Speaker 1: Welcome to Monday Night Football Props and Parlay's edition. I'm
your host, Andy Lang, being joined as always by my
fellow prop betting expert Andrew McGinnis. We're gonna break down
this incredible matchup Lions Ravens.
Speaker 2: Andrew he was saying, we got a high.
Speaker 1: Total, hopefully, hopefully the prop gods are looking down on
us and we get a bunch of exciting props here.
We're gonna break down this game and thank you guys
for watching. Go and hit that like button and as always,
leave a comment and a comment section with your best
prop tonight.
Speaker 2: Give us the Same Game parlay. Whatever you want, just
leave us a comment below.
Speaker 1: We're gonna go over passing, receiving, rushing, anytime touchdowns. We're
gonna break down a same Game parlay, and then we're
gonna do a quick look ahead. Andrew, let's just jump
right into it, man, Let's get into these passing props.
We got two quarterbacks. You know, I went and looked
at the passing numbers for these teams and it's kind
of hard to figure out defense of the Ravens because
they played the Bills.
Speaker 2: They had that insane comeback.
Speaker 1: So Josh Allen Thos for damn near four hundred yards
and they played the Browns, So it's kind of hard to, yeah,
pull our opposites here for one another. But Lamar hasn't
been throwing the ball for a ton. I don't even
think he's gotten to two hundred and thirty yards here.
We got Jared Goff, who you know, really came alive
last week. Any passing propsy like in this game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, as you mentioned, it's nice to have a high
total for us, but doesn't always mean that everyone's gonna
go off. You've got to try and find the guys
that are going to have good nights or bet the
anders on guys that are going to struggle a little
bit here. But I do think Jared Goff is the
move as far as the passing yards over. If I'm
betting Lamar Jackson, I probably just look towards completions because
he has been kind of going over the top. That's
been where the Lions have actually struggled defensively right now
with some injuries as well, we could look towards some
completion props for Lamar and some of those guys will
get into in the receiving section. But Baltimore right now
missing some key pass rushers, which should help Jared Goff
have plenty of time to find guys downfield right now
ranking top ten in passer rate, and for me, looking
at all the options that he has, it's a perfect
balance for this Lion's offense of guys you can get
over top guys, you can throw short balls too, but
then so many targets downfield. And I think that with
a lot of time, because that's one thing that Jared
Goff can struggle with is if he is facing pressure.
But due to the injuries for the Baltimore pass rushers
and the great health of this offensive line right now
for the Lions, I think if he has time to
sit in the pocket, he will go over two hundred
and sixty and a half passing guards for Jared Goff.
So if we want a good game, if we want points,
we want excitement, one.
Speaker 4: Quarterback at least has to fly over their number.
Speaker 3: Even though this is a little bit of a big
one here, two sixty, I think Jared Goff gets over there.
But you know, Andy, you mentioned about Lamar Jackson, and
you know we always don't we don't always need it
out of him and let's be honest. I think a
lot of Lamar Jackson passing props correlate a little bit
to the rushing game. Like would you say that if
you're looking sometimes at a Derrick Henry over. I know
we'll get to that in a second. But then maybe
you don't like Lamar and vice versa or my off there,
would you say it? Sometimes it can be correlated those
two guys.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you're looking for track meets, like you know,
if you think this is going to be a track
meet tonight. Yeah, rushing in passing can absolutely go over.
I'm glad you brought up Lamar on his completions. I'm
looking at some of his stats. I like the attempts
for both these guys. Jared Goff, I like him over
thirty four and a half on his attempts the game
that they lost, he had thirty nine, they had twenty
eight and the huge win. And I just if I'm
looking at what kind of game this could resemble, maybe
it's maybe it's optimist. I mean, I hope this looks
like Ravens Bills, where you know, teams are just going
up and down the field, and both these offenses can
absolutely do it, So I'm liking the attempts here. I
like Lamar Jackson over his attempts. They got him at
thirty four and a half. It's right smack dab in
the middle of where he's been the season thirty nine
against Green Bay. That was in a WAT twenty eight
against Chicago, but that was in, you know, the big win.
So if I think this game is close, I like
both these quarterbacks to really get it going and throw
the ball a lot. I think the price on Jared
Goff to throw two touchdowns is a little bit low.
Speaker 2: It's only minus one twenty two.
Speaker 1: We saw what he can do, and I know this
is a Lions team that loves around it when they
get in close. But we actually we actually saw some
some good passing from Golf. It was against the Bears defense.
Is this Ravens better than the Bears defense? I would
think we would probably say yes, But I don't know
is a raven Is this an elite Ravens pass defense?
I just don't think so. So if I'm if I'm
really looking at hey, where are these team's gonna score?
I think it's through the air. I like Laar and
Golf to throw it a lot, and I also like
these this two touchdown at minus one twenty two, I
would I would expected the golf touchdowns to be closer.
Speaker 2: To minus one fifty.
Speaker 1: So I think you're getting a pretty discounted price on
that one. Let's move to receiving Andrew. I'm sure we
both like some receiving props. If we like these quarter
to do well, what receiving props jumped off the page? Team?
Speaker 3: You know, I'm gonna go with a guy here, Andy
that based on the stats that this is one of
those player props where it's not like, hey, he's having
a crazy year, so I'm gonna go on this guy.
It's more of like a hey, this is the game.
I think he will settle in and get going. And
that's Mark Andrews over four and a half receptions. You know,
one game, a couple of targets, one game just one target.
But as I mentioned, this Detroit Lions defense is struggling
over the top. And if we're talking a little bit
about what we've seen from Lamar Jackson this season, we
haven't really seen that explosive play. We haven't seen that
deep deep ball necessarily bit at effect all the time.
There's been some plays that the ball has been dropped,
the balls hit hands, but there haven't been too many
huge deep throws. I think the way they're going to
pick apart this defense and we can still see that
high scoring game that we want if this happens, is
going to be by throwing the ball over the top,
getting to your completions and keeping things a big simple.
