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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

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betting shows, where we talk to talk and walk the

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walk to Big Tuesday, another loaded show to grow your

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bank roll. Jesse Show is gonna join us. I lost

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a bet to Jesse. He's gonna give us two football

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teams to fade this week, and we're gonna break down Grizzlies, Nicks,

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Brian Power, asking a lot of Brian Warriors, Thunder Kentucky

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Louisville and college basketball and the Spain game where we

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are gracious enough to send over Marcus Mariota versus two

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and that should be an incredible breakdown. Carmide's gonna jump

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on short notices, is gonna go over the TNT doubleheader,

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Leaf Bruins, Ducks Abs. Let's get it started with our

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theme of the day. And here's where I need help

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from the chat comment section. And I'm gonna ask our

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guests if we if they have any opinions on this.

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What is a movie that is not very good but

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that you love to watch? So I there's a reason

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for this. I'll tell you at the end of the show.

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Speaker 2: What is a move?

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Speaker 1: It is not very good? You know, it's not very good?

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And yet you love watching it. I have a ton

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of them, but I settled on Tango and Cash. To me,

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the movie's awful, it's it's terrible, and yet anytime it's on,

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I just I can't stop watching it. So my Tango

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in Cash and there's a reason for this. So I'm

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gonna keep notes on all of these, so let me

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know in the in the comments and the chat section.

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All right, let's bring on Jesse. Jesse. Congratulations, I mean,

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first off, congratulations you, and I mean you and you

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crushed over the in college football over the weekend. So

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first off, congratulations sweep. Am I correct on that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I put out six videos on all platforms last week

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and they all came in. We even got Hawaii as

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a seven point home dog winning out right. I was

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a little bit disappointed that Penn State couldn't win out right,

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but we got the cover a six and Ozero sweep

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is always nice, so it felt good.

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Speaker 1: Well, well, I'm glad Penn State didn't win out right,

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being the IU fan that I am. So let's start

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with college football. You have two teams that you're fade

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and you're going to the same part of the country here,

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Virginia West Virginia. Let's start with Virginia. Why are we

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fading Virginia this week?

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Speaker 3: Well, a lot of the Sharps were against Virginia last week.

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They were playing Wake Forest. Everybody says Virginia is a fraud.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 3: I wasn't quite as enthusiastic about that take heading into

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the wake Forest game, because who the hell's Wake Forest anyways,

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you know, And sure enough, Virginia loses that game. But

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would they have lost that game if Chandler Morris didn't

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get hurt in the first half. He got hit by

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not one but two Wake defenders as he was sliding.

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Both of them probably should have been tossed. I haven't

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heard an update on Chandler Morris, the UVA quarterback. Yet

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he may play, he may not. This line to me

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looks like it's sort of middled. I think it goes

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up and over seven if he's out, and it comes

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down to five and a half five if he's announced

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to be playing. But yeah, we have an eight and

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two Virginia team against a five and four Duke team.

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But strength of schedule, as our producer Dan was mentioning,

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is always key, and according to Sagarin, Virginia's played the

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sixty first strength of schedule while Duke has played the

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thirty ninth, and offensively, these teams just don't match up.

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Duke has the number one pass offense in the ACC

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three hundred and thirteen passing yards per game. Darien Mensa

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probably the best quarterback in the ACC, and without Morris,

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Virginia's got no hope of keeping up. Even with Morris,

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if you look at the last four games, this offense

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has averaged fewer than twenty points against the likes of

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Washington State, North Carolina, cal and Wake. Duke doesn't have

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much of a defense, but certainly a step up in

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class here. And speaking of Chandler Morris, whether he plays

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or not, let's look at his home away splits. He's

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completing sixty nine percent of his passes at home, sixty

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four percent on the road. He's got nine touchdowns at home,

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three on the road, three picks at home, two on

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the road, averaging eight point five yards per attempt at

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home and six yards per attempt on the road. This

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is a tough spot for a Virginia team that's inflated

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based on the record against poor teams. We're gonna take

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Duke Baby minus six.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Well, the bet was that.

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Speaker 2: The Ohio gross.

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Speaker 1: This is so gross, all right. So the bet was

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if I didn't cover, then I had to wear a

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shirt and a hat from somebody else. And my next

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door neighbor is one of the biggest Ohio State f

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on the planet. But I will say I didn't even

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think about that. But yeah, it does look like that.

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I didn't even think about that. Yeah, it's not bad.

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It's not bad. It's just listen, it's fun that I

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can actually talk to my Ohio State friends about football. Now,

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that's just it's a big win for me here. So

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I'm very happy about this.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Let's uh, let's move to West Virginia here, Jesse, Why

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why are we fading West Virginia.

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Speaker 3: West Virginia simply just isn't a very good team, and

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either coming off back to back wins, feel good wins.

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Sure they looked well, they didn't look that good against Colorado.

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I gotta say I did bet on West Virginia last

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week at home against Colorado. They let the Buffaloes hang

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around in that game with their freshman quarterback. Their defense

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didn't impress me. Now they're on the road at Arizona State,

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I don't I really don't know what West virgin has

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to play for. I mean, technically, you look at they're

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sitting on four wins, they got two games left, they

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could become Bowl eligible.

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Speaker 2: But the only way.

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Speaker 3: You can roll with that theory is if you believe

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that they they believe they can go into Texas Tech

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and win in their final game of the season. And

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I don't think that's happening. Nobody's beaten Texas Tech in

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the Big Twelve anymore. That ship has sailed. But if

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you look at the Big Twelve standings, aside from Texas Tech,

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you got BYU and Cincinnati both at five and one,

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and then you've got three teams with two losses. That's Houston, Utah,

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and Arizona State. It's not over for Arizona State. Dillingham

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said this in his recent press conference. There's still a

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path and it would be so appropriate in this conference

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with all the chaos in the Big Twelve. For example,

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the two teams that are sitting ahead of them in

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the standings, BYU and Cincinnati, they play each other next week.

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They both have challenging games on this week's schedule. These

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teams are probably going to lose a game or two before.

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Speaker 2: The season's done.

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Speaker 3: And you look at Arizona's State's schedule, They've got winnable

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games against West Virginia, Colorado, and Arizona. Now, they do

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have a pretty poor quarterback in Jeff Simms, who really

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struggled at Nebraska. He was flat out brutal. He's not

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very great at throwing the ball. He is a senior,

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though he has experience. In his last start at Iowa State,

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he threw for two hundred and twenty eight sorry, he

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ran for two hundred and twenty eight yards two touchdowns

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on twenty nine carries. I would expect him to be

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running the ball here again. On West Virginia, I just

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think West Virginia one of the worst defenses in the

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Big Twelve. On the road, coming off back to back

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feel good wins, it's time for a letdown. I'll take

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Arizona State minus eleven and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right. I can't disagree with any of those, So

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I don't think you and I are going head ahead

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this week. But we do this interesting NBA matchup between

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the Grizzlies and the Knicks that you're gonna break down

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for us I get this John Morant thing is absolutely bizarre,

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Like he clearly does want to be here. You have

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Kevin Durant talking to John Moranth's dad, say, you know

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you want to be here past the weekend, but you

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know they played a night. John is playing, He's shooting

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the ball a lot, He's not making a whole lot

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of them. But how do you break down the Grizzlies

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in the Knicks tonight?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, John Morant eleven points on three of eighteen shooting

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against Oklahoma City. He clearly doesn't give a rats ass.

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No way I could have Memphis here just getting single digits.

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If I was taking the side, it would have to

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be the Knicks or pass total sits at two thirty

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one and a half. Grizzlies probably aren't intending to play

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much defense. Knicks are six and zero at home, They're

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on a four game winning streak. I gotta look to

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the player prompt market, and I got a look to

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my man, Josh Hart. I gave a Josh Hart in

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a player prop a couple weeks back. Didn't work out well.

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His first four games of the season. He was absolutely brutal.

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He wasn't getting a lot of playing time, he wasn't

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very productive. However, over his last four games, thirteen point

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eight points per game, seven point eight rebounds per game.

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I'm looking at over fifteen and a half points and

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rebounds for Josh Hart. Now I mentioned the last four games.

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If you look at his home away splits. All four

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of those games were home games, by the way, but

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just look at his home away splits and the difference

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is stark just road to home. Nine rebounds per game

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at home so far this season. You got the center

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Mitch Robinson listed as questionable. He hasn't been able to

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play twenty minutes in his last three games. He's been

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banged up, playing low minutes, which opens up more time

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for Josh Hart. There's only four teams in the NBA

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that allow more fantasy points to power forwards than Memphis.

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The Grizzlies or allowing opposing power forwards to average twenty

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four and a half points and eleven rebounds per game. Now,

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Josh Hart's not the biggest guy, maybe a borderline power forward,

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but that's the position the Knicks like to use him

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out and he is capable of pulling in those rebounds.

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The home away splits don't lie the numbers a little low,

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so Josh Hart over fifteen and a half points in rebounds.

