says Middleton props and this
one could be interesting. I mean, we're expecting more points
than not. I can't talk anybody off of any of
these props you said for this game. All right, you know,
let's keep going here, Clippers and Jazz. Another big point
spread open minus eight and a half for LA, looks
like nine and a half total open two twenty six
and a half, and it's down as low as two
twenty five and a half. As far as who's available,
only Miller j Miller out, my bad. Let me refresh.
Jordan Miller out for the UH for the Clippers. For Utah,
Collier and Niang both out. Oh, Ace Bailey is gonna play, Okay?
I thought I saw him listened as questionable, so he
must have gotten taken off of the injury report in general, Roberno,
I look at this Utah team and I feel like
we saw this last year. I don't have the numbers
to back it up, but Utah does have a on
court advantage with the altitude and stuff over there, and
I know, I just feel like they have a lot
of guys who can make it scrappy. Yeat Kessler to
protect the paint. Marketing is a bucket, I think, and
get Ace Bailey's a bucket. You know he's a rookie.
But I like Yontay George. I mean, ten points, give
me this you tall team ten points at home. I
really want to try to get there. I do Clippers
team starting lineup looks stack if this is twenty and sixteen, Yeah,
but I mean it is a listed a group of
good names. Guys are older, and uh, you know, I
don't like to bet on the older guys to come
out in the first game of the season and just
be already rolling. You know, I think it might take
take those guys a little bit to get going. You
gotta you know, you got the old car, gott to
crank it up, let it around a little bit. You
can't just hop in there and go like it's a
twenty twenty five, so I don't know. They might they
might stumble in this first game. I lean towards Utah.
Can you talk me off? No?
Speaker 2: And I think what you just said. That one situational
just plays out in my mind constantly. Is that la,
whether it be slow start, whether it be get the
vets out at the end of the game, because you're
winning big and Utah and sneak in under the number,
Utah is going to try to run. There's no reason
why you wouldn't run against this team. Unfor so that
the age on these players get and again saying get
the vets off the floor. There's more than a couple
of vets. James Harden is old, Bradley Beal is old,
Chris Paul is old, Nicholas Batoum is old, Brook Lopez
is old, Bargdanovich is old. They're all old. You got
to take everybody off the floor at the end of
the game. So I could see it from the Utah
standpoint in those two ways, maybe the Clippers don't come
out of the gate rolling, or maybe they're up big
at the end and they don't keep their foot on
the gas and they give everybody you know limited, you know,
twenty nine to thirty minutes. The problem is Utah going
to play enough defense for me? And I will add
to it a little bit because you talked about Kessler
protecting the room, which he does. Kyle Philapowski is extremely
scrappy player too. Watching him in Summer League, he was
their best player by far and away, scoring thirty plus
a night, making all kinds of plays. But Nurkic as
a backup center, is a pretty good rim protector too.
He doesn't provide you too much offensively, but they do
have a little bit of rim protection there. So we'll
see Walter Clayton Junior, the rookie from Florida who we
all remember when they won the national title's. We'll see
how he debuts here in the NBA. But he's another
one that can put up points instantly. Utah is full
of those types of guys. Generally, Utah you like to
play their home games over. Maybe I could see that here,
or maybe you could even see a Utah team total
over to avoid any blowout situation. I'm looking right now, Ski.
Their number is one oh seven and a half. After
to ask Utah to get to one o eight it's
possible I haven't played, but just a thought there with Utah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. I must have been thinking wrong here, Rober,
you know, because these numbers are not reflecting what I
thought about Utah from last season. Utah has a home
dog of eight plus or nine hs, I don't know,
So I don't know. Maybe I'm I was thinking of
something else. But when I do think about the games,
looking at the rosters and just a situation. You know,
we talked about a bunch of young guys versus guys
with walkers and tennis balls on them. I kind of
like that Utah man.