So I do think Mark Andrews gets involved in the game. However,
looking at the receiving yards number, you know, being in
and around average number of thirty, I think it tells
us all we have to know, with the number for
receptions being four and a half and the yards being thirty,
that he could very well just be that safety guy
and catching a handful of balls for only a couple
of yards. So with that being the case, I don't
want to do the yards. I want to just look
towards the receptions when it comes to him, I wanted
to mention I know that sometimes we talk about this
with the rushing or sometimes we'll mention this for the receiving,
but for a guy like Jamiir Gibbs, even though last
week and the game they put up so many points,
he only had ten receiving yards. He's still a guy
that I think when you're playing him you have to
look towards rushing plus receiving because you never know what
you're going to get. There's still involving him in the
receiving game, in the passing game constantly, So he could
be someone that could look towards tonight as well if
they're facing trouble and they want to just get it
out to him. It's almost like when he does get
the ball for a pass, it's like a run anyway,
it's just a short ball and then he can utilize
it like a screen pass. So would look towards his
rushing plus receiving number over But I'll say I think
that Mark Andrews play is pretty sneaky.
Speaker 1: I like, you're going sneaky, I'm going sneaky on the
same team, one of us is going to be right.
I'm going with Shad Bateman over thirty six and a half.
He's been pretty terrible. Ten yards, fifteen yards. He's just
better than this. And I went back and looked at
his game log last season. He didn't go three games
in a row under this total at all, Like he
would have two bad games and have kind of a breakout,
so he hasn't had that big long completion. I think
I have no stats to back this up, Andrew, let
me make that very clear.
Speaker 2: I have no stats to back this up.
Speaker 1: So this is purely Andy's going with his gut. But
he's just better than this, and this passing game is
better than this. I also I am surprised that Zay
Flowers receptions is five and a half. He's had seven
in each of the first two games. Nine and eleven targets.
Always love seeing the targets. I would have thought the
books would have bumped this up to six and a half.
So I loved what I saw from a Monroe Saint
Brown last week. Uh nine catches on eleven targets and
they didn't have anybody else have more than three catches.
So I know that the Ravens are probably gonna want
to try and take away a monra But man, once
he gets going, he's really really hard to, you know,
to reel in. So I would also look at the
longest reception on Jamison Williams. He had a sixty four
yarder and it's only twenty three and a half. I
would have expected this to be closer to thirty. So
I like this the longest reception by boy Andrew Man. Man,
you are rolling the dice with Mark Andrews. I haven't
liked what I've what I've seen from Mark Andrews this season.
But then in the same breath, I'm also telling you
to bet on Brashad Bateman.
Speaker 3: So hey, if we were taking the guys that were
on the five game streaks every time, it with no
point in us even being up here.
Speaker 4: You know, so you got you got us that by
look here, that's a great point.
Speaker 1: What do you have up for everyone tonight? I know
you got a Monday night football prop you also got
an NHS NHL special toe room. What you have over
at wager talking?
Speaker 3: Yeah, five percent NFL prop bet. Most of my best
bets have been in the prop betting world. Most of
the one two three percent plays have been side or
totals six and one best bet run, which means the
four percent or five percent plays. Looking forward to that
one tonight, it is a play that I think is
going to have one player, maybe not a sneaky.
Speaker 4: Player, but one player that have a huge, huge night.
Speaker 3: And when I'm looking at the NHL, anybody that knows,
me knows. NHL is my favorite sport here, my favorite
sport to bet on, and I have a great package
right now. You buy the first month of my NHL season,
you're gonna get all my preseason wagers at no extra cost.
And you know, very similar to what you see in
other sports, including the NFL, the preseason can be very profitable.
Last year, I think I came out on top six
units with it include being a five percent winner in
the preseason. So get one month and we'll throw in
that preseason for free. We've got a handful of games
today going in the end. And you know what's funny,
and I know you can appreciate this is yesterday I
tweeted about the NHL preseason a play that I liked,
and somebody replied pretty much being like I can't believe it,
Like you're gonna bet NHL preseason on NFL Sunday, And
I was like, I didn't realize there was like date specific,
you know, times to bet on certain sports, Like I
didn't know that you had to stop whatever. Like I
wonder if like Tokyo branded freezes betting on you know,
Japanese baseball when NFL comes on but I don't think
the world has to stop just because it's NFL Sunday.
Speaker 1: You're talking to somebody that cashed a couple of darts
bets last week.
Speaker 4: I like it.
Speaker 1: I have no problem.
Speaker 4: What do you have going tonight?
Speaker 1: I've won best bet. There was one that jumped off
the page. I've only had two Monday Night football bets
this season. We hit both of them, so I'm really
feeling it in primetime. So I mean, if I really
wanted to do the big taudy thing and be like,
I've not lost a Monday Night Football all this seeded
undefeated right in the street. Now, I've had two. Okay,
I had two, they were both last week. We cashed them.
You guys know me, if I put out a bet,
that means I bet it with my own money, and
you should too. So one best bet full score. I
went four and five yesterday. Andrew, No, you know, nothing
nothing horrible, nothing incredibly great. But I'm actually kind of
happy with that. That could have been a disastrous Sunday.
That props wise that that could have tripped a lot
of people up. We left off quite a few plays
that would have been losers. So hopefully we get this
one get us to five and five for the week.
But really like this play, So just one play, that's
all I need to profit.
Speaker 4: So that's how I felled Andy. I.
Speaker 3: I found this prop I liked for tonight and decided
not to release any props yesterday, and I had someone
message me and be like, hey, what's going on? How
you like some props? I was like, I like this
one on Monday so much that I'm not releasing any
So now the pressure is there for tonight now.
Speaker 4: But if this one hits, then we're all good.
Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely we could have retired off of the Daniel
Jones over two hundred and ten and a half yards
past what was that number?
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, what was that number?
Speaker 3: Uh? Oh well, I had to leave New York, man,
That's all he had to do was leave New York.
Speaker 1: There's gotta be something we have. We have to play
overs on these guys that leave New York. Whenever these
guys saquon Daniel Joes, it just feels like, all right,
if they get out of New York, you know, you
gotta you gotta like get go, you gotta play these.
Speaker 2: Guys over New Theory.
Speaker 1: So all right, let's go to rushing here one jumped
off the page. David Montgomery over nine and a half
rush attempts. Listen, we all know what David Montgomery's role
is on this team. He's at eleven in both games.