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Speaker 1: All right, I love the breakdown. And before before we

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went live, I told you, guys, you need a movie

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that is it's not very good and you love watching it.

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And you said, oh that's easy.

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Speaker 4: Oh yeah.

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Speaker 3: It popped in my head immediately. I didn't have to

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think about it. It's a B movie, a B comedy

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made twenty years ago or something. It's Idiocracy with Luke Wilson.

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It was meant to be a comedy, but now when

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you watch it, it's like a documentary. It's like predicting

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the future. It's so goddamn accurate. Particularly have you seen

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the Have you seen the movie?

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Speaker 1: No, I have it.

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Speaker 3: This is absolutely must do. Idiocracy with Luke Wilson. Load

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that one up. It will blow it will it's life changing,

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it will blow your mind. Oh it's an absolute metaphor

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for what has happened to the planet over the last

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twenty years.

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Speaker 1: All right, idiocrity it is going to become Oh man, okay,

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idiocracy has gone all list. We got a lot of

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good ones. Yes, love the Ohio State. About time you

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represent someone. This is my buddy who gave me next

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year Halloween, you wear that that checkered suit code that

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he wears and dress up as Ryan Dave for Halloween.

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I think you could pull it off. I could pull

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it off. I could pull it off. Be careful, man,

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I own your shirt and hat now for the next hour,

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so there's no telling what condition it's going to come

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back to you in Jesse. Congratulations on the sweep. What

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do you have up for everybody? It's five dollars Tuesday.

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Speaker 3: So I got a five dollars play in the NHL

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that I really like, a really interesting scheduling spot for

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the hockey. And I'm seven and one with my last

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eight college football. My five percent play last week was Kentucky.

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They won thirty eight to six or something over Florida

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as an underdog. I've got a five percent play up

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for next week. Already, five straight winning Saturdays. You want

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to grab that weekend warrior package and get all those

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college football and NFL on Sunday. That's definitely the best

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bang for your buck.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible, man, Five winning saturdays in a row, incredible

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street Jesse. It's really really good. So Jesse Schule take

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advantage of five dollars Tuesday. Thank you very much for

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the breakdown, and thank you very much for solving my

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Halloween costume for next year. This is going to be

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don't forget to watch that movie and Idiocracy. Yes, absolutely,

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Jesse Schule, everybody, thank you very much. We got some

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incredible movie submissions. We got Tangoing Cash, The Longest Yard, Commando,

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Tropic Thunder, Black Dog, Pineapple Express, How High, Super Bad Life.

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This one's this was Cheech and show Up in Smoke. Uh, Earnest,

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Scared stupid. I didn't see an Earnest movie being submitted, Idiocracy,

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Hot Tub, Time Machine, and Shooter. So the theme is

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a movie that's not very good, but you can't rob.

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You don't think Point Breank is point Point Break is

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very good. I think the movie is incredible. Ah wow,

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shots fired a Point brank man. All right, let's bring

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on Brian Power. Let's see if he has a movie

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that is not very good but he loves Brian. Do

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you have one?

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Speaker 4: I guess you don't get to be I guess you

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don't get to be president today. Andy, right then, yeah,

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Point Brank was good back in the day. I don't know,

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it's been a long time.

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Speaker 2: I saw.

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Speaker 4: I don't get into that remix. All those remakes stink,

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but the original I enjoyed. Back there, I see somebody

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drop Commando in the Yeah, that one. So I would

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say this, if you don't want to watch the whole movie,

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just watch the opening scene, which is Arnold schwartzeg'er just

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inexplicably carrying a tree back home. And then there's this

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horrible forced interplay with him and his daughter in the

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movie where he picks up the newspaper and starts talking

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current events. It's a ridiculous opening three minutes to the movie.

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Always makes me good. You watching it after I'm gotten

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here with you, Edy, I ain't going on now make

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me laugh every time.

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Speaker 1: See that's what we're talking about here. So all right, Brian,

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we're gonna break down.

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Speaker 2: Boy.

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Speaker 1: You get NFL, you get college basketball, you get NBA.

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Let's start to a marquee game of the night in

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the NBA Warriors versus Thunder. Looks like for the most part,

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teams are very playing. Everybody. Dort is gonna be out

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for the Thunder. He's still dealing with that injury. But

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pretty good game here, Warriors and Thunder. The Thunder just

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keep on rolling unintended here, just this Thunder roll tonight.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, what else can you say about? Okay,

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see and either ten one outscoring opponents by a league

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best thirteen point six points per game. Each of the

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last five wins have been by double digits. Let's note, however, Okay, obviously,

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the NBA is a game of runs. Often. The Thunder

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did trail Memphis by eleven at halftime on Sunday, but

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SGA led a big second half rally finished with a

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team high thirty five. Golden State also had Monday off.

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They two were coming off the doublegit win beat the

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Pacers one, fourteen to eighty three, and they did so

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andy despite shooting only twenty seven point three percent from three.

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Of course, Indiana, they were shorthanded going into that game

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as well. I don't need to tell you it's been

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a really poor start to the season for the Pacers,

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which was largely anticipated. The good news for the Warriors tonight,

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gang is Steph Curry expected to return. He's missed the

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last three games due to illness. You would think his

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presence alone would bump up the three point shooting. But

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here's the bad news for Golden State not only are

295
00:15:50,039 --> 00:15:51,919
you facing the thunder, you're doing so on the road.

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Warriors just one in five on the highway so far.

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Okay see. Meanwhile has when each of its four home games.

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I realize, okay, see, they don't have Dort, they don't

299
00:15:59,039 --> 00:16:01,600
have Wiggins, and of course Jane Williams is yet to

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play this season. However, it just has not mattered.

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Speaker 2: Andy.

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Speaker 4: I would lay it here. These are not your older brothers, Warriors.

303
00:16:07,679 --> 00:16:09,960
I'm looking at the best splits. You know, Golden State's

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00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:13,600
getting a lot of. It's this numbers holding steady. Oklahoma

305
00:16:13,679 --> 00:16:16,200
City is just simply a much better team. It would take,

306
00:16:16,879 --> 00:16:19,720
you know, a bad night from three or a lot

307
00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,799
of turnovers, or just something unforeseen. It's just very hard

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00:16:22,799 --> 00:16:26,759
to make a case not to play OKAC at the

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00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:28,360
current number.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is just a freight train. I don't want

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to get in the way of I actually I actually

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had the nerve to come on camera and say they

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might struggle out of the gate.

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Speaker 4: My god, yeah yeah, I mean, well, look, I mean

315
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it's in the modern NBA. You'd expect that, right. Teams

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00:16:41,879 --> 00:16:43,799
of sleepwalk a lot. I mean, the regular This is

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this one sport where the regular season. You know, it

318
00:16:46,159 --> 00:16:49,480
doesn't matter a ton, but they're not for blood and

319
00:16:49,519 --> 00:16:51,960
the West is tough this year, so you know, they

320
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:54,120
can't relax too much if they want the top sea.

321
00:16:54,159 --> 00:16:57,720
There's a lot of obviously, Denver's very good, Houston's very good.

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San Antonio much better than expected, so you know, Okay, see,

323
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they can't take too many nights off if they want

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to stay in that number one position.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agreed that West is just my gosh, those

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00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:10,559
teams got to be like, God, could one of us

327
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:12,680
go over there in the East, please, just one of

328
00:17:12,759 --> 00:17:13,839
us go over in the East?

329
00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:14,200
Speaker 2: Please?

330
00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:16,720
Speaker 4: Two thousand and three all over again?

331
00:17:16,839 --> 00:17:17,400
Speaker 2: Please? Can we?

332
00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:23,279
Speaker 1: Yes, it really is. Let's move to college basketball. I

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00:17:23,319 --> 00:17:24,799
think it's a tough part of the year. But we've

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00:17:24,839 --> 00:17:26,359
had a lot of people say, hey, if you follow

335
00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:29,160
these teams, you have all the advantage because the bulls

336
00:17:29,279 --> 00:17:32,319
have no clue about these teams. So talk to us

337
00:17:32,319 --> 00:17:35,160
about Kentucky and Louisville. What do you know about these

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two teams? What's the roster makeup, and how we breaking

339
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down this game tonight.

340
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Speaker 4: Well, first things first, if you want to know more

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00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:42,759
about college basketball, guys, there's a great place to go

342
00:17:42,839 --> 00:17:45,960
Full Court Press ten Am Eastern Live here on the

343
00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:50,319
wayge Talk YouTube channel, myself, Adam Trigger and Robo every

344
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Monday through Friday again ten Am Eastern breaking down the

345
00:17:53,279 --> 00:17:55,839
entire college sate. We go an hour. We take your questions.

346
00:17:56,279 --> 00:17:58,680
Obviously we talk all the big games, but any games

347
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:00,839
you guys want to get I see with familiar names

348
00:18:00,839 --> 00:18:05,039
in the chat right here that joined us today, always appreciated.