Speaker 2: With the tennis balls on them. That's priceless. Yeah, that
might be an old cool There's probably a bunch of
overs in those home games, though, Ski I think with Utah,
I'm trying to remember off the top of my head.
Speaker 1: You know, that pops in my head, But now I
think about it, maybe because I'm not in school anymore,
But it was like when I was younger in school,
you used to see the walk through the tennis balls
or something. I don't know. I don't know, I don't know.
All right, let's keep going. Man Spurs and Mavericks five
four open minus two and a half for Dallas, still
sitting at two and a half total open two twenty
four and a half. Seen it as low as two
twenty three.
Speaker 2: And a half.
Speaker 1: Injury report, no Kyrie, no Exum, and then you have
Daffort doubtful for Dallas. For the Spurs Darren Fox, Kelly
olynnok Sohan and then Waters look like they're all out
being no first thing to me in this one. When
you look at the injury report, I feel like you're
missing I mean, you're missing two point guards for this
Dallas team. You're also missing a star point guard for
this Spurs team. Slot playmaking and scoring gone. You think
about this Dallas team, I mean, they do have Dansel
Rustier run the show still, But I'm just saying you
got a lot, a lot of bigs, a lot of defense.
They were a good defensive team last year. I think
that will continue more than anything, like, I think we
can trust Dallas come out here and be good defensively. Spurs,
as long as Wimby's on the court, they're going to
have a solid defense as well. So I think this
is more of an undergame. I agree with the line
slightly going down here. Yeah, I just I think in general,
mass games are going to be lower scoring this season,
so under two twenty four and a half is direction
I'm looking here. How do you see it?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it seems like the best direction to look ski
because trying to play side here is difficult. I probably
leaned Dallas and Dallas. The roster was built for nights
like this when Daniel Gafford can't go, because there are
so many bigs on the floor for Dallas that if
one's going to be missing, it doesn't matter. There's four
more to take his place to Anthony Davis, Derek Lively, PJ. Washington,
Cooper Flag, et cetera, et cetera. And in the preseason
they did something interesting. They played Cooper flag at point
guard quite a bit. So you're probably gonna is.
Speaker 1: That belief in Cooper flag or is that disbelief in Russell?
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna play Russell, but they're gonna use
flag to you know, take some minutes off of him,
which was interesting watching him. You know, I think that
teams probably would try to blitz him and the you know,
there's a regular season gets here. There wasn't a lot
of that going on the preseason games that I but
Flag is a guy who Jason Kidd believes can play
one through five size and versatility. He has it ad
Derek Lively. Like I say, there's a lot of defense there,
there's some decent offense as well. The other side. Castle
is so much more of a two guard than a point.
I think that between he and Vassell, Devin Vassell, they
may have a more difficulty. And they have Dylan Harper too.
To me, Dylan Harper handler of all right, he might
be the best.
Speaker 1: He looks like his daddy.
Speaker 2: That was a good ballplayer. So they've got they've got
answers too. But it's not the Aaron Fox like you
mentioned for sure. I'm with you. There's a ton of
Rimp protection in this game, and I don't know that
there's a lot of up and down track meet style play.
I don't think Jason Kidd wants that for forty eight minutes.
I think they'll do it in spurts. I'm not so
sure this Spurs want it with the current lineup without Fox.
I think with Deer and Fox can comes back, there'll
be a lot quicker teams. So maybe under two twenty
four and a half is a solid.
Speaker 1: Look all right, I like it. I like it. I
am on it. Actually all right, Sons and Kings. Oh man,
I'm gonna have some fun with this one on Maybe
I'll take it easy. It's the first game of the season.