It's just like, David, you're gonna get the ball eleven
times when we get in close, You're gonna get a
few shots to score touchdowns. You're gonna be our short
yardage back. I think this game is incredibly close. I
do think the Ravens, you know, pull it out at
the end because I cannot ignore Lamar Jackson's record against
NFC teams. It's just incredible twenty four and two, I believe,
and the game's close. I don't think the Lions get
away from their script. It's gonna be Golf trying to,
you know, get with a Monroe, Saint brand Brown. It's
gonna be Jamiir Gibbs being used all over the place,
and then it's gonna be David Montgomery on a lot
of these rushing downs. So nine and a half fresh
attempts was one that I really liked. What about you,
what do you like rushing wise?
Speaker 3: I've been kind of obsessed with these props lately. So
I'm gonna keep running with and it's the under on
longest rushing attempt for Derrick Henry.
Speaker 4: This number is eighteen and a half year.
Speaker 3: This Lions team is really good against the run, which
is why we are liking some of the passing props
but against them. But for him, he's coming off a
bad game and coming off a game where the whole
world seemed upset that he didn't score a touchdown, he
didn't have that many yards, and the team still put
up a handful of points. I think it's gonna be utilized.
He's going to get his touches, going to get his carries.
But just based on what we've seen from this defense,
the Lions, they don't give up that big running play
like they'll give up some chunk yards. They'll give up,
you know, a decent play every now and then from
the opponent's team, you know, great running back if there
is an elite RB on the other side. But I
don't see Derrick Henry in this game breaking off. And
I always say this once week on the show, this
could be the time that I end up getting clipped.
And then below me, there's an eighty yard touchdown for
Derrick Henry so John Hoglin. Hopefully that doesn't happen, and
hopefully I don't get clipped right now, but under eighteen
and a half longest rush for Derrick Henry, he can
still have a great game without having an explosive run.
There one that I thought would be interesting. I wanted
to bring up to you, Andy, because I know you
like these, and I think it was Kirk Cousins that
you were capitalizing on this With Justice Hill. I saw
a funny thing. Under six and a half for him
on his rushing yards and over two and a half
run attempts.
Speaker 4: What a same game.
Speaker 3: Parlay that is the guy's getting rushing attempts and not
getting over six and a half yards.
Speaker 4: How about that?
Speaker 1: Well they raised it to ten and a half this morning,
so you're getting an even better. No, you could get
ten and a half on Draftking. So yes, that was
the infamous. That was the infamous Kirk Cousins. We same
game parlayed him over half a rush attempt and under
half a yard because he was playing a terrible team
and he knelt down.
Speaker 2: At the end.
Speaker 1: And yes, we hit that a six to one, the
Kirk Cousins special.
Speaker 2: I'll always remember that one.
Speaker 1: And yes about being clipped. Yes, there's nothing better than
when they take a clip of you saying something from
one of these shows and they put it out on
social media and then you're just one hundred wrong. It's
it's just the best feeling ever, because the good thing
is nobody, nobody, you know, bypasses a chance to put
a comment.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, nice goal, Especially when you're saying Derrick Henry
is not going to have a big run.
Speaker 4: It's like, I'm just putting it out there in the world.
Speaker 1: As he's rumbling down the field, you can just feel
the likes and coming from the comment Yeah, interesting, Derrick Henry.
Couple of games, so eighteen carries for one hundred and
sixty nine yards in a loss, eleven carries for twenty
three yards in a big win. It's like, what happened there?
You would think it completely different here. I just I
don't know what to make of Derrick Henry. But the
game against Cleveland, I mean, listen, it's obvious Cleveland has
arguably the best defense, you know, front in football. If
it's not one, it's definitely two or three. So I
don't know if we throw that one out. But I
thought it was pretty interesting that he only averaged two
point one yards per carry. So if you're gonna take
an under on Derrick Henry, I really do think just
add the rushing and receiving.
Speaker 2: You know, he had one he's had one catch.
Speaker 1: He's only had one target this season, So if you're
looking to take an under on Derrick Henry, I would
add the receiving yards. This is what we did with
Ashton Jenny. That was a play was would take the
rushing and receiving because you're getting like an next They
added like twenty yards onto it, and I don't think
he had any catches. So if you like unders, add
that receiving onto it. I believe his rushing totals eighty
six and a half. Rushing and receiving is ninety six.
So other than that, I think the Jamiir Gibbs number
is pretty solid. I don't know about you, age, I
find Jamior Gibbs incredibly difficult to try and figure out
how to bet. He's a guy. I just is he
gonna catch it? Is he gonna is this rushing? I
can't figure out what to do with that guy. I
love watching him, but betting wise, it's really really tough.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: I don't know if you've had any success with that guy.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I think that a lot of people to watch us
probably are fantasy football players, and I think that if
you have him, you better hope you're in a PPR league,
because you know, if you have him as you're running
back and then they decided to use him as a
receiver that day, and you know, he's just catching balls,
but then maybe they're not getting a lot of yards.
At least you're getting points for receptions. So sometimes, like
he said, he could be a guy that gets heavily
involved in the passing game and sometimes it's just one
catch and then the rest of the game he's a
running back. So it really depends on kind of what
they're trying to do there. Do you notice that sometimes
two of the Lions will like spread out their their
attack quite a bit, And then some games it's just
like three guys that are doing, Yeah, we're gonna give
him mon raw like fourteen targets that nobody else can
be involved, and Gibbs is gonna carry the ball twenty times.
And then some games are like, all right, let's involve
in Montgomery, let's involve this guy, like they spread things
around a lot more so it is interesting that way.
But I think with Gibbs, you just always want to
look at that rushing plus receiving. There's no point in
going any other way with him.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Other than that, I can't really find out.
Speaker 1: I mean, they have the we're calling this the Matthew
Stafford this year, Matthew Stafford.
Speaker 2: They actually put out a rushing prop yesterday on him.
Speaker 1: Half a yard. That's what they do with Jared goff here.
Speaker 4: Half that the Tom Brady, Yeah, Tom Brady.
Speaker 1: Special, absolutely, So well.
Speaker 3: What about Lamar Jackson? Like Andy had his number here.
I mean I was talking about completions, you were talking
about attempts with him, so yeah, and like you know
when I brought it to you before, I was actually
saying the opposite, where like sometimes maybe it wouldn't correlate
because if you liked the passing, you don't like the rushing.