349
00:18:05,039 --> 00:18:07,640
Thanks for tuning in, so that's where you'll get your

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00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:10,079
big college basketball fix each and every day. We did

351
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obviously lead by talking about this Kentucky Louisville game and

352
00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:16,759
the story here Andy, before I even get into the breakdown.

353
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:18,839
If you guys don't have the odds screen up right now,

354
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the big story is the line movement. Betters love Louisville here.

355
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They've moved from three and a half to six and

356
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a half. They love the over which has moved from

357
00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:28,119
one sixty six and a half to one seventy four.

358
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:31,799
There have been crazy moves on these early season college

359
00:18:31,799 --> 00:18:35,119
basketball totals, Andy, and more often than not, the moves

360
00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,480
are right. There was a game on opening night we

361
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,480
were marveling at on Full Court Press. Ohio State took

362
00:18:40,519 --> 00:18:43,519
on IU Indy the total move by ten points and

363
00:18:43,559 --> 00:18:46,240
it still went over by a million. It was a

364
00:18:46,279 --> 00:18:48,960
game where there's there were NBA games that featured less

365
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:51,799
scoring than that one on that particular night. But I'll

366
00:18:51,799 --> 00:18:53,640
share my thoughts on the line movement just a minute.

367
00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:54,440
Speaker 2: But just here.

368
00:18:54,519 --> 00:18:57,400
Speaker 4: Here's how the matchup looks. First time since twenty nineteen

369
00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,200
that both these teams come into the matchup ranked. It's

370
00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,240
a triple revenge spot for Louisville playing at home. Kentucky

371
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:06,480
has won eight of the previous ten meetings overall. Of course,

372
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:09,880
more pertinent for our discussion here, Wildcats seven to two

373
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,119
to one against the spread in those last ten meetings

374
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,799
last year failed to cover UK did They only won

375
00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:19,920
ninety three eighty five as ten point chock shot the

376
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,160
lights out Kentucky did last year fifty eight percent overall,

377
00:19:23,319 --> 00:19:25,759
fifty two percent for three Lamont Butler didn't miss a

378
00:19:25,759 --> 00:19:28,680
single field goal attempt, finished with thirty three in case

379
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:31,480
you forgot, of course, that was in Lexington. Though Tonight

380
00:19:31,839 --> 00:19:34,079
games at the KFC Young Center in Louisville. It's gonna

381
00:19:34,079 --> 00:19:36,519
be the first true road game for Kentucky. Wildcats have

382
00:19:36,519 --> 00:19:39,359
smashed each of their first two games, seventy seven to

383
00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:41,680
fifty one over Nichols one a seven to fifty nine

384
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:45,119
over Valpo. Hard to learn much, obviously, any from a

385
00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:47,200
couple games where we have a thirty point favorite, winning

386
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:51,240
easily both times. Basically, Kentucky did what you'd expect. This

387
00:19:51,279 --> 00:19:53,160
is a team that scored one hundred or more six

388
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,759
times last season. No Trent Noah against Valpo is worth

389
00:19:56,799 --> 00:19:59,079
noting he tweaked his ankle in the opener. I don't

390
00:19:59,079 --> 00:20:01,839
have an update whether Knowa's going to play tonight, but

391
00:20:02,039 --> 00:20:05,160
considering the Wildcats have seven guys averaging in double figures

392
00:20:05,519 --> 00:20:07,519
so far, if no A were to be out again,

393
00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:10,119
I'm not sure it's a huge deal that should affect

394
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:13,279
the handicap too much. Now Louisville, similar to Kentucky, has

395
00:20:13,279 --> 00:20:15,119
had an easy time in their first two games. They

396
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:19,160
have shot seventy two percent from two point range so far. Now,

397
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,319
that was against South Carolina State and Jackson State teams

398
00:20:22,319 --> 00:20:24,240
they were able to put up triple digits against. This

399
00:20:24,319 --> 00:20:27,440
is the first time in the last five seasons Louisville

400
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,200
has started too and out. Hadley missed the last game

401
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:33,880
for Louisville. He was in concussion protocol. Check his status.

402
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:36,079
Make sure to do that. He was the lone returning

403
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,640
starter from last year's team, but prior back from an

404
00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:42,799
ACL injury for Louisville, he missed most of last year.

405
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,519
Head coach Pat Kelsey said this about prior he will

406
00:20:46,599 --> 00:20:50,640
quote take us to a whole other level this season. Overall,

407
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,880
I like this Louisville team, andy is. The market seems

408
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:55,960
to agree obviously, as I mentioned the opening and what's

409
00:20:56,000 --> 00:21:01,759
interesting here higher ranked team Kentucky taking points, Yet the

410
00:21:01,759 --> 00:21:06,839
line is moving in Louisville's direction, I assumed, and maybe

411
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,640
still do that. Can the public is going to be

412
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:11,759
on Kentucky here. They are number one in the Ken

413
00:21:11,799 --> 00:21:15,240
Palm rankings. For what that's worth. I wanted to come

414
00:21:15,279 --> 00:21:19,599
on here tell everyone to back Louisville, but this line movement,

415
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:20,160
I don't know.

416
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:21,400
Speaker 1: Man, Now you're.

417
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:23,839
Speaker 4: Talking they have to win by two possessions. So my

418
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:28,160
official lean here alternate way to play Louisville team total

419
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:31,599
over ninety and a half. To beat Kentucky, you need

420
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:33,240
to put up a big point total. I talked about

421
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,839
this as a team that scored triple digits six times

422
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:39,440
last season, so I think if Louisville. If you like

423
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,160
the Louisville side, going over ninety and a half would

424
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:43,079
be the way to go.

425
00:21:43,559 --> 00:21:43,799
Speaker 2: Now.

426
00:21:46,039 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what's interesting. We've been talking about line moves,

427
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:52,000
and boy, they sometimes they just tell you everything you

428
00:21:52,039 --> 00:21:54,720
need to know. You don't even need to do the research.

429
00:21:54,799 --> 00:21:57,200
It's like there's other people doing the research for you

430
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:58,960
and they just let you know in those line moves.

431
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,480
So I'm I'm sure the books, if they see those

432
00:22:01,519 --> 00:22:03,440
line moves, they know they got the number wrong because

433
00:22:03,519 --> 00:22:05,200
you know, it only takes a few people to realize

434
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:05,960
that numbers off.

435
00:22:06,799 --> 00:22:09,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, I and you know, uh, we talked. I talked

436
00:22:09,759 --> 00:22:13,200
about this with Joe Vernari, my good friend Jovernary for

437
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,799
that matter, on the best betting show ever yesterday we

438
00:22:15,799 --> 00:22:18,680
talked about the tech in college football, that Texas Tech

439
00:22:18,759 --> 00:22:22,880
BYU game on Saturday, where I just couldn't believe that

440
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:24,559
Texas Tech went off as a thirteen and a half

441
00:22:24,559 --> 00:22:27,279
point favorite. But to your point, Andy, the books were

442
00:22:27,319 --> 00:22:29,039
telling you all you needed to know there that an

443
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,559
undefeated BYU team was about to get smashed in Lubbock,

444
00:22:31,559 --> 00:22:32,880
and that is precisely what happened.

445
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 1: Let's move to the NFL before what.

446
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 4: I know, it's very like unprofessional. I apologize any of those,

447
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:43,680
but I'm looking at the chance somebody like referred to

448
00:22:43,759 --> 00:22:46,119
Glen Gary Glenn Ross as a guilty player. That's just

449
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,920
a phenomenal movie. And that's not like a bad movie.

450
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 2: You get that.

451
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:55,119
Speaker 4: That's a phenomenal film. Imagine not loving Glenn Gary Glenn Ross.

452
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,640
That's a fit if you have If anyone out there

453
00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:01,359
in TV land hasn't seen Glenn Gary Glenn Ross, change

454
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,559
that afternoon, that is a phenomenal film.

455
00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:07,680
Speaker 1: I gotta tell you. Cocktail is just absolutely fantastic. That

456
00:23:07,799 --> 00:23:10,720
is a great call. That's that's the epitome of a

457
00:23:10,759 --> 00:23:13,880
bad movie that I will watch every single minute of

458
00:23:14,279 --> 00:23:17,359
over and over and over again. So uh, one thing

459
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,480
I will not watch over and over and over again

460
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:24,680
is The Commanders and Dolphins over in Spain. This got

461
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,079
added to the list of games that that you're gonna

462
00:23:28,079 --> 00:23:30,680
break down. Unfortunately Chris forgot to put it in slack.

463
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,440
You have to do it in Spanish, just you know,

464
00:23:32,519 --> 00:23:34,960
for the theme. So so the floor is yours. No,

465
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:38,599
I'm just kidding you don't, but I did. I will

466
00:23:38,599 --> 00:23:44,680
say this este juego a pasta. Oh very good, Thank

467
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,559
you very much. That Google tells me that that is

468
00:23:47,599 --> 00:23:50,960
Spanish for this game stinks. Yeah, Miami at minus two

469
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,880
and a half and the over under forty seven and

470
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:57,359
a half. My gosh, uh, how do you break this

471
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:57,920
game down?