But five twenty five, five twenty six opened up Phoenix
minus one and a half. Now see Phoenix minus four
four and a half. I don't know many times we're
gonna see that this season. Total open two twenty eight
and a half looks like two twenty nine. Who is
available here? Let's see. So we have Grayson Allen probable,
Jalen Green not available here for Sacramento, the bonus out,
Keegan Murray out, Isaac Jones out. So that's some key
players mission here for both sides. Yeah, this is I
mean Veno. This is very very simple for me. I
don't think I've ever had a team on the hell
no list before the season starts. But if there was
a team, it's one thousand gonna be the Sacramento Kings.
I mean, we've seen this. How many times have we?
Is this the Chicago Bulls or the Sacramento Kings, Like
we've seen enough of xactly. Levine and Demarta Rosen this
is not gonna work. You look at the rest of
the roster. I mean, when you're gonna be banking on
and you know, the banking on Westbrook to come here
and play some minutes as well. I mean, this is
a disaster. If I see Westbrook, Levine, and DeRozan on
the floor at the same time, I'm gonna lie. But
the other side for that that quarter, like, I just
don't think that's good basketball being played. I have zero
belief in the Sacramento Kings. I don't necessarily love the Suns,
but I think they'll be better than Sacramento. So Aleen
Phoenix here, how you see it?
Speaker 2: A couple of things to add to where you were
going with that. Can you imagine and I haven't kind
of in parentheses here, Zach Levine, DeMar DeRozan, and Malik
Monk all on the floor at the same time. They're
going to be grabbing the ball out of each other's
hands to shoot shots. It's just not and Dennis Shrewder
running the whole show. It's just not something that would
appear to be cohesive or fluid. These guys are playing
together well. I guess Levin and DeRozan have played together
in a different uniform, but you get what I'm saying.
In this starting five, I think the injuries for Sacramento
is what pushes me towards Phoenix. They're so small that
Damar is going to have to play power forward tonight.
They're going to squeeze all those guys into the starting lineup.
All their size is basically gone when you don't have
some bonus. When you don't have Keegan Murray that's your
starting center and power forward, and then you don't have
your backup power forward, Isaac Jones. All that's left here
from what I see on the roster is Drew you
Banks probably the starter tonight, Dario Sarich that's not good
enough to play the Dylan Brooks, Ryan Dunn, and Mark Williams.
Mark Williams will protect the rim for sure. Those four
guys ski in the Phoenix lineup. And again this is
another head coach and in fact ownership which during the
offseason preached toughness, gotta be more physical, So they bring
in these guys. Grayson Allen, we know he'll kick you
for sure. Dylan Brooks will fight you. Ryan Dunn was
proved to be a really good defensive player, Mark Williams
is a rim protector, so they've got size and physicality
that Sacramento doesn't have. I would have to lean Phoenix
in its debut game here. I don't like laying four
with Phoenix, that's for sure. But yeah, I can't see
Betton Sacramento. Let's put it that way.
Speaker 1: No way you cover, says Hell. I know before the
season starts as crazy.
Speaker 2: I mean you Fox and Sabonis get back right, No
excuse me to.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean shout out to my guard. I missed
his comment earlier. I meant to bring it up. He said,
what up? Boys? NBA is back? Then he says, with
the injury, bullshit, we were talking about it, Ronald Ryan,
I'm curious why the bottom of coke is a flex?
Is it because it's good? I mean, I just happened
to like Coca Cola, and I think the glass coke
is the best one. That's all, all right? Drew Ski says,
where's the defense for the Suns? I trust Mark Williams
to protect the paint more than Drew you Banks, I
trust Ryan Done. I trust Dylan Brooks to play defense
more than Zactlyn Demarto Rosen. I mean, yeah, we're talking
about Drew Ski. What were talking about bro?
Speaker 2: And we just listed them all four.
Speaker 1: Hopefully I don't slander this. I'm gonna just say TM
just because I'm unsure how to pronounce the first name.
I think I know, but I don't want to mess
it up. TM says, make sure you guys are pressing
the like button and sharing the live. I appreciate it.
Definitely does help out the show and let's you know,
maybe less some people at what you're talking. No, you know,
this show is all right. It doesn't need to be cut.