But you were saying, well, hey, if there's gonna be points,
maybe both could do well. So you know, his number
is what forty something, I can't remember what the actual
number is right now, but I mean for him, the
good news about Lamar is that he he isn't the
guy that's gonna just run for Like, if he needs
four yards for a first down and he can run fourteen,
he'll run fourteen. Like some quarterbacks will just run out
of bounds at the first yard mark.
Speaker 4: He won't do that. So he could be someone to
look at.
Speaker 3: But again, if I'm expecting these, if I'm betting on
Mark Andrew's receptions, he'd better not be running the ball
because that's where I need Mark Andrews to get the
ball right.
Speaker 1: Yeah, again, this is a tough one because Lamar's rush.
He rushed six times for seventy yards against Buffalo and
then two times for thirteen yards against Cleveland. But again,
Cleveland looks to be this completely elite defense that everybody's
gonna struggle with. So, you know, I think his I
think his rushing attempts is a little high seven and
a half. I mean he's only had six and two,
so seven and a half seems.
Speaker 2: A little bit inflated.
Speaker 1: And then yeah, his rushing totals forty five and a half.
Now I don't have enough information to figure out what
to do this is it's just gonna be a pass
and it's it's one of those things where if you
take the under and he takes off, you're just you're terrified.
But then yeah, if you take the over and you're like,
is he running it all? Or Nope, Nope, nope, this
is gonna be He's gonna throw the ball thirty four
times tonight. So Lamar rushing. Lamar rushing used to be
like an amazing play before the.
Speaker 2: Book's caught onto it.
Speaker 1: But now the books have no problem putting like like
the years you wouldn't see a quarterback rushing total in
the forties or fifties, like that was that was crazy,
But now it's like they have to put it in there.
Speaker 3: So I've noticed what these quarterbacks like rushing props. You
want them to be losing, Like a quarterback up up
is not gonna be like, oh man, I'm up by
like two touchdowns, Like there's no way, like why would
they run the ball and risk themselves? But like quarterbacks
with that like athlete, and then they do anything to
win when they're down.
Speaker 4: So it's kind of interesting.
Speaker 3: I feel like Baltimore being down maybe could correlate to
Lamar Jackson over and if they're up, no need, no
need for him to use his legs.
Speaker 1: Let's go to any time touchdown props. Then we're gonna
build the same game parlay and look ahead two week
four the same game parlay. It is very simple. Andrew
gets to pick two legs. I get to pick two legs.
But let's start with anytime touchdown score. I mean, Derek
Henry's minus two oh five. My god, that's just crazy.
Jamiir Gibbs is minus one twenty five. I find the
prices on these anytime touchdown prices to be criminal, Like
to try and pick a guy to score a touchdown
is really hard, and then to only get like even
money on some of these guys is just like brutal.
The only guy that I the only guy I like,
is Monroe Saint Brown at plus one twenty five. He
had three last week. It looks like they really got
him going. Other than that, I mean, you're not playing
minus two ol five. That's not even a parlay leg.
It's not even not even a piece that you would
put in a parlay. Do you like any of these
anytime touchdown scores? Uh?
Speaker 3: I was gonna say, Gibbs, but I got you saying
you don't like the price.
Speaker 4: But hey, I'm.
Speaker 1: Throwing it on, say you like him to score, but
we gotta be honest. Minus won twenty five. It's just
it's unfair.
Speaker 3: One hundred percent. It's just not it's not really worth
looking at. Well, how about this the two guys that
you and I mentioned that are pretty unorthodox. I think
that you know, if you sprinkle on both those guys,
one of them gets in, you make money. And at
the end of the day, is I said this a lot,
and there's such a like I'd love to hear Yanni's
take on this. I know you get a chance to
talk to him every day, like when you look at
these props right like, And we've talked about it, like
I think you've talked about it with Jalen Hurts. We
talked about it with Christian McCaffrey in the past. We've
talked about it. I used to have this debate in
hockey with pres with Austin Matthews from the Maple Leafs.
To score a goal because there's twenty one players on
the ice and he was minus one forty To score
a goal, you have to be able to like understand
if you're willing to bet that number. But in my opinion,
it also has to do with volume. Like if you're
someone that bets ten touchdown scorers a day in the
NFL on a Sunday, I don't think personally that you
should have all of your touchdown scores being the minus
one forty guys, because you see what happened last weekend,
not this past one, but the weekend before that, when
Derek Henry didn't score. Everybody in the world was complaining.
And the thing is, you're not complaining you lost a
plus one seventy five. You're complaining because you lost like
a minus one fifty sometimes. So I think it all
just depends on what your style of betting is. Like
if you're kind of like a get in, get out, Hey,
this is my only play of the night. But if
you're throwing down six plays on one game and one
of those is the minus one p fifty down score,
I can really hurt your bank roll that way.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I just I'm not playing these anytime touchdown
plays anymore. Like Week one, you got some decent numbers
and then now they're just blown out of blown out
of proportion. So all right, angel, let's build a same
game parlay for the people. I'll let you go first.
What's leg number one?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 3: Leg number one, and you will go. And I'm not
gonna throw any wonky stuff at you this week. We're
gonna go Jared Goff two fifty plus passing yards.
Speaker 1: Two fifty plus passing yards. I love it because I
am gonna throw something walky okay at you. Each team
to score one touchdown in each half.
Speaker 4: I just I just have out of nowhere. I like that, Okay, I.
Speaker 1: Just I just have this feeling that's gonna be high
scoring and I'm not sold on the defenses of these
two teams. So yeah, each team to score at least
one touchdown in each half. So that gives us twenty
eight points right there. So that's my that's my Like,
what's your next leg?
Speaker 4: What that? Man?
Speaker 3: I'm looking forward to the odds on this one here.
I'm excited about that, all right. Who am I gonna
go with? Who am I gonna go with? You know
what I'm gonna go with? Jamison Williams fifty plus yards?
Speaker 1: Oh, I love this one. You can he can do
this in one he can do this in one catch.
This is great. I love this, all right?
Speaker 4: I think correct me if I'm wrong. We owe for two.
We got we need a hit one yeah, like.
Speaker 1: Yeah, but yeah, but we're throwing twelve to one and
twenty exactly exactly one.
Speaker 2: Of them to hit this season and we're good to go.