472
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:00,920
Speaker 4: Well, no oblo spen all, but I did come prepared

473
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:04,519
by la legua mug Barcelona. Here we're drinking out of now.

474
00:24:04,559 --> 00:24:07,160
This game takes the place and their rival Real Madrid.

475
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:09,519
Carvine's coming on after me too. He's got to appreciate

476
00:24:09,519 --> 00:24:13,400
the mug. But this one's at the San Diego Bernabow.

477
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,880
Let's start Andy by discussing. Look, it is an ugly matchup.

478
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:18,960
We all understand that we need to start by discussing

479
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:24,640
the Commander's wolful defense. Last week, before Jared Goff got

480
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,400
pulled with just under seven minutes to go, the Commanders

481
00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:29,599
were letting Detroit gain eight point eight yards per play.

482
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:33,799
That is just an atrocious number at the professional level.

483
00:24:33,799 --> 00:24:35,759
It ended up being the Commander's fourth straight loss by

484
00:24:35,759 --> 00:24:38,799
twenty one or more points, fifth straight loss overall. Interestingly,

485
00:24:38,839 --> 00:24:40,599
it's also there it was their second time losing by

486
00:24:40,599 --> 00:24:43,559
the exact score of forty four to twenty two, so

487
00:24:44,079 --> 00:24:46,559
It's kind of an odd score to lose. To lose

488
00:24:46,559 --> 00:24:48,680
by twice in a four week span, this is a

489
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,960
pretty big fall from grace for a Commander's team that

490
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,160
was in the NFC Championship Game last January. Of course,

491
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,599
we all understand Jane Daniels has been hurt much of

492
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,119
this season, Marcus Mariota hasn't been great, But it is

493
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:02,039
the defense Andy that is killing the Commanders right now.

494
00:25:02,079 --> 00:25:05,000
Twenty eighth in points allowed, thirtieth in yards allowed. Head

495
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,839
coach Dan Quinn is set to take over play calling

496
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,319
duties now on that side of the ball. He's so disgusted.

497
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,480
Pain is out the defensive tackle because he punched on

498
00:25:13,599 --> 00:25:16,480
on Rossling Brown last week. But again, I mean, you

499
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:18,920
look at this defense, how poorly they've been playing. I mean,

500
00:25:19,079 --> 00:25:20,640
if you lose a guy isn't really that big of

501
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,720
a deal considering what they've done. So there's just not

502
00:25:23,799 --> 00:25:26,319
a ton of positives to speak on the Washington side. Meanwhile,

503
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,759
Miami coming off their best performance of the season and

504
00:25:29,759 --> 00:25:31,599
one of the biggest upsets we've seen so far this

505
00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:35,039
NFL season, beating Buffalo thirty to thirteen. There really was

506
00:25:35,079 --> 00:25:38,519
not anything phony about it. Dolphins defense held the Bills

507
00:25:38,559 --> 00:25:41,880
to basically half of its season average in rush yards. Now,

508
00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:45,279
three Bills turnovers did help, guys, I understand that, especially

509
00:25:45,279 --> 00:25:48,240
considering all three of those turnovers I believe occurred on

510
00:25:48,279 --> 00:25:51,480
the Miami side of the field. Also worth noting, Miami

511
00:25:51,519 --> 00:25:53,279
did go into that game with a couple extra days

512
00:25:53,279 --> 00:25:56,400
to prepare. They'd played Thursday. Of course, the previous week, Buffalo,

513
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:58,680
I think you could argue, was in a clear letdown

514
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:03,480
spot coming off the big win over Kansas City. I

515
00:26:03,559 --> 00:26:07,240
regret to inform all of you, however, after speaking so

516
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:11,000
ill of Washington that I am showing value on that here,

517
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:13,720
I don't really I want to come on and tell

518
00:26:13,759 --> 00:26:15,400
you guys to put your hard earned money on the

519
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:19,400
Commanders playing an eleventh consecutive week, Not to mention overseas,

520
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:21,279
this team desperately needs to get to the buy that

521
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:23,559
will happen for them next week. But I simply cannot

522
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,160
and will not back the Miami Dolphins as a favorite,

523
00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:29,799
Andy Lag this is a team that's been favored previously

524
00:26:29,799 --> 00:26:34,319
three times they've lost outright place at plus three. I

525
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:38,000
would have to strongly consider Washington here. As bad as

526
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:43,720
they have been the lion stays below two. Maybe throw

527
00:26:43,799 --> 00:26:46,559
Washington at a teaser, but Washington is it would be

528
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:50,599
Washington or Pass is disgusting as that is, And I

529
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:51,880
apologize to everything.

530
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,359
Speaker 1: Listen, you were as signed of the game. You did

531
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:57,160
not pick the game.

532
00:26:58,000 --> 00:26:59,799
Speaker 4: Look, I mean I have power ratings and they just

533
00:26:59,799 --> 00:27:02,319
say the Miami Dolphins can't be favorite. I understand, you know.

534
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,079
Sometimes Look, you can't be prisoners of the moment. Okay,

535
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,279
your eye test will tell you that Washington is Orlin.

536
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,880
I'll be honesty. It's not good right now. But my

537
00:27:11,079 --> 00:27:13,839
I mean, this is a Miami team. Andy, I don't

538
00:27:13,839 --> 00:27:15,759
need to tell you. I mean, people basically go in

539
00:27:15,799 --> 00:27:18,359
every week. Is this Mike McDaniel's last game in charge?

540
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:24,160
Speaker 1: It's Oh, what a world? What a world we live in?

541
00:27:25,559 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 4: Colin in the chat, I don't disagree with that. Redskins

542
00:27:28,279 --> 00:27:30,839
the Texans as the second leg of a possible teaser

543
00:27:31,519 --> 00:27:32,640
with the commanders there.

544
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:37,359
Speaker 1: Oh right, Brian, it's five dollars Tuesday. What do you

545
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:38,319
have up for everybody?

546
00:27:39,079 --> 00:27:40,559
Speaker 4: I don't have it up yet, but it will be

547
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,839
up within twenty minutes after I'm done here. So if

548
00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:44,759
you catch this on the replay, it will be up,

549
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,599
apologize and be very busy morning for me, Andy, and

550
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:51,559
I'm dusting myself off. Unfortunately, guys, I didn't want to

551
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:53,599
neglect this. I wanted to mention it. I'm sure someone's

552
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:55,279
jump to the chat and brought it up already. Tough

553
00:27:55,319 --> 00:27:58,119
five percent loss last night on Green Bay. I know

554
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:01,319
Dan Alexander will be messaging me after the game after this.

555
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:01,920
Speaker 2: Mocking me.

556
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:04,839
Speaker 4: But look, if you would have told me beforehand that we.

557
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:12,839
Speaker 2: Great great pick, Buddy Well died, yeah, fade the team

558
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,279
that's now six and all off the by ten and

559
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:20,440
er against the NFC North, the floor is yours, Brian out.

560
00:28:20,319 --> 00:28:22,599
Speaker 4: Gaining their first seven games. This team's more like two

561
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:23,640
years ago than last year.

562
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:27,400
Speaker 2: Dad. Yeah, but they don't have Sewn beside their defensive coordinator.

563
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:29,640
They have a future Hall of Famer and Vit Fangio

564
00:28:29,839 --> 00:28:30,359
to be fair.

565
00:28:30,599 --> 00:28:34,279
Speaker 4: Oh oh like note of that. Moving forward, I think

566
00:28:34,279 --> 00:28:35,920
this Eagles team is a fraud Handy.

567
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:36,880
Speaker 2: I don't care what Dan.

568
00:28:36,799 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 4: Says, but Green Bay. Look, if you would have told

569
00:28:38,759 --> 00:28:40,599
me that they were we were going to hold Field

570
00:28:40,599 --> 00:28:43,279
Alfhia ten points before the game, I would have said, well,

571
00:28:43,319 --> 00:28:44,960
I don't need to watch this. We're gonna win. But

572
00:28:45,759 --> 00:28:50,160
what a hideous, hideous offensive performance that was, Matt Lafleur.