It's all okay, you know, so I appreciate it if
you guys can do that. Gary says, always Coca Cola,
Absolutely all right. We finally made it to the last
game on the slate, Rob. You know, I thought we
never would, but somehow we're here. Five twenty eight Minnesota
and Portland opened up minus three for Minnesota. Looks like
current number is four or four and a half tot
to open to eighteen and a half and it looks
like two twenty one and a half right now, let
me refresh. Anthony Edwards was listed as questionable, still listed
as questionable for the Blazers. We know there's no Lillard.
There's also no Scoop and then time Lord looks like
he's out. Man, he's how many How long is he
gonna last in the league. He's always hurt, all right, Rob?
You know so, I've been kind of torn on this game.
I'm a big Drew Holiday fan in general. When Drew
Holliday went to the Bucks, I was very I said,
the Bucks can win, They're gonna win. I put a
ticket on the Bucks to win. I go to the
Celtics take over there and when he's just a winning player,
everything about him, everything he does. Portland is not expected
to win a whole lot of games, but Drew Holliday
should make them better cleaning. I like him to protect
the paint, you know, good shot, locker, big guy. I
kind of I don't know. I'm not gonna say they're
the same, but in that regard, I'm looking at clinging
and go Bear the same. I think there's going to
be some pain protection in this game. I think that
the Timberwolves have proved to us that they're a really
good defensive team. Drew Holliday should help make the Portland's
defense better. I want to buck the line move from
two eighteen and a half to twenty one and a half.
I think it's more of an undergame.
Speaker 2: And.
Speaker 1: If I have to say anything about the side, I
would probably trust. I would probably play Portland for a
first quarter here, and you know, if ethnic everas out,
that's amazing. But it's just like what I like the
starting lineup for this Portland team. I don't know how
much I like everybody else. So that's how I'm seeing
this game, either under or Portland early currently. How do
you see it, Robio, Well.
Speaker 2: I couldn't bet it under until I know if Anthony
Edwards is going to play or not. If he's in
the game, it makes it hard because Minnesota's got the
ability to explode offensively. What I do like and what
I played a lot last year, and I continually say
that I don't play a lot of props. But Donovan
Klingon was a guy ski when Robert Williams was out
of the lineup, which he is tonight. Donovan Klington was
a guy who used to lean on for his for
his points plus rebounds or for just his rebounds because
he he can. You know, he's the only guy really
that can get those for that team, and even against Gobert.
I think his rebounds here are in play, perhaps his points.
Love what you said about Drew Holliday. I think everybody
knows we're not going out on a limb telling people
that he's, you know, an all star type defender. And
you know, when you look at the scoring available on Portland,
it just looks like a lower scoring team, especially against
this defense. So two twenty one to me, he seems
really high. The only reason I couldn't get there yet
is because I don't know the status of Edwards. If
he plays, it probably changes the whole complexion of everything.
He's that good. We know he's that good, so I
laid off for now, but we'll see what the injury
report gives us a couple hours from that.
Speaker 1: All Right, it sounds like a plan. U Kapper says,
this is a fishy line on the side. I mean, yeah,
maybe not so fishy as if Anthony Edwards doesn't play,
it might make a little bit of sense there. We
shall see over jam Rock kicks absolutely over on injury
report updates. G Q Hustler asking for help on the
total in the Cleveland, New York game. It's the first
game we talked about so let's scroll back to the
beginning of the show and you get your answer there.
All right, you know, that's all the games for today.
I think we did ahead of a job we talked about.
I didn't count. It's either eleven or twelve games, it
felt like, and we did it in fifty one minutes,
So good job by us. All right, before we move
the best bets, we can do a little bit of
some kind of promo here. What do we want to
toss on the screen today? Robo for one, let me
ask you, do you know, off the top of your head,
if the Opening Week thing is still going yes, okay,
so we'll put that up.