Speaker 1: So this one is much more doable. We're getting about
eight to one on this one. So you got you
got Jamison Williams fifty plus. I'm gonna go Zay Flowers
and have seven plus receptions he's gotten there in each game.
Speaker 2: I think this game is close.
Speaker 1: You could have to have some really nice like into
the half, into the game drives where he gobbles up
a cup. I really like eye test, man. I really
like what I'm seeing from Zay Flowers. He looks like
he's ready to enter that that next level into those
And honestly, Andrew, serious, serious question. Now, were the rest
of the season on your fantasy football team, would you
rather have Zay Flowers or Jamar Chase.
Speaker 4: Oh, Jay Flowers And that's not recncy.
Speaker 1: Isn't that terrifying to say?
Speaker 2: But I'm with you.
Speaker 1: Like Jake Browning not looking so good throwing the Jamar Chase,
I mean, Jay Flowers or Justin Jefferson. I think I
still might lean Jefferson. But it's not the slam dunk
that it was in Week one, right.
Speaker 3: A lot of it's the yards after catch too, like
Zay can turn like kind of you know something or
nothing into something and that's what you want. It cracks
me up because like anybody that had number one overall
pick in a fantasy this year with no keepers, like
I would say ninety nine people out of one hundred
were taken. Jamar Chase my girlfriend's friends. All her girlfriends
were like, all right, all of our boyfriends are into fantasy,
so we're gonna start our own league.
Speaker 4: So I helped her draft.
Speaker 3: She had number one overall pick, and I was like,
screw it, take Jamar, and he's costed her two weeks
now she's one and two.
Speaker 4: She's like, I thought you said this guy was good.
I'm like, I thought he was good too.
Speaker 1: No, he is good. It's just it turns out you
need a talented quarterback. I still have faith in Browning,
but that was not a good It was not a
good look yesterday. So all right, Andrew, one more time,
tell her what we have up. I'm gonna pull up
Week four games. We're gonna quickly go through Week four games.
Give you some quick look aheads, tell everyon what you
have about for Monday Night football.
Speaker 3: Yeah, look, guys, I learned several years ago that for me,
lower the volume the better. In the NFL, there's so
many options, easy to get excited on a Sunday morning,
but lower the volume the better. Six and one run
for me with NFL best bets, that's four percent or
five percent plays. We got a five percent play going tonight.
It is a prop that super excited and with a
game projected to be as high scoring as this one,
join me on this player prop should be a really
fun night in the NAF as quickly. NHL season is
almost here. We got about two weeks until regular season
gets here.
Speaker 4: You guys all know me from puck time.
Speaker 3: Right now, you buy one month of the NHL regular season,
we're gonna give you all my preseason plays for free.
Speaker 4: So let's try and make some money.
Speaker 3: Do some damage early on in the preseason before the
regular season even gets started. So cannot wait for that
and hopefully have a big night tonight Monday Night Football
and Andy undefeated in primetime.
Speaker 4: You're doing very well with that.
Speaker 3: We're both loving the primetime and sometimes you can just
kind of dive right in on that one game. So
you have a best bet going and I know you're
making money in multiple sports.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, we have one play that's up tonight. We're
gonna have a very busy week. We've got UFC, we've
got Contender Series, we got all kinds of sports going
on this, we got Formula one. So yeah, Monday Night Football,
only have one bet that's up for tonight. Absolutely love
it and to me, it was the best spot on
the board. So one play, just need one. We hit
both for minute football plays last night, so let's move
to three and oh on the big Monday night game.
All right, look ahead's here real quick. We're just going
to go through the games. Give a couple thoughts. Thursday
night game Seahawks and Cardinals.
Speaker 2: My initial thought.
Speaker 1: Andrew is the Seahawks defense may be really really good.
They're two and one, but that defense is looking pretty good.
Trey Benson is going to be the hot commodity this week.
I would take the under on him. I think the
books are going to put out a big number of
people are going to want to bet on him, and
I think the Seahawks defense is good.
Speaker 2: What do you think.
Speaker 3: I think as far as the Seahawks is, I want
to just keep looking towards rushing, rushing guards. I mean,
I'm not saying that they're making it easy on Sam Darnold,
but they're rush. They're running back to getting a lot
of carries. The only where he could be a little
bit to be spreading it out a little bit. But
Kenneth Walker, to me, has been a guy that's been
pretty consistent and I think the number hasn't really been
raised too much for him. So in this matchup, I
think you can do really well on the ground.
Speaker 1: That Seahawks backfield. It's just like me, just pick a guy,
like like when they're both healthy. I know it's awesome
to have both of them out there, but yeah, from
pop Batters, like, could we just stick with one?
Speaker 4: All right?
Speaker 1: Moved to the Dublin game, Vikings Steelers. These overseas games,
I just I've made it a point I'm not put
I don't bet props overseas. The turf can be weird.
I don't know what people's sleep schedules are, Like I
kind of stay away, but I'm out on Aaron Rodgers.
I know they won. I know they're two and one.
But when I watch him, it's like, oh, man, by
week six, he's just gonna look old. He can't really
move around that much. I don't think the Steelers offense
is very good, so I think the Vikings defense plays
pretty well here. I would look to unders on Aaron Rodgers.
Speaker 2: What do you think?
Speaker 4: Gotta say?
Speaker 3: Man, what a day for Carson Wentz that has to
be mentioned. I mean, geez, gotta love that. I would say,
I'm looking for you. We talked about, you know, another
kind of a little of an older quarterback with Joe
Flacco on attempts being a good one. I know that
Carson Wentz didn't necessarily need it this past week, and
I think he might a little bit more moving forward.
So maybe after that huge blowout win, it might not
be so easy next week, and I'll look towards his
attempts in this matchup against Pitt.
Speaker 1: Commanders and Falcons. Yikes. I watched that Falcons game because
I had them in Survivor. Wah wah.
Speaker 2: Penix was truly awful Andrew like it was.
Speaker 1: I was watching with karm and we were like, Pennix
is throwing it everywhere except to the wide receiver. It
was embarrassing Lee bad. I think there's no way he's
that bad. I would go back to I would go
back to him. I would also go back to Bjon.
I'm sorry Bijon over his rushing. They just even in
a game where they got shut out, he still had
over seventy yards. So I think it's a pretty good
comeback spot on him. Don't know what to do with
Commanders because we don't know what's going on with Jade Daniels.