573
00:28:50,279 --> 00:28:53,519
What what are you doing? What a conservative game plan? Anyway,

574
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:55,880
we're gonna have a five dollars play, that's what you

575
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,240
asked me about, Andy, I apologize. Five dollars play is

576
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:00,519
gonna be in college football where we're on a seven

577
00:29:00,519 --> 00:29:03,559
and two run. We did cash our best bet on

578
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,519
Saturday with Nebraska against UCLA. I didn't care that Dylan

579
00:29:06,559 --> 00:29:08,720
Ryol was out. I thought Nebraska being an underdog at

580
00:29:08,799 --> 00:29:13,559
UCLA was really just ridiculous. So we took Nebraska. They

581
00:29:13,599 --> 00:29:17,440
covered wire to wire and it is maction. I know

582
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:19,079
the MAC well, Andy I am. I don't know if

583
00:29:19,079 --> 00:29:20,599
you know this. I am one of the more famous

584
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:24,319
Mid American Conference graduates in the United States of America today,

585
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:26,599
so I know the conference well. As a matter of fact,

586
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:29,799
five dollars Tuesday last week had I had my alma

587
00:29:29,839 --> 00:29:32,880
mater ou against Miami. So let's see if we can

588
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:36,720
do it again. Here WT Dot Buzz Slash beatp.

589
00:29:37,839 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 1: Brian Power bringing the heat. Thank you so much, Brian,

590
00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:44,319
great work, great breakdowns. As always Brian Power, you can

591
00:29:44,319 --> 00:29:47,319
find him over at wager Talk It is five dollars Tuesday,

592
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:49,759
try out as many handicappers as you went. Each handy

593
00:29:50,039 --> 00:29:53,519
capper can put up a play for five dollars. I'm

594
00:29:53,559 --> 00:29:56,079
going right back to my bread and butter. I have

595
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:58,240
an NBA prop that is up for five dollars and

596
00:29:58,359 --> 00:30:01,079
an NHL prop that is up or five dollars. Coming

597
00:30:01,119 --> 00:30:04,519
off of slightly profitable night last night went four and three.

598
00:30:04,759 --> 00:30:06,920
But again we keep telling you, props is where it's at.

599
00:30:07,079 --> 00:30:10,559
That's what I do, It's what I specialize in. Nice

600
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,359
night in the NBA. So we're looking to cash again.

601
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,640
I got to play that I absolutely love, So go

602
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:18,119
grab that again. Try out as many handicapper as you want.

603
00:30:18,119 --> 00:30:20,200
Bet responsibly. We don't want too much of your bank

604
00:30:20,279 --> 00:30:22,640
roll on these plays. But there's plays in just about

605
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:23,559
every sport up there.

606
00:30:23,599 --> 00:30:23,839
Speaker 2: Guys.

607
00:30:23,839 --> 00:30:26,839
Speaker 1: You got college basketball, you got college football, you got NFL,

608
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:31,119
you got plays on sports that are going tonight in NBA, NHL,

609
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:33,160
So grab as many as you want. Try a new handicapper,

610
00:30:33,279 --> 00:30:36,400
try your favorite handy capper. But great time to load

611
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:38,799
up on some plays. So NBA best bets up for me,

612
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:42,759
NHL best bet as well. Yanni is not here, so

613
00:30:43,039 --> 00:30:44,480
a couple of people ask, hey, can you do a

614
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,720
little steam report when he's gone. Yes, I do not

615
00:30:46,839 --> 00:30:49,920
see too much going on. I see a little bit

616
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:54,079
of movement in the Ohio Western Michigan college football game today.

617
00:30:54,359 --> 00:30:57,759
Ohio opened is the favorite. Western Michigan now the favorite.

618
00:30:57,960 --> 00:30:59,799
Akron has moved from five and a half in the opening.

619
00:30:59,839 --> 00:31:02,079
Now there's sevens popping up. So if you want to

620
00:31:02,119 --> 00:31:05,200
bet on Akron, I would go ahead and do that asap.

621
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:09,799
And in college basketball, I don't see anything in the

622
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,480
NBA except for Toronto's taking money. They're playing Brooklyn, so

623
00:31:13,599 --> 00:31:16,039
it does make sense the brook And team's really bad.

624
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:20,839
There was a big movement in an over under. Yes,

625
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,599
the under in Memphis New York open two thirty five.

626
00:31:24,039 --> 00:31:26,160
I see two thirty and a halfs popping up, So

627
00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,720
that's a four and a half point line movement. And

628
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:32,519
then big move in college basketball tonight Michigan against wake Forest,

629
00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:34,759
Michigan opened up minus eleven and a half. They have

630
00:31:34,839 --> 00:31:38,039
pounded that thing up to sixteen. So we've been talking

631
00:31:38,039 --> 00:31:41,640
about these line moves, and these line moves, like Brian said,

632
00:31:41,839 --> 00:31:43,960
there's been a couple that have been really really good

633
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,839
sources of information so keep an eye on these line moves.

634
00:31:46,839 --> 00:31:48,720
You can get them over at odds Logic. There's a

635
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,359
free version over on wager talk dot com. Really really

636
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:53,599
important to keep track of some of these lines. I

637
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,839
will be keeping track of these UFC lines as well.

638
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:58,920
Let's bring in Carmine. We're gonna break down a couple

639
00:31:59,119 --> 00:32:01,799
NFL games. Then I'll break down Pacers Jazz and we'll

640
00:32:01,799 --> 00:32:05,119
go all around the world. But bringing Karm Karm, thank

641
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:06,920
you for stepping up on short notice.

642
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 2: Not a problem.

643
00:32:08,319 --> 00:32:10,759
Speaker 1: Have a movie. Do you have a movie that's not

644
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,359
very good? Ye watching?

645
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 5: Normally I would say Gotti with John Travolta, but I

646
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,400
gotta tell you I want I was bored once and

647
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:24,200
during the afternoon and I'm like looking at the movies,

648
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:25,839
I'm like, oh, John Henry, and I thought it was

649
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:30,039
the horse racing version of John Henry The Horse until

650
00:32:30,039 --> 00:32:32,720
like about ten minutes in and it's Terry Crews and Ludacris,

651
00:32:32,839 --> 00:32:35,559
which I have nothing to do with horse racing whatsoever.

652
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:43,200
It was just the worst movie, uh you could watch, So, yeah,

653
00:32:43,519 --> 00:32:46,920
not very good. It's yeah, it's about like a normal

654
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:49,559
guy who has like a violent past, kind of like uh,

655
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:51,759
our producer Dan Alexander.

656
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:57,319
Speaker 1: Right, yes, it sounds like Dan a violent pass. Well,

657
00:32:57,400 --> 00:33:01,160
let's let's break down a couple of these games tonight.

658
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,240
We got the Leafs, Bruins, Ducks and Avs. You know,

659
00:33:04,279 --> 00:33:07,119
the Leaves probably better than just about anybody. So talk

660
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:09,279
to us about these two teams and what you think

661
00:33:09,319 --> 00:33:10,079
is gonna happen tonight.

662
00:33:11,319 --> 00:33:14,079
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, this one's one we look at it is.

663
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,240
It's a rapid revenge spot for the Leafs. These two

664
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:21,519
just played in Toronto. The Leaves played flat in that one,

665
00:33:21,759 --> 00:33:24,920
the Bruins. The Leaves played soft in that one. The

666
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,400
Bruins winning that game five to three. You know, the

667
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:31,000
expected goals were exactly eight point zero. And I think

668
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:35,720
expected goals can give you a look into the future

669
00:33:35,759 --> 00:33:38,799
of how teams are playing, how they played in the past,

670
00:33:38,799 --> 00:33:41,880
and how they might score in the future. It's something

671
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:43,960
I used last night for the Rangers game in the

672
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:47,160
over and that finished with nine goals in that one.

673
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:51,319
But you've got the Leaves here, and the Bruins are

674
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,480
on a great run at home, six straight wins, and

675
00:33:53,559 --> 00:33:56,000
yet they're an underdog at home plus one fifteen because

676
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:58,559
people are thinking the same thing. The Leafs are going

677
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:02,119
to win on the road in a revenge spot. But

678
00:34:02,279 --> 00:34:03,960
I think you got to look at this another way.

679
00:34:04,039 --> 00:34:07,000
The Leafs right now, they've only played four road games,

680
00:34:07,039 --> 00:34:09,760
They've lost three of those four games. They're not a

681
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:11,840
team I want to be playing right now, just because

682
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:15,880
it just seems they lack the leadership role right now.

683
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:18,000
What you can look at is the total here, it

684
00:34:18,079 --> 00:34:20,239
sits at six and a half. The Leafs are fourteen

685
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,920
and two this season to the over. If you're not

686
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:25,039
making money betting the Leafs overs, I don't know what

687
00:34:25,119 --> 00:34:27,800
you're doing. What you're missing four to zero on the

688
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:31,199
road leaf overs with an average of eight point twenty

689
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:33,960
five goals scored per game. And then if you wonder

690
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,239
about the Bruins, Bruins are having a pretty good season.