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 1: If you guys want to rock with Robino and myself,
you can get involved with the NBA. Opening Week comes
out to ten dollars a day. Yeah, you get every
play we release, and I'm not gonna lie. I'm I'm
looking to probably load up by by two pm. I'm
probably gonna have a very very large card today. But yeah,
a good way to get involved with both of us.
This one. I'm gonna shout out more for Robino just
because he absolutely killed the NFL last last week seventy
and one. He did, and you can get all those
releases Saturdays Monday for just forty nine dollars. Everything on
the in football, and if you wanted to be involved
with myself, I do have a top play for Thursday
night on Top Plays are seven and four this season,
and I'm looking at a couple more, a couple more
this weekend. You know I think that is good? No,
one more, one more? How about this? I never put
this up. Let's see if we can do a little
something with this. If you're a person who wants to
do something more long term, you can put up all right,
I'm sorry. You can take advantage of the one year past.
You'll get five hundred bucks off and it comes out
to just one hundred and twenty five dollars a month.
It's every sport, every single play. And not only do
you get that, you get a twenty five percent bonus coupon.
So if you want to rock with Robno for a year,
you can do that, get that bonuskeupon you want to
come check ski out, you know that will work out too.
And yeah, for a guy like myself, I told you
already my uh my top players in the NFL or winning,
you're such my teasers are undefeated this season. WNBA will
be included in that past two seasons ended in profit.
There you'll get NBA et cetera, et cetera, and rob
If you haven't noticed, he knows everything and does everything,
so you can get Robino too. All right, Veno, if
there's anything else you would like to add or promote,
feel free. If you have a best bet for the show,
we'd love to hear it. And if you do not,
it's all good.
Speaker 2: Just the last promo you put up there, Ski, just
looking at the numbers, that's four dollars a day for
a year. It's kind of they've done a great job
at discounting that year long package. So again, like Ski said,
for those of you who are in it for the
duration and you do this every single day, the way
we do could be the way to go. Let's go
to best bets real quick here, and I'm gonna go
to the Washington Milwaukee game. Ski. We talked about it
and when I looked at the side, I was like,
you know, lay ten with Glenn. No way, We're not
going to lay ten with Glenn. But what we could
do is bet on that team to score points tonight
and I think they will. I think they get to
one twenty plus. The matchup screams points for Milwaukee against
the poor defense of Washington. So give me that for tonight.
Best bet Milwaukee team total full game over one eighteen
and a half.
Speaker 1: I like that. That makes a lot of sense to
me and for myself. Let's see, let's let's pick and choose.
I am gonna go with. I want to give you
guys a number. You can get the same thing that
I took, so that that makes it easy actually because
total line has already moved, so we'll go best bet
Dallas and San Antonio. You can still get two twenty
four and a half to the under. You know, like
I said, you're missing some point guard play from both sides.
We know how good of defensive team as were last year.
There are a lot of pain protection, a lot of bigs,
a lot of length. They're going to be really good
on defense again this year. And I mean you got
the clear defensive player of the year as long as
he plays enough games holding down the paint for the
San Antonio Spurs. So I think that under two twenty
four and a half is a solid pick for the
best bet on the show. You know, it's been great
breaking down these games with you, talking them out with
you helps my process tremendously. I'm sure it helps out
everybody else as well. Everybody in the chat, we appreciate
you too. Great cappers, great people, and you know how
we do here, man, We're all just trying to help
each other win, so I'm always going to let you
know you appreciate it. To everybody who is maybe not
in the YouTube chat, whether you're on Twitch, x kick,
we appreciate you all as well, Apple, Spotify, we appreciate
everybody for tuning in and watching, and we'll do our
best to have a really profitable NBA season on this show.
So best luck everybody on your action in this HU
Munkeys slate. We'll be back again tomorrow to talk the
two NBA games and Thursday night foot. We will see
you all then