Speaker 2: His thoughts on that one.
Speaker 4: That's what I was gonna say, Andy, I'm with you
on that.
Speaker 3: I I don't really have a lot of this game,
but I was gonna say, is like some games, the
running back will get out of it depending on what
the score is for him. They're just like, whatever we're
we could be down thirty, we're gonna go to you still.
So that's probably what i'd look at as well. And
I know, like you mentioned in Fantasy, but I'm sure
people to watch us our fantasy players as well. It's
got to be really nice feeling to know that no
matter how shitty they're doing, he's still gonna get his touches.
Speaker 1: Absolutely. Uh. The Saints and the Bills my gosh, this
could get out of control really bad. Chris A Lave
had fourteen targets and catches I would go to. I
would go right back to a Lave again on the
on the catches he and they're very very limited weapons Bills.
Speaker 2: I'm just going right back to James Cook. He's the man.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's been unbelievable.
Speaker 3: Somehow. Don't ask me how. I had him on my
bench in one league this year, this this week. That
was embarrassing. But I cashed a five percent on play
with Khalila Shakir over. I think it was over like
forty two and hour. We hit by a couple of yards,
but I still felt like it was a really good
play and a winner is a winner. But I think
that he's the kind of guy you want to look
at when you have a big point spread and a
Bills game, like for me, like kind of the over
the top, like spreading the ball out, like when you're
just marching down the field. Like. He's not someone that
when you're down, you're gonna go to. He's not someone
that's gonna be a game breaker for you. He's gonna
be someone that's kind of a volume player. If he
gets like four receptions, you probably hit your prop with him,
so I'll be looking back for him. A similar kind
of situation for them back to back weeks where they're
favored to win by quite a bit.
Speaker 1: Browns and Lions. David Montgomery under his rushing yards total,
This Browns defensive line is just incredible. They're really really good.
So I go David Montgomery under. I go right back
to Flacco over his attempts. He came up just short.
But I like to throw the ball for a million
a million times, so I don't know. Maybe they try
and get Quinch on Judkins going. He looked good.
Speaker 2: Maybe they maybe they.
Speaker 1: Tried and take a little bit off of Flacco's plate,
But if the Lions get up, he's gonna have to
throw it out.
Speaker 2: What do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, so even though this one's an eight and a
half point spread, so maybe you'd think that they would
just be running the ball out. I think due to
the Cleveland pass rush, we could see this be a
game that Gibbs gets receptions. So maybe just after we
were talking about him kind of being unpredictable with the
rushing or receiving guards. If you're not taking both and
you wanted to pick one for that game. Maybe it
could be a sneaky receiving day for Gibbs.
Speaker 1: Next game is the Patriots, and uh.
Speaker 2: I lost my spot here.
Speaker 3: It's the game of the week, Andy, it's the the.
Speaker 4: Game of the week.
Speaker 1: The Patriots and the Panthers. Oh Man Ramandre Stevenson did
a really good job of losing his job yesterday with
fumbling the ball and then we see Trayvon Henderson get
eleven carries, couldn't do anything with it. I kind of
like this. This Panthers team looked amazing yesterday. Are they
gonna look like that all the time? No? But I
would go to Chewba Hubbard over his rushing. Guys, the
guy's good. I drafted him on my big money team
and he's just so under the radar. He doesn't come
to mind as a good guy, but he gets a
ton of volume. He's pretty good. Their offensive line isn't awful,
So I go Chewba Hubbard over his rushing.
Speaker 4: What do you think?
Speaker 3: I have the Patriots playing another game that's down to
the wire, that's my bet. I'm not playing a prop
in either of these two teams, haven't I have barely
watched either of these teams play pass for me here,
all right, So.
Speaker 1: Dan just sent me a message that said the bijon pronunciation.
This is now going to be a polarizing thing because
he said bijeon is correct. He said the other pronunciation,
bajeon is how his mom and grandma.
Speaker 2: Says it, but he doesn't like it.
Speaker 1: So we need a new nickname. We need to just
get away from from the first name and just call
b Rob or something, because because I feel like I
feel like now I'm gonna say it and everyone's gonna
say I'm wrong. Uh, let's do charters and giants. I'm
gonna take Jackson Dart over his pass tests because there's
no way they're going back to Russell Wilson after that
performance last night Andrew the Chargers. Let me ask you this, Keenan, Allen, Quentin, Johnson,
and Lad McConkey. Are each one of those guys would
be the number one on Kansas City, wouldn't they?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 3: I think the right now, there's no number one on Casey.
There's not even one number one really.
Speaker 1: There's just a bunch of two's running out there. Yeah,
I've been impressed with Johnson. He looks incredibly confident. Uh,
the targets are there. I would go to him over
as far as the Giants. You gotta see what's happening
in Tyrone. Tracy Scataboo. I think people like Skataboo just
because he's he's big.
Speaker 2: He here's a weird number.
Speaker 1: He's got a fun last name to say. But I
don't know. Was he that great last night?
Speaker 4: He was all right.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: But if Jackson Dart is playing, then you're going Elik Neighbors.
But if he's not playing, it's Molik Neighbors under because
Russell Wilson can't throw him the ball.
Speaker 2: What do you think.
Speaker 4: I like that?
Speaker 3: You know, we always say if you like an over,
sometimes with these props, you gotta bet them earlier in
the week. The second that we see at Jackson Dart
prop pop up. If you want to bet anything to
do with the over with him, you'll probably bet that
sooner than later. I'm gonna take the Hampton over because
he's been great and I feel like this team. I
was against the Chargers yesterday. I had a one percent
playing the Broncos. Felt good about it. I was on
a road trip back home phone died phone came back on,
was ready to tweet out Hey winner on the Broncos.
I was like, oh, okay, they collapsed in the fourth quarter.
But this Chargers team is playing smarter. They're closing out
games now, they're figuring out how to be smart. I
feel like same thing with Justin Herbert, like the maturation
of this team seems to be at its best right now,
and a lot of that has to do with establishing
the run game, throwing the ball when they have to.
Speaker 4: I think Hampton has been a pretty good guy.
Speaker 2: Eagles and Buccaneers.