691
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:39,519
They're overachieving right now, and you can look at their

692
00:34:39,559 --> 00:34:42,239
team total. The Bruins on the season, their team totals

693
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:45,079
normally around two and a half goals per game. They

694
00:34:45,079 --> 00:34:47,519
are twelve and five, but in even better eight and

695
00:34:47,639 --> 00:34:51,800
two to their team total at home, and as I

696
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,039
mentioned it, those are normally two and a half's for

697
00:34:54,119 --> 00:34:56,920
the Bruins, who are a high scoring team but are

698
00:34:56,960 --> 00:35:00,480
finding the back of the net. It's stol Arts tonight

699
00:35:00,559 --> 00:35:02,800
and swim In. I think both goalies are confirmed, and

700
00:35:03,199 --> 00:35:05,679
swam In was pulled for the very first time in

701
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:10,800
his Leaf's career against the Bruins. So the leafs averaging

702
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:12,719
three and a half goals on the road. I think

703
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:14,639
the over is the player over six and a half.

704
00:35:16,599 --> 00:35:18,679
Speaker 1: Nice. I know the store's prop, but to go over

705
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:20,760
his saves has been a pretty good one this year.

706
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:23,119
Might look at might look at that one. I don't know.

707
00:35:23,159 --> 00:35:25,639
I have to research how much Boston gets the shots

708
00:35:25,639 --> 00:35:30,440
to the net. Here Ducks and the Avs, what do

709
00:35:30,519 --> 00:35:32,679
we have? I don't even know what's going on with

710
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:35,519
the Ducks. I think I haven't watched one second of

711
00:35:35,559 --> 00:35:37,239
a Ducks game. If I have, it's because I was

712
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:38,440
watching the other team.

713
00:35:39,519 --> 00:35:42,920
Speaker 5: They Yeah, I know, and it's kind of like what

714
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,199
I'm going to be doing tonight, watching the game, but

715
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:48,239
because I'm watching the other team, and I'll get to

716
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,079
that free playing a second. But this who would have

717
00:35:51,119 --> 00:35:54,000
thought that at this point of the season, you know,

718
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:58,840
sixteen seventeen games into the season, that the Ducks and

719
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:01,199
the Avs would be playing for first place in the

720
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:04,400
Western Conference. Now you might have thought the Abs, yes,

721
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:08,320
but the Ducks were not on my Bengal card. They're

722
00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:10,840
having a very good season thus far. I think they've

723
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,679
won nine of the last ten ten games. Obviously, the

724
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:18,559
coaching change to Joel Quinville, and then I think the

725
00:36:18,599 --> 00:36:23,559
offseason moving getting Trevor Zegris out of that organization. I

726
00:36:23,599 --> 00:36:26,760
think he was a negative to them. I think the

727
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:31,280
guy wasn't very well liked in Anaheim. He just a

728
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,440
little arrogant, and it's a different attitude with his Ducks

729
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:37,000
team a lot of speed, they're very exciting to play.

730
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:41,199
But when I look at this game, I always try

731
00:36:41,199 --> 00:36:43,760
and find a market within a game in which I

732
00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:46,599
think is betable because the Avs are a little too

733
00:36:46,639 --> 00:36:50,320
high for me, and I'm not so certain that Anaheim

734
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:53,800
can go into Colorado and beat them. The Abs are

735
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:57,159
like seven to one their last eight games, last eight meetings.

736
00:36:57,159 --> 00:36:58,679
But this is a different Ducks team. But if you

737
00:36:58,679 --> 00:37:03,119
look at first periods last season, Colorado was the third

738
00:37:03,159 --> 00:37:06,800
worst team in the NHL minus twenty point three to

739
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:10,760
three units in the first period. They just started slow.

740
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:12,920
It was something that they needed to change, and they've

741
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:16,599
changed it this year. Seven three and six and profitable

742
00:37:16,639 --> 00:37:20,000
to the first period, not the over the first period.

743
00:37:21,159 --> 00:37:25,039
And the Ducks in nine away games they have never

744
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,679
they have They have yet to hold the lead. After

745
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:33,159
twenty minutes they are two and seven. I'm taking the

746
00:37:33,199 --> 00:37:35,719
Avs here, but I'm laying the puck the half of

747
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:38,599
puck and taking the plus one twenty so Avs to

748
00:37:38,639 --> 00:37:40,280
get off to a good start here. This is a

749
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:43,280
team that is fresh off a nine to one win

750
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:45,760
in Edmonton and then a five to four OT win

751
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:48,400
in Vancouver in a spot where they could have very

752
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:49,599
well balanced but didn't.

753
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:55,079
Speaker 1: It's a great look. Johnny Detroit is joining us, says

754
00:37:55,159 --> 00:37:57,119
Travolta is either a stut or bust. This is a

755
00:37:57,119 --> 00:38:00,039
guy that's done Saturday Night Fever in pulp fiction, and

756
00:38:00,119 --> 00:38:02,679
he also did Gotti and Batti Battlefield Earth.

757
00:38:03,679 --> 00:38:09,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, gaudy. He he just didn't prepare portray Gatty correctly

758
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:10,960
as far as I'm concerned, Like you know what I mean,

759
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:12,920
Like he made him look like a gangster. You know,

760
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:16,239
he's just an Italian immigrant trying to sell his olive oil,

761
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:19,960
fruit and delly meats, and they put a negative spin

762
00:38:20,039 --> 00:38:23,599
on him, made him look like a gangster. So uh,

763
00:38:23,639 --> 00:38:25,719
I don't know what it is with picking on Italians.

764
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:29,559
Speaker 1: Somebody clip that and put that out on social media.

765
00:38:29,639 --> 00:38:31,039
That's a great take for me.

766
00:38:32,199 --> 00:38:35,559
Speaker 5: Do not tag John, Do not tag John Travolta in

767
00:38:35,639 --> 00:38:36,079
that one.

768
00:38:36,119 --> 00:38:41,280
Speaker 1: Please no, no, all right, Carbage, five dollars Tuesday, tell

769
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:42,199
her of what you have up.

770
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:47,599
Speaker 5: Yeah, a five dollars play as in the NHL. If

771
00:38:47,599 --> 00:38:50,239
you pick up that play, you'll get a coupon code

772
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,840
for I have a five percent NHL play that's going tonight,

773
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:57,880
back to back five percent NHL winners and coming off

774
00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:02,599
a pretty rocking chair winner on Sunday Night Football with

775
00:39:02,719 --> 00:39:04,920
the Led Chargers, so five percents are running.

776
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:06,159
Speaker 1: Well, you can.

777
00:39:06,039 --> 00:39:08,159
Speaker 5: Get that over at wager Talk on my page. So

778
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:10,039
you pick up the fight Dollar play and you will

779
00:39:10,119 --> 00:39:14,519
get a ten dollars off coupon for the five percent

780
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:15,480
NHL play.

781
00:39:16,639 --> 00:39:17,800
Speaker 1: That's pretty much it for me.

782
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:22,000
Speaker 5: I'm gearing up for World Cup qualifying on Thursday and

783
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,119
a huge slate of NHL this week as well too.

784
00:39:26,639 --> 00:39:30,320
Speaker 1: Carme and Bianco always jumping in last second to help

785
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,239
us out. Really appreciate you. Thank you so much. Good

786
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:35,639
luck on that five dollars and yeah, yeah we got

787
00:39:35,679 --> 00:39:38,159
World Cup qualifying coming up guys. So there's money to

788
00:39:38,199 --> 00:39:40,440
be made in that. So all right, Dan, We're gonna

789
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:42,079
do all around the world and then I'll break down

790
00:39:42,119 --> 00:39:44,159
Pacers jazz. But do you what's your movie? Do you

791
00:39:44,199 --> 00:39:46,199
have a do you have a movie that?

792
00:39:46,639 --> 00:39:50,639
Speaker 2: I mean the entire Adam Sandler catalogs, specifically some of

793
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:53,480
the some of the newer films like Dude, I'll tell

794
00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:56,840
you what wow you throw on grown Ups? Grown Ups

795
00:39:56,840 --> 00:40:00,679
two is you're trending into unwatchable character but grown Ups

796
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:05,840
one where it's literally just them riffing, it's it's it's unbeatable.

797
00:40:06,199 --> 00:40:09,159
So seeah, I would argue, I mean, none of these

798
00:40:09,199 --> 00:40:14,079
movies are Oscar winning Gold, but the entire Adam Sandler catalog. Man,

799
00:40:14,519 --> 00:40:17,000
throw those movies on, turn your brain off and just

800
00:40:17,159 --> 00:40:20,480
enjoy and just enjoy the other ones, the other ones

801
00:40:20,519 --> 00:40:23,280
where you saw like Pineapple Express, like those stoner comedies

802
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:25,400
are amazing. I don't know if you ever saw This

803
00:40:25,599 --> 00:40:28,199
is the End where all of them are hanging out

804
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:30,159
at James Franco's house and then the end of the

805
00:40:30,159 --> 00:40:33,360
world happens so bad that it's good. I've never laughed

806
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:35,559
so hard in a theater and then when I saw

807
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:39,119
this is the End, super Bad is just an incredible film.

808
00:40:39,639 --> 00:40:43,800
Super Bad I don't think qualifies here. This the end

809
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:44,320
is great.

810
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is the End is great because it's terrible

811
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:49,719
and you just you're laughing and you're like, why am

812
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:50,239
I laughing?