Speaker 1: Dan's Eagles, I think are I'm going right back to
Baker Over his rushing.
Speaker 2: That was a client player that we hit yesterday.
Speaker 1: The handicap was that his offensive line is so banged
up and not good that he's just gonna have to run,
And sure enough he did. This Eagles defensive line is
going to get to him a million times. Sack props.
If you like playing sack props, this is your game.
They're gonna get They're gonna get to him. But Baker
to throw an interception. Baker Over is rushing. You got
to keep going back to Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown.
Speaker 2: So I think the Eagles could.
Speaker 1: I think the Eagles could really beat the you know
what out of Tampa in this one.
Speaker 2: What do you think?
Speaker 3: So as much as I make jokes and stuff, I
think that I have a theory now where.
Speaker 4: When you're looking at the Eagles.
Speaker 3: When you look at a close point spread, take receivers
overs and take Jalen Hurts overrun passing yards. When you
have a point spread that they're in and their massive favorites,
take Jalen Hurt under passing yards and take Barkley or
whoever on the over for the rushing. It's pretty simple,
like they're gonna tell you if the oddsmakers tell you
it's gonna be relatively a close game, then like yesterday
was the best day so far. If you're a fantasy
owner and you have receivers on the Eagles and if
it's a big point spread, then they're gonna be like, oh,
we're gonna just dominate this team. Run the ball and
they're not gonna have a chance. So yeah, I think
if I see it close points spread, I'll look towards
overs for Jalen Hurts. And it's always funny when you
bet that prop because everybody hates on him, so you're
gonna get a pretty good number, and nobody else really
wants to do it.
Speaker 1: It sucks that the annual Mike Evans hamstring injury happened
early in the season.
Speaker 2: You know when he was younger.
Speaker 1: It happened later in this season, but I was getting older,
so that was just happening a little bit earlier in
the season.
Speaker 2: It's a bummer, but you knew it was coming.
Speaker 1: Titans and Texans. I won't watch a second of this game.
C J Stroud under they look lost. That's probably the
worst offensive line in all of football. But I have
no opinion on any props. These two teams are just
prop wastelands.
Speaker 3: Now, I'll tell you whether it's money line or Parlott
or part money line, parlay or teaser. I'll probably be
on the Texans in some way, but I have no
prop bets so far.
Speaker 4: This one.
Speaker 1: Colts Rams, I don't think they're gonna hang Danny Dimes
out at two hundred and ten and a half yards passing. Listen,
this offensive line and defensive line of the Colts is
way better than I think anybody expected.
Speaker 2: That's been the key to their success.
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor is going to be the focal point of
the Rams defense. My guest, I think it's gonna leave
I think it's just gonna leave Jones wide open. He's
moving around great in the pocket. And this Tyler Warren
is better than I thought like and I thought he
was going to be really good. I didn't know he
was going to be this good right off the bat.
And shout out to everybody that passed on him in
the draft. Still, I still can't believe we had. When
does your team in any sport just get this lucky
where this stud falls to you at you know, in
the in the mid teens. Hopefully we get a good number.
I would say anything less than two hundred and thirty
yards Daniel Jones passing. I'm playing the over.
Speaker 4: What do you think as a sports fan?
Speaker 3: There's literally no better feeling than your team, just like
getting a stud when everybody else didn't really want them.
I keep talking about those longest receptions or longest rush
Davante Adams. He'll do nothing all game and then all
of a sudden he catches a relatively long ball. So
it'd be something I'll probably be looking at as well.
Speaker 1: Jags in the forty nine ers. Oh wow, this is
a this is a really tough one. We don't know
where the Juwan Jennings.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: Ricky Pearsall man that that guy's really really good.
Speaker 2: When Juan Jennings is out.
Speaker 1: When Juwan Jennings is in, you can probably look at
under receptions there's a there's a good one for you,
and and under receptions over yards for Pearsaw because he
catches a.
Speaker 2: Lot of long ones.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so that could be a fun one. But Pearsall
looks to be good. As for Jacksonville, I Travis ETM
looks pretty good, but Trevor Lawrence still continues to underwhelm.
Speaker 2: What do you think.
Speaker 3: I'll just take ETM plus one twenty five anytime touchdown,
if they get closed, he's gonna score.
Speaker 1: Ravens and Chiefs Marquee game. Ravens team total over. I
don't think this Chiefs team is going to be able
to keep up with the Ravens. As for the Chiefs,
I just keep going Mahomes rushing, Pacheco under against this
Ravens team. I don't know. As for the Ravens, We'll
just see what they look like tonight. But I don't
have faith in the Chiefs.
Speaker 3: Next week, we were joking around about players like just
turning it up all of a sudden when they get
moved from the New York Giants, And then I threw
in at the end, we'll how about the New England Patriots. Well,
Taekwon Thornton. I've got some buddies that are Pats fans.
I love what they go to him yesterday for a
huge play. I thought he caught it for sure, and
then he landed aggressively on the ground, dropped it. What
does mahomes do? Go right back to him again the
next play. I love that, And I feel like, as
people betting props every week, as handicappers, like that's something
that we should look at. And I don't want to
read too much into something, but it's kind of nice.
It's like, Okay, your quarterback didn't say like, hey, screw
you man, you didn't catch that ball.
Speaker 4: I'm going to somebody else.
Speaker 3: He was like, you're gonna catch this one, and we're
gonna go right back to it again. So and in
that matchup, let's face it, they're gonna need some points.
They're gonna need some explosive plays. Maybe he's that deep
ball and I don't want to say I listened to
the commentators for prop betting advice a lot of the times,
but they did say immediately after maybe he is this
the temporary Zaby, You're worthy options stretching the field. You
need someone to do that, right, So maybe he's that
guy for them.
Speaker 1: I can already see how this is gonna shape up
for the season, Andrew. So here's what's gonna happen. Chiefs
are gonna look terrible next week. Ravens are gonna beat him,
gonna be one and three, and everyone writes him off.
All of a sudden, Taekwon Thornton gets good, Xavier Worthy
comes back where she Rice comes back, And at the
end of the year, the Chiefs all of a sudden
have the best wide receiving in the league. They're going
into the playoffs with all the momentum in the world.