813
00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 2: This is And that's why I like grown ups too,

814
00:40:52,599 --> 00:40:55,400
because when it's just like seems like there's no script

815
00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:58,639
and people are riffing. I love that stuff and like

816
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:01,960
you can tell that people actually are enjoying what they're doing.

817
00:41:02,039 --> 00:41:05,480
So yeah, bad movies that are good and sometimes are

818
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:08,480
better than good movies that are that are pretentious, like

819
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,280
like you know, like Oscar Gold. Sometimes I would throw

820
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:12,599
on a bad movie that's just good.

821
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,239
Speaker 1: Sharknado is a good one. So Dan, here's why, here's

822
00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:20,360
why I came up with this, tam. Something that's bad

823
00:41:21,039 --> 00:41:25,039
that I love watching is your Eagles. I love watching

824
00:41:25,679 --> 00:41:27,639
I love watching your Eagles.

825
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:32,920
Speaker 2: That's fun. It's just like, well I didn't know, I

826
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:34,639
didn't know. That's where it was well done.

827
00:41:35,559 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 1: They are the Philadelphia Tango and cash is because I

828
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:42,599
just I can't, I cannot take my eyes off of

829
00:41:42,639 --> 00:41:45,679
your team, and it's like, how are they winning Jalen

830
00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:48,559
Hurts can't hit an out route in his life depended

831
00:41:48,639 --> 00:41:52,280
on it. Sequel, Barclay is running at half speed, and

832
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:57,360
yet here they are. They're running the most bizarre strategy.

833
00:41:57,400 --> 00:41:59,920
On fourth down at the end, the Packers haven't moved

834
00:41:59,920 --> 00:42:01,440
the ball at all. All you have to do is

835
00:42:02,039 --> 00:42:05,519
deep in their throwing long bombs. I am here for it.

836
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:08,159
I cannot take my eyes off of your team.

837
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:11,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, having that offensive game plan with two

838
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:15,039
weeks repair is pretty crazy. I mean testament to you know,

839
00:42:15,079 --> 00:42:17,400
the Packers defense. But it had way more to do

840
00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:20,159
with decision making, I think than the Packers defense. Jalen

841
00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:23,559
Hurts with a very bad game last night, you know,

842
00:42:23,599 --> 00:42:26,559
and on that final play, Andy, was it the wrong

843
00:42:26,599 --> 00:42:29,400
decision a thousand percent. I mean, you punt that ball

844
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:33,360
with how your defense is playing. However, if Hurts throws

845
00:42:33,440 --> 00:42:36,320
that ball a little bit to the outside, or if

846
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:40,039
Aj Brown makes any effort at getting that ball, I mean,

847
00:42:40,119 --> 00:42:42,920
Aj Brown, there's a dude who's checked out. Jesus it is.

848
00:42:43,039 --> 00:42:45,039
It is AJ Brown who does not want to be there.

849
00:42:45,079 --> 00:42:48,039
It's abundantly clear. But if there was a better throw

850
00:42:48,119 --> 00:42:50,599
or a little bit of effort, everyone's talking about Oh

851
00:42:50,679 --> 00:42:53,760
my god, what a gamer. He's much like Dan Campbell.

852
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,199
He believes in his players. Like in the Post and

853
00:42:56,280 --> 00:43:00,280
Craft press conferences, aj Brown said, I wasn't surprised the

854
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:04,039
play call. That's what we do. We're aggressive. DeVante Smith

855
00:43:04,079 --> 00:43:06,119
said the same thing. He said, that's our identity as

856
00:43:06,119 --> 00:43:08,239
a team. Our coach believes in us. Offensively, if they

857
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:12,320
completed the pass, you know, people aren't as as loud.

858
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:14,480
But when when it doesn't get completed, it's the same

859
00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:16,159
thing that happened to Dan Campbell a couple of years

860
00:43:16,159 --> 00:43:18,199
ago when they fail on fourth down. What an idiot?

861
00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:21,079
What an asshole? But if they if they get the

862
00:43:21,119 --> 00:43:25,119
fourth down, it's brilliant. So wrong decision there, Andy. But

863
00:43:25,159 --> 00:43:27,480
the real thing for me with that team that makes

864
00:43:27,519 --> 00:43:28,440
them Tango.

865
00:43:28,119 --> 00:43:30,119
Speaker 4: And Cash cash is was.

866
00:43:30,119 --> 00:43:32,119
Speaker 2: There a good one in Tango and a bad one

867
00:43:32,119 --> 00:43:34,239
in Cash? I've never seen it because the Tango and

868
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:36,559
Cash is the fact that you have Vic Fangio as

869
00:43:36,559 --> 00:43:40,199
a defensive coordinator and Kevin Potulo is an offensive coordinator.

870
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:42,000
Because there's one that's going to the Hall of Fame,

871
00:43:42,159 --> 00:43:44,159
and there's one that should be calling plays for the

872
00:43:44,159 --> 00:43:48,719
local high school. And uh, that's that's abundantly clear. It's

873
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,800
always big fansy a bail on out this team.

874
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,079
Speaker 1: I mean Tango and cash. They have the like they

875
00:43:54,199 --> 00:43:56,760
set these they set the two cops up, which is

876
00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:59,280
ridiculous in itself, and then they just like get through

877
00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:02,599
a complete murder trial like a week like this. It

878
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,440
would have taken five years.

879
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,760
Speaker 2: Here's one thing, bad guy was awful. Here's one thing

880
00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:10,519
that I will say. And and I know we have

881
00:44:10,599 --> 00:44:12,559
some breakdowns coming up. We got all around the world,

882
00:44:12,679 --> 00:44:17,119
but like, Eagles are so bad but winning. Here's what

883
00:44:17,159 --> 00:44:19,760
I Here's what I don't understand is are they a

884
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:23,800
frustrating team? Sure, but I don't know how you can

885
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:27,480
say that they're bad. I mean they just held a

886
00:44:27,559 --> 00:44:30,480
team at home who scored it will against multiple other

887
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,920
teams to seven points at home. Like, we get so

888
00:44:34,079 --> 00:44:37,119
caught up in everything being fantasy and I need my

889
00:44:37,159 --> 00:44:40,400
player prop overs to hit and I need this. There's

890
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:43,679
a defense on the field as well, and the Philadelphia

891
00:44:43,679 --> 00:44:47,360
Eagles defense is arguably one of the best, if not

892
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:51,480
the best, outside of Seattle in the entire league right now.

893
00:44:51,559 --> 00:44:53,760
So there are two sides to the ball. The off

894
00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:59,599
offense is really poor and very inconsistent and seems very disjointed. However,

895
00:45:00,039 --> 00:45:03,760
there's also another unit who comes out and constantly shuts

896
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:07,360
down teams week after week after week. Real nice litmus

897
00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,280
tests coming up against the line. Sharps have already bet

898
00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:12,039
the Eagles back up to two and a half. So

899
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,079
the sharp betters don't think that the Eagles are a

900
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:17,480
bad team that just keep winning. I don't think they

901
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:18,880
would betting on them.

902
00:45:19,519 --> 00:45:22,320
Speaker 1: It's a good point. It's a good point. Last question

903
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:25,760
before we do the breakdowns. Are you concerned that Shipley

904
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:29,840
looks better than Saquon bark right now? I mean I

905
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:31,559
was concerning.

906
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:34,800
Speaker 2: I was worried about it heading into the year. Is

907
00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:38,079
it's just older running back gets all those carries, all

908
00:45:38,119 --> 00:45:41,599
that mileage. I think again, it has a lot more

909
00:45:41,639 --> 00:45:45,320
to do with the injuries upfront for the Philadelphia Eagles,

910
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:48,360
coupled with the play calling like last night, Lane Johnson

911
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:50,079
kept going in and out of the game, in and

912
00:45:50,079 --> 00:45:51,800
out of the game, and what do you do. You

913
00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:55,639
keep running inside zone concepts, which is just it's just

914
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:58,760
not what you're supposed to do, especially you have a

915
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:02,119
backup center in Landon Dickerson. Isn't one hundred percent So

916
00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:04,920
the fact that they're so fixed on being a power

917
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:08,039
running team when they're not built right now with the

918
00:46:08,079 --> 00:46:10,960
offensive line injuries to be a power running team. That's

919
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:13,880
what's more frustrating to me than Saquon Barkley looking like

920
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:17,360
he's entering the twilight of his career. But Andy on

921
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:20,079
that forty one yards that he had, he's still got

922
00:46:20,119 --> 00:46:21,920
some juice. You just have to get him into space.

923
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:25,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, he just can't. He's got like one or two

924
00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:29,719
a game instead of yeah, four or five exactly exactly.

925
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:31,719
Speaker 2: And again, I think that has to do with the

926
00:46:31,760 --> 00:46:33,960
injuries upfront and the fact that you have a revolving

927
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:38,239
door of offensive lineman. Last year they stayed healthy, they

928
00:46:38,280 --> 00:46:41,719
had great continuity. This year, it's not really They're coupled

929
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:44,000
with the fact they don't have Kellen Moore scheming up plays.

930
00:46:44,039 --> 00:46:46,639
They have Kevin Padumas making up the place.

931
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:53,320
Speaker 1: Yes, all right, the Philadelphia Tango and Cashes. It's actually

932
00:46:53,360 --> 00:46:56,519
a good name. It's pretty good, Philadelphia Tango and Cashes.

933
00:46:57,039 --> 00:47:00,039
Let's get to work on that graphic and logo. So

934
00:47:01,719 --> 00:47:04,960
let's do all around the world. Let's break down some

935
00:47:05,039 --> 00:47:07,039
free plays and shout out to our shout out to

936
00:47:07,079 --> 00:47:10,960
our good friend Titans. Titans in the chat, I lost

937
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:13,320
a bet to him. I had the bucks to cover

938
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:15,679
against the Patriots. I was wrong. So Titans, you get

939
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:18,840
a free three day pass and getting it starting on Friday.

940
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:20,760
We will get you hooked up. So put your wager

941
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:22,480
Talk user name in the comments so I can get

942
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:24,519
that set up. We got a big weekend. We got

943
00:47:24,519 --> 00:47:29,840
a five percent UFC play, We had our NFL props, NBA, NHL,

944
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:31,599
So you picked a good week to win a bet

945
00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:35,280
against me. All right, let's do these. We got some

946
00:47:35,360 --> 00:47:38,320
props here and we got a spread. Look at Isaiah

947
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:41,320
Joe over eleven and a half points against the Warriors.

948
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:43,800
He went under this total in his last game, but

949
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:46,360
he was really really good before that. He's shooting fifty

950
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:49,719
four percent from the field and over fifty percent from threes.

951
00:47:50,079 --> 00:47:51,880
Last game was his down game. I believe he was

952
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:53,960
two of ten, three of ten from the field. But

953
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,280
we're gonna come right back to him to play well.

954
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:58,960
Dort is still out, so we'll keep playing Isaiah Joe

955
00:47:59,039 --> 00:48:02,280
over his points, Blue Jackets and cracking Kent Johnson. This

956
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:04,079
guy's been great to us. Over one and a half

957
00:48:04,079 --> 00:48:06,239
shots on goal This guy's gone over in seven out

958
00:48:06,239 --> 00:48:09,440
of nine road games. He's had four shot attempts three

959
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:11,280
games in a row, and he's on the first power

960
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:13,840
play line. Absolutely love him to keep going over one

961
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:15,440
and a half shots on goal for us. This is

962
00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:17,679
kind of one of those rinse and repeat plays. Even

963
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:19,639
if it loses one should go right back to it

964
00:48:20,199 --> 00:48:22,760
and then Celtics at seventy six ers. This one comes

965
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:27,119
from the wager Talk Free picks page Celtics plus three

966
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:30,480
on the road. Boston's gotten better last three games, gone

967
00:48:30,519 --> 00:48:35,599
from sixteenth to seventh offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Philly has dropped.

968
00:48:35,599 --> 00:48:38,719
They've gone from sixth to fourteenth. So Kevin Dolan likes

969
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:42,719
the Celtics plus three tonight. That is all around the world. Now,

970
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:47,480
let's do a quick little breakdown of the Pacers and

971
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:53,199
the Jazz. Indiana Pacers faced the Utah Jazz Night. Pacers

972
00:48:53,199 --> 00:48:56,639
are actually favored here by minus two and a half

973
00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:59,639
and we got an over under that. I'm not too

974
00:48:59,639 --> 00:49:02,119
concerned because I like my Pacers tonight even though they're

975
00:49:02,159 --> 00:49:04,920
one to nine. Here's the deal, They're getting healthy. This

976
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:08,159
team that they had been playing with was a skeleton team.

977
00:49:08,599 --> 00:49:10,920
We talked about this that all the players that have

978
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:13,719
been out for the Pacers literally would be a pretty

979
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:17,280
good NBA team. You have Halliburton, you have DJ McConnell,

980
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:19,760
you have Opie Top and Nee Smith was out. But

981
00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:22,199
here's the thing. They're getting Nie Smith back, They're getting

982
00:49:22,199 --> 00:49:25,960
Siakam back. McConnell has been upgraded from out to questionable,

983
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,440
so we may see him. And this is a team,

984
00:49:28,559 --> 00:49:31,199
a front office, a coaching staff, and a group of

985
00:49:31,199 --> 00:49:35,239
players that just don't want to tank. They have openly

986
00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:37,159
talked about this. They're not coming in this to try

987
00:49:37,199 --> 00:49:38,440
and get a number one pick.

988
00:49:38,639 --> 00:49:38,760
Speaker 2: Now.

989
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:40,639
Speaker 1: They're off to a good start with their record, but

990
00:49:41,039 --> 00:49:42,800
this is a team that's gonna fight. And they're playing

991
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:44,960
a Utah Jazz team that's one and seven their last

992
00:49:45,000 --> 00:49:48,599
eight games. They've dipped to twenty fourth in defensive efficiency,

993
00:49:48,639 --> 00:49:52,559
twenty fifth in offensive efficiency, and it's yet another rebuild

994
00:49:52,599 --> 00:49:55,639
again for Utah. Here we go again. So I'm gonna

995
00:49:55,639 --> 00:49:58,280
take the Pacers and this points minus two and a half.

996
00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:00,039
I think the Pacers don't be surprised if they I

997
00:50:00,039 --> 00:50:02,079
have a lot of success against some of these other

998
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:05,599
bad teams. They're not as bad when they're healthy, and

999
00:50:05,679 --> 00:50:07,960
this Jazz team just is not very good. A couple

1000
00:50:08,039 --> 00:50:14,000
of props here. Nurkic under under half a made three.

1001
00:50:14,079 --> 00:50:16,320
This is a stat that's gonna blow your mind. He's

1002
00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:19,440
attempting just over two to three point attempts per game.

1003
00:50:20,079 --> 00:50:24,800
He's shooting twelve percent from threes. Like, why are they?

1004
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:26,760
Why do they keep letting him shoot? The man's shooting

1005
00:50:26,760 --> 00:50:30,519
twelve percent of his three pointers and he's taking multiple

1006
00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:34,239
per game. So take him to not have a three pointer.

1007
00:50:35,199 --> 00:50:37,840
Nie Smith over four and a half rebounds, you're getting

1008
00:50:37,840 --> 00:50:40,280
this a plus one money. He only had one last

1009
00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:43,000
game against Denver. Dev's a great rebounding team, and he

1010
00:50:43,039 --> 00:50:45,840
played lower minutes in that one. He's back fresh from injury.

1011
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:49,239
Before that game he had seven, seven and six. UTAH

1012
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:52,480
is twenty fourth allowing rebounds to small forwards. So we're

1013
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,559
looking at Nurkic to not make a three, and we're

1014
00:50:54,599 --> 00:50:56,760
looking at Nie Smith over four and a half rebounds

1015
00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,280
as your props for this game. Once again, five dollars

1016
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:02,039
play is up in the NBA. We're off to an

1017
00:51:02,079 --> 00:51:05,760
absolutely fantastic start in NBA and we are up fourteen

1018
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:08,440
units in props just in the month of November. You

1019
00:51:08,440 --> 00:51:10,679
can get that over at wager talk dot com or

1020
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:13,760
use a shortcut wt dot buzz slash al number one

1021
00:51:13,880 --> 00:51:16,639
in NBA props over the last two seasons. We also

1022
00:51:16,679 --> 00:51:19,199
have an NHL prop that is up for five dollars

1023
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:22,199
as well. Props is where I make my money. It's

1024
00:51:22,599 --> 00:51:24,519
how we build a bankroll. We've been talking us for

1025
00:51:24,519 --> 00:51:26,719
a long time, so partner up. Let's cash on five

1026
00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:32,119
dollars Tuesday. Great job everyone in the chat. This list

1027
00:51:32,159 --> 00:51:34,800
of movies is just fantastic. I know what I'm doing

1028
00:51:35,079 --> 00:51:36,280
for the rest of the day. I got to pick

1029
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:38,079
a couple of these and have these on in the background.

1030
00:51:38,159 --> 00:51:40,679
So great job of the chat. Leave a comment in

1031
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:43,000
the comment section if we missed one of these movies,

1032
00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:45,440
and I might get to work on this logo. So

1033
00:51:45,599 --> 00:51:48,599
all right, we're gonna be back tomorrow, same time, noon Eastern.

1034
00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:51,400
Make sure you hit the like button. A great show today.

1035
00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:53,159
If we didn't earn a like today, come on, what

1036
00:51:53,199 --> 00:51:55,159
are we doing here? All right, we'll see everyone tomorrow.

1037
00:51:55,199 --> 00:51:57,800
Good look on your five dollars Tuesday bets. Take care