I can see this happening. I already know what the
future holds for US Bears Raiders. Listen, Caleb shredded a
terrible defense yesterday. I'd go right back to him. Caleb
Williams to not throw an interception, continues to be a
rinse and repeat for clients. That was another one that
cashed yesterday. I'll just keep going back to that one.
The Raiders Ashon Genty under man, this is not working.
This offensive line is terrible. He doesn't look big, that's
another thing. And he just doesn't look physical. He's really
struggling with pass protection. When he drives a pass protect
he gets just flat out run over. He's not out
there on third downs catching passes like I think they expected.
So Ashton Genty under another big game for Caleb. I'd
love to get a good number on Caleb over one
and a half passing touchdowns.
Speaker 3: Jamar Chase or Ashton Genty Who's been a bigger letdown
for fantasy players this year?
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase just because he was the number one pick. Like,
I mean, you have the number one pick and you
lose the quarterback for the year, it's pretty bad. But
I don't know. If you're the Raiders, I don't know.
Maybe you fix your offensive line before you draft your
stud running back.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker 2: That's just me.
Speaker 3: I was shocked, like I'm disappointedly in four leagues this year.
Speaker 4: I don't even want to be in that many leagues.
But I was like, why is he going so early?
Speaker 3: Like? And I mean, I know it's relatively consensus across
the board, but you don't really know much. It's long
he's on a stud team. I don't know. For some reason,
I always pronounce this guy's name wrong. Is it a
Don Day? Is that what it is? Rom dons We
looked at him last week. You and I both mentioned him.
As I mentioned, I didn't get involved in that game,
but I don't see why we don't go back to
him again. As Caleb starts to progress, and if they're
kind of keeping faith in him, he's gonna have his guys. Andy,
maybe this guy becomes one of his guys.
Speaker 1: Listen, I dogged him in week one. Cash the under
on that one, and I'm glad I didn't go back
to it. Because not bad, not bad. It's been pretty decent.
Packers and Cowboys. How about them Cowboys? Jordan love over everything,
over passing yards, over touchdowns. This Cowboys defense is truly
truly pathetic. Ceedee Lamb says he's gonna play. We'll just
have to.
Speaker 2: Wait and see.
Speaker 1: But that could be a brutal game for the Cowboys
at home. If there's a team that really likes to
lay an egg in primetime at home, it's the Dallas Cowboys.
I have Packers to score a lot of points against
that defense.
Speaker 2: What do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think that, you know, just from like
a handicaps perspective, we saw two kind of big wins
for the Packers, right including it, you know, an awesome
win against the Lions. And then this was kind of
like that that flat spot if you know, people to
hate those handicapper terms, it was, you know, they're being
asked to win by eight and a half points, they
end up losing the game outright, So you know, this
is a kind of a bounce back out of the
flat spot, you know, angle here for the Packers.
Speaker 4: So I would look towards that.
Speaker 3: People were worried about the injuries there for for Tucker Craft,
and multiple guys are suffering a little bit here. But
if he goes, I think this Cleveland team's getting beat
over the top, So musgrave Craft, I'll look towards over
the top there for the Packers.
Speaker 1: So we have the Panthers and Patriots in a disgusting game,
the Titans and the Texans in a disgusting game, and
then on Monday night we have Jets and Dolphins. Holy yeah,
don't know what's going on there, but the Jets have
to hope that Justin Fields is back. I have nothing
in this game? Do you have anything?
Speaker 3: I have over one and a half crashouts for Tyreek
Hill when he gets overthrown, it's probably what I'd look
at there.
Speaker 4: Tua Temps Sandy in that one.
Speaker 3: I think that, again, this game is not going to
be a blowout by any means that's gonna be I
think relatively close. And they're gonna have for the ball.
I mean when they run the ball, they're not really
gaining yards. Like I think that like a Chane has
been used more of a receiver effectively this year than
he has been a running back anyway, So maybe I'd
look towards attempts for Tua and then that way, when
he overthrows somebody, you still get account and you don't
have to worry about completions.
Speaker 2: Last game, real quick, Thank you everyone for watching.
Speaker 1: If you haven't hit the like button, please take a
minute and do that, and also leave a comment in
the comment section. Give us a prop, give us the
same game, parlay, give us anything you like for tonight's game,
and don't forget Agrew's got a five percent bet up.
Speaker 2: For Monday Night Football.
Speaker 1: I have a best bet that is Adrian and I
both coming off a nice runs Andrew and his big
plays Mine two to ohero Monday Night Football. This season
Bengals and Broncos, Courtland Sutton has looked really good, and
against this Bengals defense, I have no faith that they
won't let him get loose. For one, i'd look at
him on the over. And the Bengals, I just can't
Chase Brown under. He's been a zat. You know, we've
been talking about Jamar Chase. Chase Brown's been nothing short
of anemic. He's just absolutely worthless out there. So I
don't see that being fixed. Against the Broncos. I'd take
Chase Brown under his rushing.
Speaker 2: What do you think?
Speaker 3: I've been a bit worried about bo Nixt And this
is coming from a guy that had the Broncos yesterday,
but I just thought they were gonna piece them apart
and kind of have that nice game plan. And so
when I'm worried about a quarterback, I like to look
towards completions because I think coming off a game like
this one a game that you could argue they choked
away a little bit. It's gonna be a little more
dink and dunk, a little more, keep it simple. I
feel like they've tried to make him kind of be
that showtime quarterback right away before he's really proved himself
and settled in with like you know, in this season,
I'll say, at least, but I just want to see
some simplicity. I think in this one maybe we could
see kind of just those those high pass attempts, high volume,
but maybe not those big throws.
Speaker 1: Bo Nicks is like when he misses receivers, it's really close,
like if Caleb, if Caleb misses a guy, he like
overthrows him by ten yards like it hits the fans.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 1: But Bnicks misses it barely out of reach, like just
just ever so close. I feel like I feel like
that's all. That's just like on the verge of being fixed,
and he's gonna have a breakout game, and what better
way to do.
Speaker 2: It at home against the Bengals.
Speaker 1: So all right, that's gonna do it for us here
on props and parlays.
Speaker 2: Andrew, thank you so much, good luck.
Speaker 1: On your best bet tonight and We're gonna do it
again a week from today. Don't forget to subscribe to
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place tonight.
Speaker 2: Let's bet responsibly. We'll see again next week.
Speaker 1: Take care,